06/05/2014 Daily Politics


06/05/2014

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Hello and welcome to the Daily Politics.

:00:36.:00:37.

The Liberal Democrats launch their local election campaign,

:00:38.:00:39.

with Nick Clegg promising to freeze council tax and protect

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We'll be on the campaign trail with Lib Dem President Tim Farron,

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Conservative Chairman Grant Shapps, and Labour's Hilary Benn.

:00:49.:00:53.

One third of the population of England and Wales could be

:00:54.:00:56.

from an ethnic minority by 2050, according to a new study.

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We'll hear from the author of the report.

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So help me God. Not a single vote cast in my name. Democracy is so

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overrated. And what makes a great political TV

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thriller? And with us for the whole programme

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today is the Conservative peer Michael Dobbs, perhaps better known

:01:24.:01:34.

as the writer of the political thriller House of Cards which has

:01:35.:01:37.

been remade as a TV series in the States starring Kevin Spacey. If

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you've got any questions you'd like to ask Michael tweet us now using

:01:42.:01:44.

the hashtag #bbcdp. We'll put some of your questions to him

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at the end of the programme. Let's start though with

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the report out today from the think tank Policy Exchange, which

:01:54.:02:04.

predicts that by 2050 one third of the population of England and

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Wales will be from Rishni Sunak co-wrote the report

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and joins us now. The growing ethnic minority

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community in the UK will be an important part of the electorate.

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And all these minority groups are very different. Research has looked

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at their different life experience, attitudes and aspirations. On almost

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any metric there are quite striking differences between these

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communities that should be understood by politicians. In terms

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of voting currently the majority of voters from ethnic minority

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backgrounds vote for the Labour Party. That is true that there is

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still the difference between the Indian community who are likely to

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vote Conservative. So even on a general statistic, there are wide

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differences. Do you think that the Conservatives have done anything to

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galvanise the vote? I think they have made some moves. From the work

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we are doing I think we're are seeing the benefits of that starting

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to come through and individual communities need to be engaged with

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on ways that are meaningful to them and will address their needs.

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Hopefully our research highlights the issues of interest to each

:03:42.:03:49.

community. If the parties lumped together people from different

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grounds, what are the lines of differentiation for those

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communities with Mac the Indian community overwhelmingly to own

:04:01.:04:03.

their own homes more so than any other ethnic group in the UK. The

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black and African community are less likely to do so. So policies around

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mortgage rates and stamp duty, those should be topics that resonate with

:04:17.:04:20.

the Indian community. On the other hand education, one of the findings

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in our research was the improvement amongst the Bangladeshi immunity

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with regard to GCSE results. That is in spite of a large number of

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Bangladeshi students on free school meals. That would be seen as

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evidence of the government's reform with regards to education. That is

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not good news for the Conservatives, Michael Dobbs. We have ethnic

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minorities now in the Cabinet and in the House of Lords. And a huge raft

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of talented ethnic minority ministers. What we must not do is

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get into the symbolism, just putting up tokens. Tory values are all about

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education, owning your own home, entrepreneurship. The huge chunk of

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the ethnic minority community does what exactly that. Why have you not

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appeal to them until now. We have not been as good as we should have

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been pushing across the message. What I love about the report is that

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it engages us in a conversation. For a decade or more you could not

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discuss immigration. If any Tory spoke about that he was immediately

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accused of racism. That was a desperately destructive period and I

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think we have now got beyond that. The interest of the ethnic minority

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community is interesting especially towards issues like immigration. In

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the research we are doing we find that they have quite subtle views

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about immigration. They're not in favour of mass immigration by any

:06:21.:06:28.

means. You have said that there will be startling changes by 2050. But

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4.2% of MPs are from ethnic minorities so there is still a

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massive gap. I think that will probably change over time. For

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immigration, the growth in the ethnic minority population is just

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coming from the demographic structure of that population, it is

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a very young population. For those under ten years old, 25% of those

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come from ethnic minority backgrounds. As they grow up they

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will become a much more significant part of the population. But one

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problem is to get young people to vote, right across the board. If I

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can take this vacillating report, it does raise all kinds of issues.

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Perhaps one of the key things is that we have to change the language

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about this. We called it ethnic sonorities but they are not

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minorities any more but substantial presences. The more that we can get

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away from dividing communities and find out what brings us together, it

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will be a much healthier debate and a healthier society. I hope we can

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resist the temptation to say that we must be divided society. The study

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also shows that many people from ethnic and naughty backgrounds feel

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very British. Now it's time for our quiz, and

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the question for today is - which of these books hasn't made it into

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the top ten books borrowed from the C,

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The Lonely Planet guide to Myanmar? Or D, Erskine May's Treatise

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on the Law, Privileges, Proceedings At the end of

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the show Michael will hopefully be There are just over two weeks to go

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before the elections on May the 22nd and this morning the Lib Dems staged

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unofficial campaign launch. Speaking at the Ministry of Sound nightclub

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in London the Deputy Prime Minister Nick Clegg set out why he believed

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people should vote Lib Dem. We're not asking you to vote for us to

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just stick up two fingers against the other parties. We are asking you

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to vote for something. Because we can be relied upon to look after

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your money when times are tough. To protect jobs when jobs are what give

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people dignity and hope in the future. To stand up for Britain with

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its head held high, not cowering in the corner from international

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challenges we face. For a generous, open hearted approach, not only to

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what we do in our country but how we treat other countries in our own

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European neighbourhood as well. For a clean, sustainable environment for

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future generations. Joining me now from

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their election campaign launch is And in the studio is the

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Conservative Party chairman Grant Shapps, and Labour's Hilary

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Benn. Support for the Lib Dems, research

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so you have lost a lot of support. How worried are you. I have been

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spending a lot of time knocking on doors in Manchester and Haringey in

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the past few days. And there is a strong sense of Lib Dem support

:10:33.:10:38.

being strong in the areas that we worked hardest in. That includes

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areas that have been traditionally Labour. In Manchester many people

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may not be the biggest fans of the coalition government but they are

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voting Liberal Democrat because locally they are opposing Labour's

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savage cuts. They are making cuts they do not need to make when times

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are tough already. It is in our DNA that we do community politics. That

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is not just something we do as an electoral tactic that it is who we

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are and we live that on a day-to-day basis. So we have pulled off big

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comebacks in certain areas. That comes after a bad set of results in

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2010 because people on the ground recognise that Lib Dem councillors

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different kind of creature. You get people who work hard for you all

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year round. Research shows just under a third of those voting Lib

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Dem in 2010 and two currently state of voting intention now, say they

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will vote for Labour. And you say your trademark is local elections, a

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local base for support. There have been suggestions that the Lib Dems

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made news 350 seats in these elections which will cut your local

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governments standing by almost half. So your trademark is fast

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disappearing. Well in the last three sets of local elections we have had

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setbacks and we just the number of seats we have held. But each setback

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has been less bad than the one year before and I predict we will be in a

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similar situation. People vote on the basis of the context of the

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community they live in. But of course we had a difficult few years.

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This was the last set of elections in the first midterm cycle for

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Liberal Democrat government for the best part of a century. We inherited

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dreadful circumstances, whoever you blame, we inherited that mess and of

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course you will not get universally thanked for taking the tough

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decisions and holding our nerve to make sure we see us through the

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recovery. We knew we would get difficult election results. What you

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will see up and down the country is work Liberal Democrat work hard on

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the ground, we have bucked the trend. We took a seat from the

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Conservatives in Cambridge. So on the ground you still see us winning.

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But none of this is reflected in actual results. However much you

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sugar-coat it. The figures do not stack up. Since January the 1st the

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Liberal Democrats have gained more seats in local council by-elections

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than any other little party, more than any other little party. Twice

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as many as you can. So that is bearing out exactly what I am

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saying. Well they have actually been dire for you, the opinion polls. And

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political research shows that disaffected Lib Dem voters, almost

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one in ten say they would now back the Green Party add a similar

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proportion would back UKIP. While the Liberal Democrats, whatever

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rating you choose to believe, just remember that is the normal mid-term

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results for a Liberal Democrat opinion poll rating. The last

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opinion poll we had before we had a change of leader was 12%. So Liberal

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Democrats are made of sterner stuff than to be frightened by opinion

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polls. We do not scare easily. What we are committed to saving

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communities and doing a really good job for them. Putting the

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environment first. We have not forgotten about Green politics. And

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every single councillor in the country for the Lib Dems have frozen

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the council taxes. Because we need to keep bills down in tough times.

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He sounds very gung ho. Labour has to do something pretty exciting in

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these local elections and the European elections if they are to

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have any chance of making an impact next year in the general election.

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We are looking to gain seats, as we've done over the last two sets of

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elections. My constituents would say to Tim Farron, those affected by the

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bedroom tax, I have 2800 families in my constituency, they are on low

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incomes and are having to pay money that they are finding it very hard

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to put their hands on because the Lib Dems and the Tories have decided

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they should be penalised because they are on low incomes. People

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desperately waiting for a house, they will see that in

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Labour-controlled local authorities there are twice as many social homes

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being built now than in Conservative controlled ones, and five times as

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many as in Lib Dem controlled authorities. This is about what

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people see locally. Whose side of the parties on, what are your

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values? Many people are finding the cost of living pretty tough and look

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at what Ed Miliband is saying about energy prices and rents, which grant

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had something to say about last week. There are 9 million people in

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the private rented sector now, giving them some certainty into what

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will happen to rent increases. If your cost of living narrative, which

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Labour goes on and on about, actually cutting through to the

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electorate, why have the polls not moved? They are booming in the wrong

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direction for you against these other parties, the gap is narrowing

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with the Conservatives and you are making no more gains. I wouldn't

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regard 38% as flat-lining. It hasn't moved. You are in opposition and you

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say your cost of living narrative is having a huge success, why don't you

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feel it in your poll ratings? Certainly in contrast to wear grant

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and the Conservatives find themselves, yes, we are doing better

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than them. The next general election is always going to be a closely

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fought election. What really matters, I will agree with Tim on

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one thing, it's how people cast their votes when they come to put

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that ballot paper in the box. You are out of touch with local people,

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that's what Hilary Benn is saying. They are talking about the things at

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the bedroom tax, rates spiralling out of control. The good news is

:17:41.:17:44.

just not affecting people locally. How do you answer that on the

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doorstep? I think councils have done a very good job of handling some

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difficult cuts in their grants from central government, I acknowledge

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that is the case. They have suffered more than any other part of

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government. They've taken a bigger hit than almost any part. One of the

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largest. Satisfaction in the services provided by local councils

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has gone up, not down. That demonstrate it is possible to do

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more for less. Actually, it's probably the big message of this

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election. Conservative councils cost you an band EE, ?89 a year less than

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they do when they are Labour-controlled. And ?106 less

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year than if they are Lib Dem controlled. They give you better

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value for money and better services. If you talk about individual

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circumstances like the bedroom tax, the subsidy, it's not a tax, it's

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important to understand the most vulnerable people in this entire

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scenario are the people who don't have a roof over their heads at all.

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The waiting lists have doubled under the previous government. We are

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acting to get those lists down. You've done nothing about it. All

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the parties are jumping on the housing bandwagon. Let me put it to

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you, how many houses have you built since 2010? 100 and 70,000 new. It's

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untrue to say we haven't been tackling it. The waiting lists have

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been going down, as a result of us taking difficult decisions about not

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funding rooms which are empty, but funding rooms which we can get

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people off the waiting list and into. That's the side of this debate

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that people forget to mention. That's why we run these services

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making the difficult decisions, as we've done by the bigger question of

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reducing the deficit over role. What about the intervention on the

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housing market and a potential cap on rents, hasn't something got to be

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done about spiralling rent? Let's get the facts and figures straight.

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It varies on where you are in the country. The Office for National

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Statistics show that rents went up by 1%. In other words, lower than

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inflation. The interesting second fact is, what did rent controls do

:20:02.:20:04.

when they were introduced in 1939? The size of the private rented

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sector was 55%. It's wrong to 8% and it was terrible quality. Fewer

:20:11.:20:17.

properties available, words -- worse quality properties. Greene in

:20:18.:20:21.

London, rents have gone up around 10% in the last year. This is not

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rent control because the initial rent would be set by market forces,

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as happens at the moment. What this is about is saying in offering table

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if they want a three-year tenancy, that they have some certainty as to

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what's going to happen to rents in the second and third year. People

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don't have the right to get a three-year tenancy. They will be

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forced to offer the three years? Landlords would be required...

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Landlords might not want to do that. There are 1.3 million families

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currently in the private rented sector. The children are starting

:21:03.:21:05.

school, you don't know whether you are going to be in the property next

:21:06.:21:10.

year. The landlord might renew the tenancy but they might put the rent

:21:11.:21:14.

by 5% or 10%. Family finances can't cope with that. It's about getting a

:21:15.:21:18.

bit more security to people in what is a housing tenure. Let's become to

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Tim Farron. One of the problems I put to you and the housing issue is

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UR associated with a government that introduced things like the so called

:21:30.:21:33.

bedroom tax, which is what Labour called the spare room subsidy, which

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ever way you want to look at it, that you are associated with welfare

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cuts. That perhaps some of your traditional left of centre voters

:21:42.:21:45.

now blame you for that. In a coalition government, if people are

:21:46.:21:50.

going to look simply sticky at it, the fact that because the electoral

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arithmetic lead only to one conclusion, which was a conservative

:21:55.:21:58.

Liberal Democrat coalition government, then some people you

:21:59.:22:01.

want to get their head around that. Some people think even if you share

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the same space as a Conservative, that somehow renders you ineligible

:22:06.:22:09.

for election to anything. On the housing issue, I want to be fair to

:22:10.:22:14.

Ed Miliband, I want to say that I think he's identified, like many of

:22:15.:22:23.

us, a problem. I can't be much fairer than that because I think he

:22:24.:22:26.

has been guilty of just picking out another gimmick. The reality is,

:22:27.:22:28.

Grant points it out, this Government has built 170,000 new, affordable

:22:29.:22:33.

rented homes. That is not nearly enough, but it is infinitely more

:22:34.:22:38.

than the Labour Party. Labour lost over 400,000 council houses when

:22:39.:22:41.

they were in power. And the problem that Ed Miliband is trying to solve,

:22:42.:22:45.

and we are all trying to solve, is the fact there isn't enough supply.

:22:46.:22:50.

Both Conservative and Labour governments have seen a lot of

:22:51.:22:55.

social rent housing. -- a loss of social rent housing. I don't support

:22:56.:23:07.

the spare room subsidy, but I understand why the Government did

:23:08.:23:09.

it. Because of Labour and Tory inaction on meeting supply needs,

:23:10.:23:11.

it's pushed rents and therefore housing benefits out of control.

:23:12.:23:16.

Obviously the government is talking about the improving economy, and you

:23:17.:23:21.

can point to broader economic indicators to back that up. What is

:23:22.:23:25.

striking is that it hasn't led through into the polls. Does that

:23:26.:23:29.

worry you? The polls will move around. Unemployment is down, growth

:23:30.:23:37.

is back, you would have thought that might lead to a bounce at least. The

:23:38.:23:44.

gap is on average about 3%. We have made some of the hardest, most

:23:45.:23:49.

difficult decisions about stopping this country from going bust.

:23:50.:23:53.

Remember, we have the same percentage deficit as the Greek

:23:54.:23:56.

economy, and we saw what happened there. We've turned from that, being

:23:57.:24:00.

told we needed a Plan B, that we were going in the wrong direction,

:24:01.:24:05.

we've managed to... The growth didn't come back for three years, we

:24:06.:24:09.

will never know. What we do know is that we now have the fastest growing

:24:10.:24:14.

economy in advanced economies anywhere in the world. So why aren't

:24:15.:24:19.

people backing you? I think it takes time for people to feel this through

:24:20.:24:23.

their pay packets. When you have the greatest recession in 100 years,

:24:24.:24:28.

7.2% knocked off the size of the economy, to think you can suddenly

:24:29.:24:34.

turn around and eradicate that, it's not true. It was George Osborne who

:24:35.:24:38.

felt he could turn it around in a quicker time. That entire recession

:24:39.:24:42.

took place under the previous government. There was no recession

:24:43.:24:46.

once we had come in. The size of that recession was much deeper. The

:24:47.:24:51.

cost of living narrative has been interesting in terms of its

:24:52.:24:54.

response. It may not also have led to a massive jump in the polls for

:24:55.:24:58.

you, do you think the problem for Labour is, while they might have

:24:59.:25:02.

identified the issues that the person of the electorate has, they

:25:03.:25:05.

just don't like the messenger, Ed Miliband is not seen as a future

:25:06.:25:11.

Prime Minister? I don't agree with that at all. Average council tax in

:25:12.:25:15.

Labour-controlled authorities is lower than conservative ones. I

:25:16.:25:18.

think it's about values. Because David Cameron says take energy

:25:19.:25:24.

prices, a big problem. We've opposed to reform to the energy market and

:25:25.:25:28.

have the energy price freeze, David Cameron says we should back the

:25:29.:25:31.

energy companies. David Cameron says a bit more security for people in

:25:32.:25:35.

the private rented sector is going back to the past. It's not. It's

:25:36.:25:38.

about looking that the real problem is that people face. Take local

:25:39.:25:42.

councils, why is it that the people who are leading on giving the living

:25:43.:25:47.

wage to council employees Labour-controlled local authorities?

:25:48.:25:49.

Tory councils aren't doing that. It's about giving people help in

:25:50.:25:56.

difficult times. There's a slight of hand when you talk about the average

:25:57.:26:00.

council tax. Everyone knows you have constituencies in burrows with

:26:01.:26:03.

different demographics, with sometimes more of the smaller

:26:04.:26:06.

properties. So when you talk about the average it is incorrect and

:26:07.:26:11.

misleading. The band geek test is the test, because it's the average

:26:12.:26:15.

size home and in that regard we are ?89 a cheaper. -- Band ghee. How

:26:16.:26:24.

important are these local elections? How big an indicator DQ

:26:25.:26:28.

think they will be a year before the big day? Wii they also coincide with

:26:29.:26:34.

the European elections, and they are the ones getting the headlines. They

:26:35.:26:37.

are frankly being watched around Europe and the world for what will

:26:38.:26:42.

go on there. They are very important. It wasn't so long ago

:26:43.:26:47.

that we were hearing cataclysmic forecasts that local government was

:26:48.:26:50.

going to come to an end, because it was going to be cut to pieces and

:26:51.:26:53.

destroyed. Somehow it seems to have gone on, continued. Satisfaction

:26:54.:27:01.

does seem to be not having collapsed. I think there will be a

:27:02.:27:06.

lot of things thrown into local election results. But the one thing

:27:07.:27:10.

I do hope that they will be able to focus on still is the fact that

:27:11.:27:14.

these are about the people you elect locally. I think the last four years

:27:15.:27:18.

have shown that it does make a difference you have representing you

:27:19.:27:18.

locally. If you want to cast a vote in the

:27:19.:27:26.

European or local elections on May 22nd you need to be on the electoral

:27:27.:27:30.

register, and the deadline for Our reporter Eleanor

:27:31.:27:33.

Garnier has more on this. If you are not registered you will

:27:34.:27:43.

not be voting. If you are one of the estimated 6.5 million people not yet

:27:44.:27:46.

signed up, time is running out. But don't panic, help is on hand here

:27:47.:27:53.

today. I've got Becky Jarvis, the campaigns manager at 38 degrees. And

:27:54.:27:58.

councillor Peter Fleming, from the Local Government Association. Whose

:27:59.:28:02.

fault is it that millions of people aren't registered? I think the local

:28:03.:28:06.

council could be doing more than they do about registering the vote.

:28:07.:28:10.

They make it quite difficult for people. You have do register to vote

:28:11.:28:17.

weeks in advance. But also I think there's a problem with broken

:28:18.:28:21.

politics. Our members often tell me they don't trust politicians, they

:28:22.:28:25.

don't feel they have any agency, they don't feel like they're

:28:26.:28:28.

politicians are accountable to them. That's another reason why people

:28:29.:28:33.

can't be bothered. It sounds like local authorities have got a lot

:28:34.:28:36.

more to do to get people signed up. I think the signing a lot more to do

:28:37.:28:40.

to get people signed up. I think the signing of big is because we have to

:28:41.:28:45.

go through and check that people are who they really say they are. That

:28:46.:28:51.

is set by this place, not by local authorities. We are enacting the

:28:52.:28:56.

rules that are set down for us. Now we have individual voter

:28:57.:28:59.

registration, that has gone a whole heap more complicated. That change

:29:00.:29:03.

won't come in until the summer, when it will also change from being

:29:04.:29:08.

registering not just in person but online as well. So we will move from

:29:09.:29:12.

being household registration to individual, but also the online

:29:13.:29:17.

thing. How much will that change it and help? Hopefully it will mean a

:29:18.:29:21.

massive change and a real help. It will mean that these forced points

:29:22.:29:25.

in the year where people have too register to vote by will go, you can

:29:26.:29:30.

vote any time of the year. That will really help, particularly when

:29:31.:29:34.

people move into a new area. Do you think councils are the right

:29:35.:29:39.

organisations to be managing voter registration? One of the exciting

:29:40.:29:43.

things about joining the vote is its everyday people knocking on people's

:29:44.:29:49.

door, asking people to register to vote. Your neighbours, people

:29:50.:29:53.

talking about politics. But not about party politics or

:29:54.:29:56.

personalities, but about the issues they care about. That is really

:29:57.:30:00.

exciting. We've seen that there has been a huge host of positive

:30:01.:30:05.

feedback about people, our members, who have been volunteering to

:30:06.:30:08.

register people to vote. Hopefully we've got a good few more thousand

:30:09.:30:18.

registered. Your campaign was to get many more people signed up. If

:30:19.:30:23.

people are watching now who have not registered, what should they do. By

:30:24.:30:29.

midnight tonight, if you go online and find the website, all about my

:30:30.:30:37.

vote, but will tell you where the local voter registration base is.

:30:38.:30:42.

You can download that form and fill it in and handed over. I'll go to

:30:43.:30:53.

the website, 38 degrees. I just want to bust a couple of myths about

:30:54.:30:59.

voter registration. You can register to vote in more than one place. If

:31:00.:31:03.

you're a student in Leeds but your home address is London, you can vote

:31:04.:31:07.

in the local elections both cities but you must only vote once in the

:31:08.:31:11.

European elections. You have to choose which a city for those

:31:12.:31:18.

elections. And if you're signed up to pay council tax it does mean a

:31:19.:31:22.

lot automatically registered to vote. And perhaps an incentive, if

:31:23.:31:26.

you're not registered, it could affect your credit rating.

:31:27.:31:45.

It's back to earth with a bump after the bank holiday weekend.

:31:46.:31:48.

Well, at least it is for the Business,

:31:49.:31:51.

Members will be debating whether to hold an inquiry into Pfizer's ?63

:31:52.:31:55.

million takeover bid for British pharmaceutical company, Astrazeneca.

:31:56.:31:57.

This follows Ed Miliband's calls for an investigation over the weekend.

:31:58.:32:01.

On Wednesday that mid-week anchor, PMQs, returns as usual.

:32:02.:32:05.

There's nothing like getting out of the office and into the sunshine.

:32:06.:32:09.

And the party leaders will be making the most of the spring weather to

:32:10.:32:12.

Messrs' Cameron, Clegg and Miliband will all be mingling with the voters

:32:13.:32:19.

in the hopes of bolstering their chances on May 22nd.

:32:20.:32:25.

And just when you thought all the fun was over, Friday brings the

:32:26.:32:28.

launch of the Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition media campaign

:32:29.:32:31.

You'll be glad it's the weekend after all that!

:32:32.:32:41.

I'm joined now by Beth Rigby from the Financial Times and Tamara Cohen

:32:42.:32:45.

Ed Miliband and AstraZeneca, this proposed takeover, with Ed Miliband

:32:46.:33:01.

saying they should be a big public interest test. It is a massive

:33:02.:33:09.

proposed merger and it is important to Britain and politically

:33:10.:33:14.

important, is that life sciences is a key sector that the government

:33:15.:33:19.

need to protect and invest in if we want to move away from financial

:33:20.:33:24.

services and diversify the economy. In terms of the politics of the

:33:25.:33:32.

deal, it is beginning to fall between Labour being anti the

:33:33.:33:37.

takeover and the conservative side of the coalition being for it. Have

:33:38.:33:44.

they actually stated that they are for it. They have not but the CEO of

:33:45.:33:56.

Pfizer plug-in last week, he met a number of ministers and put the case

:33:57.:34:00.

to government about why they should back the deal. It is usually

:34:01.:34:05.

imported to Britain because Pfizer and AstraZeneca, if Pfizer coming

:34:06.:34:10.

and cut jobs and cut research spending, it could damage the

:34:11.:34:16.

science base and the economy. So there's a big political fight

:34:17.:34:19.

underway as to whether or not the deal should go through and can the

:34:20.:34:27.

government safeguard jobs. If David Cameron in a difficult position, he

:34:28.:34:32.

reportedly has been told to remain neutral on this proposed takeover

:34:33.:34:36.

and he is a free-market Conservative. Ed Miliband at the

:34:37.:34:42.

weekend wedding and accused the Prime Minister cheerleading for this

:34:43.:34:47.

deal. After having said it was a matter for the board of AstraZeneca

:34:48.:34:51.

to decide. The Prime Minister then sent Jeremy Heywood two seemingly

:34:52.:34:57.

negotiate with Pfizer and it looked like they were on the side of the

:34:58.:35:01.

takeover, which of course will be the biggest ever takeover of a

:35:02.:35:08.

British firm, if it goes ahead. If you look at the history of Pfizer in

:35:09.:35:12.

the past few years, it has taken over a number of companies and has

:35:13.:35:19.

not invested in research. I think the government have been surprised,

:35:20.:35:24.

having expected this to be seen as a cool, how many concerns have been

:35:25.:35:28.

raised about whether Pfizer are acting in the interests of Britain.

:35:29.:35:34.

Do you think that David Cameron should keep out of the whole thing.

:35:35.:35:38.

He is in a difficult position but politics are all about taking a

:35:39.:35:42.

difficult decisions. What I think he should be doing first and foremost

:35:43.:35:47.

is make sure that the guarantees offered by Pfizer to shareholders

:35:48.:35:53.

and everyone else, will be kept. Far too often in the past we have had

:35:54.:35:56.

foreign companies taking over things, like Cadbury, and they have

:35:57.:36:03.

not always kept the bond, the word that they gave when they were taking

:36:04.:36:10.

things over. That must be avoided. Actually it is a great compliment

:36:11.:36:16.

and shows what good is going on. But not if it leads to the break-up of

:36:17.:36:20.

AstraZeneca and the loss of jobs, or as does Johnson has said, a lack of

:36:21.:36:24.

investment in research and development. Picking over the

:36:25.:36:33.

takeover of Cadbury, politicians really what to get on the front foot

:36:34.:36:38.

now. You have Adrian Bailey on the business select committee calling in

:36:39.:36:43.

the CEO of both companies, and the science and technology committee

:36:44.:36:49.

calling in officials companies. I spoke earlier to Adrian Bailey and

:36:50.:36:53.

he said what they want to do this time is make sure that they get

:36:54.:36:56.

assurances on public record in front of MPs for any deal does go ahead

:36:57.:37:02.

because they want to bind the company in a way they feel they did

:37:03.:37:09.

not in craft and Cadbury. Well they will no doubt be questioning by the

:37:10.:37:13.

committees involved. Let us turn to Michael Wheatley, given life

:37:14.:37:19.

sentences for a series of brutal raids on banks and building

:37:20.:37:23.

societies and who owns the Nick named skull cracker. But he was in

:37:24.:37:27.

an open prison and has absconded. This was the justice secretary

:37:28.:37:35.

earlier. I want to be certain what happened in this case and I want a

:37:36.:37:38.

system that is much more robust and only lets people out of open prisons

:37:39.:37:43.

when there is a clear reason for doing so. All I want a system where

:37:44.:37:48.

people go out with a tag on the ankle so we know where they are. Why

:37:49.:37:54.

was this man in an open prison, do you think. I have no idea. It is

:37:55.:38:00.

very bad for us sitting here to pontificate because we do not have

:38:01.:38:03.

the details. But there have to be standards. Why was he let out

:38:04.:38:09.

without a tag. A man with a record like that. There are issues to be

:38:10.:38:15.

raised here and I think that Chris Grayling has said he will get the

:38:16.:38:20.

details of that and find out who made those decisions and why. It is

:38:21.:38:24.

a difficult for us to say it must have been a bad decision. What we

:38:25.:38:30.

cannot have are people lie back out on the streets and we do not know

:38:31.:38:34.

where they are. Most of us reckon they should still be in prison. But

:38:35.:38:37.

is there anything that Chris Grayling can actually do about this.

:38:38.:38:43.

He clearly needs to work out whether this is a one-off or a wider

:38:44.:38:48.

problem. You can look at what has been happening in the probation

:38:49.:38:51.

services where they are trying to cut costs and are outsourcing

:38:52.:38:56.

contracts. Things are going slightly awry. I think it's important for the

:38:57.:39:00.

government to reassure people that this is a one-off and not more

:39:01.:39:08.

systemic problem within the system. This rather throws out the line

:39:09.:39:16.

about being tough. It is embarrassing, his nickname was skull

:39:17.:39:21.

cracker and he was in an open prison. Also the timing of it. Last

:39:22.:39:27.

week we have leaked e-mails about a coalition row, the Conservatives

:39:28.:39:30.

wanted to jail repeat knife offenders. The Lib Dems were not so

:39:31.:39:38.

keen on it. This is embarrassing timing for them and there will be

:39:39.:39:41.

more questions raised about this all week. Well we may miss the machinery

:39:42.:39:57.

behind the scenes of the general and local elections. All parties have

:39:58.:40:02.

workers and structures that delivered the organisation that

:40:03.:40:05.

keeps things ticking over. But has the machine become too slick and

:40:06.:40:10.

controlling? Our guest of the day was close enough to see those cogs

:40:11.:40:15.

whirring. But first he has been looking into the engines of

:40:16.:40:19.

politics. Whether big posters for small parties breaking into the

:40:20.:40:22.

scene or more well-known names, small parties breaking into the

:40:23.:40:28.

having a rock star entrance organised for a low rent election

:40:29.:40:33.

campaign launch, or getting out to do your bit for your party with a

:40:34.:40:40.

bit of voluntary help. Or communications teams that organised

:40:41.:40:43.

and facilitate parties talking to the media. Every party needs and

:40:44.:40:53.

almost always creates a machine. Politicians need the machine behind

:40:54.:40:57.

them because there are so many tasks that have to be done and they have

:40:58.:41:00.

to be done so well in the modern world. When there are good are very

:41:01.:41:04.

good and when they are bad there are awful. The essential point is that

:41:05.:41:08.

one thing really counts. You cannot do anything in politics apart from

:41:09.:41:14.

criticise and influence unless you have power and power means being

:41:15.:41:20.

elect did. You cannot get elected without a machine. And as the years

:41:21.:41:22.

have gone on on the conservative side, campaign headquarters has

:41:23.:41:30.

become more and more of a short term election sheen. Sometimes it does it

:41:31.:41:34.

well, sometimes badly. The machine also accepts an element of control.

:41:35.:41:40.

It depends on how much control. For the party to be effective, both in

:41:41.:41:45.

campaigning and also in delivering on the things it campaigns on, there

:41:46.:41:49.

has to be a degree of discipline and thinking through and getting people

:41:50.:41:53.

to agree on what they agree on and not get diverted. The problem has

:41:54.:42:02.

been building over time. So as the machine becomes huge in some cases,

:42:03.:42:07.

just explaining it rather hints at what is wrong with it. But do not be

:42:08.:42:10.

fooled into thinking that other party machines are less simpler. In

:42:11.:42:18.

1983 Labour's NEC met every day of the election campaign. It was later

:42:19.:42:23.

widely seen as more of a spanner in the works. Today control or to be

:42:24.:42:31.

more like -- more light touch. Great political campaigns are

:42:32.:42:33.

extraordinarily tight on message and on the issues you campaign on, image

:42:34.:42:40.

you have and loose about how you deliver on the ground. So you can

:42:41.:42:43.

allow a local candidate to tailor the material and the themes to the

:42:44.:42:51.

local context. Yet today there is concern that the well oiled

:42:52.:42:54.

Conservative machine is too focused on elections. You permanently wading

:42:55.:43:00.

the long term work you're doing to build up vote over many years for

:43:01.:43:05.

the short term needs of here and now. A by-election, a crisis in a

:43:06.:43:13.

marginal seat. That is all fine but you need long-term research and

:43:14.:43:20.

candidate development. One supposes that the perfect answer is Deus Ex

:43:21.:43:32.

machina. But that seems yet to have revealed itself. We have been joined

:43:33.:43:42.

in the studio by Olly Grender who works for the campaign for Paddy

:43:43.:43:46.

Ashdown and the editor of the Labour Uncut blog, well. You could arguably

:43:47.:44:04.

say that all three parties are in trouble in terms of their party

:44:05.:44:07.

machinery. UKIP do not have that behind them and they are the ones

:44:08.:44:13.

making headway. It is interesting. All three parties have

:44:14.:44:16.

organisational difficulties and also financial difficulties. We have

:44:17.:44:22.

often sacrificed the long-term for the short-term, as was mentioned.

:44:23.:44:29.

There is a good balance between fighting a campaign and having that

:44:30.:44:35.

long-term policy element. That has become much more focused now on the

:44:36.:44:41.

media. I think that for all three parties is a weakness. Of course

:44:42.:44:47.

UKIP, may end up being a flash in the pan, they are a media creation.

:44:48.:44:53.

Whether the MIDI -- whether the media allows them to continue,

:44:54.:45:07.

history will tell us. It's always been a problem. Yes, it's the mass

:45:08.:45:10.

membership party. been a problem. Yes, it's the mass

:45:11.:45:15.

that is run incredibly smoothly actually not a political party,

:45:16.:45:19.

because it's all about individuals, new ideas and changing things, and

:45:20.:45:23.

you always expect some troubled waters. Do you think the Liberal

:45:24.:45:29.

Democrats are two Democratic in their internal structures, and that

:45:30.:45:32.

makes it difficult for the party leadership to impose that central

:45:33.:45:37.

message? I think it's difficult for the party leadership, but the upside

:45:38.:45:39.

in having an incredibly democratic machine is, for instance,

:45:40.:45:46.

in having an incredibly democratic coalition. 80% of our members are

:45:47.:45:48.

still in favour of as having gone into coalition in the Thursdays.

:45:49.:45:53.

Why? Because they got a vote on it. That is incredibly important. There

:45:54.:45:57.

is a great wealth and That is incredibly important. There

:45:58.:46:02.

been good democracy within a party. I appreciate that everyone laughs at

:46:03.:46:06.

the rather complex structure that was shown on the video tape just

:46:07.:46:10.

now, but I think in many ways it works. Except how well equipped was

:46:11.:46:17.

the party machine to deal with, for example, allegations about Lord

:46:18.:46:21.

Rennard? That makes it incredibly difficult because there is a natural

:46:22.:46:24.

justice process and there are certain rules one has to go

:46:25.:46:28.

through. What it has helped with is a full enquiry, all sorts of things

:46:29.:46:34.

have been instigated. A special hotline. I think there are great

:46:35.:46:37.

improvements within the party machine on that, and they've been

:46:38.:46:40.

done partly because there are committees and structures to do it.

:46:41.:46:46.

How is Labour HQ faring at the moment? I have spoken to a range of

:46:47.:46:53.

candidates over the weekend. I'm wondering how the feeling is at the

:46:54.:46:56.

moment. One of the problem is always in a campaign is that there's always

:46:57.:47:01.

that tension you alluded to between head office and the candidates in

:47:02.:47:04.

the field. The candidates think head office doesn't understand what they

:47:05.:47:09.

are doing and head office thinks the candidates are doing this, that and

:47:10.:47:13.

the other and aren't sticking to the message. The problem we've got at

:47:14.:47:17.

the moment, at head office for labour there were some clear

:47:18.:47:20.

factions and divisions there. When a head office and party machine

:47:21.:47:24.

becomes riven with that, it turns in on itself and the priority becomes

:47:25.:47:28.

binding agreement internally rather than driving up the message and

:47:29.:47:31.

instilling some of that discipline out in the field. What's the key

:47:32.:47:37.

divide? There are three divide is happening in labour at the moment.

:47:38.:47:44.

The general secretary wasn't Ed Miliband's choice. All of the

:47:45.:47:50.

leader's office is now for the first time formally part of party HQ, so

:47:51.:47:55.

that's one split. All of those executive directors report to

:47:56.:47:58.

Spencer Livermore and Douglas Alexander now. That is a fundamental

:47:59.:48:04.

divide because they had a tremendous falling out with Ed Balls and some

:48:05.:48:09.

of Gordon Brown's people over the election that never was. Spencer

:48:10.:48:14.

Livermore had to leave at that time. That's a fundamental divide. So is

:48:15.:48:20.

John Turner right, he worked for Tony Blair, if you don't have a

:48:21.:48:24.

tight machine where the message is so completely locked down, then your

:48:25.:48:27.

party machine for the message is so completely locked down, then your

:48:28.:48:30.

party machine. Part? Know, messages can't be imposed because we all, to

:48:31.:48:34.

a certain extent, our mass parties. What you need to transmit and

:48:35.:48:39.

communicate our values, basic things that people will accept. Not simply

:48:40.:48:44.

be imposed upon them. Wasn't that what the a list was? That's a

:48:45.:48:49.

slightly different idea. The central problem for all parties is the fact

:48:50.:48:52.

we don't have the money. The Tory party, this is why the Tory party

:48:53.:48:58.

was constantly in trouble because we spent everything on an election, had

:48:59.:49:04.

less for the long-term processes. Now the Tory party has got its

:49:05.:49:08.

finances in a much better shape. The problem with Labour is not just the

:49:09.:49:12.

personal problems, but you've packed set out to the yet again in a more

:49:13.:49:18.

disastrous fashion than 20 years ago. I'm not sure that's the case.

:49:19.:49:22.

The way you communicate values is the message and discipline. Yes, you

:49:23.:49:26.

tailor it locally for local situations, but you have to have

:49:27.:49:31.

everyone lined up and aligned. In an election that is an incredibly

:49:32.:49:35.

difficult thing. If head offices and United, that leaves us vulnerable.

:49:36.:49:40.

We don't know whether it is Ed Miliband or the trade unions who are

:49:41.:49:43.

calling the shots in terms of policy. Aren't the Lib Dems the best

:49:44.:49:50.

are facing both ways? They still managed to win even though they

:49:51.:49:52.

could hold really quite different positions. There is an assumption we

:49:53.:49:59.

are an annexe to either of the other parties. We are not. We have our own

:50:00.:50:05.

long-term philosophy and art are very different political party from

:50:06.:50:08.

either Labour or the Conservatives. One thing is really important to

:50:09.:50:14.

people out there who are campaigning the day in day out message. An

:50:15.:50:18.

understanding of what the core message is and trust and confidence

:50:19.:50:24.

in the centre that it is confident. In the Eastleigh by-election, what

:50:25.:50:28.

the party nationally can talk about is how our involvement in government

:50:29.:50:32.

has ensured that there is delivery of more and more jobs. Likewise

:50:33.:50:36.

Eastleigh council, which was delivering more jobs. You can

:50:37.:50:40.

combine the message, as long as the activists have faith in that. That's

:50:41.:50:43.

a very important point. The candidates have got to trust the

:50:44.:50:48.

centre, and only when the centre is United do we get that trust. Is that

:50:49.:50:53.

why Lib Dems have you election candidates this time around? We were

:50:54.:51:01.

on a high going into the 2010 election, we are still fighting

:51:02.:51:03.

hard. With freezing council taxes and incompetence...

:51:04.:51:07.

It was a campaign to eradicate absolute poverty across

:51:08.:51:12.

the world and was centred around the G8 Summit in Gleneagles in 2005.

:51:13.:51:20.

There is a new campaign tackling global poverty. Participants spend

:51:21.:51:27.

less than ?1 a day on food for five days. Do these campaigns make a

:51:28.:51:31.

Here's Nelson Mandela, who spoke at a rally in Trafalgar Square.

:51:32.:51:42.

The G8 leaders when they meet in Scotland in July have already

:51:43.:51:49.

promised to focus on the issue of poverty, especially in Africa. I say

:51:50.:51:57.

to all those leaders, do not look the other way, do not hesitate.

:51:58.:52:05.

Recognise that the world is hungry for action.

:52:06.:52:14.

We're joined now by Lord McConnell, who is living on ?1 a day

:52:15.:52:18.

for 5 days, to raise awareness about global poverty.

:52:19.:52:22.

Looking back, it captured the imagination. What did it achieve?

:52:23.:52:29.

It's achieved a lot but not enough, which is why we are still

:52:30.:52:33.

campaigning. The changes in debt arrangements, aid that was promised

:52:34.:52:37.

and to some extent has been delivered has made a difference, but

:52:38.:52:42.

it has not been enough full stop a lot of the promises made then have

:52:43.:52:46.

not been kept. Countries using the excuse of a global financial

:52:47.:52:50.

crisis, but it's really just an excuse. Is it just an excuse? Has it

:52:51.:52:58.

sapped sympathy for those sorts of courses, bearing in mind the depth

:52:59.:53:01.

of the recession and how many countries it affected? I don't think

:53:02.:53:05.

so, not in this country. This country is by far and away the most

:53:06.:53:09.

generous in the world on these sorts of causes. I was in the Philippines

:53:10.:53:13.

in February, and everywhere there was an -- there were handwritten

:53:14.:53:18.

signs up banking the UK and donors from this country, because we had

:53:19.:53:21.

contributed more from the public purse and private pockets than any

:53:22.:53:25.

other country in the world. In the UK we have a strong tradition in

:53:26.:53:29.

this. But there are plenty of people who think that David Cameron was

:53:30.:53:33.

wrong to commit to spending 0.7% of the UK budget on international aid.

:53:34.:53:38.

Was he right to do it? Absolutely he was right. It's one of those

:53:39.:53:43.

decisions, where the priorities should be. In our own country

:53:44.:53:47.

there's been a lot of progress in terms of people beginning to realise

:53:48.:53:52.

how much food we waste. Part of Jack's approach, let's live on 30p a

:53:53.:53:56.

day or whatever, that is being mirrored this week. You are here,

:53:57.:53:59.

you have this last week and are still in one piece. The Tory peer is

:54:00.:54:06.

Anne Jenkin is doing it this week. Part of that is to show people that

:54:07.:54:11.

the waste is almost criminal. And there's a lot of progress being made

:54:12.:54:16.

with supermarkets to reduce all of that waste. But you know that there

:54:17.:54:20.

are people who feel that money is going to certain countries, like

:54:21.:54:23.

India and China, who don't necessarily need it, when you think

:54:24.:54:26.

of where they are in terms of developing to their economies. The

:54:27.:54:29.

Guardian reports that millions of pounds of British aid money has been

:54:30.:54:33.

invested in buildings of gated communities, shopping centres and

:54:34.:54:37.

luxury property in poor countries. Most people would say, why has it

:54:38.:54:44.

gone there? The main problem here is people think that the British aid

:54:45.:54:48.

budget is now about ten or 20% of our national expenditure. It's not,

:54:49.:54:52.

it 0.7% of our national income. It's a tiny proportion of what we make in

:54:53.:54:57.

this country and what we spend. When people are confronted with that

:54:58.:55:01.

particular fact, they actually think it's not enough. Should be going to

:55:02.:55:09.

countries like India and China? Should it be going to those sorts of

:55:10.:55:14.

projects, rather than providing food or water? British aid is not going

:55:15.:55:18.

to China. It has either stopped or is in the process of being stopped

:55:19.:55:22.

in India. The key thing here is there are still 100 million kids

:55:23.:55:30.

every day in the world living in hunger and starvation in the

:55:31.:55:36.

21st-century. I was ten years old when we started landing people on

:55:37.:55:40.

the moon. It's an absolute scandal and disgrace that this is still

:55:41.:55:43.

going on in the 21st-century, when we have the means and resources to

:55:44.:55:48.

do something about it. If the world was organised in different ways with

:55:49.:55:52.

trade, aid for investment for the long-term, so these countries can be

:55:53.:55:56.

independent, not dependent, and people going to school and learning

:55:57.:55:59.

the skills and knowledge that will help them stand on their own two

:56:00.:56:06.

feet, then around the world we can transform this. We can do it in a

:56:07.:56:09.

generation, and that's why we have to keep going.

:56:10.:56:10.

Now, it's time to find out the answer to our quiz.

:56:11.:56:13.

The question was, which of these books hasn't made it into

:56:14.:56:16.

the top ten books borrowed from the Parliamentary library last year?

:56:17.:56:19.

It had better be house of cards, they've all got their own signed

:56:20.:56:38.

copies. You are right. Now if you thought Westminster was

:56:39.:56:44.

a seething pit of backstabbing and That I will well and faithfully

:56:45.:56:56.

discharge the duties of the office which I am about to enter. So help

:56:57.:57:03.

me God. So help me God. One heartbeat away from presidency and

:57:04.:57:08.

not a single vote cast in my name. Democracy is so overrated! Let's

:57:09.:57:12.

start this new chapter with a clean slate. I know you will do whatever

:57:13.:57:17.

you think is best. I think Congressional leadership took part.

:57:18.:57:22.

I can't have this conspiracy stuff going mainstream. The connections

:57:23.:57:27.

are troubling, especially Underwood. We need to delete all of our phone

:57:28.:57:35.

history. Sinister! Are you amazed this book you wrote such a long time

:57:36.:57:40.

ago, then was made into a British series and American series, in its

:57:41.:57:43.

second series and being commissioned into a third, and it keeps on

:57:44.:57:50.

going? It's been brilliant. It's been so much fun. The quality of

:57:51.:57:54.

what they are doing this with Kevin Spacey, it's superb. It's been great

:57:55.:58:03.

fun. Why now, though, political drama, most of the political drama

:58:04.:58:08.

we are seeing comes from abroad? It's part of the commissioning

:58:09.:58:12.

process. There are some issues about the commissioning process in this

:58:13.:58:16.

country. Political drama requires a proper backdrop. What we've had in

:58:17.:58:20.

the States recently, we had George Bush in the States and everybody

:58:21.:58:24.

wanted to watch something like the West Wing, where everybody was warm

:58:25.:58:28.

and cuddly, not like George Bush. Now we've got Obama and everything

:58:29.:58:32.

seems to be stuck. So along comes Kevin Spacey and says, I will do

:58:33.:58:36.

it, no matter what it takes, I will do it. There's a bouncing off of the

:58:37.:58:43.

realities. Yes or no, do is British politics really as dark and

:58:44.:58:47.

manipulative as the original series made up? I hope so! That's all for

:58:48.:58:57.

today. Thanks to all of our guests. Sorry, what?

:58:58.:59:15.

I gotta get off the show.

:59:16.:59:18.

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