11/02/2018 Sunday Politics London


11/02/2018

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LineFromTo

Morning, everyone, and welcome

to the Sunday Politics.

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I'm Sarah Smith.

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And this is the programme that

will provide your essential briefing

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on everything that's moving

and shaking in the

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world of politics.

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After all the waiting we're

finally going to hear

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the Prime Minister's vision

for Britain's future relationship

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with the European Union,

but not for another couple of weeks.

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We'll look at what she might say.

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Key to any agreement will be

whether we should bind our customs'

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arrangements closely to the EU,

or strike out on our own.

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We'll speak to leading figures

from both sides of the argument.

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And Labour argue public

ownership of services

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like the railways are

an "economic necessity".

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We'll look at how

the policy could work

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and whether it's on the right track.

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In London, with local elections

looming, can Labour wrest back

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control from the Conservatives

in Wandsworth after 40

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years in opposition?

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Who needs the Winter Olympics

when there's plenty

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of thrills, spills and potential

wipeouts in the world

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of Westminster.

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And with me today are three experts

who may very well go off piste:

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Tom Newton Dunn from the Sun,

the Guardian's Zoe Williams

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and Iain Martin from the Times.

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So we hear that Theresa May

will finally be giving her

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vision of a Brexit deal

in the next few weeks.

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The news follows Mrs May hosting two

Brexit cabinet meetings this week

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in an attempt to thrash out

the government's

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negotiating position.

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If reports are to be believed

not much was decided,

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and so there will now have to be

a team building session

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at the prime minister's

country residence Chequers.

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Maybe a few trust exercises

will be in order.

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At the moment however we're none

the wiser and the EU's Chief

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Negotiator Michel Barnier seems

less than impressed.

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To start the week the EU chief

negotiator, Michel Barnier,

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made a trip to Downing Street

with Brexit secretary David Davis.

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Pleasantries with the PM,

but the warning was clear.

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Time has come to make choice.

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All week the question was,

are the Cabinet running

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away from making tough

decisions on Brexit?

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As America woke up, the President

took a pop at the

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National Health Service on Twitter.

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But was it all fake news?

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The Health Secretary hit back.

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The Transport Secretary,

Chris Grayling, told the Commons

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that yet again the East Coast

mainline franchise had failed,

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with renationalisation an option.

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While tensions in the

Conservative Party on Brexit

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were on full display.

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One leading Tory Remainer

did not hold back.

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35 hard ideological Brexiteers

who are not Tories.

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It's about time Theresa May stood up

to them and slung them out.

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On Tuesday, deeds and words,

MPs celebrated 100 years since

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some women were given the vote.

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Westminster awash with suffragette

colours purple, green, and white.

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Wednesday and Thursday,

the Brexit War Cabinet settled

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in for crunch talks.

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They were meant to decide

what the end state should look like.

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Breakthrough?

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Not yet.

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Also on Thursday, a leaked EU paper

warned that the UK's single market

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access in the Brexit transition

period could be revoked

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in the event of a dispute.

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Discourteous?

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The Brexit secretary thought so.

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It's not in good faith.

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We think it's unwise

to publish that.

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The week ended as it

began, with more warnings

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from Michel Barnier on Ireland,

the customs union,

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and continuing EU UK disputes.

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If this disagreement persists,

the transition is not a given.

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So, at the end of a busy week why

not let off steam with a glass

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or two of Brexit juice,

that's English sparkling wine

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to you and me, at the annual

Conservative fundraiser the black

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and white ball.

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The highest bid of the night?

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£55,000 to spend a day with the PM.

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We could not afford to get her on to

this programme but we will talk to

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our panel of experts to find out

what is going on behind the

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headlines. Iain Martin, by now we

thought we would know more about the

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government's final negotiating

position. We had two Brexit

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subcommittee meetings this week.

They were meant to come to a

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conclusion I thought. Are we any

further forward?

No. It is possible

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this is a cunning baldric style plan

to make Britain look as confused as

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possible.

A very, very cunning plan.

Very cunning. But the chances of

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that are highly unlikely. It seems

the meeting has happened, there was

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discussion, the Prime Minister did

not express an opinion. The Prime

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Minister was more interested in

secrecy and in fear of a leak, but

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it seems there was not much to leak

anyway, because there was not a

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decision. Actually, the UK's closer

to a position than people commonly

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understand, definitely out of the

single market, but on this crucial

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question of the customs union, or a

customs agreement after, there is

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still no decision taken. I think the

feeling at Westminster, people on

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both sides of the argument seems to

be will someone decide, make the

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case and then get stuck into the

talks which lets remember our

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supposed to begin in six or seven

weeks' time.

This Brexit

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subcommittee is split between

Brexiteers and Remainers. The Prime

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Minister sits in the middle we

understand not really expressing a

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view, that is put together for

careful political reasons but it

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cannot continue, can it?

I think the

presentation at the minute cannot

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come to a decision because they have

not done their homework, student

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essay style crisis conclusion and in

the case of David Davis you could

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believe that is true but the main

reason they cannot come together is

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because of an implacable deadlock.

There is no compromise between in

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the customs union or not in the

customs union. One side has to

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vanquish the other. The Remainers

really have to think it would be

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economic suicide to leave the

customs union but they are also

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really aware that this deadlock is

grinding government to halt. It is

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national duty pulling them in two

directions. They will ultimately be

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the ones to say I do not want to cut

the baby in half, you have the baby.

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At some point it will have to go to

the country because it is a stupid

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idea to cut a baby in half expect

what will happen for the Prime

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Minister who will have to make a

decision for the kind Brexit she has

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advocated?

She will do that and the

danger is huge. She will have to get

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off the perch at some point. We have

been sitting in these chairs for 20

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months saying the Prime Minister has

to choose between prioritising

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market access and prioritise and

sovereignty. That is the simple

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case. You may get a bit of both out

of the EU but you will get more of

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one than the other. I think

interestingly, there is a lot of

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movement going on under the surface

which Number Ten are desperate not

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to show any of the machinations of

it because they want to present a

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complete finished article. There is

some sense of consensus growing in

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the Brexit community I am told, not

to sign off on a customs union but

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to sign off on a semi-single market

alignment, soap aligning with all

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the single market rules on

manufactured goods is what I am told

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they are beginning to agree to do,

which they feel they should do

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because British companies will go

ahead and stand by all the EU

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regulations because that is what

they want to continue to sell into

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the EU. There are some members of

the committee who are opposed to

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this. Boris Johnson is the main one.

If they do agree to allow heavily on

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manufactured goods but not on

services, in other words they choose

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what to Jerry picked and can agree

what to cherish pick -- cherry pick,

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but if they choose what to align on

Ben Boris Johnson has do make a

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decision himself.

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decision himself. We could

potentially see some Cabinet

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resignations and I put Boris Johnson

at the head of it in two or three

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weeks' time. That is the root of the

potential compromise.

On services,

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on financial services, there is not

a functioning single market. The

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question comes down to manufactured

goods. A lot of the regulations have

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their origins in global standards,

something like the car industry. Is

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Boris Johnson going to find himself

in a position where he will die in a

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ditch over trying to make the UK

diverged from globally set standards

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on carburettors? It would be an

interesting position if he does.

It

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sounds ridiculous but it also sounds

like the sort of thing he will do.

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We will come back to this later in

the programme.

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As it's still not clear

what the government wants its final

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relationship with the EU will look

like, we thought we'd

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try to help out by looking

in detail at the key dilemma,

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when it comes to working out

a customs arrangement,

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should we hug the EU close,

or break out on our own?

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We've lined up two politicians

from either side of the argument

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and, just for a change,

they'll be asking

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the questions not me.

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So I'm joined by the soon to be

former Conservative MEP and leading

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figure in the Leave campaign

Daniel Hannan and by the former

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Labour frontbencher and supporter

of Open Britain Seema Malhotra.

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Earlier this morning we tossed

a coin to see who would go first.

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Daniel Hannan won and he agreed that

he would go first.

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So here with thoughts

on what our end

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relationship should be.

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90% of the world's economic growth

over the next 15 years will come

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from outside the European Union.

Britain is a maritime nation, linked

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to the world's fastest-growing

economies by language, law, culture

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and kinship. But we cannot sign

trade deals, not while we are in the

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EU's customs union. Staying in the

customs union after we leave, would

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be the worst of all worlds. It would

give Brussels 100% of our trade

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policy with 0% input from us. In

order to take advantage of Brexit,

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we need to set our own regulations.

Sometimes, for reasons of economies

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of scale, we might want to match

what the EU is doing. If we do want

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to keep elements of the single

market, it must be through agreement

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and on a case-by-case basis. In

1980, the states now in the European

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Union counted for 30% of the world's

GDP. Today that figure is 15% and

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falling. Britain needs to raise its

size. Our future bright, our future

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is global.

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Well, Seema and Dan are with me now.

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And just to explain the rules.

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Seema Malhotra has five minutes to

interrogate down.

This week a Tory

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MP said I think the real concern

about the direction of travel when

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it comes to Brexit, we are to real

crunch point and the government has

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not worked out 19 months on what the

endgame is and we need to know. That

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is pretty clear, isn't it? You and

others said Brexit will be easy so

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why is this the case?

Nothing

worthwhile is ever easy. I do not

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accept that the government has not

made it position clear. It made it

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clear in Lancaster House beach and a

series of white papers since. As

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Theresa May says we want to keep

control of our laws, taxes and

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borders. But within that, we want to

have the closest possible

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relationship with the rest of the

EU, compatible with being a

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sovereign country. We want to be its

best friend and ally. We will align

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with other countries but on our own

terms.

Things are not going

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according to plan. You and others

said we will be keeping key

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agencies. David Davis said we would

keep the agencies but now they are

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leaving. The European medicines

agency is heading for Amsterdam, the

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European banking agency will go to

Paris. That is 2000 highly skilled

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jobs being lost from the capital.

Isn't this a high price we are

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paying for certainty?

If you're that

fixated on Eurocrats jobs then you

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there is something wrong with your

priorities. All of the worries we

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had about job losses turned out to

be nonsense. Instead of losing half

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a million, we have gained half a

million. More people are working

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than ever before. I never claimed we

would be keeping these Euro agencies

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in the UK. Of course if you leave

the EU you leave these Euro agencies

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and you no longer have them on our

soil. We will make our own

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regulations.

You are calling these

agencies Eurocrats, these are people

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helping with key sectors of our

economy, scientists, those who are

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experts in finance and other

sectors. I agree that Britain could

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trade more with the world and we

need to, but evidence of leaks from

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the government this week shows that

the impact of free trade deals

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around the world will no way

compensate for the loss of trade

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with the EU which a hard Brexit

would do for the UK. If you don't

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believe me, you can listen to the

words of the Prime Minister who said

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during the referendum we export more

to Ireland than we do to China,

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twice as much to Belgium as we do to

India, it is not realistic to think

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we could replace European trade than

these markets.

We export more to

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Ireland than China, that is our

problem! Which is the better

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long-term growth prospects?

Don't

you agree that there will be an

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impact on British businesses and

families even in the short term and

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isn't it right that you raise that

risk with the British people?

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Obviously we want free and

frictionless trade with the EU and

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the freedom to my trade deals

further of broad. EU does not have a

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trade deal with US, with India and

old friends like Australia, the idea

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that we cannot do trade deals and

bring benefits to this country I

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think is incredibly defeatist. Are

we really saying it is a good idea

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to sell more to Ireland with five

mil in people than to China with

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more than a billion. -- 5 million

people.

Their study after study

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which shows the proximity we have

two nations goes a long way to

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determining our economic links, that

is not just the case for us but for

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countries around the world. Of

course we can do more. We have a

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trade surplus with the US already. I

have spoken to investors from other

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countries who say they want to come

and do more in the UK but the point

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is, part of the reason they do that

is because we have access and they

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have access to the European markets

of 500 million people to sell those

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goods as well. What do you say to

the genuine concerns from Nissan and

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Honda, now even the Japanese

ambassador talking about a challenge

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to the profitability of those

companies in the UK, and the threat

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they may have to leave those

operations and go elsewhere?

They

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made those threats during the

referendum and after the vote was in

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they confirmed that not only were

they staying here but Nissan was

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increasing its productivity and

activity in the UK. I think you

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should look at what they are doing

rather than what they are saying.

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This idea that we are defined by our

geography is an old-fashioned

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18th-century way of looking at

trade. In the modern age where we

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have low freight costs, the Internet

and cheap flights, geographical

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proximity has never mattered less.

We are linked by language, law,

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cultural, legal systems and

accountancy systems to the fastest

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growing con is the planet.

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I would like to ask you, you have

set all your vision for how you

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would like to see our future

relationship with the EU. How

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confident are you the Prime Minister

will outline a clear vision soon and

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it will outline with Ewels?

She's

outlined the broad principles

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already. -- with yours. Fleshing out

issues like how to make the Irish

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border were, how to make the

facilitation of customs work. This

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thing nobody has explained what we

can do in terms of customs is not

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true. The government produced a

lengthy paper talking about how we

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can do things like expand the ...

It's worth noting that both ahead of

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HMR see here and his equivalent in

the Republic of Ireland have said

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there is no need for a Customs

border, that companies can make

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their customs declarations in the

way they make their tax

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declarations. They are now

emphatically not choosing to listen

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to the experts when they say they

don't need a hard order in Ireland.

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Thanks.

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Now it's the turn of Seema

to be grilled but first,

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here's her thoughts on how

our future relationship

0:18:230:18:25

with the EU should look.

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I respect the result of the

referendum. We need to move forward

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to find a deal that protects jobs in

the economy. 43% of all of our trade

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is done with the EU. Staying inside

the customs union gives us tariff

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free trade access to our many new

partners. Issues surrounding

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immigration and sovereignty can be

addressed while staying in the

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customs union and the single market.

But on terms that we negotiate. We

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can also then trade freely with

countries the EU has deals with.

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Deals that we have helped negotiate.

And staying in the customs union is

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key to a solution on Ireland. Our

select committee found that it is

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unclear how we can avoid a hardboard

if we leave the customs union. I

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agree we need reform and greater

controls on the freedom of movement,

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but people did not vote to become

poorer. Let's leave the European

0:19:180:19:22

Union in a way that puts the

prosperity of families and

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businesses first.

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So as before you have five

minutes to give a grilling.

0:19:280:19:30

Off you go.

0:19:300:19:31

Two weeks ago Jeremy Corbyn says

said he was against staying in the

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customs union because it is

protectionist against developing

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countries, do you agree?

It's

important to balance what we do need

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to see change in terms of

international trade and support for

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developing countries. But also to

recognise the contribution that

0:19:480:19:51

being in the customs union and the

European Union has made for our

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prosperity...

Do you agree with

Jeremy Corbyn?

I think that a lot

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has been done to support

development, International

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development...

Forgive me, that's a

different question... We're not

0:20:030:20:06

talking about that, do you agree

that the customs union is

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protectionist against developing

countries?

It can be for those

0:20:110:20:14

countries that are in the customs

union. That's very understood

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economics. It encourages trade

creation and development between

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those countries, but it doesn't

preclude, as has been shown by the

0:20:260:20:31

over 60 trade agreements we have is

a European Union with countries

0:20:310:20:34

around the rolled, from having

strong relationships with other

0:20:340:20:37

countries. That's what I believe. --

countries around the world.

There

0:20:370:20:41

are lots of things we do not produce

ourselves. We have to impose tariffs

0:20:410:20:46

on oranges. In yours and my

constituencies there are not orange

0:20:460:20:51

plantations. Is it a reasonable

thing that to protect Mediterranean

0:20:510:20:55

orange growers we should be

discriminating against producers in

0:20:550:20:59

Africa, the Americas, developing

countries, at a cost our own

0:20:590:21:03

consumers?

I believe what you can do

is negotiate across the world in

0:21:030:21:08

terms of how you encourage greater

free trade and greater ways in which

0:21:080:21:11

we can trade with different nations.

That's what we do also already. We

0:21:110:21:16

had no Norma 's track record in

investing in farmers in Africa...

On

0:21:160:21:21

that point... -- we have had an

enormous track record. That means we

0:21:210:21:26

are giving Brussels total control of

our trade policies but we are no

0:21:260:21:29

longer EU members so we have no

control.

Almost 50% of our trade is

0:21:290:21:34

with the EU. Over 70% of the

companies... Over 70% of companies

0:21:340:21:42

that export to the EU, that is jobs

your constituents and my

0:21:420:21:46

constituents will be dependent on,

over 90% of that being small and

0:21:460:21:50

medium-size enterprises. They

look...

I'm not having much joy

0:21:500:21:54

getting answers to my questions. You

are going off on a tangent. Let me

0:21:540:21:58

have another go.

I'm saying we can

do both and that is what we should

0:21:580:22:02

be doing.

You think leaving the EU

but staying in the customs union so

0:22:020:22:07

Brussels controls 100% of our

0:22:070:22:13

Brussels controls 100% of our trade

but we have zero input... You think

0:22:140:22:16

that gives us more influence in

world trade than taking our own

0:22:160:22:18

voice and vote in the world trade

organisation and be able to do our

0:22:180:22:21

own deals, is that what you are

saying?

When you talk about the WTO

0:22:210:22:25

rules, if you look at the

government's analysis which was an

0:22:250:22:29

average of other studies, it shows

even in the South East if there is a

0:22:290:22:34

withdrawal based on...

I'm going to

have one more go to get an answer

0:22:340:22:37

because you are telling me lots of

interesting things which are nothing

0:22:370:22:39

to do with what I'm asking. Let me

have another go... The highest

0:22:390:22:44

tariffs imposed by the customs union

are on the items that most

0:22:440:22:51

negatively impact people on low

incomes, particularly food,

0:22:510:22:55

clothing, and footwear. They pay a

proportionately higher chunk of

0:22:550:22:59

their weekly Budget on these

commodities, these basic things.

0:22:590:23:01

They are the most badly hit. We are

clobbering poor people in this

0:23:010:23:05

country in order to hurt developing

nations. How can you come as a

0:23:050:23:09

progressive politician with a proud

history of standing up for people

0:23:090:23:13

who are underprivileged, now stand

there and defend a system that

0:23:130:23:17

forces us to give more to wealthy

French farmers than poor African

0:23:170:23:21

farmers, and forces the highest

bills to be paid by the lowest

0:23:210:23:24

income people in Britain?

I will

fundamentally disagree with you. I

0:23:240:23:28

believe being a member of the EU has

been fundamental for our prosperity,

0:23:280:23:33

for families and businesses. What

you fail to highlight is numerous

0:23:330:23:37

studies that show many British

families are worse off as a result

0:23:370:23:43

of us having had the referendum and

now the uncertainty that is

0:23:430:23:46

followed. People have already

suffered. -- that has followed.

You

0:23:460:23:55

are still not answering. Let me have

another crack at this. The countries

0:23:550:24:00

closest to the EU economically. The

countries that have opted to

0:24:000:24:03

parallel or join the single market

Norway, Switzerland, Iceland,

0:24:030:24:08

Liechtenstein, none of them is

interested in joining the customs

0:24:080:24:12

union. Why do you think that is?

They have separate arrangements.

0:24:120:24:16

They have arrangements with each

other. They have ways of resolving

0:24:160:24:19

disputes. It is like a mini European

Union in the way that they work

0:24:190:24:23

together. I believe that we could

consider approaching those countries

0:24:230:24:30

to see whether that would be an

arrangement that could work for

0:24:300:24:32

Britain.

That would mean leaving the

customs union, right?

Potentially

0:24:320:24:38

alongside how we negotiate being in

the customs union. Fundamental for

0:24:380:24:42

peace in Northern Ireland and the

Good Friday Agreement. It's not just

0:24:420:24:44

me saying that, it's the Irish

government, the head of the Irish

0:24:440:24:49

police, and the Irish people.

Time

is up. Thank you for your questions.

0:24:490:24:54

What you are advocating is not

Labour policy. Do you believe you

0:24:540:24:57

will change the mind of Jeremy

Corbyn?

You know there is a debate

0:24:570:25:03

going on in the Labour Party. That

is not unexpected, because as the

0:25:030:25:10

situation changes, as new facts come

to light, as we have to consider

0:25:100:25:13

what life will be like with the end

state post the transition, we will

0:25:130:25:18

have that debate. It is certainly

the case that the range of views

0:25:180:25:22

across the Labour Party are far less

in terms of the spectrum of what's

0:25:220:25:25

going on in the Conservative Party.

The fundamental issue is we have a

0:25:250:25:30

Prime Minister and cabinet that have

no idea about end state. They have

0:25:300:25:34

failed to reach any sort of

agreement after two days away this

0:25:340:25:38

week. And I think it is embarrassing

for us as a nation that 19 months

0:25:380:25:43

after the referendum we are in such

disarray.

Thank you both very much

0:25:430:25:47

for coming in and asking the

questions.

0:25:470:25:49

And those of you in the South

of England will be lucky

0:25:490:25:52

enough to see more of Dan Hannan

as he'll be appearing

0:25:520:25:56

in the Sunday Politics South

in just over ten minutes.

0:25:560:25:57

And you can find

more Brexit analysis

0:25:570:25:59

and explanation on the BBC website,

at bbc.co.uk/Brexit.

0:25:590:26:01

The recent collapse

of Carillion and the ending

0:26:010:26:03

of the East Coast Rail franchise

early has emboldened the

0:26:030:26:06

Labour Party to push its agenda

for renationalising key services

0:26:060:26:08

such as rail, water and energy.

0:26:080:26:10

But that's not all, the party

is looking into supporting local

0:26:100:26:12

economies by helping councils do

things like bringing

0:26:120:26:14

more services in house,

using local small businesses

0:26:140:26:17

where possible and helping to set up

new small scale energy companies.

0:26:170:26:23

So, is the plan workable,

and can it help Labour shed

0:26:230:26:25

the image that more state control

will lead to inefficiency and a lack

0:26:250:26:28

of innovation and investment?

0:26:280:26:30

Elizabeth Glinka has

travelled to Preston,

0:26:300:26:31

a Labour council the party

are championing as a model

0:26:310:26:33

for the future, to find out more.

0:26:330:26:41

When he visited in the 1850s car

Marks said industrial Preston might

0:26:480:26:53

be the staging post for an economic

revolution. It's taken 160 years but

0:26:530:26:57

he may have been onto. -- Karl Marx

said.

Preston described in the press

0:26:570:27:05

as a pilgrimage for London folk.

LAUGHTER

0:27:050:27:11

The Shadow Chancellor just dropping

in this week to heap praise on

0:27:110:27:15

Preston's new locally focused

economic plan. Nowhere is that plan

0:27:150:27:21

more visible than at the city's

trendy undercover market. Traders

0:27:210:27:26

rush to finish their new stalls

ahead of next week's reopening. The

0:27:260:27:31

so-called Preston model borrows

heavily from similar schemes in the

0:27:310:27:35

American rust belt. It installs the

virtues of keeping more services

0:27:350:27:40

in-house using worker let

cooperatives. And when it comes to

0:27:400:27:43

big contracts like the redevelopment

of this beautiful Victorian market,

0:27:430:27:49

they go not to the overextended big

boys like a religion but to smaller,

0:27:490:27:53

local firms, keeping the money in

the area. -- like Carillion but to

0:27:530:28:01

smaller, local firms. Matt Brown, a

local boy motivated by what he saw

0:28:010:28:06

as the continued decline of a once

great city, is behind this.

We came

0:28:060:28:10

to the conclusion that a fightback

we've got to do it ourselves. We

0:28:100:28:14

cannot be dependent on central

government that is cutting back on

0:28:140:28:17

money. The public sector is pretty

much buying locally from local

0:28:170:28:23

suppliers. We are looking to form

cooperatives. We're selling our own

0:28:230:28:27

energy in partnership with other

councils. Pensions are invested

0:28:270:28:31

locally. These alternatives around

the world. In American cities like

0:28:310:28:36

York, Cleveland, and Barcelona,

people are waking up to the fact

0:28:360:28:39

that we have an economy that works

for the top 1%. -- like New York and

0:28:390:28:43

Cleveland. And the rest of us are

basically fighting for the scraps.

0:28:430:28:49

Under the model the council has

spent an additional £4 million

0:28:490:28:53

locally since 2012. It has also

persuaded universities and hospitals

0:28:530:28:58

to redirect their spending towards

local suppliers. And it isn't just

0:28:580:29:03

Preston, a number of other Labour

authorities are trying something

0:29:030:29:05

new.

We have local councils now that

have set up energy companies to

0:29:050:29:11

provide cheaper, renewable energy

foot we have others running bus

0:29:110:29:15

networks. -- cheaper, renewable

energy and we have others running

0:29:150:29:22

bus networks. It is a way of getting

best value for money as well as

0:29:220:29:26

Democratic controlled of services.

Your critics might say this is

0:29:260:29:31

cuddly, cooperative windowdressing

for an agenda which, long-term, is

0:29:310:29:36

about mass renationalisation, which

you think the public would not be

0:29:360:29:40

keen on.

CHUCKLES

0:29:400:29:42

How sceptical people can be. I am a

socialist. We should share our

0:29:420:29:46

wealth. We have councillors going

out to get elected. When they get

0:29:460:29:50

elected they say they will use our

council resources locally and in

0:29:500:29:54

that way we can benefit local

people.

Is it back to the future? It

0:29:540:29:59

was revealed this week the

government may be on the brink of

0:29:590:30:03

renationalising the East Coast

mainline. Labour's frontbencher has

0:30:030:30:07

been clear about its aspiration to

renationalise not just a rail but

0:30:070:30:11

energy, the Post Office, and even

water. This weekend the party held a

0:30:110:30:16

conference to discuss the expansion

of the Preston model, but others

0:30:160:30:19

remain less convinced by its wisdom.

This idea is very popular nowadays,

0:30:190:30:25

both on the political right, people

like Trump promoting it, and on the

0:30:250:30:28

political left. But it is a failure

to understand the benefits of trade.

0:30:280:30:34

The idea you can enrich yourself

with the border. I draw a line

0:30:340:30:39

around an area. And somehow that

will make us better off is magical

0:30:390:30:43

thinking. How you become better off

is through becoming more productive.

0:30:430:30:47

These ideas are tricks for becoming

richer that involve boundaries. It

0:30:470:30:53

is an abiding fantasy, but it is a

fantasy.

The doubters may doubt, but

0:30:530:30:59

in a post-Carillion world labour is

convinced public opinion is pulling

0:30:590:31:03

in its direction.

0:31:030:31:06

Well, to help me to understand

more about Labour's

0:31:060:31:08

plans I'm joined by Labour's Shadow

Transport Secretary Andy McDonald

0:31:080:31:10

who's in Newcastle.

0:31:100:31:15

Good morning, thank you for joining

us.

John McDonnell says the plans to

0:31:150:31:23

re-nationalise energy, water and

rail would cost absolutely nothing.

0:31:230:31:26

That sounds too good to be true.

Explain how it could work?

In terms

0:31:260:31:33

of the rail Wales, it would bring

the railways back into public

0:31:330:31:36

ownership at no cost at all. -- in

terms of the railways. We would

0:31:360:31:43

bring them back once the franchises

expire. That would be considerable

0:31:430:31:49

savings of £1 billion per annum.

Then you will have to find £70

0:31:490:31:53

billion for the water industry,

nearly 40 billion for the National

0:31:530:31:57

Grid, how can that cost nothing?

Because you would be acquiring an

0:31:570:32:05

asset, you would be acquiring an

asset, you would be paying back the

0:32:050:32:12

revenues which you derive over the

businesses over time and you would

0:32:120:32:16

keep the costs down for the

consumer.

So you would be adding to

0:32:160:32:20

the national debt and you would have

to pay interest on that debt which

0:32:200:32:24

you would do out of the revenue you

get from the companies, but you also

0:32:240:32:28

say it will cost less from the

consumers that bills would come

0:32:280:32:31

down.

If you have £30.5 billion of

dividends paid out, if you run

0:32:310:32:39

things on a not-for-profit basis, it

can ensure that customers can get

0:32:390:32:44

the best possible returns.

That

profit might be good for customers

0:32:440:32:48

but it does not sound good for

paying back the interest on the

0:32:480:32:51

loans that you took out for buying

the organisations in the first

0:32:510:32:56

place?

You heard John McDonnell

express the analogy of having a

0:32:560:33:00

mortgage over a property. You have

acquired the assets, you have the

0:33:000:33:05

income derived from renting it out,

it pays the gas it and you have

0:33:050:33:09

still got it. It makes consulate

sent to hold those acids and make

0:33:090:33:13

them work for the benefit of the

citizens.

If interest rates rise,

0:33:130:33:19

after you bought that house and you

are renting it out, it is important

0:33:190:33:24

that costs can derive from the

rental income. We know that rates

0:33:240:33:30

can rise. There is every possibility

that the interest you will be paying

0:33:300:33:34

will not cover the profits and cost?

It is no different to the position

0:33:340:33:39

now. If water companies and energy

companies are financed, they have

0:33:390:33:45

those structures in place, the rate

of interest that they pay on their

0:33:450:33:50

financing is passed through to the

consumer ultimately.

I tell you how

0:33:500:33:54

it is different now, and your system

it would be passed to the taxpayer

0:33:540:33:59

presumably. If any of these

industries started making a loss,

0:33:590:34:03

who picks up the tab for that?

Have

they made a loss since they were

0:34:030:34:09

privatised? They have not, they have

made very great profits.

The reason

0:34:090:34:15

they are giving up the east Coast

franchise is because they have lost

0:34:150:34:21

£200 million.

That shows how the

franchising system is completely and

0:34:210:34:25

utterly flawed and should be

abandoned.

If the government run

0:34:250:34:31

East Coast Mainline lost £2 billion,

who would be on the hook, the

0:34:310:34:35

taxpayer?

When the government last

ran East Coast Mainline they ran it

0:34:350:34:40

at a profit, it brought money into

the Treasury. We have a good history

0:34:400:34:45

of running the railways correctly

and not having this bailout to

0:34:450:34:48

Richard Branson and Brian Souter and

the rest of them or seeing the

0:34:480:34:53

dividends and profits overseas to

the state-owned companies of

0:34:530:35:00

continental Europe. We want to put

an end to that and make sure we run

0:35:000:35:04

our railways for the benefits of the

public.

Let's look at one company,

0:35:040:35:10

Bristol energy which looks like the

kind of company you are advocating.

0:35:100:35:13

It is set up locally and has ethical

behaviour. There are no shareholders

0:35:130:35:19

so nobody is taking a profit out of

it. It has lost 2 million over two

0:35:190:35:24

years and does not expect to be

profitable until 2021. But does not

0:35:240:35:29

sound like a great deal for the

taxpayer if that is how you're going

0:35:290:35:36

to run the National Grid.

If they

are recouping the losses and they

0:35:360:35:38

have the trajectory of growth and

greater incomes, they will look at

0:35:380:35:42

that and say to successful.

The

Labour government...

They got tax

0:35:420:35:49

breaks, public capital to set them

up in the first instance, they were

0:35:490:35:54

heavily subsidised so they could go

on and enjoy the benefits of private

0:35:540:35:59

enterprise that does not benefit the

consumer or the taxpayer or the

0:35:590:36:03

citizens, however you wish to

describe it.

The consumer and the

0:36:030:36:08

taxpayer may be the same person but

they have a different financial

0:36:080:36:12

relationship with these companies.

What comes first, using any profit

0:36:120:36:17

or revenue you have used to acquire

these assets or cutting bills?

You

0:36:170:36:22

do both. If you have got that income

you can use it for those purposes.

0:36:220:36:28

Do cut energy bills or do you repay

the debt?

Those who have benefited

0:36:280:36:33

from privatisation of had the

benefit of not only using that money

0:36:330:36:37

to pay the debt they incurred to buy

the assets, they are now using it to

0:36:370:36:41

make dividend payments out to their

shareholders. It clearly can be done

0:36:410:36:46

and we want to be in that position

so it works for the benefit of

0:36:460:36:50

people and not for corporate

entities.

The shareholders are not

0:36:500:36:56

all millionaire individuals. A lot

of this is owned by pension funds to

0:36:560:36:59

which many workers pensions are

held, can you guarantee that you

0:36:590:37:03

will reinforce the Leave reimburse

them at full market value so that

0:37:030:37:12

nobody's pension will lose out?

The

market value is the market value at

0:37:120:37:16

the time these assets are required.

John McDonnell has made it clear

0:37:160:37:21

that they will be acquired at that

rate.

But not for cash, in exchange

0:37:210:37:28

for government bonds?

They are still

in that strong position of having

0:37:280:37:32

the value fully reflected. What is

happening is that not everybody is a

0:37:320:37:37

shareholder. It means there is

greater equity for all of the

0:37:370:37:42

population, not only an narrow

segment of it, surely that has got

0:37:420:37:45

to be for the benefit of everybody.

Thank you for talking to us.

0:37:450:37:50

It's coming up to 11.40,

you're watching the Sunday Politics.

0:37:500:37:53

Still to come:

0:37:530:37:54

We'll look at the implications

to the charity sector of the latest

0:37:540:37:57

allegations of sexual abuse

involving Oxfam staff

0:37:570:37:58

and the government's

promise to get tough.

0:37:580:38:00

First though, it's time for the

Sunday Politics where you are.

0:38:000:38:08

Hello and welcome to the London part

of the programme, I'm Jo Coburn.

0:38:100:38:14

Joining me for the duration

of the show, Stephen Pound,

0:38:140:38:17

Labour MP for Ealing North

and Bob Neill, Conservative MP

0:38:170:38:20

for Bromley and Chislehurst.

0:38:200:38:22

Welcome to both of you.

0:38:220:38:25

This week, Labour's Shadow Secretary

of State for Housing, John Healy

0:38:250:38:29

said the government's fire safety

testing system was in chaos,

0:38:290:38:31

and Housing Minister Dominic Raab

was failing to offer fresh advice,

0:38:310:38:36

let alone fresh action

to deal with the problems.

0:38:360:38:38

This was prompted by the revelation

that some cladding safety

0:38:380:38:41

tests will have to be

redone after discrepancies.

0:38:410:38:45

Bob, how else would you

describe it but chaos?

0:38:450:38:48

I think there is a challenge we have

to deal with because there

0:38:480:38:51

is an awful lot of change

in the technology.

0:38:510:38:53

I was a Fire Services Minister

myself in the coalition,

0:38:530:38:56

and actually we have a very rigorous

system for testing, but we have had

0:38:560:39:00

new materials coming

in and new combinations of materials

0:39:000:39:02

and certainly, we have to make sure

the system keeps up to date

0:39:020:39:05

with changes in technology.

0:39:050:39:07

Bob calls it a challenge.

0:39:070:39:13

You called it chaos.

0:39:130:39:14

I call it lethal,

potentially murderous chaos,

0:39:140:39:16

but there is some good news.

0:39:160:39:17

Dany Cotton, who is the current

Fire Brigade Commissioner has now

0:39:170:39:20

been appointed to the new post

because you probably know

0:39:200:39:23

the Fire Service has been taken

into the Mayor's office

0:39:230:39:25

so there will be a Commissioner

for Fire Safety.

0:39:250:39:27

What will that mean in real terms?

0:39:270:39:29

What it will mean is oversight,

somebody in the central position

0:39:290:39:32

will have the authority to actually

liaise with all the local

0:39:320:39:34

authorities, all the people

who do the planning work,

0:39:340:39:40

all the people doing the risk

assessment, and finally we can keep

0:39:400:39:43

up with the new technology

and we can have that central body

0:39:430:39:46

in London with the authority

and oversight and above all,

0:39:460:39:48

the bank of knowledge that we need.

0:39:480:39:50

We have not just a situation

that Bob talks about,

0:39:500:39:52

but the problem Croydon and other

places, where people have bought

0:39:520:39:55

the leaseholds of their blocks,

the cladding has failed

0:39:550:39:58

and they have now been told

they have to come up with £20,000

0:39:580:40:00

to pay for new cladding.

0:40:000:40:01

The other thing we have to do

is make sure there is rigorous

0:40:010:40:04

enforcement of this.

0:40:040:40:05

You do the testing, great,

you identify concerns

0:40:050:40:07

and enforcement isn't done properly,

if fire doors are not kept properly

0:40:070:40:11

closed, things like that.

0:40:110:40:11

I agree you need

a holistic approach.

0:40:110:40:14

Do you accept, as Sajid Javid said,

whatever the legal case may be,

0:40:140:40:17

the moral case is clear that the tab

should be picked up

0:40:170:40:20

by the freeholder?

0:40:200:40:22

So when it comes to cladding

being replaced, once the testing has

0:40:220:40:26

been done to establish

there is a threat, should government

0:40:260:40:29

pick up the tab for any

council who needs it?

0:40:290:40:33

Very often the freeholder will be

a housing association

0:40:330:40:36

and they are the people providing

affordable housing, so let's look

0:40:360:40:39

at the practicalities.

0:40:390:40:40

That sounds like a no.

0:40:400:40:42

I think it is not quite simplistic.

0:40:420:40:44

It is easy for the Mayor to come out

with a sound bite but the reality

0:40:440:40:48

is we have to make this work out.

0:40:480:40:50

Only three out of 160

social housing towers,

0:40:500:40:55

were identified as unsafe and only

three of them have had

0:40:550:40:59

their cladding replaced.

0:40:590:41:01

Is that too slow?

0:41:010:41:04

I think it is as fast

as you can sensibly go,

0:41:040:41:07

given the pressures you have got.

0:41:070:41:09

Very often you have

to decamp people.

0:41:090:41:11

I think there is a lot of work

being done and the levels

0:41:110:41:14

of risk will vary.

0:41:140:41:16

Sometimes, there are other forms

of fire protection built

0:41:160:41:19

into the buildings as well.

0:41:190:41:20

I think the key thing

is to get it right.

0:41:200:41:23

If there is immediate risk

you have to get it right.

0:41:230:41:26

Today in London this weekend,

every building which has not had

0:41:260:41:30

cladding reviewed has fire marshals

walking round it.

0:41:300:41:33

We are paying for that.

0:41:330:41:36

This is one of the reasons why

we need to get this done quickly.

0:41:360:41:39

I think Sajid Javid,

I have to say, the Secretary

0:41:390:41:41

of State is right on this.

0:41:410:41:43

It is a moral issue.

0:41:430:41:44

But we are wasting money

on keeping an eye on something

0:41:440:41:47

which should not be a threat.

0:41:470:41:49

How easy is it to

move residents out?

0:41:490:41:50

It is not straightforward as we know

from Grenfell, trying to find

0:41:500:41:53

the right accommodation.

0:41:530:41:55

Grenfell Tower burnt down.

0:41:550:41:57

I was a housing officer in Camden,

I had three tower blocks

0:41:570:41:59

on Mornington Crescent.

0:41:590:42:00

Back in the 80s when we

renewed the cladding,

0:42:000:42:03

we did not move anybody out.

0:42:030:42:05

The people had an obstructed

view from their windows,

0:42:050:42:07

but you could remove

the cladding externally.

0:42:070:42:09

You can do it and we should do

it and Camden did it

0:42:090:42:12

all those years ago.

0:42:120:42:13

Everyone should be doing it.

0:42:130:42:15

To say we have to decamp people

is very, very exceptional.

0:42:150:42:18

You very seldom have to do that.

0:42:180:42:20

What you can do is Wandsworth,

they are fitting sprinklers

0:42:200:42:23

to all their tower blocks

over ten stories.

0:42:230:42:25

They have gone ahead

and done it without waiting.

0:42:250:42:30

We are going to talk

about Wandsworth in fact now.

0:42:300:42:35

The starting gun has been fired

in the campaign for the local

0:42:350:42:37

elections in London,

due to be held in May.

0:42:370:42:41

Our reporter has been to Wandsworth,

the jewel in the crown of local

0:42:410:42:44

Conservative government

which which Labour have high hopes

0:42:440:42:46

of wrestling from Tory control.

0:42:460:42:51

This was the tune topping

the charts last time Labour

0:42:510:42:54

won Wandsworth Council.

0:42:540:42:56

# My my, at Waterloo,

Napoleon did surrender...

0:42:560:43:01

But could the local elections

become the Waterloo moment

0:43:010:43:04

for Conservatives in the borough?

0:43:040:43:07

The London Borough of Wandsworth.

0:43:070:43:09

Over the years it has got

a reputation as a testing ground for

0:43:090:43:12

the nation's political inclinations.

0:43:120:43:14

It has been a flagship Tory council

for nearly four decades,

0:43:140:43:17

portrayed as a model of Conservative

efficiency in local government

0:43:170:43:21

and it prides itself on having

the lowest council tax

0:43:210:43:23

in the country.

0:43:230:43:27

Now the Labour Mayor of London has

declared it a top target in May.

0:43:270:43:32

Winning control of Wandsworth

would have great symbolic power,

0:43:320:43:34

and the outcome could depend

on the results of just a few

0:43:340:43:38

wards like this one,

Queenstown, where housing will be

0:43:380:43:40

a key battle ground.

0:43:400:43:44

One of the biggest redevelopment

in Europe is taking place

0:43:440:43:47

at Nine Elms, including

at Battersea Power Station,

0:43:470:43:50

with the newly opened

US Embassy nearby.

0:43:500:43:54

We are on this estate a stone's

throw from Battersea Power Station.

0:43:540:43:57

Aydin Dikerdem is the only

Labour councillor here.

0:43:570:44:00

We have council estates like these

which were run down and lacked

0:44:000:44:03

investment for decades.

0:44:030:44:05

And then all around, million pound

flats are rising up around them.

0:44:050:44:09

It is completely unacceptable

for Wandsworth Council to claim it

0:44:090:44:12

has a progressive policy on housing.

0:44:120:44:14

It is a pioneer of all the worst

possible housing policies

0:44:140:44:17

which have led to this crisis.

0:44:170:44:19

And Conservatives are already

campaigning and robustly

0:44:190:44:21

defend their record on housing.

0:44:210:44:23

This council has consistently built

homes and we will build 1000

0:44:230:44:28

new homes, 60% of which will be

affordable, aimed at people

0:44:280:44:31

who live in the borough

or work in the borough.

0:44:310:44:36

We have two regeneration programmes,

one in Battersea, one in Roehampton,

0:44:360:44:40

a net increase of 3000 homes,

of which 40% would be

0:44:400:44:43

targeted at people who live

and work in the borough.

0:44:430:44:47

Our key promise has been that this

is a council that charges the least

0:44:470:44:51

amount of tax that is necessary

to run the best quality of services.

0:44:510:44:58

Labour campaigners were also

doorknocking this week.

0:44:580:45:01

They have high hopes,

partly due to the success of this

0:45:010:45:04

politician at the general election.

0:45:040:45:07

The Tooting MP increased

her majority in what

0:45:070:45:09

was a marginal seat.

0:45:090:45:12

The party gained Battersea and

increased its vote share in Putney.

0:45:120:45:15

Dining out on a low council tax

will not cut it any more.

0:45:150:45:19

Local residents in Tooting have

said enough is enough.

0:45:190:45:23

The Labour group will keep

the council tax low but prioritise

0:45:230:45:27

where they spend it.

0:45:270:45:30

But it will not be plain sailing

for Labour in Wandsworth.

0:45:300:45:33

In the last election they won

19 seats, gaining six

0:45:330:45:36

from the Conservatives who won 41.

0:45:360:45:39

Since then, two Tories

have left the party,

0:45:390:45:42

meaning that in May,

Labour will need 12 more

0:45:420:45:45

councillors to get a majority.

0:45:450:45:49

And according to the Conservative

election analyst Lord Hayward,

0:45:490:45:51

the Tories will need to work hard

to prevent that.

0:45:510:45:55

There is demographic change

going on across London.

0:45:550:46:00

The Tories have been doing badly

relatively in London

0:46:000:46:06

in the last 15 or so years,

so it makes all London

0:46:060:46:09

boroughs under threat.

0:46:090:46:10

Wandsworth is one of the totemic

Tory boroughs, very much

0:46:100:46:13

under threat this time.

0:46:130:46:18

The indications are it will be

a fight of their lives.

0:46:180:46:20

The Conservatives are working

from a strong base,

0:46:200:46:22

but the Labour Party,

if I can use the word,

0:46:220:46:25

have momentum.

0:46:250:46:27

Council elections decide

who will run your local services.

0:46:270:46:32

The ones being held in three months

in London may have wider political

0:46:320:46:34

repercussions than that.

0:46:340:46:36

Losing control of Wandsworth

or other Tory lead councils may

0:46:360:46:39

mean the Prime Minister

will face her own battle

0:46:390:46:41

to hold on to power.

0:46:410:46:43

Five or six years ago, Bob,

it would have been inconceivable

0:46:430:46:46

that we would be discussing

the Tories losing Wandsworth.

0:46:460:46:49

What has gone wrong?

0:46:490:46:52

Well, we have not done well

in London in recent years.

0:46:520:46:55

You saw that in

the general election.

0:46:550:46:59

And the fact is London has

a young demographic,

0:46:590:47:05

it tended to vote Remain

in the referendum as you know as did

0:47:050:47:08

I, and we need to make sure

we have a message for those people.

0:47:080:47:12

But the other thing I would point

out though which is sometimes

0:47:120:47:14

forgotten, Wandsworth has got

a strong local brand

0:47:140:47:16

as a value for money authority

and a very well-run authority.

0:47:160:47:19

Throughout the Blair years,

even when Wandsworth

0:47:190:47:21

was returning all Labour MPs,

the people of Wandsworth voted

0:47:210:47:24

for Conservative councils.

0:47:240:47:26

I think there is a history

of drawing a distinction,

0:47:260:47:29

so nothing is over until it is

until it is fought.

0:47:290:47:31

But how worried are you?

0:47:310:47:33

We are taking it seriously.

0:47:330:47:34

We take every election seriously.

0:47:340:47:35

I take my borough seriously.

0:47:350:47:36

Every election you fight to win.

0:47:360:47:39

But it feels much more shaky now

than it has done for years?

0:47:390:47:47

For the reasons I have just

mentioned and the circumstance,

0:47:490:47:51

but we have a strong local message

that you heard from Ravi Govindia

0:47:510:47:54

and I think that people

in Wandsworth will probably draw

0:47:540:47:57

a distinction between the quality

of their services and next

0:47:570:47:59

door in Lambeth, say.

0:47:590:48:00

You can overestimate

the power of the influence

0:48:000:48:02

of the Brexit referendum,

and the fact that London is seen

0:48:020:48:05

as this Remainer stronghold,

when it comes to local elections

0:48:050:48:07

though, that is not going

to have the impact or be decisive

0:48:070:48:10

in the way Labour hopes?

0:48:100:48:13

Bob is right to talk about the black

Asian and minority ethnic community,

0:48:130:48:16

the increase in the Remainers

and the youth vote although

0:48:160:48:20

the youth thing is not...

0:48:200:48:21

It has been proven it was not

as dramatic as it was thought.

0:48:210:48:24

If you take Barnet,

Westminster and Wandsworth,

0:48:240:48:29

those are three boroughs

which I think will go Labour

0:48:290:48:31

if we keep working on it.

0:48:310:48:33

I think Bromley, Bexley

and Hillingdon will probably stay.

0:48:330:48:35

But if you look at some

of Wandsworth, the top ten boroughs

0:48:350:48:38

when it comes to the lowest council

tax anywhere in the country,

0:48:380:48:41

bizarrely seven of them

are Labour, places like Hull,

0:48:410:48:43

Manchester and Sandwell.

0:48:430:48:44

The top two Wandsworth

and Westminster.

0:48:440:48:45

What people are saying to me

in Wandsworth and Westminster

0:48:450:48:48

is it is the priority of the council

is not right.

0:48:480:48:55

They should not be concentrating

purely on trying to reduce

0:48:550:48:57

the council tax, it should be

about quality-of-life,

0:48:570:49:00

about services and housing.

0:49:000:49:01

So you do accept that the issue

of the EU referendum will not be

0:49:010:49:04

the priority in terms

of the campaign?

0:49:040:49:06

We're not voting for that.

0:49:060:49:07

There is a kind of a mood out

there where that is seen

0:49:070:49:10

as the progressive vote

and the Conservative vote is small.

0:49:100:49:15

Will it be enough to hold

onto the tradition of Wandsworth

0:49:150:49:19

having recordly low

levels of council tax?

0:49:190:49:24

That is part of the mix but

Wandsworth is one of the boroughs

0:49:240:49:28

in London which has a weekly

collection of refuse, something

0:49:280:49:30

people regard as important.

0:49:300:49:31

And as Ravi Govindia says it has

an ambitious housing programme.

0:49:310:49:35

There are 1000 which are council

houses and new estate regeneration.

0:49:350:49:37

Wandsworth are delivering

regeneration.

0:49:370:49:40

Momentum has taken over Haringey

and have cancelled an estate

0:49:400:49:42

regeneration project.

0:49:420:49:43

Which part is actually delivering?

0:49:430:49:45

How damaging is the

issue about sourcing?

0:49:450:49:49

Obviously, we have seen Carillion

and the loss of that company

0:49:490:49:53

and the public services it provides

and Wandsworth is a big

0:49:530:49:56

outsourcer of services?

0:49:560:49:57

When it is done properly and I think

Wandsworth do it properly,

0:49:570:50:00

I think people don't worry

who delivers the service,

0:50:000:50:03

providing it is a good one

and that is where I come back

0:50:030:50:06

to the quality of things that

refuse and environmental

0:50:060:50:08

services in Wandsworth,

which are among the best

0:50:080:50:10

of anywhere in London.

0:50:100:50:11

They have a good track

record on the ground.

0:50:110:50:14

There is a strong brand

in Wandsworth and Labour

0:50:140:50:18

will struggle, despite the fact

it is buoyed by what has happened

0:50:180:50:21

in recent years to take a council

which is seen as a stronghold

0:50:210:50:24

for the Conservatives?

0:50:240:50:26

We took the seat of Battersea very

much against the odds

0:50:260:50:29

in the parliamentary election last

year, but equally, the point you

0:50:290:50:32

make about outsourcing is crucial.

0:50:320:50:33

If you take a borough like Barnet

which is the easy council,

0:50:330:50:36

they outsource everything.

0:50:360:50:37

People are tired of that.

0:50:370:50:41

They realise there

is no accountability.

0:50:410:50:44

I think Wandsworth has not

gone as far as Barnet,

0:50:440:50:46

but it has gone too far

for most people.

0:50:460:50:48

I think it sticks in people's

throats and it is not just Carillion

0:50:480:50:51

and the possibility of problems

with Capita, it is the philosophy

0:50:510:50:54

of delivering local services.

0:50:540:51:00

How much will May's

elections be seen as a test

0:51:000:51:02

of Theresa May's leadership?

0:51:020:51:05

Inevitably national issues come

into that, but I think again

0:51:050:51:08

we will have a decent message,

a good message that

0:51:080:51:09

we can put out there.

0:51:090:51:11

The Prime Minister is doing a pretty

thankless task at the moment.

0:51:110:51:15

Delivering on what was

decided in the referendum.

0:51:150:51:17

At the same time we've got

to carry on the day-to-day

0:51:170:51:20

management of the country.

0:51:200:51:23

I think a lot of people

respect her for sticking to her guns

0:51:230:51:27

around this and putting up a tough

fight under difficult circumstances.

0:51:270:51:29

Is she a hindrance, though,

to your performance

0:51:290:51:31

in the local elections?

0:51:310:51:33

Not at all.

0:51:330:51:33

I think they want somebody who is

actually getting on with the job.

0:51:330:51:36

I don't see a huge amount of

affection for her on the doorstep.

0:51:360:51:39

I think the worrying thing

is nationally the Tories are doing

0:51:390:51:42

very well in the polls.

0:51:420:51:43

They are doing far too

well, in my opinion.

0:51:430:51:46

So, why isn't Labour managing

to actually outstripped

0:51:460:51:50

the Tories in the polls?

0:51:500:51:51

In London it is.

0:51:510:51:54

It is.

0:51:540:51:55

But that's been the case

for quite some time.

0:51:550:51:57

You're not actually

improving on that.

0:51:570:51:58

You're only preaching

to the converted.

0:51:580:52:00

1986 was the best year ever

for Labour in London.

0:52:000:52:02

We didn't win Wandsworth,

we didn't win Barnett.

0:52:020:52:04

We are doing better in London.

0:52:040:52:06

Possibly for reasons Bob

enunciated and possibly

0:52:060:52:07

for the reasons you do.

0:52:070:52:08

But the Theresa May factor

is the interesting one,

0:52:080:52:11

because I don't think

that she appears to be

0:52:110:52:13

dragging the party down nationally.

0:52:130:52:14

In London I don't see a huge amount

of affection for her.

0:52:140:52:17

But I think Labour must

not assume that this is

0:52:170:52:19

low hanging fruit that is going

to fall into our laps.

0:52:190:52:22

And we need to work extremely hard

to win those boroughs.

0:52:220:52:25

And anyone in the Labour

Party he thinks that...

0:52:250:52:27

You know Jim Callaghan's thing

about the sea changes

0:52:270:52:29

happening, they are wrong.

0:52:290:52:30

Everyone associates in London

is there to be fought for and won.

0:52:300:52:33

Nobody has a free pass this time.

0:52:330:52:35

-- Everyone of those seats in London

is there to be fought for and won.

0:52:350:52:38

Nobody has a free pass this time.

0:52:380:52:40

Job, if you were in charge

of the Conservative machine

0:52:400:52:42

in London what would you be doing?

0:52:420:52:44

I'd be wanting to make sure

we ramp up our activity,

0:52:440:52:46

both on the doorstep,

we still have a lot more

0:52:460:52:49

to do on social media.

0:52:490:52:50

Now James Cleverly, London

politician, is now in charge

0:52:500:52:52

of that, as deputy

chairman of our party.

0:52:520:52:54

We certainly need to be doubling

down on average significant

0:52:540:52:56

commitment to housing.

0:52:560:52:58

We are putting in record numbers

of investment into housing.

0:52:580:53:00

But we always need

to run faster on that.

0:53:000:53:02

And we've also got to make sure

that we are seen to be delivering

0:53:020:53:06

on a pragmatic Brexit,

one that works for

0:53:060:53:08

businesses and jobs in London,

particularly because of the big

0:53:080:53:10

financial services sector

that there is in London.

0:53:100:53:18

Coming out of the single market

and the customs union,

0:53:190:53:21

how will that go down?

0:53:210:53:22

I think we need to make

very carefully sure

0:53:220:53:25

that we don't do that in any way

which prejudices the position of

0:53:250:53:28

London as the financial centre.

0:53:280:53:29

A large number of

jobs would get hit.

0:53:290:53:31

And Labour has been no

clearer, of course,

0:53:310:53:33

on its Brexit policy, either.

0:53:330:53:34

We want to get the best

possible deal.

0:53:340:53:36

If that includes, at the moment,

staying within the

0:53:360:53:38

customs union, I personally

would sign up for it tomorrow.

0:53:380:53:40

We have all heard

complaints about foreigners

0:53:400:53:42

buying up London property, driving

up prices and leaving homes empty,

0:53:420:53:45

sometimes in so-called ghost towns.

0:53:450:53:47

-- sometimes in

so-called ghost towers.

0:53:470:53:51

Luxury developments that

remain uninhabited.

0:53:510:53:53

Now the mayor, Sadiq Khan,

has proposed to give Londoners

0:53:530:53:56

first dibs on new properties.

0:53:560:53:59

But will it increase the number

of homes available for local people?

0:53:590:54:02

The Mayor says he's persuaded

a group of developers to offer new

0:54:020:54:05

homes to Londoners first before

selling them to buyers abroad.

0:54:050:54:07

Research that he

commissioned found that at

0:54:070:54:09

least one in ten new-build homes

in London were being sold abroad.

0:54:090:54:13

What people really didn't like,

I think, was homes being sold

0:54:130:54:16

overseas before Londoners,

people living in London, were even

0:54:160:54:19

aware of those homes being built

or being offered for sale.

0:54:190:54:21

The measure would apply

to new-build under £350,000,

0:54:210:54:24

of which there were 6000

sold last year.

0:54:240:54:29

These properties will be available

to Brits for the first three months

0:54:290:54:32

with Londoners getting the exclusive

right to buy in the first month.

0:54:320:54:35

It's really not much different

from what his predecessor had.

0:54:350:54:39

This is a voluntary agreement.

0:54:390:54:40

He hasn't used the full weight

of the planning system.

0:54:400:54:44

It's not going to deliver much

in the way of homes for Londoners.

0:54:440:54:47

Especially since he

hasn't built many.

0:54:470:54:49

I just very much doubt whether this

is going to be effective.

0:54:490:54:53

The actual problem we have

is people buying homes

0:54:530:54:55

that they don't intend to live in.

0:54:550:54:58

That should be the focus of policy

and that can be done

0:54:580:55:01

through planning conditions.

0:55:010:55:02

The measure won't apply

to the luxury apartment blocks some

0:55:020:55:04

activists have dubbed "Ghost Towers"

for being uninhabited.

0:55:040:55:12

There are 26,000 luxury flats priced

at more than £1 million currently

0:55:130:55:15

being developed in London.

0:55:150:55:16

And I'm joined by Lisa McKenzie,

an academic at the London School

0:55:160:55:19

of economics, who is a supporter

of the radical campaigning

0:55:190:55:21

group Class War.

0:55:210:55:23

Welcome to the programme.

0:55:230:55:24

Just before I come to you,

how would this policy work of

0:55:240:55:27

giving Londoners the first chance

to get to these properties?

0:55:270:55:30

It depends on the

mechanism for sale.

0:55:300:55:31

If you simply advertise

through an estate

0:55:310:55:33

agent, then somebody in Shanghai

or wherever can obviously buy it

0:55:330:55:35

through an agent, for example.

0:55:350:55:37

There are ways of doing it.

0:55:370:55:38

So two pronged approach.

0:55:380:55:41

First, increasing the council tax

on empty properties,

0:55:410:55:43

not decreasing the council tax

on empty properties.

0:55:430:55:44

At the moment, after six months,

you get a reduction.

0:55:440:55:49

Any property that's empty

should be doubled up.

0:55:490:55:51

And it's...

0:55:510:55:52

When the properties

are built, the planning

0:55:520:55:54

permission is dependent upon the

final disposition of the property.

0:55:540:55:56

You've got to have

real social housing.

0:55:560:55:58

Right, but this is

voluntary, this scheme.

0:55:580:55:59

So it's toothless, isn't it?

0:55:590:56:01

At the moment...

0:56:010:56:02

No, no, it's pointing

in the right direction,

0:56:020:56:04

and we start off with a voluntary

and hopefully if it doesn't work

0:56:040:56:07

we will have to introduce statute.

0:56:070:56:09

Does it have your support?

0:56:090:56:10

It sounds nice on the surface.

0:56:100:56:13

But I don't think it actually

is practically deliverable.

0:56:130:56:16

And the reason is this,

he's not building the houses

0:56:160:56:19

in the first place.

0:56:190:56:23

He had a £3 billion, given

by the government to the Mayor,

0:56:230:56:26

as a Housing pot to deliver 90,000

houses by 2025.

0:56:260:56:28

He has built 9000.

0:56:280:56:30

Is Sadiq Khan's policy actually

disguising what really needs

0:56:300:56:33

to be done, as Bob says,

which is building

0:56:330:56:35

a volume of new homes?

0:56:350:56:36

Yes.

0:56:360:56:37

Sadiq Khan's policy is just

empty rhetoric, really.

0:56:370:56:39

It means nothing.

0:56:390:56:40

We are going to allow British

billionaires to get the

0:56:400:56:48

first dibs on the 50 million

towers in the Shard...

0:56:500:56:52

Why would it be

British billionaires?

0:56:520:56:54

What he's going to do is say

that the British have got

0:56:540:56:57

first dibs on properties in London.

0:56:570:56:59

But the problem is not at the top,

the problem is at the bottom.

0:56:590:57:03

The housing problem is really

at the bottom and it is about people

0:57:030:57:06

who cannot get somewhere to rent,

well, actually, not even to buy,

0:57:060:57:10

but to rent at a reasonable

and at a real, affordable price.

0:57:100:57:12

What is a real and affordable price?

0:57:120:57:17

Because the policy,

as I understand it,

0:57:170:57:19

is for properties under £350,000.

0:57:190:57:22

Now, that is still an awful lot

of money, but it wouldn't just be

0:57:220:57:25

billionaires who could afford

to buy those.

0:57:250:57:27

It wouldn't, no, but, you know,

for working-class people

0:57:270:57:29

in London that have got,

you know, a combined

0:57:290:57:31

income of, you know, perhaps

£30,000, they are nowhere near ever,

0:57:310:57:34

ever going to get on that

property ladder in London.

0:57:340:57:38

What would you do?

0:57:380:57:44

For me it's all about real,

social housing, and not even

0:57:440:57:49

social housing, it's

about council housing.

0:57:490:57:52

Council housing, local government

owned, which means we all own it.

0:57:520:57:54

It's almost like a cooperative,

a local cooperative.

0:57:540:57:56

For me it's about council housing.

0:57:560:58:02

I don't know why Sadiq Khan keeps

coming up with these, sort of,

0:58:020:58:05

empty rhetoric policies.

0:58:050:58:08

And it does sound like

windowdressing, to coin

0:58:080:58:11

a phrase from Sadiq Khan,

when actually the two

0:58:110:58:14

things that are important,

not enough homes are being built,

0:58:140:58:15

and there isn't enough

social housing.

0:58:150:58:17

If you look at the paper James

Murray produced a couple of weeks

0:58:170:58:20

ago, the Mayor's housing adviser,

he specifically talks

0:58:200:58:23

about the right to buy

still impacting on this.

0:58:230:58:24

If you built 10,000 new homes

in London tomorrow without repealing

0:58:240:58:27

the right to buy legislation,

within two years they'd all be gone.

0:58:270:58:30

I agree.

0:58:300:58:31

A huge problem, which is why.

0:58:310:58:33

In some ways Claire Kober

was actually talking some sense

0:58:330:58:36

in the Haringey development issue.

0:58:360:58:37

We're actually talking

about different forms of tenure.

0:58:370:58:39

My council in Ealing,

we are building housing,

0:58:390:58:41

but we are building them whereby

we can allocate them through housing

0:58:410:58:44

associations where right to buy does

not apply at the present time.

0:58:440:58:47

Otherwise we are building

and we are simply building

0:58:470:58:49

for the millionaires of tomorrow.

0:58:490:58:50

In terms of who can afford to buy

properties in London,

0:58:500:58:53

what would you call an affordable

price free London home?

0:58:530:58:55

-- what would you call an affordable

price for a London home?

0:58:550:58:59

What I was interested

in, Stephen's point

0:58:590:59:00

there, is Wandsworth Council.

0:59:000:59:02

They are targeting their affordable

housing properties for people on

0:59:020:59:04

incomes of 23,000, which is well

below the London average.

0:59:040:59:07

That's what we've got to be doing.

0:59:070:59:08

I'm with Stephen.

0:59:080:59:09

We need a mix of tenures here.

0:59:090:59:15

What about taking over empty

foreign-owned properties to house

0:59:150:59:17

the homeless, Stephen,

is that a good idea?

0:59:170:59:19

How would you know

they were foreign-owned?

0:59:190:59:21

Right, is it a good idea?

0:59:210:59:22

I think taking over any empty

properties is a good idea.

0:59:220:59:30

One of the problems

in London that we have

0:59:300:59:33

is that we have is we've got

overseas buyers that

0:59:330:59:35

are not present.

0:59:350:59:36

They don't live in London.

0:59:360:59:38

Sadiq Khan's report found almost no

evidence homes bought by overseas

0:59:380:59:41

buyers were left empty.

0:59:410:59:42

1% or less.

0:59:420:59:43

I think any of us who

live in London and are

0:59:430:59:46

walking around London,

we see the empty ghost towers.

0:59:460:59:48

I'm not sure what report

this is, or where he has

0:59:480:59:52

got the figures, or what research

they've done, but I know that

0:59:520:59:55

when we walk around London

there are ghost towers.

0:59:550:59:58

There are towers that

are with no lights switched on.

0:59:581:00:02

I even know people whose jobs

it is to go in and turn

1:00:021:00:05

the lights on and off.

1:00:051:00:06

I mean, what is the spectacle

of those empty multi-million pound

1:00:061:00:09

properties in buildings

like the Shard, when the rates of

1:00:091:00:11

homelessness are still

incredibly high in London?

1:00:111:00:13

It's the starving person

pressing their face

1:00:131:00:15

up against the window

of the restaurant.

1:00:151:00:17

It's cruel.

1:00:171:00:18

Which is disgraceful.

1:00:181:00:19

Right, but what should

be done about it?

1:00:191:00:26

Lena Jeger, when she was the MP

in Camden, actually

1:00:261:00:28

used what was called the acquired

miscellaneous properties

1:00:281:00:30

legislation, whereby they used to go

and hammer things on the doors

1:00:301:00:33

and say this property appears

to be abandoned.

1:00:331:00:35

In fact Camden had

a huge amount of those.

1:00:351:00:39

I'm not so much concerned

about the ownership,

1:00:391:00:40

I'm concerned about

the occupation of the property.

1:00:401:00:46

Walk through parts of

Kensington, Chelsea, of a

1:00:461:00:48

night-time, there are no lights

on anywhere in there.

1:00:481:00:50

If a property is kept empty

quite clearly it's an

1:00:501:00:52

investment.

1:00:521:00:54

I spoke to a person the other day,

a Chinese client, who was

1:00:541:00:57

buying a flat I said

who are you buying it for?

1:00:571:01:00

She said I'm buying it

for my son when he goes to

1:01:001:01:02

university.

1:01:021:01:04

I said how old is your son?

1:01:041:01:05

She said he hasn't been born yet.

1:01:051:01:07

On that note, that's

all we have time for.

1:01:071:01:09

Thank you very much and thanks

to all of my guests.

1:01:091:01:12

Welcome back. A few minutes ago we

were talking about plans for

1:01:161:01:23

renationalisation, something which

they think is a good vote winning

1:01:231:01:29

policy in these times. Are they

right?

Nationalisation had a boom in

1:01:291:01:35

popularity. It never went out of

favour. Since the bailouts of rail

1:01:351:01:40

companies, since the appalling

things which happen to people who

1:01:401:01:43

have to get a train every day, never

mind just the south-east, it has

1:01:431:01:53

been a nightmare and costs are

ratcheting up. Even the water

1:01:531:02:01

companies are not opposing it. I

think they are pushing at an open

1:02:011:02:04

door and it is a worthwhile thing

for them to do.

John McDonnell says

1:02:041:02:11

it can be done at absolutely no cost

you would have an asset on your

1:02:111:02:16

government books, is that realistic?

No, that is the aspect of it. I can

1:02:161:02:24

see the political logic. That is the

aspect I find most confusing. This

1:02:241:02:32

argument that Parliament rather than

the market dictates the price at

1:02:321:02:35

which the acids is bought, the

signal is not just people who are in

1:02:351:02:40

those industries, the signal list to

all other investors in just about

1:02:401:02:44

everything else. If you start with

certain sectors, what will be

1:02:441:02:49

nationalised next? The impact that

then has on people who are investing

1:02:491:02:52

money in the UK is simply a dawning

realisation that what they have,

1:02:521:02:58

what they own, what they paid for

might be stolen or might be

1:02:581:03:03

discounted.

Labour were fairly clear

in their manifesto, they talked

1:03:031:03:07

about the National Grid, water, rail

and the Royal Mail, nothing else.

As

1:03:071:03:13

someone who has been paying

attention to what John McDonnell and

1:03:131:03:17

Seamus Milne think, I will take

their evidence of what they have

1:03:171:03:21

written and said over the last 30

years rather than what they are

1:03:211:03:24

trying to do now to win an election.

I would not try and extrapolate what

1:03:241:03:32

Labour policy would be over what she

must have said, he has only been

1:03:321:03:37

their communications guide for a few

years, before that he was a Guardian

1:03:371:03:42

columnist.

I'm judging people on

their record of what they have said

1:03:421:03:46

to Andrew Marr, what they have

written and what John McDonnell have

1:03:461:03:49

argued for. I simply question

whether we should accept their

1:03:491:03:57

guarantees when they are trying to

bargain their way into power.

1:03:571:04:01

Listen, nobody, it is something

which only happens to this lot of

1:04:011:04:06

Labour leaders, that if people

cannot critique the policy they

1:04:061:04:10

suggest, then critique what they

perceive to be the nefarious under

1:04:101:04:13

policy. The truth is, when we talk

about privatising industries we used

1:04:131:04:22

to talk about that, we never talked

about the outrageous bailouts they

1:04:221:04:26

would need, we never talked about

what they would do to actual costs,

1:04:261:04:29

we just talked about this in terms

of principle, do you want this

1:04:291:04:35

privatised with efficiency or

nationalised?

There problems with

1:04:351:04:40

some things that now Margaret

Thatcher would not say that was the

1:04:401:04:44

original intention. However, she and

those around her were completely

1:04:441:04:48

clear and explicit about that they

were prepared to privatise almost

1:04:481:04:53

everything. They were unambiguous.

The fairest possible reading of the

1:04:531:04:59

way Thatcher went about it is she

did not know how bad it would be.

1:04:591:05:04

She went into privatisation with the

explicit agenda of more British

1:05:041:05:08

people owning shares in industries

and when she went into it, 40% of

1:05:081:05:12

people own shares, 12 years later

12% did.

We will need to leave it

1:05:121:05:18

there and move on.

1:05:181:05:20

The charity Oxfam has said

it was "dismayed by what happened"

1:05:201:05:23

after the accusations of sexual

exploitation by its aid workers

1:05:231:05:25

and now the government has said

it's going to get tough.

1:05:251:05:28

I'm going to afford them the

opportunity to talk to me tomorrow,

1:05:281:05:31

but I'm broke clear, it does not

matter if you have got a

1:05:311:05:35

whistle-blower hotline, it does not

matter if you have got good

1:05:351:05:39

safeguarding practices in place, if

the moral leadership at the top of

1:05:391:05:42

the organisation is not there, then

we cannot have you as a partner.

1:05:421:05:48

That was Penny Mordaunt talking

specifically about Oxfam against

1:05:481:05:51

whom there have been allegations

this week. This could have

1:05:511:05:55

implications for the aid sector

generally?

Yes, and that is what

1:05:551:06:00

Penny Mordaunt said that donors

would be put off by the likes of

1:06:001:06:04

giving to Oxfam because they

1:06:041:06:14

giving to Oxfam because they have no

idea where their money is being used

1:06:141:06:16

at the end of it. The thought that

your good hard earned cash could be

1:06:161:06:19

subsidising Oxfam executives sexual

peccadilloes, at -- abusing the

1:06:191:06:21

people they are supposed to be

helping is not good. Penny Mordaunt

1:06:211:06:33

said we should all have done more.

Where this seems to be going as who

1:06:331:06:38

knew what? Furthermore, who was

happy to cover up what for the

1:06:381:06:43

greater good? If you shine a

spotlight on abuse will it kill off

1:06:431:06:47

the Holborn I'm concept of

international aid.

Oxfam does a lot

1:06:471:06:51

of good around the world.

Huge

amounts of good. Why would you want

1:06:511:06:55

to kill off a productive good

charity because of some horrendous

1:06:551:07:00

abuse going on? The political damage

for the government and we need to be

1:07:001:07:05

very careful, there are parallels

with for example the northern Asian

1:07:051:07:12

sexual grooming scandal. How much

was a blind eye turned to these

1:07:121:07:17

politically sensitive subject so the

greater good, for example racial

1:07:171:07:22

harmony, was not damaged? That will

be huge thing to unpick.

Tom was

1:07:221:07:27

talking about the damage of donors

who donate to charities but defeat,

1:07:271:07:34

the government, committed huge

amount of

1:07:341:07:40

amount of money -- DFID. Not

everyone is happy about this. Will

1:07:411:07:44

this be used as a debate about

international aid?

I think it is

1:07:441:07:48

being used as a way to reopen

debate. It should be remembered that

1:07:481:07:56

sexual predators use organisations.

They used boarding schools, the

1:07:561:07:59

church and aid programmes. They use

places with high vulnerability to

1:07:591:08:05

the sexual predators. Notably says

let's close down the church. It is

1:08:051:08:09

mistaken to say this is a taint on

the entire aid industry when the aid

1:08:091:08:15

industry by its nature would attract

some predatory behaviour. It is much

1:08:151:08:19

more important to have the

conversation about how

1:08:191:08:22

institutionally you prevent and deal

with the predatory behaviour rather

1:08:221:08:26

than turn a spotlight on the aid

industry than they should we have

1:08:261:08:30

any aid which is the wrong question

and has a completely obvious answer,

1:08:301:08:35

yes we should.

But if that is right,

if we extend that level of

1:08:351:08:39

understanding to Oxfam because it

does

1:08:391:08:45

does good work, why is that not

extended to the controversial

1:08:451:08:48

Presidents club a few weeks ago

which is now effectively shutdown

1:08:481:08:50

and people have given the money

back?

Iain, the Presidents club,

1:08:501:08:55

there are people in Oxfam who are

not using sex workers unlike the

1:08:551:08:59

Presidents club.

There were people

at that dinner who were not engaged

1:08:591:09:04

in the activity that the FDA accused

a few people.

But they were all

1:09:041:09:08

sitting there in an all male dinner

-- the FT accused people.

I am not

1:09:081:09:18

defending people.

We cannot finish

the programme without returning to

1:09:181:09:22

the topic we are always talking

about and we have always been

1:09:221:09:28

talking about, Brexit.

1:09:281:09:35

talking about, Brexit. We will hear

from some other Cabinet ministers.

1:09:351:09:38

Explain the choreography of the

talks.

The government have come

1:09:381:09:43

under pressure for not saying enough

about the decisions. Boris Johnson

1:09:431:09:50

made it clear he would make his own

speech on the case for a liberal

1:09:501:09:54

Brexit, whatever that ends up

meaning. Now we learn today that it

1:09:541:10:00

will not just be Boris, it will be a

whole is of other Cabinet ministers

1:10:001:10:05

making a useful contribution in

terms of speeches, David Davis,

1:10:051:10:09

David Liddington, Liam Fox and

Theresa May finally at the end of

1:10:091:10:13

this long list.

Not Philip Hammond

or any of the arch Remainers?

They

1:10:131:10:20

don't do Brexit central jobs. You

expect the Brexit ministers

1:10:201:10:24

themselves to do that.

I do not

agree with that at all.

What is

1:10:241:10:29

interesting is, were they always

going to do this or has the entirety

1:10:291:10:35

of government, now the dog is being

whacked by the tail, just to make

1:10:351:10:38

Boris Johnson... They have to give

him great cover by surrounding him

1:10:381:10:47

by others also making speeches.

What

a shocking waste of parliamentary

1:10:471:10:53

time this is?

At least we are

hearing from someone.

The pattern

1:10:531:10:59

with speech-making is somebody comes

out and says something and then

1:10:591:11:03

Number Ten immediately slapped them

down. You cannot listen to the thing

1:11:031:11:07

you think you are listening to

because you have no idea whether it

1:11:071:11:10

will be contradicted the day after.

Like Philip Hammond in Davos where

1:11:101:11:15

he said we would only diverged

moderately from the EU and then

1:11:151:11:19

Number Ten contradicted him.

And the

idea that Philip Hammond is not a

1:11:191:11:25

key Brexit Minister, the impact of

this is predominantly economic and

1:11:251:11:28

he is the Chancellor of the

Exchequer. Of course he is a Brexit

1:11:281:11:32

Minister.

They are quite worried

about the Remainers and they are

1:11:321:11:36

really worried about Jacob Rees-Mogg

and the hard Brexit faction who

1:11:361:11:39

could really bring down the Prime

Minister tomorrow if they wanted to.

1:11:391:11:45

And at some point, when the Prime

Minister fleshes out in a little bit

1:11:451:11:48

more detail her vision, she cannot

keep Anna Soubry and Jacob Rees-Mogg

1:11:481:11:56

happy. Both of them have been vocal

this week and then the serious

1:11:561:11:58

problem in the Tory party?

Someone

will have to compromise at some

1:11:581:12:03

point. The hardest Brexiteers have

to get real and they have to realise

1:12:031:12:07

they have most of what they wanted.

If you said almost two years ago

1:12:071:12:11

that the UK would definitely be

leaving all the key institutions of

1:12:111:12:15

the EU, definitely be leaving the

single market, definitely be leaving

1:12:151:12:19

the customs union with a grey area

at around the customs agreement,

1:12:191:12:22

that is something that I think a lot

of pro-Brexit people have accepted

1:12:221:12:28

and pocketed as a good result.

But

the Jacob Rees-Mogg faction of the

1:12:281:12:34

party sound very unhappy about the

direction of travel and they are

1:12:341:12:37

complaining about all sorts of

things?

But what is difficult to

1:12:371:12:41

work out is how much of that is

people positioning to shift the

1:12:411:12:45

argument within Cabinet, outliers

for an argument, so there is not too

1:12:451:12:53

much of a compromise. It is really

all a function of there not being

1:12:531:12:57

leadership and they're not being

someone in charge of the process.

1:12:571:13:03

This is going to have to be, we have

to confront this as a country at

1:13:031:13:10

some point and make a decision and

get on with it one way or another.

1:13:101:13:14

Well when they do, I am sure you

will be here to talk about it.

1:13:141:13:20

That's all for today.

1:13:201:13:21

Parliament's now on recess so I'm

afraid there's no

1:13:211:13:23

Daily or Sunday Politics next week,

however, do join me again a week

1:13:231:13:26

on Sunday at 11 here on BBC One.

1:13:261:13:28

Until then, bye-bye.

1:13:281:13:36

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