29/05/2012 World Business Report


29/05/2012

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from BBC World News. Now for the latest financial news with Sally.

:00:13.:00:17.

Hello and a worm welcome, you are with World Business Report. Here

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are the headlines. The pressure intensifies on Spain as the

:00:22.:00:26.

interest on its debts go up and up. Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy admits

:00:26.:00:31.

the state is struggling to borrow. Back us or we face collapse. That

:00:31.:00:38.

is the warning from Thomas Cook management as it seeks shareholder

:00:38.:00:44.

approval for its latest asset sale. And in Singapore, the Japanese

:00:44.:00:49.

general start trading on June 1 in a move to promote trade between

:00:49.:00:58.

Asia's two biggest economies. Good to have you with us. Well,

:00:58.:01:03.

despite attempts by its government to reassure parents that it's banks

:01:03.:01:07.

do not need bailing out, Spain is plunging deeper into crisis. On

:01:07.:01:14.

Monday borrowing costs hit danger levels with ten-year Spanish bond

:01:14.:01:19.

yields climbing to 6.47%. Spain's main stock market dropped to its

:01:19.:01:25.

lowest level in nine years and Bankia's shares plunged 13% after

:01:25.:01:31.

the bank asked the government for a 19 billion Euros bailout. Investors

:01:31.:01:36.

are growing increasingly concerned Spain could be forced to seek an

:01:36.:01:41.

international bailout. I am joined by a senior foreign exchange

:01:41.:01:44.

strategist. Thanks Jane for coming in. A very hectic day for Spain

:01:44.:01:51.

yesterday and the markets in general. Just explain how this bank,

:01:51.:01:54.

Bankia is being bailed out because Mariano Rajoy was at pains to say

:01:54.:01:59.

it would not add to spannic debt levels. What they may do is

:01:59.:02:03.

something similar to what happened in Ireland in that the government

:02:03.:02:05.

is trues a promissory note. The important thing about the note is

:02:05.:02:09.

it can be deposited at the European Central Bank and used at collateral.

:02:09.:02:14.

So that then the bank can then drew funds from the European Central

:02:14.:02:19.

Bank. This is one way they may get around doing it, but it doesn't

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avoid the bigger question - that this is only one bank with a very

:02:23.:02:27.

bad symptom but within a very larger crisis and other ban bes may

:02:27.:02:33.

need more fun. So the bailout money or the toxic

:02:33.:02:37.

debt doesn't go on the Spanish books? Not yet. It is a

:02:37.:02:40.

postponement. Eventually the note will be due and it will have to be

:02:40.:02:43.

paid and I think they are hoping that in the interim conditions will

:02:43.:02:46.

improve. Actually, certainly in the next two years, conditions could

:02:46.:02:51.

get an awful lot worse for the Spanish banks. What if they need

:02:51.:02:56.

assistance because many are arguing that that is a possible?, I think

:02:56.:03:03.

it is. If you look at Spain you have recession conditions and non-

:03:03.:03:06.

performing loans which are going to increase. The reason being is that

:03:06.:03:09.

property prices in Spain have already dropped 25% from its peak

:03:09.:03:12.

and with a recession there is no signed of that ending yet. So the

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whole environment for non- performing loans seems to be

:03:16.:03:19.

getting worse. There is a lot of speculation out there that over the

:03:19.:03:23.

next two years Spanish banks could in total need an awful lot more

:03:23.:03:28.

money for recapitalisation purposes. So what can we see happening in the

:03:28.:03:34.

next few weeks? We have the Greek election on 17 June. Between now

:03:34.:03:37.

and then how critical will things become because every day the

:03:37.:03:41.

interest on Spanish debt is climb. If you look at the spread between

:03:41.:03:47.

the interest on Germany debt and Spanish debt yes, sir it was at

:03:47.:03:53.

Euro era record liveles. That gives you a sense how far aapart they are

:03:54.:03:57.

coming? One thing Spain did do was issue a lot of it earlier in the

:03:57.:04:01.

year at cheaper levels. That has bought it some time but towards the

:04:01.:04:06.

end of the year things could be getting more pressures. We do think

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as the time drags on it will become increasingly more likely that the

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Spanish Prime Minister will have to admit he does need support.

:04:15.:04:17.

International bailout? Quite possibly. What we would like to do.

:04:17.:04:25.

What he is in support of is using the bailout fund to directly put

:04:25.:04:31.

money into Spanish banks are or banks in general. Now that the

:04:31.:04:35.

different to where the money must be given to the government, but if

:04:35.:04:39.

it was given to the bank it would avoid it being put on the

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government's debt. Thank you very much for. That Jane will be back to

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talk through the papers later. We will discuss it further then. The

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holiday company Thomas Cook is facing a make or break meeting with

:04:48.:04:51.

shareholders later. The tour operator which appointed a new

:04:51.:04:54.

chief exec thetive on Thursday wants to sell and lease back part

:04:54.:04:57.

of its fleet of planes and sell some of its Spanish hotels. The

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company has warned that if it fails to get backing for the deal it

:05:01.:05:05.

could collapse. Thomas Cook came close to shutting

:05:05.:05:08.

up shop earlier this year as the weight of its debts became almost

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too much to bear. But after securing a $2.2 billion loan

:05:14.:05:17.

package from its lender, the firm says it is able to carry on for at

:05:18.:05:21.

least the next three years while it raises funds and revitalised its

:05:21.:05:25.

business. It has been a difficult time for Thomas Cook. Consumer

:05:25.:05:29.

spending is down and the holiday market has been hurt by tougher

:05:29.:05:33.

competition. The company has now agreed to sell-off its Indian

:05:33.:05:37.

business as part of its restructuring and to help boost

:05:37.:05:42.

cashflow and reduce its debt levels. Later in the week, the group will

:05:42.:05:48.

public its interim results, but is also revealed losses of $411

:05:48.:05:51.

million for the winter period, after a particularly poor

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performance in ference and north America. Thomas Cook has lost its

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way. It is as simple as that. It did what many, many big companies

:06:00.:06:04.

do when they lose their sense of direction and it has expanded in to

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all kinds of parts of the world and all kinds of different businesses

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which it really has no business being in. It should concentrate on

:06:13.:06:16.

delivering great vacations at good prices with a brand that people

:06:16.:06:24.

trust. The refinancing, the company's third within a year, will

:06:24.:06:27.

give them more breathing space. The company has also been trying to

:06:27.:06:31.

reduce capacity before the summer season, which is expected to be

:06:31.:06:34.

difficult as more people leave booking their annual break until

:06:34.:06:44.

the last minute. The future of BBP's Russian joint venture is

:06:44.:06:48.

looking more and more uncertain after the resignation of the chief

:06:48.:06:57.

executive. TNK-B spfplt a joint venture between BP and a group of

:06:57.:07:01.

Russian billionaires. The news marks a further deterioration in

:07:01.:07:04.

the relationship between the two parties last year. BP had to

:07:04.:07:09.

abandon plans to form another joint venture with rival Russian oil firm

:07:09.:07:15.

and that was after AAR launched a legal challenge. Tom explains why

:07:15.:07:20.

there is so much animosity between the two sides.

:07:20.:07:25.

The Russians at the outset, they didn't like the fact that BP tended

:07:25.:07:32.

to see TNKBP as a subsidiary of BP. The Russians felt that was a

:07:32.:07:37.

cologneist attitude. Around about 2008 the Russians flexed her

:07:37.:07:42.

muscles and took greater control. Behind that there is also another

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issue and that is the Russian parts who are involved in this, the four

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billionaires, they would like an end game where by they can take

:07:50.:07:56.

their money off the table. The moment that is not possible. T NKBP

:07:56.:08:00.

is not a listed entity but there is no other facility for them to do

:08:00.:08:07.

that. China will allow direct trading of

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the yawn and the Yen next month. Nice to see you Rico. Fill us in on

:08:12.:08:16.

what is going on. Sally. This is indeed a milestone between China

:08:16.:08:21.

and Japan and this means that the two countries will directly trade

:08:21.:08:27.

their currencies with no US dollars involves in the transaction.

:08:27.:08:32.

China's Central Bank said that the foreign exchange trade system would

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launch in June in Tokyo and Shanghai. According to some

:08:36.:08:40.

analysts basically breaking down this whole nichety, they say this

:08:40.:08:46.

is part of China's biggest strategy to reduce its bepen dense on the US

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dollar and the Yen was chosen because of the large amount of

:08:50.:09:00.
:09:00.:09:01.

trade between the two sides. China which some times have a tense

:09:01.:09:04.

relationship with Japan is their biggest trader and the mainland

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bank said that the moft would help to help facilitate bilateral trade

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and investment.. It will reduce transaction costs and lower risks

:09:17.:09:20.

involved in settlements at financial institutions and they

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also said that it will also improve the convenience of both country's

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