10/12/2015 House of Commons


10/12/2015

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necessarily. If there are no further points of order, we come to the

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backbench motion on the transatlantic trade in partnership.

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I was amazed that the leader of the house, as he reads the timber,

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should describe this as a political campaign by left-wing pressure

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groups. I do think that is the opinion of members of all the

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committees who are interested in this issue for variety of reasons.

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I'm very pleased that MPs from across the house, from all parties,

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have taken an active interest in this vital issue. The point I would

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like to make in this particular debate isn't the one I made a year

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ago, dwelling on the arbitration problems of big companies focusing

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in on suing democratically elected governments of the laws passed but

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undermine their future profit. But in the context of the Paris climate

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change talks, I want to make a point to the minister, that unless the

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environmental imperatives that are coming out of Palace are integrated

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in a binding and vaguely affordable way, within the EU free trade

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agreements both with Canada and the United States, then we are in danger

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of sleepwalking into environmental oblivion, irrespective of what comes

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out of these talks. Comment back to the remarks he made in relation to

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the leader of the house, it is right that this motion is before the house

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today. I can we trust the government with industrial relations when you

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have the anti-trade union government. That should be stricter

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lies in front of the house, the effect on public services. It is an

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important point. In the draft version of TTIP that I have here,

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which I hope the Minister has read. There are references to rights for

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Labour laws, but they are not legally enforceable and I would like

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to have them, because at the moment, workers rights are at risk from

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these deals. I should make clear that the outset, that I am in favour

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of trade and in favour of growing trade, I'm in favour of the EU, so

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we do get any confusion over this. The EU and the US are already in

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trade for in excess of $700 billion. There are forecasts on how much the

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economy will grow and they are variable. The daily from nothing to

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about 4%. Remember, the forecasts for the expansion of economic

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activity due to the single market the leaders in four and 6.5%. It

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ended up being 2%. That are those who say colon to a cup of coffee for

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every person per day. What we need to think about is what other

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benefits of trade versus the cost and risk involved. Would he agree

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that Labour MEPs have sought a common position on TTIP, calling for

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strong safeguards with respect to health and safety measures. This

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specific exclusion of investor dispute mechanism, because the

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ideas, it is not democratic, open to scrutiny, democratic or fair. The

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point is well made. On the issue of employee rights,

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having met with American trade unions, they see TTIP as a great

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thing. As an internationalist, I would expect him to support such a

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change. I share that aspiration, but the issue is that those rights are

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legally bound enforceable within TTIP. My point about TTIP is not to

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burn it, shoot it, get rid of it, it is to pull the ISDS teeth out of the

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wolf and genetically edit it, so we have environmental narratives in it,

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we have enforceable rights at work, we have human rights, southerners a

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blueprint for future global trade, rather than destruction of

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environmental and human rights. I congratulate him on to Judith is

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really important debate. Does he agree with me that the government

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and the European Commission should heed the call from the BMA that the

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NHS should be absolutely excluded from TTIP, as is the case for the

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audiovisual sector to? We should have a copper bottomed arrangement,

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like with fenland, which covers all of health, private and social care,

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from any intervention. At the moment, those guarantees are not

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provided. If that is private provision somewhere, it allows an

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avenue for American contractors to move on. Could you tell us on the

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ISDS, how many agreements as Britain currently have with ISDS provisions?

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How many cases have been taken against the UK on that and how many

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of them have been successful? He will know that is a large number

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will of ISDS bilaterals and play, but we haven't had cases taken

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against us. We also know that the exposure to ISDS will increase by

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about 300%. He also knows, that if he has a pet dog goes round biting

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the neighbours, it doesn't guarantee will fight him and just because

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other people don't die of cigarette smoke, doesn't mean he won't. Some

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members of the government. On the specific wind raised by our right

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honourable friend, the fact is that it is not the number of court cases

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which are taking, it is the ministerial action which is

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inhibited by fear of those court cases. I have that experience as a

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minister and I have to say he is barking up the wrong tree. We do

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need short interventions. That is a lot of interest in this debate, but

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can I remember the honourable member, he has ten to 15 minutes for

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his opening speech and I wouldn't like to give up too much of that the

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interventions. We knew that big companies do use the powers

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available to them to sue democratically elected governments.

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The Canadian government has been sued for hundreds of billions of

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dollars because Quebec brought out a moratorium on fracking, as well as

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the case of Philip Morris who is suing you require industry earlier

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because of tobacco packaging. That is the case of the Dutch company who

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are suing the Slovakians were trying to reverse some health legislation.

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If these powers are available, corporations will use them to

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maximise profit. That is what you expect them to do. Our job is to

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regulate and make sure the public interest is first. The other issue

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is these treaties, some people are worried about the EU, we will be

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bound for 20 years under these rules by any future government. I think

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that is wrong, and a lot of conservative members have mentioned

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this to me as well. I won't give way on that. On the regulatory chill, go

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on then. I'm very grateful. I realise is getting frustrated by the

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number of interventions. Mine is brief and specific. He talks about

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scrutiny, what method of scrutiny would be used and would it be a

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committee or a minister committed to this dispatch box and for the whole

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house to scrutinise? Clearly there is a widespread

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impact. We will like recommendations to be made from the service and they

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can table amendments. At the moment it is being decided by negotiators

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behind closed doors which is unacceptable and it will be a yes,

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no, decision. The seat of one which has already been agreed, there is

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some legal washing, it is due to be brought before Members of the

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European Parliament next spring. I was going to mention the issue of

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regulatory chill because of the pressure and that of this action.

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Already the EU has withdrawn its demands for transparency and

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clinical data. Especially in terms of trials. This means that if you

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are a big dogs company and unique trials and three go wrong and seven

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go right, you only have to publish the seven that all right. These

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things are worrying, has are the bits and pieces about trade secrets.

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-- drugs. This inhibits democracy. There are issues about rights of

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work which members have mentioned. There is the problem of the seat

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being a great because this is the Trojan horse for all of these powers

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in the settlement to come through the back door and bad of democracy

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and public services and public finances. As I have said, the fact

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that 20 million people no are in Beijing and are crying because of

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the environmental damage on trade and unregulated economic activity to

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support that trade and meanwhile, in Cumbria we see people having the

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effect of climate change. We must ensure that future trading

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agreements for all of the EU and Canada and the US have an

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enforceable environmental imperatives which prevent

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corporations from making this works which will spread to China and

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elsewhere, no one else seems to be seeing anything other. We need trade

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laws to be trumped by what comes out of Paris then he legally binding and

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enforceable way, that is not happening at the moment. I spoke

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with the Secretary general of the OECD in Paris when I was out at the

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conference. Talking about this ?200 million subsidy given to fossil

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fuels, at the moment he was not happy about this. I said what about

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getting the environmental imperatives from Paris as a minimum

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standards into TTIP and he scratched his head and said they had not

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thought about it but it could be a good idea. In fact, the EU is asking

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for an oil and gas pipeline from the US to get shield gas and all sorts

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of oil over here, what will that do for our carbon footprint? It is

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trade on the one hand and environment on the other and we need

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an integrated approach to a global sustainable development. The reality

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is on ISDS, that should be stripped out of the TTIP. People have said

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what about the investors, they must be protected. They have judicial

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review, they have already got a breach of contract, they already use

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these rights in public court and the only difference is that in public

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court the public interest is wide up against the commercial interest. The

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arbitration panel says it is all about the private interest. The

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death or public health issues are not waited. By way of example, the

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case of Tech Ed which is a waste disposal plant in Mexico who

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breached those regulations, the Mexican government decided at the

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end of that contract to not renew it because there was so much in breach

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of that. They went to an arbitration panel and Mexico was found to lose

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this particular case and to be a ?5 million plus another ?8 million in

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court costs. The point I am trying to make in this example is that if

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the UK require a stronger emissions standards to live up to our promises

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for either 1.5% or 2% increases in temperature, then ISDS, not Iain

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Duncan Smith! They must come along and sue others for actually obliging

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us for moving forward with these particular requirements from Paris.

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What I am telling you is that the protection Tribunal is as opposed to

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public law must wait more in favour of the investors as opposed to

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public protection and that is the wrong way around. One Lord said to

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me in questioning the scrutiny committee, he has said about the

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compensation for these companies, there is nothing wrong with that.

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The point I am making is that there should -- is not that there should

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not be compensation but if you look at Costa Rica, they actually took

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back some land which has natural value, they have endangered species

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and endangered habitats, they compensated for that land $1.9

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million in this case. The owners took them again, one of these

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Tribunal 's, the tribunal did not factor in public interest or public

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value, nothing to do with it, it is all about commercial issues and they

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will find them ?16 million. -- find them. This ISDS favours the private

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sector, not the public interest or the natural habitat, so we have to

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strip it out of TTIP. Another issue with ISDS is basically that it can

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in essence from national law and tromp previous national law. In the

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case of Deutsche Bank versus Sri Lanka they were existing laws were

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the Supreme Court in Sri Lanka brought forward to stop payments to

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Deutsche Bank. Deutsche Bank went off to an arbitration panel, even

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though arrangements were made after the national law had been passed,

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and they successfully won the case. The pointers for Britain, if this

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goes through in this current state, the 2008 climate change act, that

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will be trumped by TTIP and ISDS. So it is unbelievable in terms of

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sovereign democracy and these are all these turkeys voting for

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Christmas, they are up to speed on the sort of thing. We will not have

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protection for some of our famous products, the Welsh Lamb, Cumbrian

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sausages, this sort of thing. The headline in the Son was that passed

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things get a pasting, very local -- very lyrical! But we will not have

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an advert for Welsh languages in Nebraska or whatever. We have the

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TTIP environmental chapter telling us that... I beg your pardon? We

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have that chapter that does make some reference to the real mac and

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Copenhagen and it says that chapter that there is nothing in that

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chapter that allows a binding enforceability that is not allow the

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investment chapter to trumpet, of which it does. What this means is

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that all of the pledges of the environmental chapter are not cast

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in stone but can be over current by these arbitration panels and they

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need to be legally binding and an enforcement mechanism which they do

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not have in place. -- Rio. In a nutshell then, I am suggesting that

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ISDS be removed from TTIP, the article says that the provisions of

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TTIP will be without reservation subject to the 2015 Paris and

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subsequent treaty agreements that TTIP should be consistent and

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contributed to the targets are great in Paris and subsequent call. And

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that they do not go ahead down the route of harmonisation of the

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regulatory co-operative body. In a nutshell, in terms of harmonisation

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standards which in principle there is a good thing, that must be

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decided behind closed doors by supple servant is subject to

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lobbying from industry. This is not something that we would want. Then

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finality, I would simply say that there is a lot of things wrong with

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TTIP that we must change but this motion is about scrutiny. I am not

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for abandoning TTIP we need a blueprint for future global trade

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and we need an integrated environment will imperatives that

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made legal rights and other human rights are enforceable and show

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leadership for a global trade that provides us with a sustainable, fair

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and equitable world for the future. Thank you very much.

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The question is as on the order paper.

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Peter Lilley. Thank you, Mr Speaker. -- Deputy Speaker. I thank the right

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honourable member for allowing this debate. As the last person in this

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House who I think was involved in negotiating this accessible

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international trade round, the Uruguay round, I am extremely in

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favour of free trade. I believe indeed there is a strong case for

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unilateral free trade and not one that is easy to sell to the

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electorate. Our priority therefore, I approached the TTIP agreement with

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the position of strong support and I am very suspicious of critics of it

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who are often simply against trade, simply against markets, something

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against choice, business and simply against America. He might find I

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have answered his question! Especially hostile, I am especially

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hostile to those people who pressed the button on the 38 degrees

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campaigns and anything against trade and business. I was rather surprised

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to find myself sympathising with people who appeared in my surgery

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and announced to a groan from me that they were members of the 38

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degrees and had concerns about TTIP and actually read some very

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important point which resonated with me from my experience of past

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negotiations. Of course, I am still totally in favour of removing

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tariffs. But that is relatively minor in terms of the aspects of

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TTIP. It has been hugely successful of removing tariffs and barriers

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over the years, averaging 40% back when Gap was set up, it was 17% when

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I was negotiating. The Tardis now between the United States and Europe

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average less than 2% and half of all goods traded between the two

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continents are entirely tariff free. -- tariffs. Those are subject to

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tariffs can be higher, on clothing it is up to 30%. On cars, the US

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where these are two and a half percent. German car minor fractures

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have led of 10% on imports of cars from America. Abolition of the

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reigning Tardis is worth having. But, and it will be the final

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success of Gap. TTIP goes far beyond that. -- tariffs. It looks that the

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regulation and rules on investment and procurement. It is true that

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those sorts of rules can either buy content or accidentally be used to

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inhibit trade and we should avoid using them in that way and we should

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seek if we can agreements the anti-discrimination rules so that

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neither in the business of investment no procurement would

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either States or the EU they allowed to discriminate against firms from

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the other side in these matters. My constituents that declare themselves

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to be members of 38 degrees, it could be that we are creating a

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bureaucratic process which may escape proper democratic control and

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may be subject to proper corporate influence. It is also symptomatic of

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bureaucracies to perpetuate their existence, even when the task they

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were established to do is largely complete. Literate members of this

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House and we are all that, I remember Dickens describing the

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office whose chief died at his post with his drawn salary in his hand

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defending the existence of an organisation which no longer has any

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need to exist. But because we have succeeded on tariff negotiation we

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should be scaling down, not giving up the international bureaucracy and

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giving it more democratic -- undemocratic powers. During the

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Uruguay round I talked about accountability to this House.

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Because the negotiations were complex it was that good for the

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House to hold ministers to account and easy for ministers to present a

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fait accompli to this House and say they had achieved the best

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compromise. I will give way. I am grateful to you for giving way

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and would you agree that one of the things that will scrutinise TTIP

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very assiduously will be the US Congress? They will not let things

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go that they think will put their own people at a disadvantage.

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Well, I would like to hear from my honourable friend that it is this

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House that will exercise democratic control relying upon the American

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Congress! The second reason is partly because ministers where so

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little accountable to this House and I cannot remember any debates

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actually that I had to respond to on that issue. Offer shows were very

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reluctant to be a comfortable ministers. On almost every other

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area that I was involved in in government I thought officials were

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wonderful. The caricature of them in Yes, Minister was false. But as

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regards bureaucracy and limited democratic control, they were

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reluctant to respond to ministers' questions or explain what they were

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up to what compromises they were making. I had to argue very strongly

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and hard to reassert my control over officials. It is up to ministers to

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do so. I will give way. Could I ask my right honourable

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friend whether he thinks that TTIP will actually be in any way

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accountable to this House? Because it doesn't look as though it will.

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There are aspects where I feel we are in danger of handing over

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unaccountable powers, and I think we should be wary about doing that. In

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the case of the negotiations then and now, they are aggravated by the

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fact that we are negotiating at second-hand through the E EU at

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arm's-length. I accept that we have had to make some sacrifices to have

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a common market. My honourable friend thinks we should probably

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rely more on the American market. I am misrepresenting him, I know. All

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these are problems which are comparatively easy when you are just

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dealing with abolition of tariffs. When you are handing over to

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international bureaucracies and legal tribunal is, wide areas of

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rules of procurement even greater. And this brings me to my other

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concern about bureaucracies, and that is that they may be unduly

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influenced by corporate lobbying. The less responsive they are to

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elected members of this House, the more likely they are to be

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responsive to corporate lobbying. I am not one who believes in the

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Marxist view that the world is run by a conspiracy of corporations and

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big business, nor that big business always wants to deregulate.

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Actually, it is true that Rucker sees and big business, the people in

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them have a common worldview. -- bureaucracies and big business. And

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also, big business has a natural interest in regulation to be used as

:26:37.:26:42.

a barrier against other small businesses trying to enter the

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market or new businesses trying to innovate. So we should be very

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careful about creating international bureaucracies outside the control of

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Democrats which may prove more vulnerable to lobbying. The specific

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issues are fracking and GM foods. I am very strongly in favour of both.

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I have the main research Institute for GM foods in my constituency. But

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ultimate decisions about that should be made democratically, and to me it

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is far more important that democracy should prevail then some

:27:31.:27:35.

international bureaucracy should support my views, which they

:27:36.:27:44.

possibly would. It is our job to persuade the public that that is

:27:45.:27:48.

right. Not to support an international bureaucracy because it

:27:49.:27:51.

will take the decision out of our hands and reach what we think is the

:27:52.:27:56.

right view. So to sum up, I am unequivocally in favour of removing

:27:57.:27:59.

tariffs. I would welcome agreement under TTIP anti-discrimination rules

:28:00.:28:06.

for both Europe and America to agree that they will not discriminate

:28:07.:28:09.

against foreign companies in procurement and investment. But I

:28:10.:28:14.

would be very careful about creating a self-perpetuating international

:28:15.:28:20.

bureaucracy and handing it to it powers that are largely out of the

:28:21.:28:23.

control of elected representatives and too much under the influence of

:28:24.:28:28.

corporate lobbying. At the end of the day, democracy is more

:28:29.:28:35.

important, even than free trade. Thank you, Mr Deputy Speaker. Can I

:28:36.:28:40.

declare an interest of the chairman of the all-party group on the

:28:41.:28:44.

transatlantic trade deal. And can I do that as an unashamed supporter of

:28:45.:28:48.

trade. Trade has been a huge benefit to this country over the centuries,

:28:49.:28:54.

particularly to the West Midlands, which grew on the back of trade, and

:28:55.:28:58.

indeed the West Midlands is currently the only region of the UK

:28:59.:29:01.

that has a positive trade balance with China. But equally

:29:02.:29:06.

significantly, trade has been the engine by which hundreds of millions

:29:07.:29:09.

of people around the world have been lifted out of poverty, and when

:29:10.:29:14.

people look at China and the growth of China, and I will come back to

:29:15.:29:18.

some aspects of that in a minute, because they were mentioned by my

:29:19.:29:21.

honourable friend the Member for Swansea, but hundreds of millions of

:29:22.:29:26.

people in China have seen their lives Joe Mattock a change as a

:29:27.:29:31.

result of trade. -- dramatically change as a result of trade. There

:29:32.:29:37.

has historically been in this House those who have been opposed to

:29:38.:29:47.

trade. Four. All of the nations which have had dramatic improvement

:29:48.:29:52.

in their economies have done so with a degree of texture, and the Chinese

:29:53.:29:59.

have used a massive devaluation of their currency against Western

:30:00.:30:02.

currencies, behind which they have seen their economy develop rapidly.

:30:03.:30:08.

Protectionism actually works. I am pleased to see that my

:30:09.:30:11.

honourable friend wants to see us move towards more of a rules -based

:30:12.:30:16.

bases that will enable us to develop more effectively. But trade has

:30:17.:30:21.

actually worked, and I'm glad that he can see that. There is a great

:30:22.:30:25.

mythology being developed around this. I asked my honourable friend

:30:26.:30:31.

the Member for Swansea how many agreements that we had in the UK

:30:32.:30:37.

that involved I SDS. He was reluctant to reveal that the answer

:30:38.:30:45.

was 94. How many cases have been successful? My understanding is

:30:46.:30:52.

none. Mention is made once again of the very long-running Philip Morris,

:30:53.:30:58.

so-called case, and it is true that Philip Morris said they were lodging

:30:59.:31:01.

a case. Has that gone anywhere or proceeded anywhere? Has it stopped

:31:02.:31:05.

the Australian government taking action? Of course it hasn't. One of

:31:06.:31:10.

the more regularly cited cases is Slovakia and its health insurance

:31:11.:31:14.

system. They often we are told that a Dutch insurance company managed to

:31:15.:31:21.

secure substantial damages from the Slovakian government, and that is

:31:22.:31:25.

true. Because that was about the question as to whether, under the

:31:26.:31:28.

existing contract, they could actually repatriate their profits to

:31:29.:31:33.

Holland. On a second case, which every body seems to forget, the

:31:34.:31:38.

Slovakian Government won, and it was held by the court that it was not

:31:39.:31:46.

empowered to intervene in the democratic processes of a sovereign

:31:47.:31:50.

state. And where I particularly hold the Government to account is that

:31:51.:31:54.

although the Leader of the House might talk about left-wing groups

:31:55.:31:58.

campaigning on this with scare stories, why won't the Government,

:31:59.:32:03.

Government Ministers, actually take on these myths so that we can get

:32:04.:32:08.

back to an argument on some of the issues that my honourable friend

:32:09.:32:12.

rightly raised rather than dealing with the mythology. But the

:32:13.:32:15.

Government just hide away in the gauge in negotiations and won't take

:32:16.:32:25.

these issues off. If ISDS has been used so little, and concern has been

:32:26.:32:35.

expressed about it, why does he think it is important to have it be

:32:36.:32:43.

part of TTIP? ISDS appears to be the sticking point for a very large

:32:44.:32:50.

number of people. I just say that this is not the

:32:51.:32:53.

great problem that people are claiming. The honourable gentleman

:32:54.:33:00.

mentions the NHS. The European Commissioner wrote to the Trade

:33:01.:33:04.

Minister in the UK about the impact of TTIP on the NHS. Let me read out

:33:05.:33:10.

her comments. Member states do not have to open public services to

:33:11.:33:14.

competition from private providers, nor do they have to outsource to

:33:15.:33:19.

private providers. That is a decision of this Government, not

:33:20.:33:22.

anything to do with a trade deal. Member states are free to change

:33:23.:33:25.

their policies and bring back outsource services into the public

:33:26.:33:31.

sector whenever they choose to do so in a manner respecting property

:33:32.:33:34.

rights which in any event are protected under UK law. I give way.

:33:35.:33:41.

The essential difference is that ISDS tribunal is held in private,

:33:42.:33:52.

and private primary focus -- primary focus is about the law, but it would

:33:53.:33:57.

be better to be held in transparency, and there have been a

:33:58.:34:01.

lot of cases where enormous damages have been claimed. It is about the

:34:02.:34:07.

intrinsic... The problem my honourable friend has, and we will

:34:08.:34:11.

have to discuss this subsequently, in order to undertake that in the

:34:12.:34:15.

manner describing, you would have to create a supranational international

:34:16.:34:23.

court to deal with that. Unless there is an agreement on reciprocity

:34:24.:34:26.

between the Supreme Court and the European court, and that might cause

:34:27.:34:31.

problems with colleagues opposite. Equally, I have to say with regard

:34:32.:34:36.

to the Canadian trade talks, there was very little controversy about

:34:37.:34:49.

discussions with the Canadians until we started to undertake discussions

:34:50.:34:55.

with the United States, which touched a nerve endings and consider

:34:56.:35:01.

another people. He is right that if you scratch biddies a lot of the

:35:02.:35:04.

opposition here and you see blatant anti-American is. It is deeply

:35:05.:35:09.

offensive to Government such as the Canadian government to describe CETA

:35:10.:35:15.

as a Trojan Horse as if Canada were doing the dirty work for the

:35:16.:35:18.

Americans, that was what the implication is and it is offensive

:35:19.:35:23.

to Canada, a country that has standards of protection that go

:35:24.:35:27.

beyond our own in many areas. I thank the gentleman for a point

:35:28.:35:39.

well made. My honourable member for Swansea talked about the

:35:40.:35:42.

environmental situation in China. If we do not undertake a trade deal

:35:43.:35:56.

between the EU and the, then the people who will be setting the terms

:35:57.:36:00.

of trade on the parameters for the world will be China, and he has

:36:01.:36:05.

rightly identified they may have much less concern to issues like

:36:06.:36:09.

workers' rights and the environment as the EU and the United States. One

:36:10.:36:16.

of the concerns he raised with regard to the Canadian deal was with

:36:17.:36:22.

regard to food and the implications for geographic indicators, Welsh

:36:23.:36:25.

Lamb and so on. In fact, this is one of the great attractions not only

:36:26.:36:32.

for farmers in the UK but also across Europe, particularly southern

:36:33.:36:38.

Europe, the ability the geographic indicators, and one of the

:36:39.:36:40.

attractions the Canada and the United States is the ability to sell

:36:41.:36:55.

GM. A trade of GM food -- GM for GI might well be on the cards. The

:36:56.:37:01.

Leader of the House talked about scaremongering from the far left,

:37:02.:37:05.

and we have had the e-mails again from 38 degrees, who will know that

:37:06.:37:14.

-- no doubt be castigated me again on Facebook. A pamphlet by the Rosa

:37:15.:37:26.

Luxemburg foundation was put forward, a number of colleagues on

:37:27.:37:35.

this side may be aware of the Rosa Luxemburg foundation, deeply linked

:37:36.:37:41.

to the far left party in Germany that comes out of the old East

:37:42.:37:46.

German Communist Party. There is a lot to be said against the old East

:37:47.:37:51.

German Communist Party, but they were pretty good at running the line

:37:52.:38:00.

and propaganda and agitation. And so we need to be very clear not of some

:38:01.:38:06.

of the valid arguments that are being rightly made, but where some

:38:07.:38:15.

of the campaigns come from. Honourable members need to be clear

:38:16.:38:19.

on that. Unfortunately, the honourable member of a then touched

:38:20.:38:24.

on another area partly referred to by the honourable member for

:38:25.:38:27.

Swansea, the European scrutiny committee. And it is the neuralgic

:38:28.:38:33.

reaction of some on the conservative side to anything involving the EU.

:38:34.:38:42.

In order to conduct trade negotiations around the world, one

:38:43.:38:45.

of the key enabler is all that is our membership of the EU. That

:38:46.:38:51.

enables us to participate and not to be contrary to the views of Niger

:38:52.:38:57.

Farage that somehow we won't be able to negotiate trade deals on our own.

:38:58.:39:00.

We can negotiate them through the combined strength of the EU. And

:39:01.:39:07.

when we are campaigning next year, in order to remain members of the

:39:08.:39:17.

EU, many of the arguments against the transatlantic trade deal a

:39:18.:39:19.

reflective of the arguments that are made against the EU. And there is

:39:20.:39:24.

some trade of sovereignty actually for effectiveness and relevance in

:39:25.:39:30.

this modern world, and that is one of the reasons why we should be

:39:31.:39:31.

supporting this agreement. But if not, I might sit down early.

:39:32.:39:51.

I also need to declare an interest, I am the secretary on the agreement,

:39:52.:40:00.

so I am also supportive. It is important to say that this is

:40:01.:40:07.

another example of where there are elements within British society that

:40:08.:40:10.

are trying to close down debate. In August, my daughter who is 14, left

:40:11.:40:15.

our house in order to do her paper round. She came back and said there

:40:16.:40:19.

were six been people outside picketing my home because of my job

:40:20.:40:25.

and they were basically accusing me of wanting to kill people because of

:40:26.:40:30.

selling off the NHS. If we're going to have a debate, we should make it

:40:31.:40:34.

an honest debate and avoid intimidation as part of that debate.

:40:35.:40:40.

I think we have an issue -- a duty to debate this issue openly and

:40:41.:40:44.

transparently. Intimidation has no part in it. This is the fourth time

:40:45.:40:47.

we have had this debate in the chamber. The honourable member for

:40:48.:40:51.

Swansea West has secured two debates. Is there not a danger that

:40:52.:40:59.

this debate is in some ways premature? The proposed agreement

:41:00.:41:03.

has not yet been reached and before it can ever be ratified, the text

:41:04.:41:09.

would have to be distributed and also in this house where proper

:41:10.:41:14.

scrutiny can be applied? He makes a very important point but I don't

:41:15.:41:19.

think the issue is the agreement, the issue is the anti-free-trade

:41:20.:41:24.

agenda. It is not because there is an issue with the trade deal but it

:41:25.:41:29.

is an attack on free trade, I would argue. I will take an intervention

:41:30.:41:38.

in a minute. Whilst the final texts have not been released, in terms of

:41:39.:41:42.

the so-called secrecy, all the texts are available online! If anyone

:41:43.:41:48.

actually has the ability to Google, they would be able to find the texts

:41:49.:41:53.

and the negotiations. This is probably the most open negotiation

:41:54.:42:01.

we have had as part of the European Union. I do wonder if people know

:42:02.:42:06.

that they can Google these issues. It's also important to point out

:42:07.:42:10.

that the all-party group on this issue have held a number of open

:42:11.:42:15.

meetings in this house, attended by 150 people. Those were looking at

:42:16.:42:21.

the effect of this Treaty on the automotive sector and on public

:42:22.:42:26.

services and on textiles and on food and drink producers. The argue that

:42:27.:42:30.

there is a lack of discussion in this house I think is to make a

:42:31.:42:37.

false argument and indeed it is to play into the hands of the

:42:38.:42:40.

protesters who are against free-trade. Grateful for giving way

:42:41.:42:47.

and for this debate which I'm finding quite interesting. I agree

:42:48.:42:50.

with the broad sentiments of the group. Shouldn't the decision be

:42:51.:43:00.

outside the remit of a trade organisation and outside the remit

:43:01.:43:05.

for this house? As someone who represents a Welsh constituency with

:43:06.:43:08.

a significant number of land reducers, I want to see it being

:43:09.:43:13.

offered for sale in North America but currently that is not the case.

:43:14.:43:18.

If that is the way to get the product into the North American

:43:19.:43:20.

market through trade agreements, I'm willing to see what the detail is.

:43:21.:43:27.

The remit for the negotiations has been agreed by 28 member states of

:43:28.:43:33.

the European Union and there have been two in the European

:43:34.:43:40.

Parliament... The European trade negotiators have been to this house

:43:41.:43:43.

tries to explain what their remit is. The opportunity to engage is

:43:44.:43:49.

there. So yes, if there is for example concerned about some of the

:43:50.:43:52.

concessions possibly made on a quid pro quo basis then those issues can

:43:53.:43:57.

be identified at a latter stage. I think it's also important that we

:43:58.:44:01.

address head-on the issue of the so-called threat to the National

:44:02.:44:04.

Health Service. It is a so-called threat, I have to say. I hope that

:44:05.:44:08.

every single member who speaks in this debate has actually written a

:44:09.:44:15.

letter to the health Select Committee, a detailed 3-page letter

:44:16.:44:19.

from the European trade negotiator which makes very clear that there is

:44:20.:44:24.

no possibility of an impact on our health service or public services

:44:25.:44:28.

for that matter as a result of the agreement. It says quite

:44:29.:44:32.

categorically all publicly funded public health services are

:44:33.:44:36.

protracted in new trade agreements and this approach will not change.

:44:37.:44:44.

That brings us back to the points made by my honourable friend, that

:44:45.:44:48.

there is a concern that this debate seems to be that this is an

:44:49.:44:51.

agreement with the United States of America. I stayed very clearly as

:44:52.:44:57.

the secretary I have had literally thousands of e-mails from all parts

:44:58.:45:00.

of the United Kingdom accusing me of all sorts of skulduggery in relation

:45:01.:45:05.

to this proposed trade deal. I actually was quite impressed by the

:45:06.:45:08.

fact that the people e-mailing me nearly think I've had far more power

:45:09.:45:12.

than I've ever had as a backbench MP! I will not take an intervention.

:45:13.:45:17.

There is an important point to be made. Not a single e-mail was ever

:45:18.:45:21.

sent to me about the deal with Canada, described as a Trojan horse

:45:22.:45:29.

for TTIP. No, I will not take an intervention. It is therefore very

:45:30.:45:34.

difficult not to conclude that this is not about trade this is not about

:45:35.:45:40.

the health service, this is about a latent anti-western anti-US a gender

:45:41.:45:45.

which I find frankly disreputable and I will not take an intervention

:45:46.:45:49.

on that issue. The point needs to be made and has been made. We clearly

:45:50.:45:54.

have a dishonest debate in relation to this issue. We have claims being

:45:55.:45:59.

made which are not substantiated. We have accusations of secrecy which do

:46:00.:46:03.

not stand up to scrutiny. But I think it's very clear as well that

:46:04.:46:11.

we have an issue to be raised about ISDS which has been demolished. In

:46:12.:46:15.

relation to these agreements there is no explanation offered to the

:46:16.:46:20.

member of Swansea West as to why we have had four of these agreements

:46:21.:46:23.

and not one of them has been subjected to any complaint. It is

:46:24.:46:27.

only because TTIP has a deal with the US that we seem to have these

:46:28.:46:33.

concerns. I have dealt with some of the concerns expected of the member

:46:34.:46:37.

opposite. I think we should also consider the opportunities that come

:46:38.:46:40.

from TTIP. My right honourable friend was absolutely right in

:46:41.:46:45.

stating that the tariff barriers are comparatively low. It's very clear

:46:46.:46:50.

when you talk to regulators on both sides of the Atlantic, the European

:46:51.:46:53.

Union and the US, quite often the regulations which are imposed are

:46:54.:46:56.

those which are not specifically there for the safety of the public

:46:57.:47:00.

in the US or the European Union, they are there as a means to offer a

:47:01.:47:04.

protectionist stance in relation to some industries. For example it

:47:05.:47:07.

makes very little sense that our booming car industry, our hugely

:47:08.:47:13.

successful exporting car industry has to undertake a crash test which

:47:14.:47:16.

is completely different in the US do what it is in the EU. The reason why

:47:17.:47:21.

that crash test is different is because the regulations are

:47:22.:47:26.

different. The effect of that ads on ?600 to the cost of a mini Cooper

:47:27.:47:31.

because the dashboard has to be changed to comply with US test

:47:32.:47:35.

regulations. Nobody believes that the situation is any different in

:47:36.:47:38.

the US to the European Union when you have a crash, but the test is

:47:39.:47:42.

different which would create a huge cost to the car industry. There is

:47:43.:47:50.

the potential for... If some of those regulatory burdens were to be

:47:51.:47:54.

moved. When we talk about the need for a manufacturing led recovery,

:47:55.:47:58.

it's difficult to believe the concerns of the party opposite when

:47:59.:48:01.

they talk of that need or the fact that we're not taking manufacturing

:48:02.:48:05.

seriously when the opportunity to get rid of some of those regulatory

:48:06.:48:10.

burdens which are counter-productive and the poster competition is very

:48:11.:48:15.

difficult to stand opposed to the manufacturing sector when they are

:48:16.:48:20.

not willing to work with that manufacturing sector to reduce some

:48:21.:48:22.

of those burdens. The regulatory burdens are also unfair on small and

:48:23.:48:28.

medium-sized enterprises. Larger companies have the capacity to deal

:48:29.:48:32.

with the regulatory burdens in the US and then subsequently to deal

:48:33.:48:35.

with the regulatory burdens in the European Union. The small businesses

:48:36.:48:40.

in my constituency who have world-class products to offer our

:48:41.:48:42.

not in a position to sell them to the US because the regulatory

:48:43.:48:47.

burdens mean they have a bad year to their potential to trade. Small

:48:48.:48:52.

businesses sending packages on the Internet find themselves in

:48:53.:48:54.

difficulty dealing with the US because they don't know whether the

:48:55.:49:00.

rules and regulations applying for staff in the postal system would be

:49:01.:49:06.

the same as it is in Europe. Larger businesses, the Amazons of this

:49:07.:49:11.

world can cope quite easily. Small and medium-size enterprises are

:49:12.:49:15.

unable to do so. To talk about this agreement being for large

:49:16.:49:18.

multinationals is to miss the point. The point of this agreement is to

:49:19.:49:22.

reduce the regulatory burden which large companies are quite happy to

:49:23.:49:26.

impose because it gives the opportunity for small businesses to

:49:27.:49:30.

compete against them. I've only got a minute. The fact that I have a

:49:31.:49:35.

drinks producer in my constituency who is unable to have the production

:49:36.:49:39.

line to get the right bottle size is a classic example of the way the

:49:40.:49:46.

regulations work against small businesses and to the advantage of

:49:47.:49:49.

larger businesses. When it comes to being a member of Parliament for

:49:50.:49:55.

Wales, can I say categorically the fact that the United States consumer

:49:56.:50:00.

is being delighted much -- denied my Welsh lamb from my constituency is a

:50:01.:50:06.

shame. Yes we need to scrutinise and make sure that this house has its

:50:07.:50:09.

say in the agreement but we should try and grab the opportunity to make

:50:10.:50:12.

sure that we have growth in all parts of the United Kingdom not

:50:13.:50:14.

least here in Wales. Irrespective of his views on TTIP,

:50:15.:50:27.

families and individual members should have the right to security in

:50:28.:50:31.

their own home. If he is being lobbied in his own home by

:50:32.:50:33.

protesters, I would deplore that entirely. I am in favour of free

:50:34.:50:40.

trade, Mr Deputy Speaker. Free trade should be a good thing, it should

:50:41.:50:44.

create wealth and provide innovation in the way that we approached jobs

:50:45.:50:49.

and markets and it would promote existing services and products in

:50:50.:50:57.

new markets. I do not believe that the proposed TTIP deal is about free

:50:58.:51:01.

trade. It's about increasing the dominance of several large

:51:02.:51:06.

globalised corporations, who have no loyalty to any one particular

:51:07.:51:09.

country but loyalty to their quarterly figures on Wall Street or

:51:10.:51:14.

the City of London. We talked about public services and I do believe

:51:15.:51:18.

that public services will still be under threat under TTIP, unless we

:51:19.:51:24.

get a categorical response taken. We can't have such a categorical

:51:25.:51:28.

response because it has all been done in secret. We have talked

:51:29.:51:34.

about... The Right Honourable member put some interesting figures in his

:51:35.:51:38.

speech but I think there is a fundamental principle about ISDS

:51:39.:51:43.

that undermines its entire existence. We preach, and rightly

:51:44.:51:48.

so, the rule of law and democracy to developing countries but it would

:51:49.:51:53.

seem that that rule of law and that democracy does not apply to large

:51:54.:51:57.

globalised corporations. I say to party members opposite however much

:51:58.:52:02.

I disagree with them, however much I deplore some of the policies they

:52:03.:52:06.

are bringing in, the bottom line is that their party won the general

:52:07.:52:09.

election and I respect the democratic right of that party to

:52:10.:52:12.

take their programme through Parliament. But apparently that

:52:13.:52:18.

democratic right does not apply to large globalised corporations. I

:52:19.:52:21.

simply ask this question of the house. If by some fluke on Friday

:52:22.:52:26.

night I win the Euro lottery and buy myself a Ferrari or a Lamborghini...

:52:27.:52:37.

What about British, by British! Indeed, buy myself a nice top of the

:52:38.:52:42.

range range Rover. And then the Government reduces the speed limit

:52:43.:52:46.

on the roads to 50, am I allowed to sue the Government because they have

:52:47.:52:51.

taken away my possibility of enjoying that car? It's exactly the

:52:52.:52:56.

same thing. It is. If the Government chooses to change the law, that is

:52:57.:53:01.

the right of the Government to do so. There should be no caveats for

:53:02.:53:07.

large corporations to get around that. I'm glad that he's addressing

:53:08.:53:17.

the issue of ISDS. It was introduced, we were told, to give

:53:18.:53:24.

security to investors against weakling systems in developing

:53:25.:53:26.

countries. Whether that's true or not, I don't think this bike what

:53:27.:53:31.

the Government has done that we have a weak legal system. And large

:53:32.:53:35.

multinationals to be put above that is disgraceful.

:53:36.:53:40.

My honourable friend makes a good point, but I wish to talk about an

:53:41.:53:45.

example of ISDS that operates under another regime that could easily be

:53:46.:53:50.

transcribed into TTIP, to talk about the perils that ISDS brings along,

:53:51.:53:53.

and that is the case of Veolia who are suing the

:53:54.:54:13.

Egyptian government. We know that Egypt is in a vulnerable position

:54:14.:54:17.

politically, it is an uncertain position politically, and we should

:54:18.:54:23.

be providing to Egypt the support to help develop democratic structures.

:54:24.:54:27.

So when the Egyptian government brings in a minimum wage, which will

:54:28.:54:30.

probably benefit most ordinary Egyptians, we should be supporting

:54:31.:54:35.

that, but apparently, I am told, Veolia has sued the Egyptian

:54:36.:54:42.

government for that. Would my right honourable friend just let me

:54:43.:54:45.

develop this point a moment? I ask how catastrophically stupid and

:54:46.:54:52.

short-sighted that is to sue the Egyptian government, reduce the

:54:53.:54:59.

standards of living of ordinary Egyptian workers when we are trying

:55:00.:55:03.

to persuade them that Isil and the Muslim Brotherhood are not the way

:55:04.:55:07.

forward, and there we have an example of a Western corporation

:55:08.:55:09.

undermine the well-being of ordinary Egyptians. ISDS enshrines the rights

:55:10.:55:12.

and the priorities of globalised and the priorities of globalised

:55:13.:55:18.

corporations over and above ordinary people, and it could have

:55:19.:55:19.

catastrophic results. I give way. catastrophic results. I give way.

:55:20.:55:26.

As I indicated with the Philip Morris case, logging a case and

:55:27.:55:31.

winning a case are not one and the same thing. Has anything happened to

:55:32.:55:37.

this case? I thank my honourable friend for that point. I believe it

:55:38.:55:41.

is still going through the process, but it is the principle under which

:55:42.:55:45.

the case is based that I am concerned about, the principle that

:55:46.:55:47.

somehow these corporations have their own private mechanism in order

:55:48.:55:55.

to resolve disputes rather than going through the accepted legal

:55:56.:55:58.

procedures of that country. I give way.

:55:59.:56:05.

Is essentially ISDS not a private court staff by private judges with

:56:06.:56:08.

private lawyers based on private law the private profits? What a shame

:56:09.:56:16.

that I am not as articulated as my honourable friend from Cardiff,

:56:17.:56:18.

because she hits the nail on the head. It is a mechanism that

:56:19.:56:25.

undermines the rule of law by giving a separate system to large

:56:26.:56:29.

globalised corporations and taking them outside any sense of

:56:30.:56:33.

responsibility to elected Parliaments such as this one, all

:56:34.:56:36.

countries where we are hoping to foster and develop democracy such as

:56:37.:56:44.

the Egyptian example that I support. Go on, then. We are in the business

:56:45.:56:54.

of facts here. Far from ISDS being a private corporation, can we accept

:56:55.:57:01.

it is a government mechanism agreed by governments largely for the

:57:02.:57:04.

benefit of governments? Identically, benefit of governments? Identically,

:57:05.:57:10.

I think it is largely for the benefit of arrive at organisations,

:57:11.:57:12.

but he and I will have to agree to differ. I want a system that works

:57:13.:57:18.

for the people, not one where the system works -- the people work for

:57:19.:57:33.

the system. We want -- they want to enshrine personal and family in

:57:34.:57:39.

security, move jobs out into and secure areas, and make tax dodging

:57:40.:57:46.

an artform. Does he share with me the concerns that the LCI oh have

:57:47.:57:55.

said that it has had a negative impact, that trade agreement, on

:57:56.:58:00.

their economy? My honourable friend from York and I have known each

:58:01.:58:03.

other good few years and and I were both involved in the creation of one

:58:04.:58:07.

of the world's first global trade unions with American trade unions,

:58:08.:58:11.

and I have to say, and I believe one of the honourable members previously

:58:12.:58:15.

talked about the United States. I am certainly not anti-United States,

:58:16.:58:19.

but my contacts are opposed to this because they see their jobs

:58:20.:58:25.

uncertain conditions... The Minister says it is not true. I would ask her

:58:26.:58:29.

when she last spoke to any American trade unions, because I speak to

:58:30.:58:36.

them regularly. I will move on if I may, Mr Deputy Speaker. I believe

:58:37.:58:48.

that the interests of the party opposite are enshrined with

:58:49.:58:52.

corporations and the City of London, and TTIP, and I do believe it is

:58:53.:58:56.

possible that we could and should design a trade deal along the lines

:58:57.:59:00.

of TTIP that could benefit ordinary people, but TTIP is not it. I want

:59:01.:59:06.

in this very short time the time available to hit upon a point that

:59:07.:59:10.

my right on all friend the Member for Warley talked about which is

:59:11.:59:14.

about the European Union. One thought that has occurred to me, and

:59:15.:59:18.

perhaps I am wrong. Surely not! LAUGHTER

:59:19.:59:23.

TTIP could well be a Trojan Horse for those who would have us leave

:59:24.:59:27.

the European Union, because the European Union, for all its faults,

:59:28.:59:33.

does provide social and economic and environmental constraints on

:59:34.:59:39.

corporations. TTIP would provide the free trade deal that so many of

:59:40.:59:42.

those who would have us leave the European Union are looking for

:59:43.:59:45.

without the social and environmental benefits. I will sit down now. I do

:59:46.:59:53.

worry that we have a ready-made deal that we could simply leave the

:59:54.:59:57.

European Union, withdraw from those social and environmental and

:59:58.:00:01.

employment protections, and then sign up to something where there are

:00:02.:00:06.

no protections. That is my fear, and I should be watching the debate on

:00:07.:00:09.

the European Union carefully, and with not a little suspicion. Thank

:00:10.:00:17.

you, Mr Deputy Speaker. Thank you, Mr Deputy Speaker. And

:00:18.:00:21.

thank you for the Member for Swansea are helping us achieve this debate

:00:22.:00:28.

today. I have a lot of sympathy with the motion. I do think that we need

:00:29.:00:32.

accountability on one of the biggest if not the biggest trade deals in

:00:33.:00:35.

history, and that accountability should be provided by this House. By

:00:36.:00:40.

also think that there are few significant issues in politics today

:00:41.:00:45.

that have been so poorly debated in the public realm than this one.

:00:46.:00:49.

Either through a lack of knowledge, and perhaps we are all responsible

:00:50.:00:53.

for that. Let me begin first and then I will come to you. Either

:00:54.:00:58.

through a lack of knowledge, and we as parliamentarians must play our

:00:59.:01:02.

part in trying to inform and educate the public as well as listening to

:01:03.:01:07.

them, to ensure that every person in this country understands the true

:01:08.:01:10.

nature of this deal. But there has also frankly been a huge amount of

:01:11.:01:16.

misinformation and distortion by groups leading to a general sense of

:01:17.:01:21.

concern, and I, like other members of Parliament, have had hundreds of

:01:22.:01:26.

letters about this over the last year or so. There is far less to

:01:27.:01:32.

fear that those groups suggest, but more importantly, it skewers

:01:33.:01:35.

purposefully the huge opportunity that comes out of this deal for all

:01:36.:01:40.

of us. I thank the honourable member

:01:41.:01:46.

forgiving way. There is far less to fear. Peace is one of the big

:01:47.:01:49.

problems is people don't understand, but it has not been explained

:01:50.:01:54.

properly. People feel that there is a Trojan Horse, and whether there is

:01:55.:01:57.

or isn't, we cannot move forward without the consensus of the public.

:01:58.:02:02.

If the people don't understand the contents of TTIP, what can we do?

:02:03.:02:07.

The honourable member makes a good point, which is why I am pleased to

:02:08.:02:14.

see the Minister here responding. In the last debate in 2014, the member

:02:15.:02:18.

from Rushcliffe was responding. I want to see more Government

:02:19.:02:21.

Ministers taking the case out of the public and having a genuine informed

:02:22.:02:24.

debate and trying to sell this in a rational debate rather than being

:02:25.:02:31.

led by pretty poor quality public discourse coming out of the sum of

:02:32.:02:34.

the groups we have seen. Some of the e-mails I have received this week

:02:35.:02:38.

were pretty ill informed to say the least. They are all generated, I

:02:39.:02:45.

suspect, by 38 degrees, and all were the same except they substituted

:02:46.:02:49.

adjectives at some point, some describing it dodgy, dangerous,

:02:50.:02:54.

evil, sinister. You couldn't get more pathetic quality of debate. So

:02:55.:02:58.

to those behind these e-mails, if you believe, if your strength of

:02:59.:03:01.

your convictions, raise the quality of debate and argue rationally

:03:02.:03:06.

rather than on this pretty immature basis. The Government must lead

:03:07.:03:14.

this, and not allow the project which I believe has huge potential

:03:15.:03:18.

to build transatlantic links to bring Britain and Europe closer to

:03:19.:03:22.

America, to create a huge and important new free trade area, and a

:03:23.:03:26.

myriad of opportunities in jobs and growth, which are not just about

:03:27.:03:30.

corporations, we're not talking about larger corporations, as I will

:03:31.:03:33.

come onto and as the Member for other Conway rightly pointed out.

:03:34.:03:36.

This is about businesses large and small. I met businesses last week

:03:37.:03:45.

who will benefit directly which are not large corporations, they are

:03:46.:03:47.

small and medium-sized businesses trying to make a living and create

:03:48.:03:50.

jobs. But what is his answer the concerns

:03:51.:03:54.

raised by his right honourable friend from Hitchin about the

:03:55.:03:59.

dangers TTIP presents a disproportionate corporate power

:04:00.:04:01.

being used to manipulate a bureaucracy which is not a

:04:02.:04:06.

democratically accountable bureaucracy? Some of the points I

:04:07.:04:12.

want to make of already been made by other members, but let me make

:04:13.:04:16.

three. One about health care, and this has been a political football

:04:17.:04:19.

by all sides of the House for far too long. As my friend raised, the

:04:20.:04:27.

health select committee wrote to the negotiators and received an

:04:28.:04:31.

incredibly congruence of reply, which I would recommend to any

:04:32.:04:36.

member. I have sent this to every constituent who has written to me

:04:37.:04:42.

about TTIP. I am not a friend of the European Union, I'm a Eurosceptic,

:04:43.:04:48.

so it during usual -- it is unusual for me to say that this is one of

:04:49.:04:51.

the most straightforward answers I have ever seen from the European

:04:52.:04:57.

Eurocrat. Do send it to your constituents, because it does more

:04:58.:04:59.

to debunk the myths and anything else in this debate. It demolishes

:05:00.:05:08.

all of those myths and scaremongering. It is important to

:05:09.:05:16.

overseas suppliers -- that overseas suppliers are already having a

:05:17.:05:21.

commercial presence in the United Kingdom. The important thing for

:05:22.:05:25.

everyone who engages in the provision of health services and

:05:26.:05:27.

health care through companies in this country is they have to comply

:05:28.:05:30.

with UK standards and regulations in the same way as British health care

:05:31.:05:35.

providers, and those standards will remain under the sovereignty of this

:05:36.:05:38.

country and this Parliament regardless of TTIP. On the issue of

:05:39.:05:45.

ISDS, an area where there is genuine concern, and I appreciate that, I

:05:46.:05:48.

think again it is fairly ill informed. I worked as a lawyer, and

:05:49.:05:53.

the first case I did as a trainee solicitor many years ago was working

:05:54.:06:00.

for a small British investor using a bilateral investment treaty very

:06:01.:06:06.

similar to this in Eastern Europe to invest, and seen a licence revoked

:06:07.:06:17.

illegitimately by that government, and this small investor was able to

:06:18.:06:20.

use this treaty to get their money back and win justice for them. So

:06:21.:06:25.

this is not about large corporations exporting the system. It is about

:06:26.:06:29.

all investors around the world, including our own businesses, being

:06:30.:06:33.

able to hold other governments to account and ensure that they don't

:06:34.:06:37.

make arbitrary and poor decisions which negatively affect British

:06:38.:06:43.

companies. And as we have already heard, the ISDS is not a novelty.

:06:44.:06:49.

These clauses have been put into most trade deals for years and

:06:50.:06:52.

years, and I have heard the familiar examples of odd cases that have been

:06:53.:06:58.

made in actions around the world. These clauses have not had the

:06:59.:07:01.

effect that has been described in the media. As we have heard, there

:07:02.:07:07.

are 3400 of these clauses inserted in trade deals globally. The EU and

:07:08.:07:14.

its members have 1400, the UK has 94. We have twice been challenged,

:07:15.:07:20.

and we have never lost a case under an ISDS. What we have done is we

:07:21.:07:27.

have successfully brought claims against other countries. We have had

:07:28.:07:30.

slightly more success there, because the point of an ISDS is to underline

:07:31.:07:35.

the value of the total agreement and make sure that no individual

:07:36.:07:40.

investor or business can be disadvantaged by another government

:07:41.:07:43.

or union of governments breaking the obligations that they have entered

:07:44.:07:47.

into a negatively affecting our own businesses and investors, large or

:07:48.:07:52.

small. And it has been heard that these treaties are primarily in the

:07:53.:07:56.

past have been used in developing countries such as the case I just

:07:57.:07:58.

mentioned where potentially the legal system is not as good as ours,

:07:59.:08:03.

or the United States, but although the United States does have a very

:08:04.:08:06.

good legal system, it is a very expensive legal system, and one

:08:07.:08:10.

where cases can take a very long time, and so actually, I think that

:08:11.:08:15.

this would be a very useful device for our small and medium-sized

:08:16.:08:18.

companies. Similarly, there are states in the EU where American

:08:19.:08:25.

investors would be very reluctant to go into if they were relying

:08:26.:08:28.

entirely on the fact that they could take it to the legal process in

:08:29.:08:32.

some, say, southern European countries, to challenge the bona

:08:33.:08:38.

fides of local officials complying with local rules. I was going to

:08:39.:08:45.

talk about transparency, but nobody could have put it better than my

:08:46.:08:49.

friend, the Member for Aberconwy. A degree of secrecy is important,

:08:50.:08:56.

because the US are very good negotiators in trade talks, and we

:08:57.:09:07.

want our union of states and governments to be in the best

:09:08.:09:10.

possible position in these talks, and not to simply give everything

:09:11.:09:14.

away, but I think this is one of the more transparent trade deals that we

:09:15.:09:18.

have seen, and certainly one of the most transparent that the EU has

:09:19.:09:21.

done, and the commissioners are trying to be as forthcoming as

:09:22.:09:26.

possible. Mr Speaker, I think this free trade deal as we have heard

:09:27.:09:29.

from some members is a huge opportunity. The United States is

:09:30.:09:37.

not a threat to us, it is our single biggest import destination for the

:09:38.:09:42.

UK, 17% of our exports go there, and there are whole range of sectors,

:09:43.:09:46.

aerospace, the creative industries, the luxury goods industry, the UK is

:09:47.:09:51.

of course a world leader in that, and America is home to some of the

:09:52.:09:55.

most affluent households in the world with disposable incomes of

:09:56.:09:58.

more than 300,000 dollars, more than any other country in the world. Only

:09:59.:10:05.

last Friday I visited a business in my own constituency that is trying

:10:06.:10:08.

to put hearing loops into the Metro in New York. But it is having to

:10:09.:10:13.

spend thousands of pounds to meet the various and complex regulatory

:10:14.:10:14.

burdens involved in it. Would he well, and would he persuade

:10:15.:10:23.

his colleagues in Government for the US to lift the ban on haggis? That's

:10:24.:10:32.

a very good point! I want to see British businesses from all parts of

:10:33.:10:34.

the United Kingdom getting into those markets and building jobs.

:10:35.:10:39.

We've heard that tariff barriers are now quite low, down to around 3%,

:10:40.:10:43.

but it is the nontariff barriers that need to be pushed aside for the

:10:44.:10:46.

benefit of businesses like the ones in my own constituency, and TTIP is

:10:47.:10:51.

that huge opportunity to create the jobs and the growth of the future

:10:52.:10:56.

and it is a massive potential win not just for our constituents and

:10:57.:11:00.

businesses but actually for humanity as an opportunity to bring the West

:11:01.:11:04.

together to protect our economic and our national security. Peter Grant.

:11:05.:11:11.

Mr Speaker, like I think most of the others speakers taking part in this

:11:12.:11:17.

debate, ie instinctively agree with trade. Scotland has got a fantastic

:11:18.:11:23.

story to tell and a world-class quality of so many goods and

:11:24.:11:27.

services, and we want to be able to sell them around the world and I

:11:28.:11:30.

think the world wants to be able to buy them without restrictions. So we

:11:31.:11:34.

should instinctively support free trade. But completely unregulated

:11:35.:11:43.

free trade, we have to ask ourselves who free trade is there to benefit.

:11:44.:11:47.

Is it there to benefit the handful of large corporations? To benefit

:11:48.:11:58.

big governments? Or to benefit the citizens who produce the wealth? I

:11:59.:12:01.

know where my loyalties would lie and at the moment I'm not at all

:12:02.:12:05.

convinced that free trade as envisaged in TTIP is going to do the

:12:06.:12:13.

right thing. What we have been asked today is not whether TTIP is a good

:12:14.:12:18.

or bad idea. We've been asked whether it should be set back or and

:12:19.:12:23.

scrutinised and debated more in this Parliament and I would argue other

:12:24.:12:27.

states of the European Union as well. I find it quite ironic that

:12:28.:12:31.

the party whose leader is now arguing for better protection for

:12:32.:12:37.

the sovereignty of this place in dealings with the European Union

:12:38.:12:41.

also seems to be saying to us that they have asked EU officials to sign

:12:42.:12:47.

away some of the trade deals and we don't even need to bring that back

:12:48.:12:52.

into this chamber for it to be considered and scrutinised. Yes

:12:53.:12:58.

there will be a binding vote eventually in the European

:12:59.:13:00.

Parliament but there should be a well-informed debate and a vote in

:13:01.:13:04.

this Parliament at the very least to give a clear indication to the

:13:05.:13:09.

United Kingdom any clues as to how we would like to see them exercise.

:13:10.:13:13.

I will give way to my honourable friend. Would my honourable friend

:13:14.:13:18.

agree with me that one of the main concerns about the process is the

:13:19.:13:21.

lack of transparency? No one really knows what's happening. My

:13:22.:13:24.

honourable friend makes a very good point. I hear the comments but what

:13:25.:13:31.

I can't understand, and I'm hoping for the Government to respond, that

:13:32.:13:37.

we need explained to us, is that if it has been available on the

:13:38.:13:40.

Internet and widely available for so long, why is it only in the last

:13:41.:13:44.

week that members of Parliament have been given an opportunity to

:13:45.:13:50.

scrutinise it? They are allowed to take handwritten notes but not

:13:51.:13:53.

allowed to take copies of that document out of that room to show to

:13:54.:13:59.

anyone else? Why is the European Union insisting on that level of

:14:00.:14:03.

secrecy? I would like to make progress before we move on. I

:14:04.:14:07.

entirely agree with the calls from across the house calling for an open

:14:08.:14:17.

and honest debate. I agree it is totally awful if any politician is

:14:18.:14:26.

subjected to abuse because people disagree with the point. The same

:14:27.:14:29.

people calling for an open and honest debate has also dismissed

:14:30.:14:35.

everyone who has concerns about TTIP including the honourable member for

:14:36.:14:38.

Clacton, as being part of some left-wing campaign. They seem to

:14:39.:14:42.

think this is a bad thing, at an organisation has made it easy for

:14:43.:14:49.

ordinary citizens to lobby their MP as it has been for citizens to do

:14:50.:15:00.

their lobbying for them. We then became completely anti-American and

:15:01.:15:05.

then became completely anti-Western. The last time I checked, I was a

:15:06.:15:16.

Westerner. The only anti-Western in my household is my wife and only to

:15:17.:15:19.

the extent that I'm not allowed to watch Cowboys and Indians films!

:15:20.:15:26.

Does he agree that on the anti-Western, the American trade

:15:27.:15:36.

unions have safeguards over TTIP? My honourable friend is absolutely

:15:37.:15:39.

right and this is not a case of America wanting to push everything

:15:40.:15:42.

through and Europe wanting to stand in the way. There are very

:15:43.:15:47.

vociferous supporters of TTIP on both sides of the Atlantic and there

:15:48.:15:53.

are also genuinely held concerns not only from left-wing organisations

:15:54.:15:56.

but some business organisations and left-wing politicians and from trade

:15:57.:16:03.

unions and the well-known Bastian of... What we're talking about today

:16:04.:16:13.

is not the merits of TTIP and its associated potential agreements but

:16:14.:16:18.

on what decision should be taken about whether TTIP goes ahead. It

:16:19.:16:22.

would be a bit ironic if members who took the time to come here and take

:16:23.:16:26.

part in a debate about whether we should have a debate on TTIP then

:16:27.:16:31.

voted not to have a debate about TTIP. I would assume there would not

:16:32.:16:35.

be any need for a division on this. One of the concerns that has been

:16:36.:16:43.

raised about ISDS, it has now been replaced by something called the

:16:44.:16:46.

International Court of something or other... My question is, why is it

:16:47.:16:53.

needed? Ordinary citizens who are aggrieved at the actions of the

:16:54.:16:57.

Government of their country can try to rectify it through the democratic

:16:58.:17:04.

process and make it that bit easier for those who can't afford to lobby

:17:05.:17:08.

consultants. If they feel aggrieved that the Government has acted

:17:09.:17:11.

against the law, ordinary citizens have records to the legal system

:17:12.:17:14.

within the country of the Government that they think has acted against

:17:15.:17:19.

them. The legal system is a perfect parliamentary democracy system. Why

:17:20.:17:26.

does a big multinational company need to have a further line of a

:17:27.:17:29.

course that is not available to ordinary citizens. Why is it my

:17:30.:17:37.

citizen hiding in Zimbabwe through fear of their lives does not have

:17:38.:17:42.

records... And international companies are happy that their

:17:43.:17:47.

profits from selling tobacco in some companies... They have records but

:17:48.:17:54.

ordinary citizens don't have it. We have a mature legal system and the

:17:55.:17:58.

court system is designed to give everyone a fair hearing. His the

:17:59.:18:08.

nations are part of the European Union... I find the comments of the

:18:09.:18:11.

honourable member fairly imperialistic. The obligation is

:18:12.:18:16.

that we do not need to make a deal with the I did states because we

:18:17.:18:21.

have mature legal systems. I find it a very odd comment. The point I'm

:18:22.:18:26.

making is that there are some countries who might -- we might want

:18:27.:18:31.

international agreements with but I'm concerned about their legal

:18:32.:18:37.

system. Countries of southern Europe... The last time I checked,

:18:38.:18:41.

they were part of the European Union. If they are acting in breach

:18:42.:18:47.

of a treaty signed up to by the European Union, I would think there

:18:48.:18:52.

is recourse, and if not, I would think that is something that needs

:18:53.:18:55.

to be looked at. I don't see why it is necessary to have a separate

:18:56.:18:58.

system of records for companies who want to sue democratic governments

:18:59.:19:05.

that is not available to individuals. My friend is magnetism

:19:06.:19:12.

point. The UK is already in bilateral investment treaties with a

:19:13.:19:14.

range of other countries around the world including some where we have

:19:15.:19:22.

ISDSs, which are mature democracies, including South Korea. Is he

:19:23.:19:27.

suggesting we withdraw from all of those bilateral investment

:19:28.:19:34.

agreements throughout the world? Not at all. I suppose the question might

:19:35.:19:40.

be, if ISDS is so successful, why has it been scrapped and replaced

:19:41.:19:43.

with something else? One final observation I want to make of that

:19:44.:19:47.

although the Government claim clearly regarding completion and

:19:48.:19:51.

application of TTIP as being a major, major selling point in

:19:52.:19:58.

staying within the European Union, there is a sizeable body of public

:19:59.:20:02.

opinion in the United Kingdom that takes the opposite view was that I

:20:03.:20:06.

do an how sizeable it is but it is there. There are part of the United

:20:07.:20:11.

Kingdom including areas of Scotland, people write just now want to be

:20:12.:20:15.

part of the European Union who will change that allegiance if TTIP goes

:20:16.:20:19.

ahead. That may be music to the years of some people in here but I

:20:20.:20:22.

think the Government may be making a massive tactical mistake if they

:20:23.:20:25.

believe that support for TTIP will persuade more citizens to vote to

:20:26.:20:30.

remain in the European Union. I think there is a serious danger that

:20:31.:20:33.

it will actually have the opposite impact and the tragic irony of it is

:20:34.:20:38.

that if TTIP is already done and dusted before the European

:20:39.:20:41.

referendum, people will vote to leave the European Union and

:20:42.:20:47.

Scotland will be stuck with TTIP for 20 years, because once you're signed

:20:48.:20:50.

up even leaving the European Union does not allow you to get out.

:20:51.:20:54.

Regardless of whether they have decided in their own minds about the

:20:55.:20:59.

merits of ISDS, regardless of whether they think it's a good idea

:21:00.:21:04.

or a bad idea, surely once we know the full details of what TTIP and

:21:05.:21:08.

its associated agreements are going to mean, surely there has got to be

:21:09.:21:11.

a proper and full debate in this lace and I would suggest in the

:21:12.:21:15.

member state parliaments of the rest of the European Union at least until

:21:16.:21:20.

it gives the European Parliament a clear steer as how they should

:21:21.:21:27.

exercise their point. We love to stand up! Andrew Percy. I have

:21:28.:21:34.

forgotten how to do it! I did turn up at this debate not actually

:21:35.:21:38.

intending to speak but I have now been drawn into the debate from

:21:39.:21:41.

listening to some of the arguments. Let's start with some of the things

:21:42.:21:48.

we agree on. It's reassuring to hear... That may be a factor as

:21:49.:21:52.

well! It's reassuring to start with the things we agree on. It's

:21:53.:21:56.

reassuring to hear people talk in favour of free trade and support of

:21:57.:22:00.

trade and I want to see Welsh lamb, it's not as good as lamb from

:22:01.:22:05.

Yorkshire and Lincolnshire! Sold in the United States. I also want to

:22:06.:22:09.

see Haggis exported, that Great North Road England foodstuff that we

:22:10.:22:13.

exported to Scotland in about the 15th century. I want to see that

:22:14.:22:19.

sold in the US in the right form, not with the bits that are missing

:22:20.:22:24.

that you have to have in the US at the moment. We can all agree on

:22:25.:22:29.

those things. I give way. Thank you to the honourable gentleman for

:22:30.:22:33.

giving way. On that point of Scottish produce and other produce

:22:34.:22:37.

being taken forward, does the honourable member agree that the

:22:38.:22:40.

Scottish Government should be involved in ratification of any

:22:41.:22:43.

detail of TTIP before it is in limited? I think I was questioning

:22:44.:22:46.

the Scottish nurse of Haggis! -- questioning the Scottishness

:22:47.:22:59.

Haggis. As it will be determined in the national parliaments of the 27

:23:00.:23:03.

other nation states. The turnout of the SNP today, as we see present in

:23:04.:23:10.

a lot of debates, it could not be said that the voice of Scotland...

:23:11.:23:15.

I'm still speaking! I'm responding to this point! Certainly the voice

:23:16.:23:21.

of Scotland is going to be heard strong and loud as it is in so many

:23:22.:23:27.

issues. I just want to talk about... No, I'm not going to now, I've

:23:28.:23:33.

changed my mind! I just want to talk about CETA for a moment, and what

:23:34.:23:41.

the honourable gentleman said about it being a Trojan horse is this

:23:42.:23:45.

respectful to the Canadian Government. I'm not going to give

:23:46.:23:51.

way to him. Perhaps he wants to intervene to say it is not an insult

:23:52.:23:55.

but it is an insult to call it a Trojan horse. CETA in Canada has the

:23:56.:24:01.

support of the new Government just as it did the last Government. On

:24:02.:24:06.

the issue of transparency, there has been a lot raised about

:24:07.:24:08.

transparency. I think that's been well and truly demolished by my

:24:09.:24:12.

honourable friend for Aberconwy, who rightly pointed out that the text of

:24:13.:24:19.

what is being debated is available and at the end of this process there

:24:20.:24:23.

will be the mechanism for approval in all 28 national parliaments.

:24:24.:24:25.

There are few things that will affect us that are subjected to such

:24:26.:24:30.

scrutiny. I'm not sure I can subscribe to the honourable member

:24:31.:24:32.

for Chester's argument which seems to be that the process of agreeing

:24:33.:24:37.

TTIP could in fact be some sort of conspiracy to get us, for those who

:24:38.:24:43.

want to leave the European Union. I didn't follow that one quite so

:24:44.:24:45.

much, it didn't make much sense. Does my honourable friend agreed

:24:46.:24:55.

given the interest from so many of our constituents in what could go

:24:56.:24:59.

wrong in TTIP, it is vital that the UK has influence over this and the

:25:00.:25:05.

right to say yes and no? I could not disagree more, which is why the

:25:06.:25:12.

matter will come before... I could not agree more with my right

:25:13.:25:14.

honourable friend! LAUGHTER

:25:15.:25:18.

It will of course come before this House. There is an element of

:25:19.:25:24.

anti-American is to this, I'm sure not by anybody who will speak today,

:25:25.:25:28.

but it was brought home to me in an e-mail, and I don't get many 38

:25:29.:25:35.

degrees, I think people are too busy getting on with life to forward

:25:36.:25:40.

Jimmy e-mails written by somebody else telling them what their view

:25:41.:25:52.

is. But when I eventually got to the end of this trail of e-mails, it

:25:53.:25:57.

ended with my constituents, who assured me was an anti-American

:25:58.:26:02.

saying, yes, but the other agreements haven't had American

:26:03.:26:06.

lawyers involved, so there is a degree of anti-American is, and we

:26:07.:26:10.

shouldn't pretend otherwise. I'm not going to give way, because I won't

:26:11.:26:14.

get any extra time. I have a lot to say! I could not disagree with my

:26:15.:26:20.

vulnerable friend at all who made fine speech despite his horse voice

:26:21.:26:27.

-- my honourable friend. The area is a mix of industry and also a lot of

:26:28.:26:34.

smaller and medium-sized enterprises, and again, a

:26:35.:26:40.

constituent contacted me with 38 degrees, and I went somewhat

:26:41.:26:43.

robustly back to him on this as I have done since I came here in 2010,

:26:44.:26:50.

and on his position on TTIP, explaining this is of benefit to

:26:51.:26:53.

small businesses, and his response was that he has run a small business

:26:54.:26:58.

and he has tried to do trade in America, and it is very hard, which

:26:59.:27:01.

is exactly the point of the people who will most benefit from this. I

:27:02.:27:06.

represented exporting sector in this country were a lot of small and

:27:07.:27:09.

medium-sized misses have great products to offer, and unless they

:27:10.:27:12.

are big corporation which can afford all of the skills and people

:27:13.:27:17.

necessary to navigate these regulatory difficulties, these

:27:18.:27:24.

smaller businesses simply do not have that, and they will benefit. I

:27:25.:27:28.

wanted to say something with regard to the impact on the NHS, because I

:27:29.:27:33.

do think that this is an area which I have found interesting in the

:27:34.:27:40.

scaremongering that has been around this. My colleague from Newark on

:27:41.:27:45.

the committee with us, we put series of questions to John Luke

:27:46.:28:02.

-- the director for trade, and it is worth putting forward the answers.

:28:03.:28:16.

The answer of course is very clear, this is the effect of the EU's

:28:17.:28:20.

approach to public services in all trade negotiations since the General

:28:21.:28:27.

agreement in 1995. It goes on to say, it is also worth explaining

:28:28.:28:30.

that even without the above reservations and exceptions, the EU

:28:31.:28:35.

trade agreements and governments at all levels are free to regulate all

:28:36.:28:40.

services, sectors in a non-discriminatory manner. Therefore

:28:41.:28:43.

in effect, all publicly funded health services are detected in EU

:28:44.:28:46.

trade agreements, and this will not change the TTIP. We asked him

:28:47.:28:52.

another question. What would be the consequence for the provision of NHS

:28:53.:28:56.

services including hospital primary-care community services if

:28:57.:28:58.

they were not specifically excluded from TTIP? The response is clear

:28:59.:29:05.

again, all publicly funded health services including NHS services will

:29:06.:29:08.

be protected in TTIP. We asked again, does the definition of public

:29:09.:29:12.

funded health services include arrive at companies which runs

:29:13.:29:16.

services paid for by public funds? Doesn't include third sector

:29:17.:29:20.

organisations? Yes, as long as the services are publicly funded, it

:29:21.:29:23.

doesn't matter how they are delivered, they will enjoy the same

:29:24.:29:29.

protections. And finally, we get a lot of nonsense from the EU, and

:29:30.:29:35.

this couldn't be simpler answer. Is there any opportunity after the

:29:36.:29:38.

exclusion of any public services from TTIP for other companies to

:29:39.:29:41.

challenge that exclusion, and what is the process? The very simple

:29:42.:29:49.

answer we got was, no. With a big fat fall stop after it. As above, in

:29:50.:30:02.

the commission's view, there is no need to take any further action to

:30:03.:30:05.

ensure this result, as public services are always protected in EU

:30:06.:30:10.

trade agreements, and we received similar things with regard to

:30:11.:30:15.

charitable providers when the national government takes a service

:30:16.:30:18.

back in. So this nonsense which has been perpetuated about the risks of

:30:19.:30:24.

TTIP to the NHS is fairly shameful, it is about trying to present an

:30:25.:30:32.

image to people in this country that big, bad, nasty American health

:30:33.:30:35.

providers will come in and sweep up the NHS for private profit. Nothing

:30:36.:30:40.

could be further from the truth, as has been made clear by US

:30:41.:30:43.

negotiators, and he was really clear in this insult. He said TTIP is not

:30:44.:30:50.

a way of the US trying to get access to the publicly funded health system

:30:51.:30:53.

in the United Kingdom. He specifically use the United Kingdom.

:30:54.:30:59.

The EU trade negotiator was very clear, we don't need extra

:31:00.:31:04.

protection because it is wholly excluded already. It is protected

:31:05.:31:12.

and outside. So when people run around campaigning against TTIP and

:31:13.:31:15.

raising legitimate concerns, which there have been, about the process,

:31:16.:31:20.

and even questions around ISDS, the one thing they must not do is

:31:21.:31:24.

frighten people that what this is about is somehow American businesses

:31:25.:31:28.

coming in and destroying the NHS. The response from the EU, and I

:31:29.:31:32.

never quote them, I don't like them, I will be campaigning to leave, but

:31:33.:31:37.

they are absolutely clear on this, the NHS is safe whether there is

:31:38.:31:42.

TTIP or not, and the only people who could really cause any damage to our

:31:43.:31:47.

NHS and challenge this on the terms some of the people opposing it say

:31:48.:31:51.

is national governments. They are the people who are in a position to

:31:52.:31:54.

do the damage to the NHS that they claim TTIP is doing. And I would

:31:55.:31:58.

argue that in England that is not the case, because we have an

:31:59.:32:00.

excellent Government doing good things for the NHS. In other parts

:32:01.:32:08.

of the the UK, that matter maybe be up to debate.

:32:09.:32:13.

The Speaker: Before I bring in the next Speaker, I am going to reduce

:32:14.:32:19.

the limit to seven minutes. I would like to begin by

:32:20.:32:29.

congratulating the honourable member and thank him for bringing this

:32:30.:32:32.

important debate to the committee, both about the risks of TTIP and

:32:33.:32:36.

about the need for us to think more deeply about the institutional

:32:37.:32:42.

architecture as we move forward. So, the trade and environment and labour

:32:43.:32:46.

standards or all put on an equal footing. I also want to say what an

:32:47.:32:52.

excellent speech I thought my honourable friend the Member for

:32:53.:32:57.

Chester made drawing out the problem that similar arrangements have

:32:58.:33:00.

caused in developing countries, and I think the point that he made

:33:01.:33:04.

demonstrated that those of us who are raising questions are really the

:33:05.:33:13.

ones who are fully in the tradition of the human rights and democratic

:33:14.:33:22.

values of Europe and America. The Department for Business, Innovation

:33:23.:33:26.

and Skills have done an analysis of the benefit from TTIP, and their

:33:27.:33:34.

estimate is that the gain in terms of higher GDP in this country would

:33:35.:33:38.

be ?7 billion. When one hears the be ?7 billion. When one hears the

:33:39.:33:42.

figure 7000000000 pounds ee, that sounds like quite a lot,

:33:43.:33:57.

-- ?7 billion a year. Statistics are bandied about, and she is quite

:33:58.:34:10.

right about 7 billion, even if it was true, how does that compare with

:34:11.:34:14.

the ?62 billion trade deficit with the European Union? Those other of

:34:15.:34:19.

figures that just make 7 billion look very small indeed.

:34:20.:34:24.

The point I was going to make was that the Office of Budget

:34:25.:34:27.

Responsibility in their forecast of GDP out to 2020 have got an

:34:28.:34:33.

uncertainty of 6% in GDP, that is ?160 billion, so ?7 billion, we

:34:34.:34:40.

really do lose the economic benefits in the rounding. I am not saying

:34:41.:34:46.

that there will not be economic benefits, I'm just saying, let's

:34:47.:34:49.

look at how significant they are and we then against the disadvantages

:34:50.:34:52.

which other honourable members have raised. Will this have a significant

:34:53.:34:59.

benefit for the level of our exports? By comparison, the impact

:35:00.:35:03.

of the level of growth in the markets to which we export is

:35:04.:35:10.

expected to be 338 billion over the next five years, and if we have

:35:11.:35:13.

variations in the exchange rate, these will be far greater than the

:35:14.:35:18.

possible benefits that we can get from this trade deal.

:35:19.:35:27.

Anyway, I am resting my case on the analysis from the Minister's

:35:28.:35:30.

department, and on the assumption that they have got this right, each

:35:31.:35:35.

person in this country would benefit to the tune of ?110 a year. And that

:35:36.:35:42.

would be about ?2 a week. It is very nice to have, I'm sure we would

:35:43.:35:46.

always rather have ?2 a week and not have it. But if the price that has

:35:47.:35:55.

to be paid is a loss in terms of working conditions, labour

:35:56.:35:58.

standards, potential improvement in the national minimum wage or the

:35:59.:36:02.

National living wage, then these are not benefits which are in practice

:36:03.:36:05.

going to accrue to ordinary people in this country, and that is why

:36:06.:36:12.

people have doubts about this. Other colleagues have raised

:36:13.:36:15.

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