15/03/2012 Question Time


15/03/2012

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Hope we are in St Andrews tonight. Welcome to Question Time. On our

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panel tonight, the new leader of the Scottish Conservatives, Ruth

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Davidson. The Labour MP Frank Field, asked in Tony Blair's days to think

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the unthinkable on welfare. Also from the Scottish parliament, a

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rising star of the SNP, Humza Yousaf. The leader of the Scottish

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Liberal Democrats, Willie Rennie, standing in at short notice for

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Charles Kennedy, who missed his flight this evening. And the

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journalist and broadcaster Janet Our first question is from Stephen,

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please. What should good Osborne announce in the Budget that was

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significantly decreased long-term unemployment? -- George Osborne.

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Ruth, what do you think? A will not speculate on what will be in the

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Budget. Come on! But I think we can recognise the amount of work the

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coalition is doing to get the economy back on track and create

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jobs. We have seen the youth contracts to try and incentivise

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business is taking on new people. I would like to see that accelerated.

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We have seen people who are already in employment, particularly low-

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paid employment, work to increase their income. For example, lifting

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100,000 Scots out of the tax bracket, raising the tax bracket to

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�10,000. Will that be done next week? I would like to see it

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accelerated ahead of the timetable for the whole of Parliament. But I

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am not about to tell any secrets. Do you know any secrets? I have

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regular conversations with Number 10. Do you know what is in the

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Budget, but you are not prepared to tell us? I am not saying that. But

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I have put my tuppence worth in for Scotland. Humza Yousaf, what would

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you like? We have asked for three things. The Gentleman is right to

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highlight unemployment as the biggest crisis so the Government is

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facing. Capital expenditure is one way to grow employment and get out

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of the rut we are in. For every �100 million of capital expenditure,

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we are supporting 1400 jobs. The Scottish government has 36 projects

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ready for construction. Depending on Westminster? Absolutely, so we

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want to see the finance coming through so that we can support

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those jobs. On top of that, if you run a small or medium-sized

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business, you are not getting the lending from these publicly-owned

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banks. That is a disgrace. We have taxpayer owned banks who are not

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lending to help businesses grow jobs. George Osborne needs to get a

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grip. Don't the banks have to make up their own minds about who they

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lend to, or should the Government insist that they lend willy-nilly?

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It is just wrong that we have banks that are owned by taxpayers and the

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public that are busy building up their balance used instead of

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helping small and medium-sized businesses increase and take on

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people and get us out of the unemployment rut. George Osborne

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should absolutely not abolish the 50 pence tax. That is that wrong

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priority for the situation we are in. A frank Field, do go along with

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the Scottish National Party assessment? Not totally. There are

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two things which George Osborne should do in the Budget. The most

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important move he could make to increase employment would be to

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give a National Insurance holiday for employers taking on new people.

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While of course, some would fiddle at the margin and so on, I can't

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think of any other simple move that would most increase employment

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prospects for people in our countries that face a grim future.

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So it if you take on a new worker, you don't pay national insurance

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for a year? Not the way she wants? We are already doing that for the

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first 10 employees of new businesses for the first two years.

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National Insurance is being looked at. But most jobs will not come

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from new businesses. The second thing he should do - we have a real

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problem, particularly in areas like mine, where people have done 13

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years in school and find it difficult to present themselves

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properly for a job. Labour's job programme was, I think it took us a

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long time to get there, but it was the best thing we did. We gave

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people who would not otherwise be looked at by employers the chance -

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we said simple things, like just turning up on time, being clean and

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tidy. Has that been scrapped by the coalition government, is that what

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you are saying? That Direct scheme has been scrapped to pay for the

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Great Work programme. But if we focus on the question rather than

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parading our prejudices, we go for the national insurance cut and

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boost business confidence. And we make sure those who find it hardest

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to fit into jobs when they are there, that we boost their

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confidence. Janet Street-Porter, what would you do if you were

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Chancellor? I would look at youth unemployment and the fact that

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there are over 1 million young people unemployed. I would also

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consider the fact that across Europe, youth unemployment is

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equally high. Because we are in the EU, young people from other EU

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countries are coming here, and have every right to take jobs, whether

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we like it or not. I agree with Frank. We have to ensure that when

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our young people leave secondary education, they are better prepared

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to work and more employable and literate. That means absolutely

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pouring a huge amount of resources into further education. We need

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more teachers and better targeted classes. We need to ease people

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into employment. If we don't target these million kids who are

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unemployed, we will have civil unrest. How do they get jobs if

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there is no work? They are not getting jobs because better

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qualified young people are coming in. But Humza Yousaf says they are

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not getting jobs because banks are not lending money. Frank Field it

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says it because nationally showers is too expensive. We are talking

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about minimum-wage jobs, cleaning jobs, service industry jobs, jobs

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where this country has a lot of work available. You want young

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people to take those? I want their minds are to be changed so that

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they are going into it. At the moment, they are mostly

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unemployable. I agree with Janet that we should be getting people

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into these jobs. But the problem is that young people today think they

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deserve more and expect more, and they are unwilling to get into the

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jobs that are out there. That needs to be addressed. When you talk to

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young people who come into this country looking for work from

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Estonia or Mafia or Spain, they are willing to do anything -- when they

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come from that via or Spain. That is because the unemployment is so

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phenomenal back home. Willie Rennie, what do you think should be

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announced in the Budget that would help solve the long-term

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unemployment? It is clear that there are no simple answers to this.

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A lot of it is treading the fine line between spending enough to

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stimulate the economy, but not spending too much to unsettle the

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market. When you unsettle the markets, the cost of borrowing goes

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up. So we end up having to spend less. By one of the things we are

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doing it is implementing the UK youth contract from April, which is

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worth �1 billion. That will bring more apprenticeships and

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incentivise businesses to employ more people. It will also bring

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wage subsidies. Those are the things we should be doing. But it

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is not enough, because it is tough. Do you think George Osborne is

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doing the right things, or do you agree with Vince Cable that the

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Government has not set out a proper strategy? There are always vigorous

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debates within government. But who is right? For they have come to an

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agreement between the two of them. But Vince Cable says one thing and

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George Osborne says another. They share a view that the Government is

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on the right track. If I could come back in, the original question was

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about long-term unemployment. We have to recognise where we have

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come from. Under the last Labour government, 5 million people across

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the UK never had a job for those 13 years. These are people who are

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long way from the labour market. Frank talk about the work programme.

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That is designed to help those furthest from the jobs market back

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in. It gives specific support to the agencies helping them, and it

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makes sure it is not putting people into a six-week posting a minimum

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wage job. The payments to the agencies that are helping those

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long-term unemployed, people who may have drug addiction problems or

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have come out of prison, are staggered payments. You get part of

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the payment when somebody access as a job. You get further when they

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are there for six months and then more when they are there for two

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years. The man up there? Is it a case of managing young people's

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expectations? 30 or 40 years ago, you started at the bottom and work

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your way up to the top. But now, there is an image of going straight

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to the top. Is that not unrealistic? Is there any evidence

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that people are refusing to take jobs for that reason? Two people

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have just said so. I count myself as a young person. Well, you have a

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nice job. No disrespect to the gentleman, but every person says,

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back in my day, we did this and that. From the young people I talk

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to, I have gone into a lot of high schools, like a number of the

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members here, and they have a drive that I have not seen before and a

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willingness to get their sleeves rolled up. But in terms of David

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Cameron and George Osborne and the Budget next week, we have seen that

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Obama and David Cameron have been the best of pals, with their arms

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around each other, by nature a hot dogs. Get to the point. The point

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is that it would be good for David Cameron to take a leaf out of

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Obama's book that the way to start the economy is through a stimulus

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package, not too deep, swingeing, fast cuts that hit the most

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disadvantaged. Frank? Clearly, lots of people don't have a job because

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they can't find one. But there are others which Janet spoke of about

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their attitude. On Friday, I read a report from Janet's paper about

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three young people who had never had jobs. I was talking about

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getting them a job. One of them said, we are not prepared to get

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out of bed unless we get �300 a week. I said, but you can't read or

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write. Who will give you a job for that kind of money? And they said,

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get serious. We will not entertain a job unless it pays �300 a week.

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So I said, you should take a job. To which I heard the worst thing I

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have ever heard in my political life. This young guy leaned across

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the table, screwed up his face and said, so you would make us take

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immigrant jobs, would you? And I said, you bet I would. This whole

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attitude, that somehow we have this extraordinary number of young

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people coming into the country and wanting to work, and we have still

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to learn the lesson from that. Janet spoke about the obvious fact

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that while many people are desperately searching for work, at

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the same time there are others who consider that some jobs are beneath

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:13:13.:13:13.

them. I will go on to another question from Jon Stewart. Would

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Scotland be financially better off as an independent nation? This is

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not a question about the Scottish economy, but it is a reference to

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what seems to be a key issue, judging by the polls, which is that

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if you tell people in Scotland that they will be �500 better off, 65%

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of them will say they will vote for independence. If you say they will

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be �500 worse off, 65% of them vote against. It seems to be a matter of

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whether independence makes you richer or poorer. And nothing else.

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Independence is a lot more about the economy. In the economic

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climate we are in, it is incredibly important. The question was about

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whether Scotland would be better off as an independent country. I

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firmly believe it would be. The Government's own expenditure

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Revenue statistics showed that we give the Treasury 9.6%, while we

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are 8.4% of the population. But do you agree it is the crunch point of

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the Ottoman full independence, that whenever we get at the referendum

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on Scottish independence will be arguing about how much more will be

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in the pocket? It is undoubtedly an important part of why I believe in

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independence. If it is not to do with flag-waving, haggis eating,

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Braveheart nationalism. These are things that I quite like doing!

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Incidentally, sometimes at the same time. But the independence that we

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crave is to have those economic powers. The independence that we

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crave is to create jobs and wealth. That at its most simple and most

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basic, the reason I believe in independence is because the

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decisions made about Scotland and in Scotland should be made by those

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that care most about the interests of Scotland. That is the people of

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Scotland. Economics is important but it is about so much more than

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that. The I think if independence is just based on a bank balance,

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that is the wrong reason for independence. I thought you wanted

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independence because your life would come to a natural end unless

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you had it. Everybody's life comes to a natural end. I thought it was

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because you were culturally so strong, so proud that you had to be

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independent, otherwise life was not worth living. I think you will have

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independence but it will cost a lot of money. Will you have a border,

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your own money, your own stamps? How are we going to split the

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defence budget? I was reading Stephanie Flanders' on the BBC, and

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I did not think that you did. The way I read it was that Scotland

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actually costs England money. You have quoted your own figures.

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UK Government's figures, actually. I have just read Stephanie Flanders,

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who begs to differ. But I think, should Government be based on

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money? If you are independent, is did going to cost a fortune?

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can't answer that, it is a rhetorical question. Of the problem

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with Humza Yousaf is that he does not know whether we will be better

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off. That is an assertion that Scotland would be better off but we

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do not have the evidence to prove it. The problem is that we would

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have much more risk. The rough and this move would be difficult.

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do you make of this Social attitudes survey that says it is

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the clinching point? Purely money. Much of it is money. We can hear

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from the audience whether they think money is at the heart of it.

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There are 40% who would stay in the Union no matter what and about 35%

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who would go Independent no matter what but there is a bulk of people

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in the middle who would be swayed by whether Scotland will be better

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off. It is not just about themselves but about the nation as

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well. Is the issue is around money, surely now is not the time to have

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this debate, in a recession? Precisely the best time is now to

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have this debate. If anything, the economic leaders would be better to

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have now, so regardless of what you wanted to do with them, it would be

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to our advantage to have them so we could take ourselves out of the

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mess that we are in. With the suggestion that Britain might lose

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its Triple A credit rating, how would an independent Scotland have

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a good credit rating, with the history of RBS being its biggest

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bank? Briefly, if you would. There are two companies that have come

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out and expressed doubt in the UK's credit rating, but it is worth

:18:10.:18:14.

knowing that two-thirds of the countries with a Triple A credit

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rating, two-thirds of them have a population of under 10 million. Not

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only that, but with a one trillion pound oil asset base, we would be

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able to preserve that AAA status. You are concerned about the effect

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on England. I certainly am, but I am incredibly depressed by the

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question and the support that it is getting. I thought this was a great

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debate about the nature and destiny of nations and of mankind. The idea

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that it is all going to be determined on whether you have a

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few quid better off in your pocket or not, is deeply depressing. There

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are clearly lessons that England needs to learn from this whole

:18:57.:19:02.

experiment that you have had and made a success of, devolution. But

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your devolution success has had a consequence on us in England, in

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that it has affected our bearing and our status, and how we think we

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should actually conduct ourselves in the world. I was very much

:19:16.:19:21.

hoping that the debate that you will have at some stage on whether

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you wish to go independent or not, would be a debate which looked at

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your experiences from devolution, looked at how it had affected up to

:19:34.:19:37.

that point and maybe beyond, where your hope for the friendly

:19:38.:19:40.

neighbours. What were the consequences on them? And whether

:19:40.:19:47.

in fact both countries will be stronger by dividing, or weaker.

:19:47.:19:54.

What do you think? I think we would be weaker. I fear the debate may go

:19:54.:19:58.

in such a way that the reaction in England is such that we would

:19:58.:20:02.

welcome that the measure of devolution which you have had.

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Certainly, I raised this question in the House. It is a legitimate

:20:09.:20:13.

issue to raise the Scottish question, but it is not yet so much

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a legitimate question to raise the English question. The English

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question being, if Scotland is self-governing, his England self-

:20:21.:20:26.

governing if Scottish MPs vote in Westminster? It is the rate --

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naive to think that the first tranche of devolution was the end

:20:29.:20:32.

of the journey, both for you, necessarily, and certainly a

:20:32.:20:36.

journey which we could not begin in England. I would welcome a debate

:20:36.:20:42.

which was not just about the money, but that somehow drew upon our own

:20:42.:20:47.

cultures and histories and tried to think about our place in the world,

:20:47.:20:57.
:20:57.:20:58.

and made a decision on that. The reason why the debate has been

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shifted on to the economics on whether it would be better if you

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had �500 is because the scaremongering Unionist parties and

:21:06.:21:11.

the media are shifting onto that terrain. The reason why Scotland's

:21:11.:21:13.

young people support independence is because we could be a

:21:13.:21:16.

progressive beacon in Europe and the world with a fully funded

:21:16.:21:20.

health service, fully funded education and the progressive

:21:20.:21:23.

foreign policy which does not indulge in imperialist war and

:21:23.:21:28.

illegal wars abroad. Is there evidence that an overwhelming

:21:28.:21:33.

majority of people under 21 in Scotland support this? Young people

:21:33.:21:37.

in Scotland are more prone to support independence. Which is why

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you want to give the vote to 16 year-olds. Absolutely. I think

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young people under the age of 18 have the right to vote.

:21:46.:21:50.

Do you think that 16 year-olds and 17 year olds are responsible enough

:21:50.:21:55.

to vote in a referendum? I think what is interesting is that what is

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being proposed is not that all 16 and 17 year olds should vote in the

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referendum, it is that some 16 and three quarter year-olds and some 17

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year-olds whose parents have registered them on the electoral

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roll have a vote in the referendum. I think there is a debate about

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where we put the voting age in this country, but you do not shift the

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goalposts for one referendum. Certainly not if you are saying the

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mandate you have for holding the referendum is from the

:22:21.:22:24.

parliamentary result in May last year. I would suggest the mandate

:22:24.:22:28.

comes from the franchise from that election, which was people who live

:22:28.:22:35.

in Scotland, including you citizens, over the age of 18. This is a great

:22:35.:22:38.

question which is going to affect Scotland, England and Wales. To

:22:38.:22:42.

think we have jumped from whether people will be better off to seeing

:22:42.:22:46.

whether we should fix the voting age to get a result, the whole

:22:46.:22:49.

thing, I am just shocked by you as an audience, those of you who have

:22:50.:22:53.

been speaking up like this. I thought I would be on the defensive

:22:53.:22:57.

as an English person and that you would actually try to charge -- to

:22:57.:23:01.

charm me about the values of independence. You are just

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scrabbling around on the floor. Does anybody want to charm Frank

:23:05.:23:11.

Field with the idea of independence? He keeps harping on

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about England, England, England. Surely it is Scotsman separating

:23:15.:23:21.

from the United Kingdom, not from England. -- Scotland.

:23:21.:23:24.

If you allow 17 year olds to join the armed forces they should have

:23:25.:23:31.

the right to vote for the country they are going to be fighting for.

:23:31.:23:35.

I would agree with that. If you are old enough to pay tax and be

:23:35.:23:39.

married, you are old enough to vote. What about the point that Frank

:23:39.:23:45.

Field is making, that he expected to be charmed? For me, it is about

:23:45.:23:50.

hundreds of years of history. I think the point was made at the

:23:50.:23:53.

back that it is not about Scotland separating from England but

:23:53.:23:57.

Scotland separating from the United Kingdom.

:23:57.:24:05.

Sorry to disappoint Frank, but some people have strong opinions for and

:24:05.:24:08.

against independence. For a lot of people, it is culturally

:24:08.:24:12.

comfortable in the UK and I think for them the main thing is family,

:24:12.:24:17.

friends and their career and lifestyles. I think the extra �500

:24:17.:24:23.

does not surprise me in any way that it would be a deciding issue.

:24:23.:24:29.

Ruth, you did not speak at great length about this. But I can.

:24:29.:24:34.

sure you could speak for the rest of the programme! But on this issue

:24:34.:24:40.

of whether England will need some sort of response, or ought to have

:24:40.:24:43.

a response to Scottish devolution in terms of its own destiny, what

:24:43.:24:47.

do you say about that, or do you not care because it is an English

:24:47.:24:51.

issue? I have to say, I care more about the constitutional debate

:24:51.:24:55.

that is happening in Scotland. I think there is a lot more we want

:24:55.:24:59.

to talk about in Scotland about the substance of that debate. At the

:24:59.:25:03.

moment, debate has been restricted to the referendum, the question of

:25:03.:25:06.

the franchise and who should oversee it. We need to talk about

:25:06.:25:10.

what the guts of a separate state would be like, as opposed to where

:25:10.:25:15.

we are in the United Kingdom. wait for the SNP to put up ideas

:25:15.:25:20.

and knock them down? -- will you wait? Hopefully the two governments

:25:20.:25:25.

can work together towards a fair and legal referendum. And then we

:25:25.:25:29.

can move on to the substantive issues. But to bring up what Frank

:25:29.:25:33.

has been talking about, there is a grandly titled Commission for the

:25:33.:25:36.

consequences of devolution which has been set up by the UK

:25:36.:25:40.

Government, which is more colloquially known as the West

:25:40.:25:45.

Lothian question Commission, to look at that point about where

:25:45.:25:48.

England has English only legislation, because it is

:25:48.:25:51.

legislation that is devolved to Scotland, Wales and Northern

:25:51.:25:54.

Ireland, but people from Wales and Northern Ireland and Scotland can

:25:54.:25:59.

vote on it in the House of Commons. The West Lothian question is not a

:25:59.:26:02.

new anomaly. It has been around for a very long time and it is being

:26:02.:26:08.

looked at, to find out if there is a way to solve it. I wanted to come

:26:08.:26:13.

back on the voting age. I agree with the gentleman at the back is

:26:13.:26:17.

said that 16 and 17 year-olds not only joined the Army, can consent

:26:17.:26:20.

to marriage and having children, but somebody said are they

:26:20.:26:26.

responsible enough to vote? I knock on a lot of doors. I will show you

:26:26.:26:29.

some 30 year olds and 14-year-olds who are not responsible and should

:26:29.:26:35.

not be voting. -- 40. What gets to me the most about this issue, we

:26:35.:26:38.

have had this principle for 15 years, plus, and I have not seen

:26:38.:26:43.

any evidence to show that 16 and 17 year-olds are more likely to vote

:26:43.:26:48.

for independence. I think they will ask questions about it, too.

:26:48.:26:56.

you sure? Are you sure you are not going for it because you think...

:26:56.:27:01.

What I do not like to see is that parties that voted for it in the AV

:27:01.:27:06.

referendum who now dodge and dive and duck. And now they do not want

:27:06.:27:11.

votes for 16 and 17 year olds. That is hypocrisy, the Groucho Marx

:27:11.:27:14.

school of politics - these are my principles, and if you don't like

:27:14.:27:21.

them, I have others. Presumably you would go for votes for 16 year-olds.

:27:21.:27:25.

Can I address Frank's point? I think it is important to raise the

:27:25.:27:29.

level of this debate. To me, Britain is one of the most

:27:29.:27:32.

centralised states in the world and we need to decentralise it. That is

:27:32.:27:37.

why we favour home rule. Not independence, but home rule, where

:27:37.:27:40.

Scotland would be able to raise, through its Parliament, the money

:27:40.:27:44.

that it spends, so you could make decisions in Scotland but still

:27:44.:27:49.

remain a partner within the UK. The characteristics of Scots is about

:27:50.:27:53.

outward-looking, neighbourliness, community. Those are the

:27:53.:27:57.

characteristics of Scots. Separation is not that. My new

:27:57.:28:01.

partnership and to stay in the UK. England will not suddenly disappear

:28:01.:28:07.

if we go independent, it will still be there. But what Frank has said

:28:07.:28:10.

is that you're going to have a referendum in Scotland that will

:28:10.:28:14.

have a profound effect in England. It is almost as if we need to have

:28:14.:28:18.

a referendum in England about what the English think about this at the

:28:18.:28:22.

same time, because actually it is uncharted territory. The English

:28:22.:28:28.

could say, we will not let Scotland go? Frank has raised the important

:28:28.:28:33.

point that you cannot just separate two countries. We go on to another

:28:33.:28:38.

question from Phil Wishart. Up in a recent poll, nearly three-quarters

:28:38.:28:44.

of people said that the conflict in Afghanistan is unwinnable. Is the

:28:44.:28:49.

accelerated exit policy an admission of defeat? We have a lot

:28:49.:28:54.

of questions about Afghanistan. Is the exit strategy in effect an

:28:54.:28:57.

admission of defeat, given that three quarters of people say that

:28:57.:29:07.

the conflict is unwinnable? Janet. The exit strategy, I would say, is

:29:07.:29:11.

an admission of defeat in a war that is unwinnable, a war that we

:29:11.:29:21.
:29:21.:29:21.

should not really have gone into. It is a war in a country which has

:29:21.:29:26.

tribalism and strong religious beliefs. And I cannot see how

:29:26.:29:34.

anything we would have done would have changed the two opposing sides.

:29:34.:29:39.

If you look at when the British Army was in Northern Ireland, how

:29:39.:29:44.

long did that take? 30 years. And then the people of Northern Ireland

:29:44.:29:50.

had themselves to want peace. You cannot Tommy that the people in

:29:50.:30:00.
:30:00.:30:03.

So the talk about withdrawing being a success is rhetoric? It is

:30:03.:30:06.

rhetoric, and all the soldiers that have died in Afghanistan have given

:30:06.:30:12.

their lives for a war that is actually unwinnable and

:30:12.:30:17.

unfathomable, in my view. If you want to comment on this at home,

:30:17.:30:27.
:30:27.:30:39.

Ruth Davidson, the question is, is it an admission of defeat because

:30:39.:30:43.

we now say it is unwinnable? don't think it is. If you look at

:30:43.:30:48.

when we talked about the draw down of British forces, which has been

:30:48.:30:53.

talked about for some months now, we also have to look at how that is

:30:53.:30:57.

being phased in. We are at a stage where what we want to see as the

:30:57.:31:01.

endgame in Afghanistan is a stable state where Afghans take charge of

:31:01.:31:07.

their own security. At the moment, British troops are in central

:31:07.:31:11.

Helmand Province. They are training Afghan soldiers to look after that

:31:11.:31:18.

area. The Isa fish -- ISAF troops across the country are training a

:31:18.:31:21.

hundred and 45,000 Afghans to take control of their nation. Hamid

:31:21.:31:25.

Karzai has said they are close to the point at which they can take

:31:25.:31:29.

over, and it is time for the troops to go. And the Taliban have

:31:29.:31:34.

suspended negotiations. There is a lot of talk about how to deal with

:31:34.:31:39.

the Taliban in Afghanistan. In terms of where we have taken

:31:39.:31:44.

ourselves in that country, we have seen great improvements. What do

:31:44.:31:53.

you think of people saying -- three-quarters of people say the

:31:53.:31:56.

conflict is unwinnable? He speak to any female who has had schooling

:31:56.:32:00.

that they would never have had under the Taliban, they would be

:32:00.:32:07.

pleased. Is that winning a war, going to school? I do not think

:32:07.:32:12.

wars are won in opinion polls. the Taliban have already said women

:32:12.:32:19.

have to stay at home. If we allow the two sides to reach a settlement,

:32:19.:32:23.

the Taliban will withdraw all those rights. Let's hear from the

:32:23.:32:29.

audience. The woman at the back? do not think any country that has

:32:29.:32:36.

gone into Afghanistan to fight has ever won. Afghanistan always wins.

:32:36.:32:40.

So you think NATO should not have gone in at all and tried to chase

:32:40.:32:46.

Al-Qaeda out? Or did they stay too long? Perhaps you could do a quick

:32:46.:32:53.

for a, but you can't do anything else.

:32:53.:32:57.

There is rightly a lot of regret about Afghanistan, but what are we

:32:57.:33:00.

doing to learn from our experiences and issues like Libya, to avoid

:33:00.:33:05.

doing this again? What do you think the experience in Afghanistan is, a

:33:05.:33:09.

victory or a failure? I do not want to talk about victory or failure

:33:09.:33:13.

ten years after the war started. What do we do in the future to stop

:33:13.:33:19.

this kind of thing? How do you mean, this kind of thing? Well, for

:33:19.:33:23.

example, Libya was a completely different operation. We do not have

:33:23.:33:29.

enough knowledge with the people in these regions. South Frank Field?

:33:29.:33:32.

This is the only questions are far where I feel restrained in giving

:33:33.:33:38.

an answer. I supported the then government going into Afghanistan.

:33:38.:33:43.

Since then, so while not being central, I think we should be

:33:43.:33:48.

mindful that there has been a loss of 400 lives of British troops and

:33:48.:33:54.

5000 British troops have been badly mutilated. And while of course,

:33:54.:34:01.

policy should not be decided just on them, how we now stage our exit,

:34:01.:34:11.
:34:11.:34:13.

we should bear them in mind. And the language that we use, we should

:34:13.:34:18.

be mindful of them. I agree with the young gentleman at the front.

:34:18.:34:22.

There are lessons to be learnt from this, but there are lessons that

:34:22.:34:27.

should have been learnt from when we went into Iraq. I thought part

:34:27.:34:31.

of our going into Afghanistan, and the lady at the back was right, no

:34:31.:34:39.

country can claim to have beaten the inhabitants of Afghanistan. But

:34:39.:34:44.

we would also have a military programme and a political programme.

:34:44.:34:48.

It is Janet's point that the political programme from day one

:34:48.:34:51.

should have been to try to split the Taliban and get some of them on

:34:51.:34:59.

our side. If we genuinely thought this military intervention was at

:34:59.:35:04.

against terror and breaking up the terrorism training camps, it is

:35:04.:35:09.

clear that we picked the wrong country. It is Pakistan where most

:35:09.:35:15.

of this takes place, not Afghanistan. Once you name a date,

:35:15.:35:22.

however you try and dress it up, you change the politics in the

:35:22.:35:26.

country is. You try to bring about a political settlement by force.

:35:26.:35:33.

You are against the withdrawal in 2014? I think it is foolish to make

:35:33.:35:36.

those sort of statements for political reasons. But once you

:35:36.:35:42.

have made them, you change the politics. The debate then comes

:35:42.:35:47.

back Mack becomes not whether we keep to that date or whether we

:35:47.:35:52.

withdraw troops more quickly. woman in white? I think this issue

:35:52.:35:57.

of learning lessons is important, especially as regards the lives

:35:57.:36:01.

that have been lost. Surely we need to learn not to invade countries in

:36:01.:36:07.

a fit of vengeance without any due regard for history, without regard

:36:07.:36:12.

for what winning would even look like? And without regard for what

:36:12.:36:20.

happens. The man over there? As a serving army officer, I believe

:36:20.:36:24.

that whatever happens with the lessons that have to be learnt, we

:36:24.:36:32.

should not forget the 400 and for service personnel and those who

:36:32.:36:36.

have lost their lives and the 5000 who have been injured. Although

:36:37.:36:42.

fighting troops are being withdrawn in 2014, we will still maintain a

:36:42.:36:45.

presence within the Afghan National Army and the Afghan national police.

:36:45.:36:50.

I think that will go on for many more years to come. Do you have a

:36:50.:36:55.

view about whether the withdrawal in 2014 is an admission of defeat,

:36:55.:36:59.

and do you agree with people who say it is an unwinnable war?

:36:59.:37:03.

Conventional wars such as World War I and World War II, you could

:37:03.:37:08.

define the notion of defeat and victory. With an unconventional war,

:37:08.:37:11.

whenever you are fighting insurgents, you cannot define

:37:11.:37:18.

defeat and victory in terms of, we have won this or lost that. We will

:37:18.:37:22.

leave and look at the statistics and look at how much freedom the

:37:22.:37:25.

Afghan people have got, and how much development they have got, and

:37:25.:37:35.
:37:35.:37:36.

that is how we will measure the success or failure of the mission.

:37:36.:37:41.

Before we leave you, have used it in Afghanistan? I have not, because

:37:42.:37:47.

I am the joined the Army two years ago. But you would expect to?

:37:47.:37:53.

I have colleagues who are out there at the minute. Humza Yousaf?

:37:53.:37:58.

Gentleman speaks well. But the reason why this is an admission of

:37:58.:38:01.

defeat is not because this is a sacrifice of our brave men and

:38:01.:38:06.

women, it is because politicians have moved the goalposts. I was 16

:38:06.:38:10.

when we went into Afghanistan. But I remember then that the issue was

:38:10.:38:15.

to go and get Bin Laden, dismantle the Al-Qaeda network and the

:38:15.:38:19.

Taliban and get out. Now we have been twice as long in Afghanistan

:38:19.:38:23.

as we were involved in World War I. We have lost the battle of hearts

:38:23.:38:28.

and minds with the latest atrocity, the urination on the bodies of

:38:28.:38:32.

insurgents and the inadvertent burning of the Korans. We are

:38:32.:38:39.

putting our servicemen and women in danger. All of us have to reflect,

:38:39.:38:44.

as politicians on this panel and as a wider society, when did war

:38:44.:38:52.

become the first resort as opposed to the last? Were you against the

:38:52.:38:56.

invasion of Afghanistan? I was not against the invasion of Afghanistan,

:38:56.:39:01.

because the mission was defined as going in, finding Bin Laden and

:39:01.:39:04.

dismantling Al-Qaeda. It has now become an occupation. As the lady

:39:04.:39:08.

said at the back, no country has ever occupied Afghanistan. The

:39:08.:39:12.

British Empire, at the peak of its powers, could not occupy

:39:12.:39:16.

Afghanistan. The Soviet army could not occupied Afghanistan. Alexander

:39:16.:39:20.

the Great could not occupy Afghanistan. How on earth could we

:39:20.:39:24.

think we could occupy Afghanistan? A member of my family is a serving

:39:24.:39:28.

officer and has done five tours of duty in Afghanistan. He is fluent

:39:28.:39:33.

in Pashtun and has met various tribal elders. Over his five tours

:39:33.:39:38.

of duty, he said he finds that every time he goes back and speaks,

:39:38.:39:43.

sometimes to the same elders, they have stepped back. No progress has

:39:43.:39:48.

been made. Each time he goes back? There is a regression, rather than

:39:48.:39:55.

a progression. Willie Rennie? need to take a deep breath. At

:39:55.:39:59.

times, when soldiers died in conflict, we all feel for them and

:40:00.:40:04.

their families. We need to be careful that we do not make long-

:40:04.:40:08.

term decisions in these periods of stress. I would urge people to look

:40:08.:40:13.

at what we went into, the conditions we were faced with, the

:40:13.:40:18.

attack on 9/11. The response was to go into Afghanistan. Even Humza

:40:18.:40:22.

Yousaf agrees that it was right at the time. What do you do after

:40:22.:40:27.

that? We have caught Bin Laden, only recently. The Taliban have

:40:27.:40:32.

been active, so it is about bringing relative stability. We are

:40:32.:40:36.

talking about a judiciary, so that you have the rule of law. You are

:40:36.:40:40.

talking about the police and the military. We are training the

:40:40.:40:43.

police and military, and we are setting up the systems of law and

:40:43.:40:49.

order. It takes a long time, and it does go to and through. Sometimes

:40:49.:40:52.

you go back as well as forward. I have been to Afghanistan and

:40:53.:40:57.

Pakistan. It is a tinderbox. Frankie is right. It is actually

:40:57.:41:02.

about Pakistan as much as Afghanistan. If we were to withdraw

:41:02.:41:06.

in a rush, we would be betraying the people who have died out there

:41:06.:41:10.

and their families. We need to take the long view. But in the beginning,

:41:11.:41:19.

we went to fight the war on terror. But they are not in Afghanistan now.

:41:19.:41:23.

But what do you leave behind? not for us to rebuild countries

:41:23.:41:28.

around the world that do not conform. There is a consensus that

:41:28.:41:33.

we were right to go in and hunt down Al-Qaeda. When do you leave?

:41:33.:41:39.

Do you leave it unstable, or do you have a responsibility? But you did

:41:39.:41:49.
:41:49.:41:51.

not have an end date. Statice why we are keeping troops over their.

:41:51.:41:56.

Let me go back to the lady who was shaking her head when Willie was

:41:56.:42:00.

talking. The politicians do not always listen to the men on the

:42:00.:42:04.

ground. I do not necessarily mean the squaddies, who do a fabulous

:42:04.:42:09.

job, but the serving officers who have served more than one toff.

:42:09.:42:13.

They really do know. You say things go forward and back. After ten

:42:13.:42:20.

years, we should be making progress, not regressing. We will go on to

:42:20.:42:25.

another question now. Let me go on to one from Joseph

:42:25.:42:33.

Lumbasi, please. Was Donald Trump justified in warning the First

:42:33.:42:39.

Minister not to be "Mad Alex" over wind power? Barmoor Trump, the

:42:39.:42:45.

famous multi-billionaire, who is building golf courses - Mac Donald

:42:45.:42:49.

Trump suddenly rounded on the SNP and Alex Salmond about a proposal

:42:49.:42:54.

to build wind turbines. Everywhere in the UK is either threatened or

:42:54.:43:00.

welcoming wind turbines. He says he will not build his hotel until the

:43:00.:43:06.

whole thing is called off. What do you make of this? Janet Street-

:43:06.:43:12.

Porter, are you in favour of wind turbines? I was thrilled that

:43:12.:43:21.

Donald Trump might stop building that hotel. Fantastic news. I hate

:43:22.:43:27.

wind turbines. I have walked from Edinburgh to London for a series

:43:27.:43:31.

for the BBC years ago. And I walked right across England and Wales. The

:43:32.:43:36.

noise when you walk near a wind turbine that is in a beautiful area

:43:36.:43:41.

of outstanding natural beauty, you can hear them miles away. The

:43:41.:43:47.

disturbance from these things is awful. If they are offshore, if

:43:47.:43:50.

having one offshore means that Donald Trump will not build his

:43:50.:43:55.

golf course and resort, I would put up with one. But I have a house in

:43:55.:44:00.

Kent, and along the coast of Kent, there is issued wind farm in the

:44:00.:44:04.

Thames estuary. There are plans to put up more. It is not just about

:44:04.:44:10.

having the wind farms offshore, it is when you bring the electricity

:44:10.:44:16.

back on land. You have these huge sub-stations the size of several

:44:16.:44:19.

football pitches. And they are building them in areas of

:44:19.:44:24.

outstanding natural beauty. They are as big a blot on the landscape

:44:24.:44:30.

as the wind farm. When you read of wind farms breaking in high winds,

:44:30.:44:36.

and the government still has to pay for them, I cannot believe that

:44:36.:44:46.
:44:46.:44:48.

something as ugly as a wind farm is The Scottish National Party's as

:44:48.:44:53.

100% of Scotland's electricity can be produced by them and they will

:44:53.:45:03.

provide 60,000 jobs, according to your manifesto. 16,000 jobs. 60,000.

:45:03.:45:07.

That is what your manifesto said. Maybe you want to change the

:45:07.:45:12.

manifesto. I cannot change it after we got such a strong endorsement.

:45:12.:45:17.

Then you have to stick with the policy. Going back to that question,

:45:17.:45:27.
:45:27.:45:28.

I quite like wind farms. You have youth on your side! The opposition

:45:28.:45:32.

always say that Donald Trump is the best friend of Alex Salmond. He

:45:32.:45:37.

called him Mad Alex this week. With friends like that, you don't really

:45:37.:45:43.

need enemies, I suppose. What have you got against Donald Trump?

:45:44.:45:47.

not care a hoot what he thinks is best for Scotland. I would rather

:45:47.:45:51.

do what is best for the interest of the people here. We have a

:45:51.:45:57.

fantastic run 0 -- resource with renewable energy. 25% of Europe's

:45:57.:46:01.

green energy in Scotland. There is a fantastic resource. We have to

:46:01.:46:06.

invest in it. If we want a second bite of the cherry, we want to do

:46:06.:46:11.

any renewables revolution, we have to invest heavily in that. What is

:46:11.:46:16.

this 300 jobs there was talk about? They say it is 300 jobs and it

:46:16.:46:21.

rolls over for every wind farm. There have been hundreds of

:46:21.:46:25.

millions of pounds invested already in renewable technology. The First

:46:25.:46:31.

Minister was over in Qatar, Dubai, Abu Dhabi, where he signed a deal

:46:31.:46:36.

with Master city, one of the only foreign governments to sign such a

:46:36.:46:42.

deal. We are investing in renewable technologies. The reason people

:46:42.:46:46.

come to Scotland is because you have fantastic scenery and you are

:46:46.:46:53.

going to stick... Not if you have offshore wind farms. Willie Rennie.

:46:53.:46:57.

Both are you in favour of this? Some complain that it is not just

:46:57.:47:01.

those that are out at sea, but those that give landlords large

:47:01.:47:05.

rent for putting them in beautiful places. We should not forget the

:47:05.:47:10.

challenge we have. This is all about climate change. I suppose I

:47:10.:47:14.

disagree with Humza Yousaf in one respect, it is not just about jobs.

:47:14.:47:18.

It is about protecting the future of the climate. You are not

:47:18.:47:23.

disagreeing, just adding an argument to support his. We are

:47:23.:47:27.

trying to persuade people, because a lot of people do not like wind

:47:27.:47:31.

farms. If we sell it on the basis of jobs, rather than future

:47:31.:47:34.

generations and energy needs, I do not think we get the message across

:47:34.:47:38.

about how crucial it is. Do you believe 100% of electricity in

:47:38.:47:45.

Scotland can be produced by 2020? Yes. What you say to Janet Street-

:47:45.:47:48.

Porter's point that they are noisy and ugly and they will drive Donald

:47:48.:47:55.

Trump a way? I am a hill runner. I run underneath wind turbines, and I

:47:55.:48:00.

think there is nothing more beautiful of and more powerful...

:48:00.:48:07.

Than the sight of you running under it! I don't think my wife agrees.

:48:07.:48:11.

Personally, I find it disgraceful that you would worry about your

:48:11.:48:15.

view of the landscape when you are looking at renewable energy to

:48:15.:48:19.

provide for generations and generations. Right now, we are

:48:19.:48:22.

destroying our planet all around us and I think it is disgusting that

:48:23.:48:28.

you would worry about what something looks like. I worry about

:48:28.:48:32.

the landscape because you can never replace it. Once you have destroyed

:48:32.:48:36.

it and desecrated it, you cannot make it back again. I think

:48:36.:48:39.

technology will improve and there will be a better way of creating

:48:39.:48:42.

renewable energy than sticking up these ugly things that snap off

:48:42.:48:50.

when the wind is too strong. think wind turbines and wind energy

:48:50.:48:54.

should be part of a mixed energy solution. I do not believe we

:48:54.:48:57.

should have an obsession with any single type of energy. We have a

:48:57.:49:02.

rich array of sources in this country including oil and gas,

:49:02.:49:07.

hydro schemes in Scotland. We used to lead the way in hydro schemes.

:49:07.:49:11.

My problem with the preoccupation with wind farms is that it seems to

:49:11.:49:15.

ride roughshod over local people's views and consultation seems to be

:49:15.:49:19.

stacked against local communities. There should be genuine

:49:19.:49:22.

consultation. I also have an issue with the planning laws in this

:49:22.:49:26.

country, where a council can save a large scale wind developments

:49:26.:49:29.

should not go ahead and yet have the decision called in by the

:49:29.:49:34.

Scottish government to be overruled. So, are you with Donald Trump when

:49:34.:49:38.

he says Alex Salmond will be known as Mad Alex, the man who destroyed

:49:39.:49:43.

Scotland. I have never been with Donald Trump, nor will I ever be. I

:49:44.:49:49.

do not find him an appealing character. His Alex Salmond Mad

:49:49.:49:54.

Alex? I do not agree with him escalating the language. If we are

:49:54.:49:57.

talking about the Scottish government's policy of exporting

:49:57.:50:01.

energy to England and other parts of the UK, we already have a

:50:01.:50:06.

contracted agreement for that. 9% of energy goes to England. But the

:50:06.:50:09.

contract states that it cannot come from wind energy, it has to come

:50:09.:50:17.

from nuclear, because there is no base load for wind energy. I am

:50:17.:50:25.

doing a bit of a list. Well, don't. Round it off. There is a role for

:50:25.:50:29.

wind energy in Scotland but it should not be at the exclusion of a

:50:29.:50:39.
:50:39.:50:40.

mixed energy policy that takes into account local people's views.

:50:40.:50:44.

one is serious about saving the planet, we will not do it by wind

:50:44.:50:48.

farms. The one single thing that we can do to make a difference would

:50:48.:50:53.

be to protect our rain forests. But there are no votes in that so none

:50:53.:50:59.

of you are much interested in it and we will continue, apart from

:50:59.:51:06.

some valiant efforts to destroy our rain forests and our future society.

:51:06.:51:10.

What I object to about his passion, this extraordinary zeal about wind

:51:10.:51:16.

farms, is that nobody talks, this is a rich person's policy imposed

:51:16.:51:21.

on poorer constituents. They pay enormously above the odds for the

:51:21.:51:27.

green energy that so many of you - I must say it is only younger

:51:27.:51:31.

people clapped in the audience - think that it is actually the next

:51:31.:51:36.

thing to sliced bread. If we were serious about saving the planet we

:51:36.:51:40.

would get serious about the rainforests. If we were serious

:51:40.:51:44.

about producing power which did not have all of the disadvantages that

:51:44.:51:49.

Janet spoke of and the costs to my constituents, we would be much more

:51:49.:51:55.

seriously engaged with trying to ensure that our next round of

:51:55.:52:05.
:52:05.:52:05.

nuclear power stations are safer than the last. We have got five

:52:05.:52:09.

minutes left. I want to go on to another question from David

:52:09.:52:17.

Thompson. In light of the proposed minimum price for alcohol, why do

:52:17.:52:25.

the majority have to suffer because of an irresponsible minority?

:52:25.:52:29.

seems to be a contentious policy for a minimum price for alcohol,

:52:29.:52:33.

which was started in Scotland and now seems to be picked up by the UK

:52:33.:52:39.

Government as well. Winnie really, are you in favour of it? -- or

:52:40.:52:45.

Willie Rennie. The UK's relationship with alcohol is

:52:45.:52:49.

extremely unhealthy. The place -- the price has plummeted over the

:52:49.:52:52.

last 30 years and consumption has shot up. If you speak to the

:52:52.:52:59.

experts, they tell you... Sorry to interrupt, but according to

:52:59.:53:03.

National Statistics, the average consumption has fallen by 20% over

:53:03.:53:07.

the last five years. If you look over the last 30 years, it has

:53:07.:53:15.

risen 22%. It is statistics! Over the long term, it has shot up.

:53:15.:53:19.

There is a close correlation between consumption and harm. I

:53:19.:53:22.

meet far too many people whose lives are blighted by alcohol. We

:53:22.:53:27.

have got to do something. But only the cheapest alcohol. What about

:53:27.:53:33.

those who binge on expensive alcohol. The minimum price will put

:53:33.:53:37.

up the base price, so you will not have bargain-basement prices.

:53:37.:53:42.

those who can afford it will drink as much as they want? The students

:53:42.:53:46.

will not be able to afford to drink and everybody else will. You can do

:53:46.:53:51.

nothing, or you can introduce the measures that are proven to work.

:53:51.:54:01.
:54:01.:54:02.

Janet Street-Porter. I agree with the minimum price for alcohol and I

:54:02.:54:06.

would like to see it adopted in England as well. David Cameron has

:54:06.:54:12.

said that he is in favour of it. But I fear that in England the

:54:12.:54:17.

drinks lobby is so powerful and has such sway over the House of Commons

:54:17.:54:21.

that it is quite a long way off. thought they had agreed to do it

:54:21.:54:26.

from April. They have not, they are still discussing it. It has been

:54:26.:54:32.

discussed for ages. The fact is, the minimum price, having a minimum

:54:32.:54:36.

price per unit of alcohol, the people who are going to profit from

:54:36.:54:40.

this are the supermarkets. That is going to definitely affect small

:54:40.:54:46.

shops and businesses. And the new profits will go to the supermarkets.

:54:46.:54:52.

I don't understand why the tax on alcohol was not staggered.

:54:52.:54:56.

evidence is to the contrary. It says that what it will do is it

:54:56.:54:59.

will stop the supermarkets using alcohol as a loss-leader to attract

:54:59.:55:09.
:55:09.:55:10.

people into the store. The question was about who has to pay. At the

:55:10.:55:14.

moment, everybody is paying because of the relationship we have with

:55:14.:55:19.

alcohol. In Scotland we pay �700 million a year on alcohol-related

:55:19.:55:24.

conditions in the NHS. Escalate that across the UK and that is tens

:55:24.:55:28.

of billions of pounds being spent dealing with this problem. There

:55:28.:55:32.

are many ways in which we can read calibrate our relationship with

:55:32.:55:37.

alcohol. Price has a part to play. We are sceptical that minimum

:55:37.:55:41.

pricing is going to be a silver bullet, but we voted in the

:55:41.:55:45.

Scottish Parliament to give it the best chance to succeed and to

:55:45.:55:52.

measure the effects, to see if it works. This is almost an experiment.

:55:52.:55:56.

We want to give it a chance to work but we want to be able to analyse

:55:56.:56:01.

to make sure that it does. I am in favour of devising ways in which we

:56:01.:56:05.

can claw back the extra profits that the supermarkets make on this.

:56:05.:56:10.

I also want to underscore how important this is. It is not just

:56:10.:56:16.

some idea thought up by politicians. Drink, on the scale and some people

:56:16.:56:22.

consume it, destroys many young lives. There does not seem to be an

:56:22.:56:27.

urgency in the debate. Alcohol has far overtaken drugs in my

:56:27.:56:30.

constituency as the evil that rots from the inside and kills people

:56:30.:56:37.

off. It is the most terrible thing to behold. And maybe we have not

:56:37.:56:42.

got all of the right answers yet, but not to be acting, when we know

:56:42.:56:48.

how evil drink can be on so many people, is a negligence beyond

:56:49.:56:57.

belief. I agree. I think there is a huge problem, especially in the

:56:57.:57:01.

youth, their relationship to alcohol. I think it is also an

:57:01.:57:05.

educational thing. I think raising the price will go so far but I

:57:05.:57:10.

think the issue is a lot more fundamental. You are in favour of

:57:10.:57:14.

raising the minimum price? It could help but I don't think that is the

:57:14.:57:22.

real issue. I think it is more of an educational issue. The lady here

:57:22.:57:26.

is right. It is not designed to be a magic bullet but the Scottish

:57:26.:57:28.

Parliament and Scottish politics is at its best when parties come

:57:28.:57:34.

together and unite on an issue. 129 lives lost each year on average.

:57:34.:57:38.

This will potentially save 50 lives. It is a matter of disgrace and

:57:38.:57:42.

hypocrisy that we have a Labour Party member here who supports it,

:57:42.:57:46.

but his Scottish Labour colleagues did not vote for it because it was

:57:46.:57:50.

proposed by the SNP. It has been said that if the SNP were to invent

:57:50.:57:54.

the light bulb, at the Scottish Labour Party would condemn it as

:57:54.:57:58.

being an anti- candle device. thought you said we should come

:57:58.:58:08.
:58:08.:58:11.

together on this. I think the hypocrisy... We have not got

:58:11.:58:15.

Scottish Labour here. We have Birkenhead Labour. They are

:58:15.:58:25.
:58:25.:58:25.

embarrassed. No, we have Frank On the panel in Grimsby next week,

:58:25.:58:30.

Vince Cable, the Business Secretary, after the Budget, Chuka Umunna for

:58:30.:58:33.

Labour, and David Davies for the Conservatives. The week after that

:58:34.:58:39.

we are in Portsmouth. If you want to come to the programme get in

:58:39.:58:49.
:58:49.:58:53.

Thank you to all the panellists for coming here. Thank you, Willie

:58:53.:58:56.

Rennie, particularly, for coming up the last minute. It must have been

:58:56.:59:01.

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