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|---|---|---|---|
President Obama leaves the UK, claiming it could take up to 10 | :00:38. | :00:44. | |
years to do a free trade deal with the UK if we leave the EU - | :00:45. | :00:48. | |
but is America's trade deal with the EU any closer to happening? | :00:49. | :00:53. | |
Immigration's running at more than three times | :00:54. | :00:55. | |
the Government's target - but is the Home Secretary right that | :00:56. | :00:58. | |
Britain can only stay in the single market if it agrees to the continued | :00:59. | :01:01. | |
Jeremy Corbyn faces his first big electoral test as Labour Leader | :01:02. | :01:11. | |
Later in the programme, the Tories will the party increase the number | :01:12. | :01:22. | |
Later in the programme, the Tories and Labour have published their | :01:23. | :01:23. | |
In the capital: manifestos ahead of the | :01:24. | :01:25. | |
as the mayoral finishing line draws closer, Labour's candidate, | :01:26. | :01:28. | |
Sadiq Khan, is here with us to outline why he should | :01:29. | :01:30. | |
And with me for the duration, three journalists whom no-one puts | :01:31. | :01:38. | |
at the back of the queue - or even the line. | :01:39. | :01:40. | |
Nick Watt, Isabel Oakeshott and Tom Newton Dunn - | :01:41. | :01:42. | |
they'll be tweeting throughout the programme. | :01:43. | :01:46. | |
So, Air Force One left Stanstead Airport a few hours ago | :01:47. | :01:49. | |
and the President is now in Hanover, Germany. | :01:50. | :01:53. | |
But the reverberations of Mr Obama's intervention in the EU referendum | :01:54. | :01:56. | |
On Friday, the President told a press conference | :01:57. | :02:00. | |
the EU, it would be at the back of the queue when it comes to doing | :02:01. | :02:07. | |
a free trade deal with the US - comments he was asked about in a BBC | :02:08. | :02:11. | |
The UK would not be able to negotiate something with the United | :02:12. | :02:15. | |
We wouldn't abandon our efforts to negotiate a trade deal with our | :02:16. | :02:21. | |
largest trading partner, the European market, but rather, | :02:22. | :02:31. | |
it could be five years from now, ten years | :02:32. | :02:34. | |
from now, before we were able to actually get something done. | :02:35. | :02:40. | |
And I'm joined now by the Justice Minister and Leave | :02:41. | :02:42. | |
Welcome to the programme. Mr Obama, 5-10 years for a free-trade deal | :02:43. | :02:55. | |
with the UK under the EU. He's right, isn't he? What was most | :02:56. | :02:59. | |
interesting this morning was how far he has backtracked since Friday | :03:00. | :03:03. | |
evening. As you said, we were told we would be sent to the back of the | :03:04. | :03:07. | |
queue if we didn't take his advice and stay in the EU. Now, he has said | :03:08. | :03:12. | |
that if Britain was independent from the EU, we could not expect to do a | :03:13. | :03:19. | |
free-trade deal quicker than with the EU. No one is really expecting | :03:20. | :03:24. | |
that, so I think the reality is that these things can take time. It has | :03:25. | :03:29. | |
taken almost 40 years even to get to this stage with a stalled EU- US | :03:30. | :03:37. | |
deal. I think we would be better placed, and we are not prejudiced by | :03:38. | :03:41. | |
being outside the EU in doing that. The president has made it clear that | :03:42. | :03:47. | |
American power will do regional deals. That is why he has put so | :03:48. | :03:51. | |
much energy into a specific deal with the 11 countries. He wants to | :03:52. | :03:56. | |
do and EU deal involving all the EU members. The only started in 2013, | :03:57. | :04:01. | |
they haven't been at it for 40 years. We have been talking about it | :04:02. | :04:06. | |
for 40 years. That is a different matter. The negotiations started in | :04:07. | :04:11. | |
2013. We would be a long way behind these two megadeal. When he said we | :04:12. | :04:15. | |
were at the back of the queue, I was a bit startled, so I went and | :04:16. | :04:21. | |
checked. The US has no other bilateral negotiations for a freight | :04:22. | :04:24. | |
train with any other country than the EU. When you look at the 23 | :04:25. | :04:31. | |
trade deals it has, none of them are worth an economy bigger than | :04:32. | :04:35. | |
Britain. Let's remember that if America signed a trade deal with us, | :04:36. | :04:39. | |
it would be the equivalent of the North American trade deal because... | :04:40. | :04:44. | |
I think we have strong mutual interest in doing it. America had a | :04:45. | :04:49. | |
number of bilateral free trade talks going on with about 15 different | :04:50. | :04:57. | |
countries. It essentially froze them because it wants to do regional | :04:58. | :05:01. | |
deals - why would it reopen at Mr Ross? In the last 25 years, it has | :05:02. | :05:05. | |
done a string of bilateral and regional negotiations, given the | :05:06. | :05:11. | |
collapse of WTO talks, the Pacific deal was done. The EU one is stuck | :05:12. | :05:16. | |
in the mud. If Britain came out of the EU, saying, we are not shackled | :05:17. | :05:20. | |
by the special interests of film-makers who don't want American | :05:21. | :05:24. | |
box sets polluting French culture, we want insist on the labelling | :05:25. | :05:30. | |
requirements unfettered cheese that the Greeks do. And we won't have a | :05:31. | :05:33. | |
dispute about the settlement mechanism that the Europeans are | :05:34. | :05:36. | |
concerned about and people are concerned about in this country. It | :05:37. | :05:40. | |
is important to understand why the Americans insist on that, because | :05:41. | :05:44. | |
they don't trust the court systems in many European countries will stop | :05:45. | :05:48. | |
American firms trust British courts to resolve commercial this beautiful | :05:49. | :05:51. | |
stop all of these problems will be swept away, and I think we would be | :05:52. | :05:57. | |
well placed. If we're done with the EU and we not a member, the EU will | :05:58. | :06:02. | |
have free trade with United States and we don't know when we will have | :06:03. | :06:07. | |
it. It could give a huge advantage to the French, Germans, Italians and | :06:08. | :06:15. | |
Spanish. We know that the White House briefs out... The White House | :06:16. | :06:23. | |
regularly briefed it. If you look at White House commentary, let me just | :06:24. | :06:27. | |
put this to you - if America was my priority is the EU deal, the best | :06:28. | :06:32. | |
way of ramping up its negotiations leveraged would be to come to a | :06:33. | :06:36. | |
relatively quick deal with Britain. That would put the pressure on. In | :06:37. | :06:40. | |
trade negotiations, America had a history of doing that. Do you accept | :06:41. | :06:46. | |
that whatever our relationship with the EU, if we read, we can have no | :06:47. | :06:52. | |
full access to the single market unless we agree to free movement of | :06:53. | :06:56. | |
people? It depends what you mean by full access to the single market. I | :06:57. | :07:00. | |
think we would not see any trade barriers go up because we are the | :07:01. | :07:09. | |
fifth biggest economy in the world, but it means we can have proper | :07:10. | :07:13. | |
control of our borders and we will not be bound by the stifling | :07:14. | :07:17. | |
regulation that gives us a competitive disadvantage. It is | :07:18. | :07:20. | |
important for small businesses here. You still don't know if we would | :07:21. | :07:24. | |
have access to the single market. You can't tell as that. Everyone who | :07:25. | :07:29. | |
does who is not a member of the EU has had to agree to free movement. | :07:30. | :07:34. | |
It is a strawman to say, I can't tell you what the deal looks like | :07:35. | :07:37. | |
until we have had the referendum. I can tell you this: Look at the | :07:38. | :07:42. | |
options being put at their - Swiss, Norwegian, Turkish. I think because | :07:43. | :07:47. | |
Britain's economy is bigger than all of those combined, and because | :07:48. | :07:54. | |
French farmers and German car manufacturers sell as ?60 billion | :07:55. | :07:58. | |
more each year than we sell them, we are very well placed and mutual | :07:59. | :08:02. | |
self-interest suggests we would cut a good deal. | :08:03. | :08:06. | |
How would we have more control over borders if we left? We would have | :08:07. | :08:11. | |
control over who could come to work here, I understand that, if we want | :08:12. | :08:15. | |
in the EU any more, provided we weren't part of the single market, | :08:16. | :08:19. | |
but how would we be able to stop people coming here? Do you think if | :08:20. | :08:23. | |
we leave the EU that, if you're French or German or Italian, you | :08:24. | :08:30. | |
would need a Visa? There are two issues: The numbers, and I think | :08:31. | :08:34. | |
that as the Home Secretary conceded, we cannot control the numbers | :08:35. | :08:37. | |
because of free movement if we are in the EU, and that makes life | :08:38. | :08:42. | |
harder. The second question is, checks at the border, preventative | :08:43. | :08:46. | |
ones. Under UK law with non-EU countries, we can stop someone | :08:47. | :08:49. | |
coming in because it is not conducive to the public good. With | :08:50. | :08:55. | |
the EU, we can only deny entry if there is a serious, credible and | :08:56. | :09:01. | |
present threat. Which we do. As a result, since 2010, 6000 people have | :09:02. | :09:06. | |
been turned back from the EU. If you compare that with people from out | :09:07. | :09:11. | |
with the EU, we have registered to 60 7000. That shows the stronger | :09:12. | :09:19. | |
checks. I understand, but my question is, outside the EU, we | :09:20. | :09:25. | |
would not insist on visas for the Germans, French and so on? We would | :09:26. | :09:29. | |
have to look at that as part of the negotiations. At the moment, the | :09:30. | :09:36. | |
Obama Administration is looking at new Visa requirement and screening | :09:37. | :09:41. | |
from Germany, Belgium, Greece, France because of the recent | :09:42. | :09:45. | |
terrorist attacks. I think we should at least have the power and control | :09:46. | :09:48. | |
to do that to keep Britain safe. Then we would need a Visa to go to | :09:49. | :09:54. | |
France and Germany. A final question: Why do you not want the | :09:55. | :09:58. | |
leader of the National front in France, Marine Le Pen, to come here? | :09:59. | :10:02. | |
She's one of your biggest supporters. Her views are racist and | :10:03. | :10:06. | |
I don't share her values. I think our party is deeply offensive. But | :10:07. | :10:12. | |
she is on your site. All the more reason why I wouldn't like to see | :10:13. | :10:16. | |
her come. So we do have control over our borders of the Home Secretary | :10:17. | :10:21. | |
can stop coming? People from outside the EU, rappers like snoop doggy | :10:22. | :10:27. | |
dog, have been barred entry because they have a offensive views. If the | :10:28. | :10:30. | |
Home Secretary checks with officials, we probably cannot be | :10:31. | :10:36. | |
nigh Marine Le Pen entry. It is another demonstration of the things | :10:37. | :10:39. | |
we can't do because we don't have the proper controls of our borders. | :10:40. | :10:41. | |
Thank you. Jeremy Corbyn will get his first big | :10:42. | :10:43. | |
electoral test in just under two weeks' time, when voters go | :10:44. | :10:46. | |
to the polls in local Opposition parties usually do | :10:47. | :10:49. | |
well in these contests, even when they've just | :10:50. | :10:51. | |
lost a general election. But with analysts predicting | :10:52. | :10:53. | |
that the party could actually lose councillors, party | :10:54. | :10:55. | |
strategists are There's a simple principle | :10:56. | :10:57. | |
in British politics - if you want to win elections, you need to win | :10:58. | :11:04. | |
seats of every shape and size. When in government, parties tend | :11:05. | :11:10. | |
to lose council seats. In opposition, | :11:11. | :11:14. | |
they tend to win them. Even Michael Foot, who went | :11:15. | :11:18. | |
on to lead Labour to its biggest general election defeat | :11:19. | :11:20. | |
ever, did pretty well to start with. In his first electoral test, | :11:21. | :11:26. | |
in 1981, the party took When Neil Kinnock became leader, | :11:27. | :11:29. | |
he also managed a more And then Ed Miliband, | :11:30. | :11:34. | |
he picked up 857 seats. Since local government was invented | :11:35. | :11:47. | |
in its modern form in 1974, | :11:48. | :11:49. | |
there have been only two years - 1982 and 1985 - when the opposition | :11:50. | :11:54. | |
party has actually lost seats in a local | :11:55. | :11:57. | |
election if it is not So far, so historically positive for | :11:58. | :11:59. | |
Jeremy Corbyn. The problem is, experts in the field | :12:00. | :12:05. | |
reckon Labour could lose 150 seats in these English | :12:06. | :12:11. | |
council elections. Even the party machine has been | :12:12. | :12:16. | |
managing expectations. You simply can't | :12:17. | :12:19. | |
explain away any kind of net loss of seats | :12:20. | :12:21. | |
in these elections. After all, a new leader | :12:22. | :12:25. | |
in the middle of his honeymoon period following on from | :12:26. | :12:30. | |
a disastrous mega-galactic shambles of a budget failure shouldn't expect | :12:31. | :12:35. | |
to see anything other than dramatic gains in the local | :12:36. | :12:37. | |
elections that follow. Anything else, | :12:38. | :12:41. | |
historically speaking, is It's an argument put forward by some | :12:42. | :12:42. | |
of his MPs. I'm not going to put | :12:43. | :12:51. | |
a specific number on it, but 300-400 seats would be a good | :12:52. | :12:53. | |
step in the We have to be ambitious, | :12:54. | :12:55. | |
because we are the Labour Party, and we are a | :12:56. | :13:01. | |
party of government. We exist in order to be | :13:02. | :13:04. | |
in Government and make a difference Southampton, that is where | :13:05. | :13:07. | |
Ed Miliband has been... The last time this batch of council | :13:08. | :13:11. | |
seats were contested, Labour under Southampton was one of a number | :13:12. | :13:15. | |
of areas where Labour failed to capitalise in the general election, | :13:16. | :13:24. | |
losing a Parliamentary If Jeremy Corbyn wants to be | :13:25. | :13:26. | |
Prime Minister in 2020, he will be expected to make inroads now in many | :13:27. | :13:31. | |
of the English council areas, and I think that all | :13:32. | :13:35. | |
leaders are judged by We've got from now until | :13:36. | :13:42. | |
the 5th of May to deliver positive and encouraging | :13:43. | :13:46. | |
results for Labour. It's always hard to compare | :13:47. | :13:49. | |
historic elections. There are always different | :13:50. | :13:51. | |
political contexts, varying numbers of seats up grabs, | :13:52. | :13:54. | |
but rightly or wrongly, several Labour MPs I've spoken | :13:55. | :13:58. | |
to will do just that, conscious that Jeremy Corbyn | :13:59. | :14:01. | |
could make history for the And we're joined now | :14:02. | :14:03. | |
from Salford by the Shadow Education Secretary, | :14:04. | :14:11. | |
Lucy Powell. Welcome to the programme, Lucy | :14:12. | :14:21. | |
Powell. Your Labour MP Carly, Stephen Kinnock, says you should be | :14:22. | :14:24. | |
gaining an extra 300-400 council seat in England - does that seem | :14:25. | :14:29. | |
right? I won't get into the predictions game. Like Stephen, like | :14:30. | :14:35. | |
Jeremy and the rest of the Shadow Cabinet, I am optimistic about these | :14:36. | :14:39. | |
elections. We are a political party and always looking to make gains and | :14:40. | :14:45. | |
progress at every electoral test. These elections are no different. I | :14:46. | :14:49. | |
won't get into the predictions business. Hold on. What about the | :14:50. | :14:56. | |
principle that new opposition leaders always do pretty well in | :14:57. | :15:00. | |
their first electoral test? I was looking at the record - Ed Miliband, | :15:01. | :15:09. | |
Tony Blair, Neil Kinnock, even Michael Foot, they all made gains. | :15:10. | :15:13. | |
We must expect Jeremy Corbyn to do the same, surely? | :15:14. | :15:17. | |
I have been hoping we will make progress. Do you think you will make | :15:18. | :15:28. | |
gains? We are looking at winning in London for the first time since | :15:29. | :15:32. | |
2004, we are looking to make progress in the local elections, we | :15:33. | :15:36. | |
are looking to stay in power in Wales. Obviously in Scotland things | :15:37. | :15:41. | |
are difficult there and they are long-term legacy issues for the | :15:42. | :15:44. | |
Labour Party to deal with in Scotland but you do have to set it | :15:45. | :15:49. | |
into context. It has been an incredibly tough year for the Labour | :15:50. | :15:53. | |
Party, we suffered a crushing election defeat. That was not even a | :15:54. | :15:58. | |
year ago, which we weren't expecting and everybody else wasn't expecting | :15:59. | :16:04. | |
either. We had a long, drawn-out leadership contest. We have a new | :16:05. | :16:10. | |
leader in Jeremy Corbyn and it takes time for everybody to adjust to | :16:11. | :16:15. | |
that. But I think we have had a very positive few weeks where we have | :16:16. | :16:20. | |
been on the front foot, we have been effective opposition, with issues | :16:21. | :16:26. | |
like the Budget... We haven't got too much time. Let me put it in | :16:27. | :16:31. | |
context. The Tories have divided and they are in disarray, last month | :16:32. | :16:37. | |
brought yet another omnishambles Budget. Why would you not be poised | :16:38. | :16:45. | |
for big gains? I am very hopeful we will get big gains. London will be a | :16:46. | :16:58. | |
big gain, we haven't won since 2004. What I'm interested in is how we on | :16:59. | :17:02. | |
the right track for winning in 2020, and that is a really tough job. I | :17:03. | :17:07. | |
don't think anyone underestimates the challenge we face as a political | :17:08. | :17:13. | |
party. Let me see if I can pin you down. Maybe one of the reasons it is | :17:14. | :17:17. | |
not an easy job is that you may not be in tune with the public mood. | :17:18. | :17:25. | |
This chart shows they regularly rate immigration one of their number one | :17:26. | :17:29. | |
concern is, ahead of the NHS and the economy, this is recent poll. Most | :17:30. | :17:35. | |
are not against immigration but they think the influx is too high. How | :17:36. | :17:40. | |
does that square with Jeremy Corbyn's view that we have not let | :17:41. | :17:45. | |
too many in? All of these issues we have got to think deeply about and | :17:46. | :17:51. | |
there is an urgency to that. Immigration, welfare, the economy, | :17:52. | :17:54. | |
these were all issues at the last election but that was only a few | :17:55. | :17:59. | |
months ago. If we knew the answer is, if we knew how we would make | :18:00. | :18:04. | |
labour relevant again, the Labour values I care about, how we will | :18:05. | :18:08. | |
make them relevant in the modern world, if I had those answers we | :18:09. | :18:12. | |
wouldn't be sitting here now because we would be in Government. Do you | :18:13. | :18:19. | |
agree with Jeremy Corbyn... We have got to spend time, doing the | :18:20. | :18:25. | |
difficult job of understanding how the Labour Party can be relevant in | :18:26. | :18:31. | |
the modern world, and that includes issues... If you let me come back to | :18:32. | :18:38. | |
immigration and get a specific answer out of you. Do you agree with | :18:39. | :18:42. | |
Jeremy Corbyn that in recent years we have not let too many in? I don't | :18:43. | :18:48. | |
want to get into a numbers game about immigration. I know from all | :18:49. | :18:52. | |
the work I do on the doorstep, immigration is a massive issue and | :18:53. | :18:56. | |
people have real concerns about the impact that immigration has on some | :18:57. | :19:04. | |
of our communities. As the Labour Party, we have to address those. | :19:05. | :19:07. | |
That's why I thought we were right at the last election to have a | :19:08. | :19:13. | |
policy around the emergency rate for example on benefits for EU migrants, | :19:14. | :19:18. | |
a policy the Government have adopted, but I don't think simple | :19:19. | :19:24. | |
retail policy offers are what Labour's challenge is right now. Our | :19:25. | :19:29. | |
challenge is over the next few years what is our relevant values that we | :19:30. | :19:34. | |
can offer to the public that will help us win the election. Let me | :19:35. | :19:43. | |
come onto education. You asked if you planned to bring academies under | :19:44. | :19:49. | |
local authority control and you said no, by 2020 almost every secondary | :19:50. | :20:01. | |
school will be a free School or an Academy, do you stand by that? Only | :20:02. | :20:06. | |
17% of primary schools are academies. You said nearly every | :20:07. | :20:13. | |
secondary, do you stand by that? I don't know about primary schools, | :20:14. | :20:17. | |
let's see what happens over the next few weeks because the Government's | :20:18. | :20:21. | |
attempt to force all schools against their wishes to become an Academy is | :20:22. | :20:26. | |
on the rocks. They put the brakes on some schools feeling they have no | :20:27. | :20:29. | |
option but to become academies, which is what many schools felt over | :20:30. | :20:37. | |
the last few years. And I understand the policy of making every school | :20:38. | :20:41. | |
and Academy is difficult, I take your point, but you said every | :20:42. | :20:46. | |
secondary school and most primaries will be free schools or an Academy. | :20:47. | :20:51. | |
It is not that different from where the Government wants to end up, is | :20:52. | :20:57. | |
it? You are taking my comments out of context. I was talking about | :20:58. | :21:03. | |
Labour's policy at the next election in that circumstance, and my point | :21:04. | :21:07. | |
is that we have got to look anew at what is the accountability framework | :21:08. | :21:12. | |
for all schools? How do we make sure there are sufficient places in our | :21:13. | :21:16. | |
schools, that we have raising standards in our schools, we have | :21:17. | :21:19. | |
sufficient school improvement support for our schools, and we have | :21:20. | :21:24. | |
proper accountability of some of these Academy chains of which we are | :21:25. | :21:26. | |
seeing many more problems arising with their accountability. That is | :21:27. | :21:33. | |
what I will be looking at. In the short term, I will be fighting tooth | :21:34. | :21:38. | |
and nail the Government's plans to force good and outstanding schools | :21:39. | :21:42. | |
against their wishes to become academies. Jeremy Corbyn has | :21:43. | :21:53. | |
described academise a share -- described... Jeremy said lots of | :21:54. | :22:02. | |
things about the forced programme. Is it asset stripping or not? In | :22:03. | :22:08. | |
some cases it can be. The key question is does it meet the test of | :22:09. | :22:14. | |
school improvement? There is mixed evidence of whether it leads to | :22:15. | :22:18. | |
school improvement, as the education select committee have found. The | :22:19. | :22:24. | |
second question is does it give schools freedom and autonomy? How | :22:25. | :22:27. | |
can that be the case if you are forcing a school against its wish to | :22:28. | :22:33. | |
be an Academy. That is not real autonomy. And the first test is | :22:34. | :22:38. | |
around accountability and there are some very real issues there. Some | :22:39. | :22:49. | |
might call that asset stripping. If our state system is being asset | :22:50. | :22:53. | |
stripped as your leader claims, that would be really serious so is he | :22:54. | :22:59. | |
right or wrong? There have been examples of financial mismanagement | :23:00. | :23:03. | |
in some Academy chains, we have seen those recently where directors have | :23:04. | :23:06. | |
been paying themselves double money by setting up arms length | :23:07. | :23:13. | |
organisations that they are also paying themselves from so there are | :23:14. | :23:18. | |
issues of financial probity which is why both Jeremy and I have been | :23:19. | :23:23. | |
arguing that there needs to be a much more robust financial | :23:24. | :23:28. | |
accountability structure. He seems to be against academies altogether. | :23:29. | :23:35. | |
We have got exactly the same view about this, Jeremy and I have worked | :23:36. | :23:41. | |
closely on these issues and that is that there are some excellent | :23:42. | :23:46. | |
Academy schools, there are also some excellent community schools. This | :23:47. | :23:49. | |
tired argument of pitting one school type against another is frankly | :23:50. | :23:55. | |
over. What we have got to be addressing is ensuring we have good | :23:56. | :23:58. | |
quality teachers and head teachers in all of our schools, something the | :23:59. | :24:02. | |
Government is failing to do. We've got to make sure schools have | :24:03. | :24:06. | |
adequate resources, and they are facing real terms cuts to their | :24:07. | :24:14. | |
budgets, and make sure we have enough places for all of our | :24:15. | :24:19. | |
children. There is a crisis in school places and teacher shortages. | :24:20. | :24:25. | |
Very interesting ground which you have gone over before. I want to | :24:26. | :24:30. | |
show you an advert gone up for a new media spokesperson for Jeremy | :24:31. | :24:36. | |
Corbyn. There is a fixed term contract for Jeremy Corbyn, leader | :24:37. | :24:42. | |
of the Labour Party, running from December 2016 or when he ceases to | :24:43. | :24:47. | |
be leader, whichever is sooner. Which do you think will be sooner? I | :24:48. | :24:53. | |
haven't seen the advert but Jeremy has only been a leader for a few | :24:54. | :24:58. | |
months. OK, you're not going to tell me which would be sooner? We are | :24:59. | :25:03. | |
supporting him in his job and I'm not going to comment on that. Very | :25:04. | :25:06. | |
well. Thank you very much. The party views on Europe | :25:07. | :25:08. | |
and immigration are well-known, but voters may not know | :25:09. | :25:13. | |
what Nigel Farage's Purple Army thinks about issues | :25:14. | :25:15. | |
like recycling and council tax. Ukip, which had never held more | :25:16. | :25:18. | |
than a handful of local election seats before, | :25:19. | :25:21. | |
achieved its first major breakthrough in 2013, | :25:22. | :25:22. | |
when they gained 139 seats. The following year they increased | :25:23. | :25:28. | |
their total by another 161 seats, performing particularly well | :25:29. | :25:32. | |
in parts of Essex. While in 2015, on the same day | :25:33. | :25:36. | |
as the general election, In that set of elections, | :25:37. | :25:39. | |
Ukip won control of Thanet Council in Kent, the first time the party | :25:40. | :25:48. | |
took control of a local council, But within six months they had | :25:49. | :25:51. | |
lost overall control, after five councillors left Ukip, | :25:52. | :25:55. | |
saying they were unhappy with the council's lack of action | :25:56. | :26:00. | |
on a manifesto pledge to reopen So, 2016 is the last year | :26:01. | :26:02. | |
in the four-yearly cycle Will they be able to | :26:03. | :26:08. | |
maintain the momentum? We're joined now by the party's | :26:09. | :26:18. | |
deputy chairman, Diane James. Welcome to the programme. You have | :26:19. | :26:27. | |
got your referendum running strongly in the news, immigration is a huge | :26:28. | :26:33. | |
issue as well. What would be a good result for Ukip in these local | :26:34. | :26:38. | |
elections? Certainly to retain the 20 seat we will be defending this | :26:39. | :26:42. | |
time, but also building on that. We are fielding 1400 candidates out of | :26:43. | :26:49. | |
the 2700 that will be available across the country. We are also | :26:50. | :26:53. | |
fielding candidates in the big Assembly elections - Stormont, | :26:54. | :26:59. | |
Holyrood... And the police crime Commissioner. Are you looking to | :27:00. | :27:06. | |
gain? Of course, we wouldn't be doing anything otherwise. Populist | :27:07. | :27:13. | |
and anti-EU parties are gaining ground right across Europe so if you | :27:14. | :27:17. | |
don't gain ground there must be serious doubts in this climate about | :27:18. | :27:22. | |
your long-term future. We are looking to gain ground and increase | :27:23. | :27:25. | |
the number of councillors we have got as well as membership of all of | :27:26. | :27:30. | |
the assemblies I have referred to. The momentum is behind the populist | :27:31. | :27:38. | |
parties, but certainly behind the Eurosceptic parties because what | :27:39. | :27:41. | |
they do say and they share in terms of issues is the negative impact of | :27:42. | :27:45. | |
EU membership is having on particularly for instance just | :27:46. | :27:49. | |
trying to plan in terms of infrastructure and other aspects. | :27:50. | :27:53. | |
And yet when you get a foothold in local government it doesn't go very | :27:54. | :28:01. | |
well. You controlled Thanet, within six months you had lost overall | :28:02. | :28:06. | |
control. You are still just a protest party. We are not just a | :28:07. | :28:12. | |
protest party. The issue you are referring to is Manston airport, | :28:13. | :28:17. | |
very difficult in terms of the overall plans for that from not only | :28:18. | :28:21. | |
just the local authority but also the county council level so we don't | :28:22. | :28:26. | |
actually have control of Kent County Council. I'm sure if we had we could | :28:27. | :28:30. | |
have had a lot more import there. Equally there is this issue of a | :28:31. | :28:36. | |
local problem and individuals coming into government, no matter which | :28:37. | :28:40. | |
party they represent, understanding how slowly sometimes decisions can | :28:41. | :28:44. | |
be reached. Look at Boston Borough Council, you did well there in 2015. | :28:45. | :28:50. | |
Then one Ukip councillor was suspended, the party split down the | :28:51. | :28:54. | |
middle because you couldn't agree on a leader, six councils carried on | :28:55. | :28:59. | |
under the Ukip banner, six others under the Ukip Group, it is a | :29:00. | :29:06. | |
shambles. You always pick up on the bad news to do with Ukip but you | :29:07. | :29:10. | |
never pick up on the bad news to do with other parties. This morning you | :29:11. | :29:15. | |
reeled off a series of good examples, but you have you raised | :29:16. | :29:25. | |
any of the councillors from Labour across the country who have had to | :29:26. | :29:31. | |
be suspended for serious reasons. Some decided to walk away from the | :29:32. | :29:35. | |
Ukip banner for whatever reasons, but in terms of the individuals who | :29:36. | :29:39. | |
have been suspended or had to stand down, that is the different ball | :29:40. | :29:47. | |
game and I would like you to be fair in tackling that. | :29:48. | :29:52. | |
My job is to put the tough questions each party. Why would people vote | :29:53. | :29:57. | |
for a party that might not even have a reason to exist after the | :29:58. | :30:01. | |
referendum? We will have a reason to exist because no one else will hold | :30:02. | :30:08. | |
David Cameron to account and make sure it happens. That is my view. In | :30:09. | :30:12. | |
terms of our counsellors, bear in mind we are the only party out there | :30:13. | :30:18. | |
that does not flip councillors. Probably just as well! It sounds | :30:19. | :30:26. | |
like you cannot be whipped. I am not into dominatrix stuff. I'm talking | :30:27. | :30:31. | |
about politics! It is something our cabinet ministers are accused of the | :30:32. | :30:35. | |
moment. There is real disquiet amongst the electorate that they | :30:36. | :30:39. | |
want to vote for somebody, and then they see the systems that are in | :30:40. | :30:43. | |
place, cabinet rather than committee, backbenchers who find | :30:44. | :30:46. | |
themselves in a situation where they can't contribute to decisions. And | :30:47. | :30:51. | |
we are talking about incursions into the green belt, housing targets and | :30:52. | :31:00. | |
academies. This is the sort of issue that I Ukip councillor who is not | :31:01. | :31:04. | |
whipped will be able to represent their community. Even if we leave | :31:05. | :31:12. | |
the EU, Ukip continues? Yes, it does. We will talk to the | :31:13. | :31:16. | |
Conservatives and Liberal Democrats about the local elections in England | :31:17. | :31:17. | |
next week. We say goodbye to viewers | :31:18. | :31:19. | |
in Scotland, who leave us now Low and welcome to the Sunday | :31:20. | :31:41. | |
politics Wales. Today: Both the Conservatives and Labour have | :31:42. | :31:47. | |
released their manifestos and this week. We will be looking at what the | :31:48. | :31:53. | |
smaller parties have to offer. It has been another busy week of | :31:54. | :31:57. | |
campaigning ahead of that election. All the major parties have their | :31:58. | :32:01. | |
manifestos, available for you to read at your pleasure if you like | :32:02. | :32:04. | |
that sort of thing. Last week, we heard from Plaid Cymru, the Lib Dems | :32:05. | :32:17. | |
about their policies. First, the highlights of the campaign week. | :32:18. | :32:24. | |
It was another roaring week on the campaign trail as two more | :32:25. | :32:26. | |
The Tories launch their manifesto in Wrexham at the company that makes | :32:27. | :32:33. | |
This is no game for the Tories, who say Labour would | :32:34. | :32:38. | |
The first challenge, though, is to get the public engaged. | :32:39. | :32:47. | |
It is our job, our role and it must be our passion to make sure we | :32:48. | :32:50. | |
energise those voters to come out and vote | :32:51. | :32:52. | |
Andrew RT Davis says it's time for a change and only one party | :32:53. | :32:57. | |
I hope the voters will vote for the party that | :32:58. | :33:04. | |
will deliver for them in the National Assembly | :33:05. | :33:06. | |
for Wales and that party is the Welsh Conservatives. | :33:07. | :33:08. | |
Or we can continue with 17 years of Labour's managed decline. | :33:09. | :33:12. | |
I don't think anyone wants that managed decline to continue. | :33:13. | :33:17. | |
At a college in Nantgarw near Caerphilly, | :33:18. | :33:20. | |
students were being marshalled into place for Labour's launch. | :33:21. | :33:24. | |
And then, at last, and with everyone ready, Labour got on with it. | :33:25. | :33:30. | |
It is absolutely fantastic to be with you this | :33:31. | :33:35. | |
The man who wrote the manifesto was full of energy, | :33:36. | :33:42. | |
which was a little surprising given how busy he has been. | :33:43. | :33:47. | |
I have travelled more than 4,000 miles, met with thousands upon | :33:48. | :33:50. | |
thousands of people, as we have discussed and explored | :33:51. | :33:54. | |
Political parties shouldn't think they have a monopoly on wisdom and | :33:55. | :33:59. | |
that means you have to talk to people | :34:00. | :34:01. | |
on the ground, in health, and education, | :34:02. | :34:03. | |
in job creation, and then take their ideas, acknowledge them | :34:04. | :34:06. | |
of course, and then make sure those ideas can be taken forward. | :34:07. | :34:10. | |
They say politics is a dirty business. | :34:11. | :34:12. | |
Absolutely delighted to do something mucky and messy. | :34:13. | :34:18. | |
And on a visit to Brecon, Lib Dem leader Tim Farron wasn't afraid to | :34:19. | :34:21. | |
His party got a pasting at last year's general election | :34:22. | :34:30. | |
and, with further losses predicted at the Assembly election as well, | :34:31. | :34:34. | |
the party and its leader in Wales face a race against time | :34:35. | :34:38. | |
You've got to accept the position that you are in. | :34:39. | :34:48. | |
I am always a glass-half-full person. | :34:49. | :34:51. | |
I think, what is the purpose of our party? | :34:52. | :34:53. | |
And our party is there to be the party that is on the side | :34:54. | :34:56. | |
of the individuals, not on the side of the vested interests. | :34:57. | :34:59. | |
To speak for people's values, not to play to one client group. | :35:00. | :35:02. | |
And to try to stand up for fresh, authentic government. | :35:03. | :35:06. | |
The parties know that older people tend to turn out to vote so it is | :35:07. | :35:09. | |
perhaps with that in mind that, in Llandudno this week, | :35:10. | :35:12. | |
Plaid Cymru said it would scrap care fees | :35:13. | :35:14. | |
for the elderly and people with dementia. | :35:15. | :35:17. | |
It is important to break down the barriers between health | :35:18. | :35:20. | |
and social care and the way to do that is integrate | :35:21. | :35:23. | |
the service is fully and also get rid of | :35:24. | :35:25. | |
the artificial historic divide between charging for social | :35:26. | :35:29. | |
and dementia care and not charging for health care. | :35:30. | :35:32. | |
As for Ukip, well, look who has turned up here in Welshpool | :35:33. | :35:35. | |
Yes, Nigel Farage visited Mid Wales, where he met local | :35:36. | :35:41. | |
shopkeepers and did a spot of phone canvassing as well. | :35:42. | :35:45. | |
There you go, that surprised you, didn't it? | :35:46. | :35:54. | |
The Ukip leader seemed to enjoy himself. | :35:55. | :35:57. | |
We had it in Inverness yesterday where you meet a lot of people | :35:58. | :36:04. | |
and have fun and then a couple of people abuse you and you | :36:05. | :36:08. | |
think, oh, that is what the media will show, but actually | :36:09. | :36:10. | |
But real politics is clearly thirsty work and Mr Farage was soon ready | :36:11. | :36:15. | |
for his obligatory photo drinking a pint. | :36:16. | :36:20. | |
With another week's campaigning over, here's to the next. | :36:21. | :36:23. | |
As we heard, the Conservatives unveiled their manifesto this week | :36:24. | :36:39. | |
and Susie Davis is here to talk about it. You wrote the manifesto, | :36:40. | :36:44. | |
that's fair to say, isn't it? It is not just the work of one | :36:45. | :36:48. | |
person, a lot of other people put work into it. | :36:49. | :36:55. | |
Take the credit. One of the things that we cannot see in the manifesto | :36:56. | :36:59. | |
is a lot of costings and her things well exactly work. You see will | :37:00. | :37:03. | |
create 50,000 jobs over the next five years. I will you do that? How | :37:04. | :37:09. | |
does a government create 50,000 jobs? | :37:10. | :37:11. | |
It is about creating the conditions for the economy to thrive as well as | :37:12. | :37:15. | |
putting in the programmes and Pritchard schemes that would have | :37:16. | :37:19. | |
been talking about in depth in the manifesto. Apprenticeship schemes. | :37:20. | :37:27. | |
We were talking about a mixture of large enterprises and small | :37:28. | :37:29. | |
businesses and creating new skill sets. | :37:30. | :37:32. | |
But you don't see how many apprenticeships. | :37:33. | :37:38. | |
We haven't set limits. We are conscious that there are only 200 | :37:39. | :37:46. | |
thousand small businesses in Wales -- 2000. | :37:47. | :37:50. | |
We won't know whether you have succeeded or not cause you haven't | :37:51. | :37:56. | |
set a target. We are working with both ends of the | :37:57. | :38:04. | |
industry spectrum and have a small enterprise industry. People of all | :38:05. | :38:09. | |
ages are able to take up apprenticeships that are meaningful | :38:10. | :38:13. | |
and not just sausage machine figures. | :38:14. | :38:18. | |
Another set of figures, treble the childcare allowance. An extra 20 | :38:19. | :38:25. | |
hours a week. That would affect 70,000 children. What is the | :38:26. | :38:27. | |
costing? That will cost roughly 55 million a | :38:28. | :38:34. | |
year. It will cost less in later years because we will have to train | :38:35. | :38:38. | |
up childcare professionals during this period. That is already paid | :38:39. | :38:45. | |
for. We have made this clear some weeks due to the changes being made | :38:46. | :38:49. | |
in Jewish and fees. No figure on the investment in | :38:50. | :38:51. | |
health service. How much more? The promises to | :38:52. | :39:04. | |
protect the hell service budget -- health service budget. What we have | :39:05. | :39:10. | |
committed to is that the money coming down from the health portion | :39:11. | :39:16. | |
will be used for the health budget. There are school permitting changes | :39:17. | :39:19. | |
within the service because we wanted to be more efficient. | :39:20. | :39:24. | |
In the last couple of weeks we have heard of potential 1 billion a year | :39:25. | :39:29. | |
savings that the Conservatives have identified in the NHS budget. Is | :39:30. | :39:33. | |
that what you are looking at? This is about something else. | :39:34. | :39:39. | |
You can do that in Wrexham has said it quite recently. | :39:40. | :39:45. | |
What he identified was a report from some years ago that identified ?1 | :39:46. | :39:49. | |
billion of savings. That is not included in our costings. There is | :39:50. | :39:54. | |
potentially even more for the health service to use for the things it | :39:55. | :39:58. | |
needs now. One policy you have in the | :39:59. | :40:04. | |
manifesto, funding schools directly. Saving ?150 million a year. Is that | :40:05. | :40:10. | |
right? Savings is the wrong word. That is a | :40:11. | :40:14. | |
redeployment of money to go direct to schools. Rather than two | :40:15. | :40:21. | |
consortiums. At the moment local authorities take | :40:22. | :40:25. | |
a slice and pass it on but you say give it all to schools. | :40:26. | :40:28. | |
We are seeing local authorities can keep some of it because services | :40:29. | :40:34. | |
like school transport and special needs pupils may need a more | :40:35. | :40:39. | |
regionalised thing but more money will be going to schools. | :40:40. | :40:45. | |
How much? 156 million. | :40:46. | :40:50. | |
What were the schools have to do with that additional money? | :40:51. | :40:55. | |
They can either choose to use the local authority but they will have a | :40:56. | :41:07. | |
choice. You will be losing the consortium which to placate the work | :41:08. | :41:10. | |
of local authorities in ensuring excellence and standards. | :41:11. | :41:17. | |
You will be scrapping the tuition fee which is very generous to | :41:18. | :41:21. | |
students from Wales. They get around by thousand every year from the | :41:22. | :41:25. | |
Welsh Government. You are proposing to pay around half the rent every | :41:26. | :41:30. | |
year. That is a lot less than they get at the moment. It's a lot less | :41:31. | :41:34. | |
generous to Welsh students. Is that correct? | :41:35. | :41:40. | |
It's about what kind of debt they would prefer to have. At the moment | :41:41. | :41:43. | |
it is long-term and you don't hear back until you are certain amount. | :41:44. | :41:47. | |
It doesn't affect your credit rating. | :41:48. | :41:53. | |
But it will be more. It is a manageable debt. But if you | :41:54. | :41:59. | |
get another loan and cannot pay it back to fix your credit rating in | :42:00. | :42:06. | |
the future. And some students are pushed into going to payday lenders | :42:07. | :42:13. | |
which is a foolish thing to do. They will be taking three times more | :42:14. | :42:17. | |
than they are currently taking. Ayew happy with that? | :42:18. | :42:24. | |
Students understand have to take on some debt for the prospects of their | :42:25. | :42:28. | |
future but they are not taking on the cost of learning but the of | :42:29. | :42:37. | |
living. I can tell you from sitting in the | :42:38. | :42:40. | |
Assembly previously that one of the things I get some people's nurses | :42:41. | :42:44. | |
when the health minister says that as a matter for the health board. | :42:45. | :42:52. | |
What is going to change? They will take over the direct | :42:53. | :42:54. | |
accountability for the local health boards. Accountability between | :42:55. | :43:03. | |
patients and the board themselves. We tried something similar in | :43:04. | :43:06. | |
Scotland and ditched it because it didn't work. Why would not work they | :43:07. | :43:12. | |
are but work year? There's no reason why it shouldn't | :43:13. | :43:16. | |
work. Families and patients can have somewhere to go that they do not | :43:17. | :43:20. | |
know at the moment. Instead it is faceless accountability at the | :43:21. | :43:29. | |
moment. It is very much for joining us. | :43:30. | :43:34. | |
We have heard a lot from the so-called bigger guns but there are | :43:35. | :43:39. | |
lots of smaller parties seeking your vote. None of them have yet to win a | :43:40. | :43:47. | |
seat in Cardiff Bay but they fight on. We have been speaking to the | :43:48. | :43:50. | |
parties fielding candidates in each of the five regions across Wales. | :43:51. | :43:53. | |
The 60 Assembly Members elected on 5th May will meet here | :43:54. | :43:56. | |
But if the Abolish The Welsh Assembly Party win seats, | :43:57. | :43:59. | |
they won't want to be here at all but will fight to close | :44:00. | :44:02. | |
The Assembly now wants more powers, they want more Assembly Members, | :44:03. | :44:10. | |
a pay rise, tax-raising powers and a separate legal system. | :44:11. | :44:16. | |
The Welsh Office and our 40 MPs in Westminster do the job perfectly | :44:17. | :44:28. | |
Anything that needs to be devolved, any issues, we say devolve it | :44:29. | :44:35. | |
The crisis in the steel industry has arguably overshadowed the Assembly | :44:36. | :44:48. | |
election campaign and focussed the minds of politicians and candidates. | :44:49. | :44:51. | |
The Welsh Communist Party wants the next Welsh Government | :44:52. | :44:54. | |
to nationalise the steel industry and are calling | :44:55. | :44:57. | |
on Labour supporters to give their second vote | :44:58. | :45:00. | |
The Communists argue that Labour won only two seats across all five | :45:01. | :45:06. | |
regions five years ago and, if Labour supporters want to see more | :45:07. | :45:10. | |
Socialists in the Assembly after 5th May, then they should vote | :45:11. | :45:13. | |
There's so much that could be done with a thoroughly modernised steel | :45:14. | :45:19. | |
industry but we don't have those resources at the moment. | :45:20. | :45:22. | |
Only the Communist Party in Wales is standing | :45:23. | :45:25. | |
in this election, not only for a Welsh Assembly and government | :45:26. | :45:28. | |
with real powers and resources to make a big difference, | :45:29. | :45:33. | |
but we believe that this needs to take place within a federal | :45:34. | :45:35. | |
Britain so that the wealth that is currently hoarded by the | :45:36. | :45:39. | |
wealthiest 10% of the population, to avoid paying their taxes, would be | :45:40. | :45:45. | |
redistributed to all the nations and regions and the peoples Britain. | :45:46. | :45:53. | |
The Monster Raving Loony Party have launched a so-called manic-festo | :45:54. | :45:57. | |
Policies include re-routing any more M4 relief roads to boost | :45:58. | :46:05. | |
tourism in Porthcawl, Tenby, and even | :46:06. | :46:07. | |
If they win seats here in Cardiff Bay, they would work to | :46:08. | :46:11. | |
introduce mermaids to the bay itself and they are calling on people | :46:12. | :46:14. | |
We are offering an alternative for people and we say they usually | :46:15. | :46:20. | |
If you don't like what is being offered in the mainstream, | :46:21. | :46:27. | |
We will be on everybody's ballott paper down the bottom. | :46:28. | :46:32. | |
to vote for the Monster Raving Loony Party | :46:33. | :46:35. | |
with our great manifesto ideas that we have. | :46:36. | :46:37. | |
Several of the Monster Raving Loony Party's over the years have actually | :46:38. | :46:40. | |
been developed and brought through into mainstream politics. | :46:41. | :46:43. | |
We were the first party to consider whether | :46:44. | :46:47. | |
The first party to bring pets' passports | :46:48. | :46:51. | |
And the first party that has brought about independent radio. | :46:52. | :46:58. | |
So lots of our ideas, actually, they take time, but they do come | :46:59. | :47:01. | |
There are plenty of people and parties after your votes. | :47:02. | :47:06. | |
There is a full list on the BBC Wales election website. | :47:07. | :47:17. | |
In the last of our interviews with the main parties about the | :47:18. | :47:25. | |
manifestos, Liber's Carwyn Andrews is here. It is not a huge document. | :47:26. | :47:35. | |
110 pages in 2011 but this year just 24 pages with many pictures. | :47:36. | :47:41. | |
Why has it got shorter? We have gone digital first and that is how the | :47:42. | :47:48. | |
next government will be. Our manifesto is a digital manifesto and | :47:49. | :47:54. | |
we produced a shorter version for printing. | :47:55. | :47:59. | |
There are far fewer policy ideas than previous manifestos. | :48:00. | :48:04. | |
It is focused on a number of very important and exciting pledges. | :48:05. | :48:14. | |
Childcare is the most exciting offer in the UK. That goes beyond any | :48:15. | :48:21. | |
other offer from another party. Looking at other top line messages, | :48:22. | :48:25. | |
this new treatment fund to give that access to new drugs. The independent | :48:26. | :48:36. | |
body Nice decide whether drugs go into the NHS. What will change? | :48:37. | :48:42. | |
This is an important commitment and goes beyond what other parties are | :48:43. | :48:46. | |
promising. It repeatedly said it is not to buy drugs but about | :48:47. | :48:50. | |
treatments. We want to ensure that we are able to offer support to | :48:51. | :48:56. | |
people with life-threatening diseases, not just cancer, but also | :48:57. | :49:01. | |
that is about treatment. Through this fund, will be able to support | :49:02. | :49:05. | |
the health board and others in developing what is necessary. | :49:06. | :49:13. | |
Part of the problem is that patients from Wales have gone into England, | :49:14. | :49:21. | |
particularly cancer patients. There is a drug to be introduced later | :49:22. | :49:24. | |
this year and that was to be the case because there will be drugs in | :49:25. | :49:31. | |
England not available in Wales. Only for those drugs which are | :49:32. | :49:41. | |
approved by Nice. The process is in England are being | :49:42. | :49:49. | |
merged with the Nice process. People travel to Wales as well so it is not | :49:50. | :49:54. | |
a one-way street. We are putting in place a radical proposal for | :49:55. | :49:59. | |
treatment fund. It is not about the drugs, it's also about new | :50:00. | :50:02. | |
treatments that are come on stream. My point is very specific, that | :50:03. | :50:06. | |
those people who have had to travel to England to get those cancer | :50:07. | :50:08. | |
drugs. Have to do the same. There are | :50:09. | :50:13. | |
cancer drugs available in Wales that are not available in England. You | :50:14. | :50:17. | |
should not why the Conservative began that on this issue. Recruiting | :50:18. | :50:22. | |
a new fund that will be for broader than the scheme and Ingrid which has | :50:23. | :50:24. | |
failed and is being closed that down. | :50:25. | :50:36. | |
-- closed in England. Apprenticeships, of the past five | :50:37. | :50:41. | |
years to have construed on all the higher level qualifications. | :50:42. | :50:47. | |
Why the switch? We have been very successful. We have had better | :50:48. | :50:55. | |
apprenticeship levels. We are proud of that. | :50:56. | :50:59. | |
Why change it? We believe there is a gap and people | :51:00. | :51:04. | |
want to retrain. That has always been the case. | :51:05. | :51:11. | |
We met people at the college the other day at different stages in | :51:12. | :51:18. | |
wanting to go into. It is a major step, a radical step, and as proving | :51:19. | :51:27. | |
popular with employers. The tuition free grant sees the | :51:28. | :51:33. | |
Welsh Government pay ?5,000 towards expenses. We have discussed the | :51:34. | :51:38. | |
merits and otherwise have that many times. In this manifesto, there is | :51:39. | :51:42. | |
hardly anything about what you will do in future. All you are seeing is | :51:43. | :51:46. | |
a better package and then offer in England. But didn't do anything they | :51:47. | :51:51. | |
are so are seeing better than nothing. | :51:52. | :51:54. | |
Let me give you this commitment. We know that Plaid Cymru will make | :51:55. | :52:07. | |
students pay ?9,000 tuition fees. We will not do that. We will listen to | :52:08. | :52:12. | |
what the Diamond cap review has to say. The First Minister does not | :52:13. | :52:19. | |
like the idea of means testing. What we are going to do is taking forward | :52:20. | :52:25. | |
the scheme that we have which is saved Welsh graduates ?22,000 hit on | :52:26. | :52:30. | |
average. We are making a commitment we will not charge will students | :52:31. | :52:36. | |
?9,000 in a university fees unlike Plaid Cymru. | :52:37. | :52:38. | |
What you're seeing as there is a review coming back in September and | :52:39. | :52:41. | |
you will be to see what that review tells you to do. | :52:42. | :52:46. | |
The higher education sector needs to be able to demonstrate... | :52:47. | :52:50. | |
But you are not... We know that the scheme we have at | :52:51. | :52:54. | |
the moment is cheaper than we feel that the moment when we launched it. | :52:55. | :53:00. | |
It is for others to make the case for change and we will look at the | :53:01. | :53:06. | |
review. We need to be able to demonstrate that Wells students can | :53:07. | :53:11. | |
study every subject. You can discuss the merits or | :53:12. | :53:16. | |
otherwise of other parties and you can discuss, I would rather we | :53:17. | :53:19. | |
don't. But they at least have policies on offer. | :53:20. | :53:24. | |
We need to see what the review has to say. We will consider that. We | :53:25. | :53:29. | |
have said we will not ask students to pay ?9,000. | :53:30. | :53:35. | |
The review published hundreds of pages of statistics and documents, a | :53:36. | :53:42. | |
treasure trove of information. It is therefore used to base your policies | :53:43. | :53:44. | |
on but you're shying away from information. | :53:45. | :53:48. | |
I don't think we are. We don't know what the UK Government are going to | :53:49. | :53:52. | |
do in regards to funding in England. It may be that the University of | :53:53. | :53:57. | |
Bristol and Manchester is able to charge higher fees. That would | :53:58. | :54:02. | |
affect the body. But we are not going to make wealth should -- Welsh | :54:03. | :54:08. | |
students pay ?9,000. That is all from us. Don't forget | :54:09. | :54:15. | |
the special leaders debate on Wednesday. For now, that is all from | :54:16. | :54:23. | |
me. Thank you for watching and now time to | :54:24. | :54:23. | |
me. Thank you for watching and now time | :54:24. | :54:25. | |
You can see a full list of all the candidates standing | :54:26. | :54:29. | |
in the Mayoral election on the screen now. | :54:30. | :54:31. | |
And further information is available on the BBC London website. | :54:32. | :54:33. | |
Now, the Home Secretary has made her first major intervention | :54:34. | :54:38. | |
She was on Andrew Marr this morning, speaking up for Remain. | :54:39. | :54:42. | |
She was asked how immigration could be controlled if we stay | :54:43. | :54:45. | |
Nobody who has heard me over the last few | :54:46. | :54:50. | |
years can doubt that I | :54:51. | :54:51. | |
think we need to control immigration. | :54:52. | :54:54. | |
Controlling it is hard, and it's hard whether we are inside the | :54:55. | :55:00. | |
It's hard dealing with EU migration or | :55:01. | :55:05. | |
Harder to deal if we are still inside. | :55:06. | :55:08. | |
Immigration is going to | :55:09. | :55:10. | |
carry on rising very sharply if we stay inside the EU, isn't it? | :55:11. | :55:13. | |
The thing about immigration is, it is | :55:14. | :55:15. | |
as a government, say, we are going to change this one rule | :55:16. | :55:23. | |
and suddenly the result is going to be what we want. | :55:24. | :55:25. | |
You have constantly to be working at it, which is exactly what | :55:26. | :55:28. | |
The Home Secretary having trouble getting a clear-cut answer. The | :55:29. | :55:40. | |
Leave campaign thinks immigration has its strongest card, why isn't it | :55:41. | :55:45. | |
making more of it? I think it is a while since the strong card within a | :55:46. | :55:49. | |
certain group of the electorate, it also backfires with another one and | :55:50. | :55:53. | |
that has gone to the heart of a lot of disagreement that has been all | :55:54. | :55:58. | |
the way through the last few months between the rival Brexit camps. One | :55:59. | :56:02. | |
side of those camps thinks they should go very hard on immigration, | :56:03. | :56:07. | |
they think it is a banker for them, the other groups are actually this | :56:08. | :56:18. | |
deters as many people from our case as it attracts so there is a real | :56:19. | :56:20. | |
tension there. That may be the issue. My understanding is that | :56:21. | :56:23. | |
polling shows immigration really resonates with those who have | :56:24. | :56:26. | |
already made up their mind to leave but for those who are still not | :56:27. | :56:30. | |
sure, it doesn't get them to come on board. Yes, the levers of Vote Leave | :56:31. | :56:39. | |
-- leaders have been clear since the moment they set up shop that they | :56:40. | :56:45. | |
should talk about immigration, that if they defined their campaign on | :56:46. | :56:48. | |
immigration they would lose, simple as that because you are simply | :56:49. | :56:54. | |
talking to up to 30% of the electorate who have already made up | :56:55. | :57:01. | |
their minds. And Matthew Elliott has been clear all along their campaign | :57:02. | :57:05. | |
has got to be defined on the economy, on security, and they have | :57:06. | :57:08. | |
got to show their option is the safest option and that staying | :57:09. | :57:14. | |
inside the EU is the risky one. They have headlines today saying the Home | :57:15. | :57:17. | |
Secretary has admitted we cannot have full control of our borders but | :57:18. | :57:22. | |
watch them, they will be moving back to Obama and the economy because | :57:23. | :57:25. | |
that is the area from which they only have a chance of winning. The | :57:26. | :57:30. | |
consensus view seems to be that it was a bad week for Leave. What will | :57:31. | :57:40. | |
they do now? I think they need to make some impact with something | :57:41. | :57:44. | |
spectacular, different. You feel they have run out of momentum. They | :57:45. | :57:51. | |
had a terrific dart, with huge names like Michael Gove and Boris Johnson, | :57:52. | :57:56. | |
and that then seemed to be it. Every week the Remain campaign have | :57:57. | :58:02. | |
treated this like a Lynton Crosby style general election campaign. | :58:03. | :58:06. | |
They are totally owning the agenda, which begs the question why put out | :58:07. | :58:14. | |
Theresa May today? Why would you want to slip that in? Maybe because | :58:15. | :58:19. | |
they think the Obama coverage will cover that up. I think Leave Haft to | :58:20. | :58:25. | |
concentrate on immigration now. Do you think that puts people off as | :58:26. | :58:33. | |
well? It may well but it is their strongest suit and they do have a | :58:34. | :58:36. | |
huge amount of support on what they are saying about immigration across | :58:37. | :58:40. | |
the country. If you have one big weapon, you have got to keep firing | :58:41. | :58:45. | |
it. Were you surprised that Dominic Rabb didn't just rule out the idea | :58:46. | :58:50. | |
of visas? I was actually, I'm not sure how that will go down among the | :58:51. | :58:56. | |
Leave campaigners. I think it will be picked up that the Remain | :58:57. | :59:01. | |
campaign will run with that, but to follow on from what Tom was saying | :59:02. | :59:05. | |
about what Leave should do this week, I think they have got to nail | :59:06. | :59:10. | |
this ongoing claim that the alt campaigners cannot explain what out | :59:11. | :59:15. | |
looks like. It is very lazy criticism but quite an effective one | :59:16. | :59:21. | |
that they cannot come up with some kind of model and it is difficult | :59:22. | :59:25. | |
for them to prove a negative. But they need to start some kind of | :59:26. | :59:28. | |
language which ridicules the suggestion that they cannot come up | :59:29. | :59:34. | |
with a comparable... This is Norway or whatever. I think you need more | :59:35. | :59:40. | |
Michael Gove and less Boris Johnson. Michael Gove made a significant | :59:41. | :59:44. | |
speech in the week in which he said the optimistic case is to leave the | :59:45. | :59:47. | |
European Union because he was saying Britain could have a great future | :59:48. | :59:53. | |
outside the European Union and the Remain people are pessimistic | :59:54. | :59:55. | |
because they are saying we have got to be part of this club. What do you | :59:56. | :00:03. | |
get from Boris Johnson? Raising questions about whether he was being | :00:04. | :00:10. | |
racist against the President of the United States. Voters don't like | :00:11. | :00:19. | |
that. What voters like is optimism and substance, and that is what | :00:20. | :00:25. | |
Michael Gove is doing. Also their big problem, absolutely part of | :00:26. | :00:28. | |
their strategy is not to spell out what Leave looks like in any detail | :00:29. | :00:32. | |
because they don't want to make the same mistake that Alex Salmond did, | :00:33. | :00:40. | |
they want to give no detail at all. Then nobody can never come back | :00:41. | :00:46. | |
about it. Michael Howard said it won't be the Norway deal, it won't | :00:47. | :00:51. | |
be the Swiss deal, it will be the British Steel, the fifth largest | :00:52. | :00:55. | |
economy in the world. It takes the president of the US to put trade | :00:56. | :00:59. | |
deals into the headlines, you don't often get that, and he said if we | :01:00. | :01:05. | |
weren't part of an EU deal, we would go to the back of the queue. Tom, | :01:06. | :01:10. | |
you think he has already stepped back a bit from that quite blunt | :01:11. | :01:15. | |
statement? It was interesting, the Hugh Edwards interview, which was | :01:16. | :01:23. | |
very saccharine stuff. It got some good news headlines. I would like to | :01:24. | :01:30. | |
see you up against him. If we have a special relationship, why do we go | :01:31. | :01:34. | |
to the back of the queue? And Obama pointedly didn't be that. I think it | :01:35. | :01:40. | |
was a misstep. I was sitting in the Foreign Office behind Number Ten | :01:41. | :01:44. | |
officials on Friday when trade started coming up and you could see | :01:45. | :01:48. | |
them shuffling. When he said the back of the queue comment, they | :01:49. | :01:53. | |
turned around and said that is your intro, which made me think they | :01:54. | :01:58. | |
didn't know that was coming either. I wonder if it isn't a paper tiger. | :01:59. | :02:04. | |
The fact is there is no deal between the EU and the USA. They started | :02:05. | :02:09. | |
talks in 2013, they are meeting in New York tomorrow for the 13th | :02:10. | :02:14. | |
round, speaking to contacts in Washington they say there is no | :02:15. | :02:17. | |
prospect of any ratification of the deal by this Congress. We will be | :02:18. | :02:23. | |
lucky to get it signed before Obama steps down in January 2017, and | :02:24. | :02:27. | |
there are now protests growing everywhere. We have pictures of | :02:28. | :02:37. | |
demonstrations in Germany yesterday, there is a head of steam building up | :02:38. | :02:40. | |
against it and it may not even happen. The hope of the Brexit | :02:41. | :02:49. | |
campaigners will be that this Barack Obama comment backfires. Even if | :02:50. | :02:53. | |
there were a queue, are we to really believe America is so short of | :02:54. | :02:57. | |
tremendous negotiators that there is a limited number of personal | :02:58. | :03:01. | |
available to actually make further deals? I think it is an extremely | :03:02. | :03:08. | |
thin argument. Additionally we know that America sells us something like | :03:09. | :03:13. | |
$56 billion worth of goods, are we really to believe they will somehow | :03:14. | :03:14. | |
throw with that to the wind? Even without free trade, we are the | :03:15. | :03:25. | |
big as in -- the biggest investors in America. There are 1 million | :03:26. | :03:30. | |
Brits employed by American companies here. The US election campaign has | :03:31. | :03:34. | |
become increasingly isolationist or stop not just Bernie Sanders and | :03:35. | :03:40. | |
Donald Trump, or even Ted Cruz, but now Hillary Clinton has come out | :03:41. | :03:43. | |
against the Pacific trade deal, which is ahead of the queue -- is | :03:44. | :03:51. | |
ahead of the European one. The problem with Clinton is that it was | :03:52. | :03:58. | |
on her husband's watch that NAFTA was signed, the North American Free | :03:59. | :04:01. | |
Trade Agreement. The argument is that all those jobs in Detroit went | :04:02. | :04:05. | |
south to Mexico, and the Clinton brand has been badly damaged by | :04:06. | :04:08. | |
that. She has always had to walk away from that. I don't believe that | :04:09. | :04:13. | |
Hillary Clinton as president would be isolationist. The thing about | :04:14. | :04:18. | |
Arak Obama is that this queue may not exist, but the United States | :04:19. | :04:25. | |
likes to deal with regional blocs, not individual countries. One of the | :04:26. | :04:29. | |
big challenges for Brexit is that the EU minus us is 440 million | :04:30. | :04:37. | |
people. How important are we? There is no doubt that Obama's impact here | :04:38. | :04:42. | |
will be big, because the Leave campaign say, when we leave the EU, | :04:43. | :04:49. | |
we will replace any lost trade with greater trade deals with other | :04:50. | :04:52. | |
countries that the EU stopped us from signing, such as America pulls | :04:53. | :04:56. | |
up or bar masses, no you want. Hillary Clinton says, you certainly | :04:57. | :05:04. | |
won't. -- President Obama says. As I look at it, it is on both the | :05:05. | :05:10. | |
Democratic left and the Republic right, that it may become more | :05:11. | :05:14. | |
difficult not to Britain but for anyone to do trade deals with | :05:15. | :05:19. | |
America. America does what is in its interest. The most significant thing | :05:20. | :05:25. | |
about Arak Obama 's remarks was homelike king Ince bestial qualities | :05:26. | :05:32. | |
our relationship is. Didn't he make a joke about us having to sell an | :05:33. | :05:38. | |
electric chair to the United States? The great height of our special | :05:39. | :05:43. | |
relationship was all about pounds, shillings and pence. Someone who | :05:44. | :05:47. | |
follows -- as someone who follows trade talks, I am grateful to the | :05:48. | :05:50. | |
president for bringing it to the front of the agenda. | :05:51. | :05:57. | |
The junior doctors' strike is due this week. It is only in England, | :05:58. | :06:04. | |
but the Labour Party has come up with a suggested compromise, let's | :06:05. | :06:12. | |
pilot the plan. There we go, Labour steps in to halt doctors' strike. | :06:13. | :06:17. | |
People might think, that is not a bad idea, let's see if it works. I | :06:18. | :06:20. | |
would be surprised if Jeremy Hunt went for that. He would say, here is | :06:21. | :06:27. | |
the deal, you must accept it. The BMA and the Labour Party don't | :06:28. | :06:31. | |
really want this to go ahead. The second they start withdrawing | :06:32. | :06:33. | |
doctors and people start dying because of it, they are in trouble | :06:34. | :06:41. | |
in terms of public support. It is worth asking why they did not pilot | :06:42. | :06:47. | |
it first. Jeremy Corbyn is in a corner on this, for all the right | :06:48. | :06:51. | |
reasons. He agrees that a seven-day service is needed. I think the | :06:52. | :06:54. | |
junior doctors have done themselves no favours by being as dogmatic as | :06:55. | :07:01. | |
they have been. Mr Hunt hasn't done himself any favours, either. He | :07:02. | :07:05. | |
believes that what he is doing is in the interest of patients. I expect | :07:06. | :07:11. | |
him to hold the line. Syriza May was saying, it is being piloted with | :07:12. | :07:20. | |
20,000 -- to Reza may.... The Home Secretary is saying it is being | :07:21. | :07:26. | |
piloted with 20,000 doctors. I am not sure that Jeremy Hunt would want | :07:27. | :07:31. | |
an independent forensic examination. Do you agree that if the strike goes | :07:32. | :07:35. | |
ahead it starts to go the Government's way? Absolutely. Jeremy | :07:36. | :07:40. | |
Hunt knows that he just needs to sit pretty and not worry too much about | :07:41. | :07:44. | |
these last-minute offers. Tomorrow will be a fascinating day. We will | :07:45. | :07:52. | |
find out before the strike begins which side will blink. If we are | :07:53. | :07:57. | |
looking at a complete withdrawal of labour from doctors,, it is | :07:58. | :08:02. | |
something that has never happened before in this country and it could | :08:03. | :08:07. | |
be disastrous in terms of deaths. The blame will fall squarely on the | :08:08. | :08:12. | |
shoulders of the doctors. We shall see. We have marked this week as | :08:13. | :08:20. | |
another bad week for Remain. We should market every week and -- we | :08:21. | :08:26. | |
should mark it every week and see what happens. | :08:27. | :08:28. | |
We'll be back at the usual time of 11am next Sunday, | :08:29. | :08:32. | |
and the Daily Politics is on at lunchtime all next week | :08:33. | :08:36. | |
Remember - if it's Sunday, it's the Sunday Politics. | :08:37. | :08:39. |