18/07/2016 House of Commons


18/07/2016

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issues around this. It is a case I've just started looking at. He

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will understand if I say I can't say too much on it publicly at this

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point but it is being taken very seriously.

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Speak seek we must move on. Statement the Home Secretarx.

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Secretary Amber Rudd. Thank you Mr Speaker. With

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permission I would like to lake a statement about the terrorist attack

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in Nice and the threat that we face from terrorism in the UK. The full

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horror of last Thursday night's attack in Nice, defies all

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comprehension. At least 84 people were killed, when a heavy goods

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lorry was driven deliberately into crowds enjoying Bastille Dax

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celebrations. Ten of the de`d are believed to be children and

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teenagers. More than 200 people have been injured and a number are in

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critical condition. Consular staff on the ground are in touch with

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local authorities and assisting British nationals caught up in the

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attack. The Foreign and Comlonwealth Office are providing support to

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anyone concerned about friends or loved ones. Over the weekend, the

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French police made a number of arrests and in the coming wdeks we,

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will learn more about the circumstances behind the attack Mr

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Speaker, these were innocent people enjoying national celebrations. They

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were families, mothers, fathers brothers, sisters, daughters, sons,

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friends, many of them were children. They were attacked in the most

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brutal and cowardly way possible as they simply went about their lives.

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Our thoughts and prayers must be with the families who have lost

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loved ones, the survivors, fighting for their lives, victims, f`cing

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appalling injuries and all those who have been mentally scarred by the

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events of the night. I've spoke ton my counterpart to

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offer him the sympathy of the British people and to make clear

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that we stand ready to help in any way that we can. We have offered

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investigative assistance to the French authorities and security

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support to the French diplolatic and wider community in London. This is

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the third terrorist attack hn the last 18 months with a high number of

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deaths in France and we cannot underestimate its destating impact.

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Swre seen attacks in many other countries and those killed `nd

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maimed by these murderers, hnclude people of many nationalities and

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faiths. Recently we've seen attacks in Bangladesh, Saudi Arabia, Iraq,

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Turkey and America, as well as the ongoing conflict in Syria. Last

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month, we marked a year since 3 people, 30 of them British, were

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murdered at a beach resort hn Tunisia. In the UK, the thrdat from

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international terrorism, whhch is determined by the independent joint

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terrorism analysis centre, remained at severe, meaning that an `ttack is

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highly likely. The public should be vigilant but not alarmed. On Friday,

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following the attack in Nicd, the police and the security and

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intelligence agencies ensurdd we have robust procedures in place I

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am receiving regular updates. All tlees forces have reviewed tpcoming

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events taking place in their regions tone sure that security measures are

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appropriate and proportionate. I can also tell the House that thd UK has

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considerable experience in lanaging and policing major events. Dxtra

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security measures are used `t particularly high profile events,

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including where the police `ssess there to be a risk of vehicle

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attacks, the deployment of leasures known as the national barridr asset.

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This is made up of a range of temporary equipment, includhng

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security fences and gates that enable the physical protecthon of

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sites. Since the terrorist `ttacks in Mumbai in 2008, we have `lso

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taken steps time prove the response of police firearms teams and other

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emergency services to a moo raweding gun attack. We have protectdd and

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increased in real terms counter-terrorism police funding for

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2016/17 and over the next fhve years, we are providing ?143 million

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for the police to further boost their firearms capability. We

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continue to test our response to terrorist attacks, including

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learning the lessons from attacks like those we have seen in France,

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through national skier sizes, which involve the Government, milhtary,

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police, ambulance, and other agencies. But the threat from

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terrorism is serious and growing. Our security and Intel jelings

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services are first rate and they work tirelessly around-the-clock to

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keep the people of this country safe. Over the next five ye`rs, we

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are making an extra 2. ?2.5 billion available to those agencies. This

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will include funding for an addition 1,900 staff at MI5, MI6 and GCHQ as

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well as strengthening our ndtwork of counter-terrorism experts in the

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Middle East, north Africa, south Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa. We have

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taken steps to deal with foreign fighters and to prevent ral

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cliezation by providing new powers through the counter-terrorism and

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security act. We continue to take forward to investigatory powers bill

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to ensure that the police, security and intelligence agencies h`ve the

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powers that they need to kedp people safe in the digital age.

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Mr Speaker, the UK has in place strong measures to respond to

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terrorist attacks. Since coling to office in 2010, the Governmdnt has

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taken significant steps to bolster that response. But Daesh and other

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terrorist organisations seek to poison people's minds and they

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peddle sickening hate and lhes to encourage people to plot acts of

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terrorism or leave their falilies to join them. This is not just in

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France or this country, but in countries all around the world. We

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must confront this hateful propaganda and expose it for what it

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is. In this country, that mdans working to expose the emptiness of

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extremism and safeguard vulnerable people from becoming radicalised.

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Our Prevent programme works with families, communities and shx

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society groups to challenge the poisonous ideology that supports

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terrorism. This includes supporting civil society groups to build their

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own capacity and since Janu`ry 014, their counternarrative prodtct have

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had widespread engagement whth communities. In addition, over a

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thousand people have receivdd support through channel since 2 12,

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the voluntary and confidenthal support programme for those at risk

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of radicalisation. This is `n international problem that requires

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an international solution. We're working closely with Europe`n

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partners, allies in the counter-Daesh coalition and those

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most affected by the threat that Daesh poses to share inform`tion,

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build counter-terrorism cap`bility and exchange best practice. As the

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Prime Minister has said, we must work with France and our partners

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around the world to stand up for our values and for our freedom. Nice was

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attacked on Bastille Day, itself a French symbol of liberation and

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national unity. Those who attack seek to divide us and spread hatred,

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so our resounding response lust be one of ever greater unity bdtween

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different nations, but also between ourselves. This weekend, we saw

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unity and action as people came together to support each other.

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People sent messages of condolence and Muslims in this country and

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around the world have said that those who carry out such attacks do

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not represent the true Islal. But I want to end by sending a message to

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our French friends and neighbours, what happened in Nice last Thursday

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was cruel and incomprehensible. The horror and devastation is something

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many people will live with for the rest of their lives. We know you are

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hurting. We know this will cause lasting pain. Let me be quite clear

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- we will stand with you. Wd will support you in this fight and

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together, with our partners around the world, we will defeat those who

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seek to attack our way of lhfe. Thank you Mr Speaker. Can I start by

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welcoming the Home Secretarx to her new position and her well jtdge and

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heart felt words to the House today. She spoke for us all in condemning

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this naseating attack and in sending our sympathy and solidarity to the

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families affected and to thd French people. At the very outset of her

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tenure, let me assure her of my ongoing support in presenting a

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united front from this Housd to those who plan and perpetrate these

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brutal acts. It is a sad reflection of the dark times in which we live

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that this is the third time in nine months that this House has gathered

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to discuss a major terrorist incident in mainland Europe. Each

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new incident brings new factors and changes perceptions on the nature of

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the threat posed by modern terrorism and this was no different. This was

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an act of discriminate and sickening brutality, made more abhorrdnt by

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the targeting of families and children. Ten children and babies

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were killed. 50 more are behng treated. Many more are orph`ned and

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left with lasting psychologhcal scars. Unlike other attacks, this

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wasn't planned by a cell with sophisticated tactics and wdapons. A

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similar attack could be launched anywhere at any time and th`t is

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what makes it so frightening and so difficult to prevent and prdvent. --

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predict and prevent. Let me start on whether there are immediate

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implications for the UK. On Friday a spokesman for the Prime Minhster

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said UK police were reviewing security plans for large, ptblic

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events this week. Can she tdll the House what conclusions were reached

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as part this afternoon revidw and whether any changes were made in the

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light TV? Will she also be hssuing updated advice to the organhsers of

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numerous large public galleries and vest Vales taking place throughout

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the country. We welcome the Mayor of London's confirmation that the Met

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were reviewing safety measures in the capital. Are similar reviews

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taking place in large cities all over the UK? After the attacks in

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Paris, her predecessor commhtted to an urgent review of our response to

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firearms attacks. It has bedn suggested in the French medha that

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if armed officer had been more quickly on the scene in Nicd, they

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could have prevented the lorry travelling as far as it did. Can she

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confirm whether the review commissioned has been compldted And

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if so, what changes to fire`rms capability are proposed as ` result?

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Her predecessor promised to protect police budgets in the wake of Paris,

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that has not been honoured. There are real terms cuts to the police

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this year. Will the new Homd Secretary pledge today to protect

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police budgets in real terms going forward? She mentions the Prevent

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programme. I have to say I do not share her complacent view of what it

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is achieving. In fact, some would say it is counterproductive,

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creating a climate of suspicion and mistrust, far from tackling

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extremism creating the very conditions for it to flourish.

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Indeed the Government's inddpendent reviewer of terrorism legislation

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has said the same and said the whole programme in his words could benefit

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from independent review. So will the Home Secretary today accept Labour's

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call for a cross-party revidw on how the Prevent duty is working? After

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this attack it was described in the media as an act of Islamic terrorism

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and yet it is clear that thd lifestyle of the individual had

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absolutely nothing to do with the Islamic faith and the French

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authorities have cast doubt on whether there was any link between

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this individual and Daesh. Does the Home Secretary agree with md that to

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quickly label this Islamic terrorism hands a propaganda coup to the

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terrorists, whose whole purpose is to deepen the rift between the

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Muslim community and the rest of the society? Does she further agrow that

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more care needs to be taken on how these atrocities are labelldd in

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future? Finally, this is of course, the first attack in Europe since the

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European referendum. Can thd Home Secretary assure the House that she

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and the wider Government ard making every effort in these times to

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maintain strong collaboration with the French and the European

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authorities and to send to them a very clear message that whatever our

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differences, Britain will always be by their side and ready to help

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Well, I thank the right honourable gentleman for his statement and for

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his comments and for his confirmation early on that we work

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across the House to address and fight this dangerous terrorhsm and

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we'll be able to continue to do so. He asks particularly about the

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reviewing the public events. I'd like to reassure him and thd whole

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House that we are constantlx ensuring that we make avail`ble

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expert advice to the people who are running these events. We have 1 0

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counter-terrorism security `dvisors. They are in touch with people

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running these events, including where necessary, large citids, so

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that they can get the right advice and that advice is being taken up so

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that we can ensure they are as safe as possible. He asked and m`de

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comments about Prevent. Let me correct him on one thing. There is

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nothing complacent on this side of the House about what we do to

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address terrorism and dangerous ideology. I accept that there is

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always more to do, but he should not underestimate what has been achieved

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so far by the Prevent stratdgy. There are many people who h`ve been

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deterred from going to Syri`. There are many children who have been

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introduced to the strategy `t schools and other people in public

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sector business, sorry publhc sector arrangements where they havd had

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some benefit from the Prevent strategy and been stopped from going

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to Syria. As I say, there is always more to do. But a lot is behng

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accomplished by this strategy. Finally, he made some comments about

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the reporting in the press `bout the role and word of Islam. I would

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simply say to him, that it hs for all faiths and all people to unite

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against the barbarity of thhs attack. That is the clear mdssage

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that this House should convdy. As chairman of our group between the

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two parliaments, may I encotrage my good friend the Secretary of State

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state, we served on the Council of Europe on various issues,... French

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SPEAKS FRENCH. My honourabld friend is entirely white. Now we whll

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return to English. I was able to speak to Bernard Cazeneuve, my

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French counterpart, this morning. In part response to the Right

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Honourable gentleman, we will continue our very strong frhendship

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and mutual support for the French whatever the outcome. Can I

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congratulate the Home Secretary on her new role and welcome her to her

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place. I trust she will bring to her role the rigour and wit she

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displayed on behalf of the lain campaign during the referendum. I

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also hope the fact we are both graduate of Edinburgh University

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will enable us to work together in the same constructive fashion that I

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did with her predecessor. Mr Speaker, there are no words to

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describe adequately the unspeakable horror, merciless cruelty and

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senselessness of the attack perpetrated this last week. 1's

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heart goes out to the victils, breed and injured, especially children. I

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wish to add condolences of lyself and my colleagues on these benches

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to the people of France. I'd like to welcome the Home Secretary's

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statement. I'd like to associate myself and the Scottish Nathonal

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party with her comments abott the gratitude we feel to those who

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strive to keep us safe, whether it be the police or intelligence

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services. Scotland, like thd rest of the UK, stand in sadness and

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solidarity with France. A country that has already had to bear away

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more than any country should be expected to. We stand ready to offer

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whatever assistance we can. While there are no doubt challengds we

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face from this increasingly savage criminality and terrorism, the

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Scottish Government is commhtted to working with the United Kingdom

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government to defeat these threats against the freedom we valud so

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dearly. I'm pleased by the reassurance is the Home Secretary

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has already given but I havd three questions for her. First, c`n I ask

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her to make a commitment th`t her response to terrorist attacks will

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never beat knee jerk but always proportionate and targeted `s well

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as effective? Secondly, will she makes assurances to made by her

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predecessor, to affirm the accordance of having a unitdd

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community across the UK at the core of our efforts fighting terrorism,

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in particular will she acknowledged the importance of avoiding

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alienating our Muslim community who are a highly valued and intdgral

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part of the Scottish and Unhted Kingdom society? Thirdly and

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finally, there are camps in northern France filled with refugees who have

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experienced similar violencd to that perpetrated in Nice. Last wdek the

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camp at Calais where people had had to make their homes was thrdatened

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with bulldozing and demolithon. Will the Home Secretary work with the

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French government to enter the understandable anger of the French

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populace is not misdirected towards these innocents who are also fleeing

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from violence in their own countries? I Yiadom Hear, hdar! I

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thank the honourable and Leonard lady for her comments. And for

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repeating the same message we receive from the opposition, that we

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will work together addressing this dangerous issue. She's asked a

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number of key questions. I would reassure her I hope there whll never

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be anything knee jerk in our response to these events. I hope

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we'll be able to build on the experiences we have in order to get

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a more secure future. She's asked us to work across communities, I

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imagine she meant default as well as all faith communities, and of course

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we will do that. I'm reminddd Mr Speaker, because we've had puestions

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already about large events, it was a good example of us working with

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devolved administrations, when we worked together on the Glasgow,

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games in 2014. Jointly. To combat any terrorism there. Finallx, an

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Calais, she's absolutely right, we need to work closely with French

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counterparts. I did discuss that this morning with Bernard C`zeneuve

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and I will be taking it forward with him to make sure we get the best

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outcome. SPEAKER: sur Michadl Gove. Can I welcome my right honotrable

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friend to her new position `nd thank her for her measured, assurdd and

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authoritative statement. Wotld she agree with me that both the last by

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Minister and the new Prime Linister have always made clear that there is

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a distinction between the ideology of Islamist extremism that `nimates

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organisations like Daesh and is driven by prejudice and hatd, and

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the great religion of Islam, which is a religion of peace which brings

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spiritual nourishment to millions. Is it not vital in the days ahead

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that while we focus on countering extremism we also underlined the

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benefits that the faith of Hslam has brought to so many. Hear, hdar! I

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thank the right honourable gentleman for making that important point as

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is so often the case. So eloquently. He's right. We need to make that

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distinction. I would say once more it is for all faiths and all people

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to unite together and make sure we condemn this dreadful terrorism

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SPEAKER: Keith Vaz. Can I w`rmly welcome the Home Secretary to her

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new position and remind her that her predecessor had a career enhancing

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20 appearances before the sdlect committee during her time in office.

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I hope she will continue with that engagement in her new officd.

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LAUGHTER Reports have emerged from France,

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Bernard Cazeneuve, and many more correction and Manuel Valls, that

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the perpetrator of this atrocity had been radicalised quickly by the

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Internet. Does she agree with me whatever the truth of it as it

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emerges, the Internet remains a key battle ground in our fight `gainst

:21:26.:21:30.

terrorism, and will she do `ll she can to work with Europol and

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Interpol to make the Interndt companies do more to take down these

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subversive videos? I think the right honourable gentleman for his

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question and look forward to every one of my appearances beford his

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select committee. He raises a very important point about how pdople are

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radicalised. I think I must first of all suggest a moment of caution

:21:55.:21:58.

because we do not know the `nswer to that yet. We do know some of the

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examples of where he wasn't radicalised but we don't know

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exactly how he was and that investigation is going on. H do

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agree with him that making sure the Internet is not used as a d`ngerous

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tool for radicalising peopld is incredibly important. We do have a

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strategic Communications unht based in the Foreign Office which takes

:22:19.:22:21.

down websites. We always make sure we can do as much as possible to

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address that particular source. SPEAKER: Keith Simpson. Can I

:22:27.:22:30.

congratulate my right honourable friend on her elevation to the Home

:22:31.:22:35.

Office. Can I ask her whethdr any lessons have been learned from this

:22:36.:22:40.

latest terrorist attack, given she emphasised the global threat of

:22:41.:22:47.

terrorism, as to the security Lane Giants correction occur sectrity

:22:48.:22:49.

arrangements for the Olympic Games. And whether she is satisfied the

:22:50.:22:56.

effort our security services are putting in will mean our

:22:57.:23:01.

participants will be safe. H think my honourable friend for th`t

:23:02.:23:05.

question and can reassure hhm we are already engaged with the Olxmpics in

:23:06.:23:10.

Brazil are the people running it, to make sure we make it as safd as

:23:11.:23:14.

possible. Our London Olympics team went over to ensure that was the

:23:15.:23:21.

case. We think we have some fairly substantial expertise here `nd we're

:23:22.:23:25.

happy to share it, particul`rly when there are large events like the

:23:26.:23:30.

Olympics. SPEAKER: Pat McFadden Can I welcome the Home Secretarx to her

:23:31.:23:36.

new post. Terrorism is aptlx named, as it thinks up new and mord awful

:23:37.:23:40.

ways of committing mass murder. Can I ask what discussions she has had

:23:41.:23:44.

with the intelligence and sdcurity services about this unconventional

:23:45.:23:52.

weapons being used in terrorism And given that Nice is a provincial city

:23:53.:23:58.

in France, can she tell me honestly that my constituents in

:23:59.:24:01.

Wolverhampton enjoy the samd level of protection against terrorism as

:24:02.:24:08.

people living in London. He`r, hear! I'm here to reassure the honourable

:24:09.:24:12.

gentleman and his constituents we are doing everything we can to

:24:13.:24:17.

nature his constituents, all our constituents, are kept safe. We will

:24:18.:24:20.

always keep particular incident under review to make sure wd can

:24:21.:24:24.

give them as much certainty as possible. One of the things we are

:24:25.:24:28.

particularly focused on is large crowds, big events, and the security

:24:29.:24:33.

service and the police will be monitoring and reviewing particular

:24:34.:24:38.

events, places of large gatherings, to ensure we do keep it safd.

:24:39.:24:45.

SPEAKER: Bob Stewart. Thank you Mr Speaker. Our security forces face

:24:46.:24:52.

huge inhibitions to overcomd before making a decision to open fhre

:24:53.:24:57.

against someone who poses a lethal threat to innocent people. Can the

:24:58.:25:04.

Home Secretary confirm that if such a decision is made, the intdntion

:25:05.:25:12.

must be to stop that threat in its tracks, which invariably me`ns

:25:13.:25:21.

shooting to kill, not wound? My honourable friend puts it vdry well,

:25:22.:25:25.

there is clearly... The priority must be here to save innocent lives.

:25:26.:25:32.

We must always ensure our sdcurity forces at police firearm officers,

:25:33.:25:37.

have the right tools, not jtst the tools in terms of the agreelent but

:25:38.:25:40.

also the right permissions to be able to do that to keep us `ll safe.

:25:41.:25:48.

Can I welcome the Home Secrdtary to her new place, albeit in tr`gic

:25:49.:25:52.

circumstances. Media reports state today unlike previous terrorist

:25:53.:25:56.

attacks in France, there was no clear link established betwden the

:25:57.:26:01.

person who committed this tdrrible offence and recognised terrorist

:26:02.:26:04.

groups. With the Home Secretary agree that is the case and hf so

:26:05.:26:08.

what is that the UK have and are taking to address this worrxing

:26:09.:26:13.

development. I think the honourable lady for her question. I must just

:26:14.:26:19.

point out there is a French citizen in Nice, we are awaiting further

:26:20.:26:24.

information. She's drawing `ttention to the potential radicalisation from

:26:25.:26:27.

the Internet, which is what some people are suggesting maybe because.

:26:28.:26:31.

We will of course keep it under review and see what other action

:26:32.:26:36.

began take. We must wait a little to see what the conclusions ard.

:26:37.:26:40.

SPEAKER: Nigel Evans. Hundrdds of thousands of reddish familids will

:26:41.:26:43.

already have booked holidays this summer, many going to the French

:26:44.:26:47.

Riviera, Paris, some of the other wonderful cities around France.

:26:48.:26:50.

Could she work with the Fordign Secretary to ensure common-sense

:26:51.:26:54.

guidance can be given to Brhtish families in order for them to be

:26:55.:26:57.

safe during their holidays `nd hopefully none of them will change

:26:58.:27:01.

their plans and part of us standing side-by-side with them will be that

:27:02.:27:04.

many British families will dnjoy holidays in France this year. My

:27:05.:27:09.

honourable friend raises an important point committees put his

:27:10.:27:11.

finger on exactly what a lot of people will be thinking at the

:27:12.:27:16.

moment. What I would say is I would advise him, his constituents,

:27:17.:27:18.

friends who are concerned about this, quite frankly, check the

:27:19.:27:24.

Foreign Office website, we will ensure there is always as mtch

:27:25.:27:28.

helpful and current information on there. SPEAKER: David Hanson. Could

:27:29.:27:33.

the Home Secretary give an indication of what progress is being

:27:34.:27:37.

made on making sure the investigatory Powers Bill rdaches

:27:38.:27:41.

the statute book? Because she will know that the powers in that bill

:27:42.:27:45.

are essential to help support the security services in dealing with

:27:46.:27:49.

potential loan attackers profiling those attackers and ensuring we use

:27:50.:27:55.

the Internet to protect our safety as well as the right to indhvidual

:27:56.:27:58.

liberties. The honourable gdntleman raises such an important pohnt, he

:27:59.:28:03.

is right, the investigatory Powers Bill will give us additional help in

:28:04.:28:07.

order to intercept the sort of potential terrorism created from

:28:08.:28:12.

this sort of event of last weekend. I would hope we'll be able to get it

:28:13.:28:16.

on the statute book by the dnd of the year, but this is entirdly the

:28:17.:28:20.

sort of event that makes it even more pressing to ensure we do. The

:28:21.:28:28.

Secretary of State might be aware of the home affairs select comlittee

:28:29.:28:31.

inquiry into radicalisation and home-grown terrorism. We took

:28:32.:28:35.

evidence on the alarming trdnd of online radicalisation, especially

:28:36.:28:38.

loners, and low-level criminals You've already mentioned thd

:28:39.:28:41.

Internet. Social media sites were not seen as robust enough in

:28:42.:28:46.

removing or blocking content posted by Daesh and affiliate 's, which is

:28:47.:28:52.

only ever uploaded to terrorise a group of would-be terrorists. Would

:28:53.:29:02.

you undertake a review of social sites? It is critical we address the

:29:03.:29:07.

radicalisation that can takd part through social media, through

:29:08.:29:10.

Internet sites, that is why we have a strategic communication unit based

:29:11.:29:14.

on the Foreign Office, which is particularly focused on takhng down

:29:15.:29:17.

those sorts of websites. We'll continue to keep that under review

:29:18.:29:22.

to make sure we do as as possible. On behalf of the Liberal Delocrats

:29:23.:29:26.

I'd like to welcome her to her new position and echo her condolences to

:29:27.:29:31.

the families and friends of those so senselessly murdered. The m`ssacre

:29:32.:29:35.

of the innocent in Nice will strengthen the resolve of all those

:29:36.:29:39.

who believe in democracy and freedom to confront terrorists wherdver they

:29:40.:29:42.

strike in the world. Does the Home Secretary agree when our closest

:29:43.:29:47.

ally is under attack the UK must use all organisations and measures at

:29:48.:29:50.

our disposal to help the ally, including Interpol, Europe `nd the

:29:51.:29:54.

European arrest warrant, and the closest co-operation possible is our

:29:55.:30:00.

best defence against the murderers activities of terrorist or lone

:30:01.:30:06.

wolves. I thank the honourable gentleman for his comment and the

:30:07.:30:10.

support of the Liberal Democrats for this consensus, to stand with our

:30:11.:30:13.

allies in France. He is right we need to have a very close

:30:14.:30:18.

relationship with our allies. European and outside Europe. In

:30:19.:30:21.

order to make sure we deepen the knowledge and are able to share the

:30:22.:30:24.

information we have two combat terrorism. I will make sure that we

:30:25.:30:26.

continue to do that. Thank you Mr Speaker. We've seen

:30:27.:30:39.

tragically that tourist destinations are the target of evil terrorist

:30:40.:30:42.

acts. Can I have affirm asstrance from the Home Secretary that Gatwick

:30:43.:30:46.

Airport will receive the security resources that it needs to dnsure

:30:47.:30:50.

that those travelling through will be safe this summer and beyond? Yes,

:30:51.:30:56.

I'm pleased that my honourable friend has raised that, bec`use I'm

:30:57.:31:00.

keen to re-assure everybody that is exactly what will happen. Wd will

:31:01.:31:04.

continue to keep our airports under constant review. We must do that.

:31:05.:31:08.

But we will do that making sure that we make everybody who works there,

:31:09.:31:11.

who lives around there and who travels through there as safe as

:31:12.:31:18.

possible. Snvm Can I also thank the Secretary of State for her statement

:31:19.:31:21.

and wish her well in her new role. Our hearts ache for those who have

:31:22.:31:27.

lost loved once. It seems that security levels just after the euros

:31:28.:31:30.

in Nice and across France, there's been a high level of rediness in the

:31:31.:31:35.

United Kingdom for some years and in Northern Ireland since 2010. Does

:31:36.:31:38.

the Secretary of State accept we are at a severe level of threat for the

:31:39.:31:42.

foreseeable future and that we all need to be vigilant, careful and

:31:43.:31:47.

responsive and that more th`n ever, the public, security Fire Sdrvices

:31:48.:31:52.

and exchange of intelligencd from countries must continue? I thank the

:31:53.:31:57.

honourable gentleman for his comments. We are already at the

:31:58.:32:02.

severe level. He is right wd must all be vigilant. We will continue to

:32:03.:32:06.

take that approach until we have information to the contrary. Our

:32:07.:32:10.

current status, given there are so many people who want to do ts harm,

:32:11.:32:14.

that we must be vigilant and the terror level is at severe.

:32:15.:32:19.

Mr Speaker, once upon a timd it was useful to talk about lone wolves,

:32:20.:32:24.

individuals who would attack without any institutional support. Would my

:32:25.:32:28.

right honourable friend agrde with me those people don't exist today

:32:29.:32:33.

because of the internet, because of online radicalisation, behind every

:32:34.:32:38.

lone wolf is a pack of wolvds to support them online? Will mx right

:32:39.:32:44.

honourable friend make it a priority to tack thl online radicalisation so

:32:45.:32:48.

we can be better protected hn the foo youure -- future. My honourable

:32:49.:32:52.

friend is right. It is a thdme coming up here from so many asking

:32:53.:32:57.

questions about the radicalhsation of people through the internet. I

:32:58.:33:01.

will make sure that we put dxtra effort and keep it under review and

:33:02.:33:05.

make sure we take down the relevant websites as often as possible. May I

:33:06.:33:09.

welcome the Home Secretary to her new post. My right honourable friend

:33:10.:33:15.

the Shadow Home Secretary s`id a similar attack to this terrhble

:33:16.:33:17.

attack could happen anywherd any time in. Salford our policing

:33:18.:33:21.

resources are stretched handling high levels of crime, involving

:33:22.:33:25.

stabbing and shootings, as well as these new threats. Can the Home

:33:26.:33:29.

Secretary assure me she will protect Greater Manchester Police btdgets so

:33:30.:33:31.

the police can protect my constituents? Well, I mean the

:33:32.:33:37.

police play the critical role in ensuring that we are all kept safe,

:33:38.:33:41.

which is why my right honourable friend the Prime Minister protected

:33:42.:33:46.

the police budget in the review of last year. But I will certahnly take

:33:47.:33:50.

a careful look at all the spending within the police budget to ensure

:33:51.:33:54.

that the maximum amount is `vailable to ensure that we get clear, visible

:33:55.:33:58.

policing on our streets that plays such an important part in ddterring

:33:59.:34:05.

criminal activity. In light of the budget annotncement

:34:06.:34:09.

which the Home Secretary just referred to, could she confhrm that

:34:10.:34:13.

the Metropolitan Police did indeed increase its armed response vehicle

:34:14.:34:17.

capacity and that our armed officers in this country have the capacity to

:34:18.:34:22.

neutralise a threat like th`t in Nice and indeed, that we have the

:34:23.:34:26.

most professional armed offhcers in the world? My honourable frhend is

:34:27.:34:30.

absolutely right. We are very proud of the high standards by our

:34:31.:34:33.

professional armed officers and we announced in April that the number

:34:34.:34:36.

of armed police will increase by more than a thousand over the next

:34:37.:34:40.

two years. Additional round the clock specialist team is behng set

:34:41.:34:44.

up outside London and 40 additional police armed response vehicles are

:34:45.:34:48.

on our streets. I happen to be on the promenade on

:34:49.:34:55.

Thursday evening, watching the fireworks with the crowd and was

:34:56.:34:58.

very lucky to have left just a few minutes before the attack. Hf I may,

:34:59.:35:04.

Mr Speaker, the haunting sight for me, having been so fortunatd not to

:35:05.:35:08.

have seen the carnage itself, was to drive to the airport through what is

:35:09.:35:18.

actually the busy thorough fare and see the stretch of the flowdrs laid

:35:19.:35:23.

for each victim. It went on and on and on. It was truly somethhng which

:35:24.:35:30.

will haunt me for a long tile. Given that, could I ask the Home Secretary

:35:31.:35:37.

if she is as troubled as I `m by the tension that we have between our

:35:38.:35:43.

natural, human desire to focus in on the horror of things like this,

:35:44.:35:50.

which happen, the world's mddia focussing on one point, to have

:35:51.:35:53.

Parliamentary statements like this and the inevitable extra publicity

:35:54.:35:56.

that gives to the terrorists who want to show that they can create a

:35:57.:36:02.

level of carnage and disruption far beyond their actual militarx

:36:03.:36:07.

capability would otherwise `llow? Well, I thank the honourabld

:36:08.:36:11.

gentleman for sharing that with us. It's those certainly stories that

:36:12.:36:17.

make the real tragedy come to life for us. He raises an import`nt

:36:18.:36:21.

point. We want people to be aware, but we don't want to give the

:36:22.:36:24.

terrorists the sort of publhcity they want. But our intelligdnce is

:36:25.:36:29.

that because we are making progress against them, we are making progress

:36:30.:36:33.

against them, against Daesh in general, they are trying to find

:36:34.:36:36.

ways to lash out and being dangerous in this way. I have to say, it is

:36:37.:36:41.

right that we know that this is taking place and that everybody can

:36:42.:36:47.

be vigilant against it. Can I welcome my right honotrable

:36:48.:36:52.

friend to her new position. As it is some time since the initial

:36:53.:36:56.

announcement was made of thd recruitment of 1900 more security

:36:57.:37:00.

staff, can the Home Secretary tell the House how many have so far

:37:01.:37:06.

actually been recruited? I thank my honourable friend for that puestion.

:37:07.:37:09.

I cannot, at the moment, give him the exact number. But I can tell him

:37:10.:37:13.

that we have made good progress I will write to him further whth that

:37:14.:37:18.

number. Could I wish the right honotrable

:37:19.:37:23.

lady well in her appointment. With many British citizens due to take

:37:24.:37:29.

part in battle of the Somme events this year, will she do all she can

:37:30.:37:33.

to ensure these visits go ahead and all that she can in terms of

:37:34.:37:38.

cooperation with our French allies to ensure the safety and security of

:37:39.:37:44.

British people taking part? Well, I thank the honourable gentlelan for

:37:45.:37:47.

that points. He is absolutely right. It is essential that these dvents go

:37:48.:37:51.

on, particularly to remember something like the Battle of the

:37:52.:37:56.

Somme, which puts some of the difficulties we have here in

:37:57.:37:59.

perspective, the scale of the massacre there. I will indedd engage

:38:00.:38:03.

with my French counterpart to ensure we do all we can to give thdm the

:38:04.:38:08.

support they need to keep everybody safe. Can I congratulate thd Home

:38:09.:38:13.

Secretary on her statement `nd welcome her and her team to their

:38:14.:38:16.

places. Does she agrow whether we are in or out of Europe, we must

:38:17.:38:20.

stand with Britain, Britain and France must stand together to tackle

:38:21.:38:23.

terrorism, to tackle human trafficking, to keep our borders

:38:24.:38:28.

safe and secure, upholding our treaties, that way our two nations

:38:29.:38:32.

are safer, stronger and mord secure? I thank my honourable friend. He's

:38:33.:38:37.

absolutely right. National security remains the sole responsibility of

:38:38.:38:42.

member states. We will conthnue to work bilaterally with Francd,

:38:43.:38:44.

sharing information and deepening that relationship so we can make

:38:45.:38:47.

sure we keep both our countries safe.

:38:48.:38:52.

The Home Secretary, and I wdlcome her to her post, is right to condemn

:38:53.:38:59.

these vicious atrocities in Nice. After the Paris attacks in November,

:39:00.:39:06.

her predecessor, the new Prhme Minister, committed to a review on

:39:07.:39:11.

firearms responses in the United Kingdom. Can she update the House on

:39:12.:39:16.

how that review has gone and whether any changes have been instigated as

:39:17.:39:21.

a result of it? I thank the honourable gentleman. That review is

:39:22.:39:26.

ongoing. It is not finished yet I will make sure that I get hhm an

:39:27.:39:30.

update of where we are, so H can make sure he's fully informdd. Can I

:39:31.:39:35.

welcome my right honourable friend to her place and condemn thhs

:39:36.:39:40.

barbarous attack. I welcome the extra money that she talks `bout.

:39:41.:39:44.

Can I ask her, is she happy that the training facilities that thd armed

:39:45.:39:49.

police are now going to havd are sufficient to meet the extrdme level

:39:50.:39:53.

they may be put to, ie, storming buildings and so forth, to rescue

:39:54.:39:57.

those taken hostage? This rdquires a huge level of skill, I suspdct,

:39:58.:40:02.

investment and training? Le w, I can tell my honourable friend -, well, I

:40:03.:40:05.

can tell my honourable friend that we have some of the best in the

:40:06.:40:09.

world who are our armed offhcers who can do that response. We ard no

:40:10.:40:13.

doubt that we will take all action we need to keep our people safe If

:40:14.:40:18.

that requires additional tr`ining or additional expertise, we will take

:40:19.:40:21.

it seriously. We will keep ht constantly under review to dnsure we

:40:22.:40:25.

can deliver that. THE SPEAKER: Very unseemly. Thank

:40:26.:40:31.

you very much indeed Mr Spe`ker I welcome the Home Secretary to her

:40:32.:40:35.

post. This horrific attack was carried out using no specialised

:40:36.:40:38.

equipment, but it's not enotgh for husband to play catch up and be

:40:39.:40:42.

thinking how to protect people from a lorry attack, but to be ilagining

:40:43.:40:48.

the unthinkable, pre-emting and taking precautions against dvery

:40:49.:40:51.

other method of attack, without going into detail, can she give

:40:52.:40:54.

assurances that the Securitx Services are doing this? I thank the

:40:55.:41:00.

honourable lady and she makds an important point about the txpe of

:41:01.:41:05.

weapon used in this case. I would repeat, though, there is an ongoing

:41:06.:41:09.

investigation in France, so we no further investigation about the

:41:10.:41:13.

access or the details of it. But I would say, that we are keephng under

:41:14.:41:17.

particular review large events so we can make sure that the people who

:41:18.:41:20.

are promoting these events or hosting them always have thd

:41:21.:41:24.

important information they need to keep the attendees safe.

:41:25.:41:30.

The murderous rampage of thhs evil terrorist was eventually halted by

:41:31.:41:35.

armed police in Nice. Can the Home Secretary just reiterate how

:41:36.:41:39.

satisfied she is with the availability of rapid armed response

:41:40.:41:41.

units in our regional towns and cities? I thank the honourable

:41:42.:41:47.

gentleman and -- my honourable friend. We will continue to keep

:41:48.:41:51.

this under review to ensure that we always keep people safe. Ovdr the

:41:52.:41:55.

next five years, we are, for example, providing ?143 million for

:41:56.:41:58.

the police to further boost their firearms capability. There will be

:41:59.:42:05.

no risk taken with the security As well as deploying its Securhty

:42:06.:42:10.

Services and its police force, France has also deployed ovdr 1 ,000

:42:11.:42:15.

of its army and also has talked about calling up 55,000 resdrvists.

:42:16.:42:20.

Dewing the Olympics, the Brhtish military played an important part in

:42:21.:42:24.

our security. Can I assume that the Home Secretary is talking to the

:42:25.:42:27.

Secretary of State of defence about the lessons the British milhtary can

:42:28.:42:32.

also teach in terms of ensuring security of large events? I thank

:42:33.:42:38.

the honourable lady. She rahses an important point about the v`lue of

:42:39.:42:44.

collaboration between defence and home to ensure we get the bdst

:42:45.:42:47.

outcome. We have done that previously and I look forward to

:42:48.:42:49.

continuing that with my right honourable friend. I wonder if I can

:42:50.:42:53.

ask the Home Secretary to s`y a little more about the defence

:42:54.:42:56.

measures we might have here in the UK against such an attack t`king

:42:57.:43:01.

place in the UK and particularly, the ability of potential totrists -

:43:02.:43:08.

terrorists to get hold of something such as a commercial vehicld. I

:43:09.:43:12.

thank my honourable friend. We do have particular assets which we use

:43:13.:43:15.

in order to combat that sort of attack. We have, for instance, a

:43:16.:43:19.

national barrier asset, where the police assess there to be a risk for

:43:20.:43:22.

vehicle attacks, my honourable friend may have seen them. They are

:43:23.:43:27.

these big, almost plastic items set out outside areas of risk, hn order

:43:28.:43:32.

to combat exactly that sort of attack. We will make those `vailable

:43:33.:43:36.

to areas having big gatherings, which is exactly the sort of area

:43:37.:43:41.

which could be most valuabld. Can I welcome the Home Secretary to her

:43:42.:43:44.

new role. Last year, the Opposition joined with the Government to

:43:45.:43:49.

support measures to be introduced for returning jihadists to restrict

:43:50.:43:52.

their movements when they rdturn to the UK. Can the Home Secret`ry say

:43:53.:43:55.

how often those powers have been used? Well, I'm certainly aware that

:43:56.:44:00.

we have those powers and we are using them. Of course, the best

:44:01.:44:04.

thing is to try and discour`ge people in the first place from

:44:05.:44:08.

going. We are aware, we are also making sure that we use those powers

:44:09.:44:12.

to stop people when they cole back and potentially to arrest them. I'm

:44:13.:44:15.

happy to right to the honourable lady to give more information about

:44:16.:44:20.

the actual numbers. I was privileged in being able to

:44:21.:44:26.

attend an inter-faith Eid celebration dinner last night,

:44:27.:44:29.

hosted by a group that your new Prime Minister is aware of. A fine

:44:30.:44:34.

example of a group teaching love, not hatred, and committed to helping

:44:35.:44:37.

their local communities in raising hundreds of thousands of potnds for

:44:38.:44:42.

UK charities. Does the Home Secretary agree with me that we need

:44:43.:44:46.

to work with our Muslim comlunities to ensure that they're not targeted

:44:47.:44:50.

with hate crimes in the UK `nd not linked to these appalling attacks,

:44:51.:44:52.

which they condemn? THE SPEAKER: People ought to show

:44:53.:44:59.

some sensitivity to the House. Forgive me, but that question was

:45:00.:45:02.

far too long. I thank the honourable lady. She makes such an important

:45:03.:45:06.

point about the role of comlunities and other faith groups to m`ke sure

:45:07.:45:09.

that the sort of terrorism we've seen and the sort of hate that can

:45:10.:45:14.

grow up so, apparently so e`sily sometimes, is combatted early on. I

:45:15.:45:20.

join her in congratulated the group. THE SPEAKER: Order. To move motion

:45:21.:45:28.

number one on the UK's nucldar deterrent, I call the Prime

:45:29.:45:29.

Minister. Mr Speaker, I beg to move in motion

:45:30.:45:43.

on the order paper in the n`me of my name and my right honourabld

:45:44.:45:46.

friends. The Home Secretary has just made a statement about the `ttack in

:45:47.:45:49.

Nice and I'm sure the whole house will join me in sending our deepest

:45:50.:45:52.

condolences to the families and friends of all those killed and

:45:53.:45:54.

injured in last Thursday's ttterly horrifying attack in knees. Innocent

:45:55.:46:01.

victims brutally murdered bx terrorists who resent the freedoms

:46:02.:46:04.

we treasure and want nothing more than to destroy our way of life

:46:05.:46:09.

This latest attack in Francd, pounding the tragedies of the Paris

:46:10.:46:14.

attacks in January and Novelber last year is another grave reminder of

:46:15.:46:18.

the growing threat that Britain and all our allies face from terrorism.

:46:19.:46:22.

On Friday I spoke with presdnt land and assured him we will stand

:46:23.:46:27.

shoulder to shoulder with the French people as we have done so often the

:46:28.:46:32.

past. -- I spoke with President Hollande. We will never be cowed by

:46:33.:46:37.

terror. Though the battle whth terrorism may be long, thesd

:46:38.:46:41.

terrorists will be defeated and the values will prevail. Mr Spe`ker I

:46:42.:46:47.

should note the serious events over the weekend in Turkey. We h`ve

:46:48.:46:51.

firmly condemned the attempted coup by certain members of the Ttrkish

:46:52.:46:56.

military which began on Friday evening. Britain stands firlly in

:46:57.:47:00.

support of Turkey's democratically elected government and insthtutions,

:47:01.:47:05.

we call for the full observ`nce of Turkey's constitutional orddr, and

:47:06.:47:07.

stressed the importance of the rule of law prevailing in the wake of

:47:08.:47:10.

this failed coup. Everything must be done to avoid further violence, to

:47:11.:47:16.

protect lives and restore c`lm. The Foreign and Commonwealth Office has

:47:17.:47:19.

worked around the clock to provide help and advice to the many

:47:20.:47:22.

thousands of reddish tackles on holiday or working in Turkex at this

:47:23.:47:25.

time and my right honourabld friend the Foreign Secretary has spoken to

:47:26.:47:30.

the Turkish Foreign Minister and I expect to speak to President Erdogan

:47:31.:47:34.

shortly. Before I turn to otr nuclear deterrent, I'm sure the

:47:35.:47:38.

house will welcome the news that Japan's Softbank group intends to

:47:39.:47:44.

acquire UK tech firm arm Holdings. I've spoken to Softbank dirdctly and

:47:45.:47:47.

they have confirmed their commitment to keep the company in Cambridge and

:47:48.:47:51.

invest further to double thd number of UK jobs over five years. This ?24

:47:52.:47:56.

billion investment would be the largest ever Asian investment in the

:47:57.:48:02.

UK. It's a clear demonstrathon that Britain is open for business, as

:48:03.:48:08.

attractive to international investment as ever. Hear, hdar! Mr

:48:09.:48:12.

Speaker there is no greater responsible Diaz by Minister than in

:48:13.:48:15.

chewing the safety and security of our people, that is why I'vd made my

:48:16.:48:20.

first duty in this house to move today's motion so we can get on with

:48:21.:48:23.

the job of renewing an essential part of our national security for

:48:24.:48:29.

generations to come. For allost half a century every hour of every day

:48:30.:48:34.

our Royal Navy nuclear subm`rines have been patrolling Boeoti`ns.

:48:35.:48:41.

Unseen and undetected. -- p`trolling the oceans. Our ultimate insurance

:48:42.:48:46.

against nuclear attack. Our sub mariners endure months away from

:48:47.:48:50.

their families, often withott any contact with their loved onds,

:48:51.:48:53.

training relentlessly fought the duty they hope never to carry out. I

:48:54.:48:58.

hope Mr Speaker that whatevdr our views on the deterrent, we can today

:48:59.:49:04.

agree on one thing, that our country owes an enormous debt of gr`titude

:49:05.:49:08.

to all our sub mariners and their families for the sacrifices they

:49:09.:49:13.

make in keeping us safe. He`r, hear! As former Home Secretary, I'm

:49:14.:49:17.

familiar with the threats f`cing our country, in my last post I was

:49:18.:49:20.

responsible for counterterrorism for over six years, I received daily

:49:21.:49:25.

intelligence briefings about threats to national security, I chahred a

:49:26.:49:28.

weekly security meeting with representatives of all the countries

:49:29.:49:32.

security and intelligence agencies, military and police, and receive

:49:33.:49:37.

personal briefings from the director-general of MI5. Ovdr six

:49:38.:49:40.

years as Home Secretary I w`s focused on the decisions nedded to

:49:41.:49:44.

keep our people safe and it remains my first priority as Prime Linister.

:49:45.:49:49.

The threats we face are serhous It is vital for our national interest

:49:50.:49:53.

that we have the full spectrum of our defences at. To meet thdm. - at

:49:54.:50:01.

full strength to meet them. Under my leadership is government will meet

:50:02.:50:05.

our Nato obligation to spend 2% of our GDP on defence, we will maintain

:50:06.:50:09.

the most significant security and military capability in Europe and

:50:10.:50:13.

continue to invest in all the capabilities set out in the

:50:14.:50:16.

strategic defence and Securhty review last year. We will mdet the

:50:17.:50:21.

growing terrorist threat coling from Daesh in Syria and Iraq, Boko Haram

:50:22.:50:26.

in Nigeria, Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula, Karsh about in E`st

:50:27.:50:30.

Africa, and other terrorist groups planning attacks in Pakistan and

:50:31.:50:36.

Afghanistan. -- Walsh about in East Africa.

:50:37.:50:46.

Would my right honourable friend agree that Ukraine would have been

:50:47.:50:52.

less likely to have lost a sizeable portion of its territory to Russia I

:50:53.:50:58.

did continue to keep its nuclear weapons, and there are lessons in

:50:59.:51:03.

that for us. My honourable friend is absolutely right that there are

:51:04.:51:07.

lessons some people suggest to us that we should be removing our

:51:08.:51:11.

nuclear deterrent. This has been a vital part of our national security

:51:12.:51:14.

and defence were nearly half a century now and it would be quite

:51:15.:51:17.

the wrong... I will give wax to the honourable gentleman in a mhnute...

:51:18.:51:21.

It would be quite wrong to go down that particular pass. I think the

:51:22.:51:27.

premise to four giving way. Correction I thank the Primd

:51:28.:51:32.

Minister for giving way. Will she be reassured it remains steadf`stly

:51:33.:51:35.

Labour Party policy to renew the deterrent while other countries have

:51:36.:51:42.

the capacity to threaten thd United Kingdom and many of my colldagues

:51:43.:51:44.

will do the right thing for the long-term security of our n`tion and

:51:45.:51:49.

a vote to complete the programme we ourselves started in governlent

:51:50.:51:56.

Hear, hear! Can I commend the honourable gentleman for thd words

:51:57.:52:00.

he has just said, he's absolutely right, the national interest is

:52:01.:52:05.

clear. The manifesto on which Labour members of Parliament stood for the

:52:06.:52:08.

general election last year said the following... Britain must rdmain

:52:09.:52:15.

committed to a minimum credhble independent nuclear capabilhty

:52:16.:52:17.

delivered through a continuous at the deterrent. I welcome thd

:52:18.:52:21.

commitment the honourable gdntleman and many of his colleagues will be

:52:22.:52:27.

giving tonight to that nucldar deterrent by joining the government

:52:28.:52:29.

and members of Parliament in voting for this motion. I add my

:52:30.:52:36.

congratulations to her in hdr new role. If keeping an renewing our

:52:37.:52:40.

nuclear weapons is so vital to our national security and safetx, does

:52:41.:52:43.

she accept the logic of that position must be every other single

:52:44.:52:47.

country must seek to acquird nuclear weapons and the she really think the

:52:48.:52:52.

world would be a safer placd if it did? Our nuclear weapons ard driving

:52:53.:52:59.

a reparation, not the opposhte. -- driving proliferation. I don't

:53:00.:53:02.

accept that at all. I have to say to the honourable lady that sadly she

:53:03.:53:05.

and some other members of the Labour Party seem to be the first to defend

:53:06.:53:09.

the country's enemies and the last to accept the capabilities...

:53:10.:53:17.

INAUDIBLE Mr Speaker, Mr Speaker, nond of this

:53:18.:53:22.

means there will be no thre`t from nuclear state in coming dec`des As

:53:23.:53:26.

I will set out for the housd today, the threats from countries like

:53:27.:53:28.

Russia and North Korea remahn very real. As our strategic defence and

:53:29.:53:34.

Security review made clear, there is a continuing risk of further

:53:35.:53:40.

proliferation of weapons. Wd must continually convince any potential

:53:41.:53:43.

aggressors the benefits of `n attack on Britain are far outweighdd by

:53:44.:53:47.

their consequences and we c`nnot afford to relax our guard or rule

:53:48.:53:51.

out further shifts which put our country in great danger. We need to

:53:52.:53:55.

be prepared to deter threats to our lives and livelihoods and those of

:53:56.:54:01.

generations yet to be born. I will give way. Very grateful to the Prime

:54:02.:54:07.

Minister giving way. We on these benches go through the lobbx

:54:08.:54:11.

tonight, 58 of Scotland's 58 MPs will be voting against this. What

:54:12.:54:15.

message is the Prime Ministdr sending to the people of Scotland,

:54:16.:54:20.

who are demonstrating through their elected representatives we don't

:54:21.:54:21.

want Trident on our soil. I have decided the honourable

:54:22.:54:30.

gentleman it means 58 of thd 59 Scottish members of Parliamdnt will

:54:31.:54:33.

be voting against jobs in Scotland. CHEERING

:54:34.:54:37.

Supported by the nuclear deterrent. I give way to the honourabld... I

:54:38.:54:46.

thank the Prime Minister for giving way and congratulate her on her

:54:47.:54:49.

appointment. She mentioned the security threat the country faces

:54:50.:54:55.

from terrorism. What does she say to those whose eight is a choice

:54:56.:55:00.

between renewing the Trident programme or confronting thd

:55:01.:55:04.

terrorist threat. -- who sax it is a choice. I say it is not advhce, but

:55:05.:55:08.

the country needs to do is recognise it faces a variety of threats and to

:55:09.:55:13.

ensure we have the capabilities necessary and appropriate to deal

:55:14.:55:15.

with each of those threats. As the Home Secretary has just madd clear

:55:16.:55:21.

in response to questions in her statement, the government is

:55:22.:55:23.

committed to extra funding, extra moves to let macro resources --

:55:24.:55:29.

extra resources going to agdncies as they face terrorist threat. This

:55:30.:55:34.

that we are talking about today is the necessity for us having a

:55:35.:55:38.

nuclear deterrent which has been an insurer 's policy for this country

:55:39.:55:41.

for nearly 50 years and I bdlieve should remain so. -- insurance

:55:42.:55:46.

policy. I'd like to make a little progress before I take more

:55:47.:55:51.

interventions. Mr Speaker, H know there are serious and important

:55:52.:55:53.

questions at the heart of this debate and I want to address them

:55:54.:55:56.

all this afternoon. First, hn light of the evolving nature of the threat

:55:57.:56:03.

we face, is a nuclear deterrent still necessary and essenti`l? Is

:56:04.:56:08.

the cost of the deterrent to great? That, is building four subm`rines

:56:09.:56:11.

the right way of maintaining the deterrent. Could we not relx on our

:56:12.:56:15.

nuclear armed allies like Alerica and France to provide the ddterrent?

:56:16.:56:20.

Do we not have a moral duty to lead the world in nuclear disarm`ment

:56:21.:56:23.

rather than maintaining our own deterrent? I will take each of these

:56:24.:56:32.

questions in turn. Could I congratulate the Prime Minister on

:56:33.:56:35.

her sure-footedness today in bringing this motion before the

:56:36.:56:38.

house, and at last allowing Parliament in this session to make a

:56:39.:56:41.

decision. We will proudly stand behind the government on thhs issue

:56:42.:56:49.

to act. Could I encourage hdr to encourage the Scottish Nationalists

:56:50.:56:51.

if they don't want those jobs in Scotland, they will happily be taken

:56:52.:56:57.

in Northern Ireland. I'm gr`teful to the honourable gentleman for his

:56:58.:57:00.

intervention and the support he and colleagues will be showing tonight.

:57:01.:57:06.

Mr Speaker, I will take one more intervention... I'm grateful and

:57:07.:57:10.

would like to congratulate her on becoming Prime Minister. Can she

:57:11.:57:14.

confirm that when the Labour government of Clement Attled took

:57:15.:57:18.

the decision to have nuclear weapons, it had to do so in a very

:57:19.:57:24.

dangerous world. And that stccessive Labour governments kept those

:57:25.:57:28.

nuclear weapons are cars thdre was a dangerous world. Isn't it, now, as

:57:29.:57:35.

you said, a dangerous time? -- kept weapons because. The last L`bour

:57:36.:57:39.

government held votes on thd retention of the nuclear deterrent.

:57:40.:57:43.

I think it's a great pity there are members of the Labour Party's front

:57:44.:57:47.

bench today who failed to sde the necessity of this nuclear ddterrent,

:57:48.:57:51.

given the Labour Party in the past has put the British national

:57:52.:57:54.

interest first in looking at this issue. Mr Speaker, I want to set out

:57:55.:58:01.

for the house why our nucle`r deterrent remains as necess`ry and

:58:02.:58:03.

essential today as it was when we first established it. The ntclear

:58:04.:58:07.

threat has not gone away, if anything, it has increased. First

:58:08.:58:12.

there is the threat from exhsting nuclear states like Russia. We know

:58:13.:58:16.

President Putin is upgrading his nuclear forces. In the last two

:58:17.:58:20.

years there has been a disttrbing increase in Russian rhetoric about

:58:21.:58:23.

the use of nuclear weapons `nd the free -- snap nuclear exercises.

:58:24.:58:33.

There is no question about his willingness to undermine thd rule

:58:34.:58:36.

-based international system to advance his own interests. He has

:58:37.:58:39.

already threatened to base nuclear forces in the Crimea and Kalann

:58:40.:58:43.

inbred, the Russian enclave on the Baltic Sea that neighbours Poland

:58:44.:58:48.

and Lithuania. There are cotntries that wish to acquire nuclear

:58:49.:58:53.

capabilities illegally. North Korea has stated clearly tend to develop

:58:54.:58:57.

and employ a nuclear weapons and continues to work towards that goal.

:58:58.:59:03.

In flagrant violation... I'l going to make some progress... Of UN

:59:04.:59:08.

Security Council resolutions. It is the only country in the world to

:59:09.:59:12.

have tested nuclear weapons this century, carrying out its fourth

:59:13.:59:15.

test of this year, as well `s a space launch that used the list of

:59:16.:59:20.

missile technology. It also claims to be attempted to develop `

:59:21.:59:24.

submarine launch capability and to have withdrawn from the nuclear

:59:25.:59:27.

Non-Proliferation Treaty. B`sed on the route tick advice received,

:59:28.:59:32.

North Korea could have enough fissile material to produce more

:59:33.:59:37.

than a dozen nuclear weapons. - based on evidence received. There is

:59:38.:59:44.

of course the danger North Korea might share its technology or

:59:45.:59:48.

weapons with other countries or organisations who wish to do us

:59:49.:59:53.

harm. Third, there is the qtestion of future nuclear threat, that we

:59:54.:59:58.

cannot even anticipate todax. Let me be clear why this matters. Once

:59:59.:00:02.

nuclear weapons have been ghven up, it's almost impossible to gdt them

:00:03.:00:07.

back. The process of creating a new deterrent takes many decades, you

:00:08.:00:11.

could not redevelop a deterrent fast enough to respond to a new `nd

:00:12.:00:15.

unforeseen nuclear threat. The decision on whether to renew our

:00:16.:00:19.

nuclear deterrent in just not just on the threats we face todax but

:00:20.:00:22.

also on an assessment of wh`t the world will be like over the coming

:00:23.:00:26.

decades. It is impossible to say for certain that no such extremd threats

:00:27.:00:31.

in the next 30-40 years to threaten our security and way of lifd. It

:00:32.:00:35.

would be an act of gross irresponsibility to lose thd ability

:00:36.:00:40.

to meet such threats by discarding the ultimate insurance against those

:00:41.:00:46.

risk in future. With the exhsting fleet of Vanguard submarines

:00:47.:00:49.

beginning to leave service by the early 2030s and the time it takes to

:00:50.:00:54.

build and test new submarinds, we need to take the decision to replace

:00:55.:00:58.

them now. Maintaining our ntclear deterrent is not just essential for

:00:59.:01:03.

our own national security, ht is also vital for the future sdcurity

:01:04.:01:08.

of our Nato allies. The Prile Minister. Last year the Minhster for

:01:09.:01:15.

defence procurement said thd cost of the replacement programme w`s, and I

:01:16.:01:19.

quote, being withheld, as it relates to the formulation of government

:01:20.:01:25.

policy and would prejudice commercial interests. Given the

:01:26.:01:28.

scale of the decision we ard being asked today, but the Prime Linister

:01:29.:01:32.

tell us the cost of that, the life cost.

:01:33.:01:35.

I'm coming onto the cost in a minute. Britain is going to leave

:01:36.:01:41.

the European Union, but we `re not leaving Europe. We will not leave

:01:42.:01:46.

our European and Nato allies behind. Being recognised as one of the five

:01:47.:01:55.

nuclear weapons states under the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty

:01:56.:01:57.

confers unique responsibilities They did so on the understanding

:01:58.:02:04.

that they were protected by Nato's nuclear umbrella, abandoning our

:02:05.:02:08.

deterrent would undermine otr future security and that of our allies too.

:02:09.:02:11.

That is not something that H am prepared to do.

:02:12.:02:15.

I thank the Prime Minister for giving way. I wonder if the Prime

:02:16.:02:19.

Minister in her busy schedule this morning caught the interview on

:02:20.:02:26.

radio five, where it was st`ted that he was a member of CND but then he

:02:27.:02:32.

grew up. Isn't it the maturd view, the adult view in a world where we

:02:33.:02:36.

have a nuclear north crow y`, an expansionist Russia, we must keep

:02:37.:02:43.

our independent nuclear detdrrent? Well I absolutely agree with my

:02:44.:02:46.

honourable friend. I think he's right to point out there ard members

:02:47.:02:49.

on the benches opposite who do support that view. Sadly, not many

:02:50.:02:53.

of them seem to be on the frontbench of the party opposite. But we may

:02:54.:03:01.

see, maybe my speech will change the views of some of the frontbdnches. I

:03:02.:03:04.

said to the right honourabld gentleman I would come onto the

:03:05.:03:07.

question of cost. I want to do that now. Of course, no credible

:03:08.:03:11.

deterrent is cheap. It's estimated that the four new submarines will

:03:12.:03:17.

cost ?31 billion to build whth a contingency of ?10 billion. With the

:03:18.:03:21.

acquisition costs spread ovdr 3 years, this is effectively `n

:03:22.:03:27.

insurance premium of 0. 2% of total annual Government spending, 20 pence

:03:28.:03:31.

in every ?100 for a capabilhty to protect our people through to the

:03:32.:03:35.

2060s and beyond. I'm very clear our national security is worth dvery

:03:36.:03:40.

penny. There's a significant economic benefit to the rendwal of

:03:41.:03:46.

our nuclear deterrent - I'm very grateful for the Prime Minister

:03:47.:03:48.

taking a second intervention on It I asked a simple question the first

:03:49.:03:53.

time round. I think the Prile Minister has concluded of what the

:03:54.:03:57.

cost is for Trident replacelent But she didn't say what that nulber was.

:03:58.:04:02.

Would she be so kind to say what the total number is for Trident

:04:03.:04:08.

replacement? I've given the figures for the cost of bidding the

:04:09.:04:12.

submarines. I've cleared th`t the in-service cost is about 6% of the

:04:13.:04:18.

defence Budget or about 13 p in every ?100 of Government spdnding.

:04:19.:04:23.

There is also a significant economic benefit to the renewal of otr

:04:24.:04:29.

nuclear deterrent. Our nucldar which might be of interest to

:04:30.:04:32.

members of the Scottish Nathonal Party. I give way. Would shd pay

:04:33.:04:39.

tribute, quite rightly to otr submariners, but should she pay

:04:40.:04:42.

tribute to the men and women who work in our defence industrhes who

:04:43.:04:46.

are going to be working on the successor. They're highly skilled

:04:47.:04:50.

individuals, well paid, but also these skills cannot be just turned

:04:51.:04:54.

on and off like a tap when xou need them. Does she agree it's in the

:04:55.:05:00.

national interest to keep these people employed? I think he makes an

:05:01.:05:04.

incredibly important point. Our nuclear defence industry makes a

:05:05.:05:08.

major contribution to our ddfence industrial base, supporting more

:05:09.:05:12.

than 30,000 jobs across the UK. It benefits hundreds of supplidrs

:05:13.:05:17.

across 350 constituencies. H just finish this point, while thd skills

:05:18.:05:20.

required in this industry whll keep our nation at the cutting edge for

:05:21.:05:24.

years to come, and I also along with the honourable gentleman pax tribute

:05:25.:05:30.

to all those who are working in this industry and by their contrhbution

:05:31.:05:36.

helping to keep us safe I'd like to welcome her to the place as Prime

:05:37.:05:39.

Minister. Would she not agrde with me that like the honourable member

:05:40.:05:44.

for barrow, Morecambe has a lot of people in the defence industry and

:05:45.:05:48.

the thuck leer power industry and science sector there. Would this not

:05:49.:05:52.

be a kick in the teach to mx -- teeth to my constituents if we

:05:53.:05:55.

didn't have this deterrent dnacted today? My honourable friend make a

:05:56.:06:02.

very important point. There are some constituencies particularly affected

:06:03.:06:05.

in relation to this. As I'vd just said, there are jobs across

:06:06.:06:08.

something like 350 constitudncies in this country that are relatdd to

:06:09.:06:12.

this industry. Of course, if we weren't going to renew our nuclear

:06:13.:06:17.

deterrent those people would risk losing their jobs as a result. I

:06:18.:06:22.

will give way then I will m`ke some progress. I thank the Prime Minister

:06:23.:06:26.

for giving way. I hope she's going to come on to an explanation as to

:06:27.:06:32.

how like-for-like replacement of Trident complies with article six of

:06:33.:06:35.

the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty? I'm going to come onto the

:06:36.:06:40.

whole question of nuclear proliferation a little later in my

:06:41.:06:43.

speech, if the right honour`ble gentleman will just hold fire. Thank

:06:44.:06:54.

you Mr Speaker, will the Prhme Minister confirm for me and to the

:06:55.:06:58.

House that the cost that is involved in this, the vast, vast majority of

:06:59.:07:03.

that will be invested in jobs, skills, businesses in this country

:07:04.:07:06.

over many decades. This is `n investment in our own securhty. This

:07:07.:07:10.

is not outsourcing. This is keeping things safe at home. My honourable

:07:11.:07:15.

friend is absolutely right. This is about jobs here in the Unitdd

:07:16.:07:18.

Kingdom. It is also about the development of skills here hn the

:07:19.:07:22.

United Kingdom. Skills which will be of benefit to our engineering and

:07:23.:07:26.

design base for years to cole. But the decision will also spechfically

:07:27.:07:30.

increase the number of jobs in Scotland. HMS Naval Base Clxde is

:07:31.:07:35.

one of the largest employment sites in Scotland, sustaining arotnd ,800

:07:36.:07:39.

military and civilian jobs `s well as having a wider impact on the

:07:40.:07:43.

local economy. As the base becomes home to all Royal Naval sublarines,

:07:44.:07:48.

the number of people employdd there is set to increase to 8 testimony

:07:49.:07:55.

200 by -- 8,200 by 2022. If honourable members vote agahnst

:07:56.:08:00.

today's motion, they will bd voting against those jobs. I say to

:08:01.:08:06.

honourable members, and that is why the Unite union said that ddfending

:08:07.:08:11.

and securing the jobs of tens of thousands of defence workers

:08:12.:08:14.

involved in the successor stbmarine programme is its priority. H thank

:08:15.:08:21.

the Prime Minister for giving way. On the issue of jobs there's a lot

:08:22.:08:26.

of steel in successor submoo reebz. -- submarines. Can she commht to

:08:27.:08:31.

using UK steel? The honourable gentleman might have noticed that

:08:32.:08:40.

the Government has been looking at Government procurement related to

:08:41.:08:46.

steel. For the honourable gentleman's confirmation, I have

:08:47.:08:49.

been in Wales this morning `nd one of the issues that I discussed with

:08:50.:08:53.

the First Minister in Wales was the future of Tata and the work that the

:08:54.:08:56.

Government has been doing whth the Welsh Government in relation to

:08:57.:09:02.

that. Mr Speaker, I will now turn to the specific question of whdther

:09:03.:09:07.

building four submarines is the right approach, whether there could

:09:08.:09:10.

be cheaper and more effective ways of providing a similar effect to the

:09:11.:09:13.

Trident system. The facts hdre are very clear. A review of altdrnatives

:09:14.:09:18.

to Trident, undertaken in 2013, found that no alternative sxstem is

:09:19.:09:23.

as capable, resilient or cost effective as a Trident-based

:09:24.:09:26.

deterrent. Submarines are ldss vulnerable to attack than ahrcraft,

:09:27.:09:31.

ships or silos. They can mahntain a continuous, round the clock cover in

:09:32.:09:36.

a way that aircraft cannot. Alternative delivery systems, such

:09:37.:09:40.

as crumbs do not have the -, cruise missiles do not have the sale reach.

:09:41.:09:50.

We do not believe that they will be rendered obsolete by unmanndd cyber

:09:51.:09:54.

vehicles, as has been suggested The former First Sea Lord has s`id we

:09:55.:09:58.

are more likely to put a man on Mars in six months than make the seas

:09:59.:10:02.

transparent within 30 years. With submarines operating in isolation

:10:03.:10:05.

when deployed, it is hard to think of a system less susceptibld to

:10:06.:10:08.

cyber attack. Other nations think the same. That's why the Amdricans,

:10:09.:10:12.

Russia, China and France all continue to spend tens of bhllions

:10:13.:10:16.

on their own submarine based weapons. Delivering Britain's

:10:17.:10:19.

continuous at-sea deterrents also means we need all four subm`rines to

:10:20.:10:24.

ensure that one is always on patrol, taking account of the cycle

:10:25.:10:28.

deployment, training and rottine and unplanned maintenance. Thred

:10:29.:10:35.

submarines cannot provide rdsilience against breaks in service. Nor can

:10:36.:10:40.

they deliver a cost savings, as suggested since large costs for

:10:41.:10:44.

infrastructure and training are not reduced by any attempt to ctt to

:10:45.:10:49.

three. It is right to replace our four vanguard submarines with four

:10:50.:10:55.

successors. I will not seek false economies with the future of the

:10:56.:10:59.

nation and I will not be prdpared to settle with something that does not

:11:00.:11:04.

do the job. I was listening very carefully to the questions from the

:11:05.:11:07.

leader of the SNP group abott the cost. Isn't it clear that whatever

:11:08.:11:13.

the cost, he and his group `re against our nuclear deterrent?

:11:14.:11:18.

Scottish public opinion is clear that people in Scotland want the

:11:19.:11:23.

nuclear deterrent. When my right honourable friend, the Scottish

:11:24.:11:27.

Secretary, votes to retain the nuclear deterrent tonight, he is

:11:28.:11:30.

speaking for the people of Scotland, not the party op similarity --

:11:31.:11:37.

opposite. I couldn't agree with my right honourable friend mord. He has

:11:38.:11:41.

put it very well indeed. Mr Speaker, let me turn to the issue of whether

:11:42.:11:46.

we could simply rely on othdr nuclear armed allies, like @merica

:11:47.:11:49.

and France, to provide our deterrent. The first question is how

:11:50.:11:53.

would America and France re`ct if we suddenly announced we were

:11:54.:11:56.

abandoning our nuclear capabilities but expecting them to put their

:11:57.:12:00.

cities at risk to protect us in a nuclear crisis. That's hardly

:12:01.:12:04.

standing shoulder to shoulddr with our allies. At Nato summit last

:12:05.:12:10.

month, our allies made clear by maintaining our independent nuclear

:12:11.:12:13.

deterrent alongside America and France, we provide Nato with three

:12:14.:12:21.

separate centres of decision making. This prevents adversaries

:12:22.:12:23.

threatening the UK or our allies with impunity. With drawing from

:12:24.:12:30.

this arrangement would weakdn us now and in the future, undermind Nato

:12:31.:12:34.

and embolden our adversaries. It might allow them to gamble that one

:12:35.:12:39.

day the US or France might not put itself at risk in order to deter an

:12:40.:12:41.

attack on the UK I'm most grateful to the Prime

:12:42.:12:48.

Minister giving way. Is it the point Prime Minister that it's all very

:12:49.:12:52.

well looking at the cost of what it takes to build the submarinds and

:12:53.:12:55.

run them, but the cost of instability in the world, where you

:12:56.:12:58.

haven't got a counterbalancd, reduces the ability to tradd and

:12:59.:13:02.

reduces GDP. This isn't just a measure what have it costs, it's

:13:03.:13:06.

what would happen if we didn't have this system and more instabhlity was

:13:07.:13:10.

in the world. Well, my honotrable friend made a very valid and

:13:11.:13:13.

important point, this is solething that has to be looked at in the

:13:14.:13:17.

round, not just in the one set of figures. I will give way. C`n I

:13:18.:13:23.

congratulate the Prime Minister on her appointment and tell her that I

:13:24.:13:26.

shall be voting for the mothon this evening, because I believe the

:13:27.:13:29.

historic role of the Labour Party and Labour governments has been on

:13:30.:13:33.

the right side on this. Can I just say, I love the fact that she's

:13:34.:13:37.

shown this strong support of Nato, but there is a niggle - havd we the

:13:38.:13:42.

capacity and the resources to maintain conventional forces to the

:13:43.:13:45.

level that will match the other forces that we have? I say to the

:13:46.:13:50.

honourable gentleman the answer to that is yes. We're very cle`r that

:13:51.:13:54.

there are different threats that we face. We need different cap`bilities

:13:55.:13:58.

to face those threats. We h`ve now committed to that 2% of GDP being

:13:59.:14:04.

spent on defence spending. Hndeed, have been increasing the defence

:14:05.:14:07.

budget and the money we're `ble to spend on the more conventional

:14:08.:14:14.

forces. Mr Speaker, I give way. Let me congratulate the Prime Mhnister

:14:15.:14:20.

on her new role. Can we cut to the chase - is she personally prepared

:14:21.:14:26.

to authorise a nuclear strike that could kill 100,000 innocent men

:14:27.:14:33.

women and children? Yes. And I have to say to the honourable gentleman,

:14:34.:14:36.

the whole point of a deterrdnt is that our enemies need to know that

:14:37.:14:39.

we would be prepared to use. It -- use it. Unlike some stggestion

:14:40.:14:46.

that's we could have the deterrent but not actually be willing to use

:14:47.:14:49.

it, which came from the Labour Party frontbench. I will give way. Thank

:14:50.:14:56.

you, Prime Minister, for giving way. I'm sure the Prime Minister is aware

:14:57.:15:01.

that Russia has ten times the amount of tactical nuclear weapons than the

:15:02.:15:06.

whole of the rest of Nato. @t a recent Defence Select Committee to

:15:07.:15:09.

Russia, we were told by senhor military leaders that they reserve

:15:10.:15:14.

the right to use nuclear we`pons as first strike. Is that not something

:15:15.:15:19.

that should make us very afraid if we ever thought of giving up our

:15:20.:15:24.

nuclear weapons? The honour`ble lady is absolutely right. Russia is also

:15:25.:15:29.

modernising its nuclear cap`bility and it would be, I think, it would

:15:30.:15:34.

be a dereliction of our dutx in terms of our responsibility for the

:15:35.:15:36.

safety and security of the British people if we were to give up our

:15:37.:15:41.

nuclear deterrent. Mr Speakdr, we must send an unequivocal message to

:15:42.:15:45.

any adversary that the cost of an attack on our United Kingdol or our

:15:46.:15:48.

allies will always be far greater than anything it might hope to gain

:15:49.:15:53.

through such an attack, onlx the retention of our own independent

:15:54.:15:56.

deterrent can do this. This Government will never endanger the

:15:57.:15:59.

security of our people and we will never hide behind the protection

:16:00.:16:03.

provided by others, while claiming the mistaken virtue of unil`teral

:16:04.:16:07.

disarmament. Let me turn to the question of our moral duty to lead

:16:08.:16:12.

nuclear disarmament. Stopping nuclear weapons being used globally

:16:13.:16:16.

is not achieved by giving them up unilaterally. It's about working

:16:17.:16:21.

towards a multilateral procdss. That process is important and Brhtain

:16:22.:16:23.

could not do more to support this varietial work. Britain is committed

:16:24.:16:27.

to creating the conditions for a world without nuclear weapons, in

:16:28.:16:31.

line with our obligations under the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty.

:16:32.:16:34.

I'm just going to make some more progress. We play a leading role on

:16:35.:16:39.

disarmament verification, together with Norway and America, we continue

:16:40.:16:45.

to press for key steps towards multilateral disarmament, including

:16:46.:16:49.

the test ban treaty and for successful negotiations on ` cut-off

:16:50.:16:52.

treaty. Further more, we ard committed to retaining the linimum

:16:53.:16:56.

amount of destructive power needed to deter any aggressor. We've cut

:16:57.:17:01.

our stock piles by over half since the Cold War peak. Last year, we

:17:02.:17:03.

delivered on our commitment to reduce the number of deploydd

:17:04.:17:07.

warheads on each submarine from 48 to #406789

:17:08.:17:11.

We will retain no more than 120 operational warheads and further

:17:12.:17:17.

reduce our stockpile of nuclear weapons to more than 180 warheads by

:17:18.:17:22.

the middle of the next decade. Britain has approximately 1$ of the

:17:23.:17:27.

17,000 nuclear weapons in the world, for us to disarm unilaterally would

:17:28.:17:31.

not significantly change thd calculations of other nucle`r

:17:32.:17:34.

states, nor those seeking to acquire such weapons. To disarm unilaterally

:17:35.:17:40.

would not make us safer, nor would make the use of nuclear weapons less

:17:41.:17:44.

likely, in fact it would have the opposite effect because it would

:17:45.:17:47.

remove the deterrent that for 6 years has helped to stop others

:17:48.:17:51.

using nuclear weapons against us. Mr Speaker, our national interdst is

:17:52.:17:56.

clear, Britain's nuclear decision is an insurance policy we simply cannot

:17:57.:17:59.

do without, we cannot come from eyes on our national security, wd cannot

:18:00.:18:04.

outsource the grave responshbility we shoulder for keeping our people

:18:05.:18:08.

safe and cannot abandon our ultimate safeguard out of misplaced hdealism,

:18:09.:18:11.

it would be a reckless gamble, that would end feeble our allies and

:18:12.:18:16.

embolden our enemies, a gamble with the safety and security of families

:18:17.:18:19.

in Britain we must never be prepared to take. Mr Speaker, we havd waited

:18:20.:18:23.

long enough, it's time to gdt on with building the next generation of

:18:24.:18:28.

our nuclear deterrent. It is time to take this essential decision to

:18:29.:18:31.

deter the most extreme thre`ts to our society and preserve our way of

:18:32.:18:36.

life for generations to comd. I commend this motion to the house.

:18:37.:18:44.

SPEAKER: order! The question is motion number one as on the order

:18:45.:18:48.

paper, I call the Leader of the Opposition Mr Jeremy Corbyn. Thank

:18:49.:18:52.

you, Mr Speaker, can I start by welcoming and congratulations the

:18:53.:18:59.

member for Maidenhead on her appointment as Prime Ministdr. I'm

:19:00.:19:01.

glad her election was quick and short. LAUGHTER

:19:02.:19:09.

Can I also commend her... It's all right, I'm looking at you. Can I

:19:10.:19:15.

also amend the remarks she lade about the horrific events in Nice,

:19:16.:19:20.

absolutely horrific what happened in those innocent people that lost

:19:21.:19:23.

their lives. And one hopes this is not going to be repeated elsewhere.

:19:24.:19:29.

I was pleased that she menthoned the situation in Turkey. And I support

:19:30.:19:33.

her call for calm and restr`int on all sides in Turkey. After the

:19:34.:19:37.

attempted coup I called a ntmber of friends in Istanbul and Ank`ra and

:19:38.:19:40.

ask them what was going on. The older ones there felt it was like a

:19:41.:19:47.

repeat of the 1980 coup and were horrified that bombs were f`lling

:19:48.:19:52.

near the Turkish parliament. Can we please not return to a Europe of

:19:53.:19:55.

military coups and dictatorships, which is what was still pertaining

:19:56.:20:01.

at that time? I endorsed thd Prime Minister's comment in that respect

:20:02.:20:04.

and I'd like to pay tribute to the Foreign Office staff who helped

:20:05.:20:08.

British citizens in France `nd in Turkey caught in recent events. The

:20:09.:20:13.

motion today, Mr Speaker, is one of enormous importance to this country,

:20:14.:20:19.

and, indeed, to the wider world There is nothing particularly new in

:20:20.:20:23.

this motion, the principal on nuclear weapons was debated in 007,

:20:24.:20:27.

but I think this is an opportunity to scrutinise what the government is

:20:28.:20:32.

doing. The funds involved in Trident renewal are massive, we must, I

:20:33.:20:37.

think, also consider the colplex, both moral and strategic, issues of

:20:38.:20:44.

our country possessing weapons of mass destruction. Their restlts of

:20:45.:20:48.

the question of its utility. Do these weapons of mass destrtction,

:20:49.:20:53.

for those are what they are, act as a deterrent to the threat wd face,

:20:54.:20:59.

and is that deterrent credible? The motion, Mr Speaker, says nothing of

:21:00.:21:02.

the cost involved, ballooning ever upwards. In 2006 the Ministry of

:21:03.:21:08.

Defence estimated constructhon costs would be 20 billion. By last year

:21:09.:21:13.

that had become 50% higher `t 3 billion, with another 10 billion

:21:14.:21:21.

added as a contingency fund. The very respected member for Rdigate

:21:22.:21:26.

has estimated the cost at 167 billion, so it is understood delays

:21:27.:21:29.

may have added to those credible figures since that estimate was

:21:30.:21:33.

made. I've seen some estimates as high as 200 billion for the

:21:34.:21:40.

replacement... I'm coming to you... And the running costs. Of course. On

:21:41.:21:46.

the subject of cost isn't it true the key cost here is the ond we

:21:47.:21:50.

remember every Remembrance Sunday, the millions of lives we lost in two

:21:51.:21:54.

world wars, and would he care to estimate the millions of lives that

:21:55.:21:58.

would have been lost in a third conventional war, which was avoided

:21:59.:22:01.

before 1989 because of the nuclear deterrent. We all remember those who

:22:02.:22:07.

lost their lives on Remembr`nce Sunday and all the other tiles, that

:22:08.:22:12.

is the price of war. My question is does our possession of nucldar

:22:13.:22:15.

weapons make us more secure or. . And make the world more sectre, yes

:22:16.:22:20.

or no? Of course there is a debate about that, that is what a

:22:21.:22:24.

Democratic parliament does. It has a debate about these issues. H'm

:22:25.:22:28.

putting forward a point of view that the honourable member may not agree

:22:29.:22:30.

with but I'm sure he's going to listen to it with great respect as

:22:31.:22:40.

he always does. Yes? Ian Pahsley. The Labour leader has shown to us in

:22:41.:22:43.

the past is domestic solution to domestic security threat has been

:22:44.:22:52.

with the provisional IRA. What is his tactic now in how he will deal

:22:53.:22:56.

with a real threat to all of the people of this nation? The Prime

:22:57.:23:02.

Minister towards the end of her speech got to the point of the

:23:03.:23:07.

nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty and multilateral disarmament, I was

:23:08.:23:10.

interested in that. Surely we should start from that basis that we want

:23:11.:23:15.

and are determined to bring about a nuclear free world. There are six

:23:16.:23:18.

party talks going on with North Korea, China is a major economic

:23:19.:23:24.

provider for North Korea, I would have thought the relationshhp with

:23:25.:23:28.

China and North Korea is perhaps the key to a way forward in that

:23:29.:23:30.

respect. I'll give wait one more time over there. How would the Right

:23:31.:23:35.

honourable gentleman has wehghed my thousands of Korean constittents

:23:36.:23:40.

that it is a good idea to dhsarm unilaterally while their falilies

:23:41.:23:45.

and friends living in our ally, South Korea, face a constant nuclear

:23:46.:23:49.

deterrent from a belligerent regime over their northern border. I, too,

:23:50.:23:57.

have Korean constituents, as do many of us, and we welcome their work and

:23:58.:24:00.

participation in our societx. The point I was making is that the six

:24:01.:24:05.

party talks are a very important way forward of bringing about a peace

:24:06.:24:11.

treaty on the Korean peninstla. That, surely, is in the intdrest of

:24:12.:24:16.

everybody to achieve. Not e`sy, I fully understand, but nevertheless

:24:17.:24:19.

something we should be trying to do. I'd be grateful if the Primd

:24:20.:24:24.

Minister or Secretary of St`te for Defence, when he replies, whll let

:24:25.:24:28.

us know the government estilate of the total lifetime cost of what

:24:29.:24:33.

we're being asked to endorsd today. It's hardly surprising that in May

:24:34.:24:39.

2009 there was, Mr Speaker, a very intense debate going on in the then

:24:40.:24:45.

Shadow Cabinet about going for a less expensive upgrade by converting

:24:46.:24:50.

to air launched missiles. The right Honourable member for Mid Stssex

:24:51.:24:54.

said at the time, the argumdnts have not yet been had in public hn nearly

:24:55.:24:58.

an adequate enough way to w`rrant the spending of this nation's

:24:59.:25:03.

treasure on the scale that will be required. Seven years later perhaps

:25:04.:25:09.

we're in the same situation. This motion proposes an open-enddd

:25:10.:25:14.

commitment to maintain Brit`in's's current nuclear capability for as

:25:15.:25:20.

long as the global security situation demands. We on thdse

:25:21.:25:23.

benches, despite our differdnces on some issues, have always argued for

:25:24.:25:28.

the aim of a nuclear free world We might differ on how it's gohng to be

:25:29.:25:32.

achieved, but we are united in our commitment to that end. In 2007 my

:25:33.:25:37.

right honourable friend the member for Derby South embarked on a

:25:38.:25:41.

meaningful attempt to build consensus for the multilateral

:25:42.:25:46.

disarmament. Will the government address where these submarines are

:25:47.:25:52.

going to be based? The people of Scotland have rejected Triddnt being

:25:53.:25:58.

located in Faslane on the Clyde the SNP government is opposed to it as

:25:59.:26:03.

is Scottish Labour. We're not debating a nuclear deterrent, but

:26:04.:26:05.

our continued possession of weapons of mass destruction. We are

:26:06.:26:11.

discussing eight missiles, 41, with each warhead believed to be eight

:26:12.:26:16.

times as powerful as the atomic bomb which killed 140,000 people in

:26:17.:26:25.

Hiroshima in 1945. We are t`lking about, Mr Speaker, 40 warhe`ds, each

:26:26.:26:30.

one with the capacity to kill more than 1 million people. What is the

:26:31.:26:36.

threat we are facing that over million people's deaths detdrs? It

:26:37.:26:44.

is not from the so-called Islamic State, their poisonous death cult

:26:45.:26:49.

glory is in killing as many people as possible, as we seen in Syria,

:26:50.:26:53.

East Africa, France, Turkey. It hasn't deterred our ally, S`udi

:26:54.:26:57.

Arabia, from committing dre`dful acts in Yemen. It didn't stop Saddam

:26:58.:27:04.

Hussein's atrocities in the 198 s, or the invasion of Kuwait in 19 0.

:27:05.:27:10.

It didn't deter the war criles in the Balkans in the 1990s, nor the

:27:11.:27:18.

genocide in Rwanda. Mr Speaker, I make it clear today... Coming to

:27:19.:27:22.

you... I make it clear todax I would not take a decision that kills

:27:23.:27:25.

millions of innocent people, I do not believe the threat of m`ss

:27:26.:27:30.

murder is a legitimate way to go about dealing with internathonal

:27:31.:27:34.

relations. I'm grateful to ly right honourable friend for giving way.

:27:35.:27:40.

Can you explain to the housd when the last time you sought and

:27:41.:27:43.

received such a briefing is, and what is his assessment of the new

:27:44.:27:47.

Russian military nuclear protocols which permit first strike using

:27:48.:27:51.

nuclear weapons, and that they can be used to de-escalates conventional

:27:52.:27:56.

military conflicts, what is his assessment of that? Britain also at

:27:57.:28:01.

the current time retains thd right to first strike as well, I would

:28:02.:28:07.

have thought the best way forward is to develop the nuclear

:28:08.:28:10.

Non-Proliferation Treaty into a no first strike situation as a good way

:28:11.:28:14.

forward. I respect my honourable friend's wished to live in ` nuclear

:28:15.:28:18.

free world, I know he believes that very strongly. I think, Mr Speaker,

:28:19.:28:25.

we should take our commitments under the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty

:28:26.:28:30.

very seriously. It was in 1868. . It was in 1968, Mr Speaker, whdn the

:28:31.:28:37.

then Labour government led by Harold Wilson inaugurated and, indded,

:28:38.:28:40.

signed the Non-Proliferation Treaty. In 2007, our then Foreign Sdcretary,

:28:41.:28:46.

my friend the member for Derby South, rightly said, we must

:28:47.:28:51.

strengthen the NPT in all aspects, the judgment we made 40 years ago,

:28:52.:28:54.

that the eventual abolition of nuclear weapons was in all of our

:28:55.:28:59.

interests. The then Labour government committed to redtce our

:29:00.:29:04.

stocks of operationally avahlable warheads by a further 20%. H would

:29:05.:29:08.

congratulate our government on doing that. I attended NPT review combines

:29:09.:29:15.

when that was spoken. Can the government say what the Labour

:29:16.:29:20.

Foreign Secretary said in 2007, my commitment to the vision of a world

:29:21.:29:25.

free of nuclear weapons is `n didn't. Is this government's vision

:29:26.:29:30.

of a nuclear free world undhmmed? She spoke of the international

:29:31.:29:34.

community's clear commitment to a Middle East nuclear weapons free

:29:35.:29:40.

zone. Instead, Mr Speaker, despite unanimous support... No, I won't

:29:41.:29:48.

give way... At the last two nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty five-year

:29:49.:29:52.

review conferences calling for a weapons of mass destruction free

:29:53.:29:55.

zone across the Middle East... That surely is something we can `ll sign

:29:56.:30:01.

up to and all support. And H look forward to the Defence Secrdtary's

:30:02.:30:03.

support for that position when he replies to the debate this dvening.

:30:04.:30:10.

He's speaking about previous party policy. At the Shadow Cabindt last

:30:11.:30:17.

Tuesday, there was an agreelent that the party policy will be conveyed by

:30:18.:30:21.

the frontbench. When will wd hear? I thank my friend for his view, as he

:30:22.:30:29.

well knows, the party deciddd that it wanted to support the retention

:30:30.:30:34.

of nuclear weapons. We also decided that we would have a policy review,

:30:35.:30:38.

which is being undertaken bx my friend the member for Norwich south

:30:39.:30:42.

at the present time. He's as well aware as I am of what the existing

:30:43.:30:46.

policy is. He is also aware of the views that I put forward in the

:30:47.:30:50.

leadership election last ye`r, quite clearly, on my views on nuclear

:30:51.:30:54.

weapons, hence the fact that we re having a free vote so far as Labour

:30:55.:30:57.

members of Parliament are concerned, here this evening. Mr Speakdr, other

:30:58.:31:06.

countries have made serious efforts to... I'll come to you in a moment.

:31:07.:31:16.

Has made serious efforts... To bring about nuclear disarmament whthin the

:31:17.:31:19.

terms of the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. South

:31:20.:31:24.

Africa abandoned all of its nuclear programmes after the end of

:31:25.:31:29.

apartheid and thus brought `bout a nuclear weapons free zone across the

:31:30.:31:33.

continent. After negotiation, Libya ended all research into nuclear

:31:34.:31:38.

weapons. The Ukraine at the end of the Cold War gave up its nuclear

:31:39.:31:43.

weapons, albeit those weapons were under the control of the former

:31:44.:31:49.

Soviet Union and raterly of Russia. Likewise, Kazakhstan did thd same

:31:50.:31:54.

which helped to bring about a central Asia nuclear weapons-free

:31:55.:32:00.

zone and in Latin America, @rgentina and Brazil both gave up thehr

:32:01.:32:05.

nuclear programmes. I do colmend the Government and other governlents

:32:06.:32:09.

around the world that negothated seriously with great patience and at

:32:10.:32:15.

great length with Iran, which helped to encourage Iran to give up its

:32:16.:32:21.

programme. We should pay trhbute to President Obama for doing that. The

:32:22.:32:31.

former Conservative Defence Secretary, Michael Portillo said,

:32:32.:32:34.

"To say we need nuclear weapons in this situation, would imply that

:32:35.:32:38.

Germany and Italy are trembling in their boots because they don't have

:32:39.:32:41.

a nuclear deterrent. Which H think is clearly not the case." Is it not

:32:42.:32:47.

time, Mr Speaker, for us to step up to the plate and promote rapidly

:32:48.:32:54.

nuclear disarmament. He likd me stood in May 2015 on a partx policy

:32:55.:33:02.

agreed at the conference for the renewal of continuous at-se`

:33:03.:33:07.

deterrent. He has a Shadow frontbench and Shadow Cabindt in his

:33:08.:33:11.

own image, which agreed last week, I understand, to put that polhcy from

:33:12.:33:16.

the frontbench. Is he going to do it or is it going to be during the

:33:17.:33:20.

winding up? I thank my friend for the intervention. He is well aware

:33:21.:33:24.

of what the policy was. He's well aware there's a policy revidw being

:33:25.:33:28.

undertaken. He's also very well aware of the case that I'm laking

:33:29.:33:39.

for nuclear disarmament. I'l grateful for his giving way. He will

:33:40.:33:44.

be aware that there is a currently a multilateral process going on at the

:33:45.:33:47.

UN, where over 130 countries are negotiating in good faith for a

:33:48.:33:50.

treaty to ban nuclear weapons. Does he agree with me that this

:33:51.:33:55.

Government's refusal to even attend let alone take part in that

:33:56.:33:58.

seriously raises questions `bout their commitment to a world without

:33:59.:34:01.

nuclear weapons? I think it is a great shame that the Governlent

:34:02.:34:05.

doesn't attend those negoti`tions and I wish they would, becatse I do

:34:06.:34:10.

thank the Government for attending the humanitarian effects of war

:34:11.:34:14.

conference in 2014. I do th`nk them for their participation in the

:34:15.:34:17.

Non-Proliferation Treaty, btt I think they should go and support the

:34:18.:34:22.

idea of a worldwide ban on nuclear weapons. Nobody in this House

:34:23.:34:29.

actually wants nuclear weapons. The debate is about how one gets rid of

:34:30.:34:33.

them and the way one does it. There are questions too, Mr Speakdr, about

:34:34.:34:40.

the operational utility of nuclear-armed submarines. I would

:34:41.:34:44.

ask the minister again, perhaps the Secretary of State can answdr in his

:34:45.:34:47.

reply, what assessment the Government has made of the hmpact of

:34:48.:34:53.

underwater drones, surveill`nce of wave patterns and advanced detection

:34:54.:34:56.

techniques which could make the submarine technology...

:34:57.:35:01.

THE SPEAKER: Order. Order, Lr Shellbrook, I want you to aspire to

:35:02.:35:11.

the apogy of statesmanship. Shrieking from your position,

:35:12.:35:14.

despite your magnificent suht, is not the way to achieve it. Calm

:35:15.:35:18.

yourself, man. I am trying to help you, even if you don't know it. Mr

:35:19.:35:24.

Jeremy Corbyn. Thank you, Mr Speaker, account Prime Minister

:35:25.:35:30.

confirm whether the UK will back proposed nuclear weapons ban treaty,

:35:31.:35:33.

which I understand will be put before the UN general Assembly in

:35:34.:35:38.

September, probably before we return to the House, after the sumler

:35:39.:35:41.

recess. I think that's an ilportant point. Yes, OK. I thank the right

:35:42.:35:49.

honourable member for giving way. We can agree that nuclear weapons are

:35:50.:35:53.

truly the most repugnant representens that have ever been

:35:54.:35:56.

invented by man. The key is invented. We cannot disinvent them.

:35:57.:36:01.

We can control them and this is what this is all about, controllhng

:36:02.:36:06.

nuclear weapons. If this is all about controlling them, then,

:36:07.:36:10.

perhaps we should think for a moment of the obligations we have signed up

:36:11.:36:16.

to as a nation by signing the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty,

:36:17.:36:21.

article six of which says ddclared nuclear weapons states, of which we

:36:22.:36:27.

are one, must take steps towards disarmament and others must not

:36:28.:36:31.

acquire nuclear weapons. It hasn't been an easy passage. The NPT has

:36:32.:36:36.

helped to reduce the level of nuclear weapons around the world.

:36:37.:36:39.

Yes, I'll give way. I thank the honourable gentleman for giving way.

:36:40.:36:42.

I'm stunned to hear the argtment made from the opposite side on the

:36:43.:36:46.

Tory benches that you cannot disinvent. You could employ that you

:36:47.:36:52.

could use for chemical and biological weapons.

:36:53.:36:56.

The member is absolutely right because we have achieved thd

:36:57.:37:01.

chemical weapons convention. We have achieved a ban on cluster wdapons.

:37:02.:37:06.

We have achieved other things around the world by serious, long-term

:37:07.:37:14.

negotiation. There is obviotsly the question - yes, of course. Ly

:37:15.:37:22.

honourable friend is very fond of telling us all that party conference

:37:23.:37:29.

is sovereign. Last year we voted overwhelmingly in favour of

:37:30.:37:33.

maintenance of the nuclear deterrent. Why aren't we he`ring a

:37:34.:37:37.

defence of the Government's position from the dispatch box now? Party

:37:38.:37:40.

policy is also to review our policies, that is why we have

:37:41.:37:47.

reviews. What I would also say is that we have to look at the issues

:37:48.:37:54.

of employment, the issues of investment and the necessitx, I

:37:55.:37:59.

think, of having Government intervention through a defence

:38:00.:38:02.

diversification agency, as we had under the previous Labour

:38:03.:38:06.

Government, to support industries that become overreliant on defence

:38:07.:38:11.

contracts and therefore wish to move into other contracts and other work

:38:12.:38:16.

as well. The Prime Minister mentioned the unite policy

:38:17.:38:20.

conference last week, which I also attended that conference. Unite the

:38:21.:38:26.

union, as do other unions, have members working in all sectors of

:38:27.:38:30.

hi-tech manufacturing, which of course includes the defence sector,

:38:31.:38:33.

which of course includes thd development of those submarhnes and

:38:34.:38:36.

warheads and the nuclear re`ctors that go into the submarines. Their

:38:37.:38:42.

policy conference, Unite's, endorsed its previous position, which is

:38:43.:38:46.

opposed to Trident, but wants a Government in place with a proper

:38:47.:38:51.

diversionification agency. The union has been thinking these things

:38:52.:38:54.

through. And thinking these things through on a way of maintaining jobs

:38:55.:38:59.

within that sector, the verx high skills that jobs that are there Our

:39:00.:39:03.

defence review is being unddrtaken by my friend the member for Norwich

:39:04.:39:07.

south. I pay tribute to the excellent work done by my friend the

:39:08.:39:13.

member for Islington south `nd Finsbury in undertaking that review.

:39:14.:39:19.

Mr Speaker, whatever people's views -

:39:20.:39:21.

THE SPEAKER: Order. Order. H think the right honourable gentlelan has

:39:22.:39:25.

signalled an intention to t`ke an intervention. I just make the point

:39:26.:39:30.

that there's a lot of noise, but at the last reckoning - order. Order.

:39:31.:39:35.

Order! Order! . Order. I'll tell the honourable gentleman what the

:39:36.:39:38.

position is and he'll take ht whether he likes it or not. 53

:39:39.:39:42.

members wish to speak in thhs debate and I want to accommodate mdmbers. I

:39:43.:39:45.

ask members to take account of that to help each other, that's `ll.

:39:46.:39:51.

Caroline Flint. Could I ask my right honourable friend, in the l`st

:39:52.:39:54.

Labour Government, because of our stand on supporting

:39:55.:39:57.

nonproliferation, as a nucldar deterrent country we were able to

:39:58.:40:02.

influence the reduction of lany many nuclear warheads around the

:40:03.:40:05.

world. Does he really think abandoning our position as one of

:40:06.:40:08.

those countries that hold ntclear weapons we would have had as much

:40:09.:40:13.

influence without them as whth? We did indeed help to reduce the number

:40:14.:40:17.

of nuclear warheads. Indeed I attended a number of conferdnces

:40:18.:40:19.

where British Government representatives were there that made

:40:20.:40:23.

the point the number of UK warheads had reduce and they encouraged

:40:24.:40:27.

others to do the same. I talked about the nuclear weapons free zones

:40:28.:40:29.

around the world. That's a good thing. However, we're into ` step

:40:30.:40:34.

change where we're saying wd're prepared to spend a very, vdry large

:40:35.:40:39.

sum of money on the developlent of a new generation of nuclear wdapons. I

:40:40.:40:42.

draw her attention, I'm surd she's aware of it, to article six of the

:40:43.:40:49.

NPT which requires us to take steps towards disarmament. That's what it

:40:50.:40:52.

actually says. So Mr Speaker, in case it's not obvious to thd House,

:40:53.:40:55.

at the moment, I'm not going to give way any more, I'm running up against

:40:56.:41:00.

the clock. I will actually be.. I will actually be voting agahnst this

:41:01.:41:03.

motion tonight, Mr Speaker, which I'm sure will be of enormous

:41:04.:41:09.

surprise to the whole House (! I do it because of my own views. I do

:41:10.:41:14.

it because - THE SPEAKER: Order. Order, H

:41:15.:41:18.

apologise having to interrupt. Point of order Mr Jamie Reid. Seeking your

:41:19.:41:24.

guidance on the accuracy of the language used by the leader of the

:41:25.:41:29.

Opposition, we not voting tonight on new nuclear warheads, simplx the

:41:30.:41:33.

submarines used with which to deploy those missiles. This is somdthing

:41:34.:41:36.

fundamentally different to new missiles.

:41:37.:41:40.

THE SPEAKER: The answer to the honourable gentleman is that it is

:41:41.:41:44.

up to each honourable and rhght honourable member to read the

:41:45.:41:48.

motion, to interpret it as he or she thinks fit and to make a judgment

:41:49.:41:51.

accordingly. Not a matter for the chair. Mr Jeremy Corbyn.

:41:52.:41:55.

The issue of course, is the submarines, but also, the ndw

:41:56.:41:58.

weapons that will have to go into those submarines, as and whdn

:41:59.:42:01.

they've been built, if they're built. I just think we should pause

:42:02.:42:07.

for a moment, Mr Speaker, and think of the indiscriminate naturd of what

:42:08.:42:11.

nuclear weapons do and the catastrophic effects of thehr use

:42:12.:42:19.

anywhere. As I said, I've attended NPT conferences and preparer to

:42:20.:42:24.

conferences over -- preparatory conferences over many years. I was

:42:25.:42:28.

very pleased when the last Government, the coalition

:42:29.:42:31.

Government, finally, if slightly reluctantly, accepted the invitation

:42:32.:42:34.

to take part in the humanit`rian effects of war conference in Vienna

:42:35.:42:42.

in 2014. Anyone who attended that, who heard from British nucldar test

:42:43.:42:47.

veterans, Pacific islanders or civilians in Russia or the Tnited

:42:48.:42:52.

States who've suffered the dffects of nuclear explosions cannot be

:42:53.:42:57.

totally fashionate about thd effects -- dispassionate about the dffects

:42:58.:43:01.

of nuclear weapons. It is a weapons of mass destruction. Many colleagues

:43:02.:43:05.

across the House will vote for weapons tonight, because thdy

:43:06.:43:09.

believe they do serve a useful military purpose. But for those who

:43:10.:43:16.

believe in multilateral zpalentment, I -- disarmament, I ask is this not

:43:17.:43:21.

an unwise motion by the Govdrnment with no answers on costs or

:43:22.:43:26.

disarmament. For those of us who believe in aiming for a nuclear free

:43:27.:43:30.

world, for those deeply concerned about the spiralling costs, this

:43:31.:43:35.

motion has huge questions to answer, which I believe has failed to

:43:36.:43:40.

address in this debate. If we want a nuclear weapons free world this is

:43:41.:43:44.

an opportunity when we can start down that road and try and bring

:43:45.:43:48.

others with us as has been `chieved to some extent, over the past few

:43:49.:43:53.

decades. Surely, Mr Speaker, it s an effort we should try and make,

:43:54.:43:57.

rather than go down the road the Government is suggesting for us this

:43:58.:44:00.

evening. THE SPEAKER: Order. In aaccordance

:44:01.:44:07.

with usual practice, no timd limit on backbench speeches will `pply,

:44:08.:44:14.

until after the frontbench opening speeches have been made. Th`t said,

:44:15.:44:21.

sensitivity to the very large demand is of the essence and extrele

:44:22.:44:26.

self-discipline is required. Dr Julian Lewis.

:44:27.:44:31.

Thank you Mr Speaker. I must say I've often had the pleasure of

:44:32.:44:36.

debating this topic with thd right honourable gentleman for Islington

:44:37.:44:40.

North both in and outside the House and never in either of our wildest

:44:41.:44:44.

dreams or nightmares did we imagine that one day he would end up as

:44:45.:44:49.

leader of the Labour Party. It only goes to show the unpredictability of

:44:50.:44:55.

political developments. Aftdr the Falklands War, opponents of our

:44:56.:45:00.

strategic deterrent often pointed out that our polaris submarhnes did

:45:01.:45:04.

nothing to deter Argentina for invading the islands. Indeed there

:45:05.:45:09.

never was and never will be any prospect of democratic Brit`in

:45:10.:45:12.

threatening to launch our ntclear missiles except in response to the

:45:13.:45:16.

use of mass destruction weapons against us. But just becausd we

:45:17.:45:22.

would balk at threatening to launch nuclear missiles, except whdn our

:45:23.:45:26.

very existence is at stake, it doesn't mean that dictators share

:45:27.:45:31.

our scruples or our values or our sense of self-restraint. An example

:45:32.:45:37.

from history will do. Following the horror of poison gas attacks in the

:45:38.:45:42.

First World War, it was widdly expected that any future major

:45:43.:45:47.

conflict would see large-sc`le aerial bombardment drenching cities

:45:48.:45:51.

and peoples with lethal gasds. Why did Hitler not do this? Bec`use

:45:52.:45:56.

Churchill had warned him, in advance, that British stocks of

:45:57.:46:00.

chemical weapons greatly exceeded his own and that our retali`tion

:46:01.:46:04.

would dwarf anything Nazi Gdrmany could inflict.

:46:05.:46:10.

Poisoned gases are not mass destruction weapons, but nerve gases

:46:11.:46:16.

are. Hitler seriously considered using them against the Allids in

:46:17.:46:20.

1943 but he didn't do so because his principal scientist advised him that

:46:21.:46:27.

the Allies had almost certahnly invented them, too. As we h`d done

:46:28.:46:31.

no such thing and were horrhfied to discover the Nazi stocks of nerve

:46:32.:46:37.

gas at the end of the war, this is a classic example of a dictator being

:46:38.:46:41.

deterred from using a mass destruction weapons by the listaken

:46:42.:46:47.

belief that we could retali`te in kind when, actually, we could not do

:46:48.:46:53.

so. Such examples show in concrete terms why the concept of deterrence

:46:54.:46:57.

is so important in constraining the military options available to

:46:58.:47:02.

dictators and aggressors. In the time remaining I will briefly list

:47:03.:47:05.

the five main military argulents in favour of continuing the spdcific

:47:06.:47:11.

British policy pursued, as we've heard, by successive Labour and

:47:12.:47:15.

Conservative governments, of maintaining at all times a British

:47:16.:47:21.

minimum strategic nuclear retaliatory capacity. The fhrst

:47:22.:47:24.

military argument is that ftture military threats and conflicts will

:47:25.:47:28.

be no more predictable than those which involve dust throughott the

:47:29.:47:34.

20th-century. This is the overriding justification for preserving Armed

:47:35.:47:39.

Forces in peace time as a n`tural insurance Wallasey. -- National

:47:40.:47:42.

insurance. No one knows what enemies might confront us between the years

:47:43.:47:48.

2030 and 2060. The anticipated life span of the Trident successor

:47:49.:47:52.

system. It's highly probabld at least some of those enemies will be

:47:53.:47:58.

armed with mass destruction weapons. The second argument... I won't be

:47:59.:48:03.

because of the time pressurd, normally I like to take

:48:04.:48:06.

interventions. Secondly, it is not the weapons themselves we nded to

:48:07.:48:10.

fear, but the nature of the regimes which possess them. Whereas

:48:11.:48:15.

democracies are generally rdluctant to use nuclear weapons against

:48:16.:48:17.

non-nuclear dictatorships, though they did against Japan in 1845, the

:48:18.:48:23.

reverse is not true as alre`dy mentioned, think of eight

:48:24.:48:28.

non-nuclear Britain in 1982 facing and Argentina, for example, in

:48:29.:48:32.

possession of a few tactical nuclear bombs and the means of delivering

:48:33.:48:36.

them. Conventional retaking of the islands would have been out of the

:48:37.:48:43.

question. The United Kingdol has traditionally played a more

:48:44.:48:47.

important and decisive role in preserving freedom than othdr

:48:48.:48:49.

medium-sized states have bedn able or willing to do. Democratic

:48:50.:48:53.

countries without nuclear wdapons have little choice but to ddclare

:48:54.:48:59.

themselves neutral and hope for the best or rely upon the nucle`r

:49:00.:49:03.

umbrella of powerful allies. The United Kingdom is eight nuclear

:49:04.:49:09.

power already and much harddr to defeat by conventional means because

:49:10.:49:15.

of our physical separation from the continent. Our prominent as

:49:16.:49:20.

principal ally of the United States, strategic geographical position and

:49:21.:49:24.

the fact we obviously the jtnior partner, might tempt an aggressor to

:49:25.:49:30.

risk attacking us separatelx, given the difficulty of overrunning the

:49:31.:49:32.

United Kingdom with conventhonal forces in contrast to more

:49:33.:49:37.

vulnerable allies, an aggressor could be tempted to use one or more

:49:38.:49:42.

mass destruction weapons ag`inst us on the assumption that the Tnited

:49:43.:49:46.

States would not reply on otr behalf. Even if that assumption were

:49:47.:49:51.

false, the attacker would fhnd out his terrible mistake when, only

:49:52.:49:54.

when, it was too late for all concerned. And independentlx

:49:55.:50:00.

controlled British nuclear deterrent massively reduces the prospdct of

:50:01.:50:04.

such a fatal miscalculation. The fifth and final military argument is

:50:05.:50:10.

that no quantity of conventhonal forces can compensate for the

:50:11.:50:15.

military disadvantage which faces eight non-nuclear country in a war

:50:16.:50:20.

against a nuclear warned endmy. The Emperor of Japan was not only

:50:21.:50:29.

forced to surrender, but also in terms of the reverse scenarho, if

:50:30.:50:33.

Japan had developed atomic bombs and the Allies had not, an invasion of

:50:34.:50:38.

Japan to end the war would have been out of the question. The re`son

:50:39.:50:45.

nuclear weapons deter more reliably than conventional ones desphte the

:50:46.:50:48.

huge destructiveness of conventional warfare, is nuclear destruction is

:50:49.:50:55.

not only unbearable, it is `lso unavoidable once the missilds have

:50:56.:50:59.

been launched. The certaintx, as well as the scale of potenthal

:51:00.:51:04.

retaliation, means no nucle`r aggressor can gamble on success and

:51:05.:51:09.

an escaping an acceptable punishment. Mr Speaker, opponents of

:51:10.:51:14.

our Trident deterrent say it is a weapon which can never be used. Two

:51:15.:51:18.

thirds of the British peopld, who have endorsed and continue to end

:51:19.:51:24.

doors in poll after poll, as well as in two general elections in the

:51:25.:51:28.

1980s, keeping nuclear weapons as long as other countries havd them,

:51:29.:51:33.

are better informed. They understand Trident is in use every day of the

:51:34.:51:38.

week, its use lies in its ability to deter other states from credibly

:51:39.:51:44.

threatening us with weapons of mass destruction. Of course beat British

:51:45.:51:49.

nuclear deterrent is not a panacea, it is not designed to forestall

:51:50.:51:51.

every kind of threat, such `s those from stateless terrorist groups Yet

:51:52.:51:58.

the threat it is designed to counter is so overwhelming that no other

:51:59.:52:02.

form of military capability could manage to avert it. If the

:52:03.:52:08.

consequences of possessing ` lethal weapon is that nobody launches it,

:52:09.:52:13.

the consequences of not possessing it is that somebody who does possess

:52:14.:52:18.

it launches it against you... Which is the more moral thing to do, to

:52:19.:52:22.

possess the weapon and avoid anyone being attacked, or to renounce it

:52:23.:52:27.

and lay yourself and your country open to a obliteration? If

:52:28.:52:33.

possessing a nuclear system and threatening to lord it in

:52:34.:52:36.

retaliation, will avert conflict in which millions would otherwhse die,

:52:37.:52:41.

can it seriously be claimed the more ethical policy is to announce the

:52:42.:52:44.

weapon and let the millions meet their fate. Even if one argtes that

:52:45.:52:51.

the threat to retaliate is htself immoral, is it as immoral as the

:52:52.:52:54.

failure to forestall so manx preventable deaths. More choices

:52:55.:53:00.

are, more often than not, choice is to determine the lesser of two

:53:01.:53:05.

evils. The possession of thd nuclear deterrent may be unpleasant, but

:53:06.:53:09.

it's an unpleasant necessitx. The purpose of which lies not in it ever

:53:10.:53:14.

being fired, but in its nattre as the ultimate insurance policy

:53:15.:53:20.

against unpredictable futurd existential threats. It is the

:53:21.:53:25.

ultimate stalemate weapon. Hn the nuclear age, stalemate is the most

:53:26.:53:31.

reliable source of security available to us all. Hear, hear

:53:32.:53:38.

SPEAKER: Mr Angus Robertson. Thank you Mr Speaker, may I begin by

:53:39.:53:42.

joining with the Leader of the Opposition and Prime Ministdr in

:53:43.:53:45.

their comments about the very unhappy the relevant both in France

:53:46.:53:51.

and Turkey. I also understand the Prime Minister needs to leave this

:53:52.:53:56.

debate shortly. To attend to some important matters. I would give her

:53:57.:53:59.

a wink when I finish on the consensual stuff, which I w`nt to

:54:00.:54:06.

start with very genuinely bdcause it is the first opportunity I've had in

:54:07.:54:10.

the house to wish her well `s the Prime Minister. And also to her

:54:11.:54:13.

husband, Philip, who I don't know, but we all know how important it is,

:54:14.:54:17.

the support we get at home, it will be a test for both of them. We won't

:54:18.:54:20.

agree on many things, where we will we will, where we won't, we'll

:54:21.:54:25.

remain effective opposition in the House of Commons. Hear, hear! A

:54:26.:54:32.

little bit from my role abott the national security responsibhlities

:54:33.:54:37.

of the Home Secretary. It gdts even bigger, the challenges, when one

:54:38.:54:40.

becomes Prime Minister. I whsh her strength and wisdom in dealhng with

:54:41.:54:46.

matters that are potentiallx life and death questions. Those `re

:54:47.:54:49.

matters for the Home Secret`ry and the Prime Minister, and we wish her

:54:50.:54:53.

well in those. I am pleased the Prime Minister has led in the

:54:54.:54:56.

debate, that wasn't the plan of the government, perhaps it is the new

:54:57.:54:59.

style of the new government that she thought on this important issue she

:55:00.:55:02.

should lead and we very much welcome that because this is a huge matter.

:55:03.:55:08.

It's probably going to be the biggest spending decision bx this

:55:09.:55:12.

government and given that, H'll come back to this, I find it uttdrly

:55:13.:55:17.

remarkable that now a number of hours into this debate we still have

:55:18.:55:25.

no idea whatsoever what the through life cost of Trident replacdment is.

:55:26.:55:29.

We can have different views, on whether it is good or bad,

:55:30.:55:33.

necessary, not necessary, I asked the prime Minster twice, shd had the

:55:34.:55:36.

opportunity, she can intervdne to give us that number, I think she is

:55:37.:55:40.

not because she would prefer not to say the number. Go to explahn

:55:41.:55:44.

without her spouts, will be asked either for the state, why is the

:55:45.:55:50.

government asking us to votd for something but can't tell us how much

:55:51.:55:54.

it's going to cost, it's relarkable that in this, the biggest... I will

:55:55.:55:58.

take an intervention from the Prime Minister if she wishes... Unless the

:55:59.:56:00.

honourable gentleman can give that number to the house now. Can he No.

:56:01.:56:08.

I was Millie going to ask the right honourable gentleman, at wh`t cost

:56:09.:56:14.

would he be supporting it? ,- I was merely going to ask. That is a smoke

:56:15.:56:19.

screen, it's not a matter of spending. I'll help him and his

:56:20.:56:22.

colleagues, there no circumstances we would spend any on nucle`r

:56:23.:56:29.

weapons whatsoever. You're supposed to be a conservative. This hs a

:56:30.:56:33.

motion before the house being proposed by the government, that the

:56:34.:56:37.

honourable gentleman and his honourable and right honour`ble

:56:38.:56:40.

friends are being asked to support in the lobbies. The last tile I

:56:41.:56:43.

looked I thought Conservative MPs took pride in fiscal rectittde, of

:56:44.:56:50.

making good decisions about taxpayer money. Remarkable, that not one

:56:51.:56:54.

single one of them has insisted their front bench can tell ts this

:56:55.:56:58.

evening, on the biggest spending decision of this Parliament, what

:56:59.:57:01.

it's going to cost. Will anxbody from the Treasury bench and light in

:57:02.:57:09.

the house, anybody again? And so their claim? None. I haven't ended

:57:10.:57:13.

with the consensual stuff, incidentally. I got ahead of myself

:57:14.:57:16.

a little bit, my apologies. I wanted to make the point about somdthing

:57:17.:57:20.

that hasn't been brought up this far. Perhaps it is a reason the

:57:21.:57:24.

Prime Minister is here todax, it wouldn't surprise me, one of the

:57:25.:57:27.

first things a Prime Ministdr needs to do on taking office is to write

:57:28.:57:31.

four letters. I'm not asking what the Prime Minister has written or is

:57:32.:57:36.

writing in that letter. She writes to the four submarine commanders and

:57:37.:57:39.

we pay tribute to those who serve in our numbers on these benches whose

:57:40.:57:45.

husband served as a sub Marhner on a Trident submarine, one of the last

:57:46.:57:48.

people to fire one of those missiles in testing. He is now an SNP

:57:49.:57:53.

councillor and is opposed to the renewal of Trident. Remaining..

:57:54.:57:59.

Forgive me, I mentioned my right honourable friend. I thank ly right

:58:00.:58:04.

honourable friend for mentioning my husband, who did fire the Trident

:58:05.:58:10.

missile. Not only is he an SNP councillor, he's here in Parliament

:58:11.:58:14.

today, and he's a member of Scottish CND, I've made the point before ..

:58:15.:58:20.

We support the personnel working in these submarines absolutely 100 ,

:58:21.:58:24.

but not all of those personnel support the weapon they've been

:58:25.:58:29.

asked to deliver. Hear, hear! My honourable friend makes her point

:58:30.:58:33.

very well. Remaining on the consensual side of this important

:58:34.:58:37.

debate, I want to stress th`t we on these benches do not confusd those

:58:38.:58:42.

who are in favour of renewing Trident with the thought thdy would

:58:43.:58:46.

actually want to kill millions of people. However, as the Prile

:58:47.:58:51.

Minister herself has confirled from the dispatch box today, the theory

:58:52.:58:55.

of nuclear deterrence is based on the credible potential use of

:58:56.:59:00.

weapons of mass destruction. So for those who vote for its renewal, they

:59:01.:59:04.

need to square the theory whth the practice of what this actually

:59:05.:59:10.

means. Having said all of that, given the boldness of the Prime

:59:11.:59:13.

Minister's personnel decisions in recent days, she has clearlx been

:59:14.:59:18.

thinking about new ways on how to take things forward in a nulber of

:59:19.:59:23.

different ways. In that respect I do think it's hugely disappointing that

:59:24.:59:29.

she clearly has not taken any time to consider, perhaps reconshder the

:59:30.:59:32.

wisdom of spending frankly `n absolute fortune on something that

:59:33.:59:38.

can never be used and is not deterring the threats that we face

:59:39.:59:43.

today. I say again, we have yet not had any confirmation on what this

:59:44.:59:49.

government plans... Plans to spend on this. And expect members, both on

:59:50.:59:52.

the Labour benches, the Labour benches and government benches, to

:59:53.:59:59.

sign a blank check for this. I'm sorry the Prime Minister has clearly

:00:00.:00:03.

not given any new or detaildd consideration for embracing the

:00:04.:00:07.

non-replacement of Trident. Which would offer serious strateghc and

:00:08.:00:10.

economic benefits, as outlined in the June 3013 report, the rdal

:00:11.:00:15.

alternative. For those who haven't read it, I suggest they do. -- 013.

:00:16.:00:22.

And the last debate that took place in this House, col by the SNP on

:00:23.:00:30.

Trident replacement, with stpport from Plaid Cymru and the Grden

:00:31.:00:33.

Party, I think I'm right in saying it was co-sponsored by the

:00:34.:00:41.

honourable member for Islington the advantages, and I quote, improved

:00:42.:00:45.

national security through btdgetary flexible than in the MOD as well as

:00:46.:00:52.

improved global security for a strengthening of the

:00:53.:00:58.

nonproliferation regime, deterring nuclear proliferation and

:00:59.:01:00.

de-escalating International tensions. It then goes on to point

:01:01.:01:05.

out the vast economic savings of over ?100 billion over the lifetime

:01:06.:01:09.

of our successive nuclear wdapons system, releasing resources for

:01:10.:01:12.

ineffective security spending and a range of public spending prhorities.

:01:13.:01:19.

-- for effective security spending. This seems important given that in

:01:20.:01:23.

every 2015, when the Ministry of Defence was asked this question the

:01:24.:01:27.

honourable member form of mtltiple, who is not in his place, but was

:01:28.:01:33.

here before, and I give him notice I'm be raising this, in 2014 last

:01:34.:01:41.

year he said that the estim`ted annual spending on the Triddnt

:01:42.:01:47.

replacement programme beyond 20 6 was, and I quote, being withheld as

:01:48.:01:50.

it relates to the formulation of Government policy and release would

:01:51.:02:00.

prejudice commercial interests. We are expected to sign a blank check

:02:01.:02:03.

for something that we have absolutely no idea what the final

:02:04.:02:08.

cost is going to be. Of course the right honourable gentleman who

:02:09.:02:11.

serves as chairman for the foreign affairs select committee has made a

:02:12.:02:13.

calculation. Perhaps he was going to be speaking about it, if he catches

:02:14.:02:20.

your eye, Madam Deputy Speaker. He pointed out that the in-service

:02:21.:02:23.

costs of this elephant into 201 , the total cost, would be ?167

:02:24.:02:34.

billion. I will give way. I can dispose of this part of my speech.

:02:35.:02:40.

The actual updated figure is now ?179 billion. Based on the capital

:02:41.:02:45.

costs, these are the current's own figures, of 31 billion, with a 10

:02:46.:02:50.

billion contingency, and thdn the Government's assumptions about % of

:02:51.:02:54.

the defence budget as running costs, making assumption of a 32 ydar in

:02:55.:03:01.

service life, and that then brings you to 179 billion total. A very

:03:02.:03:08.

helpful intervention. I am not sure whether those numbers take `ccount

:03:09.:03:13.

of the currency fluctuations that has impacted on sterling. It

:03:14.:03:17.

doesn't, I see him shaking his head. So we should assume that it is even

:03:18.:03:22.

higher than ?179 billion. Of course there was a calculation madd in May

:03:23.:03:28.

this year that suggested it would be 205 billion pounds. This is a

:03:29.:03:32.

massive, massive... The Defdnce Secretary shakes his head. Would he

:03:33.:03:36.

like to intervene on me know and tell us this number? Tell us! I am

:03:37.:03:47.

happy to give way. If the honourable gentleman aware that when there was

:03:48.:03:50.

a freedom and permission repuests on the full life course, the MOD came

:03:51.:03:53.

back with this response. Thd Government needs a safe space away

:03:54.:03:58.

from public gaze to allow it to consider a policy options unfettered

:03:59.:04:02.

from public comments about their affordability. I suppose we should

:04:03.:04:09.

then be asking ourselves whdther that safe space is the Housd of

:04:10.:04:14.

Commons. Because we are nond the wiser. We have asked again `nd again

:04:15.:04:19.

and again, and I am looking at the Defence Secretary again, and he has

:04:20.:04:22.

the opportunity to intervend on me know again to tell the Housd, to

:04:23.:04:27.

tell Parliament, how much money has Government wishes to invest in the

:04:28.:04:39.

successor programme. Blank cheques! It is not just about the cost. For

:04:40.:04:45.

since college, to the questhon also about democracy. -- for us hn

:04:46.:04:48.

Scotland. The people of Scotland have shown repeatedly and clearly

:04:49.:04:53.

and consistently that we ard opposed to the renewal of nuclear wdapons.

:04:54.:04:59.

When we went to the country, the electorate, on a manifesto

:05:00.:05:04.

commitment, we won elections in 2007, in 2011, in 2015 and 06,

:05:05.:05:11.

running on an explicitly anti-Trident manifesto. I al

:05:12.:05:19.

delighted to be joined on the front bench ID honourable member

:05:20.:05:24.

representing Faslane and Cotlport, because the electorate of Argyll and

:05:25.:05:28.

Bute preferred an SNP parli`mentary collected on a non-Trident platform.

:05:29.:05:40.

It is much more than an isste of party political difference, because

:05:41.:05:43.

of Scottish public life, civic life, from the Scottish trade union

:05:44.:05:49.

Congress to Scotland's churches the Church of Scotland, the Bishop's

:05:50.:05:54.

conference issued a statement this week, the Scottish Parliament has

:05:55.:05:57.

voted on the subject, all h`ve voted or called for opposition to Trident

:05:58.:06:02.

renewables doctors cross-party support, not just from the SNP, but

:06:03.:06:07.

from the Greens, from Scotthsh Labour, almost every single one of

:06:08.:06:12.

Scotland's MPs tonight will vote against Trident replacement. It is a

:06:13.:06:18.

per indictment of the new administration that the first motion

:06:19.:06:24.

in Parliament is renewing Trident when there are so many other

:06:25.:06:28.

pressing issues facing the country in the context of Brexit. It is

:06:29.:06:33.

obscene that the priority of this Government, and sadly too m`ny

:06:34.:06:37.

people on the Labour benches, at a time of Tory austerity and dconomic

:06:38.:06:42.

uncertainty following the ET referendum, is to spend billions of

:06:43.:06:46.

pounds on outdated nuclear weapons that we do not want, do not need,

:06:47.:06:52.

and could never use. With the debt, deficit and borrowing levels

:06:53.:06:56.

forecast to get worse after Brexit, and more than ?40 billion to be cut

:06:57.:07:04.

from public services by 2020, spending ?167 billion order ?17

:07:05.:07:10.

billion, or ?205 billion, or whatever the number the Govdrnment

:07:11.:07:12.

is not prepared to tell us ht actually is, is an outrage. The

:07:13.:07:19.

Prime Minister's first bought is on Trident, and in the current climate,

:07:20.:07:23.

this is totally wrong. It is the wrong approach to queue priorities.

:07:24.:07:26.

We should be working to stabilise the economy and sort out thd chaos

:07:27.:07:32.

caused by the Brexit result. The Prime Minister has already

:07:33.:07:35.

undermined the words of her first speech, which I think many people

:07:36.:07:40.

across all parties find important. She vowed to fight against burning

:07:41.:07:48.

injustice, and we agree, but Trident fights no injustices. Trident is an

:07:49.:07:55.

immoral, obscene and redund`nt weapons system. The vote on Trident

:07:56.:07:59.

is one of the most important this parliament will ever take, `nd we

:08:00.:08:04.

have a Government and as a Parliament an obligation to inform

:08:05.:08:08.

the public about such a massive decision. They have failed to do

:08:09.:08:13.

that. The Labour opposition is facing three ways at the sale time,

:08:14.:08:16.

and letting the Government get away with this. We in the SNP ard

:08:17.:08:21.

absolutely clear in our opposition to Trident. We would not colmit to

:08:22.:08:28.

spend hundreds of billions of pounds on WMD, particularly at a thme when

:08:29.:08:31.

this Government is making significant cuts to public services.

:08:32.:08:36.

It would be both morally and economically indefensible. H am

:08:37.:08:43.

summing up. Mr Speaker, Mad`m Deputy Speaker, today almost every single

:08:44.:08:48.

Scottish MP will vote against renewing Trident. Only a few short

:08:49.:08:52.

weeks ago, Scotland voted to remain within the European Union. Hf

:08:53.:08:58.

Scotland is a nation, and Scotland is a nation, it is not a normal

:08:59.:09:05.

situation for the state to totally disregard the wishes of the people,

:09:06.:09:11.

and this Government has a ddmocratic deficit in Scotland, and with

:09:12.:09:14.

two-day's vote on Trident, ht is going to get worse, not better. It

:09:15.:09:19.

is for the Scottish people to determine whether we are properly

:09:20.:09:23.

protected in Europe and better represented by a Government that we

:09:24.:09:28.

actually elect. At this ratd, that day is fast approaching. Order,

:09:29.:09:39.

order! Before I call the ch`ir of the foreign affairs select

:09:40.:09:42.

committee, can I remind honourable member that there are five linutes

:09:43.:09:48.

of limit on speeches, and if too many interventions are taking, the

:09:49.:09:52.

limit will reduce very rapidly. Thank you, Madam Deputy Spe`ker

:09:53.:09:57.

Because I suspect I may be the only person on these benches makhng

:09:58.:10:00.

arguments that I am going to make this evening, I have taken some care

:10:01.:10:05.

with these, and with the tile limit, I will not be able to deplox Michael

:10:06.:10:11.

arguments, but I will publish them on my own website, because H know

:10:12.:10:14.

there will be many people ottside this House following this ddbate. --

:10:15.:10:19.

might fill argument. I agred this is an extremely important debate. It is

:10:20.:10:23.

because I care about the security of my country that I will not be

:10:24.:10:27.

joining my honourable and rhght honourable friend in our lobby

:10:28.:10:33.

tonight. It is because we h`ve scattered defence expenditure at 2%

:10:34.:10:37.

of GDP that the cost of this programme comes at the expense of

:10:38.:10:44.

our own, the rest of the defence programme, and therefore we need to

:10:45.:10:48.

make, my argument is, and more rational judgment about the balance

:10:49.:10:52.

of expenditure in order to leet the risks the country faces. Thhs is a

:10:53.:10:57.

colossal investment in a we`pon system that will become increasingly

:10:58.:11:01.

vulnerable, and for his sectrity and believe we will have to throw good

:11:02.:11:07.

money in order to secure it, tens of billions, more than already

:11:08.:11:09.

estimated, in order to keep it safe in the years to come. I was just

:11:10.:11:15.

listening to my right honourable friend's remark. He said we have

:11:16.:11:21.

capped defence expenditure `t 2 of GDP. My understanding is we have a

:11:22.:11:27.

follower of at least 2% of GDP. -- we have a floor of at least 2%. My

:11:28.:11:34.

honourable friend is technically right, but it would be a trhumph of

:11:35.:11:37.

hope over expectation that we will see more than 2% spent on ddfence

:11:38.:11:44.

any time soon. When that happens, and if this is taken in isolation to

:11:45.:11:48.

be spent outside the defencd budget, then I would accept that my

:11:49.:11:51.

arguments would need to be re-evaluated. But as things are set

:11:52.:11:57.

no, this budget for this we`pon system comes at the cost of the rest

:11:58.:12:04.

of our defence budget. Brit`in's independent possession of ntclear

:12:05.:12:07.

weapons has turned into a political touchstone for a commitment to

:12:08.:12:12.

national defence. But this hs an illusion. The trick is that this is

:12:13.:12:16.

a political weapon aimed rather effectively at the Labour P`rty It

:12:17.:12:23.

is justification rest on defence economics and the politics of over

:12:24.:12:30.

three decades ago. But it is of less relevant to the United Kingdom

:12:31.:12:33.

today, and it is certainly surplus to the needs of Nato. It dods pass

:12:34.:12:40.

any rational course effectiveness tests. -- cost effectiveness. Surely

:12:41.:12:44.

the conventional thrillers, the ignominious retreat from Basra and

:12:45.:12:48.

Helmand and in past decade, tell us that something is badly out of

:12:49.:12:54.

balance in our strategic posture. This does not forget the risks that

:12:55.:12:57.

this particular weapon systdm presents to the United Kingdom. The

:12:58.:13:02.

thing it in Scotland reinforces the nationalist narrative, and

:13:03.:13:06.

ironically, for a system justified that it protects the UK, it could

:13:07.:13:12.

prove instrumental in the union s undoing. -- basing it in Scotland.

:13:13.:13:16.

We were told last November that the capital costs for the replacement of

:13:17.:13:20.

the four submarines would bd ?4 billion with a contingency fund of

:13:21.:13:23.

10 billion. We have been told that the running costs of the Successor

:13:24.:13:27.

programme be 6% of the defence budget. In exchange with thd leader

:13:28.:13:36.

of the Scottish Nationalist, I came to my calculation, which is 110

:13:37.:13:45.

billion for the whole progr`mme The honourable gentleman's figure is now

:13:46.:13:49.

being used widely. I asked whether it could be broken down. I `sked

:13:50.:13:54.

various think tanks. They h`ve been unable to do so. Could he explain

:13:55.:14:00.

how he gets to that figure's it is extremely true board. It is 6% of 2%

:14:01.:14:07.

of GDP, for the Government's proposed in-service dates of the

:14:08.:14:11.

system. -- it is extremely straightforward. This is 6%, and it

:14:12.:14:20.

is not surprising that that is the number. That it should be 6$ of GDP,

:14:21.:14:28.

which is double the share of the defence budget that it was hn the

:14:29.:14:32.

1980s, because the share of defence from GDP has halved since the 1 80s.

:14:33.:14:36.

The cost of this project ard enormous, and I have asked privately

:14:37.:14:42.

a number of my honourable friends, at what point do they believe these

:14:43.:14:46.

costs become prohibitive? And I cannot get an answer, short of those

:14:47.:14:51.

who say, whatever it takes. But I do not believe an answer of infinity is

:14:52.:14:55.

rational. It is not only dalaging to our economic security. It comes at a

:14:56.:15:02.

deeply injurious opportunitx cost to conventional defence. And at what

:15:03.:15:05.

point do either of these prhces cease to be worth paying?

:15:06.:15:13.

The standard programme risks already applied with the currency rhsk and

:15:14.:15:20.

Pele in compare with the technical risk of this project. There is a

:15:21.:15:24.

growing body of evidence th`t emerging technologies will render

:15:25.:15:32.

this in the foreseeable futtre. Detecting acoustic, magnetic and

:15:33.:15:36.

electromagnetic signature is on-board unmanned vehicles hn the

:15:37.:15:40.

mutation with each other ushng swarming algorithms and autonomous

:15:41.:15:45.

operations associated with unofficial intelligence abld to

:15:46.:15:48.

patrol indefinitely and using the extraordinary process thinkhng

:15:49.:15:52.

abilities now available and improving month by month. The

:15:53.:15:56.

geometric improvement in processing power means that today's sm`rtphone

:15:57.:16:02.

is far superior to that of the latest American fighter aircraft.

:16:03.:16:07.

Unmanned aircraft will detect service weight of deeply submerged

:16:08.:16:13.

submarines communicating with those underwater receiving active sonar.

:16:14.:16:17.

Marine biologists are already able to track shoals of fish in real time

:16:18.:16:23.

from several hundred miles `way Ballistic submarines depend utterly

:16:24.:16:27.

upon their stealth utilising the sheer size of the ocean but if we

:16:28.:16:34.

are, today, able to detect the gravitational waves first created by

:16:35.:16:39.

Big Bang, how can we be so confident that a capable adversarial would not

:16:40.:16:43.

be able to track our submarhnes 20 to 40 years from now's but the

:16:44.:16:51.

vulnerabilities are not restricted to its increasingly detectable

:16:52.:16:53.

signatures. What about the security of a Trident system from cyber

:16:54.:17:00.

attack's part of the Governlent s case is that all the other he fired

:17:01.:17:04.

stakes are also investing in submarine technology for thd nuclear

:17:05.:17:08.

weapons systems. It wouldn't be the first time that states have followed

:17:09.:17:12.

each other down a blind alldy but the UK is the only nuclear `rmed

:17:13.:17:16.

state to depend entirely upon a submarine. If Nato's technical head

:17:17.:17:22.

of anti-submarine warfare c`n firstly the end of the error of the

:17:23.:17:28.

submarine, our P five colle`gues at least have their bets laid we won't.

:17:29.:17:36.

Thank you. It is a pleasure to follow that imaginative spedch. I

:17:37.:17:39.

only wish he could have brotght in his facts so the we could understand

:17:40.:17:45.

better the figures on which he was trying to explain to us to no avail

:17:46.:17:50.

in the chamber does now. Madam Deputy Speaker, I am proud, unlike

:17:51.:17:55.

the people acting for our front bench today, the Speaker for the

:17:56.:18:00.

Labour Party in this debate. For the party of Attlee and bedding, the men

:18:01.:18:06.

who witnessed the terrible birth of nuclear destruction and unddrstood,

:18:07.:18:11.

with heavy hearts, that thex should protect the world with the capacity

:18:12.:18:18.

to deter others from unleashing it again. Once, I will. I thank my

:18:19.:18:31.

friend forgiving way. Detection a nuclear deterrent also protdcts our

:18:32.:18:36.

soldiers in the field. Many of us, including my honourable fridnd here,

:18:37.:18:40.

where soldiers in Germany. We took great comfort from the fact that we

:18:41.:18:44.

had nuclear weapons because the other side, the Warsaw Pact, could

:18:45.:18:50.

well have blasted us to hell and they were put off, we hope very much

:18:51.:18:55.

by the fact that we possess nuclear weapons. Protection of our soldiers

:18:56.:19:01.

matters and is good for mor`le. The honourable member is absolutely

:19:02.:19:05.

right and those who wish to eradicate the nuclear weapons from

:19:06.:19:08.

the United Kingdom cannot explain what would happen any scenario where

:19:09.:19:13.

the Russia invaded in Nato state and there was no nuclear protection from

:19:14.:19:17.

our site and we were open to nuclear blackmail of the dreadful scale I

:19:18.:19:24.

am pleased to be standing alongside members of the Unite and GMB have

:19:25.:19:30.

come down here to remind us just how effective the workforces and how

:19:31.:19:33.

important it is to so many parts of the UK. I am also proud that I'm

:19:34.:19:37.

going to be in the same lobby as the then Labour Foreign Secretary, from

:19:38.:19:43.

Derby South, who committed the United Kingdom, the first of any

:19:44.:19:50.

nuclear capable nation to a global zero, a world free from nuclear

:19:51.:19:54.

weapons. But and this is thd one thing that the Leader of thd

:19:55.:19:57.

Opposition didn't seem to w`nt to mention, she knew, unilater`lly

:19:58.:20:04.

disarming while others keep the bomb is not an act of global leadership.

:20:05.:20:09.

It wouldn't show others the way it would be destabilising and ` futile

:20:10.:20:16.

abdication of responsibilitx. I am also speaking for the Labour members

:20:17.:20:22.

and trade unionists who eng`ged in policy-making in good faith. Those

:20:23.:20:30.

people are now being ignored by the party leader who claims and clings

:20:31.:20:36.

to an idea of Labour Party democracy to save his own skin and it is not

:20:37.:20:47.

right. The leaders Trident review has not materialised yet so let me

:20:48.:20:50.

mention the report of the b`ckbench defence committee which I chair

:20:51.:20:55.

After ten sessions, 23 expert speakers and many MPs are attending,

:20:56.:21:00.

though not be Shadow Foreign Secretary, not anyone from the

:21:01.:21:05.

leader 's office, nor the Shadow development secretary, who seems to

:21:06.:21:09.

want to take part in this ddbate by Twitter but not apparently from

:21:10.:21:14.

standing up for himself. We found that there has been no substantive

:21:15.:21:20.

change in the circumstances which led the Labour Party firmly to

:21:21.:21:24.

support renewing the Vanguard submarines, which currently carry

:21:25.:21:30.

the deterrence. Madam Deputx Speaker, for the official opposition

:21:31.:21:36.

to have a free vote on a matter of such strategic national importance

:21:37.:21:41.

is a terrible indictment of how far this once great party has f`llen.

:21:42.:21:48.

There has long been a princhpled decision of unilateralism in the

:21:49.:21:51.

Labour Party. I myself was born into it. But what Labour's current front

:21:52.:22:00.

bench are doing is not principled. It shows contempt for the ptblic,

:22:01.:22:05.

her party members and often in what they say for the truth. This

:22:06.:22:11.

situation would have been up rent even to Labour's last great

:22:12.:22:16.

unilateralist who fought all his shortcomings as a leader, would

:22:17.:22:20.

never have allowed our partx to stand direction live in the face of

:22:21.:22:25.

such an important question. We don't know what's going to happen to the

:22:26.:22:31.

Labour Party. This is an uncertain time but whatever happens, H am

:22:32.:22:37.

proud to stand here today and speak for Barrow, to speak for thd town

:22:38.:22:42.

that is steeped in the great British tradition of shipbuilding and to

:22:43.:22:46.

speak for the men and women who give greater service to their cotntry

:22:47.:22:51.

with the incredible work th`t they do. I will walk through the lobby

:22:52.:22:57.

tonight to pass a project that the last Labour Government began in a

:22:58.:23:02.

vote which Liebert itself promised when we sat over there. -- labour.

:23:03.:23:07.

Failing to endorse the subm`rine programme that will support up to

:23:08.:23:13.

30,000 jobs across the UK whll not only do great damage to our

:23:14.:23:19.

manufacturing base, it would be a clear act of unilateral dis`rmament.

:23:20.:23:23.

It will tell the public that we are prepared to give more credence to

:23:24.:23:28.

improbable theories and wild logic than the solid weight of evhdence

:23:29.:23:33.

that points to renewing Trident It is our enduring duty, Madam Deputy

:23:34.:23:39.

Speaker, to do what we can to protect the nation for decades

:23:40.:23:43.

ahead. I hope my colleagues will join me in supporting established

:23:44.:23:49.

labour policy in the ayes lobby tonight. I think that was one of the

:23:50.:23:56.

most courageous speeches I've heard in my time in this house. I am very

:23:57.:24:00.

sad the right honourable gentleman, the member for Gardner is not here

:24:01.:24:06.

because family last debated this in 2007, I was sitting on the

:24:07.:24:09.

opposition benches and he swept his arm to his right and said, xou in

:24:10.:24:13.

the Home Counties cannot understand what it is like to have a wdapon as

:24:14.:24:17.

powerful as this on your doorstep and I was able to point out to him

:24:18.:24:23.

that if he came into my bedroom and looked across the valley, hd would

:24:24.:24:29.

see the rooftops of the autonomy -- Tana -- atomic weapons

:24:30.:24:33.

Establishment, he would also see the Royal Ordinance factory and if he

:24:34.:24:36.

climbed onto my roof, he cotld probably seem the missiles silo We

:24:37.:24:45.

need no lessons from anyone about the impact or the effect of living

:24:46.:24:49.

close to the nuclear deterrdnt in my part of Berkshire. He, of course,

:24:50.:24:55.

replied in a consummate way that clever politicians do but that was

:24:56.:24:59.

the first and last time he'd ever be asked injury Tory MP's bedroom but

:25:00.:25:03.

the point is that the nucle`r deterrent is my constituents's

:25:04.:25:09.

biggest employer and there `re many advantages to having it there, not

:25:10.:25:12.

least in the Supply chain of 27 local companies, 1500 supplx chain

:25:13.:25:20.

organisations nationally, the effect it has an advising the Government

:25:21.:25:23.

doing counterterrorism on ntclear threat reduction, forensics. On

:25:24.:25:33.

nonproliferation and its second to none and apprenticeship schdme and

:25:34.:25:40.

its academic collaboration. All of that would not matter one jot if the

:25:41.:25:45.

decision we were taking tod`y was wrong and the decision we are taking

:25:46.:25:52.

today is right. The truth is... I listen to great interest wh`t he

:25:53.:25:57.

said in a situation of nucldar materials are weapons in his

:25:58.:26:00.

constituency, but would he `gree with me there is one big difference

:26:01.:26:04.

between his constituency and the constituency of my rough rent,

:26:05.:26:09.

Argyll and Bute. His constituents witnessed once nuclear weapons, the

:26:10.:26:14.

constituents of all of us do not want nuclear weapons. There are many

:26:15.:26:20.

polls that conflict with thd information she says. I was elected

:26:21.:26:26.

on a resounding majority but who knows how much of that decision was

:26:27.:26:31.

taken because of nuclear we`pons being based locally? It was a wide

:26:32.:26:35.

variety of different issues. The truth is that the nuclear ddterrent

:26:36.:26:38.

has saved lives and that is a point that has not been made and tp

:26:39.:26:43.

tonight. It has saved lives of the last few decades because I progress

:26:44.:26:48.

's have been deterred. What we have to ask ourselves is how predictable

:26:49.:26:55.

our future conflicts? The ldader of this SNP said we are talking about

:26:56.:27:00.

an issue today. We are not. We are talking about an issue in 20 or 30

:27:01.:27:05.

or 40 years. They may have ` crystal ball and maybe voters say there will

:27:06.:27:09.

be no threat to us in that time I don't have a crystal ball and is the

:27:10.:27:13.

protection of future generations of this country that I want to ensure

:27:14.:27:19.

that we protect. What role hs nuclear weapons played in the

:27:20.:27:23.

catastrophe in Libya and Syria's what contribution did they lake to

:27:24.:27:28.

that? Ridiculous intervention, not worthy of a reply. He might like to

:27:29.:27:33.

consider what kind of aggressor we might face in the future, not just

:27:34.:27:39.

Russia, what about groups and nations are in division reasons We

:27:40.:27:44.

know that nuclear weapons h`ve proliferated indecent years as we

:27:45.:27:46.

have reduced our arsenal, others have raised it and he needs to think

:27:47.:27:51.

about not just today, not jtst him and his constituents but thd future

:27:52.:27:54.

generations we are talking `bout protecting. In the few minutes that

:27:55.:28:02.

I have, no interventions. You just have to think through the rdcent

:28:03.:28:05.

conflict in our lifetime, not ones that were ordered nuclear

:28:06.:28:12.

retaliation would have been appropriate, the Falklands War,

:28:13.:28:15.

mentioned by my right honourable friend, the invasion of Kuw`it, 911,

:28:16.:28:21.

last week's you in Turkey. We didn't know this is going to happen. Who

:28:22.:28:24.

can sit here today and say we're going to be any wiser if an

:28:25.:28:30.

operation took place that would not have taken place if that potential

:28:31.:28:34.

enemy had been deterred by the fact that we had the kind of weapons that

:28:35.:28:38.

would just make them sit up and think? What we need to conshder

:28:39.:28:43.

tonight is the potential endmy hold in their mind there is no advantage

:28:44.:28:52.

to them in aggression. I talked so much tonight about our constituents

:28:53.:28:56.

and future generations but let us talk about the concept of using

:28:57.:29:00.

nuclear weapons because there is a very good and honest and decent

:29:01.:29:07.

concept I can respect of disarmament and passengers in this country and

:29:08.:29:12.

it goes back many generations. I happen to think in this context it

:29:13.:29:16.

is wrong that you can respect it but when people talk about using nuclear

:29:17.:29:21.

weapons, they need to understand the doctrine of Government and that

:29:22.:29:25.

doctrine is our nuclear detdrrent is being used every single day of every

:29:26.:29:29.

single year that has been ddployed and that is what it is. What it says

:29:30.:29:36.

on the tin. It deters. No one believes, I am sorry to say, that an

:29:37.:29:41.

independent Scotland would suddenly start investing in a type 26

:29:42.:29:46.

destroyers and fast jets and all the other paraphernalia of a nation that

:29:47.:29:49.

wants to somehow engage in the world but the British do. I think their

:29:50.:30:00.

sudden attraction to the idda of massive defence spending is complete

:30:01.:30:05.

nonsense. No, I will not give away. The nature of regimes any more

:30:06.:30:09.

dangerous world out what thdy need to consider today and while we are

:30:10.:30:13.

reducing our arsenal for nuclear weapons by 50% in recent ye`rs, the

:30:14.:30:18.

opposition ignored the fact that we have reduced the number of `rsenal

:30:19.:30:24.

so considerably. The number of states with nuclear weapons

:30:25.:30:29.

increases and the number of weapons in the world is now over 17,000

:30:30.:30:35.

On the question of cost, I would state that with 31 billion over 35

:30:36.:30:42.

years plus the contingency, all of this equates to about 0.2% of total

:30:43.:30:47.

Government spending, and thdn you can reduce from that the advantage

:30:48.:30:54.

this has two the supply chahn of developing this replacement suite of

:30:55.:31:00.

submarines. I would just finish Madam Deputy Speaker, by saxing that

:31:01.:31:04.

what our allies need to be listened to in this as well. We have an

:31:05.:31:08.

agreement with the French, ` long-standing agreement with the

:31:09.:31:13.

united states. Our nuclear defence is networked into our allies as

:31:14.:31:18.

well. We need to be thinking of the response to what we are talking

:31:19.:31:22.

about tonight as much as thd future generations that we protect through

:31:23.:31:29.

our decision tonight. Until three weeks ago, I was anticipating how I

:31:30.:31:35.

would be considering today's debate as Labour's shadow Armed Forces

:31:36.:31:38.

minister. Today I do so frol the backbenches. But either way, I am

:31:39.:31:43.

grateful to my honourable friend to ensure that Labour's approach was

:31:44.:31:51.

evidence base. He conducted an exhaustive series of seminars on the

:31:52.:31:56.

renewal. A wide range of contributors, including two former

:31:57.:32:02.

labour Secretary of State for Defence, trade unions and fhrms

:32:03.:32:04.

responsible for the thousands of jobs that hang in the balance, and

:32:05.:32:09.

from academics and historians who placed the decision we face today

:32:10.:32:12.

into an appropriate global, strategic, and historical context.

:32:13.:32:16.

I'll so have a historical context. My mother in the 1980s was `

:32:17.:32:25.

protest. I believe both of ly parents were members of the NDE I

:32:26.:32:31.

did not personally have a b`dge -- members of the CMD. As with much

:32:32.:32:41.

discourse in the Labour Party right now, we are having a retro debate

:32:42.:32:44.

that we thought had been settled three decades ago. We fought

:32:45.:32:50.

elections on a unilateralist platform before. Some peopld

:32:51.:32:53.

surrounding the leader may think that winning elections is jtst a

:32:54.:32:56.

small bet that matters to the political elite, but to most of us

:32:57.:33:00.

and Judy to my constituents, it is pretty fundamental to delivdring the

:33:01.:33:07.

change our society needs. I approached the review with `n open

:33:08.:33:10.

mind, heard all of the tried and tested opposition arguments to

:33:11.:33:13.

Trident. But I have to say that the weight of evidence in support of the

:33:14.:33:17.

decision the Government havd taken today was overwhelming. So H was

:33:18.:33:21.

told many things. I was told that once I got to meet senior mhlitary

:33:22.:33:25.

figures, I would learn none of them really wanted it, they wantdd the

:33:26.:33:29.

money spent elsewhere. That survey was not true. From a range of

:33:30.:33:35.

experience an expert opinion, I learned that our Armed Forcds

:33:36.:33:37.

understand the strategic importance of sending a powerful message, the

:33:38.:33:45.

importance of it to a relathonship with Nato allies. Either edhted Nato

:33:46.:33:51.

with two previous Shadow Secretary of State for Defence. We met with

:33:52.:33:55.

representatives from Estoni`, Latvia, Poland, and several other

:33:56.:33:59.

Nato allies, countries for whom the Russian threat is not a dinner table

:34:00.:34:04.

conversation, but a matter of chilling daily reality. My

:34:05.:34:06.

honourable friend from Islington South was told how desperatdly wear

:34:07.:34:12.

for Britain to retain that nuclear deterrent and sent a powerftl signal

:34:13.:34:14.

to President Putin. We were also told that we should not Mikd that it

:34:15.:34:19.

was too soon to make a decision but Lord West made it clear to the PLP

:34:20.:34:25.

committed that the existing extension meant that further delays

:34:26.:34:28.

to the programme would mean we were no longer able to maintain `

:34:29.:34:33.

permanent and continuous posture. As the case against Trident, against

:34:34.:34:39.

not having Trident has falldn apart, the alternative options we have

:34:40.:34:44.

heard have become ever more absurd. First we had, build the sumlaries,

:34:45.:34:47.

but don't equip them with ntclear capability. All the spending but

:34:48.:34:52.

none of the benefits. Second we were told we could read performance the

:34:53.:34:56.

alternatives review and havd another five years of indecision. The

:34:57.:35:03.

honourable gentleman from otr Bute told us all his constituents do not

:35:04.:35:09.

want it, but actually 44% of his constituents voted for a party that

:35:10.:35:14.

was getting rid of Trident, 56% voted for a party committed to

:35:15.:35:19.

retention of Trident. So th`t does not stand up to the scrutinx he

:35:20.:35:25.

suggests. Representatives of the GMB union, where my honourable friend

:35:26.:35:30.

suggested they might like to make wind turbines and said, polhtely but

:35:31.:35:34.

firmly informed her they were involved in designing and producing

:35:35.:35:37.

one of the most complex is technology on the face of the earth,

:35:38.:35:40.

and that winter rains had already been invented. -- wind turbhnes The

:35:41.:35:47.

House has been asked today to make it difficult and cost the ddcision.

:35:48.:35:52.

I will give way. He will have heard, as I have, many people pickdd the

:35:53.:35:57.

case to us as Labour MPs th`t they do not back unilateralism btt would

:35:58.:36:01.

prefer an alternative nucle`r platform. It is a very important

:36:02.:36:08.

point. The Government themsdlves tried precisely to come to that

:36:09.:36:13.

conclusion on behalf of thehr liberal Democrat allies in the last

:36:14.:36:17.

current. The truth of the m`tter is, ballistic missile system and a

:36:18.:36:20.

submarine -based system absolutely crucial to ensuring that it is

:36:21.:36:25.

undetectable to our adversaries and also to ensure that it provhdes a

:36:26.:36:29.

genuine and credible deterrdnt in terms of the missile defencd systems

:36:30.:36:32.

that our adversaries have. Some Labour members should have

:36:33.:36:35.

confidence that the world-class technology produced by the very best

:36:36.:36:39.

of British manufacturing benefiting suppliers in almost every shngle

:36:40.:36:43.

constituency in the land, including my own, is delivering the mhnimum

:36:44.:36:48.

credible continuous deterrent we can deliver. It will aid global security

:36:49.:36:52.

and be viewed with great gr`titude, not just by the workers whose

:36:53.:36:56.

livelihoods depend on it, btt by partners who nervously watch our

:36:57.:36:59.

adversaries every move. Labour members should know they ard voting

:37:00.:37:02.

in accordance with the policy they were elected on in support of

:37:03.:37:07.

working trade union members and our heroic Armed Forces personndl, that

:37:08.:37:11.

they are contributing towards global security, and that batting hs in

:37:12.:37:14.

keeping with our internationalist principles and have the right thing

:37:15.:37:18.

to do. -- that backing of is in keeping with our principles. I rise

:37:19.:37:25.

to support the motion, and this would tirelessly and with a heavy

:37:26.:37:29.

heart. Nobody can stand in the missile compartment of a sulmary

:37:30.:37:37.

without a sense of terrible. I have the capacity to destroy 40 lillion

:37:38.:37:43.

people, and I know all here holds that responsibility and feel that

:37:44.:37:46.

responsibility extremely acttely, and that certainly goes for my

:37:47.:37:49.

honourable and Right Honour`ble friends on this front bench and its

:37:50.:37:53.

predecessors. I spent much of my 20 year naval career at the tahl end of

:37:54.:37:58.

the Cold War. But the Cold War is over, and one can see the Cold War

:37:59.:38:08.

was one. The Cold War did not become a real war in part because of the

:38:09.:38:12.

possession of the terrible weapons we are discussing this afternoon. We

:38:13.:38:19.

must not be preparing to fight the last war, and honourable and right

:38:20.:38:22.

Honourable members across the House to say that tomorrow's wars are

:38:23.:38:30.

likely to be asymmetric, hybrid wars involving terrorism, involving

:38:31.:38:34.

climate change, conflicts involving climate change. What I cannot fully

:38:35.:38:42.

understand as we sit here today -- war we cannot fully underst`nd. But

:38:43.:38:46.

simply because those threats exist does not mean that nuclear blackmail

:38:47.:38:50.

does not and will not. I fully accept that there are shades of grey

:38:51.:38:53.

in this argument, and I absolutely reject the absolute and poshtions

:38:54.:38:59.

taken by some commentators hn this matter. -- the absolutist positions.

:39:00.:39:03.

I fully understand the respdct arguments in relation to opportunity

:39:04.:39:08.

costs. But we have to make ` decision no, and we have bedn here

:39:09.:39:14.

before, several times. In 2006, under the party opposite, wd

:39:15.:39:17.

conducted what was called a deep dive, appropriately enough, on this

:39:18.:39:25.

matter. In 2013, thanks largely to the Liberal Democrats, it p`ins me

:39:26.:39:29.

to say so, but nevertheless, we undertook an alternatives rdview and

:39:30.:39:33.

dealt with many of the issuds that I have no doubt we'll be disctssing

:39:34.:39:37.

this afternoon in relation to what alternatives there may be at that

:39:38.:39:41.

time. In the time available to me, I would like to talk very bridfly

:39:42.:39:46.

about two propositions. Those of redundancy and those of repttation.

:39:47.:39:49.

They are respectable arguments and deserve to be dealt with properly.

:39:50.:39:54.

The redundancy proposition... I will give way. Before you start on those

:39:55.:39:59.

two crucial points, would hd agree with me that the speech we just

:40:00.:40:02.

heard from the Honourable mdmber for Chesterfield was one of the most

:40:03.:40:06.

powerful arguments made on core beliefs that he has clearly thought

:40:07.:40:10.

about very deeply for a long period of time, and should be very

:40:11.:40:12.

compelling for those of our constituents why not quite clear

:40:13.:40:17.

what the party lines on this article is yes, my honourable friend is

:40:18.:40:22.

absolutely right, and the mdmber for Barrow-in-Furness also made a very

:40:23.:40:26.

powerful speech. The redund`ncy proposition holds that advancing

:40:27.:40:32.

technology will make the nuclear deterrent redundant. It is ` boys we

:40:33.:40:34.

will have an unmanned underwater vessel that will appear, render our

:40:35.:40:40.

oceans are transparent, this despite all evidence to the contrarx and the

:40:41.:40:44.

fact it is pure supposition. We cannot approach our future defence

:40:45.:40:50.

on supposition about what mhght happen in the future. History is

:40:51.:40:55.

usually a gate in these matters and I know that this year we mark the

:40:56.:41:00.

centenary of the introduction of tanks into the battle space. --

:41:01.:41:04.

history is usually a gate. We could have said then, we must not develop

:41:05.:41:09.

this technology because of the possibility of sticky bombs and tank

:41:10.:41:15.

traps, but we did not. I give way. One of the lessons from history has

:41:16.:41:20.

to be nigh Bevan, who as Foreign Secretary said, don't send le naked

:41:21.:41:25.

into the conference chamber. What sort of Emperor in new clothing

:41:26.:41:29.

would someone be you who went into a conference chamber with President

:41:30.:41:33.

Putin, for example, and said, I do not have any nuclear weapons, or I

:41:34.:41:36.

have some nuclear powered stbs but no weapons on them? The honourable

:41:37.:41:41.

lady is quite right, and I have to say I am enjoying the consensual

:41:42.:41:45.

nature of this debate today. It is the House of Commons at its very

:41:46.:41:49.

best. Jesse Fuller in 1929 said that tanks would be made redundant..

:41:50.:41:55.

Would make in 20 redundant. Actually any sense he was right, but the time

:41:56.:42:01.

frame was completely wrong, and what happened was the infantry actually

:42:02.:42:04.

adapted rather than abolishdd. The imminent end of man's fightdrs was

:42:05.:42:09.

confidently predicted in a Government White Paper in 1857. The

:42:10.:42:16.

fact of the matter is, we c`nnot base our defence on what we imagine

:42:17.:42:23.

might happen, and that is, H think, the important point. I think the

:42:24.:42:25.

point the honourable lady w`s trying to make. The threat of cyber and

:42:26.:42:33.

unmanned underwater vessels should rather invigorate our own

:42:34.:42:36.

countermeasures and attempts to detect and potentially disrtpt

:42:37.:42:41.

aggressors. Never the less, just as lightning to GSF may only h`ve half

:42:42.:42:48.

of a life before it is renddred obsolescent, we have to be open to

:42:49.:42:53.

the possibility that the successor submarine may itself, or Brhsbane

:42:54.:42:56.

area long life, at some point be made obsolete. I do not think that

:42:57.:43:01.

is a sufficient argument to deploy against the decision I think we will

:43:02.:43:07.

be making today. My second proposition is that of reputation

:43:08.:43:10.

theory. The argue it unilatdralism will in some way raise our standing

:43:11.:43:17.

internationally. I have to say, that is hopelessly naive. Try saxing that

:43:18.:43:27.

two people in Ukraine. Try waving the Budapest mammal at them. Many of

:43:28.:43:33.

them will say that had we not given up our share of the USSR's nuclear

:43:34.:43:41.

armament to, about one third of it, when we became independent, our

:43:42.:43:44.

territory now would be assured. We would not have been invaded. It is

:43:45.:43:50.

not an argument I necessarily want to take too far, because others will

:43:51.:43:53.

make can drag about the wisdom of Ukraine having to clear up weapons,

:43:54.:43:58.

personally I am very pleased that they do not. But never the less

:43:59.:44:02.

from the perspective of a state that is trying to face down an aggressor,

:44:03.:44:07.

it is a powerful argument for it to make. There are those who s`y that

:44:08.:44:13.

if we cut our nuclear arsen`l, others will follow. There is no

:44:14.:44:16.

evidence to suggest that is the case at all. We have cut our personal

:44:17.:44:20.

dramatically in recent years, and yet you have seen other states

:44:21.:44:27.

increase mirrors. And finally, if I may say, in this atmosphere of

:44:28.:44:31.

Brexit, where we are right for urging our links with other

:44:32.:44:36.

international organisations and operating in an outward fachng way I

:44:37.:44:41.

find repression, we have to think about our membership of the UN

:44:42.:44:47.

permanent Security Council. That membership is contingent. It is

:44:48.:44:53.

contingent on this country offering something. It made pain somd

:44:54.:44:56.

honourable and right Honour`ble members to ponder on it, but in

:44:57.:45:01.

large part, I membership of that body is down to our continudd

:45:02.:45:03.

possession of this terrible weapon. I rise to support the motion for us

:45:04.:45:15.

today. I know that there ard those including those in my home party who

:45:16.:45:19.

do not agree with my position but I don't disagree the right to hold

:45:20.:45:26.

their position. I respect their position, I don't question their

:45:27.:45:31.

motives and I also think th`t an alternative position to mind is one

:45:32.:45:36.

that people can argue for it. Unfortunately at the moment in our

:45:37.:45:40.

political landscape is something of a rarity, that includes people

:45:41.:45:48.

within my own party. Our independent nuclear deterrent has its origins in

:45:49.:45:54.

the great radical Labour Party of 1945. Political giant of my party

:45:55.:45:59.

took the decision that the TK should develop its own nuclear weapons The

:46:00.:46:03.

site as being vital for our nation's Security against the rising threat

:46:04.:46:08.

from the Soviet bloc and thd uncertain world which they faced.

:46:09.:46:13.

That commitment to our national security while pursuing outward

:46:14.:46:17.

looking international engagdment has been the cornerstone of the Labour

:46:18.:46:21.

Party position and I think ht is one that is universally shared by our

:46:22.:46:27.

supporters. Today, we face `n uncertain world where there are some

:46:28.:46:32.

threat but still faces which our forbearance based in 1945, state on

:46:33.:46:37.

state conflict, a resurgent Russia not now wedded to Communist doctrine

:46:38.:46:44.

but the crude nationalism which has no respect of international

:46:45.:46:47.

boundaries are a path which is clear to increase its nuclear arsdnal and

:46:48.:46:55.

retreat doctrine as fears of influence which are reminiscent of

:46:56.:47:00.

the 1940s. Yes, it is true that we face other threats such as Hslamic

:47:01.:47:06.

terrorism and the uncertainty of global warming and economic

:47:07.:47:11.

uncertainty. Is there one shlver bullet to face of these thrdats No,

:47:12.:47:16.

there isn't. I am quite cle`r the retention of our nuclear deterrent

:47:17.:47:21.

is vital to resist the resurgent Russia which is developing hts

:47:22.:47:26.

nuclear weapons. There is uncertainty -- protrude on our front

:47:27.:47:30.

bench today by the Leader of the Opposition about what the L`bour

:47:31.:47:34.

Party position is. In opposhtion, I was asked by the Lib Dem Le`der of

:47:35.:47:39.

the Opposition to conduct a review into our deterrent. It is mdt with

:47:40.:47:44.

28 state holders from all shdes of the argument including the

:47:45.:47:46.

honourable member for Islington North who was then the chair of

:47:47.:47:52.

Labour CND, it resulted in ` report which was a 45,000 words long. It

:47:53.:47:57.

built on the word of the Defence Select Committee, the labour White

:47:58.:48:03.

Paper in 2006 and the Trident review. Every single piece of that

:48:04.:48:08.

evidence was taken and came to the conclusion that replacing otr

:48:09.:48:13.

current Vanguard Class subm`rines was the only alternative. That then

:48:14.:48:18.

fed into our policy review `nd was adopted at our 2014 conference. That

:48:19.:48:25.

is the policy which I stood on and every other Labour candidatd,

:48:26.:48:29.

including the member for Islington North, stood up as well. Th`nk you.

:48:30.:48:36.

I am grateful to my honourable friend. 1.I hope we get to hn his

:48:37.:48:40.

speech if time permits is the issue that affects a lot of my

:48:41.:48:45.

constituents and constituents in the north Staffordshire which is a lot

:48:46.:48:48.

of our young people join thd military, to get involved and put

:48:49.:48:52.

their lives on the line for this country. How can we stand hdre in

:48:53.:48:55.

this chamber and knowing we are putting their lives online `nd we

:48:56.:48:58.

are not giving them the back-up that the nuclear deterrent gives them?

:48:59.:49:04.

What he is saying is that Eric Labour addition wants to support our

:49:05.:49:08.

Armed Forces. The manifesto which I stood on an user of the opposition

:49:09.:49:13.

student was also voted on and supported by 9.3 million of our

:49:14.:49:19.

electricity. The argument is being put forward there in the motion

:49:20.:49:24.

tonight is identical to what was put forward in that manifesto. Ht is

:49:25.:49:28.

ironic that we now have a free vote on this. This was put forward by my

:49:29.:49:33.

honourable friend, the membdr for Hillwood, to the lure of thd

:49:34.:49:37.

opposition in 2015. It resulted in a removal from the front bench and I

:49:38.:49:42.

had no option but to resign from the front bench. We have now had the

:49:43.:49:46.

alternative reviewed by the honourable member for Islington

:49:47.:49:50.

south, that's been going on for the last seven months. Much airtime has

:49:51.:49:54.

been given to him but not a single word has yet been published. People

:49:55.:50:00.

believe it exists but it's never actually been cited. The important

:50:01.:50:06.

point on our deterrent is about security. We cannot forget `bout the

:50:07.:50:10.

jobs which are on the line `nd I am proud to support both Unite and GMB

:50:11.:50:18.

members who work in that industry. They are a professional, skhlled and

:50:19.:50:22.

dedicated to the work they do. I would challenge those that `re

:50:23.:50:25.

wooden against this motion tonight to look those workers directly in

:50:26.:50:29.

the aye and actually say to them, what is the alternatives to their

:50:30.:50:33.

communities? No jobs tomorrow I think the future but actually what

:50:34.:50:38.

is going to happen now. My party also has a proud track record in

:50:39.:50:43.

Government on disarmament. Ht is one a committed to and I am glad this

:50:44.:50:49.

motion tonight has commitment to multi-lateral disarmament. Ht is an

:50:50.:50:53.

important time for our nation. Walking away from our commitments to

:50:54.:50:57.

our Nato partners would be ` fundamental mistake, it would give

:50:58.:51:00.

the indication that somehow we are withdrawing from the world. We

:51:01.:51:04.

cannot afford to do this. Would include this motion tonight is in a

:51:05.:51:09.

long tradition of my party which believes in the security of our

:51:10.:51:13.

nation, committed to a peacdful outward looking wild and ensuring

:51:14.:51:19.

that what would appeared to do it this house makes a difference and

:51:20.:51:21.

that is about improving people's lives which cannot be done tnless we

:51:22.:51:29.

have the security behind. Thank you, Madam Deputy Speaker and I `m

:51:30.:51:33.

grateful to you for allowing me to contribute to the's debate. I

:51:34.:51:38.

represent Plymouth and we h`ve a long and proud naval historx and the

:51:39.:51:42.

Vanguard Class submarines are prepared and refitted there. I am

:51:43.:51:45.

not seeking to make a lengthy contribution today but I wotld like

:51:46.:51:50.

to add my experience of the representation of my constituency

:51:51.:51:52.

with the Trident programme plays a significant role in our loc`l

:51:53.:51:57.

economy. As representatives of Plymouth centre to represent our

:51:58.:52:01.

city, we are taken every sponsor of these very seriously both to the

:52:02.:52:05.

nation security and to the employment prospects of those who

:52:06.:52:08.

have loyally maintained and continue to maintain the submarines that

:52:09.:52:14.

carry the Trident mistrial. Submarines are repaired and

:52:15.:52:16.

refitted, similar to my colleagues also representing areas of Plymouth

:52:17.:52:20.

as well as other members who have naval constituencies. A source of

:52:21.:52:26.

employment for thousands and not as easily replaced as some might think.

:52:27.:52:30.

Their view as mine is simplx a gamble to fire. We live in `

:52:31.:52:35.

desperately unstable world. This weekend just past has been the most

:52:36.:52:39.

and stable for years and thhs weekend should not be an argument

:52:40.:52:42.

for why we should maintain @rab Trident programme but how wd simply

:52:43.:52:45.

cannot predict events in thd future let alone beyond next week `nd

:52:46.:52:51.

fundamental to delivering all we get into politics, fairer society,

:52:52.:52:54.

social justice and opportunhties for all this is national security.

:52:55.:52:59.

Without that, none of these causes which I share with others are

:53:00.:53:03.

achievable. The Government has a responsibility to put the sdcurity

:53:04.:53:06.

of the nation and its peopld first and foremost and that is whx we need

:53:07.:53:09.

to maintain our ultimate deterrent because we do not know what the

:53:10.:53:14.

future holds. I am not deaf to those who are concerned about the cost,

:53:15.:53:20.

about the risk in maintaining the work in Plymouth where therd is an

:53:21.:53:23.

active community that writes to me very often on these issues. On any

:53:24.:53:27.

other contentious issue I h`ve sought to understand the argument

:53:28.:53:32.

and speak to those who disagree with me. On this issue, I am

:53:33.:53:36.

single-mindedly sure we must maintain our commitment to this

:53:37.:53:39.

programme and replace the V`nguard Class submarines with the ndw

:53:40.:53:43.

Successor submarines. Stratdgically, we cannot and we should not wait the

:53:44.:53:47.

risk that comes with abandoning our policy of continuous deterrdnce and

:53:48.:53:54.

the message we would centre our Nato allies. Thank you. I would like to

:53:55.:54:03.

ask them member who represent Plymouth, what about relocating

:54:04.:54:08.

climate to -- what they be locating Trident to plummet? I would support

:54:09.:54:14.

that move. We would be more than happy to have it and build `n aye

:54:15.:54:22.

naval heritage in that regard. Can I assure him that all of them who

:54:23.:54:25.

represent constituents and the south-westward be more than

:54:26.:54:29.

delighted that work would bd transferred from Scotland to the

:54:30.:54:33.

south-west in the event that are deterrent was to move. I th`nk you.

:54:34.:54:40.

We are very proud of our naval heritage in the south-west, very

:54:41.:54:44.

proud of the people we support, of our service men and women and we'd

:54:45.:54:47.

be delighted to make their lives easier by providing the fachlities

:54:48.:54:52.

that the south-west affords. Locally, it also means thousands of

:54:53.:54:55.

jobs in Plymouth and the continuance of our naval tradition I have talked

:54:56.:54:59.

about in Plymouth that makes so many of us so proud. It is part of the

:55:00.:55:03.

fabric of our city and to lose that would be disastrous for the commute

:55:04.:55:06.

is that I am here to represdnt. Let us not abstain tonight, let's stand

:55:07.:55:12.

up for Britain's place in the world and renew our nuclear deterrent and

:55:13.:55:16.

the members on the opposite benches, not to the SNP and I must s`y "aye"

:55:17.:55:20.

have been struck by the rather childlike interventions arotnd Libya

:55:21.:55:24.

and Iraq and nuclear weapons which are two totally separate issues but

:55:25.:55:28.

to my friends on the benches opposite, I know that many of you

:55:29.:55:31.

will be of a similar mind to me on this but to those who are not, I

:55:32.:55:35.

don't believe you love this country less are in any way less th`n those

:55:36.:55:38.

who are supporting this, but I would say all those things that you come

:55:39.:55:42.

into politics for nothing whthout national security and that come

:55:43.:55:46.

first. In order to deliver those causes that I know I is so dear to

:55:47.:55:50.

you and me, we must renew otr nuclear deterrent. All steps must be

:55:51.:55:57.

taken to ensure the safety of this country's people. Engineering jobs,

:55:58.:56:02.

they can be risked and now with everything that's going on, we see

:56:03.:56:06.

across last year and this wdekend, now is not the time to lower our

:56:07.:56:11.

guard. The PM in her speech this afternoon, she talked about North

:56:12.:56:15.

Korea. Can we really lose ott nuclear weapons at this timd? In an

:56:16.:56:19.

ideal world, it would be grdat not to have nuclear weapons but how do

:56:20.:56:23.

you diss invent something that has been invented? The Government must

:56:24.:56:25.

use to base decisions on thd reality with which they are faced, others

:56:26.:56:30.

have the luxury to do otherwise Those who would harm this country

:56:31.:56:33.

and our people, Trident rem`ins the ultimate deterrent against `n attack

:56:34.:56:37.

and has been for 60 years and I reiterate the point was madd earlier

:56:38.:56:40.

that this system is never used. It is used, it is used every shngle day

:56:41.:56:44.

and it does what it says is an equally deterrent. No, I will not

:56:45.:56:50.

give way. The Government's property is to insure the safety and security

:56:51.:56:53.

of its nation and that is why tonight I will be supporting the

:56:54.:56:57.

Government's mission and LB pride to wok through that lovely. Th`nk you.

:56:58.:57:08.

As my right honourable friend said earlier, there exists in Scotland a

:57:09.:57:13.

broad consensus against Trident and tonight I expect to see 58 of

:57:14.:57:19.

Scotland's 59 members of Parliament voting against this notion. That is

:57:20.:57:26.

98% of Scottish MPs. In doing so, we will be reflecting a consensus

:57:27.:57:31.

opinion that exists in Scotland the Scottish Government, the Scottish

:57:32.:57:34.

parliament, the SNP, the Labour Party in Scotland, the Scottish

:57:35.:57:39.

Green party, the Scottish TTC, great swathes of Scottish civil society

:57:40.:57:44.

and Scotland's faith communhties who are opposed to having these nuclear

:57:45.:57:49.

weapons forged upon us. Just last week, the Church of Scotland and the

:57:50.:57:53.

Roman Catholic Bishop of Scotland publicly reaffirmed their opposition

:57:54.:57:57.

to the UK possessing these weapons. I give way. Can you just cl`rify,

:57:58.:58:05.

Beasley the SNP policy is for Scotland to be independent. That

:58:06.:58:09.

being so and no longer having a nuclear deterrent, what would be the

:58:10.:58:13.

strategy to defend Scotland in the event of an exiting to thre`ten

:58:14.:58:18.

United Kingdom as a whole? @s an independent nation, we will back as

:58:19.:58:23.

every other independent sovdreign nation in this world act and somehow

:58:24.:58:28.

the idea that Scotland is incapable of defending itself as part of the

:58:29.:58:33.

Nato alliance, I find it but will bring and quite unbelievablx

:58:34.:58:38.

patronising. Despite what the Tory benches like to think, Scotland has

:58:39.:58:43.

spoken and Scotland does not want these weapons of mass destrtction. I

:58:44.:58:50.

will give way one last time. Thank you. We have heard enough a lot this

:58:51.:58:54.

afternoon in this debate about John -- job losses. Is this something

:58:55.:59:01.

that concerns may honourabld friend? I thank my friends of the

:59:02.:59:07.

interventions. Job losses are a concern, wherever they are `nd

:59:08.:59:11.

whoever the members but what I can say about Faz Lane is that the SNP

:59:12.:59:16.

has never and will never abdicate the closure of Faz Lane. Faz Lane,

:59:17.:59:23.

as a conventional naval basd, has a bright, non-nuclear future `s part

:59:24.:59:26.

of an independent Scotland `nd I look forward to representing it as

:59:27.:59:32.

such. In the decade since the Government ever gave over thme to

:59:33.:59:36.

debate Trident, the world h`s changed almost beyond recognition

:59:37.:59:41.

and emerging from what is the rapidly changing world could force

:59:42.:59:45.

us to re-examine everything we once took for granted. We have hdard

:59:46.:59:49.

often this afternoon that the world is a far more dangerous place than

:59:50.:59:54.

it ever has been before and just as the threats that we currently face

:59:55.:59:58.

our former complex and formdr nuanced, so therefore it should our

:59:59.:00:02.

response reflect that and s`dly I am sorry to say, the Governlent have

:00:03.:00:09.

failed to address that todax. As rushing to arm ourselves with even

:00:10.:00:14.

bigger submarines, carrying even more devastating nuclear we`pons is

:00:15.:00:18.

certainly does not reflect reality. Indeed, the reality that was spelt

:00:19.:00:22.

out in last year's STS are. Just nine months DS DSR spoke about what

:00:23.:00:28.

the Government said was the one threats these in the countrx. The

:00:29.:00:33.

one threat defined by the Government were international terrorisl, cyber

:00:34.:00:36.

attacks, hybrid warfare and natural disaster. Nuclear attack by a

:00:37.:00:42.

foreign power was not regarded as the cure one threat. We are told we

:00:43.:00:48.

cannot sleep safely in our beds unless the green light is ghven to

:00:49.:00:53.

spend, as my right honourable friend the member for Reigate points out,

:00:54.:00:58.

almost 200,000 million pounds on a renewal programme.

:00:59.:01:06.

The world is changing, the threats are changing, and the UK will be

:01:07.:01:11.

faced with how to deal with this new world, and the choices now will

:01:12.:01:15.

determine what we can do with the future. To be absolutely cldar, as

:01:16.:01:20.

much as we would like to, wd cannot do everything, and this is `bout

:01:21.:01:26.

stark choices. Those choices, I believe, get an awful lot h`rder for

:01:27.:01:30.

the proponents of Trident S`int Brexit. Now we are facing coming out

:01:31.:01:36.

of the European Union, and recent analysis by the edited of fhscal

:01:37.:01:40.

studies said the UK's GDP whll reduce by up to 2.5%, resulting in

:01:41.:01:46.

the infamous black hole to public finances of up to ?40 billion by

:01:47.:01:49.

2020. Surely in those circulstances, this House has to know what that

:01:50.:01:55.

means for defence procurement before we sign a blank check for Trident?

:01:56.:02:00.

Surely we are entitled to ask before the sanctioning of somewherd in the

:02:01.:02:08.

region of 200 million pounds, what will the effect beyond convdntional

:02:09.:02:15.

military forces? Can he tell us where the axe will fall in order to

:02:16.:02:25.

secure Trident? Is a patchy helicopter programme at risk? Will

:02:26.:02:29.

be a 35 programme be skilled back, or will the axe once again fall on

:02:30.:02:34.

our already hard-pressed service personnel? I do not think it is no

:02:35.:02:39.

Regis asked by this House, who has been asked to write a blank cheque,

:02:40.:02:45.

for us to be given a full analysis of the cost of Brexit and the effect

:02:46.:02:51.

of the contraction of the UK economy will have on defence procurdment. --

:02:52.:02:55.

I do not think it is an outrageous ask. We have been asked to buy for

:02:56.:03:01.

submarines. Their unique capability, we are told, is they cannot be

:03:02.:03:05.

detected by hostile forces `nd therefore can move freely and

:03:06.:03:08.

undisturbed, and today, that may well be the case. But can wd in all

:03:09.:03:14.

honesty, having spent around 20 ,000 million pounds say in 16 ye`rs'

:03:15.:03:17.

time, that that unique capability will still exist? Because wd are

:03:18.:03:24.

well aware that every day, highly paid and highly intelligent people

:03:25.:03:29.

across laboratories in Russha, China, the USA, go to work dvery day

:03:30.:03:37.

with the express intention of making the summary is detectable and

:03:38.:03:40.

therefore useless. In probldmatic, by the time these new books coming

:03:41.:03:47.

to service, they will be obsolete. -- in all probability. By the time

:03:48.:03:54.

these new boats come into sdrvice. There is no economic or milhtary

:03:55.:03:57.

case being made for the possession of these weapons, and I will join

:03:58.:04:01.

with my 58 colleagues from Scotland in voting against this motion. But

:04:02.:04:05.

despite the overwhelming rejection of Trident by Scotland, sadly I

:04:06.:04:10.

expect this motion to carry, and Scotland will find itself in the

:04:11.:04:13.

intolerable position of havhng weapons of mass destruction that we

:04:14.:04:18.

do not want foisted upon us by a Government that we did not dlect.

:04:19.:04:23.

Madam Deputy Speaker, it is an intolerable situation, and H

:04:24.:04:25.

question how much longer it can continue. It is a privilege to speak

:04:26.:04:33.

in this debate. It is one of the most essential issues that we will

:04:34.:04:36.

discuss in this House, becatse this issue is not about the vari`tion in

:04:37.:04:40.

tax policy that can be reversed It is not about a change in social

:04:41.:04:45.

norms that will evolve with time. It is about the ultimate securhty of

:04:46.:04:49.

our nation over the coming century. This is not a debate for gales, or

:04:50.:04:54.

are minor interventions on puestions that have no relevance. It hs a

:04:55.:05:00.

debate for the security of our very state. This, indeed, is the debate

:05:01.:05:04.

based on the strategy of thd United Kingdom and her place in thd world.

:05:05.:05:09.

That is why a very proud to stand here on the Conservative benches and

:05:10.:05:13.

a look across at the Labour benches and know that many people who value

:05:14.:05:19.

the United Kingdom, who valte our freedom, sovereignty, liberty, our

:05:20.:05:23.

right to self termination, understand that they requird an

:05:24.:05:29.

ultimate guarantee. -- our right to self-determination. The truly

:05:30.:05:32.

horrific nature of these we`pons is something we all., indeed, hs in

:05:33.:05:36.

their horror and there are very threat that the work. If thdy were

:05:37.:05:41.

not so horrific, if they were not so terrible, the deterrent would not be

:05:42.:05:48.

so complete. We have seen thme and again that the fullness of weaponry

:05:49.:05:56.

demands a graduated responsd. - the awfulness of weaponry. When we see

:05:57.:06:01.

the initial use of force, wd see the ornaments of the infantrymen, we see

:06:02.:06:05.

the remains of small aircraft, and we have seen this time and `gain in

:06:06.:06:09.

Europe even in the last century Even in the years since the Second

:06:10.:06:13.

World War. We have seen Kosovo, Ukraine, and indeed threats to our

:06:14.:06:22.

very close allies in Estoni`. But we see this because, of course, the

:06:23.:06:27.

weapons that are used are controllable, measurable, they are,

:06:28.:06:32.

that full phrase, small arms. The capability and the purpose of the

:06:33.:06:36.

nuclear deterrent is that it is not measurable. It is not controllable

:06:37.:06:41.

to that degree. It is truly horrific. And in that, it works It

:06:42.:06:47.

works not because of the first strike capability. Any fool can have

:06:48.:06:52.

a first-rate capability. It works in the second strike. It works only...

:06:53.:06:58.

I will not take an intervention right now. It works only whdn it is

:06:59.:07:03.

not a weapon of aggression, but a postmortem weapon, a weapon that

:07:04.:07:08.

assures your enemy that no latter what you have done to them, or

:07:09.:07:13.

rather, no matter what they have done to you, you can still respond.

:07:14.:07:19.

That is the ultimate guarantee of sovereignty, and the ultimate

:07:20.:07:23.

guarantee of security. It strikes me as astonishing that having just had

:07:24.:07:27.

a referendum in which we discussed the sovereignty and control of our

:07:28.:07:32.

nation, we are looking to h`nd it over. We are looking to hand it over

:07:33.:07:35.

and diminish that capabilitx, even though we know what counts. That is

:07:36.:07:42.

why I welcome so much of thd words of our Prime Minister today. When

:07:43.:07:46.

asked whether or not she wotld consider using the weapon, she said

:07:47.:07:50.

yes. She gave the clarity that deterrence requires. She showed the

:07:51.:07:59.

strength that will make our -- will make her a fine Prime Minister. It

:08:00.:08:04.

is that clarity with the most horrific weapon systems that keeps

:08:05.:08:08.

our sovereignty and our freddom So I hear today voices talking about

:08:09.:08:13.

what is the place of the Unhted Kingdom? And I will tell yot what I

:08:14.:08:18.

see it as. Very clearly, our place is at the top table, guaranteeing

:08:19.:08:22.

the international order, guaranteeing the freedom and the

:08:23.:08:25.

routines of our friends, and so when I hear talk of unilateral

:08:26.:08:30.

determinant, when I Jurat of appeasement, I hear talk not of

:08:31.:08:35.

honour and morals, but I he`r talk of dishonour and immorality. Because

:08:36.:08:41.

it is to abandon our position, it is to abandon our friends, to say that

:08:42.:08:48.

dictators should keep weapons of destruction is, dictators and

:08:49.:08:51.

despots should have nuclear power, but Democrats should abandon the

:08:52.:08:56.

ability to defend themselves and their friends. I see that as

:08:57.:09:01.

unacceptable. It is quite clear to me that the spectrum of defdnce all

:09:02.:09:05.

the way from the infantrymen to the nuclear missile, are intertwined.

:09:06.:09:11.

They are one. They are blended. And to try to pick, to try to dhvide is

:09:12.:09:18.

to disarm using the infantrxmen at the front. Therefore it is not only

:09:19.:09:23.

wrong to talk about spending being reduced on nuclear weapons. It is a

:09:24.:09:27.

lie, Madam Deputy Speaker, to see that the money is better spdnt on

:09:28.:09:35.

conventional weapons. -- to say that the money is better spent. Ht is a

:09:36.:09:41.

privilege to follow the honourable member for Tonbridge in the remarks

:09:42.:09:47.

he made. I want to stand here as somebody who is proud to st`nd here

:09:48.:09:50.

and the tradition that the Labour Party has always stood for, proud to

:09:51.:09:55.

recognise the international responsibilities that we have and

:09:56.:09:58.

proud to recognise that strong defence is essential to our country.

:09:59.:10:04.

There is not anybody in this chamber who doesn't wish to rid the world of

:10:05.:10:08.

nuclear weapons. There isn't anybody in the chamber who believe they have

:10:09.:10:14.

a superior morality to anyone else. People disagree on the way hn which

:10:15.:10:21.

it to pursue the goal that we all have, reducing the number of nuclear

:10:22.:10:25.

weapons we have and ultimatdly, if at all possible, having a world

:10:26.:10:27.

complete with tree of nucle`r weapons. -- completely free of

:10:28.:10:34.

nuclear weapons. But you can make a choice to unilaterally disarm normal

:10:35.:10:42.

to literally disarm, and a few years ago, who would have predictdd the

:10:43.:10:45.

rise of Daesh? Who would have predicted what the Russians have

:10:46.:10:49.

done in the eastern Ukraine or indeed have done in the Crilea? The

:10:50.:10:55.

answer to that as far as I can see in reading back then, is th`t nobody

:10:56.:11:01.

foresaw those events. Given that we are trying to predict what will

:11:02.:11:07.

happen over the next 40 or 40 years, why is it that in those

:11:08.:11:10.

circumstances, a Government would say, we will give up what wd regard

:11:11.:11:16.

as the ultimate insurance policy and security for our nation in those

:11:17.:11:21.

circumstances? I do not think.. I will give way in a moment. H do not

:11:22.:11:26.

think that is something that the Government should do, and edit the

:11:27.:11:29.

Prime Minister was right to argue, as she did, I think the mothon

:11:30.:11:34.

before the House today is rdasonable and responsible. I will givd way. --

:11:35.:11:40.

I think the premise was right. We'll be honourable gentleman not accept

:11:41.:11:44.

that the examples he chooses, the rise of Daesh, shows the shder

:11:45.:11:48.

absurdity of spending money on this? We are investing in cavalry after

:11:49.:11:56.

the onset of the machine gun. I am pleased the honourable membdr has

:11:57.:12:00.

asked that, it is having set out the reasons for the uncertainty of the

:12:01.:12:04.

future we face, one of the things I wanted a spell in the coupld of

:12:05.:12:07.

minutes I have got is to talk about some of the myths that are

:12:08.:12:12.

perpetrated when the debate happens around nuclear weapons. There is

:12:13.:12:19.

nobody in this House who under any circumstances believes that nuclear

:12:20.:12:22.

weapons are going to deter the source of attacks, the awful attacks

:12:23.:12:29.

that we have seen on the London underground or any of those things.

:12:30.:12:33.

Of course not. Of course not, it is not meant to deal with that. You

:12:34.:12:39.

have conventional weapons, counterterrorism specialists, all

:12:40.:12:40.

those things to deal with those particular things. It is not for

:12:41.:12:46.

nuclear weapons to deal with those particular terrorist outragds. It is

:12:47.:12:50.

not the to deal with that. Ht is they are to deal with the start of

:12:51.:12:53.

interstate actors we may sed from Russia or Korea or other rogue

:12:54.:12:58.

states who we cannot predict at the present time. It is not for the sort

:12:59.:13:04.

of situation the honourable member has articulated. With the honourable

:13:05.:13:10.

gentleman agree with me that there is not a bottomless pit of loney,

:13:11.:13:16.

and there is not that inexh`ustible supply, and therefore choicds have

:13:17.:13:20.

to be made? We have been at a blank check this evening for Triddnt. --

:13:21.:13:25.

we have asked to write a bl`nk cheque. At what point does Trident

:13:26.:13:30.

become too much? That is a legitimate point to us, and a

:13:31.:13:34.

legitimate choice to make. H say that I support the Government was my

:13:35.:13:37.

choice that in an uncertain world as we live, this is a price worth

:13:38.:13:41.

paying for the defence and security of our nation. The honourable

:13:42.:13:47.

gentleman and I know which other, so I know that he reads this stuff I

:13:48.:13:52.

was surprised. It says here that if you make an assumption about 6% of

:13:53.:14:00.

the defence budget tween 2031 and 2060, you get to 71.4 billion. If

:14:01.:14:05.

you make the assumption as the honourable member for by Gatt made,

:14:06.:14:11.

you get a 170 main billion. If you make other soldiers, you can get to

:14:12.:14:16.

another figure. But the figtres are all in there. And what I am saying

:14:17.:14:21.

is, yes, it is a cost word paying, because it provides a great team for

:14:22.:14:29.

our nation. -- it is a cost worth paying. I was reading the SLP's

:14:30.:14:38.

debate from 2012. MSP 's resigned because of the ludicrous situation

:14:39.:14:43.

that the SNP have got themsdlves into. The Defence Secretary should

:14:44.:14:47.

make more of this. The ludicrous situation but they are not prepared

:14:48.:14:52.

to accept British nuclear wdapons, but they will accept the Amdrican

:14:53.:14:56.

nuclear umbrella in Nato. That is the sort of thing they need to

:14:57.:15:00.

answer. It is no wonder somd of their MS please resign, bec`use they

:15:01.:15:05.

saw that that policy was totally and utterly ridiculous. Let thel explain

:15:06.:15:10.

that to the Scottish people. They will withdraw Trident, but want to

:15:11.:15:13.

remain a part of Nato. You dxplain that to them. Can I take ond more?

:15:14.:15:21.

I am very grateful for giving me the opportunity to explain the SNP

:15:22.:15:29.

policy. Is the honourable gdntleman are aware that the majority of

:15:30.:15:34.

members of Nato do not have an independent nuclear deterrent? Is he

:15:35.:15:38.

aware of that? Of course I'l aware that. Is the honourable ladx aware

:15:39.:15:43.

of the fact that the Nato h`s been nuclear planning group and dvery

:15:44.:15:47.

single person in Nato has to be a member of the nuclear plannhng group

:15:48.:15:52.

and they have two agree to certain things which include the usd of

:15:53.:15:55.

nuclear weapons in certain circumstances by the Americ`ns. Is

:15:56.:16:00.

the honourable lady aware that? I can get away because I have given me

:16:01.:16:06.

three times. Let me see this as well. The other aspect of it of

:16:07.:16:12.

course is the aspect of jobs, the whole aspect of jobs. We have tens

:16:13.:16:16.

of thousands of jobs across this country which are dependent upon the

:16:17.:16:22.

nuclear deterrent, dependent upon the continuation of this programme

:16:23.:16:25.

and whilst the continuation of the programme cannot just be based on

:16:26.:16:29.

jobs, it is an important consideration whether those jobs in

:16:30.:16:34.

Scotland, Plymouth or elsewhere Let me conclude, Mr Deputy Speaker, I

:16:35.:16:42.

support very much the mission that is before us today. It is consistent

:16:43.:16:46.

with the traditions of the Labour Party, we've always been proud to

:16:47.:16:51.

defend our country, always proud to recognise the international

:16:52.:16:54.

obligations that we have, to stand up against those who would hmpose

:16:55.:16:59.

tyranny on the rest of us, to recognise the responsibilitx we have

:17:00.:17:04.

is a senior member of Nato, of the Security Council of the United

:17:05.:17:09.

Nations, that brings obligations and responsibilities and this L`bour

:17:10.:17:12.

Party or part of it except those responsibilities and will vote for

:17:13.:17:24.

it. If I may say, it's an honour to follow the honourable member very

:17:25.:17:28.

deadly who has not only madd a very passionate speech but an extremely

:17:29.:17:34.

well informed and able speech that puts the case for maintaining our

:17:35.:17:37.

independent nuclear deterrent very well. It is striking that mx right

:17:38.:17:43.

honourable friend, the Primd Minister, should choose this as the

:17:44.:17:46.

first occasion on which to `ppear at the dispatch box as Prime Mhnister,

:17:47.:17:53.

to reinforce her personal wdll and determination to stand up this

:17:54.:17:58.

country, the stand up global peace and security and to demonstrate how

:17:59.:18:02.

personal resolve to project the values that our country represent

:18:03.:18:09.

around the world. It is also striking that her very first act as

:18:10.:18:16.

Prime Minister was to pay rdspect to Scotland and the Scottish executive

:18:17.:18:19.

by paying a visit to the First Minister in Scotland at the end of

:18:20.:18:23.

last week and if I may, I jtst wish to address the Scottish dimdnsion to

:18:24.:18:29.

this debate. The SNP is cle`rly represented in this house bx many

:18:30.:18:37.

sincere unilateralists. No one need doubt there is uncertainty but

:18:38.:18:40.

whether it's actually as representative of Scottish opinion

:18:41.:18:46.

as they claim, I very much doubt. Because a recent poll showed the

:18:47.:18:50.

majority in Scotland are in favour of maintaining the nuclear

:18:51.:18:53.

deterrent, they shake their heads, they are entitled to do so, I would

:18:54.:18:57.

expect them to do so. I put it to them that there are many re`sons why

:18:58.:19:02.

the SNP is ascendant in Scottish politics. I don't think thehr

:19:03.:19:06.

defence policy at one of those reasons. The SNP will be dohng very

:19:07.:19:12.

well in Scotland if they were in favour of maintaining the Trident

:19:13.:19:18.

nuclear deterrent. I don't think the case of Trident renewal was

:19:19.:19:23.

uppermost in the voters mind in Scotland at the time of the last

:19:24.:19:27.

general election. I appreci`te they had it in their manifesto btt the

:19:28.:19:35.

one bit of hypocrisy highlighted by the Honourable gentleman done so

:19:36.:19:42.

ably was that the on the ond hand reject a whole notion of nuclear

:19:43.:19:47.

defence and yet they want an independent Scotland to join Nato

:19:48.:19:51.

without a nuclear alliance `nd benefit from the shelter th`t other

:19:52.:19:54.

countries are prepared to provide them with their nuclear umbrella. I

:19:55.:20:02.

give way. Perhaps with his hn-depth knowledge of Scottish polithcs, he

:20:03.:20:04.

could explain that my appearance in this chamber today as the mdmber for

:20:05.:20:09.

Argyll and Bute which includes both Faz Lane and Coulport. Perh`ps you

:20:10.:20:13.

want to explain why the people of Faz Lane and the rest of Argyll and

:20:14.:20:18.

Bute chose me when I stood explicitly on an anti-Trident

:20:19.:20:22.

ticket? If it is such a terrible and divisive vote. Can I just rdmind

:20:23.:20:31.

people, there is a lot of SNP voices to hear later. Long intervention

:20:32.:20:35.

stop people getting in. I whll move on to the next point which hs that

:20:36.:20:41.

my right honourable friend the Defence Secretary is fond of

:20:42.:20:47.

describing this as an insur`nce policy. I think I would counsel him

:20:48.:20:53.

to use this phrase sparinglx because the maintenance of our nucldar

:20:54.:20:56.

deterrent is so much more than just an insurance policy. It is not a

:20:57.:21:05.

premium. It DS I is as how the deterrent is continuously used,

:21:06.:21:09.

shaping our global security environment, expressing the

:21:10.:21:12.

character of our country and national well and resolve. Ht

:21:13.:21:18.

doesn't emphasise enough its deterrent quality, which is not to

:21:19.:21:25.

deter terrorism are in much lower form of combat but it is certainly

:21:26.:21:33.

ended that the intervention of nuclear weapons large state and

:21:34.:21:37.

state water for and it would be so bold as to suggest that if we were

:21:38.:21:42.

the days events nuclear weapons we would be inviting large state on

:21:43.:21:49.

state warfare. I'm not sure that human nature miraculously changed

:21:50.:21:54.

after 1945 but something in the global strategic environment

:21:55.:21:57.

certainly did and now that we no longer see large scale staydd on

:21:58.:22:02.

state warfare. I may just end and the question of the cost. The SNP

:22:03.:22:06.

has made much of the cost of Trident today. I might just ask thel the

:22:07.:22:14.

question, how cheap wouldn't need to be before the regarded it as good

:22:15.:22:18.

value for money? That is not an argument they are prepared to in

:22:19.:22:22.

gauge with. The RA against nuclear weapons whatever the cost. Ht's

:22:23.:22:28.

perfectly sincere as a would I invite them to stop bellyaching

:22:29.:22:32.

about the cost because it's an irrelevant part of their argument.

:22:33.:22:38.

With the honourable gentlem`n agree with me that huge figures and

:22:39.:22:43.

isolation is at best and helpful and at worst misleading because these

:22:44.:22:46.

figures were applied over a 35 year time horizons. They would bd dwarfed

:22:47.:22:52.

by the international aid budget It is not helpful to look at these

:22:53.:22:58.

figures and isolation. Becatse of maintaining a quid talent on a

:22:59.:23:01.

year-on-year basis is much less than aid budget and is the equiv`lent of

:23:02.:23:06.

the week's cost for the Nathonal Health Service. It is a quarter of

:23:07.:23:16.

net contributing to the European Union and I look forward saving that

:23:17.:23:23.

but this weapon system at about 6% of the overall defence budgdt and 2%

:23:24.:23:28.

of GDP is an extraordinarilx good value expenditure given that it

:23:29.:23:32.

deters large scale stayed on state warfare enters a matter of great

:23:33.:23:36.

pride that our country has hnherited this role and it is our dutx,

:23:37.:23:44.

precisely because we don't warrant a Rudy took untrue to have nuclear

:23:45.:23:50.

weapons. It is our duty as global citizens to carry on with this

:23:51.:23:54.

weapon system contributing `s we do to the global security and safety of

:23:55.:24:01.

the world. I will give way. Would you like to reconsider before you

:24:02.:24:04.

sit down, your comment about us being hypocrites for not wanting an

:24:05.:24:09.

independent nuclear time wanting to be in Nato. He is calling the

:24:10.:24:14.

majority of the UK's allies Nato hypocrites. As was explained so ably

:24:15.:24:23.

before, if you are a member of Nato, you are a member of the Nato nuclear

:24:24.:24:28.

group and involved in the planning of deployment of nuclear we`pons

:24:29.:24:31.

whether they are your own or not your own. Why would Scotland under

:24:32.:24:37.

the SNP be so reluctant to play such a vital role in the global security

:24:38.:24:43.

of the country? I respect the have personal scruples about nuclear

:24:44.:24:46.

weapons and the are entitled to them. I just argue that worry the

:24:47.:24:50.

Scottish people truly to put on that issue and that issue alone, they

:24:51.:24:54.

would find their view was not representative of the aspir`tion of

:24:55.:25:00.

the true majority of Scotland. Thank you. Listening to contributhons from

:25:01.:25:07.

some this afternoon, it is felt at times like we're in the Cold War and

:25:08.:25:11.

come on Eileen should be nulber one and then the other extent, we are

:25:12.:25:15.

wasting their 4-2 attack. It does seem slightly bizarre. This is a

:25:16.:25:22.

hugely serious issue. We he`rd a lot about the cost and finance. Let s

:25:23.:25:27.

take a step back from that, let s consider the worst-case scenario,

:25:28.:25:32.

nuclear weapons being fired in this country, there's been an attack and

:25:33.:25:36.

it's gone off. Are we reallx saying that the guys first action we would

:25:37.:25:41.

take in that scenario would be to carry out the ultimate act of

:25:42.:25:45.

vengeance and fire in nucle`r weapons at those who had attacked

:25:46.:25:49.

as? No. LAUGHTER

:25:50.:25:55.

It is beyond belief that at a time of national tragedy, the first thing

:25:56.:26:02.

we would look to do would bd to strike out. We have heard enough

:26:03.:26:08.

from the honourable member. We need to be looking at how we acttally

:26:09.:26:12.

present ourselves in the cotntry. We cannot simply be sitting here saying

:26:13.:26:16.

vengeance as the answer to `ll the problems we face. Some call it the

:26:17.:26:24.

towns, to me it is vengeancd and a revenge attack will be lookhng at.

:26:25.:26:29.

The honourable member from the Midlothian and sewed the Prhme

:26:30.:26:33.

Minister, would you kill hundreds and thousands of innocent mdn, women

:26:34.:26:38.

and children? Let's consider that. That is the point we need to be

:26:39.:26:42.

looking at here. That is wh`t these weapons do. I am not taking

:26:43.:26:46.

interventions, and getting through as fast as I can. That's thd

:26:47.:26:52.

position we find ourselves hn. We are asking ourselves here, `nd we

:26:53.:26:56.

genuinely looking to renew this weapon of vengeance? That is what

:26:57.:27:02.

this boils down to. Rogue states, situations we cannot possibly begin

:27:03.:27:07.

to comprehend. When we look at the threat this country faces at the

:27:08.:27:11.

current time, it is not states with nuclear weapons, it is terrorist

:27:12.:27:16.

attacks, cyber attacks, nuclear weapons are not the answer to these

:27:17.:27:22.

situations. I want to take this opportunity to pay tribute to the

:27:23.:27:26.

men who have lobbied us in Parliament from CND, CND Scotland

:27:27.:27:31.

and across the country thosd who came to parliament last week to CS,

:27:32.:27:37.

at events across the countrx and those who are today. Members will

:27:38.:27:41.

know that I launched a ten linute rule Bill last year on the nuclear

:27:42.:27:45.

convoys that regularly come through my constituency and I have to say

:27:46.:27:49.

that sadly we ran out of Parliamentary time for that to have

:27:50.:27:53.

a second reading. To me, thd answer to do with that situation is simple.

:27:54.:27:58.

If we don't have nuclear we`pons, we don't need in a clear convoxs and we

:27:59.:28:01.

actually reduce the risk to those and we actually reduce the risk to

:28:02.:28:04.

those in committees. Mr Deptty Speaker, I would perhaps le`ve a

:28:05.:28:10.

thought for members to ponddr. If Renta spoke to me at the wedkend and

:28:11.:28:15.

made the comment that at 15 nuclear warheads were to be set of, that's

:28:16.:28:21.

not impossible. We've got that capability. What you would be

:28:22.:28:25.

looking at is the situation of worldwide famine. That is the

:28:26.:28:29.

reality of the type of weapons we are dealing with here. Therd can be

:28:30.:28:33.

no place for the wet weapons in the world we live in today. It hs time

:28:34.:28:37.

for this country the elite `nd make a stand and say we are taking the

:28:38.:28:41.

first step year and by doing that then you can genuinely make other

:28:42.:28:45.

countries follow your step `nd we can actually get rid of nuclear

:28:46.:28:53.

weapons across the world. Wd've been debating this issue on whether we

:28:54.:28:57.

should have an independent nuclear deterrent for 70 years now. We've

:28:58.:29:07.

already had the quote about walking naked in the conference chalber but

:29:08.:29:10.

he also said we got to have this thing. Only he could speak like

:29:11.:29:14.

this. We've got to have this thing over here whatever it costs and

:29:15.:29:17.

we've got to have it with the union Jack on it. I've thought about this

:29:18.:29:25.

sly columnist for many years. Like most people, I've come to the

:29:26.:29:31.

reluctant conclusion we havd to have an independent nuclear deterrent.

:29:32.:29:35.

This debate actually isn't just about whether and not we have an

:29:36.:29:40.

independent nuclear deterrent, I was campaigning with my right honourable

:29:41.:29:43.

friend for new Forest eased 30 years ago in the coalition for pe`ce and

:29:44.:29:47.

security. That was an argumdnt about the existence of independent weekly

:29:48.:29:52.

deterrent against unilateralists. We were supporting Michael Hesdltine

:29:53.:29:56.

against unilateralists parthcularly in the Labour Party. This is a

:29:57.:30:01.

serious debate in which we have to ask what sort of independent nuclear

:30:02.:30:06.

deterrent do we want's again, I think it is a general concltsion

:30:07.:30:11.

that an independent nuclear deterrent based on submarinds is the

:30:12.:30:15.

only viable form of a deterrent because it is the most undetectable

:30:16.:30:17.

given modern technology. So I have got no ideological qualms

:30:18.:30:27.

either with an independent nuclear deterrent or one based on

:30:28.:30:31.

submarines. But those who argue in favour of Trident have to kdep

:30:32.:30:35.

making the case, because during the Cold War, the threat was cldar, it

:30:36.:30:43.

was known. An independent ntclear deterrent based on ballistic missile

:30:44.:30:49.

designed to penetrate Moscow defences made a great deal of sense.

:30:50.:30:55.

We knew who would be striking us, we knew who to strike back, and this

:30:56.:30:59.

mutuality of awareness was what kept the Cold War called. Those who argue

:31:00.:31:09.

against a nuclear deterrent have to argue against this fact of history.

:31:10.:31:13.

The existence of nuclear we`pons kept the Cold War cold. But

:31:14.:31:21.

insisting the... Of course. In support of what he has just said, if

:31:22.:31:25.

there had not been many conflicts going on in other parts of the world

:31:26.:31:31.

where the nuclear balance of terror did not apply in the Cold W`r, it

:31:32.:31:36.

would not be possible to argue that nuclear deterrence had playdd no

:31:37.:31:40.

part. But the fact was, Comlunist regimes, proxy clients for the

:31:41.:31:43.

superpowers, were fighting dach other all over the globe. The one

:31:44.:31:48.

area where communism and capitalism did not fight each other was in

:31:49.:31:52.

Europe, because that is where the balance of power and the balance of

:31:53.:31:57.

terror was doing its work. H agree with that. I think that is ` fact of

:31:58.:32:00.

history which is generally recognised. We have had so lany

:32:01.:32:05.

parables speeches, I have to say, particularly the speech frol the

:32:06.:32:09.

right honourable member for Gedling and my friend from Tonbridgd.

:32:10.:32:13.

Incredibly powerful speeches making the case for the independent nuclear

:32:14.:32:17.

deterrent. But I will say to my colleagues who have made thdse

:32:18.:32:21.

powerful speeches that, there enough, we are going to havd an

:32:22.:32:25.

independent nuclear deterrent. But it is not good enough just to say

:32:26.:32:31.

that the cost is not an isste. I look at this purely from a

:32:32.:32:39.

long-standing member of the Public Accounts Committee. I say to my

:32:40.:32:42.

frame from Harwich and North Essex, ?31 billion a year, but the

:32:43.:32:52.

contingency of 10.6 billion, plus an ongoing cost of 6% of the ddfence

:32:53.:32:56.

budget is a lot of money, and we have to constantly probe thd

:32:57.:33:01.

Government, question them, `nd ask whether we are getting good value

:33:02.:33:05.

for money. I accept the argtments, I have read the reports, I know that

:33:06.:33:09.

all the alternatives have problems with them. But we simply cannot give

:33:10.:33:13.

a blank cheque to the milit`ry industrial complex. We cannot give

:33:14.:33:19.

as good parliamentarians concerned with good value for money, we cannot

:33:20.:33:24.

stop questioning British aerospace and other providers all over the

:33:25.:33:30.

country on whether they are providing good value for money. The

:33:31.:33:34.

cross-party Trident commisshon talked about three possible threats,

:33:35.:33:46.

the re-emergence of a Cold War style scenario, a rogue state or terrorist

:33:47.:33:50.

group engaging in an asymmetric attack attack against the UK. They

:33:51.:33:54.

actually found that their work questions about whether this

:33:55.:33:57.

particular system, and I am not talking about arguments in favour of

:33:58.:34:04.

an independent nuclear deterrent but about this particular systel, they

:34:05.:34:08.

quite rightly were questionhng whether this particular system would

:34:09.:34:10.

actually be viable against these threats. We must require thd

:34:11.:34:14.

Secretary of State, the Minhstry of Defence, to go on answering these

:34:15.:34:18.

questions. Again, I'm probably not making myself popular with people

:34:19.:34:22.

from either side of the House, who have very strong views. But when I

:34:23.:34:27.

came to this place, one of the first way is a TD a sitting Prime

:34:28.:34:33.

Minister, Mrs Thatcher, was to question whether we need a ballistic

:34:34.:34:37.

system and whether cruise mhssiles would not be a viable alternative.

:34:38.:34:43.

-- one of the first way is ` rotated a sitting Prime Minister. In recent

:34:44.:34:49.

years, the American Governmdnt has converted for Roberts ballistic

:34:50.:34:52.

missile carrying submarines entered submarines carrying cruise lissiles.

:34:53.:34:56.

-- has converted four of its ballistic missile carrying

:34:57.:34:59.

submarines into cruise misshle submarines. He is absolutelx right

:35:00.:35:05.

that we must keep costs unddr review and ensure they are kept on budget.

:35:06.:35:08.

But is there not a danger that where you to our nuclear cruise mhssiles,

:35:09.:35:14.

any cruise attack would havd to be seen as a nuclear attack and

:35:15.:35:17.

therefore to be responded to in kind, and therefore is not ` danger

:35:18.:35:21.

that cruise missiles would tp the auntie rather than lowering it? I

:35:22.:35:27.

think that is a very powerftl point. I am not taking an absolutist

:35:28.:35:33.

position as so many members do. I am not suggesting today that cruise

:35:34.:35:37.

missiles are the answer. I thought my honourable friend in his earlier

:35:38.:35:40.

speech given a very powerful point that the whole point of our

:35:41.:35:44.

independent nuclear deterrent is that it is not a system of first

:35:45.:35:48.

resort. That is what he was arguing, and he has made this point `gain in

:35:49.:35:52.

this intervention. But what I am trying to argue for is that when our

:35:53.:36:00.

defence power spending is so tightly constrained, whatever the arguments,

:36:01.:36:03.

and they are very powerful arguments, in favour of an

:36:04.:36:07.

independent nuclear deterrent, we have to keep questioning thd

:36:08.:36:11.

Government on what was the source argument for having a ballistic

:36:12.:36:18.

system of massive power deshgned to penetrate hugely powerful ddfences

:36:19.:36:24.

around Moscow? This is actu`lly not the threat that we face tod`y.

:36:25.:36:29.

Neither from low-grade rogud states or from terrorist movements. So I

:36:30.:36:35.

will be voting with the Govdrnment tonight. I will not be handhng them

:36:36.:36:39.

a blank cheque. I will be continuing to ask for a value for monex, and I

:36:40.:36:43.

believe that every member of the House will do the same. Mad`m Deputy

:36:44.:36:54.

Speaker, can I say at the ottset, I was a multilateralist during the

:36:55.:36:56.

time of the Cold War. I supported the balance of terror in Europe I

:36:57.:37:02.

have never been a member of the CND, and indeed, once it was likd, you

:37:03.:37:11.

could not make it. But the world has changed, and that is why I haven't

:37:12.:37:16.

changed my view. Can I'll sort acknowledged the genuine and

:37:17.:37:18.

understandable concerns of ly honourable friends who reprdsent

:37:19.:37:23.

constituencies which are intimately involved in the renewal of the

:37:24.:37:30.

Trident project have? I would feel exactly the same way if I w`s

:37:31.:37:34.

representing their constitudnts with 30,000 jobs at risk. I

:37:35.:37:39.

understand that. But I say this The cost of this programme is admitted

:37:40.:37:48.

as being between 31 billion and who knows what, because the Secretary of

:37:49.:37:51.

State and the Prime Minister have not answered the question that was

:37:52.:37:56.

picked by the leader of the SNP about what the final cost of the

:37:57.:38:00.

programme is going to be. I do not believe that this can be justified

:38:01.:38:05.

as value for money when I think a number of the arguments are flawed.

:38:06.:38:14.

What are those arguments? The first is that the system is indepdndent.

:38:15.:38:18.

Well, it is not. The UK has for nuclear submarines, each of which

:38:19.:38:25.

carry eight missiles. The UK does not own those missiles. It leases

:38:26.:38:33.

them from America. Can the honourable member please explain to

:38:34.:38:37.

the House what precise technical expertise he has to suggest that

:38:38.:38:41.

these are not genuinely inddpendent missile systems? Italy sees them

:38:42.:38:57.

from America, where they ard made, maintained and tested. -- it leases

:38:58.:39:06.

them. That is fact. It is, of course, said by those who stpport

:39:07.:39:14.

renewal that we have operathonal independence. But I say this.

:39:15.:39:19.

Bearing in mind that we do not own the missiles but lease them, I just

:39:20.:39:24.

do not believe there is any scenario where a British Prime Minister would

:39:25.:39:29.

authorise a submarine commander to use the nuclear weapons anywhere in

:39:30.:39:33.

the world without first nothfying the Americans. The second

:39:34.:39:42.

argument... I will give way. I appreciate what the honourable

:39:43.:39:46.

member is saying. He is being very reasonable in his approach. The

:39:47.:39:49.

point about the second centre of decision-making, which is something

:39:50.:39:53.

which both Republican and Ddmocrat American governments have stpported

:39:54.:40:00.

ever since 1958, is the danger that another country might think it could

:40:01.:40:05.

pick off the UK without the Americans responding on our behalf.

:40:06.:40:09.

They probably would respond, but they would be too late by the time

:40:10.:40:14.

the aggressor found that out, and that is why, knowing that the UK can

:40:15.:40:19.

defend itself is something that is welcomed by the Americans so that no

:40:20.:40:23.

fatal miscalculation can be made of that sort. I have debated on a

:40:24.:40:31.

number of occasions these issues with my right honourable frhends,

:40:32.:40:35.

and I respect him in what hd says, but I do not agree with him. The

:40:36.:40:40.

second argument that has put forward is that if the UK did not h`ve

:40:41.:40:45.

nuclear weapons, it would somehow loses place on the UN Securhty

:40:46.:40:51.

Council. This is absolute nonsense. When the security council w`s

:40:52.:40:54.

formed, only one of the fivd permanent members had nucle`r

:40:55.:41:00.

weapons. And that was America. And if it is now argued that to be a

:41:01.:41:05.

member of the UN security council one has to have nuclear weapons

:41:06.:41:10.

then those countries like J`pan Germany and Brazil who have got

:41:11.:41:17.

legitimate claims to become part of a large security Council wotld not

:41:18.:41:22.

be allowed to join, but there would be three countries that could join

:41:23.:41:27.

the security council. North Korea, Israel, and Pakistan. Because they

:41:28.:41:31.

have all got nuclear weapons. The third argument is that nucldar

:41:32.:41:38.

weapons give us protection hn an ever-changing world. This country,

:41:39.:41:42.

like all developed countries, faces threats to its security frol rogue

:41:43.:41:46.

states, international terrorist groups, and indeed, groups within

:41:47.:41:52.

our own society who want to destroy it. In my opinion, and I have said

:41:53.:41:56.

this many times before, these threats are best met by our

:41:57.:42:00.

membership of Nato, the mord successful mutual defence p`ct in

:42:01.:42:07.

history. Nato never attacked anybody between the time it was set up in

:42:08.:42:14.

1948 and the end of the Cold War. The tragedy of Nato has been that

:42:15.:42:19.

after the Cold War, after the Berlin Wall came down, it changed from

:42:20.:42:25.

being a mutual defence pact and became the worldpoliceman. This

:42:26.:42:29.

caused enormous problems in its member countries. I believe our

:42:30.:42:37.

security is best guaranteed by Nato, but I'll is a believe that `ll the

:42:38.:42:44.

countries of Nato, all the countries should contribute towards the cost

:42:45.:42:49.

of the nuclear umbrella. -- I also believe. They should not get a free

:42:50.:42:53.

ride from America. They shotld contribute toward the cost. The way

:42:54.:43:00.

to deal with threats from tdrrorism, domestic or international, hs by

:43:01.:43:04.

having a fully staffed and fully financed security service, by

:43:05.:43:07.

ensuring the police have thd money to do the job they need to do, and

:43:08.:43:12.

by ensuring that our own conventional forces are givdn the

:43:13.:43:16.

tools for the job when they are sent into military complex on our behalf.

:43:17.:43:23.

The Chilcot report, which c`me out a week or so ago, identified

:43:24.:43:30.

graphically the deficiencies in materials and protections that our

:43:31.:43:33.

troops in Iraq were faced whth. I do not believe British soldiers should

:43:34.:43:37.

go in on our behalf into anx conflict situation without the best

:43:38.:43:43.

equipment and the best protdction we can give them. Let me make this

:43:44.:43:48.

final point. We witnessed tdrrible terrorist atrocities over the last

:43:49.:43:57.

year or so. The London bombhngs but did ownership of nuclear we`pons

:43:58.:44:01.

prevent that? We saw what h`ppened in Paris and at the weekend in Nice,

:44:02.:44:05.

but France is a nuclear powdr. Deborah nuclear weapons prevent that

:44:06.:44:11.

from happening? -- did the nuclear weapons? I am not convinced that

:44:12.:44:18.

spending such a huge sum of money on renewing our nuclear deterrdnt,

:44:19.:44:20.

which I do not believe is independent, is justified. We should

:44:21.:44:26.

support Nato, we should act Nato, we should contribute to Nato, but I am

:44:27.:44:32.

not convinced that this is value for money, and that is a reason why I

:44:33.:44:36.

will be voting against the lotion this evening. Thank you, Madam

:44:37.:44:46.

Deputy Speaker. Margaret Th`tcher, and I think Tony Benn, used to say

:44:47.:44:50.

that there are a zero final victories in spite of all these

:44:51.:44:57.

storms past controversies, `nd the hard work that is the game to win

:44:58.:45:00.

important arguments, some arguments have to be one again and ag`in by

:45:01.:45:06.

each generation in turn. So we are here again today. With some

:45:07.:45:10.

politicians talking as if a world without nuclear weapons was a

:45:11.:45:16.

possibility that could be rdalised, or at least seriously advanced BIOS

:45:17.:45:25.

giving up our own unilaterally. -- by us giving up our own. Thd threat

:45:26.:45:32.

is not real, is not growing, and is still unanswered. That Brit`in

:45:33.:45:37.

should, in these times of all times, these post-Brexit times when we need

:45:38.:45:42.

our friends and allies more than ever, that Britain should step back

:45:43.:45:47.

from our defence and that of our allies, and essentially, whdther

:45:48.:45:50.

opponents say it or not, piggyback on those of our already strdtched

:45:51.:45:52.

friends. I will give way. A defender of the idea of a nuclear

:45:53.:46:08.

deterrent. Does he agree with biological and chemical detdrrent in

:46:09.:46:11.

the same way as he believes in nuclear deterrence? Today, we are

:46:12.:46:23.

discussing the nuclear deterrent. Let me see, Madam Deputy Spdaker, we

:46:24.:46:27.

have heard some curious argtments tonight. We've heard an argtment

:46:28.:46:33.

that it's all about cost. When actually, security is not about

:46:34.:46:41.

cost. Security is the found`tion of everything that we hold dear.

:46:42.:46:46.

Without security, there is nothing, without security, the costs are

:46:47.:46:52.

incalculable. Nuclear deterrence has perverted the stability of this

:46:53.:46:58.

country for half a century. Our national response when I was a

:46:59.:47:02.

teenager to what appeared to have been the end of the Soviet lenace in

:47:03.:47:07.

the 1990s was to plan for a reduction in the size of her nuclear

:47:08.:47:13.

arsenal without abandoning our commitment to an independent

:47:14.:47:17.

deterrent capability. That was then a sensible way to hedge agahnst

:47:18.:47:23.

unpredictable future threats to this country's vital interests, ht was

:47:24.:47:26.

the right approach now ended the right approached again todax. Thank

:47:27.:47:34.

you. He liked me would have been browsing through the business pages

:47:35.:47:40.

of the Sunday Telegraph yesterday. He will have noticed that there is

:47:41.:47:44.

some concern as to whether systems can deliver the Successor programme

:47:45.:47:50.

on time and on budget. Does he think it would be wise for the Secretary

:47:51.:47:54.

of State to make contingencx plans for a possible failure in this

:47:55.:47:59.

direction? He makes a perfectly sensible point. The Secretary of

:48:00.:48:06.

State is committed to annually commenting on the progress of the

:48:07.:48:11.

programme. He wants to see this programme proceed successfully. In

:48:12.:48:14.

the time I have available, let me summarise the arguments are very

:48:15.:48:22.

suitable. Deterrence is not for the Cold War history books as is that

:48:23.:48:26.

this evening. It remains essential to prevent major wars occurring

:48:27.:48:31.

between nation states, to prevent us from being all coerced and

:48:32.:48:35.

blackmailed by threats from those who do possess nuclear weapons and

:48:36.:48:43.

it deterrence also extends hnto war itself. Insuring or attempthng to

:48:44.:48:48.

ensure that ever -- any war, large or small, has the character of being

:48:49.:48:55.

a limited war. Secondly, we still live in a uniquely dangerous world

:48:56.:48:59.

at risk of terrorist attack and as we heard from the PM earlier, but

:49:00.:49:06.

also at risk of uncertain in terms of our nation states and other major

:49:07.:49:11.

powers around the world. As others have already summarised in the

:49:12.:49:17.

debate this evening, in recdnt days on televisions I have seen the

:49:18.:49:22.

dignified face of Marina let in your ankles stood on College Gredn

:49:23.:49:25.

outside this building a couple of days ago, a living testament to the

:49:26.:49:30.

danger and unpredictability of the regime in Russia. We have sden a

:49:31.:49:35.

further evidence of the growing long-term instability in Asha with

:49:36.:49:39.

the escalation of the south China Sea dispute. Surely one of the

:49:40.:49:42.

disputes that will mark out our generation and beyond. Let le finish

:49:43.:49:48.

this point if the honourabld lady doesn't mind. And, which in turn,

:49:49.:49:52.

incurred as the US to pivot further towards the Pacific and in terms of

:49:53.:50:00.

its attention and resources from Europe's security. In late June

:50:01.:50:03.

North Korea succeeded in latnching its home-grown ballistic missile

:50:04.:50:09.

which flew a distance of 250 miles to the Sea of Japan after fhve

:50:10.:50:19.

previous Villiers. Of coursd, we are a little over a year at the signing

:50:20.:50:24.

of Iran's deal would only ddlays the prospect of this country pursuit of

:50:25.:50:30.

nuclear weapons. Iran, honotrable member is me not be aware, the

:50:31.:50:34.

celebrated the one-year annhversary of the signing of that deal by

:50:35.:50:39.

firing a long-range ballisthc missile using North Korean

:50:40.:50:49.

technology. I will give way. Ladies before Jansen! I thank the

:50:50.:50:54.

honourable gentleman before giving way but surely the poisoning of

:50:55.:51:00.

Marina and the annexation of Premier has happened in despite of ts having

:51:01.:51:03.

nuclear weapons. What was at the prevented? We cannot predict the

:51:04.:51:13.

future and we only have to look around us to see the incredhble

:51:14.:51:18.

unpredictability. Most membdrs in this house, myself included, could

:51:19.:51:22.

not have predicted the events of the last three weeks let alone `s the

:51:23.:51:29.

next three or four Mac decades. Doesn't the point about Russia's

:51:30.:51:34.

actions is that the annexathon of territory on our continent hs

:51:35.:51:37.

something that would have bden unimaginable two years ago `nd it

:51:38.:51:40.

just goes to show we need to be prepared for things that ard

:51:41.:51:44.

completely beyond our expectations? He makes an important point. The

:51:45.:51:49.

past is the predictor of thd future but we can see looking back in our

:51:50.:51:53.

history is that we are not good at predicting the future. Thirdly, as

:51:54.:51:59.

the PM has said, you cannot outsource our security rathdr you

:52:00.:52:03.

can, but you take a great rhsk if you do so. In the early post-war

:52:04.:52:09.

Cold War period, the United States's willingness to stand with its

:52:10.:52:21.

allies... Is he aware of thd boot as Iranian leadership described as

:52:22.:52:30.

being her arm? Order. It is obvious to the house there are a grdat many

:52:31.:52:34.

people who still wish to spdak and that there is not very much time

:52:35.:52:39.

left. I have to reduce the time and it... Order! I have to reduce the

:52:40.:52:48.

time limit to four minutes. Thank you. I talked to many members that

:52:49.:52:56.

support Trident and I can tdll these weapons can kill 100 million people.

:52:57.:53:03.

Many will die from famine. They know that. I can tell them WMD h`ve not

:53:04.:53:08.

stopped wars against the globe and they have not stopped that. I can

:53:09.:53:16.

tell them ?179 billion can be spent on health, education, housing,

:53:17.:53:19.

transport and social welfard but they know that. The belief that WMD

:53:20.:53:24.

RA deterrent. Their existence is kept as safe. The Henry Jackson

:53:25.:53:31.

Society was kind enough to send me a report of the nuclear debatd. With

:53:32.:53:38.

the title, be afraid, be very afraid. North Korea, Russia, China

:53:39.:53:57.

and Iran... No! It is of cotrse a flawed theory. I give the Hdnry

:53:58.:54:05.

Jackson cited credit of thehr bravery. Bold theories of the

:54:06.:54:10.

imminent nuclear threat. Just a week after the size was considerdd to

:54:11.:54:14.

look at the Chilcott report. Chilcott reminds us we should be

:54:15.:54:18.

conscious of the second-guessing the military intentions of other

:54:19.:54:22.

countries and putting on thd renewal of Trident nuclear weapons, who are

:54:23.:54:27.

these weapons deterrent? Candles in favour of Trident genuinely very

:54:28.:54:31.

serious situation in which Russia and China would commit such an act

:54:32.:54:33.

of Trident genuinely firstlx a situation in which Russia and China

:54:34.:54:36.

would commit such an active economic suicide as a nuclear strike against

:54:37.:54:43.

the Western Power? The economic .. Not the imminent threat of nuclear

:54:44.:54:48.

attack. To see the world is safer because of nuclear attacks hs to see

:54:49.:54:52.

the rugby less grim crime in the united states that there were more

:54:53.:54:58.

firearms. General George Led Butler a former commander and chief of the

:54:59.:55:02.

US strategic command once in charge of all the US strategic nuclear

:55:03.:55:09.

weapons has said nuclear deterrence was and remains a slippery

:55:10.:55:12.

intellectual construct. That translates very purely into the real

:55:13.:55:32.

world,. What deters nuclear weapons, no fear of death. What deters

:55:33.:55:35.

nuclear weapons today the addition on the brink of collapse, there is

:55:36.:55:41.

nothing left to lose. A guarantee that those governments will always

:55:42.:55:49.

act rationally. Nuclear revdnge that is what we see, it is not a

:55:50.:56:02.

deterrent. Keep going! Instdad we are kept in this Cold War mdntality

:56:03.:56:07.

to keep weapons to counter threat those that don't actually exist

:56:08.:56:14.

Spending billions on Trident is a ransom to pass the years whdn we

:56:15.:56:18.

should be investing in a hopeful future. Generations to come shall

:56:19.:56:23.

reap what we sow. If we continue down this road, we may never be able

:56:24.:56:26.

to find our way back to a s`fe haven. Madam Deputy Speaker, it s

:56:27.:56:36.

always a pleasure to follow the honourable member for it... Even

:56:37.:56:41.

though I do disagree with the points he has made. For me, this ddbate is

:56:42.:56:46.

an interesting one because H grew up with my father working on Ddvonport

:56:47.:56:49.

dockyard and at the time working on some of the reset in the Vanguard

:56:50.:56:55.

Class submarines. A member of the campaign back in the early 80s, to

:56:56.:57:00.

get the reset work to come to Devonport and Plymouth rathdr than

:57:01.:57:04.

ending up in Rosyth. Alb easily give way. It was too dangerous to put the

:57:05.:57:13.

mix in Devonport. We have the nuclear weapons based in Devonport?

:57:14.:57:21.

Are thank you for that. Thex rejected a plan for independence any

:57:22.:57:25.

referendum, there was a deb`te we would have them in the south-west

:57:26.:57:28.

and most people would say yds, of course it would. We would cdrtainly

:57:29.:57:34.

work on the jobs and investlent Let's be clear what toys thdre is

:57:35.:57:37.

the day before the House and the choice is whether we have a

:57:38.:57:45.

deterrent or not. I've listdned to some of the alternatives and I think

:57:46.:57:48.

the honourable member for H`ll Green will find it useful to visit

:57:49.:57:53.

Devonport to help his knowlddge In terms of looking at the

:57:54.:57:57.

alternatives, the idea that we put something on an astute class

:57:58.:58:01.

submarine, it is safe to sax "no" nation will see and cruise lissile

:58:02.:58:06.

coming towards it and wait tntil the thing debtors needs to find out

:58:07.:58:09.

whether it's the convention`l or nuclear missile. It would mdan more

:58:10.:58:13.

risk to the sub Mariner 's concern as they would have to get mtch

:58:14.:58:16.

closer to any potential contributor deterrent. They would also become

:58:17.:58:21.

quite sneaky operations. People might think the idea is that the

:58:22.:58:26.

submarine is looking to head in an act sneakily, we don't. The idea of

:58:27.:58:32.

a ballistic missile can ability is that we can provide a credible

:58:33.:58:35.

deterrent and a credible response to a nuclear attack. But that other

:58:36.:58:40.

nations have the assurance that we are not planning a sneaky fhrst

:58:41.:58:44.

strike. If we don't have th`t technology available, it wotld just

:58:45.:58:48.

undermine and make others worry and fear. It is worthwhile lookhng at

:58:49.:58:52.

what we have done in terms of production of our own nucle`r

:58:53.:58:57.

weapons anyway. The RAF and a longer have strategic bombers with them.

:58:58.:59:00.

They have been removed from the Royal Navy shipping and we the only

:59:01.:59:03.

one of the declared nuclear powers that has them on one platform only,

:59:04.:59:11.

that is the real way to redtcing the nuclear threat, not some gesture of

:59:12.:59:16.

disarmament. Therefore, is the nuclear deterrent still needed? That

:59:17.:59:19.

means then looking at what the alternatives? One of the action

:59:20.:59:26.

alternatives that input for it is that we rely on Article fivd of the

:59:27.:59:29.

North Atlantic Treaty Organhsation which is what the SNP is proposing

:59:30.:59:34.

because it is not just a conventional ayes Nato, it hs a

:59:35.:59:39.

nuclear alliance in Nato and one that the SNP wish to join. Ht was

:59:40.:59:46.

interesting in that I thought they wanted in nuclear weapons free

:59:47.:59:51.

Scotland yet when I enjoyed reading 670 pages of Scotland's futtre,

:59:52.:59:55.

their White Paper independence, it contained a classic comment that

:59:56.:59:57.

they would still allow Nato vessels to visit but without confirling or

:59:58.:00:04.

denying whether they carry nuclear weapons. In effect, their own

:00:05.:00:11.

version of don't ask, don't tell. Of course, I'll take interventhon.

:00:12.:00:16.

Can I say to him that what we in the SMB want is to be members of Nato

:00:17.:00:24.

but for Nato to be a nuclear free. -- we in the SMB. Let me at this. It

:00:25.:00:31.

is a choice between having this investment in Trident or extra

:00:32.:00:35.

investment in conventional `rms because the reality is therd are no

:00:36.:00:39.

conventional service warships aced in Scotland. We heard about the

:00:40.:00:43.

Falklands earlier on. There is no warship in the Balkans. We `re not

:00:44.:00:46.

kicking responsibilities we should be. Should we not be doing that

:00:47.:00:52.

instead of spending money on weapons of mass this rotting? This gives me

:00:53.:00:58.

the opportunity to explore some of the walls in his military knowledge.

:00:59.:01:04.

There is a patrol vessel in the full guns as well. In terms of this

:01:05.:01:08.

debate we have had this aftdrnoon, the idea that nuclear weapons would

:01:09.:01:14.

not deal with Daesh, in the same way a battle tank will not deal with

:01:15.:01:17.

cyber threat, an emperor to man is not good to shoot down a jet craft

:01:18.:01:20.

at high altitude. -- and infantry man. It is about looking at the

:01:21.:01:26.

threats we could face in future and what we could put to them. Can we

:01:27.:01:31.

realistically face a situathon of nuclear blackmail as Nato mdmbers?

:01:32.:01:37.

Yes, we could. Vladimir Puthn is not revamping his nuclear capabhlity

:01:38.:01:40.

because he wants to have it at an airshow. I do apologise, but I will

:01:41.:01:51.

press on given the time. In terms of looking at the price, wheels are to

:01:52.:01:57.

be conscious that while Nato is dependent on mutual defence, how

:01:58.:02:03.

confident are we that futurd US governments will continue to

:02:04.:02:09.

undertake 70% of the bill for Nato? How many people are confident that

:02:10.:02:13.

Donald Trump, even though hd once was ambassador for business in

:02:14.:02:17.

Scotland, how confident are we that Donald Trump will pit Europd's

:02:18.:02:23.

defence at the top of the lhst? If not, that means the deterrent

:02:24.:02:27.

against aggression in the e`st and the Easter and allies is ultimately

:02:28.:02:31.

deterred by Britain and France being in possession of an effective

:02:32.:02:37.

nuclear deterrent. I hear the arguments around international law

:02:38.:02:40.

and the siting of biological and chemical weapons. The reality is, if

:02:41.:02:45.

a biological or chemical attack was launched in this country by an

:02:46.:02:49.

aggressor state, one of the things in our potential response would be

:02:50.:02:52.

the consideration of the nuclear sponsor, so that in its own right

:02:53.:02:57.

does not defeat it. Finally, the argument that international law

:02:58.:02:59.

could get rid of them all, sadly I think some of the people likely to

:03:00.:03:04.

be a threat in terms of rogte states would file that alongside the other

:03:05.:03:07.

bits of international law that they are breaking. For me, this hs about

:03:08.:03:11.

the UK's ultimate insurance policy, making sure that we can meet the

:03:12.:03:16.

threats of the future, and therefore members should vote iMac. -, should

:03:17.:03:25.

vote yes. One of the great traditions of this House is that in

:03:26.:03:29.

matters of conscience such `s this, members drawn wide range of

:03:30.:03:34.

experiences and viewpoints hn coming to conclusions. The argument has

:03:35.:03:38.

been made that not replacing our nuclear weapons would diminhsh our

:03:39.:03:41.

international standing and diminish our role as a permanent member of

:03:42.:03:46.

the UN Security Council. We have heard that Trident is the ultimate

:03:47.:03:50.

insurance policy for our nation People have been writing to me about

:03:51.:03:53.

the jobs they are reliant on in relation to Trident. The honourable

:03:54.:03:59.

gentleman and I both come from a tradition which believes in beating

:04:00.:04:04.

swords into ploughshares and spears into pruning hooks. Would hd not

:04:05.:04:10.

agree that programmes like the transition of skilled technhcians

:04:11.:04:13.

into peaceful programmes is a far better recipe for peace in the world

:04:14.:04:20.

than an never-ending arms r`ce? I commend that Swedish progralme, and

:04:21.:04:24.

unlike my honourable friend, I stand here first and foremost as `

:04:25.:04:28.

Christian -- like my honour`ble friend. It is from that perspective

:04:29.:04:32.

that I speak. I stand united with Pope Benedict the six when he said,

:04:33.:04:38.

in a nuclear war, there would be no victors, only victims. I st`nd here

:04:39.:04:44.

alongside all the world's f`iths. In the worlds of the UK multi-faith

:04:45.:04:49.

statement on nuclear weapons, any use of nuclear weapons would have

:04:50.:04:53.

devastating humanitarian consequences and violated the

:04:54.:04:54.

principle of dignity that every human being that is common to each

:04:55.:05:03.

of our faith traditions. Thd idea of a loving thy neighbour and

:05:04.:05:07.

protecting our world for future generations simply cannot hold if we

:05:08.:05:12.

have stockpiles of weapons that will destroy our neighbours and destroy

:05:13.:05:15.

our world for future generations. Not only do nuclear weapons

:05:16.:05:20.

contradict British principlds, any form of international relathons

:05:21.:05:24.

based on the threat of mutu`l destruction is totally contradictory

:05:25.:05:28.

to preamble of the article one of the UN nations charter, which talks

:05:29.:05:32.

of a system of peaceful resolution of disputes. It is against that

:05:33.:05:38.

backdrop that I recall in this debate that I joined the Calpaign

:05:39.:05:43.

for Nuclear Disarmament and the anti-apartheid movement before I

:05:44.:05:48.

became a member of the Labotr Party. I remember growing up in thd 19 0s

:05:49.:05:54.

hugely disturbed by the ide` of nuclear annihilation, which was

:05:55.:06:00.

played out in films like Threads all the time growing up in the 0980s. I

:06:01.:06:05.

know that the Cold War has dissipated somewhat, of course, but

:06:06.:06:09.

each of the 40 Ward has carried by Trident submarines is expondntially

:06:10.:06:15.

more powerful than the atomhc bombs dropped on Japan in 1945, khlling

:06:16.:06:19.

and maiming hundreds of thotsands of people and casting a long and dark

:06:20.:06:24.

shadow over our history. -- each of the 40 warheads. It is also right

:06:25.:06:30.

that I recall my constituents, a constituency that has seen two riots

:06:31.:06:35.

in a generation, and also rdmind the House of the huge cost of this

:06:36.:06:39.

programme. Reminding the Hotse that in my constituency, residential care

:06:40.:06:44.

homes close, drop-in centres closed, youth centres close, unemployment

:06:45.:06:50.

doubled the national averagd, life expectancy five years less than the

:06:51.:06:53.

national average, Haringey onto five of the most deprived wards hn the

:06:54.:07:01.

country, and 47% of children living in poverty. Against that backdrop, I

:07:02.:07:06.

cannot with all conscience vote for something that is effectively a

:07:07.:07:13.

blank cheque for nuclear we`pons. I am not actually currently in the

:07:14.:07:18.

place that I was as an 18, 09 or 20-year-old. I do think you can come

:07:19.:07:22.

to a multilateral view and still have concerns about the scale and

:07:23.:07:30.

the cost, and am looking at our neighbours in Nato, not ask some

:07:31.:07:34.

pretty hard questions as to why we do not share a nuclear capacity not

:07:35.:07:39.

indeed need to have one inddpendent of our own at this huge cost. I

:07:40.:07:46.

might see also, why it is that given our commitment, we hear so little

:07:47.:07:55.

about it, even compared to the 1980s, when Thatcher and Re`gan used

:07:56.:07:58.

to talk about it regularly, and why it is the case that we vote against

:07:59.:08:04.

others on the issue of nucldar proliferation on the UN sectrity

:08:05.:08:10.

Council. So when people likd Field Marshal Lord Bramwell and others say

:08:11.:08:17.

that nuclear weapons have shown themselves to be completely useless

:08:18.:08:20.

as a deterrent to the threats and the scale of the violence that we

:08:21.:08:25.

currently face or are likelx to face, particularly internathonal

:08:26.:08:30.

terrorism, these men are no pacifist or unilateralist. They are simply

:08:31.:08:33.

responding to a changing international context, and ht is

:08:34.:08:38.

with that in mind that I will be voting against the Government

:08:39.:08:46.

tonight. On a number of occ`sions, I have ended up following on from the

:08:47.:08:50.

honourable member for one, they will not break the mould by agreding with

:08:51.:08:54.

him tonight. In fact, I will be voting with the Government by

:08:55.:08:57.

listening to some of the most powerful speeches I have he`rd in

:08:58.:09:01.

this place for a long period of time, particularly the honotrable

:09:02.:09:04.

member for a Gedling and Barrow in Chesterfield, who made an

:09:05.:09:11.

impassioned case. Two-day's debate is one of the biggest tests for

:09:12.:09:15.

Britain and her place in thd world given the last few weeks' events. If

:09:16.:09:19.

we get this wrong, Britain's place at the heart of an internathonalist

:09:20.:09:23.

world could be put at risk. No one can predict the future of

:09:24.:09:26.

international relations over the next coming decades, and wh`t

:09:27.:09:32.

challenges we face as a nathon are tremendous. We face exciting but

:09:33.:09:36.

uncertain times ahead as we carve out Britain's new position hn the

:09:37.:09:41.

world. For me, in the interdst of national security, to maint`in

:09:42.:09:44.

Britain's feed at the top t`ble and for the defence of the Unitdd

:09:45.:09:49.

Kingdom, it is crucial our strong Armed Forces is accompanied by a

:09:50.:09:52.

strong nuclear deterrent, and are therefore wholeheartedly back the

:09:53.:09:55.

renewal of Trident. I wanted to take a moment to thank all our sdrvice

:09:56.:09:58.

men and women who devoted their lives to the security of our nation.

:09:59.:10:02.

We need to do all we can to make sure their lives are not put in

:10:03.:10:05.

danger. A strong nuclear deterrent works to promote peace, cooperation

:10:06.:10:11.

and discourse in uncertain world. I want to take a moment of th`t back

:10:12.:10:15.

at the Cold War and the effdct the presence of nuclear deterrence had

:10:16.:10:18.

on its progress. During the period, there were many small, deadly

:10:19.:10:22.

complex where there were no nuclear weapons present, yet the big

:10:23.:10:26.

superpowers were encouraged to avoid a hot war at all costs for fear of

:10:27.:10:31.

those weapons being activatdd. I am not saying the presence of nuclear

:10:32.:10:33.

weapons will ensure our safdty on its own, but even if they c`n have a

:10:34.:10:38.

small deterrent effect on h`ving the Leigh saving the life of troops it

:10:39.:10:45.

is to have. It is important in debate fight this that we rdmain

:10:46.:10:49.

realistic about future developments on the international stage. If you

:10:50.:10:54.

look at the aggressors such as North Korea, they are working tow`rds the

:10:55.:10:58.

creation of a nuclear warhe`d. If we were to have no nuclear arsdnal we

:10:59.:11:03.

may not face any problems in the here and now, but a few dec`des on,

:11:04.:11:07.

we may be in a situation whdre more states are inclined to tag knowing

:11:08.:11:10.

that we cannot answer in thd same way. -- to attack the UK. Does he

:11:11.:11:18.

have any concern for Scotland and how many nuclear warheads m`y be

:11:19.:11:22.

pointed as coal and by the very fact of having it based there? -, may be

:11:23.:11:30.

pointed at Scotland? I am concerned about Britain's position across the

:11:31.:11:37.

world in campaigning for less nuclear weapons, which should not be

:11:38.:11:41.

a distraction for what we are debating here today. I belidve that

:11:42.:11:47.

we must be pursuing an international approach. I understand that the

:11:48.:11:50.

members in this House, as wdll as people across the country who

:11:51.:11:54.

advocate for a very different position, advocate for the renewal

:11:55.:12:00.

of Trident. But many specialist in this area have made it clearer that

:12:01.:12:05.

the removal of Trident does not mean removing -- the renewal of Trident

:12:06.:12:15.

does not mean removing the `pproach to the nuclear nonproliferation The

:12:16.:12:22.

UK has set an example of how to lament a minimal strategic deterrent

:12:23.:12:29.

by reducing our warheads total in recent years. We should not deviate

:12:30.:12:33.

from this approach as Britahn looks to reassert its soft power

:12:34.:12:36.

internationally. While the strongest arguments for the renewal of Trident

:12:37.:12:40.

have to be the defence of n`tion and our people, there are other

:12:41.:12:43.

arguments which strengthened the case for renewal, and I would like

:12:44.:12:47.

to finish by touching on economic argument as others have tonhght On

:12:48.:12:51.

the micro level, Trident will have a positive impact on the Brithsh

:12:52.:12:56.

economy, maintaining and sustaining this defence gullibility supports

:12:57.:12:59.

around 2200 people already working on the Successor programme. The

:13:00.:13:06.

renewal will create very many more specialists and nonspecialist jobs.

:13:07.:13:09.

It is that the lady that ovdr 8 0 British companies will contribute to

:13:10.:13:12.

the programme and fulfil thd positive effect at her job `nd

:13:13.:13:17.

growth. -- it is estimated that over 800 British companies. We mtst be

:13:18.:13:21.

focusing our attention on that economic argument. Let us bd clear,

:13:22.:13:25.

if we fail to renew Trident, we will be doing more harm than good. If we

:13:26.:13:29.

leave the door open for nuclear blackmail, it would increasd the

:13:30.:13:33.

possibility of unnecessary conventional warfare and decrease

:13:34.:13:36.

our standing in the world. H therefore urge the House for the

:13:37.:13:39.

benefit of national securitx, long-term peace, and confiddnce in

:13:40.:13:42.

the British economy to support the renewal of Trident. It is a sad

:13:43.:13:52.

irony indeed that a week after the long-awaited Chilcot report

:13:53.:13:55.

highlighted the worrying extent of groupthink in Whitehall and

:13:56.:13:58.

Westminster, a large number of MPs tonight will be traipsing through

:13:59.:14:02.

the lobbies in support of the principle of renewing the ddterrent

:14:03.:14:07.

that will represent a 20th century solution to a 21st-century defence

:14:08.:14:11.

and security problems that we all experience today. This could include

:14:12.:14:17.

those MPs who believe the UK's Government's claptrap on Ir`q.

:14:18.:14:21.

Perhaps nothing has been le`rned from Chilcot and these MPs will be

:14:22.:14:25.

doing exactly the same on Trident. The Defence Select Committed has

:14:26.:14:29.

recently to visit an enquirx into the implications of increasdd

:14:30.:14:33.

Russian assertiveness into TK security, and in evidence sdt in

:14:34.:14:36.

after evidence session, I struggled to find any real evidence that would

:14:37.:14:41.

support the renewal of Triddnt and Sergey had cost. In fact, as witness

:14:42.:14:46.

after witness listed the re`l 21st-century threats faced by the UK

:14:47.:14:53.

and our EU allies, most if not all could be filed under the he`ding of

:14:54.:14:58.

hybrid warfare or terrorism. Also do home as well, we see an increase in

:14:59.:15:03.

Russian naval and air activhty in our own territory, and the battering

:15:04.:15:07.

is similar to that experienced in the Ukraine. There is no outright

:15:08.:15:11.

aggression, but a determination to poke and prod and test reaction

:15:12.:15:16.

times, which from the UK perspective has often been laughably sm`ll. For

:15:17.:15:21.

example, the last time he Rtssian and roll took shelter in Scottish

:15:22.:15:29.

waters, aged 24 hours for a frigate to arrive from Portsmouth to escort

:15:30.:15:31.

it. -- it took 24 hours. Had the SNP won the independence

:15:32.:15:43.

argument, what I may Navy whth the SNP have today to protect Scottish

:15:44.:15:50.

waters? As an independent n`tion, we could provide the same support the

:15:51.:15:55.

Nato as every other single small European country like Denmark and

:15:56.:16:01.

Sweden. That is a shameful neglect of security around Scotland that we

:16:02.:16:06.

are not one single to protect our sure line. It simply points out the

:16:07.:16:11.

age of the towns can be viewed and so many different ways. Thank you.

:16:12.:16:19.

Was it not the case that in that last entry into our water is the

:16:20.:16:25.

Ministry of Defence only he`rd about it through Twitter? That cotld

:16:26.:16:28.

certainly be the case and I'm assuming the honourable member is

:16:29.:16:32.

better informed than some mdmbers of the MoD at one point. What we did do

:16:33.:16:37.

recently was to visit Nato `nd discuss the needs of Scotland and

:16:38.:16:40.

the UK and what we did hear a lot from Nato was how we improvdd

:16:41.:16:46.

conventional forces, partictlarly those that need to respond to hybrid

:16:47.:16:54.

threats. Most prominent thing was from a multinational brigadd to be

:16:55.:16:57.

placed in the United States and Poland. Something we supported

:16:58.:17:01.

wholeheartedly and many refdrred to as a modern deterrent and something

:17:02.:17:06.

which Trident resolutely is not The UK focus should be on what we can

:17:07.:17:11.

deliver for our Nato allies instead of clutching desperately to this

:17:12.:17:14.

vestige of a long gone superpower status. Please wake up and smell the

:17:15.:17:20.

polonium! This is something need to do very quickly. I Nato allhes would

:17:21.:17:24.

rather be focused on them most big about tasks, protecting our UK

:17:25.:17:27.

territory and that other neighbourhood. The Russian carrier

:17:28.:17:31.

group that I spoke before when it was doing its activities in the

:17:32.:17:35.

Moray Firth, there was no m`jor ships based in Scotland and none

:17:36.:17:39.

north of the channel and Trhdent endangers us by filling us hnto

:17:40.:17:42.

thinking that nuclear deterrence is the only sort of deterrent that we

:17:43.:17:48.

need. The Royal Navy is now reduced to only 17 usable frigates `nd

:17:49.:17:52.

destroyers and debate that hnto context, the force that we took the

:17:53.:17:57.

Falklands War with in 1972 had more than 40 ships. The Falklands is

:17:58.:18:00.

seldom is currently without a major war protections of that conflict.

:18:01.:18:08.

People smuggling operations African li undertaken by vessels th`t are

:18:09.:18:13.

simply not fit for task. Silply Trident is eating into our

:18:14.:18:17.

conventional budget and that leads me to the very point of the

:18:18.:18:22.

argument. Every penny spent on this means a penny less spent on

:18:23.:18:26.

conventional defence. Hardlx any surprise that the Admiral Lord west

:18:27.:18:31.

recently said the Navy had effectively run out of monex in

:18:32.:18:37.

support of the new 26 progr`mme While an entire Successor programme

:18:38.:18:40.

has fenced with added Jenners continued to cease, ... These

:18:41.:18:50.

programmes these delay after delay, affecting jobs and skills and the

:18:51.:18:53.

workforce and I capability to defend ourselves. Finally, this vote put

:18:54.:18:59.

hundreds of years of this ship building on the Clyde at risk

:19:00.:19:04.

because the MoD has skewed dvery budget and military budget that has

:19:05.:19:06.

to spend and bending that an Trident. More Republican we`pons of

:19:07.:19:13.

systems of Master suction c`n no longer be tolerated. We must look

:19:14.:19:18.

other met methods of modern deterrent that can be used. It is a

:19:19.:19:27.

reckless gamble that our cotntry can ill afford. Thank you. An honour to

:19:28.:19:33.

be called by you in this debate of such national importance. For me,

:19:34.:19:40.

there is one compelling image that encapsulates for me the reasons why

:19:41.:19:48.

algae voting with the Government. It is those unforgettable harrowing

:19:49.:19:53.

glass cabinets that are on display in the Auschwitz museum. Thd piles

:19:54.:19:57.

of human here, the mountains of shoes from the victims of the Nazis

:19:58.:20:02.

which I ate permanent reminder to all of us as to what happens when

:20:03.:20:09.

people and nations are tyrannised and brutalised in Exeter and shall

:20:10.:20:15.

war, for me, regardless of other arguments, this singularly hs the

:20:16.:20:19.

key argument. I never ever want to see my country again in the position

:20:20.:20:23.

it was then in the 1940s whdn we were faced with the next essential

:20:24.:20:27.

threat. We were on the vergd of being invaded and had been

:20:28.:20:31.

successful, we too would have had concentration camps in this country

:20:32.:20:34.

and all the brutality that will have follows from that. There max be

:20:35.:20:41.

those who say that you wore such as this or that is incredibly tnlikely,

:20:42.:20:45.

I say to them, there is one guarantee against it and th`t is the

:20:46.:20:49.

nuclear deterrent however unpalatable that may be bec`use in

:20:50.:20:54.

1918, people would have thotght that there will never be another

:20:55.:20:59.

world war. In 1918, I don't think people would have believed there

:21:00.:21:03.

would be another world war `nd surely not that another world war

:21:04.:21:07.

would be even more brutal than the one that they had just experienced.

:21:08.:21:11.

But none of us can predict the future. I have to give way. I thank

:21:12.:21:20.

the honourable gentleman. I just want to clarify, is the honourable

:21:21.:21:23.

gentleman is suggesting that we would have nuked Germany? If we had

:21:24.:21:31.

the ability. The nuclear we`pons is therefore one single me which is to

:21:32.:21:36.

defend this country in existential invasions, nothing to do with

:21:37.:21:39.

terrorist threat in wars th`t we had in Iran, is the one overridhng thing

:21:40.:21:42.

and is a guarantee of absoltte freedom and existence. People talk

:21:43.:21:50.

about cost because, of course, we have limitless costs, we must have

:21:51.:21:54.

discipline. Let's talk about some figures that we know definitively.

:21:55.:22:01.

The First World War, 10 million lives lost, the Second World War, 83

:22:02.:22:08.

sorry 73 million lives lost, many civilians. How many since then? Not

:22:09.:22:13.

a single one any world war `nd that is not a coincidence. Nucle`r

:22:14.:22:18.

weapons are horrific but have kept the peace. It is the fact that both

:22:19.:22:27.

Germany and the allies were reasoning to invent the atolic bomb.

:22:28.:22:32.

If the Germans had got the `tomic bomb first, they would have used it

:22:33.:22:36.

against us and if we had got the atomic bomb, we would have tsed it

:22:37.:22:39.

against them are just as thd allies did against Japan to bring the water

:22:40.:22:45.

and end. Quite right. I don't want to go back in historic debate but I

:22:46.:22:51.

those who say that if the Alericans hadn't use those bonds, the death

:22:52.:22:54.

count our US troops having to invade Japanese mainland would havd been

:22:55.:22:59.

astronomical. No one ever w`nts to have to use that weapon. It is an

:23:00.:23:09.

horrific thing. I conclude, nuclear weapons are the single most horrible

:23:10.:23:14.

thing ever invented by man but they have given as the most beautiful

:23:15.:23:19.

thing and we should never together granted a day have given pe`ce in

:23:20.:23:23.

our time to every generation represented in this hack's. Instead

:23:24.:23:28.

of voting for complacency and relying on others to defend us, we

:23:29.:23:34.

must vote to stand firm, we must book to deliver and guarantde that

:23:35.:23:37.

piece for many more generathons to come. Thank you. My honourable

:23:38.:23:47.

friend 's from Chesterfield made reference to their mothers who were

:23:48.:23:55.

at Greenham Common. Was I. H didn't meet their mothers, or as f`r as I'm

:23:56.:23:58.

aware. LAUGHTER

:23:59.:24:01.

There were tens of thousands of those who protested against nuclear

:24:02.:24:05.

weapons and the decision of the cruise missiles and the SS 20s at

:24:06.:24:14.

that time. CND had hundreds of thousands on demonstrations and at

:24:15.:24:22.

that time, many people belidved we were in the possible advent of a

:24:23.:24:27.

nuclear war. There was real fear in society. The leader of the Labour

:24:28.:24:32.

Party, Michael fit, has been compared in some debate with our

:24:33.:24:37.

current leader. I have to s`y "aye" worked for and with Michael fit he

:24:38.:24:43.

was a great patriotic, antifascist. He stood up to the generals, those

:24:44.:24:49.

that took over the Falkland Islands and he spoke as how is any Saturday

:24:50.:24:55.

morning and made the case why we had to liberate the Falklands from

:24:56.:25:00.

fascism. I believe that Michael had tried his very best to unitd the

:25:01.:25:02.

Labour Party. Even though hd had divisions. He would not takd the

:25:03.:25:19.

position has been taken by the person per is in the north. Michael

:25:20.:25:23.

fit strove to get international agreement and he worked for

:25:24.:25:30.

disarmament. But myself and many others who were Parliamentary

:25:31.:25:34.

candidates in 1983 know that we went into that election with what became

:25:35.:25:41.

known as the longest suicidd note in history in Ilford knife where I was

:25:42.:25:46.

the candidate, the Labour vote almost halved and I only just capped

:25:47.:25:51.

second place from a new STB. The Conservatives were rampant.

:25:52.:25:58.

Afterwards, I was working in the party's headquarters on the defence

:25:59.:26:04.

policy. We tried to square the circle by producing a policx

:26:05.:26:07.

document which was called ddfence and security for Britain, it had a

:26:08.:26:13.

union Jack on the cover and we emphasised strong conventional

:26:14.:26:18.

defence, we called for defence diversification agency and we

:26:19.:26:23.

thought that would be sufficient under Neil Kinnock, our leader to do

:26:24.:26:28.

much better in 1987. We did do better but defence policy w`s still

:26:29.:26:36.

a factor in us losing in 1987. We had a policy review, includhng

:26:37.:26:39.

visiting Moscow, which we dhd in 1989. Gorbachev was talking about a

:26:40.:26:51.

nuclear free world by the ydar 000. The Labour Party shifted its policy

:26:52.:26:57.

towards a policy of independent steps but as a context of a global

:26:58.:27:03.

multilateral framework. That policy was denounced by the historhan EP

:27:04.:27:10.

Thompson and I don't have thme today but I will write about this. In

:27:11.:27:16.

1989, the denounced Labour Party for going back on his unilateralist

:27:17.:27:21.

position. I wrote in the CND magazine, what is is this

:27:22.:27:26.

unilateralism? Is it a tacthc to get something better or is it a quasi-or

:27:27.:27:31.

religious totem for left-wing atheists? I stand by that

:27:32.:27:38.

description of some of the view is that we have today. It has become a

:27:39.:27:44.

quasi-religious totem rather than a practical means to take measures

:27:45.:27:49.

that bring about real and profound international change and th`t's why

:27:50.:27:51.

I will be voting with the Government's motion this evdning.

:27:52.:28:00.

Thank you. I am a proud member of both the GMB and Unite tradd unions

:28:01.:28:04.

and I stand here today to m`ke the case for our national securhty both

:28:05.:28:09.

in terms of the role of the deterrent in an increasinglx

:28:10.:28:13.

turbulent world but also for our domestic defence manufacturhng

:28:14.:28:15.

capability. Our country is `t a crossroads. We voted to leave the EU

:28:16.:28:23.

and to forge our own destinx. We must do this as part of the family

:28:24.:28:29.

of nations, of the global community, embracing our responsibilithes as a

:28:30.:28:33.

permanent member of the US security council and as a founder melber of

:28:34.:28:36.

the Nato alliance. Not runnhng away from them. I review this... I, like

:28:37.:28:46.

all others in the chamber, would like to see a nuclear free world but

:28:47.:28:50.

this can only be achieved bx international cooperation and only

:28:51.:28:54.

negotiated to words from a position of strength. To decide oursdlves

:28:55.:29:00.

unilaterally would not disptte or abandon our responsibilities to

:29:01.:29:10.

international allies, it wotld send us naked into the conferencd

:29:11.:29:15.

chamber. At the time of unprecedented global turmoil, it

:29:16.:29:20.

would be recklessness to ab`ndon a fundamental element about n`tional

:29:21.:29:23.

security in the name of somd abstract ideological idea however

:29:24.:29:32.

well-meaning. Thank you. Should we get this into some sort of

:29:33.:29:38.

perspective. By 2020, at thd UK s stockpile of nuclear weapons will be

:29:39.:29:44.

no more than 180 with only 020 operational and available ntclear

:29:45.:29:47.

weapons whereas Russia, China and North Korea currently have between

:29:48.:29:57.

them over six thousand 508,400? She outlines the threat we really face.

:29:58.:30:02.

The horrific attacks in Neath last week were the latest reminddr of the

:30:03.:30:08.

risks that we face. We are living through a period of extraordinary

:30:09.:30:13.

global turmoil. The threats come not just from international terrorist

:30:14.:30:15.

networks but from resurgent intentions between... Not ldast from

:30:16.:30:21.

Russia as the Defence Select Committee outlined earlier this

:30:22.:30:26.

month. Russian actions in the Crimea and the Arctic give us pausd for

:30:27.:30:29.

thought at the Russian nucldar doctrine has also changed r`dically

:30:30.:30:33.

and for the worst since the end of the Cold War.

:30:34.:30:40.

Russia, with the use of hostile rhetoric, it is lowering thdir

:30:41.:30:49.

nuclear threshold. This is no time for Britain to abandon eithdr our

:30:50.:30:53.

own nuclear capabilities or our commitment to friends and allies.

:30:54.:30:58.

Our military is rightly widdly admired as the best in the world and

:30:59.:31:03.

we in this place over it to them to ensure they are provided with the

:31:04.:31:07.

resources and support that they need to ensure our country is prdpared

:31:08.:31:12.

for any scenario. But we must also look closer to home, to the security

:31:13.:31:18.

of our own communities and dconomy, and on this basis, the argulent that

:31:19.:31:22.

our deterrent is unquestion`ble There are tens of thousands of jobs

:31:23.:31:26.

which depend upon our commitment to the success of the programmd. While

:31:27.:31:32.

communities live their lives in the Shadow of the shipyards and the

:31:33.:31:40.

darker Shadow doubles alongside it. These are skilled men and women

:31:41.:31:44.

working the jobs to support their families, including in my own city

:31:45.:31:49.

of Stoke-on-Trent, where ond of my local companies contributed to the

:31:50.:31:53.

supply chain. These communities need our support and our commitmdnt to

:31:54.:31:58.

their industry and today we have the opportunity to offer than the

:31:59.:32:03.

reassurance they need. As a country, we need to protect our manufacturing

:32:04.:32:07.

capability and ensure a long-term investment in our national hndustry.

:32:08.:32:10.

As has been repeatedly statdd in this debate, most powerfullx by the

:32:11.:32:17.

honourable member, renewal of our deterrent is both my party's policy

:32:18.:32:24.

and my union's. This should come as no surprise.

:32:25.:32:35.

Our party has always and will always stand up first and foremost for the

:32:36.:32:42.

security of our nation. We do now and we always will. As the general

:32:43.:32:49.

secretary of my union has s`id, we have had enough of politici`ns on

:32:50.:32:53.

all sides playing politics with tens of thousands of highly skilled jobs

:32:54.:32:57.

and the communities they support. But the sake of those communities,

:32:58.:33:01.

for the sake of our economy and the long-term security of our country, I

:33:02.:33:06.

will vote in favour of repl`cing the current Vanguard submarines with the

:33:07.:33:09.

new class and I urge others to do the same. Today's vote and our

:33:10.:33:18.

decision about Trident is at the heart of what kind of futurd we want

:33:19.:33:22.

for ourselves and our children. It is also about the hard eviddnce and

:33:23.:33:26.

what we mean by safety in an uncertain and changing world. The

:33:27.:33:30.

theory that having nuclear weapons makes a safer is an entirelx

:33:31.:33:34.

unproven one and nor can it be proven. In logic, one cannot prove a

:33:35.:33:41.

negative. That is the doing something causes something does not

:33:42.:33:45.

happen. A nuclear attack has not happened, maybe as a result of a

:33:46.:33:49.

number of factors, or simplx of exceptional good fortune. Dhd many

:33:50.:33:54.

military experts argue that UK weapons make us less safe? Primarily

:33:55.:33:59.

because of their existence contributes to the amount of nuclear

:34:00.:34:02.

material circulating around the world. In 2014, senior military

:34:03.:34:10.

political and diplomatic figures, the former Defence Secretarx and

:34:11.:34:15.

Foreign Secretary, came togdther with the explicit aim of shhning the

:34:16.:34:19.

light posed by the risk of nuclear weapons. They said, we belidve the

:34:20.:34:26.

risks posed by nuclear weapons are under estimated or insuffichently

:34:27.:34:30.

understood by world leaders. The government's Maynard and thd

:34:31.:34:34.

replacing Trident appears to be that it is the ultimate insurancd in an

:34:35.:34:40.

uncertain world. Our possession of nuclear weapons in contravention of

:34:41.:34:44.

the NPT is exacerbating that uncertainty. It is leading to the

:34:45.:34:49.

very scenario that it is designed to avoid. Nor the advocates for nuclear

:34:50.:34:52.

weapons have explained why hf Trident is a vital to protecting us,

:34:53.:34:56.

why is that not the case of every other country in the world? How can

:34:57.:35:00.

we deny other countries the right to seek to acquire them if we `re

:35:01.:35:05.

upgrading our own nuclear wdapons? Do proponents of Trident renewal

:35:06.:35:09.

genuinely believe a world where all countries have nuclear weapons will

:35:10.:35:16.

be safer? Such immunity to reason means there is a blanket approach to

:35:17.:35:19.

the heightened risk of accidents and threats. Whether that is in Scotland

:35:20.:35:28.

or Cornwall all England, or whether indeed it is in the nuclear warhead

:35:29.:35:33.

convoys taken are on our public roads, and some were seen on the M

:35:34.:35:38.

74 in a few weeks ago going through small villages up to a dozen times a

:35:39.:35:43.

year, there is little recognition that nuclear weapons are thdmselves

:35:44.:35:47.

fallible. According to a shocking report by Chatham House, thdre were

:35:48.:35:54.

nearly 13 incidents since 1862 when nuclear weapons were newly launched.

:35:55.:35:59.

One of the most dramatic in 198 when the duty officer of a Soviet

:36:00.:36:05.

centre found five US missilds launched. After a few moments of

:36:06.:36:10.

agonising, he judged it to be a false alarm, but reaching a

:36:11.:36:16.

different conclusion could have triggered the firing of nuclear

:36:17.:36:20.

weapons by Russia. I want to talk about people saying you cannot

:36:21.:36:23.

invent things are being invdnted. Biological weapons were banned in

:36:24.:36:31.

1972, landmines and 97, clustered musicians in 2008. If the political

:36:32.:36:36.

will is there, it can be done. Countries have called for a treaty

:36:37.:36:43.

on nuclear weapons. Negotiations may begin next year yet this government

:36:44.:36:47.

is holding out and refusing to engage with multilateral UN

:36:48.:36:50.

processes to secure a nucle`r free world. I think that there is no

:36:51.:36:55.

credibility with this government says it is working for a nuclear

:36:56.:37:00.

free world. Our security is deeply linked to the security of those

:37:01.:37:05.

around us and we need to do the slower hard work of disarming their

:37:06.:37:11.

response which is the wrong one By voting to renew Trident, we are

:37:12.:37:16.

sending a signal that power by any means is necessary.

:37:17.:37:33.

The document attempted to offer a response to those perceived threats.

:37:34.:37:42.

However, it is the case and the government disregarding the

:37:43.:37:48.

findings. They posited the dntire defensive structure on the TK on the

:37:49.:37:52.

continued deterrent. Afford`bility of the programme is a major issue

:37:53.:37:55.

because the cost of bean tapa Trident programme must be more than

:37:56.:38:09.

a finite military budget. Ultimately, we, as the government

:38:10.:38:18.

should prioritise spending to counteract terrorism, rather than

:38:19.:38:20.

nuclear weapons which can ndver be used. It's fair to say that the

:38:21.:38:23.

government makes significant moves forward. But it is also trud that

:38:24.:38:30.

investigative nuclear weapons instead of conventional ones, all

:38:31.:38:35.

these other responses, choice between one or the other. The

:38:36.:38:40.

government has identified the ? 1 billion for the construction of

:38:41.:38:49.

submarines. However, the trte cost of this programme in its entirety,

:38:50.:38:52.

including maintenance, nucldar warheads, will be higher. It could

:38:53.:39:06.

be ?179 billion. For exampld, in 2010, because the replacing the

:39:07.:39:09.

submarines came in at ?20 bhllion. There are now 31 billion potnds on

:39:10.:39:17.

overrun is about as likely, what has been happened. For those saxing that

:39:18.:39:25.

they are capable military force I would remind them of the 2000 SST

:39:26.:39:34.

are where 30,000 personnel were lost. Last week, this has ddbated

:39:35.:39:44.

some of their own failures. Chilcot identified a refusal. I askdd

:39:45.:39:51.

colleagues to consider this before putting the night because this is a

:39:52.:39:56.

vast and recurring spent ovdr a number decades. The Defence

:39:57.:40:02.

Secretary has said the estilated cost, 60% of the defence budget the

:40:03.:40:08.

?2.3 billion a year. However, there has been a fall in the valud of

:40:09.:40:12.

sterling and that could havd a severe impact. We would imagine

:40:13.:40:16.

these costs will go up and now expensive with other progralmes is

:40:17.:40:21.

that that is what happens. H want to turn to one of the central

:40:22.:40:31.

assumptions of the argument. That is around the suitability of them to

:40:32.:40:35.

detect a single submarine on patrol at any given time. It is ovdr 4

:40:36.:40:44.

years. The technological facets of the last 40 years, in 40 ye`rs

:40:45.:40:54.

hence, we can predict accur`tely where technology will have taken us.

:40:55.:41:00.

This decision is to commit ` junk antics of money to the conthnuation

:41:01.:41:04.

of the Trident programme. Wd must assume if we will advance that there

:41:05.:41:08.

is no technological advance that will allow the detection of these

:41:09.:41:11.

vessels below the surface and I do not think that is tenable. Dven the

:41:12.:41:19.

most ardent advocate would have to concede that this would mean the

:41:20.:41:22.

loss to the system's most ilportant advantage. It would be renddred

:41:23.:41:28.

vulnerable if not altogether obsolete. Technology is being

:41:29.:41:37.

considered and it may be thd potential to propagate the coming

:41:38.:41:46.

decades. Such a development route at least required considerable

:41:47.:41:48.

investment and that is putthng more defence and pressure on futtre

:41:49.:41:54.

defence budgets. Finally, I want to mention the elephant in the room.

:41:55.:42:00.

That is Scottish independence. I have no intention of getting into

:42:01.:42:03.

why this would be a good idda for Scotland. But whether or not

:42:04.:42:09.

honourable colleagues agree or not the Scottish independence is

:42:10.:42:14.

preferable, it is at least ` possibility, and I am not stre many

:42:15.:42:18.

honourable members would be prepared to bet on that eventuality of a 40

:42:19.:42:24.

years. These weapons of mass destruction will not be toldrated in

:42:25.:42:32.

an independent Scotland. ?179 billion being allocated is better's

:42:33.:42:39.

Billy. So it is that I find myself as a democratic socialist stpporting

:42:40.:42:46.

every motion today because the truth is that the preservation of our

:42:47.:42:49.

national security does not wear the colours of any political party. I

:42:50.:42:52.

want to begin post or by re`ching out to those who do not support the

:42:53.:42:57.

retention and renewal of thd UK s nuclear deterrent. This is `

:42:58.:43:00.

polarised debate. I want to say to those that oppose renewal btt I

:43:01.:43:04.

understand how and why you feel the way you do, how and by your

:43:05.:43:09.

opposition to nuclear weapons has motivated you to act in certain

:43:10.:43:15.

ways. Like those people, and every trade union representative of the

:43:16.:43:18.

people who live in these colmunities where jobs are so valued, I hope it

:43:19.:43:28.

were free of weapons. The world is an increasingly difficult and

:43:29.:43:30.

challenging place, the complexities we face are increasing not receding,

:43:31.:43:37.

and even if there was a mood swing in our country which sold

:43:38.:43:40.

disarmament is desirable, I would argue against such a move.

:43:41.:43:43.

Multilateralism is the only way forward for our country. Those who

:43:44.:43:51.

seek to do some divest themselves of their nuclear arsenals as wdll. The

:43:52.:43:58.

arguments for a multination`l approach, our obligations and

:43:59.:44:00.

responsibility towards our `llies, global security and more colpelling.

:44:01.:44:05.

An American diplomat told md recently that there was an dmerging

:44:06.:44:09.

view on the left of American politics that the US is tirdd of

:44:10.:44:13.

fighting and paying for your's safety. There is an emerging view

:44:14.:44:18.

amongst other American politicians that European partners are not

:44:19.:44:22.

pulling their weight. There is a pivot taking place regarding US

:44:23.:44:26.

foreign policy. Other alliances are being sought an established. We risk

:44:27.:44:31.

the strategic relationship we have enjoyed with them if we

:44:32.:44:33.

conspicuously failed to makd necessary steps to maintain our own

:44:34.:44:39.

nuclear deterrent. We have Rush on the borders of the European Union, a

:44:40.:44:44.

Russia that is only now replacing its nuclear fleet. More concerning

:44:45.:44:52.

is the fact that Russian military has changed its engagement protocols

:44:53.:44:56.

and these permit the use of nuclear weapons in order to achieve

:44:57.:45:04.

de-escalation. Is this the time with a weak European Union and

:45:05.:45:09.

exasperated United States that the United Kingdom should abandon its

:45:10.:45:11.

nuclear deterrent? No, it is not. Obviously the noble member supports

:45:12.:45:22.

renewing Trident. Have you `ny idea why your colleagues in the Scottish

:45:23.:45:29.

Parliament do not? That is ` matter for my friends in the Scotthsh

:45:30.:45:33.

parliament. It is the policx of the party to retain the nuclear

:45:34.:45:37.

deterrent. As a member of P`rliament steeped in my party traditions,

:45:38.:45:40.

proud of the achievements and excited by the possibilities, I will

:45:41.:45:44.

support the policies of my party tonight. For the first time ever I

:45:45.:45:49.

have witnessed the leader of the Labour Party arguing against the

:45:50.:45:52.

policy of the party that he leads. This is unprecedented. This

:45:53.:45:59.

reckless, juvenile irresponsibility makes me fear for the futurd of the

:46:00.:46:03.

party that I love. The sheer stupidity of this approach should be

:46:04.:46:06.

dragged out into the light `nd seen for what it is. Not only is renewal

:46:07.:46:12.

Labour Party policy, it is the settled will of the country and

:46:13.:46:15.

every parliamentary decision related to it will be taken by 2020.

:46:16.:46:20.

Furthermore, as Lord Kinnock has warned and it looks like he will

:46:21.:46:23.

have to say to the party for the second time in my lifetime, the

:46:24.:46:27.

British people will not votd for unilateral disarmament and that has

:46:28.:46:30.

to be dealt with. The policx of unilateral disarmament is a bar to

:46:31.:46:34.

becoming elected. A democratic socialist party with this policy can

:46:35.:46:38.

campaign to rid the country of poverty, restore the NHS, btild up

:46:39.:46:43.

the economy and make sure every man, woman and child in every colmunity

:46:44.:46:47.

in the country enjoys equalhty of opportunity, but campaigning is all

:46:48.:46:52.

it will ever do. Because a policy of unilateral nuclear disarmamdnt will

:46:53.:46:55.

make sure we never govern. This logic is inescapable. The ldader of

:46:56.:47:03.

the Labour Party knows it. There is a little folly in your argulent If

:47:04.:47:11.

you look at the SNP, 56 out of 9 seats are in the Scottish

:47:12.:47:14.

government, we all hold the position of unilateral disarmament, so to

:47:15.:47:18.

give you some hope, we are doing what you are hoping your party can

:47:19.:47:26.

do in future. I commend him for that audacious and fundamental

:47:27.:47:29.

intervention. I applaud his audacity but the logic is inescapabld. We are

:47:30.:47:35.

forced to accept that the rdfusal to support the established polhcy of

:47:36.:47:39.

the Labour Party and acknowledge the achievements of the greatest Labour

:47:40.:47:42.

government is not only a knowing embrace of defeat but a verx real, a

:47:43.:47:47.

very studied and a very detdrmined desire to split this Labour Party.

:47:48.:47:52.

The manifesto I stood on at the last election pledged to renew otr

:47:53.:47:56.

nuclear deterrent. The manifesto that I will stand under on the next

:47:57.:48:01.

election will pledge to rendw our nuclear deterrent, whether or not

:48:02.:48:06.

this leader likes that or not. And that will be true, Mr deputx

:48:07.:48:12.

speaker, of hundreds of colleagues on these benches. I urge all

:48:13.:48:18.

colleagues on the Labour front bench tonight to respect the democratic

:48:19.:48:20.

rosettes of the Labour Partx, respect the conference decision of

:48:21.:48:27.

the Labour Party, to vote whth the established policy of the L`bour

:48:28.:48:30.

Party and if you cannot do that return to the backbenches.

:48:31.:48:36.

Thank you, Mr Deputy Speaker. I am against Trident renewal for all of

:48:37.:48:43.

the reasons which have been ably laid out by my honourable colleagues

:48:44.:48:48.

here today. But I am mainly against the renewal of Trident becatse

:48:49.:48:51.

morally, I think it is a corrupt concept. It is a weapon deshgned to

:48:52.:48:56.

kill people indiscriminatelx. And I would say to the Prime Minister who

:48:57.:49:01.

said earlier today that she was willing to take the decision to kill

:49:02.:49:04.

hundreds of thousands of innocent men, women and children, shd should

:49:05.:49:09.

maybe take advice from the International Court of Justhce, says

:49:10.:49:14.

states must never make a civilian is the object of attack and must

:49:15.:49:18.

consequently never use weapons in capable of distinguishing bdtween

:49:19.:49:26.

civilian and military targets. Mr Deputy Speaker, in my time `s an MP

:49:27.:49:30.

I have held many surgeries `round my constituency. People come to me with

:49:31.:49:34.

their problems and I try and help as best I can. I get people coling to

:49:35.:49:39.

my surgery sometimes in tears because their disability benefits

:49:40.:49:43.

have been cut. Because the TK government does not have thd money

:49:44.:49:47.

to give them a decent life. I get people coming to me saying that they

:49:48.:49:51.

have been unfairly sanctiondd. Because the welfare budget has the

:49:52.:49:56.

big trend because there is no money. I get women born in the 1950s coming

:49:57.:50:00.

to my surgery telling me thdy have to miss out on their pension because

:50:01.:50:06.

there is no money. When members opposite and on these benchds tell

:50:07.:50:09.

us that it doesn't matter how much Trident replacement costs, come to

:50:10.:50:14.

my surgeries and speak to those people and look them in the face and

:50:15.:50:18.

tell them bad. If you are going to spend, sorry, if the honour`ble

:50:19.:50:26.

members are going to spend tp to 205 alien pounds replacing Triddnt they

:50:27.:50:30.

should think about the consdquences the people. -- billion pounds. They

:50:31.:50:36.

stretch right into my consthtuency. To the Army base which has been

:50:37.:50:41.

their 250 years, Fort Georgd, on the MOD list, considered for closure,

:50:42.:50:47.

because there is no money. There is the benefit of the MOD spend full

:50:48.:50:53.

stop it will be taken away from conventional hard-working pdrsonnel

:50:54.:50:58.

to pay for what useless weapons I will carry on, useless weapons of

:50:59.:51:03.

mass destruction. The threat we face in the future is going to bd the

:51:04.:51:09.

threats my honourable friend from Stirling mentioned earlier, things

:51:10.:51:12.

like cyber attacks. There is hardly any talk of the investment we need

:51:13.:51:19.

in the future to make sure that we make vulnerable systems in

:51:20.:51:25.

vulnerable. If I may quote the signs and board final report, I know the

:51:26.:51:28.

member opposite likes to intervene but the rarely says anything of

:51:29.:51:36.

value. The final report of Brazilian military systems... We can only have

:51:37.:51:43.

one member on his feet at one time and he is not willing to give way

:51:44.:51:46.

because he would like to get other colleagues in. Come on. I whll try

:51:47.:51:53.

and be as quick as I can. I will give way, thank you. It is dven more

:51:54.:52:02.

difficult to calculate becatse of the massive fluctuation in the

:52:03.:52:05.

currency market because of the Brexit vote. I can only agrde with

:52:06.:52:11.

my honourable friend. I was about to make the point about the band

:52:12.:52:17.

ability of the military systems The important quote is that the United

:52:18.:52:23.

States cannot be confident. There are critical systems which could be

:52:24.:52:26.

under attack from sophistic`ted and well resourced opponents uthlising

:52:27.:52:34.

cyber capabilities and eight, nation of military intelligence

:52:35.:52:40.

capabilities. -- and a serids of military intelligence capabhlities.

:52:41.:52:46.

This is even worse because ht can be hacked and used against us `nd you

:52:47.:52:49.

are planning, I am sorry, they are planning to spend up to ?204 billion

:52:50.:52:56.

to do so. I will not be vothng for Trident renewal tonight. For all the

:52:57.:53:00.

good reasons which have been laid out in this chamber. One by one The

:53:01.:53:07.

main reason I will not be voting for Trident renewal is because ht is an

:53:08.:53:09.

obscenity. Mr Deputy Speaker, this deb`te is to

:53:10.:53:21.

be welcome. I think many melbers will realise that it is not entirely

:53:22.:53:25.

necessary. The government h`ve initiated a debate, the main purpose

:53:26.:53:31.

of which is to create, or hhghlight discord in another party, the Labour

:53:32.:53:36.

Party. Frankly they do not need any encouragement from the Government.

:53:37.:53:39.

They are doing a good job of this themselves. More seriously, the main

:53:40.:53:50.

threats to the UK identified in the strategic defence and securhty were

:53:51.:53:54.

terrorism, research and state -based threats, the impact of technology

:53:55.:53:58.

and the erosion of rules based on international order. Trident will

:53:59.:54:04.

use a 6% of the defence budget and partially addresses one of them the

:54:05.:54:10.

state -based threat from Russia It is a fact that as we have hdard this

:54:11.:54:14.

evening that if we go ahead and build four submarines they will cost

:54:15.:54:20.

more than ?31 billion. That was five years ago 21 billion. I unddrstand

:54:21.:54:26.

given that the SNP do not w`nt this system that's the cost irrelevant.

:54:27.:54:33.

But for those of us on that side, from the Liberal Democrats, that

:54:34.:54:37.

would like some system, we `re entitled to hear what the actual

:54:38.:54:41.

cost is going to be. We havd heard ranges from 179 billion up to 2 0

:54:42.:54:48.

billion and more. We also entitled to have some clarity about the

:54:49.:54:54.

uncertainty of who will man`ge this system and whether that is something

:54:55.:54:58.

the Government has finally tied down. Our position is we thhnk we

:54:59.:55:03.

should retain a nuclear cap`bility. We believe the threat is such the UK

:55:04.:55:08.

needs a nuclear deterrent btt we do not believe in a like-for-lhke

:55:09.:55:12.

replacement. That is why we are voting against the Government today.

:55:13.:55:16.

The party's position has bedn debated at great length and agreed

:55:17.:55:21.

in 2013, but it is still behng debated and debated again at this

:55:22.:55:26.

moment. We seek to take a step down the nuclear ladder but we bdlieve

:55:27.:55:31.

giving up nuclear weapons in a unilateralist way says we no longer

:55:32.:55:36.

wish to retain them and will not give us any leveraged in

:55:37.:55:38.

nonproliferation discussions. Keeping a seat at the negothating

:55:39.:55:44.

table would be important in having a smaller nuclear capability `nd

:55:45.:55:47.

making sure we are retaining the skills which have we have hdard is

:55:48.:55:50.

important for the nuclear c`pability of the country. While moving away

:55:51.:55:54.

from continuous at sea deterrent will strike some as thing as more

:55:55.:55:59.

vulnerable it would still mdan we had such a capability and wd kept

:56:00.:56:05.

many options open in a way that unilateralism would not. And indeed

:56:06.:56:09.

make a contribution to the nonproliferation commitments. I

:56:10.:56:14.

refer to article six and I `sk the Prime Minister whether she can

:56:15.:56:18.

explain how the like-for-like replacement would comply with

:56:19.:56:21.

article six. I am afraid thdre was no answer. Mr Deputy Speaker, it is

:56:22.:56:29.

not 1980. While we do face threats, they are not the existential threats

:56:30.:56:33.

we faced them. It is a diffdrent world. It is a way to begin to climb

:56:34.:56:39.

down the nuclear ladder, another rung of the ladder and provhde

:56:40.:56:43.

others with that incentive to do so as well. We have the opporttnity to

:56:44.:56:49.

do that. I hope we will takd that opportunity now.

:56:50.:56:54.

There seems to be this idea from the opposing benches that we in the SNP

:56:55.:57:02.

are against nuclear weapons for some kind of romanticised reason. The

:57:03.:57:06.

reality is we are against rdnewing Trident for very logical re`sons. We

:57:07.:57:11.

have to remember that fact that fundamentally it is a weapon. We

:57:12.:57:14.

have already established thd fact that we would not fire this weapon

:57:15.:57:19.

first. We would not launch this weapon. The only time we ard saying

:57:20.:57:25.

we will ever use it is somebody if has a nuclear strike against us

:57:26.:57:29.

Frankly, that means we are `ll dead anyway. If I am dying I do not care

:57:30.:57:35.

if we are sending one back, or not. I am more worried about the one

:57:36.:57:41.

coming towards me. We are kdeping this phrase again and again that we

:57:42.:57:45.

cannot predict the future. Hf we are going to make defence policx we have

:57:46.:57:50.

to think wisely about is we are deterring against. What are the

:57:51.:57:54.

threats that we face? The N`tional Security strategy set out the level

:57:55.:57:59.

one threats faced by the UK. International terrorism, clhmate

:58:00.:58:04.

change, cyber crime. What tdrrorist attack have nuclear weapons

:58:05.:58:08.

protected us from and Francd from? Zero. Never mind climate ch`nge and

:58:09.:58:16.

cyber crime. This comes back to it being a deterrent. But only nine

:58:17.:58:19.

countries in the world have these weapons. How come the other 180

:58:20.:58:25.

countries do not feel the nded to have this deterrent? What is the

:58:26.:58:31.

argument for keeping it? We keep hearing we need to keep it for jobs.

:58:32.:58:36.

Yes, we have skilled enginedrs, scientists and workers workhng very

:58:37.:58:40.

hard and are very talented. But why not use the billions of pounds we

:58:41.:58:44.

are proposing to spend on this to invest in the energy sector is and

:58:45.:58:48.

engineering sectors? Why do we not use them in renewable energx

:58:49.:58:54.

sectors? Climate change is hn fact a level one thread. Why not spend that

:58:55.:59:00.

money trying to tackle that? -- level one threat. It begs the

:59:01.:59:06.

question what are they for? The fact of the matter is that all this is

:59:07.:59:13.

really about is about the UK keeping a permanent place on the UN Security

:59:14.:59:16.

Council and as the member for Tunbridge, unfortunately not in his

:59:17.:59:21.

seat, made very clear, the fact is that these weapons serve no other

:59:22.:59:27.

purpose than to satisfy the ego of the British establishment. This is

:59:28.:59:32.

about as putting a stamp on a world that we are isolating ourselves from

:59:33.:59:36.

more and more. I have sat in this chamber as my honourable frhend put

:59:37.:59:40.

very eloquently, I have sat in this chamber too many times and heard

:59:41.:59:44.

that we cannot afford to look after the disabled, to look out for the

:59:45.:59:49.

unemployed, we cannot afford to pay pensions on time, but weirdly the

:59:50.:59:53.

garment is making the difficult choices and all the people have been

:59:54.:59:57.

making the argument for austerity and the very same people ard telling

:59:58.:00:01.

us we can afford to write a blank cheque for these useless we`pons. It

:00:02.:00:08.

is to preserve Westminster's self indulgent image of importance. This

:00:09.:00:14.

is all part of a long-term dconomic government sham. That is wh`t this

:00:15.:00:18.

is. I would like to get somd context to the reality of what it mdans In

:00:19.:00:23.

my constituency we have the busiest railway in Scotland after Glasgow

:00:24.:00:27.

and Edinburgh. It is one of the main routes were nuclear waste is

:00:28.:00:32.

transported. Use nuclear rods come into my constituency. Not in the

:00:33.:00:35.

dead of night, but by day. When people are standing on a pl`tform

:00:36.:00:40.

waiting to go to work, Greenock or wherever else. If the resumd a state

:00:41.:00:44.

with one of these, if we have an accident, it is like a dirtx bomb. I

:00:45.:00:49.

put it to the Government th`t they and their obsession with nuclear

:00:50.:00:52.

weapons is in fact one of the greatest threats against my

:00:53.:00:53.

constituency. I rise to support the motion.

:00:54.:01:06.

Earlier, the Prime Minister said the first duty of government was protect

:01:07.:01:10.

its citizens. I would add to that that the first duty of an

:01:11.:01:16.

opposition, if it hopes to become a government, is to convince the

:01:17.:01:19.

electorate in public at large that it will do the same and, above all,

:01:20.:01:27.

has the ability to do so. The opposition cannot be ambiguous on

:01:28.:01:33.

this commitment. I fully understand those in our party whose ethical

:01:34.:01:37.

values and feel the values of the Labour Party are incompatible with

:01:38.:01:47.

that stance, but what I would say is that the public, the electorate do

:01:48.:01:52.

not feel that our values and ethics are an adequate defence in the face

:01:53.:01:59.

of some of the military aggression of countries that might thrdaten us.

:02:00.:02:04.

I am old enough to remember campaigning in the days when

:02:05.:02:09.

Labour's policy was unilateralism. I can remember the cruel caricature of

:02:10.:02:18.

Labour's defence policy. Thdy labelled Labour's defence policy.

:02:19.:02:25.

And regrettably, it resonatdd with many of Labour's traditional voters.

:02:26.:02:33.

A desire to feel that, abovd all, people are entitled to security

:02:34.:02:38.

transcends voting behaviour, social class, incomes and so on. It goes

:02:39.:02:43.

right across the piece. And Labour paid a very high price for failing

:02:44.:02:49.

to recognise that in the 1980s. My honourable friend talked about how

:02:50.:02:55.

he succeeded in changing th`t policy. And since then, what other

:02:56.:03:04.

disagreements with Labour, ht has not been about defence. And indeed,

:03:05.:03:10.

we have had three general elections with a defence policy that was

:03:11.:03:19.

multilateral. In fact, multhlateral defence and independent nuclear

:03:20.:03:23.

deterrent has been our policy for the last six general elections. It

:03:24.:03:27.

was a manifesto commitment hn the last one, it is backed by trade

:03:28.:03:36.

unions to recognise that anx removable of Trident impacts hugely

:03:37.:03:40.

on the levels of employment and skills which are absolutely

:03:41.:03:44.

essential to the welfare... I am sorry, I am not giving way xet. And

:03:45.:03:52.

above all, it is backed by the public. For that policy to be

:03:53.:03:58.

overturned, I would say there needs to be three thresholds which has the

:03:59.:04:06.

meat. The first is that there must be a huge improvement in

:04:07.:04:10.

international relations. Th`t quite clearly has not happened. Things

:04:11.:04:15.

have deteriorated. The lowering of the threshold of the use of nuclear

:04:16.:04:20.

Rothmans by Russia, its acthvities in Ukraine, North Korea, thd ability

:04:21.:04:24.

of terrorists to take over countries and acquire nuclear technology, make

:04:25.:04:34.

it a more dangerous world. H would also say a compelling changd of

:04:35.:04:37.

technology which would renddr the nuclear submarine irrelevant. That

:04:38.:04:44.

has not happened. A financi`l capacity that would render ts unable

:04:45.:04:48.

to build them. That was not happened. And lastly, and

:04:49.:04:54.

overwhelming evidence of public support shifting against it. That

:04:55.:05:03.

has not happened. As we know, it was the famous post-war Labour

:05:04.:05:07.

government the first acquirdd Britain's nuclear deterrent. Clement

:05:08.:05:11.

Attlee had just been elected Prime Minister when America droppdd an

:05:12.:05:15.

atomic bomb on Hiroshima. Hd realised in an incident that fire

:05:16.:05:26.

engines were now useless in this destructive power. The only way was

:05:27.:05:31.

to have the ability to fight back and therefore deter the initial

:05:32.:05:36.

threat. Since then, Labour has the large part of adopted a stance on

:05:37.:05:42.

disarmament, believing that while other countries possess nuclear

:05:43.:05:46.

weapons, then Britain should not disarm unilaterally. Our 2005

:05:47.:05:52.

manifesto maintain our commhtment to a minimum credible independdnt

:05:53.:05:55.

nuclear could ability. And the looking further reductions hn global

:05:56.:06:02.

stockpiles. By 2025, the UK will have achieved 65% reduction in the

:06:03.:06:07.

size of its nuclear stockpile. This Parliament has always taken our

:06:08.:06:10.

disarmament goals seriously but the world is too unstable and too

:06:11.:06:14.

predictable right now to contemplate getting rid of our main defdnce

:06:15.:06:20.

strategies. Part of the abolitionist argument relies on the belidf that

:06:21.:06:23.

nuclear weapons would not work as the crest of the modern world from

:06:24.:06:29.

terrorist organisations. But just because they would not be used to

:06:30.:06:33.

combat the nature of these threats does not negate their use as a

:06:34.:06:36.

deterrent for other or future unknown threats. Those whom we don't

:06:37.:06:42.

agree with understands the relevance of nuclear weapons and have sought

:06:43.:06:47.

to in increase their capabilities. Russia, Iran, China and North Korea,

:06:48.:06:53.

for example. I am proud of the superb engineering skills that are

:06:54.:06:56.

nurtured in this highly skilled industry. The MoD has stated that

:06:57.:07:02.

maintaining and sustaining the UK's nuclear deterrence supports over

:07:03.:07:07.

30,000 UK jobs and makes a significant contribution to our UK

:07:08.:07:13.

economy. This is why both unite and GMB support the renewal of our

:07:14.:07:19.

submarines. Scrapping Trident would place manufacturing jobs in my

:07:20.:07:23.

region in jeopardy. There are 2 businesses across the North East

:07:24.:07:27.

involved in the supply chain Britain's may be different

:07:28.:07:30.

submarines. Our region is already at risk of losing millions of pounds

:07:31.:07:35.

worth of funding after Brexht. I know from personal bitter

:07:36.:07:39.

experience, from the demise of shipbuilding, that job lossds on

:07:40.:07:43.

this scale will lead to comlunities being wiped out. The fact is, if a

:07:44.:07:49.

decision is taking not to rdplace Trident, these jobs will disappear

:07:50.:07:54.

and we will never see them `gain. I acknowledge there remains an absence

:07:55.:07:58.

of true definitive cost the renewal but one thing we can all agree on is

:07:59.:08:02.

that it will be expensive and that this does need to be monitored. But

:08:03.:08:09.

the reality is that we have got the paper Trident. If nuclear mhssiles

:08:10.:08:13.

were cheap or easy to come by, the world would be in serious trouble.

:08:14.:08:18.

The deterrent represents a security guarantee for the UK that I believe

:08:19.:08:22.

right now a potential cost of retaining it is worth more than the

:08:23.:08:31.

risk of disarmament. I belidve we should oppose the maintenance of a

:08:32.:08:36.

deterrent today. The arguments are moral and practical. Person`lly the

:08:37.:08:39.

moral argument. It's import`nt we all take full consideration of the

:08:40.:08:43.

scale of destruction that modern nuclear weapons can deliver and I

:08:44.:08:48.

would like to read out a message from the mayor of Hiroshima. On the

:08:49.:08:55.

6th of August, 1945, a single atomic bomb rented Hiroshima scorched plane

:08:56.:08:58.

and tens of thousands were burned flames. By the year's end, 040, 00

:08:59.:09:13.

lives were taken. Nuclear wdapons are an absolute evil and ultimate

:09:14.:09:22.

inhumanity. In the same statement, he called all muscle to this shared

:09:23.:09:27.

the sincere message that no one should suffer as we should have

:09:28.:09:31.

Does my own boyfriend not share my concern that this would be difficult

:09:32.:09:36.

to ignore the fact that we would move into a near permanent `rmament?

:09:37.:09:42.

I do indeed agree with her. If we look at contemporary nuclear

:09:43.:09:46.

weapons, they have the capability of delivering greater levels of

:09:47.:09:53.

devastation. One modern missile of 12 warheads could wipe out ` city of

:09:54.:09:58.

10 million people will eithdr uninhabitable. As the International

:09:59.:10:01.

Court of Justice put in 1996, the destructive power of nuclear weapons

:10:02.:10:05.

cannot be contained in spacd and time. They have the potenti`l to

:10:06.:10:09.

destroy all civilisation and the entire ecosystem of the planet. It

:10:10.:10:13.

is a chilling vision and is important we keep hold of this

:10:14.:10:19.

vision. I recently visited Whitchurch high school in mx

:10:20.:10:22.

constituency, where I met whth a call council. I asked them who felt

:10:23.:10:31.

we should renew Trident. Thdre was a sense of agitation in the room and I

:10:32.:10:34.

wondered if they were shy on the topic. I asked if there was anyone

:10:35.:10:38.

opposed to the renewal. Every single and shot up in the air without

:10:39.:10:42.

hesitation. I would say the decisions we make about nuclear

:10:43.:10:46.

deterrence today will impact on our children for decades and it's

:10:47.:10:49.

important we remember we ard making a decision for the next gendration.

:10:50.:10:53.

Then there is the business of practicalities. The challenges to

:10:54.:10:59.

our defence we face are different to those in the post-1945 era. Military

:11:00.:11:10.

attack was thought of in terms of conventional military attack. There

:11:11.:11:14.

are concerns of the intentions of President Putin's Russia. The

:11:15.:11:18.

annexation of Crimea and thd civil War had a destabilising effdct on

:11:19.:11:22.

security in Central and Eastern Europe but we also need to counter

:11:23.:11:27.

the threat from non-state actors. Nuclear weapons will not en`ble us

:11:28.:11:31.

to meet that threat and mondy allocated to Trident could lean the

:11:32.:11:35.

defence budget is not focusdd on the challenges we faced. Is it really

:11:36.:11:43.

possible to be sure that it will be an effective defence in 2060? I

:11:44.:11:49.

recently attended a meeting addressed by Lord Browne, the former

:11:50.:11:54.

Labour defence minister. He made a compelling argument against the

:11:55.:11:57.

renewal of Trident. He focused on two practical issues in particular,

:11:58.:12:01.

that of cyber security and that of the detection of submarines by enemy

:12:02.:12:09.

forces. He said that Nato countries cannot be confident that thdir

:12:10.:12:11.

nuclear defence systems would survive an attack from an opponent.

:12:12.:12:21.

And then there is the issue of detection. The Prime Ministdr spoke

:12:22.:12:26.

of nuclear submarines patrolling our Seas and and undetected but this is

:12:27.:12:30.

not a given for the future. There is a threat that with the incrdase in

:12:31.:12:35.

undersea detection technology, the location of submarines is more

:12:36.:12:40.

likely to be compromise. It relies on submarines remaining unddtected.

:12:41.:12:48.

There is a risk as well but the advancement in detection technology

:12:49.:12:52.

will outpace any advancement in counter measures. A credibld

:12:53.:12:59.

industrial strategy and cogdnt plan needs to be signed. Jobs, skills and

:13:00.:13:04.

income should be protected. I believe there is a real risk these

:13:05.:13:08.

expensive weapons may becomd obsolete over the period of their

:13:09.:13:12.

lives and that we would be better off in investing in structures that

:13:13.:13:22.

are real strategic threats. The issue is one that has been framed as

:13:23.:13:26.

an issue which is contentiots, controversial and sensitive. Most

:13:27.:13:39.

important of all is an issud where too many concerns about polhtical

:13:40.:13:49.

dogma had been masked by iddalism. I fully support Trident renew`l and

:13:50.:13:56.

the Northern Ireland Assembly has errors space defence Security has

:13:57.:14:01.

identified it as a priority. Therefore, if there are jobs coming

:14:02.:14:05.

off the back of Trident, we in Northern Ireland would make them. If

:14:06.:14:09.

they are available, send thdm our way. Our national security hs no

:14:10.:14:12.

game. You would be hard pushed to find someone that would not agree

:14:13.:14:17.

with the fact the world is over onto. But we have not yet rdalised

:14:18.:14:24.

that ideal world just yet. To ignore the fact with our country in danger,

:14:25.:14:29.

our country would be less protected than yesterday and we would be more

:14:30.:14:34.

under threat from enemies. We need to be prepared that the real world

:14:35.:14:38.

we live in with its inherent dangers. I will continue to implore

:14:39.:14:42.

those who are opposed to a deterrent that when you take all things into

:14:43.:14:46.

consideration and rational `bout the the arguments stack up on the

:14:47.:14:54.

renewal site. Our deterrent is a deterrent, not an aggressor. It is

:14:55.:14:58.

fit for purpose but will not be used for its purpose. Not only does

:14:59.:15:02.

Trident act as a deterrent or has the potential to be effective, but

:15:03.:15:08.

it is testimony to the strength of defence. Trident forms an integral

:15:09.:15:13.

part of our strong and proud country. Over 30 countries have

:15:14.:15:17.

weapons of mass destruction, be they nuclear, biological. But not all of

:15:18.:15:26.

these countries. And were wd to remove our deterrent, we wotld be

:15:27.:15:31.

stepping of the world stage, making our country are less signifhcant

:15:32.:15:34.

player around the unless significant partner. We need the United Kingdom

:15:35.:15:38.

to remain strong and at the top table.

:15:39.:15:44.

Getting back our capabilitids at a time when the world is more arms

:15:45.:15:49.

than ever and is very volathle is not the way to go. We need to press

:15:50.:15:58.

ahead. The ideal world does not yet exist and the context is not yet set

:15:59.:16:03.

for that for the United Kingdom Trident make sure the United Kingdom

:16:04.:16:07.

would be able to look after itself even in the worst scenario

:16:08.:16:10.

imaginable. It sends out a strong message that no matter how lany

:16:11.:16:15.

people talk down us as a nation we remain one of the most broadly

:16:16.:16:19.

defended nations on earth rdady for whatever the enemies might throw at

:16:20.:16:23.

us. What is contentious abott defending your country and the

:16:24.:16:27.

pairing for the worst and what is sensitive about making sure your

:16:28.:16:31.

country can react appropriately to the unthinkable? When cool heads

:16:32.:16:34.

come together and rational linds make the right decision on this

:16:35.:16:39.

issue, it should cause no controversy at all. Renewing the

:16:40.:16:44.

deterrent is the right thing to do and it is the only thing we can do.

:16:45.:16:47.

We tonight will support the Government and joined them hn the

:16:48.:16:51.

lobbies to retain Trident and the Trident renewal. I was elected by

:16:52.:17:00.

15,000 voters with a 7000 m`jority on a label -- Labour manifesto of

:17:01.:17:11.

multinational in favour of Trident. I was a member of the CND and

:17:12.:17:18.

related to Henry Richard and I will go through the arguments behng

:17:19.:17:21.

deployed. The first thing is nuclear arms are appalling weapons. Well, we

:17:22.:17:27.

know that. That is why they are such an awful deterrent. They ard a

:17:28.:17:30.

deterrent because they are terrible weapons. The second is thesd arms

:17:31.:17:36.

are obsolete, redundant bec`use of various technological advances. In

:17:37.:17:42.

that case, why are Russia, China, France and the US investing in them?

:17:43.:17:47.

The technology says it is not redundant. It is said they cannot

:17:48.:17:51.

fight cyber crime and terrorism They are not designed to do so. They

:17:52.:17:55.

say it costs a lot of money. Well, it does. 30 billion plus 10 billion

:17:56.:18:01.

contingency. Something like 1.2 billion per year just for the

:18:02.:18:06.

capital costs, about 6% of the defence spend. It is a lot of money

:18:07.:18:11.

but it would not transform the NHS and in fact conventional arlaments.

:18:12.:18:17.

It supports about 32,000 jobs. The key issue is do they deter? I have

:18:18.:18:22.

to say as a member of the Council of Europe, when I talked to Ukraine MPs

:18:23.:18:26.

they said if we had a deterrent of the Russians would not have invaded

:18:27.:18:34.

Crimea and eastern Ukraine. Latvia, Estonia, Lithuania, they sax that we

:18:35.:18:38.

have got Russian Menorah CC like the Ukraine and they will invadd us and

:18:39.:18:43.

if you do not have a deterrdnt what would you do? Conventional `rms Say

:18:44.:18:47.

we will use tactical weapons and blow up Coventry question m`rk what

:18:48.:18:55.

will we do? Let them blow up it up? It is not difficult to think of

:18:56.:19:00.

scenarios where nuclear blackmail is effective whether it is Russia or

:19:01.:19:07.

North Korea. That is all sufficient reason to support a minimum nuclear

:19:08.:19:11.

deterrent. We could withdraw. We could be part of a nuclear @lliance

:19:12.:19:16.

and let France and America protect us. But why should France

:19:17.:19:21.

unilaterally disarm? What if Donald Trump comes along? Will he support

:19:22.:19:30.

us? I think not. My position, like my honourable friend who didd the

:19:31.:19:33.

same year that I was born, ht was not my fault, by the way. Hd was

:19:34.:19:40.

basically a multilateralist like me and understood that the purpose of

:19:41.:19:44.

these awful weapons is to ststain peace and prevent war. The purpose

:19:45.:19:48.

of this deterrent is to savd lives and not take them. And to ddter

:19:49.:19:55.

aggression and not attack pdople. We all wish these weapons did not exist

:19:56.:19:59.

at all. But the question is, and it is difficult and I respect that do

:20:00.:20:03.

we want to take responsibilhty for the deaths of people if we do not

:20:04.:20:08.

have the deterrent and it provokes aggression which would otherwise not

:20:09.:20:13.

happen? The nuclear capabilhty has halved since the Cold War. We only

:20:14.:20:18.

have 1% of the current stock I'll add 17,000 weapons and the plan is

:20:19.:20:21.

to reduce them further. -- stockpile. This is the bettdr of two

:20:22.:20:28.

evils that we need a minimul capability. I wish we did not, but

:20:29.:20:32.

we do. The acid test is with the nuclear weapons, will more less

:20:33.:20:37.

people died? In my judgment, less people will die and therefore we

:20:38.:20:45.

need to support this notion. I speak in favour of the motion. And for the

:20:46.:20:51.

following reasons, first, it is the policy upon which I was elected My

:20:52.:20:54.

Labour colleagues and I werd elected on the basis of a manifesto

:20:55.:20:59.

commitment to support an independent nuclear deterrent and that hs what

:21:00.:21:03.

we must do tonight. As a colmitted democrat I intend to fulfil the

:21:04.:21:08.

mandate given to me by 15,000 people in Aberavon who elected me. My

:21:09.:21:12.

colleagues should do the sale and fulfil the mandate they had from the

:21:13.:21:15.

9.3 million people who voted Labour last year. Reckon, jobs. As a member

:21:16.:21:22.

of Parliament who is proud to rep resents the steel-making he`rtland,

:21:23.:21:28.

I am very aware of the industrial invocations that voting agahnst this

:21:29.:21:32.

motion would have. Trident will support almost 26,000 jobs,

:21:33.:21:36.

including 13,000 in advance manufacturing. It will affect more

:21:37.:21:40.

than 1000 businesses in almost 50 towns across the country. Scrapping

:21:41.:21:45.

Trident would further skew the economy with defence being one of

:21:46.:21:48.

the few sectors reliably crdating sustainable and highly skilled and

:21:49.:21:54.

well paid jobs outside London. As the union stated Sundays ago, there

:21:55.:22:00.

can be no moral case for a trade union accepting the obliter`tion of

:22:01.:22:05.

thousands of jobs or for thd communities in which they lhve being

:22:06.:22:10.

turned into ghost towns. Sole years before I entered this place I worked

:22:11.:22:14.

for the British Council as director of the Saint Petersburg offhce. I

:22:15.:22:20.

have seen first-hand the nature of the Vladimir Putin regime. H was

:22:21.:22:23.

withdrawn from Russia because of concern about my security after the

:22:24.:22:29.

Kremlin campaign for intimidation in the wake of the poisoning of

:22:30.:22:38.

Alexander Litvinenko. This regime responds to being caught red-handed,

:22:39.:22:40.

murdering a British citizen on richest soil using nuclear laterial

:22:41.:22:46.

with denial, aggression and intimidation. -- British sohl. I was

:22:47.:22:53.

convinced of a needs to ret`in a nuclear deterrent. Because we must

:22:54.:22:59.

be able to stand up to bullhes. Mr Deputy Speaker, we live in `n

:23:00.:23:03.

unstable and unpredictable world. We know the expansionist belligerent

:23:04.:23:08.

regime such as the one currdntly governing Russia thrives in such

:23:09.:23:13.

conditions. We know the Russian garment has pressed forward with the

:23:14.:23:18.

development of the ballistic missile submarine and the next generation of

:23:19.:23:24.

cruise missiles. -- governmdnt. We cannot hope for James Bond to sneak

:23:25.:23:28.

in and disarm the missile. The threat presented can only bd stopped

:23:29.:23:35.

through deterrent. Nuclear weapons existing Zach Lee so that wd will

:23:36.:23:41.

never have to use them. -- dxist exactly. I would like to live

:23:42.:23:44.

without the nuclear weapons but we must engage with the world `s it is

:23:45.:23:48.

and not how we would like it to be. We must be realistic and not

:23:49.:23:53.

fantasies. Deterrence has kdpt the peace for more than 70 years. Giving

:23:54.:23:58.

up the capacity for independent action will not only expose us to

:23:59.:24:01.

blackmail but severely weakdn our standing in the world. I wotld ask

:24:02.:24:08.

all honourable members to stand up for Britain as they enter the lobby

:24:09.:24:11.

this evening and join me in supporting this motion. In November

:24:12.:24:19.

the UK government published the latest strategic defence spdnding

:24:20.:24:24.

review. At that time is assdssment was made of the security

:24:25.:24:29.

implications of Brexit. This can now be interpreted as naive and

:24:30.:24:33.

irresponsible. Eight months later we are being asked to forge a head with

:24:34.:24:36.

defence spending policies b`sed on the assumption nothing has changed.

:24:37.:24:40.

But everything has changed. The relationship with Europe. The Briton

:24:41.:24:47.

-- the UK's role in the world, even the Prime Minister and much of the

:24:48.:24:55.

Cabinet. With this such a shift in circumstances, surely the thme has

:24:56.:24:58.

come to at least revisit thd principle of the spending rdview.

:24:59.:25:02.

This commitment, based on l`st November's costing, would the up one

:25:03.:25:07.

third of the budget year on year for the next 20 years. Questionhng the

:25:08.:25:13.

wisdom of squandering large sums is not a matter of being soft on

:25:14.:25:17.

defence, it is a matter of acknowledging the hard realhty of a

:25:18.:25:21.

post fish-macro economy, security threats unlike the -- post Brexit

:25:22.:25:28.

economy and a need to reassdss the place of the UK and the world. - in

:25:29.:25:37.

another world. Shoulder the time is now poor investment in thesd threats

:25:38.:25:40.

which will be with us for -, sure that the time is now for investment

:25:41.:25:45.

and the spending review chalpioned the National cyber Security plan,

:25:46.:25:52.

allocated 1.9 billion for the next four years but the biggest part of

:25:53.:25:54.

the plan is addressing civilian cyber crime. Only 90 million is

:25:55.:25:59.

specifically allocated for defence cyber crime. We know the

:26:00.:26:05.

conventional armed forces are understrength and ill-equipped and

:26:06.:26:08.

as Lord Chilcott noticed, this but is sold is in danger when elployed

:26:09.:26:12.

in danger zones. A newspaper reported yesterday that the Army is

:26:13.:26:18.

placing trained recruits in front line of roles. Conventional forces

:26:19.:26:21.

when working in tandem with international law can delivdr peace

:26:22.:26:25.

and stability through peacekeeping. Trident can never do that. H

:26:26.:26:29.

understand the prime Ministdr visited Wales today and had meetings

:26:30.:26:34.

with the Labour first Minister, Carwyn Jones. I understand ly

:26:35.:26:40.

country's role in the Brexit negotiations were discussed. I

:26:41.:26:42.

understand they discuss the future of the union. The future of Scotland

:26:43.:26:46.

in the union is now very much in question. Only a couple of xears

:26:47.:26:53.

ago, Labour's first Minister offered a warm world, the Trident in

:26:54.:26:59.

Pembrokeshire. The prospect of just such an eventuality. He backed off

:27:00.:27:05.

under pressure from his own Assembly members but he will be supported by

:27:06.:27:10.

the Labour backbenchers tod`y. My country has suffered the legacy of

:27:11.:27:15.

industrial decay. It has suffered at the hands of the poverty of the

:27:16.:27:18.

Welsh Labour economic ambithon and the poverty of a vision for Wales.

:27:19.:27:24.

We will not accept the mantra jobs at any cost. If Trident leaves, the

:27:25.:27:30.

Westminster government will need to find a base in England becatse we

:27:31.:27:34.

are not so poor in spirit as to accept the toxic status symbol of

:27:35.:27:40.

Britain's imagined standing on the global stage. The security of Wales

:27:41.:27:45.

is dependent on the securitx of the global community and not antiquated

:27:46.:27:49.

technology. My colleagues and myself will be voting against this motion.

:27:50.:27:53.

Thank you. Too often today we have heard Trident is the ultimate

:27:54.:28:01.

deterrent but the great warlonger Tony Blair has already said it

:28:02.:28:09.

serves no military purpose. What it does mean is some others aspire to

:28:10.:28:15.

have that status symbol. We do not argue to stockpile chemical and

:28:16.:28:18.

biological weapons so why are we making the item at we need nuclear

:28:19.:28:25.

weapons? If you support a rdckless gambler to play poker he is not

:28:26.:28:28.

afraid to go all in with his chips will stop why argue for nuclear

:28:29.:28:34.

Armageddon as a possible deterrent? That is not the way to go. The only

:28:35.:28:40.

country that has not sufferdd a nuclear attack has been Jap`n and

:28:41.:28:44.

that has never felt -- that has suffered a nuclear attack h`s been

:28:45.:28:48.

Japan and they make the loghcal argument that we need to rid the

:28:49.:28:53.

world of nuclear weapons. The new successor submarines we havd the

:28:54.:28:57.

will cost approximately 200 billion and will not protect us frol a level

:28:58.:29:02.

one threat identified in thd defence review. For me it is ridiculous to

:29:03.:29:09.

have a review which waited 35% of the defence allocation going into a

:29:10.:29:13.

level two threat with at le`st I rang wrists identified. -- six

:29:14.:29:22.

higher ranked risks identifhed. It does not protect us from cyber

:29:23.:29:28.

attack and some of the argulents we have heard today about nucldar

:29:29.:29:34.

weapons as governors of peace are nonsense. The argument for job

:29:35.:29:37.

creation, 200 billion is also nonsensical. If you believe the MoD

:29:38.:29:42.

figure of 31,000 jobs creatdd over the lifetime of Trident, th`t is 6.5

:29:43.:29:49.

million per job. That is thd most expensive job creation schele in

:29:50.:29:57.

history. It is looking jobs on the Clyde shipyards other conventional

:29:58.:30:01.

forces with people getting paid off to subsidise Trident. What we could

:30:02.:30:09.

do for that money is increased renewables and we could havd oil

:30:10.:30:13.

exploration in the west coast of Scotland because the nuclear sub

:30:14.:30:15.

rains have prevented that from taking place. We could have more

:30:16.:30:21.

shipbuilding proposals. We could invest in coal-mining again. We

:30:22.:30:26.

could have infrastructure upgrades and regeneration for communhties

:30:27.:30:29.

where losses may be most kednly felt.

:30:30.:30:40.

The ?2.4 billion a year for Trident equates to ?50 million a wedk. You

:30:41.:30:55.

could spend that on the NHS. The vote against Trident was lost in the

:30:56.:31:07.

1980s. The Labour Party's internal nuclear warfare will keep in line

:31:08.:31:13.

with Scotland. Part of the thrust of the day has been the worry `bout

:31:14.:31:24.

states. The honourable membdr for Uxbridge, the honourable melber for

:31:25.:31:28.

North Somerset have their h`nds on the red button. You would not trust

:31:29.:31:32.

them with a TV remote control, never mind that red button! I will

:31:33.:31:40.

conclude with lines from last night. When the madman flaps, they nuclear

:31:41.:31:45.

will go for me. That land w`s taken from the lunatics have taken over

:31:46.:31:49.

asylum. Nothing has changed from 1981. Over our recent history,

:31:50.:31:59.

Parliament has held many debates about the decision to send ` Armed

:32:00.:32:04.

Forces into combat on our bdhalf. Throughout these discussions, there

:32:05.:32:08.

has been a single principle which has united every Member of

:32:09.:32:12.

Parliament, and that has bedn the requirement to protect human life

:32:13.:32:17.

and specifically to minimisd impact of armed conflict on civili`ns. In

:32:18.:32:23.

modern times, this has been accepted by all parties and each indhvidual

:32:24.:32:25.

government in every theatre of combat. In 2004, the then Armed

:32:26.:32:32.

Forces Minister said, we regard any loss of life is deeply regrdttable

:32:33.:32:38.

and we take a obligation to avoid or minimise casualties extremely

:32:39.:32:43.

seriously. Steps to avoid stch casualties are integrated into every

:32:44.:32:47.

aspect of operations. This `pproach has been adopted by successhve

:32:48.:32:55.

governments. In 2010, the ctrrent Secretary of State for International

:32:56.:32:57.

trade said the prevention of civilian casualties was of paramount

:32:58.:33:01.

concern to force commanders operating in Iraq and the rhsk of

:33:02.:33:05.

this occurring was minimised by the tactics and training of our forces.

:33:06.:33:11.

This approach has been underlined by the government and indeed, the

:33:12.:33:17.

Secretary of State for Defence in 2014 said this strategy unddrpins

:33:18.:33:22.

our combat operations. He stated, the UK seeks to avoid civilhan

:33:23.:33:28.

casualties. So let us be cldar. It has been a long-standing doctrine.

:33:29.:33:34.

We should seek to take all possible precautions to minimise the killing

:33:35.:33:38.

of civilians in conflict. This is formed an integral part of our

:33:39.:33:43.

military planning. Our Armed Forces are trained in tactics which

:33:44.:33:48.

reinforce this commitment. Ht has been this moral standpoint which has

:33:49.:33:52.

led the UK to join with othdr countries to ban items like chemical

:33:53.:33:57.

weapons, biological weapons and cluster bombs. I agree with this

:33:58.:34:03.

approach. But just how does that square with Trident? I do not accept

:34:04.:34:08.

that this debate should be discussed in an ethical vacuum. Indiscriminate

:34:09.:34:13.

old death on an unimaginabld scale is a cold reality of nuclear war.

:34:14.:34:22.

The use of nuclear weapons would be a disaster for our planet and

:34:23.:34:26.

civilisation. It would not only make is the exception to the rold in the

:34:27.:34:29.

international community, but it would run counter to every single

:34:30.:34:34.

pronouncement that has ever been made by every post-war government

:34:35.:34:38.

about the UK military's terls of engagement. We have heard today that

:34:39.:34:44.

this government and those on opposition benches are prep`red to

:34:45.:34:48.

support the renewal of Triddnt, whatever the cost. That word,

:34:49.:34:54.

whatever, has fallen heavilx upon this chamber, not least in the

:34:55.:34:57.

contest of the last week. It is not about whatever, it is whatever the

:34:58.:35:08.

consequences, cost? No. It hs immoral, defunct and we shotld not

:35:09.:35:18.

support it. I come to this debate this evening along with my two

:35:19.:35:23.

colleagues as pacifists, people who strongly believe a nuclear

:35:24.:35:31.

disarmament and permanently believe that weapons of mass destruction are

:35:32.:35:35.

used to kill people in an indiscriminate manner. And for that

:35:36.:35:42.

reason, we will be going into the no lobby tonight. What we are debating

:35:43.:35:46.

today is the UK's own role `s a nuclear power. In the last six

:35:47.:35:54.

years, in the time I have spent in this House, I cannot recall having

:35:55.:36:00.

heard convincingly any minister explain why the UK's nuclear arsenal

:36:01.:36:07.

provides any deterrent not `lready provided by the much larger

:36:08.:36:12.

obstacles of the Allies. I have yet to hear any reason why nucldar

:36:13.:36:18.

weapons make Britain safer than non-armed states like Germany,

:36:19.:36:24.

Canada or Japan. There is no genuine security argument for the UK to

:36:25.:36:28.

spend these vast sums of money on weapons that can never be used. The

:36:29.:36:37.

elephant in the room today hs about standards are not about safdty. The

:36:38.:36:40.

reason the government wants to renew these weapons is not becausd they

:36:41.:36:44.

make us safer but because mhnisters are afraid that without thel, the UK

:36:45.:36:50.

will further cease to be a world power. I give way. Like her, I

:36:51.:36:59.

detect that this is about status. This is a vanity project. The most

:37:00.:37:04.

thoughtful argument we have heard that the investment in Triddnt is

:37:05.:37:09.

that it would be unthinkabld. Can I thank my honourable friend, for his

:37:10.:37:16.

very helpful intervention? On that respect, I remember going to a talk

:37:17.:37:21.

on this some months ago givdn by the former Secretary of State for

:37:22.:37:25.

Defence, who sits on the Other Place, who said it was no longer

:37:26.:37:30.

applicable because of issues to do with cyber security and detdction. I

:37:31.:37:35.

have even heard it suggested that renewing Trident is necessary to

:37:36.:37:41.

protect the UK's plays on the UN Security Council but for a lodern

:37:42.:37:46.

democracy, weapons of mass destruction at a new way to hold our

:37:47.:37:51.

place in the world. In truth, they cause to hold onto these we`pons

:37:52.:37:56.

betray an insecurity that wdakens the UK's standing in the world. How

:37:57.:38:03.

can the UK cool on other cotntries to commit the nonproliferathon when

:38:04.:38:08.

it itself tries to hold on to influence through status sylbol

:38:09.:38:14.

nuclear weapons? And this is not a harmless indulgence. By rendwing

:38:15.:38:18.

Trident, it will only add to the tension between powers at a time

:38:19.:38:23.

when we should try to de-escalates conflict and bring understanding

:38:24.:38:28.

across the world. That is to say nothing of the danger Trident has

:38:29.:38:33.

brought to the north Channel and Irish Sea and particularly to those

:38:34.:38:37.

fishermen in my constituencx who truly those waters. As a

:38:38.:38:42.

representative of that constituency, but is facing uncertainty as a

:38:43.:38:46.

result of the political dechsion that is likely to be taken here

:38:47.:38:54.

tonight, I understand the position of Honourable members of his

:38:55.:38:56.

country's currency is blind the construction of those submarines for

:38:57.:38:59.

jobs livelihood, but I would say to them that there are better ways of

:39:00.:39:04.

investing in growth for your communities that do not involve

:39:05.:39:08.

nuclear weapons. Common sense dictates that the UK will h`ve to

:39:09.:39:13.

decommission one day. It max be this year or 30 years from now, but

:39:14.:39:18.

economic transition away from the submarines is inevitable, as

:39:19.:39:24.

inevitable as the decommisshoning of nuclear plants that have already

:39:25.:39:27.

taken place but is likely to take longer than is projected. That is

:39:28.:39:36.

why I believe we must take that ?179 billion Trident is set to cost over

:39:37.:39:42.

the next number of years and invested in renewing peaceftl,

:39:43.:39:47.

sustainable industry in shipbuilding of our islands. That is how small

:39:48.:39:51.

nations make themselves indispensable on the world stage,

:39:52.:39:58.

not through threats and weapons but through long sided inward investment

:39:59.:40:05.

in skills and industry, through commitment to peace and diplomacy,

:40:06.:40:10.

and that should be be objective of this government, because th`t is the

:40:11.:40:14.

objective of us on these benches. We want to see peace and harmony but we

:40:15.:40:19.

want to see growth and development, and for those reasons, myself and my

:40:20.:40:28.

two colleagues will be in the no lobbies tonight. I have been

:40:29.:40:34.

listening for the last few hours to the various debates regarding

:40:35.:40:38.

Trident and I have not yet heard a single new and compelling c`se for

:40:39.:40:42.

the replacement of Trident. What I have heard is a blank chequd, a lot

:40:43.:40:49.

of unknown unknowns about the future but we still do not have a single

:40:50.:40:53.

reason for replacement. One thing is certain however, no one truly knows

:40:54.:41:01.

about the horror, shock, pahn, loss and complete and utter devastation

:41:02.:41:06.

of a nuclear strike. I would turn to be words of a survivor of a nuclear

:41:07.:41:13.

holocaust. She is 84 years old. She could be a mother, grandmother, on

:41:14.:41:20.

or sister. She was telling ts at 13 years old in Japan, when a bomb hit,

:41:21.:41:26.

the first thing she remembered was a blue, white light in her body being

:41:27.:41:30.

thrown up in the air. She w`s in a classroom of 14-year-olds, dvery one

:41:31.:41:35.

of which died. As the dust settled, she managed to make, as she called

:41:36.:41:42.

out of that building, because walking towards her, walking posts,

:41:43.:41:48.

some of which had stomachs which were expanded and for and organs

:41:49.:41:53.

would fall out. Others had skin falling off them and others still

:41:54.:41:57.

were carrying limbs. And ond in particular was carrying thehr

:41:58.:42:01.

eyeballs in their hand. When I had the Prime Minister today saxs she

:42:02.:42:05.

was be satisfied to press the button on hundreds of thousands of innocent

:42:06.:42:10.

men, women and children, I `sked her, come before the House will I'm

:42:11.:42:16.

sure she would be delighted to have that discussion about what ht really

:42:17.:42:20.

is to be in the event of a nuclear bomb. That in itself should be the

:42:21.:42:24.

utter and complete reason why we do not replace Trident! A second story

:42:25.:42:29.

I want to tell takes me back a couple of years. Two years `go, I

:42:30.:42:32.

campaign for Scottish indepdndence, like all my colleague said. One of

:42:33.:42:37.

the things I used during thd campaign was a 1950s green Goddess

:42:38.:42:42.

fire engine. It was called the spirit of independence. You may not

:42:43.:42:48.

know this but it is a clear call to protect you in the event of a

:42:49.:42:51.

nuclear strike. They were discontinued in 2003 becausd they

:42:52.:42:57.

were not used an utterly usdless. What I can tell you is that of a top

:42:58.:43:02.

speed of 45 mph, if a nucle`r strike happened near your place, 30 miles

:43:03.:43:07.

from Glasgow, he would be cdrtainly would be completely useless. I am

:43:08.:43:11.

making these short and simple reasons why we need to conshder the

:43:12.:43:16.

end of this programme. Therd are houses needing built, jobs `nd

:43:17.:43:25.

renewable energy. There is `lso 1 million people going to food banks

:43:26.:43:30.

every year. We should hang our heads in shame, even at the possible sort

:43:31.:43:35.

of sacrificing all of that... I know you shaking your head but, please

:43:36.:43:39.

come you need to listen to the fact of the matter. People are htngry in

:43:40.:43:42.

this country and people are going without jobs and are sufferhng and

:43:43.:43:46.

if you think this status sylbol is the most important thing, then I'm

:43:47.:43:49.

afraid I will not support the vote tonight and neither will my

:43:50.:43:59.

colleagues. To start with, H think it is a disgrace and contemptuous of

:44:00.:44:04.

this Parliament that we are being asked to take not just the biggest

:44:05.:44:08.

spending decision of this P`rliament but the biggest strategic ddfence

:44:09.:44:13.

decision of our lifetime on the basis of 14 lines of text. There is

:44:14.:44:19.

no plan, no budget, no security assessment beyond a glib se`rch that

:44:20.:44:23.

the world will be a dangerots place in 30 years' time and we have to do

:44:24.:44:26.

something. I really don't think that is good enough. And I think it shows

:44:27.:44:32.

that yet again, with many other things, but this is presentdd here

:44:33.:44:35.

today at this time in this way, not for the benefit of the country, but

:44:36.:44:40.

the benefit of the Conservative Party and that I believe is

:44:41.:44:45.

disgraceful. There has been much talk about deterrent and yet despite

:44:46.:44:51.

our questioning, no one has been able to tell us what has bedn

:44:52.:44:55.

deterred over the last 50 ydars because of our nuclear capability.

:44:56.:44:58.

It was not North Korea getthng nuclear weapons, it was not the

:44:59.:45:05.

despots and terrorism in thd Middle East. The only thing it has

:45:06.:45:11.

suggested would be deterred is in a conflict situation, that our

:45:12.:45:13.

position of nuclear weapons will deter others from using thel because

:45:14.:45:18.

of the consequences. And th`t takes us to the morality of this dntire

:45:19.:45:27.

question because I was also spared the Prime Minister's glib answer,

:45:28.:45:30.

when she was quizzed by my honourable friend, which shd pressed

:45:31.:45:34.

the nuclear button? I would say to the Prime Minister and all of those

:45:35.:45:38.

who support in this resoluthon tonight but they need to take a long

:45:39.:45:43.

hard look in the mirror, thdn need to search their heart and conscious

:45:44.:45:49.

and they need to say, what lorality is it that justifies the mass

:45:50.:45:51.

execution of non-competence? He makes a very powerful spdech He

:45:52.:46:00.

is making the moral argument against nuclear weapons. I disagree but I

:46:01.:46:06.

respect it. Can he tell me why his party is prepared to join a nuclear

:46:07.:46:12.

alliance in Nato and sign up to the nuclear doctrine and accept that

:46:13.:46:16.

umbrella when he is not prepared, for this country, to make a

:46:17.:46:22.

contribution? I say to him `s I said earlier that you have to ask you is,

:46:23.:46:26.

are you prepared to see the mass execution of noncombatants? Is it

:46:27.:46:33.

right we have the genocide of innocence? Unless you and the other

:46:34.:46:37.

people who support this resolution can answer in the affirmative, then

:46:38.:46:41.

it is not a deterrent at all and we should not be having it. I would

:46:42.:46:46.

like to say to colleagues on the Labour benches who have spoken in

:46:47.:46:53.

favour of the Conservative government's position tonight that I

:46:54.:46:58.

regret very much you seem to be hiding behind the defence trade

:46:59.:47:05.

unions in justifying how yot vote. You do not need to be smart to

:47:06.:47:09.

understand that if you do not start rearming, if you do not comlit this

:47:10.:47:13.

?200 billion, you will have adequate money to give a financial gtarantee

:47:14.:47:20.

to every worker in that indtstry and redeploy their ingenuity, skills and

:47:21.:47:24.

experience in construction `nd engineering projects which benefit

:47:25.:47:28.

humankind rather than for its destruction. I would have thought

:47:29.:47:33.

that should be what the Labour Party would be arguing. In this and in so

:47:34.:47:37.

many other ways I think thex have lost their moral compass whhch is

:47:38.:47:40.

why they are in this situathon today. I was elected to this chamber

:47:41.:47:47.

on a manifesto will stop it was not just varied --. It was not buried in

:47:48.:47:56.

the manifesto. Every leaflet I put out had in 24 point type, no

:47:57.:48:04.

Trident. I said I will vote at every opportunity against the rearmament

:48:05.:48:09.

which is now proposed. I was elected with 49.2% of the vote and the

:48:10.:48:14.

person that came second... H will give way to the honourable lember.

:48:15.:48:20.

Does he share my dismay that we are looking towards Trident rendwal when

:48:21.:48:25.

civic Scotland, the churches, the S TUC and MPC and Scottish Parliament

:48:26.:48:29.

are also firmly against it on our soil? I do indeed. I was gohng to

:48:30.:48:35.

say that the person who camd second in my collection at the person who

:48:36.:48:39.

came third also agreed with my position which I'm taking today

:48:40.:48:44.

More than 80% of the Scottish population voted for political

:48:45.:48:48.

parties in that election who are against the proposition before us

:48:49.:48:53.

today. This ought to present some kind of problem for the Govdrnment.

:48:54.:48:58.

How can it be when one nation within the United Kingdom is so absolutely

:48:59.:49:05.

against the proposition that it is that nation and over else that is

:49:06.:49:10.

invested with its delivery `nd all the security consequences which come

:49:11.:49:14.

with it? I would say to the Defence Secretary that if he is so keen on

:49:15.:49:19.

this project in future, he light consider constructing a nav`l base

:49:20.:49:23.

somewhere from the coast of Kent and then he could have all the nuclear

:49:24.:49:26.

submarines that he would want without our condemnation. And to

:49:27.:49:31.

answer the honourable gentldman making the first intervention, when

:49:32.:49:35.

you have this kind of stand,off in the world, somebody, somewhdre will

:49:36.:49:43.

have two put the gun down fhrst I think the alternative to re`rmament

:49:44.:49:46.

and creating a more dangerots world is to argue for a process of

:49:47.:49:52.

disarmament to show an example and build international alliancds to

:49:53.:49:55.

make the world safer. After all that is exactly the strategx we

:49:56.:50:00.

pursue when it comes to chelical and biological warfare. Why not with

:50:01.:50:05.

nuclear weapons? We will be voting very much against this proposition

:50:06.:50:08.

tonight and I hope colleaguds on the Labour benches will search their

:50:09.:50:12.

hearts and come with us into those lobbies. Thank very much. Today I

:50:13.:50:20.

will be voting against the renewal of the Trident nuclear weapons

:50:21.:50:26.

system is. I join my colleagues and the vast majority of Scottish MPs in

:50:27.:50:29.

voting against it. My opposhtion is in voting -- is based on three clear

:50:30.:50:36.

reds boss, the ridiculous cost, the outdated effectiveness and the

:50:37.:50:43.

paralysis. -- morality. The Trident nuclear weapon system will cost in

:50:44.:50:51.

the region of ?200 billion hn the lifetime of this project. At a time

:50:52.:50:55.

when we tell disabled peopld that we cannot afford to continue p`ying ?30

:50:56.:50:59.

per week employment support payments. When we are telling women

:51:00.:51:04.

we cannot afford to pay thel a proper transition in their pensions.

:51:05.:51:10.

When this government accepts that food banks are just part of the

:51:11.:51:18.

Social Security system that 1.1 million people rely upon, wd have

:51:19.:51:23.

two questioned the extraordhnarily large expenditure items such as

:51:24.:51:29.

Trident and we must certainly question the affordability of

:51:30.:51:33.

Trident. For me in the wake of the damning Chilcott report into the

:51:34.:51:37.

Iraq war, when we read about the ill-equipped soldiers in th`t

:51:38.:51:42.

theatre of war, maybe some of that 200 billion would be better spent on

:51:43.:51:46.

conventional forces, on are`s of defence actually used but

:51:47.:51:51.

underequipped. On restoring areas of defence cut away and even stbject to

:51:52.:51:58.

putting aircraft carriers wd have just built without aircraft to use

:51:59.:52:02.

on it. We have to consider the practicality of this system. Even

:52:03.:52:07.

the new Chancellor recently said the state holding nuclear weapons makes

:52:08.:52:12.

that state a target. Nuclear weapons are simply ineffective and tseless

:52:13.:52:15.

as a deterrent against the lodern threat we face. We can thre`ten the

:52:16.:52:21.

terror groups we fight with a nuclear bomb. We cannot thrdaten the

:52:22.:52:26.

cyber criminal with a nucle`r bomb. Climate change is not tempered by

:52:27.:52:31.

nuclear weapons. None of thdse era defining threats to our way of life,

:52:32.:52:36.

safety, security Tom they are not protected by the mutually assured

:52:37.:52:40.

destruction of nuclear weapons. -- security, they are not protdcted.

:52:41.:52:45.

I'm reminded of the armed r`ise leading to the First World War with

:52:46.:52:50.

each power trying to outgun each other in trying to avoid war but all

:52:51.:52:53.

we were doing was making war inevitable. Trident claims to be the

:52:54.:52:59.

ultimate deterrent. But if ht is a deterrent at all it is against the

:53:00.:53:04.

wars and threats of the past. On morale at sea, each one of the

:53:05.:53:09.

nuclear missiles -- all mor`lity, each one of the nuclear sub reads as

:53:10.:53:13.

eight times the power of thd missile dropped on Hiroshima and called the

:53:14.:53:17.

absolute destruction of the area. Imagine the destruction caused by

:53:18.:53:23.

just one. Each submarine carries 40. Nuclear weapons cannot the targeted.

:53:24.:53:33.

Anna -- cannot be targeted. They obliterate innocent men, wolen and

:53:34.:53:39.

children. That is to be abhorred. While we possess them there is a

:53:40.:53:41.

risk of their use which we cannot countenance. It is a Cold W`r

:53:42.:53:48.

weapons system. It is outdated, immoral and extortionate, in terms

:53:49.:53:54.

of humanity, defence and thd economy we cannot afford to renew Trident

:53:55.:54:03.

tonight will stop --. Less than one week after the Prime Ministdr took

:54:04.:54:06.

office, her main priority h`s been laid bare. It is not to address the

:54:07.:54:12.

shambolic management of the NHS the shameful proliferation of food

:54:13.:54:16.

banks, and the economy on the edge of a precipice, her main prhority is

:54:17.:54:23.

to spend billions on a new generation of weapons of mass

:54:24.:54:26.

destruction, hurriedly forcdd through this place. We do not even

:54:27.:54:32.

know the forecast. Without knowing something as basic as how mtch it

:54:33.:54:36.

will cost, how is there any chance for proper scrutiny? She made much

:54:37.:54:42.

of her visit to Scotland last week, pushing a case for the so-c`lled

:54:43.:54:48.

special union. What is spechal about this union? A lack of paritx and

:54:49.:54:56.

esteem. 50 yet out of the 58 a democratically elected membdrs of

:54:57.:54:59.

parliament from Scotland will be voting down this renewal. -, 58 out

:55:00.:55:11.

of 59. The vote looks set to pass. This government has no mand`te in

:55:12.:55:16.

Scotland and regardless will subject Scotland to be the unwilling

:55:17.:55:20.

accomplice in the nuclear obsession. When we voice our disapprov`l we are

:55:21.:55:24.

told to shut up and be ankld for the jobs. How many redundancies have --

:55:25.:55:30.

and be ankle for the job. How many redundancies have taken place in the

:55:31.:55:35.

public sector in the last ydars Because we have got a live within

:55:36.:55:39.

our means, says the last Ch`ncellor. If we did not prioritise nuclear

:55:40.:55:43.

weapons, what could we do whth schools, hospitals, infrastructure

:55:44.:55:48.

and conventional forces? Thdre appears to be a bottomless pit of

:55:49.:55:52.

money available for nuclear weapons there is a source of great shame for

:55:53.:55:56.

all of us we cannot afford to insure the military personnel are properly

:55:57.:56:02.

catered for. One out of ten rough sleepers are ex-service personnel,

:56:03.:56:07.

sense to fight wars in forehgn countries and they are denidd the

:56:08.:56:10.

support they deserve upon their return from conflict. While I

:56:11.:56:16.

commend the work of charitable organisations like soldiers coming

:56:17.:56:21.

from the streets and help for heroes, it is nothing short of a

:56:22.:56:24.

national disgrace that they need to exist in the first place. They are

:56:25.:56:29.

prepared to put their lives in the line for our safety and we `re not

:56:30.:56:33.

prepared to properly resourced them to look after them and look after

:56:34.:56:39.

them upon their return. Mr Speaker, it is not a moral to allow our

:56:40.:56:42.

soldiers to sleep rough in the streets. -- not moral. And to

:56:43.:56:49.

introduce brutal Welfare Reform Bill were in their rather most honourable

:56:50.:56:52.

people in society and to let the health service supper on thd

:56:53.:56:56.

ideology of a government hell-bent on reform and it is immoral to look

:56:57.:57:02.

at food banks multiplying exponentially and it is uttdrly

:57:03.:57:04.

immoral to spend Williams on weapons we will never use -- billions on

:57:05.:57:15.

weapons we will never use. The Prime Minister has made her priorhty

:57:16.:57:19.

clear. Whether my constituents agree with me on the issue of Trident or

:57:20.:57:23.

not I am prioritising everyone of them voting against this new

:57:24.:57:28.

generation of weapons of mass destruction this evening. Qtite a

:57:29.:57:34.

lot of noisy private conversations are taking place including by

:57:35.:57:37.

members that have already addressed this House and it is franklx

:57:38.:57:40.

discusses to people waiting to do so. Patricia Gibson. -- discourteous

:57:41.:57:48.

to people. The message is qtite simple and plain to us on these

:57:49.:57:53.

benches and to the majority of the people of Scotland. The Scottish

:57:54.:57:58.

MPs, the MSP 's, churches and civic society. Despite this, the

:57:59.:58:03.

Government and most of thosd on the Labour benches as it is thr`shing

:58:04.:58:06.

about in death throes and whlling to press ahead with grotesque lands, to

:58:07.:58:14.

spend up to ?205 billion in a lifetime of this replacement is

:58:15.:58:19.

simply immoral. Look around us. We see families struggling to lake ends

:58:20.:58:23.

meet. Even parents working full-time. We see women with the

:58:24.:58:30.

opportunity to retire cruelly having it snatched away from them. Having

:58:31.:58:34.

to work an extra six years to access the pension they contributed to

:58:35.:58:40.

their working life. We see `usterity biting into the Scottish budget and

:58:41.:58:45.

across the UK, as local services are creaking under the weight of cuts

:58:46.:58:50.

and more cuts will stop and here we see a new prime in dash. And here we

:58:51.:58:56.

see a new prime Minister with her first priority apparently sdeking to

:58:57.:59:04.

renew austerity and uncertahnty --. And we see a prime and it whll cost

:59:05.:59:11.

billions -- and we see a Prhme Minister... And the context, Mr

:59:12.:59:18.

Speaker, the context of this decision is a borrowing levdl

:59:19.:59:27.

forecast to get worse after Brexit 40 billion to be cut from ptblic

:59:28.:59:35.

services by 2020. This is a disgrace. Let's look at the security

:59:36.:59:40.

argument for Trident. It protects us from enemies by providing a

:59:41.:59:44.

deterrent, we are told. Which enemies? Do we have any enelies that

:59:45.:59:50.

pose such a threat that we would destroy the entire continent to

:59:51.:59:55.

punish them? It makes us fedl safe, we are told. Really? Tell that to

:59:56.:00:01.

Israel. Who has nuclear weapons Does anybody believe Israel feels

:00:02.:00:08.

secure? The biggest threats to our security is from terrorism. Trident

:00:09.:00:13.

does not protect us from bad. In fact, it makes us a target. -- from

:00:14.:00:23.

this. Terrorist willing to wrap themselves in explosives and walk

:00:24.:00:26.

into a restaurant to detonate, do we think they will be deterred by

:00:27.:00:33.

Trident? That is the most lhkely threat we face in this new world

:00:34.:00:35.

order. As that of the argument that we need

:00:36.:00:54.

to rigid new Trident becausd of jobs, perhaps Len McCluskey should

:00:55.:00:59.

take up with his counterparts. Many of the skills used by Scotthsh

:01:00.:01:04.

workers could be transferred. And those who argue that Trident is

:01:05.:01:08.

important because of jobs is like saying that we should not fhnd a

:01:09.:01:12.

cure for cancer preferred that cancer surgeons would be undmployed.

:01:13.:01:25.

We need to get... It cannot be justified morally, financially or

:01:26.:01:30.

economically, and that is why we cannot renew in Scotland! Three

:01:31.:01:34.

remaining honourable members are catching my eye. Three colldagues

:01:35.:01:40.

from the same party I am sure will be able to work for themselves. Mr

:01:41.:01:48.

Ian Blackford. I see this as a sense of regret. The Prime Ministdr has

:01:49.:01:52.

come to this House today and the first thing she has tried to push

:01:53.:01:57.

through is a motion to commht this country to spending up to ?200

:01:58.:02:01.

billion of the course of thd next few decades on weapons of m`ss

:02:02.:02:06.

destruction. Where is the leadership? Where is the Russian? I

:02:07.:02:12.

welcome her to a position and I wish them well open the cause of the next

:02:13.:02:18.

few years. But in the context of a government that lectures us about

:02:19.:02:23.

fiscal responsibility, and xet when the Prime Minister was asked by the

:02:24.:02:26.

right honourable member to tell us what the cost of this would be, the

:02:27.:02:32.

Prime Minister refused to answer. And yet every single Conservative

:02:33.:02:35.

member of this House will m`rch through this chamber and give a

:02:36.:02:40.

blank cheque to the governmdnt, don't lecture us about fisc`l

:02:41.:02:48.

responsibility! We also had my honourable friend from East Lothian

:02:49.:02:52.

asked the Prime Minister if she is prepared to press the button. And

:02:53.:02:57.

the answer from the Prime Mhnister was yes. Have we forgotten the

:02:58.:03:02.

lessons of Hiroshima that mx honourable friend from Dundde West

:03:03.:03:08.

spoke about? Are we prepared to obliterate humanity because that is

:03:09.:03:11.

the result of what you do bx pressing that button? Those of us on

:03:12.:03:15.

these benches are not prepared to put a price on humanity by backing

:03:16.:03:23.

weapons of mass destruction. But on this issue of cost, because we have

:03:24.:03:28.

to face up to the fact that the conventional capability of this

:03:29.:03:32.

country has been stripped to the bone. There is not a single vessel

:03:33.:03:40.

in Scotland. The UK navy has 17 frigates and destroyers. Thd

:03:41.:03:45.

Falklands we felt to defend as we entered the 1980s now does not have

:03:46.:03:50.

a bunch of stationed on it. What we should be doing is investing in

:03:51.:03:54.

conventional defence, taking care of our responsibilities as far as

:03:55.:03:59.

terrorism is concerned, not investing in these rusting hogs that

:04:00.:04:02.

will do nothing for humanitx and nothing that our defence. Btt when

:04:03.:04:06.

we put that in the contest of Scotland, we know the price of this

:04:07.:04:12.

is that the contract for thd type 26 frigates has been put back, workers

:04:13.:04:17.

in Scotland are facing redundancy as a consequence of this government.

:04:18.:04:23.

But let me say this in conclusion, 58 members from Scotland will be

:04:24.:04:26.

voting in the lobby against this motion the night. Scotland hs

:04:27.:04:32.

speaking with a very clever is. We do not want these weapons of mass

:04:33.:04:36.

destruction. Let me say this to a house. This will be another nail in

:04:37.:04:42.

the coffin. In this House rdjects all the people of once, ulthmately,

:04:43.:04:50.

my country will be independdnt and free of nuclear weapons! Th`nk you,

:04:51.:04:59.

Mr Speaker. Time is short and I have little time for preamble but these

:05:00.:05:05.

weapons are a relic of an older time. They are useless in an

:05:06.:05:11.

affordable at a time in the gaps between haves and have-nots had been

:05:12.:05:17.

an even wider. Mr Speaker, nothing will convince me other than changing

:05:18.:05:28.

this. I do not live in a cotntry where a family's house is too big. I

:05:29.:05:33.

do not live in a country whdre we have nothing to offer our children

:05:34.:05:42.

but excuses. I do not want this country to accept that families need

:05:43.:05:46.

the build a food bank when their kids come home from school. No one

:05:47.:05:49.

can say that this is fair, no one can say this is acceptable. In this

:05:50.:05:55.

Parliament, right here, right now, we have a choice. We can st`nd up

:05:56.:06:00.

and say no more, not in our name. No more will we stand by what the

:06:01.:06:05.

government says. We want to spend our money in the way we want. What

:06:06.:06:14.

could we do with ?200 billion? It can make change. The night, those

:06:15.:06:17.

families deserve change, thdy deserve better, future that is fair,

:06:18.:06:22.

they deserve to it might, bd comforted and feel safe and feel

:06:23.:06:26.

part of our society and we care about them. They have a right to

:06:27.:06:29.

education as far as they want to take them.

:06:30.:06:40.

Our lives in everything we do is about change, the future we want,

:06:41.:06:48.

not the future we see taking shape for us. It is about how we provide

:06:49.:06:55.

for those who have little or nothing. But put another wax, it is

:06:56.:07:07.

about Bales, not bombs. The Mr Speaker, there is an absurd

:07:08.:07:10.

illogicality about this country s debate over nuclear weapons. We are

:07:11.:07:16.

debating whether to spend upwards of ?150 billion on a weapons sxstem we

:07:17.:07:20.

will never fire because it hs entirely redundant. Supportdrs of

:07:21.:07:27.

Trident would have us impovdrish our grandchildren for an Arsenal last

:07:28.:07:31.

effective in the 20th century. Once upon a time, the enemy was clear. It

:07:32.:07:37.

was the Soviet Union. The b`lance of terror was equally clear. If Stalin

:07:38.:07:43.

or Gorbachev threatened us with invasion, we have the capachty to

:07:44.:07:48.

murder millions of citizens. But those days are now long gond. We

:07:49.:07:56.

cannot threaten nuclear annhhilation against a dead cult embedded in

:07:57.:08:00.

civilian areas, which is whx the Defence Secretary struggled so badly

:08:01.:08:03.

this morning when asked to dxplain how Trident offered a defence

:08:04.:08:12.

against terrorism. Look at Lr Putin. He might threaten us and only

:08:13.:08:17.

Trident will stand in the w`y. It is an argument beyond absurd. Thus far,

:08:18.:08:22.

Putin has brutalised Chechnxa, invaded Georgia and has bombarded

:08:23.:08:31.

Syria, or all against our whll. He has a strategy as old as Russian

:08:32.:08:37.

foreign policy itself in Brhtain's Nubia figleaf does not deter him one

:08:38.:08:45.

jot. As Lord Bramall, put it, Trident, for practical purposes has

:08:46.:08:50.

not and would not deter any of the threat is likely to face thhs

:08:51.:08:52.

country into the simple or longer-term future. Very brhefly,

:08:53.:08:59.

the government motion asks ts to vote for a minimum credible nuclear

:09:00.:09:03.

deterrent. Would it not be better if the government had brought forward

:09:04.:09:07.

plans the minimal credible conventional forces, which strikes

:09:08.:09:13.

me as more pertinent? It wotld indeed because a convention`l forces

:09:14.:09:20.

have been starved of cash. We have no conventional forces based in

:09:21.:09:24.

Scotland despite frequent Rtssian intrusion into our waters. We have

:09:25.:09:28.

built aircraft carriers without aircraft to fly off them and the

:09:29.:09:33.

necessary surface ships and submarines for protection. We have

:09:34.:09:36.

complaints from senior Armed Forces officials about the lack of

:09:37.:09:41.

appropriate equipment that our soldiers on the ground, dirdctly

:09:42.:09:45.

contributing to death in Ir`q and Afghanistan as described by Chilcot.

:09:46.:09:52.

As Michael Clarke, director,general for United services said, the one

:09:53.:09:55.

thing that politicians do not address when they took about

:09:56.:09:59.

Britain's nuclear weapons is how they do or do not actually figure in

:10:00.:10:06.

practical defence policy. It is really very depressing. We on these

:10:07.:10:11.

benches choose to divide th`t stereotype. We want to put logic

:10:12.:10:16.

about heart of the UK's defdnce policy. It is what our voters want

:10:17.:10:22.

and what much of the military wants. Major-General Sir Patrick spelt out

:10:23.:10:26.

for the armchair generals who sit on the benches opposite, telling us

:10:27.:10:31.

that there is no purpose to read. So I appeal to my colleagues hdre on

:10:32.:10:36.

the Labour benches, but with us follow your conscience, do not vote

:10:37.:10:42.

for a missile system, the epuivalent of a cavalry charge with a lachine

:10:43.:10:53.

gun! Can I quickly take the opportunity to welcome the right

:10:54.:10:57.

honourable lady to her placd before we begin this summing up? Opinion

:10:58.:11:05.

has been sharply divided by today's debate, just as it states the

:11:06.:11:09.

obvious that this was exactly the government's intention. The Chilcot

:11:10.:11:14.

report demonstrated that we make decisions of war and peace,

:11:15.:11:19.

life-and-death based on polhtical posturing, assumptions and poor

:11:20.:11:21.

evidence whose results can be catastrophic. There are few

:11:22.:11:26.

decisions more important th`n the security of our country and weapons

:11:27.:11:30.

that could kill millions. Lhke most in the House, I want to see a world

:11:31.:11:34.

without them. The question then is how we achieve that as well as

:11:35.:11:38.

ensure we have a defensive capability for the improper for the

:11:39.:11:43.

21st-century? My own person`l scepticism of the current proposal

:11:44.:11:48.

is based on concerns about lilitary utility, economic cost and benefit,

:11:49.:11:52.

and whether it is part of a genuine multilateral approach. Many of my

:11:53.:11:55.

honourable friend pointed to the position agreed by the Labotr Party

:11:56.:12:00.

conference in making perfectly reasonable arguments for a

:12:01.:12:05.

continuous at sea submarine base capability though I would add the

:12:06.:12:09.

policy also acknowledged a multilateral path to automate

:12:10.:12:14.

disarmament. Since that dechsion, and perhaps more importantlx, we

:12:15.:12:19.

must take account of developments since, not least Brexit, in holding

:12:20.:12:22.

the government to account today The government could have chosen to

:12:23.:12:25.

introduce that another concdrn is that I and others have had with the

:12:26.:12:31.

Clare answer. Instead, they chose to divide rather than unite. Ldt me be

:12:32.:12:35.

clear that I for one do not believe that this is about Patriots versus

:12:36.:12:40.

pacifists or who is moral or immoral. No matter our diffdrences,

:12:41.:12:45.

we all speak for what is best for our constituents and our cotntry.

:12:46.:12:49.

That is true of all the contributions we have heard today.

:12:50.:12:52.

Many represent communities with a stake in this debate. My honourable

:12:53.:13:01.

friend, whose tenacity in standing up homes and community interest is

:13:02.:13:05.

second to none. We also had the brave speech from the right

:13:06.:13:08.

honourable member for Reigate and the chair of the foreign affairs

:13:09.:13:11.

Select Committee who described Trident renewal as a political

:13:12.:13:16.

weapon surplus to the needs of Nato. The honourable member for

:13:17.:13:22.

Gainsborough quoted the need for an independent nuclear capabilhty. As

:13:23.:13:26.

we know on this site, he also said it is not question of who is in

:13:27.:13:29.

favour of the bomb, but what is the most effective way of getting the

:13:30.:13:34.

dam thing destroyed? He too was a multi-naturalist. Meanwhile, the

:13:35.:13:37.

honourable member of the honourable member for Newbury invited ts to his

:13:38.:13:47.

weapon. Mr Speaker, last wedk, I replied to the Secretary of State

:13:48.:13:52.

after his statement confirmhng the recent Nato summit. Iceberg of

:13:53.:13:57.

Nato's values, international cooperation, military calls the

:13:58.:14:01.

defence not aggression, neutral as and the sharing of risk, opposition

:14:02.:14:05.

to tyranny and the defence of democracy. These are values held on

:14:06.:14:10.

this side of the House and ht is no coincidence that two of Nato's

:14:11.:14:17.

founding governments were founded by the Democrats and the Labour Party.

:14:18.:14:26.

Could I bring in the text of the motion and ask if he shares my

:14:27.:14:31.

concern about the phrase, for as long as the global security

:14:32.:14:34.

situation demands? We have just had the Chilcot report that remhnded us

:14:35.:14:39.

we are not saved if we do not uphold international rules and oblhgations,

:14:40.:14:43.

and I for one would be very glad to hear from the Defence Secretary when

:14:44.:14:46.

he winds up and from my honourable friend about what steps are going to

:14:47.:14:48.

be taken to uphold our commhtment to I thank her for that intervdntion. I

:14:49.:14:59.

will come to this later in the speech. As it stands the motion

:15:00.:15:03.

calls into question the intdgrity of the Government in holding up the

:15:04.:15:06.

nonproliferation treaty. We will come back to that in a whild.

:15:07.:15:11.

Whereas the values underpin the Paul Mason of Nato and is timeless hummer

:15:12.:15:19.

the idea of building the -- this was a decision based on considerations

:15:20.:15:25.

at the time of the nonproliferation Treaty. This task. This house today.

:15:26.:15:33.

The government's timing is wrong. -- this task falls to this House today.

:15:34.:15:39.

This vote was opposed to provide certainty but this motion does not

:15:40.:15:44.

because it does not change `nything. We have no more detail. Every

:15:45.:15:50.

indication that this is a ploy, the Government repeated out well to

:15:51.:15:54.

avoid critical issues. They create the uncertainty they claim to

:15:55.:15:58.

address. If that is not the case the Secretary of State can say so. There

:15:59.:16:04.

no new in this motion. They used to say the Tories knew the valte of

:16:05.:16:06.

nothing at the price of everything and now they do not even know that.

:16:07.:16:11.

If there are any commitments to particular contracts, maybe the

:16:12.:16:18.

Secretary of State can list of them. The motion also asks us to dndorse

:16:19.:16:21.

their record of multilateral disarmament. Many of us in this

:16:22.:16:26.

House are serious about it `s a policy and not a sound bite. Can he

:16:27.:16:32.

tell us what the Government, as opposed to previous administrations

:16:33.:16:37.

has done to promote multilateralism since the last Treaty failed to

:16:38.:16:43.

reach agreement? The line bdtween unilateral and multilateral is often

:16:44.:16:46.

exaggerated. If we can agred the goal is for a world free of nuclear

:16:47.:16:51.

weapons, the question is how can we get there? International agreement

:16:52.:16:56.

is not impossible. The last Labour government deserves credit for its

:16:57.:17:01.

role in the international treaties on landmines and cluster munitions.

:17:02.:17:05.

We asked for real leadership to focus on a shared goal and ` vision

:17:06.:17:10.

for how we can achieve this. The motion before us also considers the

:17:11.:17:15.

renewal of Trident in isolation rather than the context of defence

:17:16.:17:19.

policy. Last week we discussed the Chilcott report. We heard about a

:17:20.:17:23.

catalogue of failures he recorded the human cost. I know what it is

:17:24.:17:29.

like to be under enemy fire, needing air support and to be told none is

:17:30.:17:33.

available. Conventional forces remain the first form a detdrrent

:17:34.:17:37.

against Russian aggression `nd had attended this territory the last

:17:38.:17:42.

time it was invaded in the form of the Falklands. We need assurance to

:17:43.:17:46.

make sure the nuclear capabhlity spending is not at the expense of

:17:47.:17:52.

conventional military equiplent The MoD has seen the budget supper in

:17:53.:18:00.

real terms a 9% cut. -- suffer. Frigates and destroyers cut by 7%.

:18:01.:18:04.

Fighter aircraft by 25%. Battle tanks, 41%. Armed Forces, one fifth.

:18:05.:18:12.

Civilian workforce of the MoD almost one third. Maritime patrol craft

:18:13.:18:20.

axed altogether. To keep ond single capability at the expense of losing

:18:21.:18:23.

many others would not strengthen defence. It would weaken it. The

:18:24.:18:28.

cost is critical. The apartlent plan has been left reeling by thd Brexit

:18:29.:18:37.

decision. -- the plan. The locations for the defence budget might be

:18:38.:18:43.

profound. -- implications. We have had no clarity from the Prile

:18:44.:18:47.

Minister. Will the Secretarx of State tell us what assurancds he has

:18:48.:18:51.

that the defence budget will be kept in proportional terms? We are being

:18:52.:18:57.

asked to endorse the Governlent s defence industrial strategy. We

:18:58.:19:02.

cannot allow the devastation which happened in industrial commtnities

:19:03.:19:05.

in the 1980s under Margaret Thatcher happen again. Keeping a workforce

:19:06.:19:10.

with a specialist skill is ` matter for the military as well as economic

:19:11.:19:15.

security. These points have been made clearly by many on these

:19:16.:19:19.

benches and by the GMB and Tnited unions. -- unite union. On current

:19:20.:19:30.

trends it is forecast 25 pence in every defence procurement pounds

:19:31.:19:34.

will go to America. By 2020, given the consequences of Brexit ht will

:19:35.:19:40.

urgently need reviewing. Thdy have announced the purchase of 50 Apache

:19:41.:19:45.

helicopters from America. When will he share the DHL which assures us

:19:46.:19:50.

that this deal secures Brithsh jobs longer-term? That this deal. It

:19:51.:19:59.

falls short of any guarantedd. - that this deal. We face manx past

:20:00.:20:05.

changing security issues. There are serious issues worthy of

:20:06.:20:09.

consideration. We have heard a range of views from across the Hotse and

:20:10.:20:12.

rightly so because this is ` difficult issue. The biggest shock

:20:13.:20:18.

has been Brexit. Coming frol the action of not our enemies btt the

:20:19.:20:23.

complacency of the former prime minister and short-term polhtical

:20:24.:20:34.

gameplaying. -- Prime Minister. There can be no more import`nt

:20:35.:20:37.

decision for this House to take than the renewal of Britain's deterrent.

:20:38.:20:44.

The honourable member for Dtrham firm in and West Fife, he h`s done

:20:45.:20:51.

this House a disservice for criticising us for group thhng. I

:20:52.:20:54.

have sat through every minute of this debate and all of thesd

:20:55.:20:57.

speeches had been powerful `nd passionate on the sides of the

:20:58.:21:01.

argument. I pay tribute to the speeches of the honourable lember

:21:02.:21:07.

arguing in favour of the motion for Gately and equally for Tottdnham

:21:08.:21:13.

arguing against. I will remdmber the speeches of the honourable lember

:21:14.:21:16.

for Chesterfield, based on the evidence. He started on the other

:21:17.:21:19.

side of the argument and listened to the evidence and has changed over

:21:20.:21:24.

the years. He has changed hhs mind. I pay tribute to the speech of my

:21:25.:21:31.

honourable friend for Reigate. He opposes the position of his front

:21:32.:21:36.

bench. He said he was a solo voice. But he is nonetheless worthwhile for

:21:37.:21:40.

that. He made points on technology which I will reply to later. If

:21:41.:21:44.

there was an example of grotp think, it is to be found in the Scottish

:21:45.:21:56.

National Party. A party that ignores at least half of Scottish ptblic

:21:57.:22:04.

opinion and a party that is content to dispense with the deterrdnt but

:22:05.:22:10.

happy to cower under an American nuclear Nato umbrella. The decision,

:22:11.:22:18.

Mr Speaker, the decision we are taking tonight is to approvd four

:22:19.:22:26.

replacement submarines to sdrve as through the 30s, 40s and 50s. We

:22:27.:22:32.

make a judgment for the long-term tonight as to what we need `s a

:22:33.:22:36.

country to keep the people save when we cannot know what nuclear

:22:37.:22:41.

threats might emerge in 30 or 4 years from now. In this House we can

:22:42.:22:47.

all agree that a world without nuclear weapons would be a better

:22:48.:22:53.

world. But we have to face facts. The threats we face are growing

:22:54.:23:01.

There are 17,000 nuclear we`pons out there and the Prime Minister

:23:02.:23:04.

reminded the House today of the nuclear ambitions of North Korea,

:23:05.:23:10.

the increased nuclear threat from Russian forces. Nuclear weapons are

:23:11.:23:13.

here, they are not going to disappear and it is the rold of

:23:14.:23:17.

government to make sure we can defend ourselves against thdm.

:23:18.:23:23.

Defence is the number-1 responsibility of government and it

:23:24.:23:26.

starts with deterrent. The principle but the benefit of any attack would

:23:27.:23:32.

be far away is by the gravity of the consequences for an aggressor. The

:23:33.:23:38.

point about deterrent and ntcleic capability is it places doubt in the

:23:39.:23:41.

minds of adverse areas, whether the nuclear states, all rogue states,

:23:42.:23:48.

they can never be sure how we would retaliate. That is why the deterrent

:23:49.:23:54.

is not redundant. It is being employed every day and everx night.

:23:55.:24:01.

We must be realistic about the growing nuclear threat to the

:24:02.:24:04.

country and equally realisthc that the deterrent is a policy wd cannot

:24:05.:24:11.

now afford to relentless. That is why this government is commhtted to

:24:12.:24:16.

building four nuclear ballistic missile submarines to replace the

:24:17.:24:21.

ageing Vanguard fleet when ht goes out of service in the early 30s

:24:22.:24:28.

This commitment was clearly stated in the manifesto upon which we were

:24:29.:24:33.

elected to govern and would enable us to keep the unparalleled

:24:34.:24:36.

protection from the most extreme threats that continuous at sea

:24:37.:24:42.

nuclear deterrence has afforded this country without a moment of pause

:24:43.:24:48.

for almost 50 years under stccessive Conservative and Labour govdrnments.

:24:49.:24:54.

As the alternative review m`de unequivocally clear, no othdr system

:24:55.:25:01.

is as capable, as resilient and as cost-effective as the Trident -based

:25:02.:25:06.

deterrent. There are no half measures here. A token deterrent

:25:07.:25:13.

would be no deterrent at all. If I might answer my honourable friend

:25:14.:25:18.

for Reigate, who speculated the submarines might somehow become

:25:19.:25:22.

obsolete through new technology that is not the case. Submarines are

:25:23.:25:28.

designed to operate in isol`tion and it is hard to think of a system less

:25:29.:25:33.

susceptible to cyber attack and better protected in the hidhng place

:25:34.:25:39.

that is the ocean. And for those who have queried whether submarhnes

:25:40.:25:43.

would remain protected against such attacks, they should considdr why

:25:44.:25:50.

the United States, Russia, China and France are now spending tens of

:25:51.:25:56.

billions of pounds renewing their own submarine -based weapons. Let me

:25:57.:26:01.

turn to the question that I was asked on cost. Yes, the successor

:26:02.:26:09.

submarines are a serious investment. The cost of building the fotr is ?31

:26:10.:26:17.

billion spread over 35 years of their life time with a 10 bhllion

:26:18.:26:24.

contingency on top. The inndr service costs remain unchanged, at

:26:25.:26:31.

on average, around 60 -- 6% of the annual defence budget. Yes, of

:26:32.:26:41.

course. It is a last opporttnity for the Secretary of State. Can he tell

:26:42.:26:44.

the House before we vote thhs evening, what is the total through

:26:45.:26:49.

life cost of Trident renewal? What is it? Many members here have been

:26:50.:26:58.

in this debate all day and have heard me give the costs for building

:26:59.:27:01.

the four submarines and the proportion these cost will take when

:27:02.:27:10.

they are in the service. I want to talk about the point of delhvery and

:27:11.:27:14.

disarmament. The member for Gainsborough and Paul Stirlhng and

:27:15.:27:19.

Carshalton asked me about the delivery for the successor

:27:20.:27:24.

programme. -- and the member for sterling and Carshalton. It will

:27:25.:27:33.

ensure, unlike previous warship programmes that these submarines are

:27:34.:27:37.

delivered on time and on budget and if they are not, then the principal

:27:38.:27:42.

contractors involved suffer penalties as a result. Finally, Mr

:27:43.:27:46.

Speaker, I was asked about disarmament. Certainly we w`nt to

:27:47.:27:53.

see a world free of nuclear weapons. And we have made significant

:27:54.:27:57.

reductions to our own nucle`r forces. We have cut stockpiles by

:27:58.:28:02.

more than halved since the dnd of the Cold War. I reduced the number

:28:03.:28:07.

of deployed warheads on each of our submarines last year from 48 down to

:28:08.:28:15.

40 and we continue to reducd the stockpile to more than 180 warheads

:28:16.:28:21.

by the mid-20 20s. We play our part in talks through the

:28:22.:28:25.

nonproliferation Treaty and as has already been said, Britain hs

:28:26.:28:29.

leading the way in trying to get other countries to make progress

:28:30.:28:37.

collectively towards disarm`ment. In conclusion, Mr Speaker, our

:28:38.:28:41.

continuous at sea deterrent may have been born of the Cold War, but it is

:28:42.:28:50.

no relic of the past. The Cold War itself has been succeeded bx a

:28:51.:28:54.

difficult environment of emdrging threats, rogue states and

:28:55.:29:00.

unpredictable non-state actors, some of whom have nuclear weapons and

:29:01.:29:04.

others of whom intends to gdt hold of them. These threats will not

:29:05.:29:09.

disappear because we refuse to look at them. On the contrary. Wd must

:29:10.:29:14.

confront them head on. We c`nnot predict the future. We should not

:29:15.:29:18.

gamble with the long-term sdcurity of our citizens by assuming no

:29:19.:29:24.

extreme threat will emerge while so many nuclear weapons remain. That is

:29:25.:29:31.

what this government intends to do, by replacing the Vanguard stbmarines

:29:32.:29:36.

to sustain the deterrent whhch has protected us successfully for so

:29:37.:29:40.

long. As we contemplate this fundamental decision before us, I

:29:41.:29:44.

would urge members on all shdes of this House to do what successive

:29:45.:29:49.

governments have done, to do the right thing, not just for today but

:29:50.:29:56.

for tomorrow and vote to kedp our nuclear deterrent for as long as

:29:57.:29:59.

security conditions require it. The question is as on the order

:30:00.:30:12.

paper. As many as are of thd opinion, say "aye". To the contrary,

:30:13.:30:13.

"no".. Division. Clear the lobby. As many as are of the opinion, say

:30:14.:32:38.

"aye". To the contrary, "no".. The tellers for the ayes, Stephdn

:32:39.:32:43.

Berkley and Jackie Doyle Prhce. The tellers for the noes, Owain Thomson

:32:44.:32:44.

and Marian Fellows. The ayes to the right... 472. The

:32:45.:48:16.

noes to the left... 117. The ayes to the right... 472. The

:48:17.:48:46.

noes to the left... 117. Thd ayes have it. The ayes have it. Tnlock.

:48:47.:48:53.

We come to motion number two. On enterprise. The whip to movd? I beg

:48:54.:49:03.

to move. As many as are of the opinion, say "aye". To the contrary,

:49:04.:49:10.

"no". The ayes have it. The ayes have it. Number three, relating to

:49:11.:49:16.

local government, beg to move? I beg to move. As many as are of the

:49:17.:49:21.

opinion, say "aye". To the contrary, "no". The ayes have it, The ayes

:49:22.:49:33.

have it. Motion number four of the European scrutiny committee. Mr

:49:34.:49:39.

Wiggin? I beg to move. The puestion as is on the order paper. As many as

:49:40.:49:43.

are of the opinion, say "ayd". To the contrary, "no". The ayes have

:49:44.:49:52.

it. Number five on the science and technology committee. I beg to move.

:49:53.:49:57.

As many as are of the opinion, say "aye". To the contrary, "no". The

:49:58.:50:03.

ayes have it. Number six, on the Welsh affairs committee, Mr Wiggin.

:50:04.:50:08.

I beg to move. The question is as on the order paper. As many as are of

:50:09.:50:11.

the opinion, say "aye". To the contrary, "no". The ayes have it.

:50:12.:50:17.

The ayes have it. Order. We come to the adjournment. The whip to move? I

:50:18.:50:24.

beg this House do now adjourn. I will let the Right Honourable

:50:25.:50:28.

gentleman off, but he was r`ther late in rising. I had already

:50:29.:50:32.

started but I will let him on this occasion. He is a callow yotth. We

:50:33.:50:38.

will deal with him. I am much obliged. I wonder if it is possible

:50:39.:50:41.

in the rules of order to pohnt out that wearers on March the 14th in

:50:42.:50:47.

2007 when the initial gate vote was held on Trident, the majority was

:50:48.:50:56.

248, whereas this evening it has gone up to 355. Some people might

:50:57.:51:06.

think it is the Lewis effect. He was not orderly in doing that btt he has

:51:07.:51:15.

done it. I invite the honourable gentleman to move the adjournment.

:51:16.:51:20.

Mr Speaker, I echo that this House do now adjourn. The question is that

:51:21.:51:25.

this House do now adjourn. @s many as are of the opinion, say "aye . To

:51:26.:51:28.

the contrary, "no". The ayes have it. The ayes have it. Order. Order.

:51:29.:51:41.

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