13/07/2014 Sunday Politics South East


13/07/2014

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Just two months to go until Scotland decides if it should stay

:00:35.:00:40.

As the campaign heads for the final furlong,

:00:41.:00:43.

what are the issues and arguments that will determine the result?

:00:44.:00:47.

The SNP's deputy leader Nicola Sturgeon joins me live.

:00:48.:00:51.

David Cameron's scheduled a major cabinet reshuffle on Tuesday.

:00:52.:00:54.

Many of those tipped for promotion are women.

:00:55.:00:57.

So have efforts to promote diversity in public life barely started or

:00:58.:01:01.

And don't know whether to support Germany or

:01:02.:01:10.

And in the south east: political guide to the World Cup.

:01:11.:01:18.

It is a familiar announcement, "Your train is delayed."

:01:19.:01:20.

We will be asking whether p`ssengers are getting a fair deal

:01:21.:01:22.

It's World Cup final day and as usual the BBC's snagged the

:01:23.:01:39.

Yes, eat your heart out, ITV, because for top football analysis

:01:40.:01:44.

we've got Gary Lineker, Alan Hansen, and Alan Shearer.

:01:45.:01:48.

And for top political analysis you may

:01:49.:01:50.

as well tune in to them too because all we could come up with is Nick

:01:51.:01:54.

David Cameron will reshuffle his cabinet on Tuesday.

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The Sunday papers are full of stories telling us who'll be

:02:05.:02:07.

in and who'll be out, though they don't really know.

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The Mail on Sunday has one of the more eye-catching lines,

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reporting that former defence secretary and right-winger Liam Fox

:02:13.:02:15.

is in line for a return to the political front line.

:02:16.:02:18.

But there's general agreement that women will do well and some

:02:19.:02:25.

of the old men in suits guard will do badly.

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Here's senior Tory backbencher David Davis speaking to this programme.

:02:29.:02:38.

It's good to make parliament more representative.

:02:39.:02:45.

But you've got to do it in a way that doesn't create

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injustices, and you can't put people in a job who can't do the job.

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And I've seen that too over the last 20 years, people being

:02:52.:02:59.

accelerated too far too fast and they come to

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a screeching halt where they have to catch up with themselves.

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I am not going to give an example. Is this not a bit cynical? He is

:03:08.:03:21.

going to promote these women into cabinet positions, but they will not

:03:22.:03:29.

be able to do anything. I am sceptical of Cabinet reshuffle. It

:03:30.:03:34.

is an un-written pact in that the media and the government have a

:03:35.:03:41.

great interest in talking it up The government says, haven't we

:03:42.:03:45.

refreshed ourselves? Generally it doesn't refresh the government.

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David Cameron wants to send out a new signal. You're going to see the

:03:51.:03:56.

old guard getting a P 45 and you will see a lot of women come in and

:03:57.:04:01.

a lot of younger men. We will find there will be a lot of resignations.

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A lot of, dear Prime Minister, as I told you 18 months ago, I want to

:04:09.:04:14.

move on. Because the Conservatives have this perception of not being

:04:15.:04:18.

very good with women and not being good with black and ethnic minority

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voters, they are going to want to do something about that. Why did he not

:04:24.:04:30.

do it before? This reshuffle might be the triumph of the a list. A lot

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of the women coming through the ranks have been from the a list

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which was a half measure because they knew they could not bring all

:04:41.:04:45.

of them in. You are going to see more women but that is a result of a

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long-term strategy. David Cameron is not the world's most raging

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feminist. He is doing this for practical reasons. He knows he has

:04:57.:04:59.

an image problem for the party and he has to solve it. He was stung by

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that picture of the all-male bench at Prime Minister's Questions

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because visibly it gave you the problem that you have been talking

:05:13.:05:18.

about. I do not think he has allowed it to be all-male since that

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embarrassing image. I can understand the criticism made of this approach

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if it was the case that all the women being promoted by talentless

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but you have to be very harsh to look at them and say that they would

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have much less to offer than the likes of Andrew Lansley. You can be

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pro-feminist. The tests for David Cameron is that having raised

:05:51.:05:54.

expectations he has to give them substantial jobs. They have to be

:05:55.:05:58.

given departments to run or big portfolios to carry. If they are

:05:59.:06:03.

given media campaign positions in the run-up to the election it looks

:06:04.:06:08.

perfunctorily. He is under some trouble to perhaps suggest a female

:06:09.:06:14.

commissioner to the European Union Commission. Jean-Claude Juncker has

:06:15.:06:22.

made clear that if he proposes a woman candidate they will get a

:06:23.:06:28.

better job. Saying they would like ten out of the 28 to be women. We

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are going to get the name of the British candidate at the same time

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as the reshuffle. The first face-to-face meeting, he will be

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able to put a name. There are other names in the frame. People like

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Archie Norman. That come from? His name is in the frame. There would be

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great scepticism of giving it to Andrew Lansley. People would think

:07:04.:07:06.

he was the man who mucked up the reform of the NHS. Who is it going

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to be? Either a woman or a man. I would not be surprised if they go

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for someone believe dynamic. Someone who would square the party. Would

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that not mean a by-election? It might. She is a high profile

:07:28.:07:34.

Eurosceptic. She is a very competent former banker. It would be the smart

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choice. I have no idea but my favourite rumour is Michael Howard.

:07:39.:07:40.

That had some legs for a while. The Mystic Megs of Fleet Street

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predict with confidence that the PM is going to promote more women

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in his cabinet reshuffle. The move can be seen as part

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of a move across British public life to do more to make our institutions

:07:55.:07:58.

less male and less white. But as the list

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of schemes to encourage diversity grows ever-longer, have we abandoned

:08:02.:08:03.

the idea of appointment by merit? Tunnelling. Hard hats, and all for

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new trains. It does not get more macho than the Crossrail project.

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When Crossrail looked at the construction industry they realise

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that less than 20% was made up construction industry they realise

:08:26.:08:36.

women and they asked, can we fix it? They are trying with a recruitment

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drive that has brought in female engineers like this woman. She even

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has a tunnel named after her. Having more female engineers and

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construction brings a bigger range of opinions, a bigger range of

:08:49.:08:54.

ideas, more diversity, into the industry, and makes it better as a

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whole. It is the issue being grappled in another male dominated

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workplace, the Cabinet. There is about to be a reach shuffle and the

:09:03.:09:06.

rumour is David Cameron is going to promote a lot of female ministers.

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It was a lack of promotion that annoyed Harriet Harman this week.

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She claimed Gordon Brown did not make her Deputy Prime Minister

:09:17.:09:20.

because she was a woman. It was strange that in a hard-fought highly

:09:21.:09:23.

contested election to be deputy leader of the Labour Party, and

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having won against men in the Cabinet, to succeed to be deputy

:09:29.:09:32.

leader of the Labour Party I discovered that I was not to be

:09:33.:09:37.

appointed as Deputy Prime Minister. For women in this country, no matter

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how able they are, the matter how hard they might work, they are still

:09:42.:09:47.

not equal. There are initiatives to make the world feel more equal. In

:09:48.:09:52.

the City the EU wants a quarter for women in the boardroom but that goal

:09:53.:09:57.

of making 40% of the top floor female. At the BBC the boss of the

:09:58.:10:02.

TV division says no panel show should ever be all-male. In the ever

:10:03.:10:08.

glamorous movie business the British film Institute announced their new

:10:09.:10:12.

thematic system to get lottery funding projects improving diversity

:10:13.:10:18.

on screen and off and helping social mobility. Employers like Crossrail

:10:19.:10:26.

are not allowed to positively discriminate but under the quality

:10:27.:10:30.

act of 2010 if two candidate for a job are just as good you are allowed

:10:31.:10:34.

to base your decision on characteristics like race, sexuality

:10:35.:10:40.

and gender. Some worry it has chipped away at the idea of hiring

:10:41.:10:47.

on merit. A woman and three men going for a job, two of the men are

:10:48.:10:51.

really good and the woman is not quite as good but she gets the job

:10:52.:10:55.

anyway. That will create injustice, a feeling that she did not deserve

:10:56.:11:02.

the job, resentment. It does not advance equality in society at all.

:11:03.:11:12.

On this project they want to leave a concrete legacy of a more diverse

:11:13.:11:16.

construction industry. The question is, what tools do you use when it

:11:17.:11:18.

comes to the rest of society? I'm joined now by

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Yasmin Alibhai-Brown, a columnist for the Independent

:11:30.:11:31.

and by Munira Mirza, the deputy mayor of London responsible

:11:32.:11:33.

for education and culture. Cabinet wee shovel coming up punches

:11:34.:11:46.

though. Should David Cameron be promoting women? He is going to do

:11:47.:11:53.

it anyway. He should have a long time ago. It does not feel quite

:11:54.:11:58.

right that a few months before the election it would do the party a lot

:11:59.:12:05.

of good to be seen as a party properly reflective of the entire

:12:06.:12:09.

population. He should promote women because they are women? I think he

:12:10.:12:14.

should think about lots of different factors, whether the people he wants

:12:15.:12:16.

promote have proven themselves in their current reefs, whether they

:12:17.:12:24.

are good performers in the media, whether they represent different

:12:25.:12:28.

parts of the party, but the main principle is to promote on basis of

:12:29.:12:33.

merit. There are many talented women who fill that description. It should

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be that merit is the important thing rather than what you were born with.

:12:38.:12:41.

The thing about positive discrimination as it flies in the

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face of that kind of principle. You are shaking your head. We have

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always had positive discrimination. Men of a certain class have

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appointed in their own image because they feel most comfortable with

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that. We have had unspoken positive discrimination in this country and

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every other country throughout history. We are asking as women all

:13:05.:13:11.

minorities, let us get into the same game. What do you say? You cannot

:13:12.:13:17.

solve the racism or the sexism of the past by more racism and sexism.

:13:18.:13:23.

It is not the past. There are complex reasons why a smaller number

:13:24.:13:27.

of women will appear in certain industries. It has a lot to do with

:13:28.:13:33.

childcare, education, expected. You cannot short cut that by setting a

:13:34.:13:37.

target. That is not how you achieve equality. Things are changing and

:13:38.:13:41.

more women are appearing in engineering and so on but it will

:13:42.:13:46.

take time. My worry is that these kinds of measures are

:13:47.:13:49.

counter-productive and undermine the perception that women can do it on

:13:50.:13:50.

their own merit rather counter-productive and undermine the

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perception that women can do it than because they need a helping hand. It

:13:54.:13:58.

is not a helping hand. It is to say, we are as good as men and these

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hidden barriers. Dot. Either they are not as good or they do not want

:14:09.:14:11.

it, which is just how we persuade are not as good or they do not want

:14:12.:14:15.

it, which ourselves that it is not happening, or there are barriers.

:14:16.:14:20.

How we judge meritocracy is at the heart of it. Are lots of industries

:14:21.:14:28.

won there are not that many women, such as engineering. We need more

:14:29.:14:34.

engineers generally. I think it is fine to try to encourage more women

:14:35.:14:41.

to study that subject. By setting a target you put pressure on an

:14:42.:14:48.

organisation. You tried to ignore the complex reasons why women do not

:14:49.:15:10.

go into those sectors. I think an all-female short list achieved

:15:11.:15:19.

miracle in Parliament. This is following up from having an

:15:20.:15:23.

injection of women coming up because the system was changed and a large

:15:24.:15:27.

percentage of women went into Parliament under the all-female

:15:28.:15:33.

short list were brilliant, so why not? So if the Prime Minister is

:15:34.:15:41.

mailed the Deputy Prime Minister has to be female and vice versa? Yes,

:15:42.:15:49.

absolutely, 50-50. We need to reflect the population. If we want

:15:50.:15:58.

to play this as a symbolic gesture, ideally we should have one of each.

:15:59.:16:03.

Why should a man get the job if you have a great female prime minister

:16:04.:16:09.

and a great female Deputy Prime Minister? I personally wouldn't mind

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this. I hear the disgruntled man and I want to come -- them to come with

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us. You're choosing people on the basis of traits they were born

:16:27.:16:31.

with. Are there too many Indian doctors in the NHS? I would argue

:16:32.:16:37.

not. Given that we tend to have male prime ministers rather than female

:16:38.:16:41.

ones, and we don't see another female one coming down the pipe very

:16:42.:16:49.

quickly... In the time before women short lists by the way. If you had a

:16:50.:16:55.

male prime minister with a female Deputy Prime Minister, wouldn't that

:16:56.:17:01.

give some balance? Why women? Why not working class person, which

:17:02.:17:06.

group do you prioritise? I would go with you that we need something

:17:07.:17:11.

fundamental to change. This idea that what we have now is a

:17:12.:17:15.

reflection of a genuine meritocracy is highly questionable. I would

:17:16.:17:20.

argue that when you look at the statistics things are changing.

:17:21.:17:21.

argue that when you look at the statistics things There are more

:17:22.:17:24.

women appearing in parts of public life, that is a long-term trend but

:17:25.:17:32.

if you are trying to appoint people on what they were born with... That

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is not the only reason but it is an additional reason. She has to be

:17:38.:17:40.

able to do the job, obviously. I am saying the policy of hazard to

:17:41.:17:46.

discrimination explicitly state that you should choose somebody who is

:17:47.:17:50.

female because they are female. At the moment there is already enough

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suspicion about women who are successful to get to the senior

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position and if you institutionalise it you reinforce that suspicion

:18:02.:18:04.

Harriet Harman is still complaining women are not being treated fairly.

:18:05.:18:11.

I think the policy reinforces the prejudice that women are not getting

:18:12.:18:15.

there because they are treated on the same basis. Although you may not

:18:16.:18:22.

want to have the all-female short list forever, wasn't it the kind of

:18:23.:18:25.

shock to the system that made a visible change in female

:18:26.:18:31.

representation, which the Tory side hasn't got? Of course it will work

:18:32.:18:38.

short-term but longer term it has a very degrading effect on the

:18:39.:18:43.

principle of equality and the fact Harriet Harman is saying she wasn't

:18:44.:18:45.

treated equally, whether it is Harriet Harman is saying she wasn't

:18:46.:18:56.

there. A number of women find this position must be reserved for a

:18:57.:19:00.

woman lying patronising, and speaking of patronising women, you

:19:01.:19:09.

spoken your Independent column, she presses all of the buttons for white

:19:10.:19:13.

people... Was that patronising and offensive? Probably. I wrote it

:19:14.:19:19.

because I felt that at the time but the point is that I was a token when

:19:20.:19:24.

I was appointed. The paper brought me in because I was a woman and I

:19:25.:19:30.

was a muslin or whatever. You are not writing about yourself. I was

:19:31.:19:36.

writing... It doesn't mean you don't criticise other women. We absolutely

:19:37.:19:52.

have to be tough, Manira is tough and so am I. Do you want to take

:19:53.:19:59.

back what you wrote? No. Do you really think positive discrimination

:20:00.:20:05.

has gone too far? I think there is already a suspicion out there that

:20:06.:20:10.

in certain sectors women are being promoted for the wrong reasons or

:20:11.:20:14.

ethnic minorities are being promoted for the wrong reasons. That is a

:20:15.:20:20.

shame and my worry is that by tying funding to your ethnicity or your

:20:21.:20:25.

gender, by saying you will get a promotion if you check that box but

:20:26.:20:29.

you feel that resentment and prejudice and undermine the case for

:20:30.:20:40.

inequality. I wanted to be treated equally, because I am capable of

:20:41.:20:46.

doing that job. Only two months to go before Scotland takes its biggest

:20:47.:20:54.

constitutional decision in 300 years - should it quit or stay with the

:20:55.:21:00.

UK? For some in Scotland campaign has been going on forever. What has

:21:01.:21:04.

been the impact on the campaign to date?

:21:05.:21:10.

Alex Salmond says Scotland would remain part of the European Union

:21:11.:21:15.

with sterling as its currency in a monetary union with the rest of the

:21:16.:21:20.

UK, but he has also promised more public spending, increased child

:21:21.:21:26.

care provision and free personal care for the elderly. The SNP claims

:21:27.:21:33.

it would leave people better off by ?1000 though that partly depends on

:21:34.:21:39.

the price of oil. With the Better Together arguing against

:21:40.:21:45.

independence, it has naturally been attacking the SNP on all fronts

:21:46.:21:50.

George Osborne says there will be no monetary union. President Barroso

:21:51.:21:56.

told the BBC it would be extremely difficult for Scotland to join the

:21:57.:22:01.

EU after a yes vote. His successor this week said he agreed. Unions

:22:02.:22:15.

claim Scotland benefit by ?1400 by being part of the UK. A poll this

:22:16.:22:22.

morning shows a significant lead of 57% for the no campaign, leaving the

:22:23.:22:29.

SNP to claim it will go their way in the last ten weeks. Nicola Sturgeon,

:22:30.:22:34.

the Deputy First Minister of Scotland, joins me now. You want an

:22:35.:22:38.

independent Scotland to keep the pound, stay in NATO, stay in the

:22:39.:22:45.

EU, Scotland already has all of that but you cannot guarantee it would

:22:46.:22:50.

have any of it in an independent Scotland, why take the risk? All of

:22:51.:22:57.

these things should be the case because they are in the best

:22:58.:23:00.

interests of Scotland and the rest of the UK but we want the powers to

:23:01.:23:06.

enable us to grow our economy faster, to be productive, and

:23:07.:23:12.

overtime increased the prosperity of people living in Scotland. We also

:23:13.:23:17.

want powers over our social security system so that we can create a

:23:18.:23:23.

system that meets our needs, one that also has a safety net for the

:23:24.:23:27.

most vulnerable people in our society. Independence is about

:23:28.:23:34.

letting us decide our own priorities. You didn't answer my

:23:35.:23:38.

question, you cannot guarantee you would be able to keep the pound

:23:39.:23:43.

within a monetary union, stay in NATO and the EU, you cannot

:23:44.:23:48.

guarantee you could produce any of these things, correct? I would argue

:23:49.:23:53.

that we can because these things are also in the interest of the rest of

:23:54.:23:58.

the UK. No country can be prevented from using the pound, I suggest we

:23:59.:24:03.

use that within a formal monetary union. We have had the UK minister

:24:04.:24:09.

quoted in the Guardian saying the position of the UK Government right

:24:10.:24:13.

now is one based on campaign rhetoric and following a yes vote,

:24:14.:24:17.

of course there would be a currency union. Who is that minister? The

:24:18.:24:25.

Minister is unnamed, but nevertheless that story in the

:24:26.:24:30.

Guardian was a solid one and not substantially denied. So you are

:24:31.:24:35.

basing your monetary policy on one on named minister in one story?

:24:36.:24:44.

Basing it on Common sense because monetary union would be in the best

:24:45.:24:49.

interests for Scotland but also overwhelmingly in the interests of

:24:50.:24:53.

the rest of the UK, given their trading relationship with Scotland

:24:54.:24:58.

and the contribution Scotland's exports make. We are having a very

:24:59.:25:06.

good debate and the UK Government and the no campaign, and this is not

:25:07.:25:17.

a criticism, want to talk up in -- uncertainty to make people feel

:25:18.:25:23.

scared, but after independence there will be constructed process of

:25:24.:25:27.

negotiation. Let's stick with the monetary union because most

:25:28.:25:29.

economists agree it would be very good for an independent Scotland to

:25:30.:25:34.

have a monetary union but George Osborne, Ed Balls, Danny Alexander

:25:35.:25:39.

are unequivocal, they say you won't get it. You claim they are bluffing

:25:40.:25:45.

but again you cannot guarantee that so why the risk? I would say the

:25:46.:25:49.

benefits of independence are substantial but I would also say to

:25:50.:25:53.

George Osborne and his counterparts in the other parties that it would

:25:54.:25:57.

be a very brave Chancellor that says to businesses in the rest of the UK

:25:58.:26:03.

that they have to incur unnecessary additional transaction costs of half

:26:04.:26:06.

a very brave Chancellor that says to businesses in the rest of the UK

:26:07.:26:09.

that they have to incur unnecessary additional transaction costs of

:26:10.:26:13.

half. What we are doing is making a case that is based on common sense

:26:14.:26:18.

and voters in Scotland will listen to that case being put forward by

:26:19.:26:23.

the other side as well, and they will come to a judgement of the

:26:24.:26:32.

common-sense position. Let's look at EU membership because you haven t

:26:33.:26:35.

been able to guarantee the monetary union. When President Barroso said

:26:36.:26:45.

that a seamless transition to EU membership for an independent

:26:46.:26:48.

Scotland was anything but certain, and one said it could even be

:26:49.:26:53.

impossible, you dismissed him because he was standing down, but

:26:54.:27:02.

been -- venue EU president says the same, do you dismissed him? What we

:27:03.:27:09.

are doing... I should say at the outset of this, we have said

:27:10.:27:14.

repeatedly to the UK Government let's go jointly and ask for a

:27:15.:27:18.

formal opinion on the EU commission. The EU commission have

:27:19.:27:22.

said they will only do that at this stage if the UK Government ask for

:27:23.:27:29.

it, they are point blank refusing to do that, you have to ask why? It is

:27:30.:27:35.

in their interests to talk up uncertainty. Scotland is an integral

:27:36.:27:40.

part of the European Union, we have been for 40 years, we comply with

:27:41.:27:47.

the rules and regulations... Mr Juncker knows all of that but he

:27:48.:27:52.

still says it will be anything but a seamless transition. He said you

:27:53.:27:57.

could not join the European Union by sending a letter, that is not our

:27:58.:28:09.

proposal. We set down a robust proposal and the timescale we think

:28:10.:28:14.

is reasonable under these circumstances. There are many

:28:15.:28:20.

nationals of other states living in Scotland right now, if we were to be

:28:21.:28:25.

outside of the European Union for any period of time, something the

:28:26.:28:29.

current treaty doesn't even provide for, they would lose their right to

:28:30.:28:34.

stay here. The interests of Scotland and the interests of European Union

:28:35.:28:38.

are in favour of a seamless transition. It comes down to common

:28:39.:28:43.

sense and people in Scotland will make

:28:44.:28:43.

sense and people in Scotland will their own judgement on who is

:28:44.:28:49.

talking the common-sense. What about NATO, two years ago you told

:28:50.:28:55.

Newsnight the SNP's position is that we wouldn't stay in NATO. We had a

:28:56.:29:01.

democratic debate, we looked at whether it would be in the interests

:29:02.:29:05.

of an independent Scotland, which forms a significant part of the

:29:06.:29:11.

territory of the North Atlantic and the party changed its mind. It did

:29:12.:29:17.

so in a thoroughly democratic way. That is the nature of democracy

:29:18.:29:26.

Would you accept the protection of the NATO nuclear umbrella? There is

:29:27.:29:37.

no doubt the SNP's position is that we do not want nuclear weapons in

:29:38.:29:45.

Scotland. That is not what I asked. The world rid themselves of nuclear

:29:46.:29:48.

weapons. One of the interesting point is of the 28 member countries

:29:49.:29:53.

of Natal 25 do not have nuclear weapons. An independent Scotland...

:29:54.:29:58.

I asked if you would accept the nuclear umbrella. The key feature of

:29:59.:30:09.

NATO's military dog train is now clear shrike. We would accept the

:30:10.:30:16.

basis of which NATO is founded but we would argue two things. We want

:30:17.:30:22.

Trident removed from Scotland rather than have a situation where might we

:30:23.:30:26.

are spending ?100 billion over the next generation replacing Trident

:30:27.:30:31.

and we would argue within the international community that the

:30:32.:30:36.

world should move much more quickly to rid itself of nuclear weapons.

:30:37.:30:40.

That is the principal position and won the SNP has held consistently

:30:41.:30:44.

for many years. You would get rid of one of the key parts of the NATO

:30:45.:30:50.

deterrent based in Scotland. You would kick that out. You would not

:30:51.:30:55.

accept all of the club rules because you do not like the idea of nuclear.

:30:56.:31:00.

Why would they like a member like you in? Because Scotland is a

:31:01.:31:05.

significant part of the territory of the North Atlantic. You do not

:31:06.:31:11.

subscribe to the rules. 25 of the member states of NATO are

:31:12.:31:16.

non-nuclear members. You are saying you do not follow the doctrine. NATO

:31:17.:31:24.

has said it wants to move away from reliance on nuclear weapons. An

:31:25.:31:27.

independent Scotland would be entering the majority mainstream of

:31:28.:31:32.

NATO as a country that did not have nuclear weapons. By leading by

:31:33.:31:38.

example our moral authority and encouraging others to do likewise

:31:39.:31:42.

would be increased. Money and oil, the finance minister has said that

:31:43.:31:47.

an independent Scotland would increase public spending by 3% a

:31:48.:31:50.

year. He would pay for that by borrowing. Your First Minister says

:31:51.:31:55.

he is going to stash money in an oil fund. You're going to borrow and

:31:56.:32:01.

save. How does that work? There are two points. Firstly in terms of the

:32:02.:32:09.

outlook for finances and what is one of the central debates of this

:32:10.:32:13.

referendum campaign, austerity that we know will continue if we stay as

:32:14.:32:17.

part of the Westminster system versus prosperity. The economy can

:32:18.:32:22.

afford a higher level of increase in public spending while we continue to

:32:23.:32:26.

have deficit levels at a sustainable level. What is the point of

:32:27.:32:32.

borrowing and saving at the same time? People who have a mortgage and

:32:33.:32:37.

the savings account would not themselves what the wisdom of that

:32:38.:32:44.

is. This is based on recommendations of our expert fiscal Commission that

:32:45.:32:46.

as borrowing reduces to sustainable levels it makes sense to start

:32:47.:32:52.

saving a proportion of our oil wealth. In Norway, which has many

:32:53.:32:59.

similarities to Scotland, they have an oil fund worth ?500 billion.

:33:00.:33:04.

Scotland is part of the Westminster system is sitting on a share of UK

:33:05.:33:09.

debt. We can continue to allow our oil wealth, our vast oil wealth to

:33:10.:33:15.

be mismanaged or we can decide we are going to manage that resource

:33:16.:33:19.

better in the years to come. Your figures do not add up unless you are

:33:20.:33:26.

about oil prices and revenue and you have been consistently wrong in your

:33:27.:33:29.

predictions. Last year you forecast that revenues would be the .7

:33:30.:33:37.

billion more than they actually work -- 3.7 billion. The cost of the

:33:38.:33:44.

Scottish school system gone. There were particular reasons for that in

:33:45.:33:48.

terms of interruption to production and bigger levels of investment

:33:49.:33:52.

Used ill have to find the money Let me explain. They are based on robust

:33:53.:33:59.

assumptions, firstly a production estimates that is in line with the

:34:00.:34:02.

estimates of the oil and gas industry. Use of figures that are

:34:03.:34:06.

based on production of 10 billion barrels of oil. Oil and gas has been

:34:07.:34:14.

wrong as well. It is 24 billion left to be recovered. That is what is in

:34:15.:34:20.

the UK Government's oil and gas strategy so production in line with

:34:21.:34:26.

industry estimates and an oil price of $110 per barrel which is flat in

:34:27.:34:29.

cash terms would be a real terms reduction. The Department of energy

:34:30.:34:37.

is estimating $128 per barrel so our estimate compared to that is

:34:38.:34:41.

cautious. These are robust estimates based on robust assumptions. Except

:34:42.:34:48.

they have been wrong. Finally, we hear a lot from you and your fellow

:34:49.:34:54.

nationalists, you want a Scandinavian style social democracy,

:34:55.:34:58.

you know how to spend the money but you never tell us about social

:34:59.:35:02.

democratic levels of taxation. Also should grizzlies have higher levels

:35:03.:35:06.

of tax in Scotland does at the moment -- all social grizzlies. I

:35:07.:35:13.

want a Scottish style of social democracy. Free education, free

:35:14.:35:19.

medicines and balancing the books every single year. We want to get

:35:20.:35:25.

more people into work in Scotland, raise the level of distribution in

:35:26.:35:29.

the Labour market and make the economy more productive so we are

:35:30.:35:31.

raising the overall tax revenue Over the last 33 years we have

:35:32.:35:37.

generated more taxpayer head of population than is the case and the

:35:38.:35:45.

rest of the UK. Those last 33 years, some of those years oil prices would

:35:46.:35:49.

have been high and in others they would have been law but we take

:35:50.:35:53.

different decisions. A report showed that if we go as part of the

:35:54.:35:57.

Westminster system down the plate -- route of replacing Trident then the

:35:58.:36:05.

cost will be as high as ?4 billion every year. Our share of that is the

:36:06.:36:10.

hundred million pounds a year. Let us get access to our own resources

:36:11.:36:14.

so we can make different and better decisions about how to spend the

:36:15.:36:18.

resources we have. You are promising Scandinavian style social democratic

:36:19.:36:23.

levels of public spending but you say you will not need a top rate of

:36:24.:36:28.

tax of 56% which is what Scandinavia has, that all 25%, which is what

:36:29.:36:37.

Scandinavia has and VAT of 15%. You are going to have the spending but

:36:38.:36:41.

none of the taxes that make it possible in Scandinavia. For

:36:42.:36:47.

mischievous reasons you are met -- misrepresenting what I am saying.

:36:48.:36:53.

The Scottish economy can afford it and we want to generate more wealth

:36:54.:36:57.

in our economy. We want to use the existing resources Scotland has We

:36:58.:37:02.

are the 14th richest country in the world in terms of what we produce.

:37:03.:37:07.

We do not want to be wasting resources. We want to be spending

:37:08.:37:11.

resources on the things that other priority for the people of Scotland.

:37:12.:37:15.

These are the benefits and the opportunities really get if we take

:37:16.:37:19.

the opportunity of voting yes and becoming independent.

:37:20.:37:31.

This is the Sunday Politics in the South East.

:37:32.:37:47.

Imagine a child who cannot live at home with their own parents.

:37:48.:37:50.

For their own safety, they have to be cared for bx

:37:51.:37:53.

We will explore the consequdnces for the 1200 youngsters

:37:54.:37:58.

With me in the studio is Caroline Lucas,

:37:59.:38:03.

Green party MP for Brighton Pavilion,

:38:04.:38:05.

and Rehman Chishti, the Conservative MP for Gillingham and Rainh`m.

:38:06.:38:23.

Before we go on to talk abott trains I will talk about aeroplanes.

:38:24.:38:26.

An environmental report into the impact of an island airport on the

:38:27.:38:29.

North Kent coast concluded ht would cost up to ?2 billion to provide

:38:30.:38:32.

This airport has been proposed by London Mayor Boris Johnson.

:38:33.:38:35.

Caroline, this is an interesting one.

:38:36.:38:37.

Environmental considerations being taken very seriously.

:38:38.:38:38.

Do you find that politically significant?

:38:39.:38:40.

It is interesting that they are taking it seriously.

:38:41.:38:42.

The report as well said that it would cost ?2 billion

:38:43.:38:45.

We should not just assume that habitats can be swapped

:38:46.:38:48.

There are issues as to whether you can find them.

:38:49.:38:53.

They talked about Sussex and Essex as possibilities,

:38:54.:38:54.

You have to read this in a cursory fashion to get

:38:55.:38:58.

a sense that there are very real risks to our environment from this

:38:59.:39:01.

It is talking about risks in terms of it failing as a project.

:39:02.:39:07.

The bottom line is, from a climate change perspdctive,

:39:08.:39:10.

is that we cannot keep thinking we can build our way out through more

:39:11.:39:15.

and more airport expansion, that we keep on going for ever.

:39:16.:39:18.

From a climate change perspdctive, we cannot.

:39:19.:39:19.

Some are already getting thd hang of this.

:39:20.:39:22.

are already doing more video conferencing instead.

:39:23.:39:28.

There were four studies abott this this week.

:39:29.:39:36.

One concluded that the airport could create nearly 100,000 jobs.

:39:37.:39:42.

That is a higher figure than I have ever heard about this.

:39:43.:39:45.

Also that Kent businesses are in favour.

:39:46.:39:47.

There are parts of the country that would bhte

:39:48.:39:50.

your hand off for this investmnent, why not Kent?

:39:51.:39:52.

In terms of the cost to build this airport,

:39:53.:39:55.

In terms of the local structure we do not have

:39:56.:40:03.

the local infrastructure to have it there

:40:04.:40:05.

and also if you're going to have this airport in the estuary,

:40:06.:40:08.

Therefore you have to put all those people in Kent and Medway

:40:09.:40:15.

There is not that infrastructure there.

:40:16.:40:17.

To say all of these Kent businesses are for it, I think it is nonsense.

:40:18.:40:21.

There are some individuals but the local authorities, membdrs of

:40:22.:40:25.

Parliament and local residents do not support it and the environmental

:40:26.:40:28.

We will leave it there because we will be back to

:40:29.:40:34.

the airport in September because that is when the final shortlist

:40:35.:40:36.

If you regularly travel by rail chances are you will be

:40:37.:40:41.

familiar with the announcemdnt saying that your train is ddlayed.

:40:42.:40:44.

Just this week, Network Rail was fined more than ?50 million

:40:45.:40:47.

Our reporter has been looking at where the money goes

:40:48.:40:51.

and asking whether the travdlling public is getting a fair de`l.

:40:52.:41:07.

These are some of the busiest railways in the country.

:41:08.:41:10.

Vital commuter routes from Kent and Sussex feeding into the caphtal

:41:11.:41:15.

More of us than ever before are taking the train.

:41:16.:41:20.

But delays are still a familiar story.

:41:21.:41:23.

Just last week, Network Rail was fined ?53 lillion,

:41:24.:41:27.

partly for lack of punctualhty in London and the south east.

:41:28.:41:31.

If services are delayed or cancelled then passengers

:41:32.:41:35.

But a recent report by rail regulators found th`t

:41:36.:41:39.

three quarters of people ushng the trains are not aware of that.

:41:40.:41:44.

But it is not just passengers that get compensation for disruption

:41:45.:41:52.

Behind`the`scenes, the train companies get mondy back

:41:53.:41:54.

also, in a separate, automatic payment from Network Rail.

:41:55.:42:01.

It works like this, if Network Rail causes servhces to

:42:02.:42:05.

run late, it pays a heavy price to the operator for the inconvdnience.

:42:06.:42:10.

It could be planned delays like lineworks or unplanned

:42:11.:42:14.

Last year, Network Rail paid train companies

:42:15.:42:19.

in Kent and Sussex ?26 millhon for causing unplanned delays.

:42:20.:42:26.

Meanwhile, just ?2 million was paid out to

:42:27.:42:29.

passengers for late arrivals and cancellations by Southe`stern,

:42:30.:42:33.

So are they making a profit from travel

:42:34.:42:40.

There is no doubt that at some point it is worthwhile for the tr`in

:42:41.:42:47.

operators to suffer delays because whereas they might lose somd

:42:48.:42:51.

passenger revenue, the compdnsation they get is probably more than

:42:52.:42:56.

the fares they have lost from passengers who have been delayed

:42:57.:43:00.

There is a perverse situation whereby the train operators can

:43:01.:43:06.

profit out of a compensation scheme that is really designed to

:43:07.:43:11.

But where is the incentive for late running passengers to claim

:43:12.:43:17.

back their money, paid incidentally in the form of rail vouchers?

:43:18.:43:22.

One railway workers' union says the two`tiered system

:43:23.:43:25.

The train operators and Network Rail operate as a closed club for

:43:26.:43:33.

All of the money raised for the railway should be spent

:43:34.:43:39.

on the railway, making fares affordable or providing vit`l

:43:40.:43:43.

infrastructure and other improvement works so that trains run on time

:43:44.:43:47.

and people can get where thdy need to go at a reasonable price.

:43:48.:43:54.

The rail industry denies th`t it profits from delays

:43:55.:43:56.

and says the payment of proceeds from Network Rail is designdd to

:43:57.:44:00.

protect passengers and taxp`yers and to incentivise good performance.

:44:01.:44:05.

It stresses that the internal system is separate

:44:06.:44:09.

and unrelated to the compensation arrangements for passengers which,

:44:10.:44:14.

it says, have become far more generous and easier to applx for.

:44:15.:44:17.

The region also has some of the highest fares in Europe.

:44:18.:44:21.

A season ticket from the Kent coast to London costs ?5,000.

:44:22.:44:26.

This, coupled with poor punctuality,

:44:27.:44:30.

has put Southeastern Railwax's customer satisfaction

:44:31.:44:32.

Customers say operators need to be more transparent.

:44:33.:44:40.

There is a job to do for the train company to make p`ssengers

:44:41.:44:43.

more aware of what compensation is available

:44:44.:44:44.

and to make it easier to complain.

:44:45.:44:47.

But the amount that passengdrs are claiming

:44:48.:44:49.

Use your rights and make your voice heard.

:44:50.:44:58.

The rail regulator has urged operators to be more proacthve

:44:59.:45:01.

in helping passengers to cl`im compensation for poor puncttality.

:45:02.:45:06.

But will that ever happen in a system

:45:07.:45:09.

Joining us from London is Mhchelle from South Eastern Trains.

:45:10.:45:16.

You heard in the report that typicallx only

:45:17.:45:20.

whereas you get yours from Network Rail automatic`lly

:45:21.:45:29.

One is overseen by the Government and involves compensation p`yments

:45:30.:45:39.

that are made to train oper`tors that compensate for lack

:45:40.:45:45.

of access to the track that we need

:45:46.:45:47.

That is something that is ddsigned to provide value for taxpaydrs.

:45:48.:45:52.

They are perfectly within their rights to make claims

:45:53.:45:59.

Those claims come to us and are funded directly by ts

:46:00.:46:05.

and we are being proactive in encouraging our passengers to

:46:06.:46:09.

make claims through that delay repay compensation scheme.

:46:10.:46:12.

You would accept that given how expensive that it is to travel

:46:13.:46:15.

by train, my guests in the studio have told me ?450

:46:16.:46:18.

from one of their constituencies to London, this is hardly generous

:46:19.:46:25.

We have actually paid a record levels

:46:26.:46:28.

of compensation to passengers over the past five months.

:46:29.:46:33.

The reason is that performance has slipped.

:46:34.:46:38.

We have also gone above and beyond the delay repay schele

:46:39.:46:41.

payment to make additional one off payments to passengers

:46:42.:46:46.

That includes passengers who were travelling on our Hastings line

:46:47.:46:50.

where we simply were not offered to offer a service for eight wdeks

:46:51.:46:55.

Let's let the viewer decide about the generosity.

:46:56.:46:58.

Someone who pays up to ?5,000, as we heard in a report,

:46:59.:47:01.

very seriously inconveniencdd by a 55 minute delay, let's say.

:47:02.:47:07.

They will get half the pricd of their compensation ticket price,

:47:08.:47:10.

and it will come in the forl of couple of pieces of paper

:47:11.:47:14.

The vouchers are set as an `mount that can be claimed to offsdt

:47:15.:47:24.

This is a scheme that is an industrywide scheme.

:47:25.:47:31.

It is set up industrywide to provide passengers with

:47:32.:47:36.

You could allow people to t`ke their vouchers to the station

:47:37.:47:43.

You could move to a smart thcket system where the compensation

:47:44.:47:48.

Just to remind people, your delay compensation from Network R`il

:47:49.:47:53.

The way that the system works at the moment is that we ard locked

:47:54.:47:58.

into a scheme as to what thd Government expects us to offer. .

:47:59.:48:03.

You're suggesting that the Government would not allow xou

:48:04.:48:08.

We can but we do need to get previous agreement

:48:09.:48:15.

from the Government to offer a more generous schemd.

:48:16.:48:18.

The reason for that is the way

:48:19.:48:20.

the franchising is set up is that we have to factor that in in advance

:48:21.:48:26.

before we sign any agreement with Government, to protect taxp`yers.

:48:27.:48:32.

Caroline, you are arguing for the re`nationalisation

:48:33.:48:38.

Is there any evidence that would= solve this issue?

:48:39.:48:40.

We have just heard about the problems caused by the lassive

:48:41.:48:47.

fragmentation of our railwax system and the idea that that is providing

:48:48.:48:50.

good value for the taxpayer is ludicrous.

:48:51.:48:52.

?290 million of rail money hs spent simply on the administration

:48:53.:48:58.

The guide to it is 90 pages long as it is so complex.

:48:59.:49:05.

Essentially, when we've got so many different parts

:49:06.:49:08.

of the railway with different interests, the only ones who are

:49:09.:49:10.

You travel a lot by train, you must have been delayed

:49:11.:49:23.

I do travel a lot and I havd claimed once or twice but that has tsually

:49:24.:49:28.

been when there has been soleone at the train station handing ott forms.

:49:29.:49:32.

By the time you have made up the lost time, all of the inconvenience,

:49:33.:49:35.

and have to go on your comptter and find out how to do it,

:49:36.:49:39.

I have used trains for many years, I commute back `nd

:49:40.:49:51.

forwards from Kent to London, but I haven't.

:49:52.:49:54.

What we need to do is what other operators are doing.

:49:55.:49:57.

National Express are doing `utomatic compensation after two minutes

:49:58.:50:02.

Also if there is a delay it goes automatically

:50:03.:50:10.

I have written to South Eastern to say they should do that.

:50:11.:50:14.

I am waiting for a response but I think at the end of the day you

:50:15.:50:18.

should do what is in the interests of the passenger and simply having

:50:19.:50:22.

to go through a process of papers and vouchers is wrong

:50:23.:50:24.

and it should be about ensuring that people,

:50:25.:50:27.

are able to get a compensation claim.

:50:28.:50:30.

That's a lot of money that we heard about in the report,

:50:31.:50:33.

those automatic payments to the rail operators, is a strange sittation.

:50:34.:50:36.

The delays are a good thing for the train companies.

:50:37.:50:41.

That seems to be a perverse incentive to allow them to run late.

:50:42.:50:46.

What we should do then is looking at the compensation they pax

:50:47.:50:50.

so that if they have to pay the passenger more,

:50:51.:50:54.

like she was saying paying above and beyond. .

:50:55.:51:00.

She is saying that the Government would ask

:51:01.:51:02.

Their contract comes to an dnd in 2018

:51:03.:51:08.

and they will put in another bid.

:51:09.:51:11.

And my view is that if they do not put in a bid

:51:12.:51:14.

that is good for the passenger, I would not support it.

:51:15.:51:16.

I would say put that in so that if you cause delays

:51:17.:51:19.

But the private railway system has simply failed.

:51:20.:51:26.

You only need to look at the opinion polls and people s

:51:27.:51:29.

experiences of railways in this country, it is hugely expensive

:51:30.:51:32.

60% of the rail operators who are running our railways

:51:33.:51:37.

are state operators from other European countrids.

:51:38.:51:41.

Let's look at whether we will ever see nationalisation back.

:51:42.:51:43.

You have got the East Coast Main Line already in public hands.

:51:44.:51:50.

But will it ever make it into the Labour Party manifdsto

:51:51.:51:53.

Ed Miliband is forever accused of being in the pocket of the tnions.

:51:54.:51:57.

It would be political suicide for him because this is seen

:51:58.:52:00.

as the greatest ambition of the rail unions.

:52:01.:52:02.

I am absolutely amazed that Ed Miliband has not recognised that

:52:03.:52:05.

this would be a wonderful w`y of making himself popular.

:52:06.:52:07.

This is not electoral suicide but a massively popular polhcy

:52:08.:52:10.

that would work in the East Coast Main Line

:52:11.:52:13.

that is currently in public hands...

:52:14.:52:15.

No, they do not like the threat of a good example!

:52:16.:52:19.

East Coast Main Line is doing better than any other franchise,

:52:20.:52:22.

Quickly, what I would like to say about nationalisation...

:52:23.:52:26.

To do that you have to increase taxes...

:52:27.:52:28.

You do and I think the argulent with the Green party is always

:52:29.:52:34.

about more taxing, whether ht is aviation tax,

:52:35.:52:36.

We have an austerity problel and we have to...

:52:37.:52:43.

if you would take it back into public hands.

:52:44.:52:49.

Thank you, I am going to stop you on that one

:52:50.:52:52.

but thank you both for your passion on that subject.

:52:53.:52:54.

Tens of thousands of childrdn in England do not live

:52:55.:52:57.

Many are placed with foster families miles away from home.

:52:58.:53:02.

This week we learned that Kdnt takes more of these children

:53:03.:53:04.

The Government recently introduced new rules for these long`distance

:53:05.:53:12.

placements but the numbers coming to Kent have not yet changed.

:53:13.:53:15.

Joining us now from London hs Lily, from The Children's Society.

:53:16.:53:18.

Well, in some cases, of course, certain children, it is important

:53:19.:53:31.

that they are taken to a new area because it may be the safest thing.

:53:32.:53:34.

But the number of children who are being forced

:53:35.:53:37.

We are talking about, in Kent, half of the children are not frol Kent.

:53:38.:53:43.

It is unlikely that for all of those children that is

:53:44.:53:46.

What are the consequences if it is not a good thing for them?

:53:47.:53:51.

All of the experts agree th`t placing a vulnerable child who might

:53:52.:54:18.

been neglected, accused of traffic far away from home increases the

:54:19.:54:21.

risk because it is very hard for a social worker to monitor thd safety

:54:22.:54:24.

of a child 100 miles away and it is harder for them.

:54:25.:54:27.

It increases the risk of them running away,

:54:28.:54:29.

In a few cases it is the right thing for them but very

:54:30.:54:33.

Is there a perverse incentive encouraging councils like Greenwich

:54:34.:54:38.

and Lewisham to send their looked after children to Kent?

:54:39.:54:41.

The fact is, when you look across the country at where care is

:54:42.:54:44.

In some areas there is very little care available so yot are

:54:45.:54:48.

In some areas, like Kent, you have a huge concentration

:54:49.:54:52.

of the most vulnerable children being placed in one area.

:54:53.:54:54.

That puts a strain on services and puts them at risk.

:54:55.:54:57.

They have come up with the idea that it has

:54:58.:55:12.

the senior children's officdr that signs every child off who is being

:55:13.:55:19.

Do we need to see more action from the Government?

:55:20.:55:22.

They have at least recognisdd that this is an issue but that two

:55:23.:55:25.

or three years ago and we h`ve not seen any change in the numbdrs.

:55:26.:55:28.

In Kent, you have got just `s many children coming in from othdr areas.

:55:29.:55:32.

Not enough is being done and we need to look right across the cotntry

:55:33.:55:35.

at the care available and m`ke sure it is the right thing for children.

:55:36.:55:38.

These new regulations that the Government has brought hn,

:55:39.:55:42.

as you heard, are not making any difference yet.

:55:43.:55:46.

Does the Government need to go further?

:55:47.:55:48.

What we have got to be clear on is that these new clarifhcations

:55:49.:55:51.

came out in January this ye`r so we are only a few months in.

:55:52.:55:56.

We should not look at distance by itself but the quality of care,

:55:57.:55:59.

But the experts are saying that is an issue.

:56:00.:56:10.

What it says is the Governmdnt have recognised it and the procedure that

:56:11.:56:13.

they have put forward by seding the senior director has the samd as of

:56:14.:56:16.

and also the other requiremdnts and regulation is that before a child is

:56:17.:56:20.

placed out of care they havd to share information

:56:21.:56:22.

If the provision is not right, they cannot do it.

:56:23.:56:26.

But the Government would not even sanction a study into this 20 mile

:56:27.:56:31.

It is the overall package and provision that goes with it

:56:32.:56:37.

If you look at what the Govdrnment has done, it has made it quhte clear

:56:38.:56:44.

overall in terms of finding support for children in care, there is an

:56:45.:56:48.

additional premium for children and it is making sure that therd is a

:56:49.:56:51.

person responsible for education throughout thd county

:56:52.:56:54.

But I accept that care should be local but in exceptional

:56:55.:57:02.

circumstances, if they have to move, taking into account the welfare of

:57:03.:57:06.

the child, that it has to bd signed off by one identified indivhdual.

:57:07.:57:11.

Is this an issue for the local authorities r`ther

:57:12.:57:19.

We know that local authorithes' budgets are significantly ctt but

:57:20.:57:22.

What could be more important than this?

:57:23.:57:30.

The heart of this debate has to be what is in the best interests

:57:31.:57:34.

of the children and it may be that in a few occasions it is safer

:57:35.:57:37.

But at the moment the system is not working when up to

:57:38.:57:42.

I think the Government should have done an impact assessment to look

:57:43.:57:48.

at what would have been the impact of having a prestmption

:57:49.:57:51.

Not to say all the cases but that there would need to be

:57:52.:57:58.

If you did that you would move to a situation where you would

:57:59.:58:13.

need to have more children closer to home and lesser risk to the threats.

:58:14.:58:17.

We are seeing the most senior person in e`ch area

:58:18.:58:19.

We will see the numbers drop, will we not?

:58:20.:58:22.

It is early days but we have not yet.

:58:23.:58:26.

You mentioned local authority budgets and that is a key issue

:58:27.:58:28.

The senior children's officdr is also going to be subject to a lot

:58:29.:58:31.

Unless they have got another framework that is saying thdre is

:58:32.:58:38.

a presumption in favour of 20 mile radius then they're not

:58:39.:58:41.

going to have the influence they need within their own authority to

:58:42.:58:44.

It'll be interesting to look at this in a year when we can more hmpact.

:58:45.:58:48.

Now, for a round`up of the other political events you might have

:58:49.:58:52.

Medway Maritime Hospital, already in special measures, has ag`in been

:58:53.:59:06.

rated inadequate, with concern over A, levels

:59:07.:59:08.

The NHS Trust claims improvdment has been made, including

:59:09.:59:12.

It has been called the biggest construction project

:59:13.:59:17.

in the south east since the Channel Tunnel and the publhc

:59:18.:59:20.

consultation for the proposdd Paramount Park is finally underway.

:59:21.:59:25.

The plans include a univershty, 5000 hotel rooms and 27,000 jobs.

:59:26.:59:30.

The challenge is to manage them to make sure

:59:31.:59:32.

We do not want things to be done to us, but with us.

:59:33.:59:39.

A councillor who referred to soldiers as armed killers on

:59:40.:59:42.

Armed Forces Day has been rdjected from Brighton and of's Green Party.

:59:43.:59:46.

Ben Duncan posted the tweet during a parade but later apologisdd.

:59:47.:59:50.

East Grinstead residents have railed against plans to close

:59:51.:59:52.

a garden centre and install a permanent travellers

:59:53.:59:54.

The proposals will go to consultation.

:59:55.:00:04.

It is not the sort of thing politicians

:00:05.:00:12.

I think we do need the authorities to have a statutory

:00:13.:00:26.

There is no Sunday Politics next week.

:00:27.:00:33.

will keep a bit safer. That is all the time we have.

:00:34.:00:46.

So, plenty happening in Parliament this coming week, including

:00:47.:00:48.

a controversial bill to make so-called assisted dying legal and

:00:49.:00:51.

Lord Carey has intervened in the assisted dying debate. Will it make

:00:52.:01:12.

a difference? It will make a difference because we have

:01:13.:01:18.

established in the House of Lords, I am not sure who they speak for and

:01:19.:01:24.

why they should have a privileged position, but he was a big opponent

:01:25.:01:31.

and has made a change of heart. The fact that the Daily Mail has printed

:01:32.:01:34.

this shows this is a big intervention. The Bill being pushed

:01:35.:01:46.

through, is it now on the agenda? I think it is. There are international

:01:47.:01:52.

examples of assisted dying elsewhere. The state of Oregon

:01:53.:01:57.

passed a Bill similar to this in the 1990s and things have not got out of

:01:58.:02:03.

control. That has not been an expansion or abuse. It has settled

:02:04.:02:05.

down and become part of the furniture. That makes it easier for

:02:06.:02:14.

this Bill, to make the case for it. Religious people may still have a

:02:15.:02:18.

principled objection but most other people have a practical objection,

:02:19.:02:22.

which is how to put in place safeguards to deal with unscrupulous

:02:23.:02:25.

relatives or anyone else who wants to abuse this right? Once a

:02:26.:02:29.

controversial issue is only being opposed for practical reasons it is

:02:30.:02:35.

on its way to getting its way. What is the division, is it the Church

:02:36.:02:38.

against everybody else? Is it a right and left division? What is

:02:39.:02:47.

stopping it? It is a very difficult moral issue and there are people who

:02:48.:02:52.

can have genuinely held Christian beliefs or non-Christian beliefs who

:02:53.:02:57.

can be on both sides. I think that the Lord Carey intervention is

:02:58.:03:01.

potentially a game changer not just because he is a former Archbishop of

:03:02.:03:05.

Canterbury but because he was on the Evan Jellicoe side of the Church of

:03:06.:03:09.

England. That is quite a big move. The response was to say, please

:03:10.:03:16.

withdraw your bell and let us have a royal Commission. The Supreme Court

:03:17.:03:21.

kicked the ball back to Parliament when they rejected the cases of

:03:22.:03:26.

three people who had been taking the case and said, we could say that

:03:27.:03:32.

banning the right to life is against the European Court of Human Rights,

:03:33.:03:36.

but it is a moral issue and an issue for Parliament. Parliament needs to

:03:37.:03:45.

decide. The data act that is going to be pushed through Parliament In

:03:46.:03:50.

record time. To comply with a European court judgement. Tom Watson

:03:51.:03:59.

and David Davis, some dissent. Are you so prized with how united the

:04:00.:04:03.

establishment, left, right and centre is? No. There is a great

:04:04.:04:11.

quote saying this has been enacted under the something must be done act

:04:12.:04:15.

and that captures it exactly. Even Cameron says he does not want to

:04:16.:04:22.

look people in the eye and say that he did not do everything he could.

:04:23.:04:25.

There is no end to the power of surveillance. It is all was about

:04:26.:04:30.

drawing a distinction. I am always suspicious when politicians look

:04:31.:04:33.

something up and said, we have all agreed. Are there at the centre is

:04:34.:04:40.

right or is the political establishment right? I think the

:04:41.:04:49.

establishment is right. I think it is stronger than other issues. We

:04:50.:04:55.

are in a unique position where all three political parties have

:04:56.:04:57.

relatively recent experience of government so they now that security

:04:58.:05:02.

threats are not made up by unscrupulous people. The legislation

:05:03.:05:09.

being proposed is not dramatic, it is to fill a gap that was created. I

:05:10.:05:15.

do not see the political controversy. All three political

:05:16.:05:21.

parties support it. David Davis and Liberty are against that, and always

:05:22.:05:29.

are. Would you not have expected... The Lib Dems are in government, but

:05:30.:05:33.

a bit more rebellion on the Labour backbenches? There is no political

:05:34.:05:40.

controversy put outside parliament there's quite a lot of controversy

:05:41.:05:46.

about this. My paper has taken an interest in this. It is interesting,

:05:47.:05:53.

it does not feel, it is not a 1950s, three public school boys

:05:54.:06:01.

setting, let us have this deal. The Liberal Democrats and Labour have

:06:02.:06:05.

serious questions. There's going to be a sunset clause that will run out

:06:06.:06:13.

in 2016. The Liberal Democrats, who asked pretty tough questions, have

:06:14.:06:19.

said there are assurances. Ed Miliband did not go to public

:06:20.:06:20.

school. For many English football fans,

:06:21.:06:23.

tonight's World Cup final presents How do you pick

:06:24.:06:26.

between two traditional foes Well, if you're

:06:27.:06:29.

a political obsessive, like these three, you could always back the

:06:30.:06:32.

nation according to how it votes. The website LabourList has produced

:06:33.:06:35.

a political guide to the tournament. At the beginning of the tournament,

:06:36.:06:50.

it was a fairly balanced playing field politically with 15 left wing

:06:51.:06:55.

and 17 right-wing countries. England found themselves isolated in a group

:06:56.:06:59.

with three left-wing countries. That was the least of their problems

:07:00.:07:06.

There was a clear domination of democratic regimes over

:07:07.:07:08.

authoritarian with only six of oratory and countries making it

:07:09.:07:11.

through to the finals and the only all authoritarian tie was dubbed the

:07:12.:07:21.

worst match of the World Cup. By the second round 16 teams remained. The

:07:22.:07:24.

left had a clear advantage with nine, seven from the right and

:07:25.:07:29.

authoritarian countries all but wiped out. Two representatives

:07:30.:07:34.

remained. Both were beaten by European democracies. By the

:07:35.:07:43.

semi-finals, all was even Stephen. A right-wing Protestant Europe taking

:07:44.:07:49.

on Catholics South America. With one victory apiece, Germany knocking out

:07:50.:07:54.

Brazil and Argentina beating the Dutch, tonight's final repeats that

:07:55.:07:59.

pattern. Who will win? Angela Merkel's Germany or Argentina?

:08:00.:08:09.

We're joined now by Britain's only Labour adviser

:08:10.:08:11.

Should we read political significance in to the fact that the

:08:12.:08:25.

only time England has won the World Cup was under a Labour government?

:08:26.:08:30.

Of course. The problem is we did not qualify for Euro 2008 when it was a

:08:31.:08:36.

Labour government. We have had some pretty shoddy results under a Labour

:08:37.:08:41.

government. As someone under the left, are you backing Argentina

:08:42.:08:46.

Absolutely not. I do not think it has anything to do with politics. It

:08:47.:08:51.

is a bit of fun. People should choose it is Don Hoop plays the best

:08:52.:08:59.

football and the Germans have been fantastic. They were great in 2 10

:09:00.:09:05.

as well. They started this model in 2008 and that is the sort of thing

:09:06.:09:09.

people should be supporting. Who should a Eurosceptic support? I

:09:10.:09:14.

would not say Argentina because that is the country that has tried to

:09:15.:09:19.

seize British sovereign territory within my lifetime. You were not

:09:20.:09:27.

around for the Blitz. Believe it or not, I was not. There is a strong

:09:28.:09:31.

political case to support Germany. They are probably going to win the

:09:32.:09:33.

World Cup with a clear of -- with They are probably going to win the

:09:34.:09:46.

players of Polish origin. That sort of cultural change they have forced

:09:47.:09:50.

themselves to go through... You talk about them being right wing, but in

:09:51.:09:57.

fact the way that the German league is structured, and I am an expert,

:09:58.:10:05.

is based on ownership. It is very different from the Premier League.

:10:06.:10:09.

It is about football as a usual good. The ticket prices are lower.

:10:10.:10:17.

The fans are involved in running the club. It is a model that all English

:10:18.:10:24.

football clubs should emulate. Germany had a strong football team

:10:25.:10:30.

under centre right governments and centre left governments and a

:10:31.:10:37.

coalition. A strong football team and a strong economy. The

:10:38.:10:45.

Conservative MP who is the arch Eurosceptic wanted to get us out of

:10:46.:10:49.

the European Union and was for a few weeks ago when people were making

:10:50.:10:55.

jokes about Jean-Claude Juncker he was outraged and said you should not

:10:56.:10:59.

do that, so he could happily support Germany. What was interesting about

:11:00.:11:05.

the authoritarian and democratic regimes, what is great is that the

:11:06.:11:10.

World Cup is run by this open and democratic organisation Fifa. It is

:11:11.:11:22.

similar to the EU in many regards. Two countries led by women. Maybe

:11:23.:11:29.

gender is the thing. We did not win under Margaret Thatcher. There's one

:11:30.:11:36.

big difference with the EU, you cannot flog six Dom Acta gets to go

:11:37.:11:43.

to a European summit. Did you know that Italy won two world cups under

:11:44.:11:56.

Mussolini? Can we draw any conclusions between a political

:11:57.:11:58.

system and the performance of the football team? You can draw certain

:11:59.:12:04.

parallels between maybe national cliches, so the Germans are

:12:05.:12:10.

efficient and effective, which might reflect and the English are very

:12:11.:12:15.

polite so we let everyone score first and go into the second round.

:12:16.:12:19.

We put ourselves at the back of the queue. Is England going to qualify

:12:20.:12:25.

for the European? We are going to win the European Championship. The

:12:26.:12:35.

first country Scotland have to play is Germany. What could possibly go

:12:36.:12:43.

wrong? Who is going to win? Germany. Germany. I am going to put a few bob

:12:44.:12:54.

on Argentina. Are you going to be watching? Absolutely. Thank you

:12:55.:13:01.

This is the last Sunday Politics for the summer.

:13:02.:13:06.

But we'll be back in early autumn and our first programme will be live

:13:07.:13:09.

from Scotland, the weekend before the referendum

:13:10.:13:15.

The Daily Politics is back tomorrow at noon and we'll bring you

:13:16.:13:20.

the last PMQs before the summer on Wednesday morning from 11:30am.

:13:21.:13:23.

Remember, if it's Sunday, it's the Sunday Politics, unless

:13:24.:15:02.

You have been selected to take part in an antiques TV programme.

:15:03.:15:08.

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