14/01/2018 Sunday Politics Wales


14/01/2018

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LineFromTo

Morning, everyone.

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I'm Sarah Smith and this

is the Sunday Politics -

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your inside briefing on all the big

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political stories happening

in Westminster and beyond.

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Coming up on today's show.

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Coming up on today's show.

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The decision to release serial sex

attacker John Worboys...

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Does the Government now "look more

like the country it represents"?

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After a tricky reshuffle, we speak

to one of the new faces sitting

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around the Cabinet table -

the immigration minister

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Caroline Nokes.

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Does the Government have a clearer

idea about what our future

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Later in the programme:

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reconnect politics with the people.

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And what's on the horizon

as we begin another

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exciting political year?

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All that coming up in the programme.

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And sitting around our top

table today, I'm joined

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by some familiar faces.

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We tried a reshuffle

of our own but they simply refused

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to budge: Tom Newton Dunn,

Julia Hartley-Brewer,

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and Steve Richards.

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Now, after a pretty bumpy 2017,

Theresa May actually went

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in to the Christmas break

in relatively good political health.

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So, what better way to kick off 2018

than by shaking up her top team

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and reasserting her authority?

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But as she found this week, things

don't always go according to plan.

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If you're going to carry out major

surgery on your Government, you need

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to be sure the prognosis is good.

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to be sure the prognosis is good.

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It was a picture of health

to begin with, a fresh,

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new team at Party HQ,

but before long, complications

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arose.

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arose.

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Justine Greening, who's had a rocky

time at Education, decided

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she'd had enough.

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She quit the Government

rather than accept a

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sideways move.

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While Jeremy Hunt refused

to budge from his job at

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Health.

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He even left his meeting having

added social care to his job

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title.

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There was a fresher look among

the junior ministerial ranks.

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But when the new Cabinet met

on Tuesday morning, it looked...

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Well, very much like the old one.

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Normally loyal Conservative grandee

Nicholas Soames asked, "Is that it?"

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The state of the NHS

then caused more pain.

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Dozens of senior doctors wrote to

the Prime Minister saying conditions

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in some hospitals were

becoming intolerable.

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Patients were dying prematurely.

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We have now clearly reached

the point where the NHS

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cannot meet the standards

of care that we would,

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all of us in the NHS,

ministers included, want to provide.

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At Prime Minister's Questions,

the Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn

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pressed on the bruise.

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We know the Prime Minister

recognises there is a

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crisis in our NHS,

because she wanted to sack

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the Health Secretary last week

but was too weak to do it.

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Mr Corbyn announced his own

reshuffle towards the end of the

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week, with a surprising

return to the front

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bench for Clive Lewis,

who

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has been cleared of sexual

harassment claims.

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While two other Labour

MPs, Kelvin Hopkins and

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Ivan Lewis, have been referred

to an independent disciplinary

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panel over allegations

of sexual misconduct.

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On Friday, US President Donald Trump

raised the temperature, cancelling

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his visit to the UK next month

to open the new American Embassy.

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Calling the decision to relocate

the building to an off

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location is a bad deal.

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His friends on this side

of the pond suspected

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Just maybe, Sadiq Khan,

Jeremy Corbyn in the Labour Party

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planning mass protests, maybe those

optics he didn't like the look of.

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Nigel Farage also set

pulses racing with this:

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I'm reaching the point

of

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thinking that we should

have a second referendum because...

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On what?

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On EU membership.

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The whole thing?!

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Of course, of course.

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The Conservatives

hope focusing on the

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environment will bring

the party back to health.

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The Prime Minister teamed up

with her new eco-warrior

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Environment Secretary, Michael Gove,

to crack down on the use of

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plastics.

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We must reduce the demand

for plastic, reduce the number of

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plastics in circulation

and improve our recycling rates.

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It all seems strangely

reminiscent of someone who

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once said, vote blue, go green.

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In another tricky

week that's left the

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PM looking a little

green around the gills.

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Now, let's pick up on a story

which broke overnight: the new

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Justice Secretary David Gauke

is considering a judicial review

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of the decision to release

the serial sex attacker

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John Worboys on parole.

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Earlier this month the Parole Board

announced that he would be released

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under strict licence conditions.

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He was jailed in 2009 for a minimum

of eight years for drugging

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and sexually assaulting 12 women.

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However, it's thought he may have

carried out as many as 100 rapes

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and sexual assaults on women

in London in the early 2000s.

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I will take this to the panel first.

This is obviously a very emotive

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case, and people get very worked up

about it, but the politics of the

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Justice Secretary, Tom, asking for a

judicial review against the body

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which is really under the

supervision of his own department,

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this gets a little odd.

Justice

Secretary criticises Justice

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Department shock. There is a whiff

of panic in the Government over this

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now. I think David Gauke's decision

is emblematic of that. For whatever

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reason, the Government have found

themselves on the wrong side of

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public opinion on this. An appalling

mass serial rapist is about to be

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let out of prison this week, having

served less than ten years for

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crimes most of which he wasn't even

prosecuted for. They have seven or

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eight days to do this judicial

review, and David Gauke has only

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done it because he is under pressure

from other Cabinet ministers. The

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entire Justice Department and

justice policy has really been

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interested for up to seven years

because the Tory Government really

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can't make up its mind between a

liberal justice establishment is

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based on rehabilitation and less

time in prison and the more

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traditional Tory authoritarian lock

them up and throw the key away

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system, and the consequence is

today's decision. You have had five

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Justice Secretary is, from the king

of soft justice himself, Ken

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of soft justice himself, Ken Clarke,

and now David Gauke, so perhaps it's

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no huge surprise that the system is

now in a bit of a mess.

If Tom is

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right that the Government are

playing catch up on John Worboys

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because of the huge public outcry,

is it nonetheless the right thing to

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do?

It seems to me the parole board

breached their own rules. The

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victims have a right to make

representations. We know that some

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of the victims whose cases were

brought, and again, he is not

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convicted as a serial rapist because

those cases one brought to court, a

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decision made by Kia Starmer, then

the Director of Public Prosecutions.

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The other fundamental issue is a lot

of what Tom was saying, that the

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Tory Government is out of touch, as

I think all of the establishment and

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party leaders are. Is this

ridiculous nonsense that someone is

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released halfway through a sentence,

if you are sentenced to ten years or

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whatever, you should be serving the

full sentence, and maybe six months

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off for good behaviour, or better

still, more years on for bad

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behaviour. I think the British

public think the justice system is

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an absolute joke, and they think

that because it is.

You raise an

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interesting point about what the

public care about versus what is

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debated at Westminster. We spent an

enormous amount of last year talking

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about Brexit, to the exclusion of

most other things. A few other

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issues have raised their heads this

week, Steve. First and foremost, the

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NHS has been causing more than a few

political problems for the

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Government.

If Brexit wasn't

swamping everything, this would be

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the overwhelming issue. Voters are

much more concerned about this than

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anything else, with good cause. At

some point, there will have to be a

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grown discussion about funding of

the NHS and how we pay for it.

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Whether that will be possible in the

current climate I doubt. But I don't

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think it's entirely impossible

because I think the crisis will

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intensify. In a way, that has been

overlooked, that 2017 election

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partly accepted miraculously in

British politics that to get

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improvements in some services you

have to pay for it. So, maybe there

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will be a grown-up debate, but don't

hold your breath. In the meantime,

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it will be an issue that Theresa May

will have to keep at least one eye

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on, as well as trying to negotiate

the impossible with Brexit.

At PMQs,

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the Prime Minister said the NHS was

the best prepared it had ever been,

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and doctors were saying that

patients were dying prematurely. In

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the short-term, political damage

absolutely. The tanks are parked on

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Labour territory there. The general

consensus in the country is not that

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they trust the Tories on the NHS,

which is a big issue for them. A lot

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of the problems are down to the fact

that we're getting older and living

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longer, and there are amazing

treatments, operations and drugs

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that can keep us alive. We see it as

a problem but it is a wonderful

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miracle of modern science and

medicine and we should be grateful

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for such problems.

The big news was

that we were going to get a

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Government that looked more like the

rest of the country in the

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reshuffle. It turned out not to be

quite as dramatic as some of us

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expected. Was it a Government fail?

Depends how you define fail. It has

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taken a few days for the penny to

drop, though I had my suspicions on

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the night when some of the 20 15th

intake got no promotions at all. It

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was a tell-tale sign. Was it a

success in that it stored to the top

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of the buildings? Not really, she

just rearranged the deckchairs on

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the Titanic. Caroline Noakes was

attending Cabinet rather than being

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a full cabinet minister, but the

Theresa May managed to fend off the

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vultures coming for her by

absolutely wilfully, it now appears,

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failing to put key rivals into key

positions, people like Rory Stewart,

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Dominic Raj, some of the 2015ers? It

was a public fail but digging in

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privately.

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Well, listening to all that is my

first guest, Caroline Nokes.

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She was promoted to immigration

minister in the reshuffle this

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week and, in that role,

now attends Cabinet.

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Congratulations on the new job. You

are presumably part of the making

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the Government look more like the

country. Did the Prime Minister

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achieve that?

I think she did. Look

at the whip's offers, where there

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are more women than ever before. I

remember coming in in 2010 and

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looking at a wet's office that was

really mail.

Why can't we have 50-50

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women in the Cabinet?

We are heading

in the right direction, there are

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two more women in the Cabinet.

Even

the Scottish Government has a policy

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of 50-50 in the Cabinet - surely

it's possible?

We started from a

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very low base of women, even

elected. I think we're doing a

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fantastic job of encouraging more

women to come forward, and from more

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diverse backgrounds. It is a work in

progress but we are headed in the

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right direction.

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right direction. People like Kerry

bad not, who went to the same

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university as I did, the University

of Sussex, hardly a breeding ground

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for Tory politicians.

In the

Government, there are 3% non-white

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people - not very representative?

We

have done a good job of attracting

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more diverse people to come and

stand the rise in the Government.

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Our messages, -- our message is,

we're working hard to make sure that

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those bright, young women from

diverse backgrounds have a chance.

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You know, it's a process, isn't it?

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diverse backgrounds have a chance.

We are all climbing up the ladder. I

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think the Cabinet looks better than

it did. I have always advocated more

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women in Parliament, and the last

debate I did was about getting more

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women to stand in politics, and that

really matters.

The big news this

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morning is the idea that the Justice

Secretary may take a judicial review

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against the release of John Worboys.

What is your view on that? Should do

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just this minute himself be taking

judicial review is against this kind

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of decision?

We will look at the

victims of Worboys and we want them

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to get the support they need and to

see that justice is being done. It

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is absolutely right that David Gauke

is looking at a judicial review.

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None of us feel happy with the

parole board decision. This is a man

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who served less than ten years, and

it's a horrific number of victims.

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We can't see the parole board's

decision or the reasoning for it.

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The Government could change that at

a stroke and allow them to publish

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it. Should they?

The Justice

Secretary is reviewing the process,

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which is important. We want people

to have confidence. Our justice

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system is a very old and proud one.

Let's not undermine it. Let's make

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sure we get the right decisions in

place.

Lets get onto your own brief,

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your new brief on immigration. It

means you inherit the target of

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reducing net migration to the tens

of thousands. The last five

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ministers have failed, will you do

it?

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The last five ministers have seen

the trajectory heading down, the

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last figures we saw in the summer

show it dropped significantly.

It

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dropped slightly, 14,000 lower than

when you came to power in 2010,

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overall net migration at 240 4000.

We want to make sure this is a

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brittle open for business, that the

brightest and best can come here to

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work and study. We are listening to

the universities and to business via

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the immigration advisory

committee...

So if we are open to

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business and the brightest and best

come here why have this target of

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reducing net migration to less than

100,000? Lots of Cabinet ministers

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would like to get rid of it. You

could have lifted and the 2017

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manifesto and got rid of quite a

headache.

We had a referendum in

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2016 which sent a clear message that

people want that target to remain,

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they want to see as reducing

immigration to sustainable levels

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and we are doing just that. It is in

the manifesto so that is the

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direction of travel.

Immigration

from outside the EU, you claimed

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that once we leave everything will

change with freedom of movement, but

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net migration from outside the EU

which you have complete control over

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now, it's over 100,000 in and of

itself. Why hasn't that been tackled

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in the seven years that this has now

been a target?

We are attacking it,

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and we are doing this I have a

banking measures you have heard

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about this week, working to make

sure that those with bank accounts

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and are not here legally have those

Fresnel cursive necessary, that is

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important, we have a raft of

measures but the current Home

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Secretary and the previous one have

been clear on this, we will get

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these numbers down and do it in a

manageable and sustained way.

It is

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not what business one. The Tory

mayor Andy Street says the target

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should be more like 150,000 so

businesses can attract people with

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the skills they need and George

Osborne says this is economic and

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made illiterate because we need

higher migration and that --

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economically illiterate.

Which is

why we are listening to the

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committee which will report in

September which will give a solid

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expert economist's view on what

migration levels should be. But it

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was in the manifesto, we are

determined to head in that direction

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and bring immigration down to a

sustainable level.

If you're

0:18:010:18:06

immigration advisor comes to you and

says somebody like Andy Street is

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right we need around 150,000 coming,

will you change it? Because this was

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a manifesto promise to get it down

to under 110,000 a year, so what

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will that looked like if you have

disabled we didn't get it right.

Am

0:18:220:18:26

not going to prejudge.

I and asking

what you will do with their view

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because you are stuck with this

promise of reducing immigration to

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tens of thousands, there's not much

you can do if they oppose that.

You

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are telling someone who has been in

the job less than a week that she

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should make a decision on the hoof

in a TV studio! Not a chance. What I

0:18:430:18:48

need to do is listen to the experts

and come up with the direction of

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travel that satisfies those who

voted Believe in the referendum,

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that satisfies businesses, like the

brilliant Russell group University

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and the one in Southampton on the

edge of my constituency can still

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attract the best students. This is a

really difficult complicated area.

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He mentioned the need to attract the

brightest students. While other

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numbers of students coming to

Britain to study included in the net

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migration figures? You could help

yourselves quickly by taking them

0:19:170:19:20

out of it. Just about every Cabinet

member wants them removed from

0:19:200:19:24

official figures, why are they

there?

The O M as determinate

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students should be included because

they are here for more than 12

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months. We must make sure we have

the public services that support

0:19:310:19:38

them. Many of them go home after

their study as they should but it is

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important that we work with the

immigration advisory committee to

0:19:420:19:45

get the right answers.

You are happy

about students being included in the

0:19:450:19:51

migration figures?

And happy we've

got 24% more coming to our

0:19:510:19:56

universities than we had in 2010.

I'm happy that we are attracting a

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great calibre of student here, I'm

equally happy that our former

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feminists are cracked down on bogus

colleges and close them because we

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want bright students to come here

and in the -- that our former Prime

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Minister cracked down on bogus

colleges and closed them.

Button

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back to the panel, Steve Camille

can't envy the new Immigration

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Minister being tasked with reducing

immigration to a level that no other

0:20:210:20:27

Immigration Minister has been able

to achieve.

I don't envy you, I

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don't know your Private view but I

do note that most Cabinet ministers

0:20:310:20:36

don't want student numbers to be

part of the total figure and Theresa

0:20:360:20:40

May alone is still pressing this.

I've just been doing a series about

0:20:400:20:46

a David Cameron. He made a series of

targets which were never met, as you

0:20:460:20:50

said in the interview. Good luck

with that. Lots of people I meet now

0:20:500:20:55

who were in favour of Brexit, like

farmers, pleading, as you will know,

0:20:550:21:01

for cheap Labour from Eastern Europe

to continue. They don't want to fill

0:21:010:21:05

in loads more forms to get them. So

there's a lot of talk

0:21:050:21:14

there's a lot of talk about Nimby

free movement and you have a tough

0:21:160:21:18

brief.

Julia, should net immigration

be reduced to tens of thousands, is

0:21:180:21:24

it important to the public?

I find

it bizarre they asked to a target

0:21:240:21:28

they've never done anything to

reach, certainly the immigration

0:21:280:21:33

levels that they were able to

control under the coalition and

0:21:330:21:36

David Cameron on his own, the

numbers can't be controlled

0:21:360:21:40

completely, they never even came

close, it was more than double,

0:21:400:21:45

about 250,000. I find this row about

students strange. If you live in the

0:21:450:21:49

country for three or four years you

need somewhere to live, you'll be

0:21:490:21:53

getting buses and trains, might need

to go to the hospital, is that the

0:21:530:21:57

idea that these people don't exist

because they are not here

0:21:570:22:01

permanently? And some of them do

stay. It's ridiculous. We need a

0:22:010:22:05

sensible debate. Brexit wasn't about

ending immigration. It was about us.

0:22:050:22:12

Like virtually every other country

in the world choosing who gets to

0:22:120:22:15

come here. If you are qualified and

have a skill we need we would love

0:22:150:22:19

to have you, come on in, the water

is lovely! But if we just want cheap

0:22:190:22:25

Labour subsidised by the taxpayer

with a housing benefit, to do jobs

0:22:250:22:30

not paid enough, then I don't think

we should. When it comes to farmers

0:22:300:22:33

we should pay more for...

Julia has

given quite a good explanation of

0:22:330:22:40

why the target was set up and should

probably stay because if there is no

0:22:400:22:44

target, then cheap Labour will

continue to flow in because it's the

0:22:440:22:48

easiest thing for business to do. If

you are limited in who you can bring

0:22:480:22:53

in new might turn to the indigenous

British population and start hiring

0:22:530:22:57

them to do decent jobs they are

perfectly capable of doing.

The

0:22:570:23:02

panel will be staying with us

throughout the programme. Thank you

0:23:020:23:06

to Caroline Nokes, the Immigration

Minister, for coming in.

0:23:060:23:09

Now with all the other stuff that's

been going on this week,

0:23:090:23:12

you might be concerned we'd

forgotten about the small

0:23:120:23:14

matter of Brexit.

0:23:140:23:15

But don't worry, it's

still very much on the agenda.

0:23:150:23:17

Having sealed a deal

on the divorce talks,

0:23:170:23:21

the focus is now shifting

to the future relationship.

0:23:210:23:22

The EU says we can only

have an 'off-the-shelf' model,

0:23:220:23:24

like the deals with Norway

or Canada; but the UK Government

0:23:240:23:27

says we can be far more ambitious,

as Elizabeth Glinka reports.

0:23:270:23:31

# Do you have the time #

To listen to me whine?#.

0:23:310:23:36

In her Florence speech,

Theresa May made it

0:23:420:23:44

clear that when it comes

to

0:23:440:23:46

trade negotiations with the EU,

the UK isn't looking for any

0:23:460:23:49

off-the-shelf kind of deal.

0:23:490:23:50

It wants something

special and bespoke.

0:23:500:23:54

I'm optimistic about

what we can achieve

0:23:540:23:55

by finding a creative solution

to a new economic relationship that

0:23:550:23:59

can support prosperity

for all our peoples.

0:23:590:24:04

Before Christmas, the senior

official in charge of Brexit

0:24:050:24:07

told the Cabinet that

when it comes to that

0:24:070:24:09

creative solution,

they

0:24:090:24:13

should start thinking in terms

of three baskets, what some people

0:24:130:24:15

are calling managed divergence.

0:24:150:24:16

The Institute for

Government has been

0:24:160:24:18

looking at what it means.

0:24:180:24:22

Three baskets corresponds

to the three areas

0:24:220:24:24

that Theresa May spoke

about in her Florence speech.

0:24:240:24:26

We have full alignment,

where we will continue to

0:24:260:24:28

meet the same outcomes

in the same way as we do now.

0:24:280:24:31

Regulatory equivalence

is where we will

0:24:310:24:32

continue to meet the same

outcomes as the EU

0:24:320:24:34

but might go about it

in a

0:24:340:24:36

slightly different way.

0:24:360:24:38

And then the final basket

around divergence,

0:24:380:24:42

where we will go about things

in a different way and may choose

0:24:420:24:45

to take completely different

outcomes at the

0:24:450:24:46

end of it.

0:24:460:24:48

OK, so if we were to look

at particular industries, say

0:24:480:24:51

something like aviation, maybe

workers' rights, we might put them

0:24:510:24:53

in this basket because we are saying

not much is going to change.

0:24:530:24:58

It would be very difficult to put

0:24:580:25:00

whole industries and whole sectors

in specific baskets.

0:25:000:25:02

If you take agriculture,

for example, state aid

0:25:020:25:07

and how much overall we can

subsidise our farmers may well sit

0:25:070:25:12

in full alignment, whereas issues

about agricultural and environmental

0:25:120:25:15

protection standards,

we could continue to

0:25:150:25:17

meet the same goals

but

0:25:170:25:19

by different means, and they can sit

in the middle basket.

0:25:190:25:23

Whereas, actually,

exactly what we subsidise

0:25:230:25:26

our farmers for could be completely

up to the UK and sit in the

0:25:260:25:29

divergent basket.

0:25:290:25:30

So it would be very difficult

to put single sectors

0:25:300:25:33

in single baskets.

0:25:330:25:34

If the UK is looking

for a high degree of access

0:25:340:25:37

to the single market,

then the EU will expect

0:25:370:25:40

lots of things ending up in the full

alignment basket,

0:25:400:25:43

whereas the UK will probably want

to try and pull as much as possible

0:25:430:25:45

into the regulatory

equivalence basket.

0:25:450:25:49

Of course, the point of all this

is is to remind the EU that

0:25:490:25:53

when it comes to these negotiations,

the UK is in a unique position

0:25:530:25:56

because currently we

are completely in sync.

0:25:560:26:00

It's in the interests of Britain

and the EU to get on

0:26:000:26:03

together.

0:26:030:26:07

together.

0:26:070:26:08

People are thinking that it's

a binary thing, we are either

0:26:090:26:12

in the EU or we're out, that it's

night and day, but it isn't.

0:26:120:26:15

The point about

managed divergence is

0:26:150:26:16

that it does give us

much more flexibility.

0:26:160:26:18

We can decide for ourselves

which bits we want to keep

0:26:180:26:21

and which bits we want

to amend or get rid of.

0:26:210:26:24

And I think...

0:26:240:26:25

I think that's a huge opportunity.

0:26:250:26:26

Philip Hammond and

David Davies have been

0:26:260:26:28

on a charm offensive

in Germany this week,

0:26:280:26:30

so just how are those very British

baskets going down in

0:26:300:26:32

Brussels?

0:26:320:26:33

There is a concern that the UK

will take a shopping basket,

0:26:330:26:36

pick off the elements of the major

trade agreements the EU has secured

0:26:360:26:39

with third countries,

take all those together.

0:26:390:26:41

It gets the UK very close to full

membership of the single

0:26:410:26:44

market without any of

the obligations, so I think

0:26:440:26:46

they view managed divergence

as another way in

0:26:460:26:51

which the UK either hopes to cherry

pick or have its cake and eat it.

0:26:510:26:55

All member states will

agree that they can't

0:26:550:26:57

set a precedent with

the

0:26:570:26:59

UK that then sets internal

challenges for themselves over the

0:26:590:27:01

medium to longer term.

0:27:010:27:03

Now, what goes into

these baskets remains a

0:27:030:27:08

bit of a mystery, but of course,

there are deadlines because the next

0:27:100:27:13

round of talks is due to get under

way

0:27:130:27:15

this spring.

0:27:150:27:16

And you

can find more Brexit analysis

0:27:160:27:19

and explanation on the BBC website,

at bbc.co.uk/Brexit.

0:27:190:27:23

With me now is the Shadow

International Trade

0:27:230:27:25

Secretary, Barry Gardiner.

0:27:250:27:29

Welcome to the programme, thank you

for coming back. We were learning

0:27:290:27:37

about the different baskets, full

alignment, regulatory alignment.

0:27:370:27:39

Labour say you want to give all the

benefits and the single market so

0:27:390:27:43

presumably want to stay as much in

alignment as we do already?

What

0:27:430:27:50

we've said is that the government

have said we could have all the

0:27:500:27:53

benefits and we will hold them to

that.

To do that, we must keep most

0:27:530:27:58

of what we can in the full alignment

basket?

We want to make sure we get

0:27:580:28:05

as much of the benefits as we

currently have once we have left the

0:28:050:28:09

EU.

You can't do that and diverged.

Absolutely. That's the point.

0:28:090:28:14

Diverges from that, whether through

a trade deal with another country or

0:28:140:28:19

whether it is simply because we want

to deregulate our standards in the

0:28:190:28:24

UK is going to cause a problem with

maintaining the sort of trade we

0:28:240:28:29

have with Europe. It's going to

cause that economic bond. But we

0:28:290:28:32

want to make sure we have a Brexit

that is for jobs, for the economy

0:28:320:28:37

and that's why we see the benefits

of the single market, the benefits

0:28:370:28:41

of the customs union, and swipe we

said we wouldn't rule is off the

0:28:410:28:45

table. Whereas the government

precisely said it would. And that is

0:28:450:28:49

the red lines that Theresa May put

in place that are now causing her

0:28:490:28:52

all these other problems.

They've

caused a few problems in policy for

0:28:520:28:57

Labour as well because the closer

you want to stay to single market

0:28:570:29:01

rules, if we've loved the single

market because that is government

0:29:010:29:04

policy, more alignment would have --

if we've left. That is us accepting

0:29:040:29:10

rules we had no say in making, a

state you have described as being a

0:29:100:29:14

vassal state.

These other uses we

really have to resolve. Because you

0:29:140:29:20

are right, once we leave the EU that

means we are not a member of the

0:29:200:29:24

single market. It doesn't mean we

can't trade into the single market,

0:29:240:29:28

of course we can. We can do that in

the same way that Norway does. But

0:29:280:29:34

our economy is very different from

that of Norway. And what we need to

0:29:340:29:37

be sure about is when we are making

our rules in this country we are

0:29:370:29:42

doing it as close as possible to

maintain the trade and the economic

0:29:420:29:45

benefits we get in the European

Union.

There have been reports this

0:29:450:29:50

week that Labour is working on a

policy that would involve staying in

0:29:500:29:54

the customs union. The Robert Peston

programme on ITV...

That could not

0:29:540:30:00

be the case. I'm sorry to correct

you on a technicality. But once you

0:30:000:30:05

leave the EU you leave the treaties

and it is the treaties that create

0:30:050:30:09

the customs union. So we could not

be a member of the customs union.

0:30:090:30:17

You could be remember of a customs

union, which is what Jeremy Corbyn

0:30:180:30:22

was talking about on TV this

morning.

He was talking about the

0:30:220:30:27

transition period immediately after

leaving the EU. That has been our

0:30:270:30:30

position for many months. We were

the ones that said, in that

0:30:300:30:35

transitional period, we want the

status quo. We want to maintain

0:30:350:30:37

things that are... We want to

maintain a customs union and single

0:30:370:30:43

market during that transition.

Let's

talk about the future after the

0:30:430:30:48

transition period. Let's look at

what you said you thought were the

0:30:480:30:54

consequences.

0:30:540:30:59

consequences. Do you still agree

with that?

I was specifically

0:31:040:31:09

referring to, and if you go back on

that quote a little bit, you will

0:31:090:31:13

find we were talking about the

turkey situation, which was a

0:31:130:31:17

customs union agreement with the EU.

That would be a very bad end point

0:31:170:31:21

for us, because it would mean that

the European Union ended up doing

0:31:210:31:24

all the negotiations for trade for

the UK. We would have to open our

0:31:240:31:28

markets to any other company in --

any other country they made an

0:31:280:31:34

agreement with. But that country

would not have to liberalise its

0:31:340:31:38

markets and open itself up to our

goods and services.

The common

0:31:380:31:42

commercial policy is what governs

all of this and binds us in with

0:31:420:31:45

these trade treaties. The UK

Government say they want to leave

0:31:450:31:48

that. Is that the Labour position?

We will be...

Would you like to join

0:31:480:31:56

something similar once we are no

longer members of the EU?

I already

0:31:560:32:00

said, we believe that the benefits

of what we currently have should be

0:32:000:32:05

maintained as much as possible, and

that means that whilst we cannot

0:32:050:32:08

stay in the customs union, we should

not have a turkey style customs

0:32:080:32:13

union agreement, because that would

be an asymmetrical relationship with

0:32:130:32:16

any trading partner. What we do see

as a possibility, and it is what we

0:32:160:32:22

have not ruled out, which is to have

a new customs union with the

0:32:220:32:33

European Union, and that is

something very interesting wave

0:32:330:32:36

which in paragraph 31 of the

cross-border trade taxation bill

0:32:360:32:41

which came in on Monday from the

Government, and which we debated

0:32:410:32:46

them, they have actually put

provision for that, a new customs

0:32:460:32:51

union, where we would be an equal

member.

But you cannot possibly

0:32:510:32:54

believe that you can have the

benefits of being in a reformed

0:32:540:32:58

customs union relationship with the

EU and still have total freedom to

0:32:580:33:02

make new trade deals. You have said

you don't want anything which

0:33:020:33:06

precludes us from making independent

trade agreements with some of our

0:33:060:33:09

bigger partners.

Let's be clear

about the nexus of problems we are

0:33:090:33:15

trying to solve the run work our way

through. You have, within the

0:33:150:33:22

referendum, a clarity that people

were voting for certain political

0:33:220:33:25

issues, whether that was in terms of

immigration, regaining sovereignty,

0:33:250:33:30

or simply not paying money into

Europe. All of these were things

0:33:300:33:33

people thought they were voting for.

If you were to be in a relationship

0:33:330:33:38

in which some of those continued to

be the case, where we were rule

0:33:380:33:44

takers and not rule setters, as

Norway is at the moment, and they

0:33:440:33:53

are told they have no right to

decide what the rules are going to

0:33:530:33:56

be, that is a political problem

which many people in this country

0:33:560:33:59

would feel, what was the referendum

all about if we don't achieve that?

0:33:590:34:04

Let's...

Just let me... I don't

think it's clear, the problems we

0:34:040:34:10

are trying to solve. We want to

maintain a maximum economic benefit,

0:34:100:34:14

to get the economic benefit of the

jobs that we currently get from the

0:34:140:34:18

trading relationship we have in a

customs union and in a single market

0:34:180:34:23

with the European Union. But to do

that respecting the referendum will

0:34:230:34:27

of the people for those political

objectives.

We understand that

0:34:270:34:31

point.

Labour has to bring back the

42 purse -- the 52% under 48%.

We

0:34:310:34:40

understand need to move you on to

something else. We have heard the

0:34:400:34:46

new Tory chairman Brandon Lewis say

today that if any... He wants new

0:34:460:34:51

Tory candidates to sign up to a

respect pledge that they will

0:34:510:34:55

conduct themselves on Twitter and in

what they say in a respectful way,

0:34:550:34:58

otherwise they will be removed as

candidates.

Of course, that's right.

0:34:580:35:04

Jeremy Corbyn said that Labour

should do it too. It raises

0:35:040:35:07

questions about some Labour MPs.

Jarrod O'Mara, for example, who has

0:35:070:35:13

had the whip suspended.

An

investigation is being conducted, as

0:35:130:35:17

is appropriate, within all the

procedures of our party. Absolutely

0:35:170:35:22

right, suspended.

Because of remarks

he made about women and homophobic

0:35:220:35:26

comments. Then you look at the

Shadow Chancellor, John McDonnell,

0:35:260:35:30

against whom no action has been

taken, and he has said a number of

0:35:300:35:35

things, but one of them which has

been heavily criticised is that he

0:35:350:35:40

wanted... Well, he agreed with

people who wanted to see Esther

0:35:400:35:45

McVeigh lynched. We have the audio

of this. Let's listen and then we

0:35:450:35:49

will ask you about it.

I was up in

Liverpool a fortnight ago...

0:35:490:35:55

And obviously, he used a word that

we won't be saying on TV, but is

0:36:220:36:27

that respectful language?

It is not

language I would have used. Earlier

0:36:270:36:33

today, you have been quoting remarks

that were made by the President of

0:36:330:36:39

the United States which were deeply

offensive and unacceptable.

Yes.

0:36:390:36:43

Hang on.

But this is about the

Labour Party...

And you quoted. The

0:36:430:36:49

point I am making is that he was

quoting what someone else was

0:36:490:36:54

saying, and I would not have chosen

to do that.

He was clearly quoting

0:36:540:36:59

with approval, not reporting it.

The

underlying issue which the

0:36:590:37:03

Conservatives have been trying to

cover up through all the smear on

0:37:030:37:10

John McDonnell, Esther McVeigh, who

was a Department for Work and

0:37:100:37:12

Pensions minister, and at a time

when she was in charge of work and

0:37:120:37:16

pensions as a minister, her company

had been reported for breach of

0:37:160:37:22

health and safety guidelines. She is

one of the ministers, and for that

0:37:220:37:27

reason...

Jeremy Corbyn said we

should stick to policies and use

0:37:270:37:31

respectful language. That wasn't

respect.

That's what I'm doing now,

0:37:310:37:35

and I'm trying to make the

underlying political point about

0:37:350:37:37

what's going on here. She was in

charge of a department in which she

0:37:370:37:43

was responsible for health and

safety when her own company which

0:37:430:37:46

she was a director of, a

construction company, they had been

0:37:460:37:54

suspended, their work had had to be

suspended twice within three months

0:37:540:37:58

for breach of those health and

safety guidelines, putting workers

0:37:580:38:02

at risk in her own company. She is

also somebody...

We will have to

0:38:020:38:07

leave it there. Thank you very much

for that. It is coming up to

0:38:070:38:13

11:40am. You're watching the Sunday

Politics. Coming up:

0:38:130:38:21

Hello and welcome back to a New Year

with Sunday Politics Wales.

0:38:300:38:33

In a few minutes,

some predictions for you

0:38:330:38:36

on what's on the Welsh political

horizon for this year,

0:38:360:38:38

and the Children's Commissioner

will be here

0:38:380:38:40

to tell us why she feels

there are gaps

0:38:400:38:42

in how children's mental health

issues are dealt with.

0:38:420:38:46

But first the Plaid Cymru leader

Leanne Wood has kicked off

0:38:460:38:50

the New Year by saying she wants

to "reconnect politics

0:38:500:38:53

"with the people"

and set out an agenda

0:38:530:38:56

for a "democratic

and empowered Wales".

0:38:560:38:58

But what exactly does that

look like in practice?

0:38:580:39:01

To discuss that and the year ahead,

Leanne Wood is here with me now.

0:39:010:39:11

Thank you very much for coming in.

As an end result, what are you

0:39:180:39:23

hoping to achieve?

I want to achieve

a Wales that is empowered and a

0:39:230:39:28

people that are democratically

enabled to shape their own future.

0:39:280:39:34

At the moment Wales faces many

different challenges and our

0:39:340:39:39

National Assembly and devolution

project is not equipped with the

0:39:390:39:43

powers that we need to solve some of

those problems, so we need to

0:39:430:39:46

empower ourselves in terms of

gaining more powers as a national

0:39:460:39:51

Assembly, but also in terms of

people as individuals becoming more

0:39:510:39:54

empowered to be able to decide for

themselves what they want.

When you

0:39:540:39:59

say the National Assembly isn't

equipped, you have got education,

0:39:590:40:05

health, there is taxation coming

next year, borrowing coming this

0:40:050:40:09

year, what more do you think is

needed?

There are constraints on the

0:40:090:40:15

tax powers, for example. So the

National Assembly, the government

0:40:150:40:19

will be able to have an impact on

things like the personal allowance.

0:40:190:40:24

And all the other aspects of tags

that can give you maximum

0:40:240:40:28

flexibility. The fact is that

decisions about Wales should be made

0:40:280:40:32

in Wales and that is a prospectus

that we want to go out and talk to

0:40:320:40:36

people about. This is an engagement

exercise. I want to ask people what

0:40:360:40:40

kind of Wales we want to live in and

how do we get there. My intention is

0:40:400:40:46

that we get there by improving our

democracy, by getting more people

0:40:460:40:50

engaged in politics and by

empowering ourselves to solve our

0:40:500:40:53

own problems.

But there is nothing

concrete there. What I want is a

0:40:530:40:59

sense from you, you will be going

out and having conversations, but

0:40:590:41:03

presumably you have got an idea in

your mind about a policy that you

0:41:030:41:07

can say to people, this is what we

will be doing to empower at a

0:41:070:41:10

community level. You say,

empowerment at a community level

0:41:100:41:14

through decentralisation through

Wales. How does that work?

I will be

0:41:140:41:21

publishing a document tomorrow that

outlines a set of values and

0:41:210:41:25

principles and policy ideas that we

could implement to chart a different

0:41:250:41:30

course. Politics at a UK level is

pretty grim at the moment in the

0:41:300:41:36

aftermath of Brexit and there are so

many people watching politics on the

0:41:360:41:39

television and it seems to have very

little to do with their daily lives.

0:41:390:41:42

The struggles they are having,

waiting for hospital appointments,

0:41:420:41:46

not having enough investment in

local community services, none of

0:41:460:41:50

those questions are being addressed

because politicians on the TV are

0:41:500:41:53

just talking about things like

Brexit and splits within parties. I

0:41:530:41:58

want to try and move the debate on

now and get people thinking about

0:41:580:42:02

the kind of Wales we want to live in

and to try to provide some hope for

0:42:020:42:06

a future that can be different to

the mess that we are in.

You talk

0:42:060:42:10

about values and principles, but

when you are talking about the

0:42:100:42:14

things that people want, they want

answers, they want you to go to them

0:42:140:42:18

and say, this is our plan, this is

what we are suggesting should

0:42:180:42:22

happen, rather than saying, tell us

what you think.

In the document that

0:42:220:42:28

will be published tomorrow, there

are range of policy suggestions...

0:42:280:42:33

Like what?

Reforms to the planning

system, for example, to make it

0:42:330:42:39

easier for people to have spaces to

live and work in. There are changes

0:42:390:42:43

that I propose to our democratic

make-up and our democracy framework

0:42:430:42:47

to encourage more people to

participate. There are changes I

0:42:470:42:51

propose to the education system to

ensure people are fully informed

0:42:510:42:55

when they participate in politics

and they get involved at a community

0:42:550:42:58

level. It is all about trying to

raise our game as a nation by

0:42:580:43:03

individually empowering people,

empowering our communities, and

0:43:030:43:08

ultimately empowering our nation.

When you say you want to make the

0:43:080:43:12

case for decisions affecting Wales

to be made in Wales, we have got

0:43:120:43:17

devolution, there are areas which

are devolved. As I said earlier,

0:43:170:43:21

taxation is on its way, borrowing is

on its way. You want more taxation

0:43:210:43:26

but we don't know how it will work

yet. What more do you want to be

0:43:260:43:31

devolved? Are you looking at things

like welfare, for example?

If there

0:43:310:43:36

is a decision taken that affects

people in Wales, I believe people in

0:43:360:43:41

Wales, Democratic representatives in

Wales, should make those decisions.

0:43:410:43:45

It makes no sense to me that there

is a parliament in Westminster with

0:43:450:43:51

650 MPs, 610 of which have nothing

to do with Wales whatsoever, that

0:43:510:43:55

end up taking decisions that shape

our economic future. Decisions about

0:43:550:43:59

Wales, made in Wales, will ensure

that the people with the best

0:43:590:44:04

interests of Wales will make those

decisions.

What?

Everything.

0:44:040:44:10

Defence?

Ultimately, yes, Plaid

Cymru wants all decisions to be made

0:44:100:44:16

in Wales. There is a path that gets

us there and that is incremental but

0:44:160:44:20

I want that to be scaled up. What is

clear is that we face grave

0:44:200:44:25

problems, especially in terms of our

economy. There are great risks on

0:44:250:44:30

the horizon, especially if we crash

out of the European Union with no

0:44:300:44:34

deal, with a far right, Tory type

Brexit. How can we introduce

0:44:340:44:40

measures that protect and safeguard

those jobs and offer a real future

0:44:400:44:43

for people in Wales?

Does this mean

you will be ramping up your calls

0:44:430:44:49

for independence now? You know they

will have been accusations that you

0:44:490:44:52

have been independents like. When

you say devolved everything, is this

0:44:520:44:58

ratcheting up the cause for

independence?

I want to frame the

0:44:580:45:02

debate in a different way. I want to

think about what powers we need to

0:45:020:45:07

solve the problems we have. How can

we empower ourselves to gain maximum

0:45:070:45:12

autonomy. But the crucial thing is

that we in Wales should decide

0:45:120:45:16

ourselves what powers we want. We

will want to share some

0:45:160:45:20

decision-making with other people.

That might be other countries within

0:45:200:45:24

the current UK, that might be other

countries that currently are in the

0:45:240:45:29

European Union. There is the whole

debate about whether we remain as a

0:45:290:45:32

member of the single market and so

on. But the crucial point is that

0:45:320:45:36

people in Wales should be empowered

to decide for themselves the

0:45:360:45:40

direction of our country. We could

go in a number of different ways

0:45:400:45:44

here. The risk is that Wales will

become absorbed into a greater

0:45:440:45:48

England and where is entity, where

we end up losing some of the gains

0:45:480:45:53

we have made through devolution. I

want us to take a different path, to

0:45:530:45:57

empower ourselves to make more

decisions for ourselves.

And are you

0:45:570:46:02

confident it will be you taking that

the next election? The reason I ask

0:46:020:46:07

that is, to mount a challenge

against the leader of Plaid Cymru,

0:46:070:46:10

you can only do it every other year

at the autumn conference. 2018 is

0:46:100:46:14

one of those years and if one of

your colleagues was minded to, this

0:46:140:46:18

is when you do it, because by 2020,

the next chance, it is too late. How

0:46:180:46:24

confident are you that there would

be a challenge your leadership?

One

0:46:240:46:30

of the beauties about Plaid Cymru

and one of the reasons I joined

0:46:300:46:33

Plaid Cymru in the first place is

that we are a very Democratic party.

0:46:330:46:37

How many other political parties do

you know of that has the polluted --

0:46:370:46:42

position of leadership that comes up

for grabs every two years, a

0:46:420:46:47

position every single member of the

party is entitled to vote for, and

0:46:470:46:50

every single member of my group in

the Assembly is entitled to bid for.

0:46:500:46:54

I would welcome a challenge. There

is no problem there at all.

But do

0:46:540:46:59

you expect one?

I have no idea

whether there will be won or not,

0:46:590:47:04

and it doesn't really matter too

much, because I am really confident

0:47:040:47:08

in the programme I was elected on as

leader in 2012. I am committed to

0:47:080:47:13

seeing that programme through. There

is plenty of work still to be done

0:47:130:47:17

on that front. But ultimately it is

a matter for members of Plaid Cymru

0:47:170:47:21

and that is the beauty of democracy.

They get to decide. If they want to

0:47:210:47:26

take a different direction, that is

a matter for them. But I am still

0:47:260:47:32

committed to doing the job I set out

in 2012.

Looking ahead to 2018 and

0:47:320:47:35

in the context of how safe a place

is politics in Wales for women, how

0:47:350:47:41

confident are you that the actions

you have taken over the last year or

0:47:410:47:49

so have made Welsh politics a safer

place for women?

That is a big

0:47:490:47:54

question because within society

there are many dangers facing women

0:47:540:47:59

within their own relationships at

home, within the workplace,

0:47:590:48:02

whichever workplace that they are

in, but clearly recent discussions

0:48:020:48:06

have put a spotlight on the kinds of

dangers that women can face in the

0:48:060:48:13

workplace. It is quite important

that we keep that issue as a live

0:48:130:48:15

issue on the agenda.

The reason I am

asking this, a number of complaint

0:48:150:48:20

have been made against a Plaid Cymru

elected Assembly Member, and after

0:48:200:48:26

taking ten months to decide whether

or not to investigate, the decision

0:48:260:48:31

was made just before Christmas to

hand over all the information to the

0:48:310:48:34

standards commissioner in the

Assembly and to give all the

0:48:340:48:36

information to the man being

complaint against, without asking

0:48:360:48:41

for complainants. Does that look

like something that should help and

0:48:410:48:45

get more and more women to make

plays when they are not happy with

0:48:450:48:50

the conduct of Assembly Members?

I

can't comment on an ongoing process

0:48:500:48:57

within Plaid Cymru. There have been

frustrations with the process, which

0:48:570:49:00

I have not been able to have

anything to do with. That has been

0:49:000:49:04

organised by a separate part of the

party. We have a membership and

0:49:040:49:09

disciplinary process and I am not at

liberty to comment on that. But

0:49:090:49:12

there were problems with our system

and we took action to rectify those

0:49:120:49:16

problems in our autumn conference.

But have you taken action? It seems

0:49:160:49:22

to me, you have taken so long to say

you have not got the processes in

0:49:220:49:26

place, you get the processes in

place on, but then you transfer it

0:49:260:49:31

to an external body.

The decision

that was taken by the membership and

0:49:310:49:37

disciplinary panel to refer some of

the complaints to external bodies

0:49:370:49:43

was not something that I have been

party to.

Do you support it?

When we

0:49:430:49:50

met as party leaders in the

aftermath of various sexual

0:49:500:49:54

harassment allegations, one of the

things that we all agreed on there,

0:49:540:49:58

if there were allegations against

anyone in their role as an Assembly

0:49:580:50:02

Member, there was a process in place

to be standards Commissioner to deal

0:50:020:50:06

with that. But often these cases are

not as clear and simple as that.

0:50:060:50:10

They may overlap a number of

boundaries and unless you have seen

0:50:100:50:13

the details of the case, which I

haven't, it is difficult to comment

0:50:130:50:17

on them.

0:50:170:50:19

Now, if last year has proved

anything, it's that trying

0:50:190:50:22

to predict politics these days

is a bit of a mug's game.

0:50:220:50:25

But that doesn't stop us trying.

0:50:250:50:27

And there are some very exciting

developments in prospect.

0:50:270:50:29

Carl Roberts now on where

2018 might take us.

0:50:290:50:32

Cardiff Bay in January

is a great place to walk off

0:50:370:50:40

the Christmas chocolates.

0:50:400:50:42

I've been doing some

of it myself this week.

0:50:420:50:44

The politicians are back in the Bay

after three weeks away

0:50:440:50:47

and the festive period feels

a distant memory now

0:50:470:50:50

as they focus on the day job

and the political year ahead.

0:50:500:50:54

Now, we like to think of ourselves

as forward-looking on the Sunday

0:50:540:50:58

Politics Wales, so I have rounded up

four AMs from different parties

0:50:580:51:02

to get their perspective

on the political priorities in 2018.

0:51:020:51:07

The Ukip group in the Senedd

seem to have been bickering

0:51:090:51:12

with each other since

they were elected in 2016.

0:51:120:51:15

The pattern appears to have

continued into 2018.

0:51:150:51:18

Mandy Jones has replaced

Nathan Gill as an AM,

0:51:180:51:21

but she hasn't joined

the Ukip group in the Bay

0:51:210:51:24

despite being elected as a Ukip AM.

0:51:240:51:26

She will sit as an

independent in the Senedd.

0:51:260:51:29

This Ukip AM told me he thinks

the days of infighting are over

0:51:290:51:33

and he's clear about what he

wants to see this year.

0:51:330:51:37

What's very important

for our party now is to make

0:51:370:51:40

sure that people realise

we are still a relevant party.

0:51:400:51:44

Brexit is not over, obviously,

and it has got a long way to run.

0:51:440:51:48

We believe that we are one

of the parties, if not the only

0:51:480:51:53

party, that truly reflects

what the British people voted for.

0:51:530:51:58

Brexit will continue to dominate

politics, as it has done

0:51:580:52:02

since the referendum itself.

0:52:020:52:04

For Wales, there are

three main things.

0:52:040:52:07

The EU Withdrawal Bill,

which the Welsh Government

0:52:070:52:09

is still seeking changes to.

0:52:090:52:11

The state of negotiations

with the EU themselves.

0:52:110:52:14

AMs will be watching closely to see

what a deal or no deal with the EU

0:52:140:52:18

could mean for key Welsh industries.

0:52:180:52:21

And then there is a third question

as to whether the UK Government

0:52:210:52:25

is willing or able to replace

the funding that Wales gets

0:52:250:52:28

from the EU as a current member.

0:52:280:52:31

There are new tax powers

on the horizon

0:52:330:52:36

for the Welsh Government,

but the way those powers are used

0:52:360:52:39

is on the agenda

of all of the parties in the Bay.

0:52:390:52:42

We are still a young democracy

and we have been saying,

0:52:420:52:45

especially as a party,

that we need more tax-raising powers

0:52:450:52:48

so that we can shape those

policies in a firmer way.

0:52:480:52:51

We get the block grant

but we don't have the flexibility

0:52:510:52:54

that tax-raising would give us.

0:52:540:52:57

I think there is a debate,

of course, about whether there

0:52:570:53:00

should be more AMs or whether

the electoral system

0:53:000:53:02

of the Assembly should change,

and I think that all comes

0:53:020:53:06

into a discussion this year

and into the spotlight, really.

0:53:060:53:10

I don't think we are incompetent

of being able to deal with that,

0:53:100:53:13

it is just how we do it

and what will we prioritise.

0:53:130:53:17

Every opposition politician

I have spoken to this week

0:53:170:53:20

talks about holding

the Labour government to account,

0:53:200:53:23

holding their feet to the fire.

0:53:230:53:25

They might not mind in this weather.

0:53:250:53:28

But for the first time since 2013,

0:53:280:53:30

there is no Wales-wide

election this year.

0:53:300:53:33

Does that make it more difficult?

0:53:330:53:35

I would like to see our

party grow in strength,

0:53:350:53:38

I would like to have a better

platform for the ideas we have.

0:53:380:53:41

We have some fantastic ideas, some

of which have been nicked by Labour,

0:53:410:53:44

and I am pleased by that because

it shows a sincere form of flattery,

0:53:440:53:47

but I really want people

to understand that there

0:53:470:53:50

are alternatives and we can make

a difference and we can grow

0:53:500:53:54

and become the next government

here in Wales.

0:53:540:53:57

Historically in the Bay,

Labour have run a tight ship.

0:53:570:54:00

Backbenchers haven't rocked

the government boat.

0:54:000:54:03

There is no suggestion that

will change in 2018

0:54:030:54:06

but this Labour backbencher

says he and his colleagues

0:54:060:54:09

have been able to influence

the government.

0:54:090:54:11

One of the things we have had

and one of the opportunities

0:54:110:54:15

we have had as Labour backbenchers

is a freedom to develop ideas

0:54:150:54:18

and a freedom of expression.

0:54:180:54:20

One of the things we have

pushed for is the growth

0:54:200:54:22

of the business of the everyday,

the foundational economy,

0:54:220:54:25

to be expressed in the Welsh

Government's economic action plan.

0:54:250:54:28

That will help Bargoed

and we have seen it happen,

0:54:280:54:31

so we have had a direct influence

in government as backbenchers.

0:54:310:54:34

After a tumultuous end

to the Welsh political year,

0:54:360:54:39

a temporary calm has returned

to Cardiff Bay, but for how long?

0:54:390:54:44

The issue of mental health has never

had so much attention.

0:54:460:54:50

And it's easy to see why.

0:54:500:54:52

More than a quarter of sick days

taken in the civil service

0:54:520:54:55

are due to mental ill-health,

according to the latest figures.

0:54:550:54:59

But is the provision

keeping up with demand,

0:54:590:55:01

particularly among young people?

0:55:010:55:03

The Children's Commissioner,

Sally Holland,

0:55:030:55:05

says she wants to see improvements

0:55:050:55:07

and is meeting ministers

next week to talk about it.

0:55:070:55:10

We'll hear from her in a moment,

but first I've been to

0:55:100:55:13

Merthyr Tydfil, where some

young people wanted to help.

0:55:130:55:16

Their answer was this mental health

first aid kit

0:55:160:55:18

and a series of videos

looking at the issues.

0:55:180:55:21

Here are their thoughts.

0:55:210:55:23

I think everyone suffers

with some sort of issue.

0:55:260:55:30

I mean, whether it is just

feeling anxious one day,

0:55:300:55:33

or not feeling great,

but particularly for young people

0:55:330:55:37

now as well, with so much stress

from exams and things like that,

0:55:370:55:40

social pressures as well.

0:55:400:55:42

Social media can put

pressure on young people.

0:55:420:55:46

I think it is something we wanted

to get people talking about

0:55:460:55:49

and making people more aware

of it, and to let people know

0:55:490:55:52

that it is OK to talk about these

things, it is OK to feel this way.

0:55:520:55:56

You're not even changed.

0:55:560:55:58

Come on, what's the matter?

0:55:580:56:00

Give me a sec.

0:56:000:56:01

You've been like this for ages.

You should be over it by now.

0:56:010:56:04

Just give me a minute.

0:56:040:56:06

I don't think it's been taken

as seriously as it should be,

0:56:060:56:10

especially in schools.

0:56:100:56:12

When I was in school,

we never really talked

0:56:120:56:14

about mental health.

0:56:140:56:16

We talked about bullying,

cyber bullying, which I suppose

0:56:160:56:19

are related to it, but we never

talked about mental health

0:56:190:56:22

as a thing on its own.

0:56:220:56:24

So I think this project is hopefully

going to be a boost to get schools

0:56:240:56:29

and other youth organisations

to talk about it.

0:56:290:56:33

Nothing at the moment.

0:56:330:56:34

You have to get something.

Prom is in two weeks.

0:56:340:56:37

We have to go to prom.

0:56:370:56:39

What are you doing for make-up?

0:56:390:56:41

It's like you're trapped in a box,

in a way, because it is hard.

0:56:410:56:46

Sometimes you can cry in the corner

but you need that help

0:56:460:56:50

and I think they try

and brush it off a bit.

0:56:500:56:54

When I was in school,

people who, for example,

0:56:540:57:00

come out, or even have abuse,

it is hard for them as well.

0:57:000:57:05

I think, by not establishing

mental health in schools,

0:57:050:57:11

it is going to affect us

even more in the future.

0:57:110:57:16

No, don't.

Out of here.

0:57:160:57:18

No.

0:57:180:57:19

Mam!

0:57:190:57:21

Go in the kitchen.

0:57:210:57:24

Mam!

0:57:240:57:26

I think it's a touchy

subject in schools.

0:57:260:57:28

I think teachers don't

really want to approach it

0:57:280:57:31

and there is a very much up and out

attitude towards mental health.

0:57:310:57:34

If a child is caught self harming

or with marks on their arms,

0:57:340:57:38

caught talking about the wrong

thing, it just goes upwards

0:57:380:57:41

and upwards and outwards

until it hits the headteacher

0:57:410:57:43

and then it goes external.

0:57:430:57:45

Teachers in school don't

really know how to deal

0:57:450:57:48

with the problem or how to,

sort of, manage the issue,

0:57:480:57:50

and I think that creates a real

paranoia among young people.

0:57:500:57:54

They don't know who

they can turn to

0:57:540:57:56

and a lot of young people worry

about their parents finding out.

0:57:560:58:00

Professor Sally Holland

is the Children's Commissioner.

0:58:020:58:10

Thank you for coming in.

Overwhelmingly there, they were

0:58:100:58:15

saying, all my friends have got some

form of mental health issue or has

0:58:150:58:21

had at some point. Do you think

there is enough attention and

0:58:210:58:28

appreciation of the extra stresses

that young people are under these

0:58:280:58:30

days?

I think there is a lot of

attention being given to it and my

0:58:300:58:36

concern is whether we are actually

giving the right answers to that

0:58:360:58:38

attention. First of all, I would

like to point out that those young

0:58:380:58:43

people in Merthyr are great example

of how we don't have a generation of

0:58:430:58:48

young people who are failing in some

way or waiting passively for

0:58:480:58:51

something to happen to them. They

are a great bunch of activists, I

0:58:510:58:56

have met them many times, and they

are ready to say, can we be part

0:58:560:59:01

part of the solution as well.

But

what needs to change? They were

0:59:010:59:06

brilliant, as a bunch of young

people getting to grips with things

0:59:060:59:11

really well, but overall what needs

to change, in terms of improving the

0:59:110:59:15

provision, what schools need to be

doing?

This is a UK wide problem. We

0:59:150:59:21

have had lots of attention on it in

England as well. How do we better

0:59:210:59:25

support young people? What we have

uniquely in Wales is a really good

0:59:250:59:29

opportunity. We have got a new

curriculum being developed, teacher

0:59:290:59:33

training being reformed and a reform

of other child and adolescent mental

0:59:330:59:36

health services. My big concern is

while both those reforms are very

0:59:360:59:43

well-meaning, they have got some

great games, I don't think they are

0:59:430:59:45

working together closely enough.

That is a concern I am going to take

0:59:450:59:50

to ministers this week.

So you will

be meeting with Kirsty Williams, the

0:59:500:59:55

Education Secretary and Vaughan

Gething, the Health Secretary. So

0:59:550:59:59

there needs to be more joined up

thinking?

If you are to redesign a

0:59:591:00:05

system from scratch, and we almost

are in Wales, you would not design

1:00:051:00:09

it so you have education over here

and mental health services in some

1:00:091:00:13

far-away clinic that people are

desperately trying to get an

1:00:131:00:17

appointment for. Once they get

there, and waiting lists have come

1:00:171:00:21

down, I acknowledge that, but once

they get there, often they can't

1:00:211:00:24

help because they are there to deal

with mental illness. For young

1:00:241:00:29

people in particular, adolescence is

a time of lots of change. You can't

1:00:291:00:33

really separate out their social

experiences, their mental health

1:00:331:00:37

experiences and their physical

changes. They need a much more

1:00:371:00:40

rounded, joined up support.

So when

they are in schools, and you say you

1:00:401:00:47

wanted on the curriculum, the

curriculum will be jam-packed full

1:00:471:00:50

of stuff. It will be competing with

all that.

I don't just wanted on the

1:00:501:00:55

curriculum. I think that will be one

of the aspects that will help, for

1:00:551:00:59

children to have better awareness of

self, but we have an opportunity

1:00:591:01:05

because the Education Secretary has

quite rightly put health and

1:01:051:01:07

well-being as one of the most

central things we cover in schools.

1:01:071:01:11

But it is not just about what

children are taught, it is about the

1:01:111:01:14

support around them.

Thank you very

much for coming in.

1:01:141:01:19

That's it for our

first show of 2018.

1:01:191:01:21

Don't forget we're on Twitter

@walespolitics,

1:01:211:01:23

return to it.

I have to stop you

all.

1:01:231:01:25

That's all we have time for.

1:01:251:01:26

My thanks to Rupa to Bob

and to Luke and with that,

1:01:261:01:28

it's back to Sarah.

1:01:281:01:34

Earlier we were talking about

comments made by John McDonnell

1:01:411:01:46

about Esther McVeigh. The Labour

Party had been in touch to say that

1:01:461:01:52

Mr McDonnell did not quote with

approval, and that comments made in

1:01:521:02:00

Parliament confirm that. We have

been contacted also by the office of

1:02:001:02:08

Kier Starmer, previously the

Director of Public Prosecutions,

1:02:081:02:09

saying he had nothing to do with the

decision about John Worboys, and we

1:02:091:02:13

are also happy to make that crystal

clear. On to other news...

1:02:131:02:18

Ukip has suspended the girlfriend

of the party leader, Henry Bolton,

1:02:181:02:21

after reports that she made racist

remarks about Prince Harry's

1:02:211:02:23

fiancee Meghan Markle.

1:02:231:02:24

In text messages to a friend,

Jo Marney described black people

1:02:241:02:27

as "ugly" and said "her seed"

would "taint our royal family".

1:02:271:02:29

Ms Marney has apologised,

and said that comments had been

1:02:291:02:32

taken out of context.

1:02:321:02:33

Paul Oakden, Ukip's party chairman,

joins us from Birmingham.

1:02:331:02:38

Can Henry Bolton carry on as leader

after this?

I think it is very clear

1:02:441:02:49

that Henry is increasingly in a

position where he has some difficult

1:02:491:02:53

decisions to make. He knows that. He

and I have spoken regularly over the

1:02:531:02:58

weekend, as recently as this

morning. I know he is focused on

1:02:581:03:02

those decisions today. He intends on

making those decisions today, and

1:03:021:03:06

I'm sure that whatever he does will

be in the best interests of the

1:03:061:03:09

party.

It sounds like you expect him

to resign by the end of the day.

Not

1:03:091:03:14

at all. He is in a situation that he

would rather not be in, which he

1:03:141:03:20

acknowledges, but I believe he has

the party's best interests at heart

1:03:201:03:22

and that is what he will focus on.

1:03:221:03:27

the party's best interests at heart

Would the party's best interests be

1:03:271:03:31

served by him standing down as

leader?

It would be best served by

1:03:311:03:34

the membership having the

opportunity to have their say. Henry

1:03:341:03:39

acknowledges there has been an error

in judgment, and it is now for the

1:03:391:03:43

party membership and ruling body to

make a determination on whether they

1:03:431:03:46

feel Henry is the best person to

lead them into what will be an

1:03:461:03:50

incredibly crucial 12 months for

Brexit. The thing that matters

1:03:501:03:53

beyond Ukip and everything else.

If

he doesn't decide by the end of the

1:03:531:03:57

day that he will stand down, when

will the NEC meet?

A week today. I

1:03:571:04:06

want to be clear - Henry is not

deciding whether he will or won't

1:04:061:04:11

resign today. He's deciding what he

can do to help remedy this

1:04:111:04:15

situation. As leader, he will play

the leading role in making this

1:04:151:04:20

better, clearly needs made better,

and a lot of people take their lead

1:04:201:04:24

from him. The party is represented

by its governing body, which will

1:04:241:04:29

meet a week today. If he is still

the leader Robbie today, they will

1:04:291:04:32

meet at that point and collectively

make a decision about what to do

1:04:321:04:36

going forward.

It doesn't sound like

he has your support.

Far from it. My

1:04:361:04:43

job is to make sure that our

thousands of members, who joined not

1:04:431:04:50

because of the leader's Private life

but because of Brexit, and we will

1:04:501:04:57

not deliver Brexit on our own. Now

that Tony Blair is running around

1:04:571:05:05

with Lord Adonis and Nick Clegg

trying to ride roughshod over

1:05:051:05:09

democracy, we need a grand coalition

of all those groups that fought on

1:05:091:05:13

the League side to come together to

see the journey home. That is the

1:05:131:05:20

priority.

It is a huge distraction

if you're leader is having to fend

1:05:201:05:24

off the stories about his private

life.

It is true that we need to be

1:05:241:05:29

behind our leader 100% in taking

that battle forward. That is

1:05:291:05:33

absolutely key. Whether or not the

party decides it is willing to give

1:05:331:05:37

that support to Henry is for the

party decide. My role as German as

1:05:371:05:41

to make sure they have the ability

to voice their opinion. I have every

1:05:411:05:47

confidence that our national

1:05:471:05:52

executive committee will do what is

in the interests of the party, and I

1:05:591:06:02

have every confidence that that is

what our leader will seek to do.

1:06:021:06:05

Whatever the situation, I am

confident that a week tomorrow, the

1:06:051:06:07

party will be in fine form to take

that to the Remain establishment.

1:06:071:06:09

Thanks for joining us.

1:06:091:06:10

Let's pick up on that with the

panel. What do you think the

1:06:101:06:13

prospects are for the Ukip leader?

Based on that, it has Monty Python

1:06:131:06:20

moment. He will do what is best for

the party, but that best... This is

1:06:201:06:26

symptomatic of a wider crisis for

Ukip. I've lost count of the number

1:06:261:06:30

of leaders they've had.

Five in 18

months.

Three of them were Nigel

1:06:301:06:37

Farage!

He will probably be back

again. They were a powerful vessel

1:06:371:06:42

for delivering that referendum, but

it is a lesson for people wanting to

1:06:421:06:45

start political parties - it was a

fragile vessel. The fragility is are

1:06:451:06:51

now being exposed in this impossible

nightmare they have. They can't even

1:06:511:06:57

find a credible leader. They have

not resigned over principles, they

1:06:571:07:00

have resigned in bizarre

circumstances, time and again.

One

1:07:001:07:09

of them only lasted days.

And that

is not bad going on the basis of

1:07:091:07:13

what could happen in the future. It

shows that it is difficult to set up

1:07:131:07:17

a credible, serious political party.

And they have become incredible.

On

1:07:171:07:22

a more serious note, Paul Oakton was

saying that it is more important

1:07:221:07:26

than ever to have people are giving

the Ukip case as we go through the

1:07:261:07:29

process of Brexit. As a party, can

they do that? Or do people think

1:07:291:07:34

that

1:07:341:07:39

that with the referendum done and

dusted, Ukip are finished?

We have

1:07:401:07:42

seen that in their election results

since. He was a credible leader, a

1:07:421:07:46

background in the police, working in

the EU, the Armed Forces. I don't

1:07:461:07:52

want to live in Soviet Russia or

modern-day North Korea where people

1:07:521:07:57

have guilt by association. He hasn't

made these racist remarks.

She has

1:07:571:08:01

been suspended from the partly, --

the party, she is his partner.

They

1:08:011:08:10

are not taken out of context, they

are outrageous, no question at all,

1:08:101:08:15

racist, disgusting remarks, and no

question that she should be out of

1:08:151:08:19

the party membership. I would say

that his misjudgement in being a

1:08:191:08:23

middle-aged man running off with a

glamour model half his age is the

1:08:231:08:27

embarrassment for him. If he wants

to be in a relationship with someone

1:08:271:08:33

with those vile views, it is a

question of his judgment. But let's

1:08:331:08:37

not confuse the person who committed

the offence. The key thing is, Ukip

1:08:371:08:46

had a role, and Nigel Farage in my

view is one of the most influential

1:08:461:08:53

politicians of the 21st century in

terms of how he has changed

1:08:531:08:56

politics. Part of that effectively

meant that Ukip had no role. They

1:08:561:09:00

believe they have an important role,

because they don't believe Theresa

1:09:001:09:04

May is delivering the Brexit that

many people like me actually voted

1:09:041:09:07

for. I would like to keep them on

the back burner as a credible party

1:09:071:09:14

if and when they are needed to like

the touch paper beneath the stories.

1:09:141:09:19

To hold Theresa May's fee to the

fire. Nigel Farage sprang back into

1:09:191:09:25

the news today, possibly because he

was looking for increased relevance

1:09:251:09:28

to get himself back in the

headlines, saying that he now agrees

1:09:281:09:32

with Nick Clegg and Tony Blair that

there might have to be a second

1:09:321:09:35

referendum. Explain that, Tom.

He

said it on Friday morning, sorry,

1:09:351:09:41

Thursday morning, and now he has

said it again. He has recanted a

1:09:411:09:45

bit, saying that it is not that he

wants one, but it is back on the

1:09:451:09:51

front page of the Observer,

repeating the message. I think there

1:09:511:09:55

are now will be one. Do you think he

could possibly be sniffing out a job

1:09:551:10:00

vacancy coming up any time soon? My

reading of your incisive interview

1:10:001:10:05

with Paul Oakton was that we

1:10:051:10:10

should -- was that he will be handed

a revolver, possibly this afternoon.

1:10:181:10:23

If Nigel Farage came back, it could

be his third or fourth term?

He

1:10:231:10:31

could easily come back. He goes on

TV programmes and gives interviews,

1:10:311:10:38

and you can see our role for him.

The vacancy is about to come up. It

1:10:381:10:42

rather begins to feel like a fait

accompli.

The EU withdrawal bill is

1:10:421:10:50

back in the Commons this week -

trouble for the Government over what

1:10:501:10:53

will happen this week?

At certain

moments, there will be, as there was

1:10:531:10:59

in December, moments of potential

drama, inevitably, because they

1:10:591:11:03

haven't always got a guaranteed

majority. I suspect that defeats

1:11:031:11:09

like we saw with the Dominic grieve

amendment won't happen very often,

1:11:091:11:13

but there will be, as with the rest

of this Brexit sequence, moments of

1:11:131:11:18

heightened drama where it is not at

all clear what is going to happen

1:11:181:11:21

and whether she can get what she

wants through, Theresa May. I think

1:11:211:11:25

the referendum thing is interesting.

There's no reason why the 2016 one

1:11:251:11:30

should be seen as a theological

thing that cannot be touched,

1:11:301:11:34

because the 2016 one showed that you

can have second referendums. It was

1:11:341:11:38

a second one.

Let's have another one

in 40- odd years.

Very briefly,

1:11:381:11:46

Julia, are you disappointed that

Donald Trump is not coming to London

1:11:461:11:50

to open the embassy?

I hold no torch

for Donald Trump. He wants us to be

1:11:501:11:54

lining the roots and way being --

waving our little flags. He wants to

1:11:541:12:01

meet the corgis. I think we should

be friendly with the leaders of

1:12:011:12:07

major global powers who are our

allies in trade and militarily. It

1:12:071:12:14

would be foolish to upset that

because we don't like the current

1:12:141:12:18

incumbent. What might we might be

looking for a trade deal with them

1:12:181:12:20

as well. Theresa May might be

relieved. Oh God, yes!

Someone

1:12:201:12:26

senior in the Government said to me

on Friday, using similar words to

1:12:261:12:30

Donald Trump, it would be an capital

at show if he came, and the same if

1:12:301:12:35

he didn't. -- it would be an S show.

No one made remarks about President

1:12:351:12:50

Macron or Angela Merkel. If we

accept the Chinese president, a

1:12:501:12:55

totalitarian who has his political

opponents murdered, I think we can

1:12:551:12:58

cope with Donald Trump, as hideous

and horrible and racist and

1:12:581:13:02

misogynistic as he is.

Strange that

he has

1:13:021:13:11

he has in -- that he hasn't come

given the respect shall

1:13:111:13:14

relationship.

For our defence and

security relationships, we need

1:13:141:13:19

this.

We have to leave it there.

1:13:191:13:21

That's all for today.

1:13:211:13:22

Join me again next Sunday at 11

here on BBC One XXXXX.

1:13:221:13:26

Until then, bye bye.

1:13:261:13:27

-- join me again next Sunday at 11

here on BBC One.

1:13:331:13:41

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