18/03/2012 Sunday Politics London


18/03/2012

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Afternoon, folks. Welcome to Sunday Politics. What will be in Boy

:00:44.:00:47.

George's little red box come Wednesday? What should be in it?

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Yes, it's Budget week, which means the Westminster rumour mill's gone

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into over-drive. Will it be goodbye to national pay rates and the 50p

:00:54.:01:00.

tax rate? Will it be hello tycoon tax?

:01:00.:01:03.

What can the Chancellor do to get the wheels of British business

:01:03.:01:06.

spinning? We'll be asking the Director General of the CBI, John

:01:06.:01:12.

Cridland, for his wish list. He joins us for the Sunday Interview.

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And should we be building more on England's green and pleasant land?

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Or should it be back to the drawing board for the Government's plans

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for the planning system? The Chairman of the National Trust and

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the Government go head to head. And our political panel of the best

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and the brightest, here every week to analyse British politics in The

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Week Ahead and tweeting continuously throughout the

:01:34.:01:44.
:01:44.:01:45.

programme. In London, air pollution hit record levels this week

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according to one measurement, yet the government says it's now

:01:49.:01:59.
:01:59.:02:00.

meeting EU targets. What's the All that's Dom in the next hour,

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but first the news. Thank you. Good afternoon.

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The Chancellor George Osborne insisted today his priority for

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this week's Budget was to help people on low and middle incomes.

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Speaking on the Andrew Marr Show this morning, Mr Osborne also

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promised to target the super-rich who buy their properties through

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offshore companies and avoid paying stamp duty. Terry Stiasni has the

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details. George Osborne says that what's inside this year's Budget

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box is already agreed by the coalition, but until Wednesday, the

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rest of us get just glimpses. His Liberal Democrat coalition partners

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would like him to raise more tax on the country's most valuable

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properties. Some on the Conservative side would like to see

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the 50p high tax rate for high earners changed. The Chancellor

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gave one clear indication of how he'd like to deal with the well-off

:02:51.:02:56.

who try to get out of stamp duty on their homes. Rich people, often

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foreigners who come to this country, but also people here in Britain,

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who put pounds into - to avoid stamp duty, that is unacceptable.

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We're going to go after it. We're going to be extremely aggressive in

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dealing with it. People are going to face a punitive charge. Beyond

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that he was giving little away. Wednesday you'll see a Budget for

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working people. His Labour opposite numbers said the Government was out

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of touch. For families on middle and low incomes saying their petrol

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price is up. Their fuel bill is up. Their living standard is squeezed,

:03:36.:03:39.

youth unemployment rising. The idea that George Osborne is saying the

:03:39.:03:46.

number one priority is to cut taxes for firms of �150,000, they can't

:03:46.:03:50.

be serious These rivals are keen to persuade voters they're on their

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side. On some questions like tax rates and child benefit, only one

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knows what answers the Budget will provide.

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Sunday trading laws could be suspended during the London Olympic

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Games to help boost the economy. Shops that are currently allowed to

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open for just six hours on Sundays will be able to trade all day. The

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move, which has been opposed by politicians and some campaigners,

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would apply to England and Wales. It is expected to be announced by

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the Chancellor in his Budget later this week.

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The Premiership footballer Fabrice Muamba remains in a "critical

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condition" in intensive care this lunchtime according to a statement

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from his club, Bolton Wanderers. The 23-year-old was taken to the

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London Chest Hospital yesterday after suddenly collapsing at White

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Hart Lane during the FA Cup quarter-final against Tottenham

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:04:39.:04:41.

Hotspur. That's it for if moment. There is more news on BBC One at

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6.30pm this evening. So it's budget week. By 3.00pm on

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Wednesday afternoon, the speculation will be over and we'll

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all know the contents of George Osborne's red box. The Chancellor

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told us this morning all the decisions have been made. In fact,

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it's been pretty much done and dusted for a week. Tomorrow there's

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one final meeting of the "quad" to discuss how it's all to be

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presented. "The quad" I hear you ask? Well, that's the core of the

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coalition - the Prime Minster, the Chancellor, Nick Clegg and Danny

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Alexander. And Mr Osborne was very keen to stress this morning that

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this would be a coalition budget. My priority is to help low and

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middle earners. That is where the bulk of the effort in the Budget is

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going to be. We want to see real and substantial progress on lifting

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low-income people out of tax. We've already taken a million low-income

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people out of tax and helping working families, the people who

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get up in the morning, go out to work, try and provide for their

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family, the people who are looking for jobs if they have lost jobs -

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those are our priorities. Shadow Chancellor Ed Balls was also

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speaking to Andrew Marr a little earlier. This is what he had to say.

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For families on middle and low incomes seeing their petrol prices

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up, their fuel bills up, their living standards squeezed, Youth

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unemployment risings, the idea George Osborne is saying the number

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one priority is to cut tax on firms of �150,000, they can't be serious.

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It's totally out of touch. What planet are they on? You can see

:06:10.:06:15.

there the post-Budget political battle lines to come. In a moment

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I'll be speaking to the Conservative backbencher John

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Redwood. But first let's talk to the Liberal Democrat Treasury

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spokesman Stephen Williams, who's in our Bristol studio.

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Mr Williams, good afternoon to you. Good afternoon, Andrew. Do you

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think that public sector pay should reflect local economic conditions?

:06:31.:06:36.

I think a case can be made for it, and I spent 17 years in the private

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sector before I became a Member of Parliament in 2005. It's quite

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normal for wage rates in Bristol to be quite different to what they are

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in Liverpool, Sheffield or Newcastle. Most people in the

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private sector are used to that but it's not been the norm in the

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public sector. I think this is something that should be a long-

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term reform and certainly shouldn't be connected to the short-term

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emergency of dealing with the Budget deficit. If the Chancellor

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came out with an end to national pay bargaining in the public sector

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in his Budget or at least the beginning of it - a process

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starting towards it, how would you react? We'd have to wait and see

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what the detail was. In the autumn statements it was already announced

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the various pay review bodies were going to be asked to have a look at

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this situation. I think what the Chancellor is going to be asked to

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do in the Budget next week is simply update us on what they have

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got to and the Civil Service. We'll have to wait and see in tors.

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Budget, but in terms of the broad principle, I have no objection.

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What would the response be if the Chancellor abolishs the 50p top

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income rate of tax? I think that is a matter of timing more than

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anything. I certainly don't think now would be the right time to

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announce the abolition or reduction of the 50p rate of tax. 2012 is

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going to be quite a difficult year for many families up and down the

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country and Liberal Democrats in the coalition are quite clear our

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priority in this Budget is to make sure we make significant progress

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to raising more people out of income tax altogether and having a

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tax cut for people on low and middle incomes so we get to a point

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in this Parliament where everyone can get �10,000 worth of tax-free

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pay. How much would that cost? I am told about �9 billion. If you agree

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with that figure, or roughly, how would you pay for it? That may be

:08:26.:08:30.

the total cost. Of course, we have already made significant progress

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in past Budgets in getting towards that goal. Nearly a million people

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by the time we get to the next tax year started in a couple of weeks'

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time will be raised out of tax aland a tax cut will already be in

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place. There is still �7 billion to find. If you want to move to

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�10,000 quickly, you have to find �7 billion quickly. How would you

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do it? Various initiatives have been suggested to the Chancellor.

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How would you do it? Tightening up on pension contributions. There is

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still very generous relief available for high-rate taxpayers

:09:06.:09:11.

in order to put funds into their pension pots. You can pay �50,000 a

:09:11.:09:15.

year into your pension scheme and still attract the top rate of tax.

:09:15.:09:18.

Most people would still think that's extraordinarily generous.

:09:18.:09:22.

There is still plenty of scope for clawing that back. We have had the

:09:22.:09:25.

suggestion of the mansion tax for the last couple of years from the

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Liberal Democrats, and recently Nick Clegg has floated the idea of

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a tycoon tax so that everyone, whatever the reliefs they're

:09:31.:09:36.

claiming in order to do certain things, does have at least a basic

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level of taxation they're paying towards the rest of society.

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Williams, thanks for joining us. Thank

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And the Conservative MP John Redwood is in our Central London

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studio. You. Good afternoon to you. Good afternoon. As I understand,

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you want the Chancellor to scrap the 50p top rate of income tax, but

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in the current climate of austerity, why should those earning over

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�150,000 a year have priority? want the rich to pay more. I think

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the obvious way to get them to pay more is to set them a rate which

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will make them stay and pay. I think the 50% tax rate is losing us

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money. I think we all agree we want the rich to make a contribution.

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How do you know that? Sorry to interrupt you but it's often been

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said that the 50p top rate doesn't bring in any money. We don't know

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that yet though. The Treasury hasn't published the figures.

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because we have past experience to look at. When Labour had an eightp

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rate in 1979, the top 1% just paid 11% of total income tax. At the

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more modest level now it's 27% of all income tax is paid by the top

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1%. If you took it down to 40 it would be higher. In America it's

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far higher, a 35% rate. Nobody is suggesting we're going to get that

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much. You do need to have a rate that people will be prepared to

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stay and pay. You want to cut the top rate of income tax. Most

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pension tax relief goes to the high earners - to those in the higher

:11:09.:11:12.

tax brackets. What would be wrong with restricting that tax relief to

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the basic rate of income tax? wouldn't fiddle around with it. I

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think it's a good thing people will save and make a provision for their

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own retirement. I wouldn't fiddle around with it. It's not fiddling

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around. We're not undertaxed. We have a huge amount of tax ref --

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revenue coming in. What we need to do is spend more wisely. Above all,

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we need to grow the economy. The way to do that is not to have more

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rich people here, but to cut the income tax burden on everybody else,

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and that's what I am very happy with and the Liberal Democrats and

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Conservatives agree with. This we want tax cuts for everybody so they

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can spend more. You say fiddle around with it. Let's make clear -

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over �7 billion in tax relief goes to those on the higher tax brackets

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in pension relief. It is a multi- billion-pound tax relief for the

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rich. What's the justification for that rather than using that money

:12:14.:12:18.

to cut the taxes of those on more modest incomes? Want people who are

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successful to be able to save for their futures so they're not

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dependent on the state. One of the worst things about Labour is more

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and more people got dragged into partial state dependency because

:12:30.:12:33.

they took more money off them then gave money back in the way the

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Government thought. There was a handling charge because you had to

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have an Army of inspectors to take it off them, then more to give it

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back to them, a silly system. exchange to the cut in the 50p rate,

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which will not be popular with your coalition partners, what are you

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prepared to concede in return? saying we need growth. If we have a

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top rate of tax which raises more revenue which I am proposing...

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That is not a concession. It is. We can use the extra revenue the top-

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rate payers are going to be paying to have a better tax cut on

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everybody else, which I thought the Liberal Democrats as well as us

:13:10.:13:13.

wanted. No other concessions? No higher taxes on the well off in

:13:13.:13:18.

return for cutting their 50p tax rate? I am very happy with the

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Chancellor's proposal he's put out again today we should stop certain

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loopholes like the stamp duty loophole, very happy to see that

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blocked off. We must get away from this idea Britain's problem is too

:13:31.:13:35.

few taxes. Britain's problem is not enough growth. You don't get growth

:13:35.:13:40.

by taxing more. You cannot tax a country into prosperity. You need

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to promote prosperity by lower taxes on everyone so they can spend

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more and more rewards for success. That's what I want. John Redwood,

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thanks for being with us today. In a moment we'll be finding out what

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business wants from the budget with the Director General of the CBI,

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John Cridland. But first, let's have a look at the economic

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challenges Mr Osborne is grappling with.

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The UK's public finances face a funding shortfall of �114 billion

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despite moves by the Government to curtail spending.

:14:11.:14:15.

How is the Chancellor going to sort it out? The plan is by 2017, some

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of it, about 20%, will be fixed by increased revenue from taxation.

:14:24.:14:27.

The bulk of it, about 80% of it, will go through spending cuts.

:14:27.:14:31.

The trouble for Mr Osborne is that most of those tax increases have

:14:31.:14:34.

already happened, but only 12% of all the spending cuts have taken

:14:34.:14:38.

place, which means there's a lot of pain still to come. And let's

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remember nothing close to this scale of cuts has been attempted in

:14:41.:14:45.

the last 60 years. Of course, if the economy was growing more, the

:14:45.:14:48.

Chancellor would get more income from tax. But last year the UK

:14:48.:14:56.

economy grew by only 0.8% and set to rise by only 0.7% this year.

:14:56.:15:00.

And the Director General of the CBI John Cridland joins me now for the

:15:00.:15:10.
:15:10.:15:14.

John Cridland, you have called for the chance - from the Chancellor

:15:14.:15:19.

for targeted and modest tax cuts worth �500 million. Is that it?

:15:19.:15:25.

Yeah, it is it. Why? Because as the debate on the Budget's become more

:15:25.:15:28.

political, everybody's talking about tax cuts. I agree with John

:15:28.:15:32.

Redwood on this point, we should be focused on growth and what business

:15:32.:15:37.

is asking For Non Stop this -- asking for, for this Budget are

:15:37.:15:42.

measures that deliver growth. million would be neither here nor

:15:42.:15:49.

there. It's a pathetic amount. I was working it out, in a �1.3

:15:49.:15:54.

trillion economy, the CB seufplt calling for tax cuts of 0.04% of

:15:54.:15:59.

GDP. It's not even a rounding error. Spot on and do you know why that's

:15:59.:16:04.

the case because I don't think the country can afford significant

:16:04.:16:08.

growth - significant tax cuts if it really wants growth. Those targeted

:16:08.:16:12.

measures are about investment in infrastructure, and investment in

:16:12.:16:16.

small businesses. I don't think this is the Budget to be talking

:16:16.:16:22.

about big giveaways. That's why we came in with a very hair shirt

:16:22.:16:25.

Budget proposal. Do you think that's why people don't take much

:16:25.:16:30.

notice of the CBI these days? they take notice if we had come in

:16:30.:16:34.

for big tax cuts for high wealth individuals? We are being sensible,

:16:34.:16:38.

prudent. We are saying cut the deficit number one priority, that's

:16:38.:16:42.

important to all of us and strategies for growth then.

:16:42.:16:46.

Investment in infrastructure, Andrew, is three times more

:16:46.:16:50.

effective in getting growth than tax cuts. When we spoke to you at

:16:50.:16:53.

the Conservative conference in the autumn of last year, you gave

:16:53.:16:57.

George Osborne ten out of ten on deficit reduction, which is pretty

:16:57.:17:01.

high marks and seven out of ten overall, what would you give now?

:17:01.:17:05.

Wye still give the marks on deficit reduction. Full marks? Yeah, on

:17:05.:17:08.

growth I think the problem at the moment is that the whole of the

:17:08.:17:13.

growth strategy is not bigger than the sum of the parts. There's so

:17:13.:17:17.

many separate little things being done. We need an emphatic growth

:17:17.:17:21.

strategy as we have a deficit reduction strategy. Is that six?,

:17:21.:17:27.

seven, eight, less, more? It's still still seven. The reason is

:17:27.:17:31.

that most of the things he announced in the autumn statement

:17:31.:17:36.

are a promisory note, great great ideas but yet to happen. What would

:17:36.:17:41.

you give Vince Cable out of ten? strategies for growth, seven, too.

:17:41.:17:46.

Necessary the same Government. on other matters out of ten? He is

:17:46.:17:50.

a great advocate for business. I worked with him closely on things

:17:50.:17:54.

that mat tore me, like energy costs, investment in science, like making

:17:54.:17:59.

sure immigration policy doesn't prevent business growing, he is

:17:59.:18:02.

batting on the same wicket as I am. You agree if he is on the same

:18:02.:18:06.

wicket that the Government has no vision on the economy? His words,

:18:06.:18:13.

not mine. You said you are on the same wicket. His leaked letter,

:18:13.:18:18.

there was nothing much in it I disagreed with. Really? No. He was

:18:18.:18:22.

talking about a modern industrial... You want an industrial strategy?

:18:22.:18:26.

do because that means that we are pulling the levers that will get

:18:26.:18:35.

growth moving. When did that last work? We had a good plan with Mr

:18:35.:18:38.

Hezletine, since then getting on for a quarter of a century, we

:18:38.:18:41.

haven't seen an industrial strategy that delivers growth for the

:18:41.:18:45.

economy. If there is a cut in the 50p top rate, some of your members

:18:46.:18:50.

would like, should there be offsetting increases, in other

:18:50.:18:54.

words, other taxes on more affluent? I would like to see a 50p

:18:54.:18:58.

tax cut because it's bad for Britain and bad for business. The

:18:58.:19:02.

question is can we afford it in this Budget which is why I haven't

:19:02.:19:09.

asked for it?. If it were implemented. Cow Cow offset it --

:19:09.:19:19.

cow -- you could offset it with a tycoon tax. Stamp duty on houses

:19:19.:19:22.

which are not catching taxes they should pay that's a matter for the

:19:22.:19:28.

Chancellor, not the C the CBI. us business is sitting on a cash

:19:28.:19:32.

pile of over �700 billion, why are you not investing it in this

:19:32.:19:36.

country? Business hasn't had the confidence to invest and the main

:19:36.:19:40.

reason that is the case is because of the eurozone crisis. I am

:19:40.:19:44.

feeling a lot more optimistic than when we last spoke because I think

:19:44.:19:49.

the storm cloud of the eurozone crisis is moving over. Some canny

:19:49.:19:52.

policies around industrial policy from this Chancellor would cause

:19:52.:19:55.

business to start spending that money. What does the Chancellor

:19:55.:19:59.

have to do in his Budget then to get business to start investing in

:19:59.:20:04.

our country? One of those very targeted measures I talked about is

:20:05.:20:09.

a measure to give a capital allowance for investment in energy

:20:09.:20:13.

and transport infrastructure because 80% of all the money that's

:20:13.:20:16.

going to be spent on energy and transport comes from businesses,

:20:16.:20:21.

not from the taxpayer. That money has got to be leveraged, leveraging

:20:21.:20:24.

the private sector money for the benefit of the national economy.

:20:24.:20:28.

That's not going to unleash the �700 billion they're sitting on. We

:20:28.:20:31.

need business to spend this money at a time when the Government is

:20:32.:20:35.

tightening its own belt. What are you going to do to encourage

:20:35.:20:39.

business to invest? You are about to talk about the planning system.

:20:39.:20:43.

The planning system is where Government for its rules gets in

:20:43.:20:48.

the way of investment in energy and transport. And just in case viewers

:20:48.:20:51.

misinterpret me, I am not talking about building on the green belt, I

:20:51.:20:55.

am not talking about upsetting the National Trust, I am talking about

:20:55.:21:01.

the big developments that we need for the economy. Thank you for

:21:01.:21:04.

being with us. On Wednesday alongside the Budget the Government

:21:04.:21:07.

is to publish its revised planning guidelines for England. The draft

:21:07.:21:12.

policy was published last July but it caused outrage among countryside

:21:12.:21:16.

lobby groups who claimed it was a so-called developers' charter. We

:21:16.:21:20.

sent Adam tphrepling to west -- Fleming to west Sussex to see what

:21:20.:21:25.

the fuss is about. It should be peace and kwaoeu out

:21:25.:21:28.

here but parts of the English Shires are at war with the

:21:28.:21:33.

Government over plan to slash the guidance on planning from more than

:21:33.:21:37.

1,000 pages to less than 60. When the proposals were first published

:21:37.:21:41.

last summer there was an absolute outcry. Critics were worried that

:21:41.:21:45.

the Government wasn't doing enough to promote development on

:21:45.:21:48.

brownfield land, and they were furious about an idea that planers

:21:48.:21:52.

should almost automatically grant approval to schemes as long as they

:21:52.:21:56.

were sustainable. People People couldn't even agree on the meaning

:21:56.:22:02.

of the word sustainable. And here in Southwater in west

:22:03.:22:06.

Sussex this patch of green demonstrates another aspect that

:22:06.:22:10.

concerns campaigners. This is a piece of ordinary countryside, it

:22:10.:22:13.

isn't National Park, an area of outstanding natural beauty but

:22:13.:22:16.

nevertheless it's important to the people that live locally. Under

:22:17.:22:21.

planning guidelines the wider countryside is protected but under

:22:21.:22:24.

the Government's planned new framework in the draft that we saw

:22:24.:22:27.

there was no mention of wider countryside. So we are looking for

:22:27.:22:31.

the Government to correct that when they publish the final version of

:22:31.:22:35.

the national planning policy framework.

:22:35.:22:41.

Some Tory MPs feel the same way and, as a result, we understand that

:22:41.:22:44.

when the final version of the document is published soon it will

:22:44.:22:48.

have some minor renovations to provide reassurance. But there

:22:48.:22:55.

won't be any major changes. Which pleases Liz Peace of the British

:22:56.:22:58.

Property Federation as she explained at this noisy building

:22:58.:23:02.

site. Some elements of the document were unnecessarily intphraplorry

:23:02.:23:06.

and by sensible modification, if I was re-writing it I can see little

:23:06.:23:11.

bits I would take out, I would would tweak. I think however that

:23:11.:23:14.

the body or the lobby against it has been unreasonable and our

:23:14.:23:18.

planning system in the UK is quite a good one. The problem is the way

:23:18.:23:23.

it's actually implemented. It just takes such a long time. The olded

:23:23.:23:29.

aage about time is money. Back in Sussex I found the planning

:23:29.:23:34.

notice for the proposed development that's worrying people around here.

:23:34.:23:39.

It's literally in tatters. The Government's planning policy could

:23:39.:23:42.

end up the same way if the re- written version doesn't impress

:23:42.:23:48.

those campaigners and MPs worried about the future of the English

:23:48.:23:53.

countryside. Let's go head-to-head on this with

:23:53.:24:01.

Simon Jenkins, chairman of the National Trust and Stephen Hammond,

:24:01.:24:04.

parliamentary Secretary to Eric Pickles, the Minister in charge of

:24:04.:24:07.

these changes. Simon Jenkins, what's wrong with

:24:07.:24:11.

the reform that simplifies the planning process, protects the

:24:11.:24:14.

green belt, and favours sustainable development? Nothing. If that's

:24:15.:24:17.

what it did. That's what the Government says it does. But it's

:24:17.:24:22.

wrong. In what way? The proposal in the original version of the draft

:24:22.:24:25.

document which you understand has been changed, so we are talking

:24:25.:24:29.

about something we don't know what's in it, it was a bad document.

:24:29.:24:33.

It basically said that it will go to building permit system, anybody

:24:33.:24:37.

who has a plot of land anywhere outside green belt and designated

:24:37.:24:40.

areas, just about 15% of the land, talking about most of England

:24:40.:24:43.

that's countryside. OK a bad document that you have now had to

:24:43.:24:47.

change? Well, as you know there's been a consultation but the

:24:47.:24:50.

original intention was to ensure we simplified the planning system, put

:24:50.:24:54.

in place protections for the green field and it was sustainable

:24:54.:24:59.

development. It was using a well known recognised sustainable

:24:59.:25:02.

development definition and I think that we have obviously put it out

:25:02.:25:05.

to consultation after the first draft and listened to people.

:25:05.:25:09.

you made substantial changes as a result? Well I am not - I haven't

:25:09.:25:13.

seen the final draft, so... You are the Minister's parliamentary

:25:13.:25:17.

Secretary. Well, I have obviously had discussions. Doesn't he take

:25:17.:25:21.

you into account? I am lucky he does take me into confidence on

:25:21.:25:24.

certain things and I have been involved in a number of discussions.

:25:24.:25:27.

There will be major changes or won't there? There will be changes

:25:28.:25:31.

because as we have said, we will listen to what people have said to

:25:31.:25:34.

us. Do you think you have won? don't know yet. We really don't

:25:34.:25:40.

know. There was a revised document which was widely discussed. We

:25:40.:25:45.

thefr discovered the Treasury tried to censor it, to revert it. We are

:25:45.:25:51.

talking about whether there should be presumption of favour of

:25:51.:25:55.

building. Building has no shortage of building land lying sraeubg abt

:25:55.:26:00.

in -- vacant in towns. The The issue was whether anyone in the

:26:00.:26:02.

countryside could put in a planning application and get it allowed

:26:02.:26:07.

through if they could say it was economically or socially

:26:07.:26:11.

sustainable. If you drive up the M1 now, in half the fields you drive

:26:11.:26:14.

past past there are huge hoardings going up saying use this

:26:14.:26:17.

advertising space, this is the consequence of this plan if it goes

:26:17.:26:21.

through. Already they're planning to put up advertisements up and

:26:21.:26:25.

down the motorways of England as if this was Spain or Syria or wherever.

:26:25.:26:29.

It's a crazy plan. I think that Simon's first premise was wrong,

:26:29.:26:32.

the idea this was going to allow development everywhere all over the

:26:32.:26:36.

countryside, that was not in the plan. We were ensuring that all the

:26:36.:26:39.

protections that that were previously in place were going to

:26:39.:26:43.

stay and that's what the revised document will do. Why are these

:26:43.:26:47.

hoardings going up in fields all over England. I can't speculate.

:26:47.:26:51.

What I am telling you is that as you know if you looked at the

:26:51.:26:54.

document and I am confident when you see the revised document the

:26:54.:26:57.

protections that are there to the green fields and green belt which

:26:57.:27:00.

were there in the first document will remain in the second. They

:27:00.:27:03.

weren't in the first document which is why we had this row. I am in

:27:03.:27:08.

favour of the way Andrew introduced it, the system needs simplified. We

:27:08.:27:13.

were engaged on discussions on simplification. It was complex.

:27:13.:27:17.

That was different from saying that in all areas of Britain without an

:27:17.:27:20.

existing plan which is 80% of Britain which didn't have an

:27:20.:27:23.

existing plan, there would be a presum initial favour of something

:27:23.:27:26.

called sustainable development, that's a being permit system, not a

:27:26.:27:29.

planning system and the building permits would be allowable if you

:27:29.:27:31.

could show it was socially or environmentally or economically

:27:31.:27:37.

sustainable which means had jobs. It was a crazy system. We all agree

:27:37.:27:42.

the system needs change. What about his point. The issue about

:27:42.:27:44.

sustainable development is that there was complete disagreement as

:27:44.:27:48.

to whether or not what Simon views it as is what was in the document

:27:48.:27:52.

and we would have argued strongly and did argue strongly that all the

:27:52.:27:55.

protections that had previously been in place remained in place.

:27:55.:27:59.

they're all in place what are you changing? We are changing, as Simon

:27:59.:28:02.

already pointed out, what we had was a complex system, where there

:28:02.:28:08.

were over 1,000 pledges of planning guidance down to 56... You are

:28:08.:28:11.

saying you are making it simpler but not changing the principles on

:28:11.:28:16.

which it's based? Not at all. We are also doing is allowing

:28:16.:28:19.

neighbourhoods and people to have a greater say, allowing - ensuring

:28:19.:28:25.

the land of the lowest environmental amenity value is

:28:25.:28:28.

brought back into play. The problem with it was that the entire drift

:28:28.:28:32.

of the first document was in favour of development. Not sustainable

:28:32.:28:35.

development, just any sort of development. And the criteria in

:28:35.:28:39.

which in would be allowed which included economic sustainability,

:28:39.:28:44.

which meant did it make a profit. Now I am hoping, I am expecting the

:28:44.:28:48.

document to have changed, but we consulted lawyers, everyone on this.

:28:48.:28:51.

It was going to be a lawyers' charter. Every planning application

:28:51.:28:54.

would be appealed against because it was outside the plan. It was a

:28:54.:28:58.

really bad system. I am praying that you got it right this time.

:28:58.:29:01.

Well, I am confident that we will have got it right. I am also

:29:01.:29:11.
:29:11.:29:12.

confident... How do you know if you have not seen the document? Just

:29:12.:29:15.

before you jump in, let me answer the point that you have asked me to

:29:15.:29:18.

answer, which was the first point, that we are confident that what we

:29:18.:29:21.

had in the first place was not exactly as Simon described. We are

:29:21.:29:23.

confident that what was there in terms of the presumption in favour

:29:23.:29:25.

of sustainable economic development was there and it would not have

:29:25.:29:28.

been a lawyers' charter. Do you think building ought to have taken

:29:28.:29:30.

place in existing towns or is it fine in the countryside. I would

:29:30.:29:33.

prefer to see the brownfield space in existing towns developed first

:29:33.:29:35.

and that's exactly what that document did because it talked

:29:35.:29:38.

about lowest environmental amenity value and it was an encouragement

:29:38.:29:41.

to use those sites first. It ripped up the presumption of developing

:29:41.:29:45.

proupb field sites first. It simply didn't do that, because if you read

:29:45.:29:50.

the the document it said... he's read the document! We have all

:29:50.:29:56.

read that document. None of us has read the new one. But you will soon

:29:56.:29:59.

have a chance because as you know, there is a commitment for to us

:29:59.:30:02.

produce it by the end of March which we will do. Good, we will

:30:02.:30:05.

hold to you that commitment. Thank you very much.

:30:05.:30:10.

Now it's approaching 12.30. You are watching Sunday Politics. Coming up

:30:10.:30:15.

in 20 minutes: I will be looking at the week ahead with our panel.

:30:16.:30:25.
:30:26.:30:30.

Until then, the Sunday Politics Hello and welcome from us in the

:30:30.:30:33.

capital. This week: air pollution hit record levels in London. It

:30:33.:30:38.

comes as the Government insists it's averted the threat of big EU

:30:38.:30:42.

fines over air quality, but has it been drawing on the most revealing

:30:42.:30:46.

data? Here with us for the next 20 minutes, green Assembly member

:30:46.:30:51.

Darren Johnson and Sarah Tether, the Minister for Children and

:30:51.:30:55.

Families and Lib Dem MP for Brent central. Let's talk about the

:30:55.:30:59.

Budget this week if we can. Darren Johnson, in terms of taxation, what

:30:59.:31:02.

would you like to see happen, a top rate reduced or increased?

:31:02.:31:07.

certainly want to see the top rate reduced, and I hope the Liberty

:31:07.:31:10.

Stadium put pressure on their coalition partners to retain the

:31:10.:31:15.

top rate. I actually think we need to be increasing it for the very,

:31:15.:31:19.

very wealthiest because if we did that, we could afford not to make

:31:19.:31:24.

these devastating cuts to public services, and actually tackle the

:31:24.:31:28.

deficit without harming public services. Then you ruin all of that

:31:28.:31:32.

incentive to create wealth, don't you? I think we need fairer society.

:31:32.:31:37.

All the academic research shows now if you reduce the gap between rich

:31:37.:31:41.

and poor, other problems are tackled as well, so you have less

:31:41.:31:44.

crime problems, less health problems and so on. We actually

:31:44.:31:49.

need moor equal society. I make no bones about that. Sarah, would you

:31:49.:31:53.

be happy to see the 50p tax rate reduced to 40p as a centrepiece of

:31:54.:31:56.

George Osborne's Budget My priority as a Liberal Democrat in the

:31:56.:31:59.

coalition Government is to make sure we get tax cuts for those who

:31:59.:32:03.

are earning the least, and I think that's what'll help to boost the

:32:03.:32:06.

economy in London and really ease the pressure on families, and in

:32:06.:32:10.

terms of any change to the top rate, I think what's important is those

:32:10.:32:13.

who earn the most pay their fair share. I feel less concerned about

:32:14.:32:17.

exactly how we do that what's really important, though, is that

:32:17.:32:21.

those who earn the most pay their fair share and those who earn the

:32:21.:32:24.

least get a bit of a break. It's really difficult for families at

:32:24.:32:28.

the moment who... When you say you're less concerned about how you

:32:28.:32:33.

do it, would you be happy to see it cut to 40p I want to make sure

:32:33.:32:37.

those who earn the most pay their fair share. How we do that is

:32:37.:32:41.

matter for detail. I think we'll have to wait for George Osborne...

:32:41.:32:45.

That wouldn't, would it, because that would be the higher rate

:32:45.:32:51.

earners paying less. 1% of the rich, those who earn more than �150,000,

:32:51.:32:55.

need to pay their fair share. How we deliver that is a question for

:32:55.:32:59.

the Budget. We'll have to wait for that later this week. A critical

:32:59.:33:03.

litmus test for me will be do those who earn the most continue to pay

:33:03.:33:07.

their fair share after the Budget? That's important. Ken Livingstone

:33:08.:33:12.

revealed a pledge this week to help families with the cost of childcare.

:33:12.:33:21.

He promised grants and loans for those on low incomes and to fund

:33:21.:33:24.

nursery places. Ed Miliband was out with him this week. We asked the

:33:24.:33:30.

Labour leader whether it was not just more than a Jessture? I don't

:33:30.:33:34.

think helping people with affordable childcare is a bribe.

:33:34.:33:40.

It's recognising the severe costs of childcare in London. Helping

:33:40.:33:48.

people into work is good for them and good for our community. Sarah

:33:48.:33:51.

Tether, the Minister responsible here - would you accept the

:33:51.:33:54.

characterisation of this as a childcare crisis in the capital?

:33:54.:33:58.

Well, the problem with Ken Livingstone's proposal is there is

:33:58.:34:01.

actually nothing concrete there. If he were actually doing something

:34:01.:34:06.

conceet, I would say fantastic. Somebody is actually coming forward

:34:06.:34:12.

with a new idea in the debate. But... He says 1,200 families -

:34:12.:34:17.

doesn't seem like very many - would get grants up to �700. They would

:34:17.:34:22.

also get interest-free loans... That's not what he said. He said

:34:22.:34:25.

he'd have a conversation and he might be able to deliver it

:34:25.:34:30.

possibly. In comparison, what the Government is doing is by 2013,

:34:30.:34:33.

26,000 two-year-olds will get 15 hours of free nursery care. That's

:34:33.:34:38.

concrete and real. That's in addition to the 200,000 three and

:34:38.:34:41.

four-year-olds who are already getting 15 hours of early education

:34:41.:34:44.

because of decisions I have taken inside the Government. This is a

:34:44.:34:47.

priority for the Government. We do recognise there is enormous

:34:47.:34:50.

pressure on families. But the Government is rolling out the

:34:50.:34:53.

largest increase in early education that any Government has ever tried

:34:53.:34:57.

to do before. Exactly. Isn't the truth of the evidence that people

:34:58.:35:05.

aren't taking up those places in London? 75% take-up of those free

:35:05.:35:09.

place you may be providing compared to 86% across the country because

:35:09.:35:13.

they don't work for those people. They're not flexible enough. It's

:35:13.:35:18.

only 15 hours. It doesn't enable them to get into work. It's not the

:35:18.:35:21.

reason people aren't taking nose places up. There are issues about

:35:21.:35:25.

attracting - sometimes families who are disengaged with forms of

:35:25.:35:29.

education - making sure the offer is both known to them and attracted

:35:29.:35:33.

to them. So you're appealing to get it across that it's available for

:35:33.:35:38.

them? I don't think that's true. I think we need to do more to make

:35:38.:35:42.

sure those from the most disadvantaged families take up the

:35:42.:35:46.

offer. But getting them involved earlier and making that right from

:35:46.:35:50.

two will help to make sure they are in early education right the way

:35:50.:35:54.

through. That'll make a huge difference from them when they

:35:54.:35:57.

begin school. What can we afford when we take out the pledges you

:35:57.:36:00.

would make in term of the environment, which would cost a

:36:00.:36:08.

huge amount of money - not much left to fund childcare places.

:36:08.:36:12.

Sarah said she wanted to hear concrete pledges. We want to work

:36:12.:36:16.

with all schools across London to ensure we have breakfast clubs to

:36:16.:36:20.

ensure there are extended school opening hours and so on. That is a

:36:21.:36:24.

really practical way that the Mayor can work with schools right across

:36:25.:36:29.

London in an affordable way, and I think these things are affordable,

:36:29.:36:34.

but unlike Ken Livingstone, we have got properly costed plans for our

:36:34.:36:39.

manifesto. We want to reduce fares, but we're making very clear that

:36:39.:36:42.

the motorist will pay additional charges. We are saying where the

:36:42.:36:48.

money is going to come from. A 10% reduction in the spending review

:36:48.:36:52.

from 2010 and what councils can spend. We know Sure Start centres

:36:53.:36:57.

and children's centres are closing. We know the local authorities don't

:36:57.:37:00.

have the statutory responsibility to provide those free nursery

:37:00.:37:06.

places - how can - That's not true. There are a number of things untrue

:37:06.:37:09.

there. There has been scare- mongering around closing of Sure

:37:09.:37:12.

Start centres. That's actually not what's hang on the whole. There

:37:12.:37:15.

have been some closures, some merges, some change, but relatively

:37:16.:37:25.

few have closed. Across the country we still have 3,500 Sure Start...

:37:25.:37:32.

Three or four boroughs have no Sure Start centres. The truth is most

:37:32.:37:35.

people aren't using those centres to find their education places.

:37:35.:37:41.

They're using the private sector or the voluntary sector. It's not

:37:41.:37:44.

necessary for centres to provide that, nor is it necessarily what

:37:44.:37:48.

parents want. They want a choice in their local area. You need a range

:37:48.:37:52.

of local education providers to ensure those places are available.

:37:52.:37:56.

Stay with us. Air pollution hit record levels in the capital this

:37:56.:38:00.

week. The Department of Environment even issued a health warning. Faced

:38:00.:38:03.

by big EU fines the Government has said things have gotten better,

:38:03.:38:08.

claiming it's now meeting EU targets. It's now being accused of

:38:08.:38:14.

not passing on the worst data that is being recorded in the capital.

:38:14.:38:18.

Eddie Connor suffers from asthma, a condition he developed aged 20.

:38:18.:38:22.

think the air quality in London is absolutely disgusting. People walk

:38:22.:38:25.

out and about and have a really good time. For me, I have to pick

:38:25.:38:29.

and choose the days I go out because it is so difficult to

:38:29.:38:32.

breathe with the really poor air quality we have. Sometimes I have

:38:32.:38:37.

to lock the balcony doors, lock everything because it is so bad out

:38:37.:38:41.

there. I am literally choking in my own flat. In London, air quality is

:38:41.:38:45.

a serious issue linked to one in every five deaths. It's so bad, we

:38:46.:38:49.

have been breaking European law for years, but the Government claims

:38:49.:38:55.

things are getting better, and air quality in London during 2011 looks

:38:55.:38:58.

set to have fallen within the permitted levels. The final

:38:58.:39:01.

calculations are being done and will be filed with the European

:39:01.:39:04.

Commission in September. One reason the Government is so confident is

:39:04.:39:10.

the data based on readings from this monitoring site on the

:39:10.:39:14.

Marylebone Road, chosen by them to monitor the reduction of pollution

:39:14.:39:18.

in the capital shows no breach. Government has said Marylebone Road,

:39:18.:39:22.

this site, was the highest monitored and modelled site. That's

:39:22.:39:24.

only true for their monitoring network. There are a hundred

:39:24.:39:28.

monitors in London. There were breaches at other monitoring

:39:28.:39:30.

stations that they weren't referring to to the European

:39:30.:39:36.

Commission. The campaign -- Campaign for Clean

:39:36.:39:45.

Air in London says the worst air in London was to be found here,

:39:45.:39:49.

Neesdon Lane in Brent. They say if this was counted, the Government

:39:49.:39:53.

would still have illegally bad air. Coming here, you can instantly see

:39:53.:39:58.

why the readings are so high. The air is terrible. Everything you see

:39:58.:40:04.

- the ground, the signs are covered with a film of rubbish. If you look

:40:04.:40:08.

here, it's fine. You run it along the surface, it's covered. Brent

:40:08.:40:12.

Council were so concerned about the pollution here, they set up this

:40:12.:40:17.

monitoring station. We are breaching the regulations of the

:40:17.:40:20.

air quality objectives. They say you shouldn't exceed more than 30

:40:20.:40:27.

times a year. So far this year we have had 22 exceedings and we're

:40:27.:40:32.

only two-and-a-half months into the year. But the Government don't use

:40:32.:40:36.

information from these sites in part because they say they're not

:40:36.:40:41.

necessarily run to European standards, not the case here.

:40:41.:40:47.

Is this equipment compliant with EU directives? Yes, it is. So the

:40:47.:40:52.

equipment is calibrated and audited on a regular basis to make sure we

:40:52.:40:55.

comply. The Government declined our request for an interview, but told

:40:55.:40:58.

us they're currently reviewing which monitoring sites are

:40:58.:41:08.
:41:08.:41:16.

currently included in their data. But even if these figures are

:41:16.:41:20.

included, the Government couldn't tell us if they'd be in time for

:41:20.:41:26.

when they have to hand in the figures to Brussels. There was a

:41:26.:41:33.

breach of the bad air in Neesdon Lane. If it's not reported to

:41:33.:41:35.

Brussels, that would be public health fraud.

:41:35.:41:41.

Simon Burkett from the Campaign for Clear Air. Let's go Nottingham and

:41:41.:41:46.

talk to Mark Spencer, a member of the Environmental Audit Select

:41:46.:41:50.

Committee. Welcome to you. Is the Government - the capital - only

:41:50.:41:55.

meeting these targets because it's yooth using recordings from

:41:55.:41:58.

monthering point which doesn't reflect the actual picture here in

:41:58.:42:02.

London? What's happening is all of those stations meet the right

:42:02.:42:06.

criteria. If we started to use different stations all over the

:42:06.:42:10.

capital, then the priorities would be that we're moving the goalposts.

:42:10.:42:15.

It's important we keep the same stations to compare data one year

:42:15.:42:19.

to the next to see how we're progressing. But we hear in that

:42:19.:42:23.

report that obviously there are clearly around London a hundred

:42:23.:42:26.

monitoring points and levels are exceeding these targets in those

:42:26.:42:30.

low levels. Something is not right, is it? We also heard not all of

:42:30.:42:34.

those station meet the right criteria in terms of the equipment.

:42:34.:42:37.

Some do. Some don't. The number of those sites are under review. We're

:42:37.:42:42.

going to look at maybe adding more to it. I can't emphasise enough how

:42:42.:42:46.

important it is that those stations - the sort of - on the whole stay

:42:46.:42:50.

in the same place so we can compare data one year to the next.

:42:50.:42:53.

Otherwise, we won't be able to monitor whether we're gettings

:42:53.:42:57.

better or worse. Would you accept we hear, for instance, there in

:42:57.:43:02.

Brent, it's a fully compliant monitoring system. Regularly the

:43:02.:43:06.

levels are being exceeded? Yeah. I think clearly the list needs to be

:43:06.:43:09.

under review. We're reviewing that and will look at whether that

:43:09.:43:12.

particular station will get added to the list or not. I don't think

:43:12.:43:16.

we're in a position to say yes or no at this time. But we're

:43:16.:43:20.

constantly reviewing which sites can be added. After all the hull

:43:20.:43:23.

Balloo over this, the Government is saying it's appearing to have hit

:43:23.:43:27.

these targets no. Danger of these EU fines now. I am very concerned

:43:27.:43:30.

now the Government and the Mayor have been doing everything possible

:43:30.:43:36.

to try to avoid the fine. Obviously no, one wants to see London hit by

:43:36.:43:39.

a �300 million fine from the EU, but I think the Government are

:43:39.:43:43.

doing everything possible to try to avoid the fine rather than actually

:43:43.:43:47.

solving the problem. How is it, as Mark Spencer says, we have been

:43:47.:43:52.

using this site at Marylebone Road since 1997. If you're going to

:43:52.:43:56.

compare like with like, the moment they hit the targets, someone like

:43:56.:44:00.

you comes along and says let's use other monitoring stations. It's not

:44:00.:44:06.

fair, is it? The Campaign for Clean Air says we need to present a

:44:07.:44:10.

fuller picture. The full picture needs to be presented. I do believe

:44:10.:44:14.

that the European Commission are being hoodwinked at the moment and

:44:14.:44:18.

not being given the full picture, and the reality is we need to

:44:18.:44:22.

concentrate on actually solving the problem and reducing air pollution

:44:22.:44:26.

in the capital. We need things like a very low emissions zone for

:44:26.:44:31.

central London with much cleaner emissions standards. We need much

:44:31.:44:35.

cleaner bus and taxis and real investment in that. The Mayor and

:44:35.:44:39.

the Government have been dragging their feet for too long on this.

:44:39.:44:42.

Because we meet the target according to central London and

:44:42.:44:45.

Marylebone Road, does that satisfy you? Are you happy? Tell your

:44:45.:44:51.

constituents... I respect Neesdon Lane, yeah. That the air quality is

:44:51.:44:57.

fine in your constituency? I am not very interested in the EU target. I

:44:57.:45:00.

am interested in what's happening on that lane. I have been

:45:00.:45:06.

campaigning on that lane for a long time. There's particular problem on

:45:06.:45:10.

that lane. It's very close to the North Circular Road. You say not

:45:10.:45:14.

particularly representative - it's a bad area? What I am interested in

:45:14.:45:19.

is cleaning that up area, actually. The EU target, I am sure, is a

:45:19.:45:22.

tremendously important technical debate, but right now I am worried

:45:22.:45:24.

about this. But do you think it reflects, though, if an area like

:45:24.:45:29.

that - it's like semi-industrial, but on the outskirts of London, has

:45:29.:45:32.

got poor air quality, there is not much point in recording it and

:45:32.:45:36.

using it as the official measure - one point in Marylebone Road, is

:45:37.:45:39.

there? I still want the Government and the council to take action. I

:45:40.:45:44.

want the Mayor to take more action. The Mayor has frankly done very

:45:44.:45:47.

little on this issue because he's not particularly interested in it.

:45:47.:45:52.

There is an awful lot more that could be done to deal with cross-

:45:52.:45:56.

London transport routes, bus links, an issue I have been campaigning on

:45:56.:45:59.

for years. Those are appalling. Trying to get better bus links

:45:59.:46:03.

would mean getting people out of their cars, which would mean less

:46:03.:46:07.

traffic on the north Circular Road. A Conservative Mayor not doing

:46:07.:46:10.

enough we hear from the Government Minister? I just can't agree with

:46:10.:46:15.

that. I think if anybody has done more than Boris has done, frankly.

:46:15.:46:19.

He's worked on stopping idling and worked on putting green

:46:19.:46:23.

infrastructure in place. Nobody has done more for cycling than he's

:46:23.:46:29.

done. He's added to the tube. Removed the congestion charge?

:46:29.:46:33.

actually worked with bus to make sure that the buses are cleaner. I

:46:33.:46:37.

think he's done a... But how is it - we know this week that air

:46:37.:46:40.

pollution reached record levels, admittedly, by considering another

:46:40.:46:48.

pollutant, but still a serious one, not the PM10, but PM2.5. Record

:46:48.:46:51.

levels? Nobody is pretending this is perfect, and there is still a

:46:51.:46:55.

long way to go, but to say he's done nothing is rubbish. He's

:46:55.:46:59.

worked particularly hard, and it's about getting the balance right

:46:59.:47:02.

between making sure the economy carries on and people come with it.

:47:02.:47:06.

You have to take electorate and businesses with you, otherwise,

:47:06.:47:09.

they'll ignore... He's actually done worse than nothing. He's

:47:09.:47:14.

actually taken some backward steps and scrapping the western extension

:47:14.:47:18.

to the congestion charge has increased air pollution. Scrapping

:47:18.:47:24.

the inspection regime for black cabs, that has increased...

:47:24.:47:30.

you'll let me in - this is about priorities, spending �11 million on

:47:30.:47:33.

one bus... We're going off into very interesting territory, but

:47:33.:47:43.
:47:43.:47:50.

let's end it. What else has been On your marks, get set, take cover!

:47:50.:47:54.

As Olympic security ramped up this week it was announced sites for

:47:54.:47:59.

ground to air missiles were being checked out in Blackheath to combat

:47:59.:48:04.

possible terrorist threats. Crossrail unveiled machine that is

:48:04.:48:08.

will cut out the tunnels under the capital. Top surgeon and former

:48:08.:48:12.

Minister Lord Darzi warned of a fragmentation of care when NHS

:48:12.:48:15.

London is scrapped next year. I fear there might be a vacuum

:48:15.:48:19.

there. We will end up to what we were years ago, which is

:48:19.:48:23.

fragmentation of care, no one is able to make a decision. At the

:48:23.:48:29.

Leveson inquiry more criticism of the deputy mayor for policing, from

:48:29.:48:33.

assistant commissioner for questioning the use of resources.

:48:33.:48:38.

He has said to me I hope you are not putting too many resources in.

:48:38.:48:48.
:48:48.:48:48.

I said well, that's my decision and not yours.

:48:48.:48:51.

At the London Assembly you have been questioning the mayor and the

:48:51.:48:56.

deputy before on this. Kit Malthouse saying to another officer

:48:56.:49:00.

here, are you spending too much money on the hacking? Obviously,

:49:00.:49:04.

poll significances need to -- politicians he need to hold the

:49:04.:49:07.

police to account. I am concerned we are overstepping the line here

:49:07.:49:11.

and we are seeing direct political interference in operational matters,

:49:11.:49:15.

not only those comments we heard about from Kit Malthouse but also

:49:15.:49:19.

the mayor tell the Assembly previously that the whole hacking

:49:19.:49:25.

thing was a load of codswallop cooked up by the Labour Party.

:49:25.:49:28.

That's obviously not true. I am concerned we are seeing direct

:49:28.:49:35.

political interference. Do you have that concern, she had to tell him

:49:35.:49:40.

that's my decision, operationically is what I spend on operations.

:49:40.:49:43.

have to be clear there is a difference and it sounds as though

:49:43.:49:48.

she was perfectly capable of telling him to Butt out. She seems

:49:48.:49:55.

to know her own mind and... She's having to be in the position.

:49:55.:50:00.

trust her strength of character to be able to reButt that adequate.

:50:00.:50:04.

the broader theme, you don't think this could be a signal of

:50:04.:50:08.

encroaching. We have to be clear where the line is and politicians

:50:08.:50:13.

need to give clear direction on priorities and hold them to account

:50:13.:50:16.

but that's no, sir the same as interfering in operational

:50:16.:50:26.
:50:26.:50:27.

decisions. Thank you very much. Back to you, Andrew.

:50:27.:50:32.

So, Ed Miliband will be tidying up his office after his break-in, her

:50:32.:50:35.

Madge is going to particlement to celebrate her Diamond Jubilee and

:50:35.:50:40.

there's the matter of course of the Budget. It all means time to look

:50:40.:50:50.
:50:50.:50:51.

at the week ahead. So, Isabelle, cut through all the

:50:51.:50:56.

speculation, where do we stand this week? What do we think is bankable

:50:56.:51:00.

in the Budget? I never like to say what's bankable. That's why I am

:51:00.:51:04.

asking you! We will trupb again next week when you are wrong. Have

:51:04.:51:10.

a go! We are definitely going to see some announcement on the 50 p.

:51:10.:51:13.

It will be a shock if there was nothing after this build-up. My

:51:13.:51:17.

best guess is that they're going to announce a drop to 45p but with a

:51:17.:51:21.

delay in the imphreltation, but I have to say I don't have that on

:51:21.:51:28.

categorical sourcing. All right. A speeded up rise towards the first

:51:28.:51:32.

10,000 of income not being taxable? That's a banker and I would be

:51:32.:51:35.

prepared to put my reputation on that one. I think that Clegg feels

:51:36.:51:42.

very confident that he's got this in the bag and stamp duty. And the

:51:42.:51:45.

Chancellor this morning made made it clear they were going to do

:51:46.:51:49.

something. Makes you wonder why people didn't do something about it

:51:49.:51:53.

before. What do you think? If we see some movement on 50p and a

:51:53.:51:56.

raising of the threshold, and we see the end of universal child

:51:56.:52:01.

benefit and the planning reform which was discussed earlier being

:52:01.:52:06.

advanced, as far as radical Budgets go it will be up there with the

:52:06.:52:14.

1988 Lawson Budget. Really? If he only only goes to 45p.

:52:14.:52:18.

combination of those measures I listed taken together would add up

:52:18.:52:22.

to a dramatic Budget. I don't think it will have much immediate

:52:22.:52:24.

economic impact. I have this unfashionable view the Government

:52:24.:52:27.

cannot do a lot about the immediate situation, there is a very touching

:52:27.:52:30.

belief out there if only the Government was to pull a lever and

:52:30.:52:36.

for some that lever is a tax cut, for some increased spending, we

:52:36.:52:40.

could go to decent growth. I don't think that's true. As Lord Cane

:52:40.:52:47.

said of monetary policy like pushing on a piece of string.

:52:47.:52:50.

disagree, this Budget is going to be the politics of redistribution,

:52:50.:52:54.

it's about who gets a mansion tax or 50p, that feels like rearranging

:52:55.:52:59.

the deckchairs on the top of the Titanic. There's no real policy for

:52:59.:53:03.

growth and we got that from your interview with the CBI director.

:53:03.:53:06.

How can this be a radical Budget when at the end of the four years

:53:06.:53:09.

are we going to have growth that's in the north as well as the south?

:53:09.:53:12.

Are we going to have growth outside of the City and in other industrial

:53:12.:53:15.

sectors? I don't think this Budget is going to change anything.

:53:15.:53:19.

thing I took from the CBI interview was when John Cridland said the

:53:19.:53:24.

main reason for the endemic lack of confidence is the external events

:53:24.:53:30.

of the eurozone crisis and the Government doesn't really run an

:53:30.:53:35.

economy, it sets the framework F the animal spirits aren't there,

:53:35.:53:41.

then tweaking tax and framework can do do little. He said he agreed

:53:41.:53:43.

with Vince Cable and investment in infrastructure would be a policy.

:53:43.:53:46.

The long-term. But the immediate situation what people are focused

:53:46.:53:52.

on is beyond the which hadths of policy-makers. Wasn't clear what an

:53:52.:53:57.

industrial policy really means. We have all been concentrating on the

:53:57.:54:00.

argy-bargy with the Lib Dems and the Conservatives in the coalition.

:54:00.:54:05.

But behind the scenes there's been an equal fight going on between the

:54:05.:54:09.

Chancellor who really wants radical change in the planning laws, we

:54:09.:54:13.

debated that, and as I understand it Mr Pickles, the Communities

:54:13.:54:16.

Secretary who with normal departmental caution wants to go

:54:16.:54:20.

more slowly. I was actually quite surprised to see that the planning

:54:20.:54:24.

policy is going to be published next week because I was talking to

:54:24.:54:27.

Pickles' department as late as Thursday afternoon last week and

:54:27.:54:30.

they said absolutely no announcement next week. We want a

:54:30.:54:34.

separate announcement. We want clear blue water between the Budget

:54:34.:54:38.

and our announcement. It looks as if Pickles has been bounced into

:54:38.:54:42.

this. I also think that his department was very badly burned

:54:42.:54:46.

when this policy was first announced last, I think last autumn

:54:46.:54:49.

or summer, so you can't blame the man for wanting to be more cautious

:54:49.:54:54.

this time. But the Chancellor this morning, he didn't tell us much

:54:54.:54:57.

about the Budget, nor could he, that was to be expected, but he

:54:57.:55:01.

went out of his way to say that one of the ways I am going to get

:55:01.:55:06.

growth in the economy is the reform of planning. I am sure that's right.

:55:06.:55:09.

And a couple of weeks ago in the cabinet apparently there was an

:55:09.:55:14.

interesting set-to when Clegg said this needs to be a really very

:55:14.:55:19.

green Budget and I think the Chancellor basically said, sod that.

:55:19.:55:24.

Or words to that effect! Doesn't it speak to the tension, between

:55:24.:55:29.

whether they believe in protecting the countryside or read The

:55:29.:55:34.

Economist. Why would they read the economist! Let's not go there.

:55:34.:55:38.

Labour, Mr Miliband, I am not quite sure why I am saying this but are

:55:39.:55:44.

we tipping back into the Slough of despond for Mr Miliband after

:55:44.:55:48.

several weeks when he seemed on the way up? There is a sense of one of

:55:48.:55:51.

his flagship policies, the bonus tax is currenting into a magic

:55:51.:55:54.

money tree, like the penny on income tax was for the Lib Dems,

:55:54.:55:58.

the best part of a decade ago. spend it again and again? Exactly,

:55:58.:56:03.

it's paying for too many things to be credible. The economic message

:56:03.:56:06.

overall is better than a few months ago. A few months ago they were

:56:06.:56:09.

still giving essentially academic speeches about remaking capitalism

:56:09.:56:13.

from first principles. And now they're focusing more, in a more

:56:13.:56:19.

retail way on prices, jobs, and and incomes which probably has a lot to

:56:19.:56:27.

do with Ed Balls intphraoeupbs that is -- influence. I was told that Ed

:56:27.:56:29.

Miliband's private saufs dysfunctional and it's the kind of

:56:29.:56:33.

thing you hear and it washes over you and you think yeah. Then I saw

:56:33.:56:36.

him get out of a Rolls Royce. That's the image that sticks with

:56:36.:56:41.

me from this week. How did that happen? I think he had overdosed on

:56:41.:56:45.

Lemsip or something, supposedly he was ill that day. I don't know

:56:45.:56:48.

where his judgment weupbt that day. It's extraordinary. Money may well

:56:48.:56:51.

have been involved, we are told this individual is a Labour donor,

:56:51.:56:55.

I think, perhaps you know more about that. Not about that. I know

:56:55.:56:58.

there has been big changes over the last few weeks because what's

:56:58.:57:01.

happened is there's Labour leadership office with Ed Miliband,

:57:01.:57:06.

but also the party machine in Victoria Street and at the moment

:57:06.:57:09.

there's been a division between those two and and they haven't been

:57:09.:57:13.

on the same page and recently Ed Miliband has put his people in to

:57:13.:57:16.

Victoria Street so they should be singing from the same hymn sheet in

:57:16.:57:20.

a strong way now and it's interesting when there is dischord

:57:20.:57:23.

between the scenes it's an opportunity prove that you are a

:57:23.:57:31.

leader. Are we back into Miliband- bashing territory again? The poll

:57:31.:57:35.

extended a little. It's now 5%. It was one or 2% or level-pegging with

:57:35.:57:39.

the Tories. So we can point to that. I don't know whether his

:57:39.:57:43.

underlining personal credibility and poll ratings are any better.

:57:43.:57:46.

always forget, the Budget is not just the test for the Chancellor,

:57:46.:57:51.

it's always that. It's the leader of the opposition that replies to

:57:51.:57:56.

the Chancellor. Let's hope that it's not Harriet Harman that day.

:57:56.:58:00.

We all saw how well she coped with detailed questions. It will be Mr

:58:00.:58:03.

Miliband and all eyes will be on him. Absolutely. Two challenges

:58:03.:58:06.

Labour has at the moment. The first is a short-term one, is even if

:58:06.:58:09.

they're right about the economy, even if they should be spending

:58:09.:58:13.

more now and investing it, how are they going to prove that in four

:58:13.:58:15.

years? Because this Government could preside over four or five

:58:15.:58:19.

years of stagnating growth and if Osbourne gets one quarter at the

:58:19.:58:27.

end, they'll be able to say we did it. You have to wait for the next

:58:27.:58:33.

one, I will tweet it after the programme! That's your lot for this

:58:33.:58:40.

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