Browse content similar to 26/02/2017. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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It's Sunday morning and this is the Sunday Politics. | :00:42. | :00:47. | |
Theresa May still has plenty on her plate, | :00:48. | :00:48. | |
not least a battle over Brexit in the Lords. | :00:49. | :00:50. | |
But after Thursday's by-election win in Copeland, | :00:51. | :00:52. | |
the Prime Minister looks stronger than ever. | :00:53. | :00:53. | |
Jeremy Corbyn's Labour saw off Ukip in this week's other by-election, | :00:54. | :00:56. | |
but losing to the Tories in a heartland seat leaves the party | :00:57. | :00:59. | |
The leader of Scottish Labour joins me live. | :01:00. | :01:09. | |
You look at what's happening last night in Sweden. Sweden! | :01:10. | :01:14. | |
And Donald Trump may have been mocked for talking about the impact | :01:15. | :01:17. | |
of migration on Sweden, but after riots in Stockholm this | :01:18. | :01:20. | |
Should pension pots be paying for homes? | :01:21. | :01:23. | |
Plus, a political storm in Lancashire - | :01:24. | :01:24. | |
has party politics blown away their devolution deal? | :01:25. | :01:29. | |
In London, will the rise in council tax in all but four local | :01:30. | :01:32. | |
authorities be enough to alleviate the crisis in social care? | :01:33. | :01:39. | |
And joining me for all of that, three journalists who I'm pleased | :01:40. | :01:42. | |
to say have so far not been banned from the White House. | :01:43. | :01:50. | |
I've tried banning them from this show repeatedly, | :01:51. | :01:54. | |
but somehow they just keep getting past BBC security - it's Sam Coates, | :01:55. | :01:57. | |
We have had two crucial by-elections, the results last | :01:58. | :02:07. | |
Thursday night. It's now Sunday morning, where do they believe | :02:08. | :02:12. | |
British politics? I think it leaves British politics looking as if it | :02:13. | :02:16. | |
may go ahead without Ukip is a strong and robust force. It is | :02:17. | :02:20. | |
difficult to see from where we are now how Ukip rebuilds into a | :02:21. | :02:26. | |
credible vote winning operation. I think it looks unprofessional, the | :02:27. | :02:31. | |
campaign they fought in Stoke was clearly winnable because the margin | :02:32. | :02:35. | |
with which Labour held onto that seat was not an impressive one but | :02:36. | :02:39. | |
they put forward arguably the wrong candidate, it was messy and it's | :02:40. | :02:43. | |
hard to see where they go from here, particularly with the money problems | :02:44. | :02:47. | |
they have and even Nigel Farage saying he's fed up of the party. If | :02:48. | :02:53. | |
Isabel is right, if Ukip is no longer a major factor, you look at | :02:54. | :02:59. | |
the state of Labour and the Lib Dems coming from a long way behind | :03:00. | :03:04. | |
despite their local government by-election successes, Tories never | :03:05. | :03:09. | |
more dominant. I think Theresa May is in a fascinating situation. She's | :03:10. | :03:13. | |
the most powerful Prime Minister of modern times for now because she | :03:14. | :03:19. | |
faces no confident, formidable opposition. Unlike Margaret Thatcher | :03:20. | :03:23. | |
who in the 1980s, although she won landslides in the end, often looked | :03:24. | :03:28. | |
like she was in trouble. She was inferred quite often in the build-up | :03:29. | :03:34. | |
to the election. David Owen, Roy Jenkins, Shirley Williams. And quite | :03:35. | :03:41. | |
often she was worried. At the moment Theresa May faces no formidable UK | :03:42. | :03:46. | |
opposition. However, she is both strong and fragile because her | :03:47. | :03:50. | |
agenda is Brexit, which I still think many have not got to grips | :03:51. | :03:54. | |
with in terms of how complex and training and difficult it will be | :03:55. | :03:59. | |
for her. Thatcher faced no equivalent to Brexit so she is both | :04:00. | :04:05. | |
strong, formidably strong because of the wider UK political context, and | :04:06. | :04:09. | |
very fragile. It is just when you think you have never been more | :04:10. | :04:13. | |
dominant you are actually at the most dangerous, what can possibly go | :04:14. | :04:18. | |
wrong? I think that the money of her MPs they haven't begun to think | :04:19. | :04:21. | |
through the practicalities of Brexit and she does have a working majority | :04:22. | :04:27. | |
of about 17 in the House of Commons so at any point she could be put | :04:28. | :04:30. | |
under pressure from really opposition these days is done by the | :04:31. | :04:34. | |
two wins inside the Conservative Party, either the 15 Europhiles or | :04:35. | :04:41. | |
the bigger group of about 60 Brexiteers who have continued to | :04:42. | :04:43. | |
operate as a united and disciplined force within the Conservative Party | :04:44. | :04:48. | |
to get their agenda on the table. Either of those wings could be | :04:49. | :04:52. | |
disappointed at any point in the next three and a half years and that | :04:53. | :04:56. | |
would put her under pressure. I wouldn't completely rule out Ukip | :04:57. | :05:02. | |
coming back. The reason Ukip lost in Stoke I think it's because at the | :05:03. | :05:06. | |
moment Theresa May is delivering pretty much everything Ukip figures | :05:07. | :05:12. | |
might want to see. We might find the phrase Brexit means Brexit quite | :05:13. | :05:15. | |
anodyne but I think she is convincing people she will press | :05:16. | :05:18. | |
ahead with their agenda and deliver the leave vote that people buy a | :05:19. | :05:25. | |
slim majority voted for. Should that change, should there be talk of | :05:26. | :05:29. | |
transition periods, shut the migration settlement not make people | :05:30. | :05:33. | |
happy, then I think Ukip risks charging back up the centre ground | :05:34. | :05:37. | |
and causing more problems in future. That could be a two year gap in | :05:38. | :05:42. | |
which Ukip would have to survive. As I said, Ukip is on our agenda for | :05:43. | :05:45. | |
today. Thursday was a big night | :05:46. | :05:46. | |
for political obsessives like us, with not one but two | :05:47. | :05:48. | |
significant by-elections, Ellie braved the wind and rain | :05:49. | :05:53. | |
to bring you this report. The clouds had gathered, | :05:54. | :06:00. | |
the winds blew at gale force. Was a change in the air, or just | :06:01. | :06:05. | |
a weather system called Doris? Voters in Stoke-on-Trent | :06:06. | :06:10. | |
were about to find out. It's here, a sports hall | :06:11. | :06:13. | |
on a Thursday night that the country's media reckon | :06:14. | :06:17. | |
is the true eye of the storm. Would Labour suffer a lightning | :06:18. | :06:23. | |
strike to its very heart, or would the Ukip threat proved | :06:24. | :06:25. | |
to be a damp squib? Everybody seems to think the result | :06:26. | :06:28. | |
in Stoke-on-Trent would be close, just as they did 150-odd miles away | :06:29. | :06:31. | |
in Copeland, where the Tories are counting on stealing another | :06:32. | :06:34. | |
Labour heartland seat. Areas of high pressure in both | :06:35. | :06:39. | |
places, and some strange sights. We knew this wasn't a normal | :06:40. | :06:47. | |
by-election, and to prove it there is the rapper, | :06:48. | :06:49. | |
Professor Green. Chart-toppers aside, | :06:50. | :06:51. | |
winner of Stoke-on-Trent hit parade was announced first, | :06:52. | :06:54. | |
where everyone was so excited the candidates didn't even make it | :06:55. | :06:57. | |
onto the stage for the result. And I do hereby declare | :06:58. | :07:01. | |
that the said Gareth Snell Nigel Farage has said that victory | :07:02. | :07:04. | |
here in Stoke-on-Trent But Ukip's newish leader | :07:05. | :07:12. | |
played down the defeat, insisting his party's | :07:13. | :07:18. | |
time would come. Are you going to stand again | :07:19. | :07:22. | |
as an MP or has this No doubt I will stand again, | :07:23. | :07:28. | |
don't worry about that. The politics of hope beat | :07:29. | :07:31. | |
the politics of fear. I think Ukip are the ones this | :07:32. | :07:40. | |
weekend who have got But a few minutes later, | :07:41. | :07:43. | |
it turned out Labour had Harrison, Trudy Lynn, | :07:44. | :07:48. | |
the Conservative Party That was more than 2,000 | :07:49. | :07:52. | |
votes ahead of Labour. What has happened here tonight | :07:53. | :08:03. | |
is a truly historic event. Labour were disappointed, | :08:04. | :08:08. | |
but determined to be optimistic At a point when we're 15 to 18 | :08:09. | :08:09. | |
points behind in the polls... The Conservatives within 2000 votes | :08:10. | :08:21. | |
I think is an incredible The morning after the night | :08:22. | :08:25. | |
before, the losing parties were licking their wounds | :08:26. | :08:30. | |
and their lips over breakfast. For years and years, | :08:31. | :08:34. | |
Ukip was Nigel Farage, That has now changed, | :08:35. | :08:37. | |
that era has gone. It's a new era, it is | :08:38. | :08:44. | |
a second age for us. So that needs to be | :08:45. | :08:46. | |
more fully embedded, it needs to be more defined, | :08:47. | :08:51. | |
you know, and that will We have to continue to improve | :08:52. | :08:54. | |
in seats where we have stood. As we have done here, | :08:55. | :09:03. | |
we've improved on our 2015 result, that's what important, | :09:04. | :09:05. | |
is that we are taking steps Can I be the first to come | :09:06. | :09:08. | |
here today to congratulate you on being elected the new MP | :09:09. | :09:13. | |
for Stoke on Trent Central. Jeremy Corbyn has just arrived | :09:14. | :09:15. | |
in Stoke to welcome his newest MP. Not sure he's going to | :09:16. | :09:19. | |
Copeland later though. Earlier in the day, the Labour | :09:20. | :09:24. | |
leader had made clear he'd considered and discounted some | :09:25. | :09:27. | |
theories about the party's Since you found out that you'd lost | :09:28. | :09:29. | |
a seat to a governing party for the first time | :09:30. | :09:35. | |
since the Falklands War, have you at any point this morning | :09:36. | :09:39. | |
looked in the mirror and asked yourself this question - | :09:40. | :09:42. | |
could the problem actually be me? In the end it was the Conservatives | :09:43. | :09:47. | |
who came out on top. No governing party has made | :09:48. | :09:54. | |
a gain at a by-election With the self-styled people's army | :09:55. | :09:57. | |
of Ukip halted in Stoke, and Labour's wash-out | :09:58. | :10:03. | |
here in Copeland... There's little chance of rain | :10:04. | :10:07. | |
on Theresa May's parade. In the wake of that loss in | :10:08. | :10:19. | |
Copeland, the Scottish Labour Party has been meeting for its spring | :10:20. | :10:22. | |
conference in the Yesterday, deputy leader Tom Watson | :10:23. | :10:24. | |
warned delegates that unless Labour took the by-election defeat | :10:25. | :10:29. | |
seriously, the party's devastation in Scotland could be repeated | :10:30. | :10:31. | |
south of the border. Well, I'm joined now | :10:32. | :10:34. | |
by the leader of Scottish Labour, Even after your party had lost | :10:35. | :10:50. | |
Copeland to the Tories and with Labour now trailing 16 points in the | :10:51. | :10:53. | |
UK polls, you claim to have every faith that Jeremy Corbyn would | :10:54. | :10:58. | |
absolutely win the general election. What evidence can you bring to | :10:59. | :11:06. | |
support that? There is no doubt the result in Copeland was disappointing | :11:07. | :11:08. | |
for the Labour Party and I think it's a collective feeling for | :11:09. | :11:12. | |
everyone within the Labour Party and I want to do what I can to turn | :11:13. | :11:15. | |
around the fortunes of our party. That's what I've committed to do | :11:16. | :11:19. | |
while I have been the Scottish Labour leader. This two years ago we | :11:20. | :11:25. | |
were down the mines so to speak in terms of losing the faith of working | :11:26. | :11:29. | |
class communities across the country, but we listened very hard | :11:30. | :11:33. | |
to the message voters are sending and responded to it. That's what I'm | :11:34. | :11:37. | |
committed to doing in Scotland and that's what Jeremy Corbyn is | :11:38. | :11:43. | |
committed to doing UK wide. The latest polls put Labour at 14% in | :11:44. | :11:49. | |
Scotland, the Tories at ten points ahead of you in Scotland, even | :11:50. | :11:55. | |
Theresa May is more popular than Jeremy Corbyn in Scotland. So I will | :11:56. | :12:00. | |
try again - why are you so sure Jeremy Corbyn could win a general | :12:01. | :12:05. | |
election? What I said when you are talking about Scotland is that I'm | :12:06. | :12:08. | |
the leader of the Scottish Labour Party and I take responsibility for | :12:09. | :12:13. | |
our policies here. Voters said very clearly after the Scottish | :12:14. | :12:15. | |
Parliament election that they didn't have a clear enough sense of what we | :12:16. | :12:19. | |
stood for so I have been advocating a very strong anti-austerity | :12:20. | :12:23. | |
platform, coming up with ideas of how we can oppose the cuts and | :12:24. | :12:27. | |
invest in our future. That is something Jeremy Corbyn also | :12:28. | :12:31. | |
supports but I've also made it clear this weekend that we are opposed to | :12:32. | :12:38. | |
a second independence referendum. I want to bring Scotland back together | :12:39. | :12:41. | |
by focusing on the future and that's why I have been speaking about the | :12:42. | :12:46. | |
federal solution for the UK. I know that Jeremy Corbyn shares that | :12:47. | :12:49. | |
ambition because he is backing the plans for a people's Constitutional | :12:50. | :12:53. | |
Convention. Yes, these are difficult times for the Scottish Labour Party | :12:54. | :13:01. | |
and UK family, but I have a plan in place to turn things around. It will | :13:02. | :13:06. | |
take time though. I'm still not sure why you are so sure the Labour party | :13:07. | :13:11. | |
can win but let me come onto your plan. You want a UK wide | :13:12. | :13:16. | |
Constitutional Convention and that lead to a new Federalist settlement. | :13:17. | :13:22. | |
Is it the policy of the Labour Shadow Cabinet in Westminster to | :13:23. | :13:28. | |
carve England into federal regions? What we support at a UK wide level | :13:29. | :13:32. | |
is the people's constitutional convention. I have been careful to | :13:33. | :13:36. | |
prescribe what I think is in the best interests of Scotland but not | :13:37. | :13:39. | |
to dictate to other parts of the UK what is good for them, that's the | :13:40. | :13:45. | |
point of the people's constitutional convention. You heard Tom Watson say | :13:46. | :13:49. | |
there has to be a UK wide conversation about power, who has it | :13:50. | :13:53. | |
and how it is exercised across England. England hasn't been part of | :13:54. | :13:57. | |
this devolution story over the last 20 years, it is something that | :13:58. | :14:02. | |
happened between Scotland and London or Wales and London. No wonder | :14:03. | :14:07. | |
people in England feel disenfranchised from that. What | :14:08. | :14:09. | |
evidence can you bring to show there is any appetite in England for an | :14:10. | :14:16. | |
English federal solution to England, to carve England into federal | :14:17. | :14:20. | |
regions? Have you spoken to John Prescott about this? He might tell | :14:21. | :14:24. | |
you some of the difficulties. There's not even a debate about that | :14:25. | :14:29. | |
here, Kezia Dugdale, it is fantasy. I speak to John Prescott regularly. | :14:30. | :14:34. | |
What there is a debate about is the idea the world is changing so fast | :14:35. | :14:38. | |
that globalisation is taking jobs away from communities in the | :14:39. | :14:41. | |
north-east, that many working class communities feel left behind, that | :14:42. | :14:46. | |
Westminster feels very far away and the politicians within it feel | :14:47. | :14:49. | |
remote in part of the establishment. People are fed up with power being | :14:50. | :14:53. | |
exercised somewhere else, that's where I think federalism comes in | :14:54. | :14:56. | |
because it's about bringing power closer to people and in many ways | :14:57. | :15:00. | |
it's forced on us because of Brexit. We know the United Kingdom is | :15:01. | :15:09. | |
leaving the European Union so we have to talk about the repatriation | :15:10. | :15:11. | |
of those powers from Brussels to Britain. I want many of those powers | :15:12. | :15:14. | |
to go to the Scottish parliament but where should they go in the English | :15:15. | :15:17. | |
context? It is not as things currently stand the policy of the | :15:18. | :15:21. | |
English Labour Party to carve England into federal regions, | :15:22. | :15:22. | |
correct? It is absolutely the policy of the | :15:23. | :15:31. | |
UK Labour Party to support the people's Constitutional convention | :15:32. | :15:36. | |
to examining these questions. I think it is really important. You're | :15:37. | :15:40. | |
promising the Scottish people a federal solution, and you have not | :15:41. | :15:44. | |
even squared your own party for a federal solution in England. That is | :15:45. | :15:49. | |
not true. The UK Labour Party is united on this. I am going to | :15:50. | :15:53. | |
Cardiff next month to meet with Carwyn Jones and various leaders. | :15:54. | :15:58. | |
United on a federal solution? You know as well as I know it is not | :15:59. | :16:02. | |
united on a federal solution. We will have a conversation about power | :16:03. | :16:06. | |
in this country. It is not united on that | :16:07. | :16:30. | |
issue? This is the direction of travel. It is what you heard | :16:31. | :16:34. | |
yesterday from Sadiq Khan, from Tom Watson, when you hear from people | :16:35. | :16:36. | |
like Nick Forbes who lead Newcastle City Council and Labour's Local | :16:37. | :16:38. | |
Government Association. There is an appetite for talking about power. | :16:39. | :16:40. | |
Talking is one thing. We need to have this conversation across the | :16:41. | :16:43. | |
whole of the United Kingdom, to have a reformed United Kingdom. It is a | :16:44. | :16:45. | |
conversation you're offering Scotland, not the policy. Let's come | :16:46. | :16:47. | |
onto the labour made of London. He was in power for your conference. He | :16:48. | :16:50. | |
wrote in the record yesterday, there is no difference between Scottish | :16:51. | :16:52. | |
nationalism and racism. Would you like this opportunity to distance | :16:53. | :16:56. | |
yourself from that absurd claim? I think that Sadiq Khan was very clear | :16:57. | :17:00. | |
yesterday that he was not accusing the SNP of racism. What he was | :17:01. | :17:05. | |
saying clearly is that nationalism by its very nature divides people | :17:06. | :17:09. | |
and communities. That is what I said in my speech yesterday. I am fed up | :17:10. | :17:14. | |
living in a divided and fractured country and society. Our politics is | :17:15. | :17:18. | |
forcing is constantly to pick sides, whether you're a no, leave a remain, | :17:19. | :17:24. | |
it brings out the worst in our politicians and politics. All the | :17:25. | :17:27. | |
consensus we find in the grey areas is lost. That is why am standing | :17:28. | :17:32. | |
under a banner that together we are stronger. We have to come up with | :17:33. | :17:46. | |
ideas and focus on the future. That is why I agree with Sadiq Khan. He | :17:47. | :17:51. | |
said quite clearly in the Daily Record yesterday, and that the last | :17:52. | :17:53. | |
minute he adapted his speech to your conference yesterday, to try and | :17:54. | :17:56. | |
reduce the impact, that there was no difference between Scottish | :17:57. | :17:58. | |
nationalism and racism. Your colleague, and Sarwar, said that | :17:59. | :18:02. | |
even after he had tried to introduce the caveats, all forms of | :18:03. | :18:06. | |
nationalism rely on creating eyes and them. Let's call it for what it | :18:07. | :18:14. | |
is. So you are implying that the Scottish Nationalists are racist. | :18:15. | :18:18. | |
Would you care to distance yourself from that absurd claim? I utterly | :18:19. | :18:22. | |
refute that that is what Sadiq Khan said. I would never suggest that the | :18:23. | :18:28. | |
SNP are an inherently racist party. That does is a disservice. He did | :18:29. | :18:33. | |
not see it. What he did say, however, is that nationalism is | :18:34. | :18:37. | |
divisive. You know that better than anyone. I see your Twitter account. | :18:38. | :18:42. | |
Regularly your attack for the job you do as a journalist. Politics in | :18:43. | :18:47. | |
Scotland is divided on. I do not want to revisit that independence | :18:48. | :18:53. | |
question again for that reason. As leader of the Labour Party, I want | :18:54. | :18:55. | |
to bring our country back together, appeal to people who voted yes and | :18:56. | :19:01. | |
no. That banner, together we are stronger, that is where the answers | :19:02. | :19:05. | |
lie in defaulters can be found. If in response to the Mayor of London, | :19:06. | :19:10. | |
your colleague says, let's call it out for what it is, what is he | :19:11. | :19:14. | |
referring to if he is not implying that national symbol is racist? -- | :19:15. | :19:22. | |
and that nationalism is racist? He is saying that it leads to divisive | :19:23. | :19:27. | |
politics. The Labour Party has always advocated that together we | :19:28. | :19:30. | |
are stronger. Saying something is divisive is very different from | :19:31. | :19:35. | |
saying something is racist. That is what the Mayor of London said. That | :19:36. | :19:39. | |
is what your colleague was referring to. He did not. You would really | :19:40. | :19:44. | |
struggle to quote that from the Mayor of London. He talked about | :19:45. | :19:49. | |
being divided by race. What does that mean? I think he was very clear | :19:50. | :19:55. | |
that he was talking about divided politics. There is an appetite the | :19:56. | :19:59. | |
length and breadth of the country to end that divisive politics. That is | :20:00. | :20:04. | |
what I stand for, focusing on the future, bringing people back | :20:05. | :20:08. | |
together, concentrating on what the economy might look like in 20 years' | :20:09. | :20:12. | |
time in coming up with ideas to tackle it today. Thank you for | :20:13. | :20:13. | |
joining us. Thursday's win for Labour | :20:14. | :20:15. | |
in Stoke-on-Trent Central gave some relief to Jeremy Corbyn, | :20:16. | :20:17. | |
but for Ukip leader and defeated Stoke candidate Paul Nuttall | :20:18. | :20:19. | |
there were no consolation prizes. I'm joined now by Mr Nuttall's | :20:20. | :20:22. | |
principal political Welcome to the programme. Good | :20:23. | :20:32. | |
morning. How long will Paul Nuttall survivors Ukip leader, days, weeks, | :20:33. | :20:36. | |
months? You are in danger of not seeing the wood for the trees. Ukip | :20:37. | :20:42. | |
was formed in 1993 with the express purpose, much mocked, of getting | :20:43. | :20:46. | |
Britain out of the European Union. Under the brilliant leadership of | :20:47. | :20:50. | |
Nigel Farage, we were crucial in forcing a vacuous Prime Minister to | :20:51. | :20:54. | |
make a referendum promise he did not want to give. With our friends in | :20:55. | :21:00. | |
Fort leave and other organisations. Mac we know that. Get to the answer. | :21:01. | :21:06. | |
We helped to win that referendum. The iteration of Ukip at the moment | :21:07. | :21:11. | |
that we're in, the primary purpose, we are the guard dog of Brexit. | :21:12. | :21:16. | |
Viewed through that prism, the Stoke by-election was a brilliant success. | :21:17. | :21:21. | |
A brilliant success? We had the Tory candidate that had pumped out | :21:22. | :21:26. | |
publicity for Remain, for Cameron Bradley, preaching the gospel of | :21:27. | :21:30. | |
Brexit. We had a Labour candidate and we know what he really felt | :21:31. | :21:35. | |
about Brexit, preaching the Gospel according to Brexit. You lost. Well | :21:36. | :21:37. | |
the by-election was going on, we had the Labour Party in the House of | :21:38. | :21:54. | |
Commons pass the idea of trickling Article 50 by a landslide. Are | :21:55. | :21:56. | |
passionate thing, the thing that 35,000 Ukip members care about the | :21:57. | :21:58. | |
most, it is an extraordinary achievement. I am very proud. What | :21:59. | :22:01. | |
would you have described as victory as? If we could have got Paul | :22:02. | :22:03. | |
Nuttall into the House of Commons, that would have been a fantastic | :22:04. | :22:07. | |
cherry on the top. Losing was an extraordinary achievement? Many Ukip | :22:08. | :22:13. | |
supporters the Stoke was winnable, but Paul Nuttall's campaign was | :22:14. | :22:19. | |
marred by controversy, Tory voters refuse to vote tactically for Ukip | :22:20. | :22:26. | |
to beat Labour, his campaign, Mr Nuttall is to blame for not winning | :22:27. | :22:30. | |
what was a winnable seat? I do not see that at all. This is | :22:31. | :22:34. | |
counterintuitive, but Jeremy Corbyn did do one thing that made it more | :22:35. | :22:39. | |
difficult for us to win. Fantasy. That was to take Labour into a | :22:40. | :22:44. | |
Brexit position formerly. Just over 50 Labour MPs had voted against | :22:45. | :22:50. | |
triggering Article 50. In political terms, we have intimidated the | :22:51. | :22:53. | |
Labour Party into backing Brexit. How much good is it doing you? It | :22:54. | :22:56. | |
comes to the heart of the problem your party faces. | :22:57. | :23:13. | |
You're struggling to win Tory Eurosceptic voters. For the moment, | :23:14. | :23:15. | |
they seem happy with Theresa May. Stoke shows you're not winning | :23:16. | :23:17. | |
Labour Brexit voters either. If you cannot get the solution Tolisso | :23:18. | :23:19. | |
labour, where does your Broad come from? In terms of the by-election, | :23:20. | :23:22. | |
it came very early for Paul. I'm talking about the future. We have a | :23:23. | :23:25. | |
future agenda, and ideological argument with Jeremy Corbyn's Labour | :23:26. | :23:29. | |
Party, which is wedded to the notion of global citizenship and does not | :23:30. | :23:34. | |
recognise the nation state. We know he spent Christmas sitting around | :23:35. | :23:38. | |
campfires with Mexican Marxist dreaming of global government. We | :23:39. | :23:42. | |
believe in the nation state. We believe that the patriotic working | :23:43. | :23:45. | |
class vote will be receptive to that. Your Broad went down by 9% in | :23:46. | :23:51. | |
Cortland. In Copeland we were squeezed. In Stoke, we were unable | :23:52. | :23:56. | |
to squeeze the Tories, who are on a high. Our agenda is that social | :23:57. | :24:02. | |
solidarity is important but we arrange it in this country by nation | :24:03. | :24:06. | |
and community. We want an immigration system that is not only | :24:07. | :24:11. | |
reducing... We know what you want. I do not think people do. You had a | :24:12. | :24:15. | |
whole by-election to tell people and they did not vote for you and. When | :24:16. | :24:20. | |
Nigel Farage said it was fundamental that you were winner in Stoke, he | :24:21. | :24:25. | |
was wrong? Nigel chooses his own words. I would not rewrite them. It | :24:26. | :24:33. | |
would be a massive advantage to Ukip to have a leader in the House of | :24:34. | :24:36. | |
Commons in time to reply to the budget, Prime Minister's questions | :24:37. | :24:39. | |
and all of that. But we have taken the strategic view that we will | :24:40. | :24:42. | |
fight the Labour Party for the working class vote. It is also true | :24:43. | :24:47. | |
that the Conservatives will make a pitch for the working class vote | :24:48. | :24:51. | |
might as well. All three parties have certain advantages and | :24:52. | :24:55. | |
disadvantages. As part of that page, Nigel Farage said that your leader, | :24:56. | :25:00. | |
Paul Nuttall, should have taken a clear, by which I assume he meant | :25:01. | :25:04. | |
tough, line on immigration. Do you agree? He took a tough line on | :25:05. | :25:10. | |
immigration. He developed that idea at our party conference in the | :25:11. | :25:14. | |
spring. Nigel Farage did not think so? Nigel Farage made his speech | :25:15. | :25:18. | |
before Paul Nuttall made his speech. He said this in the aftermath of the | :25:19. | :25:24. | |
result. Once we have freedom to control and Borders, Paul wants to | :25:25. | :25:31. | |
set up an immigration system that includes an aptitude test, do you | :25:32. | :25:34. | |
have skills that the British economy needs, but also, and attitudes test, | :25:35. | :25:40. | |
do you subscribe to core British values such as gender equality and | :25:41. | :25:45. | |
freedom of expression? We will be making these arguments. It is | :25:46. | :25:49. | |
certainly true that Paul's campaign was thrown off course by, | :25:50. | :25:53. | |
particularly something that we knew the Labour Party had been preparing | :25:54. | :25:59. | |
to run, the smear on the untruths, the implications about Hillsborough. | :26:00. | :26:02. | |
If you knew you should have anticipated it. Alan Banks, he helps | :26:03. | :26:08. | |
to bankroll your party, he said that Mr Nuttall needs to toss out the | :26:09. | :26:13. | |
Tory cabal in Europe, by which he means Douglas Carswell, Neil | :26:14. | :26:16. | |
Hamilton. Should they be stripped of their membership? Of course not. As | :26:17. | :26:22. | |
far as I knew, Alan Banks was a member of the Conservative Party | :26:23. | :26:25. | |
formally. I do not know who this Tory cabal is supposed to be. He | :26:26. | :26:30. | |
says that your party is more like a jumble sale than a political party. | :26:31. | :26:34. | |
He says that the party should make him chairman or they will work. What | :26:35. | :26:40. | |
do you see to that? He has made that statement several times over many | :26:41. | :26:43. | |
months, including if you do not throw out your only MP. Douglas | :26:44. | :26:48. | |
Carswell has managed to win twice under Ukip colours. Should Tibi | :26:49. | :26:52. | |
chairman? I think we have an excellent young chairman at the | :26:53. | :26:59. | |
moment. He is doing a good job. The idea that Leave.EU was as smooth | :27:00. | :27:04. | |
running brilliant machine, that does not sit with the facts as I | :27:05. | :27:07. | |
understand them. Suzanne Evans says it would be no great loss for Ukip | :27:08. | :27:11. | |
if Mr Banks walked out, severed his ties and took his money elsewhere. | :27:12. | :27:17. | |
Is she right. I am always happy people who want to give money and | :27:18. | :27:20. | |
support your party want to stay in the party. The best donors donate | :27:21. | :27:25. | |
and do not seek to dictate. If they are experts in certain fields, | :27:26. | :27:29. | |
people should listen to their views but to have a daughter telling the | :27:30. | :27:32. | |
party leader who should be party chairman, that is a nonstarter. You | :27:33. | :27:38. | |
have described your existing party chairman is excellent. He said it | :27:39. | :27:43. | |
could be 20 years before Ukip wins by-election. Is he being too | :27:44. | :27:48. | |
optimistic? There is a general election coming up in the years' | :27:49. | :27:52. | |
time. We will be aiming to win seats in that. Before that, we will be the | :27:53. | :27:57. | |
guard dog for Brexit, to make sure this extraordinary achievement of a | :27:58. | :28:02. | |
little party... You are guard dog without a kennel, you cannot get | :28:03. | :28:06. | |
seat? We're keeping the big establishment parties to do the will | :28:07. | :28:10. | |
of the people. If we achieve nothing else at all, that will be a | :28:11. | :28:14. | |
magnificent achievement. Thank you very much. | :28:15. | :28:15. | |
Sweden isn't somewhere we talk about often | :28:16. | :28:17. | |
should because this week it was pulled into | :28:18. | :28:21. | |
the global spotlight, thanks | :28:22. | :28:21. | |
Last weekend, Mr Trump was mocked for referring to an incident that | :28:22. | :28:31. | |
had occurred last night in Sweden as a result of the country's open | :28:32. | :28:34. | |
Critics were quick to point out that no such incident had occurred | :28:35. | :28:38. | |
and Mr Trump later clarified on Twitter and he was talking | :28:39. | :28:40. | |
about a report he had watched on Fox News. | :28:41. | :28:44. | |
But as if to prove he was onto something, | :28:45. | :28:46. | |
next day a riot broke out in a Stockholm suburb | :28:47. | :28:48. | |
with a large migrant population, following unrest in such areas | :28:49. | :28:51. | |
So what has been Sweden's experience of migration? | :28:52. | :29:01. | |
In 2015, a record 162,000 people claimed asylum there, the second | :29:02. | :29:03. | |
That number dropped to 29,000 in 2016 after the country introduced | :29:04. | :29:10. | |
border restrictions and stopped offering permanent | :29:11. | :29:12. | |
Tensions have risen, along with claims of links to crime, | :29:13. | :29:20. | |
although official statistics do not provide evidence of a refugee driven | :29:21. | :29:22. | |
Nigel Farage defended Mr Trump, claiming this week that migrants | :29:23. | :29:31. | |
have led to a dramatic rise in sexual offences. | :29:32. | :29:34. | |
Although the country does have the highest reported | :29:35. | :29:36. | |
rate of rape in Europe, Swedish authorities say recent rises | :29:37. | :29:38. | |
were due to changes to how rape and sex crimes are recorded. | :29:39. | :29:43. | |
Aside from the issue of crime, Sweden has struggled | :29:44. | :29:46. | |
Levels of inequality between natives and migrants when it comes | :29:47. | :29:51. | |
Unemployment rates are three times higher for foreign-born workers | :29:52. | :29:55. | |
We're joined now by Laila Naraghi, she's a Swedish MP from the | :29:56. | :30:07. | |
governing Social Democratic Party, and by the author and | :30:08. | :30:10. | |
The Swedish political establishment was outraged by Mr Trump's remarks, | :30:11. | :30:25. | |
pointing to a riot that hadn't taken place, then a few nights later | :30:26. | :30:30. | |
serious riots did break out in a largely migrant suburb of Stockholm | :30:31. | :30:34. | |
so he wasn't far out, was he? I think he was far out because he is | :30:35. | :30:39. | |
misleading the public with how he uses these statistics. I think it is | :30:40. | :30:44. | |
important to remember that the violence has decreased in Sweden for | :30:45. | :30:48. | |
the past 20 years and research shows there is no evidence that indicate | :30:49. | :30:51. | |
that immigration leads to crime and so I think it is far out. The social | :30:52. | :31:00. | |
unrest in these different areas is not because of their ethical | :31:01. | :31:04. | |
backgrounds of these people living there but more about social economic | :31:05. | :31:10. | |
reasons. OK, no evidence migrants are responsible for any kind of | :31:11. | :31:14. | |
crime? This story reminds me after what happened to the Charlie Hebdo | :31:15. | :31:22. | |
attacks in Paris when also a Fox News commentator said something that | :31:23. | :31:27. | |
was outlandish about Paris and the Mayor of Paris threatened to sue Fox | :31:28. | :31:31. | |
News, saying you are making our city look bad. It's a bit like that | :31:32. | :31:35. | |
because the truth on this lies between Donald Trump on the Swedish | :31:36. | :31:40. | |
authorities on this. Sweden and Swedish government is very reluctant | :31:41. | :31:46. | |
to admit any downsides of its own migration policy and particularly | :31:47. | :31:49. | |
the migration it hard in 2015 but there are very obvious downsides | :31:50. | :31:55. | |
because Sweden is not a country that needs a non-skilled labour force | :31:56. | :32:01. | |
which doesn't speak Swedish. What was raised as the matter of | :32:02. | :32:06. | |
evidence, what is the evidence? First of all if I can say so the | :32:07. | :32:10. | |
rape statistics in Sweden that have been cited are familiar with the | :32:11. | :32:13. | |
rape statistics across other countries that have seen similar | :32:14. | :32:18. | |
forms of migration. Danish authorities and the Norwegian | :32:19. | :32:22. | |
authorities have recorded a similar thing. It is not done by ethnicity | :32:23. | :32:27. | |
so we don't know. And this is part of the problem. It is again a lot of | :32:28. | :32:33. | |
lies and rumours going about. When it is about for example rape, it is | :32:34. | :32:39. | |
difficult to compare the statistics because in Sweden for example many | :32:40. | :32:44. | |
crimes that in other countries are labelled as bodily harm or assault | :32:45. | :32:49. | |
are in Sweden labelled as rape. Also how it is counted because if a woman | :32:50. | :32:54. | |
goes to the police and reports that her husband or boyfriend has raped | :32:55. | :33:02. | |
her, and done it every night for one year, in Sweden that is counted as | :33:03. | :33:07. | |
365 offences. Something is going wrong, I look at the recent news | :33:08. | :33:12. | |
from Sweden. Six Afghan child refugees committed suicide in the | :33:13. | :33:15. | |
last six months, unemployment among recent migrants now five times | :33:16. | :33:21. | |
higher than among non-migrants. We have seen gang violence in Malmo | :33:22. | :33:27. | |
where a British child was killed by a grenade, rioting in Stockholm. | :33:28. | :33:31. | |
Police in Sweden say there are 53 areas of the country where it is now | :33:32. | :33:35. | |
dangerous to patrol. Something has gone wrong. Let me get back to what | :33:36. | :33:42. | |
I think is the core of this debate if I may and that is the right for | :33:43. | :33:47. | |
people fleeing war and political persecution to seek asylum, that is | :33:48. | :33:51. | |
a human right. In Sweden we don't think we can do everything, but we | :33:52. | :33:56. | |
want to live up to our obligation, every country has an obligation to | :33:57. | :34:00. | |
receive asylum seekers. But you have changed your policy on that because | :34:01. | :34:05. | |
having taken 163,001 year alone, you have then closed your borders, I | :34:06. | :34:09. | |
think very wisely, closed the border which means 10,000 people per day at | :34:10. | :34:15. | |
one point were walking from Denmark in to Malmo, you rightly changed | :34:16. | :34:19. | |
that so he realised whatever ones aspirations in terms of asylum, it | :34:20. | :34:23. | |
sometimes meets reality and Sweden is meeting the reality of this. | :34:24. | :34:30. | |
Let's respond to that. We are not naive, we know we cannot do | :34:31. | :34:33. | |
everything but we want to try to do our share as we think other | :34:34. | :34:37. | |
countries also need to do their share. But let me say that, if you | :34:38. | :34:41. | |
look at what the World Economic Forum is saying about our country | :34:42. | :34:44. | |
they show we are in the top of many rankings, the best country to live | :34:45. | :34:49. | |
in, to age in, to have children in, to start into -- to start | :34:50. | :34:57. | |
enterprise. Why have you not been so good at integrating migrants? The | :34:58. | :35:04. | |
unemployment rate is five times higher among migrants than | :35:05. | :35:08. | |
non-migrants and that's the highest ratio of any country in the EU and | :35:09. | :35:13. | |
the OECD, why have you not been able to integrate the people you have | :35:14. | :35:18. | |
brought in for humanitarian reasons? I'm sure there are things we can do | :35:19. | :35:23. | |
much better of course but if you look for example at the immigration | :35:24. | :35:26. | |
that came in the 90s from the Balkans, they are well integrated | :35:27. | :35:31. | |
and contributing to our society. They are starting enterprises and | :35:32. | :35:33. | |
working in different fields of society, and they help our country. | :35:34. | :35:42. | |
Why have they not got jobs, the migrants that have come in? It takes | :35:43. | :35:48. | |
time. In the 90s we managed it and I'm sure we can do it again. Can I | :35:49. | :35:53. | |
put this into some context, it is clear Sweden has got problems as a | :35:54. | :35:57. | |
result of the number of migrants that come in, whether it is as bad | :35:58. | :36:02. | |
as Mr Trump and others make out is another matter, but perhaps I can | :36:03. | :36:05. | |
put it into context. Malmo, which has been at the centre of many of | :36:06. | :36:10. | |
these migrant problems, its homicide rate is three per hundred thousand. | :36:11. | :36:17. | |
Chicago, 28 per 100,000. It may have problems but they are not huge. No, | :36:18. | :36:23. | |
they are pretty huge and I think they will grow. The Balkan refugees | :36:24. | :36:28. | |
into Sweden in the 90s did bring a lot of problems and Sweden did for | :36:29. | :36:32. | |
the first time see serious ethnic gang rivalries. There was an upsurge | :36:33. | :36:36. | |
in gang-related violence that has gone on since. The situation in | :36:37. | :36:42. | |
Malmo in particular is exaggerated by some people, there's no doubt | :36:43. | :36:46. | |
about that, I have been there many times and it is undoubtedly | :36:47. | :36:49. | |
exaggerated by some, it is also vastly unpersuaded by the Swedish | :36:50. | :36:55. | |
authorities. -- understated. In 2010, one in ten Jews in Malmo | :36:56. | :37:05. | |
registered some form of attack on them. It got so bad that in 2010 | :37:06. | :37:15. | |
people offered to escort Jews... You have had a good say and I have got | :37:16. | :37:19. | |
to be fair here, what do you say to that, Laila Naraghi? There are | :37:20. | :37:25. | |
people trying to frame our country in a certain way to push their own | :37:26. | :37:29. | |
agenda. I regret that President Trump is trying to slander our | :37:30. | :37:36. | |
country. But what about the specific point on Malmo? If you speak to | :37:37. | :37:39. | |
people in Malmo and also to different congregations, they say | :37:40. | :37:44. | |
they are working together with the authorities to improve this. I say | :37:45. | :37:48. | |
again, there are a lot of people trying to spread rumours and lies. | :37:49. | :37:53. | |
Your situation is very like the situation we had in Britain when we | :37:54. | :37:58. | |
have these situations in Rotherham and elsewhere. 1400 girls were raped | :37:59. | :38:02. | |
in Rotherham before police even admitted it was going on. That | :38:03. | :38:07. | |
happened in Britain in the last decade, a similar phenomenon. An | :38:08. | :38:10. | |
upsurge in particularly sexual and other forms of violence and then | :38:11. | :38:14. | |
total denial by an entire political class is now something that is | :38:15. | :38:19. | |
happening in Sweden. I see it in Swedish authorities and the denial | :38:20. | :38:22. | |
that comes up and the desire to laugh and dismiss Trump but he's not | :38:23. | :38:27. | |
answer nothing and that's a painful thing for any society to want to | :38:28. | :38:34. | |
admit to. There are number of Swedes who think the establishment is | :38:35. | :38:41. | |
covering up the true statistics, that you don't break crime down by | :38:42. | :38:46. | |
ethnic crimes, people are suspicious of the centre-left and centre-right | :38:47. | :38:51. | |
parties now in Sweden. There is no denial and no cover-up. This is what | :38:52. | :38:55. | |
I'm speaking about when I say people are trying to frame it in a certain | :38:56. | :38:59. | |
way. The social unrest is not because of the ethnical background | :39:00. | :39:03. | |
of the people living there but rather because of different | :39:04. | :39:07. | |
socioeconomics conditions. There is no research that shows | :39:08. | :39:12. | |
immigration... But you don't do the research into it. Swedish | :39:13. | :39:15. | |
authorities deliberately ensure you cannot carry out such research and | :39:16. | :39:19. | |
after the attacks in Cologne in 2015 it was the first time then that the | :39:20. | :39:23. | |
Swedish authorities and press admitted that similar sexual | :39:24. | :39:27. | |
molestation have been going on for years in Sweden. Is it right to | :39:28. | :39:34. | |
think, given the problem is maybe not as bad as many people make out | :39:35. | :39:39. | |
but clearly problems, given these problems, is the age of mass asylum | :39:40. | :39:44. | |
seeking for Sweden over? You have cut the numbers by 80% coming in | :39:45. | :39:49. | |
last year compared with 2015, is it over while you concentrate on | :39:50. | :39:53. | |
getting right the people that you have there already? We want to do | :39:54. | :39:58. | |
our share, we have done a lot and now we are concentrating of course | :39:59. | :40:01. | |
on integration and making sure people get a job, and also | :40:02. | :40:14. | |
on big welfare investments because it's important to remember that for | :40:15. | :40:18. | |
eight years Sweden were governed by a government that prioritised big | :40:19. | :40:20. | |
tax cuts instead of investment in welfare. It may just not work. I am | :40:21. | :40:24. | |
grateful to you both, we have to leave it there. | :40:25. | :40:25. | |
It's coming up to 11:40am, you're watching the Sunday Politics. | :40:26. | :40:27. | |
We say goodbye to viewers in Scotland, who leave us now | :40:28. | :40:30. | |
the Week Ahead, when we'll be asking if the Government is facing defeat | :40:31. | :40:35. | |
will they lose out to their north west neighbours | :40:36. | :40:52. | |
if a devolution deal's blown away? | :40:53. | :40:54. | |
I don't want them to be able to stride up to the front door | :40:55. | :40:57. | |
at Downing Street and sort of carve up the northern powerhouse | :40:58. | :41:00. | |
Safe and sound here in the studio - for now, at least - | :41:01. | :41:06. | |
are powerhouses of Lancashire's political scene. | :41:07. | :41:07. | |
Lindsay Hoyle is the Labour MP for Chorley, | :41:08. | :41:09. | |
and also known as the Deputy Speaker of the House of Commons. | :41:10. | :41:12. | |
And Peter Gibson is the Conservative Leader of Wyre Council. | :41:13. | :41:15. | |
And we start with reaction to the two by-elections this week. | :41:16. | :41:22. | |
An historic win for the Conservatives in Copeland, | :41:23. | :41:24. | |
where Labour had held sway for more than 80 years. | :41:25. | :41:28. | |
But Labour did see off the challenge of the UKIP leader, | :41:29. | :41:31. | |
and our very own North West MEP, Paul Nuttall, to hang on to Stoke. | :41:32. | :41:37. | |
Two seats just outside our patch but there was a Greater Manchester MP | :41:38. | :41:40. | |
running the losing Labour campaign in Cumbria. | :41:41. | :41:43. | |
and then the Labour MP in the neighbouring constituency. | :41:44. | :41:49. | |
We had two years and two leadership contests, | :41:50. | :41:53. | |
and the Labour Party talking to the Labour Party and nobody else. | :41:54. | :41:56. | |
Part of the challenge now is that we start talking | :41:57. | :41:59. | |
to the people and reconnecting with the voters. | :42:00. | :42:02. | |
Just because the Labour Party has been in existence for the last | :42:03. | :42:06. | |
100 years does not mean it has a God-given right to continue | :42:07. | :42:10. | |
existing, and the way we are going, we are facing an historic wipe-out. | :42:11. | :42:19. | |
Copeland was a disaster for the Labour Party. | :42:20. | :42:22. | |
It wasn't our best night but, in fairness, | :42:23. | :42:24. | |
what you've got to say is that it was a draw, wasn't it? | :42:25. | :42:27. | |
Well, we've managed to hold Stoke, but we lost in Copeland. | :42:28. | :42:31. | |
So what we've got to do is revoked on why we can win in one part | :42:32. | :42:35. | |
What I would say is it's already come out... | :42:36. | :42:38. | |
But Copeland is a seat that's been held for 80 years | :42:39. | :42:41. | |
I think you'll find Stoke's even longer, so take nothing away | :42:42. | :42:45. | |
from the fact that what I'm going to come round to say | :42:46. | :42:48. | |
is the message worked in Stoke, but obviously | :42:49. | :42:50. | |
Did it work, or did Paul Nuttall throw it away | :42:51. | :42:57. | |
What I would say is that the Conservatives were late coming | :42:58. | :43:01. | |
to the table and I think that in the end Labour came | :43:02. | :43:04. | |
Look, it was a bigger majority in Stoke than | :43:05. | :43:07. | |
Looking at Copeland, you want a good honest answer. | :43:08. | :43:10. | |
You cannot have a party that is divided. | :43:11. | :43:13. | |
But Copeland is where the message on the NHS didn't come through. | :43:14. | :43:16. | |
This is comfy territory for the Labour leader, | :43:17. | :43:18. | |
and yet it didn't work on the doorstep. | :43:19. | :43:19. | |
What I would say is that I'm quite shocked that you can | :43:20. | :43:22. | |
The fact is that people will have to go to Carlisle. | :43:23. | :43:26. | |
The sheer distance in journey, I would have thought | :43:27. | :43:28. | |
In the end, the people of Copeland... | :43:29. | :43:32. | |
What it does say is that the party has got to re-engage, | :43:33. | :43:39. | |
it's got to have a clear message that people can vote for. | :43:40. | :43:41. | |
Andrew Gwynne, one of our best campaigners, people who know | :43:42. | :43:44. | |
the area, what they were doing was campaigning and | :43:45. | :43:46. | |
The bottom line was, they were not going to vote Labour. | :43:47. | :43:50. | |
Seven years of austerity, Peter, and still the Conservatives won | :43:51. | :43:59. | |
You must have been surprised yourself. | :44:00. | :44:02. | |
Let's not think it is 10,000, or Wigan or something. | :44:03. | :44:08. | |
I was really pleased with the result. | :44:09. | :44:10. | |
We had a great local candidate who fought on local issues. | :44:11. | :44:14. | |
Lindsay talks about Cat Smith, she said, and she is quoted | :44:15. | :44:16. | |
as saying, it was a great result for Labour. | :44:17. | :44:19. | |
How can you lose a seat that has been there for 30 years... | :44:20. | :44:22. | |
Sorry, since the 1930s with Labour, and you're talking | :44:23. | :44:32. | |
about a Government in a mid-term election who have actually taken | :44:33. | :44:35. | |
And no doubt, this battle for the Labour Party will rage on, | :44:36. | :44:45. | |
but there's another bubbling to the surface in Lancashire. | :44:46. | :44:47. | |
Councils in Greater Manchester and Merseyside, with Halton, | :44:48. | :44:49. | |
have joined forces to form combined authorities. | :44:50. | :44:52. | |
That means they're given more money and more powers. | :44:53. | :44:55. | |
But Lancashire's 15 councils are divided. | :44:56. | :44:58. | |
Peter Gibson's Wyre decided not to sign up, | :44:59. | :45:01. | |
They came from China, from Switzerland, to a shiny | :45:02. | :45:19. | |
conference on the mystical northern powerhouse. | :45:20. | :45:21. | |
That's that thing that's nudging Northerners together in the hope | :45:22. | :45:23. | |
It even lead to all but one of Lancashire's 15 councils | :45:24. | :45:27. | |
of mixed colours to make one bid for devolution. | :45:28. | :45:32. | |
The difference it's made is that leaders from all walks of life | :45:33. | :45:35. | |
are now speaking to each other, and genuinely working on behalf | :45:36. | :45:38. | |
Which, to be honest, hasn't happened an awful lot | :45:39. | :45:41. | |
But, by Wednesday, were the wheels coming off? | :45:42. | :45:50. | |
Fylde Council looked set to join Wyre in withdrawing | :45:51. | :45:52. | |
So much for Lancashire's spirit of harmony! | :45:53. | :45:57. | |
We have got councils drawn together with totally different outlooks, | :45:58. | :46:02. | |
totally different political outlooks, | :46:03. | :46:03. | |
And we can't see that one size fits all will solve any more for us | :46:04. | :46:08. | |
Then rumours that Ribble Valley were dithering on devolution. | :46:09. | :46:16. | |
That is the third Conservative council | :46:17. | :46:17. | |
Especially with rumours that the Labour leader of Blackpool | :46:18. | :46:23. | |
That's enough to make our hackles rise slightly, and it is likely that | :46:24. | :46:33. | |
any mayor will not be of the same political persuasion as our council. | :46:34. | :46:36. | |
By Thursday, the storm had truly hit. | :46:37. | :46:39. | |
Doris reflecting Lancashire's darkest fears - losing out | :46:40. | :46:41. | |
In May of this year, both Greater Manchester | :46:42. | :46:48. | |
and Merseyside will have elected mayors with powerful mandates. | :46:49. | :46:50. | |
I don't want them to be able to stride up to the front door | :46:51. | :46:53. | |
at Downing Street and sort of carve up the northern powerhouse | :46:54. | :46:56. | |
Lancashire's got to have a seat at the table, | :46:57. | :47:02. | |
There are certainly a few lessons to be learned. | :47:03. | :47:06. | |
The Government says there is space in the northern powerhouse for areas | :47:07. | :47:09. | |
The question is whether they would rather focus on their own bricks | :47:10. | :47:13. | |
and mortar, which have already been laid. | :47:14. | :47:20. | |
Peter, if Fylde to pull which is look like they will, | :47:21. | :47:23. | |
the deal is dead, they going to have to start from scratch. | :47:24. | :47:26. | |
That means more economic reviews, another public consultation. | :47:27. | :47:28. | |
Is there the appetite to go through all of that again? | :47:29. | :47:31. | |
There wasn't a proper consultation anyway. | :47:32. | :47:36. | |
It was something like 0.013% response to the county's proposals | :47:37. | :47:45. | |
proposals for a combined authority in Lancashire. | :47:46. | :47:50. | |
Fylde will pull out, the ruling party has said unanimously... | :47:51. | :47:57. | |
Are you still certain that it's the right thing? | :47:58. | :47:59. | |
I was at that northern powerhouse conference, | :48:00. | :48:01. | |
and there were delegates there from China, from mainland | :48:02. | :48:03. | |
Europe, talking about how they know now what Merseyside is. | :48:04. | :48:05. | |
They know what Greater Manchester is. | :48:06. | :48:07. | |
And they are investing for that reason. | :48:08. | :48:09. | |
Is it losing out on this whole northern powerhouse thing by not | :48:10. | :48:13. | |
I've had two meetings with Chinese consortiums, | :48:14. | :48:20. | |
to do with putting together a power station in Thornton, | :48:21. | :48:27. | |
Lindsay, is it time to accept that Lancashire is 15 voices | :48:28. | :48:39. | |
It's a bit like the election result, you've got to have a united front. | :48:40. | :48:50. | |
At the moment, we haven't got a united front. | :48:51. | :48:52. | |
We got to come up with something that will make sure that | :48:53. | :48:55. | |
We talk about the northern powerhouse, | :48:56. | :48:58. | |
We've got to make sure that we're not the northern poorhouse | :48:59. | :49:03. | |
in all this, because we are not united. | :49:04. | :49:05. | |
We've got to put the case for Lancashire. | :49:06. | :49:08. | |
We got to tell people we are at one, we believe in creating jobs, | :49:09. | :49:18. | |
we believe in the future of Lancashire. | :49:19. | :49:19. | |
Why do you want to work in a clogged-up city | :49:20. | :49:22. | |
Your mayor goes up and knocks on the door of Whitehall and says, | :49:23. | :49:27. | |
"I'm Mr Lancashire or Mrs Lancashire, | :49:28. | :49:29. | |
The bottom line is, if we don't accept change, | :49:30. | :49:34. | |
because it's not what I want, it's what the Government wants. | :49:35. | :49:36. | |
So what's the solution if the squabbling continues? | :49:37. | :49:38. | |
Their own report says that they won't exist after two | :49:39. | :49:41. | |
years because of the financial Budget, we've got | :49:42. | :49:43. | |
It's about finding the right solution for | :49:44. | :49:45. | |
I think what we'll find is we will have a forced | :49:46. | :49:52. | |
marriage by government, where we will do | :49:53. | :49:53. | |
So surely we are better off creating our own marriages, | :49:54. | :49:57. | |
and let's take Lancashire forward by working together, | :49:58. | :49:59. | |
but in the best interests of the people we represent. | :50:00. | :50:01. | |
But the bottom line is that there would have been a large investment | :50:02. | :50:04. | |
coming to Lancashire, had the devolution | :50:05. | :50:06. | |
Because of you, arguably, that's not happening. | :50:07. | :50:08. | |
Well, that's not exactly true, and I agree with Lindsay that | :50:09. | :50:11. | |
there's not going to be a fantastic investment in like a sure. | :50:12. | :50:18. | |
What they don't seem to understand is that any investment that comes | :50:19. | :50:22. | |
into Lancashire comes as not an unconditional grant. | :50:23. | :50:25. | |
The Government will say, you have got to invest in this | :50:26. | :50:35. | |
and invest in that, invest in the other... | :50:36. | :50:37. | |
Do you dispute that the basic philosophy that you work better | :50:38. | :50:39. | |
and stronger as one voice, rather than 15 separate ones? | :50:40. | :50:42. | |
What I'm saying is it's one voice, isn't it? | :50:43. | :50:47. | |
We have got a Chinese consortium coming into Wyre, we've got | :50:48. | :50:50. | |
One is a ?300 million investment, the other is an ?800 million | :50:51. | :50:57. | |
So I think we've got a fantastic opportunity there. | :50:58. | :51:03. | |
And at the conference in Manchester that I mentioned earlier, I asked | :51:04. | :51:07. | |
the Northern Powerhouse Minister, Andrew Percy, if devolution | :51:08. | :51:09. | |
For us to agree devolution in a statutory test site, it must be | :51:10. | :51:20. | |
The moment you start carving up bits, | :51:21. | :51:23. | |
But these are local decisions to be taken by local leaders. | :51:24. | :51:27. | |
If they choose not to progress in a particular way, | :51:28. | :51:30. | |
If of the 15 councils, three drop out, | :51:31. | :51:44. | |
I don't know what the position will be, but it has to be across an area, | :51:45. | :51:48. | |
a functional economic area, and one which makes | :51:49. | :51:50. | |
the administration of functions and powers more efficient. | :51:51. | :51:52. | |
So once you start carving up bits, that makes that more difficult. | :51:53. | :51:55. | |
What it is is an initiative, getting people to collaborate | :51:56. | :52:00. | |
more within the North, with the aim of bridging | :52:01. | :52:05. | |
that decades-long gap between the northern economy | :52:06. | :52:06. | |
In essence, it is really how we make full potential of the North. | :52:07. | :52:12. | |
There is a definite consensus here that the key to unlocking | :52:13. | :52:15. | |
Northern powerhouse rail, this west to east, east to west connection. | :52:16. | :52:29. | |
I think you want it, I can tell you want it. | :52:30. | :52:32. | |
What I can't tell is if Chris Grayling once it | :52:33. | :52:34. | |
The business case has to stack up and all the rest of it to attract... | :52:35. | :52:42. | |
Well, we set up Transport for the North, given them a lot | :52:43. | :52:47. | |
of public money to go away and look at all of this. | :52:48. | :52:50. | |
Regardless of what the final decision is on HS3... | :52:51. | :52:52. | |
Of course, we haven't made announcements in terms | :52:53. | :52:57. | |
of the funding long-term, because we got to wait | :52:58. | :52:59. | |
It would be wrong of us to just press ahead without people doing | :53:00. | :53:04. | |
It's something that we've asked Transport for the North to look at, | :53:05. | :53:11. | |
and we've all been very positive about that. | :53:12. | :53:13. | |
Regardless of that, you have billions of pounds of investment | :53:14. | :53:17. | |
going on improving that East-West connectivity anyway. | :53:18. | :53:18. | |
The new rail franchise is bringing some of that in. | :53:19. | :53:21. | |
So we are really clear, we want to address this East-West issue | :53:22. | :53:24. | |
as the Cabinet keep doing, apparently. | :53:25. | :53:28. | |
We talk about this northern powerhouse rail going from west | :53:29. | :53:30. | |
to east or east to west, as he insisted, would that benefit | :53:31. | :53:33. | |
Lancashire, or is that just another way that you will get left behind? | :53:34. | :53:36. | |
The problem is it is about joining the two financial centres | :53:37. | :53:39. | |
What we're saying is, what about Preston? | :53:40. | :53:41. | |
What about the M65, that goes into a car park? | :53:42. | :53:45. | |
You know, basically all that does, it must be the best | :53:46. | :53:48. | |
superstore, Bounday Mill - it's got three lane | :53:49. | :53:50. | |
What I'm saying is, it's about all the links, isn't it? | :53:51. | :53:53. | |
We need a new railway east to west, or west to east. | :53:54. | :53:56. | |
We also need the M65 to go through Leeds. | :53:57. | :54:04. | |
We've got to give East Lancashire new purpose, drive the motorway | :54:05. | :54:07. | |
through, rejuvenate that part of Lancashire. | :54:08. | :54:12. | |
You know, it's not about me saying it should be all about me. | :54:13. | :54:15. | |
It's about looking at Lancashire as a whole. | :54:16. | :54:19. | |
We've been left out, and of course the minister is going to talk | :54:20. | :54:22. | |
We want to talk about joining the counties in a different way. | :54:23. | :54:26. | |
Peter, do you not think, if Leeds grows, if Manchester grows, | :54:27. | :54:30. | |
if the biggest city conurbations grow, we do become | :54:31. | :54:32. | |
this one northern hub, and Lancashire by proxy benefits? | :54:33. | :54:34. | |
I think in terms of whether it be Manchester, | :54:35. | :54:38. | |
whether it be Liverpool, Leeds, I think they are | :54:39. | :54:40. | |
They are metropolitan areas, and they are not | :54:41. | :54:43. | |
Lancashire has an upper tier authority, LCC, | :54:44. | :54:47. | |
which I think both of us have our doubts about. | :54:48. | :54:56. | |
So I think we need to look at it that way. | :54:57. | :55:01. | |
When the Government recently told us to "get Britain building," | :55:02. | :55:07. | |
the response from some was, "we will - but show us the money." | :55:08. | :55:10. | |
Among the Government's proposals were plans to attract major | :55:11. | :55:12. | |
institutional investors - things like pension providers - | :55:13. | :55:14. | |
But it appears one of our public pension pots is already doing | :55:15. | :55:22. | |
just that and they have plenty of cash to play with, | :55:23. | :55:25. | |
We know there's a housing shortage and we're told that tens | :55:26. | :55:32. | |
of thousands of new homes are needed in the north west every year. | :55:33. | :55:35. | |
But where are the funds to pay for them going to come from? | :55:36. | :55:39. | |
This rented house in Gorton in Manchester was built using money | :55:40. | :55:42. | |
from the Greater Manchester public sector pension fund. | :55:43. | :55:46. | |
It's one of 240 that were part of a pilot to establish | :55:47. | :55:50. | |
whether affordable housing could be a worthwhile investment. | :55:51. | :55:54. | |
We didn't want to rent extortionate Lee high prices | :55:55. | :55:57. | |
in Manchester city centre, we wanted somewhere | :55:58. | :55:59. | |
that was close enough to commute into for the weekends, | :56:00. | :56:01. | |
or whenever we needed to go in there. | :56:02. | :56:05. | |
They were completed 18 months ago, | :56:06. | :56:06. | |
with half for sale and half for rent. | :56:07. | :56:08. | |
The homes sold out quickly while the landlord managing | :56:09. | :56:13. | |
the rented properties had no problems filling them. | :56:14. | :56:15. | |
We had tenants lined up to occupy the properties | :56:16. | :56:21. | |
as soon as they became available, really. | :56:22. | :56:23. | |
Under the model for the initial developments, including | :56:24. | :56:25. | |
this one in Wythenshawe, Greater Manchester | :56:26. | :56:27. | |
councils to give them patches of land at no initial cost. | :56:28. | :56:33. | |
In return, they'll be helped to meet the need for new houses | :56:34. | :56:36. | |
and they'll receive income from council tax. | :56:37. | :56:39. | |
The pension fund is hoping to build a further 750 homes | :56:40. | :56:42. | |
It really gives us a good return, and a safe return, | :56:43. | :56:56. | |
That's exactly what pension funds are | :56:57. | :56:59. | |
I know that other pension funds are looking at the | :57:00. | :57:05. | |
Greater Manchester model, because they are | :57:06. | :57:07. | |
seeing the success of the model. | :57:08. | :57:12. | |
Yes, it is creating money for the Greater Manchester pension fund | :57:13. | :57:15. | |
but more importantly, it's creating new affordable homes for people to | :57:16. | :57:18. | |
live in in Greater Manchester and the north-west. | :57:19. | :57:20. | |
The Greater Manchester pension pot is worth ?21 billion | :57:21. | :57:22. | |
and it's looking to pool its money with that of the pension funds | :57:23. | :57:25. | |
Between them, they're worth ?42 billion. | :57:26. | :57:28. | |
The intention is to double the amount they currently put | :57:29. | :57:32. | |
into infrastructure, which includes house building, | :57:33. | :57:34. | |
and that could see a further ?3 billion | :57:35. | :57:37. | |
Pensions are portfolio of investments. | :57:38. | :57:40. | |
Some of them are in high risk my returns. | :57:41. | :57:51. | |
Investment housing can return more than a bond can, a couple of | :57:52. | :57:55. | |
So it's a perfectly valid part of that mix. | :57:56. | :58:00. | |
This site in North Manchester is among those earmarked | :58:01. | :58:02. | |
for the next phase of developments, with a prediction that sites | :58:03. | :58:05. | |
The pension funds building 1,000 houses won't solve | :58:06. | :58:08. | |
the housing crisis but it could be the start of them playing | :58:09. | :58:11. | |
an increasing role in building the region's future. | :58:12. | :58:12. | |
So that's one way of addressing the housing crisis. | :58:13. | :58:16. | |
In Lancashire, it was said in 2009 there were almost 40,000 | :58:17. | :58:19. | |
Would you be happy for social housing to be built in Wyre? | :58:20. | :58:32. | |
We have an arrangement in Wyre, where when a planning | :58:33. | :58:34. | |
application comes in, we have 30% which it | :58:35. | :58:37. | |
Is that not part of the reason you resisted devolution? | :58:38. | :58:42. | |
So, in theory, 30% will be social housing, | :58:43. | :58:48. | |
Developers build houses, we do not build houses. | :58:49. | :58:57. | |
What happens is if the 30% is not viable on a site, | :58:58. | :59:01. | |
then we look at that with the developer and see | :59:02. | :59:08. | |
We have been talking housing now for decades, | :59:09. | :59:12. | |
We have still got tens of thousands of people... | :59:13. | :59:18. | |
The reality is, we've got to encourage local | :59:19. | :59:20. | |
They used to build good quality houses, they were great landlords, | :59:21. | :59:26. | |
and the tenant understood where they were standing | :59:27. | :59:28. | |
What if every council leader says, "I just don't want to"? | :59:29. | :59:33. | |
If we said to Peter, look, you've got some council owned land, | :59:34. | :59:36. | |
here is government money, would you build some houses? | :59:37. | :59:38. | |
When the Government offer me money, I will take a different view on it. | :59:39. | :59:49. | |
Are you not concerned that you have an ageing population? | :59:50. | :59:54. | |
Are you not concerned that young people will not be able to afford | :59:55. | :59:57. | |
I think part of the problem with the housing situation | :59:58. | :00:03. | |
is that the Government look at the south-east and London | :00:04. | :00:13. | |
and think that's going to be the same situation throughout | :00:14. | :00:15. | |
In the north-west, we don't have that problem. | :00:16. | :00:18. | |
We used to have something called a regional spatial strategy. | :00:19. | :00:28. | |
but it is an issue in other parts of Lancashire. | :00:29. | :00:35. | |
With a roundup of what else has been going on this week, | :00:36. | :00:39. | |
A man from Manchester blew himself up in a suicide attack in Mosul. | :00:40. | :00:45. | |
Jamal al-Harith - originally known as Ronald Fiddler - | :00:46. | :00:48. | |
had been paid compensation by the Government | :00:49. | :00:52. | |
after his release from Guantanamo Bay. | :00:53. | :00:55. | |
It shows that the red flagging of people who have | :00:56. | :00:58. | |
terrorist connections is not as robust as it should be. | :00:59. | :01:01. | |
Concerns over car-making at Ellesmere Port - | :01:02. | :01:06. | |
Peugeot wants to buy Vauxhall and one of its UK plants could go. | :01:07. | :01:11. | |
The Prime Minister is to hold talks with Peugeot's Chief Exec. | :01:12. | :01:15. | |
There'll be a Manx Tax on sugary drinks | :01:16. | :01:18. | |
Tynwald is also asking for suggestions on how to cut | :01:19. | :01:22. | |
28,000 drivers have been fined for using a new bus lane | :01:23. | :01:28. | |
Lancashire County Council says the signs are clear, | :01:29. | :01:33. | |
And Barrow's getting ?25 million to build | :01:34. | :01:38. | |
the new Dreadnought-class nuclear submarines. | :01:39. | :01:46. | |
Before we go, Lindsay, I just want to ask you, | :01:47. | :01:48. | |
as Deputy Speaker of the House, you have to go through all | :01:49. | :01:51. | |
Obviously, it has been very interesting. | :01:52. | :01:57. | |
Every morning, we've gone in and sat down, | :01:58. | :02:03. | |
gone through all of the amendments that will be dealt with on the floor | :02:04. | :02:06. | |
of the House, that's my job as Chairman of Ways and Means. | :02:07. | :02:09. | |
So it's been really interesting, but it's been a tough time. | :02:10. | :02:12. | |
What it's trying to do is make sure that everybody gets a voice, | :02:13. | :02:15. | |
so not everybody can have everything they want. | :02:16. | :02:17. | |
As long as they get something, that is what I've tried to do, | :02:18. | :02:20. | |
make sure that nobody felt they were left out. | :02:21. | :02:22. | |
It's a very important issue for everybody, | :02:23. | :02:24. | |
and I wanted everybody to have a say, at least | :02:25. | :02:26. | |
have a vote, and hopefully try and keep them semi-pleased. | :02:27. | :02:29. | |
Of course, part of that was that we did have a little dispute. | :02:30. | :02:32. | |
There were one or two incidents on the way. | :02:33. | :02:34. | |
Of course, we've got the Great Reform Bill, | :02:35. | :02:37. | |
that's going to take a lot of time up in the near future, | :02:38. | :02:41. | |
We don't know how long will be dealing with that. | :02:42. | :02:45. | |
It certainly felt like everybody had a say, everybody managed | :02:46. | :02:47. | |
Do you think we got the next Speaker of the House here, Peter? | :02:48. | :02:51. | |
What you didn't mention is that Lindsay also | :02:52. | :02:56. | |
chairs the Budget speech, which he does fantastically well, | :02:57. | :02:59. | |
So if Speaker Bercow does stand down next year, | :03:00. | :03:04. | |
like he promised to do, then this is the guy | :03:05. | :03:08. | |
This is the guy I would be voting for. | :03:09. | :03:12. | |
Obviously, like everything, let's wait and see what happens. | :03:13. | :03:20. | |
We will keep our eyes closely on that. | :03:21. | :03:27. | |
That's it from us - my thanks to Peter Gibson and Lindsay Hoyle. | :03:28. | :03:30. | |
Angela Eagle will be among the guests next week. | :03:31. | :03:33. | |
Now I'll hand you back to Andrew in London. | :03:34. | :03:38. | |
Welcome back. Article 50, which triggers the beginning of Britain | :03:39. | :03:58. | |
leaving the European Union and start negotiations, is winding its way | :03:59. | :04:02. | |
through the Lords in this coming week. Tarzan has made an | :04:03. | :04:06. | |
intervention, let's just see the headline from the Mail on Sunday. | :04:07. | :04:13. | |
Lord Heseltine, Michael Heseltine, my fightback starts here, he is | :04:14. | :04:17. | |
going to defy Theresa May. I divide one Prime Minister over the poll | :04:18. | :04:21. | |
tax, I'm ready to defy this one in the Lords over Brexit. There we go, | :04:22. | :04:25. | |
that's going to happen this week. We will see how far he gets. I don't | :04:26. | :04:31. | |
think he will get very far, I don't think Loyalist Tory MPs and | :04:32. | :04:35. | |
Brexiteers are quaking in their boots at the prospect of a rebellion | :04:36. | :04:40. | |
led by Michael Heseltine. I sense that many Tory MPs are already | :04:41. | :04:45. | |
moving on to the next question about Brexit, and the discussion over how | :04:46. | :04:49. | |
much it will cost us to come out. The fact they are already debating | :04:50. | :04:55. | |
that suggests to me they feel things will go fairly smoothly in terms of | :04:56. | :05:00. | |
the legislation. When I spoke to the Labour leader in the Lords last week | :05:01. | :05:05. | |
on the daily politics, she said she was going to push hard for the kind | :05:06. | :05:08. | |
of amendments Lord has all-time is talking about and they would bring | :05:09. | :05:17. | |
that back to the Commons. But if the Commons pinged it back to the Lords | :05:18. | :05:20. | |
with the amendments taken out, she made it clear that was the end of | :05:21. | :05:27. | |
it. Is that right? That's about right. This is probably really a | :05:28. | :05:32. | |
large destruction. There will be to micro issues that come up in the | :05:33. | :05:37. | |
Lords, one is on the future of EU nationals, that could be voted on as | :05:38. | :05:42. | |
soon as this Wednesday, and then the main vote in the Lords on a week on | :05:43. | :05:46. | |
Tuesday, when there is this question of what sort of vote will MPs and | :05:47. | :05:50. | |
peers get at the end of the Brexit process and that is what has | :05:51. | :05:54. | |
all-time is talking about. He wants to make sure there are guarantees in | :05:55. | :05:59. | |
place. The kind of things peers are looking for are pretty moderate and | :06:00. | :06:03. | |
the Government have hinted they could deliver on both of them | :06:04. | :06:09. | |
already. But they are still not prepared... Amber Rudd said they | :06:10. | :06:13. | |
were not prepared... They may say yes we are going to do that but they | :06:14. | :06:17. | |
won't allow whatever that is to be enshrined in the legislation. The | :06:18. | :06:22. | |
question is whether we think this is dancing on the head of a pin. The | :06:23. | :06:26. | |
Government have already promised something in the House of Commons, | :06:27. | :06:29. | |
but will they write it down, I don't think that's the biggest problem in | :06:30. | :06:34. | |
the world. In a sense this is a great magicians trick by Theresa May | :06:35. | :06:37. | |
because it is not the most important thing. The most important thing in | :06:38. | :06:44. | |
Brexit is going on in those committees behind closed doors when | :06:45. | :06:46. | |
they are trying to work out what the next migration system is for Britain | :06:47. | :06:50. | |
and there are some interesting, indeed toxic proposals, but at the | :06:51. | :06:54. | |
moment Downing Street are happy to let us talk about the constitutional | :06:55. | :06:58. | |
propriety of what MPs are doing over the next eight days. It seems to me | :06:59. | :07:05. | |
the irony is that if we had a second chamber that can claim some kind of | :07:06. | :07:09. | |
democratic legitimacy, which the one we have cannot, it would be able to | :07:10. | :07:14. | |
cause the Government more trouble on this, it would be more robust. | :07:15. | :07:18. | |
Absolutely. I saw the interview we did with the Labour Leader of the | :07:19. | :07:26. | |
Lords, they are very conscious, of the fact they are not elected and | :07:27. | :07:31. | |
have limited powers. She was clear to you they would not impede the | :07:32. | :07:34. | |
timetable for triggering Article 50 so we might get a bit of theatre, | :07:35. | :07:39. | |
Michael Heseltine might deliver a brilliant speech. It is interesting | :07:40. | :07:45. | |
that Euroscepticism gun under Margaret Thatcher in the Tory party | :07:46. | :07:50. | |
but two offer senior ministers Ken Clarke and Michael Heseltine are the | :07:51. | :07:54. | |
most prominent opponents now but they will change nothing at this | :07:55. | :07:58. | |
point. She will have the space to trigger Article 50 within her | :07:59. | :08:03. | |
timetable. Let's move on. Let me show you a picture tweeted by Nigel | :08:04. | :08:05. | |
Farage. That is Nigel Farage and a small | :08:06. | :08:15. | |
group of people having dinner, and within that small group of people is | :08:16. | :08:19. | |
the president of the United States, and it was taken in the last couple | :08:20. | :08:24. | |
of days. This would suggest that if he can command that amount of the | :08:25. | :08:30. | |
President's time in a small group of people, then he's actually rather | :08:31. | :08:34. | |
close to the president. Make no mistake about it, Nigel Farage is | :08:35. | :08:39. | |
now to and fro Washington more regularly than perhaps he is here. | :08:40. | :08:46. | |
Hopefully that LBC programme is recorded over in the state. He's not | :08:47. | :08:52. | |
only close to the president but to a series of people within the | :08:53. | :08:55. | |
administration. That relationship there is a remarkable one and one to | :08:56. | :09:00. | |
keep an eye on. Will the main government be tempted to tap into | :09:01. | :09:04. | |
that relationship at any time or is it just seething with anger? You can | :09:05. | :09:11. | |
feel a ripple of discontentment over this. We are in the middle of | :09:12. | :09:17. | |
negotiating the state visit and the sort of pomp and circumstance and | :09:18. | :09:21. | |
what kind of greeting Britain should give Donald Trump when he comes over | :09:22. | :09:25. | |
later in the year. There is a great deal of neurotic thought going into | :09:26. | :09:29. | |
what that should look like, but one of the most interesting things about | :09:30. | :09:32. | |
our relationship with Donald Trump is that there is a nervousness among | :09:33. | :09:36. | |
some Cabinet ministers that we are being seen to go too far, too fast | :09:37. | :09:40. | |
with the prospect of a trade deal. Even amongst some Brexiteer cabinet | :09:41. | :09:44. | |
ministers, they worry we won't get a very good trade deal with the US and | :09:45. | :09:49. | |
we are tolerably placing a lot of stalled by it. When we see the kind | :09:50. | :09:53. | |
of deal they want to pitch with us there might be some pulling back and | :09:54. | :10:02. | |
that could be an awkward moment in terms of our relationship, and no | :10:03. | :10:04. | |
doubt Nigel at that term -- at that point will accuse the UK of doing | :10:05. | :10:10. | |
the dirty on Donald Trump. If there was a deal, would they get it | :10:11. | :10:18. | |
through the House of Commons? Nigel Farage is having dinner with the | :10:19. | :10:22. | |
president, not bad as a kind of lifestyle but he's politically | :10:23. | :10:26. | |
rootless, he won't be an MEP much longer so if you look at where is | :10:27. | :10:29. | |
his political base to build on this great time he's having, there is | :10:30. | :10:34. | |
one. Given that there is one I think he's just having a great time and it | :10:35. | :10:37. | |
isn't much more significant than that. No? There's a lot to be said | :10:38. | :10:47. | |
for having a great time. You are having a great time. Let's just | :10:48. | :10:56. | |
look, because of the dominance of the Government we kind of it nor | :10:57. | :11:01. | |
there are problems piling up, only what, ten days with the Budget to | :11:02. | :11:06. | |
go, piling up for Mrs May and her government. The business rates which | :11:07. | :11:12. | |
has alarmed a lot of Tories, this disability cuts which are really a | :11:13. | :11:16. | |
serious problem for the Government, and the desperate need for more | :11:17. | :11:20. | |
money for social care. There are other issues, there are problems | :11:21. | :11:25. | |
there and they involve spending money. Absolutely and some people | :11:26. | :11:29. | |
argue Theresa May has only one Monday and that is to deliver Brexit | :11:30. | :11:33. | |
but it is impossible as a Prime Minister to ignore everything else. | :11:34. | :11:40. | |
And she doesn't want to either. The bubbling issue of social care and | :11:41. | :11:43. | |
the NHS is the biggest single problem for her in the weeks and | :11:44. | :11:48. | |
months ahead, she has got to come up with something. And Mr Hammond will | :11:49. | :11:51. | |
have to loosen his belt a little bit. I think he will in relation to | :11:52. | :11:57. | |
the NHS, he didn't mention it in the Autumn Statement, which was | :11:58. | :12:00. | |
remarkable, and he cannot get away with not mentioning it this time. If | :12:01. | :12:04. | |
he mentions it, it has to be in a positive context in some way or | :12:05. | :12:08. | |
another and it is one example of many. She is both strong because she | :12:09. | :12:11. | |
is so far ahead in the opinion polls, but this in tray is one of | :12:12. | :12:16. | |
the most daunting a Prime Minister has faced in recent times I think. | :12:17. | :12:22. | |
Here is what will happen on Budget day, money will be more money, | :12:23. | :12:28. | |
magically found down the back of the Treasury sofa. The projections are | :12:29. | :12:34. | |
that he has wiggle room of about 12 billion. But look at the bills, | :12:35. | :12:38. | |
rebels involved in business rates suggest the Chancellor will have to | :12:39. | :12:43. | |
throw up ?2 billion at that problem. 3.7 billion is the potential cost of | :12:44. | :12:47. | |
this judgment about disability benefits. The Government will try to | :12:48. | :12:51. | |
find different ways of satisfying it but who knows. It will not popular. | :12:52. | :12:57. | |
I'm not sure they will throw money at the NHS, they want an interim | :12:58. | :13:00. | |
settlement on social care which will alleviate pressure on the NHS but | :13:01. | :13:04. | |
they feel... That's another couple of billion by the way. They feel in | :13:05. | :13:11. | |
the Treasury that the NHS has not delivered on what Simon Stevens | :13:12. | :13:16. | |
promised them. But here is the bigger problem for Philip Hammond, | :13:17. | :13:21. | |
he has two This year and he thinks the second one in the autumn is more | :13:22. | :13:24. | |
important because that is when people will feel the cost living | :13:25. | :13:26. | |
squeeze. The Daily Politics is back at noon | :13:27. | :13:28. | |
on BBC Two tomorrow. We'll be back here at | :13:29. | :13:32. | |
the same time next week. Remember - if it's Sunday, | :13:33. | :13:34. | |
it's the Sunday Politics. | :13:35. | :13:41. |