05/07/2012 World Business Report


05/07/2012

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an international moratorium but hunting for researchers allowed.

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Time for bold business report. -- World Business Report.

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Welcome. The headlines: The euro falls and Asian stocks rise in

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anticipation of a rate cut from the European Central Bank. A crucial

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test for Ireland as it returns to the market for its first auction in

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nearly two years. Europe's sinking economy and

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struggling banks could get some help today from an interest rate

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cut by the European Central Bank. Economists think it will reduce

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rates by at least 0.25. On Tuesday, the rising expectation of a rate

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cut helped lift stock markets in Europe, which have been rallying.

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The European Central Bank is likely to hold off for more -- from more

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aggressive measures. I'm joined by a currency analyst. A

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rate cut is expected today. By how much? Most likely it will be cut

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0.25 of their Prasad. There is some talk that they could do twice that

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and take the key interest-rate down 0.5%. But they tend to be very slow

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and cautious. Why are they doing this now? And many have been

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calling for them to do this. Is it a sign that Germany is slowing

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down? I think that is the case. There have been signed within the

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German economy that we are starting to see a slowdown in industry. And

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there is the long-term downward drag from the eurozone crisis.

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Should they have gone earlier? I think they should have. Should they

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do more this time? I think so. We have to remember that these prices

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are in the margins. There is a need to get interest rates down to make

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life easier and help deal with the austerity measures. I think they

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should do more than they will. it make their life easier? Rates

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are already very low. Willie cut make a big difference to Spain,

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Italy, Greece? It could make a modest difference. People are

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paying more on mortgages. That is if it is passed on. Absolutely. If

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it is passed on, it will make a minor cut. More generally, there is

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a need to get to the idea of quantitative easing. Making money

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cheaper by printing more money. That is what we need in these

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countries. Will it led to inflation in Germany? Possibly. But inflation

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is at low levels. What the ECB go down that road? They have done the

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long-term refinancing operation. Those cheap loans issued last year

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and February this year. That was taken up massively. It seemed to to

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get us away from the crisis in the banking sector. But we're back in

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it with Spain. D think this is something they will consider?

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think it is. I saw the All tiara is being an indirect version of one to

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take it easing any way. I have no problem whether they do a third

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operation on the other one. -- or quantitative easing. We need to get

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more money into the system. Bank of England decision on

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interest rates is unlikely to do anything. Will we see more money

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pumped in? More wanted to be easing from the UK? I think we will.

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Probably �50 billion this afternoon. We had a lot of signs in minutes

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from the last meeting. The difference between you and the UK

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and the eurozone is that we are a nation that can make the decision

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quickly. The eurozone has 17 nations. Much more difficult to

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come to a decision. Thank you. Let's move on to Ireland. It has

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been two years since it was forced to ask for a bank bail-out. Today,

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we will find out if it has regained the confidence of market with its

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first debt sale in over 1.5 years. Ireland is aiming to sell treasury

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bills. Ireland is making a cautious mood

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towards regaining the trust of bond investors. When it sells $629

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million of Treasury bills, marking the country's first auction since

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it was locked out of international capital markets two years ago. At

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the height of the banking crisis, the Irish government was forced to

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turn to the Europe and International Monetary Fund.

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Investors refused to bear -- lend it any more money. If it is to

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avoid a second bail out, the government needs to be able to fund

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itself from the bond market. The kind here you and IMF loans will

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expire next year. Irish yields have declined after you lenders --

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European lenders are great that bail out funds will be able to

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recapitalise banks directly. Ireland's, and once this policy to

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apply retrospectively to its lenders. The average performance in

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terms of digging their way out of the whole they were in it is the

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most impressive. There are still with the bombs in the road. The

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economic environment globally is not terribly promising of the next

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six months. That might delay some of the ability of the Irish public

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finances to look in better shape. The movies at the mercy of investor

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sentiment towards the recession. Any setback in Spain, Italy or

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Greece could have the potential to sour sentiment.

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Some of the British MPs who questioned the former Chief

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Executive of Barclays Bank over- rate fixing have now question the

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possibility of his evidence. The chairman of the Treasury Select

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Committee and several other members have called into question the

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answers given by Bob Diamond during the three-hour session in

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parliament yesterday. There will be a parliamentary inquiry into

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banking following the scandal. It was surprising that Bob Diamond

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said he knew nothing about the rate fixing until a month ago.

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The 50.1 % stake in poor show remaining will be bought. -- in

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poor shot. Volkswagen will pay $5.6 billion to acquire the stake.

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The former head of France Telecom has been put under formal

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investigation for harassment. It relates to the suicides of over 30

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employees and 2008 and 2009 when he was in charge and presided over an

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efficiency drive in which tens of thousands of jobs were cut. Many of

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those who killed themselves left notes blaming pressure from

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management. He wrote that restructuring of the company may

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have upset employees but challenged the idea that it caused suicides.

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He was forced to step down in 2010. In Spain, authorities have opened a

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court case against former executives of Bankia. 33 officials

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are named in the lawsuit, which includes the former chief of the

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IMF. The case accuses them of fraud, price-fixing and falsifying

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accounts. Many Spaniards arrive happy with Bankia.

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The markets today are having their first day of declines for Asia in

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seven days. Asia has had six days of gains, probably the best of this

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year. There have been up most though this week on the expectation

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that the European Central Bank will cut rates today. But also that

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Chinese banks would be allowed to reduce their capital reserve ratios

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