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A ruling is expected on Tuesday. Now, it is time for HARDtalk. | :00:07. | :00:09. | |
Have opposition politicians in Zimbabwe learned the lessons of the | :00:09. | :00:12. | |
violent and disputed elections in 2008 in which Robert Mugabe and his | :00:12. | :00:15. | |
party Zanu-PF outmanoeuvred the Movement for Democratic Change, and | :00:15. | :00:23. | |
held onto power? The MDC has since been in an uneasy power-sharing | :00:23. | :00:26. | |
government, in which its main leader Morgan Tsvangirai is prime- | :00:26. | :00:33. | |
minister. But a breakaway MDC faction led by the Commerce and | :00:33. | :00:35. | |
Industry Minister, Welshman Ncube, is splintering the opposition ahead | :00:35. | :00:44. | |
of fresh elections due by next June. I speak to Welshman Ncube and asks | :00:44. | :00:50. | |
whether the opposition should be united to better oppose Zanu-PF? -- | :00:50. | :01:00. | |
| :01:00. | :01:28. | ||
Welcome to our welcome to HARDtalk. It is a general rule in politics, | :01:28. | :01:33. | |
we can the opposition by splitting it. That is what you have done. -- | :01:33. | :01:43. | |
| :01:43. | :01:46. | ||
weaken. It is correct that if the parties united, it would be easier | :01:46. | :01:52. | |
to win the elections than when we are all fighting from different | :01:52. | :01:57. | |
corners, but there are things which are fundamental in matters of | :01:57. | :02:07. | |
principle and policy that divide us and have made that difficult. | :02:07. | :02:16. | |
that more important than forming a credible opposition? What is | :02:17. | :02:24. | |
important is that when we oppose the other party, we must all be | :02:24. | :02:34. | |
| :02:34. | :02:36. | ||
clear and united. The alternative government must affect differences | :02:36. | :02:46. | |
from the previous government. When the things which divide us make | :02:46. | :02:50. | |
some of us doubt that a new government would be different, it | :02:50. | :02:59. | |
is important that we must oppose the previous government. There is | :02:59. | :03:05. | |
no point in removing it only to replace it with the same entity. | :03:05. | :03:13. | |
You are quoting Morgan genera with President Robert Mugabe? I'm not | :03:13. | :03:18. | |
equating anyone. I'm saying that those things that divide us go to | :03:18. | :03:26. | |
the heart about opposition. When we say we must be non-violent, we must | :03:26. | :03:31. | |
mean it and believe it. When our colleagues practise violence | :03:31. | :03:41. | |
| :03:41. | :03:41. | ||
against others... Which colleagues are you talking about here? Are you | :03:41. | :03:47. | |
accusing the MDC faction led by the Prime Minister of waging some kind | :03:47. | :03:57. | |
of campaign against your faction? am saying that the things which | :03:57. | :04:02. | |
divide us or divided us at the time of the split are things to do with | :04:02. | :04:07. | |
what I'm talking about. If we begin to act violently against each other | :04:07. | :04:17. | |
| :04:17. | :04:21. | ||
and against ourselves, if we begin to defy a collective decisions, and | :04:21. | :04:27. | |
we have local government structures which act as corruptly as they have, | :04:27. | :04:37. | |
| :04:37. | :04:40. | ||
those are the things that divide us. The MPC split back in 2005 -- in BC | :04:40. | :04:48. | |
Split, I will not go into the ins and outs of its, but he now lead a | :04:48. | :04:55. | |
breakaway faction. Should the NDC not just remain united under the | :04:55. | :05:05. | |
| :05:05. | :05:08. | ||
Prime Minister? He is highly acclaimed in international circles. | :05:08. | :05:11. | |
The things that divide us now make it impossible for us to work | :05:11. | :05:21. | |
together. What have you got against him? Absolutely nothing against him. | :05:21. | :05:25. | |
Our differences are in our political behaviour is and the | :05:25. | :05:33. | |
things we do as politicians. It is on record that our colleagues in | :05:33. | :05:40. | |
the other faction often practise violence. He himself has reversed | :05:40. | :05:47. | |
collectively made decisions. The local government structures have | :05:47. | :05:57. | |
| :05:57. | :06:02. | ||
acted corruptly. You refer to the faction led by Morgan, but that is | :06:02. | :06:08. | |
at odds with what the Community believes. The French government has | :06:08. | :06:12. | |
conferred on him the Legion of Honour. But says he upholds | :06:12. | :06:17. | |
universal aspirations, morals and the spirit of progress. The | :06:17. | :06:23. | |
Australian Prime Minister has said that he is like Nelson Mandela will | :06:23. | :06:30. | |
Aung San Suu Kyi, a remarkable figure of our times. The former | :06:30. | :06:35. | |
American ambassador to Zimbabwe has described him as brave, committed, | :06:35. | :06:40. | |
a Democrat. He is the only player on the scene with real star quality | :06:40. | :06:49. | |
and the ability to rally the masses. All of this is at odds with what | :06:49. | :06:59. | |
| :06:59. | :07:01. | ||
you say. I have lived in Zimbabwe and I work within these groups. I | :07:01. | :07:08. | |
can tell you that the things on which we differ are fundamental. | :07:08. | :07:18. | |
| :07:18. | :07:25. | ||
They go to the very heart of the struggle. We do not want to replace | :07:25. | :07:35. | |
| :07:35. | :07:35. | ||
Zanu-PF with something like that. But there is lavish praise heaped | :07:35. | :07:42. | |
upon Morgan Tsvangirai by a very international figures and it is not | :07:42. | :07:51. | |
consistent with what you're saying. Those who might be in Australia or | :07:51. | :07:55. | |
Paris or Washington are entitled to have their opinions about any of | :07:55. | :08:01. | |
the leaders in Zimbabwe. Just as much as we are entitled to have our | :08:01. | :08:09. | |
opinions about ourselves and our leader. But the former American | :08:09. | :08:16. | |
ambassador spent many years in Zimbabwe. And what I quoted was | :08:16. | :08:24. | |
what he said in 2010. Do you know what he said about you? I have read | :08:24. | :08:32. | |
what he said. Let me remind you. He described you as "Highly divisive" | :08:32. | :08:38. | |
and Sidhi should be taken off the political stage. -- said you should | :08:38. | :08:48. | |
| :08:48. | :08:49. | ||
be. Yes, and what is the question? What do you answer to? -- answer to | :08:49. | :08:56. | |
that quote? That is his opinion. As Democrats, we respected but we | :08:56. | :09:02. | |
disagree with that. I do not know what it means when an ambassador of | :09:02. | :09:07. | |
one of the biggest democracies in the world speaks of taking a leader | :09:07. | :09:15. | |
off the political stage. I think it is unfortunate and can't be | :09:15. | :09:18. | |
consistent with the values and principles the US wants to defend | :09:18. | :09:23. | |
around the world. When we look at the global political agreement | :09:23. | :09:33. | |
| :09:33. | :09:34. | ||
which came into force after the elections in 2008, he was stating | :09:34. | :09:42. | |
quite clearly that this has been a failure, not only because of | :09:42. | :09:52. | |
| :09:52. | :09:53. | ||
difficulties with Robert Mugabe, but within the MDC itself. | :09:53. | :10:01. | |
inclusive government has not been a total failure. Clearly, we have | :10:01. | :10:05. | |
failed in terms of political reforms. We should have created the | :10:05. | :10:08. | |
necessary conditions for free and fair elections by now and that has | :10:08. | :10:15. | |
not happened. There are many other reforms that we have not | :10:15. | :10:24. | |
implemented. However, in terms of where Zimbabwe was in 2008 in | :10:24. | :10:30. | |
economic terms, we have made a lot of progress. We were virtually on | :10:30. | :10:35. | |
the verge of collapse. We have managed to resuscitate the economy | :10:35. | :10:42. | |
and it is now working. People are still poor but you do not have an | :10:42. | :10:48. | |
economy which is basically on its knees any more. It is on its way to | :10:48. | :10:52. | |
recovery. Whether or not it recovers now depends on what | :10:52. | :11:01. | |
happens at the next election. have a 400 million dollar budget | :11:01. | :11:08. | |
deficit and growth head of -- has been downgraded from more than 9% | :11:08. | :11:14. | |
to 5.6%. Even their progress has been made from a very low base, are | :11:14. | :11:22. | |
things gone backwards now? -- going backwards. Some of the gains we | :11:22. | :11:26. | |
have made over the last three years are threatened now what reversal, | :11:26. | :11:31. | |
in particular as we move towards an election and begin to grandstand | :11:31. | :11:41. | |
| :11:41. | :11:43. | ||
around election rhetoric. The industry recovered from | :11:43. | :11:52. | |
capitalisation of 10% to 57% by the end of last year. It is not going | :11:52. | :11:59. | |
anywhere now, largely because of our failure to stabilise the | :11:59. | :12:03. | |
political environment and access lines of credit. We are beginning | :12:03. | :12:11. | |
to see a reversal, but we needed to move as quickly as we can. We hope | :12:11. | :12:16. | |
we can continue with the recovery. It is not just political | :12:16. | :12:19. | |
instability, because people do not know when the elections will be | :12:19. | :12:27. | |
happening. Is it also the in digitisation policy that came into | :12:27. | :12:31. | |
effect in 2011, whereby foreign companies have to hand over 51% of | :12:31. | :12:35. | |
the controlling share to local companies, and that has scared off | :12:35. | :12:45. | |
foreign investors? That is true. As the minister responsible for trade, | :12:45. | :12:51. | |
I spend a lot of my time talking to investors and business leaders in | :12:51. | :13:00. | |
and outside Zimbabwe. There is no doubt that the elephant in the room | :13:00. | :13:06. | |
is those laws. Many investors are unhappy with them and find it | :13:06. | :13:16. | |
| :13:16. | :13:17. | ||
difficult to invest in Zimbabwe. We must do some form of empowerment. | :13:17. | :13:21. | |
The thresholds which we have set out clearly unrealistic under the | :13:21. | :13:28. | |
circumstances. When you talk about empowerment, the idea is that you | :13:28. | :13:30. | |
make these interests more indigenous so the whole population | :13:30. | :13:37. | |
can benefit. What is the evidence that any benefits will trickle down | :13:37. | :13:47. | |
| :13:47. | :13:55. | ||
to the ordinary citizen? I do not like making things indigenous | :13:55. | :14:00. | |
personally, I do not think it has any precise meaning. I think the | :14:00. | :14:05. | |
term empowerment is more precise to what we want to achieve. We should | :14:05. | :14:09. | |
be talking about encouraging investment so we can create jobs | :14:09. | :14:16. | |
and employment for people and create the necessary business | :14:17. | :14:22. | |
environments for Zimbabwean citizens to compete with others. | :14:22. | :14:32. | |
| :14:32. | :14:48. | ||
Empowerment should not mean taking Zimbabwe is one of the richest | :14:48. | :14:53. | |
countries in Africa. The mineral wealth is second to none. The | :14:53. | :14:57. | |
climate and weather conditions, this land is among the best in the | :14:57. | :15:05. | |
world in terms of agriculture. If we can fix our politics, fix our | :15:05. | :15:11. | |
to able to deliver to our people by | :15:11. | :15:18. | |
delivering a strong economy and strong and successful business. | :15:18. | :15:27. | |
finance minister said that when he looked at the diamond field, he was | :15:27. | :15:33. | |
expecting $600 million to go into state coffers but he has only | :15:33. | :15:40. | |
are 230,000 fictitious government employees w employees wng salaries | :15:40. | :15:45. | |
some hop. And 10,000 jobs have been created in the past few weeks in | :15:45. | :15:51. | |
government. That is the reality of Zimbabwe. You talk about a new | :15:51. | :16:01. | |
| :16:01. | :16:09. | ||
thing, that is not happening? you look at the diamond wealth and | :16:09. | :16:12. | |
the diamond mining, mining, managing them properly we should be | :16:12. | :16:17. | |
getting the sort of money that the Minister of pop finance has been | :16:17. | :16:26. | |
mentioning. We are not doing it. The inclusi The inclusiment has not | :16:26. | :16:31. | |
functioned as we had expected it to do. There is a lack of transparency | :16:31. | :16:38. | |
around the diamond mine. All of those things cannot be fixed | :16:38. | :16:44. | |
harmless we have a free and fair election. You're have just stated | :16:44. | :16:54. | |
| :16:54. | :16:56. | ||
that to have no power? It is correct. There is a parallel | :16:56. | :17:01. | |
government in many respects. That is why the finance government says | :17:01. | :17:04. | |
there is no authority over the diamond mine and nothing | :17:04. | :17:10. | |
accountable to them. To you have any power as Minister of Commerce | :17:10. | :17:13. | |
and Industry to do what she would like to do to encourage investment | :17:13. | :17:22. | |
and empowerment. Do you have the power? Yes and tomorrow. We have | :17:22. | :17:28. | |
the authority to do those things that are within our mandate as a | :17:28. | :17:32. | |
ministry where we do not need the co-operation of any one house. We | :17:32. | :17:41. | |
have the power to do those things. But as a minister of industry where | :17:41. | :17:45. | |
we require the co-operation of other arms and ministers we do not | :17:45. | :17:51. | |
have the power. We're talking about the ministers controlled by Zanu-PF. | :17:51. | :17:55. | |
Let us talk about free elections which could bring about some kind | :17:55. | :18:00. | |
of stability. There is no date, you are squabbling about what should be | :18:00. | :18:10. | |
in the draft constitution? Correct. We should have the elections or the | :18:10. | :18:15. | |
parliament will stand up automatically good was dissolved on | :18:15. | :18:22. | |
29th June next year. The elections must be held no longer than the end | :18:22. | :18:30. | |
of October next year. We are expected to have done the | :18:31. | :18:40. | |
| :18:41. | :18:42. | ||
constitution earlier than now. You're talking about the Southern | :18:42. | :18:46. | |
African Development Corporation who were trying to mediate with all | :18:46. | :18:52. | |
this. Spell out what the disagreements are. The Movement for | :18:52. | :18:55. | |
Democratic Change are concerned about the powers of the Prime Mr | :18:55. | :18:59. | |
and control over the armed forces. You have disagreements about same- | :18:59. | :19:07. | |
sex marriage and dual citizenship. What are the stumbling blocks? | :19:07. | :19:17. | |
| :19:17. | :19:17. | ||
me start by saying, a fiercely there is an agreement. The | :19:17. | :19:22. | |
structure is what we have set to the parliamentary committee has | :19:22. | :19:26. | |
agreed on a draft constitution signed by representatives of all | :19:26. | :19:33. | |
parties and representatives of government. It has been overlooked | :19:33. | :19:40. | |
by the court. There is an agreement, we must underline that. What is | :19:40. | :19:46. | |
happening is an attempt by Zanu-PF to remake from the agreement by | :19:46. | :19:49. | |
rewriting the agreed draft to include all his things you have | :19:49. | :19:56. | |
mentioned. They are attempting to Junee ber of rights and to what you | :19:56. | :20:02. | |
make caught a declaration of rights. There are trying to recreate an | :20:02. | :20:08. | |
Imperial presidency. They want to introduce certain courses which | :20:08. | :20:15. | |
will undermine the judiciary. There are 200 amendments that they have | :20:15. | :20:21. | |
attempted to make that have all been already agreed on it draft | :20:21. | :20:26. | |
constitution. There is a deadlock. Is it worth delaying these | :20:27. | :20:30. | |
elections that you say Zimbabwe needs because of disagreement or | :20:30. | :20:38. | |
inability to put the new draft constitution to a referendum? | :20:38. | :20:43. | |
worth delaying the elections because it is no point rushing to | :20:43. | :20:46. | |
an election which will create another political deadlock that | :20:46. | :20:53. | |
will be with us for a long time. It is better to delay the election by | :20:53. | :20:57. | |
five months into the elections properly. Have the proper | :20:57. | :21:02. | |
constitution which will guarantee our liberties and curtail executive | :21:02. | :21:06. | |
power properly in a way that protects the citizens. An election | :21:06. | :21:14. | |
which will insure the electoral playing field is even and fear. | :21:14. | :21:21. | |
of your citizens who will run as a constitutional assembly says even | :21:21. | :21:26. | |
if they were a new constitution agreed, there is no basis for | :21:26. | :21:30. | |
supporting the document that has been decided by the politicians, | :21:30. | :21:38. | |
including you, Welshman Ncube. Where do the people figure in this? | :21:38. | :21:47. | |
He is entitled to his opinion. It is not just to us. He represents a | :21:47. | :21:56. | |
wide body of opinion. The three political parties in the government | :21:56. | :22:00. | |
represents a wider body of political opinion than anything and | :22:00. | :22:08. | |
civil society. The point I want to make is the constitution has to | :22:08. | :22:14. | |
have political leadership. There was no constitution anywhere in the | :22:14. | :22:18. | |
world that was made by civil society without political | :22:18. | :22:23. | |
structures. I want to ask you something very important. Let us | :22:23. | :22:29. | |
assume that elections happen and to overcome these problems, one Major- | :22:29. | :22:34. | |
General was quoted in all Africa magazine and 2012 saying the army | :22:34. | :22:38. | |
will not let the Movement for Democratic Change takeover power if | :22:38. | :22:43. | |
it wins the election because it does not represent the ideology of | :22:43. | :22:47. | |
liberation struggle. Whatever happens, you have opposition from | :22:47. | :22:55. | |
the Army? What happens with that? The higher levels of the military | :22:55. | :23:03. | |
have made statements like that. It is also true that the rank and file | :23:03. | :23:07. | |
of the military in Zimbabwe does not necessarily come from that | :23:07. | :23:17. | |
| :23:17. | :23:20. | ||
school of thought. What is raised the issues to say there is | :23:20. | :23:25. | |
no point having an election unless the road map to the election | :23:25. | :23:32. | |
includes guarantees and undertakings from the military. | :23:32. | :23:37. | |
Undertakings that the military will accept the verdict of the people. | :23:37. | :23:40. | |
There must accept in the advance of the election that the sovereignty | :23:40. | :23:45. | |
lies and the people not the military. Morgan Tsvangirai says he | :23:45. | :23:55. | |
| :23:55. | :23:58. | ||
will not contest elections if Zanu- PF sets a President? Would you? | :23:58. | :24:03. | |
cannot determine for other parties who the candidates are. It is up to | :24:03. | :24:10. |