20/11/2016 Sunday Politics South

Morning folks - welcome to the Sunday Politics.

Theresa May says she'll deliver on Brexit but does that mean leaving

the EU's Single Market and the Customs Union?

Tory MPs campaign for a commitment from the Prime

The Chancellor pledges just over a billion pounds worth of spending

on Britain's roads but is that it or will there be

In the South, noisy neighbotrs. 18 days in the job.

With more students living in private housing in Oxford, complaints about

Is enough being done about the problem?

in London: Is the battle for Richmond Park based on the skies? Or

is it about a bigger conflict in Europe?

And with me - as always - and, no, these three aren't doing

the Mannequin challenge - it's our dynamic, demonstrative

dazzling political panel - Helen Lewis, Isabel Oakeshott

and Tom Newton Dunn they'll also be tweeting throughout the programme.

First this morning - Theresa May has said

"Brexit means Brexit" - but can the Prime Minister -

who was on the Remain side of argument during the referendum

Well, Leave-supporting Tory MPs are re-launching

the "European Research Group" this morning to keep Mrs May's feet

Are you worried that you cannot trust Theresa May until payment to

deliver full Brexit was Magellan like I totally trust Theresa May,

100% behind her. She has displayed a massive amount of commitment to

making a success of Brexit for the country.

We don't know that yet, because nothing has happened. Why, then

have you formed a pressure group? We were fed up with the negativity

coming out around Brexit. I feel positive about the opportunities we

face, and we are a group to provide suggestions. Who do you have in mind

when you talk about negativity the Chancellor? No, from the Lib Dems,

for example, from Labour MPs. This is a pressure group for leaving

membership of the single market and customs union, correct? That is what

we are proposing. It has a purpose other than just to combat

negativity. When it comes to membership of the single market and

the customs union, can you tell us what Government policy is towards

both or either? Rightly, the Government hasn't made the position

clear, and I think that is the right approach, because we don't want to

review our negotiating hand. What we're saying... I'm not asking what

you are saying. Can you tell us what Government policy is towards

membership of these institutions? The Government wants to make sure

British businesses have the right to trade with EU partners, to forge new

trade deals with the rest of the world. We hope to Reza may speak at

Mansion house this week. -- we had Theresa May speak at Mansion house

this week. She has been clear, saying it was not a binary choice.

And she's right. Let's run that tape, because I want to pick up on

what she did say. This is what she had to say about the customs union

at Prime Minister's Question Time. On the whole question of the customs

union, trading relationships that we have with the European Union and

other parts of the world once we have left the European Union, we are

preparing carefully for the formal negotiations. We are preparing

carefully for the formal negotiations. We want to ensure we

have the best possible trading deal with the EU once we have left. Do

you know what she means when she says being in the customs union is

not a binary choice? I think she's right when she says that. At the

moment, and you know this, as long as we are in the customs union, we

cannot set our own tariffs or rules, cannot have a free trade agreement

with the US or China. We need to leave a customs union to do that.

Binary means either you are in or you are out, self which is it? We

still want to trade with the EU and I think we can have a free trade

agreement with the EU. That is a separate matter, and it has to do

with the single market. What about the customs union? We need to leave

the customs union. We do it and properly. That is how to get the

most out of this opportunity. Summit is a binary choice? The Prime

Minister is right when she says it's not a binary choice. Both can't be

right. We can leave the customs union, get their benefits, and have

a free trade agreement with zero tariffs with the EU. So it is a

binary choice an either be stale really. Yellow like I am saying the

Prime Minister is right when she says it is not a binary choice. -- I

am saying the Prime Minister is right. We need clarity. Youth had

said -- you have said it is a binary choice. We need to leave the

constraints of the customs union. It pushes up prices. The EU is not

securing the right trade deals, and if we want to make the most of it,

we need to get out there and get some deals going. Do you accept that

if we remain in the customs union, we cannot do our own free-trade

deals? Yellow right 100%. That is why we have to leave. -- 100%. Do

you accept that if we leave the customs union but stay with

substantial access, I don't say membership, but substantial access

to the single market, that goods going from this country to the

single market because we're no longer in the union will be subject

to complicated rules of origin regulations, which could cost

business ?13 billion a year? I would like to see a free-trade agreement

between the UK and the EU. Look at the Canadian deal. I give you that,

but if we're not in the customs union, things that we bring in on

our own tariffs once we've left we can't just export again willy-nilly

to the EU. They will demand to see rules of origin. Norway has to do

that at the moment and it is highly complicated expensive. I think if we

agree a particular arrangement as part of this agreement with the EU,

we can reach an agreement on that which sets a lower standard, which

sets a different level of tariffs, which protects some of our

industries. Let's suppose we have pretty much free trade with the EU

but we are out of the customs union, and let's suppose that the European

Union has a 20% tariff on Japanese whisky and we decide to have a %

tariff - what then happens to the whisky that comes into Britain and

goes on to the EU? The EU will not let that in. That will be part of

the negotiation. I think there is a huge benefit for external operators.

Every bottle of Japanese whisky they will have to work out the rules

of origin. There have been studies that show there is a potential for

50% increase in global product if we leave. We're losing the benefits of

free trade. I understand, I am asking for your particular view

Thank you for that. Is it not surprising Mr Hannan could

not bring himself to say we would leave the customs union? It is

messy. The reason there is this new group of Tory MPs signing up to a

campaign to make sure we get a genuine Brexit is because there is

this vacuum. It is being filled with all sorts of briefing from the other

side. There is a real risk in the minds of Brexit supporting MPs that

the remaining side are going to try to hijack the process, not only

through the Supreme Court action, which I think most Brexit MPs seem

to accept the appeal will fail, but further down the line, through

amendments to the great repeal bill. This is a pressure group to try to

hold the Prime Minister to account. There is plenty of pressure on the

Prime Minister effectively to stay in the single market and the customs

union, and if you do both of these things, de facto, you have stayed in

the EU. She is in a difficult position because there is no good

faith assumption about what Theresa May wants because she was a

Remainer. There is all this talk about a transitional arrangement,

but she can't sell that as someone who voted to remain. The way Isabel

has characterised it is interesting. There is a betrayal narrative.

Everyone is looking to say that she has betrayed the true Brexit. Since

the Government cannot give a clear indication of what it once in terms

of the customs union, which sets external tariffs, or the single

market, which is the free movement of people, capital, goods and

services, others are filling this vacuum. Right. The reasons they

can't do this are, first, they don't know if they can get it or not. We

saw this with the renegotiation the last Prime Minister. What are they

hoping to get? The world on a stick, to get cake and eat it. You go into

a negotiation saying, let's see what we can get in total. Are they going

to ask the membership of the single market? Yellow I think they will ask

for a free trade agreement involving everything. You can demand what you

want. The question is, do they stand a cat's chance in hell of getting

it? They don't know. Welcome back. We will be back, believe me. It is

150 day since we found out the UK had voted to leave the EU, but as we

have heard, remain and leave campaigners continue to battle about

what type of relationship we should have with the EU after exit.

Leave campaigners say that leaving the EU

also means quitting the

Single Market, the internal European trading bloc that includes free

movement of goods, services, capital and people.

They point to evidence that leading Leave supporting

politicians ruled out staying in the Single Market during

Andrea Leadsom, for example, said it would almost

certainly be the case that the UK would come out of the Single Market.

When asked for a yes or no on whether the UK should stay

"No, we should be outside the Single Market."

And Boris Johnson agreed with his erstwhile ally, saying, "Michael

Gove was absolutely right to say the UK

They've released a video of clips of Leave campaigners speaking before

the referendum apparently saying that the UK should stay in the

Nigel Farage, for example, once said that on leaving

the EU we'll find ourselves part of the European economic area

Owen Paterson, the former Environment Secretary,

once made the startling statement that only a madman would actually

And Matthew Elliott, the Vote Leave chief, said

that the Norwegian option would be initially attractive for some

But do these quotes create an accurate picture of what

To cast some light on where these quotes came from we're

joined by James McGrory, director of Open Britain

Welcome to the Sunday Politics. . Your video has statements from leave

campaigners hinting they want to stay in the single market. How many

were made during the referendum campaign? I don't know. Not one was

made during the referendum campaign. Indeed, only two of the 12

statements were recorded after Royal assent had been given to the

referendum. Only one was made this year before the referendum.

Throughout the campaign am a leave campaigners lauded the Norwegian

model. Norway are in the single market but not in the EU. They went

out of their way not to be pinned down on a specific trading

arrangement they want to see in the future with Europe, when the

Treasury model the different models it was the EEA or a free-trade

agreement. I understand. Does it not undermine your case that none of the

12 statements on your video were made during the campaign itself

when people were giving really serious thought to such matters The

Leave campaign weren't giving serious thought to such matters

They did not set out the future trading model they wanted to see.

But you cannot produce a single video with somebody saying we should

stay in the single market during the campaign. Daniel Hanna had talked

about the Norwegian model as a future option. One comment from

Nigel Farage dates back to 2009 when we didn't even know if we would

have a referendum or not. Does it not stretch credibility to go back

to the time when Gordon Brown was Prime Minister? The overall point

stands. It is not supposed to be an exhaustive list of the options.

Daniel Hannan, described as the intellectual godfather of the Leave

movement is saying that no one is talking about threatening our place

in the signal market. I think it's legitimate to point out the Leave

campaign never came forward with a credible argument. We have

highlighted some of the quotes you picked out from leave campaigners

over time. Do you think you have fully encapsulated their arguments

accurately? I don't think in a 2nd video you can talk about the full

thing. -- a 90-2nd video. Some of them want to seek a free-trade

agreement, some to default on to World Trade Organisation tariffs.

There is a range of opinion in the Leave campaign. Let's listen to the

clip you used on Owen Paterson first.

Only a madman would actually leave the market.

Only a madman would actually leave the market.

It's not the EU which is

a political organisation delivering the prosperity and buying our goods.

It's the market, it's the members of the market and we'll carry on

I mean, are we really suggesting that the

economy in the world is not going to come to come

to a satisfactory trading arrangement with the EU?

Are we going to be like Sudan and North

It is ludicrous this idea that we are going to leap off a

What he said when he said only a madman would leave Europe, was that

we would continue to trade, we would continue to have access. Any country

in the world can have access. What the Leave campaign suggested is our

trade would continue uninterrupted, they are still at it today, David

Davis used the phrase, uninterrupted, from the dispatch box

recently. You misrepresented him by saying only a madman would leave the

Single Market and stopped it there, because he goes onto say that of

course we want Leave in the sense of continuing to have access. I don't

think he was about axis, he is talking

about membership. He doesn't use the word membership at all. He talks

about we are going to carry on trading with them, we will not leap

off, we will carry on trading. Anybody can trade with the EU, it's

the terms on which you trade that is important and leave campaigners and

Patterson is an example of this saying we can trade as we do now,

the government saying we can trade without bureaucratic impediments and

tariff free. The viewers will make up their mind. Let's listen to the

views of Matthew Elliott, the Chief Executive of Vote Leave.

When it comes to the Norwegian option, the EEA option, I think that

it might be initially attractive for some business people.

So you then cut him off there but this is what he went on to say in

the same clip, let's listen to that. When it comes to the Norwegian

option, the EEA option, I think that it might be initially attractive

for some business people. But then again for voters

who are increasingly concerned about migration in the EU,

they will be very concerned that it allows free movement

of people to continue. Again, you have misrepresented him.

He said the Norwegian model has attractions but there are real

problems if it involves free movement of people, which it does.

But you cut that bit out. I challenge anyone to represent them

accurately because they took such a range of opinions. I don't know what

we are supposed to do. You are misrepresenting them. He is saying

the Norwegian option is attractive to business, I understand why. It

might not be attractive for voters. But then he said if it allowed free

movement of people it could be an issue. You took that out. You are

saying this is a definitive position. I'm suggesting you are

distorting it. This is what you had Mr Farage say.

On D+1 we'll find ourselves part of the European economic area

This is what he then went on to say in that same clip that you didn t

run. There is absolutely

nothing to fear in terms of trade from leaving

the on D+1 we'll find ourselves part

of the European Economic Area and we should use our

membership of the EEA as a holding position from which

we can negotiate as the European Union's biggest export

market in the world, as good a deal, my goodness me,

if Switzerland can have one we So there again, he says not that we

should stay in the Single Market as a member, but that we stay in the EA

as a transition until we negotiate something. -- EEA. This whole clip

is online, how would you get away with this distortion? It is not a

distortion, the whole point is to point out they do not have a

definitive position, he is arguing for membership of the Single Market,

for a transitional period. For the transition. How long does that go

on, what does he want to then achieve? Not very quickly but he

does not say we should stay members of the Single Market and you didn't

let people see what he went on to say, you gave the impression he

wanted to stay in the one it. It would not be a video then, it would

be a seven-week long lecture. They took so many positions, and the idea

now that they were clear with people that we should definitely leave the

Single Market I think is fictitious. You are trying to make out they all

had one position which was to remain members of the one it. You see the

full clips that is not what they are saying. We are trying to point out

there is no mandate to leave the Single Market. The idea the Leave

campaign spoke with unanimity and clarity of purpose and throughout

the whole campaign said we will definitely leave the Single Market

is not true. That is the whole point of the media. We showed in the

montage in the video just before we came on, we said that then Prime

Minister, the then Chancellor, Boris Johnson, Michael Gove, being

categorical that if you vote to leave the EU, you vote to leave

membership of the Single Market What bit of that didn't you

understand? Under duress they occasionally said they wanted to

leave. Some of them wanted to leave the Single Market. All of the other

promises they made, whether ?35 million for the NHS, whether a VAT

cut on fuel, points-based system. You do not have a single quote of

any of these members saying they want to be a member. Daniel Hannan

has said consistently that Norway are a part of the Single Market You

spend the referendum campaign criticising for Rim misrepresenting

and misrepresenting and lying and many thought they did. Having seen

this many will conclude that you are the biggest liars. I think it is

perfectly reasonable to point out that the Leave campaign did not have

a clear position on our future trading relationship with Europe.

That is all this video does. It doesn't say we definitely have to

stay in the Single Market, it just says they do have a mandate to drag

us out of our biggest trading partner.

Now people have seen the full quotes in context our viewers will make up

their mind. Thank you. Now - voting closes next week

in the the Ukip leadership contest. The second Ukip leadership contest

this year after the party's first female leader - Diane James -

stood down from the role Since then the party's lurched from

farce to fiasco. It's a world gripped by uncertainty,

split into factions. Yes, 2, because they're

having their second Watch as the alpha male,

the Ukip leader at Nigel Watch as the alpha male,

the Ukip leader Nigel Farage, hands power to the new alpha

female Diane James. The European Parliament

in Strasbourg, October. Another leading light and possible

future leader, the MEP Steven Wolfe,

has been laid low after an alleged tussle with a colleague

during a meeting. A few days later he is

out of hospital and I will be withdrawing my

application to become I'm actually withdrawing

myself from Ukip. You're resigning from the party

I'm resigning with immediate effect. And this week a leaked document

suggested the party improperly spent EU funds on political

campaigning in the UK. Another headache for whoever takes

over the leadership of the pack One contender is Suzanne Evans,

a former Tory councillor and was briefly suspended for

disloyalty. Also standing, Paul Nuttall,

an MEP from Liverpool who has been by Farage's side

as his deputy for six years. There's another big beast

in the Ukip leadership contest, and I'm told

that today he can be spotted He's John Rees-Evans,

a businessman and adventurer who is offering members the chance

to propose policies via a website We've got really dedicated

passionate supporters who feel like they're not really

being listened to and are not even Typically what happens

is they just basically sit there until six months before

a General Election when they are contacted and asked to go out

and leaflet and canvas. Even at branch level people feel

there is not an adequate flow of communication

up-and-down the party. Are you not going to take part in

any hustings? He left a hustings saying

the contest was an establishment coronation and has

made colourful comments in the past. He's in favour of the death penalty

for crimes like paedophilia. I think there is a clear

will amongst the offences should be dealt with

decisively. But again, on an issue like that,

that is something that Our members are not

going to agree with me on everything and I don't believe that

I would have any authority to have the say and determine

the future What method would you use

for the death penalty? Again, that is something that could

be determined by suggestions made So you'd have like an online

poll about whether you use the electric chair,

or lethal injection? For example, arguments would be made

in favour of This is such a small aspect

of what I'm standing for. Essentially, in mainstream media

they try to by focusing on pretty irrelevant

details. This is one vote that

the membership would have. What I'm actually trying to do

in this party is to revolutionise the democratic

process in the UK, and that's really what your viewers should

be concentrating on. With him at the helm he reckons Ukip

would win at Meanwhile, in New York,

on a visit to Trump Tower, Nigel Farage admired the plumage

of the President-elect, a man he has described as

a silverback gorilla, a friendship that's been condemned by some

in this leadership contest. There are also elections

to the party's National Executive Committee, a body

that's been roundly criticised by And we're joined now by two

of the candidates in the Ukip leadership election -

Suzanne Evans and Paul Nuttall. We are going to kick off by giving

each of them 30 seconds to lay out their case as to why they would be

the less leader starting with Suzanne Evans.

Ukip is at its best when it is scaring the political establishment,

forcing it to address those problems it would rather ignore. But it

really change people's lives for the better and fast, we need to win

seats and elections right across the country. To win at the ballot box we

need to attract more women, more ethnic

minorities, and more of those Labour voters who no longer recognise their

party. I know how to do that. Ukip under my

leadership will be the same page about it, common-sense, radical

party it has always been, just even more successful. Thank you, Suzanne

Evans, Paul Nuttall. I'm standing on a platform of unity and experience.

I believe the party must come together if it is to survive and

prosper. I believe I'm the best candidate to ensure that happens, I

am not part of any faction in the party, and beyond that I have done

every single job within the party, whether that is as head of policy,

whether that is Party Chairman, deputy leader for Nigel for the past

six years. I believe Ukip has great opportunities in Labour

constituencies where we can move in and become the Patriot invoice of

working people, and beyond that we have to ensure the government's feet

are held to the fire on Brexit and we get real Brexit, not a

mealy-mouthed version. How will you get a grip on this? People have to

realise that the cause is bigger than any personality, we have to get

together in a room and sort out not just a spokespeople role but roles

within the organisation, Party Chairman, party secretary, and

whatnot. But as I say, Ukip must unite, we are on 13% in the opinion

polls, the future is bright, there are open goals but Ukip must be on

the pitch to score them. He says he's the only one that can get a

grip on this party. I disagree, I have a huge amount of experience in

the party as well and also a background that I think means I can

help bring people together. I have always said nothing breeds unity

faster than success and under my leadership we will be successful.

There is concern about the future of our National Executive Committee

going forward. Mr Farage called it the lowest grade of people I have

ever met, do you agree? I think he must have been having a bad day I

think we need to make it more accountable to the membership, more

open, more democratic. What would you do with the National Executive

Committee? I have been calling for the National Executive Committee to

be elected reasonably since 201 giving the members better

communication lines and make it far more transparent. Would you have a

clear out of the office? I wouldn't, I think the chairman of the party,

Paul Upton, the interim chairman, is doing a good job and the only person

who has come out of the summer with his reputation enhanced. Let me show

you a picture we have all seen of your current leader, Mr Farage, with

President-elect Donald Trump. Paul Nuttall, you criticise Mr Farage's

decision to appear at rallies during the American election and called Mr

Trump appalling. Do you stick by that? I wouldn't have voted for him.

I made it clear. Do you still think he's appalling now that he is

President-elect? Some of the things he said were appalling during the

campaign that he said. But he would be good for Britain, trade,

pro-Brexit and he is an Anglo file and the first thing he did was put

the bust of Winston Churchill back in the Oval Office. You, Suzanne

Evans, called Mr Trump one of the weakest candidates the US has had. I

said the same about Hillary Clinton. They cannot both be the weakest The

better candidate on either side would have beaten the other, that is

quite clear. Do you stand by that, or are you glad that your leader Mr

Farage has strong ties to him? I am, why wouldn't I be? For Ukip to have

that direct connection, it can be only good for a party. Were you not

out of step and Mr Farage is in step because it looks like your vote is

according to polling I have seemed like Mr Trump and his policies? Let

me finish. If I am the leader of Ukip I will not be involving myself

in foreign elections, I will because in trading here in this country

ensuring we get Ukip people elected to council chambers and get seats in

2020. The other thing your leader has in

common with Mr Trump is that he rather admires Vladimir Putin. Do

you? I don't. If you look at Putin's record, he has invaded Ukraine and

Georgia. I am absolutely not a fan. I think that Vladimir Putin is

pretty much a nasty man, but beyond that, I believe that in the Middle

East, he is generally getting it right in many areas. We need to

bring the conflict... Bombing civilians? We need to bring the

conflict to an end as fast as possible. The British and American

line before Donald Trump is to support rebels, including one is

affiliated to Al-Qaeda, to the Taliban. We need to clear these

people out and ensure that Syria becomes stable. This controversial

breaking point poster from during the referendum campaign. Mr Farage

unveiled it, there he is standing in front of it. You can bend it - do

you still? Yes, I think it was the wrong poster at the wrong time. I

was involved with the vote Leave campaign as well as Ukip's campaign,

and I felt strongly that those concerned about immigration were

already going to vote to leave because it was a fundamental truth

that unless we left the European Union we couldn't control

immigration. I thought it was about approaching those soft wavering

voters who weren't sure. I don't think I said it was racist, but it

was about sovereignty and trade and so forth. That was where we needed

to go. I was concerned it might put off some of those wavering voters.

People may well say, it was part of the winning campaign. It was Ukip

shock and all, which is what you stand for and what makes you

different. I said I would know how that I said I would not have gone

for that person and I thought it was wrong to do it just a week out from

the referendum. However, I believe it released legitimate concerns

with a deluge of people making their way from the Middle East and Africa

into the European continent. Where is the low hanging fruit for you,

particularly in England? Is it Labour or Conservative voters? I

want to hang onto the Conservative voters we have got but I think the

low hanging fruit is Labour. Jeremy Corbyn won't sing the national

anthem, Emily Thornbury despises the English flag. Diane Abbott thinks

anyone talking about immigration is racist. Not to mention John

McDonnell's feelings about the IRA. Labour has ceased to be a party for

working people and I think Ukip is absolutely going to be that party.

It is clear, I absolutely concur with everything Suzanne has said. I

first voiced this back in 2008 that I believe Ukip has a fantastic

opportunity in working-class communities, and everyone laughed at

me. It is clear now that we resonate with working people, and you have

seen that in the Brexit result. Would you bring back the death

penalty? It wouldn't be Ukip policy. Absolutely not. Would you give more

money to the NHS and how would your fanatic? You like it is important to

fund it adequately, and it hasn t been to date. We promised in our

manifesto that we would give more money. Where does the money come

from? It is about tackling health tourism. I think the NHS is being

taken for a ride at the moment. That may be right, but where does the

money come from? It is about scaling back management in the NHS, because

that has burgeoned beyond control. They are spending far more money on

management. Where would you save money? We need to look at HS two,

foreign aid. Now we have Brexit and we will be saving on the membership

fee. We need to cut back on management, as Suzanne says. It

cannot be right that 51% of people who work for the NHS in England are

not clinically qualified. The NHS needs money now - where would you

get it? From HS two. That is capital spending spread over a long period.

Where will you get the money now? OK, another one. We spent ?25

million every day on foreign aid to countries who sometimes are richer

than ourselves. Through the Barnett formula. You would take money away

from Scotland? Yes, I think they get far too much. PG tips or Earl Grey?

Colegrave. PG tips. Strictly come dancing or X Factor? Neither.

Strictly. I would love to be on it one day. There you go. Thank you

It's just gone 11:35am, you're watching the Sunday Politics.

We say goodbye to viewers in Scotland, who leave us now

Coming up here in 20 minutes, the Week Ahead.

Welcome to Sunday Politics South, my name's Peter Henley.

On today's show, rising tensions between Oxford's neighbours.

More students are moving into residential areas,

leading to complaints about noise and disruption.

But Oxford Brookes University says building an extra

1,500 rooms in student halls over the next five years.

First, let's meet the two politicians

Louise Goldsmith is the Conservative leader of West Sussex Counchl,

welcome, Louise. Hello.

And Simon Letts is the Labour leader of

Southampton City Council. Morning.

You're just back from the United States.

Yes, I had a week stay in New York with my family.

Yes, so, did Donald win or Hillary lose?

Yes. Yes.

You agree? All the evidence is that wax.

It's going to have an impact on us, though, isn't it?

The number of Democrat voters that turned out was

much lower than for Barack Obama, the previous two times so clearly it

is a failure to get your own vote out was the issue.

I think there was a lot of people that were

unhappy and therefore didn't vote that time ago but the other thing

was that a lot of people who didn't normally vote had registered and

they were under the radar as far as the polls were concerned, those

people came out, but I do know that in New York there were long queues

at the polling station when I walked past.

What is there to learn for

I think it's really important to engage with your residents `nd make

sure that you're representing them, putting your case forward.

I think that is very important on a local level

Take nothing for granted. Absolutely.

We have discussed this, and there is a link between Brexit

and the Trump vote which saxs that a number of quite a lot of people's

felt that their voices had been ignored for a period of timd, and

made their voices and loud and clear, and we need to start to

listen to those voices, and make sure we adress some of the hssues

that they raised, for example living standards.

Well, the Autumn Statement hs the opportunity for Philip Hammond.

Absolutely. If he wants to.

Well, George Osborne used to use it as a bit of a political gamd,

Do you think that he's going to be keeping stuff under his

hat again, or do you think this infrastructure spending that we re

seeing with Trump will be what doing here?

got a very difficult job because he's not got a lot

of room to move but I think with the industrial

strategy and it's really important to invest in the economy now and

show that we are very much open for business, we have stated it

And I do hope that there will be money for

Something is happening there, isn't it?

There's been a consultation, on the first phase.

The second consultation on @rundell to Worthing will be coming out

So we await the announcement, but there are other

things that could be done and we are talking

about a lot of houses being

developed and I'd like to sde personally that we can put

infrastructure in first because I think that's what a lot

If we have to have the housds, we have to have the

infrastructure first, and that's going to be really important.

So many times we've heard about housing.

Would you like to build your own, in Southampton,

I'd like to endorse that pohnt because there is a failure of

political decision-making in this country over 50 years that we have

not put in the sufficient infrastructure.

One of the reasons that we produce less per hour than

the French and the Germans `nd the Americans is because people are

wasting time trying to get from A to B, and are stuck hn jams.

If the M27 was to have an accident, the whole

of our local economy, you know, is severely affected for half a day.

But these are going to be the big, grandiose, big-ticket things

I mean, we just want faster broadband, don't we?

Well, we're getting faster broadband.

We are looking at 4G and 5G through our

Devo bid, so there are other things that are going on.

I do think that there is a issue around developing

more houses and bringing them on stream.

I think if they put that infrastructure in it would be a

really welcome thing for many people.

Now, it's often been seen as a lifeline for

But research by the national association

of care catering shows that only a third of people eligible

to receive meals on wheels do so, and in the

south-east that's one of thd lowest figures in the country.

Now, for the first time, the number of councils

providing the service has dropped below half.

Neil Radia is the national chair of the national

This survey shows a steep decline in just two years.

We conducted independent research this year that

looked at how many top tier local authorities across the UK still

provide the meals on wheels service, and our figures showed that less

than half are now actively providing the meals on wheels service, which

They're pointing people to alternatives, aren't thex?

Absolutely. Is that good enough?

What we have found in our studies is that those who are not actively

providing the service are signposting to services.

And you've got some great examples of signposting where they are

working in partnership with private providers or working in partnership

with social enterprises or dven combining the services

Nice! Like we used to back 80 years ago.

But then we have also seen in the study that we have done

that we have some local authorities who are

actually signposting to a wdbsite for the local authority, and having

lists of local supermarkets and even in a couple of cases...

So, Doris at number 33 loses the meals on wheels,

checks the website and they say go to Tesco's.

I mean, we've seen a few cases where we've even

seen fast food joints on websites saying, you know, you can gdt your

services, just a huge list of services on a website, and to be

honest with you for somebodx, a senior citizen living in our

community, that is quite appalling, to be signposted in such a way.

But at the same time, we've had some really good study reports,

examples of working in partnership with other people.

The problem is if demand drops off in an area or the subsidy

is taken away or whatever, ht just becomes much more expensive per

meal, and what you're getting from a hot meal, meals on wheels,

catering company, whatever, is perhaps not as good as you could get

in a supermarket, and stick in a microwave.

One of the reasons that we're hearing from local authorithes

who are shutting, stopping the meals on wheels service is that they are

saying that there is a declhne of people wanting to use the sdrvices.

Quite surprising in a nation where we have a rising older

Well, maybe it's not just up-to-date enough.

Maybe this is a little bit old-fashioned.

I disagree with that. Because there are meals services...

Unless you actually see some of the quality of

the meals that are out therd, there's some very good servhces

The problem we have with those local authorities who are

shutting the service down is that they are...

What they are saying is because of...

Well, they're stopping the subsidies,

which is making the meals unfundable, and they are not

actively monitoring.

--marketing. The meals on wheels

service is such... It's a preventative service,

it's such a vital valuable service,

and anyone knows from the commercial side

that if you do not market a servhce,

to get the uptake, if peopld don't know the service is there pdople

Do you see meals on wheels as the future in Southampton, Simon,

or is it just a drag on your very tight budget?

We have a very unique agreelent I think come across the

country, in that we have a provider that used to work for the council

who have now set up as a mutual and they provide are meals on wheels

service and they also provide an excellent

service and they also provide an excellent service

There is a partnership between schools and

the provider which means thdy share any profit that comes out, `nd so it

is a way of encouraging schools to stay with the city service rather

So numbers rising or falling? I think they are rising, marginally.

The service is provided by City Catering, and we are very pleased

It's still pretty tough, isn't it, when

the central government funding is being cut,

and that is not statutory, and you don't have to provide.

And it's absolutely the reason why you

should be providing it for all the reasons you said.

I'm really proud that we have another unique option

in West Sussex with a private provider, we are providing really

I know, because I've had a couple of them.

And is the take-up rising or falling? It's rising.

We have done about over 150,000 meals and

that's including about 22,000 that have gone to care centres

But we also have a unique offering

When they come in, they can have a quick check with the

whoever it is, how are they, are they OK?

I will say this, because it is important.

We've got the two best in the country!

task and finish group that put a recommendation in that if people

were falling off taking thehr meals, we need to check back and fhnd out

why. And, you know, it sounds like such

a basic but it is a really important...

It is, for society as a whole you see this as an

investment that might save money in other places.

But the budgeting system doesn't reward bad.

I think that it does becausd the key goal is

to keep people independent in their own home, and this is part

of that, and so if we keep people independent

and supported in their own homes that is much more cost-effective,

and it is what people gener`lly do, rather than going out of a home

setting. So, like somebody

coming to the door... Exactly, loneliness

is a big issue.

Our provider can do many thhngs whether it is salt free

diets or whether people havd swallowing diets, you know, no other

food producer is going to provide that service.

Well done Sussex. And Southampton.

According to your survey, that's right, isn't it?

One place it is not, it's 100% agreement they will continud

in Northern Ireland where the social care and the NHS is combined.

Absolutely, so where we havd seen the social care, health budget

integrating, we actually st`rted seeing, you know, those are the

areas that people have joindd up thinking, a lot of talking, in many

So when we did the survey a couple of years ago, therd

were a couple of local authorities around the UK where they were

actually running on their own social care budget, but then we fotnd out

this year that where these budgets are integrated,

they have started talking.

Prevention is actually far cheaper than cure,

and the average cost...

The Department of Health last year showcased that the average

cost of a hospital bed is ?400 per day. Yes.

Now, if we can keep the services like meals on wheels in our

communities longer, then all we are doing is helping the NHS

and health services alleviate some of the pressures

that they are facing at the moment, so health and social

care is about working in partnership together,

and actually seeing how we

can prevent people from going into hospital and keeping them in their

own homes, independent, for longer, and it is not only about food.

People see meals on wheels... Sorry, it's just about...

The longer you stay that way, the better.

Neil, thank you very much for coming in and talking about it.

Now, do you get on with your neighbours?

For some, in areas of Oxford harmony between

households is in short supply, as there has been a rise in students

moving into private homes, and complaints about noise `nd

Our Oxfordshire reporter Bethan Phillips has more.

# Everybody needs good neighbours...#

Students are very good at some things.

But it seems they don't alw`ys make the best neighbours.

Two o'clock in the morning, them all running past

in shopping trolleys screamhng, is it a good thing?

And in Oxford, the tension between town and gown

I've been given this letter which was sent to students

It says the university has seen a significant rise in the

number of local residents r`ising extremely serious concerns `bout

noise and disturbance caused by students.

It says students that don't adhere to its conduct regulations

Ross Clark has lived in east Oxford all his life,

and says the area is changing rapidly.

prices have rocketed, peopld who own their own houses have

obviously benefited, but

we've had some terrible neighbours, and great neighbours.

You know, but when you get terrible ones,

But students themselves aren't so sure

We live a varied road, studdnts families...

And I think, well, from my friends and me, I think we are

You can communicate with them and you can

If I have like a party then we will be like, yeah,

after a certain time, let's keep it down,

but it's not our major thought, let's say.

Yeah, it's not like the first thing we think of.

More students are now living in private homes in Oxford,

and it means competition for houses is high.

This is what we will be seehng outside letting agents this week

as the student housing lists for next year are released.

You have people in tents, having cups of tea and a

singsong at night, and sometimes they have been

The most organised queue up first because they get

Oxford City Council has set a limit of 3,000 students for

each university living in private accommodation per year to e`se

The University of Oxford has managed to

stick to it, but Oxford Brookes has broken the threshold

Last year, more than 3,700 of its students rented priv`te

homes, rather than living in university halls.

It's disappointing, and Brooks are as disappointed

They need to build more student housing, they

need to house more of their students in their own accommodation, they

have plans coming forward for really significant numbers that will

Oxford Brookes says it is planning to build an extra 1,500 student

There is a long pipeline to respond to these issues.

Once you have identified the opportunity, it really takes you

five years to get the first students into those halls of residence.

With the current shortage of space in

there's cash to be made by

So how much would this be asking for, then?

This is about ?1,300 per calendar month.

But right in the city centrd, brand-new apartment,

nice facilities, they're willing to pay it.

Oxford wouldn't be Oxford without students, but it

seems there's still some work to do for the to find the perfect blend.

seems there's still some work to do for the city

1300 a month for a one bed flat in Oxford.

Well, they are, aren't they must remark but you are pleased to

see more students in Chichester, aren't you?

Well, we have a good university in Chichester but it also

has a hub down at Bognor Regis that is expanding with the digit`l and

engineering, and they are building accommodation.

It's a regeneration project, sometimes, when you get

these new university buildings and all the rest of it. Yes.

It has had funding from us, we are very supportive, we

are working on the digital offer with them, and can you know, we are

very pleased to see them expanding because that will help not only

Bognor Regis but West Sussex as well.

Who is paying for all this? It's the grant, isn't it?

They're not grants, of course, they are loans.

which the students have to spend on accommodation.

And in Southampton there has been conflict,

hasn't there, in private housing areas?

Yes, there has been a certain amount.

There are 40,000 students in the city

and of course that is quite a lot,

We think just under 5,000 private homes that are let out to

We're quite keen to get that number down, as it is...

You can move them into studdnt accommodation?

I have developers queueing tp to do that work, and I

think in terms of the numbers it is either in construction or just

constructed or been proposed to be constructed about 5,000 units of

Largely off the back of public development right changes, so office

blocks going into students accommodations because they don t

need amenity spaces, or car parking so much,

and so you can actually convert buildings that

wouldn't be suitable for other residential usage to student

accommodation, and to take a bit of pressure

off the family housing that

They go away for the holidays, I suppose,

I think there is a growing trend we have seen them now,

where people are not choosing universities far away but locally

where they can go and attend, and I think that will be a growing...

One of the growing markets where people

commute to university, going to get a degree.

Doesn't it sometimes seem like students are a cash cow?

You know, you pay an awful lot of money

now, to get a degree, for a commendation

Well, people are coming out huge amounts of

lot of them would say, well, we'll go locally.

That would save them some money Well...

The life at home is very different to what it was 20,

30 years ago, and so perhaps they put some

money into travelling when they finish,

but when they come out, trained with a degree, most

importantly, ready for work, and that's what it's about.

Yeah. The whole thing is evolving,

and vocational education and apprenticeships are important

Well, I think it's incredibly important and having talked

to quite a lot of businesses they really want to grow thdir own

staff, and recruiting in on apprentices

and training them up is

going to be a greater trend I think in the future.

Yes, we will need the specialists from

universities and we will nedd those talents, but I think it is luch

It does have an impact on council funding as well

because of course students `re not required to pay council tax, so we

have 5,000 properties on which we collect no local

taxation, and of course the same applies to these

large accommodation blocks of largely, you know, officd

accommodation which would h`ve paid us business rates.

But in general a good thing? And now are not paying as anything.

And if we are self funding in three years' time, with

business rates, we need to get this addressed by government, and I have

written to Mr Hammond suggesting that he needs

to think about that in future budgets

because it will have a big impact on otr city.

Can we talk some more about the Autumn Statement?

But first our regular round-up of the political

week in the south in 60 Seconds,

and it's all about the need for speed.

The government's being urged to speed up the creation of

an east - west rail link from Oxford to Cambridge.

It was first suggested in the 1990s.

Scientists at Harwell have developed a new, faster x-r`y beam

which will improve research into disease.

The slow crawl of traffic into Oxford could be

relieved by taxing companies who provide car parking spaces.

The county council says thex'd use the cash

This would be used for improving the infrastructure,

better remote park and rides, additional bus lanes.

Residents of a West Dorset village revolutionised their broadb`nd by

installing a 15 mile microw`ve link which connects to discrete receivers

People can surf the Internet in the village now as

And plans to slow the water flow through New Forest streams to create

new wetland have been halted, planners ruled

against one and a half million pound band to fill

in Lattimore Brooke after rdsidents' objections.

Now, we're not going to slow down because we're

running out of time on

For the Autumn Statement, Louise, the one thing

Well, I'd like to see some transition funding for our

schools as well, and as you know we've had

quite a big campaign, we

are supporting the schools. Are you going to get it?

The funding... I'm not sure,

because I think it is a difficult time for Philip H`mmond.

If it's more for West Sussex and thus

They have had serious underfunding for decades.

And it is a cumulative effect which is really

For us, we want to give children the best start in life.

That means, you know, good parenting, good home life btt also

And they going to get the extra money or are

Well, it's a government 's decisions, so we're

not in the position to stop it but...

But they would take it from you?

We are arguing strongly that the students in Southalpton

schools, there is a reason why they get less support and we would argue

very strongly that they continue to get it.

I would like to hear, pleasd Mr Chancellor can we have bdtter

Because that will save the whole British economy money because we can

which will be saved through the health budget. Right.

Let's hope he's watching, if not, Theresa May.

There's an idea! In Maidenhdad, please by Minister... Just have a

word with the Chancellor. That's the Sunday politics in the south. Thank

you to my guests, Louise Goldsmith from West Sussex and Simon lets from

Southampton. You can keep up on my blog, there is the address but

never happened and will not happen in four years. It is subject we

should spend more time on. Back to you.

What will the Chancellor have to say in his first big economic statement?

What impact will the forecasters say Brexit will have on the economy

And who will face the Front National's Marine Le Pen in

Well, the Shadow Chancellor and the Chancellor have both been

touring the television studios this morning.

Let's be clear, a lot of this is going to be gimmicks and press

As I've said, in the pipeline, we've only

seen one in five delivered to construction, that's all.

So a lot of this will be a repeat of what

I'm not going to reveal what I'm going to say on

We don't have unlimited capacity, as one might

imagine from listening to John McDonnell, to borrow

hundreds of billions of pounds more for discretionary spending.

That simply doesn't exist if we're going to

retain this country's hard-won credibility in the financial markets

if we are going to remain an attractive place for business to

We didn't learn very much, Helen, but the papers were briefed this

morning that there will be another ?1.3 billion for roads and things

like that. ?1.3 billion is 0.08 of our GDP. Not exactly an

infrastructure investment programme, is it? Yellow like I have to say, it

was not thrilling to read the details. -- I have to say... It is

the first big financial statement that is going to come and I think

there will be a big row about the OBE are forecast because they cannot

set out a range, they have to commit to one forecast. Everything they do

is incredibly political. DOB are is on a hiding to nothing. -- DOB are

-- the Office for Budget Responsibility. I don't know how

they will square the circle. It is an interesting week. It is all about

the economy and public finances and we don't have to talk about Brexit

until next Sunday, but no, I have a terrible feeling that by the end of

Wednesday afternoon we will be screaming and shouting about how

Brexit is going to be for the economy. Just imagine the Treasury

comes out with his forecast that it is going to collapse growth and

collapsed Treasury takings, people will be apoplectic. Until now, the

economy has continued to grow strongly. Pretty well. They cannot

say, we have noticed it slowing down and that will continue. They have to

take a punt if they think it will slow down. It affects the

Chancellor's figures, because the more they say it is slowing down,

and I have seen that it will go from 2% down to 1.4%, the more the

Chancellor's deficit rises even without any more tax cuts and

spending. Absolutely. I think Tom is right. What we will see this week is

a continuation of the debate we have been having all along. If the Office

for Budget Responsibility has negative and gloomy predictions

there will be howls of agony, and rightly howls of frustration from

Brexiteers who will say that all the dire predictions from before the

referendum have not come to pass and now you are talking things down in a

way that becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy. The money for roads, you

were dismissive about it, but every little helps. I don't dismiss it, I

say it doesn't amount to a fiscal stimulus in macro economic terms.

I'm sure if you are on that road, it will be useful. They are going to

build a super highway between Oxford and Cambridge. I would like to see

them go out to Japan and learn how to fill a hole in two days. I would

suggest the road from Oxford to Cambridge is not for the just

managing classes, even though it goes through Milton Keynes, and that

simply freezing due freezing fuel duty isn't going to hack it, either.

These just about managing people are potentially quite a big band. With

income tax rises, it means anything you do to help them is incredibly

expensive. The universal credit freeze is an interesting example of

that. Philip Hammond sounded ambivalent about it after

pre-briefings that it might not the cuts might not go ahead. There are

people who are in work but because they are low paid don't have the

number of hours, they require welfare benefits to top up their

pay, and these welfare benefits as it stands, are frozen until 202 ,

and yet inflation is now starting to rise. That's a problem for the just

managing people. Correct. It is worse than that, because we are

talking about April 2017 when tax credits become universal credits, so

the squeeze will be greater. We will get a small highway between a couple

of university towns, but if he has any money left to spend at all, it

will be on some pretty seismic jazzman for the just about managing

people. I am so glad we're not calling them Jams on this programme,

because it is a patronising tone. What the Chancellor and Shadow

Chancellor did not confront is that Mr Trump's election is a watershed

in terms of being able to borrow cheaply. The Federal Reserve is

about to start raising rates. The days of cheap borrowing for

governments could be coming to an end. You can feel a bit sorry for

labour here because after having had six years of being told that we need

a surplus and these things are important, we can't deny the

deficit, we have switched now and the first thing that Philip Hammond

did was to scrap George Osborne s borrowing targets. He has given

himself more wriggle room than George Osborne had. He has and it

will cost them more. Debt servicing will now rise as a cost. Where is

the next political earthquake going to happen?

It could be Italy, or the French elections coming up next spring

Now, who will face the Front National's Marine Le Pen in next

year's French Presidential elections?

Well, France's centre-right part, Les Republicans,

are selecting their candidate in the first round of

Well, France's centre-right part, Les Republicans,

are selecting their candidate in the first round of

Let's speak to our correspondent in Paris, Hugh Schofield.

Welcome to the programme. Three main candidates, the former -- two former

prime ministers and Nicolas Sarkozy, the former president. It is not

clear who the front runner is. Robbins it is quite an exciting

race, because four weeks it did look as if it was going to be Juppe. It

is a two round race. Two go through and the idea is that they rally all

the support together. It looked like the first round would be dominated

by Juppe and Nicolas Sarkozy, and there was a clear binary combination

there, because Sarkozy was looking for squeamish far right voters. In

other words, veering clearly to the right and far right on immigration

and identity issues. And Juppe is the opposite, saying we had to

appeal to the centre. That was what it looked like. But the third

candidate has made this really quite staggering surge in the last few

days. There was a debate on Thursday and he was deemed to have won it on

television. He is coming up strongly, and I wouldn't be at all

surprised to see him go through which would be interesting from a

British perspective, because if the becomes president, he will be the

first president with a British wife. His wife Penelope is Welsh.

We will have to leave it there. I would suggest that the reason it is

fascinating is that whoever wins this primary for the centre-right

party is likely to be the next president, and who the next

president is will be very important for Britain in these Brexit

negotiations. Nothing will really happen until it is determined. Then

after the German elections in October. I would add one more

constituent part. The most important thing about the race is who can stop

Marine Le Pen. Marine Le Pen will almost be one of the ones in the

run-off. The Socialists don't expect much. Francois Hollande is done

There is too much of a cliff to climb. Which one of these three

centre-right candidates can stop Marine Le Pen? We have had Brexit

and Trump, but we could also have Marine Le Pen. If it is Sarkozy it

is the battle of the right. In some areas, he has moved to the right of

marine Le Pen. I suppose he feels he has do in order to take the wind out

of our sails. You wonder if she could succeed later on if she does

not this time. Talking to French analysts last night, there was

suggesting that she could not do it this time but could win the next

time. All the events in France over the last year seemed to provide the

most propitious circumstances for her to do well, and particularly if

you throw in Trump and Brexit. Suppose it is Mr Sarkozy, and he

goes through and wins the Republican nomination, and he and Marine Le Pen

go through to the second round, that would mean, think about it, is that

a lot of French socialist voters and those on the father left would have

to grit their teeth and vote for Nicolas Sarkozy. They might not do

it. We might see what we saw in America, where lots of potential

Clinton voters did not turn out You got politicians like Melanchon on

the far left saying there are foreign workers taking bread out of

French workers' mounts. We sometimes forget, because we tend to emphasise

the National of the National front, but actually, there are economic

policy is quite Bennite. Sarkozy is the Hillary Clinton of the French

elections. He is Mr establishment. Juppe and the other third candidate

are the same. You have to re-establish candidates running

against an antiestablishment candidate. There are populist

economic policies from the National front. The other three want to raise

the retirement age and cut back on the 35 hour week, which are not

classic electoral appeals. Mr Juppe used to be the Mayor of Bordeaux.

And we are the biggest importers of claret, so that could have an

effect. In 2002, it was Jack Shear against John Marine Le Pen, and the

socialist campaign slogan was, vote for the Crook, not the fascist. We

will see what they come up with this time.

The Daily Politics is back at noon tomorrow on BBC Two,

where on Wednesday I will have full coverage of the Chancellor's Autumn

But remember, if it's Sunday, it's the Sunday Politics.