26/02/2014 Newsnight Scotland


26/02/2014

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the sun. Even the Chinese, who have destroyed the nature in more ways

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than others... Bear still reliant. Tonight on Newsnight Scotland: Big

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business gives its view on independence. Would a currency union

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leave Scotland done up "tighter than a kipper"? Or is an economic policy

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set for the south-east of England damaging businesses here?

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And, will this soon be a scene from the past, or can the internet save

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the Scottish newspaper industry? Good evening. Well you wouldn't

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exactly expect the grandson of Winston Churchill to be backing the

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Yes campaign. But Rupert Soames, the boss of Aggreko, told MSPs today

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that a currency union would leave an independent Scotland with no room

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for maneouvre. But other business leaders disagree, and even some of

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those who back 'no' are calling for full fiscal powers. Graham Stewart

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reports. This is Aggreko based in Dumbarton. It makes generators for

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locations all over the world. It was said that a sterling zone after

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independence would mean titre controls for Scotland. It is far too

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believe that it would be sensible controls for Scotland. It is far too

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for the rest of the UK to enter into a currency union for Scotland

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without Scotland being tied up tighter than a kipper. Another boss

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warned that projects had to be put on ice as a referendum left

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investors uncertain. It creates concern. It certainly has put a few

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projects that I am looking at on hold for the time being. He said

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that he had asked the Better Together campaign to give more tax

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powers for Hollywood without success. It together say that is for

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individual parties. This company as another Scottish one on the global

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stage. Its boss backs a yes vote and says a currency union makes sense

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and would still leave plenty for an independent Scotland to do. It gives

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you plenty of freedom to have the flexibility and define fiscal

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policies that would attract businesses to Scotland. This

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property developer also said that some firms resent change and are

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making excuses. It said Scotland had a good track record and has not

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encountered uncertainty. I need these guys day-to-day in the pub...

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I do not see a great deal of concern. There was no report from

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today's ceiling. That is because MSP 's are just as divided as they are.

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I'm joined in the studio by the chief executive of pro-independence

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group, Business for Scotland, Gordon MacIntyre-Kemp, and from

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group, Business for Scotland, Gordon Together. Gordon, before we get onto

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the general issues... There have been reports in some of the

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newspapers over the past few days that Standard Life may be about to

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say it considers independence has great risk. They are making an

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announcement in the morning. They are suggesting that they may even

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leave Scotland if there is a yes fault. That must be worrying? -- Yes

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vote. That was worrying before the pre-devolution referendum as well.

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Lots of businesses said that as well. We have heard it all before. I

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believe that Standard Life were one of the ones to leave. There was a

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poll in the Scotland on Sunday in 1997 that said 76% of big businesses

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got a yes vote for devolution would damage the economy. We were told

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that businesses would leave them. They did not. Everybody almost

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universally agrees that devolution has been good for business. If they

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do say that they say great risk, you would see this as another version of

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lustre? -- bluster? They may come to decisions along those lines. It

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would not be a clever decision. It would cost a lot of money. I do not

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think it would work for them. I am disappointed that Gordon is so

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complacent about one of the biggest employers in my constituency

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potentially threatening to leave. It will be interesting to see what

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potentially threatening to leave. It say as well. RBS... I am right in

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saying... They would adapt? We are speculating. It is quite clear,

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Standard Life have 98% of customers in England. They cannot sustain

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being in Scotland with the different currency. Hang on... The specific

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body that Standard Life have... Love our tax exemptions on pensions in

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the UK. That seems to be what is worrying them. The Scottish

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Government says they are would be but they are not sure. What we are

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talking about, it is quite interesting. All of the uncertainty

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has been created by the Westminster government as a political manoeuvre

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to try to win the referendum. If the UK Government says that the Scottish

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people need to know precisely what is happening on currency then should

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they not be letting businesses now as well. There is uncertainty over

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the EU according to them. Scotland is likely to vote to stay in, the

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rest of the UK is likely to see now. -- say no. That is uncertainty with

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a no vote as well. -- There is. We had the chief executive of the

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Scottish enterprise here today and he employs hundreds of thousands of

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people directly and indirectly. He said there was no certainty. Those

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are the facts coming from the professionals. I would rather listen

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to them. You are reeling off statistics that make no sense. From

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a business point of view, whatever the reasons are for the three main

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Unionist parties taking this position on currency, from the point

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of view of businesses would it not be rather better if a door was left

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open for negotiation? If that were the case... Y slammed the door? --

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Why slam the door? It hasn't been slammed in that case. Nonpartisan

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analysis has taken place. They have said that the SNP have essentially

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ruled out using the Euro. Then have the same concerns that the UK

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Government have about that. I would say to you that I hear what you are

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saying. But as a business it would suit us in Scotland if the door was

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not being slams shut. -- slammed shut. I don't accept what you are

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saying. If it is not in the interest of the rest of the United Kingdom,

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this is an issue for Scotland. of the rest of the United Kingdom,

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would not go into a currency union... That is not true.

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Businesses in England, Scotland decide to leave the United Kingdom

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then they should not fit the bill. -- foot the bill. As somebody on the

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yes side, surely the business community in Scotland would like the

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Scottish Government to see what it would do if it can't get this

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currency union? If I were a business I would say you may well be right. I

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accept all of that. The bottom line is that if you go for independence

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then I want to know what happens. I want to know what planning you are

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doing right now for that eventuality.

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There are several options for currency that could be made to work

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for Scotland. They cannot all be made to work for our friends and

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neighbours in the rest of the UK as well. You think having a separate

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currency would be perfectly workable? That is potentially one of

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many options that could work. Would you not like to see some planning

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being done on that? For example, if Scotland has its own central bank

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and sets up a scheme to put into deposits, but if it is? I genuinely

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believe we will have a currency union. Let me explain why. Ian

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Murray mentioned that English people are not happy with things. There is

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a huge issue are not happy with things. There is

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not get a fair share of the assets but takes its fair share of the

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debt, but takes its fair share of the

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international law, if we do not get the assets there is a risk of taking

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on the debt but the debt to GDP ratio that the rest of the UK would

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have, English mortgage payers could ever have that are having higher

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mortgages as a direct result. Thank you both very much.

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Circulation is down yet again for Scottish newspapers - the public's

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supposed thirst for knowledge about the independence debate doesn't seem

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to stretch to buying a paper. But it may be what has seen them flocking

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to the websites of both The Herald and the Scotsman. Internet traffic

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is up. Does this mean it's the death knell for the printed word? Suzanne

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Allan reports. They have kept us abreast of events

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from weddings to words, from boom to bust for centuries. Papers were how

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we got our news. But then the modern world is digital. Circulation

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figures for newspapers have been falling for years, today's figures

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are no different. All many city -based newspapers have continued to

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fall. The Scotsman is down 6% at the beginning of the year to below

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30,000 copies. The Herald was down 10% on the previous year at 39,000.

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A smaller amount for the Courier in Dundee, 5%. Is this the end of the

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printed edition of newspapers or can they survive? Yes, they can thrive

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but I think one of the measurements in terms of print styles and it is a

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bit of a misnomer these days because print sales have been going down for

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the last 30 years, but what is not properly recognised is that this

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online audience is increasing rapidly.

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Although, maybe not quite like this, not so long ago, a lot of us would

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have had our papers delivered in the morning. But has technology use up

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to us? It used to be when you picked up a paper in the morning, this was

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the first you had heard of the news, these days you can access it from

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the minute you wake up. On this, or on this, or on this. A mobile device

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that lets you access headlines from around the world any time, the

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ornate. Although a doomsday scenario has long been predicted, it seems

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that online could be the saviour. Online readership is on the up. The

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Scotsman has 2.6 million readers, that was in December. Up 41%. The

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Herald has 1.6 million readers each month, up 66% in one year. Online

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revenues continue to grow and the profits of The Herald, 40% of those

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profits came from online. There is a business model, there is light at

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the end of the tunnel. I feel somewhat dismayed sometimes when

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people only focus on print sales and then you get the doom mongers saying

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that the newspapers are finished and the ball disappeared.

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Smartphone and have just continues to rise steeply. I do digital or

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print? Opinion across Scotland was mixed. I just like to read the

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paper. mixed. I just like to read the

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and read the paper. mixed. I just like to read the

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bit additional! I never got to the bother of buying newspapers, I have

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the Internet on my phone so it is easier.

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This academic swims against the tide of popular opinion. He says that

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print will survive. We are talking about two things, hard copy and

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online. I believe, and this is unusual, I believe that hard copy

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will bottom out and battle and will survive into the foreseeable future,

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and I believe that online will, as it is beginning to show, signs of

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flourish. We will have parallel publishing with print and online

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formats both competing. For many there is nothing like having

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something physically in your hand. Alex Stubb believes this is why

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magazines are doing so well. The men's magazines, the women's

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magazines, specialist magazines, they all continue to flourish. So

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newspapers can flourish. Who reads at length online? You flit from one

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site to another. It is the butterfly effect. It is good news for certain

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newspapers. The likes of Irbin Times are bucking the trend.

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I'm joined from Edinburgh by the director of the Scottish Newspaper

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Society, John McLellan. John, this is marvellous that these new

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newspapers are getting broader audiences than they ever had before

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online, but the real issue for newspapers is whether they can make

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any money out of it? That is correct. I think newspaper companies

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up correct. I think newspaper companies

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money. There are ongoing issues with the transitional period we are in

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just now where online sales are going up and print sales are

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dropping. But I your thumb pointed out, there will be a point that the

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tool # the two will meet at a more stable business model will arrive.

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As there a stable and serve anywhere of a newspaper that is making

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serious money with the subscriber model online? Does the New York

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Times make any serious money out of it? I do not have figures to hand

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but there are examples of models that are attracting readers and

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growing numbers, the likes of News UK, the sun is proving a popular

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digital vehicle because it has invested and its football coverage

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-- the Son. The game of any businesses as no different to that

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of newspapers. It is about providing people with what they want, how they

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want it, at a price they are willing to pay. Because we are going through

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these fast changing times, businesses are trying to work out

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what the correct balance is. It is providing the correct content and

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that will remain key. Do you think there is a future for newspapers in

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a different sense. One of the things about the Internet is that people

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can use a search engine and that will take them to what they want to

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read, so they are accessing material and newspapers in that way, rather

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than thinking about wanting to read the Scotsman, The Herald, the Times

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or the Guardian and going to their sites, is that a threat to the

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branding of newspapers? It is not a threat, but it is certainly a

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challenge. The idea must be to find effective ways to market what you

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have as it has always been and that is the only way that traditional

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brands can market themselves. Rebranding could be key to future

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success. We will have to leave it there for the moment.

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Now a quick look at tomorrow's front pages. The Scotsman, it leads on the

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case of Lee Rigby. It says there were scuffles in court as the

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killers were led to the dog. The Co-op also selling off farms after

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losses. -- led to the dog. The victim of Lynda Spence. The

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Telegraph, EU will help to heal our divisions, says Angela Merkel.

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Goodbye. Things turning wet and windy

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overnight. That wind across England tomorrow morning. Brighter skies

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will follow with sunny spells but also showers. More showers than we

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saw today. Particularly for Wales and the Southern counties of

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England. Showers for Scotland with snow on the hills, a wet afternoon

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for Shetland. Much of Eastern England will brighten up nicely. One

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or two afternoon showers. There should be plenty of sunshine after

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that line disappears. Some showers for the South East. More showers and

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we saw today. for the South East. More showers and

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could be heavy, possibly thundery,

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