13/05/2013 World Business Report


13/05/2013

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financial news with World Business Report.

:00:19.:00:24.

The Chinese balancing act. We look at how the world's second largest

:00:24.:00:28.

economy intend to stay ahead of its competitors by focusing on itself.

:00:28.:00:35.

fastest-growing countries in the world, Nigeria says it is trying to

:00:35.:00:45.
:00:45.:00:45.

diversify its economy away from oil. Welcome to World Business Report.

:00:45.:00:51.

Also in the programme: The slippery slide of the yen continues today as

:00:51.:00:59.

G7 finance chiefs say they will tolerate the currency's decline.

:00:59.:01:04.

China's growth has steamed unstoppable for four decades. It

:01:04.:01:08.

became known as the factory of the world but then came the global

:01:08.:01:13.

recession. Even the mighty China pause forced to take a hit. It has

:01:13.:01:18.

seen growth drop from double-digit a single digit but the question now

:01:18.:01:21.

is how protracted the slowdown is and what impact it will have won

:01:21.:01:26.

the rest of the world. Our chief business Correspondent has been

:01:26.:01:33.

joining us from Hong Kong. We joined her now. Sorry, first of all

:01:33.:01:37.

we are going to talk to, find out about one of the interviews she is

:01:37.:01:42.

doing for us. Linda has been speaking to the chief economist

:01:42.:01:52.
:01:52.:01:54.

from the World Bank. I think the Chinese economy, yes,

:01:54.:01:59.

it is slow in its growth rate. Compared to how we used to be. But

:01:59.:02:09.
:02:09.:02:10.

it is cyclical. The global economy has not gotten over this 2,000

:02:10.:02:20.
:02:20.:02:23.

bandaid crisis yet. The a lot of your work has extolled... Talk

:02:23.:02:33.
:02:33.:02:33.

about how China shows the capacity to increase. It has the capacity

:02:33.:02:43.
:02:43.:02:48.

for 8% growth rate. Compared to advanced countries like the US, it

:02:48.:02:54.

was similar to Japan in the early 1950s. Singapore in the mid- 1960s.

:02:54.:03:04.
:03:04.:03:09.

And Taiwan and Korea in the mood 1970s. -- the mid. They maintained

:03:09.:03:14.

around 8-9 per cent growth rate for 20 years by tapping into the

:03:14.:03:21.

potential. We know that China's growth model has been similar to

:03:21.:03:27.

the east Asian growth model since the tradition started in 1979. With

:03:27.:03:37.
:03:37.:03:39.

that potential, it enabled of Japan and others 8-9 per cent growth rate

:03:39.:03:46.

for 20 years. So China should have the potential to grow at around 8%

:03:46.:03:52.

for another 20 years. That is how the Chinese government will manage

:03:52.:03:55.

the economy. And the potential is there.

:03:55.:04:05.
:04:05.:04:07.

We have got you on standby, Linda. Clearly there is a very important

:04:07.:04:13.

rebalancing change going on in China. It started off with the new

:04:13.:04:17.

leadership at the end of last year. What signs are there that things

:04:17.:04:24.

are changing for the better? One of the key signs is that for the very

:04:24.:04:29.

first time this year, the first few months, the data suggests that the

:04:29.:04:38.

services sector, tourism, financial services, education, shops,

:04:38.:04:45.

retailers, that is more important in China's economy than factories.

:04:45.:04:50.

That is the first time this has been the case since 1979. Whether

:04:50.:04:53.

or not this is sustainable depends on whether the new leadership could

:04:54.:04:58.

be tempted to fuel the easier source of growth which is

:04:58.:05:03.

investment, construction. If they did that there is a danger that

:05:03.:05:07.

they could end up using debt to fuel the growth. As we know in the

:05:07.:05:14.

west, that is not sustainable. If they continue to grow domestic

:05:14.:05:18.

demand and support this and allow the services economy to flourish,

:05:18.:05:25.

that alongside, and by the way factories are still rolling, China

:05:25.:05:35.
:05:35.:05:40.

can grow in a balanced way. -- factories are still growing. That

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will be better for China and the world as China is the world's

:05:45.:05:55.
:05:55.:05:55.

biggest engine. Thank you very much indeed. Linda

:05:55.:06:00.

is with us throughout the day on BBC World News. You can get in

:06:00.:06:10.
:06:10.:06:14.

touch with her via Twitter. Send her your questions.

:06:14.:06:18.

To Africa, and investors, business people and politicians have wrapped

:06:18.:06:22.

up their gathering at the World Economic Forum in Cape Town. There

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has been much focus on the recent African boom and what it means for

:06:27.:06:31.

investors and people who live there. One of the countries attracting

:06:31.:06:37.

plenty of interest is Nigeria. According to the World Bank it is

:06:37.:06:41.

now one of the fastest growing economies in the world but faces

:06:41.:06:46.

challenges. Economic growth has not cut poverty and has not created

:06:46.:06:51.

unnecessary jobs. About two-thirds of the population lives on less

:06:51.:06:58.

than one US dollar a day. There is dilapidated infrastructure and an

:06:58.:07:04.

over-dependence on the oil and gas industry. Our correspondent spoke

:07:04.:07:07.

to the Finance Minister and asked about the financial strategy to

:07:07.:07:13.

develop the non-oil sector. The oil sector does not create the jobs we

:07:13.:07:23.
:07:23.:07:25.

need so we focus on agriculture. It is 40% of GDP. Our target is 20

:07:25.:07:33.

metric tons of food. We are focused on housing because it has many

:07:33.:07:38.

linkages to the rest of the economy. Manufacturing. We believe we need

:07:38.:07:42.

to build an industrial base and have a competitive advantage.

:07:42.:07:46.

Investors are concerned that despite the attractive elements of

:07:46.:07:50.

the economy in Nigeria, this is a country that has major

:07:50.:07:55.

infrastructure constraints, particularly power constraints. It

:07:55.:08:00.

adds to the cost of business. How do you address that? You are

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absolutely right and we address that, in particular power. Earth we

:08:05.:08:10.

recognise we have not been able to manage this sector are as we should

:08:10.:08:18.

so we have privatised it and liberalised it. We hope the power

:08:18.:08:23.

sector will make more headway and we can provide the power that

:08:23.:08:30.

Nigerians need. Security is another concern. Reports of insurgency, a

:08:30.:08:36.

wave of violence in the north of the country. Let me say this. We

:08:36.:08:41.

are heartened that in spite of this, Nigeria is the biggest destination

:08:41.:08:49.

for investment on the continent now. I think that investors see the way

:08:49.:08:53.

that most of the country is functioning normally. It is Ameen a

:08:53.:08:58.

section of the country being impacted like this. -- it is only a

:08:58.:09:05.

section. Much of the country is functioning well. In the north-east

:09:05.:09:09.

of the country we have a challenge and that is where most of these

:09:09.:09:15.

incidents happened. We have a strategy to deal with it. But it is

:09:15.:09:22.

not just Boko Haram, in the south kidnappings are still going on in

:09:22.:09:27.

the oil-rich region. All of those factors create a situation where

:09:27.:09:32.

people are afraid. Let me respond to that by saying yes there is

:09:32.:09:38.

kidnapping and other issues but it is all over the world. In South

:09:38.:09:43.

Africa there are problems of security. I don't want to comment.

:09:43.:09:50.

In the US, the UK. I think the Boko Haram is a special thing we focus

:09:50.:09:58.

on but the others are criminal things. That is not daunting

:09:58.:10:03.

investors. Nigeria's finance minister there

:10:03.:10:07.

with her interesting take on the future of that rapidly growing

:10:07.:10:11.

economy. The markets in Asia. No surprise,

:10:11.:10:21.

Japan up over 1%. The yen slid again today verses the US dollar.

:10:21.:10:26.

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