20/01/2016 The Papers

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Hello, and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be

With me are Pippa Crerar - the political correspondent

from the London Evening Standard - and the broadcaster John Stapleton.

Many of the front pages are already in.

The Independent's main story is the possible discovery

of a new planet, ten times the size of Earth,

The Financial Times says the falling FTSE means we're on the brink

The Telegraph reports on a ruling that means migrants stranded

in Calais can use European human rights laws to join relations living

Falling global stock markets make the front page of the Guardian.

And The Times also leads with fears over the economy,

caused by volatility in world markets.

We will go to the markets in a moment. First, the Telegraph. Human

rights ticket to Britain is the headline. Four young men in the

notorious jungle camp in Calais have gone through the British courts, and

being ruled they can join their siblings who are already legal. They

have been granted asylum status in the UK. These for are 316-year-olds,

and a man in his 20s, who is apparently seriously mentally ill.

The British court has ruled they have a right to a family life, and

this opens the doors to many other claimants in Calais, refugees,

joining their family members in the UK for similar reasons. The UK

government is likely to challenge this. It raises a spectre of

possibly thousands more refugees coming to the UK. David Cameron

announced that written was going to take 20,000 refugees over the course

of four years. There could be many, many more. The key thing is, they

hadn't been granted asylum in France, which was the first country

they arrived in. Normally they would have to do that initially. The

centres have given them the way round that. This feeds into the

bigger picture. Depending on what side of the fence you for on, some

Eurosceptics are claiming Brussels bureaucrats are trying to bully the

government. Others will say that they are trying to get Britain to

take their fair share of refugees. But there is something called the

Dublin Regulation, which means that if people arrive, people have too

seek asylum in the first country they reach in the EU. If they come

to the UK and try to seek asylum there, they can be deported as a

result. Unless you take more refugees, the figure of 90,000,

which is a quota. They say, unless we take 90,000, we will not be able

to apply the Dublin Regulation. There are implications for the

referendum. They are quite severe, potentially, because this could

overshadow David Cameron's overshadow David Cameron's

negotiations in Europe, and possibly lead to the referendum not being in

the summer, but maybe as late as October, which the government

doesn't want. The last thing David Cameron wants now is an issue as

emotive as immigration clouding the final weeks of negotiation with his

partners in Europe. There is a key summit in the next few months, where

we will be able to make a decision whether he has been successful in

his renegotiations, and then the government will press on with the

referendum. The key thing is when it happens. The Telegraph suggests it

may happen in June. The word is, he would like it in June. But there are

other factors in play. The London mayoral elections are coming on, and

it will be bad news for Zac Goldsmith, the Conservative

candidate, if he were to find his base preoccupied with campaigning

elsewhere. It is also bad news for those who want to stay in Europe. My

own suspicion is, if the British public decided in the end,

immigration would play a key factor in their thinking. If immigration

was in the headlines all summer... If you went from June to October,

the levels of migration would be highest in the summer months. It

depends which way it goes. You will remember the heartfelt outpourings

from newspapers, public and politicians when the bodies of

children who drowned trying to cross the sea into Europe were found. You

do not see the papers reporting so much now on the drownings, which

continue to this day. If you have a summer of drownings, public mood

could shift. Or it could harden people's resolve. Something else

that is hard to read is the state of the global economy. Particularly for

those of us who have a pension that depends on the stock market. It

depends what paper you read. I am reading two. It reminds me of the

quote, if you ask to lawyers question, you will get three

opinions. There are varying views about the state of the economy. The

Financial Times talks about the slowdown of the Chinese economy, the

falling oil price, and the prospect of rises in the US, causing near to

a bear market. That is defined as when prices fall is 20% below their

last peak, which is where we are now. My advisor says, you start

panicking when FTSE is down to around five. It is on 5.6. There is

real concern being felt in the UK and around the world. The Guardian

covers the same story, but the headline is about panic selling,

fears that the global economy growing. There is a motivation of

having a go at George Osborne and the government in charge of the

economy. George Osborne warned us about the threats that Britain faced

a few weeks ago, and warned not to allow creeping complacency to creep

in. It is worrying for the economy and for the government, because he

is building his reputation as someone who has fixed the roof while

the Sun is shining. He has made us suffer this austerity in order to

improve the economy, but it is a very difficult -- very different

tone from his Orton statement. We are getting conflicting messages,

worst of the effect of, sell everything, the party is over.

Chinese growth is not what we expected, it isn't cataclysmic.

Falling oil prices mainly affects the suppliers of oil. A slight

growth in the world economy by the end of the year was predicted, so

don't panic, was the view. We have had predictions of oil prices going

back by the end of the year. Which one of you is most fascinated by the

world of the space industry? It isn't me. It is so out of this world

that I cannot get my head round it. I am probably a more regular visitor

to the Greenwich Observatory venue, given that I have young children who

are obsessed with the planets. A ninth planet has been found,

according to the California Institute of technology. This planet

is a gas giant, but not a very original name. It is believed to be

ten times as big as Neptune, the eighth this planet from the Sun. I

found myself getting confused with how many planets thereafter. I

thought Pluto was a dwarf planet. I thought it was something to do with

the mass of the planet. I recall an argument about whether it was a

dwarf planet, when we had the mission that flew past it last year.

Scientists have the criteria, I suppose. Even sophisticated

telescopes have not spotted this for donkeys years. This is an

astronomical day, because there has been this once in a lifetime

alignment of planets that means that if you stand at the top of a hill in

the countryside with a telescope, you might just be able to see it. I

memorised the order of the planets after I interviewed an astronomer

earlier on! That picture on the front of the Independent is an

artists impression, it is important to point out. The scientists have

described it as the most planet like planet in the solar system! If they

had that photograph, why didn't they find it before? John, the poppy

seller story from the Telegraph. This is rather sad. This little old

lady, Liz Cooke, a 92-year-old poppy seller in the West Country who took

her own life. -- Liz Cook. She had been swamped by egging letters --

begging letters. There has been an investigation into this by a

fundraising watchdog. In one year, she received 3200 mailings from

charities. We worked that out to be 62 a week. They were all begging

letters. The vast majority for them were unsolicited, sent by groups who

had obtained the address from third parties. I think this really is

terrible. It drives us nuts. very upset indeed about this. And

she was a passionate supporter of good causes. She found it very hard

to say no, so she felt totally overwhelmed by it.

important questions to ask about data protection and who you pass

your address on to. We have all received junk mail, and we might be

able to dismiss them, but if you are sat at home and you receive eight or

nine of the midday, and you are the type of person who feels compelled

to help, these are pretty graphic images of starving children around

the world, and it very sadly drove her to her death. And once you

password details on, it is very hard to stop it. That's it for the time

being. Thank you very much to John and pepper. We will be back at

11:30pm with another look at the stories making the news.