18/01/2014 Dateline London


18/01/2014

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died in the bombing. There's a full bulliten of news at

:00:00.:00:00.

the top of the hour. Now on BBC News, Dateline London.

:00:00.:00:21.

Hello, and welcome to Dateline London. Breaking up Britain's banks,

:00:22.:00:26.

the woes of France and President Hollande, and another chance for

:00:27.:00:31.

peace in Syria. My guests today are Owen Jones of

:00:32.:00:34.

the Independent, Michael Goldfarb of Globalpost, Agnes Poirier of

:00:35.:00:36.

France's Marianne and Mustapha Karkouti of Gulf News. Very good to

:00:37.:00:45.

see you. The Labour leader, Ed Miliband,

:00:46.:00:48.

proposed this week to break up Britain's banks and to make sure

:00:49.:00:51.

bankers' bonuses are kept in check. It comes after his announcement that

:00:52.:00:54.

a future Labour government would cap energy prices and after the

:00:55.:00:56.

Conservative Chancellor of the Exchequer suggested a rise in the

:00:57.:00:59.

minimum wage. Is the underlying theme that the years of politicians

:01:00.:01:02.

claiming that you can't buck the market are now at an end with more

:01:03.:01:05.

regulation, more state interference in markets, wages and prices?

:01:06.:01:19.

It is an area in which Ed Miliband has some political traction but do

:01:20.:01:22.

you see the big picture here? This is a big change in the way that

:01:23.:01:26.

politicians are thinking because of the recession. There is a sense when

:01:27.:01:31.

the financial crisis erupted in 2008 that this would herald a rebirth for

:01:32.:01:36.

ideas traditionally associated with the left and neoliberalism had

:01:37.:01:40.

proved itself discredited and a new alternative would emerge. That did

:01:41.:01:45.

not actually happen in the first few years and that goes back to what

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Milton Friedman once said, you need a crisis to get real change, but it

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depends what ideas are lying around. The intellectual cupboard of

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the left in Britain and right across Europe was pretty barren. It was to

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deal with the catastrophic defeat that it had suffered over the last

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few years. The new Right, as it was known and remains no, its was

:02:12.:02:17.

bubbling around like it had never happened perversely, what should

:02:18.:02:21.

have been a absolute catastrophe for neoliberalism became one of its

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greatest ever opportunities and we have seen under this government cuts

:02:25.:02:28.

that Margaret Thatcher could only have dreamt of and we have seen

:02:29.:02:33.

privatisation going into the heart of the National Health Service that

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Margaret Thatcher would never have dreamt of doing and are rolling back

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of the state which originally the Conservatives were very keen to say

:02:40.:02:43.

that it was not their aim but now they are so emboldened that they can

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now say a leaner state is their objective. We have also seen

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conservative lenders -- Conservative leaders saying payday lending should

:02:57.:03:00.

cap rates and they should cap bankers bonuses and also there is

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talk of the minimum wage this week so there is more interference on the

:03:06.:03:09.

right in mechanisms than there was before. On some of those sort of

:03:10.:03:14.

issues. To put the minimum wage into context, in real terms it has been

:03:15.:03:20.

falling for years. It was introduced in the face of Conservative

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opposition and it has been falling for years now so George Osborne is

:03:25.:03:27.

talking about restoring it to its value if it had kept up with

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inflation so I would not overplay the significance of that even though

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it is a U-turn to where the Conservatives used to be. The

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banking issue, given the scale of the financial crisis it would be

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impossible not to play to those sentiments but the government is

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fighting the European Union to stop the imposition of caps on bonuses so

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although I would like to be optimistic and say that the wind is

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shifting and we are having a renewal of an assault on free market

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economics, I do think that is the picture. Where do you see it with

:04:04.:04:07.

Mac when Ed Miliband talks about the electricity prices he may be

:04:08.:04:12.

political weather which was a change for new Labour and bankers are not

:04:13.:04:20.

very popular so what do you think? I agree about the word regulation. In

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your dreams, it is not a British thing. In France we love regulation

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but even now we have the president doing a U-turn and being what he is,

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a social democrat, rather than a socialist and so the Labour Party

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has been trying so hard to set the agenda. They went on about the

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decrease of living standards and I think they were right and perhaps

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Osborne raging -- raising the minimum wage is right but it is now

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about the very timid reform of the banking industry but it sounds to me

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that the real thing in terms of Banking Reform Bill something that

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is very old. 1932, the banking union reform act in America. That is the

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elephant in the room. Retail banking separated from the investment

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banking. He has not said that but he has said more competition. More

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competition, why not? It is really very timid. We are not going to have

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much disagreement! I agree. Looking at the papers today at the big

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speech trailed all day that Ed Miliband is looking at the banking

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industry did not even make the front page of the Financial Times. Their

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front story is about the Long now was that in terms have to work at

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some of the banks and it is actually killing them. Some guy died because

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of working 20 hours days and they are being abused by their bosses but

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they are willing to be abused by their bosses because they want to

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make ?500,000 a year or whatever. If he barking up the wrong tree? Ed

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Miliband is, on this one he missed a huge opportunity. If you are talking

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about competition in the high street it will not do anything for people.

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What you need to do is get the speculators out of banking. That is

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what it comes to. Investment and speculation. Let the investment

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bankers, it is confusing, investment bankers are bankers but they are not

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bankers like the people that you ask for a loan to start a small business

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but says no because the institution is completely focused on generating

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profits from the investment banking arm. This goes back to what Owain

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was saying earlier. It was Bill Clinton, the third way, he did away

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with the glass steeple. He said the guys who gave him money to run for

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president seemed like the kind of guys he could do business with but

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they were just greedy. Everybody gets greedy. You have to take them

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much more by this graph of the neck. The other problem is that it is an

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international problem. It is not something a Prime Minister or

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president can do because it is a globalised industry. If you put

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regulations here and you lose the profits they will go to Dubai or

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Singapore and people do not want to get involved. This is right. I keep

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hearing this argument whenever I go to the Gulf from the business

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community. The bank now is trying to lead everything, from investment

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bank accounts, lenders, everything. That is wrong. Big banks are bad for

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industry, for business, and this is the attitude, especially in the

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Gulf. The idea at the end of the day based on a... To comment on Ed

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Miliband, certainly it falls within the electioneering here as well. He

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is playing to the political gallery? Absolutely. Of course, in substance

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there is an issue there but also it helps the electioneering. We are in

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an election year at the moment and so we will keep hearing about this.

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The Labour Party is just trying to exist. What is interesting about

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what Ed Miliband has tried to do is that there has been an attempt to

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move away from the Thatcherite consensus, since the late 1980s all

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political parties were supposed to agree on privatisation week trade

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unions etc. You have seen an attempt to depart from that for example by

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calling for a cap on energy prices. What I find fascinating and it says

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so much about the debate in Britain, is the response to that from the

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Tory front bench for much of the media was he'd had turned into a

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frothing at the mouth Communist. He called for land speculators to land

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taken away if they sat on and he was compared to Robert Goodman -- Robert

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Mugabe and the Bolsheviks. When you look at opinion the majority of

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people want the renationalisation of energy, rail, water, that is not

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even most voters, even the conservative voters want that to

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happen. What Ed Miliband is making, what are quite timid shift away from

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that Thatcherite consensus and gets attacked for being an extremist, he

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is still not going as far as British public opinion. Why not? If there is

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something that you think is popular based on those polls, why is there

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not a political party that reflect that? I think with Labour you have,

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because of the potential, if you like, because there is on certain

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issues a lean to the right to like immigration and the welfare state,

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what this government is trying to do is focus on those sorts of issues

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and rather than be angry at the banks, be angry at unemployment heap

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-- unemployed people but it needs more encouragement from Ed Miliband

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and the Labour leadership. There is also the power of the tabloids and

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the Daily Mail press. They do not like the banks either! The Daily

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Mail is very critical of the bankers and the bankers bonuses. They are

:10:24.:10:27.

because they are extreme in all that they do. As soon as it does mention

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the word regulation Ed Miliband is branded a Communist. How do you want

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to have a serene... This is the particular brand of oxygen that

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hovers over Britain. You would think there had never been a Labour

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government ever elected because there is always 80% of the press

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against them. When people go to the polls in certain moments they will

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return a majority for Labour and the polls still indicate, in spite of

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the fact that Ed Miliband has no impression as a leader, that if the

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election was held today there would be a slim lead. I do think there is

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a clear disconnect between media elite opinion and public opinion.

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Whilst they can pander to right-wing immigration -- white -- right-wing

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opinion on things like immigration when it comes to other issues like

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the economy, there is an interesting part in a right-wing newspaper being

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horrified about people embracing socialism and they say that unless

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free marketeers step up again they face being wiped out. There is some

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misunderstanding there. It seems to be that it has shifted from

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political and geological issues into really pragmatic issues. Ed Miliband

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is really trying very hard to become one of those pragmatic addressing

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the public at large, not his power base. This will take him nowhere.

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Some commentators claim that France has become the new sick man of

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Europe with an under-performing economy and no signs of real

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structural reform. This week the French president Francois Hollande

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gave what was billed as a major speech aimed, commentators said, at

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re-launching his unpopular presidency. How far were people

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listening to what he wanted to say and how far were they more

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interested in what he did not want to talk about in his complicated

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personal life? Why are you turning to me? Because you are French and

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you have a great insight into this! Obviously the economy is a huge

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issue in France for the French people. The first questions were

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about a completely different from the journalists which shows what

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they were interested in. What are the French people interested in? It

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has been fascinating being in France for the last ten days. The world

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media flocked to Paris not to hear about the new plans of the president

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for the economy but rather of his gallivanting. I thought it was all

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quite civilised because croissants were delivered. I thought this was

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high civilisation! You can drive your mistress into a nervous

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breakdown and have croissants delivered to the new one, what

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morality! 77%, apparently, of the French people felt concern and shock

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and they wanted to hear about what he had to say. His big speech to the

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media... Why are you laughing? Let me try and focus. He did talk for

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two hours which is quite impressive. Just a few minutes were

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dedicated to the gross improved and on his private life. That was the

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only clip than anyone in this country played. The French press was

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attacked for being so deferential to the president, it is true, he is an

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institution, but I do not think we are more deferential, for instance,

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that the British hacks towards the Queen or head of state. But are you

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actually saying that French people may not be particularly moved by it,

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but they were not uninterested. Of course not! They were interested,

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but not as fascinated or obsessed or excited as their British neighbours,

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for instance. Speak up for the Anglo-Saxons! Two things that have

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to be said, one amusing, I hope, and one serious. The big question is,

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how does a guy whose nickname is Wobbly Casted managed to get these

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incredibly attractive, obviously intelligent women to be interested

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in him?! It is not just power, intelligent women to be interested

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Romance moves in mysterious ways! More seriously, France is in an

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economic crisis, although again, this is another part of the oxygen

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that hovers over Britain. It is never as bad as the British press

:15:31.:15:34.

makes it out to be, France is not doing as badly as other European

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countries that have enforced austerity measures. Its economy is

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performing better than the Netherlands, for example, which has

:15:41.:15:46.

been big on austerity. They all want to join with George Osborne in a

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union of the Austria. But it is true there is a crisis, and the deeper

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question is that this takes away concentration and focus from the

:15:58.:16:01.

crisis. When Bill Clinton was finally revealed, the Monica

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Lewinsky thing, it was at a point in time when we sat back and said, wait

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a minute, he spent all the time avoiding the public knowing about

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this, all of this sexual activity in the Oval Office, and he has got a

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contrary to run, man! I think this is a question the French may be

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asking, and if pollsters ask them, they might say, which would you

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prefer, that the President have affairs or that he looked after the

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affairs of state? Or, wait, would you prefer him to be happy and

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therefore... No, to be... Agnes, work hard and happiness comes from

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doing a good job. I would rather he was focused on his job. And Bill

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Clinton was not the first president still have affairs, Franklin

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Roosevelt didn't do too badly. Cross one metre rock... The French media

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are a lot more grown-up than we are in this country. The horror of them

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focusing on policies and substance! He sums up the iconic British,

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post-war Labour politician Nye Bevan said, if you stand in the middle of

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the road, you get hit by traffic in both directions. That sums up his

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plight, down to about 20% in terms of approval ratings. But there has

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been this myth which the right in Britain are pushing that, look, he

:17:32.:17:35.

tried to depart from austerity and look what happened. It is just not

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true in Paris. This bill cut of 1.8%, he is planning cuts of 30

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billion euros by 2017, it will hurt France a lot, because they have not

:17:48.:17:52.

got quantitative easing to soften the blow, so while there are

:17:53.:17:58.

comparisons with Francois Mitterand, with his famous U-turn in

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1983, when he was supposed to have abandoned socialism, when other

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countries were having deflationary policies, I do not think this you

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tent as the substance that people say, because he has already been

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pursuing austerity. -- this U-turn. There are still a safety net in

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France, and so far the political emphasis was about sparing people

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the effect of Ulster at the, totally unlike in Britain. -- the effect of

:18:29.:18:36.

austerity. He is trying to address the huge cost of hiring people in

:18:37.:18:42.

France, Labour does cost a lot, and that is what he wanted to address.

:18:43.:18:51.

To have a happy president running a country is one thing, but to have

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another, to deliver on the economy, that is something else. It is part

:18:57.:19:02.

of the French culture, private affairs are private affairs. We have

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seen it before, Sarkozy did not do so bad on that, even Francois

:19:08.:19:15.

Mitterand. He hid his grown-up daughter for a number of years. But

:19:16.:19:19.

of course there is no comparison on this front, the real comparison is

:19:20.:19:29.

that the great leaders of Europe, you know, the giants of Francois

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Mitterand, Helmut Kohl, look at the generation of leaders now. There is

:19:38.:19:44.

no credibility somehow. We don't really take them seriously. A final

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thought before we move on, we still don't know, for example, the First

:19:50.:19:55.

Lady of France is. Well... Perhaps we do not care, but taxpayers to pay

:19:56.:20:02.

for an office. That is the only fair point in the whole saga! What should

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be the status of the first partner? It is an American conception, and in

:20:09.:20:13.

France there is no such thing as a first partner, so it has always been

:20:14.:20:17.

down to the President's choice, you know, what they are going to do,

:20:18.:20:24.

what kind of protocol they adopt, so we need to know who is going to go

:20:25.:20:27.

to Washington, and we shall know, that is the next step. The saga

:20:28.:20:33.

continues. Peace talks get under way next week on Syria, and made a new

:20:34.:20:38.

push for humanitarian agencies to obtain more access to conflict

:20:39.:20:43.

areas. Gordon Brown, in his role as a UN envoy, is be adding a campaign

:20:44.:20:48.

to provide schooling for Syrian refugee children in Lebanon. Is the

:20:49.:20:51.

best we can hope for to minimise their suffering? I talked to Gordon

:20:52.:20:56.

Brown about it this week, and one of the sad things about the education

:20:57.:21:00.

initiative is that it will provide education for children, but implicit

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in that is that this will go on for years. This is the frightening

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element of it, we have seen it in the Middle East, in Iraq, but before

:21:10.:21:13.

that, a long time before that, we have seen it with the Palestinians,

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the first... Generations. Generations, they provided

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education, the United Nations, and once they opened the first school,

:21:26.:21:29.

it means people are staying longer, and that is pretty sad, no doubt

:21:30.:21:34.

about it. And it looks like the Syrian situation will take a long

:21:35.:21:38.

time. It is a very complicated situation. It should have been hit

:21:39.:21:42.

hard right from the first few months, but it was neglected. The

:21:43.:21:51.

people, the uprising, the Syrian civilian people who went out in the

:21:52.:21:56.

street, long before armed militia were introduced in the country. We

:21:57.:22:02.

were deserted by the West in particular. America, in the first

:22:03.:22:08.

place, and Europe, certainly, no doubt about it, they encouraged,

:22:09.:22:14.

probably they incited the whole situation, the whole Arab Spring in

:22:15.:22:19.

other countries. We have seen swift change, weather in Egypt, June is

:22:20.:22:24.

here, Egypt is still going wrong, but there was a change, a major

:22:25.:22:30.

change. They had at least one year of the Muslim Brotherhood experience

:22:31.:22:37.

in June is year. But in Yemen, the army, the national armies are the

:22:38.:22:44.

countries' armies, national armies. -- in Tunisia. In Syria, it is the

:22:45.:22:50.

regime army. It has never been, over the last four decades, a national

:22:51.:22:56.

army. It was there to serve the regime and no one else. Do you have

:22:57.:23:03.

any hopes of peace? My experience covering these things for decades is

:23:04.:23:06.

if you bring people to the table before they are ready to deal, it is

:23:07.:23:11.

really bad to bring them to the table, because it will explode at

:23:12.:23:15.

the table, and then you push the whole process back by months. The

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only thing I would say is that because it does involve Russia and

:23:20.:23:24.

the letter states, and Lavrov and Kerry seemed to have some chemistry,

:23:25.:23:31.

and if they have some way of telling aside, you are going, there may be

:23:32.:23:38.

some hope. -- the United States. Are they ready to put a deal on the

:23:39.:23:42.

table? I agree with you, but the position is in disarray. Assad has

:23:43.:23:47.

gained some political clout, and now we are not at all, like in

:23:48.:23:51.

September, ready to intervene, talking of Assad, it has become a

:23:52.:24:00.

counterterrorism case. Thousands of Western jihadis are in Syria, a lot

:24:01.:24:07.

of French people among them. 2000 foreign Japanese in Syria, and it

:24:08.:24:12.

brings back the blowback we saw in Afghanistan in the 1980s, when you

:24:13.:24:16.

had, of course, thousands of jihadis. There are problems with

:24:17.:24:26.

radicalisation, Tiger, the Al-Nusra Front, they are all fighting each

:24:27.:24:36.

other. -- Al-Qaeda. It is not all over Syria, it is certain points.

:24:37.:24:44.

The problem is, with Kerry in the area juggling so many issues at the

:24:45.:24:49.

same times, these are connected, whether Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan and

:24:50.:24:55.

Pakistan, don't forget, because they need American support for security.

:24:56.:24:59.

We will have to leave at there. We are back next week at the same time.

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You can comment on the programme on Twitter. Thank you for watching and

:25:04.:25:05.

goodbye. Good morning! A gloomy day today

:25:06.:25:42.

with further outbreaks of rain, something brighter on offer for

:25:43.:25:46.

Sunday. However, today, yes, cloudy with

:25:47.:25:47.

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