19/12/2017 Beyond 100 Days


19/12/2017

Similar Content

Browse content similar to 19/12/2017. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!

Transcript


LineFromTo

You're watching Beyond 100 Days.

0:00:090:00:14

The US says it will

de-nuclearize North Korea

0:00:140:00:15

with or without its cooperation.

0:00:150:00:22

Donald Trump's National

Security Advisor says

0:00:220:00:24

every nation should share

Washington's concerns.

0:00:240:00:29

As for Russia - General McMaster

acknowledged they did interfere

0:00:290:00:33

last year's presidential election.

0:00:330:00:37

Russia is engaged in a very

sophisticated subversion

0:00:370:00:39

to affect our confidence

in democratic institutions.

0:00:390:00:49

Disruption on Capitol Hill as

0:00:510:00:53

Disruption on Capitol Hill as

Congress prepares to pass President

0:00:530:00:57

Trump's tax bill. The vote is about

to take place. We will bring you the

0:00:570:01:03

latest from capital Hill.

0:01:030:01:12

What does it take to be a superager?

0:01:130:01:14

At 95 years young Hilda Jaffe

is setting an example and scientists

0:01:140:01:17

think drugs could soon help

the rest of us.

0:01:170:01:19

Also on the programme.

0:01:200:01:21

Allegations about Hollywood

producer Harvey Weinstein.

0:01:210:01:22

We hear from a former colleague

who tells us about her experience.

0:01:220:01:25

500-year-old leftovers -

what these turkey bones tell us

0:01:250:01:27

about trans-Atlantic

trade in the 1500s.

0:01:270:01:29

Get in touch with us

using the hashtag Beyond 100 Days.

0:01:290:01:39

Hello and welcome -

I'm Katty Kay in Washington

0:01:410:01:43

and Christian Fraser is in London.

0:01:430:01:45

Donald Trump has ordered his top

officials to refine a military plan

0:01:450:01:48

to deal with North Korea.

0:01:480:01:49

In an interview with the BBC the US

National Security Adviser HR

0:01:490:01:54

McMaster says the United States has

to be prepared,

0:01:540:01:56

if necessary, to compel

North Korea to end its nuclear

0:01:560:01:59

weapons programme,

with or without their cooperation.

0:01:590:02:03

Last week the Secretary

of State Rex Tillerson hinted

0:02:030:02:05

the US was ready to talk

to North Korea

0:02:050:02:07

without preconditions.

0:02:070:02:09

But the comments from the national

security advisor seem

0:02:090:02:11

to contradict that view.

0:02:110:02:13

General McMaster's been

speaking to our colleague,

0:02:130:02:20

Yalda Hakim.

0:02:200:02:22

Are you committed to peaceful

resolution to this?

0:02:220:02:24

Of course, that's what we want

but we're not committed

0:02:240:02:32

to a peaceful, but a resolution.

0:02:320:02:33

We want it to be peaceful

but as the President said,

0:02:330:02:36

all options are on the table

and we have to be prepared

0:02:360:02:39

if necessary to compel

the denuclearisation of North Korea

0:02:390:02:41

without the cooperation

of that regime.

0:02:410:02:42

Leading Republicans,

such as Senator Lindsey Graham have

0:02:420:02:44

said there is a 30% chance of war.

0:02:440:02:54

If they continue with the strikes

it could go up to 70%.

0:02:540:02:57

Is war imminent?

0:02:570:02:58

The chances of war could

go up and down based

0:02:580:03:00

on what we all decide to do.

0:03:000:03:02

North Korea is a great

threat to all civilised

0:03:020:03:04

people across the globe.

0:03:040:03:14

Now is not the time to talk. We need

to see a fundamental shift and

0:03:360:03:41

conditions. We cannot afford any

more to repeat the mistakes of the

0:03:410:03:47

pass.

Would you be willing to talk

to the north Koreans bilaterally and

0:03:470:03:53

hear them out? Under what

conditions? No conditions. Under

0:03:530:03:57

what conditions? There was no

agenda, just talk.

That is going to

0:03:570:04:02

be up to the president to decide

that what is create now is that we

0:04:020:04:07

cannot in any way the efforts to

continue the isolation of the regime

0:04:070:04:12

diplomatically and economically.

What has happened in the past as

0:04:120:04:16

north Korea has entered into talks

to get the pressure relieved, and

0:04:160:04:21

fennel stalks that nothing but still

of the ability for the north to

0:04:210:04:27

continue its programmes and checked.

That Winter Olympics are coming up

0:04:270:04:31

in February 2018 and South Korea,

would you feel safe sending your

0:04:310:04:36

family there?

Yes, we have a very

strong alliance capability between

0:04:360:04:41

the South Korean Armed Forces and

our Armed Forces. When you extend

0:04:410:04:45

that regionally, what this crisis is

doing is that is driving our allies

0:04:450:04:50

closer and closer together with us

and in particular South Korea, Japan

0:04:500:04:54

and the United States.

0:04:540:04:57

All of the US intelligence

communities have said that Russia

0:04:570:04:59

interfered in the 2016 elections.

0:05:000:05:04

Putting the politics to one side,

would you say that this

0:05:040:05:07

is a national-security

risk and threat?

0:05:070:05:09

Certainly it is.

0:05:090:05:13

With this strategy, we say

explicitly in the document

0:05:130:05:16

that the strategy views the world

as it is, it does not create

0:05:160:05:20

an aspirational model,

so that's what we have to view

0:05:200:05:23

Russian behaviour as, look

at what they are actually doing.

0:05:230:05:27

Of course we have to counter

their destabilising behaviour

0:05:270:05:31

and the sophisticated campaigns

of propaganda and disinformation,

0:05:310:05:35

efforts to polarise communities

and pit them against each other

0:05:350:05:38

especially in the democratic world

in a free and open society.

0:05:380:05:43

They use it against countries

to weaken their popular

0:05:430:05:46

will and resolve.

0:05:460:05:50

Do you believe that Russia meddled

in the 2016 elections?

0:05:500:05:53

I believe Russia has engaged

in a very sophisticated

0:05:530:05:56

campaign of subversion

to affect our confidence

0:05:560:06:01

in democratic institutions...

0:06:010:06:02

They meddled?

0:06:020:06:05

Including your elections?

0:06:050:06:09

They used propaganda

and disinformation on both sides

0:06:090:06:13

to support very left groups,

to support the very right groups,

0:06:130:06:17

and so what they want to do

was create the kind of tension,

0:06:170:06:21

vitriol that undermines our

confidence in who we are.

0:06:210:06:31

I talk about any societies that has

come under attack from them. There

0:06:330:06:40

is a similar approach in Catalonia

in Spain.

0:06:400:06:42

Is this something the President

is saying as well?

0:06:420:06:45

Yes, of course.

0:06:450:06:46

He's acknowledging this

meddling took place?

0:06:460:06:47

Yes, publicly.

0:06:470:06:48

Will you ensure this kind

of interference does not

0:06:480:06:50

happen in the future?

0:06:500:06:51

Certainly, to the degree we have

agency control over it but one

0:06:510:06:56

of the most important things to do

is to pull the curtain back on this

0:06:560:06:59

activity and expose it.

0:06:590:07:07

There is a feeling that there is

nothing like this administration,

0:07:070:07:13

nothing like this president. There

is intrigued in this court politics.

0:07:130:07:21

The intrigue is interesting to

people but I have not paid attention

0:07:210:07:25

to it. It has not affected our work

on the National Security Council or

0:07:250:07:30

our ability to serve the president.

0:07:300:07:32

Would your life be easier

if the president stopped tweeting?

0:07:320:07:35

Aristotle said focus

on what you can control.

0:07:350:07:37

The President will do

what he wants to do.

0:07:370:07:39

And it's his way of reaching

the American people.

0:07:390:07:44

It's a communication

which is very successful for him.

0:07:440:07:46

He has quite a number

of followers around the world.

0:07:460:07:49

My job is not to

worry about Twitter.

0:07:490:07:59

That is our job to worry about

Twitter and what comes out of the

0:08:070:08:12

president's Twitter account. I

picked up on the Russia staff more

0:08:120:08:16

than the north Korean issue because

they seem to be saying if conditions

0:08:160:08:19

were right they would talk to north

Korea. That is where the White House

0:08:190:08:26

is coming from. This issue of

Russia, this language, I believe

0:08:260:08:32

Russia is engaged in a sophisticated

campaign of subversion. I have not

0:08:320:08:37

heard the president, whatever the

national security adviser says, say

0:08:370:08:41

something quite that clear, and

perhaps if he did, and said

0:08:410:08:46

repeatedly, this Russia

investigation might go away.

0:08:460:08:48

If it comes from the top, and as HR

McMaster says, if you reveal what

0:08:480:08:55

Russia has been up to, he could do a

lot more, and that has been a

0:08:550:09:00

complaint from the intelligence

agencies that for some reason,

0:09:000:09:03

whatever reason it is, the president

is loaf to criticise Russia and is

0:09:030:09:11

particularly the Russian president.

The other thing, he says the

0:09:110:09:16

National securities strategy sets

out the world as letters but I am

0:09:160:09:22

not convinced when you read that 70

page documents that you get the same

0:09:220:09:26

tone from the president. There are

so many disparities and what he said

0:09:260:09:30

yesterday and what is in the

document that you wonder if he is

0:09:300:09:33

completely behind the strategy.

0:09:330:09:34

Let's get the thoughts of former US

defense secretary William Cohen,

0:09:350:09:37

who joins me now in the studio.

0:09:370:09:44

Listening to HR McMaster, what did

you take away from that? I did take

0:09:440:09:48

away the notion that they are

prepared to pull back the curtain to

0:09:480:09:51

look at what Russia has been doing.

That is the case they should back

0:09:510:09:55

away from trying to undermine the

investigation. The president has

0:09:550:10:02

come out, I give the president

credit for raising that document, it

0:10:020:10:06

is his now. He has two Orna

everything that is in that. What is

0:10:060:10:11

interesting is that all of the items

in that document, his conduct for

0:10:110:10:17

the first year in office is

contradictory to what is in that

0:10:170:10:20

document. There is a mismatch

between what has been taking place

0:10:200:10:24

and what is no in the document. For

example, respect for the rule of

0:10:240:10:30

law, the president has done much to

undermine the rule of law, attacking

0:10:300:10:36

CIE, the court system, FBI,

attacking the investigation and are

0:10:360:10:40

we seeing it as a witchhunt. There

is a disconnect between what is

0:10:400:10:44

being said and what is being done.

Hopefully the president will most up

0:10:440:10:48

to match some of the rhetoric with

the deeds going forward. Pulling the

0:10:480:10:53

curtain back on Russia will be

important but I believe there is no

0:10:530:10:57

question in our intelligence

communities they were not trying to

0:10:570:11:02

alter and influence the election

itself. The president has yet to

0:11:020:11:06

actually admit that and see it

forthrightly. Seeing China might

0:11:060:11:10

have been behind it, north Korea.

That is an issue. He could perhaps

0:11:100:11:16

take a cue from his

national-security adviser. Let us go

0:11:160:11:19

back to the 70 page document that

Donald Trump gave a speech on

0:11:190:11:22

yesterday. Do you now understand

what the trump doctrine of American

0:11:220:11:32

foreign policy is?

It appears to be

something of a throwback to

0:11:320:11:37

Realpolitik, balanced power

politics, the world as we see it. It

0:11:370:11:41

is OK to look at the world as we see

it that we should also have a policy

0:11:410:11:45

to make the world as we wanted to

be. We need to be actively engaged

0:11:450:11:50

in trying to shape events rather

than being held prisoner by those

0:11:500:11:53

events. That is what is missing in

terms of this looking inward, it is

0:11:530:11:58

saying that we have been taken

advantage of, we want the rule of

0:11:580:12:08

law and diplomacy but they have cut

the diplomatic budget by 30%, many

0:12:080:12:11

positions have not been filled.

Matching the deeds with the words

0:12:110:12:13

that have been uttered, it'll be

interesting going forward.

If you

0:12:130:12:17

were to ask people around the world

what is the most alarming foreign

0:12:170:12:21

policy trained at the moment they

would definitely say north Korea.

0:12:210:12:26

There is no way that Pyongyang is

going to denuclearise as a

0:12:260:12:31

precondition for talks.

I do not

think they will. What we have to do

0:12:310:12:35

is continue to beef up our defence

capability in South Korea and also

0:12:350:12:40

in Japan. We have two, unilaterally

if we must, bring the north Korean

0:12:400:12:45

economy to its knees, then set the

table for how we might go about

0:12:450:12:50

talking to the north Koreans. It is

not alarming, but got my attention,

0:12:500:12:57

the implication that we are going to

do it by force if necessary, whether

0:12:570:13:00

the Chinese are helping, not

helping, the Russians helping or

0:13:000:13:04

not, we are going to do it by force,

if we have the take those nuclear

0:13:040:13:08

capabilities out. That is something

we have to watch carefully. I do not

0:13:080:13:15

think Secretary Tillotson will be in

favour of that and I doubt if any

0:13:150:13:19

military adviser would soon let us

go and take it militarily.

Thank you

0:13:190:13:23

very much.

0:13:230:13:30

The train that derailed

in Washington State on Monday

0:13:300:13:37

was travelling at twice

the speed limit as it

0:13:370:13:39

came around a corner.

0:13:390:13:40

13 of the 14 carriages

were thrown from the track,

0:13:400:13:42

some of them over a bridge

and onto rush hour traffic below.

0:13:420:13:45

The train was carrying 86 passengers

as it made its inaugural

0:13:450:13:48

journey, on a new route

from Seattle to Portland.

0:13:480:13:50

Three people were killed

in the accident.

0:13:500:13:52

The UK's new aircraft carrier, HMS

Queen Elizabeth, has sprung a leak.

0:13:520:13:55

The carrier that was commissioned

by the Queen earlier this

0:13:550:13:57

month in Portsmouth,

has a problem with one

0:13:570:13:59

of its propeller shafts.

0:13:590:14:00

The fault was first

identified during sea trials.

0:14:000:14:02

A Royal Navy spokesman said the ship

was scheduled for repair

0:14:020:14:05

and the fault will not prevent it

from sailing again

0:14:050:14:07

early in the new year.

0:14:070:14:08

US immigration figures show

there have been fewer

0:14:080:14:10

deportations this year,

compared to President Obama's

0:14:100:14:12

first year in office.

0:14:120:14:13

Data suggests that 177,000

0:14:130:14:15

fewer migrants were deported,

compared to 2009, despite

0:14:150:14:18

President Trump's tough

stance on immigration.

0:14:180:14:23

Elsewhere, figures suggest

unauthorized border crossing

0:14:230:14:24

attempts from Mexico have also

dropped by nearly

0:14:240:14:27

150,000.

0:14:270:14:34

That is interesting. Border

crossings have fallen. The rhetoric,

0:14:340:14:39

from Donald Trump's perspective is

working. The same is true here of

0:14:390:14:46

Brexit, net migration has fallen to

the lowest since records began.

0:14:460:14:50

Seemingly the rhetoric of you are

not welcome does work if you want to

0:14:500:14:53

keep people out. The strange thing

is that the number of deportations

0:14:530:14:58

has fallen when he seems to have

given so much leeway to the

0:14:580:15:01

authorities.

That is interesting because there

0:15:010:15:03

have been figures suggesting that

the number of arrests of

0:15:030:15:08

undocumented immigrants has actually

gone up in this year, it might just

0:15:080:15:12

be that people are still in the

backlog, they have been arrested,

0:15:120:15:15

they are waiting for the process,

they have not yet been deported.

0:15:150:15:19

Those figures on emigration as

people crossing into America were

0:15:190:15:25

falling already. Net migration was

negative on to the United States

0:15:250:15:29

across the Mexican border before

President Trump took office which is

0:15:290:15:31

why many people said, why is

emigration such a big deal? The

0:15:310:15:36

Mexican economy is doing better and

people are staying at home and

0:15:360:15:39

getting their jobs there.

0:15:390:15:42

President Trump is one step closer

to getting his first major

0:15:420:15:45

legislative victory in the form

of tax reform.

0:15:450:15:55

The House of

Representatives is to vote

0:15:570:15:59

through the biggest overhaul

of the US system in

0:15:590:16:01

more than 30 years.

0:16:010:16:02

Next it will go to the Senate

and then on to the President's desk.

0:16:020:16:06

Critics say it's a giveaway

to corporations and the wealthy.

0:16:060:16:08

But Republicans insist it will boost

economic growth and create jobs.

0:16:080:16:11

Among them is Congressman Francis

Rooney from Florida and I spoke

0:16:110:16:13

to him from Capitol Hill

a short time ago.

0:16:130:16:15

It seems the Republican Party

is about to pass a tax bill

0:16:150:16:18

that 55% of Americans

say

0:16:180:16:19

they disapprove of.

0:16:200:16:21

Why are they doing it?

0:16:210:16:24

When the 55% of Americans that

you are talking about realise

0:16:240:16:26

what's in the tax bill

they'll change their mind.

0:16:260:16:30

The liberal media in

the United States has been a bit

0:16:300:16:33

one-sided in how they have

described the bill.

0:16:330:16:37

This is always a communications

effort and it seems

0:16:370:16:39

like the Democrats have managed to

get their communications effort more

0:16:390:16:42

effectively than yours has, then?

0:16:420:16:44

I think you could probably

make that argument.

0:16:440:16:46

Of course they have the more willing

media to support them.

0:16:460:16:52

The tax bill depends on the idea

of boosting American growth.

0:16:520:16:54

But the Tax Policy

Centre, a bipartisan

0:16:540:17:02

independent group, has come out

and said that what is in the bill

0:17:020:17:05

won't boost American GDP growth

enough for

0:17:050:17:07

this tax bill to pay for itself.

0:17:070:17:08

You are a fiscal conservative, does

adding to the American debt concern

0:17:080:17:11

you?

0:17:110:17:13

I would have rather they found a way

not to have it be a deficit

0:17:130:17:16

spend.

0:17:160:17:19

But I do think that the corporate

aspects of this bill will

0:17:190:17:24

get the economy accelerating

and increased investment.

0:17:240:17:26

As anyone from London

knows better than anyone

0:17:260:17:29

capital goes where

it is treated best.

0:17:290:17:33

We have not been treating capital

very well in the United

0:17:330:17:36

States for some time, as opposed

to London's financial centre.

0:17:360:17:38

We need to get the tax rate

down so corporations

0:17:380:17:41

are going to want to be here,

invest their capital here.

0:17:410:17:43

And corporations are

clearly very happy

0:17:430:17:45

with this bill, as are wealthier

Americans who are looking at a very

0:17:450:17:48

big tax cut.

0:17:480:17:49

But what about the argument

that this tax bill does very

0:17:490:17:52

little for poorer and lower

working class Americans,

0:17:520:17:54

lower income people?

0:17:540:17:57

If you want to have jobs

you have got to have capital

0:17:570:18:00

investment which means

the people you have just

0:18:000:18:02

been talking about have

0:18:020:18:03

to be wanting to invest.

0:18:030:18:04

That is one side.

0:18:040:18:08

But the other thing is, if you look

at the rates, this bill is a tax

0:18:080:18:11

cut for virtually everyone

across the spectrum, and a larger

0:18:110:18:14

percentage tax cut for those

at the bottom of the spectrum.

0:18:140:18:16

Right, but you are

asking corporations to

0:18:160:18:18

reinvest in the country

and to produce jobs,

0:18:180:18:21

but even the Treasury Secretary,

when he asked a group of

0:18:210:18:24

American CEOs what

they were going to do

0:18:240:18:26

with this tax windfall,

are you

0:18:260:18:32

going to invest back

into the economy and invest into job

0:18:320:18:34

creation, they did not

put their hands up.

0:18:340:18:36

They said, no, they were going

to return it to their

0:18:360:18:39

shareholders.

0:18:390:18:40

I saw that question

and answer period.

0:18:400:18:42

I am not so sure that

is actually right.

0:18:420:18:44

Inevitably when corporate

tax rates are lower

0:18:440:18:47

then more capital flows back

into the United States

0:18:470:18:49

or whatever country does it.

0:18:490:18:51

We saw that when Ireland

lowered their tax rates.

0:18:510:18:53

I am confident we will have

more capital coming in.

0:18:530:18:56

Ultimately that capital

will get invested.

0:18:560:19:04

The other aspect is the immediate

deduction of capital goods

0:19:040:19:07

acquisitions.

0:19:070:19:09

Let me just ask you about the way

this bill was done.

0:19:090:19:12

Handwritten notes on the Senate

version of the bill.

0:19:120:19:14

Votes taken at two or three

o'clock in the morning.

0:19:140:19:16

If you want the American

people to understand

0:19:160:19:18

what is in this bill

is

0:19:180:19:19

that the best way to do it?

0:19:190:19:21

No.

0:19:210:19:22

We always used to tell

our kids, nothing

0:19:220:19:24

good happens after

midnight, and I think

0:19:240:19:28

that is probably true

for a

0:19:280:19:30

lot of different kinds of things.

0:19:300:19:32

It would be better to have a more

orderly process but I have to say,

0:19:320:19:36

the end product is pretty good.

0:19:360:19:37

Thank you very much.

0:19:370:19:38

Keep it in the daytime, kids.

0:19:380:19:40

Thank you very much.

0:19:400:19:50

Live to Capitol Hill. Every

expectation that this tax bill is

0:19:500:19:57

going to go through the house, then

it goes to the Senate, then to the

0:19:570:20:01

President's desk, he wants to sign

it before Christmas, he says

0:20:010:20:06

Americans will get a big tax

reduction. It is politically a big

0:20:060:20:11

gift at the moment to the Republican

party but the nature of this tax

0:20:110:20:15

bill seems so skewed in favour of

wealthy Americans rather than less

0:20:150:20:19

well off Americans that some

Democrats are thinking if they pass

0:20:190:20:22

that this could come back to haunt

them and help us in future

0:20:220:20:26

elections.

It is a gamble if you

give corporations money do they

0:20:260:20:31

create enough growth to pay for the

tax cuts, that is the gamble.

Does

0:20:310:20:38

trickle down economics work? Plenty

of economists will point to it

0:20:380:20:41

working, plenty of economists will

point to is not working. We have at

0:20:410:20:45

Republican senators saying they

prefer to believe the economists who

0:20:450:20:48

say that it will boost growth and

the economy and jobs as well.

We

0:20:480:20:54

will start to see what it does just

before the mid-term elections.

0:20:540:21:03

For most people, Christmas just

ain't Christmas without

0:21:030:21:05

the traditional roast turkey.

0:21:050:21:06

In the UK it is still

the most popular thing

0:21:060:21:09

to serve on the 25th -

and often for several

0:21:090:21:11

days afterwards!

0:21:110:21:12

Archaeologists in Devon believe

they have unearthed the oldest

0:21:120:21:16

turkey bones ever discovered

in the UK - dating back almost

0:21:160:21:18

500 years old.

0:21:180:21:19

Jon Kay has the story.

0:21:190:21:27

A traditional turkey dinner

with all the trimmings,

0:21:270:21:29

but it seems they've been gobbling

it up here in Devon for much longer

0:21:290:21:32

than anybody realised.

0:21:320:21:35

At Exeter University,

a surprise discovery.

0:21:350:21:40

At first I wasn't sure because it

looks like a giant chicken.

0:21:400:21:43

In a pile of ancient animal remains,

found here in the '80s,

0:21:430:21:46

two mysterious thigh bones

and a wing.

0:21:460:21:51

Archeologists have now established

they're from an American species

0:21:510:21:55

of turkey nearly 500 years ago,

believed to be the oldest

0:21:550:21:58

ever found in Britain.

0:21:580:22:01

I started knocking on doors

and showing off just how excited

0:22:010:22:03

I was by actually telling other

people, "look what I found."

0:22:030:22:07

But, yes, so it is very nice

and it's really great for a zoo

0:22:070:22:10

archeologist to actually have this

connection with history.

0:22:100:22:12

We've got a plate and a bowl.

0:22:120:22:14

The bones could be dated

because they were found

0:22:140:22:17

with a pile of washing up -

crockery from a grand

0:22:170:22:20

feast in the early 1500s,

which is when the first

0:22:200:22:22

turkeys arrived here.

0:22:220:22:24

These were an exotic bird,

brand new into the country.

0:22:240:22:26

You know, people wouldn't

have heard of it.

0:22:260:22:28

What did it taste like?

0:22:280:22:29

You know, what is this giant bird?

0:22:290:22:33

The first turkeys are said to have

been imported by the explorer

0:22:330:22:36

William Strickland in the 1520s

after he bought six

0:22:360:22:38

from some native Americans.

0:22:380:22:43

Well, Strickland is said to have

sold his birds for tuppence each.

0:22:430:22:48

Five centuries later,

turkeys are rather bigger business,

0:22:480:22:51

10 million of them due to be sold

in Britain just over Christmas.

0:22:510:22:55

Off we go then, turkeys.

0:22:550:22:58

This Devon farmer wonders

if the bones found down the road

0:22:580:23:00

might be from those original birds.

0:23:000:23:03

Potentially these, in some way,

are direct descendants

0:23:030:23:06

of the ones that arrived,

and here they are back in Devon.

0:23:060:23:14

So that's quite nice.

0:23:140:23:15

In what else but a sandwich box,

the turkey bones have now been taken

0:23:150:23:20

to the city museum

to go on display after

0:23:200:23:22

Christmas dinner.

0:23:230:23:24

Jon Kay, BBC News, Exeter.

0:23:240:23:33

We had turkey for Thanksgiving. I am

going to do goose. If I am not

0:23:430:23:52

around after Christmas that will be

because the goose burnt my house

0:23:520:23:55

down. Germany has marked the first

anniversary of the terror attack in

0:23:550:24:02

which 12 people were killed. Angela

Merkel was among those attending the

0:24:020:24:07

ceremony. Authorities say mistakes

were made including bills being sent

0:24:070:24:12

to the families for the cost of

autopsies. Angela Merkel said it was

0:24:120:24:16

time to connect the things that went

from. 12 people were killed in that

0:24:160:24:21

attack on the Christmas market. 70

people were injured. The authorities

0:24:210:24:25

were criticised at the time for

security feelings.

0:24:250:24:38

Let us go back to Capitol Hill, we

can get those live pictures from the

0:24:390:24:44

house of representatives. They are

voting on that Republican tax bill

0:24:440:24:48

at the moment. At the moment 212

Republicans in favour, ten have

0:24:480:24:52

faltered against. That is

interesting to see who has fought

0:24:520:24:56

against. Democrats, 182. Every

expectation that it will pass,

0:24:560:25:02

pretty much along party lines, they

are desperate to get this done, they

0:25:020:25:06

have not had a big piece of

legislation, and they cannot wrap up

0:25:060:25:11

this year with nothing done.

President Trump would not accept it.

0:25:110:25:15

Plenty of applause. It looks like it

is going through.

When does that go

0:25:150:25:19

to the Senate? Later today. We are

expecting to go and if you average

0:25:190:25:23

time.

You will be in bed. I will be

in bed. Do text when it goes

0:25:230:25:28

through.

0:25:280:25:29

This is Beyond 100

Days from the BBC.

0:25:290:25:31

Coming up for viewers on the BBC

News Channel and BBC World News:

0:25:310:25:35

The superagers living longer

and healthier - and the drugs

0:25:350:25:37

the might help the rest

of us do the same.

0:25:370:25:44

And the stories behind

these faces and flags.

0:25:440:25:47

We speak to our China and Europe

editors on the year that was -

0:25:470:25:50

and the one that's still to come.

0:25:500:25:52

That's next.

0:25:520:26:02

After what was a foggy start in a

few places some of us got to enjoy

0:26:110:26:16

some sunshine today. It was

beautiful for our weather watcher in

0:26:160:26:20

Stockton on Tees but I suspect this

scene from Starling is more

0:26:200:26:24

representative of what most of us

will see over the next few days.

0:26:240:26:29

Cloud is no coming from the

Atlantic. I head of that mile are

0:26:290:26:33

being drawn from the south West

providing cloudy conditions through

0:26:330:26:37

this evening. Misty and murky

conditions over hills in the West. A

0:26:370:26:42

spot of drizzle as well. Not as much

fog as we saw last night in East

0:26:420:26:48

Anglia and the south-east. The

Apache band of rain across central

0:26:480:26:51

areas of the country by morning with

some clear skies.

0:26:510:27:03

-- patchy band of rain across

central areas of the country.

0:27:050:27:10

To the north of that a better chance

of early sunshine. Easy in the far

0:27:100:27:17

north. Northern areas with the best

chance of sunny breaks through the

0:27:170:27:26

day. This weather fronts dragging

its heels across northern England

0:27:260:27:30

and north Wales. To the south of

that, cloudy conditions.

0:27:300:27:37

Temperatures for many getting into

double figures. Our week whether

0:27:370:27:42

fans will still be with us on

Thursday, journeying further

0:27:420:27:47

north-east. Misty and murky

conditions. Best chance of

0:27:470:27:54

brightness across the north-east of

Scotland. Here it will be chilly,

0:27:540:27:59

but still mild ear. The weather

fronts will get squeezed out by this

0:27:590:28:04

area of high pressure which tries to

dominate our weather on Friday.

0:28:040:28:07

There could be some Zelda Perkins

rain. A lot of cloud around. Some --

0:28:070:28:17

there could be some patchy rain. As

we head towards Christmas it will

0:28:170:28:25

stay miles. There will be rain at

times particularly in the north.

0:28:250:29:00

This is Beyond One Hundred Days,

with me Katty Kay in Washington -

0:30:060:30:09

Christian Fraser's in London.

0:30:100:30:11

Our top stories.

0:30:110:30:13

Donald Trump's national security

advisor HR McMaster tells the BBC -

0:30:130:30:16

the US wants a solution

on North Korea - with, or without,

0:30:160:30:19

Pyongyang's cooperation.

0:30:190:30:29

Lawmakers have just passed the

biggest overhaul of the US tax

0:30:290:30:33

system in more than three decades

but not without fierce opposition.

0:30:330:30:37

Coming up in the next half hour.

0:30:370:30:39

Putting the ageing

process on ice - the drug

0:30:390:30:41

which could help us live longer

- and healthier.

0:30:410:30:43

The year that was for our China

and Europe editors -

0:30:430:30:46

they're with us to help make sense

of 2017 - and the stories keeping

0:30:460:30:49

them busy into the new year.

0:30:490:30:50

Let us know your thoughts

by using the hashtag

0:30:500:30:53

'Beyond-One-Hundred-Days'.

0:30:530:31:03

In her first broadcast interview,

a former colleague of Hollywood

0:31:040:31:06

producer Harvey Weinstein has told

the BBC, how she was warned

0:31:060:31:09

about his behaviour -

and how she went on to warn other

0:31:090:31:12

women - that he could behave

in an inappropriate manner.

0:31:120:31:15

But Zelda Perkins says matters

escalated after he sexually

0:31:150:31:17

assaulted a colleague

and she accused him

0:31:170:31:19

of attempted rape.

0:31:190:31:20

Mr Weinstein denies all allegations

of non-consensual sex.

0:31:200:31:22

Our Entertainment Correspondent,

Colin Paterson, has the story.

0:31:220:31:31

To put it into context this was 19

years ago, 1988. Harvey Weinstein

0:31:320:31:38

was at the peak of his powers. Just

about to release Shakespeare in Love

0:31:380:31:45

which would win him an Oscar. Bella

's personal assistant then in the UK

0:31:450:31:50

Zelda Perkins and was then 24 and

she quit. She explained that she

0:31:500:31:54

endured a number of years of sexual

harassment but then came the final

0:31:540:31:58

straw.

0:31:580:32:08

It came to a head when he sexually

assaulted, attempted

0:32:110:32:15

rape on a colleague?

0:32:150:32:16

Yes, we were at the Venice film

Festival and he tried to rape her.

0:32:160:32:19

What did you do?

0:32:190:32:20

She was distressed.

0:32:200:32:21

She was terrified

of the consequence.

0:32:210:32:31

I tried to calm her

for about half an hour.

0:32:330:32:38

Then I went straight downstairs

to where Harvey Weinstein was having

0:32:380:32:43

a business meeting on the terrace

and told him he needed

0:32:430:32:46

to come with me right away.

0:32:460:32:51

For me to have broken into a meeting

like that was unusual

0:32:510:32:55

and he did not question me,

he came with me straightaway

0:32:550:32:58

because he knew why I was angry.

0:32:580:33:02

So you accused him?

0:33:020:33:04

Yes.

0:33:040:33:05

He denied it?

0:33:050:33:06

Yes.

0:33:060:33:11

He said nothing had happened

and he swore on the life of his wife

0:33:110:33:14

and children which was his get out

of jail card.

0:33:140:33:20

He used that quite a lot. Now the

women secured legal representation

0:33:200:33:26

and they were hoping to bring down

Weinstein by revealing his behaviour

0:33:260:33:31

to Disney owned his company but

their lawyers said that was not a

0:33:310:33:35

realistic option and the only option

was a damages agreement.

0:33:350:33:39

That included the creation

of a complaints procedure

0:33:390:33:41

and therapy for Harvey Weinstein.

0:33:410:33:42

It is not known if these

stipulations were carried out.

0:33:420:33:46

Zelda Perkins signed

a non-disclosure agreement

0:33:460:33:48

and received a sum of £125,000.

0:33:480:33:54

She calls for Britain to follow

the example of a number of US States

0:33:540:33:58

and end the practice of allowing

sexual assaults to be hidden behind

0:33:580:34:01

non-disclosure agreements.

0:34:010:34:03

A spokesperson for Harvey Weinstein

says he unequivocally denies any

0:34:030:34:06

allegations of non-consensual sex.

0:34:060:34:16

A good point there that these

alleged assaults are being hidden

0:34:160:34:22

behind nondisclosure agreements.

This is not the first case we've

0:34:220:34:24

seen this. There was one covered by

CNN at the weekend about a Fox

0:34:240:34:33

contributor who had signed a

nondisclosure agreement with Fox

0:34:330:34:37

News and had effectively been

silenced and had not been able to

0:34:370:34:41

get work since.

Yesterday has been a

lot of pushback against these

0:34:410:34:46

nondisclosure agreements since the

Weinstein case because they

0:34:460:34:48

perpetuate what women say is a

culture of silence and also means

0:34:480:34:52

that women cannot warn other women

about predators. So here in the US

0:34:520:34:56

women are saying that they're going

to break nondisclosure agreements.

0:34:560:35:00

Time magazine called them silence

breakers.

0:35:000:35:09

What sort of trade deal does the UK

want with the European Union?

0:35:090:35:12

The debate in Britain is split right

now between those who want the UK

0:35:120:35:16

to remain close to the rules

of the single market -

0:35:160:35:18

and those who want the UK

to go its own way, with the freedom

0:35:180:35:21

to sign its own trade deals.

0:35:220:35:23

The trouble is you can't

have it both ways.

0:35:230:35:25

Today Theresa May held talks

on the future relationship

0:35:250:35:27

with her full cabinet.

0:35:270:35:28

25 ministers were each given

an opportunity to speak.

0:35:280:35:30

It took an hour and 45 minutes

to get around the table.

0:35:300:35:33

At the end, the Prime Minister

gave very little away.

0:35:330:35:36

What she wants, she says,

is a bespoke deal, not a Norway,

0:35:360:35:39

not a Canada, but a deal

which secures a full trading

0:35:390:35:41

relationship with the EU.

0:35:410:35:45

Lord Malloch-Brown is a former

Foreign Office minister,

0:35:450:35:47

he was the former deputy secretary

general of the UN,

0:35:470:35:49

and he is with us in the studio.

0:35:490:35:54

You are taking on a new role in

coordinating the pro-remain groups,

0:35:540:35:58

what is it that you want?

Neither of

the above! Neither Norway or Canada.

0:35:580:36:09

I want to reverse Brexit and take a

second decision. The more we learn

0:36:090:36:15

about Brexit the more we see that

essentially we were mis-sold

0:36:150:36:20

something at the beginning of this,

the Financial Times reported this

0:36:200:36:23

week that the cost already to the

British economy is pretty much the

0:36:230:36:29

equivalent of the £350 million a

week than we thought we were going

0:36:290:36:32

to save and put into the NHS if we

left. So the economic costs are

0:36:320:36:37

mounting, the risks are huge, our

standing with friends and allies is

0:36:370:36:43

in real doubt. I've just come back

from Germany this morning and

0:36:430:36:48

frankly people are completely

perplexed by this.

Are the risks

0:36:480:36:55

huge because I read this evening

that the UK has topped the four best

0:36:550:37:03

countries for business, factory

orders are booming for next year

0:37:030:37:06

because of the cheap pound sterling.

And the other thing that remain are

0:37:060:37:14

still unexplained is what kind of

Europe they want to belong to, is it

0:37:140:37:17

a Europe, a United States of Europe

because that seems to be the

0:37:170:37:22

direction it is heading in.

Well

versed on the facts if you like,

0:37:220:37:28

there is a little bit of

manufacturing boom because of the

0:37:280:37:33

depreciation of the pound, that same

depreciation though that makes food

0:37:330:37:37

more expensive in the shops,

holidays more expensive abroad. And

0:37:370:37:40

which ultimately, the parts going

into manufacturing, that cost will

0:37:400:37:46

go up as well so it is short-term

shot in the arm. And what kind of

0:37:460:37:50

Europe, I think it is pretty clear

that the UK is always going to be in

0:37:500:37:54

the kind of outer rim of Europe, not

part of the euro, we will always be

0:37:540:38:00

sceptical about the integration

ambitions of the French or whatever.

0:38:000:38:03

But the fact is it is a comfortable

place to be, many other Europeans

0:38:030:38:07

feel the same way. It is a pity that

we have separated ourselves from

0:38:070:38:13

them and lost her voice to influence

the debate inside Europe.

So you are

0:38:130:38:20

spent your whole career working in

organisations like the UN and

0:38:200:38:25

British Government promoting

democratic processes and good

0:38:250:38:27

governance. Are you at all concerned

that by trying to organise people in

0:38:270:38:33

the Roman camp against this

referendum that there might be a

0:38:330:38:38

dangerous president of undermining

democratic processes because after

0:38:380:38:41

all the referendum was taken and the

British people voted and we should

0:38:410:38:45

respect that?

Democracy is about

continuing not a final for every

0:38:450:38:49

choice. We have a referendum in the

1970s after all which said let us be

0:38:490:38:55

in. So if that was the last word why

did we have another. And again the

0:38:550:39:01

fact is in the same way that we

change government through the ballot

0:39:010:39:03

box when we decide that the

government has let us down, those

0:39:030:39:07

who made the case for Brexit are in

the process of letting us down. All

0:39:070:39:15

the claims are being exposed as

wrong, and we are simply not going

0:39:150:39:19

to get the glories of getting our

cake and eating it as the promised

0:39:190:39:24

wanted. We're not going to have a

trade deal without any costs. We're

0:39:240:39:29

not going to have alignment of

regulations with Europe unless that

0:39:290:39:34

also governs trade with the rest of

the world. And we will not have any

0:39:340:39:38

of that except as Boris Johnson

calls it, as a vassal state because

0:39:380:39:43

were no longer going to be a rule

maker but I will take. We are making

0:39:430:39:50

ourselves or at risk of making

ourselves a colony of Europe and not

0:39:500:39:53

a sovereign state member of Europe.

The voices are allowed on either

0:39:530:39:58

side. We will see where the chips

fall in the New Year. Thank you.

0:39:580:40:05

Reports in from Mexico, a bus

carrying tourists from US cruise

0:40:050:40:10

ship has crashed killing at least 12

people. It happened on a highway and

0:40:100:40:18

visitors bought 31 people were on

board the bus at the time.

0:40:180:40:23

They are perennial questions -

how do we look younger, live longer,

0:40:230:40:26

go faster, be stronger?

0:40:260:40:27

Now, scientists here

in the United States are predicting

0:40:270:40:29

that there will soon be drugs that

could help delay ageing.

0:40:290:40:32

In the second of his special

reports, our medical correspondent,

0:40:320:40:35

Fergus Walsh travels

to San Francisco and New York

0:40:350:40:37

to meet the so-called 'superagers'

who could hold the key -

0:40:370:40:39

and hopefully share with us all -

the secrets of a long

0:40:390:40:42

and healthier life.

0:40:420:40:48

New York Public Library,

one of the city's grandest

0:40:480:40:50

buildings, which has one

of the city's oldest employees.

0:40:500:40:53

Hilda Jaffe is still going strong

at 95, so what's her

0:40:530:40:56

secret to a long life?

0:40:560:41:01

Pick your parents, it really is.

0:41:010:41:03

It's got to be genetic

because both my parents lived long.

0:41:030:41:08

Good morning, Fergus,

I'm glad you could meet me here

0:41:080:41:10

in this absolutely beautiful room.

0:41:100:41:12

Hilda gives tours of this historic

building when she's not

0:41:120:41:15

at the theatre, music concerts,

opera or her two book clubs.

0:41:150:41:21

I don't exercise,

I walk, I walk a lot.

0:41:210:41:24

If I had to give anybody advice

I would say, just keep moving.

0:41:240:41:29

Samples of Hilda's DNA are stored

in this freezer in the Bronx,

0:41:290:41:32

part of a study into longevity.

0:41:320:41:37

They found only one in 10,000 people

has protective superager genes,

0:41:370:41:42

but say drugs might be able to help

the rest of us.

0:41:420:41:47

Metformin is an old,

cheap diabetes drug,

0:41:470:41:50

but a major trial is planned to see

if it can delay ageing.

0:41:500:41:55

I can get you 690 of those for $60.

0:41:550:41:59

Scientists here believe it may slow

the biological processes that

0:41:590:42:01

trigger key diseases.

0:42:010:42:05

We have data in humans that

metformin would delay cardiovascular

0:42:050:42:07

disease and will delay diabetes

and is associated with less cancer,

0:42:070:42:14

and seems to delay Alzheimers

or cognitive decline in people.

0:42:140:42:19

Ageing is an inevitable process

which begins as we reach adulthood

0:42:190:42:22

and continues through the decades

as our muscles, bones

0:42:220:42:24

and organs gradually wear out.

0:42:240:42:31

This tai chi group in San Francisco

show that we can delay that decline,

0:42:310:42:34

it helps with balance,

core strength and provides

0:42:340:42:36

a social network.

0:42:360:42:41

It makes me feel so young,

I have so much fun.

0:42:410:42:44

I feel like I'm in the

kindergarten of the universe.

0:42:440:42:47

My mother lived to 103.

0:42:470:42:49

I don't desire to live that long,

but I want to be as healthy

0:42:490:42:53

as I can, as long as I can.

0:42:530:42:56

That's an ambition we can all share.

0:42:560:43:00

Imagine a future where it

didn't hurt to get old,

0:43:000:43:03

where our joints didn't wear out?

0:43:030:43:07

It would have a huge impact

on our quality of life as we age.

0:43:070:43:14

This biotech company in California

has developed a drug to counter

0:43:140:43:17

one of the key diseases

of ageing, osteoarthritis.

0:43:170:43:25

Human trials of this experimental

compound should begin next year.

0:43:250:43:30

This is an area of the cartilage

that is now diseased.

0:43:300:43:33

You can see the

cartilage is damaged.

0:43:330:43:36

It works by clearing cells

which build up in the knee joint,

0:43:360:43:41

which maybe a trigger

for the painful condition.

0:43:410:43:44

A single injection that we believe

and hope will alleviate their pain

0:43:440:43:49

and begin the restorative process

in their knee to perhaps at least

0:43:490:43:51

halt, regress and even completely

repair the knee in the end

0:43:510:43:54

is what our wildest

hopes would imagine.

0:43:540:44:00

That would mean more people

could age like Hilda,

0:44:000:44:03

free of aches and pains

and independent well into their 90s.

0:44:030:44:06

Fergus Walsh, BBC News, New York.

0:44:060:44:16

I failed to get you a Christmas

present so that is it, longevity

0:44:220:44:26

pills.

0:44:260:44:27

This is Beyond One Hundred Days.

0:44:270:44:29

Still to come - What

do you make of 2017?

0:44:290:44:31

We'll be putting that to our China

and Europe editors as they reflect

0:44:310:44:34

on the year that was -

and look ahead to

0:44:340:44:37

the one that's coming.

0:44:370:44:40

Here in the UK, bomb disposal

officers have raided a house

0:44:400:44:42

in Derbyshire after a man

was arrested on suspicion

0:44:420:44:44

of plotting terror attacks.

0:44:440:44:45

In total four men have been

detained after raids

0:44:450:44:47

in Sheffield and Chesterfield.

0:44:480:44:50

Our correspondent,

Danny Savage, reports.

0:44:500:44:54

On a terraced street

in Chesterfield today, Army bomb

0:44:540:44:56

disposal experts were

looking for explosives.

0:44:560:45:01

They have been here for hours.

0:45:010:45:03

Counter-terrorism officers arrested

a 31-year-old man here this morning.

0:45:030:45:08

In the predawn darkness,

armed police were pictured guarding

0:45:080:45:11

the scene as the raid took place.

0:45:110:45:16

At the edge of the cordon, people

evacuated from their homes couldn't

0:45:160:45:19

believe what was happening

in their streets.

0:45:190:45:22

They come banging on the door

saying, "You need to evacuate."

0:45:220:45:24

My grandad refused

to leave the house.

0:45:240:45:26

He's still in there now.

The only one on the street.

0:45:260:45:29

And they said, "It's

for your own safety, bomb

0:45:290:45:31

disposal are here."

0:45:310:45:32

They made everyone else

leave apart from him.

0:45:320:45:38

Arrests were made elsewhere too,

as police took action against an

0:45:380:45:40

alleged Islamist terror plot

against the UK that could have come

0:45:400:45:43

to fruition over Christmas.

0:45:430:45:44

Although the most

obvious activity was in

0:45:440:45:46

Chesterfield, about 15 miles away

in the Burngreave area of Sheffield,

0:45:460:45:49

two other men were arrested.

0:45:490:45:52

A business was raided,

and another man

0:45:520:45:55

was arrested in Meersbrook, where

local people heard stun

0:45:550:45:58

grenades being used.

0:45:580:46:01

We were woken up at about 5:30

by a really, really loud bang.

0:46:010:46:04

Initially we did think that somebody

had crashed outside our house.

0:46:040:46:08

So we were looking outside,

and all we could see were police

0:46:080:46:11

officers in riot gear.

0:46:110:46:15

They were storming a house

across the road from us.

0:46:150:46:20

There was lots of running

about, lots of shouting.

0:46:200:46:25

This is the Fatima Community Centre

in Sheffield, where

0:46:250:46:27

two of the detained men

were arrested in bedsits

0:46:270:46:29

adjoining the centre.

0:46:290:46:31

These were co-ordinated

counter-terrorism raids, which may

0:46:310:46:33

have stopped a plot timed

to coincide with the

0:46:330:46:35

Christmas holidays.

0:46:350:46:45

2017 has been a very busy

year around the world.

0:46:470:46:50

This week we're going to pick

the brains of the BBC's top editors

0:46:500:46:53

to get the key issues

from their different

0:46:530:46:55

areas of the globe.

0:46:550:46:56

We're starting with

Europe and China.

0:46:560:46:58

Here in Europe, Brexit rolls on.

0:46:580:47:00

So does Jeremy Corbyn.

0:47:000:47:03

Populism was defeated in France,

Macron is the new Emperor.

0:47:030:47:08

But in Germany the AFD

are in the Bundestag.

0:47:080:47:10

And Angela Merkel is wobbling.

0:47:100:47:13

In China, Xi Jinping becomes

the most powerful leader since Mao.

0:47:130:47:17

We'll be speaking to Carrie Gracie -

our China Editor and our

0:47:170:47:20

Europe Editor, Katya Adler in just

a moment - but first,

0:47:200:47:23

this gives you a flavour

of what they've been

0:47:230:47:25

covering this year.

0:47:250:47:29

And where is Carles Puigdemont and

after he declared the new Catalan

0:47:290:47:36

republic, when he left Barcelona

this weekend and came here to the

0:47:360:47:39

medieval town of Tirana. His

hometown and also known as the

0:47:390:47:45

heartland of Catalan nationalism.

This is the art of the deal

0:47:450:47:49

according to Trump, it says you

can't be imaginative if you have too

0:47:490:47:54

much structure. But this is the art

of war, essential reading for

0:47:540:47:59

Chinese statesman, it says know your

enemy, know yourself. The supreme

0:47:590:48:05

victory is to subdue your enemy

without a fight.

0:48:050:48:09

Well Katya and Carrie

are with us now.

0:48:090:48:14

The perception from this side of the

Atlantic is it has been a very good

0:48:140:48:18

year for Xi Jinping, he has amassed

a lot of barrelled through the

0:48:180:48:21

Congress and China is expanding and

possibly stepping into the space

0:48:210:48:25

that America is living in terms of

global leadership. How is it seen

0:48:250:48:30

from China?

Exactly like that, I

think many Chinese feel that

0:48:300:48:34

President Trump has contributed not

to making America great again but

0:48:340:48:40

making China great again over the

past year. And that of course is the

0:48:400:48:45

big theme of Xi Jinping, the great

rejuvenation of the Chinese people.

0:48:450:48:49

And I know you have been talking

about the strategic security review

0:48:490:48:54

in the United States and this

discussion about seeing China as a

0:48:540:48:59

rival rather than a cooperative

power. But for the past year

0:48:590:49:04

suddenly the United States has

provided an opportunity, the arrival

0:49:040:49:09

of Trump provided an opportunity for

President Xi Jinping because with

0:49:090:49:13

him pulling back on climate change

and on big trade agreements for the

0:49:130:49:18

Asia-Pacific, that has given Xi

Jinping the opportunity to step into

0:49:180:49:21

those shoes and present himself as

the mature and responsible

0:49:210:49:25

statesman.

I can also imagine that

the Chinese are a bit confused about

0:49:250:49:32

what the American president thinks

of their leader. Let's listen to

0:49:320:49:35

some of the conflicting things he

has said.

We cannot continue to

0:49:350:49:42

allow China to break our country.

They have taken our money, they have

0:49:420:49:46

taken our jobs. China is a currency

manipulator. America has lost 70,000

0:49:460:49:54

factories. Since China entered the

world trade organisation. When you

0:49:540:50:01

look at China, when you look at

every country, every trade deal we

0:50:010:50:06

have, it is horrible. It is going to

be only America first. Who can blame

0:50:060:50:13

a country for being able to take

advantage of another country. For

0:50:130:50:17

the benefit of its citizens. I give

China great credit.

I'm confused and

0:50:170:50:24

I have been following this story

nonstop for the past year.

It is

0:50:240:50:28

interesting because the Chinese are

not confused, they see this as a

0:50:280:50:35

cycle, as an electoral cycle on the

US, there are quite cynical about

0:50:350:50:38

that and also they see it as a

historical cycle as in every time a

0:50:380:50:43

US president comes into power,

certainly over the past 15, 16

0:50:430:50:49

years, they have said we're to take

China as a big strategic issue. For

0:50:490:50:56

George W Bush, his administration

were all set to stay the same thing

0:50:560:51:01

is roughly that we had Donald Trump

saying yesterday but then September

0:51:010:51:06

the 11th happened and the United

States needed China in other ways.

0:51:060:51:12

2009, Barack Obama, the financial

crisis around the globe. And all

0:51:120:51:16

kinds of domestic political problems

as well as problems in the Middle

0:51:160:51:19

East. So then he got distracted from

that. And now President Trump, he

0:51:190:51:26

wanted to come into power and to get

tough with China but then he needed

0:51:260:51:30

them on North Korea and yet again

the rhetoric has been deluded. I

0:51:300:51:37

think the thing the Chinese would

look at now is the message yesterday

0:51:370:51:42

that this is arrival, a revisionist

power and economic, military and

0:51:420:51:50

ideological terms, hostile to US

values. They will want to know now

0:51:500:51:54

that is just rhetoric or if it is

for real.

It seems that everybody is

0:51:540:51:58

trying to work out how to play

Donald Trump. The Germans and French

0:51:580:52:03

have gone and it in different ways.

When it comes to Donald Trump,

0:52:030:52:10

looking at the EU you have 28 member

states and looking at him and really

0:52:100:52:15

wondering always what is going to do

next. Trade is on the minds of the

0:52:150:52:20

EU but also security. Because since

the end of World War II Europe has

0:52:200:52:24

depended on the US for its global

security. If you look at Angela

0:52:240:52:30

Merkel she is someone who always has

her eye on domestic issues yes and

0:52:300:52:34

especially at the moment but always

on the bigger picture, someone who

0:52:340:52:38

grew up in East Germany and is very

much aware of its Nazi past, looking

0:52:380:52:44

at Fatima Putin as knowing that he

would like to weaken the unity of

0:52:440:52:48

the EU. She looks at Donald Trump,

he took quite a hit when campaigning

0:52:480:52:53

for president at the EU as well.

Worried about his commitment to

0:52:530:53:00

Nato, his personal commitment to

Nato and this worries France as much

0:53:000:53:03

as Germany as well. And every other

single European Union state. They do

0:53:030:53:09

not know what to make of him, they

do believe he's here to stay and the

0:53:090:53:13

thinking in Brussels is that he

could be elected for a second term

0:53:130:53:16

so they are not to alienate him and

criticise him and they are taking

0:53:160:53:21

steps within the EU to try to

bolster their own defence a little

0:53:210:53:26

bit more and not just rely on the

US.

Yet I get the impression that

0:53:260:53:30

Emanuel Macron sees an opportunity

here on climate change and perhaps

0:53:300:53:35

Iran as well, and he is worked out

that if you soothe his ego you can

0:53:350:53:41

do an awful lot with Donald Trump.

There was that famous handshake when

0:53:410:53:47

Emanuel Macron Matt Donald Trump and

he was going to be the one to really

0:53:470:53:50

shake that had family. I think what

will be interesting next year is

0:53:500:53:56

whether Emanuel Macron falls into

the same unfortunate boxers Barack

0:53:560:54:00

Obama at the time, you remember he

was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize

0:54:000:54:04

before he really achieved anything.

And Barack Obama in that way peaked

0:54:040:54:08

too early in global opinion. Is it

the same with Emanuel Macron, you

0:54:080:54:13

described in there as the new

Emperor of Europe. That title was

0:54:130:54:19

given previously to Angela Merkel

but her crown is now slipping.

0:54:190:54:25

Certainly she was uncomfortable with

the idea that she might take over as

0:54:250:54:31

the global leader in moral values if

you like after Barack Obama stepped

0:54:310:54:35

down. He chose his last visit as US

president to come to Berlin to see

0:54:350:54:39

her. But Germany and Angela Merkel

have gone through a very

0:54:390:54:46

uncomfortable phase, too much in the

limelight as leaders given though

0:54:460:54:49

economically and politically it is

still the strongest country in

0:54:490:54:52

Europe. But Emanuel Macron is not so

bashful. But how he lives up to that

0:54:520:54:57

reputation will have to see.

And

they gave a joint press conference

0:54:570:55:03

actually on Friday, I think they may

beware about his comments about who

0:55:030:55:08

has the upper hand at the moment.

Briefly, the big issue for China

0:55:080:55:15

next year?

I think the key issue for

China at the end of the day is

0:55:150:55:24

whether it solves its problem at

home because the reform is now 40

0:55:240:55:28

years old in China, they have huge

contradictory problems in the

0:55:280:55:32

economy going on with enormous

leverage with poverty, with

0:55:320:55:36

pollution, they have a property tax

effectively and no pensions that

0:55:360:55:41

work. So Xi Jinping needs to use

this new power he has to resolve the

0:55:410:55:47

key domestic problems which will

provide the launch pad to that

0:55:470:55:51

superpower status that he wants.

We

will be watching all of those

0:55:510:55:58

countries during the course of the

next year, thank you very much.

0:55:580:56:03

And on tomorrow's show -

Brexit, Trump, May and Moscow -

0:56:030:56:06

the year that was, and the year that

could be according to our UK

0:56:060:56:09

Political Editor, Laura Kuenssberg,

and North America Editor,

0:56:090:56:11

Jon Sopel.

0:56:110:56:12

That's tomorrow on Beyond One

Hundred Days, from 1900 GMT.

0:56:120:56:22

We look forward to that tomorrow.

0:56:240:56:26

Coming up next on BBC World News -

Ros Atkins is here with

0:56:260:56:29

Outside Source and for viewers

in the UK - we'll have the latest

0:56:290:56:32

Download Subtitles

SRT

ASS