22/11/2012 Daily Politics


22/11/2012

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Afternoon folks. Welcome to the Daily Politics. It's show time in

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Brussels. Can David Cameron win a freeze in the European budget which

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his eurosceptic party will buy? We'll have the latest from the EU

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capital and debate his chances with politicians from across Europe.

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As the Justice Secretary unveils options for allowing prisoners the

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vote, has the Government gone far enough to satisfy the European

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Court of Human Rights. Are they even right to try?

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It's 70 years since this man launched a report that changed

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Britain for ever. But would father of the welfare state William

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Beveridge be spinning in his grave if he could see the state of

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welfare today? And ahead of Dave's big day in

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Europe, we uncover the real man All that in the next hour. With us

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for the duration, James O'Shaughnessy, former policy

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adviser to David Cameron, currently working on a new chain of academies

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:01:48.:01:51.

with Wellington Public School. More of that later. But first, the BBC

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News channel have reported that Tony Hall has been appointed the

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new director general of the BBC. I was always in favour of Tony Hall,

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of course, and supported him from the start, even when he wasn't in

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line for the job! He was barely out of his pram when I said he should

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be the DG of the BBC! He is the former head of BBC News, so he is

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not a new kid on the block, but for a long while he has been chief

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executive of the Royal Opera House. So a lot of sitting on our

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programme of from now on. He succeeds George Entwistle, who

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lasted only 55 days in the post. I assume that he will last longer.

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Chris Patten has found a replacement, and kind of gone

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outside, going outside the existing hierarchy to bring somebody Baku

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used to be in the hierarchy. It is very BBC that it is somebody who is

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currently outside the BBC... Clearly he has gone out and got his

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man, Tony Hall was not an original applicant for the job.

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understanding is he did not apply for the job in the round that Mr

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Entwistle won. So they have gone out and recruited somebody quickly,

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which I'm sure is a good thing for the stability of the BBC. I guess

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Chris Patten thought, I need to get somebody out with the current

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structure, but I also need somebody who does know a bit about the BBC.

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It is still a managerial leadership position and you're still editor in

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chief. In Tony Hall, they are hoping they have found somebody who

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has got credibility on both fronts. He has done a great job as a

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journalist and also running the Royal Opera House. Are you

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available to be the new boss of the Royal Opera House? Not yet!

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Anywhere, there we go, Tony all is the new director general of the BBC.

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It's show time in Brussels. David Cameron arrived there this morning

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looking for allies to freeze the EU budget for the next seven years at

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its current level. There are those other than Britain who also want a

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real-terms freeze, as the jargon has it. But many more want an

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increase, especially those who do well out of Brussels largesse.

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There is already talk of compromise but the Prime Minister is still

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talking tough. I am not happy at all. These are

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important negotiations, at a time and we are making difficult

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decisions at home over public spending, it is quite wrong for

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there to beat proposals for this increased extra spending in the EU.

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So we will be negotiating very hard for a good deal for Britain's

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taxpayers and to keep the British rebate. They always say that sort

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of thing when they arrive. I wonder what he is going to say when he

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leaves. Let's go to the man who knows! Mark a card for us. Where

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are we in this Budget process? are involved in here, with a day of

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bilateral, conversations between government leaders between the

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president of the council and President Barroso. First up was

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President -- David Cameron, who was supposed to go in there and present

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his position for 15 minutes. He was in there for 35 minutes. He was

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first up because Britain it is still seen as key. If you can

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strike a deal with the British, perhaps you will get others on side.

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Afterwards, we are hearing there is a long way to go. I should say that

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the president of the council thinks he has moved a long way towards the

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British position. His people are going around saying that what they

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have on the table already amounts to a cut. The British are saying,

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not so fast, they want a further reduction. That deal would also

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involve some reduction in the British rebate, and as far as the

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British are concerned, that is non- negotiable. Tell me this, if Mr

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Cameron is sticking to his line in the sand, which is a real-terms

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freeze, I know other countries do not want much of an increase or any

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increase in the Budget. But is there anybody in the EU feeling as

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strongly as Britain about a real- terms freeze, and no further?

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think there are people who feel as strongly as the British, that

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spending needs to be reined in. Whether they go as far as the

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British, whether they would be prepared to use their veto, we

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don't know. But certainly, the Swedish, the Dutch, they are

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equally adamant that there has to be a freeze, or at least a large

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reduction in EU spending. What we don't know is whether they are

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prepared to compromise. The attitude here is that the British

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position is understandable, but most other countries come here,

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laying out their position beforehand, and then they

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compromise. The feeling here is that David Cameron has boxed

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himself into a corner. He has said, this is what we want, we will use

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our veto if necessary, but now he is here, he will come under great

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pressure to compromise. Some of those natural allies he has got to

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have signalled they might be prepared to compromise more than

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the British. You have got a long day ahead of you! Thank you for

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joining us. What he has said I think is right, that the

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negotiating position of the British Prime Minister is also the position

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he must negotiate, he hasn't got much room to compromise. Not at all.

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Coming off the back of the vote in the House of Commons, which pushed

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for a stronger position, more of a cut, I don't think he has room to

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compromise, I don't dig he wants to. He has been clear and consistent

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throughout, which is to keep the rebate and push for real-terms

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freeze. The other thing to bear in mind is that this isn't the last

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point at which a position can be made. Brinkmanship is the classic

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work in Europe. They can have this meeting and find another option, it

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is likely that nothing will happen this time around. You have worked

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with the Prime Minister. There are some Tory backbenchers are now

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questioning his Eurosceptic credentials. In your view how Euro-

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sceptic is he? A I think he is a Euro-sceptic, not to the extent of

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some people in the party, who want to leave. He wants to see a

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reformed Europe, he thinks our place is in a reformed Europe, that

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is the message he is taking. I think it is extraordinary to be

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thinking of adding 100 billion extra Euros, at a time when every

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single government of the 27 is cutting costs, it does seem an

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extraordinary proposition. We will see what happens. They will be

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burning the midnight oil! 3 SERPS, that is what they call it. -- three

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shirts. Now, David Cameron says the

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prospect of giving prisoners the vote makes him "physically ill" -

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but legislation to be announced later today could do exactly that.

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The issue of giving prisoners the vote has been a problem for British

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governments of all persuasions since the European Court of Human

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Rights first ruled in 2004 that a In February, MPs voted by 234 to 22

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to keep the ban, in response to a proposal to give the vote to

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offenders sentenced to a custodial sentence of less than four years.

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The government indicated it would respect Parliament's wishes by

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:10:06.:10:08.

doing the minimum needed to comply. 4pm tomorrow is the deadline for

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Britain to respond to the court's latest order on the issue. So it is

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expected that this afternoon the Justice Secretary Chris Grayling

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will publish a draft Bill with offering MPs a range of options:

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Votes for prisoners imprisoned for up to four years, for up to six

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:10:35.:10:42.

It is that blanket ban that annoys the European Court of. I'm now

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joined by the Conservative MP Dominic Raab, and the Director of

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:10:55.:10:56.

the campaign Liberty, Shami Chakrabarti. Dominic Raab, let me

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come to you first. I just want to get the policy here. A spokesman

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for the Prime Minister said yesterday, "if people go to prison,

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they lose the right to vote, that is our policy." but today the

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government is introducing legislation that could change that

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policy, so what is the policy? think the policy is that ultimately

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the Prime Minister and the President of the Supreme Court have

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also made his point, it is for Parliament to make these decisions.

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There is a feeling this is being punted into the long grass.

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Ultimately parliament will have to decide between the range of options.

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I thought the government policy was that there should be no vote for

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prisoners. Since when did you have a policy when you offered an

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alternative to the policy? It is a reasonable point. Constitutionally,

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the answer is that the Prime Minister wants to allow Parliament

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to decide because ultimately it is for elected lawmakers to make the

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law of the land. It is clear that Prime Minister does not want to

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overturn the current band. Parliament but the way you did, --

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votes the way you did, what will you do? I think what will happen is

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the case will go back to the Strasbourg court, it will remain an

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and implemented ruling. It will go to the committee of ministers, who

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have been calling on Strasbourg to medal are less. There is no

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realistic chance of being kicked out of the Council of Europe, the

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worst we will get is a polite diplomatic rap on the knuckles.

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is very depressing to hear Dominic talking about flouting a court

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order. Because that is what we're talking about. Whether it is an

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international court, the local magistrates' court, identical

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majesty's government should pick and choose which court judgments to

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obey. Why should a kid I council estate obey the ASBO of the local

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magistrate if her Majesty's government want a baby this? There

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is so much room for manoeuvre. do you think should happen?

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personally support boats for all prisoners, because I don't know how

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you rehabilitate prisoners by saying they cannot vote. But the

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point is not now about prisoner voting any more, it is about

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whether we believe in the rule of law. I think the doublet to say, we

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will just ignore the court and we will not get kicked out of the

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Council of Europe, we might get kicked out one day. In the meantime,

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what kind of signal to we sent to Vladimir Putin... Do you think he

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is watching this? The Russian court floods that all the time. So this

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is the signal we are sending, it doesn't matter. My point to you is

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that we have never flattered the court before. The Russians have

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flouted it regularly, they are the biggest at doing that. Why would

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hours make any difference? I think that... I have heard in the past,

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in the days of Mr Blair, wanting to lock people up for 90 days, lock

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them up indefinitely without charge or trial, I heard Robert Mugabe's

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ministers saying, if you can do it in Britain, we can do it. It gives

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people a credibility that they do not deserve a for flouting

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international law. I think the point she is making his it is the

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job by ministers, they are bound to obey court rulings. You might not

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like the court ruling, made you shouldn't have signed up to it in

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the first place. You might not like the way it is going, but that is

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:15:02.:15:09.

It is precisely not what we signed up to. There is a big it issue. We

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can talk about prisoner voting. -- a big debt issue. What happens when

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you have this tribunal expanding? That is a legislative function.

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That is the attack on democracy. You cannot have democracy without

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the rule of law. Sometimes you need independent referees. This is now

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like the Supreme Court in America was in the 1960s. It is an activist

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court. It is making up its own rulings. There is no right to

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universal suffrage in the Convention of Human Rights. There

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is a right to participate in free elections. What the court rejected

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was a Victorian, blanket ban on prisoner voting. Convicted

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prisoners. There is no blanket ban. You had your say, now it is my turn.

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I happen to believe in all prisoners voting. The court

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judgment could be implemented by something much more subtle and

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minimalist than that. Sometimes you do need to meet another institution

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halfway to keep democracy alive. you go to prison in this country,

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there is a blanket ban. If you are imprisoned for contempt of court

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boy fine default, you can vote. -- or a fine default. The point is,

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:16:57.:16:59.

there are lots of common sense compromise ways... Given that you

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are in favour of all prisoners getting the vote, what would the

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compromise be? The minimalist option offered in this Bill is that

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prisoners in for less than four months of... Six months, I think.

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Or people about to be released. Instead of having a fight with the

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:17:30.:17:31.

European Court, we wrote the convention largely, why don't we

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just agreed to six months? For most prisoners, there won't be an

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election in that time. People are about to be released from prison.

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The first point is, the six-month option would mean 5000 convicted

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criminals at least notionally getting the right to vote them in -

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- including many sexual offenders, violent offenders and homicide

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offenders. Many people would have a problem with that. She seems to

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think we are in a diplomatic haggle with the Strasbourg court. That is

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contrary to the rule of law. Either they are right or they are wrong.

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It is not applying the convention. Should you not come out? I support

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the convention. That is a nonsense position. When Britain signed up to

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the convention, we punted it 15 years later before we signed up to

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the court. There were huge concerns about the court. Have laws without

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a court to enforce them. That is an excellent position. The vast

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majority of international human rights conventions do not have a

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body enforcing them. I think the Supreme Court should have the last

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word on this. They said prisoner should not have a vote. What is the

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point in a British Supreme Court but does not have the last per --

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the last word? Do we sometimes listen to judgments with which we

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disagree? You have to do that as a citizen and a politician. It seems

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there is civil war going on. There is a way important point about

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sovereignty. It's the European Court has said this needs to happen,

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if a parliament is not prepared to pass anything and the Government is

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not prepared to do anything, how can anything happen? This is the

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crucial point. We made the European -- the European Court superior to

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Parliament. We said the European Court could judge the actions of

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the British Parliament against the principles embodied in the

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convention. We signed up to the convention. It requires a

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Parliament to make policy. About the Supreme Court in the US, there

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is a massive danger when High Court make rulings - policy decisions -

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without proper debate in a parliamentary democracy, in that

:20:13.:20:19.

kind of forum. That creates a culture. You are still seeing that

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ridden in American politics. My danger is you get big policy

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decisions made by judges who are not accountable, rather than

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politicians. That erodes trust in politics. We will come back to this.

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So, talking of Strasbourg, our very own Jo Coburn is there today. Why,

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you may ask? Well, it's that time when those crazy MEPs leave

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Brussels for a few days and head to the capital of Alsace at a cost of

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180 million euros a year. Who better to ask about David Cameron's

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attempt to trim the EU budget than Members of the European Parliament

:21:04.:21:14.
:21:14.:21:16.

who will, after all, have to agree any deal. Here's Jo. Negotiations

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are under way. The bargaining in Brussels between the European Union

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leaders. Even if they do agree a budget deal, and that is a big if,

:21:25.:21:30.

it has to be approved by Members of the European Parliament here in

:21:30.:21:34.

Strasbourg. The signs so far have not been great. With me to discuss

:21:34.:21:44.
:21:44.:21:47.

the prospects of success, are three MEPs. Richard, let's kick-off. What

:21:47.:21:53.

do you think the chances of success on a budget deal? 50/50. Is that

:21:53.:22:00.

better? Has had improved over the last few weeks? It is normal for

:22:00.:22:05.

negotiations at this stage. You will note that different parties,

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different countries are coming from very widely differing positions.

:22:09.:22:13.

There is a certain amount of grandstanding. We'll know we have

:22:13.:22:17.

to reach compromise at some stage. Will we reach it this time?

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Probably not. Sooner or later, we well. Are you are as optimistic for

:22:23.:22:31.

a deal over the next few days? not think so. Few countries are

:22:31.:22:36.

extremely far away from a compromise. We have managed to come

:22:36.:22:41.

together on different issues with different countries. Some countries

:22:41.:22:47.

on the size of the Budget and some on social policy. Everyone has a

:22:47.:22:51.

piece of cake. If they are wise enough to bring together a

:22:51.:22:55.

compromise career that would be excellent but I doubt it. Do you

:22:55.:23:05.
:23:05.:23:07.

doubt it? It will be very difficult. I think around 55%. He has said

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that everyone must compromise. If that is the case, all governments

:23:12.:23:17.

are ready to negotiate and find a compromise so we can come to a

:23:17.:23:20.

result. Do you think David Cameron will compromise in the sense that

:23:20.:23:25.

he will not necessarily stick to the real-terms freeze that he wants

:23:25.:23:32.

- that he will pay more? Some things are clearly defined. The

:23:32.:23:36.

United Kingdom is going to extreme lengths to deal with the budget

:23:36.:23:44.

deficit. People genuinely understand that. He will be

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explaining to other colleagues of European nations that we are having

:23:46.:23:52.

to lay-off nurses, policemen, give redundancy notices to soldiers and,

:23:52.:23:56.

at a time, when we're going to turn round and ask for more money for

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Europe. That is not acceptable. is that the red line in the sand?

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It is one area we will be negotiating hard fall. It is a

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multi-faceted thing and there are many angles to look at. He will not

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move on that. What is wrong with national governments same, we were

:24:15.:24:19.

not agree with increased spending in the EU when we're cutting

:24:19.:24:26.

budgets at home? It is about freezing spending. The British

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government wants to freeze them at some accounting figure. Free

:24:32.:24:36.

something that you have. Do not freeze something that does not

:24:36.:24:40.

exist any more. If we keep these levels until 2020, that is one

:24:40.:24:44.

thing. The problem will be that the European Union were not be able to

:24:44.:24:50.

achieve the political commitments in the same way it could. The

:24:50.:24:56.

budget is an instrument that is not the purpose. Britain is not going

:24:56.:25:00.

to get what it once was dug it can have a starting level but it will

:25:00.:25:05.

have to agree to something above a real-terms freeze. If I hope we're

:25:05.:25:10.

not getting too hung up on the figures. If you look at Britain and

:25:10.:25:15.

Germany, the difference is not great. It is about how you spend

:25:16.:25:20.

the money when you have got it. Priorities need to change to

:25:20.:25:25.

reflect the times we are in. Germany also wants the overall

:25:25.:25:28.

spending to come down. David Cameron and Angela Merkel wants the

:25:28.:25:37.

money to come down. We do like a freeze? The European Union has

:25:37.:25:42.

competences to fulfil. It has won new country, Croatia. A freeze

:25:43.:25:48.

would mean a decrease, in fact, because of these reasons. This has

:25:48.:25:52.

to be taken into account to come to a fair result. We should meet

:25:52.:25:59.

somewhere in the middle. Everyone has to move. Also the European

:25:59.:26:05.

Parliament needs to compromise. It means everyone has to move. Then we

:26:05.:26:11.

will make it will start to say we're not just cut, become to

:26:11.:26:15.

research, innovation questions, all those questions. That would be the

:26:15.:26:19.

easiest way. The problem for the UK government is the pressure David

:26:19.:26:25.

Cameron is under from his own party. Is the Conservative Party move into

:26:25.:26:30.

a position of better off out? would not think so. That is extreme

:26:30.:26:35.

territory to get yourself into. We have a clear message that we want

:26:35.:26:39.

to be in the European Union but we think spending priorities need to

:26:39.:26:44.

change. They need to take drastic action to restore the health of the

:26:44.:26:49.

euros. The recognise the steps they have to take. They are not going

:26:49.:26:54.

down that road. The world out there is changing around. If Europe wants

:26:54.:27:00.

to fall behind, that is something we wish to avoid. Many in the

:27:00.:27:04.

Conservative Party to support that view. Just recently in a vote in

:27:04.:27:08.

Parliament, many rebels sided with the idea of a cut in the Budget.

:27:08.:27:13.

Many think the relationship with Europe has to change. That is what

:27:13.:27:17.

the Prime Minister is saying. He has talked about a review of

:27:17.:27:22.

competencies and taking a hard line on the Budget. Do you think the UK

:27:22.:27:30.

is heading towards the exit door? The UK would not like to keep the

:27:30.:27:36.

budget - that is the decrees. This is the structure of the Budget. The

:27:36.:27:40.

UK veto will come because that budget is not well-structured and

:27:40.:27:50.
:27:50.:27:52.

the spending is not well directed. Just to say, for the EU expanding,

:27:52.:27:56.

this is 0.827 % of public expenditure. You will not save much

:27:56.:28:00.

money out of that. More than half the exports would go to the single

:28:00.:28:04.

market in Europe. The benefits are much larger than that. I would

:28:04.:28:10.

think twice. The way of spending is extremely important. We need to

:28:10.:28:15.

have the amounts for filling the policies. From the perspective of

:28:15.:28:19.

Germany, do you think the UK is heading out of the European Union -

:28:19.:28:25.

may be slowly - but that is the way they are heading? You always

:28:25.:28:30.

admired the British ability to be practical. I do not believe the

:28:30.:28:33.

minority in the Tory Party would win. We would like to have Britain

:28:33.:28:39.

in four lots of reasons. The place of Britain is in Europe and cities

:28:39.:28:43.

in the interests of Britain to be in Europe. Thank you very much.

:28:43.:28:51.

There was see how negotiations go over the next 36 hours. -- we will

:28:51.:28:55.

see. So, it's a big day for David Cameron but, after two and half

:28:55.:28:58.

years in the top job, how well do we really know the man himself?

:28:58.:29:01.

James O'Shaugnessy worked closely with the Prime Minister, first in

:29:01.:29:04.

Opposition then in then in Government. Before we ask him for

:29:04.:29:07.

his perspective on Cameron the man, here's Giles, who's been taking his

:29:07.:29:10.

own soundings. When you aspire to be, and then become Prime Minister,

:29:10.:29:14.

people ask, and probably have a right to ask who you are as a

:29:14.:29:17.

person. David Cameron hasn't been shy, early on we were invited to

:29:17.:29:19.

see him behind the scenes, but actually such insights are

:29:19.:29:26.

carefully managed. And it's his personality in so far as it shapes

:29:26.:29:29.

how he does his job that's of real interest. Before the election he'd

:29:30.:29:38.

explained his ambitions. I was there that night when David Cameron

:29:38.:29:44.

was asked why he wanted to be Prime Minister. His response was, I think

:29:44.:29:47.

there would be good at it. Critics say, the main point of what he's

:29:47.:29:51.

doing is that he wants to be Prime Minister and he wants the job for

:29:52.:29:55.

his own sake but he is not driven by a sense of mission of vision to

:29:55.:30:02.

change the country and lead it in a particular direction. I think he

:30:02.:30:07.

has that very English temperament about him that distrusts ideology.

:30:07.:30:11.

He thinks ideas have their place. He would not be a politician if he

:30:11.:30:16.

did not. He even distrust the harshness and absolutism of

:30:16.:30:21.

political ideology. That might explain why many of his critics

:30:21.:30:25.

have won the right of the party to fill their politics are forged from

:30:25.:30:31.

heart and belief, it not strategy. He is not a deeply ideological

:30:31.:30:35.

Thatcherite. He does have to deal with a coalition. He did have to

:30:35.:30:41.

deal in the past with a hostile media environment. I do not blame

:30:41.:30:47.

him for that. It got him into Number 10. He took with him a crowd

:30:47.:30:51.

of people who have long been personally and professionally loyal.

:30:51.:30:55.

One of the features of Cameron the man is that he tends to rely on

:30:55.:31:01.

people he has known for a very long time. It is rare for an outsider to

:31:01.:31:06.

be committed properly into the inner circle. Some people will see

:31:06.:31:11.

that as a strength. Critics will say, if you want a Prime Minister

:31:11.:31:15.

who is going to change things and get stuck in, he must sometimes be

:31:15.:31:21.

prepared to fire his friends. David Cameron has never really done that.

:31:21.:31:25.

I think Cameron is a man who does not suffer fools gladly. In my

:31:25.:31:30.

experience, he was fair but firm as a boss. If people are not up to the

:31:30.:31:35.

job, they won it pretty quickly. They say No. 10 reflects the

:31:35.:31:39.

character of the person at the top. That seems very true of this PM

:31:39.:31:43.

compared with other characters at the top of the party. Osborne likes

:31:43.:31:49.

the clean, sharp, clinical operation. Boris like delegating to

:31:49.:31:56.

people who he trusts. David Cameron does like a certain muddy mess - a

:31:56.:32:01.

certain lack of definition - is certain relaxed quality in the

:32:01.:32:05.

atmosphere. That seems to be part of he hears. Anyone's character can

:32:05.:32:11.

be analysed for strength and weakness. Some traits can be either.

:32:11.:32:15.

Nobody is perfect. It is just the stakes are much higher getting it

:32:15.:32:25.
:32:25.:32:27.

Let's come into what is happening at the moment in Brussels. How good

:32:27.:32:33.

is he at negotiating? How good are his negotiating skills? A think the

:32:33.:32:37.

coalition, the fact of the coalition, stands as a pretty good

:32:37.:32:41.

testament to those skills. He got what he wanted to get, which is to

:32:41.:32:48.

become Prime Minister and to form a stable government. I think he gets

:32:48.:32:54.

the kind of outcomes he wants. you foreseen that as an option, did

:32:54.:32:58.

he have a game plan for that, is that what unfolded after the

:32:58.:33:03.

election or did he make it up as he went along? I think there was a bit

:33:03.:33:07.

of both. If he worked at the polls throughout the campaign, it never

:33:07.:33:14.

looked like anybody would have a convincing majority. The Lib Dems

:33:14.:33:18.

were doing things -- well during things like the leadership debates.

:33:18.:33:22.

So clearly he was thinking of a what-if scenario, but you do not

:33:22.:33:29.

know how things will pan out. Having seen the position as it was,

:33:29.:33:34.

within 24 hours, he was making an open, comprehensive offered to the

:33:34.:33:40.

Lib Dems, and it was on the morning of that Friday. By the Tuesday,

:33:40.:33:45.

they were in government. In Europe, coalitions of can take weeks to

:33:45.:33:49.

come together, so that was extraordinary. He is not good on

:33:49.:33:55.

detail, say his critics. Very much not true. He has an incredible mind,

:33:55.:33:59.

and superb judgment, which is why I always thought he would be a good

:33:59.:34:04.

Prime Minister. He really does read all the briefs and is across the

:34:04.:34:08.

details? John Major always said he was proud to be. This idea of him

:34:08.:34:15.

slacking off is not true, he gets off -- get up incredibly early, he

:34:15.:34:20.

is across there are things he needs to be. What he has is a willingness

:34:21.:34:26.

to delegate to his cabinet ministers the broad bones of a

:34:26.:34:32.

programme, and trust them to get on with it. He looks in on them from

:34:32.:34:38.

time to time, where there are issues, he get deeply involved.

:34:38.:34:42.

said to have a bit of a temper in private, have you seen the rough

:34:42.:34:49.

end of that? I have never seen that. At the end, he doesn't really stand

:34:49.:34:54.

for anything, he is a managerial Conservative, when asked why he

:34:54.:34:58.

wanted to be Prime Minister, he didn't say because he wanted to

:34:58.:35:02.

create world peace or alleviate the condition of the people, along

:35:02.:35:06.

Disraeli lines, he said, I think I would be rather good at it. I am

:35:06.:35:10.

not sure he would say that was a complete description of why he

:35:10.:35:14.

wanted to be a Prime Minister, but I would say firstly, he is a

:35:14.:35:17.

classic conservative, not an ideologist, but look at his

:35:17.:35:23.

principles. Look at the stance he has taken on a gay marriage. One of

:35:23.:35:26.

the first things he said when he was running for the leadership of

:35:26.:35:30.

the Conservative Party was he believed in marriage for a man or

:35:30.:35:36.

woman, or a woman and a woman ought to man. I think he is consistent on

:35:36.:35:43.

the things he believes passionately in, and you have to judge him on

:35:43.:35:47.

what the government does, he is overseeing a government which has

:35:47.:35:53.

Ken Clarke in it, Iain Duncan Smith, William Hague, a huge range of

:35:53.:35:58.

talent across the party, that no Prime Minister has managed to unite

:35:59.:36:03.

for a long time. That is in itself an extraordinary achievement. They

:36:03.:36:10.

are doing a lot of things history would judge as being pretty radical.

:36:10.:36:17.

We have been joined by Mr -- viewers in Scotland. Our guest of

:36:17.:36:21.

the day is setting up not just one or two academies, but a whole chain

:36:21.:36:27.

of them, in conjunction with Wellington College. Before we hear

:36:27.:36:32.

about that, and his academies only take place in England, not in

:36:32.:36:36.

Scotland, let's recap on where we are with the government's flagship

:36:36.:36:40.

education policy. According to the Department for Education there are

:36:40.:36:45.

2,456 six academies open in England. The government says academies

:36:45.:36:47.

benefit from greater freedoms that innovate and raise standards,

:36:47.:36:56.

because they are free from local authority control. They can set

:36:56.:36:59.

their own pay and conditions for staff, have freedoms around the

:36:59.:37:02.

curriculum, as well as the ability to change the length of terms and

:37:02.:37:07.

school days. Now successful academies are setting up sister

:37:07.:37:12.

schools, creating so-called "chain academies". So far there are around

:37:12.:37:16.

48 academy chains covering nearly 350 academies. Critics claim

:37:16.:37:18.

academies are the privatisation of education, and that they benefit

:37:18.:37:24.

more affluent neighbourhoods with the extra money they receive. And

:37:24.:37:27.

today the National Audit Office has said a tenfold increase in the

:37:27.:37:29.

number of schools converting to academies has resulted in �1

:37:29.:37:32.

billion of extra costs - which the Department for Education was

:37:32.:37:42.
:37:42.:37:46.

unprepared for. Which I think is a polite way of saying it didn't have

:37:46.:37:50.

the money! James O'Shaughnessy is in the process of setting up a

:37:50.:37:56.

chain academy, and Alasdair Smith is from the Anti-Academies Alliance.

:37:56.:38:02.

I think we know his position! Give me the case for academies. They

:38:02.:38:08.

work, quite simply. The evidence we now seek for academy set up under

:38:08.:38:13.

Labour, so-called sponsored academies, Gwent and they take over

:38:13.:38:17.

failing school and improve it, they are on average perform better than

:38:17.:38:22.

schools that didn't go down that route. And Labour idea that this

:38:22.:38:28.

condition has picked up? Some work, some don't, that is the problem. It

:38:28.:38:34.

is not about an average. Some have been very successful, but some

:38:34.:38:38.

academies, the Basildon academies, these are academies in special

:38:38.:38:42.

measures. There is nothing magic about academies or sponsorship, and

:38:42.:38:47.

we have been sold a pass by both New Labour and the coalition that

:38:47.:38:52.

there is some kind of magic dust, it doesn't exist. You point by

:38:52.:38:56.

dismissing something on average, you cannot have a proper argument

:38:56.:39:01.

about anecdotes. You need to add value it at type of programme in

:39:01.:39:04.

all its forms and see that is more or less effective. It is true that

:39:04.:39:08.

there are academies at haven't worked, no one would disagree but

:39:08.:39:16.

that. Similarly, there are maintained schools that have done

:39:16.:39:17.

brilliantly and some that hadn't worked. But the LSC did a review of

:39:17.:39:21.

the sponsored academies that were set up under Labour and found that

:39:21.:39:24.

not only were they are performing better than schools that hadn't

:39:24.:39:28.

gone down that route, but they also brought benefits for neighbouring

:39:28.:39:35.

schools. So there was a competition effect that raised... A so it is

:39:35.:39:40.

really important not to say, they don't do a good job, but to

:39:40.:39:43.

evaluate the programmes are crossed the range. You say that is what the

:39:43.:39:49.

report says, it cannot identify... All the new Labour academies had

:39:49.:39:54.

with than �30 million of new buildings, generous transitional

:39:54.:39:57.

funding, changes in school leadership. It wasn't the academy

:39:57.:40:01.

status, it was the bricks and mortar, the changing in teaching

:40:01.:40:06.

and learning, in leadership. It is nothing about academy status. The

:40:06.:40:10.

evidence is that the London challenge has been the most sister

:40:10.:40:16.

-- successful form of school improvement, and much cheaper. So

:40:16.:40:20.

I'm happy to acknowledge some academies have been successful, but

:40:20.:40:24.

some of failing, and we can't tolerate that situation. We need to

:40:24.:40:27.

look at the school improvement system that works for every school.

:40:27.:40:32.

But quite a few comprehensives file, and we tolerate that. I don't think

:40:32.:40:37.

we do. We tolerated that for the best part of 20, 30 years. It

:40:37.:40:44.

wasn't until James Callaghan, in 1976, talked about the secret

:40:44.:40:49.

garden speech, when the public have an interest in what is going on in

:40:49.:40:53.

schools. What was going on then was appalling in many instances. No

:40:53.:40:58.

attempt to do things like children the basics. The long march back in

:40:59.:41:02.

favour of standards, that has happened under consecutive

:41:02.:41:06.

governments, find its latest expression in the Academy movement.

:41:06.:41:10.

The reason for that is in many cases, the secondary schools were

:41:10.:41:14.

able to throw off appalling local authorities he did nothing for them,

:41:14.:41:19.

who did worse than nothing, who dragged them down. They took the

:41:19.:41:23.

power of entrepreneurs to do something different. Some local

:41:23.:41:27.

authorities, Tower Hamlets, Camden in London, who have been

:41:27.:41:30.

fantastically successful. Just to say that the local authority model

:41:30.:41:34.

was bad because it didn't work in some places is nonsense, it is

:41:34.:41:39.

costing us a fortune. What would you do in those places? We need to

:41:39.:41:46.

beef up local authorities. You can look at examples like Alberta in

:41:46.:41:49.

Canada, where the local authority works in an effective way. There

:41:49.:41:54.

are lots of models of making them accountable. It is having a

:41:54.:42:01.

democratically accountable middle to here. Who is that? Sir Michael

:42:01.:42:07.

will trot, the chair of Ofsted! some academies are failing, why is

:42:07.:42:10.

that allowed to happen? It is a good question, one of the problems

:42:11.:42:16.

we are facing his there used to be 200 academies, and there are a

:42:16.:42:22.

handful of those below the accepted standard. It used to be the case

:42:22.:42:25.

that the DFE had a capacity to intervene in those and try and sort

:42:25.:42:34.

them out. We are now in a situation that there are 2500, and the

:42:34.:42:42.

question is, who is intervening, if you like? De chair of Ofsted is

:42:43.:42:46.

intending that they should start inspecting, not just all academies

:42:46.:42:50.

but Academy chains, and working out if they are good or not. I

:42:50.:42:53.

absolutely welcome back. I think anybody who believes in the

:42:53.:42:57.

programme needs to be transparent. Is it your view that everybody

:42:57.:43:01.

should go to a local authority comprehensive? I think everybody

:43:01.:43:08.

should go to a good local school. It is not about it been a

:43:08.:43:13.

comprehensive. Do you think there should be other state schools that

:43:13.:43:19.

are not local authority schools? think we need a good local school...

:43:19.:43:24.

That is not what I asked. Do you think they should be the sole

:43:24.:43:29.

providers? I think we need local, democratic accountability. If you

:43:29.:43:33.

look at systems like in Finland, there is a local authority system,

:43:33.:43:37.

but not the same as we are familiar with in here. You need to have a

:43:37.:43:44.

middle Tear, democratic accountability, planning, or cannot

:43:44.:43:50.

Collaboration, these are simple, technical things we need. We can

:43:50.:43:54.

get this without this headlong drive into privatisation. Hang on a

:43:54.:44:01.

minute, privatisation... We are running out of time. Legally, they

:44:01.:44:05.

are called exempt charities, they are charity is regretted by the DFE,

:44:05.:44:12.

taking issue share capital, they cannot even raise debt. Let's leave

:44:12.:44:22.
:44:22.:44:24.

it there, I'm afraid. Interesting original principles of the welfare

:44:24.:44:27.

state, where you have to pay in before you get the benefits, and

:44:27.:44:31.

with a renewed emphasis on individual responsibility. That is

:44:31.:44:36.

what a Conservative MP is arguing in a new pamphlet published today.

:44:36.:44:40.

We'll discuss his ideas in a moment, but first let me take you back to

:44:40.:44:43.

1942, when Sir William Beveridge laid out his plan for an all

:44:43.:44:53.
:44:53.:44:58.

Oxford has had the unusual experience with Sir William

:44:58.:45:02.

Beveridge working at the college producing a social document of

:45:02.:45:08.

revolutionary importance. He has put the immense store of economic

:45:08.:45:13.

learning, human sympathy and Social Administration, accumulated in her

:45:13.:45:17.

long life of service devoted to his fellow men. If adopted, no one in

:45:17.:45:25.

Britain who is willing to work will ever again suffer absolute want.

:45:25.:45:34.

This proposes first a unified social insurance system. By paying

:45:34.:45:41.

a single, weekly contribution, through one Insurance stamp,

:45:41.:45:50.

everyone will be able to get all the benefits that he or his family

:45:50.:45:56.

need. The Beveridge Report shows had to begin overthrowing the five

:45:56.:46:03.

giant evils. Pittsburgh as all too great effort. Much can be done to

:46:03.:46:10.

peace. -- it spurs us all. Men and women in the armed forces do not

:46:10.:46:15.

require more incentive to do their utmost but we must believe a fuller

:46:15.:46:23.

life and better Britain awaits us after the war. Commentary from a

:46:24.:46:27.

time when currently was not entirely neutral in what it said.

:46:27.:46:30.

And I am joined by Chris Skidmore, Conservative MP and author of his

:46:30.:46:34.

own report, A New Beveridge, which marks the 70th anniversary of the

:46:34.:46:36.

original, Liberal Democrat MP and chairman of his party's Beveridge

:46:36.:46:44.

Group, John Pugh, and the Labour MP, Lisa Nandy. Welcome to all. Lay out

:46:44.:46:52.

your soul. What is Beveridge mark two? If it set about creating a

:46:52.:46:58.

national minimum and the safety net. People had to contribute. The

:46:58.:47:01.

understood they were putting into the state. It was a contract

:47:01.:47:05.

between the individual and the state. The safety net has become

:47:05.:47:11.

too high. We have become 53 presentable people becoming net

:47:11.:47:16.

recipients of state benefits. 70 years on, we have a huge

:47:16.:47:21.

demographic challenge. The average life expectancy was 59. It is

:47:22.:47:27.

rising dramatically. The need to go back to the original principles in

:47:27.:47:31.

understanding that, if we want a welfare state sustainable for the

:47:31.:47:35.

21st century, we cannot go along the original model of the pre-war

:47:35.:47:40.

report. We need to adapt it. problems which are outlined, such

:47:40.:47:44.

as affordability and people taking advantage of the welfare state and

:47:44.:47:47.

not exercising personal responsibilities. They were

:47:47.:47:51.

highlighted in the day of Beveridge and wear a dress them. Chris is not

:47:51.:47:58.

coming up with any solutions to the problems. -- were addressed then.

:47:58.:48:04.

Chris is proposing something much more radical. Making them repay

:48:04.:48:14.
:48:14.:48:14.

their JSA. That is the jobseekers allowance. Reducing universal

:48:14.:48:18.

benefits. Beveridge understood very clearly that some element of

:48:18.:48:24.

universal benefit was essential. My worry is, if we go down that route,

:48:24.:48:28.

we Wallander with a more divided attitude on welfare there we have

:48:28.:48:38.
:48:38.:48:42.

currently got. -- we will go down a more divided route on welfare.

:48:42.:48:47.

we lost sight of the very important part of Beveridge - the

:48:47.:48:51.

contributory principle? Weather Report is helpful is he does

:48:51.:48:57.

resurrect the idea of national insurance and social security. --

:48:57.:49:02.

where the report is helpful. Ashlyn shares today is really another tax,

:49:02.:49:11.

isn't it? -- national insurance. What was important is full

:49:11.:49:14.

employment. Mine are absolutely desperate for work. The vast

:49:14.:49:19.

majority of the 2.5 million people unemployed in this country want to

:49:19.:49:23.

work. It seems odd to me that what you have proposed in this report is

:49:23.:49:27.

based on the idea that people do not want to work. Take the proposal

:49:27.:49:32.

you made about young people. You say a young person who has not

:49:32.:49:35.

contributed much to the system should take unemployment benefits

:49:35.:49:40.

as a loan. How does that help? It that young person does not want to

:49:40.:49:44.

work, how does it encourage them into work when they know they would

:49:44.:49:49.

be paying more back into the system inconsequence? For London 50,000

:49:49.:49:55.

young people are claiming benefits. That is �25 million a week. What we

:49:55.:49:58.

have lost and the welfare state is incentivising individuals to do the

:49:59.:50:02.

right thing. How does that incentivise the young person who

:50:02.:50:07.

does not want to work? The vast majority do and they are not the

:50:07.:50:12.

jobs. Why would paying more, when they're getting work, incentivise

:50:12.:50:17.

them to get work? misunderstanding that everybody

:50:17.:50:21.

belongs to a society where they put-in. If you have not paid the

:50:21.:50:26.

tax, you have to owed the money to the State. That should apply to

:50:26.:50:30.

student fees as well. With the situation of women - women who

:50:30.:50:34.

choose to take time out of work in order to have children and bring up

:50:34.:50:37.

those children - presumably would not be arguing they should be

:50:37.:50:43.

penalised because they put less into the system than men? Of course

:50:43.:50:46.

not. The coalition government has looked at flexible paternity leave

:50:46.:50:51.

and I agree with that. The broad point is, if we want to have a

:50:51.:50:55.

welfare state with good schools and good hospitals, there is only a

:50:55.:50:59.

certain limited amount of money. We have to ensure that where

:50:59.:51:02.

millionaires are claiming winter fuel allowance, Beveridge would

:51:02.:51:08.

have turned in his grave. What would beverage have thought of the

:51:08.:51:14.

criticism that what was a rigid sign to be a hand up in the bad

:51:14.:51:19.

times -- was originally designed to be a hand up in the bad times has

:51:19.:51:24.

become a lifestyle? Beveridge was acutely aware of the Victorian

:51:24.:51:27.

distinction between the undeserving and the deserving poor. There are

:51:27.:51:33.

such people. Some are poor despite their best means. Any welfare

:51:33.:51:41.

system has had difficult half of -- task of differentiating these two

:51:41.:51:48.

categories was dubbed this view of human nature, he described the

:51:48.:51:54.

British working public as some of the biggest idlers on the planet.

:51:54.:52:02.

Deduce say that? It said we are among the worst idlers. -- did you

:52:02.:52:06.

say that? We have a huge problem with productivity in the Western

:52:06.:52:10.

world. In the 21st century, the Rules of the game have changed and

:52:10.:52:15.

we must adapt. Where do you come in? Something interesting happened

:52:15.:52:20.

in the 1960s. We took about deserving and undeserving. Benefits

:52:20.:52:27.

were based on what is deserved to what you need. The difficulty that

:52:27.:52:31.

people on the left have, which has been exposed for what Chris has

:52:31.:52:35.

written today, when we hear the Labour Party talking about the can

:52:35.:52:40.

to be due principle, are we happy about getting themselves into a

:52:40.:52:43.

position where they can say to themselves that people who have not

:52:43.:52:47.

been earning - immigrant families - large immigrant families, you will

:52:47.:52:50.

get a larger rate of benefit and someone who has been hit a long

:52:51.:52:55.

time? When Beveridge came up with his support for a mass immigration

:52:55.:53:01.

was not an issue. There was a sense of, if you had been serving in the

:53:01.:53:05.

Army, working in factories and so on, we have had people without that

:53:05.:53:09.

record. I prepared to say to those people, you will have a lower

:53:09.:53:15.

standard of living where you will be in poverty because of having a

:53:15.:53:19.

differentiated benefit system. Labour Party must have a welfare

:53:19.:53:24.

reform policy by the next election. Absolutely. There are two things

:53:24.:53:27.

that are missing from this discussion. The best way to cut the

:53:27.:53:31.

welfare bill is to get people into work and stimulate the economy into

:53:31.:53:35.

creating jobs. The good way to do that, and take people out of the

:53:35.:53:41.

welfare system, is to make work pay. A huge number of the people that

:53:41.:53:45.

are being talked about art in it, receiving tax credits, will be

:53:45.:53:48.

receiving the universal credit because work, quite simply, does

:53:48.:53:52.

not pay. That has been a problem for a government minister as long

:53:52.:53:56.

as I had been covering politics. Is there traction him what you have

:53:56.:54:01.

been saying in the Conservative Party? People realise we are in

:54:01.:54:05.

desperate economic times are we must realise this is unsustainable

:54:05.:54:11.

and must move with the times. -- and we must realise. This is for

:54:11.:54:19.

the future. We must look at the future. It is the start of a great

:54:19.:54:23.

debate. Get out the turkey, get in front of the telly. No, we're not a

:54:23.:54:26.

month early for Christmas, today our American cousins are

:54:26.:54:35.

celebrating Thanksgiving. It is a great holiday. One thing Barack

:54:35.:54:38.

Obama will be feeling especially thankful for is his campaign's top

:54:38.:54:41.

notch private polling operation. It is widely credited with giving him

:54:41.:54:43.

a mathematical edge over Mitt Romney in last month's presidential

:54:43.:54:48.

And it's left Republican pollsters scratching their heads over how

:54:48.:54:54.

they managed to get their numbers so wrong. Adam's been meeting one

:54:54.:55:04.
:55:04.:55:06.

of them, Fox News favourite Frank Luntz. He has the immediate

:55:06.:55:11.

reaction. We have some of the most important people in America seated

:55:11.:55:19.

right here. For a glance has made his name folks sing -- filming

:55:19.:55:23.

televised focus groups. He said Mitt Romney would triumph in the

:55:23.:55:30.

popular vote. Barack Obama has empathy and Mitt Romney does not.

:55:30.:55:34.

He came across as a no-nonsense businessman that he did not

:55:34.:55:38.

understand the challenges. Barack Obama may not have been able to fix

:55:38.:55:44.

the problems but he proved he understood them. Some boffins did

:55:44.:55:47.

get the result right. The Republican polling establish what

:55:48.:55:56.

was also universally wrong. Why? establishment. You have to work out

:55:56.:56:01.

who will vote. Those that are supported Barack Obama turned out a

:56:01.:56:04.

much higher numbers than anyone expected. It is not just judging

:56:04.:56:13.

what people think, it is judging the intensity - the passion - the

:56:13.:56:17.

commitment of that thought. There are lessons for the pollsters but

:56:17.:56:23.

also for the politicians. Number one, whoever defines first wins the

:56:23.:56:29.

election. Number two, if you don't have a positive, proactive

:56:29.:56:35.

visionary approach, they will not vote for you. There is no not

:56:35.:56:38.

candidate X. They have to vote for someone and not just against

:56:38.:56:42.

someone. Their third is knowing who will they do making sure it will

:56:42.:56:52.
:56:52.:56:56.

supporters actually participate. -- the third is knowing who they will

:56:56.:57:03.

vote for. It is about understanding good difficult challenges of hard-

:57:03.:57:08.

working people. The challenge for Labour is not just to be critical.

:57:08.:57:13.

Critics don't just get votes, they need a positive alternative. The

:57:13.:57:20.

plan for the Lib Dems is to be relevant. You cannot win people

:57:20.:57:26.

over amnesty to something that is distinctive. You wrote the last

:57:27.:57:31.

Conservative manifesto. I bet the next one is pretty different.

:57:31.:57:36.

might not have so much in it. not think you will have a big

:57:36.:57:40.

society and I do not think you will be saying vote Ploo, go green. What

:57:40.:57:45.

do you think the thrust of it should be? We heard in the

:57:45.:57:49.

conference speech this year, deficit, welfare schools. Those of

:57:49.:57:54.

the big issues for him. He thinks layback are on the wrong side of

:57:54.:57:58.

all of those issues. That is what and see the manifesto been built

:57:58.:58:03.

around. They have a mountain to climb. Mr Obama could lose lots of

:58:03.:58:07.

votes and still win that your party has to gain a lot of votes. I do

:58:07.:58:15.

not think that has been turned by a sitting Prime Minister since 1955.

:58:15.:58:20.

Possibly. -- has been done. Two things give me confidence. The

:58:20.:58:27.

Prime Minister identifying strivers. It took a while. And Disraeli. And

:58:27.:58:30.

Blair indeed. What the Obama victory shows, is the campaign he

:58:30.:58:35.

would like to fight, Britain is on the bike track, do not turn back,

:58:35.:58:39.

can That's all for today. Thanks to our guests. The One O'clock News is

:58:39.:58:44.

starting over on BBC One now. And I will be back here tonight for This

:58:44.:58:46.

Week with Anne Atkins talking women bishops, Richard Bacon on gossip

:58:46.:58:50.

and Ann Leslie looking back over the news of the week. So join me,

:58:50.:58:53.

Michael Portillo and Alan Johnson at 11:35am on BBC1. And I'll be

:58:53.:58:57.

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