28/09/2014 The Andrew Marr Show


28/09/2014

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Good morning from Birmingham, the heart of England,

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where the Conservative Party is holding its annual conference.

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It is a party with one fewer member now of

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course, following the defection of a second MP, Mark Reckless, to UKIP.

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And we have the entirely traditional spectacle of a minor sex scandal

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and the departure of the minister for civil society, Brooks Newmark.

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Deeply irritating for David Cameron, but of course,

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he's got rather bigger things on his mind this morning, as RAF

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Will this war go any better than the last one?

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And joining me today for our review of the Sunday newspapers, crammed

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with politics, two sober heads to help chart us through it all -

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the director of the human rights group Liberty, Shami Chakrabarti.

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And the Mail on Sunday's contributing editor, Ian Birrell.

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No-one ever said it was easy being Prime Minister.

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David Cameron leads a Conservative Party visibly fraying

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at the edges over Europe, still burdened with huge and

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His government, after this week's emergency recall of Parliament,

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has joined the coalition against one of the most barbarous but slippery

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And if all that wasn't enough, he has failed to amuse the monarch,

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after revealing that she purred with pleasure over the Scottish

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You need resilience and sticking power to succeed as PM,

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But I've also been joined by Nigel Farage, the UKIP leader, gloating

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after the defection of a second Conservative MP - and that means

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He tells us about taxes on luxury shoes and cars,

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and how he is parking his tanks on Labour's lawn as well.

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And we've got some music to match, from a man who grew up wanting to

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be Elvis Presley but who sounds more like one of the tougher bits

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from the Bible - the very great Nick Cave, on something we are all

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Quite an hour ahead, but first, the news, with Sian Lloyd.

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The Ministry of Defence has confirmed that

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RAF Tornados continue to fly over Iraq, gathering intelligence

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Yesterday, two jets carried out armed reconnaissance operations but

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The Pentagon says US jets have made strikes on the Syrian city of Raqqa,

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as well as IS positions near the Turkish border,

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Two RAF Tornado bombers returning to their base at RAF Akrotiri in Cyprus

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yesterday after a seven-hour mission over Iraq.

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Their weapons were still on board, they had not fired in anger.

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No targets of opportunity had been found.

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But the MoD said their very presence in the skies

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over Iraq would have had a deterrent effect on Islamic State, forcing the

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The Tornados were followed soon after by a Voyager

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The RAF has had six fighter-bombers based in Cyprus since mid-August,

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but until yesterday, they were restricted to

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Two more planes took off last night, but the MoD said it would not give a

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running commentary on every mission, simply saying that the aircraft

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would be used in attack roles when appropriate targets were identified.

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David Cameron has said there will not be British boots on the ground

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in Iraq, but the effectiveness of air power alone has been questioned.

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Lord Richards, a former Chief of the Defence Staff, said the only way

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to defeat Islamic State was to take back the land they were occupying,

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and that meant using Western armies, not just local forces.

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This is video of an American air strike on an Islamic State compound

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near the besieged Kurdish town of Kobani in northern Syria.

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The use of Britain?s airpower is much more modest and confined at the

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moment to Iraq, but there are likely to be many more missions like this.

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David Cameron has said Britain is committed for the long-term.

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Police say they are continuing to examine footage from hundreds

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of CCTV cameras as part of efforts to find

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A search of scrubland near the Grand Union Canal in west London,

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where the 14-year-old was last seen five weeks ago, will also resume.

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Yellow ribbons have been attached to railings and homes

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across west London in a show of support for the search.

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Today, runners competing in a half marathon

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The Bishop of Arundel and Brighton has resigned,

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saying he has brought "shame" on his diocese and the Catholic church.

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The Right Reverend Kieran Conry said he had been "unfaithful"

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to his promises as a priest, but he said his actions were not illegal

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He has stood down from his post with immediate effect

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and says he will now take time to consider his future.

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A Christian woman who was spared a death sentence in Sudan

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after refusing to convert to Islam has said she plans to one day return

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Mariam Ibrahim gave birth to a daughter while in prison.

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She is currently in the United States seeking asylum.

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Last night, she received an award for her courage at a conservative

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George Clooney, the actor famous for his bachelor

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lifestyle, has finally tied the knot with his British fiancee.

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The Hollywood star's agent has confirmed that he has married

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the human rights lawyer Amal Alamuddin in a ceremony

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Celebrity guests at the wedding included the model Cindy

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I'll be back with the headlines just before ten o'clock.

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I think it is fair to say that if David Cameron had the chance, he

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would not have chosen the Sunday Telegraph to lead on. And the paper

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responsible for the sex story is the Sunday Mirror. If you want to know

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more, don't ask. The Sunday times has the same story, but also, the

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much more important story - bombing jihadis is futile, says top general,

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and that is General Richards. The Observer - UKIP defection causing

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Tory chaos. Perhaps a little bit over the top, but nonetheless. A

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conjugated one in the Independent on Sunday - how do we get out? As

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palmist, Ian Birrell and Shami Chakrabarti join us now. Can you get

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us started with the air strikes story? I do think this is really

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important. It is the front page of the Sunday times, but inside, we

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have an interview which has been conducted by the Great War

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correspondent Christina Lambert, with General Lord Richards, who was

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the head of the military. He has been involved in every major

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conflict that Britain has been engaged in for many years. His

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interview suggests an element of naivete, I think, on the part of our

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parliamentarians, for thinking that this can be just a few air strikes,

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and perhaps dealt with fairly clinically and fairly quickly. We

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will not beat them with air strikes, he says. This is not just a

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terrorist organisation, this is not just a few drones in Pakistan, this

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is serious war, you need boots on the ground, it is a long-term

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commitment to. And I would like to hear what the Prime Minister says

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about this. One of the points he is making is that you cannot simply

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fight the war in one country. It is a border which ISIL refuses to

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recognise, so they just move over into Syria. And you have chosen the

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Observer? This is one of the issues - how will it work, is it just a

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political gesture, really, Britain being there? It is just six planes,

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fewer than Denmark. There is a fig leaf element to it. I feel

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conflicted about it. I was in Kurdistan at the time the Americans

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started bombing. There was no doubt that ISIS was doing very well, the

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Peshmerga were already in a very weak state, and the bombings shored

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up their defences. Equally, it is very hard to see where this goes.

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You will not defeat them like this. There is all sorts of politics going

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on on the ground. Are we just getting pulled into a mess in the

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region once again? It was a very good debate in the House of Commons,

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but it is very much, are we sure what we are doing next, that is the

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toll of the papers, is that fair to say? Yes, I think everyone is saying

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the same thing, which is, what is the strategy? It is the ethical

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difficulty, but also the practical difficulty - are we going to make

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things better or worse? This one shows the regional issues. And there

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is this mess over foreign policy, that we are now in bed with all

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sorts of partners, Saudi Arabia, which beheads people for sorcery,

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unlike ISIS, which beheads foreign journalists, and which has been

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exporting an extreme form of Islam all over the world. We are in bed

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with Qatar, which has been backing Islamists in Libya. And really, we

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are helping President Assad with this. We are in bed with Egypt,

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backing a ruler who is worse than the guy whose downfall we supported.

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It is a complete mess. You wonder what the Foreign Office has been

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doing all of this time. Their job is to give clear priorities to number

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10 Downing Street. Yet again, I find myself, yes, I am torn about the

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conflict, but I also feel that human rights abuses are always a

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justification for military intervention over there, but never

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refugee protection over here, when they turn up on our doorstep. And

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Syria, seeing those refugees pouring over the border, and how many has

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Britain taken? It was 43 at the end of June, for all our fine talk. And

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this is not what you expect from the Sunday Telegraph on the first day of

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the Conservative Party conference. Did somebody tweak something about,

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to lose one minister is unfortunate, but to lose two is reckless?! I

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think thousands of people tweeted that! Of course, Mark Reckless has

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rather flamboyantly defected to UKIP. Whether this is a real

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crisis... A minister behaves inappropriately on the internet, is

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that really a party scandal, I do not understand? It is just a ripple

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at the start of the Tory party conference. But it is not the

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serious issue, which is the split in the party, and the debate over what

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to do about UKIP. It is like the John Major government, something is

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not right, the party is splintering? It does feel a bit familiar, to

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those of us of a certain age. Speaking of which, a young human

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rights lawyer is apparently marrying a middle-aged actor. And this is

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dominating lots of newspapers, as you can imagine. But more seriously,

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I know that you have heard George Clooney on your programme before, so

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you have more of a sense of the man. I do not know what people would

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think of this coverage. George Clooney is a highly serious guy,

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from a journalistic background. Beautiful photographs from Venice.

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There are not many stories this morning to cheer us up, and I guess

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this is one of them. I am not sure what he would think about the amount

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of coverage he is getting this morning. On the other hand, if you

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closed down Venice and invited Matt Damon and all your mates, then you

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will get a lot of coverage. Moving swiftly on, David Davies, who fought

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David Cameron for the leadership, has produced a withering, full on

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attack on modernisation generally, saying it has been a disaster. It is

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very interesting, this piece. It is really his most full-blooded attack

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on modernisation. In it, he is giving David Cameron and the Tory

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party both barrels. They are saying that it was all wrong what they

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did, it has not worked etc. I would argue it is a misinformed piece,

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because he says the voters see David Cameron as being to the left of

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them, whereas actually, Conservative voters see him as being to the right

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of them, as surveys have shown. The problem I would argue is that

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modernisation did not go nearly far enough, and the problem is that they

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have gone too far on to UKIP territory. You were a speech writer

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for David Cameron, way back in the day that he was in opposition. But

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in terms of votes, the Conservative Party have not been doing very well,

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and in terms of the struck shall make up of the party, it is

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splintering? I think the problem is that they have shifted too much on

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to UKIP territory. UKIP is not really about Europe, it is not

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really about immigration, it is about a disconnect. And when you

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coming to office saying one thing, and then you shift ground

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substantially on issues like Europe etc, then it gives voters one more

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cause for concern, and actually, it helps UKIP. I would argue that by

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making these shifts and these lurches, it is not helping. Again

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and again, people say they want authenticity in politics. They want

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the politician, whether they agree with them or not, to stick to his or

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her guns. Let's move onto another story,

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vloggers, who are storming up the book charts. I don't think you

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should be grumpy about this. This is a phenomenon about video bloggers,

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aspiring journalists effectively, doing video blogs aspired to by

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thousands, sometimes millions of people. And slightly more

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libertarian, less consensual when it comes to politics. I think that's

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right, but they are speaking about all sorts of things their audience

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are interested in. I don't know what their consensus is on the war for

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example. I think it is nice, because it is about democratising, more

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people getting a voice. Yes, but it seems that some of them are actually

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taking this very seriously and making a go of it commercially. And

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now producing books going up the book charts. There was once a

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well-known philosopher, called John Stuart Mill, and he has now been

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scooped by yourself. I have written a book about working at Limited

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since 9/11, since the beginning of the war on terror, we now seem to be

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in the war on terror two. Ian, you have just come back, we may think

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Britain is in a difficult state, from a country in a really difficult

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state, from Liberia suffering with Ebola. Yes, I noticed you moved away

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from the! Everybody gets checked for their temperature when they go into

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supermarkets, they are not touching each other. One man told me he had

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not touched his children for three months because they are so scared of

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transmitting the disease. It is totally out of control despite best

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efforts. The numbers... More and more people are being infected.

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Reading your report, it reminds me of Daniel Defoe's London In The

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Plague Year. The worst-case scenario predicts one in ten people in

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Liberia could be hit with this disease. It is appalling what is

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going on and I don't think the world has begun to get to grips with it,

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or assist. There is talk of the economy collapsing, and even

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conflict being restarted because of the chaos engendered by this. Very

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alarming. Shami it is shocking how quickly Scotland has dropped off the

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front pages after the no vote. Yes, it is Iraq again this week, I think

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we need to have a slightly longer attention span if we can. I am going

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to start paying more attention to this paper in the future, the

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Scotland on Sunday. Inside, on pages six and seven, we have photographs

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of the three likely leaders of the main parties in Scotland, all women,

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and a suggestion that a group of MSP 's are uniting around the idea that

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in the new settlement, the reformed settlement, there should be 50-50

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men and women in the Scottish Parliament. I think this could be

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really exciting and it could be a model that people get excited about

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in England and elsewhere. Absolutely. Before we go, this is a

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policy conference as well, and the big announcement this morning is

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about apprentices and cutting welfare benefits to pay for them.

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David Cameron talks about this in an interview he did with the Sunday

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Times, in which he also talks about Scotland. He said he would have

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resigned if they won the vote. He says that now! He is talking about

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benefits and trying to cap them, and shift some of that money towards

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apprenticeships. It is interesting that the issues we are hearing under

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the new look Tory party is immigration and benefits, both of

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which are seemingly popular with the public. So you think it is moving to

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the right? No, it has moved to the right and that is seen in voters'

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perceptions of the party and the Prime Minister. It is not that the

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issues themselves may be unpopular, it is that when you talk about them

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to the exclusion of other issues, the voters think you are less

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compassionate. The language on benefits has been very hard line.

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Ian Birrell and Shami Chakrabarti, thank you.

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We're promised a return of summer this week, and it's a lovely bright

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morning here in Birmingham. With the picture around the country, over to

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Sarah Keith-Lucas in the weather studio.

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Much of September has felt more like some of September has felt more like

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summer than autumn. Not everywhere will be staying dry, but these

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weather fronts will only be pushing slowly south. In Gleneagles and the

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final day of the Ryder Cup, there will be a south-westerly breeze but

:21:19.:21:21.

it will be remaining predominantly dry. Across England and Wales, dry

:21:22.:21:31.

and fine, plenty of decent spells of sunshine to be enjoyed for the rest

:21:32.:21:34.

of the day, lifting temperatures nicely to around 24 degrees in

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London. As we had through this evening and overnight, for Scotland

:21:41.:21:43.

and Northern Ireland it remains fairly cloudy with a few outbreaks

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of rain. There could be dense fog patches forming as we had through

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the early hours of Monday morning. Frost free overnight. During the day

:21:54.:21:57.

we still have the mist and fog around in the morning, that should

:21:58.:22:00.

clear away pretty quickly, and it will be a day of sunny spells but

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there could be some isolated heavy showers. Temperatures up to 21

:22:06.:22:11.

degrees, so looking pretty pleasant for the next few days and in fact

:22:12.:22:12.

the week ahead. After the former Conservative

:22:13.:22:19.

backbencher Douglas Carswell rather sensationally defected to UKIP last

:22:20.:22:21.

month, there were rumours And yesterday Nigel Farage pulled

:22:22.:22:24.

another Tory rabbit out of his The big reveal took place at UKIP's

:22:25.:22:27.

conference in Doncaster, where the party also discussed new

:22:28.:22:31.

policy ideas, although not all of them survived the weekend,

:22:32.:22:34.

as you'll see in a moment. But when I spoke to the UKIP leader

:22:35.:22:37.

last night, I began by asking him if We will have to see, won't we? There

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is a great deal of disenchantment with the Conservative Party, but

:22:53.:22:56.

don't underestimate the fact there are Labour backbenchers thinking

:22:57.:23:00.

about this as well. Are you saying therefore that you expect defections

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from the Labour Party and more defections from the Conservative

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Party? I'm saying there is a widespread feeling that the

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political leaderships of Labour, Lib Dem and Conservative are becoming so

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hopelessly out of touch with opinions in MPs' constituencies that

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it wouldn't surprise me if we saw more defections. I was looking at

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Mark Reckless's speech, and he said the country was overregulated and

:23:30.:23:33.

overtaxed. In that context I would like to ask you about the proposal

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of yours to put 25% VAT on a range of what you call luxury goods. Have

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you worked out how this will be done? I am personally very happy to

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give freedom to our spokesmen and women to float ideas but while I am

:23:50.:23:54.

leader that will not be in our manifesto. This is the fastest

:23:55.:23:58.

U-turn we have heard. Is that no longer a policy? It was put forward

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as something that should be investigated. What was put forward

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as a policy was the idea that no tax should be put on the minimum wage.

:24:10.:24:14.

What was put forward was the idea that nurses, experienced nurses, now

:24:15.:24:19.

paying 40p tax is ridiculous and they should be taken out of it. The

:24:20.:24:25.

much touted 25p luxury VAT is dead as far as you are concerned? Yes, it

:24:26.:24:31.

was a discussion point yesterday, it isn't going to happen. You made a

:24:32.:24:36.

great point of saying UKIP now turned its tanks in both directions,

:24:37.:24:40.

on Labour and the Conservatives, that means you have to win this

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forthcoming by-election to show that is more than just words. If we did

:24:44.:24:48.

win the Hayward and Middleton by-election you would then say we

:24:49.:24:54.

are seeing one of the biggest swings in post-1945 politics in this

:24:55.:24:58.

country. We start this election a long way behind but I am confident

:24:59.:25:03.

we will give the Labour Party a run for their money. If this is a

:25:04.:25:06.

populist revolution of the kind you were describing, you compared it

:25:07.:25:10.

with what is happening in Scotland, then we should seek an earthquake

:25:11.:25:15.

happening up their too? I don't know, neither do you. Something

:25:16.:25:19.

remarkable is happening in British politics but I am not going to stand

:25:20.:25:23.

here predicting we will win that by-election, but I will predict we

:25:24.:25:27.

will give Labour a run for their money. You said yourself if you were

:25:28.:25:31.

a young guy in Spain or Portugal, you would probably come here, but

:25:32.:25:36.

what do say too many big businesses that say Britain has big growth,

:25:37.:25:43.

partly based on a huge supply of skilled, hard-working, educated and

:25:44.:25:47.

dedicated people coming to work here and that by closing the door you

:25:48.:25:54.

imperil our growth? The point we are making and the point that is

:25:55.:25:57.

resonating with voters in a big way across this country is that you

:25:58.:26:00.

cannot choose the numbers of people coming to the country all the while

:26:01.:26:04.

you are members of the European Union, and all the while the British

:26:05.:26:09.

passport is extended to nearly half a billion people. I am still unclear

:26:10.:26:15.

as to whether your hostility is cultural or economic. If you are

:26:16.:26:18.

persuaded that Britain's economic growth at the moment required a high

:26:19.:26:22.

level of immigration than you would like, would you be in favour of it

:26:23.:26:26.

all would you still say it is against the interests of

:26:27.:26:30.

British-born workers and therefore I want to stop immigration? The duty

:26:31.:26:34.

of government is to look after the country and its people. I think the

:26:35.:26:55.

integrity of our communities, our society, the opportunity we give

:26:56.:26:58.

young people to get on, the opportunity we give working age

:26:59.:27:00.

people to earn a decent living, I think they matter more than a couple

:27:01.:27:04.

of peps up on GDP figures over the next decade. There are some things

:27:05.:27:07.

in life that are more important than just money. Can I ask you about your

:27:08.:27:11.

hostility to what is going on at the moment over the skies of Iraq and

:27:12.:27:14.

Syria. What is your message to the RAF pilots now the decision has been

:27:15.:27:18.

taken? You say we are hostile and by asking the question in that way you

:27:19.:27:21.

are saying somehow there is an aggression about UKIP and there

:27:22.:27:24.

isn't. I am not going to be drawn in to appearing disloyal towards the

:27:25.:27:27.

British services. But there are some wars that are sensible and some are

:27:28.:27:31.

not, and in the last 15 years we have engaged in a series of wars

:27:32.:27:36.

that have not been in our national interests and have left our

:27:37.:27:39.

countries that we were supposed to be helping in a worse condition. So,

:27:40.:27:44.

to be absolutely clear, you are saying there are just wars and

:27:45.:27:49.

unjust wars, do you regard this as on just? I don't believe they have

:27:50.:27:54.

thought about the endgame of this. I don't think a war can be won by

:27:55.:28:00.

bombing alone. If we are serious, we need a regional approach, several

:28:01.:28:04.

governments involved, lots of boots on the ground provided by Arab

:28:05.:28:11.

states and African states, and if we were serious about it, I would not

:28:12.:28:14.

object to the British taking part and offering expertise. What was

:28:15.:28:18.

proposed in the House of Commons does not pass for me any of those

:28:19.:28:27.

tests. Thank you for joining us. Nick Cave is many things, a, a poet

:28:28.:28:33.

and novelist, now the acclaimed star of a that focuses on the Bad Seeds

:28:34.:28:39.

front man and his journey. 20,000 Days On Earth gets its title from

:28:40.:28:43.

the life span of Nick Cave so far. He is 57 and a cultural icon. The

:28:44.:28:53.

film features Ray Winstone and Kylie Minogue in cameo parts. When we met

:28:54.:28:57.

up, Nick Cave gave me his take on the bittersweet nature of telling

:28:58.:29:02.

stories through songs. It is a curse, to be honest, the whole

:29:03.:29:06.

narrative songwriting thing. It is not the kind of songs I listen to or

:29:07.:29:13.

that I like to listen to. I am much more inclined to listen to music

:29:14.:29:17.

that seems to be ripped out of the hat in some way. James Brown or

:29:18.:29:30.

something like that. With a yeah and a whoa. There is nothing worse than

:29:31.:29:35.

having to listen to a story. # Look at me now... We see you in

:29:36.:29:57.

the film with your children, eating pizza in front of the television,

:29:58.:30:01.

with your wife. You have clearly got a very good marriage, but in some

:30:02.:30:07.

respects, it is more of a kind of humdrum, ordinary experience, and

:30:08.:30:10.

the kind of moralistic darkness which some of the would suggest. The

:30:11.:30:15.

performance of the songs is possibly like that, but what the songs are

:30:16.:30:19.

about is actually something more humane, or more human. In the world

:30:20.:30:24.

of your songs, it is more important that there is a devil, and that

:30:25.:30:28.

there is sin, and there is judgment and forgiveness, and that there is a

:30:29.:30:37.

God. That sounds a little harsh! I think the songs are a little more

:30:38.:30:40.

subtle than that these days, to be honest. For sure, there is a kind of

:30:41.:30:46.

old Testament rancour about some of the earlier stuff, but I think these

:30:47.:30:51.

days, it is a little more... In recent years, you have split your

:30:52.:30:58.

songwriting and performing personality into two bands, The Bad

:30:59.:31:01.

Seeds, and the other one. In the film, we see you with many of

:31:02.:31:23.

your celebrity friends - are you playing a game with the audience at

:31:24.:31:27.

that point, talking about your glamorous life? I do not think I am

:31:28.:31:32.

hanging out with my celebrity friends. First of all, I do not hang

:31:33.:31:38.

out in that way with celebrities. But there are moments when they

:31:39.:31:45.

appear, magically, in the car with me. It is Ray Winstone and Kylie

:31:46.:31:54.

Minogue. You were like this kind of missed that rolled in, because I

:31:55.:31:58.

knew about you, and I had heard about your desire to do this song.

:31:59.:32:03.

And then I saw you perform live with The Bad Seeds, and it was, like, and

:32:04.:32:08.

the performance was just electrifying, and your body

:32:09.:32:11.

language, you were like this, like a tree. If the younger and Nick cave

:32:12.:32:17.

was looking at the Nick Cave of today, he might say, you are living

:32:18.:32:21.

a much more comfortable life than I would have expected, and a much

:32:22.:32:26.

happier life? Well, I was always pretty happy. Were you?! Yes! There

:32:27.:32:34.

is a kind of myth which exists around a particular lifestyle,

:32:35.:32:38.

meaning you have to be a particular character. I do not think that is

:32:39.:32:42.

true. To be honest, I would not have a clue what the younger Nick Cave

:32:43.:32:48.

would think about the older one. You have been going into film music

:32:49.:32:52.

more, you have created the other group, I am just wondering, what

:32:53.:32:56.

extent will you think, I need to tear everything up again? I think as

:32:57.:33:00.

soon as something becomes... I am very suspicious about success. The

:33:01.:33:05.

last record did really well, it was a really good record, I think, on

:33:06.:33:10.

many different levels, but certainly, we feel it is a really

:33:11.:33:14.

strong record. It is a really strong Bad Seeds record. And I immediately

:33:15.:33:21.

start getting nervous around that. That it is impossible to top it, or

:33:22.:33:25.

because you are getting smug about it? It is so easy to sit back and

:33:26.:33:31.

wide that for a while. There is a lot of discussion of other artists

:33:32.:33:35.

in the film - of all of the great recording artists, Jerry Lee Lewis,

:33:36.:33:41.

Nina Simone, who is the person who you would like to wake up in the

:33:42.:33:47.

middle of their concert? Alvis. He is still the ultimate hero? Yes.

:33:48.:33:57.

That is who I always wanted to be. Elvis Presley, without the quiff!

:33:58.:34:11.

Nick Cave, talking about his film 20,000 Days On Earth.

:34:12.:34:14.

And by my calculation, with just over 200 days till his own

:34:15.:34:17.

date with destiny at the next general election, I?m joined now by

:34:18.:34:20.

General Richards, like many people in the debate this week, have picked

:34:21.:34:30.

up on the fact that you cannot defeat ISIL, or whatever we call

:34:31.:34:34.

them, without pushing into Syria. It cannot just be done in Iraq alone,

:34:35.:34:39.

that is true, isn't it? It is true. We believe you do need troops on the

:34:40.:34:44.

ground, but they should be Iraqi troops, they should be Kurdish

:34:45.:34:48.

troops. We are part of a large, international coalition to degrade

:34:49.:34:51.

and Alton of the destroy this organisation, but it cannot be done

:34:52.:34:55.

unless the countries where this organisation has grown up play their

:34:56.:34:59.

part in destroying it. You told the House of Commons to things, you said

:35:00.:35:03.

you would not go into Syria without another motion, but you also said

:35:04.:35:09.

that you reserved the right to order attacks if there was some terrible

:35:10.:35:12.

humanitarian disaster which needed to be dealt with. If I still pushed

:35:13.:35:20.

into Syria, we could very quickly see a humanitarian crisis, so, is it

:35:21.:35:24.

the case that you could order the RAF into Syria without another

:35:25.:35:28.

vote? The point I was making applied to anywhere in the world. If as

:35:29.:35:33.

Prime Minister I feel there is a humanitarian disaster about to

:35:34.:35:37.

happen, which Britain, alone or with partners, could do something to a

:35:38.:35:40.

third, then it would be right to order that before going to the House

:35:41.:35:44.

of Commons, because there would not be time. Likewise, if there is some

:35:45.:35:49.

unique British interest, some hostage situation, where you had to

:35:50.:35:53.

order action very quickly, I would be prepared to do that first and

:35:54.:35:56.

explain to the House of Commons afterwards. I was trying to say to

:35:57.:36:00.

the House of Commons that it is important that this convention which

:36:01.:36:04.

has grown up about a vote before premeditated action, I believe that

:36:05.:36:08.

is right, but it does not necessarily mean that a government

:36:09.:36:12.

cannot act if there is an urgent situation. You have said a big

:36:13.:36:18.

crisis might emerge, this could happen tomorrow or next week in

:36:19.:36:19.

Syria... I am not trying to dodge happen tomorrow or next week in

:36:20.:36:26.

your question. If something happened anywhere in the world, that there

:36:27.:36:33.

was a need for urgent action to prevent a humanitarian crisis, or to

:36:34.:36:34.

protect a unique British interest, I prevent a humanitarian crisis, or to

:36:35.:36:37.

would be prepared to take action and explain afterwards. Now, one of the

:36:38.:36:44.

other things which was talked about, again in the General Richards

:36:45.:36:48.

interview, and also in the House of Commons, is

:36:49.:36:52.

interview, and also in the House of an army, they do not have barracks,

:36:53.:36:55.

they do not have columns of tanks, they sit inside the population,

:36:56.:36:59.

hiding themselves among civilians quite deliberately. Therefore an air

:37:00.:37:05.

campaign is bound to kill lots of civilians by accident. I do not

:37:06.:37:09.

accept that. There have been occasions when ISIL are out in the

:37:10.:37:14.

open, threatening Christian communities, Yazidi communities,

:37:15.:37:16.

other Muslim communities, and they can be struck and stops, which is

:37:17.:37:23.

exactly what has happened close to where the Kurdish lines are, and

:37:24.:37:27.

elsewhere. But if what you are saying is, we need, if you like, an

:37:28.:37:34.

uprising of the Sunni tribes, rejecting these extremists, saying,

:37:35.:37:38.

we want to be part of a democratic Iraq, then yes, of course, we do

:37:39.:37:44.

need that. Our strategy is not some simplistic, dropped a bomb from

:37:45.:37:48.

40,000ft, and think you can solve the problem - it isn't. This is one

:37:49.:37:53.

part of a comprehensive strategy to build an Iraq which has a

:37:54.:37:57.

democratic, inclusive government for everyone, and in time, Syria needs

:37:58.:38:02.

exactly the same thing. There are three possible armies involved on

:38:03.:38:06.

the ground, the Peshmerga, defending their own territory in Kurdistan,

:38:07.:38:10.

the Iraqi army, who have been frankly pretty useless so far and

:38:11.:38:15.

have run away most of the time, and there is the Free Syrian Army,

:38:16.:38:17.

which, as George Galloway said, barely exists. So who will these

:38:18.:38:24.

boots on the ground actually be? In Iraq and Syria, we need to build up

:38:25.:38:29.

the forces which are moderate, democratic and thoroughly stick. In

:38:30.:38:31.

Iraq we need an Iraqi government and Iraqi forces which represents the

:38:32.:38:36.

whole country. -- and thoroughly stick. In Syria, we need the

:38:37.:38:43.

legitimate forces in Syria. But it is going to take time for them to be

:38:44.:38:48.

built up as a counterpoint to the regime. But what is required in

:38:49.:38:56.

Syria. Our policy is not contradictory. The same thing is

:38:57.:39:01.

needed in Syria is in Iraq, which is a government which can represent all

:39:02.:39:05.

of the people. You need a transition in Syria from the brutal dictator

:39:06.:39:09.

Assad, whose action has helped to build up ISIL, and you need to

:39:10.:39:12.

replace it with a government which camera present all of its people.

:39:13.:39:19.

But the Army in Syria which can defeat ISIL, the only organised army

:39:20.:39:23.

really left standing is Assad's army, so are we on the point of

:39:24.:39:27.

having to do a deal with the devil, as it were? No, we are not. Assad is

:39:28.:39:32.

part of the problem, not the solution. His brutality against his

:39:33.:39:36.

own people's one of the things which has been a massive recruiting

:39:37.:39:39.

sergeant for ISIL. We need in Syria to build up the legitimate

:39:40.:39:44.

opposition, to have a transition in Syria from Assad to a new

:39:45.:39:47.

government, which can represent all of the people. Of course, that has

:39:48.:39:55.

to include Alawites, even prominent ones, so that Alawite, Sunni, all

:39:56.:39:59.

people's in Syria can feel they are part of the government. A missile

:40:00.:40:11.

can kill terrorists, but it is good governments which can kill -- good

:40:12.:40:17.

governments which can kill terrorism - that is our policy. What about the

:40:18.:40:22.

Iraqi army, we are giving them lots of new kit and advice, are there not

:40:23.:40:30.

already British boots on the ground? We already have, whether it

:40:31.:40:36.

is in Baghdad or in the Kurdish regional authority, we have people

:40:37.:40:40.

who are helping and advising and assisting, not in huge numbers. But

:40:41.:40:46.

if we are trying to build up these forces, then yes, of course, we need

:40:47.:40:51.

to help them. What I am not having is some British invading army of

:40:52.:40:56.

combat troops on the ground. We could have for instance special

:40:57.:40:59.

forces trying to get hostages out of terrible situations. We never

:41:00.:41:04.

comment on special forces. The hostage situation is an absolutely

:41:05.:41:08.

tragic one and we should do everything we can to help, and I

:41:09.:41:13.

lead those efforts personally. Your critics say, it starts with a power,

:41:14.:41:18.

without fivers, and then, like Vietnam, it escalates, you get

:41:19.:41:28.

sucked in. You do not know how deeply we are going to get drawn in.

:41:29.:41:37.

In a way, that is an argument for never doing anything. When you face

:41:38.:41:42.

a situation with psychopathic, terrorist killers who have already

:41:43.:41:47.

brutally beheaded one of our own citizens, who have already launched

:41:48.:41:51.

and tried to execute plots in our own country to kill and maim

:41:52.:41:54.

innocent people, we can either stand back from all of this, as Galloway

:41:55.:42:00.

and others would say, and say, this is too complicated, or we take the

:42:01.:42:04.

correct decision, to say, let's have a full, comprehensive strategy,

:42:05.:42:07.

let's be prepared to play our role to make sure these people cannot do

:42:08.:42:13.

us harm. Coming back to the border question, not George Galloway, but

:42:14.:42:17.

General Richards again and in cannot possibly defeat ices by only

:42:18.:42:21.

attacking them in Iraq. How the hell can you win the war when most of

:42:22.:42:24.

your enemy can end up in a country you cannot get involved in? I have a

:42:25.:42:31.

lot of sympathy for that view, which is why we support what the Americans

:42:32.:42:35.

and the five Arab nations have done in Syria. We have a Syrian strategy,

:42:36.:42:40.

which is to build up the Syrian National Coalition to build up a

:42:41.:42:45.

political transition in Syria. But I wanted to take to the House of

:42:46.:42:48.

Commons a proposal that I could achieve a consensus on. Let's turn

:42:49.:42:55.

to the Conservative Party conference - did you have any idea that Mark

:42:56.:42:59.

Reckless was about to do what he has just done? Not specifically. But he

:43:00.:43:04.

has always been someone who... He very rarely votes for the

:43:05.:43:08.

government. He has made his views known. These things are frustrating,

:43:09.:43:12.

and frankly, they are counter-productive and rather

:43:13.:43:15.

senseless. If you want to have a European referendum, if you want to

:43:16.:43:21.

have immigration control, if you want to get the deficit down and you

:43:22.:43:25.

want to build a stronger Britain, there is only one option, which is

:43:26.:43:28.

to have a Conservative government after the next election. The choice

:43:29.:43:33.

is really between that government, and we have a track record now of

:43:34.:43:37.

getting the deficit down, getting people into jobs, or Ed Miliband in

:43:38.:43:40.

number 10 Downing Street, with no plan for the deficit, no leadership

:43:41.:43:45.

for our country, no way to get the economy going. The deficit going up.

:43:46.:43:54.

That is the choice. So his act is senseless and counter-productive.

:43:55.:43:57.

But we have to get on with the job of this week, which is setting out

:43:58.:44:02.

our plans. Douglas Carswell, who was a great supporter of yours, why do

:44:03.:44:07.

you think you are losing these kind of people, they say it is because

:44:08.:44:11.

you are not a proper Conservative in the end? I disagree with that. But

:44:12.:44:14.

in the end, it is counter-productive. Both of these

:44:15.:44:18.

people are people who, unlike me, they want to leave the European

:44:19.:44:22.

Union, no matter what. I do not agree with that. I think we should

:44:23.:44:27.

have a real go at reform, to get a better deal for Britain. But we have

:44:28.:44:31.

this clear promise on an in-out referendum by the end of 2017. So

:44:32.:44:36.

even if you do not agree with my be negotiation strategy, I am the only

:44:37.:44:40.

Prime Minister who will give you a chance to have a vote on staying in

:44:41.:44:44.

or getting out of the European Union. Turning to that, we have

:44:45.:44:49.

spoken about this before, but it is clear at the moment that the big

:44:50.:44:52.

issue is the free movement of people into this country from the rest of

:44:53.:44:56.

Europe, that is what is setting the UKIP people alike, and a lot of your

:44:57.:45:00.

own people are concerned about it. Is that at the heart of your be

:45:01.:45:03.

negotiation policy, ending the open frontier?

:45:04.:45:09.

Out Immigration will be the heart of my renegotiation strategy. There

:45:10.:45:22.

will be a whole series of changes, at the heart of this, the idea that

:45:23.:45:27.

people... Of course there is a right to go and work in other European

:45:28.:45:32.

countries but it is not an unqualified right. You should not be

:45:33.:45:37.

able to move for benefits. When new countries join the European Union,

:45:38.:45:42.

you should be able to say to them that their people cannot work in our

:45:43.:45:47.

country unless their economy is at a similar level to ours. But you

:45:48.:45:52.

cannot do anything about the free movement of people within the EU?

:45:53.:45:56.

That is one of the things I think that worries people and it concerns

:45:57.:46:01.

me. The right to go and work in France or Spain, or Spanish people

:46:02.:46:06.

to come and do a job that is advertised here, that is one thing

:46:07.:46:10.

but it is a different thing to go and claim benefits, even to work in

:46:11.:46:15.

Britain, to send your benefits home to your families that stay in your

:46:16.:46:20.

home countries, those things need to be addressed. The bigger point is

:46:21.:46:38.

that there is only one way these things can get addressed. If Ed

:46:39.:46:40.

Miliband is in Downing Street, none of these things will happen. If I am

:46:41.:46:44.

Prime Minister, these things will happen and there will be an in-out

:46:45.:46:47.

referendum. Are you determined we will stay within the EU? I am

:46:48.:46:51.

determined to do the right thing for Britain. What I believe is right for

:46:52.:46:54.

Britain is to seek reform, get reform and get Britain to vote to

:46:55.:46:58.

stay in a reformed European Union. That is my plan, but if people don't

:46:59.:47:02.

like that plan, the only way they get to vote to get out of the EU is

:47:03.:47:07.

if I am Prime Minister. I think people want to know what is your

:47:08.:47:11.

plan. Also they want to know what is your base position. If you

:47:12.:47:13.

renegotiate and you don't get everything you want, you say to the

:47:14.:47:18.

British people, OK we should leave Europe, we didn't get we want --

:47:19.:47:27.

what we want. If you are determined to stay in Europe, it is much harder

:47:28.:47:32.

to get that negotiation successfully. In a negotiation you

:47:33.:47:36.

should set out what you want to achieve, and I want the other

:47:37.:47:39.

countries in Europe to see that there is a plan here, that with

:47:40.:47:44.

reform can end in a reformed relationship with Britain and

:47:45.:47:48.

Britain staying in. I want them to see that that is the goal. If I

:47:49.:47:54.

don't achieve that, it will be for the British public to decide whether

:47:55.:47:59.

to stay in or get out. Are there any circumstances under which you say to

:48:00.:48:04.

the British people that I, David Cameron, recommend we leave the EU?

:48:05.:48:08.

If I thought it wasn't in Britain's interests to be in the European

:48:09.:48:13.

Union, I wouldn't want us to be in it. I do this job because I love my

:48:14.:48:18.

country, I care passionately about its future and I wanted to be a

:48:19.:48:23.

strong, proud, self-governing, independent nation. Yes, working

:48:24.:48:29.

with other countries, trade and cooperation, that is what drives...

:48:30.:48:33.

If you don't get what you want, you say to the British people it is time

:48:34.:48:38.

to go? I am saying we will get what we want and I think the British

:48:39.:48:42.

public wants someone who is determined to deliver for them a

:48:43.:48:46.

better future in Europe, but in the end they decide. Let's move onto

:48:47.:48:50.

something else you said recently which was right at the end of the

:48:51.:48:54.

Scottish vote, you said English devolution should happen at the same

:48:55.:49:00.

pace as and in tandem with Scottish devolution, do you still believe

:49:01.:49:05.

that? Yes, we will keep our vows to the people of Scotland that they

:49:06.:49:09.

will have a stronger Scottish parliament with stronger powers over

:49:10.:49:14.

taxation, welfare and spending. That will happen and the agreement we set

:49:15.:49:19.

out, it wasn't even a new departure for the Conservative Party because

:49:20.:49:24.

we had already signed up to plans for that. I am saying that with a

:49:25.:49:27.

Conservative government, you don't just get Scottish devolution, you

:49:28.:49:33.

get English votes for English laws, the English question and said so

:49:34.:49:37.

that MPs in Wales and Northern Ireland and England get these rights

:49:38.:49:41.

in the way the Scots have. The Labour Party don't agree with quite

:49:42.:49:45.

a lot of that, other parties have different views as well, it is a

:49:46.:49:50.

complicated thing to deliver in a few months so a lot of people in

:49:51.:49:53.

Scotland are saying that this solemn promise will not be delivered

:49:54.:49:57.

because you and Ed Miliband will fallout and between you and will not

:49:58.:50:03.

be delivered. We may well fallout over this issue because I don't

:50:04.:50:07.

think Labour have an answer to this question. The Conservatives do have

:50:08.:50:11.

an answer, it was an answer, it was in our 2001 manifesto, 2005

:50:12.:50:17.

manifesto and our last manifesto. You can have a choice - Ed Miliband

:50:18.:50:23.

and Scottish devolution and nothing for the English, or David Cameron

:50:24.:50:29.

and a proper answer to the English question. Whatever the arguments

:50:30.:50:33.

going on in London about English parliaments and English votes for

:50:34.:50:37.

English laws, however that is going, the Scots will get the

:50:38.:50:43.

devolution promise under all circumstances? Yes. Do you now

:50:44.:50:47.

favour an English parliament as such and where would it sit? I don't,

:50:48.:50:52.

because I think the last thing this country wants is another expensive

:50:53.:50:55.

parliament building with another expensive group of politicians. I

:50:56.:51:02.

think it is perfectly possible to make changes in the Westminster

:51:03.:51:07.

parliament so that when issues that are exclusively about England or

:51:08.:51:13.

England and Wales are addressed, we can find voting arrangements to

:51:14.:51:16.

reflect that. We need to do that not just in terms of what happens with

:51:17.:51:21.

English laws but if the Scots are going to have the right to set

:51:22.:51:26.

income tax rates, you need arrangements in the UK Parliament in

:51:27.:51:30.

a Westminster parliament to make sure there is fairness there as

:51:31.:51:33.

well. These plans are being worked on by William Hague. Either there

:51:34.:51:40.

will be an outbreak of consent across the parties, I doubt it, I

:51:41.:51:44.

suspect it will be the Conservative Party putting forward a balanced

:51:45.:51:49.

programme of devolution at the next election, and when we win our

:51:50.:51:54.

majority we will put that into place in tandem. Your big announcement is

:51:55.:51:59.

about using money from welfare cuts to boost the number of

:52:00.:52:04.

apprenticeships. You are cutting the welfare cap to ?23,000, what

:52:05.:52:07.

evidence do you have that lots of families will be able to cope with

:52:08.:52:13.

?3000 less? We have found the welfare cap is a policy that worked

:52:14.:52:17.

very well. When we said we were going to Cap families at ?26,000,

:52:18.:52:23.

people said this would cause chaos, but what has actually happened is a

:52:24.:52:27.

lot of those families have gone into work, found a job, and it has helped

:52:28.:52:35.

them with their lives. I think the evidence is that the cap is too

:52:36.:52:39.

loose, particularly in some parts of the country. It will mean more

:52:40.:52:44.

families getting into work. The plan we have for Britain is to spend less

:52:45.:52:49.

on welfare and more on helping people get into work. So we are

:52:50.:52:54.

going to use that money to pay for 3 million apprenticeships. After the

:52:55.:52:59.

fall years, we have seen our economy turned round. -- after the four

:53:00.:53:08.

years. We have best growth of any country in the west, but now we need

:53:09.:53:14.

to give every family in this country the security and the peace of mind

:53:15.:53:17.

they want. With a Conservative government they will get the chance

:53:18.:53:22.

of a good job, their taxes will come down, they will get a good school

:53:23.:53:27.

place for their children. Are we moving towards a situation where

:53:28.:53:31.

nobody under the age of 21 gets any kind of benefits? It is not quite as

:53:32.:53:40.

simple as that, but I want us to effectively abolish youth

:53:41.:53:44.

unemployment. I want to end the idea that aged 18 you can leave school,

:53:45.:53:49.

stay at home and claim housing benefit. We should be saying that

:53:50.:53:54.

you should be earning all learning. If you need to have benefits there

:53:55.:54:01.

will be an allowance, otherwise... 48% of these people have children so

:54:02.:54:07.

my question to you is, for the best possible motive is no doubt, but are

:54:08.:54:11.

you going to put a large section of the population into poverty? This is

:54:12.:54:20.

about single people aged 18 to 21, at the moment they can leave home,

:54:21.:54:26.

sign-on, get housing benefit and start a life of dependency. We are

:54:27.:54:32.

saying save that money, make sure that after six months every one of

:54:33.:54:36.

those young people has to be in a job or training and use the savings

:54:37.:54:43.

to provide 3 million apprentices. Talking about immigration earlier,

:54:44.:54:46.

if you want to solve that problem, the other side of the coin is

:54:47.:54:51.

education and welfare. We need an education system that educates young

:54:52.:54:55.

people so they can take the jobs that are becoming available and we

:54:56.:54:59.

need a welfare system that prioritises work. For now, thank you

:55:00.:55:03.

very much. The news. The MoD has confirmed that

:55:04.:55:09.

RAF Tornadoes are continuing to fly over Iraq,

:55:10.:55:12.

and gather important intelligence Yesterday two Tornado jets carried

:55:13.:55:13.

out armed reconnaissance operations The Pentagon says US jets have made

:55:14.:55:16.

strikes on the Syrian city of Raqqa as well as IS positions

:55:17.:55:22.

near the Turkish border. Speaking on this programme, the

:55:23.:55:35.

Prime Minister said air strikes were not intended as a simplistic

:55:36.:55:39.

solution to the crisis in Iraq but were part of the compounds of

:55:40.:55:42.

strategy to build a democratic country. David Cameron said he had

:55:43.:55:46.

sympathy with the view that it was also necessary to take action

:55:47.:55:51.

against Islamic State forces in Syria.

:55:52.:55:53.

The next news is on BBC1 at One o'clock.

:55:54.:55:56.

First, a look at what's coming up immediately after this programme.

:55:57.:56:05.

Does an art show of black actors in chains mean racism? And Henry

:56:06.:56:18.

Winkler gives us a lesson on how to be called.

:56:19.:56:24.

And we all need that. The Prime Minister is still with me. We must

:56:25.:56:29.

ask you about when you were overheard talking about the Queen

:56:30.:56:32.

pairing with pleasure. Presumably she was furious what were you

:56:33.:56:38.

thinking of? One of those moments when you look back and kick yourself

:56:39.:56:43.

very hard. It was not a conversation I should have hard, even though it

:56:44.:56:48.

was a private conversation, I am extremely sorry and embarrassed

:56:49.:56:52.

about it. I have made my apologies and I think I will probably be

:56:53.:56:57.

making some more. Are you ashamed about it? I am very sorry. Have you

:56:58.:57:03.

repaired things with the Palace? I am not going to discuss that

:57:04.:57:07.

conversation even with you. You said recently you were delighted to see

:57:08.:57:12.

Boris on his way back to the pitch, if the team wins would you like him

:57:13.:57:17.

back in the Cabinet as well? Of course but he has got to finish his

:57:18.:57:21.

term as Mayor of London and that is what he wants to do. Once he has

:57:22.:57:28.

finished that, he is a star, and as I have always said, I want to have

:57:29.:57:32.

the stars in the team. You come to this conference with a couple of

:57:33.:57:39.

defections, a sex scandal, and people are muttering the final years

:57:40.:57:42.

of John Major. How does that make you feel? I have to admit, it has

:57:43.:57:47.

not been an ideal start but the truth is that these things,

:57:48.:57:51.

frustrating as they are, they don't change the fundamental choice of the

:57:52.:57:56.

election, which is continuing with a long-term economic plan, or do you

:57:57.:58:03.

want to lurch off with Ed Miliband with no plan, no leadership, no

:58:04.:58:07.

ideas about the economy, just more borrowing and taxes. That is the

:58:08.:58:13.

choice. In this job you wake up and you find all sorts of things have

:58:14.:58:18.

patterned -- happened in your own party, but does it change the

:58:19.:58:21.

fundamentals of what the team are doing? It doesn't. Thank you for

:58:22.:58:25.

joining us. We're almost out

:58:26.:58:30.

of time this morning. Join us again at the same time next

:58:31.:58:32.

week when I'll be talking to the Deputy Prime Minister,

:58:33.:58:36.

Nick Clegg, ahead of the Liberal Earlier, we heard Nick Cave's

:58:37.:58:39.

thoughts on song writing so here's the man himself performing

:58:40.:58:42.

in London a while ago. This is his most famous hit,

:58:43.:58:44.

Into My Arms. # Into my arms, O Lord

:58:45.:58:48.

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