04/06/2012 World Business Report


04/06/2012

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Now it is time for World Business Report.

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Another turbulent week on the markets as investors fear the

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European crisis could drag down the global economy.

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Asian stock markets fall as investors remain worried about the

:00:31.:00:37.

eurozone break up. There is a sharp slowdown in China.

:00:37.:00:43.

A criminal or a scapegoat was met Jerome Kerviel is back in court

:00:43.:00:53.
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asking the questions back... -- scapegoat?

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Economic data from China and India is adding to fears of a slowdown.

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In Europe, a report suggests that Europe is pushing Spain to accept a

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bail-out to tackle its crisis. Let's check the Asian markets. I

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will go to the Singapore office. This is the first chance they had,

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of course, to react to those jobless figures and they don't like

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it, do they? Absolutely - a big disappointment.

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69,000 jobs created in the US in the month of May is a very big

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disappointment. Now it goes to show, according to analysts, that the US

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economic recovery might be shifting into reverse. There is more

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evidence that China's economy continues to slow down. There is

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also a nightmare scenario considering a eurozone break up.

:02:00.:02:10.
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Markets of the world are in-cell mode.... Indices are hitting a 28-

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year low. Hong Kong stocks are retreating back to 2012 lows. No

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Asian market has been spared from the downturn. One analyst I spoke

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to said the only way for markets to bounce back it is for the US Fed

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Reserve to implement another quantitative easing and for China

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to announce a stimulus package for their economy, which could slow

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down between 7.5 -8 % this year. Investors are moving to bonds and

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buying back gold, causing prices to spike 4% up, or $50 per ounce.

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Talking of those fears, the yen, often perceived as a safe currency

:02:59.:03:09.
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is retreating from its highs against the dollar?

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Yes, we are seeing the euro falling against the dollar and the Japanese

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yen. You also have the price of oil below $100 per barrel. That is a 16

:03:21.:03:31.
:03:31.:03:35.

mum for a low. -- 16-month low. Analysts are saying to keep you

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have money in cash or in your savings account.

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I'm speaking to an investment manager. Good morning.

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Let's return to those job figures. They were much worse than expected.

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Are they really just a confirmation of what markets and investors were

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fearing? We had a fright when figures for April came out one

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month ago. Markets got a little carried away with the buoyancy of

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the US economy in the first quarter. It was receiving some strength on

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the back of better demand... The markets had been overestimating the

:04:26.:04:29.

strength of the American economy. To some extent we shouldn't be

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surprised that the second half of this year will be more difficult

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for the US economy than the first half. The problem is there is a

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huge monetary and fiscal stimulus already propping up the US economy.

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It doesn't grow more than 1.1% - how will it grow if, for example,

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next year government spending in the US will be cut severely because

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the deficit is too high? President Barack Obama was very keen to point

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out that these problems were caused by the eurozone. Is that there?

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That is not fair. It is unlikely that you s employers were scaling

:05:10.:05:20.
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back on recruitment divisions -- US employers were scaling back on

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recruitment decisions because they were reading about the eurozone in

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the papers. We have the European Central Bank and the Bank of

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England - it seems they are running out of ideas. There is very little

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they can do. You talk about quantity of easing, we have had two

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rounds of that and it seems not to have worked to the extent they had

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hoped. Is there anything they can still do? Yes, the effectiveness of

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quantity of easing is wearing out visibly.... In Europe, the Spanish

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government would very much prefer direct aid being provided from the

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rescue funds to its banks without the country itself having to

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undergo the humiliation, if you want, of an austerity package

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imposed by the troika. They also want the ECB to purchase government

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bonds, that is quantity of easing. -- quantity of -- quantative easing.

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Up Jerome Kerviel is appealing against his sentence today.

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He claims he was made a scapegoat. Jerome Kerviel was found guilty in

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October 2010 of single-handedly mastermind in one of the biggest

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rogue trading scandals in the history of banking. --

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masterminding. He says he doesn't know why this case was brought

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against him and not Societe Generale as a whole. He repeated

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his claim that his superiors knew what he was doing and the bank also

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knew what he was up to. The court heard that as a trader he was

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supposed to hedge any big deals with an almost equivalent bet on

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the opposite outcome. It emerged that he did not make those covering

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Betts's and by 2008 he had staked nearly 50 billion euros of Societe

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Generale's money without its knowledge. Whatever the outcome,

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many banking analysts say the case has been a wake-up call for the

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sector. There have been rogue traders in the past, there will be

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rogue traders in the future. Risk controlling needs to be tightened

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up, particularly in the areas that Jerome Kerviel was working in.

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There have been lessons about separating the back office from the

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front office and making sure the people who check and approve the

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Trades are not under the control of the people who are doing the trades.

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How has the Bank cope with this huge loss? On the day it was

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announced they raised a lot of money from their shareholders to

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plug the hole. That actually put them in reasonably good shape for

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the crisis that came later. What happened later in 2008 across the

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banking sector was much worse than the rogue trading at Jerome Kerviel

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left behind. Societe Generale has said that it has learnt lessons and

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reinforced its control systems. His appeal hearing is expected to last

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until the 28th of June. In Spain, employment figures are

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revealed. At close to 25%, it has the highest jobless rate in the

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eurozone. On Friday, official figures confirmed that unemployment

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across the nation's using the euro hit 17%. The figure has heightened

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the policy split in Europe, with Germany pushing for a continued

:09:12.:09:22.
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austerity and France demanding Japanese market. Sony has been hit

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by concerns that it has failed to react convincingly to products by a

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Apple and said son, despite releasing its own tablet computer

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