06/12/2012 Pawb a'i Farn


06/12/2012

Similar Content

Browse content similar to 06/12/2012. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!

Transcript


LineFromTo

Tonight's panel - journalist Bethan Jones Parry.

0:00:270:00:29

Guto Bebb, Conservative MP for Conwy.

0:00:290:00:31

Plaid Cymru Assembly member and former Heritage minister Alun Ffred Jones,

0:00:310:00:35

and President of the Welsh Lib Dems President Christine Humphreys.

0:00:350:00:40

Please welcome them.

0:00:420:00:44

Good evening and welcome to Pawb a'i Farn.

0:00:590:01:05

On a cold December night we have an hour to set things to

0:01:050:01:09

right in Colwyn Leisure Centre, Parc Eirias, Colwyn Bay.

0:01:090:01:15

We're about 100 yards from the sea, with some locals in the audience,

0:01:150:01:20

as well as people from villages a little further afield.

0:01:200:01:24

After a week of floods and the Chancellor's statement,

0:01:240:01:27

there's no shortage of topics, If you want to respond to our discussion in any way,

0:01:270:01:31

the usual addresses are at the bottom of the screen, and you're

0:01:310:01:36

welcome to contact us if you want to join us in Ystradgynlais next week.

0:01:360:01:41

That's the last programme before Christmas,

0:01:410:01:44

but tonight we're in Colwyn Bay.

0:01:440:01:47

Our first question comes from Llyr ap Glyn.

0:01:470:01:51

The Chancellor says the economic crisis won't come to an end

0:01:510:01:54

for years, in his statement yesterday.

0:01:540:01:56

Are the panellists confident that he's on the right track?

0:01:560:02:00

A timely question from Llyr.

0:02:000:02:02

The economic crisis won't be over for years,

0:02:020:02:05

according do the Chancellor's statement yesterday.

0:02:050:02:09

Are the panellists confident he's on the right track? Alun Ffred Jones.

0:02:090:02:13

No.

0:02:130:02:15

We can measure his successes

0:02:150:02:19

and failures according to his own yardstick.

0:02:190:02:21

He said this crisis would last five years.

0:02:210:02:28

Earlier this year he said he needed two more years to balance the books.

0:02:290:02:33

Yesterday he said he needed an extra year. He's already behind.

0:02:330:02:38

He also said the economy would grow 3% this year.

0:02:380:02:43

A year ago, he said that would come down to below 1%.

0:02:430:02:48

Yesterday he admitted that the economy had receded during the year.

0:02:480:02:54

So by his own admission, he's failed.

0:02:540:02:58

Another disappointment in yesterday's statement -

0:02:580:03:01

there was no reference at all to Wales.

0:03:010:03:03

One of the things we've talked about and which

0:03:030:03:05

we consider very important, and by now may economists agree,

0:03:050:03:08

we need to invest in financial schemes in order to turn the economy

0:03:080:03:13

around, bring work to companies, new hope for workers, and so on.

0:03:130:03:17

There was money for finance.

0:03:170:03:20

Yes, things have started to turn,

0:03:180:03:20

but it's a small sum in the context of the years.

0:03:200:03:24

There was no mention of borrowing rights for the Welsh Government,

0:03:240:03:28

because we've been saying - not me,

0:03:280:03:30

but people who understand markets, have been saying regularly

0:03:300:03:36

that you have to invest heavily in these next few years in order

0:03:360:03:40

to counteract the fact that the economies of Britain

0:03:400:03:43

and Europe are so poor.

0:03:430:03:44

So no mention of that - another disappointment.

0:03:440:03:49

Right. Guto Bebb?

0:03:500:03:52

It was certainly not the kind of statement you'd have hoped for,

0:03:520:03:56

two years into the present government.

0:03:560:03:58

Yet he sounded quite confident himself.

0:03:580:04:01

It's crucial that we consider the context.

0:04:010:04:04

When the coalition government came to power and when the schemes

0:04:040:04:07

were set up, we didn't expect the Euro to have done so terribly poorly.

0:04:070:04:12

And again in context, the figures show that it's expected that the

0:04:130:04:17

British economy will grow faster than France and Germany, even.

0:04:170:04:21

So in that context, we have to put it in context.

0:04:210:04:24

But the economy in Britain hasn't grown faster than France and Germany.

0:04:240:04:27

No, I said the forecast.

0:04:270:04:29

I didn't say it had happened yet.

0:04:290:04:31

But if we consider the British economy with most European

0:04:310:04:34

economies, it's been remarkably positive in comparison - for example,

0:04:340:04:37

we've got more people reworking in Britain now than ever before.

0:04:370:04:40

People said that when this government came to power, the cuts would

0:04:400:04:44

lead to unemployment all over the country.

0:04:440:04:48

But we've seen more jobs in the private sector. So in that...

0:04:480:04:53

Many of them part-time.

0:04:530:04:54

Well, that's one of the most foolish accusations I hear from politicians.

0:04:540:04:58

You're saying that a part-time job has no value.

0:04:580:05:01

People appreciate a chance to contribute to the family

0:05:010:05:04

income through part-time jobs,

0:05:040:05:05

and politicians who say that are very irresponsible, I think.

0:05:050:05:08

We should welcome any jobs.

0:05:080:05:10

The evidence shows that having a part-time job often leads to

0:05:100:05:14

developing your career.

0:05:140:05:15

Suggesting otherwise...

0:05:150:05:17

No, you have to be careful, saying you're creating jobs.

0:05:170:05:21

Half those new jobs are part-time, that's all I'm saying.

0:05:220:05:25

And we're suggesting that creating jobs is a failure?

0:05:250:05:29

The point is, they're not as good as full-time jobs.

0:05:300:05:34

That's incredible.

0:05:340:05:36

We often hear parties like Plaid Cymru

0:05:360:05:38

and Labour say they want part-time jobs,

0:05:380:05:41

to give people a chance to have a balance between working and looking

0:05:410:05:44

after a family, but when those jobs are created, they condemn it.

0:05:440:05:48

There's an element here of wanting their cake and eating it.

0:05:480:05:53

We've had a budget that shows there is a way forward,

0:05:530:05:57

there is a chance to tackle the debt...

0:05:570:06:00

despite the lack of growth this year.

0:06:000:06:02

It's hard to be positive, when as Alun Ffred has said,

0:06:020:06:05

the economy is receding.

0:06:050:06:06

But in context of this difficult situation that we're facing,

0:06:060:06:10

there are things that we should take seriously in this budget,

0:06:100:06:13

for instance, since the coalition government was formed,

0:06:130:06:16

anyone who earns the minimum wage will have seen

0:06:160:06:19

their income tax being halved,

0:06:190:06:21

so that there's an extra £50 in their pockets.

0:06:210:06:23

That kind of action while we're in such a financial difficulty,

0:06:230:06:28

is to be welcomed.

0:06:280:06:29

You can come back shortly. Bethan Jones Parry.

0:06:290:06:31

There are several points arising.

0:06:310:06:33

Can I say that I agree with Alun Ffred about the part-time jobs.

0:06:330:06:37

I'm sorry, Guto,

0:06:380:06:39

but I feel that there are many big companies who come

0:06:390:06:43

and brag that they're creating jobs - many supermarkets,

0:06:430:06:46

and so on - they will offer jobs part-time, because they don't

0:06:460:06:51

want the financial burden

0:06:510:06:56

and the responsibilities of offering full-time jobs, and I feel that

0:06:560:07:01

many families, while it's great that they have jobs,

0:07:010:07:06

but it's not work that will give them a full wage,

0:07:060:07:09

so that they can support themselves.

0:07:090:07:11

What about Guto's point, that it could lead to more?

0:07:110:07:15

In depressed areas -

0:07:150:07:19

if I can relate your question to my answer to

0:07:190:07:24

the question asked by Llyr,

0:07:240:07:29

I don't feel that people are confident to be enterprising,

0:07:290:07:35

to invest - I don't think people feel,

0:07:350:07:39

as Christmas approaches,

0:07:390:07:41

that society is fearful,

0:07:410:07:43

and because of that, I believe it would be much wiser

0:07:440:07:49

for the Chancellor and for the coalition government,

0:07:490:07:52

to look at the effect of what is happening,

0:07:520:07:55

and its effect on the spirits of society as it stands.

0:07:550:08:00

Because it doesn't matter how much you increase income tax rates,

0:08:000:08:07

if people are afraid to invest and to spend,

0:08:070:08:11

they're going to be live in economic fear, and it won't help the economy.

0:08:110:08:16

Over to the other side of the coalition

0:08:160:08:19

we have Christine Humphreys.

0:08:190:08:21

It's obvious, the people of Britain and Wales aren't stupid.

0:08:210:08:26

They understand what's going on in Europe, even in china.

0:08:260:08:30

The economy's going down a little in China.

0:08:320:08:35

We're living in a world where there are problems.

0:08:350:08:39

When the coalition came in, we were a trillion pounds in debt.

0:08:400:08:45

That's gone down a little.

0:08:450:08:47

Well, the debt hasn't gone down, but we've tackled the economy.

0:08:470:08:55

But for how long can you carry on to blame what

0:08:560:08:58

happened during the term of another government?

0:08:580:09:01

I don't blame what happened, just saying that there is

0:09:010:09:08

a situation where we were in terrible debt, and we're still in debt.

0:09:080:09:14

The situation is just as bad, isn't it?

0:09:140:09:17

Yes, but I'm not going to take lessons from the Labour party,

0:09:170:09:21

either, because when you hear Ed Balls talking, he has no answers.

0:09:210:09:26

What would happen in this country if Ed Balls took George Osborne's job?

0:09:260:09:32

We'd be in an even worse situation, because he doesn't have any answers.

0:09:320:09:40

That's not much comfort!

0:09:400:09:42

No, but the problem is, there is a problem in the economic world,

0:09:420:09:48

and we have to live...

0:09:480:09:49

But some countries seem to be changing direction.

0:09:490:09:53

But Dewi, the papers have been full of threats recently that

0:09:530:09:57

Britain is about to lose this AAA rating that is so important.

0:09:570:10:02

And which is so important also to George Osborne.

0:10:020:10:05

So isn't that a criticism of the economic direction that the

0:10:050:10:08

Chancellor is following?

0:10:080:10:10

-Answer that, Guto.

-America has lost it. So has France.

0:10:100:10:13

That shows this government is doing something right, that we

0:10:130:10:17

haven't lost it.

0:10:170:10:20

I said we were about to lose it.

0:10:180:10:20

It hasn't happened yet.

0:10:200:10:22

It still puts it in the context of what's happened in other countries.

0:10:220:10:25

Countries like Spain - I can borrow better than Spain can borrow,

0:10:250:10:29

and that says a lot!

0:10:290:10:31

The truth is that we've heard there's no hope.

0:10:310:10:34

Does it matter if we lose this? This rate?

0:10:340:10:37

What's come from America and France is that since they've lost

0:10:370:10:40

that rate, they can still borrow cheaper than they could before.

0:10:400:10:43

So there is a question of its importance.

0:10:430:10:46

But regarding confidence, I have to make this point.

0:10:460:10:50

More new businesses have been established in these last few years than happened before,

0:10:500:10:53

and similarly, the point about investment is crucial.

0:10:530:10:56

That's why we've raised capital allowances for small business

0:10:560:10:59

from £25,000 a year to £250,000 a year, to encourage people to invest.

0:10:590:11:03

All I can say is that most economists by now -

0:11:030:11:08

and the IMF accepts this -

0:11:080:11:12

that starving the patient just does more harm than good.

0:11:120:11:16

So they're in favour of investment, particularly in capital schemes,

0:11:160:11:22

and that's one of the things we've been preaching for two years...

0:11:220:11:25

-But they are going to invest.

-It's £5 billion. It sounds a lot, but it isn't compared to the cuts.

0:11:250:11:30

-But where's the money going to come from?

-Exactly.

0:11:300:11:34

When the coalition government came in,

0:11:340:11:39

there was a note from Liam Byrne, Chief Secretary to the Treasury,

0:11:390:11:44

saying there is no money left.

0:11:440:11:46

So if you are going to invest,

0:11:460:11:48

where are you going to find the money to invest?

0:11:480:11:52

The IMF now accepts that at times like this,

0:11:520:11:56

you have to invest in order to boost confidence.

0:11:560:11:59

So the argument is - we're being condemned for increasing debt,

0:11:590:12:02

but we're supposed to increase the debt even more!

0:12:020:12:04

That's what Plaid Cymru are saying! It's a ridiculous argument.

0:12:040:12:07

No, it isn't. If the IMF is ridiculous...

0:12:070:12:10

The IMF has gone into underprivileged countries

0:12:100:12:13

and they've made even greater cuts than this, even.

0:12:130:12:16

What's happening in the European Community...

0:12:160:12:19

They realise their mistake.

0:12:190:12:23

Too much recession is harmful and at some point,

0:12:230:12:27

you have to start to invest.

0:12:270:12:30

You need confidence to invest.

0:12:300:12:31

That's what happened in the Depression in America -

0:12:310:12:34

investment and getting people aback to work.

0:12:340:12:36

The economy turned around.

0:12:360:12:37

Anyone who suggests that the international economy

0:12:370:12:40

we have now compares with the American

0:12:400:12:42

economy in the '30s shows that he doesn't understand economics.

0:12:420:12:45

I'm not the only one who says that.

0:12:450:12:49

Many economists now say that you can't go ahead...

0:12:490:12:52

That's why the money markets have such confidence in economies

0:12:520:12:56

like France, after the Socialists came into power.

0:12:560:13:00

The four of you can have a break. Let's turn to the audience.

0:13:000:13:05

You see how the country is in such a state.

0:13:050:13:08

We've got two politicians on the panel and they don't agree,

0:13:080:13:11

so what chance do we have?

0:13:110:13:12

Don't you like to see a bit disagreement?

0:13:120:13:14

None of them are coming out with sensible ideas. That's the trouble.

0:13:140:13:20

The problem with investment, if you go back to the time

0:13:200:13:24

when European money came to Ireland, or

0:13:240:13:27

when Objective One came to north Wales, where did that money go?

0:13:270:13:31

It was ruined.

0:13:320:13:33

When you talk about investment, you have to have a proper scheme,

0:13:330:13:37

not just throwing money at something.

0:13:370:13:39

You have to decide what to do. Look at Ireland.

0:13:390:13:41

The houses that were built, the roads that were built,

0:13:410:13:43

and look at the state they're in now.

0:13:430:13:45

You're talking nonsense, until you come up with a plan.

0:13:450:13:48

That's from London, and from Cardiff.

0:13:480:13:50

You're not looking at it properly;.

0:13:500:13:53

It doesn't look like you have confidence in politicians from any party.

0:13:530:13:57

No, because I've been a politician myself on a local council,

0:13:570:14:00

and I've no faith in myself!

0:14:000:14:02

LAUGHTER

0:14:020:14:03

Gwyn Evans, the small businesses man in the north?

0:14:050:14:07

I completely agree that we've wasted Objective One.

0:14:070:14:11

We're doing the same with the conversion fund now,

0:14:110:14:13

and we're looking for a load more money.

0:14:130:14:16

Even Liverpool did it twice. We need three or four times.

0:14:170:14:21

What was wrong with what George Osborne said

0:14:210:14:24

yesterday from your point of view?

0:14:240:14:27

I thought in a way he was on the right track, giving businesses

0:14:270:14:30

an incentive to start, and to small businesses - because they say

0:14:300:14:34

that's it's small businesses who will get us out of this mess.

0:14:340:14:38

If you go back to the Assembly,

0:14:380:14:41

at one time we were top of the list, attracting businesses to Wales.

0:14:410:14:46

Now, we're second from the bottom in Europe, trying attract businesses.

0:14:460:14:50

-The whole of Wales?

-The Assembly got rid of the WDA, for a start.

0:14:500:14:55

That's going back several years.

0:14:550:14:59

-It's done Wales a lot of damage.

-That was a mistake. Come on, please.

0:14:590:15:06

We're in this crisis because the banks have been lending

0:15:060:15:09

too much money for the public to buy houses and so on.

0:15:090:15:13

Now, the Assembly are saying they're going to borrow millions to

0:15:130:15:16

spend on the Heads-of-the-valley road and so on,

0:15:160:15:20

How will they pay it back? Winning the lottery?

0:15:200:15:22

It's the kind of capital expenditure we were talking about.

0:15:220:15:25

We need to improve our roads, don't we?

0:15:250:15:28

Yes, but how are they going to repay it?

0:15:280:15:31

Why not build them as and when they and afford them?

0:15:310:15:35

Goronwy Edwards?

0:15:350:15:37

A lot of small businesses are willing to take risks.

0:15:380:15:42

But the banks are unwilling to lend them money. That's the problem.

0:15:420:15:47

A lot of people have ideas and want to develop businesses

0:15:470:15:50

but they can't get the money.

0:15:500:15:57

Marc Jones?

0:15:570:15:59

I think Alun Ffred's right. We need to invest.

0:15:590:16:04

He's suggested in the past when we've been in this mess -

0:16:040:16:09

this is what successful go governments have done.

0:16:090:16:11

They've invested themselves out of a hole.

0:16:110:16:14

And the countries that are successful today have invested.

0:16:140:16:18

They talk of household economics.

0:16:180:16:21

If a husband and wife lost one job,

0:16:210:16:23

the first thing they do is not go out to raise a mortgage,

0:16:230:16:29

but go out and try to get more money in.

0:16:290:16:31

Thanks, Marc. Gareth Wyn Jones?

0:16:310:16:35

Red tape with small businesses needs to be stopped.

0:16:350:16:37

There's too much paperwork

0:16:370:16:39

and too many people telling small businesses what to do.

0:16:390:16:43

If you want to encourage them, they need to be helped in that way.

0:16:430:16:46

A sentence each from the politicians, to take us

0:16:460:16:48

to the break.

0:16:480:16:50

I agree with that point.

0:16:490:16:50

That's why we've moved from a situation of one in, one out,

0:16:500:16:53

to a situation where we're saying, one rule in, two out -

0:16:530:16:55

and we have to simplify the situation,

0:16:550:16:57

so that people can invest in their businesses.

0:16:570:17:00

I still say, in a very difficult international situation,

0:17:000:17:04

I wouldn't deny that - you still have to invest in capital schemes

0:17:040:17:08

so that businesses have work, and to give people hope young people.

0:17:080:17:12

So more lending, then. Well, after 20 minutes' discussion,

0:17:120:17:15

we're not going to agree on that, but thank you for that.

0:17:150:17:18

Next, we'll be talking about the floods which have hit

0:17:180:17:20

this region particularly hard during the last few weeks.

0:17:200:17:23

Join us again after the break.

0:17:230:17:25

Welcome back to Colwyn Bay to Pawb A'i Farn.

0:17:430:17:46

Our next question about the flooding is from Gwyn Williams.

0:17:460:17:51

Does the panel agree that much more needs to be done to prevent

0:17:510:17:54

floods in future?

0:17:540:17:57

Thanks, Gwyn.

0:17:570:17:59

Does the panel agree that much more needs to be done to prevent

0:17:590:18:03

floods in future?

0:18:030:18:04

I look forward to hearing what happened to you in these parts.

0:18:040:18:09

-Let's start with you, Bethan, as you had a difficult experience.

-Yes.

0:18:090:18:12

We had floods in the house - carpets and everything ruined.

0:18:120:18:16

But in context, about two days later I was in St Asaph,

0:18:160:18:22

and it was nothing compared to the chaos there.

0:18:220:18:25

The house is ruined, and it's a terrible thing to happen.

0:18:250:18:32

When I heard this question being asked,

0:18:320:18:35

I immediately thought of a cousin of mine who lives in Norway.

0:18:350:18:39

If you want to get to his front door, you have to ascend some stairs, and

0:18:390:18:43

the reason for that is because the snow in winter comes up to a certain

0:18:430:18:47

level, and the house has been built to take that into consideration.

0:18:470:18:53

I think the weather...

0:18:530:18:55

I'm old enough to say that our weather has definitely changed.

0:18:550:19:01

We have loads of rain now.

0:19:010:19:04

Is there more rain?

0:19:040:19:08

Much, much more.

0:19:050:19:08

We've had two serious instances this year in Wales of flooding -

0:19:090:19:14

Talybont, and now, the Vale of Clwyd, Rhuthin and St Asaph.

0:19:140:19:18

There are minor things we can do, and there are major things we can do.

0:19:180:19:25

I'd encourage every single politician, both locally

0:19:250:19:29

and in the Assembly

0:19:290:19:33

and in Westminster to seriously look at the way we approach floods.

0:19:330:19:38

There are things that we could do, like clearing ditches -

0:19:380:19:42

the responsibility for that shouldn't lie solely with farmers,

0:19:420:19:45

though one would like to see them do it -

0:19:450:19:48

but it was a ditch that caused the flooding to my house.

0:19:480:19:54

The way you build and design houses - I think you have to put more

0:19:540:19:58

pressure on the big companies who get planning permission to

0:19:580:20:01

build in places where common sense says there is a danger of flooding.

0:20:010:20:08

Can I throw that over to the politicians?

0:20:080:20:10

Alun Ffred Jones, have we been too keen to let these houses be

0:20:100:20:14

built in places which are liable to flood?

0:20:140:20:18

The Department of the Environment published maps several years

0:20:180:20:22

advising against that,

0:20:220:20:24

but in the past estates have been built in stupid places.

0:20:240:20:26

But going around Arfon, Llanberis, Tryfan, Talybont,

0:20:260:20:29

all these places were flooded.

0:20:290:20:32

One thing struck me, a lot of common sense - there was a lot of rain.

0:20:320:20:37

People accept that.

0:20:390:20:41

It reminds me of Gwilym Hiraethog's hymn, saying that all

0:20:410:20:45

the reservoirs of heaven, complete until now, have burst their banks.

0:20:450:20:48

That certainly happened that day.

0:20:480:20:51

But certainly, the Department of the Environment, the council,

0:20:510:20:56

Welsh Water even, need to look in detail, because in almost all

0:20:560:20:59

those places, one of the problems was ditches,

0:20:590:21:03

streams going through villages, under very low bridges,

0:21:050:21:11

or just pipes unable to contain the water.

0:21:110:21:13

They need to look carefully to see if anything can be done,

0:21:130:21:16

because what was happening was that the water was just carrying

0:21:160:21:19

so much rubbish down, it was creating small dams,

0:21:190:21:23

and the water had nowhere to go except up and into people's homes.

0:21:230:21:29

So that needs looking at, you have an expert in the audience, I know.

0:21:290:21:32

We'll hear from him shortly. Let's hear from the audience.

0:21:320:21:37

In Rhuthin, we had unexpected floods.

0:21:370:21:39

Last Tuesday morning, there were warnings about what might

0:21:390:21:43

happen in St Asaph, and as we know, it happened.

0:21:430:21:46

Our hearts go out to the families who have suffered there

0:21:470:21:52

so terribly, one family in particular.

0:21:520:21:56

It's been a tragedy for a number of people all over north Wales.

0:21:560:22:01

Talking of Rhuthin, an housing estate was build on flood land -

0:22:010:22:06

it's that simple.

0:22:060:22:08

The maps showed that.

0:22:080:22:10

When that was discussed by the town council in 2006,

0:22:100:22:15

they tried to persuade people that the houses weren't really

0:22:170:22:22

needed at all, because there was no need for over 300 houses at the time.

0:22:220:22:26

Looking at the maps, it was shown clearly that this was a flood plain.

0:22:260:22:32

There's nothing wrong with the houses, they're fine -

0:22:320:22:35

the owners are nearly all young families are very happy

0:22:350:22:41

with their properties. They've invested what little they have.

0:22:410:22:46

So who's to blame?

0:22:460:22:47

You have the Environmental Agency.

0:22:490:22:51

You have Denbigh County Council,

0:22:510:22:54

and you have also the former Welsh Development Agency, possibly.

0:22:540:23:01

People have to provide answers.

0:23:010:23:03

The Assembly will stand up for the old authority,

0:23:030:23:06

people will answer on behalf of the Environment Agency...

0:23:060:23:10

-You're shooting bullets at everyone.

-We're not shooting any bullets yet.

0:23:100:23:15

We want answers because people are suffering.

0:23:150:23:18

Gwyn Williams,

0:23:180:23:20

you asked the question and represent a farmers' union.

0:23:200:23:24

I totally agree with what Bethan Jones Parry said.

0:23:240:23:27

We need to clear the ditches.

0:23:270:23:30

The main complaint of people in rural areas

0:23:300:23:34

is that ditches are left and streams close...

0:23:340:23:38

But is that the responsibility of the agencies?

0:23:380:23:41

-If this is on your farm...

-No, I mean on the roads.

0:23:410:23:45

But, to take it a step further, we have had floods in the Conwy Valley.

0:23:450:23:51

Fortunately, we weren't hit during the recent floods.

0:23:510:23:55

The problem is, my friend Mike Davies in front of me,

0:23:550:23:59

from the Agency, we've argued many times about this,

0:23:590:24:03

that we need to clear the bottom of the River Conwy.

0:24:030:24:06

That would have solved a lot of problems and minimised the spending

0:24:060:24:12

-over the last few years.

-We'll hear from Mike in a moment.

0:24:120:24:17

Dilwyn Roberts, leader of Conwy Council, were you to blame?

0:24:170:24:21

Erm, we get a lot of the blame, but...

0:24:210:24:25

Are you guilty or not guilty?

0:24:250:24:27

Gwyn has hit the nail on the head.

0:24:270:24:29

There is a lot more that could be done by the Environment Agency,

0:24:290:24:34

as Gwyn says.

0:24:340:24:36

We'd all like to do everything perfectly,

0:24:360:24:39

but we have to remember that for local authorities,

0:24:390:24:44

around 65% of our budgets

0:24:440:24:49

goes towards preparing social and education services.

0:24:490:24:53

Just over 12% of our budgets

0:24:530:24:56

is there to be divided between everything else.

0:24:560:24:59

It's difficult to meet the demands of everything.

0:24:590:25:03

-Do you have the money when something like this happens?

-No.

0:25:030:25:07

But we're grateful for the support we receive.

0:25:070:25:10

We hope to solve some of these problems

0:25:100:25:12

with the Welsh Government.

0:25:120:25:16

Our sympathies go out to those who've had problems.

0:25:160:25:19

We're grateful to you for being here on behalf of Conwy Council.

0:25:190:25:22

We couldn't find a spokesperson for Denbighshire Council.

0:25:220:25:26

Gwyn Evans?

0:25:260:25:27

I would say that businesses and homes have been damaged.

0:25:270:25:33

More than that, my son lived in the area and suffered damage.

0:25:330:25:39

I blame the Environment Agency.

0:25:390:25:43

If they cleared these rivers... if you went into the River Elwy

0:25:430:25:47

and saw the mess, it's no wonder that Llanelwy was flooded.

0:25:470:25:52

At 2.30am,

0:25:520:25:54

my son was by the river speaking to five or six Agency workers.

0:25:540:25:58

He told them that if they knocked down a wall further down the river,

0:25:580:26:04

it would free the water.

0:26:040:26:06

They said, "We don't do things like that, do we?"

0:26:060:26:09

They had no way of stopping it.

0:26:090:26:14

Hywel Jones?

0:26:140:26:15

I come from Rhuddlan. You didn't mention Rhuddlan.

0:26:150:26:20

The bottom of Rhuddlan was flooded.

0:26:200:26:25

I remember, many years ago,

0:26:250:26:27

the River Clwyd flowed directly under the bridge.

0:26:270:26:32

Now, and over the last few years,

0:26:320:26:35

there have been branches and other things stuck under the bridge.

0:26:350:26:39

It's obvious that rivers and ditches aren't cleared.

0:26:390:26:42

Let's give the Environment Agency a chance to reply.

0:26:420:26:45

Thank you for joining us, Mike Davies.

0:26:450:26:48

What do you make of these points? You're getting it from all angles.

0:26:480:26:52

I'd like to start by expressing sympathy

0:26:520:26:55

to those who have suffered during these floods,

0:26:550:26:58

not just locally, but across Wales during the summer.

0:26:580:27:02

We work with the communities and see the damage being caused.

0:27:020:27:05

It causes a lot of heartbreak.

0:27:050:27:07

We definitely need to do more.

0:27:070:27:10

Maintenance work is something that needs more attention

0:27:100:27:15

-and we do carry out work.

-As much as Gwyn Williams would like to see?

0:27:150:27:20

It's impossible to achieve what everyone wants.

0:27:200:27:23

And it's impossible for the councils.

0:27:230:27:25

We have to do what needs to be done.

0:27:250:27:28

It's also important that we realise how extreme the weather has been.

0:27:280:27:33

And it's important...

0:27:330:27:35

Are we getting more rain these days?

0:27:350:27:38

Is there more than during the '60s and '70s?

0:27:380:27:43

We have seen rain like this in the past.

0:27:430:27:47

We've also seen floods like this.

0:27:470:27:50

The question is, is it going to happen more often,

0:27:500:27:53

as scientists are telling us?

0:27:530:27:55

The evidence points in that direction

0:27:550:27:58

so society has to stand up to this pattern and find a solution.

0:27:580:28:03

What are we going to do about it?

0:28:030:28:06

Maintenance is important but we need a balance.

0:28:060:28:10

What about the central point tonight?

0:28:100:28:12

Houses have been built on flood plains.

0:28:120:28:15

-Exactly. That is...

-But you agreed to that.

0:28:150:28:21

The most important thing we can learn from what we've seen

0:28:210:28:25

is to learn from the mistakes that were made.

0:28:250:28:28

We need to avoid those developments.

0:28:280:28:31

We're advising those responsible for the planning process

0:28:310:28:36

and giving them the best information possible

0:28:360:28:38

and decisions are made using that information.

0:28:380:28:41

Gareth Wyn Jones?

0:28:410:28:43

I feel like the man up there.

0:28:430:28:46

If we don't clear the rivers and cut down the trees nearby...

0:28:460:28:50

If you go down the A55 and look at the Ogwen River,

0:28:500:28:54

a tree has fallen across the river.

0:28:540:28:56

That should have been cleared straight away

0:28:560:28:59

or it will cause more problems.

0:28:590:29:01

Mike?

0:29:010:29:03

On the question of maintenance,

0:29:030:29:05

we have to remember that the water has got to go somewhere.

0:29:050:29:09

No river in the world will contain every drop of rainfall.

0:29:090:29:14

The water will flow onto what is historically a flood plain.

0:29:140:29:19

That can be agricultural land.

0:29:190:29:22

It's important to remember that.

0:29:220:29:24

But if you dig down four feet, the water level's four feet lower.

0:29:240:29:31

You disagree?

0:29:310:29:33

Completely. It's not that simple. If it was, that would've happened.

0:29:330:29:37

Water has got to go somewhere and if you dig four feet into a river,

0:29:370:29:42

unless you went from the source tom the sea,

0:29:420:29:46

it would cause a flood somewhere else.

0:29:460:29:48

-If you clear a ditch in one field...

-People disagree.

0:29:480:29:53

I'm sorry, but if you look at where the bridges are...

0:29:530:29:59

If you clear those places... It's not rocket science.

0:29:590:30:02

I'm a farmer and I see it every day.

0:30:020:30:05

If you don't clear the ditches, it clogs up, and goes somewhere else.

0:30:050:30:10

I respect you, but I think too many people sit in these offices

0:30:100:30:16

and don't understand what needs to be done.

0:30:160:30:19

Was there another hand up here, before I go back to the panel.

0:30:190:30:22

-Yes?

-Many years ago, I worked along the coast

0:30:220:30:28

on what they call, or what the do called, tidal gates.

0:30:280:30:33

I don't think that anyone knows where they are now.

0:30:350:30:40

And the system with the tidal gates is that the tide comes in

0:30:400:30:44

and closes the gate.

0:30:440:30:47

The tide goes out and the gates open.

0:30:470:30:51

They don't work now.

0:30:510:30:53

And so, you get floods.

0:30:530:30:56

Right. Dewi Jones in the back. Let's get the microphone over.

0:30:560:31:00

I would like to know,

0:31:000:31:02

we are local to Bodelwyddan, I heard on the news after the floods

0:31:020:31:08

that there's a development plan between Bodelwyddan and St Asaph.

0:31:080:31:13

Hundreds of houses to be built.

0:31:130:31:15

This is coming from the government, this scheme.

0:31:150:31:20

There is a farmer there I know.

0:31:200:31:23

There are 600 acres of his land that have been underwater.

0:31:230:31:27

I was reading about that today in the Daily Post.

0:31:270:31:31

600 acres have been underwater and it's within

0:31:310:31:33

a quarter of a mile of where these houses are to be built.

0:31:330:31:36

Where is the sense? Why isn't the government changing its plans now?

0:31:360:31:41

Right, thank you very much. Guto Bebb.

0:31:410:31:44

In the first place, naturally there are questions to be asked and we need answers.

0:31:440:31:48

But we should also be thanking the emergency services for their work.

0:31:480:31:52

And also, we hear plenty of condemnation

0:31:520:31:54

of the fact that the county councils are not cooperating, but

0:31:540:31:57

I understand the cooperation between Conwy and Denbigh has been superb.

0:31:570:32:01

The weather we have had has been extremely bad. We've had a wet year.

0:32:010:32:06

And I think people do recognise that the weather has been unnatural,

0:32:060:32:09

but the question is whether this is going to continue.

0:32:090:32:13

That of course means we need to reconsider planning.

0:32:130:32:17

But also we need to ask whether lessons need to be learned.

0:32:170:32:20

A lot of work has been done in the Conwy Valley. It has not necessarily been popular, but

0:32:200:32:25

when I woke in a flat in London and heard that 500 houses were affected

0:32:250:32:29

by the awful weather in North Wales, I was expecting it to have happened in the Conwy Valley.

0:32:290:32:34

You feel for those people that were affected,

0:32:340:32:38

but it raises the question does this teach us anything in moving forward.

0:32:380:32:42

Finally, regarding the development plan taking place throughout Wales, meaning houses will be

0:32:420:32:48

built across North Wales, I feel we are developing houses

0:32:480:32:51

without considering where they are going and who they will serve.

0:32:510:32:55

-That is a wider question than flooding.

-Are they needed and why are we building them on that land.

0:32:550:33:00

Certainly. The same argument has taken place in Conwy and I know that the council's hands are tied.

0:33:000:33:05

There is an order and an expectation that they act coming from the Assembly.

0:33:050:33:10

-I don't know where the Assembly got its figures.

-The Government.

0:33:100:33:15

Well, I think the figures are being squeezed.

0:33:150:33:19

My understanding is that those figures originally

0:33:190:33:22

came from figures created by John Prescott, and that says it all.

0:33:220:33:26

Christine Humphreys.

0:33:260:33:28

Can we return to the matter of using the flood plains?

0:33:280:33:34

I remember being on planning committees in the '80s and '90s.

0:33:340:33:37

I remember sitting there asking why they were planning to build

0:33:370:33:43

houses on this land because it is a flood plain.

0:33:430:33:48

And the answer was -

0:33:480:33:50

it's not a matter to be considered under the planning regulations.

0:33:500:33:55

That was the answer every time.

0:33:550:33:58

Everyone knows where the flood plains are.

0:33:580:34:02

-And yet, we had to give planning permission.

-That is not true.

0:34:020:34:07

The Environment Agency is one of those that have input.

0:34:070:34:11

There are maps showing clearly where you can't build houses.

0:34:110:34:16

So if a county council or planning committee doesn't listen to

0:34:160:34:20

that then that's their decision.

0:34:200:34:23

But isn't it true that the Assembly Government, as it was,

0:34:230:34:26

eased restrictions back in 2004?

0:34:260:34:31

The Environment Agency maps are very detailed.

0:34:310:34:38

The matter of how many houses you build is a different matter

0:34:380:34:43

and an important matter. It is controlled by the surveyors.

0:34:430:34:48

But I think we need a different body for Wales to deal with that matter.

0:34:480:34:54

We're talking here about who is responsible for what

0:34:540:34:57

and who has done this and who hasn't done that.

0:34:570:35:02

I'm sure I'm right in saying that Huw Vaughan Thomas,

0:35:020:35:05

the Auditor General, has said either today or yesterday that more

0:35:050:35:09

cooperation is needed between the emergency services and the

0:35:090:35:14

other agencies with responsibility when something like this happens.

0:35:140:35:19

I think that should be a priority

0:35:190:35:21

and I was surprised to hear that it wasn't already happening.

0:35:210:35:25

There is a lot of cooperation between...

0:35:250:35:27

I've heard a lot of praise for the cooperation between agency and council workers.

0:35:270:35:32

You can have the final word. We're grateful you have come here tonight to answer the complaints.

0:35:320:35:37

It's only fair that you have the final word.

0:35:370:35:40

Picking up on that, the idea of cooperation,

0:35:400:35:43

it's important we raise awareness in communities of flood risk

0:35:430:35:47

and work in those areas to deal with floods when they occur.

0:35:470:35:52

Thank you very much to everyone who contributed to that debate.

0:35:520:35:56

Join us in two minutes when we'll be discussing Welsh books.

0:35:560:35:59

It's time for an advert break.

0:35:590:36:01

Welcome back. We're in Colwyn Bay for this week's Pawb a'i Farn.

0:36:160:36:20

This is the final part of the programme

0:36:200:36:23

and we're going to discuss Welsh books next.

0:36:230:36:25

The question is from Rhodri Sion. Where are you, Rhodri?

0:36:250:36:29

In the back.

0:36:290:36:31

Does the panel believe that we produce too many Welsh books,

0:36:310:36:35

as so few people read them these days?

0:36:350:36:39

Rhodri, a pupil at Ysgol Dyffryn Conwy,

0:36:390:36:41

asking - does the panel believe that we produce too many Welsh books,

0:36:410:36:45

as so few people read them these days?

0:36:450:36:48

Guto Bebb, do you read Welsh books?

0:36:480:36:50

Well, not as many as I should. But yes, I do, to an extent.

0:36:500:36:55

I'm not sure whether the wording of the question is correct.

0:36:550:36:58

From what I've seen of the figures, I think the Books Council has published figures showing

0:36:580:37:03

there has been an increase in the sales of Welsh books.

0:37:030:37:07

There has been a fall for the rest of the UK.

0:37:070:37:10

And certainly, I met with the Publishers Society in London

0:37:100:37:15

last week and they see the Welsh Books Council as an example that

0:37:150:37:19

can be adopted in other parts of the UK to try and promote authors.

0:37:190:37:23

I think the fact that we have such a wealth of books being published

0:37:230:37:26

in Welsh is important, to show that the language is alive and well.

0:37:260:37:29

So you wouldn't say that too many are being published?

0:37:290:37:32

Well, we must be aware of the sales figures.

0:37:320:37:36

Naturally, we're aware of what happened with S4C's viewing figures falling.

0:37:360:37:41

People can point the finger because the taxpayer is contributing.

0:37:410:37:45

But the range of what is available and wealth is something we should welcome.

0:37:450:37:50

And also concentrating on children's books is something we should welcome.

0:37:500:37:54

And we should also not think of our produce a second class.

0:37:540:37:57

I saw recently that William Roberts' Y Pla was in its second edition,

0:37:570:38:01

it has been translated into a number of European languages.

0:38:010:38:05

Many books have been published in different languages.

0:38:050:38:09

We have stuff being produced that is often recognised,

0:38:090:38:13

maybe not in England, but certainly further afield.

0:38:130:38:17

Bethan Jones Parry?

0:38:170:38:19

I love the fact that we have so much choice and variety.

0:38:190:38:23

And on that point made by Guto, I also see this wealth and

0:38:230:38:26

variety published as a reflection of the changes happening in Wales.

0:38:260:38:32

The last novel I read was Heulfan by Llwyd Owen.

0:38:320:38:36

It's a very readable novel.

0:38:360:38:39

But it's about a different Wales than the one I am used to.

0:38:390:38:44

I really enjoyed it.

0:38:440:38:47

What about this suggestion we often hear that there are too many autobiographies?

0:38:470:38:52

-Well, they sell, yes.

-Does market research prove that?

0:38:520:38:58

Well, when I owned a bookstore, the autobiographies certainly sold.

0:38:580:39:02

John Ogwen and Jonsi, they sold in their hundreds.

0:39:020:39:07

And I know that these days, those kind of books can sustain them.

0:39:070:39:13

Certainly during the dark months after Christmas.

0:39:130:39:17

How many of the audience read Welsh books?

0:39:170:39:19

Gareth, you have published your own book. You can give it a plug!

0:39:190:39:26

Well, I enjoyed writing the book and it's been fantastic.

0:39:260:39:32

There is a book inside all of us.

0:39:320:39:37

And it has been a bestseller in Wales for a month.

0:39:370:39:42

I have a bestseller.

0:39:420:39:45

Congratulations. Gareth?

0:39:450:39:47

Talking about academic books, I'm at Bangor University

0:39:470:39:52

and I have trouble finding Welsh books for geography.

0:39:520:39:58

-An academic subject.

-Yes.

-But do you read novels?

0:39:580:40:04

What I mean is I waste hours translating into English,

0:40:040:40:08

as I am doing the course in Welsh.

0:40:080:40:11

-So if anything, we need more Welsh books.

-Thank you.

0:40:110:40:17

Yes, I read Welsh books and I have worked in a library.

0:40:170:40:20

I've just retired.

0:40:200:40:22

We always looked forward to the books being

0:40:220:40:26

published for the Eisteddfod and for Christmas.

0:40:260:40:32

-There weren't enough.

-Not enough?

-No.

0:40:320:40:36

Miriam, what about you? How much reading do you do?

0:40:360:40:41

I don't read that much, I must admit.

0:40:410:40:45

I don't find there's much that appeals to me.

0:40:450:40:47

But I must say, I've not really looked into it.

0:40:470:40:51

I've taken it for granted that it's all like the books I read for GCSE.

0:40:510:40:58

And that's not really something I would like to read.

0:40:580:41:02

-Girls?

-I read a lot of Welsh books. I enjoy them.

0:41:020:41:09

I think that Welsh literature is something unique

0:41:090:41:13

and it's incredible.

0:41:130:41:16

Our authors have a special kind of humour that you don't

0:41:160:41:21

see in English books.

0:41:210:41:23

-Fantastic. And you?

-I haven't read many Welsh books.

0:41:230:41:28

-But I would like to start.

-Great. What about you boys?

0:41:280:41:33

How much reading do you do?

0:41:330:41:36

I'm talking more about when the panellists were children...

0:41:360:41:42

Llyfr Mawr Y Plant!

0:41:460:41:48

But that is a fair point.

0:41:480:41:52

Things have improved a lot since when we were children. Alun Ffred.

0:41:520:41:56

Yes, but there were authors, T Llew Jones.

0:41:560:41:59

Trysor Y Mor Ladron is one of the best Welsh language novels.

0:41:590:42:04

J Ellis Williams, there were books.

0:42:040:42:07

Yes, there was not as much stuff about back then,

0:42:070:42:11

but there was some extremely good stuff.

0:42:110:42:15

The situation has changed, thank goodness,

0:42:150:42:19

and we need more quality stuff.

0:42:190:42:24

-Christine?

-I don't think there are too many books being produced.

0:42:240:42:30

We have young children learning Welsh and as they grow,

0:42:300:42:35

they need the opportunity and a wide range of choice.

0:42:350:42:42

If anything, maybe we need more. Maybe we need more marketing.

0:42:420:42:47

Maybe we need more books that appeal to young people.

0:42:470:42:50

But the point made by the young man, it is a different question.

0:42:500:42:55

But a lack of material for students and school children is an issue.

0:42:550:42:59

A quick question on this, because I'd like to move on to one final question, Angharad Mair

0:42:590:43:03

said on her Sunday morning show that it was our duty to buy Welsh produce.

0:43:030:43:08

How do you respond to that?

0:43:080:43:10

No, I wouldn't... Who is going to enforce this duty?

0:43:100:43:16

Are we going to have "the book police"?

0:43:160:43:20

-The police commissioner!

-Yes, the police commissioner.

0:43:200:43:24

-Guto?

-I would not say there is a duty. It is important the stuff sells itself.

0:43:240:43:29

And I think that is increasingly true. We're seeing it in music, for example.

0:43:290:43:35

There are so many groups that can sing in Welsh. The quality is there.

0:43:350:43:39

-Alun Ffred?

-No, I don't think it's a duty.

0:43:390:43:44

And certainly, I will just wander round and see what is there,

0:43:440:43:48

in Welsh and English. The truth is you cannot compare.

0:43:480:43:51

When you see the amount of stuff that is available in English, what is available in Welsh is nothing.

0:43:510:43:56

-Christine?

-Well, I had a book of Hedd Wyn's poetry given to me as a present

0:43:560:44:03

last week and I'm looking forward to reading that over Christmas.

0:44:030:44:08

Maybe it should be our duty to buy a Welsh book for someone else.

0:44:080:44:13

-A Christmas present.

-Good answer.

0:44:130:44:15

I want to move on, sorry. A question from you, Miriam. We've already heard from you.

0:44:150:44:20

How much authority do the new police commissioners have,

0:44:200:44:24

considering how many people bothered to vote?

0:44:240:44:28

Miriam asking the question - how much authority do the new police

0:44:280:44:31

commissioners have, considering how many people bothered to vote?

0:44:310:44:35

-Christine Humphreys?

-Obviously, not many people went out to vote.

0:44:350:44:39

-Less than 20%.

-Yes. It was disastrous.

0:44:390:44:45

When I went to vote, only 5% of the population had voted.

0:44:450:44:51

And that was quite late at night.

0:44:510:44:55

Obviously, it wasn't something that people thought was important.

0:44:550:45:01

As a Liberal, I didn't agree with it because I don't think that

0:45:010:45:06

someone in a job like that should be political.

0:45:060:45:12

And I was glad of the opportunity to see that there were

0:45:120:45:16

independent candidates on the list.

0:45:160:45:19

There was a Liberal in North Wales.

0:45:190:45:23

A member of the Liberal Democrats, but the Liberals weren't standing.

0:45:230:45:30

But a vote has taken place and we have a result.

0:45:300:45:36

And the commissioners now have four years to

0:45:360:45:40

-prove that they have a job to do.

-This was David Cameron's idea, Guto.

0:45:400:45:44

It was a Conservative Party idea and I think it is one of those

0:45:440:45:48

policies that I think is correct, but has been implemented badly.

0:45:480:45:53

I've said that publicly a number of times.

0:45:530:45:55

-What happened?

-I think there was a mixture of things.

0:45:550:45:59

The decision to hold the vote in November was a basic mistake.

0:45:590:46:02

The decision not to provide money to ensure information went to all homes was a mistake.

0:46:020:46:07

But to put it in context, five million people voted,

0:46:070:46:11

and that's five million more than were responsible for the old police authorities.

0:46:110:46:16

And also during the past three weeks, six MPs have been

0:46:160:46:19

elected in by-elections and some of those had turnouts of under 25%.

0:46:190:46:22

No-on is questioning their authority.

0:46:220:46:26

So Miriam should not be asking this question?

0:46:260:46:29

It's a fair question, and I think we now have a challenge.

0:46:290:46:33

Those elected to these roles need to prove that the jobs are relevant

0:46:330:46:37

and they can make a difference.

0:46:370:46:40

-Alun Ffred?

-A silly and pointless idea.

0:46:400:46:44

It will be interesting to see in four years' time

0:46:440:46:48

if it's made any difference.

0:46:480:46:51

Everyone will know who they are by then.

0:46:510:46:54

Well, nobody knew who they were.

0:46:540:46:56

Anyway, it's happened now and good luck to them. They'll need it.

0:46:560:47:01

It's important to note that in London, for example,

0:47:010:47:04

Boris Johnson is the police commissioner.

0:47:040:47:07

People are aware that if they want to complain about the Met Police, they know where to go.

0:47:070:47:12

Answer that point, Alun Ffred. We'll know who these people are.

0:47:120:47:16

If you have a complaint, you can go to Winston Roddick.

0:47:160:47:20

But under the old system...

0:47:200:47:22

He will have a lot of people knocking on his door.

0:47:220:47:26

-That's a good thing.

-There was a local link through the councillors on the police authority.

0:47:260:47:30

I'm not saying that system was perfect, but I don't think this is an improvement.

0:47:300:47:33

-Just one point...

-Sorry, no.

0:47:330:47:36

we have someone on the panel who will be working for the North Wales police commissioner, Bethan.

0:47:360:47:40

Yes, trying to reach out to the various communities.

0:47:400:47:45

How much authority will he have as a result of the turnout?

0:47:450:47:49

The commissioner has authority, as he was elected in the correct fashion.

0:47:490:47:56

Winston Roddick won the election.

0:47:560:47:59

So he has the authority as a result of that.

0:47:590:48:06

Saying that, I agree. I've never seen such a campaign.

0:48:060:48:10

Disorganised, the wrong time of year, very disappointing.

0:48:100:48:14

There we are. We must end there. Sorry, you do not have a chance to contribute on that subject,

0:48:140:48:18

audience, but thank you for your contributions this evening. And thank you, panel.

0:48:180:48:23

Next week, we will be in Ystradgynlais.

0:48:230:48:26

I hope you can join us. From Colwyn Bay, good night.

0:48:260:48:29

Download Subtitles

SRT

ASS