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Welcome to HARDtalk, I'm Stephen Sackur. | :00:00. | :00:16. | |
Germany is indisputably the most powerful nations. But does it have | :00:17. | :00:23. | |
the will and the means to prevent the EU being undermined by division | :00:24. | :00:25. | |
and fragmentation? The migration crisis and the Greek | :00:26. | :00:27. | |
debt disaster have posed challenges that Angela Merkel is struggling to | :00:28. | :00:33. | |
overcome. Well, my guest today is | :00:34. | :00:41. | |
a senior figure in the Norbert Rottgen, a chairman in the | :00:42. | :00:53. | |
Committee in the German parliament. Can German leadership rescue | :00:54. | :01:14. | |
the European project? Norbert Rottgen, in Berlin, | :01:15. | :01:15. | |
welcome to HARDtalk. Hello. Hello. I think it is fair to | :01:16. | :01:28. | |
say a sense of existential crisis hangs over the European Union. First | :01:29. | :01:34. | |
it was the Greek debt crisis, now it is the massive migration challenge. | :01:35. | :01:39. | |
In Berlin, is the breakup of the European Union seen as a serious | :01:40. | :01:46. | |
possibility? I at least very much agree with your analysis that we are | :01:47. | :01:53. | |
facing an existential crisis as never before. It is a crisis of | :01:54. | :01:57. | |
solidarity. Everybody is talking the national talk, and thus paralysing | :01:58. | :02:06. | |
the European Union and its ability to currently act so this could be | :02:07. | :02:11. | |
and is the new situation and new experience, that failure of Europe | :02:12. | :02:15. | |
as possible, and I think we have even more awareness of this new | :02:16. | :02:18. | |
possibility which hasn't been there since World War Two. That is quite a | :02:19. | :02:24. | |
thought. Is that shared widely in Berlin? You are a senior figure, a | :02:25. | :02:31. | |
minister in Angela Merkel's Cabinet for a while, now you chair the | :02:32. | :02:34. | |
Foreign Affairs Committee. Would you say that what you have just told me | :02:35. | :02:38. | |
as a fair reflection of the way many senior German steel? This is always | :02:39. | :02:47. | |
difficult to say, if your own analogies are shared by so many. In | :02:48. | :02:52. | |
general I would say that there is the continuity bias. And we are used | :02:53. | :02:56. | |
to saying that in European integration, crisis is the mode of | :02:57. | :03:04. | |
progress. And there was always the talk, that never waste a crisis, | :03:05. | :03:09. | |
because after the crisis we were better off than before. So I think | :03:10. | :03:12. | |
we are perhaps a little bit misled by this experience of the past. We | :03:13. | :03:18. | |
are seeing now, and have experienced, a turning point. And I | :03:19. | :03:25. | |
am afraid that the new quality that, as I mentioned, failure is possible, | :03:26. | :03:31. | |
because there is so many... There are so many threats which are really | :03:32. | :03:36. | |
in danger the foundations of the European Union, has to be increased | :03:37. | :03:42. | |
because I see not adequate action in comparison to the threats we are | :03:43. | :03:47. | |
facing. Let us go through it in some detail them. This phrase of yours, | :03:48. | :03:53. | |
failure is possible, is fascinating. So let's talk specifics and let's | :03:54. | :03:57. | |
begin with the migration challenge. I think it's fair to say that your | :03:58. | :04:00. | |
government was instrumental in pushing through the deal with Turkey | :04:01. | :04:04. | |
to try and stem the flow of refugees and migrants from Turkey across the | :04:05. | :04:09. | |
Aegean into Greece, and therefore into the European Union. This | :04:10. | :04:13. | |
so-called one for one deal. It took a long time to thrash out. It now | :04:14. | :04:18. | |
looks as though it might collapse. Do you fear it will? We don't want | :04:19. | :04:25. | |
to see this deal collapsed, and we don't want to see a development in | :04:26. | :04:31. | |
Turkey which goes in the direction of more and authoritarian style of | :04:32. | :04:38. | |
political system. But we have two C the symptoms, the resignation of the | :04:39. | :04:49. | |
Prime Minister is a clear sign that now president Erdogan wants to have | :04:50. | :04:51. | |
a streamlined government with no political figure which has the power | :04:52. | :05:00. | |
to pursue different goals. So we will see the determination of the | :05:01. | :05:06. | |
Turkish President Erdogan to transform Turkey into a | :05:07. | :05:09. | |
presidential, authoritarian political system. And this is very | :05:10. | :05:15. | |
much beyond the question of the migration deal challenge, and the | :05:16. | :05:20. | |
threat for Europe. Because we want to have good relations with Turkey. | :05:21. | :05:25. | |
Yes, but is it not the truth when it comes to the hard realities of the | :05:26. | :05:29. | |
migration crisis, and Germany and Europe's stance on Turkey, that | :05:30. | :05:35. | |
President Erdogan holds all the cards? You desperately, desperately | :05:36. | :05:39. | |
need him to implement that deal and to stop the many, many thousands of | :05:40. | :05:43. | |
people getting into boats and crossing into Greece. You are | :05:44. | :05:47. | |
desperate for that deal to stick, and therefore whatever you say about | :05:48. | :05:51. | |
his authoritarianism, in the end you are going to give him a past. I | :05:52. | :05:57. | |
don't share your analysis. What we are in desperate need for is a | :05:58. | :06:05. | |
European solution. And as long as Europe fails to forge a European | :06:06. | :06:10. | |
response to the refugee crisis, you are right. We are to a certain | :06:11. | :06:15. | |
degree dependent. But it is not that way that Turkey is the key to | :06:16. | :06:21. | |
resolve our refugee crisis. First of all, on geographical reasons there | :06:22. | :06:25. | |
are different ways, more ways than through Turkey to come to Europe. In | :06:26. | :06:33. | |
spring and summertime we will see that the Mediterranean Sea will be | :06:34. | :06:37. | |
used as a way from Africa and the Middle East to come to Europe. And | :06:38. | :06:42. | |
there is no, from the beginning has not been, a political will in Turkey | :06:43. | :06:48. | |
and in the person of the Turkish President, that he wants to make a | :06:49. | :06:52. | |
fair deal. He wants to exploit his new tool of power with regard to | :06:53. | :06:58. | |
Europe. So it only demonstrates and underlines the necessity that we | :06:59. | :07:03. | |
have to find... You may say desperately, a European solution. | :07:04. | :07:07. | |
And Turkey will not solve, instead of Europeans, this European problem. | :07:08. | :07:13. | |
Well, we will get to the European end of this and the EU end of this | :07:14. | :07:17. | |
in the second, in terms of Schengen and everything else and determining | :07:18. | :07:22. | |
borders. Before we get there, one last question on Turkey. This is | :07:23. | :07:24. | |
perhaps for Germany more than any other nation. If Erdogan continues | :07:25. | :07:29. | |
on his present course, with his government locking up journalists, | :07:30. | :07:32. | |
attempting to redefine the anti- terror laws, doing a whole lot of | :07:33. | :07:36. | |
things the Europeans don't like, are you saying that the European Union | :07:37. | :07:39. | |
will walk away from the deal which required Europe to promise, you | :07:40. | :07:44. | |
know, these are free travel for Turks, speeding up of the accession | :07:45. | :07:48. | |
talks for Turkey, will that deal be torn up, yes or no? We will not walk | :07:49. | :07:56. | |
away. We are determined to engage with Turkey, but I can't exclude | :07:57. | :08:02. | |
that President Erdogan has other priorities, and that he will walk | :08:03. | :08:06. | |
away. This will be for the disadvantage for Turkey, but also | :08:07. | :08:09. | |
for Europe. We can't exclude this possibility. Like mailing is not... | :08:10. | :08:16. | |
Is not a possibility to co-operate between countries -- blackmailing. | :08:17. | :08:23. | |
Let's turn out to the internal dynamics inside the European Union | :08:24. | :08:26. | |
caused by the migration challenge. Would you, on reflection, accept | :08:27. | :08:30. | |
that Angela Merkel's decision to offer the welcome mat for last Year | :08:31. | :08:38. | |
1 millionplus people, migrants, refugees, to enter Germany, would | :08:39. | :08:42. | |
you accept that that unilateral decision she took is at the root of | :08:43. | :08:45. | |
the divisions within the EU over migration? No, I definitely reject | :08:46. | :08:54. | |
this point of view. Because the root cause is that there are refugees | :08:55. | :09:01. | |
fleeing their desperation, fleeing chaos, fleeing war, fleeing hatred. | :09:02. | :09:09. | |
They flee their desperate... That is true, but with respect they would | :09:10. | :09:12. | |
not have headed in the Europe and into Germany in particular had they | :09:13. | :09:15. | |
not known that Angela Merkel had made a promise, made a very early | :09:16. | :09:19. | |
promise, to receive all those who arrived? This is not true. Because | :09:20. | :09:26. | |
more than 100,000 refugees were in Europe, they were in Hungary, | :09:27. | :09:31. | |
strolling around and trying to cross the borders. So there was an Immonen | :09:32. | :09:36. | |
situation and Angela Merkel responded to an existing problem and | :09:37. | :09:40. | |
challenge, and she demonstrated a practical, or she practised a | :09:41. | :09:46. | |
practical solution, and of course also humanitarian solution, and I | :09:47. | :09:49. | |
would ask what is the identity of Europe when we are facing a new | :09:50. | :09:54. | |
geopolitical situation? A huge area from northern Africa over Syria, | :09:55. | :10:02. | |
Iraq to Afghanistan, an area of desperation. We have to deal with | :10:03. | :10:06. | |
this. Orders, to a wrecked borders, it cannot be a sustainable solution | :10:07. | :10:14. | |
to that -- to erect borders. And what is simply lacking is European | :10:15. | :10:19. | |
solidarity. The others are backing away, this is a problem. It is | :10:20. | :10:23. | |
interesting to hear your view but you are very much out of sync with | :10:24. | :10:26. | |
the former boss of your own party, and the leader for many, many years, | :10:27. | :10:34. | |
Kohl. He made a point of going to meet the Hungarian Prime Minister | :10:35. | :10:42. | |
Viktor Orban, and Kohl said it is true that Europe cannot become a | :10:43. | :10:46. | |
home for millions in need from all over the world, most of whom have a | :10:47. | :10:49. | |
belief that is different from our Judaeo-Christian beliefs which are | :10:50. | :10:52. | |
the foundation of our European social order and values. NACRO three | :10:53. | :10:57. | |
is essentially saying, I think in not very coded terms, that Angela | :10:58. | :11:06. | |
Merkel's policy was irresponsible. Everybody agrees, including, of | :11:07. | :11:12. | |
course, the German Chancellor, agrees on that, that we are not able | :11:13. | :11:19. | |
to take millions of refugees in each of the European countries. I think | :11:20. | :11:26. | |
500 million Europeans are able to integrate some million, a decent | :11:27. | :11:30. | |
proportion of those who are fleeing their desperation. So everybody | :11:31. | :11:34. | |
agrees on the necessity that there have to be limitations. But on the | :11:35. | :11:38. | |
other side you have to face the facts. You have the pressure of | :11:39. | :11:43. | |
people fleeing their situation, because you have war-torn Syria, and | :11:44. | :11:49. | |
we cannot... You don't have to face the facts, if you live in Hungary, | :11:50. | :11:56. | |
Slovakia, Poland, they are led by governments which say we don't care | :11:57. | :12:01. | |
what the Germans say about burden sharing, or indeed the EU | :12:02. | :12:04. | |
commission. We are simply not going to take thousands of these people, | :12:05. | :12:08. | |
because we believe that is not our national interests, not in the | :12:09. | :12:13. | |
security interests of Europe. But then you are back to the question of | :12:14. | :12:18. | |
solidarity. There are always questions which are more important | :12:19. | :12:21. | |
for one country or the other country. In France and Italy, the | :12:22. | :12:26. | |
question of youth unemployment is very, very important. For Poland, | :12:27. | :12:29. | |
the Baltic states, the relationship and the perception of pressure and | :12:30. | :12:35. | |
threat from Russia is very, very important. So we have to compromise | :12:36. | :12:40. | |
and find solutions to all of these dividing issues by forging | :12:41. | :12:43. | |
compromise and bringing up solidarity. It cannot be a question | :12:44. | :12:49. | |
that the refugees and terrorism are spilling over, and you have to | :12:50. | :12:54. | |
address it. The search for consensus and compromises and solidarity, you | :12:55. | :12:58. | |
captured in those terms for the European Union as a whole, but I | :12:59. | :13:03. | |
wonder how you about Germans and Germany in particular? There is no | :13:04. | :13:07. | |
consensus inside your own country. If we look at the most recent | :13:08. | :13:11. | |
regional election results, a big rise in support for the Alternative | :13:12. | :13:17. | |
for Deutschland party, which is deeply opposed to what Angela Merkel | :13:18. | :13:22. | |
has done. Your own country has been polarised and divided by this. Of | :13:23. | :13:28. | |
course. Because we are facing a new reality. And this is partly the | :13:29. | :13:32. | |
cause or the routes for the new reality, which means refugees, the | :13:33. | :13:36. | |
roots are very ugly. This is to repeat it. It is war, it is | :13:37. | :13:41. | |
conflict, it is chaos, in this region, and this is our | :13:42. | :13:44. | |
neighbourhood. So of course, people are following the temptation, the | :13:45. | :13:51. | |
illusion, that we can back away, that we can ignore the reality. But | :13:52. | :13:55. | |
if we continued to ignore reality, the reality will come to ask. We see | :13:56. | :14:02. | |
terrorism all over in Europe, and the pressure of migrants will | :14:03. | :14:05. | |
sustain and will remain. So we have to find political answers, and | :14:06. | :14:12. | |
ducking away, ignoring reality, is a very, very dangerous approach to | :14:13. | :14:16. | |
reality and the facts. But talking about ducking away from reality, do | :14:17. | :14:20. | |
you in your own party, the Christian Democrats in Germany, not stand | :14:21. | :14:24. | |
accused of that in a different aspects of this crisis, and that is | :14:25. | :14:29. | |
your stance on Greece? Greece is ultimately the EU's frontline | :14:30. | :14:31. | |
country when it comes to the migration challenge. And yet your | :14:32. | :14:36. | |
own country, Germany, is the toughest on Greece when it comes | :14:37. | :14:40. | |
to, for example, negotiations over the third tailor package. When | :14:41. | :14:44. | |
Greece desperately need economic help and support to allow it to cope | :14:45. | :14:52. | |
with the refugee crisis it still has, Germany remains of zest with | :14:53. | :14:58. | |
exporting an austerity ideology and forcing it upon the great people -- | :14:59. | :15:00. | |
of zest. Germany has combined a tough stance | :15:01. | :15:12. | |
on Greece, you are right, we have a tough stance on Greece and I think | :15:13. | :15:16. | |
everybody agrees that there is a necessity to beast -- to be tough | :15:17. | :15:21. | |
with Greece. You know that is not true. Sorry to enter up, but the IMF | :15:22. | :15:27. | |
in particular, right now, today, we know that the German government is | :15:28. | :15:31. | |
at loggerheads with the IMF over the approach to Greece, because | :15:32. | :15:34. | |
Christine Lagarde has made it plain that the IMF believes that debt | :15:35. | :15:39. | |
relief has to be some octane is part of the package of measures for | :15:40. | :15:43. | |
Greece, -- simultaneous part of the package of measures for Greece, and | :15:44. | :15:46. | |
your finance minister simply refuses. I just wanted to say that | :15:47. | :15:53. | |
on the reform side, we have to be tough with Greece. The IMF wants to | :15:54. | :15:59. | |
be tougher with Greece when it comes to delivering on economic reforms. | :16:00. | :16:05. | |
On the other side, to deliver supply and bailouts and so on, eventually | :16:06. | :16:08. | |
Germany has brought up Solidarity with Greece as the major contributor | :16:09. | :16:19. | |
to the Greek rescue and bailouts. So, always in the past, and we are | :16:20. | :16:23. | |
dealing with Greece now four years, we have brought up votes. -- brought | :16:24. | :16:30. | |
up both. We have tried to nudge reforms, and we have brought up this | :16:31. | :16:34. | |
official part to the bailout programmes and since we have had the | :16:35. | :16:39. | |
IMF on board, we have also listen to the expertise. But the IMF is quite | :16:40. | :16:43. | |
clear that it is the German government more than any other which | :16:44. | :16:46. | |
is blocking the talk of real debt relief, a hack at one Greece's | :16:47. | :16:51. | |
massive mountain of debt. -- hack at. So I do not do what you are | :16:52. | :16:56. | |
talking about. It is the Germans who are blocking that. Yes, Germany is | :16:57. | :17:03. | |
blocking that, and our best argument and our first argument is that first | :17:04. | :17:09. | |
of all, we have to review the reform steps which are agreed upon, they | :17:10. | :17:18. | |
have been taken by Greece, they have just made a parliamentary motion on | :17:19. | :17:22. | |
that, but not all the reform targets are met up until now. I think that | :17:23. | :17:33. | |
first we have to review the reform steps, and then we can talk further | :17:34. | :17:41. | |
about how to help Greece. We need a sustainable rescue plan for Greece | :17:42. | :17:44. | |
so that Greece has an economic and political future. Very briefly, | :17:45. | :17:50. | |
because we have to rush through a couple of other subjects, but if the | :17:51. | :17:53. | |
IMF walks away from the bailout package, and essentially leaves the | :17:54. | :17:58. | |
Troika, leaves the rescue of Greece, Germany will be held responsible. | :17:59. | :18:04. | |
You accept that? We want the IMF on board. We want to practise the | :18:05. | :18:12. | |
European virtue of solidarity and compromise. All of these things are | :18:13. | :18:18. | |
required, and we will deliver on it. Well, we will see. Let's talk about | :18:19. | :18:23. | |
Germany on the world stage, because you are the chairman of the Foreign | :18:24. | :18:27. | |
Affairs Committee. Do you believe that Germany has figured out how to | :18:28. | :18:35. | |
project power on the world stage? I am particularly thinking about Syria | :18:36. | :18:39. | |
and Middle Eastern diplomacy. Do you think that Germany is acting | :18:40. | :18:45. | |
effectively? I would answer no, but we are on a learning curve. We have | :18:46. | :18:52. | |
just entered from a German, perhaps from a European perspective, the | :18:53. | :18:59. | |
third chapter of a war. First chapter was the Cold War, then we | :19:00. | :19:03. | |
had the end of the Soviet Union and the Cold War, and we seem to have, | :19:04. | :19:07. | |
but only for 25 years, the eternal peace in Europe. All of this has | :19:08. | :19:15. | |
decayed. Foreign policy, the proactive, leading role of Germany, | :19:16. | :19:19. | |
it was not required. Nobody wanted us to have, or to aspire to, such a | :19:20. | :19:26. | |
role. So we have been learning for only two years and I think we have | :19:27. | :19:29. | |
adapted. We still have to do some work. We still have 2 really | :19:30. | :19:34. | |
understand what international responsibility means. But we are | :19:35. | :19:39. | |
learning, and I would like to underline, it is only for two years. | :19:40. | :19:43. | |
We have made some progress. But we have not reached the level that we | :19:44. | :19:47. | |
have do. I must say, you are very frank about that. In the past you | :19:48. | :19:52. | |
have referred to Germany's "spectator role" in Syria, for | :19:53. | :19:56. | |
example. You have suggested that if we are serious about playing a | :19:57. | :20:00. | |
bigger and more serious role in global security we must set new | :20:01. | :20:03. | |
priorities, we must expand the defence budget. Do you see any sign | :20:04. | :20:07. | |
that that is what the German people really want? Of course, as with any | :20:08. | :20:16. | |
people, they do not want that, but of course it is more popular to talk | :20:17. | :20:20. | |
about additional social spending or something like that. I think the two | :20:21. | :20:25. | |
years now, we are making a new experience. For two years, the | :20:26. | :20:31. | |
public debate in Germany has absolutely been focused on | :20:32. | :20:33. | |
international crises, security policy and foreign policy. So with | :20:34. | :20:42. | |
the time passing by, we learn that a neighbourhood is in a complicated | :20:43. | :20:51. | |
shape, and that if we are not prepared for preventative foreign | :20:52. | :20:54. | |
policy action, problems will come to us. The refugee crisis and | :20:55. | :21:01. | |
terrorism. I think we are in a phase where we will have to recalibrate | :21:02. | :21:11. | |
our priorities from political tools and diplomatic tools, up to | :21:12. | :21:14. | |
financial resources. But it takes leadership. Well, that is a great | :21:15. | :21:20. | |
point. It takes leadership, and we will get to that. At just one point | :21:21. | :21:25. | |
on security. You have expressed quite strongly your support for | :21:26. | :21:29. | |
Britain staying inside the European Union, when the British people come | :21:30. | :21:32. | |
to vote in June on the referendum, in or out. David Cameron, the | :21:33. | :21:37. | |
British Prime Minister, has just said that in his view, this vote is | :21:38. | :21:43. | |
all about the security of Europe, of peace in Europe, and that if Britain | :21:44. | :21:47. | |
leaves it could risk a new war in Europe. It could risk the end of the | :21:48. | :21:53. | |
year of peace in Europe. Too many in Britain that sounds like a massive | :21:54. | :21:59. | |
exaggeration. Would you agree? I couldn't agree more. I think he hit | :22:00. | :22:05. | |
the nail, and this is the crucial point. The legitimacy of keeping | :22:06. | :22:10. | |
together is that we are in a real dangerous neighbourhood. We have | :22:11. | :22:16. | |
war, we have war in the Ukraine. It is not a member of the European | :22:17. | :22:21. | |
Union, but it is part of Europe. If I may, sticking to Britain leading | :22:22. | :22:25. | |
the European Union, what difference will it make, really, to the | :22:26. | :22:28. | |
long-term future of European security of Britain is in or out? I | :22:29. | :22:32. | |
mean, Britain is still going to be the same nation, the same Western | :22:33. | :22:36. | |
democracy. It is not going to threaten European peace if the | :22:37. | :22:39. | |
British people decide to leave the European Union. A precondition for | :22:40. | :22:46. | |
preserving peace in Europe and its neighbourhood is strength. It is as | :22:47. | :22:54. | |
simple as that. Unity, and the precondition for European strength, | :22:55. | :22:58. | |
is unity. If we fall apart we will be weakened. This is true about Mr | :22:59. | :23:05. | |
Putin, this is true about President Erdogan, and about the entire Middle | :23:06. | :23:10. | |
East region. Unity is strength, and strength is the crucial factor of | :23:11. | :23:17. | |
power, of influence, and it is in our interests to preserve stability, | :23:18. | :23:21. | |
order and peace. A final question for you, and this comes to your | :23:22. | :23:25. | |
point about leadership. For the last few years Angela Merkel has | :23:26. | :23:30. | |
undoubtedly been the prime European leader, but she is in her 60s now. | :23:31. | :23:36. | |
She is not as popular as she used to be, according to German opinion | :23:37. | :23:39. | |
polls. And there is a younger generation of attentional German | :23:40. | :23:44. | |
leaders on the scene. -- potential. You have been named as one of them | :23:45. | :23:48. | |
in the past, although you fell out with her in 2012. Do you think it is | :23:49. | :23:53. | |
time to Germany to look beyond the era of Angela Merkel? No, we are in | :23:54. | :23:59. | |
an imminent era where we are challenged and where we have to | :24:00. | :24:03. | |
lack, and where we have to be united and strong. -- have to act. Angela | :24:04. | :24:08. | |
Merkel is, and remains, the strongest political figure in the | :24:09. | :24:15. | |
EU, in Germany and in Europe. We have 2 ended there. Norbert Rottgen, | :24:16. | :24:20. | |
thank you very much for being a HARDtalk. Thank you. | :24:21. | :24:24. |