02/01/2012 World Business Report


02/01/2012

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Korea but has cautioned that any provocation would be dealt with.

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Welcome to World Business Report. The headlines: China's factories

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rebounded in December but will this be another year of slow growth?

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Will 2012 break the euro or make it stronger? 2012 has started up with

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some encouraging economic news from China. Manufacturing activity rose

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in December, defying expectations of a decline. The index of

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Purchasing Managers shows an expansion of business in December

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after a decline in November, which had added to fears that China's

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economy was slowing down. Those concerns were exacerbated when a

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private survey showed that industrial activity was declining.

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Now, how important is the state had? -- is this information? Quite

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important. This is an indication that there is still major demand

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for China's clothing, electronics and other merchandise produced by

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the country's factories. One factor is that these products were high in

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demand during the Christmas product -- during the Christmas period. But

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beyond this month, analysts are not certain if this improvement in

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factory output can be sustained in the coming months. They say that

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despite his bounce back in December, China is continuing to be affected

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by external events like the eurozone crisis and the weak

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expansion of the US economy. However, if global economic

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problems continue to persist, the Chinese government has guaranteed

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steady growth in 2012 and will release was pro-growth policies

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such as an interest rate reduction. Things are still looking good for

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the Chinese economy despite 2011's slow down. What are the prospects

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for 2012? Many economists are still

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predicting China's economic growth will still be faster than any other

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Asian economy, however, that growth will be at its lowest level for

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over ten years. No-one is expecting any kind of difficult landing. From

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the likes of the Asian Development Bank and global investment banks,

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the forecast for the Chinese economy will expand between 7.9%

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and 8.5% in 2012. There is one thing that you can say

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about 2011 - it was better than 2010. That is how one financial

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analysts summarised the situation in the eurozone. 2011 was the year

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in which European leaders stopped the eurozone crisis from spreading

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further and undermining the entire European project.

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Europe is coming together amid the crisis. The path to were overcoming

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this remains a long and difficult but -- to overcoming this remains a

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long and difficult but at the end, Europe will remain stronger.

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Some in London's financial district are anticipating some kind of a

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disintegration of the euro. The party is over for the eurozone.

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All the signs at his amusement park are that some defaults might lie

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ahead - ordinary or otherwise. Like the single currency, this place

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represents a grand and a unified vision of Europe. But no amount of

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treaty change and fiscal discipline can alter the fact that some

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countries cannot afford their repayments. 2012 is the year when

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we should anticipate some countries to leave the euro. According to

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City of London commentators, this is a continuing horror story.

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Greece is disappearing as an economy far too quickly for it to

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be saved and it can only be saved outside of the euro. Will others

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have to leave as well? It seems unlikely that Portugal will survive.

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And can they keep Spain and Italy? I am almost at the end of a visit

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to an amusement park at a time when, like me, the euro is on the edge of

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a precipice. It is safe to say that it will be a bumpy ride of.

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I am not a profit but it is safe to say that as soon as one country

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leaves the eurozone, it will be a threat to the EU. The entire

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European project is in danger. Everyone is keeping a close watch

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on Italy, the next weakest link. If it cannot be saved from default,

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Europe's entire banking system will be in uncharted waters.

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Now, his 2012 the make or break here for the eurozone? Certainly

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this is the year for difficult decisions. If 2012 is remembered

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for anything, it will be that no decision was made. -- If 2011 is to

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be remembered. Is it that the core members of the

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eurozone are there but the smaller members will have to operate under

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a different umbrella? Yes and it will not be an easy transition but

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it can be done. A country like Greece would benefit from having a

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devalued currency and would then be able to compete with its neighbours.

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The is governments have adopted or austerity measures, which on the

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one hand, are dealing with the issue of spending, but are not

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helping growth. Are you saying that having their own local currency

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would help? Precisely. We would end up with the Northern euro, which

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would be similar to the Deutschmark. That would be starve. Then there

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are the other currencies defaulting to this the weaker kind of euro.

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Like Euro light, almost. Then they would be allowed to start regrowing

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their economies over time. Thank you.

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Exxon Mobil has suffered a blow, forced to pay a hefty compensation

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bill to the state of Venezuela. Nigerians are facing a steep rise

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in the price of petrol after the government put a stop to petrol

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subsidies. The government says that it will save $7 billion per year.

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Trade unions want the decision reserved and are calling for

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strikes. The latest mission impossible movie

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has been named the top film in America for the second year in --

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