20/10/2011 World Business Report


20/10/2011

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greeted by a large crowd. Now it is time for the latest financial news,

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World Business Report. Warm welcome. The headlines: Emergency talks in

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Frankfurt and still, no agreement on plans to save the euro. Share

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prices fall around the world as the optimism about the deal to be

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reached this weekend evaporates. Australia's Prime Minister is

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urging an end to a dispute between Qantas and its unions. The optimism

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about a solution to Euro -- Europe's debt crisis appears to be

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evaporating as details emerge of a rift between France and Germany are

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they had to boost the bail-out fund. The birth of Nicolas Sarkozy's. I

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was forced to take second place as the French President found himself

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dragged away for crisis talks to reach a compromise before a vital

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summit on Sunday. It was a nervous sort of a day for Nicolas Sarkozy.

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With crisis talks over the eurozone's debt looming, the French

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President did manage to make a fire -- flying visit to his heavily

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pregnant wife in hospital. She later gave birth to their baby girl.

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But the proud new father or not, the problems in the eurozone wait

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for no-one. With the clashes over the Greek or austerity measures top

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in their minds, Europe's top leaders gathered to try and find a

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solution to the crippling debt problems. There are major sticking

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points, especially between his desire cosy and German Chancellor

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Angela Merkel. Not least is a disagreement over the eurozone

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bail-out fund, to be raised to 440 billion euros, and the role of the

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ECB. Greece continues to cause a serious rift. Specifically about

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how to write off as much as 50% of Greek bonds. The stakes are high.

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The IMF and global policy makers, not to mention the markets, are

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demanding that a comprehensive rescue strategy promised by France

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and Germany is finalised by Sunday. Judging from their body language as

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they left, the stalemate continues. Now Nicolas Sarkozy has two things

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to keep him up at night. For more analysis, I am joined by the global

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head of research at H Seaby. There is so much at stake, and which is

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why it is difficult to come to a solution. Talk us through the key

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issue regarding the bail-out fund and the role of the ECB that is

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causing so much tension. What they are trying to do is work out a way

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of leveraging the bail-out fund, making it as effective and pre-

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emptive as possible. There were temporary bond purchases in early

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August which were agreed by the ECB but that was all temporary. What

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they want is a permanent solution. One of the problems is that you

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have 17 governments, all trying to agree a way forward. But the

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markets are always ahead of them. So you must come up with something

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this weekend that says, we are going to move quickly, with the

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rescue fund, with the ECB. They have their own things to agree, the

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private sector involvement, the insuring of bonds, so there is an

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awful lot of things, not just this. He is they are going to move

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quickly, they have to come up with something which means that all of

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the parliaments have to Ryo -- vote in favour. It is the European than

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will stability fund, presumably that must be voted yes within all

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of the parliaments. Whether it does or not, what we saw last time when

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we had the meeting in July was that they agreed and then it gradually

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went through the parliament and there was some nervousness that

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somebody would not do that. But if we get some agreement, I think

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everybody knows that the stakes are very high for this meeting. I see

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this as just, the sort of backwards and forwards between the government

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ahead of that meeting. What I think is going to go on is that they will

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come to some agreement. It may just not be as much as the market hoped

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because they do not read that they will get something that really

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worked. This story is in the papers so we will talk more men. In Greece,

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the latest general strike continues. The street protests have not

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deflected politicians from voting on their the public sector parts,

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all of the latest promised Budget measures are up for final approval

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today. But there are now deeper concerns about the health of the

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financial system itself. On the march for a second day. Protesters

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say the austerity measures are squeezing people dry, Mosley the

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government would agree that Greece's party would agree that it

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has no choice but to push through the final vote today on tax riots,

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wage hikes and lay-offs. Otherwise Athens will not get its next

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injection from the emergency cash of the UN the IMF. But the UN today,

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there are wider worries. They are angry. The public concern and that

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is about the government's debt. In many ways, there is as much worry

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about the financial health of the banks and what strain they can take.

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This European Bank is about to mate with this one over here. Banks like

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this are trying to head off a larger enforced haircut on their

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loans. This senior figures says that their 10 billion euros is in

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readiness to stave off a run on the banks. 13 billion. I think that the

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financial system will survive. But there is a lingering question about

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the involvement of the state and this is something that definitely

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we want to avoid. And the proposed measures of the Uribe Inc, --

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European Bank, with that money, that creates conditions for being

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able to withstand even this kind of revenge well it in terms of the

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Greek government bonds that we have. Whatever the size of the next

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haircut, Greece remains at the Air Messi of the markets. His European

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paymasters and also its popular protests. A failure to get the

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austerity budgets through would please the crowds but it could

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leave the country unable to pay its bills. Let's move on to other

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business stories. Qantas is being told by Australia's Prime Minister

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to sort out its dispute with unions. The pressure is on. We cross to

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Singapore. You have been speaking about these today. What has been

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going on? The Prime Minister Julia Gillard has weighed in and said

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that there strikes, they could cost jobs. A union representing

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engineers of the airline, that his meeting with Qantas management for

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mediation. This is still happening in the city of Melbourne. I earlier

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spoke with Peter Somerville of the engineers Association, the union,

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and he gave me their position. Let's not forget what is to speed

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is all about - squanders axing 1,000 Australian jobs and ascending

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air operations offshore. It is about Qantas seeking the chief

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Peres and not best maintenance. -- cheapest. The background to all of

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this is that Qantas wants to expand in Asia. Including right here in

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Singapore. As we have just read, 1,000 jobs in Australia could be

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affected according to the union. They are very unhappy about this.

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Industrial action has started. Qantas has decided to run less

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flights and this could affect hundreds of flights. We will keep

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an eye on that story, we have had to leave it Air Force. Jenny is

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expected to slash its economic growth forecast the next year when

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it publishes updated figures. Berlin has been predicting growth

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of just under 2% but the country's leading think tank cut their own

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forecast to just less than 1% as the debt crisis increasingly takes

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its toll on the region's largest economy. Format UBS trader Quade

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re- Adoboli appears as any of London magistrates' courts today.

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Fuego. He was charged over an alleged road trade which cost the

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Swiss bank and alleged to on a $0.5 million which may into the

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resignation of several figures. The markets in Asia, they had a testing

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these latest news from EU leaders out of Frankfurt. -- digesting. The

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