21/08/2012 Newsnight Scotland


21/08/2012

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Tonight on Newsnight Scotland - the UK government stops Scottish Office

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said tell us he can be imagined a situation where a yes vote result

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in a referendum. The Advocate- General is the UK government law

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officer in respect of Scottish affairs. The trouble set-up of

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devolution. Lord Wallace used to be Jim Wallace MP and then MSP and was

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Deputy First Minister. As a Lib Dem piece that most of his life arguing

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Lord Wallace is the UK government minister he will process a section

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30 order to allow the Scottish government to a low a Scottish

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referendum. Some argue that his job they also be to take legal action

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to stop a referendum if the Scottish government tries to hold

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one without UK government agreement. The UK government and Labour think

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that a one question referendum is fine but that any other formulation

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would be inappropriate both legally and politically. The Scottish

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people are voting for a separation referendum but they do not have an

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all-purpose mandate on anything to do with the constitution, because

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the people of Scotland voted in the referendum in 97 for Westminster to

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have responsibility for devolution and related matters and also in the

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general election, they voted for Westminster to handle devolution

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not anything else. In recent days, media reports have suggested that

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the two governments are getting closer to agreeing terms. Perhaps

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young voters will get to participate in a one question

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referendum. But even if that does happen, the next two years will be

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dominated by Karzai legal arguments of the sort of the Advocate General

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was considering today with a team of experts. Things like the

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independence implications of UK and to national treaters, currency,

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financial regulation, EU membership and so on.

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Earlier I met the Advocate General Jim Wallace and began by asking if

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there were any circumstances in which he would accept a two-

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question referendum. We are clear that what the Scottish government

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has is to have a referendum on independence. I think there are a

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number of reasons, practical reasons. We have heard in the past

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that if independence gets 51 % but devolution plus maximum gets 95 %,

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51 % drums and 95 %. It is confusing. It is a brand without

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our name on the product. Above all the mandate that Scottish

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government has from the election win in 2011 is for a referendum on

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independence and that is what we believe should be delivered for

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stopped your answer to my question, are there any circumstances on

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which you a transfer section powers of the Scottish government on a

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two-question vote is no. It if the Scottish government were to go

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ahead with a two-question referendum because it claims its

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consultation shows there is a demand for that, without power was,

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what in your view would be the status of that referendum? It is a

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question of whether you would get to that referendum because I would

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have to consider whether to make a reference to Supreme Court or not

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all whether the title to raise an action in Scotland is now much

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wider in public law issues than it has been before and then maybe

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people who challenge it. Who knows if they get into the courts what

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the outcome would be. The question is whether you would get it but the

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whole point of this is we do not want to get into that position

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where the courts are determining this. We believe that there is the

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scope of their to have a clear referendum on the issue of

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independence. The other. About the so-called second question, if you

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are a member of a club and you want to leave, the other members should

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not stop you leaving. If you want to remain a member of the club but

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want to change the rules, the other members have some interest as well

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and that is why there are real difficulties. There is a legitimate

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interest in other parts of the UK. Let's discuss that more in a moment

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but I want to get clear up. Obviously if the SNP government

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went ahead and organised a referendum without section powers

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it could be open... Let's say they managed to do it, what I am

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interested in is whether your government, what attitude you would

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have to be the result of such a referendum? If we ever get there.

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What is it about? David Cameron said they should be more powers. My

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own power says that also. Arguably you don't actually need a

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referendum to have more powers. We have are implementing the Scotland

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Act 2012, substantial piece of further powers without a referendum.

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U D need -- do not need a referendum for more powers. Let's

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say the Scottish government went ahead with a referendum which did

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not have section 30 approval from your government. Let's say it came

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out in favour of independence. Would you consider that referendum

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in the same way that your government and previous governments

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have said that it is up to the Scottish people and you would end

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to into negotiations, or would you enter into a different view? I do

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not think we will get to that point. I think it is very hypothetical. I

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think there are many who would challenge it. We are very strong in

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our view that the Scottish parliament does not have the

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competence... What I would say is that holding a referendum, the

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Scottish parliament does not have the competence to hold that

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referendum. If the people of Scotland want independence, it is

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no basis to go forward for a new independent country on a referendum

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which is legal -- legally challengeable. That is why we have

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said from the consultation paper, we want a referendum that is

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illegal, fair and that is decisive and I think the scenario you are

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painting that would not form a basis... It is something openly

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debated by the Scottish government. All I am asking is whether to be a

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yes result in a referendum, would you accept the result? And you

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Intuit have to. A Yes result in a legal, fair and decisive referendum,

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we have indicated we will accept and they will be negotiations to go

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forward on that. If you got a yes without section power was, we do

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accept that? They are discussing that themselves. It seems not

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unreasonable to ask you but you seem to be suggesting that she

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would have to accept the result. am not sure I said that. I said I

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am not sure we will get to that position because I do not believe

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that referendum would have a legal basis to be held. We are not

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suggesting that if the courts were to find against the Scottish

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government that they would then hold a referendum in the face of

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the decision of the courts. What I am saying is they -- is if they

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tried to do that, it is completely new territory. If the courts were

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to determined that they would be a legal referendum, that is different.

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I would not believe that would happen. You would have a situation

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where the courts are struck down because they do not have the

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competence to do it. If I am a legal Beagle in the Scottish

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government I conclude from that, if we decide we do not want for any

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reason the section 30 authority because we disagree with the

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details, we just go ahead with it and if we win in accords, we have

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won and they have no choice and Jim Wallace has just said if the courts

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back us, the British government will have to put up with it. If the

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courts decide that, we would certainly respect the view of the

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courts. Section 30 or under section 30 but what I am saying, in my view

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is that it is highly unlikely to happen. We are confident that the

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Scottish parliament does not have the competence to hold a referendum

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without section powers. I do not think it will happen. What -- one

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of the things that is striking is that when you do opinion polls,

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most people want more powers for the Scottish parliament, more than

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in the Bill that your government has just passed. It has also been

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Lib Dem policy to do this since shortly after the Battle of

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Hastings. Yet you as a party seemed to be unconcerned in this

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referendum debate about giving people in Scotland the choice of

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what has been your policy for 100 years. We do not believe it is

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necessary for a referendum. There is a danger of conflating the view

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that people want more powers with the idea that we need a second

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question. We have got the powers that are being transferred under

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the Scotland Act 20 12th which are four -- far more substantial. The

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power to have new taxes but we have done that without a referendum. In

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the whole 13 years since the Scottish parliament has been

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established, there have been a number of ways devolution has

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developed. I took forward to the freedom of information Scotland Act.

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Eight required a Scot -- section power in order to do it. We took

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initiatives on building railways, that required a section 30 order to

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transfer powers from the Westminster Parliament to the

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Scottish parliament. They did not need a referendums. If you have

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more powers, you do not need a referendum. But there may well be a

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referendum campaign, and surely it would make sense for you to say, we

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are not in favour of independence but if you vote no, we want to do

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if you vote snow and we will say to our Conservative colleagues that

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this package, that we will implement this if you reject

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independence and we will try to convince Labour to put it in their

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manifesto. Which is what we did with the Calman Commission. It came

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forward with proposals for further devolution, not least in terms of

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substantial financial powers. We put it into our manifesto and

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crucially, we have delivered. We have delivered without the

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necessity for a referendum and I do not believe if we are looking at

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the most decisive question Scotland can face - do we remain part of the

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UK or not? My question was not are you in favour of a two-question

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referendum, my question was why do you not come up with a package

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which you promise Scotland? As you well know we have set up a

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commission under Ming Campbell's chairmanship which will put up a

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package and we will campaign for that. The point I am making is you

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do not need a referendum for that but the fact that a No vote for

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independence is not the end of the story. We have said we want more

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powers, Labour has said that, David Cameron has said that and crucially

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Some of these issues, I don't know whether you got around to

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mentioning, but were that Scotland would remain a member of the

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European Union. That's one of the issues we're trying to work out.

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There was an issue - it was an issue of discussion. There were

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different views being expressed. We will obviously reflect that. It's

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one of the issues we will be addressing, but what I am saying is

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that the consensus was this is - I think it's accepted it is

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unprecedented. It not only depends on if in an independent situation,

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a Scottish and UK government - there would be 26 members of the

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European Union who would have a view in that, and no-one has asked

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them what their view is, and simply to assert I think is misleading.

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Orkney - would you conceive of any circumstances under which Scotland

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would vote yes to independence and Orkney and Shetland could remain

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part of the United Kingdom? I know it has been discussed, and it's

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another factor in these... you're not ruling it out? If the

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Scottish Government put it to them - if they believe in self-

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determination, how far are they prepared to take self-

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determination? How far are you... am not putting the case for

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Scottish independence. All I can say is over many years, I have

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found my constituents have been very much persuaded - my former

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constituents rather, have been very much persuaded of the case for the

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United Kingdom. I haven't detected any see-change in that. Again, I

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can't say what would happen in the event of a yes vote... I think you

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can on this one. I know you've got local loyalties. I think you can

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clearly see that Scotland votes for independence. It's not up to

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particular areas of Scotland to decide they won't bather going

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along with that. I think you should ask those who succeeded me as

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parliamentary representatives. I don't think they think it's an

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open-and-shut question. Clearly you don't either. We'll leave it there.

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Jim Wallace, thank you very much indeed.

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I am joined by our political correspondent Raymond Buchanan who

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is in Edinburgh. Raymond Buchanan, we had this convocation of experts

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today, and - what's the point? think the point of that is for the

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UK Government do put a bit of pressure on the Scottish Government

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because what you've seen from Alex Salmond and his Ministers in recent

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months is, for instance, on banking regulation we saw John sweenny

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giving a speech where he said it would be SNP policy that they'd

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share banking regulation with the rest of the UK if Scotland decided

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to vote for independence, so his point - and he made it in that

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interview is assertions have been made by the Scottish Government and

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they have to be tested. He wants to gather together a series of experts

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to test those assertions and to put pressure on the Scottish Government

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and its case because that's what we have seen over the last few months.

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There has been a ding-dong, if you like, between the two sides, one

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trying to up the pressure on the other - the UK Government versus

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the Scottish Government, trying to get one over on each other. More

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developments tomorrow that we await breathlessly about what the

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question might be in any referendum. What's that all about? Well, this

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is the question that the Labour Party Conservatives and Liberal

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Democrats might want to be asked in the independence referendum. We

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know that the Scottish Government have set out their view in their

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consultation document which essentially asks the Scottish

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people in that referendum, do you agree that Scotland should become

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an independent country? That is the only - the question that the

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Scottish Government have put forward so far in this discussion.

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That has been rejected publicly by their opponents, who then thought,

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well, we'll come up with our own question, but get panel of experts

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to do that led by Lord Sutherland, also a referendums expert and Ron

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Guld, who led the disastrous 2007 Scottish election. They'll come up

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with their question tomorrow which I understand will be one question -

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they don't believe in the devo-Max option, and it will be something

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along the lines of should Scotland become an independent state? I

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don't know the facts, but we should find those out tomorrow morning.

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There is a fly in the ointment here which is only last week, John

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McCormack, who runs the general election in Scotland was on this

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programme explaining he's obliged to test with focus groups questions

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which are suggested by either the British or Scottish Government. I

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am not sure this question from this group comes into either category.

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don't think it does, and that'll be one of the points which will be put

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to them tomorrow which is essentially this is a redundant

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process because the Electoral Commission will not be looking at

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whatever question they come up with tomorrow. They will, though, assess,

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as you say, whatever question the Scottish Government come up with,

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so they may well have their own question, but the issue will be

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whether anybody is listening to that. What do you think the point

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of this is, then? I have not heard any proposal by the British

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Government, which would be the obvious vehicle to - for this to

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get the Electoral Commission to test another question. There

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doesn't seem to be any suggestion they should do that. No, because

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you would then be going down the road of why have they come up with

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the question unless they were planning to hold their own

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referendum? That's not something that the UK Government are

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considering at the moment - certainly not publicly considering

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that at the moment, so it's very unlikely that the UK Government -

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policy decision will come up with their own question. That's why the

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political parties have this panel together. The Electoral Commission

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would be looking into this, and perhaps it will be interesting in

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the debate. The reason they're coming up with this is they don't

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believe that the Scottish Government's question should be the

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one that is put to the people, and this is part of this process - a

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debate which we have had going on for months now because academics

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who look into this sort of thing say, look, it's really important

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what question you ask because the way you frame that question might

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actually be very important when it comes to deciding what the result

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will be. Look, if you're a constitutional lawyer, these must

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be the most unprecedentedly exciting of times. For the rest of

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us, how long are we going to have to put up with this? The Government,

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Scottish and UK, have been having discussions, meetings between the

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Parliament Minister of Holyrood and the Scotland Office Minister.

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They're due to meet again in the next few weeks. There have been

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rumblings from the UK Government that they need to come up with a

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deal if they're going to make a deal by autumn. Their red line, of

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course, is there should only be one question in the independence

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referendum. That is the timetable the UK Government seem to be

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working towards at the moment. They say they probably need to do that

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for some of the procedural things, for the Section 30 order to go

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through. The Scottish Government say they have no fixed timetable

:21:54.:21:58.

other than to say, look, they believe this is an issue for the

:21:58.:22:01.

Scottish Parliament. Beyond that process stuff, we have civil

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servants here in Edinburgh coming one a prospectus they'll publish

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