03/05/2013 World Business Report


03/05/2013

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an all-time low. 82 years old, but is he still going

:00:22.:00:26.

strong? Warren Barford hosts investors for their annual meeting

:00:26.:00:29.

and that questions about his company's performance and who will

:00:29.:00:35.

replace him. Plus, our Washington spending cuts

:00:35.:00:38.

are undermining America's economic coverage. Markets await key

:00:38.:00:48.
:00:48.:00:53.

Also coming up: India's central banks poised to cut the cost of

:00:53.:00:58.

borrowing again. We will have the latest from Asia.

:00:58.:01:02.

We start with this man, the Oracle of Burma. In the once -- words of

:01:02.:01:09.

one rival, the single greatest stock investor of all time. Today,

:01:09.:01:14.

some 35,000 shareholders in his company are making their way to his

:01:14.:01:19.

hometown for their annual investor weekend, which he calls the

:01:19.:01:23.

Woodstock for capitalists. His company is bust, with 80

:01:23.:01:29.

subsidiaries from insurance to railways. It has a market value of

:01:29.:01:34.

some $262 billion. Its share prices of some 30% since last year's

:01:34.:01:39.

meeting and is expected to report higher earnings today. However,

:01:39.:01:43.

over the last four years, that share price has underperformed the

:01:43.:01:49.

broader S&P 500. Some investors are concerned that the company is not

:01:49.:01:57.

what it once was. The Oracle of Omagh. Worth more

:01:57.:02:01.

than $50 billion, he is one of the richest people in the world. Just

:02:01.:02:09.

one share of his company is worth about $160,000. To many he is also

:02:09.:02:15.

pretty inspiring. I think it will be awesome to meet him. This woman

:02:15.:02:21.

will get to do just that later this month. If she jumps in the Paul and

:02:21.:02:25.

something happens to her, maybe she hit her head or she cannot swim any

:02:25.:02:35.
:02:35.:02:35.

more, an alarm will sound like this, and we will be a would take her out.

:02:35.:02:39.

Sponsoring a contest to encourage students' interesting business, her

:02:40.:02:44.

project has won her an audience with the savvy investor. I would

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definitely ask him how he is so successful and how he thinks that

:02:48.:02:55.

our generation can improve the state of the economy. Warren but it

:02:55.:03:00.

can also take inspiration from young people. On Thursday he joined

:03:00.:03:05.

Twitter and in just two hours he had more than $100,000. Some of his

:03:05.:03:11.

most recent investments are instantly recognisable to teenagers.

:03:11.:03:15.

Ketchup and baked beans, his takeover of Heinz earlier this year

:03:15.:03:19.

was the biggest deal ever in the food industry. The last decade has

:03:19.:03:26.

not been easy for his company. Comparing its performance to US

:03:26.:03:29.

market, this occasion untempered growth. I think that he still has

:03:29.:03:33.

this iconic reputation, but the reality is hears mortal like the

:03:33.:03:37.

rest of us. His performance has certainly been the performance of a

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mortal in recent years and people are starting to think of the bigger

:03:41.:03:45.

picture of what happens from here. At 82 and being treated for

:03:45.:03:50.

prostate cancer, people are now asking who will replace him. He

:03:50.:03:55.

says he has a plan, but some wonder if the company will be the same

:03:55.:04:05.
:04:05.:04:05.

without the sage guiding the ship. Let's stay with the US and the big

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focus of financial markets will be what comes out of the US Labour

:04:08.:04:14.

debate -- Labor Department in just a few hours' time. Official job

:04:14.:04:18.

numbers are expected to show US employers are stepped up their

:04:18.:04:25.

hiring in April. Estimates are for 145,000 new jobs in the US in April.

:04:25.:04:30.

That would be a big improvement over the week 88,000 added in March.

:04:30.:04:34.

But it is way off the figures for February, whether hiring hit

:04:34.:04:44.
:04:44.:04:47.

268,000. Do you think these figures show that quantitive easing doesn't

:04:47.:04:51.

really help boost of the real economy? I don't think they do

:04:51.:04:54.

because we don't know the counter affects all what would have

:04:54.:05:00.

happened if we didn't have it. Suddenly, the Fed itself as some

:05:00.:05:05.

analysis that shows that bond yields have come down, which makes

:05:05.:05:09.

it cheaper for banks to make loans to individuals. It is not

:05:09.:05:12.

necessarily the case that loans are being made in all the areas where

:05:12.:05:16.

they need to be made but it certainly has been part of the

:05:16.:05:23.

process that has led to the US economy continuing to grow. Back to

:05:23.:05:26.

base -- to slow lipase though. Are we beginning to see the negative

:05:26.:05:32.

impact of fiscal tightening? It has been in place since the end of the

:05:32.:05:40.

big downturn in two dozen date, 2009. The banks have been winding

:05:40.:05:45.

down their largesse. The latest round of fiscal tightening is

:05:45.:05:53.

certainly coming at a very bad time because it is going to crimp any

:05:53.:05:58.

recovery in the economy. It is one of many had and still can front in

:05:58.:06:01.

the US which makes it look like they are going to keep its easing

:06:01.:06:08.

policy in place. The US economy grew at a rate of 2.5% in the first

:06:08.:06:13.

quarter, but do you expect that rate of growth to remain?

:06:14.:06:17.

cannot really just the number because prior to that we had a 0.3%

:06:17.:06:25.

it. It was effectively stalled. That is not enough to even Paul

:06:25.:06:29.

unemployment down substantially. were talking earlier about the fact

:06:29.:06:34.

that the company is releasing its results later today. It is such a

:06:34.:06:38.

large, diversified investment house that in many ways you could argue

:06:38.:06:41.

that it is representative of the US economy and it is expecting to

:06:41.:06:47.

report a profit increase. Would you say that it is perhaps

:06:47.:06:51.

representative of what we have seen elsewhere? US firms are reporting

:06:51.:06:59.

profit increases or at least beating expectations. One of the

:06:59.:07:03.

reasons is that the stock markets have been doing really well.

:07:03.:07:06.

Another is the liquidity being pumped into the system around the

:07:06.:07:09.

world. Just because the companies are doing well, it doesn't mean

:07:09.:07:17.

that the countries are doing well. Companies can source activity from

:07:17.:07:19.

anywhere in the world. American- based companies might be struggling

:07:20.:07:25.

in some sectors. Are you going to follow Warren Barton on Twitter?

:07:25.:07:35.
:07:35.:07:38.

actually joined on Wednesday, the Let's see what is moving the

:07:38.:07:43.

markets over in Asia this Friday. India widely expected to cut the

:07:43.:07:50.

cost of borrowing in the next hour or so. What more do you have for

:07:50.:07:58.

Investors will be following what India does with its monetary policy.

:07:58.:08:05.

Economists in the central bank seemed to first have diverse views

:08:05.:08:09.

on the cost of borrowing. The central bank is expected to reduce

:08:09.:08:14.

rates. It is expected to help the economy from its slowest growth in

:08:14.:08:19.

a decade. The bank is hinting that it may keep them on hold, saying it

:08:19.:08:23.

sees a very limited room to ease monetary policy even further amid

:08:23.:08:27.

an environment of higher consumer price inflation and a current

:08:27.:08:30.

account deficit well above sustainable levels, which limits

:08:30.:08:34.

the space for monetary policy to support growth. It is a decision

:08:34.:08:40.

that will be made in a few hours' time. Moving to China and there are

:08:40.:08:44.

signs that a recovery in the economy remains modest and still

:08:44.:08:49.

faces many risks. The expansion in month of April with the purchasing

:08:49.:08:55.

managing index for the non- manufacturing sector falling to

:08:55.:08:59.

54.5 from 55.6 in March. Slowing growth and services showed that

:08:59.:09:02.

subdued expansion in manufacturing has began to feed through the rest

:09:02.:09:08.

of the economy. The services industry has so far weathered the

:09:08.:09:16.

global slowdown much better than the factories.

:09:17.:09:20.

The royal bed of Scotland reports burning shortly. It is expected to

:09:20.:09:23.

have made a quarterly profit for the first time in 18 months. It has

:09:23.:09:27.

been trying to move away from the high risk investments that led to

:09:27.:09:35.

the bail-out by the UK taxpayer in 2008. It could report profits of

:09:35.:09:38.

around $1 billion, but at the current share price, the British

:09:38.:09:41.

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