24/04/2016 Sunday Politics Wales


24/04/2016

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President Obama leaves the UK, claiming it could take up to 10

:00:38.:00:44.

years to do a free trade deal with the UK if we leave the EU -

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but is America's trade deal with the EU any closer to happening?

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Immigration's running at more than three times

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the Government's target - but is the Home Secretary right that

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Britain can only stay in the single market if it agrees to the continued

:00:59.:01:01.

Jeremy Corbyn faces his first big electoral test as Labour Leader

:01:02.:01:11.

Later in the programme, the Tories will the party increase the number

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Later in the programme, the Tories and Labour have published their

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In the capital: manifestos ahead of the

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as the mayoral finishing line draws closer, Labour's candidate,

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Sadiq Khan, is here with us to outline why he should

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And with me for the duration, three journalists whom no-one puts

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at the back of the queue - or even the line.

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Nick Watt, Isabel Oakeshott and Tom Newton Dunn -

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they'll be tweeting throughout the programme.

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So, Air Force One left Stanstead Airport a few hours ago

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and the President is now in Hanover, Germany.

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But the reverberations of Mr Obama's intervention in the EU referendum

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On Friday, the President told a press conference

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the EU, it would be at the back of the queue when it comes to doing

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a free trade deal with the US - comments he was asked about in a BBC

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The UK would not be able to negotiate something with the United

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We wouldn't abandon our efforts to negotiate a trade deal with our

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largest trading partner, the European market, but rather,

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it could be five years from now, ten years

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from now, before we were able to actually get something done.

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And I'm joined now by the Justice Minister and Leave

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Welcome to the programme. Mr Obama, 5-10 years for a free-trade deal

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with the UK under the EU. He's right, isn't he? What was most

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interesting this morning was how far he has backtracked since Friday

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evening. As you said, we were told we would be sent to the back of the

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queue if we didn't take his advice and stay in the EU. Now, he has said

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that if Britain was independent from the EU, we could not expect to do a

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free-trade deal quicker than with the EU. No one is really expecting

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that, so I think the reality is that these things can take time. It has

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taken almost 40 years even to get to this stage with a stalled EU- US

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deal. I think we would be better placed, and we are not prejudiced by

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being outside the EU in doing that. The president has made it clear that

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American power will do regional deals. That is why he has put so

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much energy into a specific deal with the 11 countries. He wants to

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do and EU deal involving all the EU members. The only started in 2013,

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they haven't been at it for 40 years. We have been talking about it

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for 40 years. That is a different matter. The negotiations started in

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2013. We would be a long way behind these two megadeal. When he said we

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were at the back of the queue, I was a bit startled, so I went and

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checked. The US has no other bilateral negotiations for a freight

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train with any other country than the EU. When you look at the 23

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trade deals it has, none of them are worth an economy bigger than

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Britain. Let's remember that if America signed a trade deal with us,

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it would be the equivalent of the North American trade deal because...

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I think we have strong mutual interest in doing it. America had a

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number of bilateral free trade talks going on with about 15 different

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countries. It essentially froze them because it wants to do regional

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deals - why would it reopen at Mr Ross? In the last 25 years, it has

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done a string of bilateral and regional negotiations, given the

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collapse of WTO talks, the Pacific deal was done. The EU one is stuck

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in the mud. If Britain came out of the EU, saying, we are not shackled

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by the special interests of film-makers who don't want American

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box sets polluting French culture, we want insist on the labelling

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requirements unfettered cheese that the Greeks do. And we won't have a

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dispute about the settlement mechanism that the Europeans are

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concerned about and people are concerned about in this country. It

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is important to understand why the Americans insist on that, because

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they don't trust the court systems in many European countries will stop

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American firms trust British courts to resolve commercial this beautiful

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stop all of these problems will be swept away, and I think we would be

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well placed. If we're done with the EU and we not a member, the EU will

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have free trade with United States and we don't know when we will have

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it. It could give a huge advantage to the French, Germans, Italians and

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Spanish. We know that the White House briefs out... The White House

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regularly briefed it. If you look at White House commentary, let me just

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put this to you - if America was my priority is the EU deal, the best

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way of ramping up its negotiations leveraged would be to come to a

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relatively quick deal with Britain. That would put the pressure on. In

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trade negotiations, America had a history of doing that. Do you accept

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that whatever our relationship with the EU, if we read, we can have no

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full access to the single market unless we agree to free movement of

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people? It depends what you mean by full access to the single market. I

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think we would not see any trade barriers go up because we are the

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fifth biggest economy in the world, but it means we can have proper

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control of our borders and we will not be bound by the stifling

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regulation that gives us a competitive disadvantage. It is

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important for small businesses here. You still don't know if we would

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have access to the single market. You can't tell as that. Everyone who

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does who is not a member of the EU has had to agree to free movement.

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It is a strawman to say, I can't tell you what the deal looks like

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until we have had the referendum. I can tell you this: Look at the

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options being put at their - Swiss, Norwegian, Turkish. I think because

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Britain's economy is bigger than all of those combined, and because

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French farmers and German car manufacturers sell as ?60 billion

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more each year than we sell them, we are very well placed and mutual

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self-interest suggests we would cut a good deal.

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How would we have more control over borders if we left? We would have

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control over who could come to work here, I understand that, if we want

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in the EU any more, provided we weren't part of the single market,

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but how would we be able to stop people coming here? Do you think if

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we leave the EU that, if you're French or German or Italian, you

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would need a Visa? There are two issues: The numbers, and I think

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that as the Home Secretary conceded, we cannot control the numbers

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because of free movement if we are in the EU, and that makes life

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harder. The second question is, checks at the border, preventative

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ones. Under UK law with non-EU countries, we can stop someone

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coming in because it is not conducive to the public good. With

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the EU, we can only deny entry if there is a serious, credible and

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present threat. Which we do. As a result, since 2010, 6000 people have

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been turned back from the EU. If you compare that with people from out

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with the EU, we have registered to 60 7000. That shows the stronger

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checks. I understand, but my question is, outside the EU, we

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would not insist on visas for the Germans, French and so on? We would

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have to look at that as part of the negotiations. At the moment, the

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Obama Administration is looking at new Visa requirement and screening

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from Germany, Belgium, Greece, France because of the recent

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terrorist attacks. I think we should at least have the power and control

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to do that to keep Britain safe. Then we would need a Visa to go to

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France and Germany. A final question: Why do you not want the

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leader of the National front in France, Marine Le Pen, to come here?

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She's one of your biggest supporters. Her views are racist and

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I don't share her values. I think our party is deeply offensive. But

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she is on your site. All the more reason why I wouldn't like to see

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her come. So we do have control over our borders of the Home Secretary

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can stop coming? People from outside the EU, rappers like snoop doggy

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dog, have been barred entry because they have a offensive views. If the

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Home Secretary checks with officials, we probably cannot be

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nigh Marine Le Pen entry. It is another demonstration of the things

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we can't do because we don't have the proper controls of our borders.

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Thank you. Jeremy Corbyn will get his first big

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electoral test in just under two weeks' time, when voters go

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to the polls in local Opposition parties usually do

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well in these contests, even when they've just

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lost a general election. But with analysts predicting

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that the party could actually lose councillors, party

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strategists are There's a simple principle

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in British politics - if you want to win elections, you need to win

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seats of every shape and size. When in government, parties tend

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to lose council seats. In opposition,

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they tend to win them. Even Michael Foot, who went

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on to lead Labour to its biggest general election defeat

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ever, did pretty well to start with. In his first electoral test,

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in 1981, the party took When Neil Kinnock became leader,

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he also managed a more And then Ed Miliband,

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he picked up 857 seats. Since local government was invented

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in its modern form in 1974,

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there have been only two years - 1982 and 1985 - when the opposition

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party has actually lost seats in a local

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election if it is not So far, so historically positive for

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Jeremy Corbyn. The problem is, experts in the field

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reckon Labour could lose 150 seats in these English

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council elections. Even the party machine has been

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managing expectations. You simply can't

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explain away any kind of net loss of seats

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in these elections. After all, a new leader

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in the middle of his honeymoon period following on from

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a disastrous mega-galactic shambles of a budget failure shouldn't expect

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to see anything other than dramatic gains in the local

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elections that follow. Anything else,

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historically speaking, is It's an argument put forward by some

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of his MPs. I'm not going to put

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a specific number on it, but 300-400 seats would be a good

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step in the We have to be ambitious,

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because we are the Labour Party, and we are a

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party of government. We exist in order to be

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in Government and make a difference Southampton, that is where

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Ed Miliband has been... The last time this batch of council

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seats were contested, Labour under Southampton was one of a number

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of areas where Labour failed to capitalise in the general election,

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losing a Parliamentary If Jeremy Corbyn wants to be

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Prime Minister in 2020, he will be expected to make inroads now in many

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of the English council areas, and I think that all

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leaders are judged by We've got from now until

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the 5th of May to deliver positive and encouraging

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results for Labour. It's always hard to compare

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historic elections. There are always different

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political contexts, varying numbers of seats up grabs,

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but rightly or wrongly, several Labour MPs I've spoken

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to will do just that, conscious that Jeremy Corbyn

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could make history for the And we're joined now

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from Salford by the Shadow Education Secretary,

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Lucy Powell. Welcome to the programme, Lucy

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Powell. Your Labour MP Carly, Stephen Kinnock, says you should be

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gaining an extra 300-400 council seat in England - does that seem

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right? I won't get into the predictions game. Like Stephen, like

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Jeremy and the rest of the Shadow Cabinet, I am optimistic about these

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elections. We are a political party and always looking to make gains and

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progress at every electoral test. These elections are no different. I

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won't get into the predictions business. Hold on. What about the

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principle that new opposition leaders always do pretty well in

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their first electoral test? I was looking at the record - Ed Miliband,

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Tony Blair, Neil Kinnock, even Michael Foot, they all made gains.

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We must expect Jeremy Corbyn to do the same, surely?

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I have been hoping we will make progress. Do you think you will make

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gains? We are looking at winning in London for the first time since

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2004, we are looking to make progress in the local elections, we

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are looking to stay in power in Wales. Obviously in Scotland things

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are difficult there and they are long-term legacy issues for the

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Labour Party to deal with in Scotland but you do have to set it

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into context. It has been an incredibly tough year for the Labour

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Party, we suffered a crushing election defeat. That was not even a

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year ago, which we weren't expecting and everybody else wasn't expecting

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either. We had a long, drawn-out leadership contest. We have a new

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leader in Jeremy Corbyn and it takes time for everybody to adjust to

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that. But I think we have had a very positive few weeks where we have

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been on the front foot, we have been effective opposition, with issues

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like the Budget... We haven't got too much time. Let me put it in

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context. The Tories have divided and they are in disarray, last month

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brought yet another omnishambles Budget. Why would you not be poised

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for big gains? I am very hopeful we will get big gains. London will be a

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big gain, we haven't won since 2004. What I'm interested in is how we on

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the right track for winning in 2020, and that is a really tough job. I

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don't think anyone underestimates the challenge we face as a political

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party. Let me see if I can pin you down. Maybe one of the reasons it is

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not an easy job is that you may not be in tune with the public mood.

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This chart shows they regularly rate immigration one of their number one

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concern is, ahead of the NHS and the economy, this is recent poll. Most

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are not against immigration but they think the influx is too high. How

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does that square with Jeremy Corbyn's view that we have not let

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too many in? All of these issues we have got to think deeply about and

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there is an urgency to that. Immigration, welfare, the economy,

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these were all issues at the last election but that was only a few

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months ago. If we knew the answer is, if we knew how we would make

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labour relevant again, the Labour values I care about, how we will

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make them relevant in the modern world, if I had those answers we

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wouldn't be sitting here now because we would be in Government. Do you

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agree with Jeremy Corbyn... We have got to spend time, doing the

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difficult job of understanding how the Labour Party can be relevant in

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the modern world, and that includes issues... If you let me come back to

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immigration and get a specific answer out of you. Do you agree with

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Jeremy Corbyn that in recent years we have not let too many in? I don't

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want to get into a numbers game about immigration. I know from all

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the work I do on the doorstep, immigration is a massive issue and

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people have real concerns about the impact that immigration has on some

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of our communities. As the Labour Party, we have to address those.

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That's why I thought we were right at the last election to have a

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policy around the emergency rate for example on benefits for EU migrants,

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a policy the Government have adopted, but I don't think simple

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retail policy offers are what Labour's challenge is right now. Our

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challenge is over the next few years what is our relevant values that we

:19:30.:19:34.

can offer to the public that will help us win the election. Let me

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come onto education. You asked if you planned to bring academies under

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local authority control and you said no, by 2020 almost every secondary

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school will be a free School or an Academy, do you stand by that? Only

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17% of primary schools are academies. You said nearly every

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secondary, do you stand by that? I don't know about primary schools,

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let's see what happens over the next few weeks because the Government's

:20:18.:20:21.

attempt to force all schools against their wishes to become an Academy is

:20:22.:20:26.

on the rocks. They put the brakes on some schools feeling they have no

:20:27.:20:29.

option but to become academies, which is what many schools felt over

:20:30.:20:37.

the last few years. And I understand the policy of making every school

:20:38.:20:41.

and Academy is difficult, I take your point, but you said every

:20:42.:20:46.

secondary school and most primaries will be free schools or an Academy.

:20:47.:20:51.

It is not that different from where the Government wants to end up, is

:20:52.:20:57.

it? You are taking my comments out of context. I was talking about

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Labour's policy at the next election in that circumstance, and my point

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is that we have got to look anew at what is the accountability framework

:21:08.:21:12.

for all schools? How do we make sure there are sufficient places in our

:21:13.:21:16.

schools, that we have raising standards in our schools, we have

:21:17.:21:19.

sufficient school improvement support for our schools, and we have

:21:20.:21:24.

proper accountability of some of these Academy chains of which we are

:21:25.:21:26.

seeing many more problems arising with their accountability. That is

:21:27.:21:33.

what I will be looking at. In the short term, I will be fighting tooth

:21:34.:21:38.

and nail the Government's plans to force good and outstanding schools

:21:39.:21:42.

against their wishes to become academies. Jeremy Corbyn has

:21:43.:21:53.

described academise a share -- described... Jeremy said lots of

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things about the forced programme. Is it asset stripping or not? In

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some cases it can be. The key question is does it meet the test of

:22:09.:22:14.

school improvement? There is mixed evidence of whether it leads to

:22:15.:22:18.

school improvement, as the education select committee have found. The

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second question is does it give schools freedom and autonomy? How

:22:25.:22:27.

can that be the case if you are forcing a school against its wish to

:22:28.:22:33.

be an Academy. That is not real autonomy. And the first test is

:22:34.:22:38.

around accountability and there are some very real issues there. Some

:22:39.:22:49.

might call that asset stripping. If our state system is being asset

:22:50.:22:53.

stripped as your leader claims, that would be really serious so is he

:22:54.:22:59.

right or wrong? There have been examples of financial mismanagement

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in some Academy chains, we have seen those recently where directors have

:23:04.:23:06.

been paying themselves double money by setting up arms length

:23:07.:23:13.

organisations that they are also paying themselves from so there are

:23:14.:23:18.

issues of financial probity which is why both Jeremy and I have been

:23:19.:23:23.

arguing that there needs to be a much more robust financial

:23:24.:23:28.

accountability structure. He seems to be against academies altogether.

:23:29.:23:35.

We have got exactly the same view about this, Jeremy and I have worked

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closely on these issues and that is that there are some excellent

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Academy schools, there are also some excellent community schools. This

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tired argument of pitting one school type against another is frankly

:23:50.:23:55.

over. What we have got to be addressing is ensuring we have good

:23:56.:23:58.

quality teachers and head teachers in all of our schools, something the

:23:59.:24:02.

Government is failing to do. We've got to make sure schools have

:24:03.:24:06.

adequate resources, and they are facing real terms cuts to their

:24:07.:24:14.

budgets, and make sure we have enough places for all of our

:24:15.:24:19.

children. There is a crisis in school places and teacher shortages.

:24:20.:24:25.

Very interesting ground which you have gone over before. I want to

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show you an advert gone up for a new media spokesperson for Jeremy

:24:31.:24:36.

Corbyn. There is a fixed term contract for Jeremy Corbyn, leader

:24:37.:24:42.

of the Labour Party, running from December 2016 or when he ceases to

:24:43.:24:47.

be leader, whichever is sooner. Which do you think will be sooner? I

:24:48.:24:53.

haven't seen the advert but Jeremy has only been a leader for a few

:24:54.:24:58.

months. OK, you're not going to tell me which would be sooner? We are

:24:59.:25:03.

supporting him in his job and I'm not going to comment on that. Very

:25:04.:25:06.

well. Thank you very much. The party views on Europe

:25:07.:25:08.

and immigration are well-known, but voters may not know

:25:09.:25:13.

what Nigel Farage's Purple Army thinks about issues

:25:14.:25:15.

like recycling and council tax. Ukip, which had never held more

:25:16.:25:18.

than a handful of local election seats before,

:25:19.:25:21.

achieved its first major breakthrough in 2013,

:25:22.:25:22.

when they gained 139 seats. The following year they increased

:25:23.:25:28.

their total by another 161 seats, performing particularly well

:25:29.:25:32.

in parts of Essex. While in 2015, on the same day

:25:33.:25:36.

as the general election, In that set of elections,

:25:37.:25:39.

Ukip won control of Thanet Council in Kent, the first time the party

:25:40.:25:48.

took control of a local council, But within six months they had

:25:49.:25:51.

lost overall control, after five councillors left Ukip,

:25:52.:25:55.

saying they were unhappy with the council's lack of action

:25:56.:26:00.

on a manifesto pledge to reopen So, 2016 is the last year

:26:01.:26:02.

in the four-yearly cycle Will they be able to

:26:03.:26:08.

maintain the momentum? We're joined now by the party's

:26:09.:26:18.

deputy chairman, Diane James. Welcome to the programme. You have

:26:19.:26:27.

got your referendum running strongly in the news, immigration is a huge

:26:28.:26:33.

issue as well. What would be a good result for Ukip in these local

:26:34.:26:38.

elections? Certainly to retain the 20 seat we will be defending this

:26:39.:26:42.

time, but also building on that. We are fielding 1400 candidates out of

:26:43.:26:49.

the 2700 that will be available across the country. We are also

:26:50.:26:53.

fielding candidates in the big Assembly elections - Stormont,

:26:54.:26:59.

Holyrood... And the police crime Commissioner. Are you looking to

:27:00.:27:06.

gain? Of course, we wouldn't be doing anything otherwise. Populist

:27:07.:27:13.

and anti-EU parties are gaining ground right across Europe so if you

:27:14.:27:17.

don't gain ground there must be serious doubts in this climate about

:27:18.:27:22.

your long-term future. We are looking to gain ground and increase

:27:23.:27:25.

the number of councillors we have got as well as membership of all of

:27:26.:27:30.

the assemblies I have referred to. The momentum is behind the populist

:27:31.:27:38.

parties, but certainly behind the Eurosceptic parties because what

:27:39.:27:41.

they do say and they share in terms of issues is the negative impact of

:27:42.:27:45.

EU membership is having on particularly for instance just

:27:46.:27:49.

trying to plan in terms of infrastructure and other aspects.

:27:50.:27:53.

And yet when you get a foothold in local government it doesn't go very

:27:54.:28:01.

well. You controlled Thanet, within six months you had lost overall

:28:02.:28:06.

control. You are still just a protest party. We are not just a

:28:07.:28:12.

protest party. The issue you are referring to is Manston airport,

:28:13.:28:17.

very difficult in terms of the overall plans for that from not only

:28:18.:28:21.

just the local authority but also the county council level so we don't

:28:22.:28:26.

actually have control of Kent County Council. I'm sure if we had we could

:28:27.:28:30.

have had a lot more import there. Equally there is this issue of a

:28:31.:28:36.

local problem and individuals coming into government, no matter which

:28:37.:28:40.

party they represent, understanding how slowly sometimes decisions can

:28:41.:28:44.

be reached. Look at Boston Borough Council, you did well there in 2015.

:28:45.:28:50.

Then one Ukip councillor was suspended, the party split down the

:28:51.:28:54.

middle because you couldn't agree on a leader, six councils carried on

:28:55.:28:59.

under the Ukip banner, six others under the Ukip Group, it is a

:29:00.:29:06.

shambles. You always pick up on the bad news to do with Ukip but you

:29:07.:29:10.

never pick up on the bad news to do with other parties. This morning you

:29:11.:29:15.

reeled off a series of good examples, but you have you raised

:29:16.:29:25.

any of the councillors from Labour across the country who have had to

:29:26.:29:31.

be suspended for serious reasons. Some decided to walk away from the

:29:32.:29:35.

Ukip banner for whatever reasons, but in terms of the individuals who

:29:36.:29:39.

have been suspended or had to stand down, that is the different ball

:29:40.:29:47.

game and I would like you to be fair in tackling that.

:29:48.:29:52.

My job is to put the tough questions each party. Why would people vote

:29:53.:29:57.

for a party that might not even have a reason to exist after the

:29:58.:30:01.

referendum? We will have a reason to exist because no one else will hold

:30:02.:30:08.

David Cameron to account and make sure it happens. That is my view. In

:30:09.:30:12.

terms of our counsellors, bear in mind we are the only party out there

:30:13.:30:18.

that does not flip councillors. Probably just as well! It sounds

:30:19.:30:26.

like you cannot be whipped. I am not into dominatrix stuff. I'm talking

:30:27.:30:31.

about politics! It is something our cabinet ministers are accused of the

:30:32.:30:35.

moment. There is real disquiet amongst the electorate that they

:30:36.:30:39.

want to vote for somebody, and then they see the systems that are in

:30:40.:30:43.

place, cabinet rather than committee, backbenchers who find

:30:44.:30:46.

themselves in a situation where they can't contribute to decisions. And

:30:47.:30:51.

we are talking about incursions into the green belt, housing targets and

:30:52.:31:00.

academies. This is the sort of issue that I Ukip councillor who is not

:31:01.:31:04.

whipped will be able to represent their community. Even if we leave

:31:05.:31:12.

the EU, Ukip continues? Yes, it does. We will talk to the

:31:13.:31:16.

Conservatives and Liberal Democrats about the local elections in England

:31:17.:31:17.

next week. We say goodbye to viewers

:31:18.:31:19.

in Scotland, who leave us now Low and welcome to the Sunday

:31:20.:31:41.

politics Wales. Today: Both the Conservatives and Labour have

:31:42.:31:47.

released their manifestos and this week. We will be looking at what the

:31:48.:31:53.

smaller parties have to offer. It has been another busy week of

:31:54.:31:57.

campaigning ahead of that election. All the major parties have their

:31:58.:32:01.

manifestos, available for you to read at your pleasure if you like

:32:02.:32:04.

that sort of thing. Last week, we heard from Plaid Cymru, the Lib Dems

:32:05.:32:17.

about their policies. First, the highlights of the campaign week.

:32:18.:32:24.

It was another roaring week on the campaign trail as two more

:32:25.:32:26.

The Tories launch their manifesto in Wrexham at the company that makes

:32:27.:32:33.

This is no game for the Tories, who say Labour would

:32:34.:32:38.

The first challenge, though, is to get the public engaged.

:32:39.:32:47.

It is our job, our role and it must be our passion to make sure we

:32:48.:32:50.

energise those voters to come out and vote

:32:51.:32:52.

Andrew RT Davis says it's time for a change and only one party

:32:53.:32:57.

I hope the voters will vote for the party that

:32:58.:33:04.

will deliver for them in the National Assembly

:33:05.:33:06.

for Wales and that party is the Welsh Conservatives.

:33:07.:33:08.

Or we can continue with 17 years of Labour's managed decline.

:33:09.:33:12.

I don't think anyone wants that managed decline to continue.

:33:13.:33:17.

At a college in Nantgarw near Caerphilly,

:33:18.:33:20.

students were being marshalled into place for Labour's launch.

:33:21.:33:24.

And then, at last, and with everyone ready, Labour got on with it.

:33:25.:33:30.

It is absolutely fantastic to be with you this

:33:31.:33:35.

The man who wrote the manifesto was full of energy,

:33:36.:33:42.

which was a little surprising given how busy he has been.

:33:43.:33:47.

I have travelled more than 4,000 miles, met with thousands upon

:33:48.:33:50.

thousands of people, as we have discussed and explored

:33:51.:33:54.

Political parties shouldn't think they have a monopoly on wisdom and

:33:55.:33:59.

that means you have to talk to people

:34:00.:34:01.

on the ground, in health, and education,

:34:02.:34:03.

in job creation, and then take their ideas, acknowledge them

:34:04.:34:06.

of course, and then make sure those ideas can be taken forward.

:34:07.:34:10.

They say politics is a dirty business.

:34:11.:34:12.

Absolutely delighted to do something mucky and messy.

:34:13.:34:18.

And on a visit to Brecon, Lib Dem leader Tim Farron wasn't afraid to

:34:19.:34:21.

His party got a pasting at last year's general election

:34:22.:34:30.

and, with further losses predicted at the Assembly election as well,

:34:31.:34:34.

the party and its leader in Wales face a race against time

:34:35.:34:38.

You've got to accept the position that you are in.

:34:39.:34:48.

I am always a glass-half-full person.

:34:49.:34:51.

I think, what is the purpose of our party?

:34:52.:34:53.

And our party is there to be the party that is on the side

:34:54.:34:56.

of the individuals, not on the side of the vested interests.

:34:57.:34:59.

To speak for people's values, not to play to one client group.

:35:00.:35:02.

And to try to stand up for fresh, authentic government.

:35:03.:35:06.

The parties know that older people tend to turn out to vote so it is

:35:07.:35:09.

perhaps with that in mind that, in Llandudno this week,

:35:10.:35:12.

Plaid Cymru said it would scrap care fees

:35:13.:35:14.

for the elderly and people with dementia.

:35:15.:35:17.

It is important to break down the barriers between health

:35:18.:35:20.

and social care and the way to do that is integrate

:35:21.:35:23.

the service is fully and also get rid of

:35:24.:35:25.

the artificial historic divide between charging for social

:35:26.:35:29.

and dementia care and not charging for health care.

:35:30.:35:32.

As for Ukip, well, look who has turned up here in Welshpool

:35:33.:35:35.

Yes, Nigel Farage visited Mid Wales, where he met local

:35:36.:35:41.

shopkeepers and did a spot of phone canvassing as well.

:35:42.:35:45.

There you go, that surprised you, didn't it?

:35:46.:35:54.

The Ukip leader seemed to enjoy himself.

:35:55.:35:57.

We had it in Inverness yesterday where you meet a lot of people

:35:58.:36:04.

and have fun and then a couple of people abuse you and you

:36:05.:36:08.

think, oh, that is what the media will show, but actually

:36:09.:36:10.

But real politics is clearly thirsty work and Mr Farage was soon ready

:36:11.:36:15.

for his obligatory photo drinking a pint.

:36:16.:36:20.

With another week's campaigning over, here's to the next.

:36:21.:36:23.

As we heard, the Conservatives unveiled their manifesto this week

:36:24.:36:39.

and Susie Davis is here to talk about it. You wrote the manifesto,

:36:40.:36:44.

that's fair to say, isn't it? It is not just the work of one

:36:45.:36:48.

person, a lot of other people put work into it.

:36:49.:36:55.

Take the credit. One of the things that we cannot see in the manifesto

:36:56.:36:59.

is a lot of costings and her things well exactly work. You see will

:37:00.:37:03.

create 50,000 jobs over the next five years. I will you do that? How

:37:04.:37:09.

does a government create 50,000 jobs?

:37:10.:37:11.

It is about creating the conditions for the economy to thrive as well as

:37:12.:37:15.

putting in the programmes and Pritchard schemes that would have

:37:16.:37:19.

been talking about in depth in the manifesto. Apprenticeship schemes.

:37:20.:37:27.

We were talking about a mixture of large enterprises and small

:37:28.:37:29.

businesses and creating new skill sets.

:37:30.:37:32.

But you don't see how many apprenticeships.

:37:33.:37:38.

We haven't set limits. We are conscious that there are only 200

:37:39.:37:46.

thousand small businesses in Wales -- 2000.

:37:47.:37:50.

We won't know whether you have succeeded or not cause you haven't

:37:51.:37:56.

set a target. We are working with both ends of the

:37:57.:38:04.

industry spectrum and have a small enterprise industry. People of all

:38:05.:38:09.

ages are able to take up apprenticeships that are meaningful

:38:10.:38:13.

and not just sausage machine figures.

:38:14.:38:18.

Another set of figures, treble the childcare allowance. An extra 20

:38:19.:38:25.

hours a week. That would affect 70,000 children. What is the

:38:26.:38:27.

costing? That will cost roughly 55 million a

:38:28.:38:34.

year. It will cost less in later years because we will have to train

:38:35.:38:38.

up childcare professionals during this period. That is already paid

:38:39.:38:45.

for. We have made this clear some weeks due to the changes being made

:38:46.:38:49.

in Jewish and fees. No figure on the investment in

:38:50.:38:51.

health service. How much more? The promises to

:38:52.:39:04.

protect the hell service budget -- health service budget. What we have

:39:05.:39:10.

committed to is that the money coming down from the health portion

:39:11.:39:16.

will be used for the health budget. There are school permitting changes

:39:17.:39:19.

within the service because we wanted to be more efficient.

:39:20.:39:24.

In the last couple of weeks we have heard of potential 1 billion a year

:39:25.:39:29.

savings that the Conservatives have identified in the NHS budget. Is

:39:30.:39:33.

that what you are looking at? This is about something else.

:39:34.:39:39.

You can do that in Wrexham has said it quite recently.

:39:40.:39:45.

What he identified was a report from some years ago that identified ?1

:39:46.:39:49.

billion of savings. That is not included in our costings. There is

:39:50.:39:54.

potentially even more for the health service to use for the things it

:39:55.:39:58.

needs now. One policy you have in the

:39:59.:40:04.

manifesto, funding schools directly. Saving ?150 million a year. Is that

:40:05.:40:10.

right? Savings is the wrong word. That is a

:40:11.:40:14.

redeployment of money to go direct to schools. Rather than two

:40:15.:40:21.

consortiums. At the moment local authorities take

:40:22.:40:25.

a slice and pass it on but you say give it all to schools.

:40:26.:40:28.

We are seeing local authorities can keep some of it because services

:40:29.:40:34.

like school transport and special needs pupils may need a more

:40:35.:40:39.

regionalised thing but more money will be going to schools.

:40:40.:40:45.

How much? 156 million.

:40:46.:40:50.

What were the schools have to do with that additional money?

:40:51.:40:55.

They can either choose to use the local authority but they will have a

:40:56.:41:07.

choice. You will be losing the consortium which to placate the work

:41:08.:41:10.

of local authorities in ensuring excellence and standards.

:41:11.:41:17.

You will be scrapping the tuition fee which is very generous to

:41:18.:41:21.

students from Wales. They get around by thousand every year from the

:41:22.:41:25.

Welsh Government. You are proposing to pay around half the rent every

:41:26.:41:30.

year. That is a lot less than they get at the moment. It's a lot less

:41:31.:41:34.

generous to Welsh students. Is that correct?

:41:35.:41:40.

It's about what kind of debt they would prefer to have. At the moment

:41:41.:41:43.

it is long-term and you don't hear back until you are certain amount.

:41:44.:41:47.

It doesn't affect your credit rating.

:41:48.:41:53.

But it will be more. It is a manageable debt. But if you

:41:54.:41:59.

get another loan and cannot pay it back to fix your credit rating in

:42:00.:42:06.

the future. And some students are pushed into going to payday lenders

:42:07.:42:13.

which is a foolish thing to do. They will be taking three times more

:42:14.:42:17.

than they are currently taking. Ayew happy with that?

:42:18.:42:24.

Students understand have to take on some debt for the prospects of their

:42:25.:42:28.

future but they are not taking on the cost of learning but the of

:42:29.:42:37.

living. I can tell you from sitting in the

:42:38.:42:40.

Assembly previously that one of the things I get some people's nurses

:42:41.:42:44.

when the health minister says that as a matter for the health board.

:42:45.:42:52.

What is going to change? They will take over the direct

:42:53.:42:54.

accountability for the local health boards. Accountability between

:42:55.:43:03.

patients and the board themselves. We tried something similar in

:43:04.:43:06.

Scotland and ditched it because it didn't work. Why would not work they

:43:07.:43:12.

are but work year? There's no reason why it shouldn't

:43:13.:43:16.

work. Families and patients can have somewhere to go that they do not

:43:17.:43:20.

know at the moment. Instead it is faceless accountability at the

:43:21.:43:29.

moment. It is very much for joining us.

:43:30.:43:34.

We have heard a lot from the so-called bigger guns but there are

:43:35.:43:39.

lots of smaller parties seeking your vote. None of them have yet to win a

:43:40.:43:47.

seat in Cardiff Bay but they fight on. We have been speaking to the

:43:48.:43:50.

parties fielding candidates in each of the five regions across Wales.

:43:51.:43:53.

The 60 Assembly Members elected on 5th May will meet here

:43:54.:43:56.

But if the Abolish The Welsh Assembly Party win seats,

:43:57.:43:59.

they won't want to be here at all but will fight to close

:44:00.:44:02.

The Assembly now wants more powers, they want more Assembly Members,

:44:03.:44:10.

a pay rise, tax-raising powers and a separate legal system.

:44:11.:44:16.

The Welsh Office and our 40 MPs in Westminster do the job perfectly

:44:17.:44:28.

Anything that needs to be devolved, any issues, we say devolve it

:44:29.:44:35.

The crisis in the steel industry has arguably overshadowed the Assembly

:44:36.:44:48.

election campaign and focussed the minds of politicians and candidates.

:44:49.:44:51.

The Welsh Communist Party wants the next Welsh Government

:44:52.:44:54.

to nationalise the steel industry and are calling

:44:55.:44:57.

on Labour supporters to give their second vote

:44:58.:45:00.

The Communists argue that Labour won only two seats across all five

:45:01.:45:06.

regions five years ago and, if Labour supporters want to see more

:45:07.:45:10.

Socialists in the Assembly after 5th May, then they should vote

:45:11.:45:13.

There's so much that could be done with a thoroughly modernised steel

:45:14.:45:19.

industry but we don't have those resources at the moment.

:45:20.:45:22.

Only the Communist Party in Wales is standing

:45:23.:45:25.

in this election, not only for a Welsh Assembly and government

:45:26.:45:28.

with real powers and resources to make a big difference,

:45:29.:45:33.

but we believe that this needs to take place within a federal

:45:34.:45:35.

Britain so that the wealth that is currently hoarded by the

:45:36.:45:39.

wealthiest 10% of the population, to avoid paying their taxes, would be

:45:40.:45:45.

redistributed to all the nations and regions and the peoples Britain.

:45:46.:45:53.

The Monster Raving Loony Party have launched a so-called manic-festo

:45:54.:45:57.

Policies include re-routing any more M4 relief roads to boost

:45:58.:46:05.

tourism in Porthcawl, Tenby, and even

:46:06.:46:07.

If they win seats here in Cardiff Bay, they would work to

:46:08.:46:11.

introduce mermaids to the bay itself and they are calling on people

:46:12.:46:14.

We are offering an alternative for people and we say they usually

:46:15.:46:20.

If you don't like what is being offered in the mainstream,

:46:21.:46:27.

We will be on everybody's ballott paper down the bottom.

:46:28.:46:32.

to vote for the Monster Raving Loony Party

:46:33.:46:35.

with our great manifesto ideas that we have.

:46:36.:46:37.

Several of the Monster Raving Loony Party's over the years have actually

:46:38.:46:40.

been developed and brought through into mainstream politics.

:46:41.:46:43.

We were the first party to consider whether

:46:44.:46:47.

The first party to bring pets' passports

:46:48.:46:51.

And the first party that has brought about independent radio.

:46:52.:46:58.

So lots of our ideas, actually, they take time, but they do come

:46:59.:47:01.

There are plenty of people and parties after your votes.

:47:02.:47:06.

There is a full list on the BBC Wales election website.

:47:07.:47:17.

In the last of our interviews with the main parties about the

:47:18.:47:25.

manifestos, Liber's Carwyn Andrews is here. It is not a huge document.

:47:26.:47:35.

110 pages in 2011 but this year just 24 pages with many pictures.

:47:36.:47:41.

Why has it got shorter? We have gone digital first and that is how the

:47:42.:47:48.

next government will be. Our manifesto is a digital manifesto and

:47:49.:47:54.

we produced a shorter version for printing.

:47:55.:47:59.

There are far fewer policy ideas than previous manifestos.

:48:00.:48:04.

It is focused on a number of very important and exciting pledges.

:48:05.:48:14.

Childcare is the most exciting offer in the UK. That goes beyond any

:48:15.:48:21.

other offer from another party. Looking at other top line messages,

:48:22.:48:25.

this new treatment fund to give that access to new drugs. The independent

:48:26.:48:36.

body Nice decide whether drugs go into the NHS. What will change?

:48:37.:48:42.

This is an important commitment and goes beyond what other parties are

:48:43.:48:46.

promising. It repeatedly said it is not to buy drugs but about

:48:47.:48:50.

treatments. We want to ensure that we are able to offer support to

:48:51.:48:56.

people with life-threatening diseases, not just cancer, but also

:48:57.:49:01.

that is about treatment. Through this fund, will be able to support

:49:02.:49:05.

the health board and others in developing what is necessary.

:49:06.:49:13.

Part of the problem is that patients from Wales have gone into England,

:49:14.:49:21.

particularly cancer patients. There is a drug to be introduced later

:49:22.:49:24.

this year and that was to be the case because there will be drugs in

:49:25.:49:31.

England not available in Wales. Only for those drugs which are

:49:32.:49:41.

approved by Nice. The process is in England are being

:49:42.:49:49.

merged with the Nice process. People travel to Wales as well so it is not

:49:50.:49:54.

a one-way street. We are putting in place a radical proposal for

:49:55.:49:59.

treatment fund. It is not about the drugs, it's also about new

:50:00.:50:02.

treatments that are come on stream. My point is very specific, that

:50:03.:50:06.

those people who have had to travel to England to get those cancer

:50:07.:50:08.

drugs. Have to do the same. There are

:50:09.:50:13.

cancer drugs available in Wales that are not available in England. You

:50:14.:50:17.

should not why the Conservative began that on this issue. Recruiting

:50:18.:50:22.

a new fund that will be for broader than the scheme and Ingrid which has

:50:23.:50:24.

failed and is being closed that down.

:50:25.:50:36.

-- closed in England. Apprenticeships, of the past five

:50:37.:50:41.

years to have construed on all the higher level qualifications.

:50:42.:50:47.

Why the switch? We have been very successful. We have had better

:50:48.:50:55.

apprenticeship levels. We are proud of that.

:50:56.:50:59.

Why change it? We believe there is a gap and people

:51:00.:51:04.

want to retrain. That has always been the case.

:51:05.:51:11.

We met people at the college the other day at different stages in

:51:12.:51:18.

wanting to go into. It is a major step, a radical step, and as proving

:51:19.:51:27.

popular with employers. The tuition free grant sees the

:51:28.:51:33.

Welsh Government pay ?5,000 towards expenses. We have discussed the

:51:34.:51:38.

merits and otherwise have that many times. In this manifesto, there is

:51:39.:51:42.

hardly anything about what you will do in future. All you are seeing is

:51:43.:51:46.

a better package and then offer in England. But didn't do anything they

:51:47.:51:51.

are so are seeing better than nothing.

:51:52.:51:54.

Let me give you this commitment. We know that Plaid Cymru will make

:51:55.:52:07.

students pay ?9,000 tuition fees. We will not do that. We will listen to

:52:08.:52:12.

what the Diamond cap review has to say. The First Minister does not

:52:13.:52:19.

like the idea of means testing. What we are going to do is taking forward

:52:20.:52:25.

the scheme that we have which is saved Welsh graduates ?22,000 hit on

:52:26.:52:30.

average. We are making a commitment we will not charge will students

:52:31.:52:36.

?9,000 in a university fees unlike Plaid Cymru.

:52:37.:52:38.

What you're seeing as there is a review coming back in September and

:52:39.:52:41.

you will be to see what that review tells you to do.

:52:42.:52:46.

The higher education sector needs to be able to demonstrate...

:52:47.:52:50.

But you are not... We know that the scheme we have at

:52:51.:52:54.

the moment is cheaper than we feel that the moment when we launched it.

:52:55.:53:00.

It is for others to make the case for change and we will look at the

:53:01.:53:06.

review. We need to be able to demonstrate that Wells students can

:53:07.:53:11.

study every subject. You can discuss the merits or

:53:12.:53:16.

otherwise of other parties and you can discuss, I would rather we

:53:17.:53:19.

don't. But they at least have policies on offer.

:53:20.:53:24.

We need to see what the review has to say. We will consider that. We

:53:25.:53:29.

have said we will not ask students to pay ?9,000.

:53:30.:53:35.

The review published hundreds of pages of statistics and documents, a

:53:36.:53:42.

treasure trove of information. It is therefore used to base your policies

:53:43.:53:44.

on but you're shying away from information.

:53:45.:53:48.

I don't think we are. We don't know what the UK Government are going to

:53:49.:53:52.

do in regards to funding in England. It may be that the University of

:53:53.:53:57.

Bristol and Manchester is able to charge higher fees. That would

:53:58.:54:02.

affect the body. But we are not going to make wealth should -- Welsh

:54:03.:54:08.

students pay ?9,000. That is all from us. Don't forget

:54:09.:54:15.

the special leaders debate on Wednesday. For now, that is all from

:54:16.:54:23.

me. Thank you for watching and now time to

:54:24.:54:23.

me. Thank you for watching and now time

:54:24.:54:25.

You can see a full list of all the candidates standing

:54:26.:54:29.

in the Mayoral election on the screen now.

:54:30.:54:31.

And further information is available on the BBC London website.

:54:32.:54:33.

Now, the Home Secretary has made her first major intervention

:54:34.:54:38.

She was on Andrew Marr this morning, speaking up for Remain.

:54:39.:54:42.

She was asked how immigration could be controlled if we stay

:54:43.:54:45.

Nobody who has heard me over the last few

:54:46.:54:50.

years can doubt that I

:54:51.:54:51.

think we need to control immigration.

:54:52.:54:54.

Controlling it is hard, and it's hard whether we are inside the

:54:55.:55:00.

It's hard dealing with EU migration or

:55:01.:55:05.

Harder to deal if we are still inside.

:55:06.:55:08.

Immigration is going to

:55:09.:55:10.

carry on rising very sharply if we stay inside the EU, isn't it?

:55:11.:55:13.

The thing about immigration is, it is

:55:14.:55:15.

as a government, say, we are going to change this one rule

:55:16.:55:23.

and suddenly the result is going to be what we want.

:55:24.:55:25.

You have constantly to be working at it, which is exactly what

:55:26.:55:28.

The Home Secretary having trouble getting a clear-cut answer. The

:55:29.:55:40.

Leave campaign thinks immigration has its strongest card, why isn't it

:55:41.:55:45.

making more of it? I think it is a while since the strong card within a

:55:46.:55:49.

certain group of the electorate, it also backfires with another one and

:55:50.:55:53.

that has gone to the heart of a lot of disagreement that has been all

:55:54.:55:58.

the way through the last few months between the rival Brexit camps. One

:55:59.:56:02.

side of those camps thinks they should go very hard on immigration,

:56:03.:56:07.

they think it is a banker for them, the other groups are actually this

:56:08.:56:18.

deters as many people from our case as it attracts so there is a real

:56:19.:56:20.

tension there. That may be the issue. My understanding is that

:56:21.:56:23.

polling shows immigration really resonates with those who have

:56:24.:56:26.

already made up their mind to leave but for those who are still not

:56:27.:56:30.

sure, it doesn't get them to come on board. Yes, the levers of Vote Leave

:56:31.:56:39.

-- leaders have been clear since the moment they set up shop that they

:56:40.:56:45.

should talk about immigration, that if they defined their campaign on

:56:46.:56:48.

immigration they would lose, simple as that because you are simply

:56:49.:56:54.

talking to up to 30% of the electorate who have already made up

:56:55.:57:01.

their minds. And Matthew Elliott has been clear all along their campaign

:57:02.:57:05.

has got to be defined on the economy, on security, and they have

:57:06.:57:08.

got to show their option is the safest option and that staying

:57:09.:57:14.

inside the EU is the risky one. They have headlines today saying the Home

:57:15.:57:17.

Secretary has admitted we cannot have full control of our borders but

:57:18.:57:22.

watch them, they will be moving back to Obama and the economy because

:57:23.:57:25.

that is the area from which they only have a chance of winning. The

:57:26.:57:30.

consensus view seems to be that it was a bad week for Leave. What will

:57:31.:57:40.

they do now? I think they need to make some impact with something

:57:41.:57:44.

spectacular, different. You feel they have run out of momentum. They

:57:45.:57:51.

had a terrific dart, with huge names like Michael Gove and Boris Johnson,

:57:52.:57:56.

and that then seemed to be it. Every week the Remain campaign have

:57:57.:58:02.

treated this like a Lynton Crosby style general election campaign.

:58:03.:58:06.

They are totally owning the agenda, which begs the question why put out

:58:07.:58:14.

Theresa May today? Why would you want to slip that in? Maybe because

:58:15.:58:19.

they think the Obama coverage will cover that up. I think Leave Haft to

:58:20.:58:25.

concentrate on immigration now. Do you think that puts people off as

:58:26.:58:33.

well? It may well but it is their strongest suit and they do have a

:58:34.:58:36.

huge amount of support on what they are saying about immigration across

:58:37.:58:40.

the country. If you have one big weapon, you have got to keep firing

:58:41.:58:45.

it. Were you surprised that Dominic Rabb didn't just rule out the idea

:58:46.:58:50.

of visas? I was actually, I'm not sure how that will go down among the

:58:51.:58:56.

Leave campaigners. I think it will be picked up that the Remain

:58:57.:59:01.

campaign will run with that, but to follow on from what Tom was saying

:59:02.:59:05.

about what Leave should do this week, I think they have got to nail

:59:06.:59:10.

this ongoing claim that the alt campaigners cannot explain what out

:59:11.:59:15.

looks like. It is very lazy criticism but quite an effective one

:59:16.:59:21.

that they cannot come up with some kind of model and it is difficult

:59:22.:59:25.

for them to prove a negative. But they need to start some kind of

:59:26.:59:28.

language which ridicules the suggestion that they cannot come up

:59:29.:59:34.

with a comparable... This is Norway or whatever. I think you need more

:59:35.:59:40.

Michael Gove and less Boris Johnson. Michael Gove made a significant

:59:41.:59:44.

speech in the week in which he said the optimistic case is to leave the

:59:45.:59:47.

European Union because he was saying Britain could have a great future

:59:48.:59:53.

outside the European Union and the Remain people are pessimistic

:59:54.:59:55.

because they are saying we have got to be part of this club. What do you

:59:56.:00:03.

get from Boris Johnson? Raising questions about whether he was being

:00:04.:00:10.

racist against the President of the United States. Voters don't like

:00:11.:00:19.

that. What voters like is optimism and substance, and that is what

:00:20.:00:25.

Michael Gove is doing. Also their big problem, absolutely part of

:00:26.:00:28.

their strategy is not to spell out what Leave looks like in any detail

:00:29.:00:32.

because they don't want to make the same mistake that Alex Salmond did,

:00:33.:00:40.

they want to give no detail at all. Then nobody can never come back

:00:41.:00:46.

about it. Michael Howard said it won't be the Norway deal, it won't

:00:47.:00:51.

be the Swiss deal, it will be the British Steel, the fifth largest

:00:52.:00:55.

economy in the world. It takes the president of the US to put trade

:00:56.:00:59.

deals into the headlines, you don't often get that, and he said if we

:01:00.:01:05.

weren't part of an EU deal, we would go to the back of the queue. Tom,

:01:06.:01:10.

you think he has already stepped back a bit from that quite blunt

:01:11.:01:15.

statement? It was interesting, the Hugh Edwards interview, which was

:01:16.:01:23.

very saccharine stuff. It got some good news headlines. I would like to

:01:24.:01:30.

see you up against him. If we have a special relationship, why do we go

:01:31.:01:34.

to the back of the queue? And Obama pointedly didn't be that. I think it

:01:35.:01:40.

was a misstep. I was sitting in the Foreign Office behind Number Ten

:01:41.:01:44.

officials on Friday when trade started coming up and you could see

:01:45.:01:48.

them shuffling. When he said the back of the queue comment, they

:01:49.:01:53.

turned around and said that is your intro, which made me think they

:01:54.:01:58.

didn't know that was coming either. I wonder if it isn't a paper tiger.

:01:59.:02:04.

The fact is there is no deal between the EU and the USA. They started

:02:05.:02:09.

talks in 2013, they are meeting in New York tomorrow for the 13th

:02:10.:02:14.

round, speaking to contacts in Washington they say there is no

:02:15.:02:17.

prospect of any ratification of the deal by this Congress. We will be

:02:18.:02:23.

lucky to get it signed before Obama steps down in January 2017, and

:02:24.:02:27.

there are now protests growing everywhere. We have pictures of

:02:28.:02:37.

demonstrations in Germany yesterday, there is a head of steam building up

:02:38.:02:40.

against it and it may not even happen. The hope of the Brexit

:02:41.:02:49.

campaigners will be that this Barack Obama comment backfires. Even if

:02:50.:02:53.

there were a queue, are we to really believe America is so short of

:02:54.:02:57.

tremendous negotiators that there is a limited number of personal

:02:58.:03:01.

available to actually make further deals? I think it is an extremely

:03:02.:03:08.

thin argument. Additionally we know that America sells us something like

:03:09.:03:13.

$56 billion worth of goods, are we really to believe they will somehow

:03:14.:03:14.

throw with that to the wind? Even without free trade, we are the

:03:15.:03:25.

big as in -- the biggest investors in America. There are 1 million

:03:26.:03:30.

Brits employed by American companies here. The US election campaign has

:03:31.:03:34.

become increasingly isolationist or stop not just Bernie Sanders and

:03:35.:03:40.

Donald Trump, or even Ted Cruz, but now Hillary Clinton has come out

:03:41.:03:43.

against the Pacific trade deal, which is ahead of the queue -- is

:03:44.:03:51.

ahead of the European one. The problem with Clinton is that it was

:03:52.:03:58.

on her husband's watch that NAFTA was signed, the North American Free

:03:59.:04:01.

Trade Agreement. The argument is that all those jobs in Detroit went

:04:02.:04:05.

south to Mexico, and the Clinton brand has been badly damaged by

:04:06.:04:08.

that. She has always had to walk away from that. I don't believe that

:04:09.:04:13.

Hillary Clinton as president would be isolationist. The thing about

:04:14.:04:18.

Arak Obama is that this queue may not exist, but the United States

:04:19.:04:25.

likes to deal with regional blocs, not individual countries. One of the

:04:26.:04:29.

big challenges for Brexit is that the EU minus us is 440 million

:04:30.:04:37.

people. How important are we? There is no doubt that Obama's impact here

:04:38.:04:42.

will be big, because the Leave campaign say, when we leave the EU,

:04:43.:04:49.

we will replace any lost trade with greater trade deals with other

:04:50.:04:52.

countries that the EU stopped us from signing, such as America pulls

:04:53.:04:56.

up or bar masses, no you want. Hillary Clinton says, you certainly

:04:57.:05:04.

won't. -- President Obama says. As I look at it, it is on both the

:05:05.:05:10.

Democratic left and the Republic right, that it may become more

:05:11.:05:14.

difficult not to Britain but for anyone to do trade deals with

:05:15.:05:19.

America. America does what is in its interest. The most significant thing

:05:20.:05:25.

about Arak Obama 's remarks was homelike king Ince bestial qualities

:05:26.:05:32.

our relationship is. Didn't he make a joke about us having to sell an

:05:33.:05:38.

electric chair to the United States? The great height of our special

:05:39.:05:43.

relationship was all about pounds, shillings and pence. Someone who

:05:44.:05:47.

follows -- as someone who follows trade talks, I am grateful to the

:05:48.:05:50.

president for bringing it to the front of the agenda.

:05:51.:05:57.

The junior doctors' strike is due this week. It is only in England,

:05:58.:06:04.

but the Labour Party has come up with a suggested compromise, let's

:06:05.:06:12.

pilot the plan. There we go, Labour steps in to halt doctors' strike.

:06:13.:06:17.

People might think, that is not a bad idea, let's see if it works. I

:06:18.:06:20.

would be surprised if Jeremy Hunt went for that. He would say, here is

:06:21.:06:27.

the deal, you must accept it. The BMA and the Labour Party don't

:06:28.:06:31.

really want this to go ahead. The second they start withdrawing

:06:32.:06:33.

doctors and people start dying because of it, they are in trouble

:06:34.:06:41.

in terms of public support. It is worth asking why they did not pilot

:06:42.:06:47.

it first. Jeremy Corbyn is in a corner on this, for all the right

:06:48.:06:51.

reasons. He agrees that a seven-day service is needed. I think the

:06:52.:06:54.

junior doctors have done themselves no favours by being as dogmatic as

:06:55.:07:01.

they have been. Mr Hunt hasn't done himself any favours, either. He

:07:02.:07:05.

believes that what he is doing is in the interest of patients. I expect

:07:06.:07:11.

him to hold the line. Syriza May was saying, it is being piloted with

:07:12.:07:20.

20,000 -- to Reza may.... The Home Secretary is saying it is being

:07:21.:07:26.

piloted with 20,000 doctors. I am not sure that Jeremy Hunt would want

:07:27.:07:31.

an independent forensic examination. Do you agree that if the strike goes

:07:32.:07:35.

ahead it starts to go the Government's way? Absolutely. Jeremy

:07:36.:07:40.

Hunt knows that he just needs to sit pretty and not worry too much about

:07:41.:07:44.

these last-minute offers. Tomorrow will be a fascinating day. We will

:07:45.:07:52.

find out before the strike begins which side will blink. If we are

:07:53.:07:57.

looking at a complete withdrawal of labour from doctors,, it is

:07:58.:08:02.

something that has never happened before in this country and it could

:08:03.:08:07.

be disastrous in terms of deaths. The blame will fall squarely on the

:08:08.:08:12.

shoulders of the doctors. We shall see. We have marked this week as

:08:13.:08:20.

another bad week for Remain. We should market every week and -- we

:08:21.:08:26.

should mark it every week and see what happens.

:08:27.:08:28.

We'll be back at the usual time of 11am next Sunday,

:08:29.:08:32.

and the Daily Politics is on at lunchtime all next week

:08:33.:08:36.

Remember - if it's Sunday, it's the Sunday Politics.

:08:37.:08:39.

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