20/01/2016 Outside Source


20/01/2016

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Hello, I'm Ros Atkins, this is Outside Source.

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We will start off with new data released.

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2015 was the hottest year ever for planet earth.

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And it beat the previous record by the biggest ever margin.

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Lots of superlatives - we'll find out what it means.

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Militants stormed a university in Pakistan earlier,

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We'll hear from BBC Urdu about who could be responsible.

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Today was a bad day for markets everywhere -

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in fact it's been the worst start to the year on Western markets

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Russia has announced massive cuts to its space programme.

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It's still got ambitious projects, though - including a new spaceport

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And we will take a detailed look at Sarah Pailin's endorsement of Donald

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Trump, and look at whether it will be a help or a hindrance.

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2015 was the hottest year since records began

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Two US agencies released numbers today - and these graphics too.

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The dark red areas are parts of the world that saw

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And this table shows global average surface temperatures since 1880.

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The zero line represents the long-term average temperature

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You doing... Don't need me to translate what is going on here!

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NASA is one the agencies to release figures today.

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"Pay attention" appears to be the accompanying message.

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2015 was the warmest year on record since these observations of

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measurements started in 1880. 15 of the past 16 years have been the

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hottest years on record, and when you see a run like this, this is not

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something which people can easily dismiss and say it is not true. 15

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out of 16 is a pretty good batting average.

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Lletget the analysis of Matt McGrath from the BBC science unit. This is

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the culmination of record amounts of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere

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combines with the El Nino weather event which is very strong, the

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strongest in living memory according to some scientists, it has pushed

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temperatures in 2015 to the record. Basically, it is a pattern that has

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gone nonsense about the 1970s, 15 of the 16 warmest years on record have

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been since 2000, we are seeing a very sharp on this year because

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about me know and the underlying warning. Are there other factors

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which contribute to these annual figures? Not really, you know and

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CEO are the main two. They have said that even without the only you would

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have had a record year this year, the overlying warning is quite

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strong. The gap between last year, the record year, and this year, is

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the widest margin in terms of an increase, so they say it is pretty

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certain it is down to the human in priest -- increased warming, added

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to that El Nino. How many measurements do they take? Around

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6000. Quite a lot. Pakistan is the latest country

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to suffer a major Islamist Earlier, at least 19 people

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were killed in a gun and bomb attack at Bacha Khan University -

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it's in the north-west of Pakistan and only 50 kilometres

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from Peshawar. That's where 130 students

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were killed by the Pakistan Taliban Now a Taliban commander has

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claimed this attack too, This is the Pakistan

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Taliban's main spokesman... He even went on to call

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the attack un-Islamic. Next let me play you this

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from Shaimaa Khalil at the scene. Arriving as the assault took place,

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Army commanders race across open fields surrounding the University

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of the militants ran loose inside. The attackers are believed to have

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scaled the walls of the back of this large university under

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a cover of early Becoming a full-scale military

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operation, this attack lasted The only way for those

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inside to escape was through Many seen still clutching

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their class books. TRANSLATION: There was so much panic

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and fear that a friend of mine jumped from the University building

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full it was very high that he jumped We saw the militants chancing,

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Allah is the greatest. We heard firing from

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the back of the campus. We thought maybe some

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people were fighting. Then we said, get into the rooms,

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do not go out. Walls covered with bullet

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holes as the gunmen fired It is unclear whether the Pakistani

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Taliban militants are responsible for this latest violence

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but the attack is reminiscent to the one they carried out

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in Peshawar where they killed 132 In a statement, the Government

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here says it is determined This day started with a poetry

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recital, honouring a secular activist who advocated non-violence,

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but it quickly turned into carnage. Today's attack will raise questions

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about why the militants are still able to strike soft

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targets like this university and how effective the military operation has

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been this last year, especially with a mix of militant

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networks that is evolving As relatives bury their dead,

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it is unclear whether This will be a sleepless night

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for many families across the country as they again fear sending

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their chosen to school the next day. -- fear sending their children to

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school the next day. I was mentioning the confusion over

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whether the Taliban did or didn't I turned to Asad Ali Chaudhry

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from BBC Urdu to help me with this One conclusion is the obvious one

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that comes to mind, there is a difference of opinion or a split,

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whatever way you want to describe it. I spoke to the correspondence

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over there and they said it really does not matter. Which other group

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did it, it had the capacity to do it, it is not a small group who did

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it. The 8.2 create confusion, maybe a split in the ranks. -- it could be

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a ploy to create confusion. Whichever group that is, why would

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they target this university? There is a symbolic nature to it, that is

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all I can tell, a symbolic value attached to Bacha Khan University

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University. Bacha Khan was a freedom fighter who believed in nonviolent

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struggle. He was also referred to as Frontier Gandhi because of his

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association with Mahatma Gandhi. It was a poetry recitation going on at

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the University today, the title of the programme was capped back row

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peace. The university was set up during the rule of a party political

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secular, liberal party, and many of its leaders have been targeted, its

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workers have been targeted, they are Rene hit list. There are reasons to

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believe that this could be behind whoever planned the attack.

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As ever, we report the help of BBC Urdu in reporting Pakistan.

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Let's now concentrate on Syria. It's under government

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control but only just - it's currently under

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siege by rebels. Russia says it's dropped 50 tonnes

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of humanitarian aid to the town, but it's also dropping

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a lot of bombs. To give you a sense of scale,

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it says that in just the last 24 The airbase that they're doing

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all this from is near Latakia. If I zoom in you can just

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about see it on the map - and Steve Rosenburg has sent

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this report from there. This is where the Russians are

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running their sorties and you men at every entrance.

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This is the Russian airbase in Syria, near Latakia. It is about to

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get very loud, I had better stop. In the three and a half months that

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Russia has been carrying out its military campaign in Syria, the

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Russian Anna Ford has carried out around 6000 sorties from this

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airbase near Latakia -- the Russian as force. Although Russia has not

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won what it called its war on terror yet, the air cover and air strikes

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RE huge boost for president Assad. We were last at this base two months

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ago, we have come back to see what has changed. This is new, these

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Russian soldiers have been loading humanitarian aid onto a metal

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platform, it is being loaded into a transport plane. It will then take

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it to a besieged town in the East of Syria, the town of Deir ez-Zor, it

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will be dropped down by parachute to communities there.

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Steve Rosenberg reporting from western Syria.

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This is another story concerning Russia.

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Russia has announced cuts to its space programme.

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Bear in mind space is central to Vladimir Putin's efforts

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to re-establish Russia as a global power, so this decision would not

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Here is our reporter from BBC Russia.

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The budget of the Russian space programme has been cut by 30%. What

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does that mean? A planned mission to send cosmonauts to the Moon has been

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postponed for five years, rescheduled for 2035. It is supposed

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to take off from Russia's new cosmodrome in eastern Russia, but

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that has been affected either cuts as well. Only one launch pad will be

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built instead of two. It is not even clear when it will open. Why is it

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happening? Russia's economy is having a hard time. Western

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sanctions are having an effect, the rouble is falling and oil prices are

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getting lower and lower. Russia's budget Allen says at $50 per barrel.

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The price is much lower than that. Expect more Russian budget cuts in

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the future. This time yesterday we started

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getting confirmation that Sarah Palin is endorsing Donald Trump for

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the presidency of America. We will look at this in more detail and

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assess the likely impact on his chances of going all the way to

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Washington. Let me tell you about an unusual

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cottage that is up for sale in England with its very own cave. Sian

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Lloyd reports. It looks like a traditional property

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in a terraced street. A typical two-up, two-down,

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built 150 years ago. A living room and kitchen,

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with two bedrooms above. But step this way and you get

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a sense of the unusual. This room was once a sandstone

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cave in the back garden. It's the result of years

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of excavation, carried out And they're all made from

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the sandstone that was excavated Antony Dracup was an

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artist and inventor. He liked to put his own stamp

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on every home he owned. But in Dracups Cottage,

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he went further, spending 20 years The present owners have been

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using it as a holiday cottage, but it's largely unchanged

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since the artist lived here. This is Outside Source live

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from the BBC newsroom. was the warmest year on record

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by the biggest ever margin. Now some of the main stories from

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BBC World Service. Now to Afghanistan.

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BBC Pashto says at least six people have been killed in a suicide

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It happened near the Russian embassy, although no

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A great deal of sadness in Vietnam because a turtle which was regarded

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as a symbol of Vietnamese independence has died.

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It was known as Great Grandfather Turtle and was considered sacred.

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BBC Vietnamese reports it'll now be embalmed.

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Jamie Foxx - known around the world for his acting,

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known around the world today for saving a man who was trapped

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in a burning truck that crashed near his house in California.

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In media terms, Sarah Palin supporting Donald Trump

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And, as you'll know, it's come to pass.

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Mr Trump looked very pleased last night -

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here's Rajini Vaidyanathan on whether he has good reason

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How good will this decision by Sarah Palin before him?

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Ladies and gentlemen, Sarah Palin! I will be honoured to accept your

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nomination for vice president of the United States.

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# Hello from the other side. I have the privilege of living most

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of my life in a small town. I was just your average hockey mum and

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signed up for the PTA. The reaction to Sarah Palin was

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instant. She was revered by some, ridiculed by others. Now she is

:15:30.:15:33.

back, endorsing Donald Trump in this year's presidential race. Will she

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be a help or a hindrance? It was one of the most watched SNLs

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ever, and it was two weeks before the Grammy ballots, when people

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decide which songs to nominate, so literally the stars aligned for me

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and then the album shot to number one and I was nominated for a Grammy

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and I won one, it was a joke. It was a joke. All thanks to Sarah Palin!

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How strong is the Pailin effect? In the 2008 election campaign, she

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developed a reputation for gaps. Can I ask you one more time, not to

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belabour the point, specific examples and 26 years of pushing for

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more regulation? I will try to find cement bring them to you. What

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newspapers and magazines did you regularly read before you were

:16:34.:16:39.

tapped for this, to stay informed? I have read most of them, again with a

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great appreciation for the press and the media. Specifically, I'm

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curious? All of them. By the end of the

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campaign her popularity plummeted and she was blocked from delivering

:16:51.:16:52.

a concession speech when her running mate John McCain lost to Barack

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Obama. Her supporters said she was straight talking and authentic. She

:16:59.:17:02.

is not afraid to go after what you want and believes in. I think she

:17:03.:17:06.

would be a strong leader, I would vote for her. Ever since 2008, her

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ratings have fallen amongst Republican supporters. As her

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popularity fell, so did her public profile.

:17:16.:17:19.

She appeared on her own cable TV shows but took a back-seat from

:17:20.:17:23.

mainstream politics, despite continuing speculation about whether

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she would run for the top job. Now she is backing Donald Trump, a

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spot move for his campaign, many would say, others say it is more of

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a boon for her than him. Either way, Sarah Palin is back in the

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spotlight. Thank you so much, it is so great to be in Iowa!

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I don't think American journalists can believe their luck, it will

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generate a huge amount of interest, whatever you think of her politics.

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Let's start the business with a statistic illustrating how stark the

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situation on the western markets has been.

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Think about this - it's been the worst start

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to the year on Western markets since the Great Depression.

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Two main causes are concerns about a global economic slowdown,

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and commodities markets that are drowning in over-supply.

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We have talked about this issue a lot on Outside Source.

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Kamal Ahmed is the BBC's economics editor.

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He's in Davos for the World Economic Forum.

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And this, of course, has been one his main subjects

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of his conversations with business leaders there.

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Another grim day for the global economy.

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In New York, investors selling stocks, in Hong Kong shares down.

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For business leaders at Davos, worrying times.

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When you look at the oil price, the volatility of the market

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since the start of the year, what is it telling you about

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There is a lot of uncertainty in the whole financial markets.

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Certainty is really hard to find right now.

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The questions about China, the debate going on is creating

:18:59.:19:01.

It has been the price of oil that has raised most concerns.

:19:02.:19:10.

Mr Dudley says it will not last and predicts the price of oil

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could double by the end of the year as demand from China

:19:19.:19:21.

Of course, low oil prices can be good for countries that import oil

:19:22.:19:27.

like the UK and fast-growing economies across Asia.

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There are a lot of emerging markets in trouble because of it

:19:31.:19:34.

Part of India's benefit at the moment is because India

:19:35.:19:38.

is an importer and not an exporter and it is doing well.

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Nada Tawfik is in New York. If oil prices rose, what would have to

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happen in order for that to occur? I think, like everything else, there

:20:04.:20:07.

has to be a bottoming out points. That is what the key question is,

:20:08.:20:11.

what everybody wants to know, how low can oil go before it comes up

:20:12.:20:15.

again. It is the old supply and demand question. On one hand, on the

:20:16.:20:20.

demand side, as China and the US, as demand increases in the world's

:20:21.:20:24.

first and second largest economies, that will not help -- will help was

:20:25.:20:30.

the oil prices. But key is when we will see this supplied Windle

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little. We had the International energy agency warning in 2016 that

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if nothing changes we could be drowning in this oversupply of oil.

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Those who are more optimistic point to things like Russia will be

:20:44.:20:49.

cutting production, US shale producers will be forced to cut

:20:50.:20:52.

production, all of that could help boost the price of oil a bit.

:20:53.:20:57.

Could we be in a situation where the Saudis say we will not cut

:20:58.:21:01.

production but the Americans go it alone and say we will? Pretty

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unlikely, I think. If you look at the pressure on shale producers

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right now, they have been cutting production already, it has happened

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more slowly than expected but it is happening. If you look at its peak,

:21:14.:21:19.

US crude oil production was at about 9.6 million barrels per day, that

:21:20.:21:23.

fell in December to 9.2 million barrels, that is expected to go as

:21:24.:21:26.

low as eight .1 million barrels per day. These companies have so much

:21:27.:21:31.

pressure with the oil prices as low as they are and many struggle to

:21:32.:21:35.

hang on, not really making much money at this point. When you look

:21:36.:21:39.

at the markets today and how much they hit the energy companies are

:21:40.:21:43.

taking, you are seeing what they are up against. If you look there could

:21:44.:21:47.

be defaults as they struggle to get more credit from banks worried about

:21:48.:21:53.

the energy. Higher cost for US shale producers to pump out oil than Saudi

:21:54.:21:57.

Arabia, it is more likely that we will see the pressure increased on

:21:58.:22:00.

them still. Thank you very much, Nada.

:22:01.:22:13.

China's main social media platform is Weibo, it's a bit like Twitter.

:22:14.:22:15.

It's lifting its 140-word limit, a trial starts Jan 28th.

:22:16.:22:19.

Remember Twitter's chief executive has also indicated it

:22:20.:22:22.

It doesn't always feel like that, does it? He says...

:22:23.:22:51.

So Twitter may be changing its approach, but no confirmation yet.

:22:52.:22:57.

A lovely story here in the UK about fairy tales and how some

:22:58.:23:00.

of them date back farther than the earliest literary records.

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I'm talking about Beauty and the Beast, Jack

:23:04.:23:05.

and the Beanstalk, stories like that that.

:23:06.:23:22.

Wilhelm Grimm, of the Brothers Grimm fame, shortly after he published his

:23:23.:23:31.

collection of German set tonne fairy stories became aware that many of

:23:32.:23:35.

those tales also occur in other parts of the world, in particular in

:23:36.:23:42.

parts of the ratio, Scandinavia, India, Eastern Europe, Iran and

:23:43.:23:47.

places like that. These theories suggested that they all shared a

:23:48.:23:51.

common ancestor, they all come from a common route. Grimm believe that

:23:52.:23:58.

and fairy stories might be part of common heritage. That was the theory

:23:59.:24:06.

that we looked to test using methods developed in evolutionary biology

:24:07.:24:09.

which provides a really powerful statistical tools for testing the

:24:10.:24:15.

kind of theory is that Grimm and other people were developing but

:24:16.:24:22.

were very hard to test. Jack And The Beanstalk is an English take on a

:24:23.:24:28.

very widespread folktale that is called The Boy Who Steals The Ogre's

:24:29.:24:33.

Treasure. We have traced back to back to the last common ancestor of

:24:34.:24:44.

the Western Indo-Europeans. Isn't that interesting?

:24:45.:24:46.

Take a look at these pictures that have come into us from Australia.

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A car ploughs full speed through the glass wall

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If we play it back, just before it happens, a woman is wandering in the

:24:56.:25:12.

direction of where the car 's do. Fortunately, nobody was hurt, but it

:25:13.:25:16.

very nasty incident caught on camera and the car looks like it has caught

:25:17.:25:19.

the end of its days. We were talking about the militant

:25:20.:25:23.

attack in the north-west Pakistan earlier and the fact that the

:25:24.:25:28.

Taliban... One Taliban spokesperson has said we do this, another has

:25:29.:25:34.

denied it. We did a Facebook lifestream with BBC Urdu taking

:25:35.:25:38.

questions about this story in some detail. If you're interested in

:25:39.:25:42.

seeing that, go to the BBC news page on Facebook, it is about a third

:25:43.:25:48.

item down. You will see my face, my colleague from BBC Urdu is taking

:25:49.:25:50.

questions from all around the world. That's it from the first half of the

:25:51.:25:59.

programme, I will speak to you in a couple of minutes.

:26:00.:26:01.

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