20/06/2016 Outside Source

Hello, I'm Ros Atkins, this is Outside Source.

We're live in Edinburgh with three days to go until the UK votes

in a referendum over whether it wants to be in -

Campaigning has resumed after the death of Jo Cox. Today Parliament

was recalled. She spoke truth to power. Nigel Farage is the leader of

Ukip and a significant figure in the Leave campaign. He has criticised

Prime Minister David Cameron for politicising the death of Jo Cox.

They are using these faults circumstances to say that the

motives of this deranged individual are similar to that of perhaps half

the country who want to leave the EU.

We'll look at what a vote to leave would mean in Scotland -

especially if the majority of people here want to remain.

We will also be live in Washington, DC because Donald Trump has sacked

his campaign manager. Welcome to Outside Source

live from Edinburgh. We are towards the end of a blast of

the summer 's day that there is still light because this is one of

the longest days of the year and in the next hour we will be

concentrating on three of the nations inside the UK. Northern

Ireland, Wales, and in particular Scotland. We have highlighted the

centre of Edinburgh. That's where I am talking to you from. All day long

the street has been bustling with tourists and locals going about

their work. Most of the Judas will not be voting in the referendum but

most people who call Edinburgh home certainly will be. -- most of the

tourists will not be voting in the referendum.

To put this in the context of the UK the Scottish electorate makes up 8%

of the UK electorate. So which way it goes will have an impact on the

outcome. But it could be about more than just numbers. Let us speak now

with a correspondent from The Times newspaper. For the outside world is

looking in, most people today have not mentioned it. The issue is

twofold. We had elections for the devolved Government recently which

took up a lot of attention. And we had the Scottish Independence

Referendum two years ago and that hangs over everything in Scotland

and preoccupies people to the extent that the EU referendum has not done.

What is driving how people vote? There is a strong message from

Nicola Sturgeon to vote to remain in the EU and she has the biggest

proportion of supporters in Scotland so that is driving at Remain vote.

We will be talking again later. Thank you.

More on what is happening in a moment. We must talk about what has

been happening in Westminster today because Parliament was recalled to

pay tribute to Jo Cox who was killed on Thursday. She was a member of the

Labour Party, the main opposition party. Its leader Jeremy Corbyn said

her life had been spent serving and campaigning for others. Prime

Minister said she was a loving determined and Progressive MP. Let

us also see what Nigel Farage has been saying. He is the leader of the

UK Independence Party, a significant voice in the Leave campaign, and he

sees the Remain campaign has been implying that there was a link

between the death of Jo Cox and how the Leave campaign has conducted

itself. Here he is talking to the BBC. The Remain campaign are using

these awful circumstances to dry to say that the motives of one deranged

and dangerous individual was similar of half the country, perhaps more,

we believe we should leave the EU. Who is saying that? Every single

one. The Prime Minister, the Chancellor, all talking about the

politics of hate. There is a clear implication that somehow a bad

atmosphere has been whipped up. One of the stories on the referendum

today has been the former chairman of the Conservative Party announcing

that she was no longer going to be supporting the Leave campaign and

that in part that was related to the tone of the Leave campaign. And this

post are played into that decision. It is a Ukip poster released by

Nigel Farage which sparked huge controversy in the UK.

Those of us at the outset with that clear, moderate,

Brexit have over time been taken over by a message which is divisive,

inward looking, xenophobic and unfortunately it is creating deep

Let us speak to a couple of younger voters who we have been speaking to

during the day. Thank you for being with us. What do you make of this

discussion around the tone of the campaign, both campaigns? With Nigel

Farage's poster, as Michael Gove said, it's made me sick to my

stomach. In terms of Grassroots Out, that has been disgusting, but

thought Leave has been more positive, we have not been jumping

on the death of Jo Cox, which a lot of the Remain campaign have been. I

think Leave have been extremely negative in their campaign. Long

before producing posters they have been suggesting that millions of

Turkish people will come across here. In respect of if that is the

case or not quite as big attempting to demonise hundreds of thousands of

people that have moved. That is not to say that Remain has not been

negative but the Remain campaign has been positive, addressing social

justice issues such as climate change. Anybody that says you have

made a positive campaign, with the scaremongering of David Cameron and

George Osborne saying what is going to occur, that families would spot,

that households would evaporate, that is what is wrong with politics

now. There are problems with the Leave campaign. We have had certain

negative quotes but it is actually a warning that Turkey could come. It

is informing the British people but that is a possibility. But that is

lies. That is not going to happen. The myth has been dispelled and yet

the Leave campaign. In 2013 there was a memo leaked at the British

Embassy which said it was their policy. Let me ask you both. You are

both interested in getting votes for your site. Do you accept that being

negative often delivers faults in a way that being positive buzz not? It

might do. It certainly did for Better Together. But that is not the

way to campaign. Positive campaigning is the way forward.

Bernie Sanders is a good example of that. I am making a positive case

for staying in the European Union. Peace and prosperity across the

entire continent of Europe and also making sure that we have

opportunities. I worry about young people missing out on opportunities

to work and study and live abroad. Those opportunities could be taken

away and made more competent at. Thank you for talking to us. We will

talk again later with a larger group. Now we will talk to a

correspondent from Washington because Donald Trump has sacked his

campaign manager. Two months ago he was charged with battery. That was

related to grabbing a female porter. A senior adviser to Donald Trump has

tweeted: Let us get another analysis from our correspondent in

Washington. How do we understand what has

happened here? On the one hand it is a shift from

one kind of campaign to another kind of campaign. The campaign manager

was the right man for the primaries. He was sharp elbowed anti-pools

Donald Trump from being an outsider to the presidential candidate. He

lied on the strategy of letting Donald Trump be himself, let his

personality big thing that would draw the crowds and dominate the

media. It was a lean, mean team. Now you are shifting to a general

election. You are up against a well oiled machine. You have to bring a

party behind you, get donors behind you. A different approach was

needed. On the one hand that is the shift. The other thing is, by all

accounts, the previous manager was quite aggressive in many ways, and

there was an internal power struggle going on within the campaign after

Donald Trump brought in some other advisers to negotiate this shift.

That was creating a lot of dysfunction in the campaign which

was distressing Republican officials and that seems as if Donald Trump

finally made the decision to let his loyal campaign manager goal. Thank

you. More analysis on that should you want it.

In a few minutes we will go back to United States, this time to focus on

Orlando, because the FBI has been telling us about some of the

conversations it had with the man who carried out the nightclub

killings. There was a bomb in the city centre.

Army bomb experts were examining a suspect van when there was a huge

explosion. The population registration act has

been abolished, which classified each citizen according to race.

Germany's parliament has voted to move the seat of Government to their

loan. The decision was greeted with shock in Bonn. The focus of

attention today was on the first female cosmonaut. It is a wonderful

achievement. We are on the Royal Mile in

Edinburgh for today's Outside Source. We will be focusing on the

EU referendum in the UK. We are in Edinburgh today, London tomorrow,

Tunbridge Wells on weight and stay, Thursday everyone is voting, Friday

we will be live from Westminster. The lead story in the BBC newsroom

at the moment is that Donald Trump has sacked his campaign manager. It

is seen as a shift towards a bigger operation, getting him ready for a

general election. The United Nations says the number

of people around the world displaced by conflict is now

more than 65 million - It's being caused by conflict in

places like Syria and Afghanistan. There's a potential

new lead in the search Campaigners have released

photographs of personal belongings which have washed up

on a beach in Madagascar. Relatives are being asked to see

if they recognise the items. Just to give you an idea of how

Scots may be thinking of voting let us look at one survey. 51% of people

saying they want to stay in the EU, 21% staying out and the rest saying

they are not sure. Surveys across the UK are much closer. Since last

year's general election in the UK we take all opinion polls with a pinch

of salt. One of the interesting factors in Scotland is the idea that

there may be a second referendum on Scottish independence. Nicola

Sturgeon of the Scottish National Party, First Minister in Scotland

has this to say. That is counterintuitive because

some people think if there is a Brexit then Scotland, the majority

of Scots have voted to remain, it would trigger a referendum. This

requires context. We have got this report.

It had looked as though Scotland's political landscape had been fixed

for the foreseeable future when less than two years ago its people

rejected independence by a comfortable margin of 10%.

The current referendum on EU membership

has barely caused the Scottish to break stride or stir their

But could the result of the EU vote change all that?

We are very clear we want both Scotland and

the rest of the UK to remain in the European Union.

But in the scenario that the rest of the UK

wanted to leave and Scotland wanted to remain that would cause a

constitutional issue that would be of serious

concern and we would have

to think about the consequences of that.

The specific consequence that

is being threatened as a second referendum.

Pro-union politicians insist the chance for independence has

The Scottish people of course knew that there would be an

EU referendum at that point when they were voting.

If they were really that bothered they might have voted

But even if there were surging demand

for a second referendum, and that is far from certain,

Edinburgh would need approval to hold one from London,

and for Brussels to make clear it would accept an independent

Ultimately though the decision will be a political one.

The Scottish National Party won't call

another referendum unless they are absolutely sure of winning it

but here we enter the realm of uncertainty as no one can say

for sure the effect of Brexit on

Scottish voters as it's never happened before,

outcome of the vote in a few days' time of course, we may never know.

I joined by the Scottish correspondent for The Times. It can

feel confusing trying to understand the position the SNP on this issue,

Europe, then you also consider, it has an ambition to get a second

referendum. The position of the First Minister has changed

throughout the course of this campaign. The reason she is having

to say what she said earlier that people who support independence

should support Remain is that her manifesto suggests something

different. She seems to say in that manifesto, she did say, if there was

a material change in circumstances in the constitution such as Scotland

voting to remain in the EU but being dragged out against its will, that

could trigger a second Independence Referendum. You can see by her

supporters and supporters of independence are confused and she

has had to clarify. It is all about the timing. They do not want to call

a referendum if they are not certainly can win. They do not. We

have talked about triggers for independence referendums. There is

one trigger and it is a succession of service coming out strongly in

favour of Scots backing independence, that is the only time

the SNP and Nicola Sturgeon will call a second Independence

Referendum. Two years ago the economy and how Scotland would fear

was one of the big issues that drove the debate around Independence

Referendum, is it the same note, is that one of the key drivers? Oil

prices are down. Three of the main things that we talked about in 2014

were the economy and the price of oil and who will Scotland would fear

of going it alone. The second was a guarantee of EU membership for

Scotland. The third was the currency which Scotland with use, would it

retain the pound, would it introduced the usual, would it have

its own currency? All of those three factors are more completed than they

were two years ago. The oil prices dropped. Public sector finances are

not looking as good as they were in 2014. The issue of EU membership

obviously because of the referendum on Thursday, what would that mean

for Scotland as a continuing state or otherwise? And also the currency.

If we are talking about a Scot and which was leaving the UK which is

the EU, what currency do we use? I want to ask you about the tone. We

have heard sharp exchanges between politicians based in Westminster,

the English politicians, but in terms of the debate within

Scotland's political sphere has been more civil? In this case it has

been. There is a lot more support for Remain up in Scotland. It is

less divided. There is less the tree. It has been better. However I

would suggest we are still suffering at Hanover from 2014.

-- hangover from 2014. It is beyond dispute that more

business leaders have come out in favour of staying in the European

Union that have come out in support of leading and that has continued

today. Sir Richard Branson has said: We have also heard from the chairman

of the English Premier League who sees:

That as ever there are two views on any issue. When it comes to this EU

referendum campaign this if those are areas of debate one

thing we can be certain of is that the pound is as strong as it has

been for years. Let us bring in our correspondent from New York. Can we

say this is connected to how the campaign is going? Absolutely. If

you look at the markets, even on this side of the Atlantic we are

seeing a lot of volatility. That volatility has to do with the

changing direction of the opinion polls. Last week we saw that the

opinion polls showed the possibility of a Brexit actually happening. We

saw that many investors were fleeing to what we call safety, goals,

Government bonds. This week, perhaps Brexit may not happen if you look at

the opinion walls and as a result the markets in the United States

have just closed and we concede that the markets have shot reading some

of the losses that we saw at the end of last week. And the pound is

strengthening and the dollar is strengthening. I sense that perhaps

on Thursday we may see an outcome that is more favourable to markets

and business leaders. Thank you. If you are just joining me this is

Outside Source. We have left the warmth of the BBC newsroom and we

have come out into what I would not describe as a balmy summers evening,

there is a brisk wind, but it has been a beautiful day. We are talking

about the EU referendum campaign. The voters on Thursday. We have

reported already from Washington and New York. Let us go back to the

United States and talk about what the FBI has been saying with

relation to that attack on the nightclub in Orlando. 49 people lost

their lives on June 12. They all died because of the actions of one

man, Omar Mateen. The FBI have been telling as about the DRC 's that

Omar Mateen maintained inside that nightclub and the fact that he was

talking to the police during those three hours.

As Orlando continues to come together in its grief more

information is coming to light about the horrific events that led to so

much loss of life. The night of the attack, it is now

known police were negotiating for nearly 30 minutes with Omar Mateen.

The FBI has released partial transcripts of those calls. Omar

Mateen identifies himself as an Islamic soldier saying America must

stop bombing Serbia. At one point he threatens to detonate explosives in

a vehicle outside the club. -- stop bombing Syria.

He did so in a chilling and deliberate manner. The FBI says it

is still looking into the motives of the killer, issues surrounding his

mental health, his own sexual orientation, and the reason which he

may have been radicalised. -- the ways in which he may have been

radicalised. In your all 2016, an extraordinary

second-half between Wales and Russia. 3- 02 wheels. And no score

between England and Slovakia. --