09/02/2014 Sunday Politics London


09/02/2014

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morning, folks, welcome to the Sunday Politics. Rising flood water,

:00:39.:00:47.

a battered coastline, the winter storms forced the Government to take

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control. Is it hanging the Environment Agency out to dry?

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Embarrassment for the Government is the Immigration Minister resigns

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after he discovered he was employing a cleaner with no right to work here

:01:01.:01:05.

for seven years. Ed Miliband promised an end to what he called

:01:06.:01:10.

the machine politics of union fixes in the Labour Party, but will his

:01:11.:01:17.

reforms we can the union's role The Shadow Business Secretary Chuka

:01:18.:01:21.

Umunna joins us for the interview. In London after two days of

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disruption in the capital the Mayor Boris Johnson will be talking to ask

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about strife on the Underground All of that and after a week of very

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public coalition spats can David Cameron and Nick Clegg keep the

:01:42.:01:46.

coalition show on the road? Two senior party figures will go head to

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head. And with me, Helen Lewis, Nick Watt and Iain Martin who would not

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know they Somerset Levels from their Norfolk Broads, but that will not

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stop them tweeting their thoughts. We start with the strange Case of

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the Immigration Minister, his cleaner and some lost documents

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Yesterday Mark Harper tendered his resignation, telling the media he

:02:11.:02:15.

had discovered the cleaner who worked for him for seven years did

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not have the right to work in the UK. The Communities Secretary Eric

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Pickles said he had done the honourable thing. I was sad to see

:02:25.:02:29.

him go, he was a strong minister. Had he been a member of the public

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he would not have done anything wrong, but he set himself a very

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high standard and he felt that standard and honourably stood down.

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This would seem like a good resignation, maybe unlike the

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Baroness Scotland one years ago on a similar issue, but have we been told

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the full story? We wait to see that. Labour have picked up saying he is

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an honourable man, that the reason why he resigned is these very owners

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checks that landlords and employers will have to perform on employees

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over their documentation. The most interesting line is that, we do not

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require them to be experts or spot anything other than an obvious

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forgery. The suggestion that there is the document he was presented

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with originality, which he lost was on home office paper and was perhaps

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not entirely accurate. That is the embarrassment. He is the minister

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putting through a bill that will demand tougher checks on people and

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he himself did not do enough checks to discover she was illegal. There

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is an odd bit where he involves the home office later to check her out

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as well. He writes a resignation letter and he has to hold himself to

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pay higher standard. He has done the David Laws approach to this, resign

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quickly and he can come back. David Cameron wants him to return swiftly

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to the frontbenchers. He is a state school educated lad. He is the kind

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of Tory that the Tories are in short supply of. He is a rising star. I

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would caution on this idea that it is customary that whenever anyone

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resigns, it is always thought they will come straight back into office.

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If only the outside world worked like that. It is not, in a company

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if the HR person resigns, he is such a great chap he will be back next

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week. There is a silver lining for David Cameron is he has been able to

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move Harriet Bond up as he moves everyone up. But nobody will see her

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in the whips office because she is not allowed to appear on television.

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And if you three want to resign Do not hate you are coming back next

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week. But we will do it with honour. It has been a hellish week for

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residents of coastal areas with more storms bringing more flooding and

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after Prince Charles visited the Somerset Levels on Tuesday the

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Government has been keen to show it has got a grip on the situation at

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last. For last weekend's Sunday Politics I

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made the watery journey to the village of Muchelney, cut off for a

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whole month. Now everyone has been dropping in. First it was Prince

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Charles on a park bench pulled by a tractor. He waded into the row about

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how the floods have been handled. Next it was the chair of the

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Environment Agency, Lord Smith, who faced angry residents. Sought the

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river is out. That is precisely what we are going to do. Where he faced,

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a resident, he did not need that many. David Cameron went for a look

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as well and gave the region what it wanted, more pumps, more money and

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in the long-term the return of dredging. There are lessons to

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learn. The pause in bridging that took place from the late 1990s was

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wrong and we need to get dredging again. When the water levels come

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down and it is safe to dredge, we will dredging to make sure these

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rivers and stitches can carry a better capacity. The Environment

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Secretary Owen Paterson has not been seen again because he is recovering

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from emergency eye surgery. In the meantime the floodwaters rose ever

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higher. Some residents were told to evacuate. In Devon the railway was

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washed away by the waves leaving a big gap in the network. Look at the

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weather this weekend. If you can believe it, the storms keep rolling

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in. What is the long-term solution for flood prone areas of the

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country? I am joined from Oxford by the editor of The Ecologist

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magazine, Oliver Tickell, and by local MP Tessa Munt. Tessa, let me

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come to you first. What do you now want the Government to do? I want it

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to make sure it does exactly as it promises and delivers what every

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farmer and landowner around here knows should have been done for

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years. First, to solve the problems we have right now, but to make sure

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there is money in the bank for us to carry on doing the maintenance that

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is necessary. Was it a mistake not to do the dredging? When the waters

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start to subside does dredging become a key part of this? Yes, of

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course. It is something the farmers have been asking for four years

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When you wander along a footpath by a river and you see trees growing

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and there is 60% of the capacity only because there is silt, it needs

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to have a pretty dramatic action right now and then we need to make

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sure the maintenance is ongoing Oliver Tickell, was it a mistake to

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stop the dredging? If the dredging had happened, the land would not be

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covered in water for so long? Clearly it is necessary to do at

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least some dredging on these rivers and in particular because these

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rivers are well above ground level. They are carrying water that comes

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down off the hills well above the level of the flood plain on the

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Somerset Levels. They naturally tend to silt up. But the key thing is

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that is only a small part of the overall solution. What we need is a

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catchment wide approach to improve infiltration upstream and you also

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need to manage the flood plain on the levels and upstream so as to

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have active flood plain that can store water. This idea it is just

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about dredging is erroneous. Dredging is a part of it, but it is

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a catchment wide solution. Dredging is only a small part of the solution

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he says. Yes, of course it is. But look here. With the farmer is

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locally, the landowners, they know this land will carry water for a few

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weeks of the year, that is not a problem. But this water has to be

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taken away and there is a very good system of drainage and it works

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perfectly well. In my area there are serious problems because the

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dredging has not taken place. There are lunatic regulations around were

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when they do do some of dredging, the Environment Agency is asked to

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take it away because it is considered toxic waste. This is

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barmy. We need to take the stuff out of the rivers and build the banks up

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so we create protection in the future. We have to make sure the

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dredging is done but make sure the drainage works well and we have

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pumps in places and we have floodgates put onto the rivers. We

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need to make sure repairs are done more quickly. All right, let me go

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back to Oliver Tickell. Is it not the case a lot of people on your

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side of the argument would like to see lands like the Somerset Levels

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return to natural habitat? Looe I would like a degree of that, but

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that does not mean the whole place needs to turn into wilderness so it

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will remain agricultural landscape. Everybody, all the interested

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parties who signed up to a document called vision 2034 the Somerset

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Levels envisages most of the area of the Somerset Levels being turned

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over to extensive grassland and that is what it is best suited for. Let

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me put that to Tessa Munt. Have you signed up to this where you will end

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up with extensive grassland? I have seen it, but grass does not grow if

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water is sitting on this land for weeks and weeks. What you have to

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remember is a lot of the levels are managed very carefully and they are

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conservation land and that means cattle are allowed to go out at

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certain times of the year and in certain numbers. It is well managed.

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Do you accept it should return to grassland? Grassland, fine, but you

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cannot call land grassland in the flipping water is on it so long that

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nothing grows. It is no good at doing that. You have got to make

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sure it is managed properly. Drainage has been taking place on

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this land for centuries. It is the case the system is there, but it

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needs to be maintained properly and we have to have fewer ridiculous

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regulations that stop action. Last year the flooding minister agreed

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dredging should take place and everything stopped. Now we have got

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the promise from the Prime Minister and I thank Prince Charles for that.

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Is it not time to let the local people run their land rather than

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being told what to do by the Environment Agency, central

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Government and the European Union? The internal drainage boards have

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considerable power in all of this. They wanted to dredge and they were

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not allowed to. The farmers want to dredge that is what is going to

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happen, but they have signed up to a comprehensive vision of catchment

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management and of environmental improvement turning the Somerset

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Levels into a world-class haven for wildlife. It is not much good if

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your house is underwater. The farmers themselves, the RSPB, the

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drainage boards, they have all signed up to this. The real question

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now is how do we implement that vision? You give the money to the

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drainage boards. At the moment they pay 27% of their money and have been

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doing so for years and years and this is farmers' money and it has

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been going to the drainage boards and they pay the Environment Agency

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who are meant to be dredging and that has not happened. We have to

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leave it there. We have run out of time.

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Last week saw the Labour Party adopts an historic change with its

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relationship with the unions. Changes to the rules that propelled

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Ed Miliband to the top. Ed Miliband was elected Labour leader in 20 0 by

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the electoral college system which gives unions, party members and MPs

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one third of votes each. This would be changed into a simpler one

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member, one vote system. A union member would have to become an

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affiliated member of the party. They would have to opt in and pay ?3 a

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year. But the unions would have 50% of the vote at the conference and

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around one third of the seats on the National executive committee. The

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proposals are a financial gamble as well. It is estimated the party

:15:24.:15:27.

could face a drop in funding of up to ?5 million a year when the

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changes are fully implemented in five years. The leader of the Unite

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trade union has welcomed the report saying it is music to his ears. The

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package will be voted on at a special one of conference in March.

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And the Shadow Business Secretary Chuka Umunna joins me now for the

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Sunday Interview. Welcome back. In what way will the unions have less

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power and influence in the Labour Party? This is about ensuring

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individual trade union members have a direct relationship with the

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Labour Party. At the moment the monies that come to us are decided

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at a top level, the general secretaries determine this, whether

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the individual members want us to be in receipt of those monies or not so

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we are going to change that so that affiliation fees follow the consent

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of individual members. Secondly we want to make sure the individual

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trade union members, people who teach our children, power via -

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fantastic British businesses, we want them to make an active choice,

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and we are also recognising that in this day and age not everybody wants

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to become a member of a political party. We haven't got much time The

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unions still have 50% of the vote at Labour conferences, there will be

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the single most important vote, more member -- union members will vote

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than nonunion members, their power has not diminished at all, has it?

:17:31.:17:40.

In relation to the other parts of the group of people who will be

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voting in a future leadership contest, we are seeking to move

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towards more of a one member, one vote process. At the moment we have

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the absurd situation where I, as a member of Parliament, my vote will

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count for 1000. MPs are losing. . They still have a lot of power. I am

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a member of the GMB union and the Unite union, also a member of the

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Fabians as well so I get free votes on top of my vote as a member of

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Parliament. We are moving to a system where I will have one vote

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and that is an important part of this. You asked how many people

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would be casting their votes. The last time around, under the

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old system, up to 2.8 million ballot papers were sent out with prepaid

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envelopes for people to return their papers were sent out with prepaid

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turnout. The idea that you are going to see a big change... Even if

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your individual party members. In one vital way, your purse strings,

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your individual party members. In the unions will be more powerful

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than ever because at the moment they have to hand over 8 million to

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than ever because at the moment they fraction of that now. They will get

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to keep that money, but then come the election you go to them and give

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them a lot of money -- and they will have you then. They won't have us,

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as you put it! The idea that individual trade union members don't

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have their own view, their own voice, and just do what their

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general secretaries do is absurd. They will make their own decision,

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and we want them to make that and not have their leadership decide

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that for them. Let me go to the money. The Labour Party manifesto

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will be reflecting the interests of Britain, and the idea that somehow

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people can say we are not going to give you this money unless you do

:20:08.:20:11.

this or that, we will give you a policy agenda which is appropriate

:20:12.:20:15.

for the British people, regardless of what implications that may have

:20:16.:20:20.

financially. They will have more seats than anybody else in the NEC

:20:21.:20:25.

and they will hold the purse strings. They will be the

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determining factor. They won't be. Unite is advocating a 70% rate of

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income tax, there is no way we will have that in our manifesto. Unite is

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advocating taking back contracts and no compensation basis, we would not

:20:46.:20:58.

-- there is no way we would do that. How many chief executives of the

:20:59.:21:08.

FTSE 100 are backing Labour? We have lots of chief executives backing

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Labour. I don't know the exact number. Ed Miliband has just placed

:21:17.:21:19.

an important business person in the House of Lords, the former chief

:21:20.:21:31.

executive of the ITV, Bill Grimsey. How many? You can only name one

:21:32.:21:40.

Bill Grimsey, there is also John Mills. Anyone who is currently

:21:41.:21:46.

chairman of the chief executive With the greatest respect, you are

:21:47.:21:50.

talking about less than half the percent of business leaders in our

:21:51.:21:56.

country, we have almost 5 million businesses, not all FTSE 100

:21:57.:22:02.

businesses, not all listed, and we are trying to get people from across

:22:03.:22:08.

the country of all different shapes and sizes. Let's widen it to the

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FTSE 250. That is 250 out of 5 million companies. The largest ones,

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they make the profits and provide the jobs. Two thirds of private

:22:30.:22:34.

sector jobs in this country come from small and medium-sized

:22:35.:22:38.

businesses, and small and medium-sized businesses are an

:22:39.:22:41.

important part of a large companies supply chains. So you cannot name a

:22:42.:22:52.

single chairman from the FTSE 2 0, correct? I don't know all the

:22:53.:22:59.

chairman. Are you going to fight the next election without a single boss

:23:00.:23:10.

of a FTSE 250 company? I have named some important business people, but

:23:11.:23:13.

the most important thing is that we are not coming out with a manifesto

:23:14.:23:23.

for particular interests, but for broader interest. Let me show you,

:23:24.:23:33.

Digby Jones says Labour's policy is, "if it creates wealth, let's kick

:23:34.:23:47.

it" . Another quote, that it borders on predatory taxation. They think

:23:48.:23:54.

you are anti-business. I don't agree with them. One of the interesting

:23:55.:24:00.

things about Sir Stuart's comments on the predatory taxation and I

:24:01.:24:04.

think he was referring to the 5 p rate of tax is that he made some

:24:05.:24:08.

comments arguing against the reduction of the top rate of tax

:24:09.:24:15.

from 50p. He is saying something different now. Digby of course has

:24:16.:24:18.

his own opinions, he has never been a member of the Labour Party. Let me

:24:19.:24:24.

come onto this business of the top rate of tax, do you accept or don't

:24:25.:24:28.

you that there is a point when higher rates of income tax become

:24:29.:24:33.

counter-productive? Ultimately you want to have the lowest tax rates

:24:34.:24:39.

possible. Do you accept there is a certain level you actually get less

:24:40.:24:44.

money? I think ultimately there is a level beyond you could go which

:24:45.:24:50.

would be counter-productive, for example the 75% rate of tax I

:24:51.:24:55.

mentioned earlier, being advocated by Unite in France. Most French

:24:56.:25:08.

higher earners will pay less tax than under your plans. I beg your

:25:09.:25:16.

pardon, with the 50p? Under your proposals, people here will pay more

:25:17.:25:23.

tax than French higher earners. If you are asking if in terms of the

:25:24.:25:28.

level, you asked the question and I answered it, do I think if you reach

:25:29.:25:35.

a level beyond which the tax burden becomes counter-productive, can I

:25:36.:25:39.

give you a number what that would be, I cannot but let me explain -

:25:40.:25:43.

the reason we have sought to increase its two 50p is that we can

:25:44.:25:50.

get in revenue to reduce the deficit. In an ideal world you

:25:51.:25:54.

wouldn't need a 50p rate of tax which is why during our time in

:25:55.:25:58.

office we didn't have one, because we didn't have those issues. Sure,

:25:59.:26:08.

though you cannot tell me how much the 50p will raise. In the three

:26:09.:26:14.

years of operation we think it raised ?10 billion. You think. That

:26:15.:26:23.

was based on extrapolation from the British library. It is at least

:26:24.:26:27.

possible I would suggest, for the sake of argument, that when you

:26:28.:26:33.

promise to take over half people's income, which is what you will do if

:26:34.:26:40.

you get your way, the richest 1 currently account for 70 5% of all

:26:41.:26:50.

tax revenues. -- 75%. Is it not a danger that if you take more out of

:26:51.:26:57.

them, they will just go? I don't think so, we are talking about the

:26:58.:27:06.

top 1% here. If you look at the directors of sub 5 million turnover

:27:07.:27:09.

companies, the average managing director of that gets around

:27:10.:27:24.

?87,000. Let me narrow it down to something else. Let's take the .1%

:27:25.:27:33.

of top taxpayers, down to fewer than 30,000 people. They account for over

:27:34.:27:39.

14% of all of the income tax revenues. Only 29,000 people. If

:27:40.:27:44.

they go because you are going to take over half their income, you

:27:45.:27:51.

have lost a huge chunk of your tax base. They could easily go, at

:27:52.:27:58.

tipping point they could go. What we are advocating here is not

:27:59.:28:02.

controversial. Those with the broadest shoulders, it is not

:28:03.:28:07.

unreasonable to ask them to share the heavier burden. Can you name one

:28:08.:28:17.

other major economy that subscribes to this? Across Europe, for example

:28:18.:28:25.

in Sweden they have higher tax rates than us. Can you name one major

:28:26.:28:32.

economy? I couldn't pluck one out of the air, I can see where you are

:28:33.:28:38.

coming from, I don't agree with it. I think most people subscribe to the

:28:39.:28:43.

fact that those with wider shoulders should carry the heavy a burden We

:28:44.:28:50.

have run out of time but thank you for being here.

:28:51.:28:54.

Over the past week it seems that Nick Clegg has activated a new Lib

:28:55.:28:58.

Dem strategy - 'Get Gove'. After a very public spat over who should

:28:59.:29:01.

head up the schools inspection service Ofsted, Lib Dem sources have

:29:02.:29:04.

continued to needle away at the Education Secretary. And other

:29:05.:29:07.

senior Lib Dems have also taken aim at their coalition partners. Here's

:29:08.:29:31.

Giles Dilnot. It's unlikely the polite welcome of these school

:29:32.:29:34.

children to Lib Dem leader Nick Clegg and his party colleague

:29:35.:29:37.

schools minister David Laws would be so forthcoming right now from the

:29:38.:29:39.

man in charge of schools Conservative Michael Gove. Mr Laws

:29:40.:29:42.

is said to have been furious with The Education secretary over the

:29:43.:29:45.

decision to remove Sally Morgan as chair of Ofsted. But those who know

:29:46.:29:48.

the inner working of the Lib Dems say that's just understandable. When

:29:49.:29:51.

you have the department not being consulted, it would be possible for

:29:52.:29:54.

him to not publicly comment. The remarkable thing would be if he

:29:55.:29:57.

hadn't said anything at all. We should be careful to understand this

:29:58.:30:08.

is not always part of a preplanned decision. There is a growing sense

:30:09.:30:18.

that inside Number Ten this is a concerted Lib Dem strategy, we also

:30:19.:30:22.

understand there is no love lost between Nick Clegg and Michael Gove

:30:23.:30:26.

to say the least, and a growing frustration that if the Lib Dems

:30:27.:30:32.

think such so-called yellow and blue attacks can help them with the

:30:33.:30:35.

election, they can also damage the long-term prospects of the Coalition

:30:36.:30:43.

post 2015. One spat does not a divorce make but perhaps even more

:30:44.:30:46.

significant has been Chief Secretary to the Treasury Danny Alexander s

:30:47.:30:48.

recent newspaper interview firmly spiking any room for George Osborne

:30:49.:30:51.

to manoeuvre on lowering the highest income tax rate to 40p. All this

:30:52.:30:54.

builds on the inclusion in Government at the reshuffle of

:30:55.:30:57.

people like Norman Baker at the Home Office and Simon Hughes at Justice

:30:58.:31:00.

people who are happier to publically express doubt on Conservative

:31:01.:31:02.

policy, unlike say Jeremy Browne who was removed and who has made plain

:31:03.:31:16.

his views on Coalition. It is difficult for us to demonstrate that

:31:17.:31:20.

we are more socialist than an Ed Miliband Labour led party. Even if

:31:21.:31:28.

we did wish to demonstrate it, doing it in coalition with the

:31:29.:31:34.

Conservatives would be harder still. Nonetheless a differentiation

:31:35.:31:38.

strategy was always likely as 2 15 approached, so is there evidence it

:31:39.:31:44.

works? Or of the work we publish shows the Lib Dems have a huge

:31:45.:31:48.

problem in terms of their distinctiveness, so attacking their

:31:49.:31:53.

coalition partners or the Labour Party is helpful in showing what

:31:54.:31:56.

they are against, but there are bigger problem is showing what they

:31:57.:32:02.

are for. And one Conservative MP with access to Number Ten as part of

:32:03.:32:07.

the PM's policy board says yellow on blue attacks are misplaced and

:32:08.:32:12.

irresponsible. At this stage when all the hard work is being done and

:32:13.:32:17.

the country is back on its feet the Lib Dems are choosing the time to

:32:18.:32:25.

step away from the coalition. That is your position, but do you suspect

:32:26.:32:29.

coming up to the next election we will see more of this? I think the

:32:30.:32:36.

Lib Dems are about as hard to pin down as a weasel in Vaseline. And

:32:37.:32:42.

with the public's view of politicians right now, and wants to

:32:43.:32:45.

be seen as slicker than a well oiled weasel? And we have Lib Dem peer

:32:46.:32:52.

Matthew Oakeshott and senior Conservative backbencher Bernard

:32:53.:33:02.

Jenkin. Matthew, the Lib Dems are now picking fights with the Tories

:33:03.:33:06.

on a range of issues, some of them trivial. Is this a Pirelli used to

:33:07.:33:11.

Lib Dem withdrawal from the coalition? I do not know, I am not

:33:12.:33:19.

privy to Nick Clegg's in strategy. Some of us have been independent for

:33:20.:33:23.

some time. I resigned over treatment of the banks. That is now being

:33:24.:33:29.

sorted out. But what is significant is we have seen a string of attacks,

:33:30.:33:35.

almost an enemy within strategy When you have Nick Clegg, David Laws

:33:36.:33:41.

and Danny Alexander, the three key people closest to the Conservatives,

:33:42.:33:48.

when you see all of them attacking, and this morning Nick Clegg has had

:33:49.:33:51.

a go at the Conservatives over drug policy. There is a string of

:33:52.:33:56.

policies where something is going on. It is difficult to do an enemy

:33:57.:34:03.

within strategy. I believe as many Lib Dems do that we should withdraw

:34:04.:34:09.

from the coalition six months to one year before the election so we can

:34:10.:34:12.

put our positive policies across rather than having this tricky

:34:13.:34:17.

strategy of trying to do it from within. Why does David Cameron need

:34:18.:34:25.

the Lib Dems? He probably does not. The country generally favoured the

:34:26.:34:30.

coalition to start with. Voters like to see politicians are working

:34:31.:34:33.

together and far more of that goes on in Westminster then we see. Most

:34:34.:34:39.

of my committee reports are unanimous reports from all parties.

:34:40.:34:47.

Why does he need them? I do not think he does. You would be happy to

:34:48.:34:55.

see the Lib Dems go? I would always be happy to see a single minority

:34:56.:35:00.

Government because it would be easier for legislation. The

:35:01.:35:04.

legislation you could not get through would not get through

:35:05.:35:08.

whether we were in coalition or not. The 40p tax rate, there

:35:09.:35:13.

probably is not a majority in the House of Commons at the moment,

:35:14.:35:17.

despite what Nick Clegg originally said. It does not make much

:35:18.:35:22.

difference. What makes a difference from the perspective of the

:35:23.:35:26.

committee I chair is historically we have had single party Government

:35:27.:35:31.

that have collective responsibility and clarity. The reason that is

:35:32.:35:35.

important is because nothing gets done if everybody is at sixes and

:35:36.:35:40.

sevens in the Government. Everything stops, there is paralysis as the row

:35:41.:35:45.

goes on. Civil servants do not know who they are working for. If it

:35:46.:35:50.

carries on getting fractures, there is a bigger argument to get out If

:35:51.:35:57.

it continues at this level of intensity of the enemy within

:35:58.:36:02.

strategy as you have described it, can the coalition survived another

:36:03.:36:07.

16 months of this? It is also a question should they. I never

:36:08.:36:11.

thought I would say this, I agree with Bernard. Interestingly earlier

:36:12.:36:18.

Chuka Umunna missed the point talking about business support.

:36:19.:36:22.

Business is worried about this anti-European rhetoric and that is a

:36:23.:36:25.

deep split between the Liberal Democrats and the UKIP wing of the

:36:26.:36:29.

Tory party. That is really damaging and that is something we need to

:36:30.:36:35.

make our own case separately on Do you get fed up when you hear

:36:36.:36:40.

constant Lib Dem attacks on you What makes me fed up is my own party

:36:41.:36:44.

cannot respond in kind because we are in coalition. I would love to

:36:45.:36:51.

have this much more open debate I would like to see my own party

:36:52.:36:58.

leader, for example as he did in the House of Commons, it was the Liberal

:36:59.:37:00.

Democrats who blocked the referendum on the house of lords and if we want

:37:01.:37:05.

to get this bill through it should be a Government bill. We know we can

:37:06.:37:09.

get it through the Commons, but we need to get the Liberals out of the

:37:10.:37:13.

Government so they stop blocking the Government putting forward a

:37:14.:37:17.

referendum bill. And put millions of jobs at risk? I am not going down

:37:18.:37:27.

the European road today. It strikes me that given that the attacks from

:37:28.:37:31.

the Lib Dems are now coming from the left attacking the Tories, is this a

:37:32.:37:36.

representative of the failure of Nick Clegg's strategy to rebuild a

:37:37.:37:41.

centrist Liberal party and he now accepts the only way he can save as

:37:42.:37:47.

many seats as he can do is to get the disillusioned left Lib Dem

:37:48.:37:53.

voters to come back to the fold The site is we have lost over half our

:37:54.:37:57.

vote at the last election and at the moment there is no sign in the polls

:37:58.:38:02.

of it coming back and we are getting very close to the next election I

:38:03.:38:08.

welcome it if Nick Clegg is starting to address that problem, but talking

:38:09.:38:14.

about the centre is not the answer. Most Liberal Democrat voters at the

:38:15.:38:18.

last election are radical, progressive people who want to see a

:38:19.:38:23.

much fairer Britain and a much less divided society and we must make

:38:24.:38:26.

sure we maximise our vote from there. We know what both of you

:38:27.:38:33.

want, but what do you think will happen? Do you think this coalition

:38:34.:38:37.

will survive all the way to the election or will it break up

:38:38.:38:43.

beforehand? I think it will break up beforehand. Our long-term economic

:38:44.:38:49.

plan is working. The further changes in policies we want to implement to

:38:50.:38:52.

sustain that plan are being held back by the Liberal Democrats. When

:38:53.:38:59.

will they break up? It has lasted longer than I thought it would, but

:39:00.:39:03.

it must break up at least six months before the election. Do you think it

:39:04.:39:11.

will survive or not? The coalition has delivered a great deal in many

:39:12.:39:15.

ways, but it is running out of steam. It depends what happens in

:39:16.:39:20.

the May elections. If the Liberal Democrats do not do better than we

:39:21.:39:24.

have done in the last three, there will be very strong pressure from

:39:25.:39:33.

the inside. You both agree. Television history has been made.

:39:34.:39:38.

You are watching the Sunday Politics. Coming up: I will be

:39:39.:39:44.

looking at the week ahead with our political panel. Until then it is

:39:45.:39:58.

the Sunday Politics across the UK. Welcome from us. What else could we

:39:59.:40:05.

possibly talk about? There have been 48 hours of disruption to London's

:40:06.:40:09.

transport network and the same again is coming this week. Boris Johnson

:40:10.:40:12.

will be here to discuss his position. With me is Markfield,

:40:13.:40:19.

Conservative MP, and Emily Thornberry, Labour MP for Islington

:40:20.:40:25.

South and Finsbury. First, two women in front line or front bench

:40:26.:40:29.

politics? Labour leader Ed Miliband accused David Cameron of failing to

:40:30.:40:35.

advance the cause of women generally and failing to promote Conservative

:40:36.:40:41.

women in particular. Look at the all-male front bench before us. And

:40:42.:40:48.

he says he wants to represent the whole country. I guess they did not

:40:49.:40:52.

let women into the bullying can club either. First, before we discuss the

:40:53.:41:01.

issues, as a stance did that work? I suppose it did. It was the luck of

:41:02.:41:10.

the draw, because normally there would be one or two of the current

:41:11.:41:15.

ministers who would have been there. Yes, it worked as a bit of a stunt

:41:16.:41:21.

and Labour have done a lot of polling saying there was a problem

:41:22.:41:26.

with women for the Conservatives. It looks as though Labour's lead is

:41:27.:41:32.

larger amongst women voters, so that is why he decided to lead on this.

:41:33.:41:38.

As a stance had your guys gone and checked the diary and found out who

:41:39.:41:43.

was away? Theresa Villiers was not coming over? It was a bit of luck.

:41:44.:41:53.

Normally even on a good week you would only have a couple of women on

:41:54.:41:58.

the front bench whereas half of our Shadow Cabinet I women. We do not

:41:59.:42:02.

normally put them all the front bench. What I found extraordinary

:42:03.:42:10.

was some political commentators were saying we only put the women on the

:42:11.:42:14.

front bench to make a point, but they are there week in, out. We

:42:15.:42:22.

decided to make a point that we would put them, although it was not

:42:23.:42:26.

quite completely stage-managed, we said, move up. It is hard for you

:42:27.:42:34.

fundamentally to raise the issue about women in politics when the

:42:35.:42:38.

Conservatives will always have Margaret Thatcher. Absolutely. It

:42:39.:42:45.

may have been 20 or 30 years ago and the Conservatives will always talk

:42:46.:42:49.

about it and the Prime Minister is married to a woman as well and he

:42:50.:42:54.

has met a few occasionally. That is not the point. You need to listen to

:42:55.:42:57.

women and you need to make sure your policies are relative to women. You

:42:58.:43:07.

know these things called PBS, the informal friend of the Prime

:43:08.:43:11.

Minister who will be his eyes and ears, people are saying this and

:43:12.:43:17.

that. If you look at the number the Prime Minister has had and the

:43:18.:43:19.

Chancellor of the exchequer has had, they have had sex. How many of

:43:20.:43:27.

them have been women? One. Looe it is because they have a problem

:43:28.:43:34.

listening to women. The biggest problem is more the culture of

:43:35.:43:38.

youth. We are both older than any of the main party leaders. A lot of

:43:39.:43:44.

women have a lot of family responsibilities. I accept for a lot

:43:45.:43:49.

of women they are put off the idea of getting into politics in their

:43:50.:43:53.

30s and early 40s. As a result of the cult of youth that is what has

:43:54.:43:58.

got to change. There are a huge amount of women who could come into

:43:59.:44:05.

politics in their 40s and 50s. Why does Labour have so many more women

:44:06.:44:13.

MPs? We were answered that in more detail at another time. The Prime

:44:14.:44:17.

Minister called it unnecessary, the Mayor pointless and the unions said

:44:18.:44:22.

they had no choice. There were two days of disruption on the Tube

:44:23.:44:24.

network and there will be more this week. 48 hours of strikes this week

:44:25.:44:33.

caused misery for many commuters and a headache for the Mayor of London.

:44:34.:44:38.

I am sorry about the inconvenience this morning. It will not last long.

:44:39.:44:45.

It used to be that disruption by strikes was a distant memory and if

:44:46.:44:51.

the Mayor has his way, the reforms will change the way we use the Tube

:44:52.:44:57.

for ever. Every ticket office on the Tube will be scrapped by the end of

:44:58.:45:02.

next year at a loss of 1000 jobs, although Transport for London say

:45:03.:45:04.

there will be no compulsory redundancies. Less than 3% of

:45:05.:45:19.

journeys on the Chu involves the ticket office. Transport for London

:45:20.:45:23.

like to say that only 3% of journeys on the underground use the ticket

:45:24.:45:27.

office but that is if you look at it in terms of percentage. The numbers

:45:28.:45:32.

seem much bigger, 36 million times a year, or 100,000 times every day. To

:45:33.:45:39.

put that in context, that is three times as many journeys as take place

:45:40.:45:46.

from the Mayor's cable car and cycle hire schemes combine, both things he

:45:47.:45:50.

is keen to keep funding. According to the trade unions, the closures

:45:51.:45:58.

will also make us less safe. Is there any empirical research that

:45:59.:46:04.

suggests networks without a ticket office are less safe? We have not

:46:05.:46:09.

done it, I don't think that kind of research has been done, but in the

:46:10.:46:13.

event of a problem taking place not just a terrorist attack or something

:46:14.:46:19.

of that nature, the passenger will ask the staff to help them. After a

:46:20.:46:24.

number of occasions when there has been a major signal failure or

:46:25.:46:29.

someone taken ill, they don't just sit behind and sell tickets, these

:46:30.:46:35.

people play a vital role. If the London Underground is going to be

:46:36.:46:38.

open on a Friday and Saturday night, people using it throughout the

:46:39.:46:42.

night, surely the wrong thing to do is to get rid of these people. They

:46:43.:46:47.

should be there to supplement the extra people using the network. Why

:46:48.:46:55.

don't we keep the ticket office is open to give people a sense of

:46:56.:47:00.

security they want? In 2008, Boris Johnson campaigned to keep the

:47:01.:47:08.

ticket offices open. When I was mayor there was a proposal to close

:47:09.:47:14.

40 or so ticket offices, I agreed with about 20, but when you are

:47:15.:47:21.

looking at Victoria and charring Cross and these other large

:47:22.:47:25.

stations, you just cannot have tourists milling around, people who

:47:26.:47:30.

come from Sheffield or Aberdeen not certain how the system works, there

:47:31.:47:35.

is a real problem there. According to one expert, the reforms are

:47:36.:47:44.

likely to go ahead. It looks like the decision has been made and it

:47:45.:47:55.

will go through. TfL Make these decisions, and after a few days of

:47:56.:48:01.

strikes everything carries on as before. Indeed, Transport for

:48:02.:48:07.

London's plans only count for a tiny proportion of savings compared to

:48:08.:48:16.

the cuts they will have two make. The strikes will continue long after

:48:17.:48:20.

this dispute is over. Mayor Johnson is here, he has come to talk about

:48:21.:48:25.

the strike and the issues around it. Let's talk about how it will affect

:48:26.:48:36.

those stations in a moment, but in terms of this week you have been

:48:37.:48:40.

leading from the front but wouldn't you be better establishing rapport

:48:41.:48:45.

with some of these union leaders? It is an important point is that you

:48:46.:48:49.

should leave management to get on and manage, and if you think back to

:48:50.:48:54.

industrial relations in the 197 s when we have this thing, politicians

:48:55.:49:00.

supplanting their managers, inviting union leaders in for beer and

:49:01.:49:05.

sandwiches, it was a disaster. There has barely been a moment since I

:49:06.:49:09.

have been mayor when we haven't either had a threat of strike or

:49:10.:49:13.

some kind of action going on with the RMT in particular. In those

:49:14.:49:19.

circumstances, you have got to leave it to your people, to TfL to get on.

:49:20.:49:29.

If the people were looking for some moral authority here, who could

:49:30.:49:35.

bring Londoners together and unlock an intractable dispute, you are

:49:36.:49:40.

rather left without the necessary equipment or the background, are

:49:41.:49:49.

you? You mean TfL? You haven't built any relationship with these unions

:49:50.:49:55.

at all. I have certainly have many conversations with representatives

:49:56.:50:01.

from the RMT and other unions who run London. You can't get away with

:50:02.:50:07.

that, can you? Have you ever met a leader of the union in the time you

:50:08.:50:15.

have been mayor? I have met Bob Crow. You haven't met Bob Crow, we

:50:16.:50:23.

know you haven't met Bob Crow. I have met Bob Crow. What I haven t

:50:24.:50:31.

done... I mean in a formal capacity to somehow say, no official business

:50:32.:50:36.

here, let's just meet each other. I want to tell you that I want to

:50:37.:50:41.

support the workers at the appropriate time. I think Tony

:50:42.:50:46.

Travers got it right in your report, there is a ritualistic display by

:50:47.:50:51.

the leaders who want to show they can take on TfL, Bob Crow in

:50:52.:51:00.

particular. Couldn't you have helped position yourself? You talk about

:51:01.:51:04.

rising above it, couldn't you have said, you have good intentions, I

:51:05.:51:11.

don't hold anything against you With the greatest respect it is the

:51:12.:51:15.

point I made at the beginning. If I, as the mayor, were to step in

:51:16.:51:20.

when you have really quite militant people, not actually so much Bob

:51:21.:51:24.

Crow but others around you who have no interest in doing a deal, if I

:51:25.:51:30.

were to step in and undercut my negotiators, that is the last thing

:51:31.:51:38.

they need. Have you offered guidance and clarity of your position to TfL

:51:39.:51:46.

bosses? They are operating with your authority, and you have presumably

:51:47.:51:52.

told them, this is going ahead, don't negotiate? On the contrary, I

:51:53.:51:57.

have told them to have the door open, not to be mapped choke or

:51:58.:52:01.

confrontational, to engage, to communicate what we are doing, to

:52:02.:52:05.

sell the message about how this is the best possible package for the

:52:06.:52:12.

RMT and for Londoners. Since November we have called 15

:52:13.:52:20.

meetings. The RMT and another have only turned up to six of those,

:52:21.:52:25.

boycotted the others, and in the others they simply refused to

:52:26.:52:32.

engage. What needs to happen is that there are talks that have been going

:52:33.:52:37.

on on Friday, and we hope clearly that there will be a deal and I have

:52:38.:52:42.

no doubt the deal will be made but I want to stress the worst possible

:52:43.:52:47.

thing to get a result now would be to have grandstanding by politicians

:52:48.:52:54.

and union barons when what needs to happen is that the two sides needs

:52:55.:53:06.

to come together and take forward... Let's examine that. There

:53:07.:53:13.

are 270 tube stations, we will be closing that acute offices. 256

:53:14.:53:22.

actually. How many staff will be gone from those ticket offices? The

:53:23.:53:30.

programme altogether involves around 750 redundancies. I suppose the key

:53:31.:53:38.

question... Let me give you the key answer. How many more will be

:53:39.:53:44.

visible to Londoners? At most nations, Emily will be thrilled to

:53:45.:53:49.

hear this, at most stations you will actually have more people visible to

:53:50.:53:55.

Londoners out, concourses than there were before. How is that possible?

:53:56.:54:01.

Because you have quite a lot of people doing jobs as supervisors

:54:02.:54:09.

behind plain glass... This is being driven by technology. You are kind

:54:10.:54:14.

enough to play that footage of me in 2008, ticket offices were not

:54:15.:54:20.

invented, sorry the iPhone was not invented. 2007, the year before It

:54:21.:54:32.

didn't have the uptake. You also had ticket machines. We have had a

:54:33.:54:41.

massive increase in contactless ticket purchasing. You can get staff

:54:42.:54:47.

out from behind the glass and do what the passengers want them to do.

:54:48.:54:54.

How can it make it safer when four 125 nations there will only be one

:54:55.:55:00.

person in the station? Because a lot of those stations already only have

:55:01.:55:05.

a tiny number of people looking after them as it is, and very often

:55:06.:55:11.

that person will be behind plate-glass. What is happening now

:55:12.:55:17.

is that a member of staff will be there to offer guidance, all the

:55:18.:55:21.

people that need it most, to tourists, vulnerable, disabled, the

:55:22.:55:27.

elderly, and they will be equipped with the latest technology, they

:55:28.:55:32.

will be able to offer refunds, deal with problems with the Oyster card

:55:33.:55:37.

and that will be a massive improvement. If there is going to be

:55:38.:55:43.

fewer staff, which there will be, and you are going to extend the

:55:44.:55:48.

hours, it will mean there are fewer people in the stations. The question

:55:49.:55:54.

I asked TfL and they couldn't answer, the Angel tube station will

:55:55.:56:02.

be open 24 hours, and the platforms are long way away from the main part

:56:03.:56:06.

of the station, so how many staff will there be on duty at three

:56:07.:56:10.

o'clock in the morning on a Saturday night, and how many will it be that

:56:11.:56:20.

make it safe? The answer is enough. Tell us. I have teenage children, I

:56:21.:56:31.

want to know if it is safe. Let s not be parochial. I'm giving you the

:56:32.:56:35.

answer, there will be more out on the platforms than there are now and

:56:36.:56:40.

that will offer greater reassurance. For 24 hours, people

:56:41.:56:51.

will be in there? You will have a much greater amount of drunkards,

:56:52.:56:58.

people on the platform... Can I make a point in defence which is that

:56:59.:57:02.

when you look at what has happened on the Tube, crime has come down a

:57:03.:57:07.

20%, the number of police on the Tube since I have been there has

:57:08.:57:16.

risen by 10% and this is obviously a concern, I have talked extensively

:57:17.:57:22.

to my officials about this, and they are unanimous that these measures

:57:23.:57:29.

will continue to make London transport... Can I bring Mark in?

:57:30.:57:36.

Your constituents will say to you, we thought the Tube system was going

:57:37.:57:41.

to be expanded, and yet the number of stuff around is going to be

:57:42.:57:46.

fewer. The number is still being reduced. There has continued to be

:57:47.:57:54.

huge technological changes. This is not a great advertisement for

:57:55.:58:00.

London, people are watching these strikes taking place so this is not

:58:01.:58:03.

responsible behaviour from the union. Credit to Boris and TfL,

:58:04.:58:10.

Londoners were very resilient with this strike and it was good that we

:58:11.:58:16.

have more buses being put on and I had to take a bus for the journey I

:58:17.:58:21.

made, taking my son to school, and I was struck by how well the

:58:22.:58:28.

passengers behaved but also the helpfulness of the conductors and

:58:29.:58:31.

the staff and everyone held together. No one would disagree and

:58:32.:58:39.

you have helped that response, you were very visible. The final word to

:58:40.:58:51.

you... I want to thank... Can I ask you, what is your mandate? 84% of

:58:52.:58:59.

Londoners anyway didn't vote for you as the mayor, but you had nowhere in

:59:00.:59:04.

your manifesto that you are going to do this. I had a very clear

:59:05.:59:16.

manifesto pledge that was for automation and modernisation. I hope

:59:17.:59:23.

we have more changes as quickly as possible. We did a survey, it showed

:59:24.:59:33.

82% of Londoners, once it was explained to them what we are doing,

:59:34.:59:42.

and let me tell you... How mad that you haven't spoken to Bob Crow in

:59:43.:59:46.

five years, he has to ring you up on the radio station. Your party

:59:47.:59:53.

brought this country to its knees by endlessly having union barons in and

:59:54.:59:59.

talking to them and insulting them. Let me on to rot and say... On that

:00:00.:00:10.

sexist assaults... He is not answering! We have been the reverse

:00:11.:00:25.

of the match out and we have engaged. Mike Brown and our teams

:00:26.:00:32.

have made it absolutely clear to people and on the London underground

:00:33.:00:36.

that change is coming and they accept it. You would have done it.

:00:37.:00:49.

Thank you so much for coming in Now it is time for the rest of the

:00:50.:00:57.

political news in 60 seconds. Figures this week show the

:00:58.:01:01.

Metropolitan police has lost over 3000 officers since May, 2010, a

:01:02.:01:08.

drop of 10%. There are just over 30,000 PCs in London despite the

:01:09.:01:13.

Mayor's pledge to maintain numbers at or around 32,000.

:01:14.:01:20.

Doctors and nurses will have to log details of the injuries suffered by

:01:21.:01:26.

female nude -- genital mutilation which will gather more information

:01:27.:01:29.

on the practice which was outlawed in the UK in 1995. Transport for

:01:30.:01:35.

London has announced the buses are to become cashless pond this summer.

:01:36.:01:39.

The number of cash fares will fall to less than 1% this year. The

:01:40.:01:47.

Southbank Centre has put its ?1 0 million redevelopment plans on hold

:01:48.:01:51.

after the Mayor criticised its original proposal for funding.

:01:52.:01:56.

The plan involves moving a community of skateboarders to make way for

:01:57.:02:02.

retail units. Let's not talk any more about transport. What about

:02:03.:02:09.

losing the Southbank plans? They could be shelved because Boris

:02:10.:02:14.

Johnson wants to keep the skateboarders? It was an interesting

:02:15.:02:20.

bit of politics. These are youngsters who are not involved in

:02:21.:02:22.

politics who have been campaigning and have made their voice heard It

:02:23.:02:27.

might mean the whole development does not happen. I think Boris makes

:02:28.:02:35.

quite a good point, we have probably got enough retail units in central

:02:36.:02:40.

London. Let's make sure it is a genuinely open space for all

:02:41.:02:44.

Londoners and particularly young Londoners who otherwise may not have

:02:45.:02:50.

a voice. Both of you, thank you so much. Andrew, it is back to you Can

:02:51.:02:58.

David Cameron get a grip on the floods? Can UKIP push the

:02:59.:03:03.

Conservatives into third place in the Wythenshawe by-election on

:03:04.:03:07.

Thursday? Is the speaker in the House of Commons in danger of

:03:08.:03:11.

overheating? All questions over the weekend. Let's look at the politics

:03:12.:03:20.

of the flooding. Let me show you a clip from Eric Pickles, the

:03:21.:03:24.

Communities Secretary, earlier on the BBC this morning. We perhaps

:03:25.:03:33.

relied too much on the Environment Agency's advice. I apologise. I

:03:34.:03:38.

apologise unreservedly and I am really sorry we took the advice of

:03:39.:03:44.

what we thought we were doing was the best. The Environment Agency is

:03:45.:03:48.

being hung out to dry by the Government and the Government has

:03:49.:03:53.

taken over the running of the environmental mess in the Somerset

:03:54.:03:58.

Levels. It is turning into a serious crisis by the Government and even

:03:59.:04:01.

more so for the people who are dealing with the flooding. There is

:04:02.:04:07.

no doubt that what has been revealed is it is not just about what the

:04:08.:04:12.

Government did or did not do six months ago. What is being exposed is

:04:13.:04:18.

an entire culture within the Environment Agency, fuelled often by

:04:19.:04:21.

European directives about dredging and all manner of other things, a

:04:22.:04:26.

culture grew up in which plants were put ahead of people if you like All

:04:27.:04:31.

of that is collapsing in very difficult circumstances by the

:04:32.:04:34.

Government and it is difficult for them to manage. Chris Smith would

:04:35.:04:40.

save the Environment Agency is acting under a law set by this

:04:41.:04:44.

Government and previous governments and the first priority is the

:04:45.:04:49.

protection of life, second property and third agricultural land and he

:04:50.:04:52.

is saying we are working within that framework. It is an edifying

:04:53.:04:58.

spectacle, they are setting up Lord Smith to be the fall guy. His term

:04:59.:05:02.

of office comes at the end of the summer and they will find something

:05:03.:05:07.

new. But the point Lord Smith is making is that dredging is important

:05:08.:05:11.

and it was a mistake not to dredge, but it is a bigger picture than

:05:12.:05:16.

that. I am no expert, but you need a whole skill solution that is looking

:05:17.:05:20.

not just bad dredging, but at the whole catchment area looking at the

:05:21.:05:27.

production of maize. It is harvested in autumn and then the water runs

:05:28.:05:32.

off the topsoil. You see the pictures of the flooding, it is all

:05:33.:05:36.

topsoil flooding through those towns. What you have got to have in

:05:37.:05:41.

the uplands is some land that can absorb that water and there are

:05:42.:05:44.

really big questions about the way we carry out farming. Chris Smith

:05:45.:05:50.

was meant to appear on the Andrew Marr show this morning, but pulled

:05:51.:05:55.

back at the last minute. There must be doubts as to whether he can

:05:56.:05:59.

survive to the summer. Where is the chief executive of the Environment

:06:00.:06:05.

Agency? I agree with Nick that Chris Smith has been setup in this

:06:06.:06:09.

situation. David Cameron went to the Somerset Levels on Friday for about

:06:10.:06:15.

half an hour, in and out, with no angry people shouting at him. You to

:06:16.:06:21.

a farm. It is agreed he has had good crisis. But we are seen as being a

:06:22.:06:29.

London media class who does not understand the countryside. You can

:06:30.:06:33.

imagine David Cameron in a pair of wellies. If this was happening in

:06:34.:06:36.

Guildford, it would not have dragged on for so long. Looe it is

:06:37.:06:43.

interesting how they are saying the Environment Agency has put words in

:06:44.:06:49.

front of everything else. The great-great-grandson of Queen

:06:50.:06:51.

Victoria thinks people should be sacked at the whim. He is talking

:06:52.:06:57.

about how the Environment Agency spent ?31 million on a bird

:06:58.:07:01.

sanctuary. It turns out the bird sanctuary was an attempt to put up a

:07:02.:07:06.

flood defence system for a village which has worked. That village has

:07:07.:07:11.

been saved. They compensated some farmers for the farmland they were

:07:12.:07:16.

not going to be able to farm and put a flood defence system further back

:07:17.:07:19.

to protect this village and then they built a bird sanctuary. It was

:07:20.:07:28.

not ?31 million to create a bird sanctuary, it was to save a village

:07:29.:07:31.

and it worked. But in 2008 the Environment Agency was talking about

:07:32.:07:37.

dynamiting every pumping agency There was a metropolitan mindset on

:07:38.:07:43.

the part of that agency. If it does what Owen Paterson, who is now off

:07:44.:07:49.

in an eye operation, suggested a plan to fix this, they will find a

:07:50.:07:55.

lot of what they want or need to do will be in contravention of European

:07:56.:07:58.

directives. The Wythenshawe by-election. There is no question

:07:59.:08:08.

Labour is going to win, probably incredibly convincingly, one poll

:08:09.:08:13.

showing 60% plus of the vote. It would be surprising if Labour was in

:08:14.:08:18.

any threat up there. The issue is, does UKIP beat the Tories and if so,

:08:19.:08:25.

by how much? The latest poll was showing it in second place as nip

:08:26.:08:30.

and tuck, but the feeling I have is UKIP will do better. And they have

:08:31.:08:35.

got a great local candidate. The Tories have not parachuted somebody

:08:36.:08:38.

in and they have got a local man in and that will help them. We have all

:08:39.:08:43.

been waiting to see if the Tories lose their head, but they might go

:08:44.:08:50.

chicken earlier than that. Will UKIP come second? It looks like that A

:08:51.:08:56.

poll this week showed that Labour is way ahead and UKIP possibly second.

:08:57.:09:01.

But it is an important by-election for UKIP. If they do well in the

:09:02.:09:05.

European elections, they should still be on a roll. They did really

:09:06.:09:10.

well in by-elections last year. If they do not do well, is it because

:09:11.:09:16.

they are not on payroll? Or in Manchester they have a fantastic

:09:17.:09:22.

leader of the council? Will UKIP come a good second? I think they

:09:23.:09:27.

will and if they do not, it might suggest Nigel Farage is losing its

:09:28.:09:32.

slightly. One thing to look out for is how little Labour are attacking

:09:33.:09:37.

UKIP. Their election strategy relies a lot on UKIP taking Tory votes But

:09:38.:09:44.

it could also take Labour votes Particularly in the north and we

:09:45.:09:48.

shall see. The results will be out on Thursday night. The Speaker of

:09:49.:09:54.

the House of Commons, John Bird , his interventions have become more

:09:55.:09:59.

frequent and something was strange. Have a look. I am grateful to the

:10:00.:10:09.

honourable gentleman. Order, the Government Chief Whip has absolutely

:10:10.:10:12.

no business whatsoever shouting from a sedentary position. Order, the

:10:13.:10:17.

honourable gentleman will remain in the chamber. If we could tackle this

:10:18.:10:27.

problem. I say to the honourable member for Bridgwater, be quiet if

:10:28.:10:32.

you cannot be quiet, get out, it is rude, stupid and pompous and it

:10:33.:10:45.

needs to stop. Michael Gove. Order. You really... Order. You are a very

:10:46.:10:55.

over excitable individual. You need to write out 1000 times, I will

:10:56.:10:59.

behave myself at Prime Minister 's questions. He was talking to the

:11:00.:11:06.

Education Secretary and it is not 1000 lines, it is 100 lines, at

:11:07.:11:12.

least it was in my day. Is he beginning to make a fool of himself?

:11:13.:11:18.

There was only one over excitable person there and that was the

:11:19.:11:22.

speaker and he is losing the confidence of the Conservative MPs,

:11:23.:11:25.

but he never had that in the first place. But he is an incredibly

:11:26.:11:31.

reforming speaker. He has this strange idea that Parliament should

:11:32.:11:36.

hold the Government to account. It will never catch on. It means very

:11:37.:11:40.

frequently there are urgent questions. The other day he called a

:11:41.:11:47.

backbench amendment on the deportation of foreign criminals. He

:11:48.:11:51.

could have found a way not to call that. He is a real reformer and the

:11:52.:11:57.

executive do not like that. That is true and he has allowed Parliament

:11:58.:12:01.

to flourish which has given us room to breathe at a time of a coalition

:12:02.:12:07.

Government when Parliament has more power. That is all that enough to

:12:08.:12:14.

overcome these increasingly mannered and some of them may be preplanned

:12:15.:12:21.

interventions? The last one was last week, and last week the speaker had

:12:22.:12:25.

a rather stressful week with the tabloids. Something is clearly up. I

:12:26.:12:33.

think it is a real shame. I think many of us when he was elected did

:12:34.:12:39.

not think he would make a great speaker and there are people like

:12:40.:12:43.

Douglas Carswell and Tory rebels who have said he is a fantastic speaker.

:12:44.:12:49.

He has given the Commons room to breathe and he has called on

:12:50.:12:52.

ministers to be held to account when they do not want to be. What do you

:12:53.:12:59.

think? He is seen as anti-government and he is pro-backbencher and that

:13:00.:13:03.

is what people do not like. People like Douglas Carswell are actually

:13:04.:13:10.

very strongly in support of him We carry the interventions every week

:13:11.:13:15.

on Prime Minister 's questions and we see them every week and they are

:13:16.:13:20.

getting a bit more eccentric. If I was having to keep that under

:13:21.:13:23.

control, I would be driven slowly mad. But his job is easier than

:13:24.:13:31.

mine. But if you look at his deputy, Eleanor Laing, she is very

:13:32.:13:38.

robust, but she is calm. Chap who does the budget is excellent. We are

:13:39.:13:45.

on throughout the week at midday on BBC Two. We will be back next Sunday

:13:46.:13:53.

at 11. If it is Sunday, it is the Sunday Politics.

:13:54.:14:00.

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