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Welcome to HARDtalk. I'm Sarah Montague. | :00:00. | :00:15. | |
The EU seems in greater trouble than ever before and not just | :00:16. | :00:18. | |
Even founding members of the club - countries like Italy - | :00:19. | :00:22. | |
are unhappy about the direction that it is headed in its 60th year. | :00:23. | :00:25. | |
The Italian economy has always struggled within the confines | :00:26. | :00:29. | |
Additionally, it wants its fellow members to help share the burden | :00:30. | :00:33. | |
of the half a million migrants who have arrived on its shores over | :00:34. | :00:37. | |
How does the EU need to change if it is to win over the next | :00:38. | :00:42. | |
My guest here at the Italian embassy in London is Italy's Europe | :00:43. | :00:50. | |
Minister, Sandro Gozi. He is a passionate European. Allevi think | :00:51. | :00:55. | |
the EU should change if it to survive and win over the next | :00:56. | :01:00. | |
generation of Europeans. -- how does he think the EU should change. | :01:01. | :01:25. | |
Sandro Gozi, welcome to HARDtalk. You have said that the beginning of | :01:26. | :01:34. | |
European disintegration has started with Brexit. If the EU | :01:35. | :01:40. | |
disintegrating? If it remains the status quo, certainly. It must get | :01:41. | :01:46. | |
out of the status quo. Must show there is a political reaction. There | :01:47. | :01:52. | |
are a series of crisis that has hit the EU. The major one is the Brexit | :01:53. | :01:59. | |
decision but there was a financial crisis and migrate three crisis so | :02:00. | :02:03. | |
we need to show that the EU is ready to react and after all, the | :02:04. | :02:08. | |
declaration we adopted in Rome in March this year is already the first | :02:09. | :02:14. | |
political reaction of the 27 leaders after Brexit. But by now, we must | :02:15. | :02:19. | |
implement the political commitment. Part of that reaction, is it showing | :02:20. | :02:25. | |
that leaving the EU does not pay? I.e., some punitive punishment to | :02:26. | :02:33. | |
the UK. I don't think we need to further punish the Brits. I think | :02:34. | :02:36. | |
already the decision which is going to be very risky for UK. We don't | :02:37. | :02:44. | |
have to approach the negotiation with any punitive intention. | :02:45. | :02:50. | |
Certainly, the negotiation is going to be very complicated and | :02:51. | :02:56. | |
certainly, there is less talk about leaving the EU after Brexit. The | :02:57. | :03:03. | |
paradox, on the contrary, we were afraid that it would have a domino | :03:04. | :03:09. | |
effect after Brexit decision. Next Francis and Italy, so on. In public | :03:10. | :03:18. | |
opinion, there is a stronger uncertainty. What is next? What | :03:19. | :03:27. | |
shall the Britons do now? It was clear after the 23rd of June last | :03:28. | :03:33. | |
year, it is helping to make people better think twice about leaving the | :03:34. | :03:42. | |
union. Now, the tide is not leaving the union. What about all the people | :03:43. | :03:48. | |
planning to vote for Marine Le Pen who is likely to get through to the | :03:49. | :03:52. | |
run-off of the second round of the French elections coming up? Another | :03:53. | :03:56. | |
very difficult question. I hope, I strongly hope that Marine Le Pen | :03:57. | :04:03. | |
will lose. You said if she wins, it's the end of the European Union. | :04:04. | :04:08. | |
I did say that. It is the attitude and programme of Marine Le Pen, to | :04:09. | :04:12. | |
get out of the eurozone and to get out of the European Union. To get | :04:13. | :04:16. | |
out of Nato. If I understand well what she said. This certainly would | :04:17. | :04:23. | |
be a major disaster. I cannot -- imagine the EU without France. So we | :04:24. | :04:27. | |
can survive without the UK but not France. Yes. What about Italy? Of | :04:28. | :04:37. | |
course, Italy, most polls would suggest that Italians are happy with | :04:38. | :04:40. | |
the European Union but they are not happy with the euro. Think they are | :04:41. | :04:46. | |
still satisfied with the European joints. I think this is more | :04:47. | :04:50. | |
rational than emotional in the sense that people are aware that the | :04:51. | :04:53. | |
European choice is still a good choice for Italy. People are not | :04:54. | :04:57. | |
satisfied with the function of the eurozone that this is not a problem | :04:58. | :05:07. | |
with public opinion. We, as the Italian government, feel that the | :05:08. | :05:11. | |
austerity approach, the economic approach, the existing rules that | :05:12. | :05:16. | |
are implemented in the eurozone, are not the best rule to tackle the | :05:17. | :05:20. | |
current economic challenge we have in Europe and Italy. We need a new | :05:21. | :05:26. | |
investment policy. We need to post internal and domestic demand -- | :05:27. | :05:30. | |
boost. Winnie to boost growth and we need to shift from a set of obsolete | :05:31. | :05:37. | |
rules -- but we need. To a new policy mix in terms of economic | :05:38. | :05:41. | |
investment. This is what we want to do. Before we look at what you are | :05:42. | :05:47. | |
proposing as the solution, in terms of the scale of the problem, we talk | :05:48. | :05:56. | |
about Brexit and France, the Economy said, quoting officials in Brussels, | :05:57. | :06:02. | |
if you ask them what keeps them up at night, the answer is always the | :06:03. | :06:10. | |
same, Italy. Well, honestly, I wouldn't waste my night thinking | :06:11. | :06:16. | |
about Italy. Italy is a country that finally has come back to recovery | :06:17. | :06:23. | |
after years of recession. When debt government took office, -- when the | :06:24. | :06:30. | |
government, today we got a growth of plus 1%. It's not enough. Are | :06:31. | :06:36. | |
projected to be the slowest of this year, barely grown in three years. | :06:37. | :06:41. | |
The reason why is that Italy has wasted time in not addressing | :06:42. | :06:50. | |
reforms. There is still work to be done. The second is that the country | :06:51. | :06:58. | |
that suffers the most in public and private investment is Italy. This is | :06:59. | :07:06. | |
why we do believe that it is not enough. We want to keep our public | :07:07. | :07:14. | |
debt under control. And we expect public debt is a high percentage. We | :07:15. | :07:23. | |
had an irresponsible Italian government. I was there, I remember. | :07:24. | :07:31. | |
We have reduced the deficit but we cannot reduced the deficit. There | :07:32. | :07:43. | |
has been very little growth in that Italian economy. You have a huge | :07:44. | :07:48. | |
problem, yes, of public debt, and of your banks which are in serious | :07:49. | :07:54. | |
trouble. 290 billion pounds of bad loans, a fifth of the loans that | :07:55. | :07:59. | |
Italian banks hold are bad and that works out to about a third of bad | :08:00. | :08:05. | |
loans in the EU. Part of the reason that everybody else is looking to | :08:06. | :08:09. | |
Italy, thinking, there is a very big problem with the Italian banks. | :08:10. | :08:15. | |
Watch you said confirmed one things and brings me to emphasise and | :08:16. | :08:21. | |
other. It confirmed that if there is a problem of bad loans in Italy | :08:22. | :08:24. | |
because in other banking systems around Europe, you still have a | :08:25. | :08:30. | |
problem. In Italy, you don't have a problem with their vets, you have a | :08:31. | :08:37. | |
problem with bad loans. Why? Because the growth has been too low. But | :08:38. | :08:42. | |
also because you didn't deal, Italy didn't deal with the problems in the | :08:43. | :08:46. | |
banks when other countries did and now that or has close. Jelena that | :08:47. | :08:50. | |
is totally correct. I think that was a very serious mistake -- that is | :08:51. | :08:56. | |
very correct. It was a serious mistake by previous governments to | :08:57. | :09:01. | |
not do what other governments have done, to inject fresh money... So | :09:02. | :09:06. | |
what needs to be done now question mark the longer you leave it, the | :09:07. | :09:10. | |
bigger the problem becomes. The reason it is a systemic problem... | :09:11. | :09:16. | |
There is no systemic problem... We are talking about six banks of which | :09:17. | :09:22. | |
one is national. The other are very local, territorial, banks. I rule | :09:23. | :09:30. | |
out the existence of a systemic problem with the Italian banks. | :09:31. | :09:35. | |
Certainly, there are some specific issues... So no need for the EU to | :09:36. | :09:41. | |
modify its rules because you all know that Matteo Renzi, your party | :09:42. | :09:46. | |
leader and former Prime Minister, he asked the EU to suspend state aid | :09:47. | :09:51. | |
rules to allow a recapitalisation and Angela Merkel basically said no. | :09:52. | :09:57. | |
Well, she wasn't supposed to say yes or no because it is not the German | :09:58. | :10:03. | |
government who decides this. She made the point, we wrote the rules | :10:04. | :10:07. | |
for the credit system, we can't change them after two years. We | :10:08. | :10:13. | |
should evaluate and as I say, it is whether there are rules on this | :10:14. | :10:20. | |
banking recovery, have been really implemented in the rest of the | :10:21. | :10:24. | |
union. If you look, the only case where there have been really fully | :10:25. | :10:28. | |
implemented has been in the case of Cyprus. In the other cases, there | :10:29. | :10:36. | |
hasn't been a full implementation of this rule. If everybody is trying to | :10:37. | :10:43. | |
adapt, to add just, common rules to the specific situation, probably it | :10:44. | :10:47. | |
is because the common rules are not so efficient. So what are you | :10:48. | :10:52. | |
saying? Are you saying to ignore the rules? I am saying is we are playing | :10:53. | :10:58. | |
by the rules on public debt... But nobody else is playing by the rules. | :10:59. | :11:03. | |
Well, on public debt and deficit, front and Germany didn't play by the | :11:04. | :11:08. | |
rules. We are. We are saying that as long as the rules are there, we must | :11:09. | :11:13. | |
respect them but that doesn't prevent us to raise a problem with | :11:14. | :11:19. | |
the existing rules and there is a problem with existing rules on the | :11:20. | :11:22. | |
fiscal economy but in some rules in the banking sector, there are | :11:23. | :11:26. | |
problems. Those rules are not fit any more for the needs of the | :11:27. | :11:31. | |
eurozone economy and banks. I want to stay with a particular problem | :11:32. | :11:35. | |
that Italy presents to the EU at the moment because the Financial Times | :11:36. | :11:41. | |
European economic economist says, "If Italy wants to stay in the euro, | :11:42. | :11:45. | |
it needs to send a clear warning to Germany and the other northern | :11:46. | :11:48. | |
European countries that the eurozone is set on a part -- path of self | :11:49. | :11:53. | |
destruction unless there is a change of parameters". He makes the point | :11:54. | :11:57. | |
that you could be in a situation that Italy's withdrawal from the | :11:58. | :12:01. | |
euro would make the biggest default of history because of its eyes of | :12:02. | :12:06. | |
the Italian economy. I hardly can imagine a eurozone without Italy. -- | :12:07. | :12:11. | |
because of the size of the Italian economy. With that, I share with | :12:12. | :12:16. | |
what Angela Merkel wrote but I think it is clear that the eurozone must | :12:17. | :12:24. | |
be completed, it is the words of the European Union. We have several | :12:25. | :12:30. | |
times in the last month, lastly with do roam speculation on the 25th of | :12:31. | :12:39. | |
March -- Rome. We say yes, we must completed and better shape it. There | :12:40. | :12:44. | |
has to be an election in Italy before the end of early 2018 and who | :12:45. | :12:49. | |
is topping the polls? Topping the polls at the moment is the five Star | :12:50. | :12:53. | |
Movement who want a referendum on Italy's membership of the euro. | :12:54. | :13:02. | |
Well, it is folly. Can you imagine a month of a referendum campaign on | :13:03. | :13:08. | |
whether Italy should remain or get out of the eurozone? This means that | :13:09. | :13:13. | |
they are totally unfit to rule the country and it showing they are | :13:14. | :13:19. | |
totally unfit to rule from the capital of Italy, Rome, where the | :13:20. | :13:27. | |
disaster of the 5-star campaign is totally wrong. It is clear that this | :13:28. | :13:34. | |
must be avoided. It depends on us. It depends on how effective we are | :13:35. | :13:38. | |
with our government and how convincing and persuasive we would | :13:39. | :13:45. | |
be in the general election. I wouldn't look at the opinion polls. | :13:46. | :13:52. | |
At the moment, it's too soon. Instead of bringing the debate to | :13:53. | :14:02. | |
this, I mean, in a way it is better to open a debate to strengthen the | :14:03. | :14:09. | |
eurozone. It is not only the Italian problem. The fact that the eurozone | :14:10. | :14:17. | |
rules are not adequate to tackle today's challenge is a something... | :14:18. | :14:23. | |
The difficulty with those rules as they have worked with everybody | :14:24. | :14:29. | |
else. The situation with Italy is a recent one and it isn't an ancient | :14:30. | :14:34. | |
one. Since Italy joined the euro in 1989, real income per head has gone | :14:35. | :14:38. | |
down, it is lower than it was then. I am not sure it didn't work for | :14:39. | :14:42. | |
everybody. I think that they have been... I have worked well for one | :14:43. | :14:45. | |
country, one big country at the centre of Europe. For all the other | :14:46. | :14:48. | |
countries, they haven't been proved to be effective. Otherwise you | :14:49. | :14:52. | |
wouldn't have a problem of unemployment. You wouldn't have the | :14:53. | :14:56. | |
rise of populism. You wouldn't have an issue of economic problems in | :14:57. | :15:01. | |
Europe. So the rules of today have only worked for Germany? They have | :15:02. | :15:06. | |
been very favourable to Germany. Now they are changing. We must push, | :15:07. | :15:11. | |
further push this change, because it is clear that we need to have a more | :15:12. | :15:16. | |
balanced approach. Why haven't they changed until now, if it is only in | :15:17. | :15:20. | |
the interests of one country? Probably because nobody has the | :15:21. | :15:23. | |
courage and the strength to run this issue. We thought that it was high | :15:24. | :15:27. | |
time. Also for the reason you mentioned, to open a debate on how | :15:28. | :15:31. | |
the eurozone functions, and how the eurozone should function, and we | :15:32. | :15:36. | |
think that there are many reforms to introduce. And what you said about | :15:37. | :15:45. | |
the... I mean, the difficulties is Italy since 1999, I agree. And this | :15:46. | :15:49. | |
has been the golden thread of our action since 2013. We have said we | :15:50. | :15:55. | |
have wasted too much time, and we must carry out reforms not because | :15:56. | :16:00. | |
we are a member of the European Union, not because we are a member | :16:01. | :16:04. | |
of the eurozone. We must carry out reform because it is an eye on | :16:05. | :16:08. | |
national interest. Because it is in the interest of the Italian people. | :16:09. | :16:11. | |
And even if tomorrow we decided to trigger Article 50, and to get out | :16:12. | :16:15. | |
of the union, we would, however, need to implement these reforms. | :16:16. | :16:19. | |
Well, let's turn to something else where I know that Italy feels that | :16:20. | :16:23. | |
it has carried an unfair share of the burden, which is the number of | :16:24. | :16:26. | |
people arriving on Europe's shores. There have been 500,000 over the | :16:27. | :16:30. | |
last three years, and there has been an increasing number in 2016. And | :16:31. | :16:37. | |
some have suggested, a senior EU official has suggested, that | :16:38. | :16:40. | |
actually it is the very mission to pick people out of the water that | :16:41. | :16:47. | |
has led to more coming over. Do you think that is true? I think that | :16:48. | :16:51. | |
Italy has been alone in saving the European dignity for too much time | :16:52. | :16:58. | |
in the Mediterranean. Because until 2016, Italy was the only one that | :16:59. | :17:07. | |
was searching and rescuing human beings in the Mediterranean. And I | :17:08. | :17:11. | |
think that we should put the life of women, children, families who flee | :17:12. | :17:16. | |
from the Islamic State, Isis, before, first and foremost. Now, | :17:17. | :17:22. | |
finally the Mediterranean has become an issue of common interest, and it | :17:23. | :17:26. | |
has been thanks to our action. Now finally we consider Libya not an | :17:27. | :17:29. | |
ancient legacy of Italian history, but a common problem. A European | :17:30. | :17:34. | |
international problem. And it is clear that we must do more together. | :17:35. | :17:39. | |
As the European Union, and in the future I hope it will be OK to | :17:40. | :17:44. | |
tackle the root causes of the migratory flows, to work with the | :17:45. | :17:47. | |
country of origin, to stabilise Libya. Because it is clear that the | :17:48. | :17:51. | |
central route through the Mediterranean is a problem for all | :17:52. | :17:55. | |
of us, and we should be much more effective and more united in | :17:56. | :17:58. | |
managing this problem. But I have to say, that if I have to compare the | :17:59. | :18:04. | |
situation of mid April 2015, when 700 people died in the | :18:05. | :18:10. | |
Mediterranean, and they had to convene the first extraordinary | :18:11. | :18:14. | |
European summit on migration, and the European summit on the third of | :18:15. | :18:18. | |
February this year, a lot of things have improved. But there are still | :18:19. | :18:22. | |
many things to be done together. Notably in working in a new | :18:23. | :18:29. | |
partnership relation with the country of origin. Because you want | :18:30. | :18:33. | |
more countries to take some of those that Italy is taking in. It has not | :18:34. | :18:37. | |
yet granted asylum, because you have actually grown asylum to a tiny | :18:38. | :18:42. | |
number. We have to work more together in relation to Europe. We | :18:43. | :18:46. | |
have to share the burden, because in the union, and in the continent, and | :18:47. | :18:51. | |
in the Schengen area, we have something which is extraordinary. We | :18:52. | :18:55. | |
have freedom. We have freedom to move, freedom to circulate. We don't | :18:56. | :19:00. | |
have internal frontiers in the Schengen area. If we want to keep | :19:01. | :19:04. | |
this, into something which is the biggest outcome of the European | :19:05. | :19:07. | |
Union for our citizens, we certainly must work on the external border, | :19:08. | :19:15. | |
and we must revise rules on asylum, which were conceived during the | :19:16. | :19:19. | |
Balkan war. How can we imagine the truths which were conceived two | :19:20. | :19:24. | |
decades ago, in another century, for another crisis, it can be effective | :19:25. | :19:29. | |
when the reason you state, going around the war, which is composed of | :19:30. | :19:34. | |
50 million asylum seekers, are called on the UN statistics. Your | :19:35. | :19:38. | |
government is now building detention centres, something that under Renzi | :19:39. | :19:44. | |
it refused to do on humanitarian grounds. No, it never refuse to do | :19:45. | :19:50. | |
on humanitarian grounds. They have built 16. Yes, because we also say | :19:51. | :19:56. | |
that we must work and be more effective as Italians and Europeans, | :19:57. | :20:01. | |
also on return policies. And we have said it is not only... We have been | :20:02. | :20:06. | |
negotiating for months with the European Commission on the so-called | :20:07. | :20:08. | |
hotspot, it identified the potential asylum seekers, but we have also | :20:09. | :20:13. | |
said this is only a part of the issue. The other side of the | :20:14. | :20:18. | |
problem... A representative of the northern league, the right-wing | :20:19. | :20:22. | |
northern league, were the league and I are not made out to be racists | :20:23. | :20:26. | |
inventing fears when we were calling for these centres, and suddenly, as | :20:27. | :20:30. | |
he says, I thought everything was under control and there was a change | :20:31. | :20:35. | |
of policy. If it was right then, why has it changed? He pretends to | :20:36. | :20:39. | |
understand, he understands perfectly but he pretends not to understand. | :20:40. | :20:43. | |
We need to do much more on the return policy. So it was a mistake | :20:44. | :20:47. | |
not to do it? We must be more effective on the return policy, | :20:48. | :20:51. | |
because we want the policy to become an EU issue. You coined the phrase | :20:52. | :20:55. | |
the Erasmus generation, which was the idea of politicians like | :20:56. | :20:59. | |
yourself who were pro-European, outward looking. It is a past tense | :21:00. | :21:05. | |
that use it towards me. Which brings me to my question. Because many | :21:06. | :21:08. | |
people will say it was your generation that benefited from | :21:09. | :21:13. | |
arguably the best of the EU. Now you look at the polls, you look at the | :21:14. | :21:20. | |
generation who are supporting Le Pen, for example, who are very | :21:21. | :21:23. | |
young, it is the youth who are unemployed, who feel betrayed by | :21:24. | :21:29. | |
much of what the EU has done. Is that a picture that you recognise? I | :21:30. | :21:33. | |
think that when I was 20 years old I got a lot from Europe. Now that I am | :21:34. | :21:37. | |
in a governmental position I feel the duty to give back something to | :21:38. | :21:41. | |
Europe of what Europe has given to me. And this is why I am so | :21:42. | :21:47. | |
committed in tribute into a better European Union. We should never | :21:48. | :21:51. | |
forget that in a little bit more than 40 years the continent has | :21:52. | :21:54. | |
shifted from the Auschwitz generation to the Erasmus | :21:55. | :21:59. | |
generation. This is what Europe has meant for Europeans. This democratic | :22:00. | :22:05. | |
revolution that was mentioned. Why today are so many young generation, | :22:06. | :22:11. | |
many youngsters, who are against the European Union? Because they didn't | :22:12. | :22:16. | |
find the union where they expected to find the union. They didn't find | :22:17. | :22:21. | |
the union promoting... Because they don't have jobs. Exactly, they | :22:22. | :22:25. | |
didn't find a union developing new social policies to create jobs. Your | :22:26. | :22:29. | |
argument to them as more integration, more union? Might | :22:30. | :22:34. | |
answer is a better economic policy, to boost growth, to create jobs, and | :22:35. | :22:40. | |
I don't believe that going back to the national borders, going back to | :22:41. | :22:44. | |
nationalism, can be a solution for these young people who do not have a | :22:45. | :22:48. | |
job, and they are probably much more qualified than we used to be when we | :22:49. | :22:54. | |
were 20 years old. And those policies have been devised in the | :22:55. | :22:59. | |
institutions of the EU, in Brussels, are they? Well, it is clear that we | :23:00. | :23:02. | |
need to shake the Brussels institutions. I owe a lot of respect | :23:03. | :23:06. | |
to the European Commission, are you work in the European Commission, I | :23:07. | :23:09. | |
work in European Parliament, but they have lost touch with reality. | :23:10. | :23:14. | |
In the last eight years, they lost touch with the increasing social | :23:15. | :23:18. | |
inequalities. And if you want to tackle this, national policies, | :23:19. | :23:24. | |
local policies, are not enough. We must do more and better also as the | :23:25. | :23:30. | |
European Union. Otherwise we will have lost the battle. Because if you | :23:31. | :23:34. | |
have lost the battle of the young generation, you will lose the | :23:35. | :23:37. | |
battle. Because Europe was always meant to be a project for the young | :23:38. | :23:41. | |
generations. Is the EU losing the battle at the moment? We must | :23:42. | :23:50. | |
prevent it from losing. Until 2013, it took a very bad direction. Now we | :23:51. | :23:57. | |
must correct and redress the direction it has taken. We must save | :23:58. | :24:02. | |
Europe from those who want to destroy Europe. But we must save | :24:03. | :24:06. | |
Europe also from the mistakes Europe made. And there are many mistakes, | :24:07. | :24:13. | |
and they need to be corrected. Sandro Gozi, thank you for coming on | :24:14. | :24:18. |