12/08/2014 Scotland 2014


12/08/2014

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Tonight we are asking could the Scottish referendum open

:00:00.:00:00.

If Scotland gets more powers, the Westminster parliament could

:00:00.:00:27.

That is according to a Tory MP who thinks that if we vote

:00:28.:00:33.

to stay in the union, it will be English MPs saying no thanks.

:00:34.:00:38.

Who will bring more work to Scotland?

:00:39.:00:40.

Sparks are flying tonight over whether we will have more jobs

:00:41.:00:43.

in an independent Scotland or if we stay within the UK.

:00:44.:00:46.

We will look at the financial cost of our record-breaking success

:00:47.:00:50.

Scotland has been promised more devolution if we vote no

:00:51.:00:59.

And the Scottish Tories have produced one of the most ambitious

:01:00.:01:04.

plans for enhancing the powers of the Scottish Parliament.

:01:05.:01:06.

But tonight the Conservative MP for Wokingham, John Redwood, says that

:01:07.:01:09.

English MPs will not accept this lopsided constitutional arrangement.

:01:10.:01:14.

He thinks the Westminster parliament will need to redress the

:01:15.:01:18.

So does he have an answer to the hoary old West Lothian question?

:01:19.:01:23.

Our correspondent Jamie McIvor has been trying to find out.

:01:24.:01:30.

It is a question about devolution and that always seems to come back

:01:31.:01:36.

around. Why should a Scottish MP at a say on education in England when

:01:37.:01:44.

an English MP has no say on these issues in Scotland? It is named

:01:45.:01:48.

after the distinguished parliamentarian who first raised the

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problem in the 70s. Tam Dalziel, for many years an MP in West Lothian. We

:01:54.:02:01.

will go down a motorway to a separate state, a journey on which

:02:02.:02:07.

many of us do not want to embark. The issue has been raised again. I

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think it is time England had more voices. This time by a conservative

:02:15.:02:19.

who expects Scotland to stay in the UK. Tonight John Redwood gave a new

:02:20.:02:24.

lease of life to a possible solution proposed in his party's last

:02:25.:02:30.

manifesto. The answer is English votes for English issues in the

:02:31.:02:36.

Westminster Parliament. That is an answer the Scottish Nationalists

:02:37.:02:40.

accept. It is an answer the SNP on principle has said we should not

:02:41.:02:46.

vote on issues on England in the House of Commons, because it is not

:02:47.:02:50.

to do with us. I am saying that should apply more generally. The

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fault line was established as soon as devolution happens. But sometimes

:02:56.:03:05.

legislation which does not affect Scotland directly can still have a

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knock-on effect. John Redwood believes deciding what Scottish MPs

:03:12.:03:15.

could and could not vote on could be done fairly. They have not been

:03:16.:03:19.

problems in the past with Scotland claiming jurisdiction we do not

:03:20.:03:24.

think they own. Where Scotland says, this is our business, we in England

:03:25.:03:29.

will decide on England as a group of English MPs. This is a piecemeal or

:03:30.:03:35.

asymmetric structure of the British political system. There is one set

:03:36.:03:41.

of devolved powers for Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland. For

:03:42.:03:45.

supporters of independence the best answer to the dilemma is obvious.

:03:46.:03:50.

But should there be a no vote, either other solutions? Whether

:03:51.:03:54.

somebody south of the border sees this West Lothian question as a

:03:55.:03:59.

problem or not, it is clear there is not a very strong appetite, not yet

:04:00.:04:06.

anyway. It may come for Jamie Whyte, regional self-government in

:04:07.:04:10.

other parts of England. I would see that as a positive whether Scotland

:04:11.:04:15.

is part of the UK or not. If it does not, perhaps it suggests most people

:04:16.:04:19.

are not too bothered about this minor anomaly. If Scotland stays in

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the UK, Holyrood will get more powers. All three main parties are

:04:26.:04:30.

committed to extending devolution and the more devolution is

:04:31.:04:34.

extended, the more the West Lothian question could keep on coming round

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unless somebody find a solution to a question that has remained

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unanswered for 40 years. With me now

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in the studio is the Labour MP for Glasgow South West, Ian Davidson,

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and in our Edinburgh studio is the former Secretary of State for

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Scotland, Sir Malcolm Rifkind MP. The Scottish Conservative Party is

:04:50.:04:59.

offering substantial, extra devolved powers, yet we have got Boris

:05:00.:05:04.

Johnson saying there is no reason to give the Scottish Parliament more

:05:05.:05:07.

powers and John Redwood saying English people will not accept it.

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It seems the Tory party in Westminster have not read the

:05:12.:05:16.

script. Boris Johnson does not even have a seat in the House of Commons

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so you do not need to pay much attention to what he says on this

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matter. As far as the West Lothian question is concerned, there is an

:05:26.:05:30.

issue. Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland all have their own

:05:31.:05:35.

parliaments. They decide police Scottish, Welsh and Irish matters

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locally. England cannot influence that. In Westminster you have 100

:05:41.:05:44.

members of Parliament who can influence the outcome. I do not

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agree with John Redwood's proposed solution. I do not think the answer

:05:50.:05:53.

is to stop having Scots and Welsh and Irish not voting on certain

:05:54.:06:00.

issues. You cannot have two classes of Parliament. You can have on

:06:01.:06:04.

English issues a requirement for a double majority. For a proposal to

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go forward it should require not just a majority of the House of

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Commons, but a majority of those representing English

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constituencies. That would be a fair way without any extra expense and

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bureaucracy of resolving this very real anomaly. If there are more

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devolved powers delivered to Scotland if there is a no vote,

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something will need to be done, the current anomalies will no longer

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exist? Something needs to be done, the question is what? John Redwood

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is guilty of the deadly sin of envy, quite understandably. He looks

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at Scotland and sees as with a devolved parliament, making our own

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laws, however UK strength is round about us. He says something must be

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done. Where he is missing the point is I get the impression from large

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numbers of people in England that they also are unhappy with rule from

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London, from Whitehall, from Westminster. What they want is more

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powers locally. The way to do with that is not by tinkering with

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Westminster, but to give genuine powers to the regions of England,

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the North East, the West, the Midlands, all desperately want to

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have more say over their own affairs. Ed Miliband has talked

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about this, devolving more powers to cities. You would still have

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legislation which covered the whole of England, big which was not

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relevant in Scotland, Wales or Northern Ireland. English MPs would

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still not one Scottish MPs making the decisions. Do you agree with

:07:49.:07:54.

Malcolm Rifkind? I am glad to hear that my leader and me agree on this

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important issue, but I do not agree with Malcolm. That is a variation of

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John Redwood's proposal. The idea would essentially means Scottish,

:08:08.:08:11.

Irish, Welsh and Northern Ireland votes did not count if there was not

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a majority amongst English MPs. You may as well just be banished. You

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cannot have a parliament which has potentially five different classes

:08:23.:08:26.

of MPs. Scots allowed in thing -- in for some things, Wales and Northern

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Ireland the same. Some London MPs should be ordered out in

:08:33.:08:36.

circumstances where there are non-London issues being dealt with.

:08:37.:08:42.

It would be a mess. It could end up with a very difficult situation

:08:43.:08:46.

where the UK wide Government had a majority across the UK, but not when

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it came to English MPs. It would be a messy muddle. What you are saying

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is correct in one sense. There would be certain issues that a United

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Kingdom Government without a majority in England would not get

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its way. That is what happens when you have a minority Government. We

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had Government under Jim Callaghan and Harold Wilson that did not have

:09:13.:09:17.

an overall majority and as a consequence legislation did not go

:09:18.:09:21.

through. We are used to dealing with that. The House of Lords rejected a

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bill and it does not become a law until they change their mind. We

:09:27.:09:31.

cannot have uniformity. We have a Scottish Parliament with full,

:09:32.:09:37.

legislative powers. We have a Welsh assembly. We have a Northern Ireland

:09:38.:09:41.

parliament with compulsory power-sharing. There is not

:09:42.:09:45.

uniformity at the moment. Instead of having new governments, and it is

:09:46.:09:52.

not going to happen, you have got to deal with the issue of fairness. It

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is not fair when Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland can decide their

:09:59.:10:02.

own issues by themselves, it is not fair on English education and health

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and matters of that kind the wishes of the majority in England can be

:10:08.:10:11.

thwarted by votes from Northern Ireland, Scotland or Wales. The

:10:12.:10:15.

Scottish public would be quite happy with a change to deal with that

:10:16.:10:20.

anomaly. As a resident of East Lothian that is the answer to the

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West Lothian question! Lothian that is the answer to the

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There is another answer, an independent Scotland means you would

:10:28.:10:31.

not have any of these constitutional anomalies. It would be clean. The

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difficulty about Malcolm's proposal is you potentially have two

:10:40.:10:43.

Government in one Parliament. An English Government dealing with a

:10:44.:10:47.

whole raft of affairs and a UK Government dealing with the money

:10:48.:10:52.

side of things. You cannot have two Masters in one house. If the English

:10:53.:10:56.

want a separate parliament, they have to have it somewhere else. Let

:10:57.:11:01.

them have it in Manchester. That would be a positive step. I think

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building on the concept of city states is far more sensible. Thank

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you very much for talking to us. Today both sides of the referendum

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campaign have been focusing on jobs. The Scottish Government has been

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setting out a ten-point plan it says will boost

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employment under independence. Meanwhile, the UK Government says

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the union is safeguarding hundreds of shipbuilding posts on the Clyde

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by confirming orders Our political editor Brian Taylor

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reports. What is driving this campaign? What

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illuminate the debate? Scotland's pewter, the economy, jobs? Nothing

:11:42.:11:49.

says industry and jobs more than a shipyard. This is BAE Systems at

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Govan in Glasgow and behind me there is the second aircraft carrier for

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the Royal Navy. That is a section of the carrier over there. At the core

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of this referendum are many issues, but right at the centre is a debate

:12:07.:12:10.

about the economy, employment and the future of Scotland. Good use for

:12:11.:12:16.

these workers. Confirmation from the UK Government of a contract to build

:12:17.:12:21.

three new offshore patrol vessels. That keeps the Clyde Busey, bridging

:12:22.:12:27.

the gap between the carrier provision and the British warships.

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That is a union dividend and would not be available and independents

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say some. Scotland has a positive future for shipbuilding for the UK

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Armed Forces provided its stairs -- stays together. We think we are

:12:45.:12:50.

better together. If Scotland goes independent? The prospects for

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shipbuilding on the Clyde are bleak. SNP ministers say the Clyde would

:12:58.:13:00.

compete successfully for other orders. The Scottish Government is

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committed to building military vessels at the Clyde yard and we are

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looking to work collaboratively with the rest of the UK. That is where

:13:11.:13:15.

the quality and the investment has been made and the staff have the

:13:16.:13:18.

capability and the skills to deploy those contracts. With jobs and

:13:19.:13:26.

industry by Tilly important, what about the wider future for

:13:27.:13:31.

Scotland's economy? John Swinney today set out a ten point economic

:13:32.:13:37.

plan, the focus on manufacturing and capital investment, plus a cut in

:13:38.:13:40.

corporation tax to attract business to Scotland. We have to use the

:13:41.:13:46.

responsibilities we already have in Scotland, but acquiring new powers

:13:47.:13:51.

to independents to create employment whether it is through innovation and

:13:52.:13:55.

investment in new industry, whether it is about encouraging and

:13:56.:14:00.

motivating greater private sector investment in research and

:14:01.:14:03.

development. We could strengthen the foundations of the Scottish

:14:04.:14:07.

economy, but we need new powers to do that. I have never heard such a

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steaming pile of nonsense in all this campaign. The idea when you

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listen to the businesses of Scotland's speaking about the impact

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of independence that there would be a jobs bonanza after voting yes is

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complete nonsense. A choice in Govan. Across Scotland that choice

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is largely driven by the economy, by jobs. I joined by our political

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correspondent, Tim Reid. Why are they focusing so much on jobs? There

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is total deadlock on the currency question. It is jobs, the economy

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and wages on which most people will make up their minds on September the

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18th. No surprise the yes campaign has been promising jobs today moving

:14:56.:15:01.

on to traditional Labour territory, job creation, apprenticeships and

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more manufacturing and shipbuilding jobs as well because it is the

:15:07.:15:10.

people working in traditional, Labour areas, traditional, Labour,

:15:11.:15:16.

working-class areas that may swing this vote at the end of the day. And

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both sides of the campaign are desperately trying to persuade them

:15:22.:15:26.

to vote for them. The no campaign today chose to go on an issue we

:15:27.:15:31.

know about, defence jobs, hinting very strongly that those jobs may be

:15:32.:15:35.

lost if there is a yes vote to independents. The question is

:15:36.:15:41.

whether promising jobs or hinting at jobs might go is going to persuade

:15:42.:15:48.

people how to vote. We are expecting new figures from the Treasury soon.

:15:49.:15:54.

Also focusing on jobs. You might remember figures recently were

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issued from Strathclyde University who did a study trying to ascertain

:16:00.:16:06.

how many Scottish jobs might be affected by cross-border trade. A

:16:07.:16:13.

figure of around 247,000 jobs, the Treasury has used 2013 figures and

:16:14.:16:19.

they have a figure of around 170,000 jobs. There is a warning about

:16:20.:16:25.

independence affecting jobs, something the Yes campaign was not

:16:26.:16:29.

agree with. The Treasury has also looked at men and women and they say

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around 100,000 women are affected in those jobs and that ties in with a

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report last night in that attitude, that most women had not made up

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their minds, and that is what the No campaign is looking at.

:16:48.:16:48.

Thank you very much. Later this week, the athletes from

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Team Scotland will parade through the streets of Glasgow as a grand

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finale to their Games? success. Scottish competitors racked up

:16:57.:16:59.

a record number of medals at the And how does

:17:00.:17:02.

their performance impact For Scotland, it was an incredible

:17:03.:17:15.

Commonwealth Games, a total of 53 medals, smashing the previous test

:17:16.:17:23.

of 33. -- best. What did Scotland have to put in financially to

:17:24.:17:33.

achieve this success? Sisters Kimberly and the wheeze got Team

:17:34.:17:36.

Scotland off to a flying start, winning Gold medals in judo --

:17:37.:17:42.

Louise. This success has changed our lives, sometimes for the better and

:17:43.:17:46.

sometimes not so much. Getting your face, -- getting your face

:17:47.:17:51.

everywhere, that a shock, seeing your face and your friends going,

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you are in the radio and on the TV, in the paper. I was like, that is

:17:57.:18:02.

not me. Some people have taken the medal from my neck, we are easy

:18:03.:18:07.

going and simple people so when people ask for a photo or an

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autograph, you would get it unless we are doing something. The price of

:18:12.:18:17.

fame, but what does the future hold? Government money goes to sport

:18:18.:18:20.

Scotland who decide how much each sport gets. We have had a lot of

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support from the Scottish Government in recent years and we have lottery

:18:26.:18:29.

funding. Putting that together gives is around ?70 million each year to

:18:30.:18:34.

build that system. It is not just about the athletes, it is also about

:18:35.:18:40.

schools, we have invested ?50 million in a schools programme and

:18:41.:18:45.

?10 million in the next four years for clubs. So we feel we have got

:18:46.:18:50.

real ambition to build something sustainable. So which sports did

:18:51.:18:57.

best? In relation to the money it got from sport Scotland. We take the

:18:58.:19:03.

money each sport get and we divide it by medal points. A Gold medal

:19:04.:19:08.

equates to three medal points, silver two and a bronze medal one

:19:09.:19:15.

point. In one bowls, we got... That equates to 11 points. In terms of

:19:16.:19:21.

funding, that gets over ?1.4 million which works out at... Doing it this

:19:22.:19:33.

way, badminton is worst and the best value for money came from judo at

:19:34.:19:42.

just 95,000 pounds. -- ?5,000. Those of the sports we won medals in. Over

:19:43.:19:53.

12 mean pounds -- ?12 million went to sport which did not produce

:19:54.:19:57.

Commonwealth medals. Funding is common -- funding is complex and not

:19:58.:20:02.

just about medals and the sisters are concerned funding for judo could

:20:03.:20:10.

be cut. That is a worry but we hope pink -- hoping the Institute will

:20:11.:20:17.

look at it. We have four or five people in the top ten of the world

:20:18.:20:21.

and another four or five within the 20 and 30 mark. South African

:20:22.:20:29.

countries are competing for the sport so you look at cycles ahead

:20:30.:20:34.

and we will look ahead and if one of those nations has judo, we will have

:20:35.:20:39.

to be smart and make sure we have an eight-year plan.

:20:40.:20:46.

Funding for sport is never going to be an exact science, it does not

:20:47.:20:54.

guarantee you an outcome. But after Glasgow 2014, sport Scotland have

:20:55.:20:58.

plenty of evidence the tricky financial equations are adding up.

:20:59.:21:03.

With me now for a look at today's top stories are April

:21:04.:21:06.

Cumming, Vice-Chair of Scottish Fabians, and the editor of the Bella

:21:07.:21:09.

Let's pick up on this West Lothian question, some of us feel we grew up

:21:10.:21:16.

with it but somebody of your generation, it is that something

:21:17.:21:21.

that keeps you awake at night? I am actually 30! I think it is wonderful

:21:22.:21:28.

what is happening in Scotland's is a constitutional conversation

:21:29.:21:32.

filtering down into other areas in the UK, that can only be positive.

:21:33.:21:39.

As far as what John Redwood was suggesting in terms of English MPs

:21:40.:21:44.

voting on specifically English issues, if we are going to vote No,

:21:45.:21:51.

that should not mean we do not have a say in what happens in

:21:52.:21:58.

Westminster. Because there are plenty of issues that could be

:21:59.:22:01.

considered English issues that would have an impact in Scotland. For

:22:02.:22:06.

example, setting corporation tax rates. I do not think it is a

:22:07.:22:12.

positive step to take in terms of constitutional reform to have just

:22:13.:22:18.

English votes. If Scotland was to get extra devolved power, would it

:22:19.:22:22.

care if England set up an English only Parliament and its Scottish MPs

:22:23.:22:28.

would -- were not included in debates? I do not see that

:22:29.:22:33.

happening. It is a contradiction because we are told we are a happy

:22:34.:22:41.

union and now it turns out we are to be excluded from parts of that

:22:42.:22:45.

debate. I find this extraordinary. I do not see any momentum in England

:22:46.:22:51.

calling for this and if there was, I would welcome it and you would

:22:52.:22:56.

support the right of a country to self-determination and democracy,

:22:57.:22:59.

but I think this is making up the constitution out of desperation a

:23:00.:23:02.

couple of weeks before the referendum. Alex Salmond let slip an

:23:03.:23:08.

interesting nugget at the Edinburgh book Festival yesterday. He said...

:23:09.:23:22.

He said, once the votes are counted, you get a different situation. Is

:23:23.:23:30.

this a slip to admit people do and say things they do not mean in a

:23:31.:23:34.

campaign or is it refreshing honesty from the First Minister? I think he

:23:35.:23:38.

was talking about the currency debate and I think he is talking

:23:39.:23:44.

about that. But if you want to take it in a different direction, it is a

:23:45.:23:48.

candid moment from somebody who is supposed to be sure-footed so can

:23:49.:23:52.

you imagine a space where his equivalent in the No side said

:23:53.:23:56.

something like that? I cannot conceive of that. I do not agree

:23:57.:24:01.

with that. I think it is quite a cynical approach for Alex Salmond to

:24:02.:24:06.

take. What is happening with regards to the currency is a series of

:24:07.:24:15.

untruths, rather than stretching the truth. With regards to a future

:24:16.:24:21.

currency union and the school policy in Scotland. I think Alex Salmond

:24:22.:24:29.

has framed the argument in an untruthful way and is polling the

:24:30.:24:33.

wall over the eyes of the people of Scotland. You would say that, coming

:24:34.:24:39.

from a Better Together perspective. You end up with a position of

:24:40.:24:45.

opposing views from the Yes campaign and Better Together, voters cannot

:24:46.:24:49.

find the truth there is such a thing and they end up in a situation where

:24:50.:24:53.

they think the First Minister is right and everybody is stretching

:24:54.:24:57.

the truth a bit. I do not believe that to be the case. From my

:24:58.:25:02.

personal perspective, Better Together's arguments have come from

:25:03.:25:08.

academic and well-informed reports, from the opinions of independent

:25:09.:25:14.

academics like Armstrong. Like Professor K. And well-informed

:25:15.:25:21.

background -- and a well-informed backgrounds, and the currency issue

:25:22.:25:26.

is underpinning what flexibility the Scottish nationalists will have with

:25:27.:25:30.

their future the scope policy. They can belittle it but it gets to the

:25:31.:25:36.

core of what independence is about. -- fiscal policy. Will the currency

:25:37.:25:43.

issue decide it? No, the polls say not a what people care about this

:25:44.:25:49.

issue -- not a lot. The concept of truth is interesting and independent

:25:50.:25:55.

facts. What will have to happen is for people to make up their own

:25:56.:25:59.

minds and think for themselves. If they do that, that is a death knell

:26:00.:26:03.

for Better Together because their campaign is based on deference and

:26:04.:26:08.

people start thinking for themselves, we will get a Yes vote.

:26:09.:26:12.

Where do people go to get these facts? From both campaigns can you

:26:13.:26:18.

have opposing points and what you hear often from voters as they want

:26:19.:26:23.

hard and identifiable facts to make their own minds, but they do not

:26:24.:26:27.

well -- but they do not know where to go. We have a mountain of facts.

:26:28.:26:34.

What we have got is people having to engage with ideas and to think for

:26:35.:26:38.

themselves and that is something people are not used to. The

:26:39.:26:42.

information is there but people do not trust that information because

:26:43.:26:46.

they feel it is from a biased perspective. I have started pasting

:26:47.:26:53.

official reports to my Facebook page so people can see the official

:26:54.:26:57.

transcripts coming from and doctored sources. People are generally not

:26:58.:27:04.

aware of where to go. We have two campaigns giving their version of

:27:05.:27:07.

the story and that does affect the trust. The media is one place they

:27:08.:27:14.

might go but only one newspaper is supporting the Yes campaign, is that

:27:15.:27:19.

making a difference to the campaign? Yes, what we see is the flourishing

:27:20.:27:24.

of alternative media. That is largely because you are getting a

:27:25.:27:28.

top-down campaign from Better Together and you have a grassroots

:27:29.:27:32.

movement of hundreds of thousands of people on the ground. It is like if

:27:33.:27:36.

you have a trusted friend who tells you about a restaurant. We are

:27:37.:27:41.

having a conversation in people's doorsteps and the Better Together

:27:42.:27:46.

campaign is giving us Kirstie Allsopp! Thank you for talking to

:27:47.:27:48.

is. -- to us. I'll be back

:27:49.:27:55.

at the same time tomorrow night. The images of desperate families,

:27:56.:28:49.

thousands of them still stranded on Mount Sinjar in northern Iraq are

:28:50.:28:54.

beamed around the world. After ten days only these fortunate

:28:55.:28:55.

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