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in the violence. Those are the headlines. Now on BBC News it's | :00:06. | :00:15. | |
time for HARDtalk. The security challenges facing nation states are | :00:15. | :00:18. | |
changing fast, so too are the strategic responses of today's | :00:18. | :00:20. | |
military chiefs. In this age of militant insurgency, robotic | :00:20. | :00:23. | |
weaponry and cyber-warfare, threats are unpredictable, unseen and | :00:23. | :00:33. | |
:00:33. | :00:34. | ||
global. My guest is recently retired British Army General | :00:34. | :00:40. | |
Jonathan Shaw. He began his career fighting a traditional, bloody war | :00:40. | :00:44. | |
in the Falklands, he ended it in charge of the British military's | :00:44. | :00:45. | |
cyber-warfare strategy. Conventional armed forces must | :00:45. | :00:55. | |
:00:55. | :01:17. | ||
adapt or wither, which will it be? Jonathon Shaw, welcome to HARDtalk. | :01:17. | :01:22. | |
Good afternoon. You recently retired as one of Britain's highest | :01:22. | :01:28. | |
ranking officers, were you finally relieved to be going? There is a | :01:28. | :01:35. | |
question. Yes, I was. I have had a great career. I do not regret a day | :01:35. | :01:40. | |
of it. I have met a lot of good people in the military. It is in | :01:40. | :01:48. | |
good hands. I am in -- looking forward to the future. It seems to | :01:48. | :01:52. | |
be a challenging time for the British military at the moment. | :01:52. | :01:58. | |
it is. One of the exciting things during my 32 years in the job, it | :01:58. | :02:05. | |
has always been challenging. That is what makes it fun. If you like | :02:05. | :02:12. | |
change, that is what makes it quite exciting. My last job inside the | :02:12. | :02:17. | |
cyber security programme was completely new to me. It was a | :02:17. | :02:22. | |
fabulous chance. I loved it. I want to talk about such as security and | :02:22. | :02:27. | |
money. Before that, I want to talk about the nature of recent warfare. | :02:27. | :02:35. | |
During your latter decades in the British Army, it was dominated by | :02:35. | :02:41. | |
long-term deployment. Long-term war fighting in Iraq, you were involved, | :02:41. | :02:46. | |
in Afghanistan as well. Do you think the British military when it | :02:46. | :02:52. | |
embarked on those deployment in 2001-2002, had any idea what they | :02:53. | :02:58. | |
were getting into? No, I do not think it did. They were looking at | :02:58. | :03:05. | |
the military fighting bid. The big surprise, if there is a lesson to | :03:05. | :03:11. | |
be learned from the past 10.5 years, we have over militarised these | :03:11. | :03:17. | |
campaigns. campaigns. ve seen through my career, a shift from traditional | :03:17. | :03:20. | |
war-fighting to top end political support and support of the | :03:20. | :03:26. | |
political process. That is what we have seen. There is a question of | :03:26. | :03:30. | |
over the last 15 years, since 9/11. I'm not sure that Whitehall has | :03:30. | :03:35. | |
fully adapted to the change. A lot of the problems the military has | :03:36. | :03:40. | |
had, it has felt the need to move from civil fighting and opposition | :03:40. | :03:46. | |
to the creative role of making nation-states and nation-building. | :03:46. | :03:50. | |
Should military has ever be asked to get into that potentially | :03:50. | :03:59. | |
political world? The outcome of the military clash is itself decisive. | :03:59. | :04:06. | |
1982 was exactly that type of war. The Falkland War, in which you're a | :04:06. | :04:12. | |
young officer, a lot of traditional, bloody battles. Correct. Those sort | :04:12. | :04:17. | |
of bloody battles, which in the end were decisive to the outcome, have | :04:17. | :04:25. | |
been rare. The goal for the 91, the original overthrow of the Al-Qaeda, | :04:25. | :04:33. | |
Taliban government, Saddam Hussein's government, those were | :04:33. | :04:39. | |
traditional was. After that it has been politics. The Bradman's it has | :04:39. | :04:46. | |
created across Whitehall and all coalition countries, we have not | :04:46. | :04:52. | |
fully learned the lessons. -- the problems. There is a subtext, | :04:52. | :04:57. | |
soldiers, you included, have been deployed to fight in conflicts | :04:57. | :05:01. | |
which are not winnable in the traditional sense. I do not like | :05:01. | :05:06. | |
that language. You are using the language of war. Why do not think | :05:06. | :05:10. | |
we should use the language of war. To call it a global war on terror | :05:11. | :05:15. | |
was ridiculous. Michael Howard wrote about this one week after | :05:15. | :05:21. | |
9/11. If you read it now it is absolutely cogent. To be specific | :05:22. | :05:26. | |
about your role. You were a very senior commanding officer in | :05:26. | :05:32. | |
southern Iraq for a while. Around 2007. You were leading men and they | :05:32. | :05:37. | |
were facing real danger and they were laying their lives on the line, | :05:37. | :05:44. | |
which you had to regard as not winnable. I do not like it. It was | :05:44. | :05:52. | |
a political conflict. You are a soldier, not a politician. I know I | :05:52. | :05:56. | |
am. The criteria for military action is not military effect but | :05:56. | :06:02. | |
political affect. If it is fascinating to cast our minds back | :06:02. | :06:06. | |
to 2007. In the end, it is now a matter of record, you got involved | :06:07. | :06:13. | |
in very delicate and sensitive negotiations with the so-called | :06:13. | :06:22. | |
army led by a Shia Muslim cleric supported by Iran. You were talking | :06:22. | :06:26. | |
to him about an understanding, which would allow his men to move | :06:26. | :06:32. | |
in and your men to move out of the city of Basra. It was a direct | :06:32. | :06:39. | |
negotiation with the enemy. When you did that. If you are involved | :06:39. | :06:44. | |
in an operation like this and you are looking towards a timed | :06:44. | :06:48. | |
withdrawal, you know you'll have to hand the country back to the locals. | :06:48. | :06:52. | |
You have to start thinking... the people characterise as the | :06:52. | :06:58. | |
enemy. I am disputing your whole language. You are looking at it | :06:58. | :07:03. | |
through a black and white, good and bad guys. That is completely | :07:03. | :07:08. | |
inappropriate. Afghanistan right now, we have to look to the post | :07:09. | :07:12. | |
coalition presence there and see who is going to be powerful enough | :07:12. | :07:18. | |
to hold this place together. For the fact that they are shooting you | :07:18. | :07:22. | |
at the moment, that does not mean they were not be a power base after | :07:22. | :07:28. | |
you have gone. -- they will. Those are the difficult political | :07:28. | :07:32. | |
negotiations that need to take place. You make a cogent case for a | :07:33. | :07:39. | |
different way of looking at what counter-insurgency is all about. It | :07:39. | :07:49. | |
:07:49. | :07:50. | ||
is not even shared by people on the same side. If we go back to Iraq, | :07:50. | :07:54. | |
you were criticised for what you did. The Americans believed you | :07:54. | :07:59. | |
betrayed the cause. They believe he accepted defeat and ran away. | :08:00. | :08:05. | |
is a lot of political spin in that. If you look at what the Americans | :08:05. | :08:14. | |
did in Saada city they made an accommodation as well. Let me just | :08:14. | :08:22. | |
quote you. I want to substantiate this. A presidential adviser in | :08:22. | :08:26. | |
Iraq, he said, it was a huge mistake for the Brits to pull out | :08:26. | :08:31. | |
of Basra and leave the population to be brutalised by Iranian | :08:31. | :08:38. | |
surrogates. He is accusing the British Government of pulling out. | :08:38. | :08:43. | |
As a soldier I was following orders to pull out. You are a serving | :08:43. | :08:48. | |
soldier. One of the most senior in Britain. At what point did you feel | :08:48. | :08:51. | |
the orders you were receiving from your political masters were just | :08:51. | :08:58. | |
plain wrong? What I think of my orders is irrelevant. Orders are | :08:58. | :09:07. | |
orders and you carry on with them. The fact that I did not like them | :09:07. | :09:12. | |
is irrelevant. You take them and you crack on. You have quit now. | :09:12. | :09:20. | |
You can tell me. Did you like them? If you wind the clock back, it is | :09:20. | :09:26. | |
about if we went to Iraq in the first place. It is about original | :09:26. | :09:32. | |
sin. I do not think we should have done it. For my sake, it seemed to | :09:32. | :09:38. | |
me worrying that we did not answer any of the questions that George | :09:38. | :09:42. | |
Bush senior had asked about why he did not go on to Baghdad in 1991. I | :09:43. | :09:47. | |
was always worried about what happened after the invasion. | :09:47. | :09:52. | |
must have been tough for you in that situation, intellectually, you | :09:52. | :09:58. | |
felt the deployment was misguided. You had to follow orders. I am | :09:58. | :10:03. | |
thinking of Afghanistan. You have a lot of friends still in the | :10:03. | :10:09. | |
military, it must be very difficult for them to make sense of a poll on | :10:09. | :10:13. | |
the front line, many of them being killed by Afghan security forces | :10:13. | :10:18. | |
supposed to be their allies, at a time when they know the policy is | :10:18. | :10:23. | |
one of retreat. We are supposed to be out by 2014. They know the | :10:23. | :10:28. | |
politicians want to bring them out sooner. If it is very difficult. I | :10:28. | :10:32. | |
think it is fantastic out the soldiers are loyal to the mission. | :10:32. | :10:37. | |
They see themselves as making a difference. Most of the Afghans | :10:37. | :10:42. | |
they deal with like them being there. That is what bolsters them. | :10:42. | :10:49. | |
You are right. To be front, do you think your colleagues in arms in | :10:49. | :10:53. | |
your form in Afghanistan today, respect the decisions being made by | :10:53. | :10:59. | |
the politicians? I think they understand them. They understand | :10:59. | :11:05. | |
what is going on and the political direction they are getting. It is | :11:05. | :11:09. | |
not conducive to great morale to have this much mat between what the | :11:09. | :11:14. | |
soldiers think they are doing and the feeling of, pointlessness about | :11:14. | :11:20. | |
much of the military operation. does not seem pointless... Let me | :11:20. | :11:26. | |
ask you about a different aspect of the same declining in Afghanistan | :11:26. | :11:35. | |
and Iraq. -- deployment. Both have pitched US, UK soldiers into | :11:35. | :11:39. | |
situations where they are bound to see many of the resident local | :11:39. | :11:44. | |
population as potential enemies. It is one of those in certain | :11:44. | :11:48. | |
operations where there is a fundamental, sort of lack of | :11:48. | :11:52. | |
affinity between the incoming soldier and the people on the | :11:52. | :11:56. | |
ground. That seems to have been corrosive to morale amongst troops | :11:56. | :12:01. | |
and to standards of behaviour. Would you accept that? Can you | :12:01. | :12:05. | |
repeat the question? About the way in which these are counter- | :12:05. | :12:10. | |
insurgency operations seem to have been corrosive to morale in the | :12:10. | :12:14. | |
British military and have produced behaviour which falls far short of | :12:14. | :12:19. | |
what is expected. I do not recognise that. I do not think it | :12:19. | :12:24. | |
has been bad for morale. My experience, more -- morale is very | :12:24. | :12:33. | |
high. I would not, I have not got any evidence to show it is bad for | :12:33. | :12:40. | |
morale. In terms of behaviour. The challenge we face of fighting, | :12:40. | :12:45. | |
soldiers fighting in warlike conditions, yet judged against | :12:45. | :12:55. | |
:12:55. | :12:57. | ||
criteria which are piece like, that poses Royal -- real challenges. I | :12:57. | :13:01. | |
think the discipline of soldiers has been remarkable. You are | :13:02. | :13:06. | |
implying there is a pressure on the sake of sausages in Afghanistan | :13:06. | :13:16. | |
:13:16. | :13:16. | ||
which is unbearable? -- psyche of soldiers. There is enormous | :13:16. | :13:22. | |
pressure. How they keep their self discipline is a credit to them. | :13:22. | :13:27. | |
now know that discipline was not always maintained. We have | :13:27. | :13:33. | |
inquiries in Iraq, looking at video evidence of abusive interrogation | :13:33. | :13:37. | |
techniques, you must have been aware of the sort of interrogation | :13:37. | :13:41. | |
techniques being employed in southern Iraq? I was aware there | :13:42. | :13:45. | |
was an interrogation centre. We checked the processes and | :13:45. | :13:50. | |
everything was clear. I know of no specific allegation that occurred | :13:50. | :13:57. | |
during my time. I have nothing to add on that. They were filming the | :13:57. | :14:02. | |
interrogation. You were responsible. I did not watch any of the videos. | :14:02. | :14:09. | |
I am not sure they did videos. inquiry team has seen some of them. | :14:09. | :14:12. | |
Maybe you are talking about something I do not know anything | :14:12. | :14:18. | |
about. It is a little surprising given you were in command. None of | :14:18. | :14:22. | |
the incidents happened during my time. They would have asked me some | :14:22. | :14:27. | |
questions. No-one has ever approached me. I do not know | :14:27. | :14:37. | |
:14:37. | :14:38. | ||
The British military has been very stretched by Iraq and Afghanistan. | :14:38. | :14:43. | |
What we now see is a covenant which faces of the pressures on public | :14:43. | :14:48. | |
finances, which has declared there will be severe cuts in military | :14:48. | :14:53. | |
personnel and the army. It will bring the regular force down to | :14:53. | :14:58. | |
just over 80,000. As somebody just out of the army, are you worried it | :14:58. | :15:02. | |
will leave the army incapable of doing the jobs that, in the last | :15:02. | :15:07. | |
few years, it has been asked to do? The government's aspiration is that | :15:07. | :15:12. | |
the British Army does not have to do those jobs. But that is | :15:12. | :15:18. | |
unknowable. Absolutely. The problem he faced during a defence review is | :15:18. | :15:27. | |
there is no... They have taken the risk. Taken the risk of the policy | :15:27. | :15:31. | |
of not getting into any more messy entanglement. That is the risk they | :15:31. | :15:35. | |
have taken. But they claim to still be able to deploy it on a | :15:35. | :15:40. | |
rotational basis at brigade strength. We will have to wait and | :15:40. | :15:44. | |
see. But I sense a lessening of political appetite to get engaged | :15:44. | :15:50. | |
in those kind of studies. We talked about your experience in the | :15:50. | :15:55. | |
Falklands. We have talked about Afghanistan and Iraq. These are | :15:55. | :15:59. | |
surprising and unpredictable military commitments. Nobody knew | :15:59. | :16:04. | |
how will any of them would last. It seems in the future we may not be | :16:04. | :16:09. | |
able to respond in the way we have done in the past. That is right. We | :16:09. | :16:13. | |
will have to respond differently. But with forces that are still | :16:13. | :16:17. | |
capable. We will have to hope that the future does not pan out as | :16:17. | :16:22. | |
pessimists would wish. If you don't have a concrete reality, on which | :16:22. | :16:27. | |
to judge how many troops you need, it is just an insurance policy. | :16:27. | :16:32. | |
has the government gone too far? will not judge the Government on | :16:32. | :16:38. | |
that. Many others have. We had former military chiefs right into | :16:38. | :16:42. | |
the Times, saying that on the current plan we could only deploy | :16:42. | :16:47. | |
the grade -- brigade for six or seven ships and aircraft for six | :16:47. | :16:51. | |
months, beyond that it would be difficult. They say Britain falls | :16:51. | :16:56. | |
short of the capability the US requires of remain alive. Villa I | :16:56. | :17:00. | |
have never seen that in writing. I have never see Americans put that | :17:00. | :17:04. | |
down into writing. But one suspects they would look at Britain and | :17:04. | :17:09. | |
think it would back them, back them with real force, as we have seen in | :17:09. | :17:14. | |
Iraq and Afghanistan. In the future, you seem to be saying that is | :17:14. | :17:17. | |
questionable. There is little appetite at the moment to get | :17:17. | :17:22. | |
engaged in long-term engagement. That is the hope of Whitehall and | :17:22. | :17:26. | |
we should create a force that is more likely to comply with that | :17:26. | :17:33. | |
kind of vision. If they are forced to do get engaged, that is a risk, | :17:33. | :17:37. | |
but that is what governments do. talk about visions of the future | :17:37. | :17:41. | |
and they are promised on less likelihood of the sort of | :17:41. | :17:45. | |
engagements we have seen. Let's talk about the vision of the future. | :17:45. | :17:49. | |
As the senior officer, you have been paid to do lots of strategic | :17:49. | :17:54. | |
thinking about armed forces and what they are for. One thing which | :17:54. | :17:57. | |
the British military and British politicians seem to still believe | :17:57. | :18:07. | |
is absolutely a cooler about offences is the independent nuclear | :18:07. | :18:13. | |
missile. -- absolutely appear lot of our defences. Do you think that | :18:13. | :18:17. | |
should be on the table as something we may need? It is always on the | :18:17. | :18:20. | |
table but it is something they have decided strongly in the | :18:20. | :18:24. | |
Conservative Party that we should keep. The Lib Dems take a different | :18:24. | :18:30. | |
view and there is another review going on. What is your view? That | :18:30. | :18:35. | |
it should be considered but I will not go public on that. I have not | :18:35. | :18:41. | |
got a hard and fast you on it myself. In that it should be | :18:41. | :18:47. | |
considered so that, des mac, it may be time to say, given the | :18:47. | :18:51. | |
constraints, given the public deficit, we can no longer afford | :18:51. | :18:56. | |
the massive expense, �20 billion, to renew it? Are you saying there | :18:57. | :19:06. | |
should be an option? Villa that is being considered all the time. It's | :19:06. | :19:12. | |
a political decision, not a military one. I am going to duck | :19:12. | :19:16. | |
fat. Let's see if this is one you will not duck. In the last couple | :19:16. | :19:21. | |
of years in uniform, you were spending a lot of time on cyber | :19:21. | :19:25. | |
security and so are the threats. Here is something the defence | :19:25. | :19:29. | |
secretary in the US said recently. -- cyber threat. He said enemies in | :19:29. | :19:36. | |
the US are going to launch site the strikes that could paralyse the | :19:36. | :19:40. | |
nation. Do you feel the same way about the side the threads in the | :19:40. | :19:47. | |
UK? The potential of cyber attacks are huge. -- cider threats. But it | :19:47. | :19:51. | |
is just the latest way... It is the connection between computers and | :19:51. | :19:54. | |
therefore this space is the latest medium through which to achieve | :19:54. | :20:00. | |
perfect and competition. Nations are competing in cyberspace, as | :20:00. | :20:04. | |
they have in others. The biggest threat is espionage. We shouldn't | :20:04. | :20:09. | |
be surprised by espionage, we shouldn't be surprised by hacking, | :20:09. | :20:15. | |
by intelligence, by a tax. It is just the latest avenue to which to | :20:15. | :20:20. | |
achieve effect. -- attacks. If -- we should be planning to see what | :20:20. | :20:24. | |
we can do to other people. That is exactly the sort of activity that | :20:24. | :20:29. | |
might give an indication... Do you mean the virus that was -- that | :20:29. | :20:33. | |
attacked the Iranian nuclear facility? That right. And that is | :20:33. | :20:37. | |
the sort of thing the British military should be looking at? | :20:37. | :20:44. | |
you look conceptually at the way... At cyberspace activity, there is no | :20:44. | :20:48. | |
hard and fast defence. You can't build a firewall that will protect | :20:48. | :20:52. | |
you in cyberspace. So if you want to get protection, you have to | :20:52. | :20:56. | |
build as strong protection as you can and be active in your defence. | :20:56. | :21:00. | |
But also, you have to go out and stop the person attacking you. | :21:00. | :21:03. | |
we on top of this particular challenge in the British military? | :21:03. | :21:08. | |
We are looking at it. But this is more than a military challenge, | :21:08. | :21:12. | |
this is not a military challenge, it's a national challenge and the | :21:12. | :21:20. | |
lead is held by other agencies, G C x Q Our World experts. You said not | :21:20. | :21:25. | |
long ago, my generation is too old for this. It is crucial to get the | :21:25. | :21:32. | |
kids on the streets on side with this counter strategy. Correct. | :21:32. | :21:36. | |
can you be sure these kinds of people you want to get involved | :21:36. | :21:40. | |
have the motivation and commitment to be reliable as part of a defence | :21:40. | :21:45. | |
strategy? That is the real question and it's a big challenge. How does | :21:45. | :21:49. | |
the UK Hymas these people? The military's role in this is limited. | :21:49. | :21:57. | |
It's a big national talent. -- harness. Obviously there is a big | :21:57. | :22:01. | |
financial element to this. We need to be careful we have the | :22:01. | :22:05. | |
inducements to get people to work for us, rather than criminal people. | :22:05. | :22:10. | |
A final thought on finances. You have left the military -- military | :22:10. | :22:14. | |
and you are involved in a digital company that works inside the | :22:14. | :22:21. | |
security. That company say they support the operations of | :22:21. | :22:24. | |
government and law enforcement agencies. Does that mean you will | :22:24. | :22:29. | |
now work for other guns? No, I do not work for other governments but | :22:29. | :22:37. | |
I give my advice to this company. But absolutely. It's a grey area, | :22:37. | :22:41. | |
where what we regard as the enterprises of states in defence | :22:41. | :22:45. | |
and security are entwined with private contractors, private | :22:45. | :22:50. | |
consultancies, such as the one you work for. It's a very grey area. | :22:50. | :22:54. | |
would not say it is grey. Other government's whose money you would | :22:54. | :22:58. | |
not take? I am not working for the government. But the government can | :22:58. | :23:02. | |
turn to a company like yours and take its advice. But this company | :23:02. | :23:08. | |
works in accordance with UK export laws. So, there are states and | :23:08. | :23:11. | |
governments you couldn't work for? Absolutely, yes. But some that | :23:11. | :23:16. | |
perhaps aren't friends of UK governments, you could work for? | :23:16. | :23:23. | |
There are prohibition there. As far as I understand, there are clearly | :23:23. | :23:30. | |
parts they can and can't do business with. Would you apply any | :23:30. | :23:33. | |
kind of personal ethics and morality to this, as well as | :23:33. | :23:38. |