Ioannis Kasoulides - Foreign Minister of Cyprus HARDtalk


Ioannis Kasoulides - Foreign Minister of Cyprus

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days after it collapsed. Now it is Cyprus is enduring the agonies of a

:00:16.:00:21.

financial and economic meltdown. Here is DVD bad news for the

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Cypriot people, according to international economists, their

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darkest days are yet to come. The island's economy is about to shrink

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dramatically. Overseas investors are fleeing and the current

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government is struggling to come up with a survival strategy. My guess

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is the finance minister, Ioannis Kasoulides. Who and what will suit

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:00:53.:01:12.

side was? Ioannis Kasoulides, will come to

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HARDtalk. Good evening.No one would dispute that Cyprus is in a

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terrible mess. Do you acknowledge that you in Cyprus have no one to

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blame but yourself? We have greatly to blame ourselves. It is true that

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Cyprus has not taken the right decisions at the right times as

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early as possible. That is as far as fiscal consolidation is

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concerned. Neither has Cyprus taken the right decisions regarding the

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expansion of the banking sector becoming bigger and bigger and

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bigger. When the problem of the PSI came up, the first problem, by

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being bigger than the GDP of the country, the country could not help

:02:02.:02:08.

the banks. That was a fundamental strategic error? It is acknowledged

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as a strategic error and an error of not taking the right decisions

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because they were unpopular decisions. When the German Finance

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Minister talks about your economic model being broken, being bankrupt

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as a model, as an entire strategy, you would accept that? Yes, I think

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I would accept this. We must now look for a more healthy model, an

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economic model that is diversified. To add to what you have been asking

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me, having accepted our responsibilities, I must express

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the bitterness and the disappointment of the Cypriots of

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the fact that the choice of the remedy was so abrupt and so brittle

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that everything had to be connected to the banks. It had to be abrupt

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going bust and threatening to take the entire economy with them.

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initial decision, say we were given a three-year adjustment period to

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bring down the size of the banks to the right size, to reform the

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banking model, I think we would have avoided the serious problems

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that, as you have said in your introduction, the Cypriots are

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going to face. Enterprises are closing down. People are losing

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their jobs. There are consequences. I advisedly began with his idea of

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acceptance of responsibilities because I have heard you, you

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president and other senior figures in the government saying things

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like "It is not fair. Europe is treating us like a guinea pig in a

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grand experiment. Europe is pretending to help but the price

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they are asking is too high." All of the statements appeared to be

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directed at pointing a finger at Europe than fixing your own

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problems. There are two things. We have to fix our problems. This

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should not stop us from expressing within the European Union as true

:04:35.:04:45.
:04:45.:04:48.

Europeans are criticism what has happened. Who could deny that what

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has happened regarding the Beale in. For people to do not understand,

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the Beale in his the people are part of the package. They are

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taking a haircut of their own, to use a dreadful word. This is the

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answer to the bigger question about the bank's in Europe that are too

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big to fail. Money is always available to banks whose management

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is reckless and take risks. An experiment was needed. This is the

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Guinea Pig we are talking about. The experiment was using Cyprus. It

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was used and now it has served as an example for the rest. I spoke to

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Christine Lagarde, the managing director of the IMF the other day.

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The first point she made was that Cyprus is not, absolutely not, a

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template for what will happen in other European Union weaker

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economies. She does not see it as a model. She also said one thing

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which was interesting to me, she said that in terms of regret, the

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regret she had about the whole bale out, Beale in process was that the

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Cypriot government and the feelings of the Cypriot people were not on

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the same page. She regretted that she had not understood that. We

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your government, you put up an, demanded that the deal in the

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involved even the small bank deposits, those was less than when

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on the 1,000 euros and the Bank were involved, the IMF and the EC

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eventually signed on to it. They believe that was a fundamental

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mistake that begun with you President. I don't think that this

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is true. That is what they say afterwards. The truth is that there

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was a proposal which in all -- which involved bank deposits of

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below 100,000 of a small amount, I think 3.5, which would have

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appeared as a levy, a temporary Leddy to be transformed into shares.

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This was your Government's idea? The shares was our Government's

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idea. The proposal for 3.5 % below 100,000 was there because it was

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yielding according to the proponents of the idea 2.5 billion

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out of the five. Tape that was needed. With the spread, everybody

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-- 5.8 that was needed. With respect, everyone said that you

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president wanted the small depositors to take if you cut

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because it was the only way he felt he could sell the -- the proposal

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to the big depositors, many of them Russians, cook are going to take a

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much bigger hair cut. You have spoke to everyone else. Now you're

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talking to me. You are getting my version. Somebody around here is

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not telling the truth. I do not know this is. Could you think it

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is? And seeing what final. I know that a proposal came. They said

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they looked at the figures and they said that many accounts were

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divided so that they could go below 100,000. There was the argument

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that below 100,000 was yielding 2.2 billion, a substantial amount.

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want to talk about the future, not just to pass. Would you now accept

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that that initial idea to make small depositors pay was a terrible

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mistake. That? Yes or no? It was a mistake. If you do this, you have

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to compensate those below 100,000. The state was not in a position to

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do so. Next question, would you accept that the Cypriot government

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still has not been entirely straight with its own people? I

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remember sports people for your government in the immediate

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aftermath of the deal assuring the Cypriot government that capital

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controls would be temporary and are billeted within weeks. You we are,

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many weeks after the initial deal was done, capital control is still

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in place and there is no indication as to when it will be lifted.

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know this decision, could asides about capital controls and

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restrictions. -- who decides. The decisions are not made by sappers.

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They are made by the Governor of the central bank. -- Cyprus. He is

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in constant communication with the European Central Bank. I still

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maintain that the restrictions which are gradually lifted are

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going to be lifted altogether in the not-too-distant future. What

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remains to be arranged before lifting them all together is to

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decide about the exact amount of the haircut for the Bank of Cyprus,

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which has not yet been decided. is going to be very substantial,

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isn't it? The big depositors in the other bank have lost their money.

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The Japanese. It may be that they will be finished in the back of

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Cyprus, too. -- they are finished. There is a plan to save the Bank of

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Cyprus. If you possibly can?Norma. The undertaking of the European

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Central Bank is to do everything that is available in order to save

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the Bank of Cyprus. I think the way that we are proceeding, the prudent

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way, we're going to save this bank. Let's talk about some of the other

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ramifications of this catastrophe for Cyprus. Again, is the

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Government been entirely straight to the people of the country? The

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initial Britain was Cyprus was put at around 7 billion which was going

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to come from the dealing in of the bank deposits. That rose within

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weeks, according to both the IMF and the you to another 6 billion on

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top. -- the EU. This is money the Cypriots himself are going to have

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to find. Did you know that extra 6 billion was going to be imposed on

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you people? This money that you are referring to, if I understand

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correctly, that is what Cyprus is going to be, its contribution...

:11:46.:11:56.
:11:56.:11:57.

is now would be 13 billion. This is not the case. It was decided that

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they would be cuts in public expenditure, an increase in

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taxation. All of these members -- measures had been agreed upon. This

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is the 6 million that you are referring to. That sounds simple

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but it is not. I am checking the Cypriot news wires. In the last

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couple of days, there was a bill for additional skilled pay cuts in

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the public sector. They have delayed an item looking at further

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restrictions on public health care entitlement. Some of the very

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profound and very difficult cuts and savings Thatcher government

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that savings are due government would win to make have been

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postponed. Parliament should have the right to examine thoroughly

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what the Government is proposing. We respect this. Everything will be

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in place as it was in December when Parliament, in an exemplary,

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accepted all the conditions that were discussed. This is going to be

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the case, hopefully, the stove. I think you should wait for this

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:13:22.:13:23.

decision. -- this time. In a weaker to, I don't think that this is

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something that will happen. I sense your confidence and I am sure you

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are aware of the depth of desperation, of Lange, of fury that

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:13:45.:13:46.

many ordinary Cypriot people feel. Rightly so. I do not think you have

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said to you viewers that this parliament came to power on the 1st

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March. This Government, off while in opposition, was the one that was

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criticising all along the handling of the economy, the handling of the

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banking sector and had to deal with this abrupt Beale in within 15 days

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of taking power. I don't think you Will it actually helped to pile

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blame on the last government? I have been looking at opinion polls

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show that 95% of Cypriots think the entire political elite is corrupt,

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is incapable of dealing honestly with Cyprus's current problems.

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will not blame the feeling of the public opinion in Cyprus after what

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is happening before. It has come to a point with the destruction of the

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economic model. Instead of blaming each other, we need to get together

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and regain the confidence of the people. Otherwise we need to go

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home and have new people at the helm. It doesn't augur well that

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the President said up an investigation panel to try and

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figure out what happened, and two of the three judges have already

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quit. The last one who quit has discovered that the law firm of his

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sons were involved in some lawsuit against the Bank of Cyprus and

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conceded that he should exempt himself. It is for reasons --

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reasons of self-righteous that they have quit and not for any other

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reasons. Let's just think about how Cyprus does get back to some sort

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of sustainable growth. We spoke in preparation for this to one of the

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world's most important and influential investors. He says, the

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rescue of Cyprus does little to enhance the outlook for the country.

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Without growth, sustainability is a major issue. And he asked one major

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question - where is the job engine for a country that is now devoid of

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any meaningful growth model? What is your answer to that? It is a

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very difficult answer, but we have introduced a number of measures

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that will stimulate the economy. Not measures coming from the

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Government, but measures for stimulating the private sector.

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That is where we put our hope because the private sector is not

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:17:12.:17:12.

the first time that has managed to succeed. We had a similar thing in

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1974 during the Turkish invasion. The resilient was demonstrated the

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them. Grit took over again. -- growth. But with measures and

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incentives that will allow the private sector to get its activity

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going - for instance, an effort is made by the banks to cut interest

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rates. One of the major problems in the economy of Cyprus was the fact

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that the high interest rate on deposits made people park their

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money in banks instead of investing them or spending them in the

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economy. Now the interest rates are going to come down and hopefully

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that is one of the major stimulate us of the economy. Unit -- you do

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not need to pour money from the government to stimulate an economy.

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I'm very aware that they had the Cypriot Foreign Minister in front

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of me. When we meant -- in which many outside observers had said

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that Cyprus could reasonably and quickly changed the economic

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outlook for your country is to us get serious about the normalisation

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with the north of your island. By talking directly to Turkey. They

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have offered you immediate summit talks. Why do not say yes? First of

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all, they have not offered that. They want the usual talks between

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the two communities. It has asked that say we should stop pretending

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and the main problem is between Turkey and Cyprus. The way that the

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problem is going to be resolved is by talking directly to Turkey.

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Secondly, do you think that it is right for Turkey at this moment to

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be perceived that it is feeling a weakness and take advantage of this

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weakness for its own benefit? is the language of dignity. It is

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the old thinking. What we have seen his your country, in 2004,

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rejecting a UN peace plan brokered by Kofi Annan. The Turkish side

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accepted it. Over the most recent negotiating period, you have seemed

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disinterested in achieving peace. Surely now, given the fundamental

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country faces, it is time to change the language, changed the thinking

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and really engage. The last thing the Cypriots would like to hear at

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the moment is that all these economic problems that have taken

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place was prepared in order to bring them a -- bring them or force

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them into accepting a settlement that they do not like. You mention

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the referendum... To a name like it more now. The ballot boxes bring

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results debt one has to respect. Whether it is a yes or Rainow.

:20:27.:20:34.

supple, let's talk about the tax. - - for example. It is wrong to

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accuse people when they have taken the decision in a democratically

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because they had the choice. They had the choice to say yes or no. I

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have said yes. I am obliged to respect the decision of the people,

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like any other democratic person. Circumstances have changed. If we

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look at one other way Cypriots had hoped they might escape the

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terrible crisis they face, they look at the potential of the gash

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was -- gas reserves. There is no way they can be exploited

:21:08.:21:13.

peacefully and successfully without a long-term peaceful stable

:21:13.:21:21.

relationship with Turkey. I am surprised that in this action is so

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easily acceptable. Dead turkey can dictate to another independent,

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sovereign country, is acting legitimately according to the

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United Nations Convention for the law of the seat, that Turkey has

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the right to dictate what is going to happen about the wealth that

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exists in the economic zone of Cyprus. Does it make any difference

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to you that the EU, the commission, leading European politicians, all

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want to see your government engage in a new way on the Cyprus problem.

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Who said that we are not going to engage? Nothing I am hearing from

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you suggests that there is any new thinking. You have not seen

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anything yet. Let me tell you something - it is so unreasonable

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that we say let us wait until October because now we cannot focus

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on the efforts for the solution of the Cyprus problem as our primary

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duty to our citizens. We need to put the economy in a way to recover.

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Is it too much what we are asking? Why use Turkey insisting that we

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should begin immediately? What is the reason behind this insistence?

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It shows no sensitivity. It is not an enmity language, as you say.

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am interested in the degree to which you put a great faith and

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great store by the democratic voice of year and people. All of the

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polls suggest that your compatriots are fed up with the road. In some

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polls the majority want to get out time to lead. -- lead. A leading

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economists says leaving the euro would greatly speed up Cyprus's

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recovery process. Few believe that? No, I am against leaving the euro.

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First of all because there is no alternative. The reason alternative,

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obviously. You can restore the pound, you can devalue, you can

:23:33.:23:37.

help your own tourism and real estate industry. You could persuade

:23:37.:23:40.

your people and outside investors that there is a brighter future

:23:41.:23:47.

with the Cypriot pound. I do not share this view. I considered that

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by leaving the euro at the moment, our currency would be devalued. It

:23:53.:23:57.

will give it -- the value to such an extent that a country that

:23:57.:24:04.

depends entirely on imports of raw material petrol -- raw material,

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petrol, medicines and infrastructure materials, then who

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