Browse content similar to 18/10/2016. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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Hello, it's 9 o'clock, I'm Victoria Derbyshire, | :00:08. | :00:09. | |
The killings by psychiatric patients treated at the same mental health | :00:10. | :00:24. | |
trust. More could have been done to prevent the deaths. We will be | :00:25. | :00:27. | |
speaking to a man whose dad killed his mum. | :00:28. | :00:30. | |
Ahead of schedule, that's the verdict from US forces engaged | :00:31. | :00:33. | |
in retaking the Iraqi city of Mosul from Islamic state fighters. | :00:34. | :00:35. | |
One and a half million civilians remain trapped in the city | :00:36. | :00:38. | |
as the battle to force out IS enters its second day. | :00:39. | :00:42. | |
From meetings at Number 10 - to hopes for a ten from Len? | :00:43. | :01:05. | |
Not likely but the former shadow chancellor Ed Balls is certainly | :01:06. | :01:07. | |
throwing everything he's got at it and he's with us this | :01:08. | :01:10. | |
morning talking Strictly and life after politics. | :01:11. | :01:24. | |
Welcome to the programme, we're live until 11 this morning. | :01:25. | :01:27. | |
Do get in touch on all the stories we're talking | :01:28. | :01:30. | |
about this morning - use the hashtag Victoria LIVE | :01:31. | :01:34. | |
and if you text, you will be charged at the standard network rate. | :01:35. | :01:37. | |
One of England's largest mental health trusts has been severely | :01:38. | :01:40. | |
criticised for failing to learn lessons and improve care | :01:41. | :01:43. | |
after its patients killed 10 people in recent years. | :01:44. | :01:45. | |
Sussex Partnership NHS Trust was found to have "severely | :01:46. | :01:49. | |
underestimated" the threat posed by psychiatric patients - | :01:50. | :01:51. | |
Our social affairs correspondent, Michael Buchanan, reports. | :01:52. | :01:59. | |
Roger Goswell stabbed his wife Susan to death at Christmas, 2007, | :02:00. | :02:03. | |
The death's left Joe without his parents, | :02:04. | :02:08. | |
Today's report says the killing was predictable. | :02:09. | :02:12. | |
Roger Goswell had a history of mental health problems | :02:13. | :02:14. | |
and had repeatedly threatened to kill his wife. | :02:15. | :02:19. | |
If they had predicted it then they could have prevented it | :02:20. | :02:22. | |
and I think my mother's life, there was no question | :02:23. | :02:24. | |
that that was the case, they could have saved it, | :02:25. | :02:26. | |
Ten people have been killed by patients of the health services | :02:27. | :02:34. | |
The review into the deaths makes severe criticisms | :02:35. | :02:38. | |
As well as Goswell's case, at least one killing was preventable. | :02:39. | :02:44. | |
The trust severely underestimated the threat posed by | :02:45. | :02:46. | |
Patients and their carers were often ignored in their pleas for help. | :02:47. | :02:52. | |
The trust's chief executive has apologised and promised | :02:53. | :02:53. | |
The central point for me is around culture and practice and ensuring | :02:54. | :03:02. | |
that when something goes wrong it isn't localised to the area, | :03:03. | :03:08. | |
but runs across the organisation, and that we're open to the fact that | :03:09. | :03:12. | |
actually we need to learn and change practice in lots of cases. | :03:13. | :03:18. | |
Families that have been failed are understandably sceptic | :03:19. | :03:20. | |
They say that unless the NHS does learn lessons, many others | :03:21. | :03:26. | |
We will talk to him live in the next few minutes. | :03:27. | :03:39. | |
Joanna is in the BBC Newsroom with a summary | :03:40. | :03:41. | |
A 23-year-old man has been arrested on suspicion of rape | :03:42. | :03:45. | |
following an alleged attack at the Houses of Parliament. | :03:46. | :03:47. | |
The assault is alleged to have happened | :03:48. | :03:49. | |
He's been released on bail pending further enquiries. | :03:50. | :03:54. | |
America says Iraqi forces are "ahead of schedule" after the first day | :03:55. | :03:58. | |
of the battle to retake the city of Mosul from the Islamic State | :03:59. | :04:01. | |
It's the last IS stronghold in Iraq, and aid agencies | :04:02. | :04:06. | |
are warning that the offensive could trigger a humanitarian crisis. | :04:07. | :04:11. | |
The Pentagon says that so far, the offensive is going to plan. | :04:12. | :04:14. | |
Our correspondent Jonathan Beale, is embedded with the Iraqi | :04:15. | :04:17. | |
armed forces near Mosul, and in the last hour | :04:18. | :04:20. | |
They have cleared 10 villages, they need to clear another 70. That's | :04:21. | :04:37. | |
before they even reached the outskirts of muscle. Overnight they | :04:38. | :04:41. | |
have not moved at all, since we left them last night. There were traces | :04:42. | :04:50. | |
being fired as we arrived this morning, quite intensive, when they | :04:51. | :04:54. | |
spotted a truck which could have been an Islamic State suicide truck. | :04:55. | :04:59. | |
As I say, resistance has been pretty limited so far. They are expecting | :05:00. | :05:03. | |
the baffled to be more intense the nearer they get to the city. | :05:04. | :05:06. | |
Russia's defence minister says that Russian and Syrian | :05:07. | :05:08. | |
forces have halted all airstrikes on the embattled | :05:09. | :05:10. | |
The pause in bombardment is said to have begun about an hour ago. | :05:11. | :05:17. | |
The city's been under intense attack from the regime - Moscow is now | :05:18. | :05:20. | |
urging other countries to persuade rebel forces to lay down arms | :05:21. | :05:22. | |
and leave the city, ahead of what's being called a 'humanitarian pause' | :05:23. | :05:25. | |
The number of people kept waiting in an ambulance for more | :05:26. | :05:32. | |
than an hour before being admitted to A has almost tripled | :05:33. | :05:36. | |
in the last two years, to more than 76,000. | :05:37. | :05:40. | |
The latest figures also reveal that last year more than 400 | :05:41. | :05:46. | |
thousand people waited for over half an hour. | :05:47. | :05:48. | |
The Government says it's committed to delivering a safer NHS and has | :05:49. | :05:51. | |
invested 10 billion pounds to transform its services. | :05:52. | :05:53. | |
The figures were released to the Labour Party under a Freedom | :05:54. | :05:56. | |
Less than half of England's grammar schools give priority to children | :05:57. | :06:00. | |
from poorer families, a BBC investigation has found. | :06:01. | :06:04. | |
Research into admissions policies finds that most don't take | :06:05. | :06:07. | |
into account a child's eligibility for free school meals | :06:08. | :06:09. | |
Our Education Editor Branwen Jeffreys reports. | :06:10. | :06:12. | |
Just outside the classroom is inner-city Birmingham. | :06:13. | :06:16. | |
Streets where most families have less money, so this grammar school | :06:17. | :06:20. | |
Up to a quarter are kept for low income families, | :06:21. | :06:27. | |
but not all schools are going that far, as our investigation | :06:28. | :06:29. | |
There are 163 grammar schools in England. | :06:30. | :06:34. | |
We've analysed the admissions policies of all of them. | :06:35. | :06:38. | |
90 give no direct priority to low income pupils. | :06:39. | :06:43. | |
21 have a quota, although some are just a few places. | :06:44. | :06:47. | |
33 give priority when they are oversubscribed. | :06:48. | :06:52. | |
And just a few use it as a tie-breaker. | :06:53. | :06:55. | |
Nationally, 500 pupils from poor backgrounds attended | :06:56. | :06:58. | |
If they were going to be truly representative, that should be | :06:59. | :07:03. | |
Grammar schools argue they are changing - | :07:04. | :07:09. | |
working with primary schools to encourage applications, | :07:10. | :07:12. | |
or using postcodes to make admissions fairer. | :07:13. | :07:16. | |
The government says it will make sure any new grammar | :07:17. | :07:19. | |
schools give poorer pupils priority, as well as working | :07:20. | :07:22. | |
But, for some existing grammar schools, there are still questions | :07:23. | :07:28. | |
about how much harder they should be trying. | :07:29. | :07:36. | |
The chairman of Ukip has denied the party is in a "death spiral", | :07:37. | :07:40. | |
and says it's focused on choosing a new leader. | :07:41. | :07:44. | |
Speaking on BBC breakfast, Paul Oakden said recent events | :07:45. | :07:46. | |
involving MEP Steven Woolfe - who was admitted to hospital after | :07:47. | :07:49. | |
an altercation with a colleague - had let down the party | :07:50. | :07:53. | |
But he described yesterday's decision by Mr Woolfe to leave | :07:54. | :07:57. | |
unfortunately, Stephen has chosen to leave her party. As a man of great | :07:58. | :08:09. | |
talent and ability we are sad by that but we are going to focus on | :08:10. | :08:16. | |
the next process for selecting our new leader. That's our focus and | :08:17. | :08:21. | |
priority. We wish Stephen well but it is a side issue when we are | :08:22. | :08:23. | |
focused on the bigger picture. The wife of the Republican | :08:24. | :08:25. | |
Presidential candidate Donald Trump has described accusations of sexual | :08:26. | :08:27. | |
assault against him as lies. In an interview on US television, | :08:28. | :08:29. | |
Melania Trump insisted She also said that lewd comments | :08:30. | :08:32. | |
Mr Trump made about women in 2005 were unacceptable but did not | :08:33. | :08:36. | |
represent the man she knows. Those words were offensive to me | :08:37. | :08:42. | |
and they were inappropriate. Britain's Olympic and Paralympic | :08:43. | :08:46. | |
athletes will parade through Trafalgar Square in London | :08:47. | :09:02. | |
this afternoon before a reception with the Queen | :09:03. | :09:05. | |
and The Duke of Edinburgh Yesterday, thousands of people | :09:06. | :09:08. | |
braved the rain and lined the streets of Manchester | :09:09. | :09:11. | |
to celebrate Team GB The athletes surpassed expectations | :09:12. | :09:13. | |
in Rio by bringing home more medals than they won on home soil | :09:14. | :09:18. | |
during the London 2012 Games. That is the latest BBC News. Would | :09:19. | :09:40. | |
you want your childpos-mac School photo photo shopped to make it look | :09:41. | :09:43. | |
better? At least 1 mother is not happy. What do you reckon? If your | :09:44. | :09:56. | |
own children have had school photos with that offer, do let me know and | :09:57. | :10:01. | |
we will have you on the programme. There was a big game in the Premier | :10:02. | :10:05. | |
League but it was not that interesting. It did not live up to | :10:06. | :10:12. | |
the billing. Two teams with big title aspirations who ended up | :10:13. | :10:16. | |
cancelling each other out. Jose Mourinho will be the happier of the | :10:17. | :10:22. | |
managers. This was their best chance of the match. We'll be disappointed | :10:23. | :10:28. | |
he did not score. Two very good chances for Liverpool. Another good | :10:29. | :10:38. | |
opportunity for Liverpool to have won it, and it came from Philippe | :10:39. | :10:43. | |
Coutinho. A victory for Liverpool would have moved them to the top of | :10:44. | :10:46. | |
the table level on points with Manchester City and Arsenal. Jose | :10:47. | :10:51. | |
Mourinho, as he always does, stifling the opposition, inventing | :10:52. | :10:55. | |
them from playing. He will be the happier of the two managers after | :10:56. | :10:58. | |
the match. This is what he had to say. The control of the game was | :10:59. | :11:04. | |
ours, even the reaction, it was disappointment. They are playing | :11:05. | :11:11. | |
very well. You make them play even better. People expected us to come | :11:12. | :11:23. | |
here and be in trouble. We were not. Football is a results game, we need | :11:24. | :11:30. | |
results, nil nil against Manchester United, nobody will sure this game | :11:31. | :11:37. | |
in history, ten, 20 years, this game will not be part of it. But we could | :11:38. | :11:46. | |
have played better. Manchester City have made a big statement this | :11:47. | :11:51. | |
morning. Yes, they've posted record profits of ?20 million. It was very | :11:52. | :12:00. | |
interesting to see the project they've been developing since they | :12:01. | :12:08. | |
were took in over -- taken over. They've enjoyed a period of success | :12:09. | :12:13. | |
on the pitch since then, winning two league titles. I guess these are a | :12:14. | :12:23. | |
real improvement. Last year they posted profits of ?11 million. Now | :12:24. | :12:29. | |
it's up to ?20 million. It goes to show how successful the project they | :12:30. | :12:35. | |
are building is, having expanded the side. The team trains alongside the | :12:36. | :12:46. | |
stadium. I guess this shows that the investment is literally paying off. | :12:47. | :12:51. | |
People use that word every time we too much, talk to you later. | :12:52. | :12:59. | |
Just over a year ago, there was a minor collision between two cars. | :13:00. | :13:02. | |
From nowhere, one of the drivers stabbed the other 39 times, | :13:03. | :13:08. | |
And what we hear today is even more disturbing. | :13:09. | :13:15. | |
An inquiry report reveals that the killer's mother had | :13:16. | :13:17. | |
previously pleaded with doctors to section him under | :13:18. | :13:21. | |
That death should never have happened. | :13:22. | :13:26. | |
This was just one of ten killings by mentally ill patients under | :13:27. | :13:29. | |
the care of a single NHS Foundation Trust - | :13:30. | :13:33. | |
We're going to speak now to the son of one of those victims. | :13:34. | :13:38. | |
Joe Goswell's mum Sue Goswell was killed by her 66-year-old | :13:39. | :13:40. | |
husband Roger, Joe's dad, who was released from a psychiatric | :13:41. | :13:44. | |
And Sue's inquest was told of a series of shortfalls by medical | :13:45. | :13:52. | |
The report today says this was predictable. Could you explain to | :13:53. | :14:10. | |
our audience why? I'd love to know that myself. My father told the | :14:11. | :14:23. | |
hospital staff he wanted to murder my mother, he said how we wanted to | :14:24. | :14:31. | |
do it in graphic detail when she visited him in the hospital room. He | :14:32. | :14:37. | |
told us as children in graphic details. He asked for electric shock | :14:38. | :14:44. | |
treatment to get rid of the thoughts in his head because he wanted to end | :14:45. | :14:49. | |
his own life and he thought, 46 years of marriage, he wanted to end | :14:50. | :15:00. | |
his life but my mother was his possession and because of that he | :15:01. | :15:04. | |
wanted to take her with him. So he told the staff this, they did not | :15:05. | :15:09. | |
take this seriously, they asked me whether he was a violent man and I | :15:10. | :15:16. | |
said he was a very strict upbringing, whatever he said went. I | :15:17. | :15:17. | |
would take it seriously. For him to say that he had these | :15:18. | :15:29. | |
thoughts and he wanted electric shock treatment, they should have | :15:30. | :15:33. | |
taken him more seriously than what they did. I think he moved from the | :15:34. | :15:40. | |
Sussex Partnership area to the Hove Priory, but his notes weren't passed | :15:41. | :15:45. | |
on. They asked me to, they asked whether I would drive my father to | :15:46. | :15:52. | |
the Priory along with my mother. He then replied, "Well, if I was to do, | :15:53. | :15:57. | |
he would grab hold of the steering wheel and veer it into the barriers | :15:58. | :16:01. | |
trying to kill us." As a result of that, we chose not to. The doctors | :16:02. | :16:05. | |
were aware of that and so they chose to send him by ambulance. They | :16:06. | :16:13. | |
didn't know full well that he could possibly murder someone or murder my | :16:14. | :16:18. | |
mother. They didn't handcuff him or didn't send the notes over. So it | :16:19. | :16:21. | |
was, you know, when you think about that, how dangerous that was at the | :16:22. | :16:27. | |
time, didn't send any notes over to the Priory and they were then | :16:28. | :16:30. | |
working without any notes at all when someone was being predicted | :16:31. | :16:33. | |
that he could possibly go on to murder, one would have thought that | :16:34. | :16:39. | |
they should have received that and made that priority this. Is grave | :16:40. | :16:42. | |
failings within the NHS and certainly, great failings with our | :16:43. | :16:46. | |
case as well. What do you make of this review that? That the Trust and | :16:47. | :16:51. | |
NHS England commissioned which found in a number of cases including your | :16:52. | :16:56. | |
own, the process to assess patients was inadequate and the risk posed by | :16:57. | :17:02. | |
the patient went under rock niced or -- recognised or was severely under | :17:03. | :17:05. | |
estimated? Nine years when the inquest came out, there were 14 | :17:06. | :17:08. | |
failures. They said they were going to make changes and learn by the | :17:09. | :17:12. | |
mistakes and clearly they haven't. It was a mile from where I live, | :17:13. | :17:18. | |
that another murder had taken place from a person suffering from mental | :17:19. | :17:23. | |
health issues and we are nine years on saying they are going to do. | :17:24. | :17:27. | |
Actions speak louder than words and yet nothing seems to be done. We're | :17:28. | :17:31. | |
apprehensive about what they are saying. They said they have written | :17:32. | :17:35. | |
to me, which they haven't. They haven't informed me that the report | :17:36. | :17:44. | |
was coming out. We are at a sad time of year which was Christmas which | :17:45. | :17:47. | |
was the time that the incident happened and here we are living the | :17:48. | :17:51. | |
whole experience again. Very, very painful. Very painful for my two | :17:52. | :17:58. | |
boys and my nieces and nephews. It has been very hard for them. We have | :17:59. | :18:02. | |
never had a Christmas since this happened between us as a family | :18:03. | :18:05. | |
because we find it too tough. Exceptionally tough. Very sad times | :18:06. | :18:10. | |
ahead. I mean, you talk about the lack of communication so far from | :18:11. | :18:15. | |
this trust. But from what you hear about the review, they have | :18:16. | :18:21. | |
commissioned, they are, I mean, they are accepting a reasonable list of | :18:22. | :18:24. | |
failures. They are accepting that. Yes. I understand that's good, but | :18:25. | :18:31. | |
they say they're going to implement these things, let's wait and see, | :18:32. | :18:34. | |
let's hope within five years time they can give us the report from | :18:35. | :18:37. | |
this today's date and say there has been a dramatic fall in numbers of | :18:38. | :18:42. | |
deaths to do with mental health patients of the that's when we can | :18:43. | :18:46. | |
actually say well, that's worked. At this stage it hasn't because it has | :18:47. | :18:54. | |
got worse in the nine years that my mother was taken from us. Thank you | :18:55. | :18:58. | |
very much, Joe. The Chief Executive of the trust | :18:59. | :19:03. | |
offered his sin veer apology and condolences to the families. They | :19:04. | :19:07. | |
have done everything possible to respond to the tragic incidents | :19:08. | :19:11. | |
adding, "This review sends us a strong message about the need to | :19:12. | :19:15. | |
identify and embed learning when things go wrong in a way that does | :19:16. | :19:19. | |
change clinical practise and behaviour." As you heard from Joe, | :19:20. | :19:21. | |
something that he is looking for. It's the biggest military | :19:22. | :19:27. | |
undertaking in Iraq for several years and now the battle to take | :19:28. | :19:30. | |
the city of Mosul has America has said that Iraqi forces | :19:31. | :19:32. | |
are "ahead of schedule", but IS is also claiming to have | :19:33. | :19:37. | |
destroyed armoured vehicles 1.5 million civilians | :19:38. | :19:40. | |
are currently in Mosul, where they've spent two years under | :19:41. | :19:46. | |
the brutal IS regime. They now face an impossible choice | :19:47. | :19:51. | |
between trying to flee or stay and risk being trapped | :19:52. | :19:53. | |
in a full scale battle. Our correspondent Jonathan Beale, | :19:54. | :20:01. | |
is embedded with the Iraqi With me now is Dr eh Bassiri | :20:02. | :20:06. | |
Tabrizi, a Middle East expert at the Royal United Services | :20:07. | :20:09. | |
Institute. We can also speak to | :20:10. | :20:12. | |
Dr Tarik Al-Kubaisy Karl Chembri is from the Norwegian | :20:13. | :20:14. | |
Refugee Council, a charity that's Steven Nabil, | :20:15. | :20:24. | |
an Iraqi American journalist who was on the frontline | :20:25. | :20:29. | |
several days ago. Welcome all of you. I wonder if I | :20:30. | :20:36. | |
can start with you Stephen if I may. You've just come back from there. | :20:37. | :20:44. | |
What did you see? I was there a few days ago and I visited the Peshmerga | :20:45. | :20:50. | |
forces and meeting with the UN officers and trying to figure out | :20:51. | :20:55. | |
are we ready to take the influx of people coming out? The military | :20:56. | :21:06. | |
morale was very high. The troops are preparing to welcome the people | :21:07. | :21:10. | |
after the occupation of Isis. So everything was ready to go and it is | :21:11. | :21:15. | |
translating yesterday on the ground where several villages were already | :21:16. | :21:20. | |
liberated ahead of schedule in the Peshmerga and Iraqi forces did what | :21:21. | :21:24. | |
they were supposed to do ahead of schedule. I know people in Mosul | :21:25. | :21:31. | |
risk being executed if IS catch them with a mobile phone. I know you are | :21:32. | :21:34. | |
in contact with some. What are they telling you? They wanted to tell the | :21:35. | :21:39. | |
world, most of them have not talked to their families for months or | :21:40. | :21:43. | |
weeks and it was for the first time they were getting, the first thing | :21:44. | :21:47. | |
they did is they communicated with the military. They told on IS and | :21:48. | :21:51. | |
gave the locations, everything they saw in the city and they just wanted | :21:52. | :21:55. | |
to be part of the fight and they wanted to tell the world that the | :21:56. | :21:59. | |
people of Mosul are anti-Isis and we're going to fight back and get | :22:00. | :22:02. | |
our city back. They're scared of being caught so they were asking us | :22:03. | :22:07. | |
not to publish the pictures so Isis can't determine the homes that the | :22:08. | :22:13. | |
pictures were taken out of, but they were very co-operative and they are | :22:14. | :22:16. | |
going to be a very helpful hand in the coming days. You lived and | :22:17. | :22:20. | |
studied in Iraq's second city. You have many family members still | :22:21. | :22:25. | |
living in the city. What are they telling you about their daily life | :22:26. | :22:29. | |
and how it has been? Well, good morning. Actually it is extremely | :22:30. | :22:39. | |
worrying time for us. My wife and also the families there. We haven't | :22:40. | :22:45. | |
been able to get in touch with them for weeks and it is an extremely | :22:46. | :22:51. | |
worrying time. The last few times when we have been in contact they | :22:52. | :23:00. | |
were actually in extreme mess. They were psychologically shattered. They | :23:01. | :23:09. | |
were an ambivalent state. They don't know if they stay or try to leave. | :23:10. | :23:14. | |
Some of the family members tried to leave and then they have been caught | :23:15. | :23:21. | |
and one of them has been battered and then hardly they have been able | :23:22. | :23:30. | |
to return back with some ransom. The other members, especially the | :23:31. | :23:35. | |
elderly ones for example, my mother-in-law, she is an elderly | :23:36. | :23:40. | |
lady with dementia and it is very difficult to try even to take care | :23:41. | :23:48. | |
and to take her away from there so they have decided to stay at home | :23:49. | :23:52. | |
with all the consequences and you know, there is no safe haven. | :23:53. | :23:59. | |
Wherever you are, if you are able to flee from Isis then the lovely | :24:00. | :24:04. | |
bombardment from all the aircrafts and the artillery will catch you and | :24:05. | :24:11. | |
it's very worrying times. It is absolutely no choice. I want to | :24:12. | :24:19. | |
bring in Karl. You are effectively helping people who are fleeing the | :24:20. | :24:24. | |
area. How many civilians are you expecting over the next few days? | :24:25. | :24:29. | |
Well, so far nobody has managed to come out of Mosul city. We have been | :24:30. | :24:33. | |
helping people who have fled the villages and towns south of Mosul. | :24:34. | :24:41. | |
Over 100,000 people have fled in the last month. Sorry to interrupt, | :24:42. | :24:45. | |
Karl, no one yet has come out of Mosul. Do you take that to mean | :24:46. | :24:49. | |
there are people who want to flee and can't, or that people are decide | :24:50. | :24:54. | |
to go stay? How do you read it? It's difficult to say. The little contact | :24:55. | :24:58. | |
that we have with some people in there. We know that they are | :24:59. | :25:02. | |
terrified. Most of them are staying in their houses. They don't know | :25:03. | :25:05. | |
what is going to happen in the next hours and days. The information we | :25:06. | :25:09. | |
have is that the troops are still out of the city. So there isn't yet | :25:10. | :25:15. | |
the intense fighting that we're so concerned about and as the previous | :25:16. | :25:20. | |
speaker said, the actual safe exits, they don't exist yet. We don't know | :25:21. | :25:24. | |
know of any safe routes out for the civilians. There are 1.2 million | :25:25. | :25:28. | |
people inside Mosul. There is no safe way out and we have seen in the | :25:29. | :25:33. | |
previous scenarios like in Falluja where people were told actually that | :25:34. | :25:37. | |
there were safe routes out and they were killed by snipers, by explosive | :25:38. | :25:42. | |
devices, by land mines as they were trying to escape. Children, elderly | :25:43. | :25:48. | |
people, the disabled, the most vulnerable. We haven't been able to | :25:49. | :25:52. | |
go into Mosul for the last one-and-a-half years now. We don't | :25:53. | :25:55. | |
know the full extent of the humanitarian situation inside. We | :25:56. | :25:59. | |
just know that people are terrified and faced with the bleakest of | :26:00. | :26:03. | |
choices. Either stay there, where they are, under Isis or try and | :26:04. | :26:09. | |
escape and get shot at or else face the artillery fire that is going to | :26:10. | :26:13. | |
ensue. It is a desperate, desperate situation. As a Middle East expert, | :26:14. | :26:19. | |
let me bring you, can you explain to our audience whereas Iraq's second | :26:20. | :26:22. | |
city Mosul is so strategically important? Well, the fight in Mosul | :26:23. | :26:27. | |
is very important for particularly one reason. The fact that the leader | :26:28. | :26:36. | |
of Isis announced the caliphate from Mosul from the Great Mosque in Mosul | :26:37. | :26:42. | |
in June 2014. This means that a fight with Isis in Mosul does not | :26:43. | :26:47. | |
only represent a territorial fight against a group and potentially the | :26:48. | :26:51. | |
biggest territorial victory against the group because it is the most | :26:52. | :26:57. | |
populace city that Isis has under its control, but it is symbolically | :26:58. | :27:01. | |
important because it means the project of the caliphate is under | :27:02. | :27:09. | |
concrete threat. So under threat. It stops them continuing to build the | :27:10. | :27:13. | |
caliphate across Iraq and Syria? Exactly. Would you be able to go as | :27:14. | :27:19. | |
far to say this could be the beginning of the end for the group, | :27:20. | :27:22. | |
Islamic State or not? It is difficult to say. We can see from | :27:23. | :27:25. | |
the developments right now, it is hard to see how Isis is going to | :27:26. | :27:29. | |
react to the fight. Now, we are seeing that they are likely to go | :27:30. | :27:35. | |
into resist. There are 3.5 to 5,000 Isis fighters in Mosul and of | :27:36. | :27:40. | |
course, there is the fear that they might flee and run into Syria | :27:41. | :27:45. | |
basically leading the fight into another country, but you know, like | :27:46. | :27:51. | |
not being defeated completely or lead to the group to re-created in a | :27:52. | :27:59. | |
different shape, either going back to Europe through foreign fighters | :28:00. | :28:03. | |
or refugees as it has happened in the past, so I think it is very | :28:04. | :28:08. | |
difficult to know what kind of shape Isis will have afterwards. In terms | :28:09. | :28:13. | |
of territorial victory I think Mosul represents a crucial step to getting | :28:14. | :28:18. | |
the caliphate reduced and the territory reduced, but that doesn't | :28:19. | :28:24. | |
necessarily mean an ideological victory against Isis. There is a | :28:25. | :28:29. | |
reason why they had so much support in Iraq and Syria and particularly | :28:30. | :28:34. | |
in Iraq and these are the grievances against the country, against the | :28:35. | :28:37. | |
Government particularly the discrimination against the Sunnis. | :28:38. | :28:42. | |
So I think it is very difficult to know whether the popularity of the | :28:43. | :28:46. | |
group of this kind of extremism will be defeated completely. OK. And | :28:47. | :28:51. | |
that's definitely worth keeping in mind, but when you hear the US say, | :28:52. | :28:56. | |
"Look, we are ahead of schedule in terms of re-taking Mosul. A, do you | :28:57. | :29:00. | |
believe it? B, does that mean the Iraqi Government forces with its | :29:01. | :29:03. | |
coalition allies are going to win the Battle of Mosul? I mean, it is | :29:04. | :29:07. | |
very hard to tell how things are going to develop. Even the Iraqi | :29:08. | :29:12. | |
Army is talking about weeks, months, for the battle to take place. It is | :29:13. | :29:16. | |
not a hit-and-run kind of operation and the reason is first of all the | :29:17. | :29:22. | |
civilians that we're hearing about. There are 1.5 million civilians | :29:23. | :29:26. | |
trapped and one of the things that the Government has requested is for | :29:27. | :29:33. | |
the civilians to avoid fleeing from Mosul, to basically avoid that, they | :29:34. | :29:38. | |
could be used as shields, human shields by Isis. So that makes | :29:39. | :29:42. | |
operations they difficult. That makes airstrikes very difficult. | :29:43. | :29:46. | |
Clearing the areas, it is going to take time and again, we have to keep | :29:47. | :29:52. | |
in mind that some of the Isis fighters might hide within the | :29:53. | :29:56. | |
civilian population and therefore, try to escape through that route. So | :29:57. | :30:02. | |
I think it's going to take a long time to have Mosul area, we are | :30:03. | :30:06. | |
talking about an area right now, if the operation is actually | :30:07. | :30:10. | |
succeeding, we are talking about villages being liberated, not | :30:11. | :30:16. | |
actually Mosul. So we are operating in this area and we know the | :30:17. | :30:21. | |
Peshmerga forces in the east of Mosul have liberated ten villages | :30:22. | :30:25. | |
and the Iraqi Government, the Iraqi army is operating from the south. So | :30:26. | :30:30. | |
even if these kind of operations are actually succeeding at the moment, | :30:31. | :30:33. | |
the actual take of Mosul will take much longer. | :30:34. | :30:42. | |
is a if this could take weeks, if not months, will we see a desperate | :30:43. | :30:51. | |
humanitarian situation unfold? Absolutely. This would be the | :30:52. | :30:54. | |
strangulation of an entire population. This bleak dilemma will | :30:55. | :31:03. | |
come to the fore. How will my colleagues on the ground get into | :31:04. | :31:09. | |
the city and provide the aid desperately needed? It is a huge | :31:10. | :31:16. | |
city and a huge population and we don't know which areas are full of | :31:17. | :31:26. | |
snipers. We cannot go on right now. These people are going to run out of | :31:27. | :31:35. | |
supplies. There is no water or electricity. Winter will come, it is | :31:36. | :31:43. | |
around the corner, it will be freezing. It is desperate. The | :31:44. | :31:48. | |
quicker this operation is concluded, the better. Equally important to | :31:49. | :31:55. | |
establish humanitarian corridors for us to go in. One thing that needs to | :31:56. | :32:07. | |
be said within the context, the way this operation has helped, the way | :32:08. | :32:17. | |
the people who flee will be treated. It will determine the future of the | :32:18. | :32:24. | |
rock. This is beyond a battle, it is about the future. Thanks for coming | :32:25. | :32:33. | |
onto the programme. We will keep you up-to-date with what happens in the | :32:34. | :32:42. | |
struggle to take control of Mosul. We will bring you the latest news | :32:43. | :32:45. | |
and sport in the next couple of minutes. Also, former Shadow | :32:46. | :32:54. | |
Chancellor -- former Chancellor Ed Balls will be talking life after | :32:55. | :32:55. | |
politics. Here's Joanna in the BBC Newsroom | :32:56. | :32:58. | |
with a summary of today's news. One of England's largest mental | :32:59. | :33:01. | |
health trusts has been severely criticised for failing to learn | :33:02. | :33:04. | |
lessons and improve care after its patients killed 10 | :33:05. | :33:06. | |
people in recent years Sussex Partnership NHS Trust | :33:07. | :33:09. | |
was found to have "severely underestimated" the threat posed | :33:10. | :33:11. | |
by psychiatric patients - The latest UK inflation figures have | :33:12. | :33:32. | |
been released. It rose by 1% in the year to September, compared with a | :33:33. | :33:37. | |
0.6% rise in August. The rate in September was the highest when it | :33:38. | :33:41. | |
was 1%. America says Iraqi forces are "ahead | :33:42. | :33:44. | |
of schedule" after the first day of the battle to retake the city | :33:45. | :33:47. | |
of Mosul from the Islamic State It's the last IS stronghold | :33:48. | :33:50. | |
in Iraq, and aid agencies are warning that the offensive | :33:51. | :33:54. | |
could trigger a humanitarian crisis. The Pentagon says that so far, | :33:55. | :33:56. | |
the offensive is going to plan. Aid agencies are warning | :33:57. | :33:59. | |
the offensive could trigger The Iraqi government | :34:00. | :34:01. | |
throws everything it has A coalition of 30,000 Iraqi | :34:02. | :34:08. | |
and Kurdish Peshmerga forces, backed by Western air strikes, | :34:09. | :34:14. | |
advance on so-called Islamic State's last major | :34:15. | :34:17. | |
stronghold in the country. The first phase of the operation | :34:18. | :34:22. | |
is slow and careful, with at least 4,000 IS troops | :34:23. | :34:24. | |
still thought to be in Mosul. The Iraqi army heading | :34:25. | :34:27. | |
in from the south is taking And it wasn't long before | :34:28. | :34:31. | |
they faced their first sign of resistance - | :34:32. | :34:39. | |
a tank fired at a truck bomber, The Kurdish Peshmerga, | :34:40. | :34:42. | |
moving in from the south, encountered its own approaching car | :34:43. | :34:45. | |
bomb and soon destroyed it. The Prime Minister said | :34:46. | :34:50. | |
he would like to wrap this up We would like to do this as quickly | :34:51. | :34:57. | |
as possible, but it will be on the Iraqi calendar, | :34:58. | :35:03. | |
the Iraqi timeline. But there are fears this fight could | :35:04. | :35:05. | |
end in a humanitarian disaster. A million inhabitants may need food | :35:06. | :35:08. | |
and shelter and they could be There were leaflets dropped over | :35:09. | :35:11. | |
the city just ahead of this offensive by Iraqi security forces, | :35:12. | :35:14. | |
telling civilians to stay inside, to lock their doors, | :35:15. | :35:20. | |
to turn off gas pipes, there was a fear of explosions | :35:21. | :35:22. | |
obviously, and to Whether this will be seen | :35:23. | :35:27. | |
as a victory for the Iraqi government depends entirely on what | :35:28. | :35:32. | |
happens to Mosul's civilians. A 23-year-old man has been arrested | :35:33. | :35:38. | |
on suspicion of rape following an alleged attack | :35:39. | :35:41. | |
at the Houses of Parliament. The assault is alleged | :35:42. | :35:46. | |
to have happened He's been released on bail bailed | :35:47. | :35:48. | |
pending further enquiries. A BBC investigation has found that | :35:49. | :35:57. | |
less than half of the grammar schools in England give priority | :35:58. | :36:00. | |
to children from poorer families. The government, which wants | :36:01. | :36:02. | |
to increase the number of selective schools in England, | :36:03. | :36:04. | |
says it's consulting on ways The wife of the Republican | :36:05. | :36:07. | |
Presidential candidate Donald Trump has described accusations of sexual | :36:08. | :36:11. | |
assault against him as lies. In an interview on US television, | :36:12. | :36:13. | |
Melania Trump insisted She also said that lewd comments | :36:14. | :36:18. | |
Mr Trump made about women in 2005 were unacceptable but did not | :36:19. | :36:33. | |
represent the man she knows. That's a summary of | :36:34. | :36:35. | |
the latest BBC News. Here's John Watson now | :36:36. | :36:37. | |
with the morning sports headlines. Hardly a classic between two of the | :36:38. | :36:47. | |
Premier League's big hitters. Liverpool and Manchester United | :36:48. | :36:50. | |
played out a drab goalless trough. One of the best chances fell to | :36:51. | :36:55. | |
Philip Coutinho but the goalkeeper produced a great save. They missed | :36:56. | :36:58. | |
the chance to move level on points with Manchester City and Arsenal. | :36:59. | :37:03. | |
Plenty for the Premier League table toppers to be happy about. They've | :37:04. | :37:07. | |
posted record profits of ?20 million. It follows a takeover of | :37:08. | :37:23. | |
the club in 2008. Mark Cavendish would not speculate over the | :37:24. | :37:29. | |
situation of British Cycling. He said, whether I believe him or not, | :37:30. | :37:34. | |
I'm just speculating, I will let him deal with it. 11 months after | :37:35. | :37:38. | |
returning to Rugby League, Sam Burgess will captain the Rugby | :37:39. | :37:42. | |
League side in the upcoming campaign. He says the criticism of | :37:43. | :37:46. | |
his time in rugby union was unfair. We are back with more at 10am. That | :37:47. | :37:51. | |
is literally all the sport. Inflation is up. These are the | :37:52. | :38:02. | |
figures of September. Up from what to what? Up from 0.6% to 1%. It is a | :38:03. | :38:11. | |
little bit higher-than-expected but a significant rise was on the cards. | :38:12. | :38:16. | |
What is striking is that a lot of people were putting this expectation | :38:17. | :38:19. | |
down to the fall in the value of the pound. The Office of National | :38:20. | :38:28. | |
Statistics say there is no evidence the pound is pushing up this. The | :38:29. | :38:34. | |
things that have gone up have been motor fuels, who tells, the price of | :38:35. | :38:40. | |
clothing, with an offset coming from inner fears. What could be behind | :38:41. | :38:48. | |
it? It could be underlying that to some extent because some of these | :38:49. | :38:53. | |
goods, clothing, a significant amount is imported, and fuel is | :38:54. | :39:02. | |
priced in dollars. It could be that it's a little further back in the | :39:03. | :39:06. | |
supply chain but there is no explicit evidence to say that. Just | :39:07. | :39:12. | |
to explain the link, when we import stuff, what we import is more | :39:13. | :39:16. | |
expensive. Typically, the people buying it will need to pay the costs | :39:17. | :39:22. | |
of it in foreign currency and it will cost them more. It's gone up | :39:23. | :39:29. | |
for September but is still way below the Bank of England targets. Indeed. | :39:30. | :39:34. | |
You'd need to see if it stays at this kind of level it would | :39:35. | :39:38. | |
certainly not be a problem. The Bank of England would wanted to go a | :39:39. | :39:43. | |
little higher. And beer in mind, wages have been rising. For the time | :39:44. | :39:51. | |
being, real living standards are keeping pace with price rises. The | :39:52. | :39:59. | |
decline in the value of the pound will take time to fully make itself | :40:00. | :40:06. | |
felt. Most economists will tell you it will get a good deal higher. They | :40:07. | :40:14. | |
are expecting inflation to exceed their target. Some people will tell | :40:15. | :40:21. | |
you buy a significant margin. But the bank think it is going to be a | :40:22. | :40:25. | |
one-off thing that will dissipate over time. They probably won't worry | :40:26. | :40:32. | |
about it hugely. We will talk to a woman who runs her own business | :40:33. | :40:37. | |
after ten, she import a lot of her own goods. | :40:38. | :40:51. | |
Donald Trump is my wife thinks it is just bite. It is the first interview | :40:52. | :41:00. | |
since the tape of the TV host emerged where he boasts about sexual | :41:01. | :41:11. | |
misconduct. Melania Trump spoke about her image being used. Those | :41:12. | :41:15. | |
words were offensive to me and they were inappropriate and he apologised | :41:16. | :41:25. | |
to me and I accept his apology. We are moving on. What were your | :41:26. | :41:32. | |
thoughts when you heard those tapes? This is not the man that I know. Is | :41:33. | :41:38. | |
it fair for the media to bring up Bill Clinton's past? He did bring up | :41:39. | :41:48. | |
my past, why not? They are asking for it. They started from the | :41:49. | :41:55. | |
beginning of the campaign putting my picture from modelling days, as you | :41:56. | :42:02. | |
want that to the first Lady. I worked very hard. Good morning. | :42:03. | :42:15. | |
Finding the right partner in the superficial dating world is not | :42:16. | :42:20. | |
easy. In a bid to prove appearances are not everything, one Japanese | :42:21. | :42:27. | |
company is using surgical masks to force their clients to concentrate | :42:28. | :42:36. | |
on character. Interesting. Some say the eyes are the windows to the soul | :42:37. | :42:44. | |
and eyes are all these daters have to go on. | :42:45. | :42:55. | |
To achieve marriage it is important to provide people with the | :42:56. | :43:05. | |
opportunity in the early stages of a relationship to see personality, | :43:06. | :43:08. | |
rather than start with their appearance. That is why we use | :43:09. | :43:11. | |
surgical masks. They are an important tool for that. With | :43:12. | :43:17. | |
declining birth rates, dating services in Japan are gaining | :43:18. | :43:20. | |
popularity. The singles in this room are not given up on finding the one | :43:21. | :43:24. | |
but in a digital world where online dating is the norm they feel | :43:25. | :43:28. | |
superficial first impressions are getting in the way. People come to | :43:29. | :43:35. | |
this event looking for someone with personalities or from the start I | :43:36. | :43:40. | |
felt confident, not being judged by my appearance I was able to be more | :43:41. | :43:47. | |
outgoing with women? I think I was able to find a more about their | :43:48. | :43:51. | |
inner selves and not just judge them by their looks. In this event, | :43:52. | :43:55. | |
personality matters. I quite like that. It worked. These young women | :43:56. | :44:01. | |
have landed themselves a second double date and this time they might | :44:02. | :44:09. | |
leave the masks at home. There you go. | :44:10. | :44:16. | |
Before last year's election, Ed Balls had a chance of being | :44:17. | :44:23. | |
Chancellor, but he was dealt a low blow when he was booted out of his | :44:24. | :44:27. | |
Parliamentary seat. As he put it in his book, I thought there was a | :44:28. | :44:34. | |
chance I would be delivering Britain's next budget and a second | :44:35. | :44:40. | |
later, my political career was over. He went back to Harvard University, | :44:41. | :44:44. | |
became chairman of his football team, and joined Strictly. | :44:45. | :44:58. | |
Ready to tighten your belt, Chancellor? | :44:59. | :45:35. | |
Dancing the waltz, Ed Balls and Katya Jones. | :45:36. | :45:38. | |
The former Chief Executive of EDS, who I was just talking to a few | :45:39. | :45:47. | |
Of course, he is a big supporter of ours. | :45:48. | :45:52. | |
To be honest, his surname has just gone from my head, | :45:53. | :45:55. | |
which is a bit annoying at this time of night. | :45:56. | :45:58. | |
And as a result, his economic and fiscal | :45:59. | :46:12. | |
Yes, I'm not going to sort of paint my face green any time | :46:13. | :46:24. | |
Any personal disappointment I have at this result is as nothing | :46:25. | :46:32. | |
compared to the sense of sorrow I have at the result that Labour has | :46:33. | :46:35. | |
He's here. It is a mad, mad world to go from that to this! I know. It is | :46:36. | :47:26. | |
fabulous actually. Is it? I don't think I would have thought that I | :47:27. | :47:29. | |
would have done the different things that I'm doing at the moment. Of | :47:30. | :47:32. | |
course, it was a terrible result for Labour and for me I had a marginal | :47:33. | :47:35. | |
seat, but I came out of Parliament and I have ended up doing a series | :47:36. | :47:39. | |
of things which I never thought I'd get the chance to do. Are you | :47:40. | :47:44. | |
happier? The thing about politics and especially if you are a Cabinet | :47:45. | :47:47. | |
Minister, it is so important what you're doing and it is deeply | :47:48. | :47:50. | |
fulfilling. It is changing people's lives in a small way and a huge way | :47:51. | :47:54. | |
across the country and I don't have that anymore, but on the other hand, | :47:55. | :47:58. | |
you know, I have no idea what I'm going to do next year, but I don't | :47:59. | :48:04. | |
think I mind. I'm doing a series of things which are just intrinsically | :48:05. | :48:07. | |
enjoyable and warm. Strictly Come Dancing, I mean, it is quite tacking | :48:08. | :48:10. | |
and painful and it is quite stressful. On the other hand, people | :48:11. | :48:14. | |
love it so much that it is really nice to be part of something so warm | :48:15. | :48:20. | |
and positive and people in the street these days, they yell out | :48:21. | :48:23. | |
good things all the time. Whereas in the old days, it was never clear | :48:24. | :48:27. | |
which way it was going to go. So how would you assess, how you're doing | :48:28. | :48:32. | |
on Strictly so far? Well, I'm... I have to do a double take. We have | :48:33. | :48:36. | |
had the inflation figures, I cannot believe I'm asking you about | :48:37. | :48:40. | |
Strictly as opposed to asking you about inflation which I'm not going | :48:41. | :48:44. | |
to do because' not in office, you're not an elected MP. It is surreal? | :48:45. | :48:49. | |
I'm worrying about Brexit and the Government and the Labour Party, | :48:50. | :48:52. | |
however, my biggest worry at the moment is my American Smooth Foxtrot | :48:53. | :48:57. | |
which I've got to do in four days time and you start on a Monday | :48:58. | :49:00. | |
totally cold, never having done it ever before and you have got to get | :49:01. | :49:04. | |
to a performance stage in four or five days. I'm stressed about that. | :49:05. | :49:10. | |
I'm sore because I discovered I've got gloots and they really hurt. | :49:11. | :49:14. | |
They are working again. It is quite something. I surpassed my | :49:15. | :49:18. | |
expectations, I wanted to get through the first week, I didn't | :49:19. | :49:22. | |
want to go out on the first public vote and I've gone through and I'm | :49:23. | :49:26. | |
probably the worst dancer, but that's no surprise, but people are | :49:27. | :49:30. | |
enjoying it and they can, I think, see that we're trying hard and | :49:31. | :49:33. | |
trying to do better and Strictly is all about trying to learn and to | :49:34. | :49:39. | |
improve and I've got a great partner in Katya. We're doing our best and | :49:40. | :49:44. | |
every week is a he bonus now. You were late this morning and I | :49:45. | :49:47. | |
suggested to you earlier that you've taken this show business lifestyle | :49:48. | :49:51. | |
to heart. That's why you were so late, but you were late. Tell our | :49:52. | :49:55. | |
audience what happened? We were in a car and in front of us, a lorry was | :49:56. | :49:59. | |
turning right and some other driver decided to overtake on the other | :50:00. | :50:02. | |
side, careered off the road on to the payment, just missed two people, | :50:03. | :50:06. | |
and then reversed and went charging off again. We stopped and we got his | :50:07. | :50:10. | |
numberplate and we reported it and gave our contacts. So we had a dash | :50:11. | :50:15. | |
to get here for the show, but... A witness to a hit-and-run on the way. | :50:16. | :50:20. | |
It was total crazy driving and luckily the people who he almost hit | :50:21. | :50:23. | |
didn't get hurt, but it could have been really, really terrible. So I | :50:24. | :50:29. | |
think it says every day you've got to know that it could be, you know, | :50:30. | :50:32. | |
the last day. So you've always got to enjoy every day. Is that how you | :50:33. | :50:36. | |
saw it when you witnessed that? I did think that. Life is so random | :50:37. | :50:41. | |
and uncertain and you never know what's going to happen and you can't | :50:42. | :50:44. | |
think about that too much, but I think it also means if you spend | :50:45. | :50:48. | |
your whole life thinking in ten years time or 20 years I will | :50:49. | :50:53. | |
achieve or be fulfilled, that could be debilitating. I do think, I'm at | :50:54. | :50:58. | |
the stage in my life where I think I want to enjoy every day and make | :50:59. | :51:01. | |
sure I see our kids growing up and the next stage of their lives and I | :51:02. | :51:05. | |
want to make sure I do things which are fun and enjoyable. You know, I | :51:06. | :51:09. | |
sort of hanker after the purpose which I used to have in politics, | :51:10. | :51:14. | |
but that was taken away by the electorate and that's right and role | :51:15. | :51:18. | |
and so, it is a different face. Yeah. Totally agree. Obviously you | :51:19. | :51:26. | |
can be on Strictly and chairman of Norwich City because you lost your | :51:27. | :51:29. | |
seat in 2015 and you say in your book the most emotional part of that | :51:30. | :51:33. | |
was hearing and finding out that your children had watched you lose. | :51:34. | :51:37. | |
Tell bus that. Because we all watched that moment? I was in a | :51:38. | :51:44. | |
hotel room from midnight until 7.30am on my own with my press guy | :51:45. | :51:50. | |
guy and I had time to think it all through and understand what was | :51:51. | :51:54. | |
happening and prepare, I was quite calm because I knew there was going | :51:55. | :51:57. | |
to be a Conservative majority. I didn't really want to have another | :51:58. | :52:01. | |
five years of Opposition, it was Labour's turn, sorry, it was | :52:02. | :52:05. | |
Yvette's turn to go for the leadership of the party and | :52:06. | :52:08. | |
therefore, I was better out of the way, but I didn't find out until | :52:09. | :52:13. | |
afterwards that my son had stayed up all night waiting for the result. | :52:14. | :52:20. | |
How old is he? He's 15. My other daughter came back and didn't know | :52:21. | :52:23. | |
the result because she wouldn't be able to concentrate. Lots of | :52:24. | :52:26. | |
people's hopes and expectations were dashed. People who wanted a change | :52:27. | :52:30. | |
of Government and I became the symbol of that and so therefore, I | :52:31. | :52:34. | |
had all day messages and texts and people ringing and people were so | :52:35. | :52:37. | |
upset and it wasn't really about me, it was about their loss. I ended up | :52:38. | :52:43. | |
becoming the symbol of that, I ended up spending most of my time | :52:44. | :52:47. | |
comforting people and saying it was fine and we would come back. Your | :52:48. | :52:50. | |
son did find you on the Friday evening crying? It was the end of | :52:51. | :52:58. | |
the day. It was just, it was more like the accumulation of that day. I | :52:59. | :53:05. | |
had a call that day from an old friend of mine who is the US | :53:06. | :53:12. | |
secretary, he is called Larry Surmers, he said make no quick | :53:13. | :53:16. | |
decision,s don't say that you're spending time with your family and | :53:17. | :53:19. | |
come to Harvard for a year and think what is it next? I took that advice | :53:20. | :53:23. | |
seriously. A good friend. It was wonderful. Also in the book you say | :53:24. | :53:29. | |
that when Labour was in Government, under Tony Blair, turning down the | :53:30. | :53:33. | |
chance to have transitional controls on workers from Poland and other | :53:34. | :53:36. | |
countries was "A terrible mistake." Do you think there is a link between | :53:37. | :53:41. | |
that mistake and Britain voting to leave the European Union 16 years | :53:42. | :53:46. | |
later? I do think there is a link because I think what happened was | :53:47. | :53:51. | |
and I sort of say this in the book that we failed to understand this is | :53:52. | :53:55. | |
the political classes, the risks and the challenges in our economy in the | :53:56. | :54:00. | |
last 20 years. We thought we were focussing on the right things, we | :54:01. | :54:03. | |
made the Bank of England independent to keep inflation low, we didn't see | :54:04. | :54:06. | |
the financial crisis happening in the banks and the squeeze on wages | :54:07. | :54:10. | |
which happened and we didn't see the globalisation wouldn't just be about | :54:11. | :54:13. | |
goods going around the world, but people moving. If in 2004 we had | :54:14. | :54:17. | |
known there was going to be such movement from Eastern Europe in the | :54:18. | :54:21. | |
years which followed, we would have had transitional controls, but | :54:22. | :54:24. | |
nobody saw that. Loads of other countries did because they put the | :54:25. | :54:27. | |
controls in place? That's right. Britain was one of only three | :54:28. | :54:31. | |
countries that didn't? The judgement then was we hadn't joined the single | :54:32. | :54:37. | |
currency, the euro, which was an important decision. Tony Blair, | :54:38. | :54:40. | |
Gordon Brown and others were thinking well, look we are the | :54:41. | :54:44. | |
people who are against the euro, but we have always supported enlargement | :54:45. | :54:49. | |
and let's show we're supporting enlargement by not having controls | :54:50. | :54:52. | |
thinking the numbers would be tiny and both our Government and David | :54:53. | :54:57. | |
Cameron saying he would get the net migration down to the tens of | :54:58. | :55:01. | |
thousands and then it being hundreds of thousands, it looked like the | :55:02. | :55:04. | |
political classes were failing to get a grip and when it came to the | :55:05. | :55:08. | |
referendum, David Cameron's message was it is OK, trust me, I've | :55:09. | :55:13. | |
reformed it. People said, "I don't think you have." They voted for | :55:14. | :55:17. | |
change and it is a hugely problematic period in our country as | :55:18. | :55:22. | |
a result. You talked about how much you hated - you talked about still | :55:23. | :55:26. | |
looking for purpose, having been a Cabinet Minister where you can | :55:27. | :55:28. | |
change people's lives, you hope for the better, it doesn't always work | :55:29. | :55:31. | |
out that way, but you talk about being in opposition and how you | :55:32. | :55:38. | |
hated that. You talk, you say it was soul destroying and futile, how long | :55:39. | :55:40. | |
do you think Labour will be in opposition with Jeremy Corbyn as | :55:41. | :55:45. | |
leader? Well, I think, first of all, if you are a member of Parliament, | :55:46. | :55:49. | |
even in opposition, in your constituency, you can change lives | :55:50. | :55:53. | |
for the better every day and constituency MPs actually do trance | :55:54. | :55:57. | |
for matetry things, not on the national stage, but just for | :55:58. | :56:00. | |
individuals whose lives they help turn around. It is a good thing to | :56:01. | :56:03. | |
be a member of Parliament however, if you want to really change the | :56:04. | :56:07. | |
world you've got to write the Budget... How long do you think | :56:08. | :56:11. | |
Labour will be in opposition under Jeremy Corbyn for? I think that | :56:12. | :56:14. | |
Jeremy Corbyn and his supporters have got to persuade people they | :56:15. | :56:17. | |
actually really want to be in Government. How long? If you want to | :56:18. | :56:21. | |
be in Government you've got to persuade the sceptical people in the | :56:22. | :56:24. | |
middle to trust you. Jeremy Corbyn has been re-elected as the leader. | :56:25. | :56:27. | |
It looks like he'll fight the next election. I'm fearful that the way | :56:28. | :56:32. | |
he's going about it means that Labour are currently unelectable, | :56:33. | :56:35. | |
but he has still got a chance to turn that around, we will see, but | :56:36. | :56:40. | |
if not, Labour will be out of power for years to come and that would be | :56:41. | :56:43. | |
a tragedy for Labour. It is a problem for people who need a Labour | :56:44. | :56:47. | |
Government and also, the Government needs a strong opposition. One of | :56:48. | :56:50. | |
the things I say in the book was back in 2001, the Blair-Brown | :56:51. | :56:54. | |
problems partly happened because the Tories at the time were so weak. | :56:55. | :56:57. | |
Iain Duncan Smith was not a strong leader. The Government needs a | :56:58. | :57:01. | |
strong Labour opposition challenging them to do better or else it becomes | :57:02. | :57:05. | |
an internal fight in the Conservative Party which look, a the | :57:06. | :57:08. | |
moment we see Conservative Cabinet Ministers attacking their own | :57:09. | :57:11. | |
chancellor in the papers. This is not healthy. And Labour has got to | :57:12. | :57:15. | |
rise to the plate in order that Labour becomes the opposition rather | :57:16. | :57:19. | |
than internal divides. Well, ministers attacking their own | :57:20. | :57:22. | |
colleagues in the papers is not a new thing! It happens when | :57:23. | :57:26. | |
Oppositions are weak. If Jeremy Corbyn is not going to win the next | :57:27. | :57:30. | |
election which you said you're fearful... I'm fearful. Because he | :57:31. | :57:34. | |
can't necessarily as you say appeal to that wider electorate, who would | :57:35. | :57:37. | |
be a better leader right now for Labour? We had a leadership contest | :57:38. | :57:40. | |
this summer. I think it was premature myself. I don't think | :57:41. | :57:43. | |
Jeremy Corbyn had enough time to show how he was going to do things | :57:44. | :57:49. | |
and he is got a mandate from the members. Is there anyone in Labour | :57:50. | :57:53. | |
right now that you see is a future leader? Your wife went for the | :57:54. | :57:57. | |
leadership. She was, you know, quite a way behind. So who is there in | :57:58. | :58:02. | |
that party? I think at the moment, it is really unhelpful for me and | :58:03. | :58:06. | |
unsupportive of me to come on and start speculating about who would be | :58:07. | :58:09. | |
alternative leaders. Of course, there are people who could be good | :58:10. | :58:13. | |
leaders, but at the moment, Jeremy Corbyn is re-elected as a mandate, | :58:14. | :58:15. | |
he put together a Shadow Cabinet. They have got to show they can | :58:16. | :58:18. | |
change. It is not impossible for Jeremy Corbyn to reach into the | :58:19. | :58:22. | |
centre, but it means he has got to show he will be tough on public | :58:23. | :58:25. | |
spending and he has got to listen to people on national security and work | :58:26. | :58:28. | |
with business rather than be an antibusiness figure. So far, we have | :58:29. | :58:33. | |
not seen signs of that, but I think he has got to be given a chance now | :58:34. | :58:37. | |
and it is difficult because I think at the moment it makes Labour | :58:38. | :58:41. | |
ineffective as an opposition. What about Dan Jarvis? Dan Jarvis is a | :58:42. | :58:47. | |
really good guy. He has amazing experience of public service for our | :58:48. | :58:51. | |
country around the world. I think he is still at the early stages of his | :58:52. | :58:55. | |
political career. He has chosen not to be a candidate in previous Labour | :58:56. | :59:00. | |
leadership elections. He could be one of the people in the next 10 or | :59:01. | :59:04. | |
15 years emerge. There is not a vacancy. I don't think there will be | :59:05. | :59:11. | |
a challenge. I think the interesting thing if Jeremy Corbyn realises that | :59:12. | :59:17. | |
the big supported by thousands of cheering supporters, your members, | :59:18. | :59:20. | |
is not the same as appealing to voters in the country who are | :59:21. | :59:23. | |
generally too busy with their own lives to come to one of your rallies | :59:24. | :59:27. | |
and realises that actually this is not for him and for him to stand | :59:28. | :59:34. | |
aside, and therefore have another leadership election before the next | :59:35. | :59:36. | |
general election. I think that's not impossible. I think that it is | :59:37. | :59:39. | |
something that he might think about very hard, but that would be his | :59:40. | :59:43. | |
choice now, rather than the Parliamentarians. It is up to him. | :59:44. | :59:46. | |
Does he want to be Prime Minister? Does he know what needs to be done | :59:47. | :59:50. | |
to be Prime Minister? Can he make the changes which are needed and | :59:51. | :59:53. | |
really lead? So far we have not seen evidence of that. Although he said | :59:54. | :59:58. | |
yes to all those questions that you just posed? I know, but it is the | :59:59. | :00:02. | |
actions that matter. Last week on the programme your ex-boss, former | :00:03. | :00:06. | |
Labour leader Ed Miliband, said this about you on Strictly. Have a look. | :00:07. | :00:11. | |
Have you been watching? I have. I've watched a clip actually. He has got | :00:12. | :00:15. | |
better and better, hasn't he? There he is. Do you think he has got | :00:16. | :00:19. | |
better and better? What are you basing that on? Well, didn't he do | :00:20. | :00:23. | |
better last week than the week before. He has thrown himself into | :00:24. | :00:33. | |
it A national treasure? I'm not going to paint my face green any | :00:34. | :00:35. | |
time soon! Those the National treasures tend to | :00:36. | :00:45. | |
get locked up in the Tower of London? Why have you fallen out? I | :00:46. | :00:56. | |
don't think we've fallen out. Why are you not friends? We did some | :00:57. | :00:58. | |
important things together with Gordon Brown. | :00:59. | :01:10. | |
I think he made a decision to be more distant. It was not like we | :01:11. | :01:20. | |
fell out. Things pulled away. What I say in the book is you can have | :01:21. | :01:24. | |
friendships which come together again but sometimes it is hard to | :01:25. | :01:32. | |
sustain that. A good example of that is Gordon Brown and Robin Cook. They | :01:33. | :01:35. | |
pulled away when they were in the Cabinet but they made a close | :01:36. | :01:41. | |
friendship in the later years of Robin Cook's life. In the period | :01:42. | :01:52. | |
when he was allowed to, we were very professional. We got on well as | :01:53. | :02:03. | |
colleagues. Could I ask you a small favour? Harold it strictly -- Carol | :02:04. | :02:13. | |
did Strictly last year and never got to dance one of the dancers. Near | :02:14. | :02:28. | |
the did I! I messed it up. We got a step wrong. We lost our steps. I | :02:29. | :02:37. | |
went in being told, be a matador. The previous week had been right | :02:38. | :02:43. | |
camp. I went in and the producer said it was the most camp. May be | :02:44. | :02:53. | |
you could show her a couple of steps. I'm not totally sure. Do you | :02:54. | :03:05. | |
want to go now? Nobody knows the right steps. The key thing for me | :03:06. | :03:16. | |
is, art your back. I think if we go through here, then you have to go | :03:17. | :03:30. | |
back. She is a national treasure! How about that? My word! Do it | :03:31. | :03:42. | |
again. We will go, step, and back. And then down. You are good. We | :03:43. | :04:02. | |
should probably do it to music. We could do the big swing at the end | :04:03. | :04:09. | |
when I throw you, and then bang, like that. | :04:10. | :04:23. | |
Well done. You are a star. Thank you for being such a good sport. I will | :04:24. | :04:36. | |
be doing the foxtrot, which is so much easier. Do you know how I | :04:37. | :04:43. | |
learned the foxtrot? I watched lots of Fox's trotting. Thanks for the | :04:44. | :04:56. | |
tip. That was quite energetic. It is a six. I will take that any day. | :04:57. | :05:04. | |
Let's see how the judges scored you. That's not the lowest score on this | :05:05. | :05:37. | |
programme. You are saying it is OK? You can vote for them when voting | :05:38. | :05:40. | |
opens at the end of the show. Well done. Let me read these comments. | :05:41. | :05:48. | |
David says, I have more respect for Ed Balls since Strictly as he has | :05:49. | :05:55. | |
shown he has the courage not to care what people do about him and have | :05:56. | :06:00. | |
fun with it. This person says, you cannot make a better entertainment | :06:01. | :06:03. | |
than a politician making a joke of themselves. This person says, I have | :06:04. | :06:18. | |
not laughed as much in ages. Does this mean you cannot go back to | :06:19. | :06:25. | |
politics? If I was trying to go back to politics wearing a yellow suit | :06:26. | :06:28. | |
and a green face, it would not be the smartest move. It probably | :06:29. | :06:35. | |
indicates, I did that for 20 years, it is so wild, who knows? If I | :06:36. | :06:42. | |
thought I could do something which would help turn it round I would do | :06:43. | :06:45. | |
it but realistically I've had my time. The thing that is really | :06:46. | :06:51. | |
frustrating about the comments, they are fabulous, we are only in because | :06:52. | :06:56. | |
people are voting for us, but when people say, we knew you were a | :06:57. | :06:59. | |
politician but it is great to find out you are a human being, but | :07:00. | :07:03. | |
actually, these politicians are human beings, they have families, | :07:04. | :07:08. | |
they make mistakes, they do their best, sometimes people do bad things | :07:09. | :07:18. | |
but mostly people do good things. I wonder if you will end up doing a | :07:19. | :07:24. | |
John Sergeant, having to make a decision to leave because you keep | :07:25. | :07:28. | |
being voted in even though there are more talented dancers? It is a show | :07:29. | :07:41. | |
about learning to dance and entertaining. If it was a | :07:42. | :07:45. | |
competition I would not have entered, I clearly started from the | :07:46. | :08:01. | |
lowest place. Last week, Len said that you are doing all the steps. | :08:02. | :08:07. | |
You really can stick around, how long do you want to go on for? I | :08:08. | :08:12. | |
have been told I need to lose as stone, I really want to do a jive, | :08:13. | :08:16. | |
there is no way that I'm going to last very long but another couple of | :08:17. | :08:25. | |
weeks would be great. As a politician, I know that in the end | :08:26. | :08:38. | |
it is the public who decide. Thank you very much coming on the | :08:39. | :08:43. | |
programme. Here is Carol doing her normal job. | :08:44. | :08:48. | |
You get a ten from me. This morning we have some beautiful pictures to | :08:49. | :08:53. | |
show you. As you move further south, we've had | :08:54. | :09:06. | |
some heavy rain in Yorkshire. This was set in -- sent in by Wendy. We | :09:07. | :09:19. | |
have rain moving southwards. Behind it we've got showers coming in. It | :09:20. | :09:27. | |
is turning colder. We had a mph which will be usurped by the weather | :09:28. | :09:33. | |
coming south and the colder are will move. The wet and windy weather will | :09:34. | :09:43. | |
move away. Some of those will be heavy. The north-westerly will | :09:44. | :09:56. | |
accentuate the chilly feeling. Windy with exposure in the West and across | :09:57. | :10:02. | |
Northern Ireland. Still with a plethora of showers. Curled in the | :10:03. | :10:15. | |
North of England. -- freezing. The same in south-west England. There | :10:16. | :10:17. | |
will be some sunshine from the Midlands down to the Isle of Wight. | :10:18. | :10:21. | |
Into Kent and East Anglia with less showers. Through this evening and | :10:22. | :10:26. | |
overnight, most of the showers will fade except close to the coast. It | :10:27. | :10:30. | |
will still be windy. There will still be code around. When it | :10:31. | :10:34. | |
breaks, especially in sheltered parts of the north-west, that | :10:35. | :10:37. | |
amateurs could drop low enough for a touch of frost. We start on that | :10:38. | :10:41. | |
note. The low pressure that has been dominating will move away. The wind | :10:42. | :10:46. | |
around it comes from a chilly, northerly direction. That will bring | :10:47. | :10:53. | |
showers in inland. In the West, high dominating. For many, it will be dry | :10:54. | :11:04. | |
with some sunshine. We are looking at highs of 15 with the wind. | :11:05. | :11:09. | |
Tomorrow will not feel as called. As we head into Thursday, the low | :11:10. | :11:13. | |
pressure will come round it. We've got that direction. That will bring | :11:14. | :11:23. | |
in the showers. Temperatures will be roughly where they should be. | :11:24. | :11:33. | |
Good morning and welcome to the programme. | :11:34. | :11:36. | |
Inflation records its sharpest jump in more than two years. | :11:37. | :11:39. | |
We were warned this might happen - and we'll speak to an expert about | :11:40. | :11:42. | |
Living with cancer is never easy, but what about coming to terms | :11:43. | :11:46. | |
Journalist and presenter Steve Hewlett joins us to talk | :11:47. | :11:50. | |
From politics to the polka - Westminster two-stepper Ed Balls has | :11:51. | :11:54. | |
been with us this morning to talk about life after politics - | :11:55. | :11:56. | |
and his new found stardom on the dance floor. | :11:57. | :12:01. | |
He's been giving tips. Five, six, seven... | :12:02. | :12:19. | |
The Consumer Price Index Inflation has risen to its highest level | :12:20. | :12:26. | |
in more than two years according to official figures. | :12:27. | :12:28. | |
from 0.6% in August, the highest level | :12:29. | :12:31. | |
The Office for National Statistics said there was "no explicit | :12:32. | :12:35. | |
evidence" that sterling's slump following the Brexit vote had pushed | :12:36. | :12:40. | |
One of England's largest mental health trusts has been severely | :12:41. | :12:46. | |
criticised for failing to learn lessons and improve care | :12:47. | :12:50. | |
after its patients killed 10 people in recent years | :12:51. | :12:53. | |
Sussex Partnership NHS Trust was found to have "severely | :12:54. | :12:56. | |
underestimated" the threat posed by psychiatric patients - | :12:57. | :12:59. | |
America says Iraqi forces are "ahead of schedule" after the first day | :13:00. | :13:07. | |
of the battle to retake the city of Mosul from the Islamic State | :13:08. | :13:11. | |
It's the last IS stronghold in Iraq, and aid agencies | :13:12. | :13:15. | |
are warning that the offensive could trigger a humanitarian crisis. | :13:16. | :13:19. | |
The Pentagon says that so far, the offensive is going to plan. | :13:20. | :13:24. | |
Aid agencies are warning the offensive could trigger | :13:25. | :13:26. | |
an aid to a Conservative MP has been arrested on suspicion of rate | :13:27. | :13:45. | |
following an attack at the Houses of Parliament. The Met police said | :13:46. | :13:50. | |
detectives were investigating an allegation of rate in the early | :13:51. | :13:53. | |
hours of Friday the 14th of October. Jessica has said, do they know that | :13:54. | :14:07. | |
they are on a? This e-mail from John, superb interview, remain | :14:08. | :14:16. | |
honest. People laugh Fred up with this. A member of the party, I hope | :14:17. | :14:30. | |
so. Watch him dance. My day is made. Get in touch with us. Use the hash | :14:31. | :14:39. | |
tag. I think that made our day. What is it like to be a Premier League | :14:40. | :14:47. | |
referee? One man who can answer that is Howard Webb. Thanks for joining | :14:48. | :14:55. | |
us. Very timely to have you with us. There was a big match last night. In | :14:56. | :15:01. | |
the lead up to the match it was the referee in the spotlight. | :15:02. | :15:04. | |
Suggestions he should not have been refereeing the match despite it | :15:05. | :15:08. | |
being at Anfield, he lives close to the Manchester United ground. | :15:09. | :15:15. | |
Questions over his integrity. How hard is it with the focus and | :15:16. | :15:19. | |
attention placed on Premier League referees? It was pressure, it did | :15:20. | :15:28. | |
not need to be said by people who should have known better. He will | :15:29. | :15:31. | |
not have heard all the stuff because as the referee you try to shut | :15:32. | :15:35. | |
yourself away but some of it will have filtered through. His integrity | :15:36. | :15:36. | |
was being questioned. He lives close to the Manchester | :15:37. | :15:46. | |
United ground and he doesn't support the team? People were hoping to get | :15:47. | :15:51. | |
into his head and make him behave in a certain way. He lives six or seven | :15:52. | :15:56. | |
miles from Manchester. He lives in Cheshirement he refereed Manchester | :15:57. | :15:59. | |
United and City many times before without issues. All this talk before | :16:00. | :16:03. | |
the game wasn't help. . The FA have got strong rules about people | :16:04. | :16:05. | |
speaking about the match officials before the game for good reason and | :16:06. | :16:08. | |
it will be interesting to see if any action is taken by the people who | :16:09. | :16:12. | |
are involved in the game, like Jose Mourinho for example. His comments, | :16:13. | :16:17. | |
he said it would be hard for him to perform in that match last night and | :16:18. | :16:20. | |
his xhints are being investigated? That comment isn't that bad, but it | :16:21. | :16:24. | |
adds fuel to the debate I guess, doesn't it? I'm delighted Anthony | :16:25. | :16:30. | |
performed well last night. There wasn't a great deal to do, but he | :16:31. | :16:33. | |
will be satisfied he delivered a good performance. Nobody speaks | :16:34. | :16:36. | |
about him after the game because he has not messed up. There was talk | :16:37. | :16:39. | |
before the game, but clearly, he was going to go out there and deliver a | :16:40. | :16:45. | |
performance on what he saw, impartially, mental resilience is | :16:46. | :16:50. | |
essential in match officials and to question his integrity was | :16:51. | :16:53. | |
ridiculous. What is it like being a Premier League referee? What is it | :16:54. | :16:56. | |
like coming up against the greatest players in the world, but as we | :16:57. | :16:59. | |
know, perhaps, don't behave themselves on the football field. | :17:00. | :17:05. | |
They try and gain an unfair advantage faking injury. It must be | :17:06. | :17:11. | |
infuriating that you can't say to a player what you're really thinking? | :17:12. | :17:16. | |
You're in this pressurised environment where people are trying | :17:17. | :17:31. | |
get to you make a mistake. You've refereed a World Cup final in 2010, | :17:32. | :17:35. | |
a Champions League final as well, even harder, to get those big | :17:36. | :17:38. | |
decisions right I guess when you are at the top level of the game? Yes, | :17:39. | :17:43. | |
but with that comes the satisfaction of being involved in these huge | :17:44. | :17:47. | |
events sur ronneded by wonderful sportsmen and wonderful footballers | :17:48. | :17:50. | |
in the game you love, it is the best seat in the house. For anybody | :17:51. | :17:53. | |
passionate about their football and doesn't have the talent to be a | :17:54. | :17:55. | |
professional footballer, there is another way to get involved and make | :17:56. | :18:01. | |
it to the top and most of the time refereeing is a really, really | :18:02. | :18:04. | |
enjoyable thing to be involved in. Fantastic. Howard, many thanks | :18:05. | :18:08. | |
indeed for joining us on the programme this morning. Not a | :18:09. | :18:12. | |
classic last night, was it between Liverpool and Manchester United at | :18:13. | :18:16. | |
Anfield? But it is fair to say that Jose Mourinho will be the happier of | :18:17. | :18:19. | |
the two managers this morning. Thank you. | :18:20. | :18:24. | |
New figures released today show that Inflation is at its highest | :18:25. | :18:26. | |
In September there was a pretty sharp jump to 1% from point 0.6%. | :18:27. | :18:30. | |
But what does this mean for you and me? | :18:31. | :18:34. | |
Since the vote for Brexit, the value of the pound has dropped | :18:35. | :18:37. | |
sharply which means the cost of things that we import - | :18:38. | :18:40. | |
like food and oil - are going up, because it's now more | :18:41. | :18:46. | |
expensive for businesses in the UK to import goods. | :18:47. | :18:48. | |
Some firms are already passing those costs onto us, | :18:49. | :18:50. | |
and experts predict that'll keep happening for the next | :18:51. | :18:52. | |
So how soon will you see notice a difference when doing | :18:53. | :18:56. | |
the weekly shop or buying that morning cup of coffee? | :18:57. | :19:02. | |
Ann Pettifor is the Director of Prime Economics and Sofia | :19:03. | :19:04. | |
Charalambous who runs a family business, Bathroom Origins. | :19:05. | :19:07. | |
Hello both of you. Hi. How do you assess the rise? Well it is only 1 | :19:08. | :19:14. | |
Mers and the Bank of England's target is 2%. So we're not near the, | :19:15. | :19:19. | |
we're not near the Bank of England's target. And the problem has been | :19:20. | :19:24. | |
prices falling in the past really in the recent past. The real worry has | :19:25. | :19:28. | |
been deflation and we don't know how to manage deflation really. We don't | :19:29. | :19:33. | |
have the tools, the monetary tools to manage deflation. And so actually | :19:34. | :19:39. | |
a bit of deflation given also that we're indebted is not a bad thing | :19:40. | :19:44. | |
because what inflation does is it erodes the value of your debt. So it | :19:45. | :19:48. | |
makes debt more affordable. Deflation does the opposite. That's | :19:49. | :19:52. | |
why it is worrying. Why has the pound fallen in value in the way it | :19:53. | :19:56. | |
has? Mainly because investors are pulling money out of the economy. | :19:57. | :20:01. | |
And losing confidence in the currency, but also because everyone | :20:02. | :20:05. | |
is expecting the Federal Reserve to put up interest rates in December | :20:06. | :20:08. | |
and so money is flowing into the dollar. So there is that, but there | :20:09. | :20:13. | |
is also the political uncertainty that no one can really tell what is | :20:14. | :20:16. | |
going to happen about Brexit and I have to say that the Government | :20:17. | :20:20. | |
isn't helping by falling out amongst themselves. So this fall-out | :20:21. | :20:27. | |
yesterday between members of the Government and the Chancellor and | :20:28. | :20:30. | |
also the Bank of England is not helping confidence in the economy. | :20:31. | :20:38. | |
Sophia, you run a small family business with a turnover of over ?1 | :20:39. | :20:42. | |
million. You import bathroom products. How has the drop in the | :20:43. | :20:48. | |
pound affected you? The impact is our margin. So for us going forward | :20:49. | :20:52. | |
we're going to have to put our prices up so we can sustain our | :20:53. | :20:56. | |
business. Right, so your profit margin is reduced. You don't have to | :20:57. | :21:00. | |
put the prices up. You could absorb that and reduce your profits more? | :21:01. | :21:06. | |
We couldn't. Could you not We couldn't reduce them. We would be | :21:07. | :21:09. | |
out of business if we reduced them. How much are profits down compared | :21:10. | :21:14. | |
to before the EU referendum? I would say probably about, at the moment, | :21:15. | :21:18. | |
5% because at the beginning of the year, the pound was favourable. We | :21:19. | :21:22. | |
also hedged against the pound so we're able to sustain ourselves | :21:23. | :21:27. | |
until the end of the year. So we've offered our retail customers price | :21:28. | :21:30. | |
stability until the end as have many in our industry so really the prices | :21:31. | :21:34. | |
will start hitting from January onwards. OK, and you would expect | :21:35. | :21:39. | |
your competitors to do the same, would you? Well, some have already | :21:40. | :21:43. | |
done it. They didn't let the referendum, they didn't let the | :21:44. | :21:47. | |
referendum dust settle before they actually put their prices up which | :21:48. | :21:51. | |
is too soon, but the majority of us will start putting prices up from | :21:52. | :21:55. | |
January. How do you see your business going | :21:56. | :21:59. | |
in the next six to 12 months? Very uncertain. And for me, my worry is | :22:00. | :22:05. | |
more about the economy than the pound because kek adjust our prices | :22:06. | :22:09. | |
accordingly, but if we adjust them then maybe people will not want to | :22:10. | :22:14. | |
buy bathrooms. I think the whole economy will go through such a | :22:15. | :22:17. | |
period of uncertainty, they will hold off on big ticket items. | :22:18. | :22:22. | |
What do you need politically from the Government then to help things | :22:23. | :22:28. | |
feel less uncertain? I think we just need clarity and right now, I feel | :22:29. | :22:33. | |
we're not get anything. There so much infighting. Every day there is | :22:34. | :22:37. | |
a different story and people are just feeling nervous about the | :22:38. | :22:41. | |
future. So they're holding off on potentially buying stuff? Yes. And | :22:42. | :22:47. | |
Ann are there any advantage to say inflation going up and the pound | :22:48. | :22:51. | |
being weak? There are for people who have high levels of debt, but the | :22:52. | :22:55. | |
real problem and I think Sophia just made this clear, is that people will | :22:56. | :23:00. | |
be paying more, but their wages won't rise and small companies like | :23:01. | :23:07. | |
Sophia's haven been able to put up wages. Wages are still below what | :23:08. | :23:11. | |
they were since before the crisis. So people won't go shopping and the | :23:12. | :23:15. | |
really sad thing is that people on the lowest wages will take the | :23:16. | :23:18. | |
biggest hit and will find their living standards cut and that's | :23:19. | :23:22. | |
quite serious actually because living standards are already quite | :23:23. | :23:25. | |
low and that means that people certainly won't be buying bathrooms. | :23:26. | :23:29. | |
They will behaving to buy food and petrol because those are essentials | :23:30. | :23:33. | |
and so they may not buy those things that are less essential. So the real | :23:34. | :23:37. | |
problem and the problem is also Victoria, that there is a sort of | :23:38. | :23:41. | |
conflict going on in the global economy because out there, in the | :23:42. | :23:45. | |
global economy prices are falling and we have deflation. China, there | :23:46. | :23:49. | |
is a glut of goods coming out of China. That's pushing prices down. | :23:50. | :23:53. | |
There is a weakness of demand. Across the world people are not | :23:54. | :23:57. | |
going shopping if you like. So that come bin gnawings of prices falling | :23:58. | :24:02. | |
there, but rising here is going to make things pretty unstable. And it | :24:03. | :24:05. | |
is quite difficult to therefore say what is going to happen in the | :24:06. | :24:09. | |
future. Thank you both. Good luck. I wish you all the best. Thank you | :24:10. | :24:11. | |
very much for coming on the programme. Thank you. | :24:12. | :24:14. | |
Coming up, we'll be speaking to a campaigner for families who've | :24:15. | :24:18. | |
lost loved ones to mental health patients following a review which | :24:19. | :24:21. | |
Steve Hewlett is a journalist and presenter of The | :24:22. | :24:30. | |
He's been on this programme a number of times giving you the inside track | :24:31. | :24:35. | |
on media stories ranging from the future of the BBC | :24:36. | :24:38. | |
I've read this article many times and you can look high and low, | :24:39. | :24:44. | |
you will find no suggestion from anybody that what the Queen | :24:45. | :24:47. | |
Even his own autobiography, in 1974, makes it absolutely plain | :24:48. | :24:54. | |
that he has an attitude towards sexual contact, | :24:55. | :24:59. | |
and a desire for sexual contact with women and young girls | :25:00. | :25:02. | |
That's an ?800 million cut, it's 20% of the BBC's budget, | :25:03. | :25:06. | |
that is, if you are a BBC supporter, that is proper grievous bodily harm. | :25:07. | :25:10. | |
That is very, very serious whatever happens with the White Paper. | :25:11. | :25:14. | |
For the past few weeks Steve has been telling Radio 4's Eddie Mair | :25:15. | :25:17. | |
The cancer is in the advanced stages and is classed as incurable. | :25:18. | :25:23. | |
Hello. Hi, tell us why you're being open about your diagnosis? It sort | :25:24. | :25:37. | |
of crept up on me in a way. I think partly, within my family and amongst | :25:38. | :25:46. | |
my close family and associates it took me 12 microseconds that I would | :25:47. | :25:49. | |
tell them all including my children where it was at. You have three | :25:50. | :25:54. | |
grown-up sons? They are 19, 21, and 24. So and I think my experience of | :25:55. | :25:58. | |
that has been that telling them, even things that are very difficult | :25:59. | :26:02. | |
and very difficult to deal with, to be honest, more difficult for them | :26:03. | :26:07. | |
than for me. I found. I found when I got the original diagnosis when it | :26:08. | :26:11. | |
was clear that it was pretty serious, I, the doctors, and the | :26:12. | :26:15. | |
nurses were all very helpful and their manner sort of, there was an | :26:16. | :26:18. | |
expectation I think that I would collapse in a heap and not only did | :26:19. | :26:23. | |
I not do that, I felt strangely unaffected by it. Partly, I think, | :26:24. | :26:27. | |
because I sort of worked it out. Right from the very beginning, I | :26:28. | :26:32. | |
Googled, my symptoms with anaemia which really kicked it off and when | :26:33. | :26:37. | |
you do my vague symptoms and a bit of this and a bit of anaemia, and | :26:38. | :26:41. | |
when you do that, you only get one result. So I think quite early on, | :26:42. | :26:44. | |
for myself I had kind of worked it out and I just thought honestly, | :26:45. | :26:48. | |
well, my luck has run out. I have had a lucky life. I've done lots of | :26:49. | :26:51. | |
things that a lot of people don't get a chance to do. I have been a | :26:52. | :26:57. | |
journalist. It is a keep you alive kind of job because you're always | :26:58. | :27:00. | |
looking at new things and nothing I looked at turned out to be boring. | :27:01. | :27:03. | |
To cut a long story short, by the time it gets to the serious end of | :27:04. | :27:08. | |
the diagnosis, I do get moments where, you know, I just well up, it | :27:09. | :27:15. | |
could happen any minute. It happens unpredict bli. It is look in the | :27:16. | :27:20. | |
mirror or a shower or this or that and something happens and you get a | :27:21. | :27:23. | |
thought and you can't get rid of it and it just makes you want to cry. | :27:24. | :27:28. | |
So I'm not, I don't mean to suggest I'm unaffected by it, but telling | :27:29. | :27:34. | |
them, really I found really it empowered them actually and it meant | :27:35. | :27:38. | |
that they were then, they felt part of it, they didn't feel that they | :27:39. | :27:42. | |
were threading on egg shells and didn't feel there were things they | :27:43. | :27:47. | |
couldn't say and so I think that led me, I think, to wondering about | :27:48. | :27:50. | |
whether people really talked about cancer enough. I mean in some | :27:51. | :27:54. | |
respects, you know, you can listen to Radio 4 and if if you listen to a | :27:55. | :27:59. | |
lot of Radio 4, a lot of it is about cancer funnily enough, but it tends | :28:00. | :28:03. | |
not to be men talking about it and I don't know if people are closed | :28:04. | :28:07. | |
about their feelings about it, but it tends, it doesn't, there is | :28:08. | :28:11. | |
something about what we've done with PM which appears to have touched | :28:12. | :28:13. | |
something of naerve and I can only spk late as to why that is. But I | :28:14. | :28:17. | |
sort of thought, there is not enough said about cancer often enough | :28:18. | :28:22. | |
and... Particularly about incurable cancer? It remains this taboo. | :28:23. | :28:29. | |
Absolutely. One of my kids on PM last night said, I thought it was | :28:30. | :28:33. | |
really profoundment he said and it encapsulates what I feel about it. | :28:34. | :28:37. | |
He said there are two ways you can deal with it. You can become | :28:38. | :28:40. | |
depressed, you can become as it were, you can become the victim, of | :28:41. | :28:45. | |
course, you are a victim. You can and you can waste with this | :28:46. | :28:49. | |
negativity. You can waste all the time you've got left and in my case, | :28:50. | :28:54. | |
no one knows how long I've got left. If you look at the statistics, it is | :28:55. | :28:58. | |
not great. If you look at the, but they are statistics, so are you in | :28:59. | :29:02. | |
the 40% or are you in the 60% or the 2% or the 4%? Depending on where you | :29:03. | :29:07. | |
end up putting yourself or where you end up, it could be, I could have | :29:08. | :29:12. | |
months, years, or even a normal life span. To be honest, that's in the | :29:13. | :29:19. | |
outer reaches of probabilities. Nothing something you'd put next | :29:20. | :29:24. | |
wages on. Is that uncertainty of not knowing weighing on you or are you | :29:25. | :29:28. | |
just cracking on? Is it weighing on me? I am aware of it. People say | :29:29. | :29:35. | |
live life to the full and live every day to the full and people say that | :29:36. | :29:38. | |
in general. There is something about the life I'm living now which isn't | :29:39. | :29:42. | |
different to the life we all lead. I could get knocked over by a bus, you | :29:43. | :29:48. | |
could lose your job, we all know this and of course, we spend a lot | :29:49. | :29:54. | |
of our time dealing with things to be responsible, to have a proper | :29:55. | :29:58. | |
grown-up life, you have to deal with things that are difficult and all | :29:59. | :30:02. | |
the rest of it. It is a neat injunction to say live life to its | :30:03. | :30:05. | |
full, make the most of all the time you've got. I think in normal life, | :30:06. | :30:10. | |
people say it, but rarely do it. Yes. When you have been given notice | :30:11. | :30:15. | |
and I feel as if I've been given notice, I'm part of some sort of, a | :30:16. | :30:20. | |
sort of universal kind of redundancy exercise. I don't know if I'm going | :30:21. | :30:24. | |
to get picked or not, but I'm in the pool for selection is how I'd put | :30:25. | :30:27. | |
it. And it does change the way you think. It changes the way, for | :30:28. | :30:30. | |
example, when it has happened, it will have happened to many of your | :30:31. | :30:33. | |
viewers, when you're in danger of losing your job and you are awe put | :30:34. | :30:39. | |
into the redundancy pool, how does that make you think about what is | :30:40. | :30:42. | |
going to happen next? I don't know what's going to happen next. The | :30:43. | :30:46. | |
outlook is not fantastically positive, but that doesn't mean | :30:47. | :30:50. | |
there aren't lots of chances that it isn't better than that. We haven't | :30:51. | :30:52. | |
told people what the cancer is. I've got cancer of the oesophagus. | :30:53. | :31:06. | |
The first symptom was I felt a little bit fool. I would have eaten | :31:07. | :31:09. | |
half a sandwich, drank some beer. Not like indigestion. Every now and | :31:10. | :31:15. | |
again I would eat something and if I eat it too quickly it would feel | :31:16. | :31:18. | |
like it was getting stuck, not in my throat but the back of my chest. The | :31:19. | :31:24. | |
feeling I remember best was as a kid, drinking fizzy drinks, if you | :31:25. | :31:29. | |
drank too much, you would feel it in your back. That sort of feeling. I | :31:30. | :31:37. | |
dismissed it as eating things too quickly. I went on holiday to | :31:38. | :31:45. | |
Vietnam worded -- where I did some relaxing, and I thought, there is | :31:46. | :31:50. | |
the answer, relax and eat noodles. I came back and the symptoms returned. | :31:51. | :31:59. | |
It was in a restaurant, I was two thirds of the way through the meal | :32:00. | :32:05. | |
and I felt something get stuck and I started salivating. Your body is | :32:06. | :32:10. | |
trying to get the food to pass. I did not feel sick, but there was no | :32:11. | :32:16. | |
way to spit it out. I could not swallow it. I had to go outside, | :32:17. | :32:22. | |
standing outside spitting and retching, and in the end, the kids | :32:23. | :32:29. | |
said, go to the doctor. The NHS were absolutely astonishing. Within two | :32:30. | :32:35. | |
weeks I'd gone from first visit to GP, blood transfusion, endoscopy is, | :32:36. | :32:42. | |
both ends, gastroscopy, CT scan, which showed it had spread, within | :32:43. | :32:52. | |
two weeks I knew where I was. You began having chemotherapy and kept | :32:53. | :33:12. | |
you -- you're. I started with the chemotherapy, I've seen it happen to | :33:13. | :33:18. | |
people, I didn't have to go into a darkened room, but not get nausea or | :33:19. | :33:24. | |
vomiting, I got constipation, if you want to know, and another thing | :33:25. | :33:30. | |
where your hands and feet become very red. It makes it quite hard to | :33:31. | :33:35. | |
walk. You end up walking on the side of your feet. Then your ankles swell | :33:36. | :33:41. | |
up. That was the most significant side-effects. It is weird and I felt | :33:42. | :33:52. | |
like I had a hangover. But I was not significantly affected. When I was | :33:53. | :34:00. | |
not feeling like I was taking lots of chemicals, I was better than | :34:01. | :34:07. | |
before I was ill. I had more energy, I'm more in June. With hindsight, I | :34:08. | :34:15. | |
was not right. It was looking rather good. The original plan was to do | :34:16. | :34:27. | |
six cycles of chemotherapy. The consultant would not say this was | :34:28. | :34:31. | |
not working but I detected a glint in her eye. She probably thought it | :34:32. | :34:37. | |
was working. She delayed the scan to four cycles and then go to eight. We | :34:38. | :34:42. | |
scanned after four and the mean tumour had shrunk, the lymph nodes | :34:43. | :34:49. | |
had reduced by half. The liver, they are disappearing, and there is a big | :34:50. | :34:57. | |
one they are measuring. So this is a partial response. Everybody was | :34:58. | :35:07. | |
thrilled. So we were pressing on with eight cycles. It does become | :35:08. | :35:15. | |
more tiring. After the seventh cycle, I was getting a bit of | :35:16. | :35:25. | |
feeling in my oesophagus. They said, there is nothing in the book that | :35:26. | :35:29. | |
says we need to do eight cycles so we could scan now and move onto the | :35:30. | :35:35. | |
next stage. So we scanned after seven, I went back to see her and | :35:36. | :35:41. | |
she was ashen faced, not the right word, much more upset than I was. | :35:42. | :35:47. | |
She discovered that it had stopped working completely. We were back to | :35:48. | :35:55. | |
where we started from. It was active, it was really like, what do | :35:56. | :36:04. | |
you do now. In fairness, at some point they expect it to run out on | :36:05. | :36:12. | |
you. If there are curative options it is different. But in the | :36:13. | :36:17. | |
palliative arena, for most people, that line of chemotherapy eventually | :36:18. | :36:24. | |
feels. But it is unlucky to have it fail whilst you're already on the | :36:25. | :36:28. | |
treatment. But look at it this way, I've had a few months of time | :36:29. | :36:35. | |
feeling pretty good. If that had never happened I don't think we | :36:36. | :36:40. | |
would be having this conversation. Highlight your boys? I heard them on | :36:41. | :36:47. | |
the radio and one of them sounds exactly like you. They are fine. | :36:48. | :36:56. | |
Freddie is a musician, he did music in Manchester then got a scholarship | :36:57. | :37:04. | |
to study the tuba for two years. He got a position with St Petersburg | :37:05. | :37:09. | |
Ballet and he now works in advertising, such is life. He lives | :37:10. | :37:14. | |
in London. Billy is in the final year of politics. I went to | :37:15. | :37:21. | |
Manchester in 1977. Some reason, they both went to Manchester. He is | :37:22. | :37:29. | |
doing politics and economics. The youngest one, the biggest and the | :37:30. | :37:33. | |
tallest, is doing film and philosophy. They are fine. It was | :37:34. | :37:41. | |
interesting hearing them talk. They appreciated being told. Billy was | :37:42. | :37:50. | |
away for a lot of it and was getting on that. He said that knowing meant | :37:51. | :37:57. | |
his friendship group were able to support him at college. That is | :37:58. | :38:01. | |
because he knew. If he'd not felt he could be open about it then that | :38:02. | :38:07. | |
would not have happened. He was surprised. The figure was one in | :38:08. | :38:18. | |
three of us will be affected. That is partly because there is an ageing | :38:19. | :38:24. | |
population. People are living longer. You hope to get involved in | :38:25. | :38:34. | |
clinical trials. I'm approaching the point where that becomes a | :38:35. | :38:43. | |
significant option. If this had not failed there were a couple of trials | :38:44. | :38:49. | |
could got involved in. My genetics are being tested for various things | :38:50. | :38:54. | |
which might lead to novel treatments. What they might test for | :38:55. | :39:05. | |
his the breast cancer gene. If people overexpressed that, it is an | :39:06. | :39:13. | |
extraordinary, effective treatment. If they don't express that it is | :39:14. | :39:16. | |
about as much use as a chocolate teapot. I don't overexpressed that. | :39:17. | :39:30. | |
The point now, it is a bit of a conundrum. I'm on radiotherapy first | :39:31. | :39:36. | |
12 days to reduce and control the mean tumour. This will not have any | :39:37. | :39:41. | |
effect on the liver and the lymph nodes but it should produce some | :39:42. | :39:46. | |
shrinkage. They are blasting it to bits which leaves me feeling yucky | :39:47. | :39:57. | |
but it is perfectly liveable. After that, there are clinical trials | :39:58. | :40:03. | |
coming up which I need to wait four weeks to participate in. They insist | :40:04. | :40:07. | |
that you finish one line of treatment and then there is a | :40:08. | :40:11. | |
wash-out period. The trial is not much use if they measure what the | :40:12. | :40:14. | |
last trial date. The question for me is, is the disease in active enough | :40:15. | :40:22. | |
to mean that we can afford to wait for these trials to become | :40:23. | :40:26. | |
available. If it is active and progressing in these terms, I need | :40:27. | :40:34. | |
to start second-line chemotherapy immediately. When will you know the | :40:35. | :40:38. | |
answer to that question right I should know next Tuesday. At which | :40:39. | :40:45. | |
point, something else happens. If I need to start immediately, there's | :40:46. | :40:49. | |
another drug which can produce a significant improvement in response | :40:50. | :40:56. | |
rates. It is licensed and proven to be effective. We've heard that | :40:57. | :41:04. | |
before. I might need to cash in a pension to pay for it. Which you | :41:05. | :41:08. | |
would obviously do. If that is the option then I will do it. Roy is | :41:09. | :41:18. | |
watching you and says he has been diagnosed with terminal cancer, it | :41:19. | :41:22. | |
is as if that is me on screen. Sometimes I wish it was over because | :41:23. | :41:26. | |
I am afraid of the endgame. My treatment is not working any more. | :41:27. | :41:34. | |
Arnold says, how can you be so positive and so normal. I kind of | :41:35. | :41:44. | |
think, why not? I'm not reconciled to the process of the end. I think I | :41:45. | :41:54. | |
am reconciled to the fact that the end might not be that far away. The | :41:55. | :42:01. | |
process scares me but in the meantime, whilst I can be active, | :42:02. | :42:15. | |
and do these things, I kind of think, why sit at home and wait for | :42:16. | :42:22. | |
the inevitable? I am a journalist through and through. I'm always | :42:23. | :42:30. | |
asking questions. I'm treating this like a project, in a way. Perhaps | :42:31. | :42:38. | |
that is a change to prospective. It is not that different from normal | :42:39. | :42:42. | |
life, it is just that the timescales are different and you need to accept | :42:43. | :42:53. | |
you are on notice. If I felt really rotten, if the chemotherapy was hard | :42:54. | :43:01. | |
to tolerate, I might be feeling rather different about it. I don't | :43:02. | :43:10. | |
feel ill. I don't feel quite right. I've certainly felt more ale in the | :43:11. | :43:22. | |
past. I can think, why wouldn't you? It does not half help. Eric says, I | :43:23. | :43:32. | |
was not aware that Steve Hewlett was ill. A fine journalist and I admire | :43:33. | :43:42. | |
his positivity. That is backed by so many tweets. I've had a lot of | :43:43. | :43:51. | |
stuff, I've put on more than 1000 Twitter followers. The reaction has | :43:52. | :43:55. | |
been more than I ever bargained for. We've touched a bit of a nerve. I | :43:56. | :44:03. | |
take it as evidence that people don't talk about it enough. I had a | :44:04. | :44:11. | |
very close relative, a man, who died six months after diagnosis to his | :44:12. | :44:18. | |
end. They said they'd appreciated the injuries I done because it gives | :44:19. | :44:24. | |
them a clue as to what the relative might have been printed. The idea | :44:25. | :44:31. | |
that you could go from six months without ever really discussing it, I | :44:32. | :44:37. | |
wonder how common that is? I wonder. The only incite I've got is when I | :44:38. | :44:44. | |
had a wig made, the lady who made the wig for me said she deals with a | :44:45. | :44:52. | |
lot of women who don't tell anyone, not even their partners that they | :44:53. | :44:55. | |
have cancer. I found that astonishing. I heard what she was | :44:56. | :45:05. | |
telling me, I didn't understand it, I just thought, I don't know this. | :45:06. | :45:10. | |
It has come as a big surprise to me as well. That people don't talk | :45:11. | :45:19. | |
about it. That's why the PM thing has hit a nerve. Vast numbers of | :45:20. | :45:25. | |
people, I don't know how many thousands, have been in touch. They | :45:26. | :45:32. | |
appear to be really grateful. Find themselves drawn to this | :45:33. | :45:37. | |
conversation which is one they've either wanted to have or not at, no | :45:38. | :45:42. | |
people who they wish that had it, it is becoming a thing. | :45:43. | :45:47. | |
On the bravery front, I don't feel remotely brave. I am not doing this | :45:48. | :45:55. | |
out of a cause of fight the good fight. I'm not sure I feel as if I'm | :45:56. | :45:59. | |
at war with anything. I know, it is an alien, but it is me. I don't feel | :46:00. | :46:05. | |
that I'm, I don't even feel I'm battling something. That's not, but | :46:06. | :46:10. | |
in terms on the bravery front, I don't feel brave, I feel privileged | :46:11. | :46:16. | |
in a way to be able to talk about it and get the response. This isn't why | :46:17. | :46:22. | |
I did it, but you get thousands of people e-mailing and tweeting and it | :46:23. | :46:26. | |
doesn't half give you a lift. Thank you very much for talking to us. | :46:27. | :46:31. | |
You're welcome. Will you come back? Fingers crossed. Thank you. | :46:32. | :46:35. | |
Still to come, a review of ten killings over eight years finds | :46:36. | :46:38. | |
a mental health trust underestimated the risk posed by it patients. | :46:39. | :46:41. | |
We'll be speaking to a campaigner for families who've lost loved ones | :46:42. | :46:43. | |
Former Shadow Chancellor and current Strictly Come Dancing contestant | :46:44. | :46:50. | |
Ed Balls is with us this morning talking dancing and | :46:51. | :46:52. | |
Earlier we were telling you about a review which has accused | :46:53. | :47:07. | |
a mental health trust of severely underestimating the risk posed | :47:08. | :47:09. | |
by psychiatric patients, after ten killings by people | :47:10. | :47:14. | |
in its care over the past nine years. | :47:15. | :47:21. | |
Sussex Partnership NHS Trust was found to have ignored repeated | :47:22. | :47:23. | |
Let's talk to Julian Herd who set up Hundredfamilies.org to campaign | :47:24. | :47:27. | |
on behalf of families who have lost their loved ones | :47:28. | :47:29. | |
to mental health patients after his own father | :47:30. | :47:31. | |
was killed in 2007 he joins us now from Leeds. | :47:32. | :47:38. | |
Thank you very much for talking to us. I wonder if I could ask you | :47:39. | :47:44. | |
first of all to tell our audience what happened to your father? My dad | :47:45. | :47:50. | |
went out to pay his paper bill one Sunday morning in 2007 and as he was | :47:51. | :47:54. | |
walking out of the paper shop, he was stabbed in the back and stabbed | :47:55. | :47:59. | |
in the neck by a man he had never met before who turned out to have | :48:00. | :48:03. | |
been a long-term patient of the local mental health trust who was | :48:04. | :48:07. | |
psychotic at the time and who had taken lots of drugs and four days | :48:08. | :48:12. | |
before he killed my dad his family had warned and asked for the local | :48:13. | :48:15. | |
mental health trust to come and see him because they were worried about | :48:16. | :48:17. | |
his deteriorating condition. They came out to see him and although | :48:18. | :48:22. | |
they found a large bag of amphetamines they decided there was | :48:23. | :48:27. | |
nothing they could do although he was deeply psychotic at the time and | :48:28. | :48:31. | |
four days later he killed my dad. How do you react to the review which | :48:32. | :48:35. | |
clearly sets out the failings that this trust made? I've got two | :48:36. | :48:39. | |
reactions to it. One is deep sympathy with many of the families | :48:40. | :48:42. | |
involved. I've talked to quite a few of them. And on the other hand, I | :48:43. | :48:49. | |
actually think it is a brave decision to do this investigation | :48:50. | :48:52. | |
because what I know from my investigations throughout the | :48:53. | :48:54. | |
country, is that Sussex is not unusual. There are many more trusts | :48:55. | :48:59. | |
in the country that have many more patients who have gone on to kill | :49:00. | :49:03. | |
people and those trusts are not investigating and things haven't | :49:04. | :49:07. | |
been learned. What these investigations have happened for | :49:08. | :49:13. | |
over 20 years now since a man called Jonathan Zito was killed in London. | :49:14. | :49:16. | |
There was an investigation into that case and they found lots of problems | :49:17. | :49:21. | |
with risk assessments, care plans, keeping proper records, treating | :49:22. | :49:24. | |
drug problems and the same problems are happening time and time again | :49:25. | :49:28. | |
and are happening today. We have known about these problems for over | :49:29. | :49:31. | |
20 years and they're still happening. Those things that you | :49:32. | :49:33. | |
mentioned, those things that are listed in the review today are | :49:34. | :49:39. | |
fundamental, you know, a proper risk assessment. Listening to warnings | :49:40. | :49:45. | |
from loved ones? This is not complicating mental health | :49:46. | :49:47. | |
healthcare. This is basic mental health care and if you can't keep | :49:48. | :49:51. | |
proper records, you know, that's, I imagine that's what you learn in | :49:52. | :49:55. | |
your first-term of being a psychiatrist or being a psychiatrist | :49:56. | :49:58. | |
nurse. It is keeping proper records and we hear time and time again. I | :49:59. | :50:04. | |
know in my dad's case, you know, I found there were previous cases in | :50:05. | :50:08. | |
Bristol. I didn't know how many times there have been previous | :50:09. | :50:12. | |
homicides by people with mental health illness awhen I found there | :50:13. | :50:15. | |
were previous investigations, I found four or five and they all said | :50:16. | :50:18. | |
the same things and each time the trust had said we're lessons and the | :50:19. | :50:25. | |
service is different now and yet, time and time again, the same thing | :50:26. | :50:28. | |
would happen. Thank you very much for your time | :50:29. | :50:30. | |
today. You're welcome. Thank you for coming | :50:31. | :50:32. | |
on the programme. Earlier we heard from Ed Balls | :50:33. | :50:45. | |
following the loss of his seat the general election. He talked about | :50:46. | :50:49. | |
all sorts of things, his journey from politics to the paso dobbedly. | :50:50. | :50:54. | |
It is a mad, mad world, is it not? To go from that to in? I know. It's | :50:55. | :51:00. | |
fabulous actually. Is it? I don't think I would have thought in my | :51:01. | :51:04. | |
life that I would end up doing the different things I'm doing. Of | :51:05. | :51:07. | |
course, it was a terrible result for Labour and for me, I had a marginal | :51:08. | :51:11. | |
seat, but I came out of Parliament and I've ended up doing a series of | :51:12. | :51:16. | |
things which I never thought I'd get the chance to do. Are you happier? | :51:17. | :51:21. | |
I'm not sure I am ahappier. The thing about politics and especially | :51:22. | :51:26. | |
if you're a Cabinet Minister, it is important, it is fulfilling and | :51:27. | :51:28. | |
changing people's lives in a small way and a huge way across the | :51:29. | :51:32. | |
country and I don't have that anymore, on the other hand, I have | :51:33. | :51:35. | |
no idea what I'm going to do next year, but I don't think I mind. I'm | :51:36. | :51:40. | |
doing a series of things which are just intrinsically enjoyable and | :51:41. | :51:43. | |
warm. Strictly Come Dancing, I mean, it is quite taxing, it is painful | :51:44. | :51:47. | |
and it is quite stressful. On the other hand, people love it so much | :51:48. | :51:52. | |
that it is really nice to be part of something so warm and positive and | :51:53. | :51:56. | |
people in the street these days, they yell out good things all the | :51:57. | :52:01. | |
time! Whereas in the old days, it was never clear which way it was | :52:02. | :52:04. | |
going to go. I'm at the stage of my life where I want to enjoy every day | :52:05. | :52:08. | |
and see our kids growing up and the next stage of their lives, I want to | :52:09. | :52:11. | |
make sure I do things which are fun and enjoyable. You know, I sort of | :52:12. | :52:16. | |
hanker after the purpose which I used to have in politics, but that | :52:17. | :52:22. | |
was taken away by the electorate that's their right and role so it is | :52:23. | :52:25. | |
a different face. Yes. Totally agree. Obviously you can be on | :52:26. | :52:32. | |
straictly and chairman of Norwich City because you lost your seat in | :52:33. | :52:36. | |
2015 and you say in your book the most emotional part was hearing, | :52:37. | :52:40. | |
finding out that your children had watched you lose, tell us about that | :52:41. | :52:43. | |
because we all watched that moment? The thing was I was in a hotel room | :52:44. | :52:50. | |
from midnight until 7.30am basically on my own with my press guy and I | :52:51. | :52:57. | |
just had time to kind of think it all through and understand what was | :52:58. | :53:01. | |
happening and prepare, I was quite calm because I knew that there was | :53:02. | :53:04. | |
going to be a Conservative majority. I didn't want to have another five | :53:05. | :53:09. | |
years of opposition. It was Yvette's turn to go for the leadership of the | :53:10. | :53:12. | |
party and therefore I was better out of the way. But I didn't find out | :53:13. | :53:15. | |
until afterwards that my son had stayed up all night waiting for the | :53:16. | :53:19. | |
result and so... How old is he? He's 15. And my older daughter was doing | :53:20. | :53:23. | |
a GCSE that day and she left saying she had to go and came back saying | :53:24. | :53:27. | |
she didn't know the result, she wouldn't be able to concentrate and | :53:28. | :53:29. | |
what happened over the course of that day was that lots of people's | :53:30. | :53:33. | |
hopes and expectations were dashedment people who wanted a | :53:34. | :53:36. | |
change of Government and I became the symbol of that and so therefore, | :53:37. | :53:40. | |
I had all day messages and texts and people ringing and people were so | :53:41. | :53:43. | |
upset and it wasn't really about me, it was about their loss. I ended up | :53:44. | :53:49. | |
becoming the symbol of that, I ended up spending time comforting people | :53:50. | :53:53. | |
and saying it was fine and we'd come back and I would be OK. Your son did | :53:54. | :53:56. | |
find you on the Friday evening crying? It was the end of the day. | :53:57. | :54:02. | |
It was just, it was more like the can you minute lation of that | :54:03. | :54:07. | |
emotion. I had absorbed emotion all day, but had positive conversations. | :54:08. | :54:10. | |
I had a call from the Treasury secretary in the US for a few years | :54:11. | :54:15. | |
called Larry Summers and he said it happened to me before and you have | :54:16. | :54:19. | |
got to think forward, make no quick decisions, don't say you're spending | :54:20. | :54:22. | |
time with your family. Come to Harvard for a year and think to | :54:23. | :54:26. | |
yourself what is it next which is going to happen in my life? I took | :54:27. | :54:32. | |
that advice serious. A good friend. It was wonderful. How would you | :54:33. | :54:36. | |
assess how you're doing on Strictly so far? I'm worrying about Brexit | :54:37. | :54:41. | |
and the Government and the Labour Party, however, my biggest worry is | :54:42. | :54:44. | |
my American smooth foxtrot which I've got to do in four days time and | :54:45. | :54:48. | |
you start on a Monday totally cold, never having done it ever before and | :54:49. | :54:52. | |
you have got to get to a performance stage in four or five days. So as of | :54:53. | :54:56. | |
today I'm stressed about that. I'm sore. I discovered I've got glutes | :54:57. | :55:01. | |
and they really hurt. They're working again! It is quite | :55:02. | :55:06. | |
something! I've surpassed my expectations. I wanted to get | :55:07. | :55:10. | |
through the first week and I've gone through three and on the one hand, | :55:11. | :55:15. | |
I'm probably the worst dancer, but that's no surprise, but people are | :55:16. | :55:19. | |
enjoying it and they can, I think, see that we're trying hard and | :55:20. | :55:22. | |
trying to do better and Strictly is all about trying to learn and to | :55:23. | :55:28. | |
improve and I have agot a great partner in Katya. We're doing our | :55:29. | :55:32. | |
best and giving it a go and every week is a bonus now. Can I ask you a | :55:33. | :55:37. | |
small favour, please. Carol did Strictly last year... She was. And | :55:38. | :55:43. | |
never got to dance the paso. Neither did I! Neither did I! That's an | :55:44. | :55:49. | |
accurate assessment of your performance Saturday. It was utterly | :55:50. | :55:53. | |
appalling. Do you think it was utterly appalling? I messed it up. | :55:54. | :55:59. | |
We got a step wrong. I was saying to Katya, "What do we do?" We lost our | :56:00. | :56:09. | |
steps. I went in being told being a mattador I went in to do the | :56:10. | :56:15. | |
strongest mattador and I came off and the producer said it was the | :56:16. | :56:20. | |
most camp paso. Maybe the step you got wrong on Saturday night you | :56:21. | :56:25. | |
could show Carol a couple of steps, teacher had a couple of steps. I | :56:26. | :56:29. | |
have to get into arch your back and try PA get up. That was good. I | :56:30. | :56:39. | |
think if we go, if we from here and we go to step and you have to go | :56:40. | :56:45. | |
back. Oh my gosh. Be careful! This is Carol, she is a national | :56:46. | :56:50. | |
treasure! And then back and then back again. Oh my word. You're a | :56:51. | :56:56. | |
strong lad! Go on, do it again. Go! We'll go | :56:57. | :57:07. | |
step. And go back. And then down. I thought... You're good Ed. We should | :57:08. | :57:17. | |
probably do it to music. To music? To Bonnie Tyler. I can't really | :57:18. | :57:26. | |
dance to Bonnie Tyler. I throw you and go whoosh and bang and like | :57:27. | :57:31. | |
that. No. No, no. Let's just stick with what we've practised. | :57:32. | :57:42. | |
And in. And... LAUGHTER | :57:43. | :57:44. | |
Well done. Well done. Good luck on Saturday. | :57:45. | :57:50. | |
Thank you for being such a good sport. I'm doing the American smooth | :57:51. | :57:57. | |
and foxtrot. It is so much easier. He was a good sport, wasn't he? | :57:58. | :58:02. | |
Thank you for your messages about Steve Hewlett. I can just read one | :58:03. | :58:11. | |
for now. "Steve your compelling words, honest interview was a true | :58:12. | :58:15. | |
tonic that will inspire many. Wishing you well." | :58:16. | :58:20. |