12/12/2017 Beyond 100 Days


12/12/2017

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This is Beyond One Hundred Days,

with me Katty Kay in

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Birmingham, Alabama -

Christian Fraser's in London.

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Our top stories.

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Voting has been taking place

in the US state of Alabama,

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in a Senate election dominated

by allegations of sexual misconduct

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against the Republican

candidate, Roy Moore.

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50 world leaders -

minus the United States -

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gather in Paris for a climate summit

President Macron hopes will give

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new momentum to the fight

against global warming.

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Coming up in the next half hour.

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Canada enjoys mostly unfettered

trade access to the EU -

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could that same deal work

for a post-Brexit Britain?

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And I'll have more on that

special election taking

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place here in Alabama -

why do we care so much?

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Let us know your thoughts

by using the hashtag

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'Beyond-One-Hundred-Days'.

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Alabamans are voting

to chose their next senator -

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the Republican Roy Moore

or the Democrat Doug Jones.

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The polls suggest it's

close but the polls

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here can be inaccurate.

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Mr Moore - who's been accused

of sexually harassing teenagers -

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has been largely invisible the last

few days but he has given one

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interview to local television.

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The interviewer was 12-year-old

Millie Marchl.

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What do you think are the

characteristics of a really good

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Senator?

Just adhering to principal

and not trying to stay in office for

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30, 40 years and building an empire.

You're there to serve people. I want

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to serve the people of Alabama.

So

what can my country do for me, but

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what can I do for my country? Yes,

as JFK said.

Thank you so much. With

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me now...

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me now...

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Kyle Whitmire -

State Political Columnist

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for the Alabama Media Group.

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I do not think anyone expected this

much attention Alabama. We knew it

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would be a very different race. Not

just all or getting into the race

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that brought so much attention to

it. We had controversy from the big

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killing. The governor appointed a

very unpopular governor and Attorney

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General who was supposed to be

investigating him at the time. And a

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lot of the people here projected

that and voted for war Liam Moore

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instead.

All the people who have

come here have Comber because they

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want to see what Roy Moore is going

to do to the Republican party.

Is he

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a second Donald Trump? I think he is

more Donald Trump than Donald Trump.

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In that primary race Donald Trump

endorsed Luther strange his opponent

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and we sent reporters to an event

that Donald Trump held in North

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Alabama, we asked them are you

voting for Luther strange because

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Donald Trump is endorsing him and

they just said no one came to see

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the president but we will go home

and vote for war and more. -- vote

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for Roy Moore. I think that shook

the president to hear these voters

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in his base who decided they liked

Roy Moore more than him.

Nationally,

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you know Roy Moore, you have covered

him for years, if he is elected as

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the next US senator from Alabama

what does he do when he gets to

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Washington, how much have it pretty

weak?

I think plenty. One unusual

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thing is he has been radio silent.

He did not really even campaigned

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this last week apart from one

appearance last night. He has been

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in hiding and that is not his style.

He sees this as a pulpit from which

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he can preach and he could do that.

And he has said he wants to take

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this to the American people. That is

not something that I think many

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Republicans want associated with

them especially now with all these

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allegations about possible sexual

assault against young women.

We

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spoke to a supporter of Roy Moore a

few moments ago who seemed reluctant

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to believe the allegations. Is that

a common thing here?

Absolutely. I

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think Roy Moore has built a base

here in Alabama and that loyalty was

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already established. And once those

allegations came out, it is hard for

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people to change their minds once

they've decided they believe someone

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or believe in someone. We've heard

over and again why are these

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allegations coming out now, people

are suspicious about them and think

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it is some sort of media conspiracy.

But let's say that he is elected,

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hopefully we will see a Senate

investigation, and ethics

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investigation to really get down

into some solid proof.

Thank you

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very much for joining me.

Interesting speaking to people here,

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you hear at the staunch defenders of

Roy Moore is saying these are

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outsiders bringing these allegations

to light, and we just do not believe

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things like the Washington Post. But

also some saying we are embarrassed

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that our state has been portrayed in

this light.

There is a word that

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they use a lot in the American

media, the optics. What are the

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optics of Roy Moore, who has dodged

every interview with an adult for

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the last three or four weeks, being

interviewed by a 12-year-old when he

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is alleged to have abused a

14-year-old girl!

It was an

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interesting decision. It is being

talked about here in Alabama. I

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suspect this is the Roy Moore

campaign and they must have known

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what the optics were going to be,

they're all employee savvy media

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people who can tell them what the

response would be. And in typical

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Roy Moore fashion this was a kind of

in-your-face, I'm going to do it my

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way and not be cowed by the

reporters and by the establishment

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and I'm not going to stop the way I

do things just because you do not

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like it. If he takes that attitude

Washington that is what will make

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him a liability for the Republican

party.

Plenty more about Alabama in

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the next few minutes.

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In two days there will be

an important summit on the issue

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of UK-EU trade post-Brexit.

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David Davis the Brexit secretary

says he wants a deal

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similar to the one agreed

between Canada and EU.

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That deal, the Comprehensive

Economic and Trade Agreement removes

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98 percent of customs duties on EU

exports to Canada and Canadian

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exports to the EU.

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Canada does not pay for access

to the single market.

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But the agreement provides less

opportunities for services,

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including the financial sector.

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Canada is also a member

of another trade block NAFTA -

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so how does the country navigate

several trade deals simultaneously?

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I am joined in the studio

by Jaime Watt, who acts

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as an advisor to Canada's political

and business leaders.

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Good to see you. How does it do this

because they must be some

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regulations that do not fit with the

EU that do fit with America. How

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does Canada straddle this?

Well

within the agreement there is an

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agreement to make sure there is

harmony with regulations. It is a

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light touch, there is an annual sit

down between the EU and Canada to

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work out any kind of difficulties.

They've been doing this for nine

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years and now they think they have

an agreement to take them through

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the goods part of the agreement. Not

the services part which of course

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when people in the UK talk about

Canada plus, releases the plus that

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is left out of this agreement that

will need some attention.

But the

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whole point of this, David Davis and

Liam Fox, they want to go off and

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weigh up these new deals around the

world. Does it confine them in doing

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that if they are already committed

to alignment with the EU, does it

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confine Canada?

Not at all because

all these agreements come together

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at different times and in different

ways. The UK where the leaders in

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pushing Canada and the EU together

on CETA nine years ago.

So I do not

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think that will change. So you think

that rather than the idea that

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regulations are diverging in actual

fact because everyone is involved in

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global trade we are all converging?

Of course and not only converging

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but converging for policy as well as

business reasons. Looking at the

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relative importance of these

different markets, the Chinese

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market as well, in Canada we have

the Americans abandoning the TPP

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agreement which is great news for

Canada because on the other side of

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our borders on the Pacific side we

have a whole new opportunity with

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China. So Canada I think is going to

go in there.

Your Prime Minister

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Justin Trudeau was in China recently

and did not manage to get a comp

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offensive trade deal with the

Chinese, not as much as he have

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wanted.

Was that a blow to Canada? I

think it was disappointing for the

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Prime Minister, his father has a

very special relationship with the

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Chinese and I think Justin Trudeau

was looking to build on that. He

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also went in there with an

aggressive progressive agenda on

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human rights and equity and equality

issues which was not admittedly to

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the liking of the Chinese. So I

think there was a setback. But not a

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disaster by any stretch. They will

continue to work on this. I think we

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are seeing that with Nafta, our

major preoccupation, everything else

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is dwarfed by Nafta, these

politicians say certain things to

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their domestic audience but when the

reality of business and commerce

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comes to the fore everyone puts a

bit of water in the wind.

We have

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been talking about the Paris climate

change and of course America is not

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there today. It could be a situation

where he pulls America out of Nafta

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so how good the comedians deal with

that?

I'm not so sure that he is

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going to pull out of Nafta. -- how

would the Canadians deal with that.

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Canada is the number one customer

for the United States and if Donald

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Trump does not want protests and to

lose their biggest customer he has

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to think about what he's asking for.

Right now is asking for a percentage

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of car parts, such as the entire

auto-parts industry would be

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destroyed. He's asking for

unfettered access to the market and

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not giving it in return. The

proposition is ridiculous. So I

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think Congress will come to its

senses. Remember it is Congress that

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approves the free trade agreement

and not the president.

Great to see

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you, thank you very much.

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An influential American think-tank

is warning that the British economy

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will probably be weakened by Brexit

- even if the UK agrees a new trade

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deal with the European Union.

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A report from the Rand Corporation -

which is part-funded

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by the US government -

says almost all likely trading

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relationships after March 2019

will be worse than Britain's current

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membership of the EU -

International Vice President

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at the Rand Corporation Charles Reis

joins us from Brussels.

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Good to see you. You have looked at

eight different scenarios involving

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the UK, the EU and the US.

Explain

why you did that? Well basically we

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assumed Brexit was going to happen

and we were trying to appraise all

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the possible ways that the EU, the

UK and the EU, the UK could develop

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and organise its external trade. And

so eight scenarios is not all of the

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possibilities but it captures the

range of possibilities.

You looked

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at the one I talked about, the UK EU

US agreement, clearly the one that

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appeals to the government. But you

say it is not likely in the current

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political atmosphere that prevails.

So the question I have then is are

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you looking at the very short-term

rather than the longer game for

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Brexit?

Well we tried to at all of

these scenarios on a ten time frame

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but it is ten years beginning in

2019, so the short term in political

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terms. We were trying to figure out

what it is that would be in the best

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interests of the UK if they were

interested in preserving their own

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economy and growth prospects. That

was the motivating factor. But

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you're right in the introduction, in

almost all of the scenarios we found

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the UK would be worse off

economically than it is as a member

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of the EU. This is because there is

almost any other trade regime

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including free trade agreements with

the Canada model, they impose

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customs restrictions, rules of

origin and other kinds of nontariff

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areas which are costs to trade and

reduce trade below what been

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otherwise. And the result is lower

economic growth.

The only problem

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some people would have with this

report, you preface your findings by

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saying whether Brexodus judged a

success or not will depend to some

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degree on its economic impact. --

Brexit is judge. But many leave

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voters were prepared to take the

economic hit because far more

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important to them was immigration,

the sovereignty of the UK

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Government.

There are many people

who say that. When their own

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economic circumstances deteriorate

however they may change their mind.

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But not if they have not been

touched by the economic progress, in

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some towns and cities in the north

they feel they have been left behind

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which has been part of the problem.

Indeed, it is sort of the trend

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towards economic nationalism,

talking really about the United

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States, many countries in the

post-globalisation era are

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struggling with questions of equity.

Questions of two which segments of

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the population benefit from

international trade and this has

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been debated in the UK as much as

elsewhere. But if you look at the

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breakdown of voters for Brexit, it

was older voters who voted for

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leaving the EU. And younger voters

with a longer term horizon if you

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will, but it almost, quite

substantially to remain within the

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EU. And were quite upset at the

outcome.

Very interesting, thank you

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for coming in.

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This is Beyond One Hundred Days.

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Still to come.

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A new insight into the history

of the slave trade -

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in the wrecks rediscovered

in Senegal.

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Last night was the coldest

this winter and if you live

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in Shropshire you'll have known

all about it - it was down

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to minus 13 celsius in one place.

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The freeze has led to fresh

disruption for travellers -

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and hundreds of schools are closed

for a second day running.

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Here's Sima Kotecha.

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A bed of snow with

freezing conditions.

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Across parts of the Midlands it's

not been easy - icy roads,

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school closures, but for

the children another day off school.

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We have been sledging,

building a snowman.

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In Shropshire more than 200

schools were closed and in

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Gloucestershire and Herefordshire

almost 100 remain closed.

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It is difficult trying

to find things for

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them to do and keep them occupied.

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When you have childcare issues

and you are working full-time,

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obviously it would be disruptive

to you

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because the schools are closing

on a day-to-day basis and you're not

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knowing until the last minute.

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It is bitterly cold

here, the temperature

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is around minus four Celsius

and there's no sign of this snow

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melting any time soon.

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As night falls, the temperatures

are expected to plunge

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even further.

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In the West Midlands

it was a similar story, more schools

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closed than open.

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Some councils have been

criticised for advising them

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not to reopen even though many

roads have been cleared.

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The initial advice last

Friday was for all

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schools to close, we have changed

that advice to save the decision

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should be made locally depending

on whether you can get school

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transport to the school

and whether it is safe

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to do so in consideration

of the roads and other conditions.

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More than 200 homes in the region

were without power this morning.

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Tomorrow will present

its own challenges.

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With rain coming in from the west,

some of the snow will turn

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to ice making pathways

even more slippery.

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You're watching

Beyond One Hundred Days.

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Alabama is a state synonymous

with the civil rights movement.

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I was at the Sixteenth Street

Baptist Church in Birmingham today,

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where a bomb blast killed four

African-American girls in 1963.

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That same year Martin Luther King

was arrested and jailed

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for protesting at the way blacks

were treated in this state.

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The history runs deep.

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Its roots though lie thousands

of miles away in West Africa,

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where archaeologists have begun

searching for the forgotten wrecks

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of the trans-Atlantic slave trade -

the ships that sank,

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while carrying thousands

of African men, women

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and children to the Americas.

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Many of those slaves were bound

for the deep south including

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the state of Alabama.

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And now, as part of a US-funded

programme, archaeologists in Senegal

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have been trying to find those

wrecks off the coast of Dakar.

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The BBC's Laeila Adjovi joined

one of the expeditions.

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These divers are Senegal's first

generation of marine archaeologists.

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As part of their research this

professor and his team explored

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the sea floor in search of remains

of sunken slave ships.

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It took years of training to launch

the slave wreck project here.

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TRANSLATION: At the beginning

it was not easy.

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In fact I could not even train

before this programme so the first

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year was very difficult

for the whole team.

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This morning the divers

are off an island which was

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a notorious stopover

during the Atlantic slave trade.

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Three years into the programme,

these pioneers are now

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passionate about diving.

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Once the wreck is found, the

scientists take photos and notes.

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They also take a piece

of the ship for analysis.

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To determine the exact historical

period of the sinking.

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The team has yet to do in-depth

research on archives

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and old navigation registers.

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Dozens of slave wrecks could be

lying along the coastline

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and at the bottom of the Senegal

River.

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The professor hopes that in time

the findings can shed a new light

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on the history of the slave trade.

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TRANSLATION: The crossing

of the Atlantic is a very dark

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moment that is not very well known.

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We know that some slave ships

were wrecked and all the archives

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are here under the sea.

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It is important to document

the time of the crossing

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because it is the time

of the rupture of the umbilical cord

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between Africa and its diasporas.

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Back on land at Dakar University

there is growing interest

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in marine archaeology.

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So having more African scholars

and more African students taking

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part in this research and involving

local communities is all part

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of decolonising the knowledge.

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TRANSLATION: For a long time this

research was done by people

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coming from the outside.

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And for us it is crucial

that a local Senegalese

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and African team take part.

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And beyond that we really

want to work with local communities

0:21:400:21:47

who were directly impacted

by the slave trade.

0:21:470:21:51

So far the funding for the slave

wreck project has come

0:21:510:21:53

from the United States.

0:21:530:21:54

The professor believes

Senegal should contribute.

0:21:540:21:58

He is adamant that no

independent nation can thrive

0:21:580:22:00

without preserving its own heritage.

0:22:010:22:10

Fascinating insight into what is

going on in Senegal. Back to Alabama

0:22:120:22:17

and Ron Christie is back with us. It

is fascinating to listen to the

0:22:170:22:22

people we have spoken to tonight

about the links between their faith

0:22:220:22:26

and the way that they vote. That is

very different over here, we have a

0:22:260:22:31

secular society in Europe, not to

say that faith is not just as

0:22:310:22:34

important to voters here but we do

not hear it spoken about in such

0:22:340:22:37

terms as you see it in Alabama.

Good

to see you come it is interesting,

0:22:370:22:46

my grandparents are southern

evangelicals and having grown up

0:22:460:22:49

with this in my family I can tell

you they put a strong premium on

0:22:490:22:54

religion, on abortion and some

issues that we have spoken about

0:22:540:22:58

today. And they look at Roy Moore

and said that these are just

0:22:580:23:02

allegations and I'm willing to look

at those guys just allegations, but

0:23:020:23:06

he is a pious, strong Christian man

and we should give him the benefit

0:23:060:23:10

of the doubt. In many states that

would not apply like that but it

0:23:100:23:15

does here in Alabama.

There has been

some discussion in the course of

0:23:150:23:20

this Alabama race that everyone has

been focused on issues of sexual

0:23:200:23:23

harassment on on characters, on

these kind of outside issues. People

0:23:230:23:30

are saying what about the political

issues. But actually for

0:23:300:23:35

conservative evangelical voters here

I think those are the issues. His

0:23:350:23:38

discussion of abortion, his

objection to abortion, that is the

0:23:380:23:45

real issue and for many voters it is

a single voting issue. The one

0:23:450:23:49

single issue they would vote on and

Doug Jones who is pro-choice on the

0:23:490:23:54

issue of abortion, I've heard some

analysts here in Alabama saying if

0:23:540:23:59

he were not quite so pro-choice on

abortion, if he had some caveats in

0:23:590:24:06

there he would probably be much

further ahead in the polls. No

0:24:060:24:10

question. So we've spoken about

civil rights and this street that

0:24:100:24:14

runs deep in Alabama, if turnout is

king does that mean that the black

0:24:140:24:18

vote really matters today?

Well I

tell you, Alabama, the African

0:24:180:24:27

American population is about 20% and

I spoke to several people and they

0:24:270:24:32

recognise that this election could

be about to -- taking Alabama

0:24:320:24:37

forward or indeed back to the past.

There are so many concerns amongst

0:24:370:24:40

the black community, people I've

spoken to say it shines a bad light

0:24:400:24:47

on Alabama for the past but we have

had. So will it be enough, this is a

0:24:470:24:55

very red state, not the many

Democrats and so the African

0:24:550:25:01

American vote is crucial stop and

even if you had a massive turnout

0:25:010:25:05

for the African American community,

could it sway the vote.

And also one

0:25:050:25:10

group is suburban women, we have

seen them play a big role. In

0:25:100:25:20

Virginia in the end it was suburban

women that swung the state for the

0:25:200:25:25

Democratic governor. I am watching

suburban women here, I spoke to one

0:25:250:25:30

who was a Republican all her life,

her family voted Republican, she

0:25:300:25:34

knows the family of Roy Moore and

she switched, she is going to vote

0:25:340:25:38

for the Democrats Doug Jones and

she's calling her friends to get

0:25:380:25:41

them to vote for the Democrat Doug

Jones. All because of these

0:25:410:25:46

allegations of sexual harassment

which she said to me she believed

0:25:460:25:49

were credible. So watch the African

American turnout but also woman.

0:25:490:25:55

Absolutely, is all about turnout, we

have not got any indication is how

0:25:550:25:59

it is going yet but I've seen a lot

of signs up driving around, a lot of

0:25:590:26:05

signs up for the Democrat.

So stay

at super late to watch the result! I

0:26:050:26:12

know I can rely on you! I will text

you!

0:26:120:26:21

Coming up next on BBC World News -

Kasia Madera is here

0:26:210:26:25

with Outside Source

and for viewers in the UK -

0:26:250:26:29

we'll have the latest headlines

from Clive Myrie.

0:26:290:26:35

Thanks for watching.

0:26:350:26:38

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