22/03/2012 Newsnight Scotland


22/03/2012

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will do. Thank you for joining us Tonight on Newsnight Scotland, deep

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water drilling for oil off the coast of Shetland is given the go-

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ahead. BP says that safety is its absolute priority, but given the

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company's involvement in the Deepwater Horizon disaster two

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years ago, should the rest of us take that seriously?

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There has been an outcry at changes to pensioner taxes in the Budget.

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Why shouldn't the elderly help to pay the costs of austerity?

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No sooner has the Chancellor announced billions to support new

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investment in oil extraction West of Shetland, then his Government

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gives the go-ahead for a massive new deep sea oil well West of

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Shetland. The energy minister has told BP that they can go ahead and

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drill in water that is 1300 metres deep, which is a similar depth to

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the well in the Gulf of Mexico. Media coverage of the oil industry

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over the years has tended to be negative, because apart from the

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danger of accidents on oil rigs, the fear of pollution has been a

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constant issue. In the 60s, this disaster of the South coast of

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England killed thousands of seabirds. The Epsom bar these oil

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spill Row and part of Alaska's coastline. -- ruined part of

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Alaska's coastline. An explosion in the Gulf of Mexico shattered BP's

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reputation in America two years ago. The Government was at pains to

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point out how carefully they had scrutinised their plans and

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proposals for dealing with an emergency. Friends of the Earth

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said that the proposal was extremely alarming and that any

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Government money should be going into renewable energy. I am joined

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by David Hunter from an energy group. Apart from the controversy,

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can you explain why they want to do deep sea oil drilling? There are

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oil fields already that have not use this technology. I think they

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are. They have been around for 20 years. It is about extending the

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life of the UK continental shelf in the North Sea and this is the last

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frontier, if you like, of new exploration. Many people will be

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worried about this because of what happened two years ago. Do you

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think people are right to be worried? I think people are

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absolutely right to be concerned about what happened. It was a human

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and environmental tragedy. People have to look at the balance of risk

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and the record in the UK continental shelf in the North Sea

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has been pretty good over the years, when you consider the amount of oil

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that has been extracted. BP as a company has learnt lots of lessons

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in particular. This has been analysed to the nth degree, so we

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can have a reasonable degree of confidence. Sure, but I am not an

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expert on conditions in the South of Mexico, but I would imagine that

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the sort of weather conditions that you get in the Atlantic off

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Shetland are considerably more severe, apart from hurricanes in

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the Gulf of Mexico obviously. It is not clear why we should be terribly

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relaxed about this, no matter what they have done. There is always

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going to be a risk. There is always going to be a risk. If you look at

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who is best placed to do it, the Scottish industries probably have

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the global expertise and the skills to do that. There are risks. It is

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about throwing the technology and understanding that it to mitigate

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the risks. Do you know what they will do now that they were not

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doing when this disaster happened a couple of years ago? It has been

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reviewed by BP and governments and the Treasury select committee. They

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looked at this at the start of last year and they felt that the

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existing regulatory arrangements that were in place were robust and

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lessons had to be learnt. For example, the real trigger for the

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disaster in the Gulf of Mexico alter that he was the blare out

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prevent and the blind shear Ram on it. -- ultimately was. It is simple

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things like don't let the batteries run out. That could have stopped

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the tragedy from happening. having back-up parts, was an that

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one of the issues? They could not get something quickly enough to put

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in its place? When it had failed, there were significant difficulties.

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They need to double up and improve the fail-safe. Assuming this goes

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well, what effect could this have on UK oil reserves if deep sea

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drilling off the West of Shetland takes place? Perhaps it could

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happen elsewhere as well? Deep Sea drilling is also an area of

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expansion. There are concerns about the stability of the regime over

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decommissioning costs. Extracting more life out of existing oil

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fields will be important. Some people believe that in money terms

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there is slightly more to be extracted from the North Sea than

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we have up until now. Deep Sea drilling is an important part of

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that? It is, absolutely. Is it just to the West of Shetland? Are there

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other areas? Presumably the North Sea is too shallow. Could you do it

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elsewhere? In terms of the UK, the West of Shetland is the principal

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area. Other developments that we are likely to see is getting

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residual oil out of other existing fields. Presumably this technology

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is very expensive and it must depend on oil prices staying at

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roughly, well, what are they? $120 a barrel. Something like that. If

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that falls, do you not go ahead? These investment decisions are

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long-term decisions, so once they are in, I guess they are in, to an

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extent. That might stop new investments. Saudi Arabia balances

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its Budget on $90, so we can expect high prices for some time to come.

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Thank you for joining us. You cannae shove your granny aff a

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front page. There was universal media condemnation today for what

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the Chancellor probably thought was a neat sleight of hand when he both

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froze and withdrew tax allowances for the over 65s. After all he was

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putting up the state pension by over a fiver. Ever since, he's been

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harangued by Britain's elderly like a mugger chased by a handbag-

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wielding granny. But, as Derek Bateman reports, that doesn't make

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If you were born in the 1950s you were part of the post-war birth

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boom in the Western world. Improving health, burgeoning

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economies and optimism led to decades of feel-good living,

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including pensions. But now it is the age of austerity. They have to

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be supported by those still working and his own wealth is diminishing

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and whose pensions will be somewhere between poor and... What

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pension? The elderly already have many benefits. Often they are

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benefits that the over-sixties can afford to live without, like a bus

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pass. And here is mine. And there is a convention that the elderly

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deserve to be protected, but do they? Well, up to a point. In fact,

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they are a growing global menace. And at what price? That is the

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million dollar question. First you have to decide what to quality of

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living you want your older population to have and whether you

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can afford this. There is a big concern we cannot afford what we

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have now. We will have to encourage people to save more, work longer

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and we will have to become more selective on what -- on whom we

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give these benefits to. Westminster decision was echoing

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around Holyrood. It is the 330,000 current pensioners who will be

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affected. By 2016-17 the effect will be �220 more in income tax and

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the number of pensioners affected will have risen to 500,000. I say

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to the member, that is half a million pensioners backed his party

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has punished. -- and that his party has punished.

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The Chancellor may have thought the elderly would not notice his tax-

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relief switch. It leaves are those 65 just after April 13th without a

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age-related tax allowance but there will still get a personal allowance

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of over �9,000. Someone turning to 65 just before April 30th will give

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a personal allowance 1,200 pounds higher. I feel we are being ignored.

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Not ripped off but just ignored. The problems were being ignored.

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looks as if the next generation is going to be the first one in living

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memory that will be worse off than before? Absolutely. I do not have

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an answer for that. What I am here to talk about just now it is I am

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very aware we have the highest level of child poverty in this

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country for about 20 years, which is absolutely shocking. But it is

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also shocking when we get pensioners without a decent income

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being rationalised might be a word. But I would say probably got act.

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And just, perhaps, but the evidence is all around us that everyone is

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not equal in society. It makes no sense to me that people who can

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live comfortably in their old age are paid the same pension as

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someone who does not have that luxury. We have to be more

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selective. The top end of the state pension does not have really impact.

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So if you have an occupational pension, you may be disbarred from

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also taking a state pension. Unless they raise the dawning of a new age,

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constant financial support for huge numbers of the retired will remain

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a baby boomers' psychedelic dream. I am a joint from Edinburgh by a

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Callum Chomczuk, senior policy officer for a Scotland, and by Alex

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Massie, who writes for the Spectator, and today published a

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title elegantly titled -- an article elegantly titled Soak The

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Old. The Institute for Fiscal Studies has been clinched today

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that actually pensioners are not that much affected. Individually,

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grannies are great. Collectively, they are an enormous problem. We

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spent �104 billion on pensions last year and that will increase. When

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we think of grannies living alone in a freezing it flats existing on

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cat food is a terrible image but the reality is that most pensioners

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do not live like that. This is the wealthy his generation of

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pensioners this country has ever known. It is likely to remain so.

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They have a better standard of living, more comfortable, that is

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likely to be faced by young people today. Asking pensioners to give up

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a little bit of their benefits at a time when everybody is being

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hammered by the Chancellor does not strike me as being a wholly

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unreasonable thing. Why shouldn't - - why should pensioners receive

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more generous allowances than on pensioners? It is not just general

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allowances, is it? The Financial Times did some research where they

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found that for the first time people in their 60s and seventies

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were earning more, have more disposable income than people in

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their twenties and thirties. It is absolutely true, there was a large

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number of pensioners with a great deal of wealth but there is huge

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inequality among the pensioner population and some really are

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living on the poverty line. Yesterday's announcement from the

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Chancellor will really exacerbate that for many of them. Hang on,

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let's be clear. It went because the any pensioners who will be affected

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by the changes in the tax thresholds are the relatively well

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off pensioners. Now, if you have an income of just over �10,000, you

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are -- you expected income could drop by �5 per week and if the

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Chancellor was to announce a �5 per week drop in the state pension

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there would be riots on the streets. Of course, the better of pensioners,

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he has just announced a rise in the state pension by making the whole

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thing a flat rate, so it is no longer means tested. We still have

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to wait for more details. We have heard it for quite some time about

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plans to bring in a flat-rate pension but the detail behind at...

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Yes, but... You would accept Alex Massie's general principle, there

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was no reason that the elderly should not share... You argument

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would be if you are going to help - - target the elderly, targeted at

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poor pensioners. We will see as a piece to discuss, young people are

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suffering through the economic climate and older people are quite

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comfortable but this is a really short-sighted point that the

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Chancellor has pursued here. The principle of having a tea at tax

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limit for older people is they do not have the potential to increase

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their income which the working population do. That does not exist

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for older people. Also the Chancellor really undermined the

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point of savings. Alex Massie, what are you are doing, that there

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should be some change? It has been quite striking that a lot of the

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protest today, you have heard of are to people with pensions saying

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they should not be paying any tax at all. A pensioner on �20,000 a

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year pays approximately 200 -- �2,300 of tax. A working person

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pays approximately �3,800 in tax. Quite a difference. Pensioners are

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already exempt from National Insurance which most people do not

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our problem with. But the basic state pension is also due to a rise

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-- a rise by approximately 40% during the course of this

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Parliament. There is nobody in the private or public sector who will

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enjoy a pay increases of that sort of magnitude. But it gets very

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moralistic... And economic problem is what it is. Its there is and

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demo Gromit problem you can solve it by things like, for example,

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immigration. Yes, we will need more immigrants in the next 30 or 40

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years to deal with some of the consequences of a rapidly ageing

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population. But this is not about hammering the poorest pensioners.

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The poorest pensioners are not affected by this. But fundamentally,

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at some point we will also have to look at whether we maintain a

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system of universal benefits. you, both.

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The front pages for tomorrow. The Scotsman. 1.3 million forced to pay

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higher income tax. This is people being brought into the higher tax

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band by the Budgets yesterday. It claims the... For the Financial

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Times, Osbourne bites back in row over granny tax, it says. And the

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