21/11/2017 Outside Source


21/11/2017

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LineFromTo

Hello, I'm Ros Atkins,

this is Outside Source on the day

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Robert Mugabe resigned.

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He's led Zimbabwe for 37 years -

but with parliament

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about to impeach him,

the President jumped

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before he was pushed.

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And joyous celebrations followed.

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They are dancing in the streets

of Harare tonight -

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releasing years of pent up

frustration at Mugabe's

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increasingly autocratic rule.

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This is the man likely to take over.

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Two weeks ago Emmerson Mnangagwa

was sacked as vice president.

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In the next 48 hours we expect him

to become President.

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Plus the long-time opposition leader

Morgan Tsvangirai tells the BBC

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what should happen to the man he's

fought for years.

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I think let him go and rest will

stop I do not feel any ill will.

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Robert Mugabe's

Presidency is history.

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As members of Zimbabwe's

parliament began debating

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whether to impeach the President -

the Speaker of Parliament

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interrupted - he had a letter

of resignation to read.

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I, Robert Mugabe, under the

Constitution of section one in

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Zimbabwe, tender my resignation as

the president of the Republic of

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Zimbabwe with immediate effect.

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Mr Mugabe's letter said his decision

was taken to allow a smooth

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transition of power -

and that it was voluntary.

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Voluntary's one word for it -

unavoidable is another.

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Mr Mugabe refused to resign

after last week's military takeover.

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He refused to resign after mass

protests at the weekend.

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He refused to resign

when he was sacked by his

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own party on Sunday.

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And he ignored a deadline

to go on Monday.

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He even called his normal cabinet

meeting for Tuesday.

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But there's nothing normal

about this Tuesday.

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The pressure told and his 37

years as President ended.

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And look at these pictures

from Harare as the news

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started to spread.

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This was inside the parliament.

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You can see people punching the air,

clapping and singing. Some people

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even started dancing.

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This was outside.

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People poured out onto the streets

to celebrate the departure of a man.

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And on streets all over

the city - and the country.

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People have been celebrating.

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The tanks are hugely significant, we

don't know if we would go to this

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point if they had not intervened

last week.

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Reuters news agency reports that

Mr Emmerson Mnangagwa -

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the former and briefly exiled

vice-president - will be sworn

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in as president on either

Wednesday or Thursday,

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They say he will serve

until the next election

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due by September 2018.

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Let's be clear - Robert Mugabe

has his supporters in Zimbabwe -

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and across Africa.

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Here's one of his party's MPs.

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It came as a surprise, but it was

also quite sudden. What was

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interesting that when the letter was

read out, only half of the house was

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actually celebrating. Almost every

Zanu-PF MP was actually in tears. A

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lot of people were crying. We still

love our leader and we did not want

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our leader to go out this way

because it felt like things could

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have been done in a much better way.

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Ben Brown has been covering this

story all day. Then, is the party

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still going?

It is still going! I

think it will be going on all night.

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Let's just paint a quick picture of

where we are. He can see lots of

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people singing and dancing and they

had pain been since that

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announcement. -- they have been.

This was a day they never thought

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they would see. Let's just talk to

one of the crowd. What is your

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reaction? How do you feel about the

news that Robert Mugabe has

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resigned?

To be honest with you we

are too excited. I think we should

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only get excited with the answer to

change. Yes, he has resigned, but

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INAUDIBLE

May they not be selfish so that we

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as Zimbabweans can get a better

economy, social and economic change.

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Can we change together?

URL happy

man?

I am very happy. In fact all

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the days of my life I have been

waiting for this day. It helps us to

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keep Zimbabwe precious and I think

we are the best.

Thank you. What an

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incredible day here in Harare. An

incredible moment in Zimbabwean

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history. After 37 years, no one

thought Robert Mugabe would just

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resign. He was under intensifying

pressure ever since that military

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takeover. He was under pressure from

the Army. He was under pressure from

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his own political party. Zanu-PF.

And he was under pressure from the

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people here. But it was only when

those impeachment proceedings began

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in the parliament behind me that he

finally decided to throw in the

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towel, give up and resign. Back to

you in the studio.

Thank you.

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Hundreds and hundreds of people

still out on the streets. Let's

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consider what has happened. Nancy

Kacungira is the presenter of focus

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in Africa. It has been a curious

affair. A coup d'etat that wasn't

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quite a coup d'etat. A political

compulsion of a president but not

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his party. What you make of it?

Cheery as is the word and already

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there are suggested movie post is

going around to this saga. Because

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it does play out like a movie. This

is a reign of 37 years that has

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unfolded in two weeks. This all

started when Emmerson Mnangagwa was

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fired as vice president and that was

that when we got the first wind that

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something was afoot. A warning was

sent to President Mugabe that he was

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going down the wrong path. Of

course, now we know that this can

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all be down to the move Grace Mugabe

was making to become his successor.

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That is when things began to

unravel. Even when the military

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stepped in, they were very

categorical saying this is not a

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two-day car, we're asking him to do

the right thing and step aside. --

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coup d'etat. And he does not resign.

He actually says he will have a

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cabinet meeting to address some of

the things that have been brought to

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his attention. So, it has not

unfolded in the way anyone expected.

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Many thought that he would only

leave when he died.

Had we

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understand that a man who is an all

these years building a power

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structures suddenly looked around

and found it wasn't there any more?

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There are different theories about

that. One is the power structure

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that held in place in the first

place and they only removed him

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because it wasn't suitable for them

any more to continue having him in

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power. That is one theory. But the

other theory is that no one saw this

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coming. That the military didn't

intend to stage a coup, they just

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intended to stage a warning.

Really?

Like I say, is just a theory that is

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out there. But no one is really

quite sure how we got to this point.

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But a lot of people are happy that

it got to this point and that

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changes come to Zimbabwe.

What do

the other African nations in the

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African union make of all this?

After all, it is not the most

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obvious of democratic transitions.

I'm willing to bet my socks, and I'm

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not wearing any! Every group in

Africa is talking about this in some

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shape or form. There are some in

Uganda and Kenya, all over the

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place, everyone is talking about

this. In so many dimensions, this is

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historic. People are drawing

comparisons with their own countries

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and I am leaders. Lessons are being

drawn about the trajectory that the

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continent is taking. Coming on the

heels of so many long serving

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leaders in one way or another

leading power, many people feel that

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a wave of change, is maybe not

sweeping across the continent, but

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at least lapping on the shores.

Nettie, stay with us. -- Nancy. Send

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questions our way and she will help

as answer them.

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So what happens now?

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The political crisis was sparked

by the sacking of this man -

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Vice President Emmerson Mnangagwa.

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He fled the country -

but he's now expected

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to become President -

perhaps as soon as tomorrow.

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He knows plenty about

the man he's replacing.

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He was once Mr Mugabe's bodyguard.

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He's also served

as security minister.

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Here are some Zimbabweans

on the prospect of him taking over.

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At the moment we are not worried, as

long as it is not Mugabe. We will

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see what is to come for us. We are

going to vote next year, we want

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elections. From there we will choose

what we want. Mugabe is gone

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forever.

We are free, great kudos to

General Chiwenga. These are great

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people that did a great job to see

and make sure that he went.

We have

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to ensure that from this day forward

we will push the democratisation

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agenda. We will push our

Constitution and it will be amended

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so that those superpowers that the

president has in the constitution

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will be limited. That is what we

need going forward. We need a leader

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not a ruler.

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There are concerns

about what will follow.

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The British satirical show

Have I Got News For You makes

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a point many have raised.

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A Tweet from @haveigotnews

"President Mugabe resigns in order

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to finally clear the way

for a new era of corruption

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and vicious power struggles."

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And this is from the South

African online news site

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the Daily Maverick -

"Beware crocodile Mnangagwa -

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Zanu-PF is not renewing,

it is a snake shedding

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its old skin."

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Also, worth noting that

Mr Mnangagwa played

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a controversial role

as the country's spy

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master during the internal

conflict of the 1980s.

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He's accused of being responsible

for the deaths of thousands

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of civilians in a part of Zimbabwe

called Matabeleland -

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that's a claim he's always denied.

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The point is we can't say this guy

is a clean break.

Know we can't. He

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has been at his side since the

beginning. He is been a minister

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since the 1980s in some shape or

form. Some of the things he is

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accused of doing, asides

Matabeleland, is being very involved

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in reading elections in favour of

Mugabe. This is the kind of

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chequered history that people are

very concerned about.

Helping

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understand why no one seems to be

focusing on the fact that he is

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about to become president and that

potentially could not be the

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euphoric moment that Zimbabweans

Mark?

As one of the Zimbabwean

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journalists followed treated, he

said give us a break and give us a

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moment, let us just enjoy this

moment that many of us thought we

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would never see. Mugabe is famously

known for saying that only divine

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intervention will remove him from

power. That is he would only leave

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when he died will stop it turned out

that it was military intervention

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and a lot of people are processing

that still. They never thought this

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moment would come. So they are

enjoying that before they think

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about what is next.

I guess the fact

that there are already elections

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scheduled for September next year

helps, because it is not too long

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until everyone gets a say in what is

happening.

There is an end in sight.

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A lot of people are happy to say we

will take Emmerson Mnangagwa until

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we can get stability and an

election, hopefully a free, fair and

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democratic election in 2018. That is

what people are hoping for. They

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hope will be enough pressure on

Emmerson Mnangagwa to not be Robert

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Mugabe.

Thank you. Nancy presents

Focus On Africa. In a few minutes we

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will turn away from Zimbabwe because

we will hear about the Syrian leader

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visit to Vladimir Putin and how

those efforts are close to be done.

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We will look at that.

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Northern Ireland's border is being

used as a bargaining chip in the

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Brexit negotiations according to the

leader of the DUP, Arlene Foster.

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She has accused Ireland and the rest

of the EU are being callous and that

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this -- careless and reckless. She

says she is ready to move the talks

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forward.

I am accusing them of being

reckless, because if you listen to

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some of the rhetoric, nobody

understands negotiations probably

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better than I. People come out and

try and push agendas forward and we

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do recognise that we are a critical

phase because I certainly want to

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see the negotiations moved to the

second phase so that we can talk

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about those issues of trade and the

issues that will make a difference

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in relation to the border between

Northern Ireland and the Republic of

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Ireland. It is almost a false battle

because the detail will come about

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when we're talking about the trade

issues.

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This is Outside Source live

from the BBC newsroom.

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Our lead story is...

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He's led Zimbabwe for 37 years -

but with parliament

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about to impeach him,

the Robert Mugabe jumped

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before he was pushed.

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Moving away from Zimbabwe. Vladimir

Putin and Assad has had a meeting.

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It is the first time they have seen

each other since 2015 and a lot of

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happened since then. In particular,

Russia's military intervention in

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Syria on the heart of the Syrian

Government. Mr Putin says he does

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want a political solution to the

war. He is also talking about

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Russia's main mission being almost

accomplished. Heels are added,

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things to the Russian army, Syria

has been saved as a state. Not

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everyone would agree with that

analysis. Assad spent four hours on

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Russian soil and this image has been

widely shared of them sharing and

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embrace. Vladimir Putin almost

looking eternal as he holds

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President Assad. To analyse this we

have ten to two Outside Source

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regulars.

Unfortunately we don't

know what is happening in Vladimir

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Putin's head. That is the skill that

is needed and wanted by many people

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around the world. Russia, and

especially Cuban want to show

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Russian progress in Syria. --

Vladimir Putin. Many analysts say he

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wants to finish this campaign before

the next presidential elections in

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March next year.

And also to remind

Assad how crucial he is to the

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Syrian government.

Judging by the

photo we have all seen, Assad knows

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how much he owes Vladimir Putin. It

is what they discussed on ricin

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social media as well in other

countries. -- Russian. No one on the

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official Syrian side disputes the

role that Russia has played in that

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conflict.

Sebastian, Russia has

undoubtedly change the situation in

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Syria. Would you agree with the

analysis that it is safe the Syrian

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state? Your

not as the conflict

started, as it mutated and went on

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and became essentially a series of

battlefields without a clear plan or

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structure from the opposition rebel

side. When Islamic State entered. It

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almost follow the lines that

President Assad said right at the

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start, that without him, terrorism

will come in. There are also the

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reason why that happened. President

Assad himself with instrument when

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that, quite possibly. What the

Russians did saved him. It prevented

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the other outcome which might have

been that the rebels would have

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defeated him or at least have enough

of a territory to put him in a very

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difficult position. That has been

changed. That narrative essentially

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has proved to be true but it is

truth in a way that has been

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manipulated to be true. But you

can't say it now, the US, France,

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the Western world are very much

onlookers in the way Russia has

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mulled this, the Iranians have more

than this. -- moulded this.

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President Assad has shown how

beholden he is to President Putin.

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He doesn't look as though she is

going anywhere. Will the US and

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France still be demanding that he

does not continue.

If Russia were to

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draw back Sebastian, that would

leave President Assad with some

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significant enemies within Syria.

His problem in military terms has

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aways been that his army is not

strong enough. Not strong enough to

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hold onto the places he took. Now,

there is not a strong enough

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opposition against him, not strong

enough rebel groups to challenge.

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There are areas the south of the

country where there are attempts,

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through the Russians, there is a

summit for example which is

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happening tomorrow. President Putin

with the Turkish and Iranians

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attending it and they can discuss

these deconstruction zones to stop

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fighting in each area. That would

dent allow the Russians... -- D you

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have occurred, what will happen to

them? Backed by the US, will they

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pull back of a league Syrian

government go after them.

The

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Russians had to fight for once

again, so the Syrian army is

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definitely entirely motivated.

It is

not strong enough, but it Islamic

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state has no ability to hold onto

towns and villages in the country,

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they are not able to challenge the

Syrian Government in that way, it

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was only really Islamic State that

could mount a challenge to the

0:20:260:20:31

Syrian government troops. And their

allies.

Back to the resignation of

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Zimbabwe leader. This article runs

down the arguments are him being a

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hero or villain. If you take the

later view, one of the things set me

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that he is blamed for is ruining

them but I's economy. This is a

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tweet from the Financial Times...

Let's look at some of those grass

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from the Financial Times. This one

interesting, it shows the GDP per

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capita of a lot of African countries

and then the same countries in 2016.

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The obvious example that jumps out

here is Zimbabwe. Look at the

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figures from 1997 and look at the

degree to which the economy has

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shrunk in those intervening years.

We also have a lot of statistics to

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tell you. In 2011, 20 1% of people

were estimated to be living in

0:21:320:21:39

extreme poverty, less than $2 a day.

47% were living on less than $3 a

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day. And on and on the statistics

go. They are from the World Bank by

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the way. Also, Zimbabwe's biggest

trade union said that unemployment

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is around 90%. This is the view of

one economist today who says that

0:21:560:22:01

Zimbabwe is running out of the money

it needs to pay its debts.

As we

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speak, the Zimbabwean economy only

has less than one month of import

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cover for international reserves.

The international benchmark is 3-4

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months of import cover, bit of the

severe liquidity crisis that has

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faced the economy, it is up to the

point that there is virtually no

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money to support the payment coming

in. You have had people who

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ordinarily would have transacted

business stepping back a little bit

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because they are just not too sure

when they will get paid and they are

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not too sure if they will get paid

at all and they can take the money

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outside of the economy.

Nancy is

still here. Robert Mugabe and his

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colleagues would say part of these

problems would be down to how we

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were treated by the international

community.

That is one big argument

0:22:570:22:59

of theirs. That, if everybody had

not abandoned us, if sanctions were

0:22:590:23:06

not imposed, if we were able to

trade freely and continue to do

0:23:060:23:09

business, we would not have these

problems without currency, with

0:23:090:23:14

unemployment, with being able to

export and trade. Again, this is

0:23:140:23:20

what they used to lend credence to

their actions in terms of giving

0:23:200:23:24

land back to the people, the way

they put it. And taking back the

0:23:240:23:29

country, so to speak. In that way,

they can make arguments that their

0:23:290:23:35

economic performance has been linked

to the way they have been sanctioned

0:23:350:23:38

against.

Whatever the rights and

wrongs of what has happened, to be

0:23:380:23:43

blunt about the future, they'll be

some countries and companies that

0:23:430:23:47

see today as part of a big economic

opportunity.

That is absolutely

0:23:470:23:52

true. Already we have seen

Government saying that we are

0:23:520:23:55

willing to support Zimbabwe and work

with a new Zimbabwe. This is when

0:23:550:23:58

the rubber hits the road, because

we'll will start to see in the

0:23:580:24:04

coming days, weeks, months and years

how much of this is a systemic

0:24:040:24:07

problem. People on the street are

saying now I can get a job and have

0:24:070:24:11

an opportunity. But it will take

more than getting rid of President

0:24:110:24:14

Mugabe to fix a system that might be

completely broken all very broken.

0:24:140:24:20

It will be up to the next leader to

fulfil those very high expectations

0:24:200:24:25

on the street with this very

realistic world that deals with hard

0:24:250:24:30

currency that Zimbabwe does not have

enough of.

Lest we forget that

0:24:300:24:35

Robert Mugabe's party remains in

power, it has a president and

0:24:350:24:39

majority in the lower and upper

house. It has tried to put distance

0:24:390:24:44

between itself and Mr Mugabe. But in

reality, how much was Mr Mugabe

0:24:440:24:48

dictating what Zanu-PF stood for?

This is the very question. He

0:24:480:24:57

perhaps the situation in the last

two days might tell us about that.

0:24:570:25:01

The economic situation is not new to

Zimbabwe. We have been talking about

0:25:010:25:05

this a very long time. In 2008

hyperinflation hit... It did not

0:25:050:25:12

make Zanu-PF say wait a minute, we

need to disarming about this. Many

0:25:120:25:18

said though that they could not take

Grace Mugabe is the successor. That

0:25:180:25:22

will give a lot of people pause to

think, is this going to be a change

0:25:220:25:26

or is this just about a palace coup?

IV factions in Zanu-PF now fighting

0:25:260:25:32

against each other only to continue

the same system. It is a sobering

0:25:320:25:39

thought but a thought in many minds

as the celebrations go one.

It has

0:25:390:25:42

been quite a day.

Yes it has.

Remember, much more information on

0:25:420:25:51

Zimbabwe coming up in the second

half of Outside Source, and on the

0:25:510:25:57

BBC news app, I will be back in a

few minutes time.

0:25:570:26:01

It is time we updated you on a

number of stories from right across

0:26:110:26:17

the world, and we will start off in

Canada and the USA. Two areas of low

0:26:170:26:21

pressure will provide different

conditions over the next few days.

0:26:210:26:24

One in the west, wet and mild, and

one of the Hudson Bay, something its

0:26:240:26:29

way towards eastern Canada will

eventually produce a real taste of

0:26:290:26:32

winter. But in the short-term,

Wednesday again looks to be another

0:26:320:26:36

wet and windy affair for the western

side of Canada and the Pacific

0:26:360:26:40

Northwest of the USA. Several

hundred millimetres of rain could

0:26:400:26:43

fall here before this event

0:26:430:26:55

goes away it will be around for one

or two days yet. It is a radical

0:26:560:26:59

ahead of that low pressure on the

eastern side of Canada as the cold

0:26:590:27:02

air comes down. There will be some

lake effect snow and we will keep a

0:27:020:27:05

close eye on that. After a quiet

start to the week in Florida it

0:27:050:27:08

could end on a wet night. Also in

South America, but across this

0:27:080:27:10

diagonal to the western side of

Colombia, and again anywhere along

0:27:100:27:12

that route could see 50-100

millimetres of rain falling in 24

0:27:120:27:15

hours. No problems across the New

Zealand, high-pressure selling

0:27:150:27:20

things of the rest of the week, one

of two showers around. There will be

0:27:200:27:23

showers from the start of the Test

match, England versus Australia, the

0:27:230:27:27

start of the Ashes in Brisbane could

be affected by the showers. We have

0:27:270:27:32

already seen more than showers

across Indonesia. There is an

0:27:320:27:36

enhancement of this monsoon that has

caused real issues. The frontal

0:27:360:27:40

system has worked through Japan by

Thursday, letting in cold air which

0:27:400:27:45

is already there across the Korean

peninsula and widely across China.

0:27:450:27:49

These temperatures, many should be

several degrees higher. Rain has

0:27:490:27:54

been a real issue across south-east

Asia since the weekend. 200

0:27:540:27:58

millimetres falling on Vietnamese

coast and widely through Malaysia

0:27:580:28:02

down towards Singapore, we're

expecting more rain to come after a

0:28:020:28:05

bright spell. Some of that came from

near India. It moved through

0:28:050:28:14

south-east Asia across the Bay

bangle and maybe become another

0:28:140:28:17

storm. We will keep you posted on

that. By our eyes those temperatures

0:28:170:28:22

look higher, but the north-western

corner of India and across the board

0:28:220:28:26

into Pakistan is on the cold side

for the time of year both by day and

0:28:260:28:30

night. We are about to see a drop in

temperatures across the northern

0:28:300:28:33

areas of the Middle East. These

northerly winds will follow one

0:28:330:28:39

behind this feature in the Gulf that

will put a dent in these

0:28:390:28:43

temperatures, quite widely across

the north of the Middle East. No

0:28:430:28:45

such problems in the short term here

in the British Isles for most of us.

0:28:450:28:49

We picking up our hair way down in

the Atlantic, mild and moist to say

0:28:490:28:54

the very least. -- air. More on that

in just a few minutes.

0:28:540:29:01

Hello, I'm Ros Atkins,

this is Outside Source,

0:30:120:30:13

on the day Robert Mugabe resigned.

0:30:130:30:16

He's led Zimbabwe for 37 years -

but with parliament

0:30:160:30:19

about to impeach him,

the President jumped

0:30:190:30:21

before he was pushed.

0:30:210:30:23

And celebrations followed.

0:30:230:30:27

They are dancing in the streets

of Harare tonight -

0:30:330:30:38

releasing years of pent up

frustration at Mugabe's

0:30:380:30:40

increasingly autocratic rule.

0:30:400:30:41

This is the man likely to take over.

0:30:410:30:45

Two weeks ago Emmerson Mnangagwa

was sacked as vice president.

0:30:450:30:47

In the next 48 hours we expect him

to become President.

0:30:470:30:51

Plus the long-time opposition leader

Morgan Tsvangirai tells the BBC

0:30:510:30:53

what should happen to the man he's

fought for years.

0:30:530:31:03

I don't have any ill will at all.

0:31:030:31:07

Lots of reaction to

this as you'd imagine.

0:31:210:31:29

The UK Prime Minister Theresa May

released this statement.

0:31:290:31:32

And this is British

Foreign Minister.

0:31:500:31:52

Of course, we have to wait and see

exactly how this unfolds.

0:31:520:31:55

But at first sight, this is a moment

of hope for Zimbabwe.

0:31:550:31:59

For 37 years, they have

been languishing under

0:31:590:32:01

the rules of a despot who has

impoverished their country.

0:32:010:32:04

What we hope now is that this

will be a turning point,

0:32:040:32:08

a moment when they can go forwards

to free, fair, democratic

0:32:080:32:13

elections next year,

and that is what we will be

0:32:130:32:16

encouraging, together

with the rest of our friends

0:32:160:32:18

and partners in the region.

0:32:180:32:23

That was the foreign

minister of Britain -

0:32:230:32:27

Britain has a long history with

Zimbabwe, it was the colonial power.

0:32:270:32:32

In terms of the country investing at

the moment, it is China.

0:32:320:32:37

Here's the analysis of an expert

from the Chatham House think tank

0:32:370:32:40

on how events are being seen

in Beijing and how the two

0:32:400:32:43

nations became so closely

linked in the first place.

0:32:430:32:45

It comes from the liberation war for

the independence of Zimbabwe from

0:32:450:32:53

Rhodesia. Zanu-PF, the party of Mr

Mugabe tried to cosy up with the

0:32:530:32:58

Soviets at the tail end of the Cold

War, but they weren't interested so

0:32:580:33:03

in 1979 they went to China, who

supported the gorilla warfare of

0:33:030:33:08

Mugabe's rebels.

Why did China do

that?

There was Cold War wive

0:33:080:33:14

already with the Soviets too -- wive

already. -- rivalry.

It was

0:33:140:33:25

initially about ideology and mature

progress but as the years went by it

0:33:250:33:29

became more about the economy.

It's

not about ideology at all now. A

0:33:290:33:36

little bit about why worry with the

West because the European Union and

0:33:360:33:43

the West imposed sanctions on

Zimbabwe so the Chinese in response

0:33:430:33:46

stepped up their engagement with Mr

Mugabe -- a little bit about

0:33:460:33:54

rivalry. It is about a fundamentally

and the extraction of natural

0:33:540:33:59

resources. The main export of

Zimbabwe is tobacco but also

0:33:590:34:06

diamonds and there is a mining

industry in Zimbabwe, platinum and

0:34:060:34:10

other things which I think in the

long term the Chinese will be

0:34:100:34:15

interested in.

Is it part of China's

wider plan to expand its influence

0:34:150:34:20

in China?

Yes, it's part of that but

that's not overestimate the

0:34:200:34:25

importance of Zimbabwe for China. It

isn't like Angola, the second or

0:34:250:34:31

third largest source of oil, it

isn't like others, it isn't a

0:34:310:34:38

strategic country for China and I

think some of the reporting has been

0:34:380:34:42

misplaced in making it seem so.

Will

it be poring over every detail of

0:34:420:34:47

what happens after Mr Mugabe or will

China be relaxed?

Not at all, there

0:34:470:34:53

has been a convergence of what the

British and Chinese government wants

0:34:530:34:57

in Zimbabwe, the rule of law,

stability, enabling business

0:34:570:35:05

environment for investment.

Diversions would be the government

0:35:050:35:07

and human rights but the rule of law

and predictability of institutions

0:35:070:35:12

is common ground for both, both want

to see commercial progress which is

0:35:120:35:17

what the people within Zanu-PF want

too. They want progress, the economy

0:35:170:35:24

is in an appalling situation and

drastic measures need to be taken,

0:35:240:35:28

hence the pressure for Mugabe to

leave.

There is a sense that the

0:35:280:35:34

Chinese are making more progress

than the Americans in expanding

0:35:340:35:37

their influence in Africa, is that

accurate?

Over the last 15 years the

0:35:370:35:42

Chinese have significantly scaled

up. There are between one and two

0:35:420:35:47

Chinese on the continent, a

significant number and over the last

0:35:470:35:55

6-8 months, the Chinese have

increased their military footprint

0:35:550:35:57

including significantly at the end

of last year they are opening a

0:35:570:36:01

military base in the Horn of Africa

in Djibouti. The base is now open.

0:36:010:36:07

Who would have imagined a couple of

years ago they would have that? Now

0:36:070:36:11

they do.

0:36:110:36:13

A number of Zimbabweans contacting

us, one watching on BBC News assay

0:36:130:36:19

that the majority of Zimbabweans do

not like China. We can't say that is

0:36:190:36:23

a scientific assessment of public

opinion but there is evidence that

0:36:230:36:27

many Zimbabweans have reservations

about how close the Chinese got to

0:36:270:36:31

the Mugabe government. There is a

tweet about the issue of sanctions.

0:36:310:36:38

Before that, a statement from the US

Embassy in Harare.

0:36:380:36:48

"The path

0:36:480:36:50

forward must lead to free,

fair, and inclusive elections,

0:36:500:36:53

in which the people of Zimbabwe

choose their own leaders".

0:36:530:36:56

Barbara Plett Usher

is our correspondent

0:36:560:36:57

in the State Department.

0:36:570:37:02

Forgive me for being bland, but I

wonder how interested the State

0:37:020:37:05

Department is in Zimbabwe -- for

being blunt.

I spoke to officials

0:37:050:37:11

from the African Department and they

were very interested, quite excited

0:37:110:37:15

actually, saying that we must seize

the opportunity. For those who have

0:37:150:37:19

been watching Africa for years, we

think wow we must move forward

0:37:190:37:24

otherwise the historic opportunity

will be lost. You had statements

0:37:240:37:29

from the Secretary of State talking

about an historic opportunity,

0:37:290:37:33

saying whatever the short-term

arrangements, they want this to be

0:37:330:37:37

changed and a transition to

democracy, so there must be

0:37:370:37:40

political and economic reform. Not

just manipulation by Zanu-PF and a

0:37:400:37:45

rush to elections but a proper

process over the long-term. It is

0:37:450:37:52

not the main focus of the state

Department or policy as we've seen

0:37:520:37:56

over the last years but there is a

strong African contingent looking at

0:37:560:38:01

it with great interest and hoping it

will be a door opening to real

0:38:010:38:04

change.

This question has come in

from a Zimbabwean watching on the

0:38:040:38:11

BBC News Channel, asking what

reforms the West will be interested

0:38:110:38:13

in seeing before they lift the

sanctions? Can you help on that one?

0:38:130:38:20

They say that to lift the sanctions

there must be a free and fair

0:38:200:38:26

election, freedom of expression,

face for people to exercise

0:38:260:38:28

political freedoms and various

points of respect for human rights,

0:38:280:38:34

rolling back on those violations.

They are the kind of things they are

0:38:340:38:38

looking for in order to lift the

sanctions. It must be said that the

0:38:380:38:42

US gives a fair amount of money to

Zimbabwe anyway in humanitarian aid,

0:38:420:38:48

$220 million a year, but that is

given to NGOs and community groups.

0:38:480:38:54

Officials say that if they could

have government to government

0:38:540:38:57

relations, they could make a big

difference because they could get

0:38:570:38:59

involved in education and helping to

train young Zimbabweans for the job

0:38:590:39:03

market. That involves government to

government interactions which aren't

0:39:030:39:11

possible when the sanctions are in

place.

If the Americans were minded

0:39:110:39:18

to change their policy, how quickly

could they move on their position on

0:39:180:39:22

Zimbabwe?

It would have to be with

regards to what happens on the

0:39:220:39:28

ground politically. I don't think

they would move before the election,

0:39:280:39:33

they would want to see what kind of

government was in place and whether

0:39:330:39:37

it met their standards.

Thank you

for joining us. Elections are

0:39:370:39:47

scheduled for 2018. A lot of

coverage of the resignation.

0:39:470:39:56

There is full coverage

on the latest

0:39:560:39:58

developments in Zimbabwe.

0:39:580:39:59

Just head to bbc.com/news.

0:39:590:40:00

There is a plethora of analysis.

0:40:000:40:07

Through his 37 years in power Robert

Mugabe was accused of human rights

0:40:070:40:11

abuses and oppression. In 2001, the

human rights activist Peter Tatchell

0:40:110:40:19

attempted a citizens arrest of Mr

Mugabe. He did that when he was

0:40:190:40:27

visiting Brussels. This is what

happened.

You are under arrest on

0:40:270:40:33

charges of torture and the United

Nations Convention against torture.

0:40:330:40:39

Peter Tatchell is with us here on

Outside Source. Only a short clip,

0:40:390:40:43

what happened after that?

I was

beaten unconscious by President

0:40:430:40:47

Mugabe's bodyguards which I think

exemplifies the brutality of his

0:40:470:40:52

regime. His bodyguards did that to

me in broad daylight in the heart of

0:40:520:40:58

the European capital city in front

of the world's media. Everyone said

0:40:580:41:02

to themselves, if he does that in

those circumstances, imagine what

0:41:020:41:06

he's doing to his own people when no

one is watching?

What were the

0:41:060:41:11

consequences in terms of the

countries hosting Mr Mugabe

0:41:110:41:13

reacting?

Neither the British nor

the Belgian governments were willing

0:41:130:41:18

to take any action against Mugabe's

agents. They claimed diplomatic

0:41:180:41:23

immunity and that was accepted. I'm

left with permanent brain and eye

0:41:230:41:29

damage. Nothing major but of course

thousands and thousands of

0:41:290:41:34

Zimbabweans have been murdered by

his regime. Political prisoners were

0:41:340:41:40

tortured and subjected to mass rape

of male and female political

0:41:400:41:46

prisoners and of course many were

assassinated and killed

0:41:460:41:48

extrajudicially. The price for

Zimbabweans has been far greater

0:41:480:41:54

than anybody like me has ever Indian

word.

Do you feel like your activism

0:41:540:41:59

and the activism of others was a

success? His fall appears in the

0:41:590:42:05

short-term to have from internal

pressure.

That's right, when I had

0:42:050:42:10

him under arrest in London in 1999,

when I ambushed his motorcade, we

0:42:100:42:16

had all the legal papers for his

arrest and prosecution under charges

0:42:160:42:20

of torture, specifically the torture

of two Black journalists in Harare.

0:42:200:42:27

Sadly the British Foreign Minister

and Attorney General agreed to allow

0:42:270:42:31

Mugabe to go free. That was a

shocking thing to do. If he'd been

0:42:310:42:37

arrested and put on trial and

convicted in 1999, much of the

0:42:370:42:42

terror that followed may not have

happened.

You would have been a rare

0:42:420:42:48

when trying to arrest him that if

any British government allowed a

0:42:480:42:53

citizen to arrest a leader it would

have set a precedent that wouldn't

0:42:530:42:55

be popular -- would have been aware.

Under British law, a private citizen

0:42:550:43:01

has the legal right to arrest

someone if they have evidence

0:43:010:43:03

they've committed a crime. Of course

I handed over President Mugabe to

0:43:030:43:08

the British police. We were

arrested, myself and my colleagues

0:43:080:43:13

and President McGarvey was given a

police escort to go Christmas

0:43:130:43:16

shopping at Harrods. -- President

Mugabe.

You've been campaigning for

0:43:160:43:21

a long time, what are your emotions?

I feel the joy of Zimbabweans,

0:43:210:43:28

having supported them for over 30

years in this trouble for democracy.

0:43:280:43:32

But I'm very uncertain about the

future. We don't know who's going to

0:43:320:43:37

replace Mugabe. We know who will

probably do it. All of these Zanu-PF

0:43:370:43:46

leaders, almost all of them have

been implicated in the corruption

0:43:460:43:50

and human rights abuses of the

Mugabe regime. There is a fear that

0:43:500:43:55

this could be the continuation of

the regime under a different leader.

0:43:550:44:00

I hope that's not the case but

that's certainly a possibility and a

0:44:000:44:04

fear. As everyone is saying, as

Zimbabweans are saying, the true

0:44:040:44:09

test will be free and fair

elections. Having said that, also

0:44:090:44:14

today I feel joy and sorrow because

I remember the thousands and

0:44:140:44:19

thousands of Zimbabweans murdered by

his regime, thousands. I was

0:44:190:44:24

campaign against the white minority

regime in Rhodesia, I supported the

0:44:240:44:29

struggle against South African

apartheid but Robert Mugabe killed

0:44:290:44:32

more black Africans and even the

evil apartheid regime and that is a

0:44:320:44:40

damning indictment of his regime.

That will be one of his most

0:44:400:44:43

shameful legacy is.

Thank you for

joining us.

0:44:430:44:54

Back in 2008, the opposition leader

Morgan Tsvangirai won more votes

0:44:540:44:56

than Robert Mugabe in the first

round of the presidential election.

0:44:560:44:59

In fact, his party claimed he'd got

the 50% of votes that

0:44:590:45:02

would have secured victory.

0:45:020:45:04

But the result was disputed,

a second round was called,

0:45:040:45:06

and Mr Tsvangirai pulled out

after violence

0:45:060:45:08

against his supporters.

0:45:080:45:16

He didn't become president.

0:45:160:45:18

Mr Tsvangirai has continued

as a vocal critic of Robert Mugabe.

0:45:180:45:20

Here he is talking to Emily Maitlis

for the BBC's Newsnight.

0:45:200:45:24

One would definitely hope that it

opens a new trajectory for the

0:45:240:45:28

country. Other than the perpetuation

of the Mugabe culture. I hope that

0:45:280:45:37

the next leadership during the

transition will set a new trajectory

0:45:370:45:43

where people are respected and that

the rule of law is restored and

0:45:430:45:50

that...

Have you spoken yet to the

vice president Jemerson Mnangagwa

0:45:500:45:56

and will you endorse him as

president -- Emmerson.

I haven't

0:45:560:46:02

spoken to him yet but I hope that if

we are to correct the past, the

0:46:020:46:16

principles, myself and him and

others must sit down.

0:46:160:46:24

Back in 2007, Morgan Tsvangirai

was arrested and beaten

0:46:240:46:26

on his way to a prayer rally.

0:46:260:46:27

This is him in hospital in Harare.

0:46:270:46:29

The matter drew

worldwide commendation.

0:46:290:46:31

For this and many other

things you might expect

0:46:310:46:33

hostility towards Mugabe.

0:46:330:46:34

But here is Mr Tsvangirai

on what should happen

0:46:340:46:36

to the departing president.

0:46:360:46:39

A futile exercise.

0:46:390:46:41

I think, let him go

and rest in his last days.

0:46:410:46:44

So you bear him no ill will?

0:46:440:46:49

No, I don't bear him

any ill will at all.

0:46:490:46:53

My call for him has always been,

why don't you take a dignified exit?

0:46:530:47:03

That's what the Zimbabweans have

been pressurising.

0:47:040:47:07

And will you stand in

the elections in August 2018?

0:47:070:47:09

Do you want to be

Zimbabwe's next president?

0:47:090:47:13

Well, it is too early

to tell, but definitely,

0:47:130:47:17

my party will decide,

and my alliance partners

0:47:170:47:18

will decide whether I will be

a candidate or not.

0:47:180:47:28

Robert Mugabe was in power for 37

years.

0:47:280:47:35

Andrew Harding looks back at his

political career.

0:47:350:47:42

He could have left power a hero,

instead he made the classic mistake

0:47:420:47:45

and overstayed his welcome,

many would say by decades.

0:47:450:47:47

There was a deceptive

calm in Salisbury...

0:47:470:47:49

Robert Mugabe had grown up

in a world of white privilege

0:47:490:47:52

and British colonial rule.

0:47:520:47:53

As a young man, he joined

the liberation struggle,

0:47:530:47:55

spending ten years in prison

and then joining his

0:47:550:47:58

guerillas in the bush.

0:47:580:48:03

I, Robert Gabriel Mugabe.

0:48:030:48:05

When finally independence came

in 1980, Mugabe took control.

0:48:050:48:12

The early signs of trouble,

his political rivals silenced,

0:48:120:48:20

thousands massacred in violence

in the south of the country.

0:48:200:48:24

But Zimbabwe prospered,

and its population

0:48:240:48:26

seemed well-educated.

0:48:260:48:27

In the 1990s, economic shocks

and growing political opposition

0:48:270:48:29

prompted Mugabe to lash out.

0:48:290:48:34

His supporters seized

white-owned farms.

0:48:340:48:36

Violently.

0:48:360:48:38

The ripples shuddered

through the country and the economy.

0:48:380:48:43

To stay in power, Mugabe's Zanu-PF

party began rigging elections

0:48:430:48:46

and terrorising opponents.

0:48:460:48:51

Western sanctions followed and then

hyperinflation, the currency

0:48:510:48:53

collapsing spectacularly.

0:48:530:49:00

Then came Grace.

0:49:000:49:01

An ageing Mugabe remarried,

but the public never warmed to her.

0:49:010:49:04

She spent lavishly,

but it was when she began to show

0:49:040:49:07

political ambition that

things changed dramatically.

0:49:070:49:11

Zimbabweans were in no mood

for a dynasty, nor was the military,

0:49:110:49:15

with political tensions rising,

it was the prospect of President

0:49:150:49:19

Grace that helped force

the generals' hand last week

0:49:190:49:22

when they seized power

in a coup d'etat.

0:49:220:49:30

Was grace her husband's downfall?

0:49:300:49:34

Today, we went in

search of more clues.

0:49:340:49:36

Outside Harare, one

of her huge mansions.

0:49:360:49:38

I'm Andrew.

0:49:380:49:39

I'm Dennis.

0:49:390:49:40

We weren't allowed in, but nearby,

we got a taste of why

0:49:400:49:43

she is so despised here.

0:49:430:49:44

This woman said the police had

destroyed her home and dozens more

0:49:440:49:49

because Grace wanted to seize

the land for herself.

0:49:490:49:57

They came here and started

demolishing my house.

0:49:570:50:00

All over.

0:50:000:50:01

They pulled down my house.

0:50:010:50:04

They said, you must go

away because this place

0:50:040:50:06

is being taken by the first lady.

0:50:060:50:08

By the first lady, Grace Mugabe?

0:50:080:50:09

Yes.

0:50:090:50:10

Here, the law meant nothing

to the first family.

0:50:100:50:13

They were emperors.

0:50:130:50:17

Mugabe was so long in power,

he behaved as if Zimbabwe

0:50:170:50:21

belong to him, his family.

0:50:220:50:24

Today, at long last,

a man who could have left office

0:50:240:50:28

and African icon was forced out,

his humiliation complete.

0:50:280:50:30

Andrew Harding, BBC News, Harare.

0:50:300:50:40

Next I want to hear from Mary Harper

who has covered Africa for the BBC

0:50:400:50:44

for many years. She is now going to

look at how it fitted into the

0:50:440:50:50

politics of the 80s.

Mugabe came

into politics quite late, he was

0:50:500:50:57

hailed as a liberator and hero,

leading a war of independence,

0:50:570:51:02

putting a priority on health and

education. He wanted everybody to be

0:51:020:51:05

healthy and educated to quite a high

degree and he was successful so he

0:51:050:51:12

was seen as a hero who stood up to

the colonial powers of many other

0:51:120:51:16

countries. He was really seen as a

liberator number one for many years.

0:51:160:51:23

That reputation will have gone

beyond Southern Africa?

Yes, in

0:51:230:51:27

southern and he was seen, that

feeling was particularly strong but

0:51:270:51:33

it was across the continent and

other new countries across the

0:51:330:51:35

world. Mugabe was a kind of super

Star for his first years in power.

0:51:350:51:42

And how far he has managed to sink

since then.

We have forecast a lot

0:51:420:51:47

on BBC World Service radio which has

big audiences in Africa. I was taken

0:51:470:51:53

the back by the number of listeners

who called in and said that he's an

0:51:530:51:57

inspiration they love him.

Absolutely, that has carried an

0:51:570:52:01

almost until the present day partly

because Robert Mugabe was the most

0:52:010:52:05

vocal at one of the smartest,

bravest critics of the West. He used

0:52:050:52:11

to taunt the Western powers again

and again and take them on as an

0:52:110:52:15

equal and many people in Africa even

though they wouldn't have liked the

0:52:150:52:18

governments he was imposing on the

people of Zimbabwe, they liked how

0:52:180:52:22

he stood up to the Western powers.

They saw him as someone who was

0:52:220:52:27

brave. That went on for decades

after he started to bring Zimbabwe

0:52:270:52:35

down, to its knees.

More recently,

within the context of the African

0:52:350:52:40

union, was the one of the most

influential voices?

Know, over the

0:52:400:52:46

last decade he become more of a

figure of ridicule and

0:52:460:52:51

embarrassment, even amongst most

African leaders. In southern Africa,

0:52:510:52:57

especially South Africa, he was

still seen as somebody who should be

0:52:570:53:01

respected by other leaders, seen as

an elder statesman, even if he were

0:53:010:53:08

saying things and doing things that

were inappropriate. It has been

0:53:080:53:14

difficult for many leaders in Africa

to let go of that residual respect

0:53:140:53:17

they had for him. Interesting that

since he's resigned, we haven't

0:53:170:53:23

really heard from African countries.

We've heard from Western countries

0:53:230:53:28

praising this but African countries

are taking their time. They have to

0:53:280:53:32

be very careful, how are they play

this.

Some other long-standing

0:53:320:53:36

rulers are going to be watching what

is happening in Zimbabwe and will

0:53:360:53:39

have concerns.

Absolutely, some of

those people who have been in power

0:53:390:53:46

for a long time, like the president

of Cameroon, will be looking over

0:53:460:53:50

their shoulders and saying they hope

that the people of their country

0:53:500:53:54

don't do a Zimbabwe on them.

What

about the African context, do other

0:53:540:53:59

African countries see Zimbabwe as a

priority or would they look at

0:53:590:54:06

Eritrea and Congo and think they

have more pressing issues?

I think

0:54:060:54:12

Zimbabwe is almost like a film show

that they are watching but in terms

0:54:120:54:15

of how it impacts South Africa

beyond its neighbours... In South

0:54:150:54:20

Africa and it is a big deal because

many Zimbabweans went there because

0:54:200:54:24

they couldn't survive economically

and politically at home but beyond

0:54:240:54:28

that the rest of Africa will see

that it has massive problems. For

0:54:280:54:33

instance, Nigeria and Somalia with

Islamist insurgents, so it is a bit

0:54:330:54:44

of a sideshow when you look at the

continent. But Robert Mugabe is such

0:54:440:54:48

a huge figure, it is going to make a

big impact on the continent and

0:54:480:54:54

worldwide.

That's it on the day

Robert Mugabe

0:54:540:55:01

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