16/11/2017 Business Briefing


16/11/2017

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Transcript


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Hello. This is Business Briefing.

I'm Sally Bundock. Here are the

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headlines:

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The soaring cost of

living in Zimbabwe -

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could the dark days

of hyperinflation be returning?

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Plus a desert oasis

with a difference.

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The UAE plans to colonize Mars

within a century and grow lettuce.

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Yes, you are hearing me correctly.

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We'll bring you all the details

from the Dubai Air Show.

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And on the markets despite

a downbeat day for Wall Street

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the night before, Asia is riding

higher with Japan up by almost

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a percent.

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We start in Zimbabwe,

where as you've been hearing

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President Mugabe remains

under house arrest,

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after what the African Union says

"seems like a coup" -

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something denied by

the country's military.

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The economy is a huge source

of unrest in Zimbabwe.

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Its currency was scrapped in 2009

after hyperinflation reached several

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billion percent and replaced

with foreign currencies.

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Today it's mostly the US dollar.

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But that hasn't helped

ordinary people.

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Zimbabwe's official

inflation rate was

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2.24% in October.

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But some analysts who track the cost

of consumer goods in Zimbabwe think

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they're rising at over 65% a year.

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That's because of a shortage

of dollars needed to pay

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for imported goods.

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In fact, one

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economist, Steve Hanke

from John Hopkins University,

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thinks

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the situation is far worse.

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He recently wrote in Forbes magazine

that the actual inflation rate

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is almost 243%.

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He's warning that hyperinflation

is returning to the country.

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He and other economists put

the blame on Robert Mugabe's

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economic policies.

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The economy is by weight has been in

a prolonged state of paralysis

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spending over ten years. -- economy

and Zimbabwe. This is done to Nehru

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causes, like the seizing of farms,

and much is dependent on Rod

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McGarvie's political agenda. Now it

appears he will be reading power and

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if once gives an opportunity for a

fresh start the economy. -- Robert

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Mugabe's political.

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William Attwell, Senior Analyst

for Sub-Saharan Africa

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at Frontier Strategy Group.

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You are from South Africa and have

family in Zimbabwe. Give us your

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perspective on the economy.

It has

been recovering very mildly over the

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past year or so. There has been a

bounceback in agricultural

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production. There has been a rebound

in metals prices well, helping

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exports. But the real Achilles heel

is the currency and crash crisis,

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which, as was mentioned there, is

really pushing us back into

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inflation again, and it means the

economy is still starved of cash,

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inhibiting businesses' ability to

function.

And he will point the

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finger, don't they, at the policies

of President Mugabe as the reason

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that it is floundering so much.

Yes.

I think what is significant, in

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addition to the firing last week,

that the Vice President, who might

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return to power, now, is actually

the firing of the relatively

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moderate Finance Minister about a

month ago. He had been leading

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reforms. They were happy to

stabilise the economy and re-engage

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Zimbabwe with lenders like the IMF

and World Bank, which Zimbabwe has

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not been able to access money from

4/50 years, due to serious debt

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arrears. The court is that with some

change, it provides an opening, as

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you have said, which could ease cash

loans and strains of the economy.

It

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is critical what happens next. We

have the South African officials

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looking at this crisis.

What you

think will happen next? Into floor

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situation. I think that there is a

strong supporter of the military.

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The more popular site, represented

by Grace Mugabe, is he giving the

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week. There is either going to be

some pushback from that.

Thank you

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for your analysis. We will discuss

that in detail later in the News

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Briefing. It is all the media, so we

will look that event. We are also

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continuing our coverage of the Dubai

Air Show. The United Arab Emirates

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are no stranger to ambitous

projects, but this latest one is

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astronomical. They have been laying

out plans for a desert always is

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with a difference, 300 -- 33 million

miles away, on Mars.

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Tsonga is believed that more than 4

billion years ago, Mars used to look

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similar to Earth, in that it had

similar geography. But something

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went wrong then it turned into a

dead planet. One reason for that is

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it is basically losing its

atmosphere.

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To Asia now and some warnings

about serious risks facing

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China's economy.

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Sharanjit Leyl is following this

from our business hub in Singapore.

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Good to see you. Tell Moore. Was

this warning coming from?

Is coming

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from a variety of places. Actually,

what has ended up happening is that

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the warnings have resulted in China

coming up with some new rules to try

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and curb some of the risks at its

big development banks, and that is

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as they look to avoid a debt crisis.

They are, these rules. They are

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saying that for the first time, the

Chinese banking regulator by they

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will start enforcing specific rules

to reduce financial risk at three

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banks. The new measures will ensure

they don't lend more cash than they

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can afford, and crucial corporate

governance rules, as well. The three

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banks offended at the journeys of

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, the export bank of China, and the

agricultural development bank of

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China.

Together, they have 3.8

trillion dollars in assets at the

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end of September.

This comes as

there is the threat of ballooning

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debt. This comes as the two senior

financial experts are they warned

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about the Chinese financial sector,

with the head of research at the

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Chinese central bank, and the

committee chair of the National

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People's Congress have been speaking

at a congress and have warned that

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the Chinese financial sector runs

the risk of becoming a bubble.

Thank

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you very much for joining us

Sharanjit Leyl.

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Now let's brief you some

other business stories.

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Barbie maker Mattel has rebuffed

the latest takeover approach

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from rival Hasbro,

according to sources quoted

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by Reuters, casting doubt over

the potential merger

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between the world's two

largest toy companies.

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Mattel believes the offer

undervalues it and doesn't address

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potential antitrust concerns,

the sources claim.

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European regulators have warned

banks working on post-Brexit plans

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that they will "need to have

substance locally" to serve

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European clients.

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The European Central Bank says some

proposals are inadequate and risk

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creating "empty shells". Many banks

currently access the European market

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through UK offices but are working

on contingency plans, adding space

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in cities such as Frankfurt and

Dublin.

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And the president of Angola,

Joao Lourenco, has fired

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the daughter of his predecessor

as head of the country's state

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oil company, Sonangol.

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Isabel Dos Santos,

the billionaire daughter of former

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President Jose Eduardo dos Santos,

is Africa's richest woman with a net

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worth of over $3 billion.

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President Lourenco, known as JLo,

has promised to tackle corruption

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Let's take a look at what is

trending in business.

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From the Wall Street Journal -

how the robot revolution

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could create 21 million jobs.

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Experts predict the US

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will lose 19 million jobs

to automation by 2032.

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The good news?

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21 million new roles will be created

It predicts a raft of new job

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categories including

man-machine teaming managers.

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The plot thickens.

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From Quartz, demand

for gold has dropped

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to an eight-year low.

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As stock markets soar,

investors have seemingly decided

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they don't need the precious metal

often bought as a hedge

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during downturns.

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And among the most read

on the BBC website,

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Dyson to sue former chief

executive Max Conze.

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The electrical firm Dyson

is suing its former boss

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for allegedly leaking company

secrets and using company resources

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for his own benefit.

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Of course, as you know, get in touch

with us.

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Let's us know what you are spotting

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online - use the hashtag

#bbcthebriefing.

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That's it for Business Briefing this

hour, but before we go,

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here are the markets.

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The news briefing is coming up next.

We will talk you through all the

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stories making headlines in the

global media today.

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