30/03/2017 This Week


30/03/2017

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Why would you ever want to leave the EU?

:00:12.:00:16.

But we are because most of us want to.

:00:17.:00:26.

But can we make it a bloody good British success?

:00:27.:00:32.

Brexit's coming and Mrs May says its time to pull together.

:00:33.:00:35.

Tea and have your cake and eat it, Prime Minister.

:00:36.:00:44.

I don't know how it's going to happen, but I do think

:00:45.:00:46.

Oh, little Britain will be bigger, more confident and better off

:00:47.:01:00.

Britain, Britain, Britain - with the best TV show,

:01:01.:01:18.

This Week, and our dogs are relatively rabies free.

:01:19.:01:23.

We're leaving and it's all thanks to the peoples of Britain.

:01:24.:01:26.

And I start with the momentous news that we have triggered our

:01:27.:01:41.

Yes, tonight we've written to the director general of the BBC,

:01:42.:01:47.

at his headquarters in the Cayman Islands,

:01:48.:01:50.

to inform him we've had enough of living in the shadow of a large,

:01:51.:01:54.

lumbering giant, unelected, undemocratic and unknown

:01:55.:01:56.

beyond a small circle of political obsessives.

:01:57.:01:59.

We're throwing off the shackles of BBC Yentobs, we're taking back

:02:00.:02:04.

control and we're sailing full steam ahead towards our very own red,

:02:05.:02:08.

Yes folks, we're off to a new prime time slot on Trump TV.

:02:09.:02:33.

We will, of course, maintain a deep and special

:02:34.:02:37.

But any attempt to make us pay for all the Blue Nun we've drunk

:02:38.:02:40.

over the years will result in the immediate withdrawal

:02:41.:02:40.

of Molly the Guard Dog from BBC security duty.

:02:41.:02:41.

No, the pedants among you will say there's no such thing as Trump TV,

:02:42.:02:41.

which can only mean you've not watched Fox News.

:02:42.:02:41.

More important, the only alternative was the 10.00pm

:02:42.:02:42.

Now, I know we're bad, but we're not that bad!

:02:43.:02:46.

I'm joined on the sofa tonight by two salty old sea dogs that

:02:47.:02:49.

Think of them of the dogs and bollocks of late

:02:50.:02:54.

I speak of course of Liz #FourPercent Kendall

:02:55.:02:57.

Stop laughing. Michael, your moment of the week? It has to be the

:02:58.:03:09.

triggering of Article 50. It's the moment of, I don't know, several

:03:10.:03:13.

decades There was a time I might of dreamed of being part of an

:03:14.:03:17.

administration that would lead Britain out of the European Union.

:03:18.:03:21.

It would have been a dream. I don't know whether to compare it with the

:03:22.:03:26.

French Revolution or the American independence but I will compare it

:03:27.:03:29.

to the separation of the Czech Republic and Slovakia. It's a very

:03:30.:03:33.

big moment and history books will be written about how it happened. Very

:03:34.:03:39.

well. That big. Your moment. I can't not say triggering Article 50

:03:40.:03:42.

either. Hard to get away from it, isn't it? It's definitely the

:03:43.:03:46.

biggest political moment of my lifetime. There were so many things

:03:47.:03:50.

from the day, but one of the things that really struck me was when

:03:51.:03:56.

Donald Tusk said, "we miss you already." For me... He was very

:03:57.:04:03.

emotional, wasn't he? Polish, close allies of Britain in the European

:04:04.:04:08.

Union? A reminder that our past and I still hope our future are

:04:09.:04:12.

intimately linked. They are long-term friends and allies. We are

:04:13.:04:15.

going to need to have that at the forefront of our minds with these

:04:16.:04:18.

difficult negotiations in the years ahead. It will probably surprise you

:04:19.:04:25.

both, we will come back to this. We are going straight to it now.

:04:26.:04:30.

So the long and winding road to divorce from

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For some, it's a matter of excitement.

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Here on This Week, for example, panic buying of Blue Nun gripped

:04:36.:04:39.

the team lest punitive tariffs are slapped on German white wine.

:04:40.:04:42.

Predictably, they've drunk all these fresh stocks already.

:04:43.:04:43.

But for a part of the political elite that played such a prominent

:04:44.:04:47.

role in the Remain campaign, there's still a reluctance to come

:04:48.:04:49.

to terms with the result and the fervent hope that somehow,

:04:50.:04:52.

somewhere, the decision taken last June the 23rd can be reversed.

:04:53.:05:08.

Here's former spin doctor-in-chief, now editor-at-large

:05:09.:05:10.

of the New European, Alastair Campbell,

:05:11.:05:11.

And now is the time, says Theresa May, we all have

:05:12.:05:24.

Well, I'm sorry, Mrs May, you've got about as much chance of that

:05:25.:05:29.

as the Health Service getting ?350 million extra this week.

:05:30.:05:35.

So I'm going to do my bit, editor-at-large, no less,

:05:36.:05:48.

I don't think I've ever known the country so divided.

:05:49.:05:51.

Scotland, there's Nicola Sturgeon setting out why she thinks

:05:52.:05:53.

Of course, Mrs May says it's going to cause division,

:05:54.:05:57.

Not like her Brexit strategy, of course.

:05:58.:05:59.

I was at Martin McGuinness' funeral last week and of course a lot

:06:00.:06:04.

of talk was about Martin and tributes to him,

:06:05.:06:06.

but there was an awful lot of talk about Brexit,

:06:07.:06:09.

the possible return of a hard border and a weaker economy,

:06:10.:06:11.

and the damage that could do to the peace process.

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There's a couple of things Theresa May really thinks

:06:15.:06:16.

One, is the Brextremist right-wing newspapers

:06:17.:06:19.

are wonderful and the other is her deep seated belief that

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Jeremy Corbyn's never going to be elected Prime Minister.

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That's my old office, in Number Ten there.

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You know, I was involved in quite a lot of European

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I think she's going to find Mr Barnier a lot tougher

:06:42.:06:46.

than she found seeing off Johnson and Gove for the Tory leadership.

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Whatever you might read in the Brextremist newspapers,

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Mrs May doesn't even have a united Cabinet on this.

:06:51.:06:58.

I bumped into one of her ministers the other day,

:06:59.:07:00.

he said they're not even allowed to raise concerns about her policy

:07:01.:07:03.

And he said to me, "you've got to keep going with your campaign."

:07:04.:07:13.

I accept I'm in a minority when I say that I think Brexit can

:07:14.:07:17.

be stopped, but I don't believe I am in a minority in saying

:07:18.:07:20.

I don't know what the mechanism is going to be, but I believe it can

:07:21.:07:25.

happen, I believe it will happen and I believe it must happen.

:07:26.:07:28.

And Alastair Campbell is with us now.

:07:29.:07:31.

Welcome to the programme. Thank you. What is the evidence that a majority

:07:32.:07:38.

want to stop it? Where did you get that from? I have good instinctses

:07:39.:07:43.

about things. That is not evidence? I don't believe the polls, if you

:07:44.:07:46.

are going to throw a few polls at me. I do events around different

:07:47.:07:50.

parts of the country, every single event I do at the moment I ask three

:07:51.:07:54.

questions - are you optimistic or pessimistic about Brexit? Are you

:07:55.:07:58.

optimistic or pessimistic about Donald Trump and do you think Jeremy

:07:59.:08:02.

Corbyn can be Prime Minister by 2020? And I would say that people

:08:03.:08:09.

are overwhelmingly pessimistic about Brexit. Utterly pessimistic about

:08:10.:08:15.

Trump and most people think Jeremy Corbyn hasn't a hope. Your meetings

:08:16.:08:29.

are anecdotes. Consumer spending doesn't show people are pessimistic

:08:30.:08:32.

at all or they wouldn't be spending. I don't see how you can be for or

:08:33.:08:39.

against it. The idea there is a majority in this country gagging to

:08:40.:08:40.

stop Brexit you are becoming delusional? They are not necessarily

:08:41.:08:44.

gagging. Those who are de-Lewesal who are living in la la lapped if

:08:45.:08:49.

they think in two years they can put together a deal they have been

:08:50.:08:54.

promising. You do a good job at holding ministers to account. But

:08:55.:08:57.

because we don't have the opposition that we should be having, we have

:08:58.:09:03.

had a situation where even since the referendum we have gone from, we

:09:04.:09:06.

will definitely stay in the single market. We are out. Will be in the

:09:07.:09:11.

customs union. Now we are out. Who said the single market? Boris

:09:12.:09:16.

Johnson. No I didn't I have tape of him during the referendum campaign

:09:17.:09:19.

saying they would leave the single market and so did Michael Gove. You

:09:20.:09:25.

are rewriting history. He is on-the-record saying he will have to

:09:26.:09:29.

leave? I'm telling you what he said to me. I have the tapes. You have no

:09:30.:09:36.

evidence to say he said we would stay in the single market. This is

:09:37.:09:40.

with a they do. Now not Boris Johnson? Nigel Farage doesn't bother

:09:41.:09:45.

with the ?350 million he said he didn't say, that Boris did. They

:09:46.:09:49.

dance around. They do not - the public were lied to. They have not

:09:50.:09:53.

been properly held to account for. That as they realise they will not

:09:54.:09:58.

get the deal the promises made are not being fulfilled I think an awful

:09:59.:10:01.

lot - You hope rather than think. Can Brexit be stopped? I don't know

:10:02.:10:07.

whether it can or not. It certainly shouldn't be. I don't think it will

:10:08.:10:10.

be. I would like Alastair and Tony Blair to campaign for it to be

:10:11.:10:15.

stopped day after day I think they are powerfully helping to solidify

:10:16.:10:19.

opinion. I think your intervention against the democratic will is quite

:10:20.:10:23.

offensive to a lot of people. It's part of democracy for people to

:10:24.:10:26.

change their minds. I think people are changing their minds. There I I

:10:27.:10:33.

think you are delusional. If people are change it's a solidify caution

:10:34.:10:37.

of their view. I'm pessimistic about the negotiations. The reason I am is

:10:38.:10:41.

that I think the European Union will make the wrong decision. The right

:10:42.:10:45.

decision will be to have an amicable settlement with the British and the

:10:46.:10:48.

wrong decision would be because they are so defensive to have an

:10:49.:10:51.

acronymous settlement with the British. The fact is that the

:10:52.:10:55.

European Union can be relied upon always to make the wrong decision.

:10:56.:10:58.

The creation of the euro, wrong decision. Creation of free movement

:10:59.:11:03.

of people, wrong decision. Creation of the Common Agriculture Policy,

:11:04.:11:06.

wrong decision. Why do they make the wrong decision, they are obsessed

:11:07.:11:12.

with moving closer closer European Union. That means they make

:11:13.:11:22.

political not economic choices. Hold on. They have have created political

:11:23.:11:53.

institutions instead of concentrating (loss of sound) Do you

:11:54.:11:54.

think it can be stopped? There is always a possibility of it being

:11:55.:11:54.

stopped. There are clearly - there are a significant minority who want

:11:55.:11:55.

a second referendum. I don't yet sense a substantial majority. Where

:11:56.:11:55.

I think Alastair - Do you want to see a second referendum? No, I

:11:56.:11:56.

don't. I think we need to hold the Government to account far more

:11:57.:11:57.

effectively. I'd like to see us have more fight against a no deal Brexit,

:11:58.:12:00.

which I think will be will be a disaster for the country. I disagree

:12:01.:12:05.

with Michael on Europe making the wrong decision. I was in Berlin last

:12:06.:12:11.

week and it's quite clear that there is a strong sense that Europe has

:12:12.:12:16.

got to sort out the problems of the Eurozone. Has got to sort out the

:12:17.:12:20.

issues with security and migration. This is actually bringing them

:12:21.:12:24.

together to focus more on what matters to people. The Rome

:12:25.:12:29.

declaration had no substance in it at all. It became clear that Britain

:12:30.:12:34.

is not the only person, as a member, getting Europe together. Even

:12:35.:12:37.

without Britain they can't really agree what to do. I wouldn't be sure

:12:38.:12:42.

about that. I want to come back to Alastair. You said you didn't know

:12:43.:12:45.

how it would happen yet to stop it. No. Would a second referendum,

:12:46.:12:48.

referendum on the deal. You can argue - I think that is probably the

:12:49.:12:53.

only way. Or there could be another way, this is more difficult given

:12:54.:12:56.

what you said about the state of the Labour Party. If she gets a deal,

:12:57.:13:00.

she could go to the country on the deal? She could. On current, the way

:13:01.:13:05.

things are at the moment, she would probably win that. Your side would

:13:06.:13:08.

have a better chance, I would suggest, on a referendum? I mean,

:13:09.:13:12.

one of the reasons why I'm pet putting as much energy into this as

:13:13.:13:16.

I can is because I really do think it's the most pressing issue facing

:13:17.:13:20.

the country. I think there is something tragic about the fact that

:13:21.:13:24.

she's gone over there with this very hard Brexit policy. The Labour Party

:13:25.:13:34.

does, I'm afraid, can't get its act together for a inwithing strategy.

:13:35.:13:37.

The SNP is on the march in Scotland. You end up, you have the Lib Dems

:13:38.:13:44.

really that are really saying we want a second referendum. You will

:13:45.:13:49.

not join them? No. There will be a churn in politics. We are in that

:13:50.:13:54.

age. I said in the film I don't know what the mechanism is. If you think

:13:55.:13:58.

that six months ago nobody thought Trump would be President. A year ago

:13:59.:14:01.

none of us thought Brexit would happen. I think a lot of stuff will

:14:02.:14:05.

happen. I think people are going to get very angry, very, very quickly

:14:06.:14:09.

about what Brexit will do to Britain. For you to be right, for

:14:10.:14:14.

you to get your way, things have to go wrong. Either the negotiations

:14:15.:14:31.

I don't agree. My point was for you to get your way, it really all has

:14:32.:14:52.

to go to hell in a hand basket and wishing that to happen is not a good

:14:53.:14:56.

thing. I'm not wishing it to happen but I honestly believe the

:14:57.:14:59.

negotiations will be far more difficult than the country's been

:15:00.:15:02.

told they are. We have an awful lot to lose. They are not being honest

:15:03.:15:06.

about it. Alastair turns things on their head. Mrs May is not going to

:15:07.:15:14.

Europe with a hard Brexit. It's been said the free movement of people is

:15:15.:15:18.

an integral part of the single market, which is tosh, it's not.

:15:19.:15:22.

Free movement of Labour might be part of the single market. It's a

:15:23.:15:27.

bad decision. It's about creating the single European state.

:15:28.:15:40.

If your party had been convinced, you would have probably won the

:15:41.:15:47.

referendum? It's possible. I think that is another thing that fuels

:15:48.:15:51.

people's anger about this. You can't just blame it on Jeremy Corbyn. I

:15:52.:15:54.

put a lot of the blame on David Cameron for having the referendum

:15:55.:15:58.

and for fighting the campaign that he did. But you can't have a

:15:59.:16:03.

situation in our country. Our democracy depends on having a strong

:16:04.:16:05.

Government that sets out what it's going to do and it has a strong

:16:06.:16:09.

opposition that at least has the outside chance of winning an

:16:10.:16:12.

election. We keep on having a referendum where we get a clear-cut

:16:13.:16:16.

result, some closer than others. It was clear-cut, but it was close. The

:16:17.:16:19.

same in the Scottish referendum. The people who lost the Scottish

:16:20.:16:22.

referendum, they want another referendum. You lost Brexit, you

:16:23.:16:25.

want another referendum. Here is a question I want to ask you, Liz,

:16:26.:16:29.

because you would think if the negotiations go wrong, if it becomes

:16:30.:16:33.

messy, if it's not clear cut that we are going to get a proper deal, you

:16:34.:16:37.

could say things could begin to move Alastair's way. On the other hand,

:16:38.:16:42.

the British might think, why are the Europeans being so beastly to I us,

:16:43.:16:47.

they could become more Brexit? I can see that very easily happening where

:16:48.:16:50.

all the blame is on Europe. My view of it is, if you decide to leave a

:16:51.:16:55.

club, stop paying subs, you don't want to abide by the rules, you are

:16:56.:17:00.

not going to be able to use the facilities. Most British people

:17:01.:17:03.

would understand that actually as being a reasonable position, but we

:17:04.:17:08.

have to set the agenda. You know, I do not believe that those of us who

:17:09.:17:13.

want to see a good deal and would like us to still be in the single

:17:14.:17:18.

market and customs union and cooperate on security, we are not

:17:19.:17:22.

extreme or unpatriotic, we are standing founder people's interests

:17:23.:17:26.

and part of the problem is that anybody who questions things is

:17:27.:17:29.

shouted down for being unpatriotic and that part of the... I'm not

:17:30.:17:33.

going to shout you down, but one more question. I want to stand back

:17:34.:17:37.

a bit, Alastair. I understand why people who wanted to remain are

:17:38.:17:43.

upset that they lost and in many cases quite sad about it. I'm

:17:44.:17:48.

slightly puzzled why you feel so strongly about it because you are on

:17:49.:17:51.

the left. Why does the EU matter so much to you? It's created absolute

:17:52.:17:57.

misery in Greece. There's mass youth unemployment all across the

:17:58.:18:01.

Mediterranean. There's been scler rottic growth for ten years, social

:18:02.:18:08.

democracy is in retreat just about everywhere -- scleroitc. And a club

:18:09.:18:12.

class elite is at the heart of Brussels. Why is the left, someone

:18:13.:18:15.

like you so strong? Two reasons. One I think for all the faults and

:18:16.:18:19.

problems, the European Union has played a very big role in helping to

:18:20.:18:23.

deliver several decades of relative peace and prosperity for most

:18:24.:18:26.

people. But the other thing I think is the fact that so many young

:18:27.:18:34.

people... 25% youth unemployment in Europe. I'm talking about Britain.

:18:35.:18:38.

Any Government that governs against its own people is a Government

:18:39.:18:42.

doomed to fail. Most young people, they are not thinking in this sort

:18:43.:18:46.

of fairly narrow nationalistic terms. I think they feel their

:18:47.:18:49.

future's being taken away from them. All right. I'm speaking for the

:18:50.:18:54.

young, an true. Not your generation or Michael's generation. It's Liz's

:18:55.:18:58.

generation I'm talking about. You charmer, Alastair. Clearly not mine.

:18:59.:19:03.

Alastair Campbell, good to see you, thank you.

:19:04.:19:08.

Now it's late, dark web with Amber Rudd late.

:19:09.:19:10.

Yes, the Home Secretary's been going after Whatsapp

:19:11.:19:12.

allegedly to fight terrorism, but we know what she's really up to.

:19:13.:19:15.

She's trying to slip into This Week database

:19:16.:19:17.

Well, Home Secretary, I've got news for you.

:19:18.:19:21.

If your cyber geeks ever do manage to break our digital defences

:19:22.:19:23.

they'll find the This Week vault is empty!

:19:24.:19:25.

Which, since you're a regular viewer, should have been

:19:26.:19:29.

Anyway, waiting in the wings is model Daisy Lowe,

:19:30.:19:38.

here to put confidence in our Spotlight.

:19:39.:19:40.

For once, stay away from all social media unless you're using

:19:41.:19:43.

the necessary hashtags, as Amber Rudd wrongly put it.

:19:44.:19:45.

Use pointers, handwritten letters, slide rules, telegrams

:19:46.:19:48.

MI5 have no idea how to intercept any of that.

:19:49.:19:56.

Now, the triggering of Article 50 is reverberating

:19:57.:20:01.

in every nook and cranny of British political life.

:20:02.:20:04.

I'm told they speak of nothing else, even in such remote gathering points

:20:05.:20:10.

as the Kilted Numpty, my favourite hostelry

:20:11.:20:12.

Yes despite this heightened awareness of matters politic,

:20:13.:20:16.

or perhaps because of it, the Labour party is sinking faster

:20:17.:20:21.

down the manhole of political oblivion than the proverbial off

:20:22.:20:24.

a shovel, Nigel Farage has abandoned politics to bend bananas

:20:25.:20:28.

in his local Tesco's and Larry the Downing Street Cat has

:20:29.:20:31.

asked to be transferred to Angela Merkel's office.

:20:32.:20:33.

He says the German Chancellor has a better sense

:20:34.:20:36.

Which tells you just about everything when it

:20:37.:20:40.

And, not be outdone, Nicola "Angry" Sturgeon,

:20:41.:20:44.

has announced she's going to rebuild Hadrian's wall and make

:20:45.:20:47.

the English pay for it in new pounds coins; well,

:20:48.:20:51.

it's her best idea so far to secure a decent currency.

:20:52.:20:54.

Here's John Pienaar with the rest of the political week.

:20:55.:21:05.

# You keep playing me like a fruit machine.

:21:06.:21:07.

# Putting in change systemically...#.

:21:08.:21:10.

I don't know about you, but I like a bit of a flutter,

:21:11.:21:14.

not much, just what I can afford to lose, a bit like Brexit,

:21:15.:21:17.

at least if you happen to be one of those -

:21:18.:21:20.

let's give it a go, what have we got to lose,

:21:21.:21:23.

Didn't sound like a gamble during the referendum, though.

:21:24.:21:31.

Wasn't it meant to be a win, win - free trade with Europe,

:21:32.:21:34.

Now ministers, including Brexiteers and old remainers,

:21:35.:21:37.

like the Prime Minister, when she launched Brexit this week,

:21:38.:21:40.

are crossing their fingers and hoping the Europeans play nicely.

:21:41.:21:45.

After all, we Brits like to play nicely.

:21:46.:21:49.

I have set out a clear and ambitious plan for the negotiations ahead.

:21:50.:21:53.

It is a plan for a new, deep and special partnership between

:21:54.:21:58.

A partnership of values, a partnership of interests,

:21:59.:22:05.

a partnership based on co-operation in areas such as security

:22:06.:22:07.

Because perhaps now more than ever, the world needs the liberal

:22:08.:22:12.

Well, at least it's game on now, it's just taken the best part

:22:13.:22:22.

of a year to pull up a chair, now, it's about winning and losing.

:22:23.:22:25.

And the truth is, when the Brexit game starts, Britain

:22:26.:22:29.

will expect to do both - lose some on budget payments,

:22:30.:22:31.

win some, lose some on immigration control and win, well,

:22:32.:22:35.

we're going to win back control and this's something, isn't it?

:22:36.:22:39.

Not Jeremy Corbyn though, He's hoping to win whatever happens,

:22:40.:22:43.

some of his side believe taht he's a secret Brexiteer.

:22:44.:22:47.

He denies that, saying it can't be true.

:22:48.:22:49.

Even if he is a bit of a secret sceptic, he doesn't want to back any

:22:50.:22:53.

deal Theresa May gets and, just to be sure, he's demanding

:22:54.:22:57.

she walk away from the deal with exactly the same benefits

:22:58.:23:00.

as a full EU member, and nothing else will do.

:23:01.:23:04.

Labour will not give this Government a free hand to use

:23:05.:23:09.

Brexit to attack rights, protections and cut services

:23:10.:23:14.

So let me be clear, Mr Speaker, the Prime Minister says that no deal

:23:15.:23:24.

But the reality is, no deal is a bad deal.

:23:25.:23:34.

Which all sounded pretty tough and it might have worked if only

:23:35.:23:38.

most of his MPs hadn't already decided that Jeremy couldn't pull

:23:39.:23:42.

A lot of those same MPs, by the way, didn't dare oppose Brexit,

:23:43.:23:48.

even if secretly they agreed with Nick - I mean, Tim.

:23:49.:23:50.

Our children and our grandchildren will judge all of us

:23:51.:23:54.

I am determined that I will look my children in the eye

:23:55.:24:01.

and be able to say that I did everything to prevent this

:24:02.:24:06.

calamity that the Prime Minister has today chosen.

:24:07.:24:10.

We're leaving, he's won, even if his party can't any more.

:24:11.:24:16.

25 years I've been battling for this and standing in by-elections

:24:17.:24:23.

and fighting and being told I was daft and silly and it

:24:24.:24:26.

So, in a sense, for me, today's the day the impossible dream came true.

:24:27.:24:31.

Europe's hurting over the break-up, Donald Tusk,

:24:32.:24:34.

You could almost have set his farewell to music.

:24:35.:24:39.

There's no reason to pretend that this is a happy

:24:40.:24:44.

day neither in Brussels nor in London.

:24:45.:24:51.

What can I add to this, we already miss you.

:24:52.:25:01.

Angela Merkel doesn't get sad, she gets even -

:25:02.:25:11.

no trade deal until after the divorce, she says.

:25:12.:25:13.

The president of the European Parliament, he says -

:25:14.:25:17.

don't even think about changing migrants right until we leave

:25:18.:25:20.

As for the Union, the British one that is, the Government

:25:21.:25:26.

of Northern Ireland looks shaky and just listen to Nicola Sturgeon.

:25:27.:25:29.

This is simply about giving people in Scotland a choice.

:25:30.:25:33.

We agree that now is not the right time for that choice,

:25:34.:25:37.

but that choice should be available to people in Scotland when the terms

:25:38.:25:42.

Poor Jeremy Corbyn, I expect he could just do with a nice

:25:43.:25:46.

The polls look dismal, his staff keep walking out

:25:47.:25:51.

and his friends just seem to add to the pressure, even when they're

:25:52.:25:54.

I'm hoping that he's given an opportunity to put

:25:55.:26:01.

the alternatives that Labour are building to the British

:26:02.:26:04.

electorate and, hopefully, we'll see if he can break

:26:05.:26:08.

through and the opinion polls begin to change.

:26:09.:26:11.

I would suggest that the next 15 months or so will give

:26:12.:26:14.

Just now, Brexit is the only game in town and at least

:26:15.:26:21.

Theresa May sound up for it, she's going to need to be.

:26:22.:26:24.

Your Brexit Minister, David Davis, he said that there will be a free

:26:25.:26:28.

trade deal which will quote, "deliver the exact same

:26:29.:26:31.

What we're both looking for is that comprehensive free trade agreement

:26:32.:26:43.

which gives that ability to trade freely into the European

:26:44.:26:46.

It can't be the same benefit, can it?

:26:47.:26:48.

It will be a different relationship, but I think it can have the same

:26:49.:26:54.

benefits in terms of that free access to trade.

:26:55.:26:56.

# You keep playing me like a fruit machine #.

:26:57.:26:58.

Joining me now is Ukip's Deputy Chair and Health spokesperson,

:26:59.:27:31.

With her is the only Scottish weapon more powerful than Trident,

:27:32.:27:39.

the modern day William Wallace, the shining light, beacon of hope,

:27:40.:27:42.

the Celtic Casanova himself, John #SNPSuperstar Nicolson.

:27:43.:27:48.

Welcome to you both. Suzanne, Article 50 allows for only two

:27:49.:27:53.

years, we have to settle the terms of the divorce, that's going to be

:27:54.:27:58.

complicated. We have to agree new relationship with the EU, that's

:27:59.:28:02.

going to be even more complicated. Can that really be done in two

:28:03.:28:05.

years? This is the worry I've always had. I think Article 50 was probably

:28:06.:28:09.

write within the intention that it was never going to be used. I often

:28:10.:28:14.

wondered where the two-year period came from because, as anyone who's

:28:15.:28:17.

been through a divorce knows it can take a heck of a lot longer. It puts

:28:18.:28:22.

the pressure on to try to get everything sorted as quickly as

:28:23.:28:26.

possible. That has to be in ours and the EU's best interests. The

:28:27.:28:30.

timetable is even tougher than two years, John, because Mr Barnier,

:28:31.:28:33.

heading up the negotiations, he wants to deal to be agreed by

:28:34.:28:38.

October 2018 because he wants to allow time, another six months, for

:28:39.:28:44.

the 27 governments to ratify. Now let me point out, the real

:28:45.:28:49.

negotiations will start after the German elections are out of the way

:28:50.:28:52.

in the last Sunday of September. All of that cannot be done in a year? I

:28:53.:28:58.

completely agree and we know as well that they can't even agree how they

:28:59.:29:02.

are going to negotiate because Mrs Merkel has said now is not the time

:29:03.:29:07.

to the Prime Minister when she said we want to do simultaneous

:29:08.:29:11.

negotiations, we want the divorce and the new settlement. What she

:29:12.:29:15.

said is, you've got to have the divorce first before we start to

:29:16.:29:19.

talk about the terms. How can they possibly do that in the amount of

:29:20.:29:22.

time that they are setting aside? And you couldn't possibly have a

:29:23.:29:26.

second referendum as a result because that's your timetable up to

:29:27.:29:30.

October 2018? Well, you know what the Prime Minister's said. I know

:29:31.:29:34.

what Nicola Sturgeon's said. And what Nicola Sturgeon's said as well.

:29:35.:29:38.

At some level we have got to take the Prime Minister at her word,

:29:39.:29:42.

haven't we? She's said, and David Davis has said, that they are aiming

:29:43.:29:46.

for this timetable. I certainly think that we'll have a sense of

:29:47.:29:51.

what the deal is likely to be in 18 months. You couldn't have a second

:29:52.:29:55.

referendum on the basis of a sense? Well... Definitely not. Well, at the

:29:56.:30:00.

moment, we are having to argue to have the second referendum, so we've

:30:01.:30:04.

not quite got to that stage yet. But I think we will have a sense because

:30:05.:30:08.

so far the Prime Minister's refused to say what the British hand is.

:30:09.:30:16.

The 27 members will leak like a sieve. We will know what the British

:30:17.:30:23.

position is - You would rather have a referendum on the business of

:30:24.:30:30.

leaks? That is nonsense. Don't you remember Dennis Healy, when you are

:30:31.:30:34.

in a hole stop digging. We don't know what the date of a referendum

:30:35.:30:40.

will be. What I would say is, when the 27 member states have their

:30:41.:30:45.

ratification process, that has to be the time, surely, that the Scots are

:30:46.:30:50.

also allowed to have a Kay. How can the 27 have a say and Scotland not?

:30:51.:30:55.

Because you are part of the United Kingdom. We know that. But it goes

:30:56.:31:00.

against all sense of natural justice. When you look, particularly

:31:01.:31:07.

when you see in the context - we have French elections first of all.

:31:08.:31:12.

The council of ministers meeting at the end of April, Francois Hollande

:31:13.:31:15.

is going there. He is irrelevant to it. It could take a while to form a

:31:16.:31:24.

new French government this summer. They don't have a big presence in

:31:25.:31:29.

the French Assembly. Then the summer and then the German elections. Isn't

:31:30.:31:33.

a transitional period almost inevitable? That may be. Although I

:31:34.:31:37.

don't think the sort of political decision that has to be made is all

:31:38.:31:42.

that complicated. As I said earlier, it's either, kind of, acronymous or

:31:43.:31:48.

it's fairly harmonious. That is - those are the dials set by the

:31:49.:31:53.

politicians. I have agree that, you know, the negotiations between

:31:54.:31:56.

officials could be very complex and they could go off into a

:31:57.:32:00.

transitional period. But the political decision can be taken once

:32:01.:32:03.

the German elections are over. I don't think they will be taken then.

:32:04.:32:08.

I think they will be taken at the 59th minute of the 11th hour. In

:32:09.:32:13.

March 2019? That is EU tradition. Everything is left to the last

:32:14.:32:47.

possible moment. It's those two politicians who matter. It's quite

:32:48.:32:48.

hard, even if it's goodwill on all sides to get the divorce done, to

:32:49.:32:48.

get our new relationship with the EU done, a year, 18 months. I don't

:32:49.:32:49.

think it will be possible. Part of me gets a sense that the public just

:32:50.:32:50.

want a bit more honesty and realism in this debate about how long it

:32:51.:32:53.

will take and the trade offs and difficult decision that is will

:32:54.:32:53.

inevitably be required. I think the French election would obviously have

:32:54.:33:02.

a big difference whether Mac o ron or Le Pen works. That is a threat to

:33:03.:33:06.

the EU and Brexit is a side show. Exactly. I don't know if too much of

:33:07.:33:13.

a difference in Germany, Merkel is more pragmatic. He is more

:33:14.:33:18.

anti-British. More concerned about sorting out the internal problems of

:33:19.:33:22.

the Eurozone. Let me ask you this. Should we be prepared to play a

:33:23.:33:27.

multi-billion pound divorce fee? I don't think so. No. If you look at

:33:28.:33:31.

the amount of money we put in since we joined the European Union, over

:33:32.:33:38.

500 billion. We have 9 billion in the European Investment Bank. That

:33:39.:33:41.

is the gross figure? Absolutely. The money that we have invested in the

:33:42.:33:47.

European Union has enabled it to build a massive great big buildings,

:33:48.:33:51.

huge property portfolio, infrastructure. I don't think we

:33:52.:33:55.

should pay a big bill. Do you John? We signed up for a set of rules. We

:33:56.:34:00.

don't know what the figure is. I watched your interview with the

:34:01.:34:02.

Prime Minister. She didn't give you many straight answers. She certainly

:34:03.:34:06.

didn't answer that one except to the extent that she said, this is a law

:34:07.:34:10.

abiding country and we have to stick by the rules that we signed up - She

:34:11.:34:15.

didn't deny it could be a multi-billion settlement. She didn't

:34:16.:34:19.

confirm. The figure you put on it, she wasn't prepared to confirm. A

:34:20.:34:23.

lot of this is, you know, pensions that we've guaranteed. You know,

:34:24.:34:27.

it's a complicated - It's not just that. We have committed, as part of

:34:28.:34:32.

the other countries, to long-term budgets and investment in other

:34:33.:34:36.

countries. Why would we be committed to anything beyond the current

:34:37.:34:40.

budget to 2020. There will be an argument we need - That is the

:34:41.:34:45.

difference dfrn After 2020. Sglm That is the difference between the

:34:46.:34:49.

figures. We don't know what they are. We should pay with a we owe. I

:34:50.:34:53.

have always believed - Do you remember anybody being told about

:34:54.:34:56.

this during the referendum campaign? I don't. I don't remember remain or

:34:57.:35:02.

leave bringing this up. I don't remember the remain people saying or

:35:03.:35:05.

the leave people confronting the idea of a bill to leave. No. I don't

:35:06.:35:10.

remember the remain people trying to frighten the electorate with the

:35:11.:35:53.

prospect of a bill. Is it not very difficult for the British Government

:35:54.:35:54.

to agree to a substantial one-off payment? I think it is politically

:35:55.:35:55.

rather difficult. That doesn't mean that it won't happen. I was rather

:35:56.:35:55.

surprised that the Prime Minister didn't say to you yesterday that she

:35:56.:35:56.

(inaudible) So am I. That would have kept her options open. The case

:35:57.:35:56.

might subsequently be made. It's a pretty good sign that the European

:35:57.:35:57.

Union is worried about what it is going to do with British money.

:35:58.:35:57.

That's an important point. Money has become more important than the

:35:58.:35:58.

coverage in this country suggestion for the European Union. We are one

:35:59.:35:59.

of the few net donors. We are the biggest, after Germany, and so many

:36:00.:36:02.

of either - France only contributes half what we do because it gets it

:36:03.:36:07.

back through the Common Agriculture Policy. There is a huge hole in

:36:08.:36:11.

their budget. If you owe me money, I'm in the driving seat. Well, thats

:36:12.:36:16.

with a very clear message from this visit to Berlin last week. They are

:36:17.:36:20.

very focused on the divorce agreement. One was that, secondly,

:36:21.:36:24.

that they need to sort out problems that they have within the EU. The

:36:25.:36:29.

third thing, which we never talk about, Brexit isn't top of their

:36:30.:36:32.

list of priorities. This is not what they want to talk about. The world

:36:33.:36:39.

does not resolve around us. What is top? The Eurozone, security and

:36:40.:36:43.

migration. What do they want to do with the Eurozone? That is why we

:36:44.:36:46.

are leaving because they are top priorities. It has been a spur to

:36:47.:36:51.

the rest - What do they want to do - now we are no longer there to be a

:36:52.:36:54.

break on everything. What do they want to do with it? There is a

:36:55.:36:58.

clearly aldesire to sort out the problems as best they can in Italy

:36:59.:37:04.

and Greece. What do they want to do? They don't have - One way to sort

:37:05.:37:08.

out one of the ways essential to sorting out the euro is to agree

:37:09.:37:12.

transfer payments from the north to the south. There is no agreement on

:37:13.:37:15.

that in the European Union at all. A lot of them are in denial about

:37:16.:37:20.

Brexit. I was in Berlin last week. In denial? A lot of them say, senior

:37:21.:37:30.

politicians say - is it really going to happen? This informs the way they

:37:31.:37:35.

will conduct themselves in the Brexit negotiations. If they think

:37:36.:37:39.

that Britain will get such a terrible deal that the British

:37:40.:37:43.

people will rebel against it, the Prime Minister - I didn't get a

:37:44.:37:47.

sense of that. I got no sense whatsoever. They know it will

:37:48.:37:50.

happen. Their priorities on the divorce. The idea that they were

:37:51.:37:54.

thinking about a future trade deal. It wasn't - All of them are very -

:37:55.:37:59.

We misunderstand where they are coming from. I need to bring Suzanne

:38:00.:38:06.

in. What I found when I was there. The British public could get angry.

:38:07.:38:11.

That is what my Brexit Tory colleagues argued saying it could

:38:12.:38:30.

backfire. I get the impression Ukip would like us to have... I don't

:38:31.:38:37.

think that is true. That is not what I feel. It's better to a deal. What

:38:38.:38:38.

we have said is, if we don't get a deal which involves taking back

:38:39.:38:38.

control of our borders and control of our fishing, then we don't get

:38:39.:38:39.

the deal that the British people voted for. (Inaudible) Isn't that

:38:40.:38:44.

what Mrs May is going to do? It is. Was there anything she said

:38:45.:38:50.

yesterday you disagreed with? I saw David Davis I said we voted how we

:38:51.:38:56.

voted. It's up to you to deliver. We will watch what they will do. It's a

:38:57.:39:00.

challenge. It's almost daunting? It is daunting. I don't know whether

:39:01.:39:05.

the Government has the capacity to deal with this. To get through all

:39:06.:39:11.

the decision that is have to be made. At the same time as it's meant

:39:12.:39:15.

to be govern governing the countries in all other sorts of ways. That is

:39:16.:39:20.

a worry. Those of us who favour Brexit do not argue it will be a bed

:39:21.:39:26.

of roses. It's not. John, has Nicola Sturgeon misread the Scottish mood

:39:27.:39:29.

with this second referendum? There is little appetite for a second

:39:30.:39:34.

referendum before Brexit. This poll came up by John Curtice, based at

:39:35.:39:42.

Strathclyde University, 62% of Scots want the same Brexit deal as the

:39:43.:39:50.

rest of the UK. 64% want the same immigration rules for EU and non-EU

:39:51.:39:56.

members. I have my doubts about that. You are not allowed to doubt,

:39:57.:40:06.

John. We have had experienc of polls. This is pretty dramatic. I

:40:07.:40:11.

don't buy that. We have moved into a new stage, it's no longer the SNP

:40:12.:40:17.

asking for a second independence referendum, it's the Scottish

:40:18.:40:25.

Parliament. It's a poll - If Mrs... It's a parliamentary democracy.

:40:26.:40:30.

There is no evidence. This is not a parliamentary democracy. We've run

:40:31.:40:35.

out of time. I have to shut you all up. I thank you both for being with

:40:36.:40:38.

us tonight. Tonight. Now, confidence was

:40:39.:40:46.

palpable almost Tonight. Pint-drinking patriot, Nigel Farage,

:40:47.:40:48.

is so sure Brexit will be a success he's pledged to migrate if it

:40:49.:40:51.

all goes pear-shaped. Now you know why some

:40:52.:40:54.

are willing it to fail! Journalist turned playwright,

:40:55.:40:56.

Paul Mason, is so sure about the brilliance of his new play

:40:57.:40:58.

that he's banned critics from reviewing it before

:40:59.:41:01.

the end of the run. Why would you review it after the

:41:02.:41:05.

run. And renowned German history scholar,

:41:06.:41:09.

Ken Livingstone, is so sure Hitler was a Zionist he's

:41:10.:41:11.

putting his membership If Labour does kick him out,

:41:12.:41:13.

I'm told he'll use the extra time on his hands to write a new version

:41:14.:41:35.

of the Hitler Diaries. There's confidence for you,

:41:36.:41:36.

which is why we're putting REPORTER: Are you taking back

:41:37.:41:37.

control, Prime Minister? Prime Minister, are you ready

:41:38.:41:42.

for the fight ahead. It's good to be confident

:41:43.:41:45.

in politics, especially Because I am confident

:41:46.:41:47.

that we have the vision and the plan to use this moment to build a better

:41:48.:41:51.

Britain. But Mrs May's Scottish

:41:52.:41:53.

colleague, Ruth Davidson, was on fighting form on Tuesday,

:41:54.:41:55.

barking orders at Nicola Sturgeon. I think I've answered

:41:56.:41:57.

the First Minister's question, I will not

:41:58.:42:01.

take another intervention. The Daily Mail was criticised

:42:02.:42:03.

for one of its front-pages this week, but columnist Sarah Vine

:42:04.:42:08.

was confident her story had legs. What we're doing is actually

:42:09.:42:12.

creating a slightly more approachable version of this story

:42:13.:42:14.

by commenting on this picture, which I still think

:42:15.:42:17.

is worth commenting on. Across the pond, the Donald remains

:42:18.:42:21.

confident about Trumpcare, despite Congress giving his flagship

:42:22.:42:26.

policy the thumbs down. Perhaps the best thing that

:42:27.:42:32.

could happen is exactly what happened today because we'll

:42:33.:42:35.

end up with a truly great Health Care Bill in the future

:42:36.:42:37.

after this mess, known The Donald's favourite actress,

:42:38.:42:39.

Emma Thompson, revealed this week that she's never had the body

:42:40.:42:54.

confidence to live in LA. I mean, every time I have to go

:42:55.:42:59.

to Los Angeles I think - oh, God, I'm too fat to go there,

:43:00.:43:03.

they're not going to let me in! # You can tell the way

:43:04.:43:06.

she walks in the room #. Model Daisy Lowe says

:43:07.:43:10.

she has to work on her So how important is confidence

:43:11.:43:13.

if you want to get on in life? Welcome to the programme. Is it

:43:14.:43:29.

really... The team have told me we are preparing for tonight that you

:43:30.:43:33.

struggle with confidence at times? Yeah, of course. Why? Well, I

:43:34.:43:40.

think... I don't no-one who doesn't struggle with confidence most days.

:43:41.:43:45.

I've been judged on my looks since I was 15. I started modelling at 15.

:43:46.:43:53.

And, I think, you know, I've never been a size zero I always wanted to

:43:54.:43:58.

stick up for the feminine form and really champion being true to

:43:59.:44:03.

yourself. And feeling empowered in that. You need some confidence to do

:44:04.:44:11.

that. You are must have confidence? In an industry where it's stick

:44:12.:44:15.

insects going up-and-down, that shows great confidence to me? You

:44:16.:44:47.

are constantly compared to that. With social media you are constantly

:44:48.:44:48.

faced with image comparisons and looking at that part of yourself.

:44:49.:44:49.

It's something you have to work on. Do you think there are lots of

:44:50.:44:49.

people who seem outwardly confident, but they are not. Of course. Inside

:44:50.:44:51.

they are a bag of nerves? Yeah, of course. I think usually the most

:44:52.:44:52.

confident people, seemingly confident people, are in fact, well,

:44:53.:44:52.

narcissists are the most insecure ones of the lot. Indeed. They

:44:53.:44:59.

definitely. Is that who you were talking about there? I should keep

:45:00.:45:03.

that inside. I think it was just a joke. I would be really surprised,

:45:04.:45:09.

someone like Emma Thompson, educated, intelligent, wonderful

:45:10.:45:13.

actress, saying that she couldn't go to LA because - why would she even

:45:14.:45:19.

care? But it's because she's so much more than just her appearance.

:45:20.:45:23.

Exactly. Her appearance is great, so is everything else. She is an

:45:24.:45:27.

incredible actress, writer, producer. It comes back to the way

:45:28.:45:34.

she looks. Women are judged more for their appearance than men are. That

:45:35.:45:38.

is true as we saw from the Daily Mail as well. Low confidence, does

:45:39.:45:43.

it stop you from doing things? In your case it's pushed you on?

:45:44.:45:49.

Totally. I have to use it as fuel, for sure. Taking part in Strictly I

:45:50.:45:54.

would never have been able to do that - It's confidence. Was a

:45:55.:45:59.

complete lack of confidence. Foolhardy. It gave me something and

:46:00.:46:06.

I learnt so much about myself. I learnt I loved performing and just

:46:07.:46:10.

loved building that confidence. It was very special.

:46:11.:46:15.

Are you confident, Liz? Pretty confidence. I would agree. So you

:46:16.:46:24.

should be. Not over-confident. I think I was very lucky in how I was

:46:25.:46:31.

brought up, that they, my mum and dad, always said, kind of go for it

:46:32.:46:35.

and if it goes wrong, we still love you and it doesn't matter. Now that

:46:36.:46:40.

gave me confidence. Obviously I had lots of other advantages, but that

:46:41.:46:44.

sense, if you try and you don't succeed, pick yourself up, go again

:46:45.:46:48.

and we are here for you and that really matters. Are you confident,

:46:49.:46:57.

Michael? I think on the whole I am. I think can desert you any time.

:46:58.:47:01.

It's not predictable the circumstances that will make it

:47:02.:47:05.

disappear. I must say, if there were one gift I could give to someone, it

:47:06.:47:09.

would be confidence because it makes all the difference, that

:47:10.:47:12.

self-belief, that ability to go out and do it, just makes all the

:47:13.:47:16.

difference. It does, no matter who you are doing. Yes. Daisy, what are

:47:17.:47:22.

you doing? I'm taking myself out of my comfort zone at the moment and,

:47:23.:47:26.

for the first time, properly in my career actually I'm being more than

:47:27.:47:31.

a 2 D image and coming on and doing terrifying things like coming and

:47:32.:47:34.

chatting to all of you incredible people. We are glad you came on

:47:35.:47:36.

tonight. Me too. Great to see you. That's your lot for tonight folks,

:47:37.:47:45.

but not for us, we're heading to Frau Von LouLou's

:47:46.:47:47.

for Jean-Claude Juncker's "so long, farewell, auf

:47:48.:47:49.

wiedersehen" Brexit knees up. As long as he's not put off

:47:50.:47:51.

by a letter to him from a Polish MP claiming his "alcohol dependency"

:47:52.:47:58.

has become a problem Nighty Night, don't let

:47:59.:48:02.

Jean-Claude's feisty greetings bite. MasterChef is back, to find the

:48:03.:49:20.

country's best home chef.

:49:21.:49:25.

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