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the sun. Even the Chinese, who have destroyed the nature in more ways | :00:00. | :00:00. | |
than others... Bear still reliant. Tonight on Newsnight Scotland: Big | :00:00. | :00:15. | |
business gives its view on independence. Would a currency union | :00:16. | :00:18. | |
leave Scotland done up "tighter than a kipper"? Or is an economic policy | :00:19. | :00:22. | |
set for the south-east of England damaging businesses here? | :00:23. | :00:29. | |
And, will this soon be a scene from the past, or can the internet save | :00:30. | :00:34. | |
the Scottish newspaper industry? Good evening. Well you wouldn't | :00:35. | :00:37. | |
exactly expect the grandson of Winston Churchill to be backing the | :00:38. | :00:40. | |
Yes campaign. But Rupert Soames, the boss of Aggreko, told MSPs today | :00:41. | :00:44. | |
that a currency union would leave an independent Scotland with no room | :00:45. | :00:47. | |
for maneouvre. But other business leaders disagree, and even some of | :00:48. | :00:51. | |
those who back 'no' are calling for full fiscal powers. Graham Stewart | :00:52. | :01:00. | |
reports. This is Aggreko based in Dumbarton. It makes generators for | :01:01. | :01:08. | |
locations all over the world. It was said that a sterling zone after | :01:09. | :01:11. | |
independence would mean titre controls for Scotland. It is far too | :01:12. | :01:15. | |
believe that it would be sensible controls for Scotland. It is far too | :01:16. | :01:19. | |
for the rest of the UK to enter into a currency union for Scotland | :01:20. | :01:25. | |
without Scotland being tied up tighter than a kipper. Another boss | :01:26. | :01:32. | |
warned that projects had to be put on ice as a referendum left | :01:33. | :01:39. | |
investors uncertain. It creates concern. It certainly has put a few | :01:40. | :01:45. | |
projects that I am looking at on hold for the time being. He said | :01:46. | :01:53. | |
that he had asked the Better Together campaign to give more tax | :01:54. | :01:55. | |
powers for Hollywood without success. It together say that is for | :01:56. | :02:03. | |
individual parties. This company as another Scottish one on the global | :02:04. | :02:09. | |
stage. Its boss backs a yes vote and says a currency union makes sense | :02:10. | :02:12. | |
and would still leave plenty for an independent Scotland to do. It gives | :02:13. | :02:18. | |
you plenty of freedom to have the flexibility and define fiscal | :02:19. | :02:22. | |
policies that would attract businesses to Scotland. This | :02:23. | :02:29. | |
property developer also said that some firms resent change and are | :02:30. | :02:34. | |
making excuses. It said Scotland had a good track record and has not | :02:35. | :02:40. | |
encountered uncertainty. I need these guys day-to-day in the pub... | :02:41. | :02:49. | |
I do not see a great deal of concern. There was no report from | :02:50. | :02:58. | |
today's ceiling. That is because MSP 's are just as divided as they are. | :02:59. | :03:12. | |
I'm joined in the studio by the chief executive of pro-independence | :03:13. | :03:14. | |
group, Business for Scotland, Gordon MacIntyre-Kemp, and from | :03:15. | :03:22. | |
group, Business for Scotland, Gordon Together. Gordon, before we get onto | :03:23. | :03:27. | |
the general issues... There have been reports in some of the | :03:28. | :03:41. | |
newspapers over the past few days that Standard Life may be about to | :03:42. | :03:45. | |
say it considers independence has great risk. They are making an | :03:46. | :03:47. | |
announcement in the morning. They are suggesting that they may even | :03:48. | :03:51. | |
leave Scotland if there is a yes fault. That must be worrying? -- Yes | :03:52. | :04:00. | |
vote. That was worrying before the pre-devolution referendum as well. | :04:01. | :04:03. | |
Lots of businesses said that as well. We have heard it all before. I | :04:04. | :04:15. | |
believe that Standard Life were one of the ones to leave. There was a | :04:16. | :04:21. | |
poll in the Scotland on Sunday in 1997 that said 76% of big businesses | :04:22. | :04:26. | |
got a yes vote for devolution would damage the economy. We were told | :04:27. | :04:29. | |
that businesses would leave them. They did not. Everybody almost | :04:30. | :04:36. | |
universally agrees that devolution has been good for business. If they | :04:37. | :04:44. | |
do say that they say great risk, you would see this as another version of | :04:45. | :04:53. | |
lustre? -- bluster? They may come to decisions along those lines. It | :04:54. | :04:56. | |
would not be a clever decision. It would cost a lot of money. I do not | :04:57. | :05:05. | |
think it would work for them. I am disappointed that Gordon is so | :05:06. | :05:08. | |
complacent about one of the biggest employers in my constituency | :05:09. | :05:12. | |
potentially threatening to leave. It will be interesting to see what | :05:13. | :05:18. | |
potentially threatening to leave. It say as well. RBS... I am right in | :05:19. | :05:28. | |
saying... They would adapt? We are speculating. It is quite clear, | :05:29. | :05:39. | |
Standard Life have 98% of customers in England. They cannot sustain | :05:40. | :05:46. | |
being in Scotland with the different currency. Hang on... The specific | :05:47. | :06:08. | |
body that Standard Life have... Love our tax exemptions on pensions in | :06:09. | :06:12. | |
the UK. That seems to be what is worrying them. The Scottish | :06:13. | :06:21. | |
Government says they are would be but they are not sure. What we are | :06:22. | :06:29. | |
talking about, it is quite interesting. All of the uncertainty | :06:30. | :06:33. | |
has been created by the Westminster government as a political manoeuvre | :06:34. | :06:39. | |
to try to win the referendum. If the UK Government says that the Scottish | :06:40. | :06:44. | |
people need to know precisely what is happening on currency then should | :06:45. | :06:50. | |
they not be letting businesses now as well. There is uncertainty over | :06:51. | :06:56. | |
the EU according to them. Scotland is likely to vote to stay in, the | :06:57. | :07:03. | |
rest of the UK is likely to see now. -- say no. That is uncertainty with | :07:04. | :07:13. | |
a no vote as well. -- There is. We had the chief executive of the | :07:14. | :07:19. | |
Scottish enterprise here today and he employs hundreds of thousands of | :07:20. | :07:25. | |
people directly and indirectly. He said there was no certainty. Those | :07:26. | :07:29. | |
are the facts coming from the professionals. I would rather listen | :07:30. | :07:35. | |
to them. You are reeling off statistics that make no sense. From | :07:36. | :07:41. | |
a business point of view, whatever the reasons are for the three main | :07:42. | :07:48. | |
Unionist parties taking this position on currency, from the point | :07:49. | :07:51. | |
of view of businesses would it not be rather better if a door was left | :07:52. | :08:02. | |
open for negotiation? If that were the case... Y slammed the door? -- | :08:03. | :08:13. | |
Why slam the door? It hasn't been slammed in that case. Nonpartisan | :08:14. | :08:20. | |
analysis has taken place. They have said that the SNP have essentially | :08:21. | :08:26. | |
ruled out using the Euro. Then have the same concerns that the UK | :08:27. | :08:33. | |
Government have about that. I would say to you that I hear what you are | :08:34. | :08:40. | |
saying. But as a business it would suit us in Scotland if the door was | :08:41. | :08:49. | |
not being slams shut. -- slammed shut. I don't accept what you are | :08:50. | :09:03. | |
saying. If it is not in the interest of the rest of the United Kingdom, | :09:04. | :09:05. | |
this is an issue for Scotland. of the rest of the United Kingdom, | :09:06. | :09:15. | |
would not go into a currency union... That is not true. | :09:16. | :09:24. | |
Businesses in England, Scotland decide to leave the United Kingdom | :09:25. | :09:29. | |
then they should not fit the bill. -- foot the bill. As somebody on the | :09:30. | :09:39. | |
yes side, surely the business community in Scotland would like the | :09:40. | :09:45. | |
Scottish Government to see what it would do if it can't get this | :09:46. | :09:51. | |
currency union? If I were a business I would say you may well be right. I | :09:52. | :09:58. | |
accept all of that. The bottom line is that if you go for independence | :09:59. | :10:07. | |
then I want to know what happens. I want to know what planning you are | :10:08. | :10:10. | |
doing right now for that eventuality. | :10:11. | :10:19. | |
There are several options for currency that could be made to work | :10:20. | :10:23. | |
for Scotland. They cannot all be made to work for our friends and | :10:24. | :10:27. | |
neighbours in the rest of the UK as well. You think having a separate | :10:28. | :10:32. | |
currency would be perfectly workable? That is potentially one of | :10:33. | :10:38. | |
many options that could work. Would you not like to see some planning | :10:39. | :10:43. | |
being done on that? For example, if Scotland has its own central bank | :10:44. | :10:48. | |
and sets up a scheme to put into deposits, but if it is? I genuinely | :10:49. | :10:54. | |
believe we will have a currency union. Let me explain why. Ian | :10:55. | :11:01. | |
Murray mentioned that English people are not happy with things. There is | :11:02. | :11:02. | |
a huge issue are not happy with things. There is | :11:03. | :11:08. | |
not get a fair share of the assets but takes its fair share of the | :11:09. | :11:09. | |
debt, but takes its fair share of the | :11:10. | :11:13. | |
international law, if we do not get the assets there is a risk of taking | :11:14. | :11:20. | |
on the debt but the debt to GDP ratio that the rest of the UK would | :11:21. | :11:24. | |
have, English mortgage payers could ever have that are having higher | :11:25. | :11:30. | |
mortgages as a direct result. Thank you both very much. | :11:31. | :11:34. | |
Circulation is down yet again for Scottish newspapers - the public's | :11:35. | :11:36. | |
supposed thirst for knowledge about the independence debate doesn't seem | :11:37. | :11:43. | |
to stretch to buying a paper. But it may be what has seen them flocking | :11:44. | :11:47. | |
to the websites of both The Herald and the Scotsman. Internet traffic | :11:48. | :11:50. | |
is up. Does this mean it's the death knell for the printed word? Suzanne | :11:51. | :11:55. | |
Allan reports. They have kept us abreast of events | :11:56. | :12:01. | |
from weddings to words, from boom to bust for centuries. Papers were how | :12:02. | :12:09. | |
we got our news. But then the modern world is digital. Circulation | :12:10. | :12:14. | |
figures for newspapers have been falling for years, today's figures | :12:15. | :12:20. | |
are no different. All many city -based newspapers have continued to | :12:21. | :12:27. | |
fall. The Scotsman is down 6% at the beginning of the year to below | :12:28. | :12:32. | |
30,000 copies. The Herald was down 10% on the previous year at 39,000. | :12:33. | :12:39. | |
A smaller amount for the Courier in Dundee, 5%. Is this the end of the | :12:40. | :12:46. | |
printed edition of newspapers or can they survive? Yes, they can thrive | :12:47. | :12:55. | |
but I think one of the measurements in terms of print styles and it is a | :12:56. | :13:03. | |
bit of a misnomer these days because print sales have been going down for | :13:04. | :13:07. | |
the last 30 years, but what is not properly recognised is that this | :13:08. | :13:12. | |
online audience is increasing rapidly. | :13:13. | :13:22. | |
Although, maybe not quite like this, not so long ago, a lot of us would | :13:23. | :13:26. | |
have had our papers delivered in the morning. But has technology use up | :13:27. | :13:35. | |
to us? It used to be when you picked up a paper in the morning, this was | :13:36. | :13:39. | |
the first you had heard of the news, these days you can access it from | :13:40. | :13:44. | |
the minute you wake up. On this, or on this, or on this. A mobile device | :13:45. | :13:51. | |
that lets you access headlines from around the world any time, the | :13:52. | :13:55. | |
ornate. Although a doomsday scenario has long been predicted, it seems | :13:56. | :14:00. | |
that online could be the saviour. Online readership is on the up. The | :14:01. | :14:07. | |
Scotsman has 2.6 million readers, that was in December. Up 41%. The | :14:08. | :14:13. | |
Herald has 1.6 million readers each month, up 66% in one year. Online | :14:14. | :14:20. | |
revenues continue to grow and the profits of The Herald, 40% of those | :14:21. | :14:29. | |
profits came from online. There is a business model, there is light at | :14:30. | :14:34. | |
the end of the tunnel. I feel somewhat dismayed sometimes when | :14:35. | :14:38. | |
people only focus on print sales and then you get the doom mongers saying | :14:39. | :14:44. | |
that the newspapers are finished and the ball disappeared. | :14:45. | :14:48. | |
Smartphone and have just continues to rise steeply. I do digital or | :14:49. | :14:52. | |
print? Opinion across Scotland was mixed. I just like to read the | :14:53. | :14:56. | |
paper. mixed. I just like to read the | :14:57. | :15:00. | |
and read the paper. mixed. I just like to read the | :15:01. | :15:12. | |
bit additional! I never got to the bother of buying newspapers, I have | :15:13. | :15:15. | |
the Internet on my phone so it is easier. | :15:16. | :15:21. | |
This academic swims against the tide of popular opinion. He says that | :15:22. | :15:26. | |
print will survive. We are talking about two things, hard copy and | :15:27. | :15:34. | |
online. I believe, and this is unusual, I believe that hard copy | :15:35. | :15:40. | |
will bottom out and battle and will survive into the foreseeable future, | :15:41. | :15:46. | |
and I believe that online will, as it is beginning to show, signs of | :15:47. | :15:53. | |
flourish. We will have parallel publishing with print and online | :15:54. | :15:58. | |
formats both competing. For many there is nothing like having | :15:59. | :16:01. | |
something physically in your hand. Alex Stubb believes this is why | :16:02. | :16:07. | |
magazines are doing so well. The men's magazines, the women's | :16:08. | :16:10. | |
magazines, specialist magazines, they all continue to flourish. So | :16:11. | :16:16. | |
newspapers can flourish. Who reads at length online? You flit from one | :16:17. | :16:22. | |
site to another. It is the butterfly effect. It is good news for certain | :16:23. | :16:32. | |
newspapers. The likes of Irbin Times are bucking the trend. | :16:33. | :16:35. | |
I'm joined from Edinburgh by the director of the Scottish Newspaper | :16:36. | :16:39. | |
Society, John McLellan. John, this is marvellous that these new | :16:40. | :16:44. | |
newspapers are getting broader audiences than they ever had before | :16:45. | :16:48. | |
online, but the real issue for newspapers is whether they can make | :16:49. | :16:53. | |
any money out of it? That is correct. I think newspaper companies | :16:54. | :16:57. | |
up correct. I think newspaper companies | :16:58. | :17:04. | |
money. There are ongoing issues with the transitional period we are in | :17:05. | :17:10. | |
just now where online sales are going up and print sales are | :17:11. | :17:15. | |
dropping. But I your thumb pointed out, there will be a point that the | :17:16. | :17:23. | |
tool # the two will meet at a more stable business model will arrive. | :17:24. | :17:29. | |
As there a stable and serve anywhere of a newspaper that is making | :17:30. | :17:32. | |
serious money with the subscriber model online? Does the New York | :17:33. | :17:40. | |
Times make any serious money out of it? I do not have figures to hand | :17:41. | :17:48. | |
but there are examples of models that are attracting readers and | :17:49. | :17:53. | |
growing numbers, the likes of News UK, the sun is proving a popular | :17:54. | :18:02. | |
digital vehicle because it has invested and its football coverage | :18:03. | :18:09. | |
-- the Son. The game of any businesses as no different to that | :18:10. | :18:13. | |
of newspapers. It is about providing people with what they want, how they | :18:14. | :18:17. | |
want it, at a price they are willing to pay. Because we are going through | :18:18. | :18:21. | |
these fast changing times, businesses are trying to work out | :18:22. | :18:27. | |
what the correct balance is. It is providing the correct content and | :18:28. | :18:31. | |
that will remain key. Do you think there is a future for newspapers in | :18:32. | :18:37. | |
a different sense. One of the things about the Internet is that people | :18:38. | :18:39. | |
can use a search engine and that will take them to what they want to | :18:40. | :18:45. | |
read, so they are accessing material and newspapers in that way, rather | :18:46. | :18:49. | |
than thinking about wanting to read the Scotsman, The Herald, the Times | :18:50. | :18:52. | |
or the Guardian and going to their sites, is that a threat to the | :18:53. | :18:58. | |
branding of newspapers? It is not a threat, but it is certainly a | :18:59. | :19:03. | |
challenge. The idea must be to find effective ways to market what you | :19:04. | :19:06. | |
have as it has always been and that is the only way that traditional | :19:07. | :19:14. | |
brands can market themselves. Rebranding could be key to future | :19:15. | :19:18. | |
success. We will have to leave it there for the moment. | :19:19. | :19:23. | |
Now a quick look at tomorrow's front pages. The Scotsman, it leads on the | :19:24. | :19:33. | |
case of Lee Rigby. It says there were scuffles in court as the | :19:34. | :19:40. | |
killers were led to the dog. The Co-op also selling off farms after | :19:41. | :19:50. | |
losses. -- led to the dog. The victim of Lynda Spence. The | :19:51. | :19:56. | |
Telegraph, EU will help to heal our divisions, says Angela Merkel. | :19:57. | :19:59. | |
Goodbye. Things turning wet and windy | :20:00. | :20:18. | |
overnight. That wind across England tomorrow morning. Brighter skies | :20:19. | :20:23. | |
will follow with sunny spells but also showers. More showers than we | :20:24. | :20:29. | |
saw today. Particularly for Wales and the Southern counties of | :20:30. | :20:33. | |
England. Showers for Scotland with snow on the hills, a wet afternoon | :20:34. | :20:38. | |
for Shetland. Much of Eastern England will brighten up nicely. One | :20:39. | :20:42. | |
or two afternoon showers. There should be plenty of sunshine after | :20:43. | :20:46. | |
that line disappears. Some showers for the South East. More showers and | :20:47. | :20:48. | |
we saw today. for the South East. More showers and | :20:49. | :20:54. | |
could be heavy, possibly thundery, | :20:55. | :20:59. |