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Thank you very much for coming.
Thank you. Particularly, as you | 0:00:13 | 0:00:20 | |
probably know, we were dismayed it
took to set up the committee but we | 0:00:20 | 0:00:23 | |
are grateful for you for coming so
early in the period since we had | 0:00:23 | 0:00:28 | |
been set up. We have all taken note
of the fact that the Prime Minister | 0:00:28 | 0:00:35 | |
has tasked you with reforms to the
national security council process. | 0:00:35 | 0:00:38 | |
What exactly are you considering?
Thank you Madame chair, thank you | 0:00:38 | 0:00:45 | |
very much for your welcome to this
session. Essentially there is a | 0:00:45 | 0:00:50 | |
continuous process of trying to
improve the National Security | 0:00:50 | 0:00:54 | |
Council. You will be aware that we
have been seeking to embed the | 0:00:54 | 0:00:58 | |
Chilcott reforms into the process.
With my coming in, with there being | 0:00:58 | 0:01:05 | |
a new parliament, she asked me to
look at the process and ensure that | 0:01:05 | 0:01:08 | |
it was functioning effectively. That
is aside from the policy work and | 0:01:08 | 0:01:16 | |
capability review. I suppose the
headlines of fact is that we are | 0:01:16 | 0:01:20 | |
trying to prepare meetings more
thoroughly. The NSC owner, the | 0:01:20 | 0:01:23 | |
officials group that meets
beforehand now considers the main | 0:01:23 | 0:01:27 | |
issues a few weeks ahead -- NSCO. So
that we have a proper steering | 0:01:27 | 0:01:32 | |
discussion to make sure that we
bring issues to the council itself | 0:01:32 | 0:01:36 | |
in a more strategic format. We have
also made some adjustments to the | 0:01:36 | 0:01:40 | |
agenda. Again, so that there is a
work plan several months ahead. | 0:01:40 | 0:01:48 | |
Ministers have the chance to
consider issues more strategically. | 0:01:48 | 0:01:51 | |
Thirdly, I can talk more about this,
issues particularly concerning... | 0:01:51 | 0:01:55 | |
This is the most important,
actually, that we had a rigorous | 0:01:55 | 0:01:59 | |
implementation process in place so
that the council's decisions were | 0:01:59 | 0:02:03 | |
then driven through government. | 0:02:03 | 0:02:05 | |
That is helpful and interesting. As
you may know, in the past, this | 0:02:09 | 0:02:14 | |
committee has expressed some anxiety
as to what degree the NSC was | 0:02:14 | 0:02:21 | |
strategic. We were worried it was
being too operational and driven by | 0:02:21 | 0:02:25 | |
day-to-day events. The notion
that... You are wanting to look at | 0:02:25 | 0:02:30 | |
it more thoroughly and to a
consistent plan, which has a | 0:02:30 | 0:02:33 | |
strategic approach, is... Welcome
news. | 0:02:33 | 0:02:38 | |
He said you're looking carefully at
how you can make the discussions | 0:02:43 | 0:02:47 | |
more strategic and have more notice
and prepare in greater depth. He | 0:02:47 | 0:02:50 | |
also said rigorous implementation.
-- you also said. Which of those do | 0:02:50 | 0:02:57 | |
you think requires most attention?
Probably the latter, to be candid. | 0:02:57 | 0:03:00 | |
That's what I thought. There are
many colleagues who have worked in | 0:03:00 | 0:03:05 | |
government and as you will know,
particularly when one is dealing | 0:03:05 | 0:03:08 | |
with crosscutting issues, weather
isn't a natural single home in a | 0:03:08 | 0:03:13 | |
department, it is very
straightforward if a department | 0:03:13 | 0:03:14 | |
brings a proposal that is agreed or
not and then they move ahead. In | 0:03:14 | 0:03:18 | |
this area, of course, we are dealing
with proposals that involve several | 0:03:18 | 0:03:23 | |
departments, half a dozen or more.
It's in those areas that | 0:03:23 | 0:03:28 | |
implementation has constantly proved
challenging. When you are in | 0:03:28 | 0:03:30 | |
government -- when you were in
government, we talked about joined | 0:03:30 | 0:03:36 | |
up government. We need to bring that
concept alive in the national | 0:03:36 | 0:03:40 | |
security area and ensure that each
department, each individual area, is | 0:03:40 | 0:03:43 | |
clear about what is expected of them
and what is the must direction and | 0:03:43 | 0:03:48 | |
guidance. We are well understood
that was part of the point of having | 0:03:48 | 0:03:52 | |
the National Security Council. Am I
right in thinking that you used to | 0:03:52 | 0:03:57 | |
attend, previously, in your previous
capacity...? When I was ambassador | 0:03:57 | 0:04:05 | |
in Afghanistan, I attended and when
I returned as the Foreign Office | 0:04:05 | 0:04:08 | |
political director I would attend
from time to time on those issues. I | 0:04:08 | 0:04:11 | |
had hidden very rarely when I was
permanent secretary at the Home | 0:04:11 | 0:04:14 | |
Office. If the Home Office couldn't
go and there wasn't a junior | 0:04:14 | 0:04:19 | |
minister available. Is that a
strength? Does that help to inform? | 0:04:19 | 0:04:27 | |
I guess I'm the wrong person to ask,
perhaps you should ask some of my | 0:04:27 | 0:04:30 | |
colleagues, Madame chair. I think
having that blend of experience, | 0:04:30 | 0:04:36 | |
having worked overseas and of
course, my predecessors were very | 0:04:36 | 0:04:39 | |
experienced ambassadors. They had
not won a domestic department. | 0:04:39 | 0:04:42 | |
Having that blend the two has helped
me. It means I probably understand | 0:04:42 | 0:04:48 | |
some of the pressures in particular
this intimidation question. I have a | 0:04:48 | 0:04:54 | |
good appreciation of the particular
domestic security agenda. Although I | 0:04:54 | 0:04:57 | |
don't invite you to comment on this
in case you don't want to come I do | 0:04:57 | 0:05:02 | |
recall it being said, although not
in public by her, that the Prime | 0:05:02 | 0:05:07 | |
Minister as Home Secretary had some
concerns about the degree to which | 0:05:07 | 0:05:10 | |
the NSC did not consider the
domestic agenda. Without commenting | 0:05:10 | 0:05:15 | |
on the specific point, the general
point you make is well made. We try | 0:05:15 | 0:05:20 | |
to ensure there is a good blend of
issues brought. We try to look at... | 0:05:20 | 0:05:25 | |
Some overseas issues in geographic
clusters, rather than country by | 0:05:25 | 0:05:28 | |
country. That helps with a strategic
discussion. In response to your | 0:05:28 | 0:05:33 | |
letter to the Prime Minister, by the
way, Madame chair, I will write to | 0:05:33 | 0:05:37 | |
you this week with the agenda
details of the NSC over the past | 0:05:37 | 0:05:44 | |
couple of years so you can have a
look at the issues we've been | 0:05:44 | 0:05:47 | |
discussing. We tend to look now at
overseas issues in clusters. We will | 0:05:47 | 0:05:53 | |
look at, for example, East Asia, not
just China. We look at the Matic | 0:05:53 | 0:05:57 | |
issues that cut across the domestic
and overseas, such as | 0:05:57 | 0:06:01 | |
counterterrorism or serious
organised crime. Extraordinary, that | 0:06:01 | 0:06:04 | |
was about to be my next question. | 0:06:04 | 0:06:07 | |
One brief business type question, in
the past, your predecessors have | 0:06:08 | 0:06:13 | |
given the committee information
about the size and function of the | 0:06:13 | 0:06:16 | |
Secretariat, which is germane,
implementation. Can we write to you | 0:06:16 | 0:06:21 | |
after the session with questions? I
don't invite you to dwell on that | 0:06:21 | 0:06:25 | |
Indy car now. Of course. The
secretariat is still pretty much the | 0:06:25 | 0:06:29 | |
same size as under my predecessor.
-- dwell on that at the moment. I am | 0:06:29 | 0:06:36 | |
happy to take any detailed questions
on that after the session. OK. Mr | 0:06:36 | 0:06:39 | |
Grey. | 0:06:39 | 0:06:40 | |
We will move straight to the
capability review. First of all, | 0:06:43 | 0:06:46 | |
who's idea was it and when was it
commissioned? We conducted a piece | 0:06:46 | 0:06:50 | |
of work during the election
campaign. My arrival coincided with | 0:06:50 | 0:06:56 | |
the declaration coincidently. I've
already talked to the Prime Minister | 0:06:56 | 0:06:59 | |
about just doing a quick refresher
of the 2015 strategy. And STS are. | 0:06:59 | 0:07:06 | |
-- SDSR. Parley to deal with the
evolving threat picture and the | 0:07:06 | 0:07:12 | |
question of whether it was still
right in all respects, given that it | 0:07:12 | 0:07:15 | |
was written before the decision to
leave the European Union. | 0:07:15 | 0:07:19 | |
Essentially, that morphed into a
preparatory work, during the | 0:07:19 | 0:07:24 | |
election campaign for incoming
governments. We need to be able to | 0:07:24 | 0:07:26 | |
present the incoming government with
a range of options on how they might | 0:07:26 | 0:07:30 | |
proceed. We presented that the
council after the election. It was | 0:07:30 | 0:07:34 | |
as a result of that discussion that
the council commissioned the | 0:07:34 | 0:07:37 | |
capability review, which is in
effect a refresh of the 2015 SDSR. | 0:07:37 | 0:07:43 | |
The outgoing Prime Minister... Not
unusual for an outgoing promised to | 0:07:43 | 0:07:47 | |
construct a review of this campaign
during election campaign, is that | 0:07:47 | 0:07:51 | |
normal? My initial discussion with
the Prime Minister was before the | 0:07:51 | 0:07:55 | |
election campaign was close. I
wasn't aware of it you would expect, | 0:07:55 | 0:08:00 | |
just as departments have to prepare
for an incoming government of | 0:08:00 | 0:08:04 | |
whatever... Party or mixture of
parties, in any event, would have | 0:08:04 | 0:08:12 | |
had to have done some work during
the election campaign to prepare for | 0:08:12 | 0:08:15 | |
an incoming government. We brought
the two pieces of work together. We | 0:08:15 | 0:08:19 | |
would have done that whether the
Prime Minister have sorted it or not | 0:08:19 | 0:08:23 | |
as part of the proper work of the
civil service during the election | 0:08:23 | 0:08:26 | |
campaign to prepare for an incoming
government. A proper review of the | 0:08:26 | 0:08:31 | |
national security strategy as well,
was that part of the work? The | 0:08:31 | 0:08:34 | |
initial piece of work looked at the
2015 strategy. Essentially we looked | 0:08:34 | 0:08:43 | |
across it to ask whether it still
looked as though it was broadly | 0:08:43 | 0:08:48 | |
correct in did other than 17 --
broadly speaking correct. The main | 0:08:48 | 0:08:54 | |
structure and approach. -- in 2017.
And the broad approach. It was | 0:08:54 | 0:09:02 | |
right. It was as a result of that is
that the council commissioned the | 0:09:02 | 0:09:08 | |
capability review. Given the 20th 15
national security review and the | 0:09:08 | 0:09:12 | |
SDSR well one document, unusually
for the first time, is in this | 0:09:12 | 0:09:20 | |
review, you cast and I over it, as
you say, the NSS part of the | 0:09:20 | 0:09:26 | |
document, what led you to the
conclusion that something was to be | 0:09:26 | 0:09:28 | |
changed in other parts. If the NSS
was sufficient, despite the fact | 0:09:28 | 0:09:33 | |
that it didn't know about Brexit,
didn't know about all sorts of | 0:09:33 | 0:09:36 | |
things that hadn't happened in 2015,
if you concluded that the NSS was | 0:09:36 | 0:09:41 | |
sufficient, white was another review
needed? -- why was another review. | 0:09:41 | 0:09:48 | |
You are right, the two remained
together and there will be some | 0:09:51 | 0:09:56 | |
changes to the first part, if you
like, the strategy part of the | 0:09:56 | 0:09:59 | |
document when the process is
concluded. The operational | 0:09:59 | 0:10:03 | |
consequences of that, the council
concluded was forced to look at a | 0:10:03 | 0:10:07 | |
range of capabilities. Some because
it was an evolving threat picture, | 0:10:07 | 0:10:12 | |
the terrorist threat picture has
evolved for example. Some of them, | 0:10:12 | 0:10:15 | |
global Britain, because of the
decision to leave the European | 0:10:15 | 0:10:20 | |
Union. We are looking at air
mixture. It isn't just purely | 0:10:20 | 0:10:24 | |
capability. We are looking at a
mixture. -- we are looking at a | 0:10:24 | 0:10:29 | |
mixture. Forgive me, I am puzzled. | 0:10:29 | 0:10:32 | |
You have confused me. The national
security strategy 2015 was merged | 0:10:34 | 0:10:39 | |
with the NSS. The conclusions were
based on that strategy. That | 0:10:39 | 0:10:43 | |
strategy in 2015 did not know much
about the emerging threat, Brexit, | 0:10:43 | 0:10:48 | |
lots of things. Nonetheless, you
concluded that it was not necessary | 0:10:48 | 0:10:54 | |
to carry out another review? Sorry,
I haven't been clear. We concluded | 0:10:54 | 0:10:59 | |
that we did not need a full, new
national security strategy and SDSR, | 0:10:59 | 0:11:05 | |
that was one of the options that the
council could have commissioned but | 0:11:05 | 0:11:09 | |
they concluded that we did not need
that, because broadly speaking, the | 0:11:09 | 0:11:12 | |
structure and conclusions of the
2015 reviews were correct. A broader | 0:11:12 | 0:11:17 | |
view of national security that
incorporated security, economic and | 0:11:17 | 0:11:21 | |
influence objectives, commitment
already made in that strategy to | 0:11:21 | 0:11:27 | |
deliver certain capabilities, most
of which were only just starting. | 0:11:27 | 0:11:32 | |
There were clearly areas where we
might need a course correction. | 0:11:32 | 0:11:37 | |
Essentially, that's why they
commissioned a capability review, | 0:11:37 | 0:11:40 | |
rather than a full SDSR. Also, the
government didn't commissioned a | 0:11:40 | 0:11:46 | |
spending review immediately after
the election and that is the third | 0:11:46 | 0:11:51 | |
component of the 2015 document. It
was run alongside a full spending | 0:11:51 | 0:11:54 | |
review. It was that range of factors
that cause the council to conclude | 0:11:54 | 0:12:02 | |
it did not need a full SDSR. What is
the point of having the NSS review. | 0:12:02 | 0:12:10 | |
If the budgets were precisely as
they were before? How can any | 0:12:10 | 0:12:13 | |
outcome of the review have been
effective, because there is no more | 0:12:13 | 0:12:17 | |
money? A constant challenge in
government and it goes back to the | 0:12:17 | 0:12:23 | |
point the chair was making at the
beginning, are we spending all of | 0:12:23 | 0:12:26 | |
the money we already have two best
effect and in the right places. That | 0:12:26 | 0:12:29 | |
is a different point. Depending on
how you define it, we spent | 0:12:29 | 0:12:35 | |
something like £56 billion a year on
national security. It is reasonable | 0:12:35 | 0:12:38 | |
or the government to want to know
that is being spent, the balance is | 0:12:38 | 0:12:42 | |
correct, before they consider
whether that £56 billion per year is | 0:12:42 | 0:12:45 | |
the right number. Hang on. You
haven't answered the question. | 0:12:45 | 0:12:49 | |
What's the point in having a
national security review and the | 0:12:49 | 0:12:53 | |
defence review linked to it if the
premise is there is no more money? | 0:12:53 | 0:12:58 | |
No matter what you conclude... Let's
imagine the NSS, they concluded | 0:12:58 | 0:13:05 | |
there were vast new threats are
perfectly possible, nonetheless, | 0:13:05 | 0:13:07 | |
there is no more money attached to
it. Therefore, what's the purpose in | 0:13:07 | 0:13:13 | |
doing it? To see whether the money
already allocated is allocated in | 0:13:13 | 0:13:15 | |
the right way. You don't have to
have a NSS review, nor SDSR to do | 0:13:15 | 0:13:22 | |
that, presumably all departments do
that all the time. Presumably it is | 0:13:22 | 0:13:26 | |
one of the primary function is to do
that. Don't you think you're | 0:13:26 | 0:13:32 | |
emasculating the SDSR or the NSA
review by saying that no matter what | 0:13:32 | 0:13:38 | |
you conclude, the budget will remain
the same? I wouldn't put it quite | 0:13:38 | 0:13:42 | |
that starkly but this exercise was
commissioned by the council as a | 0:13:42 | 0:13:47 | |
fiscally neutral exercise.
Commissioned against the background | 0:13:47 | 0:13:49 | |
that we spend around £56 billion per
year depending on how you define it, | 0:13:49 | 0:13:56 | |
national security broadly defined.
To ensure the balance of that | 0:13:56 | 0:13:59 | |
expenditure across departments is
allocated correctly. There are some | 0:13:59 | 0:14:04 | |
constraints within that, the 2%
commitment on defence. And the 0.7% | 0:14:04 | 0:14:08 | |
commitment on ODA were fixed. | 0:14:08 | 0:14:12 | |
There is a great deal one can do in
terms of allocating resources within | 0:14:13 | 0:14:17 | |
a pool that size to make sure they
are being allocated correctly and | 0:14:17 | 0:14:21 | |
the prioritisation is correct.
Essentially that is what we are | 0:14:21 | 0:14:23 | |
considering. | 0:14:23 | 0:14:26 | |
When is it going to be announced. We
will bring it to the national | 0:14:26 | 0:14:30 | |
Security Council in the new year and
it will be made public in due | 0:14:30 | 0:14:35 | |
course. Rumours were it would be
delayed and would in fact happen the | 0:14:35 | 0:14:41 | |
same time as the funding review?
Next year's Budget. There isn't a | 0:14:41 | 0:14:51 | |
spending review for next autumn's
Budget. No decisions have been taken | 0:14:51 | 0:14:56 | |
about a full spending review. It is
not being delayed. There was a tweet | 0:14:56 | 0:15:01 | |
about a meeting moving, I'm not
going to get into a running | 0:15:01 | 0:15:04 | |
commentary on what is on their
agenda, but this will be brought to | 0:15:04 | 0:15:09 | |
the council in the new year and
ministers will take decisions then. | 0:15:09 | 0:15:15 | |
In the new year. It is scheduled to
be taken in the new year. The | 0:15:15 | 0:15:21 | |
schedule is for the Prime Minister.
I'm going to move on to Miss Reeves. | 0:15:21 | 0:15:30 | |
You mentioned that Russia and Brexit
were reasons for the updates since | 0:15:30 | 0:15:37 | |
2015. I wonder whether those are the
principal reasons, the former | 0:15:37 | 0:15:43 | |
Defence Secretary said one reason
for the capability review is the | 0:15:43 | 0:15:47 | |
intensification of the four
principal threats identified in the | 0:15:47 | 0:15:53 | |
2015 national security strategy. Is
it the intensification of the risks, | 0:15:53 | 0:15:59 | |
or is it Brexit and Russia or a
combip nation that meant -- | 0:15:59 | 0:16:05 | |
combination meant the update was
needed. The former defence Secretary | 0:16:05 | 0:16:09 | |
included Russia in the threats he
was talking about. The review did | 0:16:09 | 0:16:15 | |
identify four threats, Russia among
them, terrorism among them. How | 0:16:15 | 0:16:19 | |
about Brexit. I didn't identify,
that was separate. But it did | 0:16:19 | 0:16:26 | |
identify those threats and it was
largely based around tackling those | 0:16:26 | 0:16:32 | |
threats. The threats of terrorism,
as the former Defence Secretary said | 0:16:32 | 0:16:38 | |
and the Russian threat have
intensified. That is influencing the | 0:16:38 | 0:16:42 | |
shape of the review. The original
review took place before Brexit and | 0:16:42 | 0:16:46 | |
of course we have to make sure that
the current review is correct in the | 0:16:46 | 0:16:55 | |
new circumstances. The work you have
been doing, in what way is Brexit | 0:16:55 | 0:17:00 | |
important for our national security?
Well it affects our relationship | 0:17:00 | 0:17:05 | |
with the European Union and it
therefore affects our and our | 0:17:05 | 0:17:11 | |
co-operation with them or will do,
as you know we seek to have a deep | 0:17:11 | 0:17:17 | |
and special partnership, but we have
that yet to negotiate. And it | 0:17:17 | 0:17:21 | |
affects our relations with the rest
of the world. The Government is | 0:17:21 | 0:17:25 | |
seeking to exploit the freedoms to
deepen relationships with other | 0:17:25 | 0:17:32 | |
countries in South Asia, in the Gulf
etc. Across the economic and | 0:17:32 | 0:17:37 | |
security agenda. Brexit sets a
different context within which we | 0:17:37 | 0:17:42 | |
are operating. The threats are
independent of that. In 2015 | 0:17:42 | 0:17:48 | |
obviously we knew, you knew there
was going to be a referendum in | 0:17:48 | 0:17:52 | |
2016. So had the risk of Brexit or
the opportunity of Brexit however | 0:17:52 | 0:17:59 | |
you might see it, had that been
included in the NSS and the SDSRo | 0:17:59 | 0:18:05 | |
did you have to look at this from
scratch? Of course the 2015 exercise | 0:18:05 | 0:18:11 | |
was conducted before I took the job.
But the Government... Of course the | 0:18:11 | 0:18:17 | |
Government position at the time was
there would be a referendum. At the | 0:18:17 | 0:18:20 | |
time of the review, I don't think
the timing of that was set and the | 0:18:20 | 0:18:27 | |
intention, the Government's
intention was to campaign for | 0:18:27 | 0:18:29 | |
remain. It was mentioned I think in
the 2015 review, but it wasn't taken | 0:18:29 | 0:18:36 | |
as a strategic driver of the review.
We have a different context now and | 0:18:36 | 0:18:41 | |
we need to make sure we are in the
right shape for 2017 and beyond. It | 0:18:41 | 0:18:47 | |
sounds like, it is obviously a
hugely different context, I'm | 0:18:47 | 0:18:53 | |
surprised when the work was done it
wasn't looked at more systemically. | 0:18:53 | 0:18:59 | |
Have you undertaken a new risk
assessment as part of national | 0:18:59 | 0:19:03 | |
security capability process? That
process is under way. We have | 0:19:03 | 0:19:09 | |
published within Government, there
are three documents, there is a | 0:19:09 | 0:19:15 | |
national risk assess. Both are
confidential and there is a | 0:19:15 | 0:19:19 | |
published national risk register.
That is an unclassified document. We | 0:19:19 | 0:19:24 | |
have... These are constantly under
review. But we conducted a refresher | 0:19:24 | 0:19:31 | |
of the national risk assessment this
year and will conduct a refresh in | 0:19:31 | 0:19:36 | |
2018. Thank you. My question would
be there from the work you have done | 0:19:36 | 0:19:46 | |
so far, are you already seeing a
significant variation between the | 0:19:46 | 0:19:52 | |
four principal threats identified in
their impact on the UK and the need | 0:19:52 | 0:19:56 | |
to deal with them? I think perhaps
the two I would focus on Lord Pole | 0:19:56 | 0:20:02 | |
are Russia and the terrorist threat.
We expected both, if you look back | 0:20:02 | 0:20:06 | |
at the 2015 review, we expected both
of those positions to become more | 0:20:06 | 0:20:10 | |
troublesome and they have and they
will probably become more | 0:20:10 | 0:20:16 | |
troublesome faster and more broadly
than was an is the painted at the | 0:20:16 | 0:20:19 | |
time. They were -- anticipated at
the time. But they were shaping the | 0:20:19 | 0:20:24 | |
review. But clearly the Russian
attitude has worsened more generally | 0:20:24 | 0:20:29 | |
towards the west and that is, that
seems set to continue. The terrorist | 0:20:29 | 0:20:43 | |
threat has changed because of the
way terrorist threat has developed | 0:20:43 | 0:20:47 | |
and innovated. Would you see a
significant variation in spending | 0:20:47 | 0:20:54 | |
emerging from the present base? No,
not necessarily. It is more about | 0:20:54 | 0:20:59 | |
the balance. If you look at... There
is of course some more money coming | 0:20:59 | 0:21:05 | |
in. I should have made this point in
answer to the earlier question, the | 0:21:05 | 0:21:13 | |
Home Secretary and the Chancellor
announced an extra £50 million to | 0:21:13 | 0:21:18 | |
support the police and help deal
with the terrorist threat and the | 0:21:18 | 0:21:21 | |
Home Secretary will set out more
detail later this week in the House | 0:21:21 | 0:21:26 | |
of Commons. We had already agreed in
the 2015SRR to expand the resources | 0:21:26 | 0:21:35 | |
into counter terrorism and security
and intelligence. And you will note | 0:21:35 | 0:21:38 | |
from the Anderson review that has
been published of the operational | 0:21:38 | 0:21:47 | |
lessons learned from the terrorist
attacks earlier this year that the | 0:21:47 | 0:21:52 | |
main recommendations are not about
additional resources or resources | 0:21:52 | 0:21:56 | |
additional to those planned to come
in, but about changes to the way | 0:21:56 | 0:22:01 | |
information is shared, changes to
the way different organisations | 0:22:01 | 0:22:04 | |
operate with each other. It isn't
always just about resources. A lot, | 0:22:04 | 0:22:08 | |
perhaps to go back to the earlier
question, is about the way we | 0:22:08 | 0:22:13 | |
operate across the national security
community. One last question, not | 0:22:13 | 0:22:17 | |
directly related to the previous
two, when you're looking at possible | 0:22:17 | 0:22:23 | |
variations in the allocations of
funds, are you also looking at the | 0:22:23 | 0:22:27 | |
question of how our nuclear
capability is funded and whether it | 0:22:27 | 0:22:31 | |
should be moved back to central
funded as we did in the 80s, rather | 0:22:31 | 0:22:36 | |
than lumping it into the MoD budget?
There is a separate discussion about | 0:22:36 | 0:22:40 | |
that. I don't want to get drawn on
the detail of the deterrent, but | 0:22:40 | 0:22:47 | |
that particular issue has not been
central to the capability review, | 0:22:47 | 0:22:54 | |
although there is a separate
discussion about that. Mr Jarvis. | 0:22:54 | 0:23:01 | |
Can I ask about defence specific
resource and capability. You will | 0:23:01 | 0:23:07 | |
know perhaps better than anybody the
huge range of varied threats that we | 0:23:07 | 0:23:12 | |
face. Given that, is 2% of GDP
sufficient to invest in our defence? | 0:23:12 | 0:23:23 | |
Well, it's a political question
above my pay grade. We do invest | 0:23:23 | 0:23:28 | |
over 2% now. We're the biggest, we
have the biggest defence budget in | 0:23:28 | 0:23:35 | |
Europe, the biggest defence
contributor in Europe. I tend to | 0:23:35 | 0:23:38 | |
think of this in the round. We're
the only western country that hints, | 0:23:38 | 0:23:47 | |
exeseeds the 2% target for defence
and hits the 7% target for | 0:23:47 | 0:23:50 | |
development. World class security
agencies and so on. When I think | 0:23:50 | 0:23:55 | |
about our national security
capabilities, I'm thinking of the | 0:23:55 | 0:24:00 | |
whole portfolio and no country has
quite that mix. Back to the chair's | 0:24:00 | 0:24:06 | |
first line of questioning, part of
my job is to ensure we fuse all that | 0:24:06 | 0:24:12 | |
and deliver it effectively. Of
course, anyone in my job would be | 0:24:12 | 0:24:16 | |
delighted to have more capability,
but we do have one of biggest | 0:24:16 | 0:24:23 | |
defence budgets in the world. The
programme will give us world class | 0:24:23 | 0:24:29 | |
and modern capabilities across the
piece and I think as a country we, I | 0:24:29 | 0:24:33 | |
think if I look at my counter part
over seas, I think they envy the | 0:24:33 | 0:24:38 | |
sort of capabilities that I'm able
to recommend ministers deploy. In | 0:24:38 | 0:24:45 | |
terms of capabilities we can bring
to bear, when with we are looking to | 0:24:45 | 0:24:49 | |
develop those, it is important to
think about what our allies are | 0:24:49 | 0:24:54 | |
doing, can I ask you therefore, what
conversations are you having or what | 0:24:54 | 0:25:00 | |
work is taking place alongside our
US and European partners about the | 0:25:00 | 0:25:05 | |
contribution they're proposing to
make in the future? This is a | 0:25:05 | 0:25:09 | |
powerful point if I may. Of course,
one of our capabilities and a | 0:25:09 | 0:25:14 | |
capability in particular the
Russians don't have is allies. If | 0:25:14 | 0:25:17 | |
you look at the, if you added up the
British, French and German defence | 0:25:17 | 0:25:24 | |
budgets, although they don't hit the
2% target, that is double the | 0:25:24 | 0:25:29 | |
Russian budget. A lot is not about
expenditure, but the effectiveness | 0:25:29 | 0:25:34 | |
we get. Part of NATO modernisation
programme is to ensure that forces | 0:25:34 | 0:25:42 | |
are genuinely more able to deploy
alongside each other. As we deploy | 0:25:42 | 0:25:48 | |
the carriers, we are, we will have
some allied capability in the | 0:25:48 | 0:25:52 | |
carrier groups and on the carriers
themselves. And when I was in the | 0:25:52 | 0:25:56 | |
United States last week and saw the
Secretary of defence there, he was | 0:25:56 | 0:26:02 | |
talking about examples of British
capability that are almost defence | 0:26:02 | 0:26:07 | |
capability, military capability that
are almost unique that make a real | 0:26:07 | 0:26:10 | |
contribution to the American view of
the allied effort both within Europe | 0:26:10 | 0:26:16 | |
and outside it. You're right, if one
of our strengths is our alliances, | 0:26:16 | 0:26:22 | |
we need to ensure we integrate and
interoperate our capabilities. Do | 0:26:22 | 0:26:29 | |
you want to come in on this point?
The question Lord Powell raised on | 0:26:29 | 0:26:38 | |
spending is surely key to your
responsibility as in the flexibility | 0:26:38 | 0:26:43 | |
of finances from one area of
spending to another and the reality | 0:26:43 | 0:26:46 | |
of the 2% which isn't after all a
target, what is a targ is the | 0:26:46 | 0:26:55 | |
strategic capability of the UK. That
is a floor of 2%. Can you say how | 0:26:55 | 0:27:00 | |
you see is threats being balanced
against this floor? I think as I | 0:27:00 | 0:27:09 | |
have said, perhaps I can just take
the European theatre as an example, | 0:27:09 | 0:27:14 | |
otherwise I could probably deliver a
20 minute answer which I suspect | 0:27:14 | 0:27:18 | |
would try your patience. We know
that the Russian threat is | 0:27:18 | 0:27:23 | |
intensifying and diversifying, they
are, they're improving the | 0:27:23 | 0:27:28 | |
sophistication of their of
conventional capability and in | 0:27:28 | 0:27:33 | |
Norway they were show manager me the
capabilities they're developing in | 0:27:33 | 0:27:43 | |
the north. At the same time we saw
that huge operation which was as | 0:27:43 | 0:27:49 | |
much a propaganda operation as a
military exercise, designed to | 0:27:49 | 0:27:55 | |
unsettle our allies in eastern
Europe and we are aware of the | 0:27:55 | 0:27:59 | |
cyberthreat they mount. So we are
seeing a diversification of the | 0:27:59 | 0:28:04 | |
Russian threat. As we need to be
able to deter and disrupt and defend | 0:28:04 | 0:28:11 | |
ourselves against all of those
threats. But we have to do it as an | 0:28:11 | 0:28:17 | |
alliance. It is not just the 2%, the
floor, it is I think 2.14 at the | 0:28:17 | 0:28:23 | |
moment in defence fence with a
growing budget. It is about that | 0:28:23 | 0:28:29 | |
full mix of national security
capabilities we can bring to bear | 0:28:29 | 0:28:32 | |
and my job is to ensure that
ministers have to opportunity to | 0:28:32 | 0:28:35 | |
consider all the options available
to them. They then need to decide | 0:28:35 | 0:28:39 | |
what the blend of the capabilities
is and there is a bigger discussion | 0:28:39 | 0:28:43 | |
about the over all funding which is
one for main spending reviews. It | 0:28:43 | 0:28:53 | |
that is that spectrum that one sees
holes appearing, such as winter | 0:28:53 | 0:29:00 | |
training in Norway to defend the
northern flank, it appears to be one | 0:29:00 | 0:29:05 | |
of areas of strategic vacuum. I'm
not an expert on the particular, I | 0:29:05 | 0:29:11 | |
mean on the particular deployment
you set out there. But when I was in | 0:29:11 | 0:29:16 | |
Norway we had a very rich
conversation about how on that | 0:29:16 | 0:29:24 | |
northern flank her to Norway and
other allies can deal with the | 0:29:24 | 0:29:31 | |
Russian threat. I would need to come
back to you on detail, having taken | 0:29:31 | 0:29:36 | |
a bit more expert advice. | 0:29:36 | 0:29:45 | |
... Intensified, as Michael Fallon
stated and as you have been | 0:29:46 | 0:29:50 | |
outlining, why are cuts in defence
credibility so widely being | 0:29:50 | 0:29:54 | |
anticipated as a consequence of this
review? There's been a great deal, | 0:29:54 | 0:30:00 | |
as you have been aware, of public
speculation. The former Defence | 0:30:00 | 0:30:04 | |
Secretary, of course, and now the
new Defence Secretary have both been | 0:30:04 | 0:30:07 | |
quite clear about both the floor and
growth in the defence budget. | 0:30:07 | 0:30:16 | |
Obviously, they are considering it
very carefully. The capabilities | 0:30:16 | 0:30:21 | |
that can be developed. You have just
issued a report. I haven't had a | 0:30:21 | 0:30:25 | |
chance to look at all of the detail
of it but I've seen a summary of the | 0:30:25 | 0:30:28 | |
report you issued about the
efficiency programme and so on. But | 0:30:28 | 0:30:32 | |
the programme is designed to deliver
joint force 2025, that is a very | 0:30:32 | 0:30:37 | |
impressive set of military
capabilities that would be available | 0:30:37 | 0:30:40 | |
to this country in the mid 2020s.
That remains the capability baseline | 0:30:40 | 0:30:46 | |
that we are... That is our target.
Are you saying that there are no | 0:30:46 | 0:30:52 | |
chances of significant cuts in
existing defence capabilities | 0:30:52 | 0:30:56 | |
resulting from this review? | 0:30:56 | 0:30:59 | |
It's not for me to pre-empt
decisions ministers will take. I'm | 0:31:01 | 0:31:04 | |
not asking you to be specific, I am
asking you to be general. I'm | 0:31:04 | 0:31:08 | |
saying, are you telling us that, as
a result of this review, we need not | 0:31:08 | 0:31:14 | |
be concerned that there will be cuts
in existing capabilities, given that | 0:31:14 | 0:31:21 | |
the review is supposed to be being
held because the threats are getting | 0:31:21 | 0:31:24 | |
worse? | 0:31:24 | 0:31:26 | |
Doctor Lewis, ministers will need to
have options about making | 0:31:27 | 0:31:30 | |
adjustments to capabilities and to
the programme. That may mean | 0:31:30 | 0:31:34 | |
reducing some and increasing others.
That's for ministers to decide. | 0:31:34 | 0:31:38 | |
While this review is in flight I
can't say much more than that. | 0:31:38 | 0:31:42 | |
Didn't James Gray get to the heart
of it when he asked you a question | 0:31:42 | 0:31:45 | |
about this trade off between an
increasing threat on one hand | 0:31:45 | 0:31:51 | |
leading to a cut in the capability
to meet another threat on the other | 0:31:51 | 0:31:56 | |
unless you increase the overall
defence budget? And wasn't the game | 0:31:56 | 0:32:01 | |
given away by your answer when you
said that this is meant to be "A | 0:32:01 | 0:32:06 | |
fiscally neutral exercise". Are you
telling us that even if the threats | 0:32:06 | 0:32:10 | |
that led to the capabilities being
drawn up in 2015, they may not have | 0:32:10 | 0:32:17 | |
changed, but other threats may have
got a lot worse. And because you're | 0:32:17 | 0:32:23 | |
not willing to recommend an increase
in the defence budget, indeed, you | 0:32:23 | 0:32:27 | |
seem to be rather complacent about
the size of the defence budget in | 0:32:27 | 0:32:31 | |
what you have just been saying, but
this means that we have to make cuts | 0:32:31 | 0:32:37 | |
in capabilities that we really need
in order to meet other threats that | 0:32:37 | 0:32:41 | |
have got worse, isn't that the
logical consequence of everything | 0:32:41 | 0:32:45 | |
you've been telling us? I don't
agree, Doctor Lewis. The 2015 | 0:32:45 | 0:32:51 | |
review, when I said was fiscally
neutral, within a growing envelope. | 0:32:51 | 0:32:57 | |
The 2015 review already has
significant increases coming into a | 0:32:57 | 0:33:00 | |
range of budgets. The defence
budget, as you know better than I, | 0:33:00 | 0:33:04 | |
has a fixed floor of 2% of national
income and will grow by half a | 0:33:04 | 0:33:10 | |
percent a year in real terms. There
are other commitments within that. | 0:33:10 | 0:33:14 | |
The defence budget is increasing.
The budget available to this purity | 0:33:14 | 0:33:16 | |
and intelligence agencies are
increasing. Even if you take the | 0:33:16 | 0:33:22 | |
hard power ended this, we have an
increasing envelope. The question I | 0:33:22 | 0:33:28 | |
was trying to respond to Mr grow, it
is about how we balance off the | 0:33:28 | 0:33:31 | |
decisions in that increasing
envelope -- Mr James Gray. There is | 0:33:31 | 0:33:36 | |
a question about whether that is
sufficient overall. But this | 0:33:36 | 0:33:39 | |
exercise looks at how to best make
use of the rule sources available to | 0:33:39 | 0:33:44 | |
us against the threat picture and we
reached conclusions at the end. Do | 0:33:44 | 0:33:48 | |
you or do you not have the ability
to make a recommendation, if you | 0:33:48 | 0:33:54 | |
believe that you cannot meet the new
and intensifying threats without | 0:33:54 | 0:33:59 | |
making cuts in capabilities which,
only two years ago, we decided were | 0:33:59 | 0:34:06 | |
necessary and important. Do you have
the ability to say to the | 0:34:06 | 0:34:10 | |
government, "We need to enlarge the
financial envelope?" To use the | 0:34:10 | 0:34:16 | |
jargon. Of course. If we concluded
that the total set of capabilities | 0:34:16 | 0:34:24 | |
optimised across that 56 billion
were insufficient to meet the | 0:34:24 | 0:34:28 | |
threats then, of course, we would
say that to ministers. That is not a | 0:34:28 | 0:34:33 | |
conclusion I expect to reach. But I
have the freedom, always, to give | 0:34:33 | 0:34:37 | |
ministers candid advice. As I
already said, the government has | 0:34:37 | 0:34:42 | |
already just announced, even in the
short-term, a significant increase | 0:34:42 | 0:34:46 | |
in funding for the policing. Because
of the intensification of that | 0:34:46 | 0:34:50 | |
threat. There are areas in which
this is being considered. With | 0:34:50 | 0:34:54 | |
respect, you keep lumping together,
and I know that's your job, because | 0:34:54 | 0:34:57 | |
you are the national security
adviser and not just the Defence | 0:34:57 | 0:35:00 | |
Secretary, you keep lumping together
the budgets for all of these things. | 0:35:00 | 0:35:05 | |
There is no doubt, because of
terrorist threats in particular, | 0:35:05 | 0:35:09 | |
there have been very substantial
increases in budgets for things like | 0:35:09 | 0:35:13 | |
the intelligence services. But the
budget the defence is 36 billion. | 0:35:13 | 0:35:19 | |
That is the budget that gives us our
Nato comparator of 2% as a minimum. | 0:35:20 | 0:35:28 | |
You said one of the main reasons
that the threat has intensified has | 0:35:28 | 0:35:31 | |
been a newly assertive Russia. The
last time we had an assertive Russia | 0:35:31 | 0:35:37 | |
was in the 1980s. We weren't
spending 2% on the defence budget | 0:35:37 | 0:35:43 | |
then, we were spending between
4.6%-5.1%. I beg your pardon? And | 0:35:43 | 0:35:51 | |
allies were comparatively spending
more as well. Thank you, Tom. And | 0:35:51 | 0:35:55 | |
even after the Cold War came to an
end, between 1989 and 1991, and even | 0:35:55 | 0:36:01 | |
after we took the peace dividend
cuts, as late as the financial year | 0:36:01 | 0:36:08 | |
1995-1996, we weren't spending just
2% of GDP on defence, we were | 0:36:08 | 0:36:13 | |
spending 3% of GDP on defence. Given
that we are -- we used to spend a | 0:36:13 | 0:36:20 | |
much greater percentage of GDP on
defence and have defence much higher | 0:36:20 | 0:36:27 | |
in our scale of national priorities
in comparison with other high | 0:36:27 | 0:36:31 | |
spending departments that we do now,
are you still saying to me that we | 0:36:31 | 0:36:37 | |
should not be concerned about the
fact that we are talking about | 0:36:37 | 0:36:42 | |
deleting entire capabilities like
the Royal Marines amphibious | 0:36:42 | 0:36:46 | |
capability, when only in January
this year, I was being assured that | 0:36:46 | 0:36:52 | |
HMS Albion and HMS Bulwark were due
to the service in 2033 and 2044? How | 0:36:52 | 0:36:59 | |
can you tell me that we do not need
an enlarged defence budget if we | 0:36:59 | 0:37:05 | |
cannot deal with intensifying
threats without cutting other | 0:37:05 | 0:37:09 | |
capabilities that only two years ago
we decided we needed? With respect | 0:37:09 | 0:37:13 | |
Doctor Lewis, the direct example you
gave is speculative, no decisions | 0:37:13 | 0:37:20 | |
have been taken of mankind. There is
a lot of speculation in the press, | 0:37:20 | 0:37:25 | |
some very well sourced speculation
in the press, but no decisions had | 0:37:25 | 0:37:29 | |
been taken. In terms of the general
point you are making, the historical | 0:37:29 | 0:37:35 | |
comparison, is, of course, correct
in the sense of our own expenditure. | 0:37:35 | 0:37:39 | |
But let's not forget the nature of
the threat we faced in the 1980s. As | 0:37:39 | 0:37:43 | |
I said earlier on, I don't think the
way to measure this is just through | 0:37:43 | 0:37:47 | |
budgets, it is about the effect you
are seeking to achieve but just | 0:37:47 | 0:37:50 | |
taking that as a proxy, as I
mentioned, if you put together the | 0:37:50 | 0:37:53 | |
British, French and German defence
budgets, even now, that's even | 0:37:53 | 0:37:57 | |
before Germany and France hit the
2%, but even now, it's about twice | 0:37:57 | 0:38:02 | |
the Russian defence budget. What
they get for that and the way they | 0:38:02 | 0:38:06 | |
deploy themselves is clearly
different. You will be the first to | 0:38:06 | 0:38:09 | |
tell me that is not a direct
comparison. But that's my point | 0:38:09 | 0:38:13 | |
about budgets, we can't just...
Compare to our own historic | 0:38:13 | 0:38:16 | |
experience. | 0:38:16 | 0:38:18 | |
Areas in which we may decide to deal
with the Russian threat because of | 0:38:19 | 0:38:23 | |
the nature of that threat, the
diversifying nature, they exist | 0:38:23 | 0:38:27 | |
outside the defence budget. I don't
dispute the basic analysis that | 0:38:27 | 0:38:31 | |
you're setting out, but I think it
is right in my job to think about | 0:38:31 | 0:38:34 | |
the whole set of capabilities, not
just the biggest one. I have to stop | 0:38:34 | 0:38:39 | |
now, but can I just say that anyone
who underestimates Russia's military | 0:38:39 | 0:38:45 | |
potential and the size of their GDP
does so at their peril. I have many | 0:38:45 | 0:38:49 | |
more questions I'd like to put but I
fear they'll have to wait for a | 0:38:49 | 0:38:52 | |
different forum from this one. Lord
King wanted to come in very briefly. | 0:38:52 | 0:38:58 | |
One quick question, are you the
right person that Doctor Lewis | 0:38:58 | 0:39:00 | |
should be asking these questions to?
Just, quite simply, do you come in a | 0:39:00 | 0:39:07 | |
sense, few of the dual
responsibility is to work within the | 0:39:07 | 0:39:10 | |
terms of reference this may have
been employed to you and perhaps | 0:39:10 | 0:39:13 | |
feel that you're not in a position
to actually challenge the Treasury | 0:39:13 | 0:39:19 | |
had on? Is that right or wrong?
Perhaps there are two passed to the | 0:39:19 | 0:39:24 | |
question and answer. Of course,
Doctor Lewis and I have exchanged | 0:39:24 | 0:39:27 | |
some correspondence and the Prime
Minister has as well. I genuinely | 0:39:27 | 0:39:29 | |
think that it is the government
position that questions of this | 0:39:29 | 0:39:33 | |
detail should be addressed to the
Defence Secretary and permit | 0:39:33 | 0:39:36 | |
secretary of defence, they are
responsible for this area of work. | 0:39:36 | 0:39:41 | |
On the broader question... --
permanent secretary of defence. Can | 0:39:41 | 0:39:44 | |
I have the frank conversations with
the Prime Minister and Chancellor of | 0:39:44 | 0:39:46 | |
the Treasury about the overall
allocation of resources? Absolutely. | 0:39:46 | 0:39:52 | |
I expect to do so. But, as always,
in private. I will move on to | 0:39:52 | 0:39:57 | |
Baroness Fox will stop you said the
large and growing diverse threat. | 0:39:57 | 0:40:02 | |
Baroness Fox will stop you said the
large and growing diverse threat. | 0:40:03 | 0:40:04 | |
I'm interested in your view on how
much has | 0:40:05 | 0:40:08 | |
I'm interested in your view on how
much has shifted since 2015. A lot | 0:40:08 | 0:40:12 | |
has shifted since last week. How you
would characterise the threats and | 0:40:12 | 0:40:15 | |
plan for them? You know this area
much better than I. I hope you would | 0:40:15 | 0:40:22 | |
agree that the rate of change in
this area, you know, both | 0:40:22 | 0:40:27 | |
essentially, how individual threats
have become sharper but also the | 0:40:27 | 0:40:33 | |
diversification of threats. They
have progressed faster than anyone | 0:40:33 | 0:40:40 | |
expected two or three years ago. As
you say. It's almost as if there is | 0:40:40 | 0:40:44 | |
something different all of the time.
The thing that has really struck me | 0:40:44 | 0:40:50 | |
about the cyber threat and I dealt
with this a lot at the Home Office, | 0:40:50 | 0:40:53 | |
the way it cuts right across any
definition of national security and | 0:40:53 | 0:40:58 | |
public safety. If you are an
individual small business and there | 0:40:58 | 0:41:02 | |
is one near to where my flat is in
Battersea, they has two crimes in | 0:41:02 | 0:41:07 | |
the space of a week. One of which
was to smash up their stuff outside. | 0:41:07 | 0:41:11 | |
It was a florist. The other was a
cyber attack on their bank account. | 0:41:11 | 0:41:16 | |
The second was the much more
difficult one for the police to | 0:41:16 | 0:41:20 | |
address. The cyber threat is not
just in national strategic threat of | 0:41:20 | 0:41:22 | |
the kind we have been discussing
already, where hostile state could | 0:41:22 | 0:41:29 | |
achieve, through cyber activity, the
same kind of effect they could | 0:41:29 | 0:41:31 | |
achieve through significant military
action. It's also a threat that goes | 0:41:31 | 0:41:35 | |
right the way down to individual
businesses, or as you know, | 0:41:35 | 0:41:40 | |
individual citizens. Particularly
the most vulnerable. Therefore, it's | 0:41:40 | 0:41:44 | |
not one we can parcel up and put in
one place. It is now essentially a | 0:41:44 | 0:41:49 | |
place or battle space, one likes
that language, a domain that runs | 0:41:49 | 0:41:52 | |
right the way across the national
security and public safety agenda. | 0:41:52 | 0:41:58 | |
Again, one could talk about this at
great length. Therefore, the | 0:41:59 | 0:42:03 | |
approach has to be, as it is in
other areas, in very generic terms, | 0:42:03 | 0:42:07 | |
to tackle the threats as best we
can. Reduce those, go after the | 0:42:07 | 0:42:12 | |
people responsible for them. You get
a blend of state and non-state, | 0:42:12 | 0:42:16 | |
criminal, political, etc. It also
improve resilience. This is not | 0:42:16 | 0:42:20 | |
something, as you know, the
government can do alone. We have to | 0:42:20 | 0:42:23 | |
improve the resident resilience of
citizens and government as a whole. | 0:42:23 | 0:42:28 | |
I am happy to talk at length about
it. Perhaps I should stop. How can | 0:42:28 | 0:42:32 | |
it possibly be that 1.9 billion is
even beginning to scratch the | 0:42:32 | 0:42:36 | |
surface of this threat? How do you
see that number in relation to the | 0:42:36 | 0:42:40 | |
overall budget? 1.9 billion is for
the government cyber security | 0:42:40 | 0:42:45 | |
programme. It is as much about
societal and economic resilience, | 0:42:45 | 0:42:48 | |
not just about government. That is
designed to try and improve | 0:42:48 | 0:42:51 | |
government activity. It is what
has... Funded the National Cyber | 0:42:51 | 0:42:56 | |
Security Centre, which of course,
was launched since this committee | 0:42:56 | 0:43:00 | |
last discussed this issue. A big
part of that unit's job is to | 0:43:00 | 0:43:07 | |
improve best practice in businesses,
best practices amongst citizens, | 0:43:07 | 0:43:13 | |
making people cyber streetwise. To
improve resilience across the | 0:43:13 | 0:43:17 | |
economy and across society. I don't
think this is an area which is | 0:43:17 | 0:43:20 | |
simply bad government spending money
to change things. It's about | 0:43:20 | 0:43:22 | |
changing the way that people and
businesses conduct themselves. | 0:43:22 | 0:43:28 | |
Online. That is something they need
to build in. Can I just talk about | 0:43:28 | 0:43:34 | |
the specific NHS WannaCry attack?
I'm not sure if there was a | 0:43:34 | 0:43:40 | |
central... Sorry, decision about the
central security operations before | 0:43:40 | 0:43:43 | |
that attack, whether that decision
came afterwards? That the NHS have | 0:43:43 | 0:43:49 | |
established a centre for security? I
wondered if you could tell us about | 0:43:49 | 0:43:52 | |
that. My understanding of the
challenge is that it was people | 0:43:52 | 0:43:58 | |
failing over a very long period of
time to have consistently upgraded | 0:43:58 | 0:44:01 | |
the software that they needed to.
How are you approaching this as a | 0:44:01 | 0:44:07 | |
challenge across all of our critical
infrastructure? | 0:44:07 | 0:44:10 | |
On your first question, I believe
the operation existed before, but | 0:44:12 | 0:44:15 | |
has been energised since. I would
like to the committee. I am not | 0:44:15 | 0:44:20 | |
sure. If I have a romcom I will
write to the committee to correct | 0:44:20 | 0:44:24 | |
that, if I may -- if I have that
wrong. You are right on the second | 0:44:24 | 0:44:30 | |
point. Without going into detail
which exposes vulnerabilities, as | 0:44:30 | 0:44:32 | |
you will be aware, some areas, but
not all, where old software that is | 0:44:32 | 0:44:37 | |
no longer fully supported and that
hadn't been patched. The reason that | 0:44:37 | 0:44:40 | |
this attack hit individual
fragments, if you like, of the NHS | 0:44:40 | 0:44:46 | |
was that most of the NHS systems and
most other government systems hit | 0:44:46 | 0:44:51 | |
Russian businesses and others, were
updated and resilient to it but | 0:44:51 | 0:44:56 | |
someone. That basic message, it goes
back to the first question, it | 0:44:56 | 0:45:02 | |
wouldn't matter what the government
budget for cider is, actually, this | 0:45:02 | 0:45:06 | |
is as much about IT departments is
-- cyber security. And hospitals and | 0:45:06 | 0:45:12 | |
elsewhere indulging in basic hygiene
of updating their systems, making | 0:45:12 | 0:45:16 | |
sure their software is patched. | 0:45:16 | 0:45:19 | |
That won't guarantee them against
all threats, but it will increase | 0:45:19 | 0:45:24 | |
their resilience against this kind
of threat. Some of this is about | 0:45:24 | 0:45:29 | |
properly backing up data, so if
there is an attack, you have only | 0:45:29 | 0:45:33 | |
lost a day's work, because
everything up to yesterday was | 0:45:33 | 0:45:35 | |
backed up in a different system.
There is a whole load of practices | 0:45:35 | 0:45:41 | |
that... Good IT hygiene will make
any organisation or individual less | 0:45:41 | 0:45:48 | |
vulnerable. How can you influence
making sure that we have the skills | 0:45:48 | 0:45:53 | |
and attention paid to these issues?
Well, this is and this is something, | 0:45:53 | 0:45:59 | |
so in the economy as a whole, it is
led by DCMC, they have the | 0:45:59 | 0:46:07 | |
responsibility for trying to ensure
as businesses exploit the digital | 0:46:07 | 0:46:12 | |
economy, that they do that in a way
that is safe. That properly protects | 0:46:12 | 0:46:19 | |
them. But I think the main
contribution we make out of national | 0:46:19 | 0:46:25 | |
security community is the national
cyber-security centre which has had | 0:46:25 | 0:46:31 | |
good first few months in operation.
Is supporting businesses and | 0:46:31 | 0:46:37 | |
Government in dealing with
cyber-attacks or dealing with them | 0:46:37 | 0:46:42 | |
if they happen. That is probably the
main contribution we can make more | 0:46:42 | 0:46:46 | |
widely. Within the national security
departments and agencies, we have to | 0:46:46 | 0:46:50 | |
make sure our own systems are
resilient and there are parts of our | 0:46:50 | 0:46:56 | |
supply chains that we are addressing
carefully. I know different | 0:46:56 | 0:47:01 | |
ministers think they have different
bits of this and it is a complex | 0:47:01 | 0:47:05 | |
web, do you think there should be a
single minister with responsibility | 0:47:05 | 0:47:09 | |
for cyber-security. I don't to be
honest, it is now too distributed to | 0:47:09 | 0:47:15 | |
say there is a single minister for
cyber. I set out in my letter where | 0:47:15 | 0:47:21 | |
that responsibility now lies, we
have consolidated some of it, | 0:47:21 | 0:47:25 | |
compared to where we were, the
responsibilities where we have DCMC | 0:47:25 | 0:47:30 | |
responsible for the digital economy
and ensuring h it is safe, that sits | 0:47:30 | 0:47:35 | |
with their core responsibilities.
The Home Secretary response Dibble | 0:47:35 | 0:47:41 | |
responsible for dealing with the
civil contingencies. That is within | 0:47:41 | 0:47:45 | |
her core responsibilities. That is
part of GCHQ and we have the first | 0:47:45 | 0:47:51 | |
Secretary of State and that is a
change, a senior cabinet minister in | 0:47:51 | 0:47:56 | |
charge of the national
cyber-security programme. That feels | 0:47:56 | 0:48:01 | |
like a good mix of responsibilities
to me. One short question to follow | 0:48:01 | 0:48:04 | |
that. Do you feel like you can
recruit the talent you need to think | 0:48:04 | 0:48:08 | |
about this issue? I think, I would
take people on, it is not an issue | 0:48:08 | 0:48:16 | |
for me. I think if you look at QCHQ
and they are able to offer something | 0:48:16 | 0:48:30 | |
that to computer scientists and
graduates coming out of universities | 0:48:30 | 0:48:37 | |
y that the private sector can't and
that is the sense of pup purpose and | 0:48:37 | 0:48:44 | |
the fascination of work and they
feel they have a good record of | 0:48:44 | 0:48:48 | |
attracting highly skilled people. It
is not like people like me, they're | 0:48:48 | 0:48:52 | |
not going to spend 25 or 30 years in
one organisation. They do have | 0:48:52 | 0:48:58 | |
innovative programmes with
scholarships and bursaries in | 0:48:58 | 0:49:02 | |
university, so they're doing some
creative things to attract the right | 0:49:02 | 0:49:06 | |
people and I think they feel they
have a good handle on that question. | 0:49:06 | 0:49:14 | |
Do you really think people have yet
woken up o' to is seriousness of the | 0:49:14 | 0:49:24 | |
cyber situation. It seems to go
right across government I'm | 0:49:24 | 0:49:30 | |
surprised DCMS that isn't seen as
the most heavy weight department has | 0:49:30 | 0:49:38 | |
that responsibility. But looking at
this and knowing that starting with | 0:49:38 | 0:49:44 | |
critical national infrastructure, in
the old days if you wanted to attack | 0:49:44 | 0:49:48 | |
a country you bombed their airports,
you damaged their railway lines and | 0:49:48 | 0:49:54 | |
did those thing, now you just shut
those systems down. I Aviation is | 0:49:54 | 0:50:00 | |
under a major threat. Any transport
system, power generation. It seems | 0:50:00 | 0:50:08 | |
we haven't woken up to the enormous
scale of what is going on both in | 0:50:08 | 0:50:16 | |
terms hostile nations, indulged in
numbers I find incredible and the | 0:50:16 | 0:50:21 | |
amount of attacks that are coming
from, either from hostile nations or | 0:50:21 | 0:50:26 | |
enterprising young men or women who
actually and I talk about putting | 0:50:26 | 0:50:31 | |
people in university, I hope we are
going to recruit people before they | 0:50:31 | 0:50:34 | |
get to university, who are some of
brightest people in this field to | 0:50:34 | 0:50:39 | |
defend us. But also because a lot of
people and we know this as | 0:50:39 | 0:50:44 | |
businesses cover up the fact that
they have been attacked, how good a | 0:50:44 | 0:50:48 | |
picture do we actually have of what
is really going on and are we right | 0:50:48 | 0:50:56 | |
across government and suppliers to
government and to the nation and the | 0:50:56 | 0:51:01 | |
whole of national fabric, how good
are we really doing at covering the | 0:51:01 | 0:51:05 | |
whole of that waterfront. You make
the point very eloquently. For the | 0:51:05 | 0:51:09 | |
economy and society as a whole, I
think you're right, people have not | 0:51:09 | 0:51:13 | |
appreciated the seriousness of this
threat. And this is something that | 0:51:13 | 0:51:16 | |
one needs to think about as a parent
as much as anything else, the social | 0:51:16 | 0:51:26 | |
harms, cyber-bullying and revenge
porn are new factors that young | 0:51:26 | 0:51:30 | |
people are dealing with, right up to
strategic factors. This is something | 0:51:30 | 0:51:34 | |
that there is a role in schools,
there is a role for business and | 0:51:34 | 0:51:38 | |
you're rights we do need to recruit
people out of school and put them | 0:51:38 | 0:51:42 | |
through bursaries and the
cyber-security centre and GCHQ are | 0:51:42 | 0:51:47 | |
doing that. That is a challenging
prospect for government, because | 0:51:47 | 0:51:51 | |
they haven't traditionally done
that. On the the broader strategic | 0:51:51 | 0:51:56 | |
question about critical national
infrastructure, the supply chains | 0:51:56 | 0:52:00 | |
into the security capabilities, and
so on, we are on top, well we are on | 0:52:00 | 0:52:05 | |
this question, I wouldn't claim we
are completely on top of it, there | 0:52:05 | 0:52:10 | |
are vulnerabilities and there are
sophisticated attacks being mounted. | 0:52:10 | 0:52:14 | |
But we are conscious of threat,
whether with the private sector or | 0:52:14 | 0:52:19 | |
parts of public sector, building
that into our programmes is a big | 0:52:19 | 0:52:23 | |
part of their work. In terms of
point you made about disclosure and | 0:52:23 | 0:52:29 | |
companies disclosing this kind of
attack, this is an area where NCR | 0:52:29 | 0:52:36 | |
SEAC is working in a sophisticated
way and agreeing with companies how | 0:52:36 | 0:52:41 | |
they will handle an attack,
beginning with the confidential | 0:52:41 | 0:52:45 | |
conversations so that companies feel
they can share that vulnerability | 0:52:45 | 0:52:50 | |
with the MCSC and that when that
need to do after that to reassure | 0:52:50 | 0:52:54 | |
their customer or shareholders that
they have handled it properly. We | 0:52:54 | 0:52:58 | |
have seen examples where that didn't
work with NCSS they have sought to | 0:52:58 | 0:53:05 | |
learn the lessons of that and help
companies deal with this and not | 0:53:05 | 0:53:10 | |
increase their vulnerability by
going public at the wrong time, | 0:53:10 | 0:53:13 | |
whilst going public at the
appropriate time. | 0:53:13 | 0:53:25 | |
You mentioned cyber as an electronic
crime and it is a physical crime. | 0:53:25 | 0:53:30 | |
Could you comment on that. The chief
of defence staff spoke about this at | 0:53:30 | 0:53:36 | |
some length last week. It goes to
the point Lord King was making in | 0:53:36 | 0:53:42 | |
the modern era, you can achieve the
same effect as you used to be during | 0:53:42 | 0:53:47 | |
World War two say bombing the London
docks or taking out a power station, | 0:53:47 | 0:53:52 | |
by going after the physical
infrastructure of cyberspace and | 0:53:52 | 0:53:56 | |
cables or going after the hard ware
or going after the software, | 0:53:56 | 0:54:03 | |
cyber-attacks that freeze or tip
over systems and we have to take | 0:54:03 | 0:54:08 | |
both seriously. It ever sizes the
over lap on defence capability. Of | 0:54:08 | 0:54:17 | |
course, I take an active interest in
all of the capabilities, but in the | 0:54:17 | 0:54:23 | |
end they're delivered by individual
departments and what those | 0:54:23 | 0:54:27 | |
departments, what those departments
deliver, how effective they deliver | 0:54:27 | 0:54:31 | |
it and whether they're on budget is
a matter for them. My job is to try | 0:54:31 | 0:54:36 | |
and help the NSC see the whole
picture and play that co-ordinating | 0:54:36 | 0:54:41 | |
role. I run a small secretariat and
some of caricatures that I have seen | 0:54:41 | 0:54:49 | |
in the press of my influence on
these matters are perhaps slightly | 0:54:49 | 0:54:53 | |
exaggerated. Lord Hamilton. There
was a report that companies were | 0:54:53 | 0:54:59 | |
accumulating bit coins so that they
could pay off black mailers on the | 0:54:59 | 0:55:04 | |
cybersite. Are you confident that if
that happens, although it wouldn't | 0:55:04 | 0:55:09 | |
be in the public domain these
companies would inform you that | 0:55:09 | 0:55:12 | |
happened, or is this going on
without you knowing anything about | 0:55:12 | 0:55:16 | |
it. That goes to the point I was
making to Lord King, I can't be | 0:55:16 | 0:55:21 | |
absolutely confident, but companies
that indulge in that are going to | 0:55:21 | 0:55:25 | |
lay themselves open to more of the
same problem and part of test of | 0:55:25 | 0:55:32 | |
whether our cyber-strategy as a
whole across the economy, and the | 0:55:32 | 0:55:37 | |
cyber-resilience is whether
companies feel they need to ensure | 0:55:37 | 0:55:40 | |
themselves through that kind of
mechanism. I can assure you that | 0:55:40 | 0:55:45 | |
companies that face this kind of
vulnerability or have an incident | 0:55:45 | 0:55:51 | |
can go to NCSC in confidence and
NSCS will help them manage the | 0:55:51 | 0:55:58 | |
public disclosure of it in an
appropriate way. Thank you. I would | 0:55:58 | 0:56:03 | |
like to move on to counter terrorism
and March the previous committee | 0:56:03 | 0:56:10 | |
heard from the Home Secretary and
asked about what was happening on | 0:56:10 | 0:56:17 | |
contest and the publication of
document that's referred to as | 0:56:17 | 0:56:26 | |
contest 2.0and she said it was
running late and stressed the | 0:56:26 | 0:56:30 | |
importance of getting it done. That
was overtaken by events clearly, but | 0:56:30 | 0:56:34 | |
I think it would be useful to hear
from you how the sort of shift from | 0:56:34 | 0:56:43 | |
contest 2.0to 3.0has affected your
thinking, why was there not a case | 0:56:43 | 0:56:47 | |
for pressing ahead with the
publication of contest document, the | 0:56:47 | 0:56:53 | |
review that was expected even with,
even in t expectation of work being | 0:56:53 | 0:57:03 | |
done on the new review that was
announced after the general | 0:57:03 | 0:57:06 | |
election? The question of
publication is a very one for the | 0:57:06 | 0:57:11 | |
Home Secretary and for ministers. I
think they felt that given the | 0:57:11 | 0:57:16 | |
nature of nose attacks and the fact
that we needed to take another look | 0:57:16 | 0:57:20 | |
at this, there was this operational
review conducted with David | 0:57:20 | 0:57:25 | |
Anderson's assurance that it didn't
make sense to put out one document | 0:57:25 | 0:57:29 | |
that at the time we wouldn't have
known there was significant changes | 0:57:29 | 0:57:33 | |
and it would have... It could have
been, could have caused confusion is | 0:57:33 | 0:57:39 | |
guess. But I was n't involved in the
decision. In terms of work since the | 0:57:39 | 0:57:50 | |
election it is broad-ranging, so
there has been as you know the | 0:57:50 | 0:57:54 | |
operational reviews and those have
reached significant lessons learned | 0:57:54 | 0:57:59 | |
about how the operational mechanism,
the case work mechanisms need to | 0:57:59 | 0:58:06 | |
change, more data sharing and
engagement with mainstream policings | 0:58:06 | 0:58:11 | |
and more broadly as the threat has
diversify and defused and we have | 0:58:11 | 0:58:18 | |
seen people being radicalised online
at much greater speed than was the | 0:58:18 | 0:58:22 | |
case even a few years ago. I was
struck about that at the Home | 0:58:22 | 0:58:27 | |
Office. We need to put in place a
broader structure that deals with | 0:58:27 | 0:58:36 | |
that more defuse threat and which
people can use every day implements | 0:58:36 | 0:58:44 | |
to launch attacks. So that review is
in progress, contest 3.0as you refer | 0:58:44 | 0:58:53 | |
to it. It is part of capability
review portfolio and will be again | 0:58:53 | 0:58:59 | |
as the capability review as a whole
will be published in due course. I | 0:58:59 | 0:59:04 | |
appreciate it is an awkward question
when a publication has yet to take | 0:59:04 | 0:59:10 | |
place, but would envisage there
being a significant difference of | 0:59:10 | 0:59:15 | |
emphasis following on from the sort
of low tech, lone actor attacks that | 0:59:15 | 0:59:21 | |
occurred earlier this year. Is that
going to have a big impact on the | 0:59:21 | 0:59:28 | |
thrust of the next part of
programme. We were already seeking | 0:59:28 | 0:59:35 | |
to deal with that. That is a threat
that had already emerge. As the | 0:59:35 | 0:59:42 | |
Anderson review sets out, the case
work model that was in place, which | 0:59:42 | 0:59:47 | |
is focussed on a intense focus on a
relatively small number of high | 0:59:47 | 0:59:54 | |
threat cases needs to be
complemented with a broader picture | 0:59:54 | 0:59:58 | |
of as they are called in the trade,
closed SOIs, people who have been on | 0:59:58 | 1:00:04 | |
the list of threats and have been
taken off it and of trying to | 1:00:04 | 1:00:10 | |
identify new and emerging threats.
That is a complex business and does | 1:00:10 | 1:00:16 | |
involve some of the more intrusive
powers of online surveillance that | 1:00:16 | 1:00:22 | |
Parliament granted in the
legislation in the legislation last | 1:00:22 | 1:00:25 | |
year. But fundamentally it is a
question about data-sharing, making | 1:00:25 | 1:00:32 | |
sure that we understand, we have the
whole picture of all the government | 1:00:32 | 1:00:38 | |
data on individuals and can assess
risk and applying algorithms to | 1:00:38 | 1:00:45 | |
enable the experts to make risk
judgments in a more sophisticated | 1:00:45 | 1:00:51 | |
and time sensitive way and about
engaging that wider set of stake | 1:00:51 | 1:00:59 | |
holders. That is a challenging
prospect and taking security into | 1:00:59 | 1:01:04 | |
areas that are they are no
traditionally comfortable with | 1:01:04 | 1:01:08 | |
security and so there are cultural
questions there. We will want to | 1:01:08 | 1:01:16 | |
pilot some of things and those will
the the main changes and that came | 1:01:16 | 1:01:22 | |
out of the Anderson review. | 1:01:22 | 1:01:32 | |
As part 06 of that could it
strengthen neighbourhood policing | 1:01:32 | 1:01:36 | |
so, those officers who are sort of
embedded in communities can sort of | 1:01:36 | 1:01:42 | |
help provide the early warning of
individuals at risk to | 1:01:42 | 1:01:45 | |
radicalisation? Is there going to be
something in the new contest review, | 1:01:45 | 1:01:49 | |
which might give us a fresh
perspective on how we utilise those | 1:01:49 | 1:01:56 | |
tremendously important aspects more
effectively in encounting terrorism? | 1:01:56 | 1:01:59 | |
Without prejudging the final review,
because it has not yet been to | 1:01:59 | 1:02:03 | |
ministers for decision. I think the
basic point you made is correct and | 1:02:03 | 1:02:08 | |
came out of the Anderson review,
engaging those local neighbourhood | 1:02:08 | 1:02:14 | |
policing but also others to ensure
they can do their job effectively | 1:02:14 | 1:02:18 | |
about this set of threats, as they
do about gangs, other social | 1:02:18 | 1:02:23 | |
problems and so on is one of the
conclusions of the Anderson review | 1:02:23 | 1:02:27 | |
and doubtless will then be followed
through in the broader review that I | 1:02:27 | 1:02:33 | |
presume the Home Secretary will want
to announce in the New Year. Shall I | 1:02:33 | 1:02:41 | |
go on to 13? Yes. | 1:02:41 | 1:02:52 | |
It will be use tofl get -- to get
your thoughts on the statement by | 1:02:54 | 1:03:04 | |
MI5 on the uplift in threat of the
terrorist threat in the United | 1:03:04 | 1:03:08 | |
Kingdom. He's clearly spoken out in
the strongest terms and it would be | 1:03:08 | 1:03:12 | |
useful to hear your thoughts on what
the main drivers for this very | 1:03:12 | 1:03:21 | |
significant change in the level of
activity and threat that we face? Of | 1:03:21 | 1:03:27 | |
course, I entirely agree, this is a
subject the Director-General and I | 1:03:27 | 1:03:31 | |
have discussed a lot over the last
few years, when I was doing my | 1:03:31 | 1:03:35 | |
previous job as well. We're still, I
think all of us, seem to understand | 1:03:35 | 1:03:39 | |
better and better what has really
driven this. There are a number of | 1:03:39 | 1:03:44 | |
factors that we can see evidence of,
as I said - online radicalism of | 1:03:44 | 1:03:54 | |
people based in ra qua until
recently of people in the UK. Often | 1:03:54 | 1:04:00 | |
impressionable youngsters. There
have been trends, if you look at the | 1:04:00 | 1:04:03 | |
average of the people who are under
scrutiny, the average age has come | 1:04:03 | 1:04:07 | |
down, there are more women than
would have been the case a few years | 1:04:07 | 1:04:11 | |
ago. Quite why that is, what has
driven those individuals into that | 1:04:11 | 1:04:16 | |
situation, obviously there'll be
individual cases and as the Prime | 1:04:16 | 1:04:19 | |
Minister has pointed out on
occasions, there is a high | 1:04:19 | 1:04:23 | |
propensity of people who have had
mental health problems in this | 1:04:23 | 1:04:28 | |
co-hort, whom these people are
exploiting and exploiting that | 1:04:28 | 1:04:32 | |
particular vulnerability. I don't
want to characterure that - it is | 1:04:32 | 1:04:38 | |
not the case across the bored, but
there are factors of that kind. The | 1:04:38 | 1:04:43 | |
nature of the radicalising threat is
more sophisticated and goes to the | 1:04:43 | 1:04:47 | |
point that was made earlier about a
cyber threat. Adversaries who are | 1:04:47 | 1:04:54 | |
targeting these individuals have
become more sophisticated - the | 1:04:54 | 1:04:57 | |
tools and techniques they are using
are more sophisticated. And of | 1:04:57 | 1:05:03 | |
course we need to be alert to the
effect as people who have been in | 1:05:03 | 1:05:10 | |
Syria return to the UK, although we
will try and manage that as | 1:05:10 | 1:05:14 | |
effectively as we can. We need to be
alert to that possibility as well. I | 1:05:14 | 1:05:19 | |
think we understand some of the
trends and therefore can probably | 1:05:19 | 1:05:24 | |
give a pretty good answer to the
what. It is harder to give an answer | 1:05:24 | 1:05:29 | |
to the why, I think. And that's
probably a matter for as much | 1:05:29 | 1:05:35 | |
academic research as our own
analysis. You have slightly | 1:05:35 | 1:05:41 | |
anticipated my next question -
something which has come across from | 1:05:41 | 1:05:44 | |
a number of your answers today is
one of the things has changed is | 1:05:44 | 1:05:49 | |
people are becoming radicalised more
quickly than has previously been the | 1:05:49 | 1:05:53 | |
case, so it would be really useful
to understand what you and your team | 1:05:53 | 1:05:57 | |
in the Government are doing to try
and understand that, to obviously, | 1:05:57 | 1:06:01 | |
as means to try and counter it in
the future. We are trying to | 1:06:01 | 1:06:05 | |
understand that. If I can give you
an example, you will review the very | 1:06:05 | 1:06:10 | |
high profile case of the schoolgirls
from Bethnal Green who went out to | 1:06:10 | 1:06:14 | |
Syria. These were young women who
had shown no evidence to close | 1:06:14 | 1:06:19 | |
friends or family of being
radicalised and suddenly off they | 1:06:19 | 1:06:22 | |
went. It turned out, in essentially
a private space they had been | 1:06:22 | 1:06:28 | |
radicalised and were able to conceal
it from people who knew them, school | 1:06:28 | 1:06:32 | |
friends and so on. And that was a
new phenomenon. And we have been | 1:06:32 | 1:06:41 | |
working to understand that. It was
partly that that led to the prevent | 1:06:41 | 1:06:47 | |
duty and you will review that was a
piece of controversial legislation | 1:06:47 | 1:06:53 | |
which extended to several million
public servants t duty to report, as | 1:06:53 | 1:06:57 | |
they would report another kind of
vulnerability if they believed a | 1:06:57 | 1:07:02 | |
child was being subject to physical
or sexual abuse in the home, it | 1:07:02 | 1:07:06 | |
extended that duty to this area. And
requires teachers, for example, to | 1:07:06 | 1:07:12 | |
report, if they observe the kind of
behaviour that would lead them to | 1:07:12 | 1:07:18 | |
believe that a vulnerable young
person is at risk of being | 1:07:18 | 1:07:23 | |
radicalised F I think quite a lot of
the prevent case work, I have been | 1:07:23 | 1:07:27 | |
out on the channel programme, for
example, some people will be | 1:07:27 | 1:07:30 | |
familiar with, I have been out and
seen that in operation. If it often | 1:07:30 | 1:07:35 | |
focussed on young people and from
third sector, charities, etc, in | 1:07:35 | 1:07:40 | |
order to try and deal with that
threat. What we are trying to do is | 1:07:40 | 1:07:44 | |
ensure those programmes are
triggered as early as possible and | 1:07:44 | 1:07:49 | |
indeed learn from the experience of
others. It is an area I wouldn't | 1:07:49 | 1:07:53 | |
wish to characterise it as me and my
team, except in the national | 1:07:53 | 1:07:57 | |
security community as a whole is
there. This is an area that Home | 1:07:57 | 1:08:04 | |
Office, DCLG, devolved
administrations and the police are | 1:08:04 | 1:08:07 | |
looking very, very carefully at.
Thank you. Moving on to my last | 1:08:07 | 1:08:11 | |
question. Now Daesh has lost most of
its territory, which do you believe | 1:08:11 | 1:08:17 | |
is the greater threat? Is it
returning fighters or people who | 1:08:17 | 1:08:22 | |
have stayed at home but find
themselves inspired by Daesh | 1:08:22 | 1:08:29 | |
propaganda online? To be honest, I
am not sure I would want to say | 1:08:29 | 1:08:34 | |
which one is greater. Both are a
threat. We have more, we probably | 1:08:34 | 1:08:39 | |
have more control points over
returning fighters. Many would come | 1:08:39 | 1:08:41 | |
through Turkey. We have got a very
strong relationship with the Turkish | 1:08:41 | 1:08:45 | |
authorities and have been able to
bring people f they have to come | 1:08:45 | 1:08:53 | |
home, bring people under control. If
they have a dual nationality we | 1:08:53 | 1:08:57 | |
might remove that. We probably have
more control points, including our | 1:08:57 | 1:09:01 | |
own borders, on people returning
home, as long as we have | 1:09:01 | 1:09:04 | |
intelligence about them. I think the
nature of the sort of, the domestic | 1:09:04 | 1:09:11 | |
radicalisation on people who are
radicalised online for the reasons | 1:09:11 | 1:09:14 | |
we see. I recommend the Anderson
report, it is not a very long | 1:09:14 | 1:09:17 | |
report, to those who have not read
it. That report sets out just how it | 1:09:17 | 1:09:22 | |
is possible for people to hide in
plain sight, having been radicalised | 1:09:22 | 1:09:27 | |
online. And therefore, it is even
more challenging for the police and | 1:09:27 | 1:09:33 | |
other authorities to understand, to
be aware of that threat and then | 1:09:33 | 1:09:36 | |
take the right, put the right sort
of interventions in place and the | 1:09:36 | 1:09:40 | |
kind of changesvy talked about are
de-- changes I have talked about, | 1:09:40 | 1:09:44 | |
like the prevent duty, but those
which are coming in as we approach | 1:09:44 | 1:09:49 | |
the Anderson review, are redinned to
deal with them. And -- designed to | 1:09:49 | 1:09:52 | |
deal with them. And the Defence
Secretary's statements about what | 1:09:52 | 1:09:56 | |
our approach should be in response
to returning fighters - does that | 1:09:56 | 1:10:02 | |
signal a formal change of approach
in the Government's policy, or is | 1:10:02 | 1:10:06 | |
that more general commentary? It
doesn't signal a formal change of | 1:10:06 | 1:10:10 | |
approach. There have been occasions,
which you are aware, on which we | 1:10:10 | 1:10:15 | |
have had to takeleten strikes in
theatre, that has been the | 1:10:15 | 1:10:20 | |
appropriate thing to do. If people
have dual nationality we will seek | 1:10:20 | 1:10:24 | |
to remove that so they cannot return
and pose a threat. Other people we | 1:10:24 | 1:10:27 | |
will bring back under control and if
they either then face a criminal | 1:10:27 | 1:10:34 | |
justice prol success or potentially
other kinds of executive measures of | 1:10:34 | 1:10:40 | |
that kind, depending on which is
appropriate to the individual case. | 1:10:40 | 1:10:45 | |
It is that fuel intervention. Among
those interventions is and remains | 1:10:45 | 1:10:52 | |
lethal strikes when this is
necessary. It is not envisaged that | 1:10:52 | 1:10:57 | |
the Defence Secretary statement's
envisaged a greater use of drone | 1:10:57 | 1:11:03 | |
strikes than previously... They are
used when appropriate. | 1:11:03 | 1:11:11 | |
From the 2017 attacks and how is the
capability review taking into | 1:11:11 | 1:11:16 | |
account the recommendations recently
identified by MI5 and CT policing | 1:11:16 | 1:11:22 | |
for improving counter-terrorism
operations is that also prevent part | 1:11:22 | 1:11:26 | |
of that strategy? Thank you, so this
is one of the dozen or so projects | 1:11:26 | 1:11:33 | |
within the capability review and
essentially, as we were just | 1:11:33 | 1:11:37 | |
discussing, it is the, this will be,
these lessons will be accounted for | 1:11:37 | 1:11:43 | |
in the counter-terrorism project or
the contest 3.0 project, as we were | 1:11:43 | 1:11:48 | |
just discussing. And will the
capability review be delayed as a | 1:11:48 | 1:11:53 | |
result of having to do so? I don't
anticipate that, no. The work is in | 1:11:53 | 1:12:00 | |
hand. The work is on-going. But
there's no delay. And the money that | 1:12:00 | 1:12:13 | |
you mentioned which has just been
announced, this additional £50 | 1:12:13 | 1:12:17 | |
million, this is to assist this
process? So the Home Secretary will | 1:12:17 | 1:12:22 | |
set out more detail about that on
the floor of the House, in the House | 1:12:22 | 1:12:27 | |
of Commons when she announces the
police funding settlement, which I | 1:12:27 | 1:12:30 | |
believe she's doing tomorrow or
Wednesday. I am not sure. Anyway, | 1:12:30 | 1:12:33 | |
this week. The actual £50 million
she and the Chancellor set out at | 1:12:33 | 1:12:41 | |
the weekend is to deal with the
capacity issue that the police have | 1:12:41 | 1:12:45 | |
faced this year and next year in
dealing the increase in operation, | 1:12:45 | 1:12:54 | |
removing the immediate threat. That
is related to, but somewhat separate | 1:12:54 | 1:12:59 | |
from, the changes in process, the
broadening out of the involvement of | 1:12:59 | 1:13:07 | |
other parts of Government that will
come through as a result of the | 1:13:07 | 1:13:11 | |
Anderson review and as part of the
overall contest, 3.0. Do you see one | 1:13:11 | 1:13:18 | |
of your main responsibilities as
ensuring better co-ordination | 1:13:18 | 1:13:22 | |
between these different groups?
That's one of the lessons? It is | 1:13:22 | 1:13:27 | |
essentially, that is a function I
would say is my responsibility when | 1:13:27 | 1:13:31 | |
I was at the Home Office and it was
to pull together all the homeland | 1:13:31 | 1:13:35 | |
security factors. But I think again
if I compare us to other countries, | 1:13:35 | 1:13:40 | |
the co-operation we see between our
intelligence agencies, between the | 1:13:40 | 1:13:44 | |
intelligence agencies and the police
and indeed increasingly between | 1:13:44 | 1:13:50 | |
those security actors and the wider
social policy community stands in | 1:13:50 | 1:13:55 | |
comparison with anyone. I think most
countries would look to us, | 1:13:55 | 1:13:58 | |
particularly if you think of prevent
programme, the involvement of | 1:13:58 | 1:14:04 | |
schools, of social security, of
other social policy in our | 1:14:04 | 1:14:10 | |
counter-terrorism work. Most others
have nothing comparable to the type | 1:14:10 | 1:14:14 | |
of liaison we have. We can work on
improving that. Make sure the data | 1:14:14 | 1:14:20 | |
flows t expertise are at the opt mum
level. That is part of what the | 1:14:20 | 1:14:27 | |
Anderson review talks about. Thank
you. | 1:14:27 | 1:14:30 | |
You said that the threat that we
face has intensified and diversified | 1:14:34 | 1:14:41 | |
and I would like to refer you to the
threat from Russia, which the | 1:14:41 | 1:14:47 | |
Foreign Secretary recently said was
now at a higher level than had been | 1:14:47 | 1:14:52 | |
the case for decades. I wonder if
you could talk about that and this | 1:14:52 | 1:15:00 | |
phrase modern deterrence and to what
extent is it involved an | 1:15:00 | 1:15:07 | |
intensification and diversification
of our own efforts and draw your | 1:15:07 | 1:15:11 | |
attention to what Lord Hanagan said,
that the United Kingdom has | 1:15:11 | 1:15:18 | |
underestimated Russia's ability and
intent to use unconventional | 1:15:18 | 1:15:23 | |
methods. Thank you, Lord Trimble,
this is something that I think all | 1:15:23 | 1:15:30 | |
western democracies have faced. We
saw a mixture of propaganda and | 1:15:30 | 1:15:36 | |
cyber-attacks in the French
election. There are other high | 1:15:36 | 1:15:40 | |
profile cases of that case. If we
take that as an example, it was | 1:15:40 | 1:15:45 | |
clear it was not aimed to change the
result, there is no way outside | 1:15:45 | 1:15:51 | |
intervention could have shifted the
result of a two to one election | 1:15:51 | 1:15:57 | |
victory, but it was designed to
undermine the citizens' trust in the | 1:15:57 | 1:16:01 | |
systems. So we have fake news to use
the fashionable term, but propaganda | 1:16:01 | 1:16:08 | |
to use an old fashioned one, seeking
to undermine public support in the | 1:16:08 | 1:16:14 | |
Baltics for the enhanced forward
presence, including the British | 1:16:14 | 1:16:18 | |
presence. Stories about the conduct
of soldiers that are untrue and they | 1:16:18 | 1:16:25 | |
are clearly on this agenda. As I was
saying earlier, while we recognise | 1:16:25 | 1:16:30 | |
in 2015 the nature of that threat it
has intensified at pace and at a | 1:16:30 | 1:16:37 | |
greater pace than was anticipated
there. In terms of modern deterrence | 1:16:37 | 1:16:41 | |
we are working on this, this is one
of areas of capability review that | 1:16:41 | 1:16:45 | |
we are looking at and the general
approach we take to being able to | 1:16:45 | 1:16:53 | |
employ our capabilities to exploit
threats and opportunities. If we any | 1:16:53 | 1:16:56 | |
about the Russian example f we are,
let's say we're hit with a cyber-or | 1:16:56 | 1:17:07 | |
propaganda attack, probably a
deniable one, who they will disavow | 1:17:07 | 1:17:13 | |
knowledge of. The correct response
might not be in the same area of | 1:17:13 | 1:17:17 | |
operation. The correct response
might be to... To push back or | 1:17:17 | 1:17:23 | |
disrupt in a different area, where
we are exploiting our strengths and | 1:17:23 | 1:17:27 | |
their weaknesses. You will
understand I don't want to go into | 1:17:27 | 1:17:33 | |
detail in that a public session. But
you choose to fight on your ground | 1:17:33 | 1:17:41 | |
of strength. It is employing
different capabilities that exploit | 1:17:41 | 1:17:51 | |
oured opponents vulnerabilities. One
of the things we want to do is | 1:17:51 | 1:17:54 | |
minimise our own vulnerabilities and
to use an old fashioned term, sub | 1:17:54 | 1:18:02 | |
version, are we looking to see what
extent foreign state actor, | 1:18:02 | 1:18:09 | |
particular ly Russian or others are
trying to subvert our way of doing | 1:18:09 | 1:18:13 | |
thing? Yes we have a strategy that
sits under the rub rick of the | 1:18:13 | 1:18:21 | |
national state security for hostile
state activity and cyber and it is | 1:18:21 | 1:18:27 | |
designed to do just that. On this
question of sub version, I don't | 1:18:27 | 1:18:31 | |
know if you read the works of people
like Luke Harding from the Guardian | 1:18:31 | 1:18:37 | |
on elements of state corruption of
British institutions or state | 1:18:37 | 1:18:43 | |
sponsored corruption of British
institutions, including finances and | 1:18:43 | 1:18:48 | |
economic output, we are seeing a
notable increase in such levels of | 1:18:48 | 1:18:55 | |
corruption of British organisations,
not exclusive to economic output, | 1:18:55 | 1:19:01 | |
including things like political
parties. Are you, have you diverted | 1:19:01 | 1:19:06 | |
resources away from other elements
of MI5s responsibilities to what | 1:19:06 | 1:19:14 | |
might be seen as more fundamental
part of British state security. You | 1:19:14 | 1:19:18 | |
understand I'm not going to comment
on the allocation of MI5 resources. | 1:19:18 | 1:19:23 | |
You know the reasons for that. But I
probably can say that they are well | 1:19:23 | 1:19:29 | |
aware of that risk and act
accordingly. Can I ask about, it is | 1:19:29 | 1:19:39 | |
a bit old fashioned, but about
expertise, during the Cold War in | 1:19:39 | 1:19:44 | |
Britain we had a lot of expertise in
relation to Russia and that was the | 1:19:44 | 1:19:49 | |
case I think until quite recently,
there is a sense, I have a sense | 1:19:49 | 1:19:54 | |
that that expertise has been lost
and now we seem to have a much | 1:19:54 | 1:19:58 | |
dimmer view of what is happening in
Russia. Would you agree with that. | 1:19:58 | 1:20:02 | |
If we have lost expertise and I have
a sense not just with Russia, but | 1:20:02 | 1:20:07 | |
with other country, what are we
doing to try and build it back up. I | 1:20:07 | 1:20:16 | |
don't know that's right. We often
hear it. But we have for example if | 1:20:16 | 1:20:21 | |
I look at the run of ambassadors in
Russia, we have real deep Russia | 1:20:21 | 1:20:25 | |
experts who have done that job one
after the other and I use that as a | 1:20:25 | 1:20:30 | |
proxy for it. I suppose there is
clearly an over all capacity issue | 1:20:30 | 1:20:37 | |
that when we faced essentially a
single threat during the Cold War we | 1:20:37 | 1:20:43 | |
had a great deal of expertise in
that and the internal threat was | 1:20:43 | 1:20:49 | |
from Northern Ireland, Republican
terrorism. And those, so therefore | 1:20:49 | 1:20:52 | |
we had a lot of resources devoted to
both of those. We now have a lot of | 1:20:52 | 1:21:00 | |
resources dealing with terrorism,
international terrorism, of the time | 1:21:00 | 1:21:03 | |
we have difference cussed. I think
that has -- discussed. I think that | 1:21:03 | 1:21:10 | |
has sometimes been exaggerated we
have a balance across the agency and | 1:21:10 | 1:21:13 | |
they have sought to maintain that
diverse expertise. There is always | 1:21:13 | 1:21:22 | |
an adjustment between different
areas. Given your position as | 1:21:22 | 1:21:30 | |
principal adviceor, where do you see
the greatest threat, is it from | 1:21:30 | 1:21:37 | |
terrorism or sub version of... Led
by state actors. I don't think it is | 1:21:37 | 1:21:42 | |
an either or. But what is greater.
It is a threat, it is a threat to | 1:21:42 | 1:21:50 | |
what I guess would be... Of course
Russia and a strategic threat from a | 1:21:50 | 1:21:59 | |
nuclear state presents a significant
strategic effect to us. But given | 1:21:59 | 1:22:04 | |
the capabilities we are and our
allies have it is unlike will I ly | 1:22:04 | 1:22:12 | |
that threat will manifest itself
except in the ways we see. But we | 1:22:12 | 1:22:16 | |
face an acute threat that is killing
British citizens from terrorists. I | 1:22:16 | 1:22:22 | |
just don't think... One can say one
is more than the other. They're | 1:22:22 | 1:22:26 | |
different. We need to address both.
Can I press you? The reason I ask | 1:22:26 | 1:22:31 | |
you on the threat to the nation
state is because we are seeing | 1:22:31 | 1:22:36 | |
through sub version and through what
you referred to as propaganda, we | 1:22:36 | 1:22:41 | |
are seeing institutions that we have
grown to trust for our security like | 1:22:41 | 1:22:48 | |
NATO become undermined by
organisations that we see being | 1:22:48 | 1:22:52 | |
attacked by state actors. I
therefore question are we seeing the | 1:22:52 | 1:22:57 | |
nation state, the British nation
state, the United Kingdom and Great | 1:22:57 | 1:23:01 | |
Britain and Northern Ireland being
undermined by sub version by foreign | 1:23:01 | 1:23:05 | |
state powers and is that a greater
threat to us as a nation than | 1:23:05 | 1:23:11 | |
damaging though it and painful
though it and awful though it is, | 1:23:11 | 1:23:15 | |
terrorism. I wouldn't characterise
it that way. To put it simply if you | 1:23:15 | 1:23:22 | |
think of risk, it is threat minus
resilience. So if I think about the | 1:23:22 | 1:23:27 | |
risk to this country and the risk to
the citizen and the country, we have | 1:23:27 | 1:23:32 | |
to take into account not only the
nature of the threat, but the nature | 1:23:32 | 1:23:37 | |
of the country's resilience against
that threat. So yes you're right, | 1:23:37 | 1:23:40 | |
there are efforts to undermine NATO
and to sew dissent and undermain | 1:23:40 | 1:23:49 | |
mine the confidence of the citizen,
but we should have competence in our | 1:23:49 | 1:23:55 | |
resilience against those threats.
They haven't really worked and we | 1:23:55 | 1:23:58 | |
are seeking to strongen that
resilience. Whether through making | 1:23:58 | 1:24:04 | |
ourselves stronger against
cyber-attacks and ensuring that | 1:24:04 | 1:24:06 | |
people understand that fake news is
fake news. So I just don't think one | 1:24:06 | 1:24:12 | |
should try and look at this in a
binary way. They're different kinds | 1:24:12 | 1:24:18 | |
of threat and they're both national
security threats and there are | 1:24:18 | 1:24:21 | |
others and we have to wrap the right
capabilities against both. Lord | 1:24:21 | 1:24:29 | |
Brennan and Dr Lewis. Listening
carefully to your answers gives an | 1:24:29 | 1:24:37 | |
impression of a role for analysis,
assessment and co-ordination. But | 1:24:37 | 1:24:42 | |
here we are talking about a threat
to the state from other states. Who | 1:24:42 | 1:24:48 | |
is to give direction and leadership
to counter such a threat - you, the | 1:24:48 | 1:24:57 | |
council, if not who? The national
Security Council is the short answer | 1:24:57 | 1:25:00 | |
and we bring those issues to the
council. Because it does require | 1:25:00 | 1:25:06 | |
collective effort and the council
will give direction and then part of | 1:25:06 | 1:25:10 | |
my job is to ensure that the
council's direction is implemented | 1:25:10 | 1:25:13 | |
across government. Dr Lewis. We
heard a story in the media today | 1:25:13 | 1:25:21 | |
about the CIA having assisted Russia
to thwart an Islamist attack. Can we | 1:25:21 | 1:25:29 | |
take it for granted that despite our
relationship with Russia at the | 1:25:29 | 1:25:33 | |
moment that, if we had similar
information that we would do | 1:25:33 | 1:25:40 | |
likewise and does that not open up
possibilities for co-operation with | 1:25:40 | 1:25:46 | |
countries that we may have to stand
up to in one theatre, but where we | 1:25:46 | 1:25:50 | |
may have a common interest in
another? The short answer is yes to | 1:25:50 | 1:25:57 | |
both. We... You will be aware of
Alexander Litvinenko measures we put | 1:25:57 | 1:26:04 | |
in place, but we carved out an area
of operational liaison with the | 1:26:04 | 1:26:10 | |
Russians in the run up to the Sochi
Olympics. In order to ensure not | 1:26:10 | 1:26:15 | |
only that we would pass them
information against a threat to | 1:26:15 | 1:26:19 | |
their own citizens, but a threat to
ours as well. And so you are right | 1:26:19 | 1:26:25 | |
there is, there are limited
exchanges on this. We would expect | 1:26:25 | 1:26:29 | |
them to do the same as well. Whether
that leads to broader co-operation I | 1:26:29 | 1:26:34 | |
think goes to the whole question as
you will be aware the Foreign | 1:26:34 | 1:26:38 | |
Secretary is going to Russia and
goes to the question of the over all | 1:26:38 | 1:26:43 | |
stance, which to choose, use the
Prime Minister's words is engage and | 1:26:43 | 1:26:48 | |
be ware. We have to be aware of
Alexander Litvinenko measures, we | 1:26:48 | 1:26:52 | |
are not returning to business as as
usual with Russia. But there are | 1:26:52 | 1:27:02 | |
areas that are to be pursued. You
have mice highlighted an important | 1:27:02 | 1:27:11 | |
one. On Brexit what does the
Government need to do to assure | 1:27:11 | 1:27:23 | |
people that Britain is interested in
common security. The simplest point | 1:27:23 | 1:27:26 | |
is we have done so but it is because
it is in our national security | 1:27:26 | 1:27:31 | |
interest. Forgive me nor for a
sporting defence, goal line defence | 1:27:31 | 1:27:39 | |
is not what we need. There is spill
overs from conflict and instability | 1:27:39 | 1:27:45 | |
to Europe's south. An adversary in
Russia to Europe's east. Those | 1:27:45 | 1:27:54 | |
threats of course spill into our
domestic security space as well. | 1:27:54 | 1:27:58 | |
That is true of all of us and it is
in our interests that European, that | 1:27:58 | 1:28:03 | |
security and defence in the European
continent is as effective as | 1:28:03 | 1:28:08 | |
possible. The Prime Minister has
spoken about a deep and special | 1:28:08 | 1:28:13 | |
partnership, that includes a
security partnership with the EU and | 1:28:13 | 1:28:16 | |
we set out in papers in September on
internal and external security, | 1:28:16 | 1:28:21 | |
saying the British vision for that
and we will now work those up into | 1:28:21 | 1:28:26 | |
proposals for the next phase of the
negotiations. The final point is it | 1:28:26 | 1:28:32 | |
is important to remember defence is
not just about co-operation with the | 1:28:32 | 1:28:39 | |
EU. NATO is the other main pillar.
There is a range of multinational | 1:28:39 | 1:28:47 | |
things we support that exist between
the two institutions or on their | 1:28:47 | 1:28:56 | |
baselines and bilateral relations,
notably with France, where we have | 1:28:56 | 1:29:00 | |
deepened our defence co-operation
with France. So could you say what | 1:29:00 | 1:29:04 | |
the top priorities are in the next
few months? Essentially it is what | 1:29:04 | 1:29:10 | |
we have been discussing, these are
common threats we face, we ha | 1:29:10 | 1:29:18 | |
intense co-operational co-operation
and we have supported them to defeat | 1:29:18 | 1:29:26 | |
terrorist threats in their own
territory, because of information we | 1:29:26 | 1:29:30 | |
have and we will want to continue to
do that and through NATO but not | 1:29:30 | 1:29:36 | |
exclusively, then it is important we
continue to modernise nay NATO and | 1:29:36 | 1:29:42 | |
its ability to deal with the
state-based threat and Russia. In | 1:29:42 | 1:29:47 | |
terms of the nature of the
co-operation, particularly in the | 1:29:47 | 1:29:50 | |
EU, there will be elements which we
set out in our paper that will want | 1:29:50 | 1:29:56 | |
to find ways of continuing, whether
data-sharing, operational | 1:29:56 | 1:30:03 | |
co-operation and our vision of that
is of a very close partnership on | 1:30:03 | 1:30:09 | |
security in particular, but also on
defence and foreign policy once we | 1:30:09 | 1:30:12 | |
have left. | 1:30:12 | 1:30:15 | |
Obviously, one has to wait and see
how that works out. That feeds into | 1:30:17 | 1:30:21 | |
my next question - how many of the
capabilities are likely to be | 1:30:21 | 1:30:27 | |
provisional until one knows the
withdrawal from the EU? I would hope | 1:30:27 | 1:30:31 | |
not, because I hope that the
position that we set out, our | 1:30:31 | 1:30:36 | |
proposition, if you like, to our EU
friends and partners, set out in | 1:30:36 | 1:30:41 | |
those two security papers that we
published, internal-external that we | 1:30:41 | 1:30:48 | |
published in the early autumn will
be accepted and form the basis of | 1:30:48 | 1:30:52 | |
the future partnership. It is on
that basis that we have proceeding. | 1:30:52 | 1:30:56 | |
I think we have good grounds to
believe that is the case. They were | 1:30:56 | 1:31:00 | |
both well received, even at the
time, they were both well received. | 1:31:00 | 1:31:04 | |
When I talk to my European
counterparts or when I used to, what | 1:31:04 | 1:31:09 | |
they would call the Interior
Ministry I had exactly the same | 1:31:09 | 1:31:12 | |
response. We have to find a way
through this and ensure that we | 1:31:12 | 1:31:19 | |
maintain those channels of
operational channels that are | 1:31:19 | 1:31:24 | |
essential. We don't know how the
negotiations will go. There will be | 1:31:24 | 1:31:29 | |
significant challenges along the way
- nobody is underestimating that. | 1:31:29 | 1:31:32 | |
There is a strong desire, not only
this side, but the other side of the | 1:31:32 | 1:31:36 | |
channel to see this area of work
come toal productive conclusion. As | 1:31:36 | 1:31:42 | |
the Prime Minister has been in the
House talking about the European | 1:31:42 | 1:31:46 | |
Council just this afternoon, of
course that has been central to her | 1:31:46 | 1:31:49 | |
vision of the future partnership
since we first decided to leave. | 1:31:49 | 1:32:05 | |
Lord Hamilton? I have been on this
committee for quite a bit of the | 1:32:05 | 1:32:10 | |
last Parliament. Rather late in the
day I discovered we were answerable | 1:32:10 | 1:32:13 | |
to Parliament for the whole of this
conflict stability fund. If you are | 1:32:13 | 1:32:21 | |
answerable to Parliament for money
being spent, you have to, as a | 1:32:21 | 1:32:27 | |
committee, have some idea how it is
being spent. So we started at the | 1:32:27 | 1:32:30 | |
thin end and said, perhaps you could
possibly tell us which countries it | 1:32:30 | 1:32:33 | |
was being spent in. No, was the
answer, that's a se cesmt | 1:32:33 | 1:32:38 | |
We might upset some of the countries
where it's being spent if it was | 1:32:38 | 1:32:42 | |
known it was being spent there.
There might be other countries that | 1:32:42 | 1:32:47 | |
we upset that weren't having money
spent on them. So we don't even know | 1:32:47 | 1:32:51 | |
officially which countries they are
being spent N let's be honest, a | 1:32:51 | 1:32:54 | |
large number of the countries are in
the public domain anyway. | 1:32:54 | 1:33:00 | |
So, we then said, can we be told how
it is spent. That was a bigger | 1:33:00 | 1:33:05 | |
secret than where it was being
spent. How can we be answerable to | 1:33:05 | 1:33:09 | |
Parliament for the spending of all
this money if we have absolutely no | 1:33:09 | 1:33:13 | |
idea where it is being spent or how
it is being spent. So the answerable | 1:33:13 | 1:33:19 | |
to Parliament point I am confused
about. I feel you are Parliament and | 1:33:19 | 1:33:23 | |
I'm answerable to you, but there is
a whole range of parliamentary etty | 1:33:23 | 1:33:27 | |
quit which is perhaps out of my area
of knowledge. In terms of the | 1:33:27 | 1:33:31 | |
substance that you ask, because it
is clearly right on whatever basis, | 1:33:31 | 1:33:35 | |
that you have the right insight into
the cross-Government funds, in this | 1:33:35 | 1:33:40 | |
case the CSFF, in order for you to
be able to hold me and others | 1:33:40 | 1:33:45 | |
responsible for the expenditure. We
have just published the first annual | 1:33:45 | 1:33:51 | |
report into the CSFF, and there is a
great deal of material in there, | 1:33:51 | 1:33:55 | |
including some of the questions you
raised Lord Hamilton. There are some | 1:33:55 | 1:33:59 | |
questions not mentioned in that
report, which we are keeping secret. | 1:33:59 | 1:34:02 | |
That is not the vast majority, but
there are some areas which we think | 1:34:02 | 1:34:07 | |
should remain secret. I think we can
find our way, it has been done in | 1:34:07 | 1:34:11 | |
the past and other areas of
providing a briefing in camera, in | 1:34:11 | 1:34:16 | |
some way to help you understand some
of those. But, as I say, we just | 1:34:16 | 1:34:22 | |
published an annual review and it
has a lot more material is now in | 1:34:22 | 1:34:26 | |
the public domain about those funds
than was the case before. | 1:34:26 | 1:34:30 | |
Surely we should be security clear,
so we can give rather more of this | 1:34:30 | 1:34:35 | |
information that we get now? I think
at least if we're operating in | 1:34:35 | 1:34:41 | |
private, then there is a great deal
of information that we can share | 1:34:41 | 1:34:46 | |
with you. I don't, I'm not aware
that the levels of clearance of | 1:34:46 | 1:34:50 | |
individual members has been an
issue, but I better take that away | 1:34:50 | 1:34:53 | |
if it has. We did go for a briefing
in the Cabinet Office. Yes. Through | 1:34:53 | 1:35:00 | |
the usual two levels of security,
through the system. When we got | 1:35:00 | 1:35:03 | |
there, we said, what is the
classification for this committee? | 1:35:03 | 1:35:07 | |
And we were told it was below
secret. Right. So the difference | 1:35:07 | 1:35:11 | |
seemed to be a lot of point in being
there than going to all these | 1:35:11 | 1:35:17 | |
lengths than finding our way to the
Cabinet when the people briefing us | 1:35:17 | 1:35:21 | |
could have come here and told us all
these ben Nile things which were | 1:35:21 | 1:35:27 | |
there anyway. Was that feedback on
the last two hours? No. I hope not. | 1:35:27 | 1:35:34 | |
I take the point, entirely. I think
we need to find ways of being able | 1:35:34 | 1:35:38 | |
to brief you in confidence in this
forum, but without the cameras on so | 1:35:38 | 1:35:42 | |
we're not in public and there will
be some element where it may be | 1:35:42 | 1:35:46 | |
appropriate to be able to brief you
in the Cabinet Office or in a more | 1:35:46 | 1:35:51 | |
secure environment, but I'm not
familiar with the exact sequence of | 1:35:51 | 1:35:54 | |
events you mentioned. Let me take it
away and I will come back to you and | 1:35:54 | 1:35:58 | |
perhaps we can talk to the Clarks
and madam chair to work it out. A | 1:35:58 | 1:36:06 | |
very final question. - what does
global Britain mean to you? Three | 1:36:06 | 1:36:16 | |
things, I thismt first investing or
reinvesting in some, how can I put | 1:36:16 | 1:36:21 | |
it, big partnerships, big
relationships around the world as we | 1:36:21 | 1:36:23 | |
try and make the most of the
opportunities of Brexit and those | 1:36:23 | 1:36:27 | |
are core allies, old friends in
place. I think, second is | 1:36:27 | 1:36:37 | |
strengthening our support for the
rules-based international system. It | 1:36:37 | 1:36:42 | |
has worked extremely well in our
favour and I don't just mean the | 1:36:42 | 1:36:46 | |
defence side but it has worked well
in our favour over the past 70 years | 1:36:46 | 1:36:50 | |
and will probably become more
important in the 21st century as the | 1:36:50 | 1:36:55 | |
ge yo politics becomes contested.
And we have a significant role to | 1:36:55 | 1:36:57 | |
play in that. I think, third, it's
about our image, our influence. I | 1:36:57 | 1:37:07 | |
think the Foreign Secretary
sometimes used the word, our soft | 1:37:07 | 1:37:10 | |
power around the world, the great
campaign, the fact that one of the | 1:37:10 | 1:37:14 | |
assets we should think about, even
if it is not a deployable national | 1:37:14 | 1:37:19 | |
security asset are, for example,
some of the remarkable NGOs we have | 1:37:19 | 1:37:25 | |
based here, Oxfam, Save the
Children, the Halo Trust, etc. A | 1:37:25 | 1:37:30 | |
sense of connection with these
country, the British Council, World | 1:37:30 | 1:37:35 | |
Service, would be others. Personally
that is the way I would characterise | 1:37:35 | 1:37:38 | |
it. I expect the Prime Minister and
Foreign Secretary will characterise | 1:37:38 | 1:37:44 | |
it differently, hopefully not so
differently that it is incompatible | 1:37:44 | 1:37:49 | |
with what I just said. The three
points you gave, none of them could | 1:37:49 | 1:37:54 | |
you do more for less? I think it's,
no, I wouldn't say that, actually. I | 1:37:54 | 1:38:00 | |
think we can have higher impact than
we have now without necessarily | 1:38:00 | 1:38:03 | |
being a resource question. I know it
has been a thread to our | 1:38:03 | 1:38:07 | |
conversation today, but I do think,
having run a big department and | 1:38:07 | 1:38:11 | |
having dealt with an awful lot of
budgetary pressures in that | 1:38:11 | 1:38:14 | |
department and I didn't get 0.5%
real in that department over the | 1:38:14 | 1:38:18 | |
time I was there. I think there is a
great deal Government can do. It is | 1:38:18 | 1:38:23 | |
not just about constituencies to
achieve greater impact with the | 1:38:23 | 1:38:26 | |
funds we have available to us,
particularly if we pool them | 1:38:26 | 1:38:29 | |
together and use them in a coherent
way. I think if you are in my job or | 1:38:29 | 1:38:34 | |
in a job running a department we
have to make the best use of every | 1:38:34 | 1:38:39 | |
pound of the taxpayers' money. The
thing you have not mentioned is the | 1:38:39 | 1:38:44 | |
Commonwealth and the intelligence
which is something which should be | 1:38:44 | 1:38:47 | |
mentioned in terms of our position
in the world. I mean I agree with | 1:38:47 | 1:38:51 | |
that ep tirely. I could have, I felt
I would be trying the patience of | 1:38:51 | 1:38:54 | |
the committee if I went further. I
was trying to identify this in some | 1:38:54 | 1:38:59 | |
fairly big handfuls. You are right,
the Commonwealth summit next year is | 1:38:59 | 1:39:02 | |
a very important opportunity for us.
It goes to that question of | 1:39:02 | 1:39:05 | |
influence and our image in the
world. It shows that we are an | 1:39:05 | 1:39:12 | |
outward-facing nation and some of
the characterures of the decision to | 1:39:12 | 1:39:15 | |
leave the EU out there are wrong.
And I would, I would put that into | 1:39:15 | 1:39:20 | |
that second basket of our commitment
to international institutions. | 1:39:20 | 1:39:24 | |
Another minute or two left. I will
squeeze in a couple of brief ones | 1:39:24 | 1:39:28 | |
out of the long list of the
questions I had. Have you met with | 1:39:28 | 1:39:31 | |
the service chiefs to discuss their
review? What defence expert tease to | 1:39:31 | 1:39:38 | |
you have within the national
security secretariat and given that | 1:39:38 | 1:39:43 | |
out of, I believe, 12 strands in the
review, at least four, defence, | 1:39:43 | 1:39:51 | |
modern deterrents, proliferation,
nuclear proliferation and strategic | 1:39:51 | 1:39:56 | |
communications are strongly
defence-related. Why have you stated | 1:39:56 | 1:40:02 | |
previously in our correspondence
that because the main decisions on | 1:40:02 | 1:40:06 | |
defence were taken in 2015 this
review is not defence focussed? | 1:40:06 | 1:40:11 | |
Surely this review has huge
implications for defence? The point | 1:40:11 | 1:40:14 | |
I was trying to make is it was a
broad-based review looking at a | 1:40:14 | 1:40:19 | |
whole range of different
capabilities across defence but the | 1:40:19 | 1:40:24 | |
Foreign Office, development, the
security and intelligence agencies | 1:40:24 | 1:40:26 | |
and as you rightly say strategic
communications. By the way nuclear | 1:40:26 | 1:40:30 | |
proliferation is not one of the
dozen projects separately, but we | 1:40:30 | 1:40:35 | |
will report on the list as we report
on the review itself. I can't | 1:40:35 | 1:40:48 | |
remember, but a large number offings
with the -- number of meetings with | 1:40:48 | 1:40:52 | |
the top of the MoD. Those are in
different formats. I've had | 1:40:52 | 1:40:58 | |
one-to-ones with several of the
service chiefs. I got a couple more | 1:40:58 | 1:41:01 | |
to come. As I said to you before, Dr
Lewis, the defence project within | 1:41:01 | 1:41:08 | |
the review is being led by the MoD
and our job is to try and pull that | 1:41:08 | 1:41:15 | |
together in the overall capabilities
to make sure all the various pieces | 1:41:15 | 1:41:18 | |
fit together. I do have exper tease.
It is a small team but I have | 1:41:18 | 1:41:22 | |
expertise including people from the
Ministry of Defence working on this | 1:41:22 | 1:41:25 | |
for me. In several MPs. Including
the MoD have ser conned people into | 1:41:25 | 1:41:32 | |
the review team to ensure we have
the right connections. I have both | 1:41:32 | 1:41:39 | |
Mr Gray and Lord Hamilton and we
have about three minutes left. | 1:41:39 | 1:41:45 | |
Should not one of our post Brexit
ambitions be to lead European Nato? | 1:41:45 | 1:41:53 | |
I think actually we probably do that
already, Lord Hamilton. I think that | 1:41:53 | 1:41:59 | |
is a good objective for us to have.
Of course in securing sir peach, the | 1:41:59 | 1:42:13 | |
chairman of the military of Nato, I
think we have been able to show we | 1:42:13 | 1:42:17 | |
have a leadership role within the
alliance. It is more than jobs. It | 1:42:17 | 1:42:20 | |
is about the agenda. We've led the
2% campaign within Europe. That was | 1:42:20 | 1:42:27 | |
a commitment made at the Wales
summit and it is one that we | 1:42:27 | 1:42:30 | |
continue to press on in the Nato
country to fulfil. We generate a | 1:42:30 | 1:42:34 | |
great deal of thinking about the
modernisation agenda, balancing the | 1:42:34 | 1:42:39 | |
southern and eastern flanks, if you
like, whereas other countries are | 1:42:39 | 1:42:43 | |
more focussed on one rather than the
other. We are in a good position to | 1:42:43 | 1:42:47 | |
lead on Nato. That is something we
should stretch our ambitions on in | 1:42:47 | 1:42:50 | |
the future. I entirely take your
point about your job, about the | 1:42:50 | 1:42:58 | |
whole security. You do make a very
good point that defence is an | 1:42:58 | 1:43:02 | |
extremely important part of what you
do. Is it not therefore a strong | 1:43:02 | 1:43:06 | |
argument that in addition to this
committee you ought to make an | 1:43:06 | 1:43:09 | |
appearance in front of the Defence
Select Committee, because surely | 1:43:09 | 1:43:12 | |
they would have a keen interest in
what you have to say about the risks | 1:43:12 | 1:43:16 | |
and about the changes. Surely an
appearance in front of the Select | 1:43:16 | 1:43:21 | |
Committee would make a great deal of
sense? I was hoping I wouldn't have | 1:43:21 | 1:43:24 | |
to answer that question. It is why I
asked it. I know it. Maybe I can | 1:43:24 | 1:43:29 | |
make two points. I know time is
short, madam Chair. Please do | 1:43:29 | 1:43:34 | |
accept, this is not about my
personal willingness about appearing | 1:43:34 | 1:43:39 | |
before parliamentary committees. I
appeared a lot in my last job. I | 1:43:39 | 1:43:43 | |
used to appear about three times a
year. I am happy if to do that if it | 1:43:43 | 1:43:48 | |
would suit your needs and I would go
at shorter notice if there was an | 1:43:48 | 1:43:54 | |
emerging issue and the Prime
Minister felt it should be me to | 1:43:54 | 1:43:58 | |
appear. Please, it is not about my
personal appetite for appearing | 1:43:58 | 1:44:04 | |
before the defence committee. The
Prime Minister set out the position | 1:44:04 | 1:44:07 | |
I think in a letter to Dr Lewis, and
it relates to the rules. As an | 1:44:07 | 1:44:13 | |
official I appear in front of
ministers, except for accounting | 1:44:13 | 1:44:18 | |
officers of the, appear in front of
ministers and with their content. As | 1:44:18 | 1:44:23 | |
a Cabinet minister office my
minister is the Prime Minister. In | 1:44:23 | 1:44:25 | |
her view and in the Government's
view the appropriate to appear | 1:44:25 | 1:44:31 | |
before committees are mostly those
from the committees themselves. | 1:44:31 | 1:44:34 | |
There are precedents, as Dr Lewis
will no doubt point out where my | 1:44:34 | 1:44:40 | |
predecessors have appeared before
the committee. There are those where | 1:44:40 | 1:44:45 | |
they have reviewed national security
advisers to appear before | 1:44:45 | 1:44:48 | |
committees. In the end it is the
decision that ministers take when | 1:44:48 | 1:44:53 | |
and whether and when officials
appear before departmental | 1:44:53 | 1:44:56 | |
committees. But my own view, and I
think the Prime Minister's view, is | 1:44:56 | 1:45:00 | |
that because my job is
cross-cutting, a cross-cutting | 1:45:00 | 1:45:04 | |
committee feels that is the natural
point for scrutiny. | 1:45:04 | 1:45:07 | |
So if the Prime Minister took a
different view in front of the | 1:45:12 | 1:45:15 | |
liaison committee, you would be
quite content to appear before the | 1:45:15 | 1:45:18 | |
Defence Commitee? Just to be clear,
this is a government position. Those | 1:45:18 | 1:45:27 | |
rules were carefully negotiated. It
is a government position that | 1:45:27 | 1:45:31 | |
officials appear on behalf of
ministers and with their consent. | 1:45:31 | 1:45:36 | |
Departmental ministers and their
parliamentary secretaries are the | 1:45:36 | 1:45:41 | |
appropriate people to appear before
select committees in those | 1:45:41 | 1:45:43 | |
circumstances. Thank you very much.
We have come to the end of our time. | 1:45:43 | 1:45:49 | |
Thank you very much indeed for the
time you spent with us and the | 1:45:49 | 1:45:53 | |
answers you have given. Could I also
say to you, something Lord Hamilton | 1:45:53 | 1:45:58 | |
touched on, one of the things that
has been... And I understand | 1:45:58 | 1:46:07 | |
completely. The creative tension
between select committees and | 1:46:07 | 1:46:09 | |
government. But it has been a
long-running concern of this | 1:46:09 | 1:46:14 | |
committee ever since it was first
set up that there is insufficient | 1:46:14 | 1:46:20 | |
access and insufficient mutual
confidence. I am very mindful of the | 1:46:20 | 1:46:26 | |
way the IFC started off under Lord
King and where it is now. My | 1:46:26 | 1:46:30 | |
ambition for this committee is that
we should and up not in the same | 1:46:30 | 1:46:37 | |
place as the ISC, which is
different, but in a position where | 1:46:37 | 1:46:40 | |
there is more sharing of information
and much more mutual confidence than | 1:46:40 | 1:46:43 | |
there is now. I am grateful for your
remarks about being prepared to | 1:46:43 | 1:46:47 | |
consider some of that. We would like
you to do so. There was concern | 1:46:47 | 1:46:56 | |
because the secretary couldn't tell
us what areas of policy were covered | 1:46:56 | 1:47:00 | |
under the capability review. There
are constant little pin pricks like | 1:47:00 | 1:47:03 | |
that where there is a feeling of, we
don't intend to share that with you, | 1:47:03 | 1:47:08 | |
we don't intend to tell you
anything. And as I say, I think it | 1:47:08 | 1:47:12 | |
is to our mutual benefit if we look
afresh at all of this and see what | 1:47:12 | 1:47:15 | |
we can do in terms of working
together in the future. So I leave | 1:47:15 | 1:47:19 | |
that helpful thought with you. And
thank you very much for coming. | 1:47:19 | 1:47:25 | |
Madam chair, thank you very much.
Thank you for the session. I remain | 1:47:25 | 1:47:29 | |
at your disposal and I will pick
that point up before my next | 1:47:29 | 1:47:35 | |
hearing. Thank you. | 1:47:35 | 1:47:40 |