09/05/2013 World Business Report


09/05/2013

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Thursday. Those are the latest headlines from

:00:02.:00:06.

BBC News. Now for the latest financial news,

:00:07.:00:16.
:00:17.:00:22.

World Business Report. Wall Street marches on to new

:00:22.:00:25.

record highs but are stock markets living on borrowed time?

:00:25.:00:29.

After thousands of job cuts and billions of dollars of losses, Sony

:00:29.:00:39.
:00:39.:00:43.

is poised to return to profit. Welcome to World Business Report.

:00:43.:00:46.

Also in the programme: South Korea's central bank announces a

:00:46.:00:51.

surprise cut in interest rates. We will have the latest on that.

:00:51.:00:55.

Wall Street's record-breaking run continues but are we heading for a

:00:55.:01:01.

fall? The S&P 500 index closed last night and yet another all-time high

:01:01.:01:05.

for the fifth day in a row. A new record high for the DOW Jones as

:01:05.:01:12.

well. Let's have a look at the closing numbers so you can see

:01:12.:01:19.

where they ended the day. The broader market, the DOW Jones and

:01:19.:01:27.

the S&P 500. The Nikkei in Japan is still hovering around a five-year

:01:27.:01:34.

hire and the DAX is remaining high. Where is the optimism coming from?

:01:34.:01:37.

Not from the stage of the global economy because growth this week to

:01:37.:01:45.

say the least in Japan and the USA and it is virtually non-existent in

:01:45.:01:50.

Europe. In previous slumps, in 1974,

:01:50.:01:55.

economic slowdown prompted investors to sell shares. Prices

:01:55.:02:03.

began to rise as the world economy revived. In 2013 it is not so. The

:02:03.:02:07.

DOW Industrial Average has risen nearly 15% since the start of the

:02:07.:02:13.

year. Japan's Nikkei has risen by around 37% up and the FTSE is up as

:02:13.:02:23.

well. The US economy is estimated to be growing at 2.5% a year.

:02:23.:02:28.

Exuberance could not be the driving factor so what is? If we are

:02:28.:02:33.

entering in a period where we expect to anaemic growth for five-

:02:33.:02:38.

ten years and we expect interest rates to remain low for that period,

:02:38.:02:43.

we expect the bond markets to have healed satire very Laura. The

:02:43.:02:51.

earnings yield on equities becomes more and more attractive. Some

:02:51.:02:54.

stockbrokers think share price indexes in London and New York

:02:54.:03:04.
:03:04.:03:09.

could rise by a further 20-30% over the next two months. But what are

:03:09.:03:15.

the risks it will collapse again? The biggest risk will be

:03:15.:03:19.

disappointment in US economic recovery more than an expected

:03:19.:03:25.

slowdown in Chinese goas, something going wrong in the eurozone Ward

:03:25.:03:29.

general investor sentiment starting to wonder if we have come too far

:03:29.:03:35.

too fast in the first few months of this year. One thing that could

:03:35.:03:40.

really harm the share prices is if leading economies like America

:03:40.:03:45.

start to motor again. Governments will start to increase interest

:03:45.:03:48.

rates and that would make other investments look much more

:03:48.:03:55.

attractive than shares. That is a story we will be

:03:55.:04:00.

discussing more women look at the papers. The record highs do feature

:04:00.:04:07.

in the newspapers around the world. We have seen a surprise cut in

:04:07.:04:15.

interest rates in South Korea. We joined Rico Hizon. Not many were

:04:15.:04:18.

predicting South Korea would cut rates but they did.

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That is right. It caught the markets and investors off guard.

:04:22.:04:32.
:04:32.:04:34.

That is why we are seeing the bond and shock -- stock markets... The

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first reduction in seven months. The weak industrial growth and the

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weaker yen include ingredients for this. It will jump-start the

:04:51.:04:56.

economy and ease the pressure on the currency. Economists had

:04:56.:05:02.

different views on the rate cut. One has said the Bank of Korea

:05:02.:05:08.

admits that the economy is as good as they think. The central bank's

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decision comes after a central banks in Europe and Australia Low

:05:13.:05:17.

Wood rates. This could be the last rate reduction from the Korean

:05:17.:05:23.

central bank until the end of the year.

:05:23.:05:28.

It was once the biggest name in the world of consumer electronics but

:05:28.:05:35.

Sony has recently been elbowed out by the likes of Samsung and Apple.

:05:35.:05:39.

And now the fall in Japanese giant could confirm in a few hours its

:05:39.:05:47.

confirm to profit last year. The good news is it looks like Sony

:05:47.:05:52.

has finally returned to profit. Later today it is expected to

:05:52.:05:58.

report around a 400 million US dollar operating profit for 2012.

:05:58.:06:04.

That contrasts with the operating loss of more than 2.5 billion US

:06:04.:06:08.

dollars in 2011. Since then Sony has gone through a painful

:06:08.:06:17.

restructuring and has lost 10,000 jobs, it has cut TV 10 production

:06:17.:06:27.
:06:27.:06:28.

in order to get things manageable. But the bad news is it has not

:06:28.:06:33.

worked. The consumer electronics division is not making money and it

:06:33.:06:42.

is now selling its corporate headquarters, life insurance.

:06:42.:06:46.

Without the sale of its US Office it would not be reporting a profit.

:06:46.:06:51.

Sony does have some much better electronic products on the market.

:06:51.:06:56.

It has a tablet and smartphone line that is considered to be better

:06:56.:07:01.

than its predecessors. The PlayStation for is due to come out

:07:01.:07:10.

later this year. But the simple truth is that when it comes to a

:07:10.:07:13.

head-to-head competition with the likes of Apple and Samsung, Sony is

:07:13.:07:21.

still not making much headway. In its home market in Japan last year

:07:21.:07:24.

the iPhone wasn't the single biggest selling smartphone.

:07:24.:07:29.

We will get an update later when they do report their results. We

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will tell you if the profit came through.

:07:33.:07:38.

In South Africa there are more than 1000 top politicians and business

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leaders gathered in Cape Town for the World Economic Forum in Africa.

:07:44.:07:50.

One of them is a Nigerian energy entrepreneur who has been telling

:07:50.:07:54.

the BBC about the importance of the private sector in tackling

:07:54.:08:04.
:08:04.:08:05.

corruption. One of the key to Sieders is privatisation. -- key

:08:05.:08:13.

drivers. The power sector reform is coming in, the government is

:08:13.:08:23.
:08:23.:08:24.

privatising the power or -- power plants. Moving on to the

:08:25.:08:29.

infrastructure with the deficits of building roads, water systems. The

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minute this infrastructure is put in place and privatisation takes

:08:33.:08:37.

hold you will see an effective position where the private sector

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is driving this for profitability, not take charity. That is the

:08:42.:08:48.

differential we are seeing across the Continent. You did not answer

:08:48.:08:52.

the question I asked earlier about corruption and governance impeding

:08:52.:08:57.

investment in Nigeria. What is being done to address this? I do

:08:57.:09:02.

not think corruption will be wiped away overnight but I can assure you

:09:02.:09:08.

that it is getting much better. This generation of Africans, my

:09:08.:09:12.

generation, are doing things differently. We are doing things

:09:12.:09:18.

properly. The more of us that have driving the economies of this

:09:18.:09:21.

continent, the better business environment it will be.

:09:21.:09:27.

We will have more fun that forum as the week progresses.

:09:27.:09:32.

Slovenia's parliament is it due to pass an economic reform programme

:09:32.:09:39.

today, aimed at avoiding a bail out. The plan will be sent to Brussels

:09:39.:09:44.

later. The government is battling to stay solvent and rescue state

:09:44.:09:53.

owned banks that were sinking. The Bank of England wraps up its latest

:09:53.:09:58.

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