Andriy Kobolyev HARDtalk


Andriy Kobolyev

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Ukraine is a country at war with itself, and not just

:00:00.:00:12.

Corruption is endemic, especially in state industries,

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and Andriy Kobolyev is trying to clean it up.

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He wants to make gas more expensive, because massive subsidies discourage

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But energy scams are a big source of income for some powerful people.

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Are his efforts being sabotaged from the very top?

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Andriy Kobolyev, welcome to HARDtalk.

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Let's start with the relationship with Russia, which is hugely

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important in terms of energy policy and gas supply, because you are the

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transit point by which Russia flyers not just yourself -- supplies not

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just yourselves but countries across Europe with gas. You stopped buying

:01:24.:01:27.

gas last November in favour of Europe sources but Naftogaz says you

:01:28.:01:33.

approached it to restart the arrangement. Why? We are always

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trying to balance out wheel to make the most optimal price rise. That is

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why we are welcoming any gas supplier who is prepared what is

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most importantly to supply to Naftogaz, so we are to suppliers on

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including Gazprom, if they will follow the rules, we are prepared to

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buy. The man in charge of the company says Naftogaz sent a letter

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and offered them the opportunity to resume gas supplies into next year.

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It is a risky business for you given the nature of disputes with Russia

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in the past Yes January 2006, March 2008, June 2014, circumstances in

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which the same issues came up, allegations you haven't paid your

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debts, counter allegations from you that they are interfering with

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supply? It is difficult, on one hand, on the other hand it has

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become much easier later. We are not dependent on Russian gas and in more

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and that is a game changer for us. So our idea is simple, as Naftogaz

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management we are responsible for being commercial minded and our task

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was to create as efficient gas purchasing mechanism as possible.

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For example, now approximately 14 European suppliers are selling gas

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to Naftogaz. And we are totally fine with that. And, actually, the fact

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that they are working with us, they are selling gas to ask, and they are

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happy to operating with us shows that we can be a reliable

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counterpart. The only trouble we have with this is Gazprom. You see,

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you say that you are not dependent on gas from Russia any more and it

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is certainly true the amount supplied directly by Russia has

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diminished significantly, but isn't it also the case that a lot of this

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supply you rely on is what is called reversal flows, in other words it is

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gas that is exported from Russia to other countries, countries like

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Salva Kiir, then it has come back to you, so ultimately it is Russian

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gas. It is one of my favourite questions -- Slovakia. I will give

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you another example, it is similar to electricity, any consumer doesn't

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know whether the electricity they are consuming is coming from at a

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meet generation, gas plough plant or whatever, it is the same with gas --

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atomic -- gas power plant. There are points we used to prove this point,

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firstly, if the supplier supplying to you is behaving under European

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rules, not Russian rules, which means if you want we can switch it

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off, that is a problem with Russian gas, and second, whether Gazprom can

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stop the supply. They tried this two years ago and they lost $6 billion

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trying to do so, and they failed. So my answer is no, it is not Russian

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gas. Alexey Miller of Gazprom calls it a semi- fraudulent mechanism. He

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says it should be understood it is the same Russian gas, it comes from

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Ukraine wants against appellate if I was in his place I would have to say

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something -- wants gas. You are not concerned that it might reduce the

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flow, the amount might be diminished and suddenly they will say to you,

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we are really sorry, we want to carry on supplying you but we

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haven't got enough left over from supplying our own needs. The world

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has changed a lot and that is exactly what I believe Mr Mellor is

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missing. Europe has become much more independent from Russian gas and

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when Gazprom as I mentioned tried these tactics two years ago they

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failed. So I am pretty much sure they will fail again. But Gazprom

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and Russia are very efficient in blackmailing their consumers. And we

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should not underestimate them this winter as well. Interesting you want

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to have a commercial relationship with a company using is a

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blackmailer. We have to balance. We have to act in good faith. So if

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there is any company who has or may be willing to act on good faith, we

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are obliged to use them. So, Naftogaz is acting in good faith.

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That is not what the arbitration institute Stockholm Chamber of

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Commerce said in 2010 we found Naftogaz did what Russia alleged it

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had done, it diverted gas that was Russian property and said the ruling

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confirmed that the gas was taken by Naftogaz in breach of the storage

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contract. I appreciate that was before you became CEO but

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nonetheless your company has a not entirely enviable record in this

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regard. This is a very famous arbitration case. It caused a lot of

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damage to Naftogaz. You must understand that the whole decision

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of this court was based on the statement made by Naftogaz

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management at that time, which was closely related to the company who

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got the gas, a huge amount of gas. And, if you combine these two facts,

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then this decision from the arbitration becomes a bit different.

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It is not about Naftogaz taking something against the law, I am not

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trying to judge if it is the case or not, but the whole failure of

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Naftogaz was based on that particular statement. There is

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another case pending due in 2017 from the arbitration institute in

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Stockholm. It has been estimated if you lose that it could cost 30

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billion dollars US. The total claim from Gazprom is 38. The total from

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our side is to be seven, however the estimated value for Ukraine is $50

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billion US. So it is a big risk. It is a huge risk. It is a very big

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case. But statistics is in favour of Naftogaz, because Gazprom lost

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almost all cases of similar times in the past, against other gas

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consumers. And we believe that Gazprom is a company which has a

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long history of discriminating different companies in Europe and

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will lose this time against a what you accuse Gazprom of acting like

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the Russian army. Last year when speaking at Nato in Brussels you

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talked about a hybrid war in energy being raged and you have pointed the

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finger very directly at President Putin. What do you think he is up to

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- why has he got it in for energy companies like yours? Gas is a

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powerful weapon and Mr Putin is a dangerous, experienced opponent. You

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must respect all of this. -- he is a powerful weapon. He has a track

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record of using gas against Ukraine. The contract which was signed in

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2009 actually lead to very discriminative position of Naftogaz,

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and the whole country. So, Mr Putin is using this weapon very

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efficiently. And our task as Naftogaz management is to try to

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resist in this war and to win this war. Let me ask about the company

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itself, one of the tasks as CEO, the reason you were brought in was to

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clean it up, it was described as a Ukrainian MP as having been a

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hornets nest of corruption. Do you believe Russia was involved in any

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of that corruption? Gas corruption, when you buy gas from Russian side,

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is not possible without Russian involvement. If you want to put an

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intermediary between Russian company and Ukrainian company, definitely

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some people from Russia should be involved. So, there were

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intermediaries behaving in a way that was not in Ukraine's interest?

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Definitely. What has happened? The latest one successfully managed to

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get more than 12 billion cubic metres of gas from Naftogaz in that

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decision. Then it was dissolved. Now there is no single intermediary

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between Naftogaz purchasers and gas supplies from both sides. You have

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eliminated that problem but you also acknowledge that there are serious

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problems in the company. You said at the beginning of last year and

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employee for monitoring the high-pressure pipeline can make $50

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if he left through part of the gas without passing it through the

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metre. How much is happening, do you think? Firstly, our team started

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this with a quick approach. We started with gas supply

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intermediaries and we are slowly moving lower and lower. I must say

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that we have decreased gas or losses by more than 30% already as a whole

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system, which is quite a big change. So, I can assure you 100% this does

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not happen somewhere in some village in the middle of Ukraine -- so I

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can't assure you. The size in the degrees of gas losses in huge and we

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believe we are making good progress. Is government interference affecting

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your ability to clean up Naftogaz? No. Not at all? We have been

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strongly supported by the government of Ukraine. We have arguments with

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some members of the government. We are currently in the middle of a big

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argument with a minister of energy. That happens. However, this base of

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reform is slowed mostly not by the government at rather by the

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parliament - that is where the problem is a. Lemmy bore you do this

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-- let me put this to you, the Economy Minister, I apologise for

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mispronouncing his name, he was the Economy Minister until February when

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he resigned, and he said he resigned because officials were trying to

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gain influence over state-owned companies including yours and this

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is what he said, systemic reform is decisively blocked, concrete action

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is trying to paralyse efforts, the pressure to appoint questionable

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positions to my team or state enterprises, I can only interpret

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these actions as the attempt to exert control over the flow of

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mother money gathered by state-owned enterprises, especially Naftogaz, in

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other words in really see it was the case that you are being undermined

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by very senior figures in the government -- money. He is a big

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friend of mine and I very much respect what he did. Firstly.

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Secondly, what he is referring to is more pressure from the government on

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Naftogaz but rather on the government from people outside the

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government who would like to regain control over different state

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entities including Naftogaz. Including according to him a close

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ally of the president. I can't comment on this particular bit. I

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know there is an investigation under way and we hope the results of its

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own. So I prefer not to comment on that. Are you sure that President

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Poroshenko wants Naftogaz to be free from state control? Um... The simple

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and quick answer to this, which I believe, is that any president of

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any country would like to be able to exert influence over state-owned

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entities. And he is no different from any other? That is natural so

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what is it? I believe, yes, because people in charge of the country

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would like to have controlled, and usually that is human nature for

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many processes to bite OK, do you feel that pressure? Sometimes, yes.

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In what way? We are often discussing many important elements of Naftogaz

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reform and gas sector reform with participation of the President. He

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always has his opinion and sometimes we argue, sometimes we have defined

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compromise, but I view this as a natural process. OK, then, what is

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his opinion? Is he committed to reform, the end of Naftogaz, is he

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committed to competition, to reducing the subsidy is a lot of

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people have relied on and have come to take for granted? That is exactly

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the reason why many people, high standard politicians, would like to

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see Naftogaz transparent, and would like to be involved, at least, in

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discussing our matters. If you look at Naftogaz, in 2014 the number of,

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or the amount of money transacted, was $10 billion US. This year it is

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zero. Naftogaz has achieved some progress. People who are now looking

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at Naftogaz, and I allow this question, which was mentioned by Mr

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Joe Biden at one meeting, it has become a shiny thing, so everyone in

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Ukraine would like to see how Naftogaz would be given this money.

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I am sure the President's decision is different, isn't it, so I will

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ask you once more, are you sure that President Poroshenko wants Naftogaz

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to be free from state control? I believe President Poroshenko would

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like to see a fitting control over Naftogaz will make him confident it

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will not become a black hole any more -- efficient. The change is

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irreversible. Do you think the authorities, especially the justice

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authorities, are taking the problem of corruption in state-owned

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industries, including the gas industry, seriously enough? I

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believe yes. Because last December you told Energy Magazine that the

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prosecutors were not doing enough, with things in plain view but not

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pursued. We have made significant regress with new law enforcement

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authorities, which have taken much more focus on gas matters, and we

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hope this progress will lead to significant improvement around

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corruption with Naftogaz. Do you need prosecutions? Will that make

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people more frightened about taking the risk? Definitely. There has not

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been enough yet? That has not been the case so far, but we see pressure

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on these people mounting, and we hope the pressure will result in

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prosecuting the right people who are truly at fault. Naftogaz was

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described at the end of 2014, a year of great difficulty with Russia over

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gas supply, as a state-controlled ass giant with a bigger budget

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deficit in Ukraine. Part of the deal with the IMF to help Ukraine with

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financial support was that Ukraine would achieve a subsidy energy

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sector risk and reduce, but can a timetable still be met? That

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timetable has been met. You have already eliminate the deficit? That

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is an impressive achievement. It is, and it is something the government

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has made a decision on, to equalise all prices for all consumer

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categories from April this year to make it clear this is not a final

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gas market yet. There is still a way to go. We still need to push through

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a law in Parliament which will allow us to finally implement the gas

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market reform to make all prices market-based, but we hope this can

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be done within a short period of time. How important do you think

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shale gas deposits could be for Ukraine as a potential source of

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gas? I don't have a well grounded and factual -based evidence this is

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for Ukraine. Naftogaz is not looking at shadows. Part of the difficulty

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is that two important international partners pulled out, Chevron was

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going to do testing in the West of Ukraine, and then Shall pulled out

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apparently because it would operate in is, which is difficult at the

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moment, citing heightened geopolitical risk -- Shell. Whether

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or not shale gas would have been a shining opportunity for Ukraine, we

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may have to find out in the future, but this war is costing your country

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dear. It is. And it is difficult not only for the humanitarian side, but

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also the economic side. The Naftogaz company has suffered a big loss in

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Crimea, we have suffered a bit lost in the eastern part of Ukraine. That

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cannot be compared with the human loss in Ukraine. Are the politicians

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in Ukraine truly committed to a liberalised energy market, in which

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Naftogaz is competing with other companies, trying to drive down

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prices accordingly, and are prepared to see new players coming in? I

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believe yes. There is big evidence that they are committed to this. The

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previous government has allowed all companies from the European side to

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trade freely with Ukraine. The government has made all prices

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equal. We as Naftogaz are trying to be as market oriented as possible,

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trying to play by the rules, and actually we are strange and unusual,

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in allowing European companies to compete with us in our market. When

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you increase prices, something which consumers don't like on one hand,

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but if on the other hand, you have to show them the benefit of the

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free-market, and the benefits is the same as competition. For Naftogaz to

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make change irreversible, we understand we have to accept painful

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things and help bring good things. That is what we are trained to do.

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Let me tell you what a private firm said recently, the government has

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already pushed independent businesses out of the gas market by

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introducing Naftogaz to large industrial consumers, to ensure

:19:38.:19:42.

financial support for Naftogaz, forcefully redirecting in favour of

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Naftogaz as a small-minded and shortsighted remedy. There was a

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specialist government agreement adopted during the war where the

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company and the whole country were struggling for cash. Naftogaz except

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the decision of the government was not market-based -- accent. We made

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a clear statement about this. However, as a company, it was

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leading state support, and the state was not able to give support in any

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other form. That is the problem, they can talk the talk, when it

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comes to walking the walk, they can't do it or they don't really

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want to. I would say that was an emergency one-time measure that has

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never happened before, and since then, but the government and

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Naftogaz made it clear that the new mass-market or which was adopted in

:20:37.:20:42.

2013 would be followed, and the government is following this law.

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Let me ask you about one of the other big developments that will be

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crucial to your future and the future of energy suppliers across

:20:50.:20:53.

Europe, and that is what Russia does. This development in the Baltic

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Sea, which will effectively meaning it will have reduced sharply after

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2020 to one tenth of what it is now the gas transited through your pipes

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and on to other customers. You worried by that? It sounds like a

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very big loss of business potentially. We are very worried,

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definitely. It will negatively affect Naftogaz, and also cost

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Ukraine approximately US $2 billion, huge amount for our country. But on

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the other hand, we are trying to show it to our European counterparts

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that it will not only negatively affect us, but also create a

:21:30.:21:34.

negative effect on the whole central and eastern Europe. You called it a

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Trojan horse. Yes, I did. Why? Because that would allow Russians to

:21:42.:21:44.

exercise tactics of divide and conquer. Personally to divide

:21:45.:21:49.

European countries by offering them different gas prices, and then the

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approach of trying to exchange geopolitical concessions for gas

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pricing. They are all tactics and Russia has or is being efficient at

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this, and Europeans, Ukraine will be affected. Can you trust Europe to do

:22:08.:22:14.

the right thing? We do trust Europe, and so far, Europe has been

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reliable. We still have some unresolved issues such as the flow

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from the European Union to Ukraine. We are working on this. I was going

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to say, you may trust subject what happens next, but the Prime Minister

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of Slovakia certainly did not trust Europe this time last year. He said

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for months they have had talks at the European Council about the need

:22:40.:22:42.

to help Ukraine stay a gas transit company and help them do the

:22:43.:22:46.

difficult winter months, and then the announcement from Gazprom that

:22:47.:22:49.

are designing a contract with Western European member states about

:22:50.:22:56.

building another not sure. They are going against political discussions

:22:57.:22:59.

with Ukraine. They don't sound a very trustworthy bunch at brussels.

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There are different interests in European countries, and there are

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many people who are trying to present it as a commercial exercise,

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which is not the case. It is not a commercial project, and does not

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have commercial sense. Unfortunately, the site is big. You

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can't not take into account -- Gazprom. Such statement from these

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companies are result of actions of them. I respect what they did for

:23:30.:23:36.

Ukraine, they did help in 2013, and opened the gas flow for us. But

:23:37.:23:41.

again, we still want also in Slovakia to fully implement the rule

:23:42.:23:46.

of European law, and make Gazprom lay by the rules. Such cases where

:23:47.:23:51.

Gazprom have avoided playing by the rules in many countries, sometimes

:23:52.:23:58.

is like that. Andriy Kobolev, Chief Executive Officer of Naftogaz in

:23:59.:24:00.

Ukraine, thank you. Yesterday it took a while for

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the sunshine to come through, but once it did, given the humid

:24:24.:24:28.

air, temperatures really shot up.

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