Paxman on Trump v Clinton: Divided America Panorama


Paxman on Trump v Clinton: Divided America

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Abraham Lincoln was the greatest president America ever had. He was

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earnest. He was a bit socially awkward, but he was visionary and he

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was heroic and he earned the respect of the world. Where are the heroes

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now? Whatever happens in November's presidential election, the winner

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will be one of the two least popular candidates of all time. What on

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earth has happened to a truly great democracy that the choice is so

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awful? $5 trillion... But you have no plan. Oh, rbg oh, but I do. The

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supporters of Clinton and Trump agree on only one thing: How

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unspeakable the other candidate is. I think that Hillary Clinton is a

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terribly dangerous person. He should never be entrusted with the button.

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One is alleged to have risked national security. The FBI says

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there were 110 classified e-mails exchanged, eight of which were top

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secret. The other is accused of multiple sexual assaults. You

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describe kissing women without consent, grabbing their genitals.

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That is sexual assault. Is either fit for office? It's just awfully

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good that someone with the temperament of Donald Trump is not

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in charge of the law in our country. Because you'd be in jail.

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This year's presidential election has shaped up rather like a reality

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television contest. Has something gone seriously wrong with American

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politics? Could a Donald Trump presidency really happen? I hope,

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for God sake, my country, he's not the president of the United States.

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I'm not going to sit on national television and tell you he can't.

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Under President Trump, here's what would happen: On November 8, the

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people of America get to decide who's fired and who's hired for the

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White House. How has it come to this? And what does the choice

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they're being offered tell us about the state of the most powerful

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nation on earth? It's a contest for the biggest job

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in the world. So you wouldn't expect this to happen. I better use some

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Tic Tacs, just in case I start kissing her. You know I'm

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automatically attracted to beautiful - I just start kissing them. It's

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like a magnet. Just kiss. I don't even wait. And when you're a star

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they let you do it. You can do anything. Whatever you want. Grab

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them by the pussy. You can do anything you want. The world was

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revolted, yet the Donald is still in the race. I was getting beaten up by

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all the networks. If they want to release more tapes saying

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inappropriate things, we'll continue to talk about Bill and Hillary

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Clinton doing inappropriate thing. Hillary Clinton's been mistrusted

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for years. You can tell the Egyptian Prime Minister it's a terrorist

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attack, but you can't tell your own people? Not to mention being the

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first female serious contender and married to a man who was almost

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thrown out of the White House in a sex scandal. I did not have sexual

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relations with that woman. How things have changed in just eight

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years, remember when Obama was a rock star singing a song of hope. At

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this defining moment, change has come to America.

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So how has this whole mess happened? There's a man in Washington who

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knows how presidents are made. He got Obama into the White House, not

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once, but twice, and helped David Cameron win a surprise Conservative

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victory last year, Jim Messina is one of America's most savvy

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strategist. This is a very unusual campaign. Yeah, it's an

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unprecedented campaign. We elected President Obama in 2008, we thought

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that was the most unbelievable campaign. This has broken all sort

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of typical norms that you would expect from a political campaign.

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No-one thought a year ago that Donald Trump would be the Republican

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nominee to the White House. I spent two years of my life praying for him

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to become the Republican nominee... Because that's who you wanted as the

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enemy? Absolutely. Because I thought he was the single easiest person to

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beat. We're about to find out whether that's true.

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Turned out getting and maintaining a lead over Trump has been harder than

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expected. Donald Trump taking the lead in some swing state polls... It

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should have been easy for Hillary. Why has he controlled so much of the

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narrative? He's the single best social media campaigner of a

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generation. He controlled the narrative on Twitter and on social

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media and by having an absolute mastery of the press. He ran his own

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reality show for years. He understands how to do this in a way

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that is unprecedented. The press has been largely hostile, hasn't it?

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Give me a break. They love him. At the beginning, it was great fun..

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Was a reality show. He was the only interesting thing. He was running

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against a bunch of not very exciting characters and sometimes being the

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tallest dwarf is OK. The problem is - what if actually the tallest dwarf

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gets elected president of the United States? If you could give a round of

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applause to our two nominees Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. And

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opposing the tallest dwarf for the job of the world's most powerful

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human is a woman her critics call an establishment puppet. This election

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is ripe for paradias -- parody as the makers of Avenue Q have

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discovered. I don't know why people are so interested in my e-mails.

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That's the problem. That's the problem. She says one thing and then

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she says another thing. She flip flops. She's a flip flopper. She's a

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liar. Jen Bender directed the show. When we were coming up for the

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script for this event, Trump is so easy to parody because he's like a

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puppet himself. He just says what he thinks. He has so many things easy

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to grab onto - it's huge, it's fabulous. I'm wondering what is your

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stance on gay marriage? Well, it took me some time to get there, but

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I am all for same-sex marriages and I hope every one of your gay

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fantasies come true. Hillary Clinton was harder because she doesn't have

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the go-to, you know the Sarah Palin voice that can be easily mimicked.

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Donald Trump gives it all to us. Marriage should be between a man and

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a woman, a beautiful, younger woman, usually with an accent. Thank you so

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much. Thank you for coming. So what was the start of this race to the

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bottom... Sorry to the White House. This, the federal election

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commission headquarters is where the race officially began. On June 22

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last year, someone handed in a paper in the name of candidate P 81571,

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Donald J Trump. Hillary Clinton filed her application two months

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previously. They joined a list of hundreds of other names. Amazingly

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Trump's wasn't the most ridiculous. There's a raft of attention-seeking

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half wits who thought they could become president of the United

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States. They include: Ghost of macho man Randy Savage, moose the dog, bye

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the clown, Sydney's voluptuous buttocks and the right honourable

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Boris de Pfeffel Johnson MP, whose slogan was apparently, let's make

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America great... Britain again. Neither candidate was fresh to the

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fight. Hillary threw her hat into the ring in 2008, when Barack Obama

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beat her to the nomination as the Democratic party's candidate. I

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endorse him and throw my full support behind him. The Donald first

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considered running back in 1988. Then he thought, if that's the right

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word, about it again in 1999, when in true Trump style he announced it

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live on a chat show. So I am going to form a presidential exploratory

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committee, I might as well announce it on your show, everyone else does.

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He was talked about as a Republican candidate for 2012. But Obama

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slapped him down at a Washington gala and Trump took his ambitions no

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further. All kidding aside, obviously we all know about your

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credentials and breadth of experience...

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LAUGHTER Say what you will about Mr Trump, he

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certainly would bring some change to the White House. Let's see what

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we've got up there. Back then it was a gag in an after-dinner speech. But

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no-one's laughing now at the idea of a Donald Trump White House. Of

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course, there has been a celebrity in the Oval Office before. Would you

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come and meet my father captain? I'd be delighted. Is he in the

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government service? Yes, but I think he'll lose his job in the next

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election. That's too bad. He should be in the Army, politics don't

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bother us. Ronald Reagan was a winning combination of Hollywood

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glamour and eight years of experience as governor of

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California. In 1980 he won the presidency by a land slide, elected

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on a rather familiar slogan. We will make America great again. Thank you

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very much. And he became a hero to the American right. He was a lot

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more modern and more of a pragmatist than a lot of people gave him a

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credit for. Trent Lott was at Reagan's side. He had a different

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background. He was sneered at by the media, this movie star could never

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be president of America. Probably one of the best presidents, top

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five, in the history of this country. Do you think that Donald

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Trump has the ability to be a Ronald Reagan? I don't know of anybody

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could be a Ronald Reagan. Is there similarity with Trump? How would he

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really perform? Does he have credentials that maybe are the right

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ones for the moment? Are you even sure that Trump's a Republican? No.

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How's he got the Republican nomination? Because he has a message

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that has tapped into the concerns, fears and anger of the American

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people. So you'll vote Trump. I'm for Trump, yeah, sure. As the lesser

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of two evils? I hate to put it that way, but you know, neither one of

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them are very popular. Ronald Reagan walked off the silver

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screen and into the White House. Donald Trump de scended his golden

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escalator in the modestly named Trump Tower. While Reagan launched a

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charm offensive, Trump was just, well, offensive. They're bringing

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drugs. They're bringing crime. They're rapists and some, I assume,

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are good people. Businesses and organisations cut ties with him and

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it seemed his campaign might be over before it had even begun. The

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Republican establishment kept its distance. Trump didn't care. He was

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paying his own way. I'm using my own money. I'm not using the lobbyists.

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I'm not using donors. I don't care. I'm really rich. Then something that

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no-one expected to happen did, the man who started out as the jackass

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candidate began drawing the crowds. Turns out not being a politician

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wasn't a problem. It was his best asset. I am so tired of this

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politically correct crap. Larry Pratt is a conservative

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activist and heads the Gun Owners of America lobby group. What is it that

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Trump has put his finger upon that makes him electable potentially? The

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political class does seem to operate apart from the rest of the country.

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I believe that's what he may be playing into and why with all his

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gaffes and all the other problems with his campaign, he seems to be

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continuing to march toward victory. One of his more spectacular gaffes,

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when he seemed to suggest that supporters of the Second Amendment,

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gun lovers, take a pot shot at Hillary Clinton. If she gets to pick

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her judges, nothing you can do, folks. Although, the second

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amendment people maybe there is. I don't know. Isn't it embarrassing

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when you can get someone running for president using the sort of language

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he has used, for example the implied threat to the life of Hillary

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Clinton? Well, if we were concerned about being embarrassed, we wouldn't

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be involved with politics. I don't think Donald Trump implied or was

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thinking about any personal threat to Hillary Clinton, although I

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realise for her, losing the election is the same as dying. Who do you

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want to win? Well, of the two, I would prefer Donald Trump. I'm not

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enthusiastic about him. But I'm reminded of the cowboy legend that

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when you're fighting off a wild dog, and all you've got available is a

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crooked stick to use, you grab the crooked stick.

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Trump began as the rank ? very rank ? outsider

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for the Republican nomination. He faced 16 rivals.

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But he dispatched them with withering put-downs,

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especially "low-energy" Jeb Bush, presumed heir to a political

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dynasty, who didn't even make it into the final four.

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Excuse me... One second...

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More energy tonight, I like that. Many conservatives still thought

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he was a spiv wearing spray-tan Republicanism.

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But his showmanship won over the primary voters,

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who handed Trump the nomination. It is my honour to be able to throw

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Donald Trump over the top in the delegate count tonight.

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Congratulations, Dad, we love you! Over the top, indeed.

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Meanwhile, Hillary Clinton was struggling.

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She'd acquired a Trump nickname of her own - "Crooked Hillary".

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But her immediate problem was an elderly socialist,

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Bernie Sanders. It's crooked Hillary Clinton

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against the communists. Who the hell?

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Are these guys crazy? "The Bern" wants to abolish

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the death penalty and believes that climate change causes terrorism.

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His main pitch to voters was to soak the rich.

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Pinkos like that don't normally stand a chance in the US.

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But Hillary managed to make him hard to beat.

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But her left wing rival Bernie Sanders inflicted a shock

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defeat in Michigan, supposedly a Clinton stronghold...

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Was there a candidate at any point in this presidential

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campaign that you felt you could identify with?

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Absolutely. Bernie Sanders.

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Cassandra Fairbanks is a social media journalist.

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One of a new generation for whom policies and personalities

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are more important than parties. Bernie Sanders didn't get

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the nomination, of course. No, he did not, tragically.

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He was far too left wing for mainstream politics in this

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country, wasn't he? Tragic. He would have been

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wonderful. So who are you going to vote for?

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I'm going to be voting for Donald Trump.

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You're going to vote for Donald Trump?

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I am. Erm, yeah, OK, there's a word

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for people like you. It's mad.

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Well, I think that Hillary Clinton is a terribly dangerous person.

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I think that the Clinton Foundation and a lot of the deals that

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were made during her time at the State Department

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are deserving of side-eye at best and terrifying at worst.

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It says something about Hillary Clinton when Bernie

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supporters would rather switch to The Donald than to her.

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Clinton's unpopularity sometimes baffles the British.

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But Hillary-haters have plenty to point to.

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You know, to just be grossly generalistic,

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you could put half of Trump's supporters into what I call

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the basket of deplorables. Right?

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The racist, sexist, homophobic, xenophobic, Islamaphobic -

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you name it. They claim she's cold.

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Untrustworthy. Elitist.

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Warmongering. And above all, power-hungry.

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Clinton wants to be powerful, Trump wants to be popular.

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And because he wants to be popular, I think that he'll do things that

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have popular support over necessarily going with his party.

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Are there lots of people who feel like you?

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People aren't sticking to party lines the way they did before.

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Erm, I think people want more options.

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I mean, we have 51 candidates for Miss America and then we have

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two choices for president. It's a terrible choice.

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It may be, but unfortunately we only have two terrible choices.

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Our third parties aren't even that great.

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We have Jill Stein, who will probably try and heal

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the economy with crystals and is polling worse

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than a dead gorilla. And then we have Gary Johnson,

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who said that nobody got hurt in the bombing the other day

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and didn't know what Aleppo was. I mean, we're out of good options.

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Scepticism about the calibre of politicians is nothing new.

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Among the thousands who've turned to dust in this Baltimore cemetery

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lies one of the most peppery journalists America ever produced -

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HL Mencken. He's a bit of a personal hero.

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Mencken watched plenty of presidential races and observed

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that "one great and glorious day, the plain folks of America

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will reach their heart's desire, and the White House will be adorned

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by a downright moron". He thought he was joking,

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but if you listen very carefully, down there, you can hear

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something spinning. Mencken spoke those

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words a century ago. So, why is it NOW that

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they could come true? Jocelyn Kiley is a top poll

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analyst, with some answers. One of the questions that we ask,

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and have asked fairly regularly in our polling,

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is whether you're satisfied with the choice of candidates.

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And we've tracked near record low levels of satisfaction

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with the two candidates. What we find is that many,

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many Americans say that the candidates would make poor

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or terrible presidents, and few Americans would say that

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either candidate would make a good or a great president.

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The researchers don't just ask what people think

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and how they'll vote. They want to know how

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they look at the world. And that's thrown up one profound

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difference between Trump and Clinton voters.

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One of the questions that we ask is about whether life

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is better for people like you than it was 50 years ago.

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And the clear majority of 60% of Clinton supporters say

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it is better, and 81% of Trump supporters say that life is worse

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today than it was for people like them 50 years ago.

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You do see this evidence that perhaps Clinton and Trump voters not

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just have different policy preferences, but also have different

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visions of America today, America in the past,

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America in the future. The question of what or

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who is "America" lies at the heart of this election.

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This is still the richest economy in the world,

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and yet many Americans feel they're barely making ends meet.

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Furthermore, they think the political elite not only

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doesn't care about them, but doesn't even understand them.

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That's making their loyalties hard to predict.

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Jobs are going overseas, this is nuts.

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I'm a college student, I mean, that's one of my biggest worries,

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like, you know, there won't be any jobs, right?

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This is the state of Virginia. In the last four presidential

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elections, it's gone Republican twice and Democrat twice.

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If Trump can't win here, he's in big trouble.

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In 2012, the Democrats won Virginia with 51.16% of the vote.

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They did that by having four times as much voter contact.

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That means door to door. But all of us doing this at the same

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time all across Virginia? This is how we win.

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See you back round here at 1:30! You'd think these campaigners

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would be die-hard Trump supporters. But it's not that straightforward.

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I don't like either candidate. In the past, I volunteered

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for Hillary Clinton, and worked her '08 campaigns.

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But right now, I'm very saddened about her.

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The bell rang. The bell rang on, whatever

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that statement was, that "deplorables" statement.

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I want to get America back again. Armed with a campaign phone app

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to track their progress, trainer John and his

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new recruit Rose set out to gather information.

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Can I ask who you're voting for? I don't wanna say who I'd vote for,

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I'm more a Democrat voter right now. But to be honest with ya,

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I don't want neither one of them! Click on Antonio,

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no answer at door, we go back because there were two targeted

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voters, we click on Amanda, no answer at door, we put the little

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check mark by the house and proceed to the next one, looks like it's

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across the street, No 5... I mean, I think we know

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what his answer's gonna be. But still...

0:25:160:25:19

This is a middle-class, racially diverse neighbourhood.

0:25:200:25:23

And perhaps surprisingly, many of its residents are giving

0:25:240:25:28

Trump's message a hearing. The people who are leaning,

0:25:290:25:30

it's astonishing. Didn't expect that.

0:25:310:25:34

Most people, they're afraid to admit they're for Trump.

0:25:350:25:40

Our next President, do you believe they should continue the same

0:25:410:25:44

direction as Barack Obama or change course?

0:25:450:25:47

Change course. Trump has quiet supporters here.

0:25:480:25:52

Some think their backing could yet help him take the White House.

0:25:530:25:57

I have three four-year degrees and two of them are in the field

0:25:580:26:00

of business and economics. I really like what he's offering.

0:26:010:26:04

He's coming on board with a lot of things.

0:26:050:26:15

I like his economic policy. Rose isn't alone in admiring

0:26:160:26:19

Donald Trump's business savvy. And he's put it front and centre

0:26:200:26:22

in his pitch for the presidency. I have a great company.

0:26:230:26:31

I have a tremendous income. And the reason I say that is not

0:26:320:26:34

in a braggadocious way. It's because it's about time

0:26:350:26:37

that this country had somebody running it that has

0:26:380:26:43

an idea about money. Property is the cornerstone

0:26:440:26:45

of the Trump myth. He owns Trump Tower,

0:26:460:26:48

Trump International Hotel, Trump Palace, the Trump Building

0:26:490:26:51

on Wall Street, Trump Place... You get the idea.

0:26:520:26:56

His mogul reputation brought TV producers knocking.

0:26:570:26:59

And with The Apprentice, a legend was born.

0:27:000:27:03

You're all fired. All four are fired.

0:27:040:27:08

Go home. Go home.

0:27:090:27:13

But that wasn't the first time Trump got to sound off

0:27:140:27:19

about his business brilliance. Before the TV show,

0:27:200:27:23

there was the book. The Art Of The Deal appeared

0:27:240:27:25

in 1987, after Trump Tower was completed.

0:27:260:27:30

It spent a year on the bestseller list. It's got some terrific lines.

0:27:310:27:33

"Controversy sells." "The way I promote is bravado.

0:27:340:27:42

I play to people's fantasies." "A little hyperbole never hurts."

0:27:430:27:48

And then, prophetically, "My time will come." But my

0:27:490:27:51

favourite line of all is that of the Washington Post

0:27:520:27:55

reviewer, who said... "The man's lack of taste is as vast

0:27:560:28:00

as his lack of shame." Trump's ego may be tremendous,

0:28:010:28:04

but his critics say his tax bill certainly isn't.

0:28:050:28:10

He's the only presidential candidate for four decades not

0:28:110:28:15

to release his tax returns. Maybe he doesn't want the American

0:28:160:28:19

people, all of you watching tonight, to know that he's paid

0:28:200:28:23

nothing in federal taxes, because the only years that

0:28:240:28:26

anybody's ever seen were a couple of years when he had to turn them

0:28:270:28:28

over to state authorities when he was trying to get a casino

0:28:290:28:33

license, and they showed he didn't pay any federal income tax. So...

0:28:340:28:40

That makes me smart. That line would finish off

0:28:410:28:45

any regular politician. Not The Donald. But his tax bill

0:28:460:28:50

isn't the only thing that's being questioned. Rumours also swirl about

0:28:510:28:56

how good a businessman he really is. Trump started out

0:28:570:29:01

backed by family money. Through the '80s, he amassed

0:29:020:29:05

a high-rolling real-estate empire. And in 1990, he opened his most

0:29:060:29:09

ambitious venture yet - the Trump Taj Mahal

0:29:100:29:15

in Atlantic City. Donald Trump gave Michael Jackson

0:29:160:29:18

a personal tour of his $1.2 billion extravaganza.

0:29:190:29:22

We had Michael at the Taj Mahal. He's my friend, he's

0:29:230:29:25

a tremendous talent, and it's really my honour.

0:29:260:29:29

With revenue topping $37 million a month,

0:29:300:29:33

Donald's biggest gamble is turning up aces.

0:29:340:29:38

But the gamble Trump took in Atlantic City was risker

0:29:390:29:51

than anyone realised. corporate bankruptcy - four times.

0:29:520:29:55

Workers were laid off. Contractors went unpaid.

0:29:560:29:58

Yet Trump did make a lot of money - for himself.

0:29:590:30:02

Washington, If he had re-invested in the city, everyone would tout his

0:30:030:30:09

good name. But he didn't. He took the money. He made lots of money for

0:30:100:30:13

himself. Listen, he had no reason or obligation to spend it in Atlantic

0:30:140:30:18

City. As we look at the long-term picture, Donald Trump has not been

0:30:190:30:30

good for Atlantic City. As other gambling hot spots sprang up,

0:30:310:30:35

Atlantic City lost its luster. Today it's struggling. Republican Guard

0:30:360:30:41

Garde is mayor. -- Republican Don Guardian is mayor. If you are asking

0:30:420:30:46

- if I want the United States to be after a Donald Trump presidency,

0:30:470:30:51

Atlantic City after Donald Trump ownership of casinos? The answer is

0:30:520:30:56

absolutely not. Trump wasn't the first and won't be the last property

0:30:570:31:00

developer to claim strategic bankruptcy. But he's surely the only

0:31:010:31:07

person ever to have insisted that defaulting on vast loans is a

0:31:080:31:10

qualification for the job of US president. I made a lot of money in

0:31:110:31:15

Atlantic City and I'm very proud of it, very, very proud of it. By the

0:31:160:31:22

way, this country, right now owes $19 trillion and they need somebody

0:31:230:31:30

like me to straighten out that mess. This was vintage Trump. The Donald

0:31:310:31:36

is smart. Bad times, bad things are for losers. Trump is a winner and

0:31:370:31:46

his supporters love him for it. But this election isn't just about

0:31:470:31:50

personality. It's about America's anger with its political class and

0:31:510:31:54

Hillary Clinton is the one paying the price. The reason for that is

0:31:550:32:02

that Hillary reeks of Washington. And Washington is the problem. You

0:32:030:32:08

know Hillary Clinton. I do. What's she like? I found her to be very

0:32:090:32:13

bright, engaging and a good person. I've served with her in the Senate

0:32:140:32:18

for a number of years. When she was Secretary of State her approval

0:32:190:32:21

numbers went through the roof. When you think about where she was in the

0:32:220:32:24

minds of most Americans then and where she is now, what a sharp

0:32:250:32:30

contrast. Senator Dick Durbin is one of the most powerful Democrats in

0:32:310:32:34

Congress. Why has she failed to cut through? A variety of reasons. Some

0:32:350:32:40

of it has to do with personality. But also, she brings with her the

0:32:410:32:48

Clinton dynasty baggage. That baggage comes from decades within a

0:32:490:32:53

barely functional government. Many Americans believe the whole

0:32:540:32:58

political system is broken. America's headed in the wrong

0:32:590:33:00

direction. Washington doesn't work for me and my family. You know, I

0:33:010:33:05

think you'll find across the world, that kind of comment being made by

0:33:060:33:09

people who are victimised by a lot of things. Trump has tapped into it.

0:33:100:33:16

When Trump says Washington doesn't work, he sometimes it literally is

0:33:170:33:21

true. Nothing happens. Of course. There are failures in the human

0:33:220:33:24

endeavour. They happen every day. When it comes to government, we

0:33:250:33:27

ought to be honest about it and change it. That's our job. The one

0:33:280:33:35

thing the parties can agree on is their increasing inability to agree.

0:33:360:33:38

The Democrats and the Republicans don't always talk to each other. It

0:33:390:33:44

means they're not producing legislation or administrative

0:33:450:33:46

activities that are actually dealing with some of the things that we need

0:33:470:33:53

do in America. Why have relations between the parties become so much

0:33:540:33:57

more poisonous than they used to be? Over the years, the Democratic Party

0:33:580:34:02

has moved steadily, steadily further and further to the left, towards

0:34:030:34:07

socialism. The Republican Party has been infiltrated by southerners,

0:34:080:34:11

like me, and has been not only become a conservative party, we have

0:34:120:34:15

moved far to the right, leaving nothing in the middle. As a great

0:34:160:34:20

poet Yeats would say, "The middle will not hold." The US political

0:34:210:34:30

system is designed to work with both parties pulling together. When that

0:34:310:34:34

doesn't happen, Washington grinds to a halt. Good evening, this

0:34:350:34:40

government shut down is now in its ninth day... The result is a system

0:34:410:34:46

that feels like it's been grid locked for years. Trump knows who

0:34:470:34:52

he's blaming. I've heard Hillary complaining about so many different

0:34:530:34:54

things over the years. But she's been there for 30 years, she's been

0:34:550:34:59

doing this stuff. She never changed. She never will change. Whoever

0:35:000:35:05

becomes president, they'll need the cooperation of Congress to get

0:35:060:35:08

Washington working again. But the more toxic this election becomes,

0:35:090:35:19

the harder that will be. With America more divided than ever, it's

0:35:200:35:25

not just the two candidates casting an unpearing eye over -- unsparing

0:35:260:35:31

eye over their opponent. Had to take a couple turns the hard way. Took

0:35:320:35:36

half an hour to get him up here, but worth the wait. He's a little taller

0:35:370:35:42

and heavier. He's a lot lighter, but he's got about the same air mass to

0:35:430:35:48

him which is full of nothing. The protest art collective InDecline

0:35:490:35:52

titillated America when their life-sized naked statues of Donald

0:35:530:35:55

Trump appeared overnight in parks and streets. There are some

0:35:560:36:01

liberties taken, the hair, the gut and other extremities. All of the

0:36:020:36:07

statues vanish the same day, but now, thanks to art curator Stanley

0:36:080:36:12

Sudol one more has found a home in New Jersey. It delights thousands

0:36:130:36:17

each day as they commute into Manhattan. People laughing as they

0:36:180:36:22

were driving by is the overall response we got from this.

0:36:230:36:26

Essentially this piece is a perfect metaphor for the way we see from our

0:36:270:36:30

side Donald Trump's campaign. It's off colour. It's abstract. And it's

0:36:310:36:37

a complete joke. There you go. Whatever you think of his body,

0:36:380:36:42

Trump's critics say his politics are even uglier. His views on Islam and

0:36:430:36:47

immigration have come in for harsh criticism. America is a melting pot.

0:36:480:36:54

Everybody's from somewhere. God Bless America. This is the beauty of

0:36:550:37:00

it. Sajid Tarar runs a non-profit that cares for the elderly and

0:37:010:37:05

disabled. He's a Muslim and back in July, he delivered the closing

0:37:060:37:08

prayer at his party's national convention. But it's not the party

0:37:090:37:14

you're maybe thinking. I am Republican. I came as a law student.

0:37:150:37:24

From where? Pakistan. The thing is I'm seeing democracy continuously

0:37:250:37:27

going down. How about the First World War, Second World War, Korean

0:37:280:37:32

War, we fought against the expansion of socialism. Today we're becoming

0:37:330:37:37

socialists. I'm not here for that. I bought the American dream and tree

0:37:380:37:40

Dom. We are losing that, both of them.

0:37:410:37:45

-- freedom. Fewer than one in ten American Muslims supports Donald

0:37:460:37:51

Trump. Many now find even that paltry figure unbelievable, given

0:37:520:37:55

Trump's statements on Muslim immigration. Donald J Trump is

0:37:560:38:02

calling for a total and complete shut down of Muslims entering the

0:38:030:38:07

United States until our country's representatives can figure out what

0:38:080:38:16

the hell is going on. Trump's trying to would angry white voters by

0:38:170:38:20

fuelling immigration fears. But he also needs the support of minorities

0:38:210:38:27

if he's to win. To most of us, that sounds like an impossible balance to

0:38:280:38:32

strike. Here you are, a Muslim supporter of a man who proposes a

0:38:330:38:36

ban on Muslims entering the United States. That's pretty strange. He's

0:38:370:38:40

not anti-Muslim. He's anti-trouble makers. He's anti-jihadists. He's

0:38:410:38:45

antiterrorism. That's what he's talking about. His whole campaign is

0:38:460:38:51

America first. Save America. Making America rich again. Look at this,

0:38:520:38:55

the refugees want to come here in hundreds and thousands, without any

0:38:560:38:58

documentation, we don't know what their objectives are. You sound

0:38:590:39:02

incredibly hard hearted. Why I'm so hard, because I have four kids. This

0:39:030:39:07

is my kids' country. Plus, we don't want to see this country as a

0:39:080:39:10

Europe. Like you guys are suffering. Lock at France, what is going on,

0:39:110:39:15

look at Belgium. I don't want to see that. This is my home. I love this

0:39:160:39:19

country. I met Sajid the day after he'd been campaigning with Trump.

0:39:200:39:24

This is only yesterday. It was only yesterday, we were together. I have

0:39:250:39:30

seen 20,000 people in his rallies. It's a piece of cake. People are

0:39:310:39:35

behind him. The liberal media doesn't tend to show that. You both

0:39:360:39:39

look very pleased with yourselves. Thank you so much. I'm very excited.

0:39:400:39:44

I'm very excited to see him in the White House. God willing it's going

0:39:450:39:53

to happen. Oh, God our nation is in need of new leader, a commander, who

0:39:540:40:00

will guide America along a path of righteousness. It's no wonder that

0:40:010:40:05

Trump is so keen to have a man like Sajid backing him. Make America

0:40:060:40:09

great again, amen. Trump won't be able to win by appealing to

0:40:100:40:14

disaffected white voters will he? No. He has to appeal to some

0:40:150:40:20

minorities. Republicans have run two consecutive elections against Barack

0:40:210:40:23

Obama saying they could just Jack up the white vote and it would be OK.

0:40:240:40:29

The math doesn't work any more to just Jack the white vote up for the

0:40:300:40:30

Republicans. Nearly 50 years on from the murder

0:40:310:40:52

of Martin Luther King there is no longer a white majority country. If

0:40:530:40:56

Donald Trump thinks he can win the White House by just appealing to

0:40:570:40:59

that sector of society, he is mistaken.

0:41:000:41:10

So can he do it in 2016? He'd need to double his popularity with the

0:41:110:41:15

fastest growing part of the US population, Latinos. But if that's

0:41:160:41:18

what he's trying to do, he's going about it in a very strange way.

0:41:190:41:25

We'll do the wall, don't worry. We're going to do the wall. We're

0:41:260:41:31

going to do the wall and by the way, who's going to pay for the wall?

0:41:320:41:35

Mexico! Mexico's going to pay for the wall. There is one demographic

0:41:360:41:44

group he's having an even harder time with, African Americans. In

0:41:450:41:48

order to win, especially the popular vote, you've got to increase your

0:41:490:41:57

margin in its and hiss -- in independents and Hispanics. He needs

0:41:580:42:00

enough in the target states to increase that number to win. But

0:42:010:42:08

most minorities aren't buying it. The Republican Party has struggled

0:42:090:42:13

for decades to win the black vote. But Trump's ratings are a new low.

0:42:140:42:18

Some polls have put his support at zero. Which means Paris Dennard has

0:42:190:42:27

one of the hardest jobs in America, woulding African Americans for

0:42:280:42:32

Trump. I can whole heartedly say that with some degree of experience

0:42:330:42:38

and authority that Donald Trump's policies will not only help my

0:42:390:42:41

community but he is not somebody who's going to hurt our community.

0:42:420:42:47

Isn't Donald Trump a racist? It's classic Clinton Democrat PlayBook.

0:42:480:42:52

The easiest thing to do is label somebody a racist to deter people

0:42:530:42:56

from voting for him. She has to convince black folks that he's a

0:42:570:43:02

racist. And she has to convince moderates and independents that he's

0:43:030:43:08

a racist. Many people do think Trump is a racist for any number of

0:43:090:43:15

reasons. My fellow Americans... Like the years he spent denying that

0:43:160:43:20

Obama was born in America. He recently tried to blame that rumour

0:43:210:43:26

on Hillary Clinton. You're the one who set the pictures around your

0:43:270:43:30

campaign, sent the pictures around with President Obama in a certain

0:43:310:43:35

garb, that was long before I was involved. So you actually owe an

0:43:360:43:40

apology. Dennard maintains that black would-be Trump voters aren't

0:43:410:43:46

deterred, maybe like the Tory voters who delivered Cameron's unexpected

0:43:470:43:50

2015 victory, they're just shy. When you say to African Americans, you

0:43:510:43:54

should think about voting for Donald Trump, what do they say? There's a

0:43:550:43:58

growing sense that I have that there's a lot of blacks that will

0:43:590:44:03

say, I may not say I'm going to vote for him, but when I go to the

0:44:040:44:06

polling booth, I will vote for Donald Trump. Trump knows he needs

0:44:070:44:12

these groups to win. I want to do things that haven't been done,

0:44:130:44:16

including fixing and making our inner cities better for the

0:44:170:44:19

African-American citizens that are so great and for the Latinos,

0:44:200:44:24

Hispanics. I look forward to doing it. It's called make America great

0:44:250:44:33

again. And here's the reason he needs them - the unique way America

0:44:340:44:40

chooses its president. Politics may be showbiz for ugly people, but

0:44:410:44:45

sometimes it's just showbiz. In the theatre behind me is one of the most

0:44:460:44:52

unlikely Smash Hits of Broadway, it's a rap retelling of the story of

0:44:530:44:56

one of the founding fathers. The central scene is set inside a

0:44:570:45:03

presidential election. I'm passionately smashing every

0:45:040:45:05

expectation, every action, I'm laughing in the face of casualties.

0:45:060:45:09

For the first time, I'm thinking pass tomorrow. This show is the

0:45:100:45:13

story of Alexander Hamilton a trusted aide of George Washington.

0:45:140:45:18

Rather than have a direct nationwide vote for president, a

0:45:190:45:23

straightforward popularity contest, Hamilton and co wanted each state to

0:45:240:45:27

have a voice. So they created the electoral college.

0:45:280:45:34

Each state has a set number of votes in the electoral college, determined

0:45:350:45:43

by the population of the state. In most cases, the candidate

0:45:440:45:46

first-past-the-post in any state takes all its votes. So the nominee

0:45:470:45:50

that wins California gets 55 electoral college votes, but Vermont

0:45:510:45:58

or North Dakota, they only get a measly three. And the person with

0:45:590:46:03

the majority of the electoral college votes becomes president! The

0:46:040:46:08

magic number of college votes needed to take the presidency is 270, just

0:46:090:46:15

over half, giving a clear endorsement to one candidate. So,

0:46:160:46:20

it's not just about winning lots of states. It's winning the states with

0:46:210:46:27

big numbers of votes. And right now, Hillary Clinton holds the upper

0:46:280:46:34

hand. Democrats started out with 247 votes, in six consecutive

0:46:350:46:41

presidential elections. Republicans are up to 191. And we fight over the

0:46:420:46:46

rest. Do you think you can do it? Maths says you can't, but the maths

0:46:470:46:51

also said he could not win the primary. I hope for the sake of my

0:46:520:46:56

country that he is not the President of the United States, that I'm not

0:46:570:46:59

going to sit on national television telling you he can't. So, in the

0:47:000:47:03

final stages of this campaign, the candidates face very different

0:47:040:47:07

challenges. Hillary Clinton ought to be miles ahead. Instead, she has to

0:47:080:47:12

be sure that her supporters will turn out for her. As for Donald

0:47:130:47:16

Trump, well, he somehow has got to broaden his appeal beyond angry

0:47:170:47:25

white men. Three head-to-head debates there is where they get to

0:47:260:47:30

pitch to the nation, watched by the world. These debates and crucial -

0:47:310:47:44

sometimes they turn the tide of opinion, like Kennedy versus Nixon

0:47:450:47:48

in 1960. But one thing is for sure - while the pretence is that the

0:47:490:47:53

debates focus on policy, actually, they're all about personality. Chris

0:47:540:47:56

Matthews is the veteran host of the talk-show for half-ball. They will

0:47:570:48:02

try and get them upset and angry. I think Donald just criticised me for

0:48:030:48:07

preparing for this debate. And yes, I did. And you know what else I

0:48:080:48:13

prepared for? I prepared to be president, and I think that's a good

0:48:140:48:19

thing. The question is, can he swap that mosquito without looking bad? I

0:48:200:48:25

don't know who you were talking to, Secretary Clinton, but you were

0:48:260:48:29

totally out of control. I said, there is a person with a temperament

0:48:300:48:33

that's got a problem! Secretary Clinton... OK! Hillary Clinton

0:48:340:48:41

emerged the winner. I have a feeling that by the end of today, I will be

0:48:420:48:44

blamed for everything that's ever happened! Why not? Why not?! Just

0:48:450:48:52

join the debate by saying more crazy things! But Donald Trump kept the

0:48:530:48:58

wheels on his campaign. What came next, though, was all hell breaking

0:48:590:49:06

loose. When that recording of Trump, made in 2005, surfaced just days

0:49:070:49:10

before the second debate. We received a lot of questions online,

0:49:110:49:15

Mr Trump, about the tape. You called what you said locker room banter.

0:49:160:49:19

You described kissing women without consent, grabbing their genitals.

0:49:200:49:23

That is sexual assault. You bragged that you have sexually assaulted

0:49:240:49:29

women - do you understand that? Trump's response made less than no

0:49:300:49:35

sense at all. Yes, I am very embarrassed by it, I hate it, but it

0:49:360:49:39

is look at room talk and it's one of those things. I will not the hell

0:49:400:49:50

out of Isis. Isis appeared in a vacuum which was left because of bad

0:49:510:49:53

judgment. And I tell you, I will take care of Isis. Senior

0:49:540:49:58

Republicans queued up to disown him, but he could still count on one

0:49:590:50:04

loyal friend. If we're being honest, it's the kind of thing that men do,

0:50:050:50:09

they talk like this. And by the way, quite a lot of women say things

0:50:100:50:12

amongst themselves that they would not want to see on Fox news, on the

0:50:130:50:17

front page of newspapers. Thank you very much indeed! Ukip leader Nigel

0:50:180:50:23

Farage has been on the stump with Trump in Mississippi and that the

0:50:240:50:27

second debate in Missouri. But now, his back in his favourite place in

0:50:280:50:33

the world - Brussels. So, is he seeing things a little differently?

0:50:340:50:38

There is no question that this recent tape, ugly as it is, has

0:50:390:50:45

really hurt him badly, of course. What did he mean by talking about

0:50:460:50:55

grabbing women's pussies? I don't know, but I saw this whole thing as

0:50:560:51:00

a next ring form of Alfa mail boasting, the kind of posting which

0:51:010:51:03

some men do, it does not mean that they actually do it. So he was

0:51:040:51:09

lying, was he? Does it not turn your stomach to be in an effective

0:51:100:51:12

alliance with a man who behaves, thinks and perhaps lies about that

0:51:130:51:16

sort of thing? Look, it's not just that is it? There were comments

0:51:170:51:21

about Mexicans, the idea of a total ban on anybody coming in to America

0:51:220:51:24

from one particular religion. There are lots of things in this campaign

0:51:250:51:28

which I could not support in any way at all, and nor do I. Which sounds

0:51:290:51:33

like a change of heart, if ever I heard one. But if Nigel Farage has

0:51:340:51:37

decided he does not like The Donald's policies, he thinks Trump's

0:51:380:51:43

followers are as enraptured as ever. When I spoke to people who are Trump

0:51:440:51:49

voters, in this election, going to vote for Trump, do you know what,

0:51:500:51:53

they could not care less? They could not give a damn what Trump says, who

0:51:540:51:58

he offends, because they see him as being their weapon against the

0:51:590:52:01

establishment, and they see Hillary as being the epitome of that

0:52:020:52:06

establishment. So they don't care if a cruel, crude, Foulger bombast

0:52:070:52:13

occupies the White House? I think what we're seeing in the states, and

0:52:140:52:19

actually fair bit of the Western world are little people saying,

0:52:200:52:24

we've had enough and we want a change and we don't care if that

0:52:250:52:29

change causes a rupture. And I think that is a lot of what is behind the

0:52:300:52:36

Trump and dominant. With just weeks to go, the question is whether Trump

0:52:370:52:44

still has a chance. His supporters are pinning their hopes on the vast

0:52:450:52:48

pool of undeclared voters whom they believe secretly favour their man. A

0:52:490:52:57

crucial group is younger voters. There are loads of them. I think a

0:52:580:53:08

lot of young people feel a little bit jaded about the state of

0:53:090:53:11

America. And I can see why that speaks to a lot of Trump supporters

0:53:120:53:15

as well. They feel that America is not in a great condition because

0:53:160:53:18

they feel that their personal condition is not what they would

0:53:190:53:21

like it to be. Went Donald Trump says he wants to make America great

0:53:220:53:25

again, that's just what you want to hear, isn't it? The problem is, make

0:53:260:53:31

America great again, and when was it great before, and what was good

0:53:320:53:35

about it? America used to be a lot better, but the whole great again

0:53:360:53:40

thing... What makes you pause when you think about Hillary? Probably

0:53:410:53:45

the fact that she has been so entangled in the Clinton name. Like

0:53:460:53:53

Trump, they're both brands. They feel like political brands, they

0:53:540:53:57

don't feel like people that you can relate to. These reluctant Hillary

0:53:580:54:01

supporters prefer a candidate out of the Washington Tupperware catalogue

0:54:020:54:10

to an alternative they think rotten. It is the lesser of two evils.

0:54:110:54:17

Donald Trump is fascism in its current form. The choice sucks, but

0:54:180:54:21

do we really have a choice? I think the most important thing right now

0:54:220:54:25

is that my generation votes. But they're not entirely despairing of

0:54:260:54:29

the future. This year's dismal election may, they hope, prove a

0:54:300:54:35

kind of watershed. Everybody seems to be talking about the way in which

0:54:360:54:40

American politics has become arise between two very, very solid

0:54:410:54:45

positions, the Republicans and the Democrats - is it going to stay like

0:54:460:54:49

that, do you think? I hope this is the fever pitch, the peak moment of

0:54:500:54:53

that trend. But I also think there is a chance we could keep going from

0:54:540:54:57

here and become even more polarised, and that's my biggest fear. America

0:54:580:55:04

has been deeply divided before. It is Burke in 1863 saw the mightiest

0:55:050:55:11

clash between the forces of north and south, union and Confederate.

0:55:120:55:17

The union ultimately triumphed, the country held together by that

0:55:180:55:21

awkward visionary. When Abraham Lincoln stood on this blood-soaked

0:55:220:55:26

battlefield, he pledged that government by the people, of the

0:55:270:55:31

people, for the people, shall not perish. And it hasn't. But many of

0:55:320:55:39

those who make the effort to vote in this presidential election will do

0:55:400:55:42

so holding their noses, which ought to tell us perhaps that something

0:55:430:55:51

has gone wrong with Lincoln's dream. Both candidates have waged divisive

0:55:520:55:58

campaigns. You could put half of Trump supporters into what I call

0:55:590:56:04

the basket of deplorables. We have a divided nation because people like

0:56:050:56:08

her, and believe me, she has tremendous hate in her heart, and

0:56:090:56:11

when she said deplorables, she meant it. The question now is, what next?

0:56:120:56:20

Can Washington be made to work again? All the problems in

0:56:210:56:26

Washington are solvable very easily by one word. What that? Leadership.

0:56:270:56:36

Witch is the party system irreparably broken? I think we will

0:56:370:56:41

see a very different Republican Party, whatever happens on the 8th

0:56:420:56:46

of November. So much is at stake on election night. Those two competing

0:56:470:56:53

narratives are going head-to-head. But in the end, I think what is true

0:56:540:56:55

is, America has changed greatly. For now, Hillary looks set to win.

0:56:560:57:02

But as Brexit showed, the unexpected CAN happen.

0:57:030:57:06

This race won't be over till it's over.

0:57:070:57:10

And maybe not even then, if there are legal challenges,

0:57:110:57:17

or the loser refuses to concede. It's been a dirty fight so far,

0:57:180:57:22

and it could still end messily. Will whoever wins be

0:57:230:57:25

able to unite america? Or will this bitter election leave

0:57:260:57:30

this great democracy even more divided than it is now?

0:57:310:57:36

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