22/08/2012 World Business Report


22/08/2012

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And now crucial talks again for the Eurozone and Russia officially

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joins the WTO. Sally is back with the latest financial news on World

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Hello. A warm welcome. You're with World Business Report. Greece's

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Prime Minister calls for more time with tough spending cuts and

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reforms ahead of crucial talks on the EU IMF bailout. Russia becomes

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the 156th member of the World Trade Organisation. We assess the impact

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this will have on Russian business. I'm in Singapore. Japan's exports

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slum ping the lowest in six months in July due to sagging exports in

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Good to have you with us. As you've heard, Greek Prime Minister,

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Antonis Samaras, embarks on a diplomatic battle today. He is

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trying to keep Greece in the Eurozone by convincing his European

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partners he needs more time to implement major spending cuts.

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The shuttle diplomacy kicks off with meetings in Athens with the

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Euro Group Chief and the European Commission Head.

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He then goes to Germany on Friday, and speaks to Francois Hollande the

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day after in Paris. Let's go to Athens.

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We will speak to a Professor of Economics at Athens University.

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Nice to see you, Janis. The talks begin today. Antonis Samaras has

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been clear since he became Prime Minister that he will be asking for

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more time. Do you believe he will get it? I very much fear he may get

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it. This time it's not a resource for combating the spiral that the

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Greek economy finds itself in. It's more like a small rope for gres to

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hang itself with. The Greek state is regrettably deeply insolvent and

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the economy is in freefall. It cannot be cured by more loans.

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if he gets more time that he needs, in order to implement the spending

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cuts, you don't believe that will help gross and if not, what do you

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feel need to be done next? Well, more time now when the loan

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agreements and policies implemented have quite clearly failed to arrest

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the freefall of a big economy, is like an act of kicking the cow with

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an impossible heel. The Eurozone must make a simple decision: either

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to give gres a proper chance of exiting this death spiral, or dump

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Greece now, because the state loses its assets and before it gets

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deeper into the mire. You're saying that you don't believe it is right

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for Greece to exit the Eurozone; you just believe the method in

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keeping it within and getting it on track needs to be done differently?

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Absolutely. If we are going to keep Greece in the Eurozone, I think it

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imperative that the Eurozone is kept together. However much we

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don't like the Eurozone, a collapse of it would be tremendously

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damaging for the tkphrobl economy. We need to do three things for

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Greece to stay in the Eurozone: we need to separate the banking crisis

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from debt crisis by ensuring that capital is being injected to the

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Greek banks and Europeans are taken out of the books of the national

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debt. Secondly, we need a moratorium, or some linkage between

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the rate of repayments of our loans to the European Union, the European

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Central Bank and the IMF, linking them to the rate of growth or the

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reduction in the rate. We need investment in this country. This

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country is an economy in which the credits broke down and investment

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is deeply negative at the moment. All right, well, thank you for your

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thoughts. We will discuss this further in the

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next 10, 15 minutes because it is our top story in the newspaper

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review. We will have more analysis on how Antonis Samaras will get on

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later in the next ten minutes. Let'slike at what is going on in

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Russia. Today it becomes the 156th member of the World Trade

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Organisation. Now, this may not instantly improve the business

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climate in Russia, but many see it as a game change ner the long-term.

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Foreign firms will find it easier to sell goods and services in

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Russia as trade barriers come down. That is likely to benefit consumers.

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But it will no doubt make it tougher for local companies. Car

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company also be particularly exposed as import barriers are

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phase phased out. Let's go to Moscow to speak to the BBC's Daniel

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Sanford. It's been a long time coming. Tell us more about the

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impact this will have, this membership? Well, let's start with

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the car industry. I think Russia's car industry now accepts that it is

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going to take a very, very heavy hit from this, and the Russian

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Government have been preparing the way for that, allowing foreign

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companies to start coming in and setsing up manufacturing plants in

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Russia in the hopes that will pick up some of the manufacturing jobs

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which will be lost when the Russian car industry takes what is expected

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to be a serious hit from this. It will be also interesting

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developments in the pharmaceutical sector. I think Russia's

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pharmaceutical sector is undeveloped. As the barriers come

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down there, there's some big opportunities for Western companies

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in that area, and also there's some interesting easing of the

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restrictions on financial institutions - banks, for example,

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can start to come in under their own steam rather than having to set

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up local companies. Insurance companies are able to come in. Tell

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comes are also -- Telecoms are also important.

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And as you say, there are winners and losers, but for Russia itself,

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this is quite an important, symbolic, step, becoming a member

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of the World Trade Organisation, in terms of its place in the global

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playing field. Very important. It is the largest economy currently

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outside the WTO. It has the biggest population in Europe - 140 million

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people. It is a significant economic player. It is not as

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significant as it would like to be. Historically Russia has tended to

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go its own way. Clearly through the times of the Soviet Union they had

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a different economic view of the world, but since then the Russians

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felt they could use sharp elbows to get their way in negotiations in

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business. I think they have concluded there is still

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disagreement amongst the elite out there, that perhaps they need to

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buy it into the World Trade System and go along with that. There's a

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lot to be done in terms of sorting out bureaucracy, corruption and the

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rule of law in Russia before international companies can feel

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safe investing here. Thank you. Now some other business

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stories: the miner BHP Biliton, is expected to report its first drop

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in annual profits in three years due to rising costs and falling

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commodities. BHP's woes the wrap up a torrid earning season for the

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world's biggest miners as economic growth in China slows to its

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weakest pace in a decade. Ahead the Head of the IMF will

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arrive in Cairo for a one-day visit to reaffirm the fund support to

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Egypt. There's been thought of rethinking $2 billion loaned last

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year, but discussions have stalleded and Egypt may now ask for

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closer to $5 billion. Japan's exports slumped by their

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most in six months in July. This the fuelling fears of a fragile

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economy in the world's largest economy, and that it could store.

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Let's join our reporter in Singapore. This story has split the

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markets. They are trading lower because of the news out of Japan.

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Tell us about the tails. It is a very disappointing number of

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sagging markets in Europe and Asia. It left Japan with a worse than

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expected trade deficit. You have the ongoing Eurozone crisis and it

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is taking its toll on the Asian economy. Japan's trade with the

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world in July shows a shortfall of $6.5 billion US, the largest

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deficit for the month. Overall exports slid by 8%. If we break it

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down to regions, the EU plunged by 25 per cent in shipments to China,

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falling by 11% and combined exports on the leading economies, such as

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South Korea, Hong Kong, Taiwan and Singapore dropping by 14%. There

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was one broigt spot. Europe-bound shipments which gained about 5%.

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When you talk to analysts they're not optimistic about the numbers

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going forward, forecasting the deficit trend will continue due to

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increasing imports and higher prices. They are speculating the

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results may encourage the Central Bank to take pre-emtive action

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again, by October, to kickstart the economy.

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Thank you. As I said, this has not helped markets. They are all there,

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across the board, trading today. Keep an eye on the euro currency,

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because we have been telling you about the fact that Antonis Samaras

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begins his discussions with creditors to Greece.

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The euro will be sensitive to any news flow coming from Athens.

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This is the States. The SNP 500 is at the point it was before Lehmann

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