02/07/2017 The Papers


02/07/2017

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Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers will be

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With me are political commentator James Millar,

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Tomorrow's front pages: The FT says a City of London delegation

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will head to Brussels this week to press for

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The Express leads with the crisis talks between EU officials over

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a surge in the number of migrants trying to reach Europe.

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The Telegraph claims the Chancellor Philip Hammond

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is at odds with other senior ministers over the funding

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The Metro says nurses are quitting the NHS in their thousands,

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amid increasing workloads and plunging morale.

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The Guardian claims the UK has ditched its hope of securing a "cake

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and eat it" Brexit deal, and also shows Andy Murray

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practising ahead of beginning the defence of his Wimbledon title

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The Mail says young drivers are being tempted into high levels

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of debt by car dealers offering them new vehicles for no money upfront.

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And the Mirror says 69 refugees have drowned this year while trying

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Let's have a look through those papers. Starting with the Guardian,

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the UK ditches its cake and eat it Brexit stands. Going on about Brexit

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and cake, and you despair sometimes as to how this will all turn out but

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according to the Guardian government insiders are reporting a dramatic

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change of mood. The idea of cake and eat it is controlling your own

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borders and the sort of stuff and having access to the single market.

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And the suggestion is you cannot, and it is going to be difficult and

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messy. One year on, I think they are owning up to that. The media has

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gone from denial, centred on Theresa May saying you can have your cake

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and eat it, and now we are into bargaining, which is what side do

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you want. Hopefully we can skip the anger and depression but really what

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you have this two options, high access and low control, which is

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like the EA, and the other is higher access with economic cost. This has

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been the dilemma since the beginning, it was the dilemma during

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the referendum, of if we leave the EU what kind of deal do we want? The

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fact it has taken a year for the government to at least acknowledged

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it is not particularly encouraging, although at least they are

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acknowledging it now. It is one of the oldest things there is, that you

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can't have your cake and eat it. This is the sort of headline you

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would expect from the Guardian. One thing I would suggest is it is all

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insiders, and I'm issuing its fairly well sourced for them to have it on

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the front like that. It is all doom and gloom. In the sun, we are going

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inside 2-page two. The PM must go in June 20 19. You think she will last

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that long? What is interesting about this is they want her to start her

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departure timetable and say that she will leave on time, after the Brexit

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deal but before the 2020 to general election. If anyone thinks that we

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can get to 2022 without a general election I have a bridge to sell

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them. The Tory party does not want Theresa May as leader, they will not

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forgive her for the election result, but as we discussed on this

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programme before there is not another leader in the wings, and

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clearly the Tory party shadowy figures who make all the decisions

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think it would do more damage to replace her now without a leader.

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There was talk yesterday, when we heard from this former aide to David

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Davis saying that he was hamstrung, and there was talk that maybe David

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Davis is placing himself, maybe, or Philip Hammond, maybe. There is no

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alternative, but there is no shortage of ready exclusively men

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who think they can do the job, but no one actually wants them. If she

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said she was going in June 2019, the idea that these gigantic egos would

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sit on their hands and say the leadership campaign starts in 2019,

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that is just for the birds. They would be all over each other and the

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party for the next two years, trying to jockey for position. Is quite

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contradictory, really. Senior Tories want her to spell out her departure

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timetable, exactly what you just said. If she spells out the

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timetable now, there is zero chance of her or anyone else getting

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anything done for the next two years but if we were in any doubt that the

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Tory party was not happy with her, this would clarify things. Which

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means perhaps that Jeremy Corbyn is very secure. He can put his troubles

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to one side. His position as leader is more secure now following the

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election. Certainly his position is more secure than Theresa May's. Even

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though he lost the election, somehow. But obviously last week we

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had the Queen 's speech stuff, and where Labour exactly sits on the EU

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and what their policy really is, he is back in Parliament, he had a

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pretty torrid time when he was leaving with his MPs before the

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election, and I suspect we will slide back into Labour chaos as

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well. I don't think it will take particularly long, I think the

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divide is on the EU will come to the forefront very soon. We have 49 MPs

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vote against what the party MPs were telling them to do, he sacked some

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of his frontbenchers, some resigned. Those issues have not gone away and

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as soon as he makes a mistake I think they are waiting to try and

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oust him. Good luck. Let's turn to the Times, and Theresa May began on

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the front page. This time her terror plans are being condemned. It is

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this never-ending chipping away at her authority. Yes, exactly. It is a

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different angle. In some ways a better angle, because the Guardian

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stories are essentially tittle tattle and sources. This is her

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independent reviewer of counterterrorism legislation

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suggesting that the idea that you have to find Facebook and Google for

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not taking down extremist content is both unnecessary and unworkable --

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fine. And it is her own watchdog, as well. That is what is really

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damaging about it, is that this is kind of the centre of her anti-

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extremism or counterterrorism proposals, and she has got her own

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watchdog criticising her for it. I think what you have got here, and

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you also have it in those comments that Amber Rudd made a while back

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about encryption, is that the people in government don't necessarily

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understand the technology, and they want policies, obviously they want

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to keep us safe, and they want policies which look like that is

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what they are doing, but if they don't understand the technology they

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don't have a hope of doing anything remotely workable. And obviously the

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Home Office is her stomping ground. It is very much a home Office

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mentality, isn't it? Staying with the times, and the top of the page.

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Britain braced for a snap Trump visit after attack goes viral.

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President Trump may drop in and visit reason. He has a gap in his

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diary between the G20 Summit and his next engagement, a lovely way of

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introducing a story. Basically if he is going to come to the UK, he is

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not going to meet the Queen, he is going to meet Theresa May, he is

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going to visit his golf course, so that is his priority, and you get a

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sense that the reason it will be so short notice, 24 hours' notice, is

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because his people don't want time for there to be a protest. I mean,

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good luck with that in Scotland. You can organise protests pretty

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quickly. You also worry it is because he has no idea what he is

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going to do next. That he might say I am going to go to Scotland and

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play golf. I like the fact that they call it a snap Trump visit, because

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the snap election went so well. So the end of this week, possibly? It

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is before he goes to Bastille Day, after the G20, before July finishes.

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Looking at the express and the Mirror, and it is migrants

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dominating their front pages. We have the EU in crisis over boat

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migrants, and migrants on cost at beaches. Two very different

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approaches to the same story. It is largely a story because the weather

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has improved, leading to more attempts to get across the

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Mediterranean. But whereas the Express claims that Europe is under

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siege from these migrants, which is just ridiculous, because these

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people are in no condition to besiege anything, the Mirror calls

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it an avalanche, which is a sort of natural occurrence. It is a very

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interesting exercise in different ways of approaching the same story.

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You have the Mirror referring to it as tragic, as hell. The weight... I

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looked at the story on the inside pages and it talks about children

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who have died, profiling some of them, and it talks about the

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tourists who are on these beaches, and their take on the grief and the

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tragedy that they are seeing could not be more different to the Express

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story, which is all quotes from mainly UKIP representatives or

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former UKIP representatives, talking about how this shows that the EU

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needs to reform its migration and asylum policy, which maybe it does,

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but they are really using that story as a way in to criticise the EU.

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Let's turn to the Mail. This story has been building over the last few

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months in the papers. It is par loans. It is an interesting one. It

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is a consumer sort of story, it works for Daily Mail readers, people

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like your normal people who have cars, and it ticks a lot of boxes.

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In this country we have politicians, journalists and bankers who are all

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a bit dodgy, and they are going for car salesman. Because there is no

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one more dodgy than a car salesman. Sitting in his lime green armchair,

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like that is the worst thing they have. But there is something serious

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because from what they are reporting, young people are walking

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in off the street without an apparent income and being offered

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loans of thousands of pounds, and it kind of snacks of the financial

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crisis, and a sort of pyramid scheme. It just sounds

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unsustainable. Lee Mack and they do make that point that this is

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consumer debt again, people who clearly don't have the means to pay.

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Sometimes who are themselves in credit card debt, being encouraged

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to take on loans that they can't afford to pay back. Because there

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are so many stages in between the people who hold the debt and the

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people who are taking about that it seems so removed that it seems a

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really good idea and there is definitely the sense, reading the

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story, but this is something that could blow up very badly. It is

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being being compared to the sub-prime mortgage crisis. Let's go

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back to the Guardian, and we are talking Wimbledon. Stroppy Zen

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cream. Two different players on that page -- strawberries and cream. The

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Daily Mail and the Telegraph have gone with a pretty young lady, well

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done, she has got into Wimbledon, and I wish her the best. But there

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might be something behind it. They have gone for a full-length shot

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whereas the Guardian picture of Andy Murray is Andy Murray looking

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aggressive and actually playing tennis rather than looking all

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demure. I can see why you you pass that one over. I agree, it would be

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great if she was playing or if they had a picture of Johanna Konta, our

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actual hope of winning the women's title. Again, best of luck to the

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wild card. She will love the fact that she is on the front page of the

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Daily Telegraph. Would she? All would she rather be on it for

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winning a match and playing tennis, rather than being a pretty young

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lady? Yes, you need a favourite, really, don't you? One I hope she

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wins tomorrow, and I hope she is on the front page on Tuesday. And I

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will be watching Andy Murray very closely. The women's title is also

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wide open at the moment, because Serena Williams is pregnant, Maria

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Sharapova can't play at the moment for a variety of reasons. Will it be

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another Venus Williams, you have federate, you have Andy Murray, you

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have Nadal, you have Djokovic Tom are all playing in the men's game,

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and the women's game is wide open. Johanna Konta all the way.

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Coming up next, it is The Film Review.

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