16/02/2014 Sunday Politics Yorkshire and Lincolnshire


16/02/2014

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Good morning, folks. Welcome to the Sunday Politics. It would be

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extremely difficult, if not impossible, for an independent

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Scotland to join the European Union, so says the President of the

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European Commission, Jose Manuel Barroso, in a significant

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development in the independence debate. It's our top story. He has

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the power to bring travel chaos to the nation's capital. Bob Crow

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joined us for the Sunday interview. Another by-election and

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An Sunday Politics in Yorkshire and Lincolnshire, great art sell`off. My

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some of our town halls are considering blogging the family

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silver in With me, the best and brightest

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political panel in the business The twits will be as incessant and

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probably as welcome as the recent rain. A significant new development

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in the debate over Scottish independence this morning, the

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President of the European Commission, President Jose Manuel

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Barroso, has confirmed what the Nationalists have long denied, that

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an independent Scotland would have to reply to join the European Union

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as a new member, that it would require the agreement of all 28

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member states and that would be in his words, extremely difficult, if

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not impossible. In case there is a new country, a new state coming out

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of a current member state, it will have to apply and, this is very

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important, the application to the union would have to be approved by

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all of the other member states. Countries like Spain, with the

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secessionist issues they have? I don't want to interfere in your

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democratic discussion here, but of course, it will be extremely

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difficult to get the approval of all of the other member states, to have

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a new member coming in from one member state. We have seen that that

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Spain has been opposing even the recognition, for instance, so it is

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a similar state. It is a new country. I believe it is great to be

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externally difficult, if not impossible. Well, he says he doesn't

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want to interfere, but he has just dropped a medium-sized explosive

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into the debate on Scottish independence? A huge story. Alex

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Salmond must be wondering what is going to go wrong next. His pitch to

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the Scottish people is based on two things, the currency union with

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England and the rest of the United Kingdom, which was blown apart last

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week, and this morning, his claims that Scotland would automatically

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get into the European Union has been dynamited. He's not only saying that

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they would have to apply, it is also saying it might be impossible to get

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the agreement of all 28 members to allow Scotland in. That's even more

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significant than the application? The reference to Spain is

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interesting, we talk about Catalan independence, an economic and active

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area that Spain does not want to be independent. About five other

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countries are blocking Kosovo's accession to the EU. There is no

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reason they would want to encourage the secessionist in their country by

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letting Scotland do the same. If Scotland does have to apply, and it

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does get in, it solves the currency problem because all new members have

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to accept the Euro? At the moment, the SNP are rejecting that quite

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strongly. What an interesting intervention today. However, I know

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that those arguing that Scotland should stay in the union are worried

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that the polls are tightening. A lot of these interventions, parents care

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arguments, they don't look like they are convincing the Scottish people.

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We haven't had any polls yet? We haven't, but we have since the

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currency debate was reignited in the last few weeks and it shows the

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polls tightening slightly. I think Alistair Darling's campaign would

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prefer to be much further ahead at the stage. They are worried that

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these technical commandments are not having much sway. Are the polls

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tightening slightly? They could be within the statistical margin for

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error. They are, but not much. Alex Salmond's main page is one of

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reassurance. He wants to say you can vote for independence, a pound in

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the pocket will be the same as before and you will still be a

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member of the European Union. In the last three or four matter days, both

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of those claims have been blown apart. Angus MacNeil has already

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told BBC Radio 5 Live that the remarks are nonsense and he is

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playing more politics. We hope to speak to the SNP's finance minister,

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John Swinney, a little bit later in the programme. It is not just the

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constant rain that London commuters have had to deal with. There was

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also a strike on the tube that disrupted the travel of millions. A

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second stoppage was on the cards, but it was called off at the last

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minute. The leader of the biggest

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underground workers union, the RMT, is Bob Crow, who has led his members

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into 24 strikes on the tube since 2005, as well as disputes on the

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national rail network. Under his leadership, the union's membership

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has grown from 57,000 in 2002 to more than 80,000, at a time when

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union membership overall has been shrinking. The current dispute has

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seen Bob Crow squaring up to Boris Johnson over the mayor's plans to

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close tube station ticket offices. The 48-hour stoppage at the

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beginning of this month is estimated to have cost the London economy ?100

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million. The two sides have agreed a truce, for now, but Mr Crow has

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threatened further action if the mayor imposes his changes.

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Bob Crow joins me now for the Sunday interview.

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Welcome to the Sunday Politics. You have suspended the strike for the

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moment. What will it take to call it off entirely? Want to know first of

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all wider booking office has to close. The Mayor of London made it

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quite clear in his election programme that the booking offices

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would remain open. It was strange, really, because Ken Livingstone

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wanted to close them down and the mayor thought it was popular to keep

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them open and put in his campaign to keep them open. However, we have not

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the news figures. We are being told only 3% of people use the booking

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offices. That's not true. In research done, if somebody does to a

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booking office with somebody sitting there and asks for a ticket of less

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than ?5, they are not allowed to sell them a ticket, it is madness.

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Do you use the ticket office? When it is open, yes. You said to ITV

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that he didn't. I don't know what I said to ITV, I don't know what time

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people use them, sometimes they are open and sometimes they are closed.

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People make out that these ticket office staff are people that sit

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behind barriers like a newsagent. I'm not knocking a newsagent,

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however, these people were the same people treated like Lions when they

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were helping people named in the terrorist incidents, taking them out

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of the panels. Suddenly they are lazy people that sit in ticket

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offices. My understanding is that the people would come from behind

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and be out and about now. It is the management wants to run the

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underground without ticket offices, isn't that their prerogative? They

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are paid to manage, not you, not your members, they are the managers?

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Managers are there to manage, and we want good managers. But we've got

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some really bad managers that are not looking at the railway as a

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whole. This is a successful industry, not an industry in

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decline, one of the most successful in Britain. It is moving 3.4 million

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people a day. All of the forecast is or it will move to 3.6 million per

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day. The mayor wants to run services on a Friday and Saturday night. We

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are not opposed to that. However, it does not make sense that if more

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people are going to be using the tube on Friday and Saturday, coming

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home at two o'clock three o'clock in the morning, a lot of people

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drinking, a lot of people not dragging, why take 1000 people of

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the network that come to the aid of people that are looking to people? I

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want to show you this picture. This is you. Taking a break in Brazil, I

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think it is. I was trying to copy you. You deserve this break because

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you have done a fantastic job for your members. Yes, I don't see what

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that has got to do with it. Let s get every editor of the daily

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newspapers and see where they go on their holidays, I would like to

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know. What I choose to do... I'm not attacking you for doing that...

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You've got a picture up there, I've got to say, why don't they go and

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follow Boris Johnson when he was away on holiday, when the riots were

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taking place in London, and he refused to come back? Why don't they

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go and view the editors of newspapers, where they go on

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holiday? Why do they look at you when you go on holiday? They

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sometimes do, actually. The basic pay of a tube driver will soon be

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?52,000. Ticket office workers are already earning over ?35,000. Never

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mind a holiday on Copacabana beach, or membership by your house for what

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you have done for them? When you look at the papers this morning I

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see that Wayne Rooney is going to get a ?70 million deal over the next

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four deals. I see NHS doctors are getting ?3000 a shift. I see a lot

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of people that do a lot of people that, in my opinion, don't do

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anything for society. The top paid people in this country should be

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doctors and nurses. Unfortunately, we live in a jungle. If you are not

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strong, the bosses will walk all over you. The reason why we got good

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terms and conditions is because we fought for them. The reality is all

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of these three political parties, liberals, Tories and Labour, they

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have all put no programme that to defend working people. So we have to

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do it on our own. And that is why you have done such a great job for

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your members and why union membership has been rising, people

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want to be part of a successful operation. But it has come at a cost

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for less well-paid workers, who travel on the cheap? If everyone

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believes if London Underground tube workers take a pay freeze they are

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going to redistribute the money to the rest of the workers that work on

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the cheap... But the people that travel on the tube, let's look at

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some of them, they are the ones that suffer from your strike action. The

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starting salary of a cheap driver now, ?48,000. The starting salary

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for a nurses only ?26,000, ?22, 00 for a young policeman, ?27,000 for a

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teacher starting out. As your members have spread, they have had

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to live through 24 strikes in 1 years to push up your members

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wages. It's I'm all right Jack? The have put a pay freeze on by

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conservatives and liberals. The police constables, so have the

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teachers. We have had the ability to go and fight. The reality is, at the

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end of the day, as I have said before, no one is going to put up

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the cause for workers. Not one single party in parliament are

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fighting the cause for workers. They all support privatisation, they all

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support keeping the anti-trade union laws, they all support illegal wars

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around the world. Unless they have a fighting trade union, our members

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pay would be as low as some others. You said we could not care less if

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we have 1 million strikes. But these people, the lower paid people who

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travel on the tube, who need it as an essential service, they care Of

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course they care, I've said before that I apologise to the troubling

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public for the dispute that took place. 24 strikes in 13 years? It

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two to tango. If the boy never imposed terms and conditions on us

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against our will... But you've got great terms and conditions! But it's

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a constant battle, they are trying to change them. Drivers are having

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their pay going up to ?50,000. You said they are making it worse, it is

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going up. They are trying to make things worse for workers. You said

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at the start of the interview that the tube strike cost ?100 million in

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two days. It means that when members go to work for two days it is worth

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?100 million. That demonstrates what they are worth. Only a fighting

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trade union can defend workers out there. Your members should enjoy

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what you have got for them, because it's not going to last, is it?

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Technology will change the whole way your business operates. As Karl Marx

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says, you said I was a mixture of Karl Marx, Only Fools And Horses and

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the Sopranos. I thought that was quite funny... The Karl Marx part of

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it, the only thing that is constant is change. We have been crying out

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for new technology. But for who To put people on the dole, so they

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can't do anything and do anything for society, or technology so

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everybody benefits, lower fares better service and better terms and

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conditions for the workers. But you have made Labour so expensive on the

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underground that management now has a huge incentive to substitute

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technology for Labour. And that s what it's going to do, it is closing

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the ticket offices and very soon, starting in 2016, the driverless

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trains coming. What I am saying is that your members should enjoy this

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because it's not going to last. Driverless trains are not coming

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in, it is not safe. We have them in Nuremberg, Shanghai, Sao Paulo, it

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is not safe? These are new lines that have been built so that when it

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breaks down, people can get out of the tunnel. Would you want to be

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stuck on a summers day on the Northern line? A pregnant woman who

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cannot get off the train? Absolute panic that takes place, the reality

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is simple, it is a nonsense. It s not going to happen because it is a

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Victorian network. On Docklands railway for example it is driverless

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but when the train breaks down, it is above ground on a very small

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section. All of these other cities managed to have it. You remind me

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about Henry Ford in the 1930s when he said, you see that robot over

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their, he cannot buy a car. All sorts of new jobs are being created

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all the time in other areas. Come back to the ticket offices, not many

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people use the ticket offices any more, what is wrong with getting the

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stuff out of the ticket office on to the concourses, meeting and

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greeting, helping disabled people and tourists and making it a better

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service? They can do more on the concourse than they can in the

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ticket office. Andrew, he took the decision to close down every single

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ticket office. You cannot compare for example Chesham with the likes

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of Heathrow. Are you telling me people are going to be on a long

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transatlantic flight, arrived at Heathrow and cannot get a ticket.

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The stuff will be redeployed on the concourse. The simple problem is

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that it is not just about the booking office, it is about people

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having a visual. If you are partially sighted, you cannot use

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the machines. If British is not your first language, you cannot use the

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offices. How many languages do your members speak? I don't know, I

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struggle with English. The machines can speak many different languages.

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They are dehumanising things. You phone the bank, all you hear is

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press one for this, two for that. People want to hear it human being

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and what makes the London Underground so precious is that

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people want to see people. Having well-dressed, motivated people out

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on the concourse, what part of that don't you like? They will be on the

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concourse and they will have machines. The fact is that London

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Underground did a risk assessment of closing down their booking offices

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and it is clear that if you are disabled, if you are partially

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sighted, London Underground becomes more dangerous. You are posing the

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closing of ticket offices, opposing driverless trains, when you opposed

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to the Oyster card when it came in? No, Oyster cards, it is how you deal

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with it. It is not the only way They should supplement the staff and

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the job. If more people used the London Underground system, you want

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more staff to deal with them. Let's look at your mandate to strike. Of

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your members who work on the Tube, only 40% bothered to vote. Only 30%

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voted for the strike, so 70% actually didn't vote to strike of

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your members, but the strike went ahead. Isn't it right to have a

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higher threshold before you can cause this disruption? It would be

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lovely if everyone voted but the Tories took that away. We used to

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have ballots at the workplace. What I'm trying to say to you is that we

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used to have a ballot box at the workplace and the turnouts were

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higher. The Tories believe that if they can have a secret ballot where

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ballot papers went to people's home addresses, where they could be

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persuaded by the bosses, votes would be different. Let's go back to the

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workplace ballot because you get a bigger turnout. Will the RMT

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re-affiliate to the Labour Party? I have no intention to. We got

:20:32.:20:36.

expelled from the Labour Party. But you will give some money to the

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Labour councils? Those that support our basic policies get money, we

:20:46.:20:54.

don't give money directly to MPs, we give it to constituencies. Are you

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going to stand for re-election in 2016? I might do, I might not. You

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haven't decided yet? No, but more than likely I will do. And will you

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stand again as an anti-EU candidate? Yes, I am standing in London, and

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right across, completely different to UKIP's policies. They are

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anti-European, they believe all of the faults of Europe are down to the

:21:29.:21:34.

immigrants. We are anti-European Union. If London Underground is as

:21:35.:21:40.

badly run as you think, why don t you run for mayor? That is down the

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road, it has not come up yet. I m not ruling anything out. I'm not

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ruling out getting your job on the Sunday Politics. You have got to

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retire as well, you have got to put your feet up. I will get you to

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renegotiate my package. Shall we go on strike first? If I could have

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your wages, I would have two trips to Rio every year. Good luck. And if

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you're in the London region they'll have more on the Tube strike later

:22:22.:22:28.

in the programme. Let's get back to those comments from Jose Manuel

:22:29.:22:34.

Barroso, and reaction to these comments from John Swinney. Scottish

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Nationalists denied all along you would have to reapply, we have now

:22:41.:22:46.

heard it without any caveats, you will and you might not get in. I

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think Jose Manuel Barroso's comments were preposterous this morning. He

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compared the situation to the one in Kosovo. Britain is the member,

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Scotland is not the member. If you go independent, you will have to

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reapply, he says. All of the arrangements we have in place are

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compatible with the workings of the European Union because we have been

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part of it for 40 years. The propositions we put forward work

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about essentially negotiating the continuity of Scotland's membership

:23:28.:23:31.

of the European Union and that position has now been explained and

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debated and discussed and reinforced by comments made by experts. We are

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talking about the president of the European commission and we have

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spoken to him since he gave that interview on the BBC this morning,

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it was an intervention that he made that he wanted to lay out that

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Scotland should be in no doubt that if they vote for independence they

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will have to apply for European membership and they may not get it

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if it is vetoed by other members. What he didn't say is that no state

:24:20.:24:23.

of the European Union have indicated they would veto Scottish

:24:24.:24:29.

membership. The Spanish foreign minister has. They have said that if

:24:30.:24:35.

there is an agreed process within the UK that Scotland becomes an

:24:36.:24:38.

independent country, then Spain has got nothing to say about the issue.

:24:39.:24:43.

That indicates to me clearly that the Spanish government will have no

:24:44.:24:48.

stance to take on the Scottish membership of the European Union

:24:49.:24:52.

because it is important that Scotland is already part of the

:24:53.:24:57.

European Union, our laws are compatible with the European Union

:24:58.:25:02.

and we play our part. The only threat to Scotland's participation

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in the European Union is the potential in/out referendum that

:25:07.:25:17.

David Cameron wants to have in 2017. It has not been a great week for

:25:18.:25:22.

you, has it? Everything you seem to want, the monetary union, that has

:25:23.:25:28.

been blown out of the water by the Westminster parties, now Jose Manuel

:25:29.:25:32.

Barroso has said you will have to reapply to the European Union, it

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has not been a good week. You will follow the debate closely, and the

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Sunday newspapers are full about the backlash taking place within

:25:46.:25:49.

Scotland at the bullying remarks of the Chancellor and his cohorts. Is

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Jose Manuel Barroso a bully is well now? He is making an indirect

:25:59.:26:01.

comparison between Scotland and Kosovo. If you vote for independence

:26:02.:26:09.

and you do have two apply again to join, if you do get in it solves

:26:10.:26:15.

your currency problem because you will have to accept the euro. We

:26:16.:26:21.

have set out an option on the currency arrangements which would be

:26:22.:26:29.

to establish the currency union. You would have to adopt the euro. That's

:26:30.:26:36.

not rate because you have to be part of the exchange-rate mechanism for

:26:37.:26:40.

two years before you can apply for membership and an independent

:26:41.:26:43.

Scotland has no intention of signing up to the exchange rate mechanism or

:26:44.:26:49.

the single currency. We are concentrating on setting out our

:26:50.:26:53.

arguments for maintaining the pound sterling, which is in the interests

:26:54.:27:00.

of Scotland and the UK. Thank you for joining us this morning.

:27:01.:27:05.

This week's least surprising news was that Labour won the safe seat of

:27:06.:27:09.

Wythenshawe and Sale East in a by-election, following the death of

:27:10.:27:12.

the MP Paul Goggins. With the result so predictable, all eyes were on

:27:13.:27:15.

whether this would be the sixth time this parliament that UKIP would come

:27:16.:27:18.

second. And whether they'd chip away at Labour's vote, not just the

:27:19.:27:21.

Tories and the Lib Dems. Adam stayed up all night to find out what it all

:27:22.:27:32.

meant. Forget the hype. Forget the theorising. And yes - everyone has a

:27:33.:27:42.

theory. UKIP are learning from us. What have they picked up from you?

:27:43.:27:49.

To be silly. Thanks to this week's by-election we've got some hard

:27:50.:27:52.

evidence in paper form that helps answer the question: How are UKIP

:27:53.:27:55.

doing? Turns out the answer is well, but not well enough to beat Labour.

:27:56.:28:05.

I'm therefore claim -- declare that Mike Cane is elected. So UKIP have

:28:06.:28:11.

come second and increased their share of the vote quite

:28:12.:28:14.

significantly. But their performance isn't as good as their performances

:28:15.:28:15.

in some of the other by-elections isn't as good as their performances

:28:16.:28:18.

this parliament. Just don't suggest to them that their bandwagon has

:28:19.:28:27.

ground to a halt. A week ago you'd told me you were going to win, what

:28:28.:28:35.

happened? No, I didn't, I said I wanted to win. My mistake. How are

:28:36.:28:42.

you feeling? It is a Labour stronghold, we always knew it was

:28:43.:28:47.

going to be a fight. Labour were running scared of letting us present

:28:48.:28:53.

our arguments. UKIP's campaign in Wythenshawe didn't point to the

:28:54.:28:56.

right but to the left, with leaflets that branded Labour as a party of

:28:57.:28:59.

millionaires who didn't care about the working class. It wasn't a

:29:00.:29:03.

winning strategy but it did help them beat the Tories who focused on

:29:04.:29:08.

dog mess and potholes instead. Professional UKIP-watcher Rob Ford

:29:09.:29:11.

from Manchester Uni thinks they could be on the right track. He's

:29:12.:29:17.

analysed the views of 5,000 UKIP voters for a new book, which could

:29:18.:29:20.

confound the received wisdom about the party. The common media image of

:29:21.:29:32.

the typical UKIP voter is a ruddy faced golf club and -- member from

:29:33.:29:40.

the south-east of the UK and many UKIP activists do resemble that

:29:41.:29:44.

stereotype to some extent, they do pick up a lot of activists from the

:29:45.:29:49.

Conservative party, but UKIP voters are older, more working class, more

:29:50.:29:54.

likely to live in Northern, urban areas, and they are much more

:29:55.:30:00.

anti-system than anti-EU. And they're precisely the voters that

:30:01.:30:03.

the Tory MP David Mowat needs if he's to hold on to his narrow

:30:04.:30:06.

majority in the constituency just down the road. Do you have a UKIP

:30:07.:30:19.

strategy in your seat? Our UKIP strategy is to point out that if

:30:20.:30:23.

they want a referendum on if they want to be in the EU or not, there

:30:24.:30:26.

is one way to get it, for the Conservatives to form their next

:30:27.:30:29.

government and for me to be their MP. UKIP could accidentally destroy

:30:30.:30:36.

what they want? I'm not sure it will be accidental. People need to

:30:37.:30:42.

realise that if Ed Miliband is the Prime Minister, there will be no

:30:43.:30:47.

referendum on the EU and UKIP may have made their point but they would

:30:48.:30:52.

not have got their referendum. Over at UKIP local HQ, it is tidying up

:30:53.:31:02.

time. Not helping, Nigel? I had major surgery on the 19th of

:31:03.:31:05.

November and I am still weak as a kitten. I can barely lift a pint

:31:06.:31:10.

with my right hand, it is as serious as that. The answer is, Carreon,

:31:11.:31:14.

chaps, you're all doing a very good job. There will be carrying on to

:31:15.:31:18.

the European elections in May, which will provide more evidence of if the

:31:19.:31:22.

UKIP and wagon is powering on or if it is just parked. -- bandwagon.

:31:23.:31:28.

With me now is the Conservative MEP Vicky fraud and UKIP director of

:31:29.:31:32.

medication is Patrick O'Flynn. He will also be a candidate in the

:31:33.:31:36.

upcoming European elections. You came second in Manchester, but it

:31:37.:31:40.

was not a close second. -- Vicky Ford. There is nothing that is a

:31:41.:31:47.

game changer? I think it is very unusual for any insurgent party,

:31:48.:31:53.

like the liberals used to be, to actually win a safe seat of the

:31:54.:31:58.

opposition. Those shocks, going back to Walkington etc, it tended to be

:31:59.:32:06.

winning seats against an unpopular government. We did extraordinarily

:32:07.:32:11.

well in Wythenshawe. Labour compressed the campaign down to the

:32:12.:32:15.

shortest possible time and maxed out the postal vote. Whatever we think

:32:16.:32:18.

about Labour, they do have an efficient machine, lots of union

:32:19.:32:22.

activists signed a lot of people with a lot of know-how. It pushed

:32:23.:32:28.

you into third place and showed the increasing irrelevance of the Tories

:32:29.:32:33.

in the North? Tory minded voters in the North Sea more inclined to vote

:32:34.:32:38.

for UKIP than you? I think by-elections are by-elections. The

:32:39.:32:43.

same day, we took a seat from Labour in Birmingham. Well, that was a

:32:44.:32:47.

by-election as well, so we should discount that as well. You should

:32:48.:32:51.

learn from them, and we need to look forward to the elections in 2014.

:32:52.:32:56.

That is in May this year, when we have a chance to really grab this

:32:57.:33:02.

change in Europe, grab this change that we were talking about just now.

:33:03.:33:07.

You don't worry, particularly in the north, if people want to vote

:33:08.:33:10.

against Labour your supporters are drifting to UKIP? I think people

:33:11.:33:16.

vote UKIP in a European election and they have done that for many years.

:33:17.:33:19.

They vote that because they want change. The problem is, Patrick's

:33:20.:33:24.

party have had MEPs since 1999 and they cannot deliver that change.

:33:25.:33:28.

They can't because they don't have seats in Westminster. It was on that

:33:29.:33:34.

video, the only way we are going to get the change we want in Europe is

:33:35.:33:38.

to have that referendum and have the renegotiation, and that means vote

:33:39.:33:45.

Tory. What do you say to that? Let's get real, the Conservative Party has

:33:46.:33:50.

not won a Parliamentary majority in 22 years. But the only way you will

:33:51.:33:56.

get a referendum, if that is what motivates you, and with UKIP it is,

:33:57.:34:00.

the only way it will be a referendum on Europe in this country as if

:34:01.:34:03.

there is a majority Conservative government at the next election. And

:34:04.:34:07.

you could well stop that from happening? I don't accept that. I

:34:08.:34:12.

believe, just as we forced David Cameron and into a referendum pledge

:34:13.:34:15.

he explicitly ruled out making before through our success, and I

:34:16.:34:19.

was there in PMQs, when his MPs asked him and he said it would not

:34:20.:34:23.

be in the national interest because he didn't want to leave, our

:34:24.:34:26.

electoral success forced that pledge. I believe by winning the

:34:27.:34:30.

European action this May we can force Ed Miliband, again, against

:34:31.:34:34.

his will, to match that pledge. Then, whatever formulation varies in

:34:35.:34:38.

the next Parliament, we will get a referendum. Labour MPs have just had

:34:39.:34:44.

the chance to say we want a referendum. They refused to do it.

:34:45.:34:49.

The only way you are going to get a renegotiation, a change in our

:34:50.:34:53.

relationship with Europe and an in or out referendum is to have a

:34:54.:34:57.

Conservative Government. Please, UKIP, stop pretending that you can

:34:58.:35:00.

deliver, because you don't deliver and you don't... We have delivered,

:35:01.:35:07.

we forced David Cameron to give a pledge for a referendum he didn't

:35:08.:35:13.

want to make. We will know if you are right about Ed Miliband or not,

:35:14.:35:16.

you will have to tell us going into the campaign. If you are wrong, what

:35:17.:35:22.

do you do then? There are still loads of reasons for people to vote

:35:23.:35:25.

UKIP. A referendum is one thing. David Cameron, and I asked him

:35:26.:35:31.

directly, thermally wants to stay in. He wants to be the Edward Heath

:35:32.:35:37.

of the 21st century. The Tories are going to say, vote UKIP, get Ed

:35:38.:35:41.

Miliband. What would you say to that? I would say we have probably

:35:42.:35:46.

maxed out the Tory vote we are going to get because David Cameron has

:35:47.:35:50.

been incredibly helpful in sending them in our direction. Our potential

:35:51.:35:54.

for growth now, would we are concentrating on, his those

:35:55.:35:59.

disenchanted former Labour voters and more and more of them are coming

:36:00.:36:03.

towards us on things like immigration and law and order. We

:36:04.:36:08.

want to renegotiate our relationship with Europe. We need to have people

:36:09.:36:12.

who are going to turn up to negotiate with people like Barroso.

:36:13.:36:16.

That meant a Prime Minister that is not Ed Miliband but David Cameron.

:36:17.:36:24.

UKIP MEPs do not turn up to defenders. If President Hollande is

:36:25.:36:31.

as good as his word and says there will be no substantial

:36:32.:36:33.

renegotiation, certainly no treaty change this side of 2017 when he is

:36:34.:36:38.

up for the election, what do you do then? He is a French Socialist Prime

:36:39.:36:44.

Minister, I don't expect him to agree. But you can't bring anything

:36:45.:36:49.

of substance back with these negotiations. Then people will vote

:36:50.:36:57.

to leave. The Prime Minister has been very clear that British public

:36:58.:37:03.

opinion is on a knife edge and unless we get what we want from a

:37:04.:37:05.

renegotiation, we will leave. You unless we get what we want from a

:37:06.:37:10.

would vote to leave? Let's see what we get with the deal on the table in

:37:11.:37:15.

2017. If the status quo was what we have today, I would vote to leave.

:37:16.:37:20.

But I want to renegotiate. We will have to move on. For those viewers

:37:21.:37:25.

lucky enough to live in the East of England, they will be seeing more of

:37:26.:37:28.

Patrick in a moment. You are watching Sunday Politics. Coming up

:37:29.:37:33.

in just over 20 minutes, I will be talking about, what else, the

:37:34.:37:35.

weather, with Hello, you're watching the Sunday

:37:36.:37:47.

Politics for Yorkshire and Lincolnshire. Coming up today: The

:37:48.:37:54.

great art sell`off. Why some of our town halls are considering flogging

:37:55.:37:57.

the family silver in order to balance the books.

:37:58.:38:03.

Plus we'll find out why a senior Labour figure says the party needs

:38:04.:38:06.

to do more to deal with the threat from UKIP in South Yorkshire.

:38:07.:38:11.

And we'll look at claims of a North`South divide when it comes to

:38:12.:38:20.

help being offered to flood victims. Our guests today are MP for Barnsley

:38:21.:38:22.

Central Dan Jarvis, MP First, we're asking whether it's

:38:23.:38:36.

time town halls should sell off their family silver. Many of our

:38:37.:38:39.

local councils hold millions of pounds' worth of fine art work from

:38:40.:38:43.

some of the world's most famous artists. But with authorities facing

:38:44.:38:47.

a financial squeeze, there's pressure from some to cash`in on

:38:48.:38:53.

council art collections. Here's Louise Martin.

:38:54.:39:08.

Of, is a creative inspiration on a billion`dollar economy. In these

:39:09.:39:13.

times of posterity should the Council considers selling the family

:39:14.:39:19.

silver worth more than ?250 million? Art is a big`money business but how

:39:20.:39:24.

much is the artwork worth? Leeds City Council collection has been

:39:25.:39:31.

valued at ?150 million but they don't break the ice down directly to

:39:32.:39:33.

fine art. The suggestion last year from

:39:34.:39:55.

Bradford opposition councillors that the polity should sell off some of

:39:56.:40:00.

the David Hockney pieces came with serious criticisms, including from

:40:01.:40:07.

the artist himself. But would it make financial sense?

:40:08.:40:12.

They might not get the price today that they will get in five years

:40:13.:40:18.

time but they might get more. Art is therefore asked to enjoy and our

:40:19.:40:21.

kids to enjoy and grandkids to enjoy. Once you put money into art

:40:22.:40:27.

at all changes. Among the works in West Yorkshire

:40:28.:40:31.

collections are Francis bacon pieces. The leader of Kirklees

:40:32.:40:45.

Council says art could follow buildings and land in being sold

:40:46.:40:49.

off. Each year we send off several

:40:50.:40:52.

million pounds worth of buildings and land to funds things. We will

:40:53.:41:00.

take advice this summer and that will help us make decisions on what

:41:01.:41:08.

we could hold onto and the decisions of what to sell will be taken in a

:41:09.:41:14.

transparent manner with contributions from everyone.

:41:15.:41:18.

David Green, leader of Bradford Council, hit back at colleagues that

:41:19.:41:29.

suggest pieces are sold off. The artwork has been left in trust

:41:30.:41:36.

to the people of Bradford and as the guardians of that artwork for future

:41:37.:41:42.

generations, we have a duty to protect it and make sure it is

:41:43.:41:48.

widely available. Do we sell`off the family silver to

:41:49.:41:54.

cover costs? For Kirklees, it is looking increasingly likely.

:41:55.:42:00.

Dan Jarvis, is this a simple way for councils to solve the black holes in

:42:01.:42:05.

the financial budgets? It is not a simple solution. We live

:42:06.:42:11.

in the cult financial Times and it is tough to be an local government.

:42:12.:42:18.

In my part of the world, we have invested money in a museum and I

:42:19.:42:26.

think that cultural offer is very important. I think we need to be

:42:27.:42:32.

cautious about getting rid of a cultural legacy and an inheritance

:42:33.:42:36.

for the next generation. It contributes to towns and cities

:42:37.:42:41.

being places we want to 11 and places we want people to visit.

:42:42.:42:46.

Your colleagues say they want to sell off the art collections.

:42:47.:42:57.

Not every single one. The leader of the group has talked about other

:42:58.:43:02.

arrangements. As the Council the best to look after these? The story

:43:03.:43:12.

and Bradford is that the insurance was ?20 million. Desperate times

:43:13.:43:19.

call for desperate measures and you cannot have any area of the

:43:20.:43:24.

Council's budgets or assets which are areas we cannot go. We are

:43:25.:43:31.

cutting youth services so you must look at every single part of the

:43:32.:43:38.

Council's acid this. `` asset base.

:43:39.:43:55.

Selling one or two good bring an important contribution.

:43:56.:44:01.

Should they sell off fine art? I think it would be sad to sell off

:44:02.:44:07.

our national heritage. What I do think is that you could look to make

:44:08.:44:12.

cuts in different ways cause you have still got the chief Executive

:44:13.:44:18.

is an lots of money and you could look there first. Instead of getting

:44:19.:44:26.

rid of our heritage, let's get rid of cuts were we really needed.

:44:27.:44:32.

Somebody on ?250,000 a year doesn't need that money and we could look at

:44:33.:44:38.

cutting their salaries. But make sure that the cuts are in the right

:44:39.:44:46.

place, get rid of the fat cat salaries, not lollipop lady 's the

:44:47.:44:58.

problem is that the funding settlements from national government

:44:59.:45:03.

are unfair. David Cameron's on local authority

:45:04.:45:06.

has a better funding solution than many in Yorkshire. These are

:45:07.:45:12.

difficult times. I agree they are drastic times but I would say that's

:45:13.:45:18.

we need to look carefully at what the spending solutions are for the

:45:19.:45:24.

long`term I think this is a short`term measure.

:45:25.:45:30.

It is a short`term measure to what is a short`term crisis. The

:45:31.:45:34.

recession has gone on for longer than people imagine is but it will

:45:35.:45:41.

end and if there are things that we can do then we should look at it.

:45:42.:45:45.

A senior Labour figure says his party needs to do much more to deal

:45:46.:45:49.

with the threat from UKIP in many working class Yorkshire heartlands.

:45:50.:45:53.

In a week when UKIP recorded another second place finish in a northern

:45:54.:45:56.

by`election, former minister John Healey claims Labour should

:45:57.:45:58.

"wake`up" to the threat from Nigel Farage's party. Liz Roberts has the

:45:59.:46:10.

story. With a majority of almost 14,000,

:46:11.:46:15.

you think this Labour MP would be sitting comfortably but these

:46:16.:46:19.

streets are now a battle ground with the enemy closing in.

:46:20.:46:22.

There has been some comfort for people nationally in Labour that

:46:23.:46:33.

UKIP are taking four or five Conservative votes for everyone

:46:34.:46:39.

Labour vote. I don't think that's true in working`class areas like

:46:40.:46:42.

this. The Labour minister has apologised.

:46:43.:46:47.

One thing we didn't get right was immigration.

:46:48.:46:51.

But has it come too late? It needs to wake up and recognise

:46:52.:47:00.

the problems and expose the truth about you cat.

:47:01.:47:05.

The UKIP army has been gaining ground and devotes, including from

:47:06.:47:10.

Labour voters. It all is was a Labour voter but in

:47:11.:47:19.

2007 I changed to UKIP. I believe that the Labour Party, no new

:47:20.:47:24.

Labour, has abandoned working people.

:47:25.:47:30.

It is no surprise that Labour should be worried. UKIP has come a serious

:47:31.:47:38.

second in two by`elections in the area and has ambitions to conquer

:47:39.:47:44.

new territory. We are beginning to become the party

:47:45.:47:48.

of opposition in the North of England.

:47:49.:47:55.

We are getting the message across on the doorstep. They have had enough

:47:56.:48:00.

of Labour and see us as an alternative party for the working

:48:01.:48:04.

man and they will be voting for us in May. We have support from

:48:05.:48:16.

lifelong Labour voters. That is the claim but UKIP are

:48:17.:48:32.

starting from lobe are. `` low bar. It has always been in my family so I

:48:33.:48:38.

will stick with Labour. I'm done with voting. Not at all.

:48:39.:48:44.

They are all the same. The battle lines have now been drawn

:48:45.:48:48.

and with European and local elections coming up, Labour will

:48:49.:48:55.

soon know if you are a serious threat come the general election.

:48:56.:49:03.

As he writes that Labour should wake up to the threat?

:49:04.:49:11.

We shouldn't be complacent about it. People are hugely cynical about

:49:12.:49:17.

politicians and UKIP have been successful in branding themselves as

:49:18.:49:26.

a receptacle for protest votes. Next year in the general election, there

:49:27.:49:31.

will be an increasing focus on the policies and the people they choose

:49:32.:49:37.

to represent them. But we need to get out and about and talk to people

:49:38.:49:43.

about the issues that affect them. We talk about the rise of the Cape,

:49:44.:49:48.

it became second end the by`election this week, but you were 9000 votes

:49:49.:49:55.

behind Labour. When will you start winning seats?

:49:56.:50:01.

The demographics they were a little bit difference compared to a lot of

:50:02.:50:08.

Labour heartlands. We found public sector workers living under a Labour

:50:09.:50:13.

council and they were quite happy and comfortable. They have held the

:50:14.:50:20.

vote well but we are still very pleased with our result because we

:50:21.:50:25.

have gone from theft to second place `` fifth. Voters are saying to us

:50:26.:50:39.

they want to be involved and they will vote for us.

:50:40.:50:43.

You don't need me to remind you that the Lib Dems lost their deposits in

:50:44.:50:50.

the by`election. I've worried about recovering in time for the general

:50:51.:50:53.

election? I don't think UKIP will be a threat

:50:54.:50:58.

to us because they are generally a right`wing party. There has always

:50:59.:51:08.

been a strong right wing vote within the working class and that will be

:51:09.:51:18.

all 22 UKIP. `` vulnerable to UKIP. I can hardly begrudge another party

:51:19.:51:30.

seeking the protest vote. I think Labour have a particular problem

:51:31.:51:35.

with the traditional right`wing vote that has been all the way back to

:51:36.:51:43.

Mosley. It has always been there and will always be vulnerable to the

:51:44.:51:49.

UKIP vote. Is there at the suggestion that your

:51:50.:51:52.

party has neglected the needs of working`class voters?

:51:53.:51:58.

Particularly on immigration. I'm clear that we made mistakes on

:51:59.:52:02.

immigration and we want to that again. It is not the single most

:52:03.:52:09.

important issue for people on the street. People are experiencing a

:52:10.:52:16.

cost of living crisis. We need to demonstrate to them that we have the

:52:17.:52:20.

policies that will steer them through these difficult times.

:52:21.:52:25.

Europe is one policy but it doesn't keep people awake at night. People

:52:26.:52:32.

are kept awake wondering how they will pay the bills and our challenge

:52:33.:52:35.

is to demonstrate how we would help them pay those bells.

:52:36.:52:42.

Europe is a massive drop in because it does affect our everyday lives.

:52:43.:52:46.

You touched on immigration. If we don't have control of our own

:52:47.:52:54.

borders... That's not true, they don't

:52:55.:53:01.

originate there. The policy doesn't originate in Europe.

:53:02.:53:06.

I have not sat in Westminster so I don't want to say it does and you

:53:07.:53:11.

say it doesn't. As far as I'm concerned, many laws originate from

:53:12.:53:15.

Europe. Give me three. Give me one.

:53:16.:53:23.

We are looking at immigration because that is one area where EU

:53:24.:53:28.

dictates on. We cannot control our own borders so therefore we have a

:53:29.:53:36.

situation where we have open mass immigration and we have free

:53:37.:53:41.

movement of migrants from the EU over to this country.

:53:42.:53:50.

And the other way. Some immigration is good and some

:53:51.:53:57.

migration is good. But unlimited at uncontrolled is not good for the

:53:58.:54:03.

country. We have many major problems occurring and I could list them.

:54:04.:54:10.

Is that worrying for you as a pro`EU party?

:54:11.:54:15.

There is one party that is unashamedly pro`European. A reformed

:54:16.:54:24.

Europe is what people want and we clearly stand for that.

:54:25.:54:27.

Plenty more on this to come. Let's get some more of the week's

:54:28.:54:31.

political news now. Len Tingle has our round`up in 60 seconds.

:54:32.:54:39.

The government sprang into action this week to announce an immediate

:54:40.:54:45.

?5,000 grant to help every bloodied home in the country but the timing

:54:46.:54:48.

anger those who lived near the Humber. This MP told the Commons

:54:49.:54:54.

that properties had been hit well before Christmas.

:54:55.:54:57.

Can the minister explained why it has taken two months for that

:54:58.:55:01.

announcement to be made and only after the playing fields of Eton

:55:02.:55:05.

bloodied? Anger bubbled to the surface in

:55:06.:55:10.

BBC's Question Time. It is not within a few miles of

:55:11.:55:15.

London, they don't care. The threat of the floods and the

:55:16.:55:18.

incessant nature of the bad weather has just made this a more important

:55:19.:55:23.

and bigger emergency as the weeks have passed.

:55:24.:55:27.

He says 16 is too young to vote? These young people certainly don't

:55:28.:55:31.

and they lobbied Parliament this week.

:55:32.:55:37.

We want them to realise they can influence the country and that

:55:38.:55:40.

politics influences everything in their lives.

:55:41.:55:45.

Was it right for Diana Johnson to start playing politics with flooding

:55:46.:55:52.

by making that claim about the government acting because the

:55:53.:55:57.

playing fields of Eton were flooded? I think she was making a genuine

:55:58.:56:07.

point that we `` will be felt across the region. If we only had flooding

:56:08.:56:14.

in Yorkshire, the Prime Minister wouldn't have said money was no

:56:15.:56:18.

object. Has there been a North`South divide

:56:19.:56:24.

in response to flooding? It's interesting that people say

:56:25.:56:29.

this is political but there aren't many Labour MPs in the south`west of

:56:30.:56:34.

the country and there are acres under water. You would have thought

:56:35.:56:44.

there would have been flooding protection but clearly that is not

:56:45.:56:46.

the case. Nigel Farage popped up in Somerset.

:56:47.:56:53.

Has it been helpful all these party leaders grandstanding in these

:56:54.:57:00.

floods hit towns? That is bound to happen, they are

:57:01.:57:06.

bound to go and see it from them selves. I am interested in how we're

:57:07.:57:14.

going to pay to put things right. They were Cameron said there is

:57:15.:57:22.

unlimited funds `` David Cameron. If there is unlimited funds, why are we

:57:23.:57:28.

asked in the EU? Why shouldn't we asked the EU?

:57:29.:57:34.

Would you take the money from the EU?

:57:35.:57:42.

What I am saying is, what was so wrong with Nigel's comment about

:57:43.:57:51.

having 1% of the foreign aid budget? What is wrong with starting at home

:57:52.:57:56.

with aids, just 1%, to help these people in our country.

:57:57.:58:02.

But you would take the EU money. I am not saying that we would or

:58:03.:58:09.

would not. I am saying we would take 1% of the foreign budget.

:58:10.:58:13.

So you are not prepared to take EU money?

:58:14.:58:18.

I am not prepared to say that is the case.

:58:19.:58:26.

Why wouldn't you take it? I didn't say I wouldn't take it.

:58:27.:58:30.

You have got to make a decision. Would you take it?

:58:31.:58:36.

I am not prepared to say whether I would take that money. It is

:58:37.:58:41.

probably our own money. So would you take it, yes or no?

:58:42.:58:47.

I am not saying that we would take that money.

:58:48.:58:52.

You have to take judgements in politics.

:58:53.:58:58.

There is a debate is raging that we shouldn't be spending millions

:58:59.:59:03.

abroad at a time of national crisis. Your thoughts.

:59:04.:59:09.

That is another argument. I think it is the right thing to do to stop

:59:10.:59:15.

kids dying from hunger around the world. It is right that we continue

:59:16.:59:20.

to be a responsible nation and make a contribution. It is simplistic to

:59:21.:59:24.

say we want to send that any abroad. This has been a wake`up call for

:59:25.:59:30.

people. We need to make good on financial judgements on how to spend

:59:31.:59:34.

money to prevent these floods from happening again in the future. There

:59:35.:59:42.

have been cuts to the lad budget `` flood budget.

:59:43.:59:48.

Should the voting age be reduced to 16?

:59:49.:59:53.

Absolutely. It has been our party policy for years and we need to

:59:54.:00:00.

other parties to join us. Hopefully we will be working with David

:00:01.:00:04.

McIntire and others in the area to campaign for this. Of course they

:00:05.:00:08.

should be able to vote. Would you like to see that?

:00:09.:00:15.

Personally, I would say yes because we have a high population of

:00:16.:00:19.

intelligent 15 and 16`year`olds who are more politically aware.

:00:20.:00:25.

Are they mature enough? Most of them are added at a time

:00:26.:00:31.

when we need is to connect with young people we need to connect with

:00:32.:00:40.

them so I would say yes. That's it from us thank

:00:41.:00:41.

direction? No, in real terms now the rent is falling in London. Andrew,

:00:42.:00:49.

back to you. Welcome back. Let's start by talking

:00:50.:00:52.

about the weather. What could be more British? It has been

:00:53.:00:56.

practically the only topic of conversation for the past few

:00:57.:00:59.

weeks. This morning, Ed Miliband has made the direct link, declaims,

:01:00.:01:03.

between this exceptionally wet and windy weather and climate change.

:01:04.:01:10.

That's an interesting development, taking place. Ed Miliband is the

:01:11.:01:15.

author of the 2008 Climate Change Act, so he has to stick to that line

:01:16.:01:24.

or his life 's work goes up in smoke. When he passed it, there was

:01:25.:01:29.

Westminster consensus. Now the Tories are beginning to appeal off.

:01:30.:01:33.

UKIP has definitely peeled off. Labour and Lib Dems are sticking to

:01:34.:01:39.

their guns, there is now a debate? It has moved from consensus to very

:01:40.:01:43.

fragile consensus. It's an interesting tactic for Ed Miliband

:01:44.:01:46.

to take. He could either approach the floods talking about government

:01:47.:01:50.

failures and handling, instead he has gone for the intellectual

:01:51.:01:53.

argument, try and turn this into a debate about ideology and climate

:01:54.:01:57.

change. I think he will find that quite difficult. Partly, I don't

:01:58.:02:02.

think the public I get listening to an argument like that. Partly

:02:03.:02:06.

because only one in three of the public totally agree with him. The

:02:07.:02:10.

polls for The Times think that about one in three think that man-made I'm

:02:11.:02:14.

a change is responsible for these floods, the rest do not. I'm not

:02:15.:02:19.

sure that the interventions will be particularly well picked up. It puts

:02:20.:02:23.

David Cameron in a difficult position. He was hugging those

:02:24.:02:27.

huskies, it was going to be the greenest Government ever, and now he

:02:28.:02:33.

has an Environment secretary that doesn't really believe in climate

:02:34.:02:37.

change. Well, we don't know where he stands. That is not where he was in

:02:38.:02:42.

2010. It has always been sold to us that he is statesman-like and

:02:43.:02:46.

pragmatic, but that drifts into he doesn't really believe anything

:02:47.:02:49.

This is a worldwide phenomenon now. You've got the Canadian government,

:02:50.:02:54.

they are pretty sceptical these days. The new Australian government

:02:55.:02:58.

is pretty sceptical. The Obama administration has been attacked by

:02:59.:03:01.

the green movement across the United States, he is probably about to

:03:02.:03:06.

approve the keystone pipeline that will take over the Texas refineries.

:03:07.:03:17.

What was a huge consensus across the globe is a guinea to break down

:03:18.:03:21.

Probably started to break down about the time of the financial crisis,

:03:22.:03:25.

the age of austerity, when suddenly people had more to worry about than

:03:26.:03:29.

green issues. Even at home it is a slightly risky tactic for Ed

:03:30.:03:32.

Miliband. The idea there is a scientific consensus on this, there

:03:33.:03:35.

isn't. You look at Professor Collins this morning, climate systems

:03:36.:03:42.

expert, saying, actually, the jet stream is not operating further

:03:43.:03:44.

south because of climate change Or if it is, it is beyond our

:03:45.:03:49.

knowledge. He flies in the face of what Ed Miliband as saying. He's

:03:50.:03:55.

saying the wet weather is caused by global warming, the head of science

:03:56.:03:59.

at Exeter University says the IPCC originally looked at whether climate

:04:00.:04:02.

change could affect what happens to the jet stream and, because it had

:04:03.:04:07.

no evidence it had any effect, it decided not to include it at all in

:04:08.:04:13.

the IPCC report. The problem we have got is that any individual

:04:14.:04:16.

phenomenon is difficult to attribute to climate change. But the Labour

:04:17.:04:21.

Leader just have? And The Met Office have done the same thing. It's a

:04:22.:04:24.

fragile in, but overall we can say we are getting more extreme weather

:04:25.:04:29.

than ever. The most extreme weather, hurricanes and tropical storm is,

:04:30.:04:31.

they have been in decline. Equally, we have had ten of the hottest

:04:32.:04:38.

summers in the last ten years since 1998. Overall, there is a case that

:04:39.:04:44.

can be made that we are getting more. Each individual thing is

:04:45.:04:49.

difficult to say. Until recently, almost everyone agreed with that

:04:50.:04:52.

case. Now the parties are reflecting differences. I wanted to move on,

:04:53.:04:57.

what did you make of two interesting things that happened with the

:04:58.:05:03.

interview with UKIP and the Tories, one Cory saying I am voting to come

:05:04.:05:09.

out, and the UKIP chap saying we are maxed out on Tory defectors, we

:05:10.:05:14.

can't get any more? I think that was a dangerous admission from Patrick

:05:15.:05:16.

O'Flynn from UKIP, essentially saying that their vote has peaked.

:05:17.:05:22.

Looking at the by-elections, I'm not sure that was a particularly wise

:05:23.:05:26.

reflection on that. They got 18 , 23% last year. The case he is making

:05:27.:05:32.

is that there are more votes to be gained by attracting former Labour

:05:33.:05:35.

voters than former Tories. I'm not sure that red UKIP, the bit of UKIP

:05:36.:05:40.

that tries to make benefit protection and some other kind of

:05:41.:05:43.

social issues at the heart really sits comfortably with their

:05:44.:05:47.

insurgent, anti-state message. I don't think it will do particularly

:05:48.:05:53.

well. This is why they are pushing the message, it is their response to

:05:54.:05:56.

the idea and suggestion of a Tory rallying cry that they vote for

:05:57.:06:01.

Nigel Farage, and it is really a vote for Ed Miliband. Patrick is a

:06:02.:06:07.

very good journalist, a very good commentator. He answered almost as a

:06:08.:06:10.

commentator rather than head of communications for a political

:06:11.:06:16.

party. The Government are still trying to rid itself of troublesome

:06:17.:06:22.

priests, an attack on welfare reforms from the Catholic Archbishop

:06:23.:06:25.

of Westminster. Let's have a look and see what he said. The basic

:06:26.:06:32.

safety net that was there to guarantee that people would not be

:06:33.:06:37.

left in hunger or in destitution has actually been torn apart. It no

:06:38.:06:42.

longer exists. And it is a real real, dramatic crisis. The second is

:06:43.:06:51.

that, in this context, the administration of social assistance,

:06:52.:06:54.

I am told, has become more and more punitive. If applicants do not get

:06:55.:06:58.

it right, they have to wait and they have to wait for ten days, two

:06:59.:07:04.

weeks, with nothing. Has the basic safety net disappeared? I don't see

:07:05.:07:09.

how it is possible to argue that. It is certainly the case that there

:07:10.:07:12.

have been reductions in various benefits, some benefits have been

:07:13.:07:16.

scrapped and there is a welfare reform programme. But this country

:07:17.:07:19.

is still spending ?94 billion a year on working age benefits. Excluding

:07:20.:07:28.

pensions? The idea that this equates to some sort of wiping out of the

:07:29.:07:34.

safety net is... He has gone on a full frontal assault on the Tory

:07:35.:07:38.

reforms, not the kind of attack that Labour would be prepared to make?

:07:39.:07:43.

No, they know that it doesn't play very well in the country. He's not

:07:44.:07:50.

up for election. Whether or not you agree about the safety net, I think

:07:51.:07:53.

the welfare reforms have been poorly managed and I don't think that is a

:07:54.:07:58.

full dispute. Universal credit, it is in some very long grass. It had

:07:59.:08:02.

some stupid ideas, like the idea that it would be paid monthly,

:08:03.:08:05.

instead of weekly, meaning that people are more likely to run out of

:08:06.:08:09.

money by the end of the month. It's interesting, in the past, when

:08:10.:08:12.

members of the cloth have attacked the government for welfare reforms,

:08:13.:08:16.

the Government have responded by trying to paint them as lefties

:08:17.:08:21.

ideological driven. I think that is hard in this case, an assault made

:08:22.:08:27.

deliberately in the Telegraph from somebody who feels they come from a

:08:28.:08:29.

centre-right position. I think there will be a bit of awkwardness about

:08:30.:08:33.

this intervention. It is not the kind of thing they wanted to see. Is

:08:34.:08:37.

it politically damaging for the Government? It is if it makes them

:08:38.:08:42.

look mean-spirited. But that is the problem with welfare reforms. You

:08:43.:08:46.

can say all sorts of things about Iain Duncan Smith's competence. But

:08:47.:08:51.

the whole thing springs from a moral mission, as he sees it, to liberate

:08:52.:08:56.

the poor and extend opportunity One of the worst moments for the Tories

:08:57.:08:59.

was blaming the low level of voting in Wythenshawe and sale in the fact

:09:00.:09:03.

that the constituency had, in the words of one senior Tory, the

:09:04.:09:07.

largest council estate in Europe inside its constituency boundary.

:09:08.:09:12.

The point being what? Because you live in a council estate you don't

:09:13.:09:17.

vote? That they don't see people living in council estate as one of

:09:18.:09:21.

them, not an impulse that Margaret Thatcher would have had. I think

:09:22.:09:24.

it's dangerous if they are painting is people as opponents rather than

:09:25.:09:29.

trying to win them over. When they do vote, they determine elections!

:09:30.:09:32.

The idea that there is no such thing as a working-class Tory is toxic. I

:09:33.:09:40.

want to show you a picture. There we go. It is behind me, on the 5th of

:09:41.:09:46.

February, it is all men. And then, on the next, look at that, the 2th,

:09:47.:09:54.

there are a few women. Not exactly many, but some. It is an

:09:55.:09:58.

improvement. But it is so transparent, isn't it? We phoned up

:09:59.:10:02.

one of the women that sat behind David Cameron to ask, why the sudden

:10:03.:10:07.

change? They said, I don't know why you are bothering to ask, it is

:10:08.:10:11.

completely natural, we didn't do anything to stage manage it. Did his

:10:12.:10:16.

nose gets longer? It is something that is very transparent and

:10:17.:10:19.

depressing about the way politicians choose to react to these moments.

:10:20.:10:24.

Every week they put two women behind David Cameron, so that a tight shot

:10:25.:10:32.

shows them. It is called the doughnut. They don't have many women

:10:33.:10:36.

to shuffle around, there are only four among 14 in the Shadow Cabinet.

:10:37.:10:41.

Also, the fact that women, younger women in particular, are much less

:10:42.:10:44.

likely to vote Tory than five or ten years ago. David Cameron, it drives

:10:45.:10:51.

and furious, he is obviously aware this is one of the biggest potential

:10:52.:10:57.

demographic problem is that they have. It also reminds us of how the

:10:58.:11:01.

public can actually see the wiring behind a lot of the stuff. Do they

:11:02.:11:04.

really think your blog so stupid that they will not notice that the

:11:05.:11:09.

following week the front bench is packed with women? I think it just

:11:10.:11:13.

increases contempt for the entire rocket. It is an issue where Labour

:11:14.:11:18.

seem to have pulled ahead of the other parties. We are being told

:11:19.:11:23.

that 50% of candidates in their 100 target seats will be female. It

:11:24.:11:29.

looks like the composition of Labour continues to go towards a kind of

:11:30.:11:34.

rough 50-50 split, eventually. Although that is true, I think the

:11:35.:11:39.

faces we see on the telly, Ed Miliband, Ed Balls, Chris Leslie,

:11:40.:11:43.

they are almost always men. There is a Rachel Reeves, a prominent female

:11:44.:11:47.

face that goes up a lot. But really, the number of e-mails they put up is

:11:48.:11:53.

proportionally a lot smaller. Is the Miliband team still a men's club?

:11:54.:12:00.

Behind the scenes, it is very blokey. It's been described as a

:12:01.:12:03.

kind of seminar room at a university. I think that is true.

:12:04.:12:09.

The Observer did the cutout and keep of the people behind Mr Miliband. As

:12:10.:12:14.

opposed to the Shadow Cabinet, with lots of women in it, it was very

:12:15.:12:19.

male. The one reason Labour have all of these women to put up in

:12:20.:12:22.

constituencies is all women short lists is. If Tories want to change

:12:23.:12:27.

things, I know they can be prone to minute -- and in relation, but they

:12:28.:12:39.

work. In ten years time, I think it will give Labour an immense

:12:40.:12:46.

advantage. By then, I think they will have a woman leader. Who will

:12:47.:12:52.

that be? Potentially somebody not even yet in the Commons. You can see

:12:53.:12:55.

how quickly people can rise to the top, but the Labour Party is going

:12:56.:13:04.

to be increasingly donated by women. Do you think there will be a Labour

:13:05.:13:08.

Leader before Theresa May becomes leader of the Conservatives? I think

:13:09.:13:13.

it is ultimately about Osborne trying to stop Boris. I think I

:13:14.:13:17.

would be astonished if she managed it. The first female Labour Leader?

:13:18.:13:25.

I would pick Rachel Reeves the way it is currently going, she knows her

:13:26.:13:29.

stuff and does well on TV. That is all for this week. We have a week

:13:30.:13:37.

off now. I'll be back in the week after next. Remember, if it is

:13:38.:13:41.

Sunday, it's the Sunday Politics, unless it's a Parliamentary recess.

:13:42.:15:18.

For many of us, making a new start on the other side of the world

:15:19.:15:22.

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