16/09/2016 Outside Source


16/09/2016

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Hello, welcome to Outside Source, and Bratislava, where leaders from

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across this continent have come together at a time of crisis for the

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EU. They are trying to plot a future for the union. There has been one

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noticeable absentee. The UK was not invited because of the vote to

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Brexit. The EU leaders say any time the UK wants to start the

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negotiations, they are ready. We are well prepared. We can start

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procedures even tomorrow. Aside from Brexit, the focus has

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been the issues the EU knows the citizens care about, the economy,

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security and the migrant crisis. Today has raised many issues not

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just about what has been achieved here, but about the future of the EU

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and the UK. If you have any questions, use the hashtag. I will

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do my best to give you some answers. The 27 members of the EU who will be

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left once the UK Leeds have come together here in Slovakia with a

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number of goals. First, they want to send a message to the world that

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they are unified. Committed to the future of the EU. They wanted to

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save a listening to the citizens of the EU. If we drill in on the map,

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we can highlight where they have been meeting. At Bratislava Castle.

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On the south side is a huge press centre, from where I am speaking to

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you, and from where the press conferences been taking place. There

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was a hugely sibilant moment earlier. Every time the leaders come

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together, they do a family photo. This one was a bit different,

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because there were not 28 leaders in this photo, there were 27. Theresa

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May is not here. She and the UK were not invited. One of the big things

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that the EU wants to do today is to send a message about Brexit, and

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about the EU's plans. What was Kosovo is as an opportunity. He has

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said... Donald tells, the Prime Minister of Slovakia and Jean-Claude

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Yunker were giving a press conference just over there, let me

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play you some of what was said. Our procedures and rules described

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precisely in our treaty are to protect our interest, the 27

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countries, not a leaving country. This must be very clear. It is not

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against the UK. We are well prepared for the negotiations. We can stop

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procedures even tomorrow. -- start. But we have to respect the needs of

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our British colleagues. We made it clear since the beginning, the

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access to the internal market and the basis principles of the internal

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market, namely the one of freedom of movement of workers, we are sticking

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to that position, this is not a game between Prime Minister 's. This is

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about people in Europe. Let's talk to a couple of people who

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have been watching today closely. Donald Tusk also hinted that he may

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know the timing of these big O she Asians. He met with Theresa May last

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week in London. He revealed at the press conference that she said they

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would likely be ready to trigger the withdrawal process by January or

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February 2017. This is something that Theresa May has been

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noncommittal about publicly, so it is interesting that he would say she

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was open and honest and said it would likely happen in January or

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February. Wages are priced? Some people said we have got to get the

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French and German elections out of the way. We have got these huge

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milestones next year to get through. On the other hand, growing

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impatience from the other European countries to get going. How long can

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they continue? There was a strong message from Donald Tusk today, he

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said his job was to preserve the interests of the remaining 27, not

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Britain, to get the best deal for the 27, he has taken a tough line

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with London, he will not be pushed into discussing this until London

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works out what they want. You spoke about symbolism, the 27 flags of the

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EU, no union Jack. It is a striking symbol, with the absence of Britain,

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and a sense of the new reality for the EU. John Claude Junker said

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freedom of movement is not on the negotiating table, you have got to

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offer that if you want access to the single market. I have heard that

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from the EU, it will be tough to row back from that. Exactly, everybody

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says they will not compromise on what they want. There will be clear

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winners and losers, unless there is softer talk before they go into

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their rooms and stop negotiating. There will be mixed views from

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different states, some want a soft Brexit, as little Brexit as

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possible, including Germany, Angela Merkel wants to do the best deal

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with Britain, but others want to send a stronger message, France,

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Italy. They will have to see a consensus. Donald Tusk will have to

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take account of all of these different countries and what they

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believe should be the right relationship. Lots of viewers have

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said, what will happen to the border between the Republic of Ireland and

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Northern Ireland? I have not heard any detailed discussion of this at

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all. The Irish Taoiseach was here, he mentioned that. One of the themes

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was about securing the external border, and if Brexit happens, it

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will have a new external border in Northern Ireland. It is complex. A

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lot of political support to try and get some kind of solution, but

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experts would say it is a highly technical issue, and it rests on

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whether Britain leads the customs union or not. If it does, we could

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be looking at some kind of border being reconstructed. We will come

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back with you across the programme. If you have questions for our

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guests, use the hashtag. Brexit has been an issue, but it has not

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dominated this summit, it is a dominated this summit, it is a

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year it has been that there are year it has been that there are

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other issues demanding the attention of the EU's leaders. They surveyed

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their citizens, asking them what they cared about, these are some of

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the results. 19% said the economy as being one of their concerns. 39%

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listed terrorism. 48% listed the issue of immigration. You can argue

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the migrant crisis is the biggest single challenge. It is proving a

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challenge to find unified positions. I have highlighted four countries,

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Poland, the Czech Republic, Slovakia and Hungary. All of them have

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resisted the EU's quota system. The EU has already signed off the

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system, different countries take different amounts of migrants in,

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much of them are currently in Greece and Italy. These four say, you can

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tell us to do what you like, we will not take them in. The host of this

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summit, the Prime Minister of Slovakia, said, Slovakia will not

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accept one single Muslim migrant. Hungary will be holding a referendum

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on whether to take this quota of migrants. The Government is not

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sitting on the fence, these are some of the posters it spent millions of

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euros putting all over the country, arguing for a vote against. Did you

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know that Brussels want to settle a city of illegal immigrants in

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Hungary? Did you know that the Paris attacks were committed by

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immigrants? Some of you have used the BBC hashtag and getting me on

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Twitter. First, this question. What are they going to do? They have

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got a plan, but some of their members say they are not doing it.

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Hungary and Slovakia have brought the commission to court about this,

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that is how strongly they feel. The numbers are small, we have to

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remember, only the tip of the iceberg in the numbers that have to

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be re-settled. The other advantage, the EU/ Turkey deal has actually

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succeeded in a lot of ways. It has reduced the numbers of refugees. It

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has Dundee East you's work for it. The German Chancellor is quietly

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happy this was the right move to make and we may not see the same

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levels of immigration that we saw last year. If we were not aware of

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the political schism within the EU, this issue has brought it into

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everyone's view. It has become a story of North against the South,

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the Southfield they are being unprotected. And East against West,

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with the border with Turkey on the east, Bulgaria, they found that they

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would get 200 more border guards, which is a big victory for them,

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they share a border with Turkey, so it has become a matter of

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geopolitical priorities. The message from Donald Tusk was a show of

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unity, that is what the EU wanted to portray, so in the last two days he

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visited Warsaw, Budapest, to get these countries on board. Even

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during the week we saw John Claude Junker talk about imposing refugee

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quotas voluntarily, he is moving back a bit from his language from

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last year, an olive branch to some of the Eastern countries. Let's pull

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up a couple more. This is not quite as contentious as

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it might seem, it is an informal summit, a gathering of leaders, but

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they cannot adopt any formal policy for the EU without the UK being

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present. The UK will be present at more formal summit before it

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accepts, and the 28 will have to agree. But we should say the UK

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Government is not quibbling with the idea that the 27 countries it will

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leave behind have the right to meet and plot a future without the UK. It

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is not quite as controversial as it might seem.

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Not that many! If you went around this summit and said two people,

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would you accept it is a serious crisis for the EU, the vast majority

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would say yes, it is a crisis. If you ask the same group of people,

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you think the EU will disintegrate, and equally high majority would say

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no. Nobody can contemplate the idea of the EU not continuing, certainly

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not those in Government of the 27 member states that will be left. The

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comparison with the Titanic is limited. The intention is to make

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the EU work. Use the hashtag if you have any questions. We still have 15

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minutes on BBC News. A bit later, we will talk in detail about arguably

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the two most important countries, France and Germany, and their

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leaders, who are coming under increasing political pressure at

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home. Rescue teams have no idea how many

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people have died. We will give them whatever we have got.

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It looked as though they had come to fight a war, but their mission is to

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bring peace to East Timor, nowhere on earth needs it more badly.

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The Government's case has been presented by the justice minister.

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He has campaigned vigorously for abolition. Having once witnessed one

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of his clients being executed. She spent much of her time at this

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grotto, hundreds of pilgrimages are made here. It is expected this area

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will be inundated with tourists. The mayor and local businessmen regard

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the boom is yet another blessing of Saint Elizabeth.

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Welcome back. We are live in Bratislava. At the end of a day

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where we have seen an informal European summit. 27 country leaders

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have come together to offer unity and a vision of what the EU can

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become when Brexit occurs. The message from the EU is that when

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Duncan -- the negotiations start, they will be for the benefit of the

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EU, but the negotiations can start tomorrow if the UK is ready.

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One of the things which has been acknowledged by European leaders is

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the need for the EU to restate what it does for its member states and

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its citizens. The single biggest issue is finance, needs to make the

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case it improves the finances of its member countries and of all EU

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citizens. The problem is, all these years on from the global economic

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crisis, it is still struggling to get its economy back contract. I

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could have picked out any number of statistics. In Greece, youth

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unemployment remains over 50%. A lot of people have been talking about

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Portugal, if you look at it economic growth between the first quarter of

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last year and the first quarter of this year, it is 0.2%, well below

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what the EU would want and the Portuguese Government would want.

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The equivalent figure for Italy is not much better. 0.3%. That is

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creating huge pressures on those countries. To understand this

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better, I turn to some colleagues in the press centre.

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Given the fact I have 30 seconds, I will start from the debt. The

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Italian debt is the third worst in the world. To cut the debt, Italy

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needs to increase the GMP, but to increase that they need reforms. To

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do the reforms, they need stability from the political and institutional

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point of view. The task is quite big, but it can be done, because the

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deficit is under control and the economy is quite fair. The

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unemployed and freight is still high, as in other countries, but

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this is a major preoccupation, because you still have Portuguese

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people leaving the country and going to the UK, Belgium, France, to find

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better jobs and higher wages, because in Portugal the wages are

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not that high compared to other European countries. This must be a

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very important issue for the Government. The biggest economic

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challenge that Greece is facing the high unemployment, we have the

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highest in the EU, about 26%. It is a country that has been worn out of

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the recession, we have been about seven years in recession, the third

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programme that we are going through, the third time that we have borrowed

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money from our European partners, and people seem to be tired, they

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have paid so much taxes, many people have lost their jobs, and still they

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don't see the light at the end of the tunnel.

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The economy is preoccupying leaders, but so is the issue of security.

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Let's break that down into three elements. First, terrorism. The

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threat has been highlighted by recent attacks. We have had further

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commitments from member states are able better cooperate on issues of

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intelligence. The second point, the external borders. Fresh investment

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today in how those borders are patrolled, particular emphasis on

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the border between Bulgaria and Turkey. Then, the proposal for a new

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EU military headquarters. The military headquarters, how

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realistic is that? A lot of the proposals will be limited enough.

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The EU cannot just plough on with new big plans, it needs to be done

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within their treaties. Not all member states are in favour of this,

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six states are not members of Nato, they would be concerned, my own

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country included, Austria, about the EU increasing its capacity. But

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there is huge support from the bigger countries, France, Germany

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and Italy. John Claude Young cats talked about and EU army, officials

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say we are no -- nowhere near that, but Brexit has put the issue closer

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together, because the UK are posted. There was the idea of a European

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defence agency in the Lisbon Treaty and has not been used, but they are

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talking about creating one now. The Lisbon Treaty gives a lot of room

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for defence capabilities. A lot of the countries will try to exploit

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that as much as possible, because the UK has been the one to put the

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stop to that. In terms of the fresh moves on the border between Bulgaria

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and Turkey, some people will think the migrant crisis has gone on for

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well over a year, why is it only happening now? Officials have

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worried there is a specific problem emerging there. A lot of focus has

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been on Greece and coming through the sea, back in 2013 a lot of

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migrants came through Bulgaria, the Bulgarian Government have been

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strong on this, they have asked for more resources, and they have got

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that today. We will talk again in a couple of minutes. We are live in

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Bratislava at the end of a day when there has been an informal summit

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for the 27 members of the EU who will be left when the UK leads. A

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strong message from Donald Tusk, do not see Brexit is something specific

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to the UK that has no relevance to the rest of Europe. Look across the

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continent, you will see scepticism in lots of different forms, and it

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is to be taken seriously. Here is a tweet from one of you.

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This is a really important point. This is the map of France and

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Germany. The AFD is a party which pushed Angela Merkel's party into

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third place, and anti-emigration, anti-EU party. It is polling very

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well. 15%. In France, the front National has been a longer political

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force, polling at around 27%. There are major elections in Germany and

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France next year, it puts pressure on Angela Merkel and Francois

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Hollande. They were both holding a joint press conference, something

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they have not done at the end of an EU summit before, a couple of hours

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ago. Let me play you some of what they were saying.

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TRANSLATION: We agreed, all of us, now that we are in such a critical

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situation, after the referendum in Britain, but also in view of the

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other difficulties we have... TRANSLATION: The remaining 27 had to

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bring about some new perspectives to Europe. Europe must and can move

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forward, as long as Europe has clear priorities and as long as these

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priorities meet the expectations of the citizens. Security, protection

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and the future of our youth. I have mentioned through the

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programme that may be the number one priority was to offer a unified

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front to the rest of the world. They have done pretty well, but they have

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not quite managed it perfectly. The Italian Prime Minister has come out

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and commented about the press conference with Angela Merkel and

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from SWAT Lond. What is he referring to? He was

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hoping to speak more about flexibility in the budgets in the

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growth and stability Pact. Italy has huge amounts of debt, and they were

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hoping to hear more from the other leaders about making making

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exceptions for investments, about education, the other issue is that

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he felt they did not tackle migration and the way that he wanted

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them to, because he feels like people are honouring the Dublin

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Treaty and the migrants are coming to Sicily, he is being stuck with

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more migrants, and they are not being redistributed, and it feels

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like he cannot win either side. Graham asks, would it be better for

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the UK to wait until after the German and French elections, because

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they might have Government in place then who are more amicable in their

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approach to the negotiations? That is arguable, but the German

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Chancellor is one of the best friends Britain has got when it

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comes to negotiations. There is a new leader in Germany, things could

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be different. It might be better for Britain to get the negotiations

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started while she is still in power. I think Germany will play a key

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role, as it always does. It is all about domestic politics, the Italian

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Prime Minister has a referendum, he is playing to his domestic audience.

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The EU have tried to say, we are ready to set out proposals, but with

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these big issues in France and Germany, next year it will be hard

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for it to do that. The Italian but his entire career on the line, if he

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loses this referendum in a few months, he will not be at the table.

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A lot of the leaders may not be at the table in a year, so it is

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interesting, they need to come back winners or Ilott is on the line. Lee

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says, what is the chance of France or the Netherlands opting out of the

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EU? Very low, but then I thought the chances of being standing here in

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Bratislava witnessing an informal summit without the UK as a

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reasonably low, and here we are, so I have giving up making predictions.

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We are back in the studio next week, goodbye.

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The last few dregs of what was Typhoon Morandi are clearing the way

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from eastern

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