25/11/2015 Scotland 2015


25/11/2015

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Tonight: Police Scotland's embroiled in yet another scandal.

:00:00.:00:00.

This time illegally targetting a journalist.

:00:00.:00:27.

A watchdog has ruled that detectives did not have

:00:28.:00:29.

proper grounds to intercept emails and phone calls,

:00:30.:00:33.

as they sought to find out a journalist's sources.

:00:34.:00:37.

We'll hear from the reporter who they targetted.

:00:38.:00:40.

And a screeching U-turn from the Chancellor, George Osbourne,

:00:41.:00:42.

as he scraps his controversial reform of the tax credit system.

:00:43.:00:48.

We'll guage the impact of his spending review here in Scotland.

:00:49.:00:51.

And we'll hear from the Chief Secretary to the Treasury.

:00:52.:00:59.

A watchdog has ruled that Police Scotland

:01:00.:01:01.

to obtain the details of a journalist's sources.

:01:02.:01:06.

The investigation found that detectives

:01:07.:01:09.

didn't have proper grounds to intercept emails and phone calls,

:01:10.:01:12.

and it said their actions had been "reckless."

:01:13.:01:15.

The journalist went on to highlight failings

:01:16.:01:18.

in the police inquiry into the murder of Emma Caldwell,

:01:19.:01:21.

who'd been working as a prostitute in Glasgow.

:01:22.:01:23.

Here's our Home Affairs Correspondent Reevel Alderson.

:01:24.:01:32.

This story centres on the cold case the investigation of the murdered

:01:33.:01:38.

ten years ago of Glasgow prostitute Emma Caldwell. Detectives believed

:01:39.:01:45.

information was being leaked to a BBC documentary maker, and

:01:46.:01:48.

intercepted communications from the people they thought were doing it.

:01:49.:01:53.

But how far can police call in listening in listening into

:01:54.:01:55.

communications? The law is quite clear, they can intercept e-mails or

:01:56.:02:00.

phone calls, but only when it is reasonable to do so and appropriate.

:02:01.:02:05.

There must also be approval by a senior lease officer and a judge or

:02:06.:02:10.

Sheriff. But Police Scotland breached the regulations, something

:02:11.:02:12.

the journalist describes as reprehensible. It has been confirmed

:02:13.:02:18.

that source of that I relied on had their own personal Communications

:02:19.:02:20.

put under surveillance. I can only conclude this was done to try to

:02:21.:02:25.

protect the repetition and image either of Police Scotland or

:02:26.:02:30.

certainly some of the officers concerned. The bridges of the

:02:31.:02:33.

legislation were only discovered when Police Scotland was inspected

:02:34.:02:39.

by an independent body, which says the proper approval had not been

:02:40.:02:42.

sought for the surveillance. It adds...

:02:43.:02:50.

Police Scotland say the bridges were not intentional. What we were

:02:51.:02:56.

looking at if individuals are released information from our

:02:57.:03:01.

databases. That is what investigation was about. So we were

:03:02.:03:05.

looking at what we believed to be a serious breach of that and we

:03:06.:03:09.

carried out investigations into that and subsequently, we found that we

:03:10.:03:14.

were in breach of the codes of practice. The Liberal Democrats are

:03:15.:03:17.

consistent critics of Police Scotland. They say it is outrageous

:03:18.:03:21.

officers thought they were above the law. This has been an atrocious

:03:22.:03:25.

cover-up. Lisa Scotland and the Scottish Government have known about

:03:26.:03:28.

this for months and they have said and done nothing about it. They must

:03:29.:03:33.

be held to account that. The government says Police Scotland has

:03:34.:03:36.

been working an action plan to ensure that can be no repeat. This

:03:37.:03:40.

evening, it is understood that at least one of the individuals whose

:03:41.:03:44.

communications were intercepted is considering legal action.

:03:45.:03:45.

Eamon O'Connor is the investigative journalist

:03:46.:03:47.

at the heart of these illegal intercepts by Police Scotland.

:03:48.:03:49.

He revealed mistakes made by detectives in their investigation

:03:50.:03:52.

into the murder ten years ago of Emma Caldwell from Glasgow.

:03:53.:03:55.

Thank you for joining us. What do you make of this ruling? I think it

:03:56.:04:08.

is a very important day for the police and for the public in

:04:09.:04:12.

Scotland, because I have known for a very long time that something had

:04:13.:04:15.

gone badly wrong in the way that the police asked about investigated the

:04:16.:04:19.

Emma Caldwell murder and then the way that they have tried to cover up

:04:20.:04:22.

some of the things that were done. So I was relieved that we got this

:04:23.:04:27.

confirmation but I am appalled that my sources have been targeted in

:04:28.:04:32.

this way. These are the actions of a police state and I thought Scotland

:04:33.:04:36.

and Police Scotland was better than that. Why would they tried to

:04:37.:04:40.

identify the sources you were speaking to? Was there a public

:04:41.:04:44.

interest? Did they have a public interest and tried to do that? I am

:04:45.:04:48.

sure they're going to try to suggest that was. I have heard the police

:04:49.:04:51.

spokesman suggest that information from a database had been leaked. To

:04:52.:04:55.

my knowledge, all of the information that I received was not leak from a

:04:56.:04:59.

database. There was no reference to that. I have spoken to retired

:05:00.:05:04.

police officers and indirectly to serving police officers, through

:05:05.:05:07.

intermediaries, and all the information that I gathered to make

:05:08.:05:13.

the programme, which highlighted mistakes, was done legitimately.

:05:14.:05:15.

There is no public interest in targeting resources. The public

:05:16.:05:19.

interest would be served in police officers who were involved in the

:05:20.:05:22.

way in which the Emma Caldwell inquiry went wrong were investigated

:05:23.:05:27.

themselves. The sources that you had been speaking to, what do they make

:05:28.:05:30.

of the fact that they had been targeted in this way? At the

:05:31.:05:34.

beginning of the work that I did on this, a lot of people I spoke to

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were very frightened, very worried that they would be targeted. They

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knew that there was a culture inside Police Scotland of officers being

:05:43.:05:48.

snooped upon and spied upon by the superiors, the counter corruption in

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it. I have spoken one of them today, the source of that I relied

:05:54.:05:57.

on, a retired police officer. He played a leading role in the Emma

:05:58.:06:01.

Caldwell investigation and today he received a letter confirming that

:06:02.:06:04.

has communications had been intercepted. He is angry and he is

:06:05.:06:09.

justified in his anger and now plans to bring a legal action. I would be

:06:10.:06:13.

surprised if there was only one. Lisa Scotland say they have taken

:06:14.:06:16.

steps to make sure this does not happen again. -- Police Scotland. Is

:06:17.:06:21.

that enough would you like to see further action, the Scottish

:06:22.:06:24.

Government for example stepping in? From the beginning, I was concerned

:06:25.:06:27.

that Police Scotland were investigating themselves. I me to

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various -- I met with various police officers at a meeting and two's

:06:37.:06:41.

mother and was told that this would be investigated. This needed to be

:06:42.:06:47.

done by an outside police force, not Police Scotland looking at their own

:06:48.:06:53.

affairs. I do not have any confidence in their ability to

:06:54.:06:56.

properly investigate this. Senior police officers seem to have broken

:06:57.:07:01.

the law I am properly looking at people's private communications.

:07:02.:07:04.

This is a breach of their human rights. The officers who did that

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should be identified and held to account. We have seen repeated

:07:07.:07:11.

problems with Police Scotland since it was set up. Armed officers on the

:07:12.:07:17.

beat, stop and search, the fiasco on the M9 more people died and were not

:07:18.:07:20.

discovered. Where does this get into that? I do not know if you can make

:07:21.:07:27.

a connection between all the things that have gone wrong. I know that it

:07:28.:07:32.

is a catalogue of errors. But in this case, I am concerned that it is

:07:33.:07:36.

more than simply a mistake. Police Scotland have said today that this

:07:37.:07:39.

slipping on spying that went on was not intentional. They did not

:07:40.:07:44.

realise that they should have got a judge's approval. That is simply not

:07:45.:07:48.

true. I note that the officers concerned were made aware that they

:07:49.:07:52.

had to have judicial approval and they disregarded that requirement.

:07:53.:07:55.

Something very serious has happened here and it needs to be properly

:07:56.:08:00.

investigated. Police Scotland cannot investigate themselves. Thank you

:08:01.:08:01.

very much indeed for joining us. we were asking ourselves

:08:02.:08:03.

how George Osborne could possibly get out of

:08:04.:08:06.

the political problems by announcing swinging cuts

:08:07.:08:07.

to tax credits. By lunchtime, we learned the answer

:08:08.:08:11.

was quite simple - The spending review

:08:12.:08:14.

for the next five years, which takes the Chancellor past

:08:15.:08:18.

the next Westminster election, was rather less austere than he had

:08:19.:08:21.

signalled in his summer budget. Spending will rise

:08:22.:08:26.

on infrastructure and health, but some other budgets

:08:27.:08:30.

are being tightly squeezed. Here's our business

:08:31.:08:33.

and economy editor, Douglas Fraser. The third big budget event of the

:08:34.:08:42.

year at Westminster. Chancellors like to produce

:08:43.:08:47.

rabbits out of hats. But the magic behind today's

:08:48.:08:49.

figures was steady economic growth, higher tax receipts than

:08:50.:08:51.

expected, and lower interest payments

:08:52.:08:52.

on Government debt. It gave George Osborne

:08:53.:08:54.

more room for manoeuvre. So, instead of producing a rabbit,

:08:55.:08:56.

he shot his critics' fox. He still wants to take ?12 billion

:08:57.:09:00.

out of the welfare budget, included more Whitehall cash

:09:01.:09:05.

for health, with some protection

:09:06.:09:11.

for police and school budgets. the tighter he has to squeeze

:09:12.:09:15.

the smaller, unprotected budgets, such as local government,

:09:16.:09:20.

and energy. That brought the end of

:09:21.:09:24.

Peterhead's dream of winning a ?1 billion prize to develop

:09:25.:09:27.

carbon capture technology. As the Whitehall changes

:09:28.:09:31.

feed through to the block grant

:09:32.:09:33.

heading to Holyrood, it means a cut of more than 5%

:09:34.:09:36.

in real terms day-to-day spending Capital spending on housing

:09:37.:09:40.

and infrastructure is up by 14%. when John Swinney publishes

:09:41.:09:48.

his draft budget for next year. There's a challenge of applying that

:09:49.:09:57.

squeeze on day-to-day spending, when public sector workers

:09:58.:10:00.

want a pay rise, when there are promises of

:10:01.:10:04.

more childcare, plus free university tuition and

:10:05.:10:06.

support to care for the elderly. And if he doesn't like

:10:07.:10:11.

the shape of this budget, what's different about John

:10:12.:10:14.

Swinney's next budget is that he has to set an

:10:15.:10:16.

income tax rate, But will he want to do so

:10:17.:10:20.

just ahead of an election? We learned today about shortfalls in

:10:21.:10:37.

revenue in property and offshore oil and gas. Neither of which are good

:10:38.:10:41.

news for the Scottish Government. What are the key points? With powers

:10:42.:10:46.

coming to Holyrood, this is a mind of how volatile tax revenues can

:10:47.:10:50.

be. In total, they look quite good but if you look at the land and

:10:51.:10:54.

buildings transaction tax, which has replaced stamp duty, the Office for

:10:55.:10:59.

Budget Responsibility is calculating that is coming in well short of

:11:00.:11:02.

expectations, at least ?140 million per year. He might be interested in

:11:03.:11:08.

the Chancellor's idea of raising tax for those buying homes to let, and

:11:09.:11:13.

also second homes. The other thing, although oil and gas is not a

:11:14.:11:17.

Holyrood tax, as is well known, nevertheless there is a big cut

:11:18.:11:22.

forecast for what that will deliver to the Treasury. Last year, over 2

:11:23.:11:29.

billion. This year, maybe about ?100 million. Look at it another way, in

:11:30.:11:33.

the past five years, about ?30 billion. In the next five years,

:11:34.:11:37.

less than 1 billion. Many thanks for that.

:11:38.:11:39.

So what impact will the Chancellor's spending review have in Scotland?

:11:40.:11:41.

To date, as we present this Spending Review, our job is to rebuild

:11:42.:11:56.

Britain. It is universally accepted that the biggest surprise of the day

:11:57.:12:00.

is George Osborne's U-turn on tax credits for working people. I have

:12:01.:12:04.

listened to the concerns. I hear and understand them and because I have

:12:05.:12:08.

been able to announce today an improvement in the public finances,

:12:09.:12:11.

the simplest thing to do is not to seize these in but to avoid them

:12:12.:12:17.

altogether. For some on a very low income, the news has come as a great

:12:18.:12:22.

relief. I was kind of scared about what would happen, I would I called?

:12:23.:12:31.

And I just feel relieved by it. -- how would I cope? I will be able to

:12:32.:12:34.

be financially independent and help my children and get the clothes and

:12:35.:12:40.

food that they need. So it is a relief for some just now but the

:12:41.:12:44.

Chancellor reaffirmed that he would find ?12 billion worth of savings

:12:45.:12:49.

from the welfare budget. For some vulnerable groups, there are still

:12:50.:12:51.

some major questions to be answered, like who housing benefit cap will

:12:52.:12:57.

affect and how. The decision today to cap elements of housing benefit

:12:58.:13:00.

could have real invocations for a particularly young people, young

:13:01.:13:06.

single people in Scotland who are overrepresented in Scotland's

:13:07.:13:10.

statistics. We need to understand how that will work and what that

:13:11.:13:13.

will mean for Scotland. Out of the reform of the most

:13:14.:13:16.

vulnerable people in Scotland stand, but the whole country is going to

:13:17.:13:19.

feel the effects of this review. The amount of money that comes north of

:13:20.:13:22.

the border from the UK Government will fall over the next five years.

:13:23.:13:26.

If the Scottish Government wants to make up the shortfall, that could

:13:27.:13:30.

mean a hike in the rate of income tax. You are going to have to make

:13:31.:13:38.

up around ?1.3 billion, if there has been a 5% real cut. We think that

:13:39.:13:44.

would roughly be about 3p on the pound, to keep spending at its

:13:45.:13:49.

current level. So far as businesses are concerned,

:13:50.:13:54.

there is a mix of good and bad news. The Canon keep the 10% tax rates and

:13:55.:14:02.

the corporation tax will remain at 18%. The only downside is that two

:14:03.:14:06.

papers of the tax credits, there will be a new apprenticeship levy of

:14:07.:14:11.

0.5% and wage bills for slightly larger businesses and that will

:14:12.:14:14.

impact in Scotland. The Scottish Government has

:14:15.:14:17.

dismissed today's announcement is doing little to turn around the

:14:18.:14:21.

austerity plan. The Chancellor has made a welcome U-turn on tax

:14:22.:14:25.

credits. His original announcement was a terrible attack on some very

:14:26.:14:29.

possible families within our society, so he has done the right

:14:30.:14:32.

thing and I am glad that the SMB have and maintained our total

:14:33.:14:36.

opposition in a for him to entirely abandoned as proposition. We have

:14:37.:14:42.

been vindicated by the decision he has now made but the budget also

:14:43.:14:46.

brought with it a 6% reduction in the day-to-day spending of the

:14:47.:14:49.

Scottish Government. That will of course prolong the austerity agenda

:14:50.:14:52.

which we have been so determined to bring to an end.

:14:53.:14:57.

Some say George Osborne has laid down a challenge for the Scottish

:14:58.:14:59.

Government. Others suggest that he has taken the window of the

:15:00.:15:05.

opposition's sales the run-up to next year's Scottish election. If

:15:06.:15:09.

MSPs do not argue about what to do to counter tax credits cuts, what

:15:10.:15:11.

will they fight about? Now, our political correspondent

:15:12.:15:13.

Andrew Kerr is just outside

:15:14.:15:15.

the House of Commons. on how the spending review

:15:16.:15:17.

has gone down with MPs. You heard the cheering in the

:15:18.:15:32.

report, you could probably hear the cheering from the Tory backbenchers

:15:33.:15:36.

out here when George Osborne announced his reversal to the tax

:15:37.:15:41.

credit cuts. They were delighted, ironically, they cheered it in the

:15:42.:15:44.

summer when he first announced it but they were concerned that

:15:45.:15:48.

hard-working families were being hard pressed by this tax credit

:15:49.:15:53.

cuts. They are delighted. This is the area the Tories are trying to

:15:54.:15:58.

move into, the central ground. These people supported the party, in

:15:59.:16:03.

England at least, in the May general election. Some of the right-wing of

:16:04.:16:06.

the party is being concerned about the splurge on welfare, breaking the

:16:07.:16:12.

welfare cup. Labour MPs are perhaps doubting whether George Osborne will

:16:13.:16:17.

ever meet any of his targets. Shadow Chancellor John McDonnell pool

:16:18.:16:21.

rather bizarre stunt with Chairman Mao's Little red book. Lots of

:16:22.:16:25.

Labour MPs were wondering what he was doing with that, some have

:16:26.:16:31.

called him a clone for doing that. The SNP say they were successful in

:16:32.:16:36.

pressing the Chancellor and making him reverse those cuts, they were

:16:37.:16:40.

privately a little relieved that the Scottish Government will not have

:16:41.:16:44.

too picked up the bill for the tax credit cuts. What sort of newspaper

:16:45.:16:47.

headlines can the Chancellor expect tomorrow? They are being tweeted

:16:48.:16:54.

already, whatever happened to austerity? The end of austerity.

:16:55.:16:59.

That is coming from the right-wing press. George Osborne, sipping

:17:00.:17:04.

something chilled and number 11, probably is not too worried. He

:17:05.:17:08.

wants to move into number ten, today he has got over a little political

:17:09.:17:10.

difficulty. Now, just before we came on air,

:17:11.:17:11.

I spoke to the Chief Secretary to the Treasury - Greg Hands -

:17:12.:17:15.

who was in our London studio. Greg Hands, the Chancellor today

:17:16.:17:22.

announced a U-turn on tax credits. Opposition parties have said it is a

:17:23.:17:26.

humiliating climb-down by George Osborne. They have a point, haven't

:17:27.:17:33.

they? I don't agree. What happened today is that the independent Office

:17:34.:17:36.

for Budget Responsibility showed that the public finances are

:17:37.:17:41.

improving by a figure of ?27 billion over the next five years, therefore

:17:42.:17:47.

it was no longer necessary for us to make the tax credit changes in this

:17:48.:17:53.

coming year. We will still be delivering on our pledge to deliver

:17:54.:17:57.

?12 billion of welfare savings, by the end of the Parliament, but true

:17:58.:18:03.

to the improving public finance figures, overall, the Autumn

:18:04.:18:07.

Statement has been very, very good for the economy and for public

:18:08.:18:11.

finances, we have been able to deliver a lot more in terms of a lot

:18:12.:18:14.

of the UK wide budget somethings like event and overseas develop and,

:18:15.:18:19.

as well as being able to protect some of the budget is not devolved

:18:20.:18:27.

-- UK wide budget, things like defence and overseas development. On

:18:28.:18:32.

tax credits, for many of the people who receive them, the relief will be

:18:33.:18:38.

temporary because tax rate will be phased out by 2018. If it becomes

:18:39.:18:42.

clear that these people will be worse off under the new system, will

:18:43.:18:47.

you step in and change it? Tax credits were always being phased

:18:48.:18:53.

out. The other thing one has to remember is the increases in the

:18:54.:18:56.

national living wage, which really kick off from April 2016, and the

:18:57.:19:04.

big increases in the personal allowance, will really started to

:19:05.:19:10.

kick in so they will be much better phased so that we get the welfare

:19:11.:19:15.

savings, but people will need earning more and keeping more of

:19:16.:19:21.

their own money Judah the rise in personal allowance before people pay

:19:22.:19:26.

tax. These are hard-working people, the strivers that you say you back.

:19:27.:19:30.

If their income is cut as a result of these changes, would you help? We

:19:31.:19:35.

are helping them through the national living wage and through

:19:36.:19:41.

raising the personal allowance. Universal credit, overall, will be a

:19:42.:19:45.

fantastic reform. I was a Jobcentre plus in Edinburgh this autumn and

:19:46.:19:52.

the staff were incredibly enthusiastic about the introduction

:19:53.:19:56.

of universal credit. -- I was at a Jobcentre Plus. I think it will be

:19:57.:20:04.

more to work always paying. -- I think it will lead more. I want to

:20:05.:20:09.

talk about the impact on the Scottish Government budget, it is

:20:10.:20:13.

set to shrink by about 3% over the next five years. Critics say the

:20:14.:20:19.

scale of the cuts and the timetable for achieving them are ideological,

:20:20.:20:24.

that you don't need to cut so deep and fast. Are they wrong? They are

:20:25.:20:30.

wrong, Scotland has a very good deal today. The reduction in the resort

:20:31.:20:39.

's grant, a very -- if you like, the money going to the Scottish

:20:40.:20:43.

Government, but compared to a lot of UK Government department it is a

:20:44.:20:46.

much better picture for the Scottish Government. The capital grant, it is

:20:47.:20:54.

being increased significantly by an extra ?1.9 billion over the course

:20:55.:20:59.

of this Parliament, a 14% increase in real terms, meaning lots more

:21:00.:21:05.

money to be invested in Scotland, in capital and infrastructure projects,

:21:06.:21:12.

to really get the Scottish economy motoring and moving. Overall, it is

:21:13.:21:17.

a very good settlement for Scotland. The net effect is a reduction in the

:21:18.:21:21.

overall amount of money to be spent in Scotland. The thread that runs

:21:22.:21:26.

through what you have done is a focus on shrinking the size of the

:21:27.:21:30.

state. If that is what you believe them, why don't you make the case

:21:31.:21:34.

explicitly, why don't you say that we believe in a smaller state, that

:21:35.:21:40.

is what we are doing and why? We believe in living within our means

:21:41.:21:43.

and making sure that we deliver more for less. If we have to reduce

:21:44.:21:50.

public spending, which I think is a necessary consequence of having

:21:51.:21:54.

quite a high budget deficit, we need to make sure the money is deployed

:21:55.:21:58.

in the places where it will have the most good and the most long-term

:21:59.:22:02.

benefit, which is particularly why we are making sure that the capital

:22:03.:22:07.

budget in Scotland is protected for the long-term, making sure our

:22:08.:22:11.

long-term economic time in Scotland is delivered as well. Greg Hands,

:22:12.:22:13.

thank you. Well,

:22:14.:22:15.

let's get some reaction to that. Our correspondent Andrew Kerr is

:22:16.:22:16.

still on College Green for us, joined by a trio

:22:17.:22:19.

of opposition politicians. Andrew?

:22:20.:22:29.

Yes, three parliamentarians, Ian Murray from Labour, the Shadow

:22:30.:22:34.

Secretary of State, Stewart Hosie, the deputy SNP leader, and Lord Jim

:22:35.:22:38.

Wallace, former Deputy First Minister of Scotland and a member of

:22:39.:22:42.

the Coalition Government. The Chancellor has taken the wind

:22:43.:22:46.

out of yourselves? I think we are pleased he has reversed these

:22:47.:22:51.

dreadful tax credit cuts. We still don't know the detail of how he is

:22:52.:22:57.

playing, he still made his ?12 billion in welfare cuts, he is doing

:22:58.:23:01.

changes around universal credit. We always said we would make political

:23:02.:23:06.

gain out of this if he came up with a sensible proposal. He has

:23:07.:23:11.

cancelled them, we are pleased. He has a reputation for his Budgets

:23:12.:23:15.

unravelling quickly and we need to make sure the same people are not

:23:16.:23:19.

losing out through universal credit. There was concern from Labour that

:23:20.:23:24.

he will not meet its targets, but he looks set to balance the books by

:23:25.:23:29.

2020. He was supposed to balance the books by 2015, his projections have

:23:30.:23:34.

been wrong every time. He has fundamentally failed and it looks

:23:35.:23:37.

like we're in for ten years of austerity and we do not know if he

:23:38.:23:41.

will balance the books. His Budget will unravel and we need to get into

:23:42.:23:46.

the detail. Stewart Hosie from the SNP, you must think that some of

:23:47.:23:50.

your pressure has paid off, that you must be breathing a sigh of relief

:23:51.:23:53.

that the Scottish Government does not add to pick up that bill? I am

:23:54.:23:58.

glad that the tax credit cuts have been overturned, but he still

:23:59.:24:05.

intends to make welfare cuts targets, so we need to see who will

:24:06.:24:11.

pick up the tab. He confirmed today that he intends to continue to cut

:24:12.:24:16.

farm or than is required to run a balanced budget, ?42 billion more in

:24:17.:24:21.

cuts than he needs to buy 2019/20, to run a balanced economy. This is a

:24:22.:24:27.

decor -- decade of austerity. Scotland has seen another real terms

:24:28.:24:31.

cut to the Scottish budget for the next five years. And 40% rise in

:24:32.:24:38.

capital spending? It is good, I welcome that, it is essential.

:24:39.:24:42.

Coated in winter, increased it in the spring, cut it in autumn,

:24:43.:24:49.

increased it again today. This is no way to plan important capital

:24:50.:24:53.

investment. Even with the capital increase, it is a real terms cut

:24:54.:24:58.

across the piece for Scotland. This is perhaps no way to plan for

:24:59.:25:02.

independence, when you saw the Chancellor read out the OBR forecast

:25:03.:25:08.

for oil revenues, forecast to be down 94%. Shooting the case for

:25:09.:25:11.

independence, he said. A Tory would say that. He rather conveniently

:25:12.:25:18.

forgot the pre-existing forecast of the massive increase in onshore

:25:19.:25:22.

revenue, he ignored the increase in part -- productivity in Scotland and

:25:23.:25:27.

that our economy is larger now than precrisis. It was deflection from

:25:28.:25:32.

George Osborne, nobody will be conned. Lord Wallace of the Lib

:25:33.:25:37.

Dems, your party has said you played a blinder in the House of Lords by

:25:38.:25:42.

getting by change in tax credits, that reversal, but you want to see

:25:43.:25:45.

that chamber reformed so it is a bit rich? We want to see that and be

:25:46.:25:51.

tried in the last parliament, but we were blocked by Tory and Labour

:25:52.:25:57.

backbenchers coming together. Lib Dem peers led the charge against tax

:25:58.:26:03.

credits, I am pleased we succeeded. I share what my colleagues say, I

:26:04.:26:09.

have been watching Budgets and Autumn Statements for the best part

:26:10.:26:13.

of 30 years, and the ones that get the biggest cheers on the day, as

:26:14.:26:17.

things look that they sometimes have the least cheers. The tax credit

:26:18.:26:22.

abolition is good, but we need to see what happens in the weeks ahead.

:26:23.:26:30.

Picking up on Stewart 's point, the Scottish Government is predicting up

:26:31.:26:34.

to ?7.5 billion in revenue for this coming year in the White Paper on

:26:35.:26:38.

independence. If John Swinney was the Chancellor for an independent

:26:39.:26:43.

Scotland next March, he would be ?7.3 billion short, which would

:26:44.:26:48.

affect Scottish schools, hospitals, local government. Stewart Hosie, the

:26:49.:26:52.

Prime Minister pick that up, picking up Alex Bell's point that he does

:26:53.:26:56.

not believe that the SNP makes a valid case for independence any

:26:57.:27:01.

more? It is extraordinary to hear people like Jim Wallace fighting

:27:02.:27:07.

last year's battles. The public need to remember this, the Duke K

:27:08.:27:15.

Government used a future higher barrel price than the yes campaign.

:27:16.:27:21.

Yes, we got it wrong. If a short-term downward trend in oil

:27:22.:27:26.

price is a problem, the 1.6 trillion UK national debt, every penny built

:27:27.:27:31.

by UK chancellors, is a massive problem. We cannot have deflection

:27:32.:27:37.

about that. Let's turn to you, talking about some of the debate in

:27:38.:27:42.

the chamber. Your Shadow Chancellor from Chairman Mao's Little Red Book

:27:43.:27:47.

across the chamber. What a spectacle was that. It was a Labour motion

:27:48.:27:54.

that was carried, let's get that right. John McDonnell was trying to

:27:55.:28:00.

make a serious point in a jokey way, he was saying to the Chancellor, you

:28:01.:28:03.

are saying that any other government in the world is able to invest in

:28:04.:28:09.

owned UK is that like nuclear power and railways, but you won't allow

:28:10.:28:12.

the British people to own those assets. He was making a serious

:28:13.:28:17.

point, he tried to do it in a jokey way. I think people at home will

:28:18.:28:22.

realise it is serious. If you look at ScotRail, the National train

:28:23.:28:25.

company, it is owned by the Dutch government, not the Scottish people.

:28:26.:28:31.

That is not sustainable. The Prime Minister said that

:28:32.:28:34.

Labour's front bench provides comedy. At the real opposition is

:28:35.:28:39.

coming from the SNP, with Labour in disarray, Labour MPs arguing about

:28:40.:28:44.

whether Mr McDonnell was right? We have a major victory today with

:28:45.:28:48.

Baroness Hollis' amendment from the Labour lords which has meant we have

:28:49.:28:51.

seen an abolition of tax credit cuts. That seems to me to be a great

:28:52.:28:56.

result. We are happy with that. As we all agree, these tend to unravel

:28:57.:29:02.

very, very quickly. Iain Murray from Labour, Stewart Hosie from the SNP

:29:03.:29:06.

and Lord Wallace from the Lib Dems, thank you for joining me. David, Big

:29:07.:29:13.

Ben is striking, time is up for us at College Green. Attention will be

:29:14.:29:16.

diverted away from the Autumn Statement tomorrow when the Prime

:29:17.:29:21.

Minister makes his case for taking action against Isis in Syria and

:29:22.:29:22.

Iraq. Back to you. The focus remains on Westminster, it

:29:23.:29:31.

will tomorrow. That will inevitably be at the top of our programme

:29:32.:29:34.

perhaps tomorrow evening. Shelley will be back

:29:35.:29:37.

at the same time tomorrow night. Being a British guy

:29:38.:29:41.

in 2015 is not easy. Aagh! The way we live, the way we love,

:29:42.:29:58.

even the way we look. Reggie Yates uncovers a generation

:29:59.:30:02.

facing the extremes. "If you murdered someone

:30:03.:30:08.

I'd still accept you. "But you being gay,

:30:09.:30:16.

I can't accept you for that." The knives are sharpened,

:30:17.:30:25.

and the heat is on... the Chancellor enjoys a bounty

:30:26.:30:47.

of better financial forecasts, and

:30:48.:30:51.

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